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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you happy? Friday? Welcome in

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Speaker 1: to another episode of the Daily Juice podcast. My name

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Speaker 1: is Matt Perult. You guys can follow me across all

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Speaker 1: socials at Sports Talk Matt every morning, Betting Pros YouTube

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Speaker 1: channel for the video, or wherever you guys get your

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Speaker 1: audio podcasts. It is the dog days of summer. It

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Speaker 1: has been a brutal month of July, and I appreciate

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Speaker 1: every single one of you who listen, who watch this,

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Speaker 1: who are either using this to make bets, fade bets,

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Speaker 1: avoid bets, whatever the reason why you're watching this podcast.

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Speaker 1: I thank you because it has been brutal. Oh and

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Speaker 1: two last night we went one in one one and one,

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Speaker 1: one and one oh and two To say baseball has

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Speaker 1: been bad is well putting it mildly. And look, I've

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Speaker 1: said this before. Why you guys watched this podcast, It's

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Speaker 1: up to you as do what you do with the information.

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Speaker 1: I am losing money, but I'm paid to do this,

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Speaker 1: so I'm never losing more money than I can afford

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Speaker 1: to lose. I am always being, you know, very cautious

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Speaker 1: with my bank roll. I'm always being cautious with my

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Speaker 1: unit size and I'm not getting trapped lost, you know,

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Speaker 1: getting into bad places. But to sit here and tell

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Speaker 1: you that July was a good month, I'd be lying

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Speaker 1: to you because it July has been horrible. So we're

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Speaker 1: gonna have a pretty nasty hole to get out of here.

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Speaker 1: You know, the first six months of the year, we're good.

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Speaker 1: The first month of the second half of the year

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Speaker 1: has not been good. But we have football, baseball, basketball,

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Speaker 1: We've got a ton of stuff coming down the pike. So, Braves,

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Speaker 1: what was that in the tenth innk Yikes? Two to

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Speaker 1: two could have gone either way, and then a horrible

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Speaker 1: play in right field leads to the game winning run

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Speaker 1: for the Mets. The Mets win, Braves lose. The Orioles

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Speaker 1: blew a big lead. But the game in our on

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Speaker 1: over it was six to three, and I should have

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Speaker 1: just kept on betting the over. We hit the over

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Speaker 1: the first two games of the series. I got cute.

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Speaker 1: I bet the under. The game went over, flew over.

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Speaker 1: So hopefully you faded those plays. I've got three bets

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Speaker 1: for us here today. Fade them. I'm not going to

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Speaker 1: be mad. These are three bets I've made. If you

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Speaker 1: want to say, Matt we're just I can't trust you

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Speaker 1: at all. I get it, get it. But I've got

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Speaker 1: three bets because I don't want to give you two

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Speaker 1: because it's Friday, and normally I give you a parlay

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Speaker 1: or something fun. We've got a big UFC card coming tomorrow,

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Speaker 1: so I won't bet baseball on Saturday. We've got other

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Speaker 1: things on Sunday. I don't know how much Olympic betting

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Speaker 1: I'm going to make. Okay, it can't go much worse

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Speaker 1: than baseball, so maybe i'll bet it. I don't know.

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Speaker 1: Maybe I'll bet the final round of the three m

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Speaker 1: and bet golf. Maybe I'll bet Nascar. I don't know.

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Speaker 1: Like we are less than a month away from college football, Okay,

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Speaker 1: Yesterday last night, by the way, is the last Thursday

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Speaker 1: night until February without football. So if you're wondering, Matt,

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Speaker 1: you're gonna bet preseason football. You bet your bottom dollar

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Speaker 1: on a bet preseason football. Hell yeah, I'm gonna be

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Speaker 1: betting a ton of WNBA and college in NFL preseason

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Speaker 1: football coming up in August to avoid betting baseball because

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Speaker 1: it's just so wonky. You either bet it every day

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Speaker 1: or you don't bet it. And I don't bet it

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Speaker 1: every day, and I frankly wouldn't be betting it if

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Speaker 1: I wasn't being paid to bet it, So this is

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Speaker 1: no fun. Here we go with three bets again. You

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Speaker 1: can fade them if you want. Nasty Nestor Cortes on

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Speaker 1: the hill for the Yankees. He brings a six point

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Speaker 1: zero four ERA and an zero to five record to

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Speaker 1: the bump, a three to zero one opposing batting average,

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Speaker 1: thirty four earned runs at fifty and two third innings

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Speaker 1: worth of work. The New York Yankees are eleven and

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Speaker 1: twenty three over their last thirty four baseball games. They've

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Speaker 1: lost two games in a row, and now they're on

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Speaker 1: the road against the Boston Red Sox here tonight for

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Speaker 1: a monster series. Brian Beayo is on the mound for

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Speaker 1: the Red Sox, who's been very inconsistent ten and five

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Speaker 1: record thanks to the offense a five point twenty seven ERA.

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Speaker 1: Bayo at home this year has a six point two ERA.

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Speaker 1: It has been bad bad four to three the four

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Speaker 1: and three of the record, a three to zero one

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Speaker 1: in posing batting average, twenty eight earned runs in forty

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Speaker 1: and two third innings worth of work. Look I think

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Speaker 1: the Red Sox win this game. But I don't trust

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Speaker 1: either one of these teams. I just know both these

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Speaker 1: offenses can get hot. Red Sox offense has been pretty good.

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Speaker 1: Even though they've been losing games, they've been scoring runs.

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Speaker 1: I don't mind Red Sox team total over here for

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Speaker 1: this play. I looked at it a lot. I was like, hm,

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Speaker 1: but Beyo has been so inconsistent, and Beyo has given

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Speaker 1: up long balls. I mean, this guy's giving up seven

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Speaker 1: home runs at Fenway Park, twenty eight earned runs. He

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Speaker 1: started eight games, forty and two thirds inning worth of

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Speaker 1: work and forty nine hits in eighteen walks up a

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Speaker 1: against thirty eight cas. That is not good. I'm just

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Speaker 1: gonna bet the over. I'll bet the Red Sox money line.

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Speaker 1: I'll take the plus money at plus one oh eight.

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Speaker 1: But I'm just gonna bet over. And you can shop

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Speaker 1: around and try to find the best price on this.

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Speaker 1: I always say, you know, shop see where you are from.

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Speaker 1: From a numbers perspective, everyone's at nine and a half.

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Speaker 1: It's juice to the under and most books. But it's

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Speaker 1: late July, it's Red Sox Yankees, it's a Friday nights.

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Speaker 1: We're going over over nine and a half here. The

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Speaker 1: Red Sox just gave up twenty or twenty runs in

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Speaker 1: our last game themselves to the Rockies at home again.

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Speaker 1: Red Sox team total. Don't hate it at all. If

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Speaker 1: you just want to say, okay, team total Red Sox

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Speaker 1: over four and a half is plus money. I like that.

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Speaker 1: Over the Yankees are favored Yankees four and a half.

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Speaker 1: That's over minus one forty. You bet over that, don't

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Speaker 1: mind that. I'm just gonna try to play it safe

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Speaker 1: here and go over nine and a half. Red Sox

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Speaker 1: Yankees minus one ten one point one units down on

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Speaker 1: the Yankees and the Red Sox with both starting pitchers

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Speaker 1: not being very good at all, tough to back either

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Speaker 1: one of these teams. Friday night. Just bet the over

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Speaker 1: over nine and a half Red Sox Yankees for one

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Speaker 1: point one units. Bet number two. The Reds are on

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Speaker 1: the road against the Rays. It's Nick Lodolo time for

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Speaker 1: the Reds. Lodolo's eight and three with a three point

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Speaker 1: five to one ERA and on the road this year

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Speaker 1: for Nick Lodolo, He's four and one with a two

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Speaker 1: point eight to four ER, posting batting average of one

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Speaker 1: to seventy three. He's only given up twelve earned runs

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Speaker 1: and thirty eight innings worth of work. He's been nicked up,

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Speaker 1: banged up and on the DL twice. But when he's

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Speaker 1: been going, he's been good. He's lost his last two

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Speaker 1: starts five four, three, two twelve six. Went over the

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Speaker 1: Rockies seven to four, lost to the Red Sox. He's

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Speaker 1: lost three of his last four starts. Yes, you might

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Speaker 1: use the he's due line, but I think there's a

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Speaker 1: better number here than just he's quote unquote due. It's

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Speaker 1: who he's going up against. The pitcher for the Tampa

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Speaker 1: Bay Rays, Shane Baz has not been good. Zero to one,

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Speaker 1: with a three point nine to five ERA at home,

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Speaker 1: a six point two to three e RA, no wins,

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Speaker 1: a three sixteen opposing batting average, only a second start

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Speaker 1: at home all year when four and a third give

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Speaker 1: up three earned runs. But this guy's been getting spots, starts,

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Speaker 1: goes about five or six innings when he's out there,

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Speaker 1: you know, six four and a half. Three. He's not

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Speaker 1: been good. He was good on his last start on

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Speaker 1: the road against the Yankees, but his one start at

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Speaker 1: home has not been great. I think we got a

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Speaker 1: chance here to get a win for the Reds with

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Speaker 1: this offense against Tampa. I'm not in love with Tampa.

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Speaker 1: Haven't been in love with Tampa all year. I think

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Speaker 1: this is a decent this nineteen and I love backing

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Speaker 1: Cincinnati when Lodolo is on the mound. I think this

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Speaker 1: is a win for the Reds on the road. You

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Speaker 1: can go aheading. This number has been bumping around. You

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Speaker 1: might be able to get plus money here. The best

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Speaker 1: number on the board right now for this game is

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Speaker 1: in Vegas. It's it's even money at the super book.

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Speaker 1: We'll give you even money South Point as well. Here

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Speaker 1: in Vegas, we'll give you even money. I got it

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Speaker 1: at the super book. But let's just play minus one

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Speaker 1: oh two. That's widely available. We're going with uh, well no,

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Speaker 1: because it's minus one oh seven is the best price there. Okay, sorry,

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Speaker 1: I was missreading that mis one oh seven. I played

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Speaker 1: minus one ten. But we'll go mis one oh seven Cincinnati.

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Speaker 1: We're taking the Reds here at minus one oh seven

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Speaker 1: on the money line to win this game up against

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Speaker 1: the Tampa Bay Rays. And finally we're going to Seattle

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Speaker 1: in Chicago, the Seattle Mariners. Man, here are the scores

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Speaker 1: for the Seattle Mariners six five, two to one, three

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Speaker 1: to two, three nothing, two four, six to four, three

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Speaker 1: to one, five to one, two to one. Seattle Mariners

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Speaker 1: have won one game during that stretch. Since the twelfth

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Speaker 1: of July. They are absolutely reeling. When it comes to

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Speaker 1: totals for this team. They've gone since the thirteenth, They've

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Speaker 1: only on over one time so far, two to one,

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Speaker 1: three two zero, three nothing, four to two, all under six.

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Speaker 1: Four win over Houston over seven and a half. Last

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Speaker 1: three games all against the Angels have gone under. Now

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Speaker 1: the White Sox, you might go wow, bet the under.

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Speaker 1: Drew Thorpe is going for the White Sox. He's three

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Speaker 1: and one with a three point zero three ERA at

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Speaker 1: home ERA of three so only he started two games.

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Speaker 1: He's one to zero, twelve innings pitched, four earned runs,

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Speaker 1: posing batting average of one twenty two. It's not bad.

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Speaker 1: He's only twenty three years old, one of the younger

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Speaker 1: interesting arms for this White Sox team and a guy

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Speaker 1: that might be getting traded. George Kirby going for the Mariners.

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Speaker 1: Here George Kirby on the road this year. Overall, he's

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Speaker 1: seven and seven and a three point two ERA. He's

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Speaker 1: three with a three point eight six ERA on the road,

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Speaker 1: two and five record, posting batting average two forty two,

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Speaker 1: twenty seven earned runs in sixty three innings worth of

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Speaker 1: work for Kirby. In his last start on the road,

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Speaker 1: six innings, one arm run, lost the game two to one,

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Speaker 1: and sort against Tampa, won the game five to two,

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Speaker 1: one earned run. On against Miami three to two loss.

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Speaker 1: Gave up two earned runs, gave up one earned run.

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Speaker 1: It was six y five in extra inning, sixty five

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Speaker 1: win over the Royals for the Mariners. He went seven

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Speaker 1: against Oakland on the road. He went five, gave up

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Speaker 1: two earned runs. This guy has been good on the road.

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Speaker 1: He's been tough to beat. The Mariners stink right now.

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Speaker 1: It's really hard to back the Mariners against anybody, even

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Speaker 1: against a White Sox. So I think think the best

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Speaker 1: play is just to go under seven and a half

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Speaker 1: here and you can shop minus one twenty is probably

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Speaker 1: the best price that you're gonna get here on this game.

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Speaker 1: Most are juiced to the under minus one to eighteen

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Speaker 1: MIS one twenty. I played Mius one twenty. It was

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Speaker 1: initially opened up over over seven and a half. It's

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Speaker 1: been bet under now mius one twenty one point two

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Speaker 1: units down. We're going under Mariners, White Sox under seven

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Speaker 1: and a half. So again, I have been absolutely ice

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Speaker 1: cold in baseball, and I have this is these two

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Speaker 1: weeks have been completely brutal because it's it's the break

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Speaker 1: for the WNBA. There's no preseason football yet, like this

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Speaker 1: is just white knuckle ride and try to get through it.

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Speaker 1: But as I said before, you could bet against these plays,

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Speaker 1: and I don't feel I'm not going to be angry

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Speaker 1: at all. We're going over nine and a half Red Sox,

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Speaker 1: Yankees under seven and a half, Mariners, White Sox, and

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Speaker 1: the Reds on the money line at minus one oh

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Speaker 1: seven here for us on a Friday. Hey, if we

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Speaker 1: do well here we go two and one. Potentially here,

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Speaker 1: have a winning day, make up for yesterday a little bit,

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Speaker 1: and get ourselves back in striking range. We can still

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Speaker 1: have a winning week, Like it's not impossible. Probably not

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Speaker 1: have a big winning week, but we can still have

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Speaker 1: a winning week. We're only down two point one units.

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Speaker 1: Oh no, sorry, two point two units on the week. Okay,

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Speaker 1: We're not that far down right, We're kind of we're

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Speaker 1: hovering here. We're not good, but we would you say

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Speaker 1: we're three? No, tonight, we're right back in it. We

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Speaker 1: go well Saturday, Sunday. We have a winning week, so

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Speaker 1: not horrible. I've had good weekends in the past. Let's

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Speaker 1: start off here with a Friday with three bets in

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Speaker 1: Major League Baseball. Let's see what we can do, finds

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Speaker 1: Matt parol Fom because all socials at Sports Talk Matt

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Speaker 1: every single morning. It is The Diligence Podcast, being brought

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Speaker 1: to you only by our friends at bettingpros dot com.