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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into a Monday

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Speaker 1: morning edition on the Daily Juice podcast with me Matt Perrault.

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Speaker 1: Every single morning, We're always here with you guys on

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Speaker 1: YouTube and wherever you guys get your audio podcasts, always

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Speaker 1: being brought to you by bet MGM. I've got some

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Speaker 1: bets for you at bet MGM that I think you

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Speaker 1: might want to jump in on coming up here today. Okay,

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Speaker 1: So the bet MGM offer ten dollars to one hundred

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Speaker 1: and fifty dollars on any event. Use the code Juice

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Speaker 1: one fifty when you sign up betmgm dot com. I

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Speaker 1: have numerous bets going from the free bets the one

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Speaker 1: hundred and fifty dollars they give you on this game

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Speaker 1: tonight with Patriots and the Bills. So I took my

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Speaker 1: free wagers, and I took what they gave me, and

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Speaker 1: I just rolled it all over into this game. So

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Speaker 1: I am heavily committed. I took other sportsbooks offers. I

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Speaker 1: am heavily committed here on this night, here, on this

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Speaker 1: game Patriots at the Bills, Patriots catching three points at

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Speaker 1: bet MGM at the time of taping. But before we

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Speaker 1: do that, real quick yesterday, two and two on the

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Speaker 1: prop bets, the Gronk anytime touchdown and plus one forty

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Speaker 1: got there, so we won money on our prop bets.

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Speaker 1: And then we go two and one on our one

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Speaker 1: unit wagers. We get the Chiefs minus nine eight. Wherever

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Speaker 1: you played it, I played it at eight. Officially, Chiefs cover,

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Speaker 1: they win and beat the Broncos. We got that right

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Speaker 1: at minus one ten and the long teaser improved to

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Speaker 1: eight and four with another win with the Dolphins and

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Speaker 1: the Washington football team getting there for us. The over

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Speaker 1: did not come in on that game. It was way

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Speaker 1: under the forty seven and a half that we played.

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Speaker 1: So two and one on the on the full unit bets,

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Speaker 1: two and two and plus money on the prop bets.

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Speaker 1: So a good day there. I had a bunch of

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Speaker 1: other personal bets that came in. I had teased the

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Speaker 1: Chiefs down to three and a half and I combined

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Speaker 1: it with the Cowboys, so that cashed. I took the

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Speaker 1: Chiefs down to minus two, and I have paired up

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Speaker 1: with the Patriots here tonight, Patriots catching nine. You can

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Speaker 1: go ahead and do that. I gave that to you

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Speaker 1: guys on a Sunday Monday night teaser. When I tell

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Speaker 1: you I've got so much going into this game, it

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Speaker 1: is the only thing I'm betting today. It's the only

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Speaker 1: thing I'm betting. I'm not paying anything else here on Monday.

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Speaker 1: I might might get involved with Golden State, and I

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Speaker 1: might get involved with Atlanta on the prop betting perspective

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Speaker 1: in the NBA, but that's pretty much the only thing

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna be watching, because I'm gonna be really bummed

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Speaker 1: if the Patriots don't cover. I have a four and

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Speaker 1: oh mark for the Circa on my personal circa team,

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Speaker 1: or four and oh when four and one, four and one,

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Speaker 1: four and oh heading into this game, Patriots plus two

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Speaker 1: and a half, I got Patriots plus two and a half.

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Speaker 1: I have Patriots plus three. I have Patriots plus nine.

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Speaker 1: I am heavily committed on the Patriots keeping this game close,

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Speaker 1: even if even if they lose, to keep this game

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Speaker 1: close tonight against the Buffalo Bills. A double digit win

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Speaker 1: for Buffalo and it wipes out everything, just cleans my clock.

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Speaker 1: Could it happen? Absolutelyping lootely, it could happen. Okay, look,

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Speaker 1: let me give you the picks. We'll get into it here.

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Speaker 1: I've got two prop bets that I like a lot.

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Speaker 1: I've got one side that I'm going to give you,

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Speaker 1: and then I'll give you some leans and things I'm

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Speaker 1: looking at as well. Here going into Monday. Okay, so

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Speaker 1: the Patriots are playing at Buffalo. Weather forecast is incredibly important.

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Speaker 1: Currently weather dot com is reporting the low temperature will

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Speaker 1: be twenty six degrees in Buffalo. Win gusts will be

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Speaker 1: as high as forty miles per hour. According to weather

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Speaker 1: dot com, sustain wins twenty five to thirty five miles

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Speaker 1: per hour. That is enough to tell you or to

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Speaker 1: suggest that the unders in play. Okay, the problem is

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Speaker 1: the under opened up at forty six and it's now

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Speaker 1: down to forty one and a half or forty one

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Speaker 1: depending on the book. So there have been such better

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Speaker 1: numbers that I'm just not comfortable getting into it. But

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Speaker 1: this is going to be a play that I will

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Speaker 1: do personally. But because I'm so heavily committed, I don't

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Speaker 1: hate this in terms of if you want to get

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Speaker 1: involved with the total, to tease the Patriots to plus nine,

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Speaker 1: take the total from forty one up to forty seven,

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Speaker 1: and take the under. Okay, don't hate that, Not an

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Speaker 1: official play. Okay, don't hate it if that's if you

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Speaker 1: want to get involved with the total because of the wind,

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Speaker 1: that's how I would suggest doing it. Okay, the Patriots

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Speaker 1: are a better cold weather team than the Bills. Let

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Speaker 1: me say that again. The Patriots are a better cold

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Speaker 1: weather team than the Buffalo Bills. Let's get into the

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Speaker 1: plus three. You know where I am. Okay, the official

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Speaker 1: play one unit Patriots plus three. I am include free bets.

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Speaker 1: I think I've got four units going on this game,

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Speaker 1: okay at plus three. I've got other two or three

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Speaker 1: units going on teasers into this game. I have money line.

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Speaker 1: I have a one hundred dollars bet free bet on

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Speaker 1: Patriots money line at plus one twenty going on this game. Okay,

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Speaker 1: So like this is I'm kind of this feels like

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Speaker 1: a super Bowl to me because Bill Belichick to win

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Speaker 1: the Coach of the Year. This is the game. If

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Speaker 1: he wins this game, they're the number one seed in

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Speaker 1: the AFC as we head into December, and they have

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Speaker 1: a lead a game lead on Buffalo, plus a game

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Speaker 1: in hand, plus beating with beating Buffalo in Buffalo. The

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Speaker 1: buye is next week. The Patriots. My gosh, if an

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Speaker 1: extra time to prepare here. But you look at the

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Speaker 1: smash mouth nature of this Patriots football team in the

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Speaker 1: way they play. Right now, they are twenty eighth in

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Speaker 1: the NFL in scoring offense twenty eight points per game.

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Speaker 1: They are third, sorry, they're fifth right now in third

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Speaker 1: down conversions four forty five percent. This kid mac Jones

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Speaker 1: can convert. It's incredible. Three hundred and fifty five yards

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Speaker 1: offense per game for the Patriots is fourteenth best Buffalo.

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Speaker 1: Buffalo is number one in that category, only two hundred

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Speaker 1: and seventy five yards given up per game. They are

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Speaker 1: second in scoring off at scoring defense sixteen point five

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Speaker 1: yards points per game for the Buffalo Bills. Are you

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Speaker 1: buying Buffalo though, because here's the problem. The Patriots defense

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Speaker 1: is number one. Bills are two. Pats are one. Patriots

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Speaker 1: fifteen point eight points per game Number one Patriots. They

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Speaker 1: are giving up just zero point two five six points

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Speaker 1: per play. That is number one in the NFL. Passing wise,

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Speaker 1: Buffalo seven point one yards per game through the air.

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Speaker 1: Two hundred and seventy one yards per game through the air,

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Speaker 1: seventh best, eleventh best in the NFL. Patriots six yards

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Speaker 1: per play per pass given up third best, two hundred

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Speaker 1: yards passing, third best. Patriots are number one in interception percentage. Okay,

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Speaker 1: number of times you drop back, the number times you

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Speaker 1: throw a pick, they're number one. They're number seven in

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Speaker 1: sack percentage. Right now, they're going to get after Josh Allen.

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Speaker 1: They're gonna get after him, and they're gonna make him

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Speaker 1: uncomfortable because the Bill's running attack is basically Josh Allen

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Speaker 1: and that's about it, and you can spy him. Patriots

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Speaker 1: went to Buffalo last year. They ran the football. Damian

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Speaker 1: Harris ran for over one hundred yards and they nearly

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Speaker 1: won the game. They were down twenty four to twenty one,

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Speaker 1: driving inside the red zone and Cam Newton fumbled the

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Speaker 1: football away and the game was over. Cam Newton is

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Speaker 1: on a Patriot. Mac Jones is a Patriot. Now. This

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Speaker 1: defense for New England is going to relish in the

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Speaker 1: wind and the cold. This offense for the Patriots is

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Speaker 1: going to line up and dink and dunk its way

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Speaker 1: down the field. Okay, this is a monster game. Patriots

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Speaker 1: are red hot, absolutely red hot right now. And it's

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Speaker 1: not just straight out. They're red hot when it comes

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Speaker 1: to covering Patriots have covered six consecutive games. Patriots are

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Speaker 1: now eight and four against the number. The Buffalo Bills

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Speaker 1: are six four and one against the number. They are

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Speaker 1: two and two at home. The Patriots are four and

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Speaker 1: one against the number on the road. One unit official

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Speaker 1: play Patriots plus three, even though I'm way more committed

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Speaker 1: than that, Patriots plus three. I don't mind the same

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Speaker 1: game teaser if you want to get involved with the total.

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Speaker 1: But I just think the Patriots are going to run

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Speaker 1: the football effectively. Weather could be a big factor, however,

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Speaker 1: And if weather is a big factor, it could impact

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Speaker 1: the kicking game. However, the Patriots have a really good

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Speaker 1: kicker in Nick Folk. Inside of forty yards, the guy's

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Speaker 1: nearly automatic. Sometimes when weather happens, you don't get those

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Speaker 1: long drives, and sometimes you get predictable in the red

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Speaker 1: zone and it stalls out and you kick field goals.

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Speaker 1: Bet MGM right now has Nick Folk Patriots to kick

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Speaker 1: over one and a half field goals at even money.

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Speaker 1: I love this even money. I am not putting. I'm

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Speaker 1: not just gonna put a quarter unit down on this. Okay,

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Speaker 1: I'm actually gonna put a half a unit down on this.

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Speaker 1: I think this is a really good bet. It's one

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Speaker 1: of my favorite prop bets of the entire year because

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Speaker 1: I really do think the Patriots are gonna kick two

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Speaker 1: field goals in this game against Buffalo, because I do

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Speaker 1: think it's a low scoring game and field goals. The

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Speaker 1: Patriots tend to kick a lot of field goals. They're

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Speaker 1: not great inside the red zone. They're okay inside the

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Speaker 1: red zone. Over one and a half field goals even

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Speaker 1: money half a unit. I'm putting down on that bet

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Speaker 1: here coming up for today, and then I got one

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Speaker 1: more prop bet. I will add something else on the

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Speaker 1: Discord channel. But I am gonna get involved with Damian

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Speaker 1: Harris and Damian Harris rushing. I'm gonna get involved. Well,

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Speaker 1: I'll just do this because I'm gonna have it. I'll

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Speaker 1: do a quarter unit on Damian Harris anytime touchdown at

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Speaker 1: plus one fifty. I think he is going to be

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Speaker 1: the primary ballcarrier for a quarter unit. And we're going

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Speaker 1: to talk about Damien Harris for him, over rushing totals

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Speaker 1: for him. I'm gonna go over Damian Harris on his

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Speaker 1: rushing prop coming up for tonight, forty eight and a

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Speaker 1: half rushing yards for Damian Harris, as I mentioned, he

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Speaker 1: had one hundred and two against Buffalo and Buffalo last year.

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Speaker 1: Weather only factors more into this. Whether the Patriots are

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Speaker 1: gonna look to run the rock Damien Harris over forty

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Speaker 1: eight and a half yards for a quarter unit rushing

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Speaker 1: for the Patriots. Okay, that's basically what I've got going

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Speaker 1: on here, all right. The Patriots are going to Buffalo

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Speaker 1: in a monster game that is going to be It's

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Speaker 1: the biggest game of the weekend. It's the most fun

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Speaker 1: game of the weekend. And as I mentioned, I've got

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Speaker 1: Patriots moneyline, Patriots plus three, Patriots plus nine all going

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Speaker 1: in this game. So to me, this is just kind

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Speaker 1: of like sit there and watch it like a Super Bowl,

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Speaker 1: and maybe I get annihilated, and maybe I'm partying and

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Speaker 1: celebrating and jumping for joy because the Patriots sweep all three,

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Speaker 1: or maybe I lose all three. Okay, it's very possible.

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Speaker 1: It's very very possible. But I'm okay having two units

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Speaker 1: committed committed to this game simply because of the size

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Speaker 1: of the game. I smoked a brisket yesterday. We got

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Speaker 1: leftover brisket to eat coming up for the game. I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna have some whiskey and have some fun and watch

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Speaker 1: this football game. I cannot wait to watch Bills Patriots

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Speaker 1: here on Monday night football. All right? Official play Patriots

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Speaker 1: plus three one unit over one and a half field

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Speaker 1: goals for the Patriots at even money. Half a unit,

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Speaker 1: excuse me, half a unit Damien Harris anytime touchdown plus

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Speaker 1: one fifty quarter unit Damien Harris over forty and a

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Speaker 1: half yards rushing for him for a quarter unit. Those

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Speaker 1: are the plays. Fade away if you want call me

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Speaker 1: a Patriot homer or whatever you want. I got a

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Speaker 1: five and oh mark in the circa riding on the

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Speaker 1: Patriots plus two and a half. I've got so many

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Speaker 1: different bets riding on all of this. It's a lot

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Speaker 1: wrapped up into one performance in one game. And it

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Speaker 1: happens to be my team. And if my team fails

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Speaker 1: and falls, go ahead and rag me on Twitter and say, Matt,

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Speaker 1: your team did not step up. It's okay. Doesn't mean

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Speaker 1: the year's over. It's just one game. And Dan Harris

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Speaker 1: and I were arguing on the live stream saying he

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Speaker 1: likes Buffalo, I like the Patriots, and people have been

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Speaker 1: fading this Patriots team, and they've been doubting and doubting

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Speaker 1: and doubting. Oh it's ja Kobe Myers. Who is that

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Speaker 1: Hunter Henry? He stinks? Where's Jonas Smith? He's hurt, he can't. Okay,

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Speaker 1: I get it. Max Jones, He's not that Yeah he is.

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Speaker 1: He is that good. I am a full on believer

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Speaker 1: of Belichick and the evil Empires rise up once again.

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Speaker 1: And you know what's funny. Bills fans know it. The

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Speaker 1: Bills fans know it, and that's why whither are so

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Speaker 1: angry about this game coming up here tonight. Break your tables,

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Speaker 1: but don't break them too much, because you're gonna need

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Speaker 1: to sit next to them and cry yourself to sleep.

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Speaker 1: Or maybe it's me, or maybe I'll be doing that

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Speaker 1: coming up for Patriots and the Bills. I'll be on

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Speaker 1: the Discord channel. Let's have some fun. Patriots Bills, Monday

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Speaker 1: Night football, Let's do it. My Nay's Matt Parachi. Guys

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Speaker 1: can follow me on Twitter at Sports Talk Matt. Each

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Speaker 1: and every morning, it's the Daily Juice Podcast, always being

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Speaker 1: brought to you by BETMGM