WEBVTT - Artificial Intelligence’s Antitrust Concerns

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome to Votes and Verdicts, hosted by the Litigation and

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<v Speaker 1>Policy team at Bloomberg Intelligence, the investment research arm of

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg LP. This podcast series examines the intersection of business

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<v Speaker 1>policy and the law. I'm JUSTINTERREESI and to trust litigation

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<v Speaker 1>and policy analysts here at BI. Just a quick word

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<v Speaker 1>about Bloomberg Intelligence for those unfamiliar. We're the investment research

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<v Speaker 1>platform on the Bloomberg terminal, with five hundred analysts and

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<v Speaker 1>strategists working across the globe and focused on all major markets.

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<v Speaker 1>Our coverage includes over two thousand equities and credits, and

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<v Speaker 1>we have outlooks on more than ninety industries and one

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<v Speaker 1>hundred market indices, currencies and commodities. Today's topic Artificial intelligence AI.

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<v Speaker 1>It seems to be everywhere, from simple use of chat

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<v Speaker 1>GPT to grow prevalence of AI across business platforms. It's

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<v Speaker 1>hard to sit through a single news show, much less

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<v Speaker 1>a whole day without hearing something about AI. Some say

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<v Speaker 1>it's the next big thing. Some say it's the next

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<v Speaker 1>version of the space race where the US and other

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<v Speaker 1>Western nations need to show their dominance. But one thing

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<v Speaker 1>seems to be certain. AI and all of its surrounding

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<v Speaker 1>issues have become ubiquitous as of recent news reports regarding

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<v Speaker 1>antitrust implications and investigations around the technology by enforcement agencies

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<v Speaker 1>across the globe, and all of that begs the question

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<v Speaker 1>who's controlling the development of AI and what exactly does

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<v Speaker 1>that mean From the perspective of competition in this developing sector,

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<v Speaker 1>are smaller AI actors really able to get off the ground.

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<v Speaker 1>With all of that, I'd like to welcome my guest,

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<v Speaker 1>Sarah Myers West, Co executive director of the AI Now Institute,

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<v Speaker 1>the leading policy research and advocacy organization on the subject

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<v Speaker 1>of AI. HI. Sarah, thanks so much for joining me today.

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<v Speaker 1>Thank you for having me absolutely so. I could spend

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<v Speaker 1>a half hour just telling you all about Sarah's skill set,

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<v Speaker 1>but what I'll say is Sarah spent the last fifteen

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<v Speaker 1>years or so focused on the role of technology companies

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<v Speaker 1>and the growth of their political influence, and her current

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<v Speaker 1>role is as co executive director. Sarah focuses on addressing

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<v Speaker 1>the market issues and infrastructure that guides the role of

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<v Speaker 1>tech in society and holds a sector to task in

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<v Speaker 1>serving the needs of the public, including a relevant to

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<v Speaker 1>our chat today antitrust issues. Her research is featured in

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<v Speaker 1>leading academic journals and a wide range of media outlets,

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<v Speaker 1>and she's a go to for governments on questions surrounding

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<v Speaker 1>tech and AI, having testified before Congress and advised the

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<v Speaker 1>White House, European Commissioned CFPB, and other agencies. Also incredibly

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<v Speaker 1>important for today's discussion. Sarah recently completed a term at

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<v Speaker 1>the FTC as a senior advisor on AI. She worked

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<v Speaker 1>on competition and consumer protection issues, and last, but certainly

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<v Speaker 1>not least, Sarah's also working on a book, Tracing Code,

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<v Speaker 1>which we'll examine the origins of data capitalism and commercial

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<v Speaker 1>commercial surveillance. Sarah, There's so much more I could say

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<v Speaker 1>about you, but there's obviously a lot to talk about

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<v Speaker 1>in this space, so let's get to it. We're recording

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<v Speaker 1>this on July nineteenth, twenty twenty four. Obviously some really

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<v Speaker 1>big news today considering the Microsoft out it just wondering

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<v Speaker 1>if you have anything you'd like to lead off with

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<v Speaker 1>on that subject.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, So, as we speak, there are airlines and hospital

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<v Speaker 2>systems and banks all around the world trying to bring

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<v Speaker 2>themselves back online after a bug in the systems that

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<v Speaker 2>have brought everything to a sudden halt, and I think

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<v Speaker 2>what that really shows is the fragility of our infrastructure,

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<v Speaker 2>particularly given the very heavy reliance on one or a

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<v Speaker 2>small handful of players. In this instance, it was Microsoft

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<v Speaker 2>and CrowdStrike, where the two companies kind of behind this,

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<v Speaker 2>you know, massive technological outage that uh, you know we're

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<v Speaker 2>all experiencing today.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah. Absolutely, I think I think that point is super

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<v Speaker 1>well taken, and you know, I think it really leads

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<v Speaker 1>us into our conversation about about AI too, where we

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<v Speaker 1>might see that similar kind of issue of consolidation and

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<v Speaker 1>you know, a few a few players, if you will,

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<v Speaker 1>kind of running the space. But if you could talk

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<v Speaker 1>a little bit about the role of big tech and

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<v Speaker 1>AI and that, I think that'd be really grateious as

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<v Speaker 1>a foundation to lead things off.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, so I think it might be helpful to sort

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<v Speaker 2>of step back and look at the broader history behind

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<v Speaker 2>the field of artificial intelligence. Over an almost seventy year history,

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<v Speaker 2>AI has been used to mean a whole range of

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<v Speaker 2>different things, from robotics to the generative AI systems that

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<v Speaker 2>I think have really captured everybody's in genations today. And

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<v Speaker 2>you know, the definition of what AI is in the

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<v Speaker 2>present moment, is in many ways constituted by it's defined

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<v Speaker 2>by an existing concentration of power within the tech industry.

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<v Speaker 2>So if you wind back the clock maybe twenty years,

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<v Speaker 2>you see these tech giants Google, Amazon emerging on the

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<v Speaker 2>scene and developing out business models that involve the collection

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<v Speaker 2>of massive amounts of data and the development of huge

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<v Speaker 2>computational infrastructures needed to process that data. And once you

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<v Speaker 2>had those two big pieces in place, these companies began

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<v Speaker 2>to develop new techniques of trying to process that data

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<v Speaker 2>to make sense through analysis. Often it's you know, sort

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<v Speaker 2>of basic statistics, but sort of combining massive data sets

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<v Speaker 2>massive computational infrastructures. And those are two of the core

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<v Speaker 2>elements that you know, make up what we call AI today.

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<v Speaker 2>The third is the field of research and the the

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<v Speaker 2>big tech firms also began to dominate the leading conferences

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<v Speaker 2>in artificial intelligence. The latter their corporate labs became the

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<v Speaker 2>place that computer science graduates wanted to go get hired.

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<v Speaker 2>They were offering the highest paying salaries. There became the

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<v Speaker 2>most prestigious places to go and work. And so between

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<v Speaker 2>the sort of business elements of what kind of AI

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<v Speaker 2>was being developed within these firms as well as defining

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<v Speaker 2>what constitutes the cutting edge in the research space. Big

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<v Speaker 2>tech firms I think have really significantly shaped our understanding

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<v Speaker 2>of AI, what it can be used for or what

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<v Speaker 2>is most of interest over the span of at least

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<v Speaker 2>a decade and probably more. And so getting back to

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<v Speaker 2>our subject today of thinking about antitrust, it really brings

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<v Speaker 2>to question, you know, if we were to intervene in

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<v Speaker 2>the AI market in a more structural way, not only

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<v Speaker 2>sort of like tackling the the you know, concentration in

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<v Speaker 2>big tech, but they're shaping hand in shaping research and

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<v Speaker 2>development as well. I really wonder how that changes what

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<v Speaker 2>kind of AI we're building and what vision it serves,

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<v Speaker 2>because to my thinking right now, it seems somewhat stale

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<v Speaker 2>compared to what you know, we were being sold a

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<v Speaker 2>year ago from companies like open Ai. Like I find

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<v Speaker 2>it kind of hard to get all that excited about

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<v Speaker 2>a chatbot and more excited about the vision of what

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<v Speaker 2>could be possible if we were to to break up

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<v Speaker 2>big tech.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, I think that's super fascinating, and you know, just

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<v Speaker 1>even looking back at AI now's most recent kind of

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<v Speaker 1>large scale report on the subject. I saw the twenty

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<v Speaker 1>twenty three Landscape report that was put out. You know,

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<v Speaker 1>I think you make some really there's some really important

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<v Speaker 1>points that come from that. I kind of guide, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>where we're head to hear this discussion too, And I

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<v Speaker 1>think those are that, you know, big data really is

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<v Speaker 1>big AI or has the potential to kind of you know,

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<v Speaker 1>influence where AI goes. It just so is so dependent

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<v Speaker 1>on the data that it's taking in, if you will,

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<v Speaker 1>And that really nothing nothing regarding AI is inevitable or

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<v Speaker 1>has to be inevitable. And I think with those two

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<v Speaker 1>kind of points in mind, you know, what do you

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<v Speaker 1>really see at the most pressing antitrust considerations right now

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<v Speaker 1>from maybe a company standpoint or problems that have really

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<v Speaker 1>emerged recently that you think really are right for a challenge.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, great question. I think. So what I think is

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<v Speaker 2>most pressing right now is the ecosystem dominance of that

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<v Speaker 2>small handful of firms. So a year ago, when we

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<v Speaker 2>published that report, we were really calling it into the

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<v Speaker 2>infrastructural dominance of big tech firms. And at that moment

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<v Speaker 2>in time, it was a really unpopular thing to say

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<v Speaker 2>that these cloud monopolies were shaping a race to the

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<v Speaker 2>bottom in AI development. Most people were saying, let's wait

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<v Speaker 2>and see. Maybe we're going to see startups starting to

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<v Speaker 2>bubble up, and you know, we'll have new entrants that

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<v Speaker 2>are going to be competitive with Google and Microsoft. But

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<v Speaker 2>now I think we're seeing a recognition that this heavy

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<v Speaker 2>concentration in these firms and their control over the data,

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<v Speaker 2>their control over the infrastructures are presenting real barriers to

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<v Speaker 2>innovation and competition in the market. Now there's a long

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<v Speaker 2>way to go on actually meaningfully tackling that issue. You know,

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<v Speaker 2>the DOJ just I think maybe three weeks ago, announced

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<v Speaker 2>that it's going to be looking into in Nvidia, which

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<v Speaker 2>is the maker of the chips that are powering a

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<v Speaker 2>lot of AI development. The French authorities are a little

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<v Speaker 2>bit further along. They conducted a ra aid on in

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<v Speaker 2>videos headquarters last year. But I think that infrastructure is

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<v Speaker 2>only one part of the problem. These firms also control

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<v Speaker 2>crucial paths to market, and that I think is still

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<v Speaker 2>an undercovered antitrust issue. It's why we see promising startups

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<v Speaker 2>like Mistral striking deals with dominant firms like Microsoft, because

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<v Speaker 2>these new entrants need help connecting to their customers. There

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<v Speaker 2>just isn't really a clear business proposition for a lot

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<v Speaker 2>of new startups. And we've seen firms like Goldman Sachs

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<v Speaker 2>and Sequoia, firms that have themselves made big investments in

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<v Speaker 2>this market issue increasingly skeptical reports about the potential of

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<v Speaker 2>new players to compete. So I think addressing those two pieces,

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<v Speaker 2>the role of the big firms in dominating the resources

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<v Speaker 2>that you need to build AI, the infrastructure that you

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<v Speaker 2>need to build AI, as well as their role in

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<v Speaker 2>shaping the market it through their dominance of the ecosystem

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<v Speaker 2>of the path to you know, to profit is key.

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<v Speaker 1>Sure, sure, And I think from a really basic standpoint too,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, it's really fascinating. I think, you know, from

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<v Speaker 1>a standpoint of what the FTC or DOJ can do

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<v Speaker 1>in the context of traditional anti trust enforcement, right, you

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<v Speaker 1>see these situations where perhaps making a large investment in

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<v Speaker 1>a smaller AI startup, if you will, or hiring most

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<v Speaker 1>of that that startups you know, labor folks or skilled

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<v Speaker 1>labor who you know has the brain power behind AI

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<v Speaker 1>as a way to kind of get around that traditional

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<v Speaker 1>concept of a heart Scott Redina review or something like that.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, where it would be a traditional full skill

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<v Speaker 1>out acquisition. It raises a lot of questions about what

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<v Speaker 1>can be done from an enforcement perspective, and you know,

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<v Speaker 1>we'll get to that a little bit later on, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>in terms of legislation and you know what what might

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<v Speaker 1>reshape the way things are proceeding right now. But you know,

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<v Speaker 1>I think another issue that you know, I'm hearing a

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<v Speaker 1>lot about from my side here too, is you know

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<v Speaker 1>this concept of this AI you know space race, you will, right,

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<v Speaker 1>the US has to compete with other global entities that

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<v Speaker 1>are also developing AI. And you know, no surprise, I

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<v Speaker 1>think in political rhetoric we hear you know, China comes

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<v Speaker 1>up a lot, and this purported need for the US

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<v Speaker 1>to compete with China on the subject of AI. How

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<v Speaker 1>do you view that And do you kind of think

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<v Speaker 1>it's this red herring if you will, in some ways,

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<v Speaker 1>as you know, you know, as a reason not to

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<v Speaker 1>really reiin in AI from an anti trust perspective.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, So the discourse around this AI arms race isn't

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<v Speaker 2>just an invention of this past year. It really goes

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<v Speaker 2>back a lot further. If you look back at some

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<v Speaker 2>of the discussions about the anti trust package that Congress

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<v Speaker 2>was considering a couple of years ago. That China arms

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<v Speaker 2>race discourse was very much utilized by industry in its

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<v Speaker 2>lobbying to push back on the notion that we needed

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<v Speaker 2>a new anti trust rules for the industry. And you

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<v Speaker 2>saw prominent people in the Defense establishment, any of whom

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<v Speaker 2>we're also on the payroll of Eric Schmid adjacent firms

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<v Speaker 2>out there saying that if you do anything to restrain

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<v Speaker 2>big tech firms, it's going to diminish our competitiveness with China.

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<v Speaker 2>And I think the Biden administration, to its credit, clap

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<v Speaker 2>back by issuing this Executive Order on Competition that said so, actually,

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<v Speaker 2>national monopolies are not in the national interests. What we

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<v Speaker 2>want is a really vibrant and competitive sector, and that's

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<v Speaker 2>what's going to set us up for a success. But

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<v Speaker 2>I don't think that other parts of the government have

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<v Speaker 2>fully lived up to that vision. I mean, certainly, as

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<v Speaker 2>you know, Congress hasn't really meaningfully moved, and in part

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<v Speaker 2>that's due to fears about the US falling behind on

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<v Speaker 2>innovation if it regulates the market. But I think that's misguided,

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<v Speaker 2>if anything, regulation of a sector that's gotten this bloated

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<v Speaker 2>would really foster more innovation and would benefit a wider public.

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<v Speaker 1>Sure, thanks definitely seeming a bit stagnant right now on

0:13:58.600 --> 0:14:01.080
<v Speaker 1>the hill. There's there's no question out that. And you know,

0:14:01.120 --> 0:14:03.720
<v Speaker 1>I think, you know, building upon the rhetoric around you know,

0:14:03.840 --> 0:14:07.000
<v Speaker 1>China and this just this idea of an arms race,

0:14:07.080 --> 0:14:09.079
<v Speaker 1>you know, I think there's this other ick factor, if

0:14:09.120 --> 0:14:12.120
<v Speaker 1>you will, sometimes AI where people think about how that

0:14:12.240 --> 0:14:15.680
<v Speaker 1>might implicate things like biometrics, surveillance, right, how does that

0:14:15.800 --> 0:14:17.800
<v Speaker 1>roll out in the future, and what industries is that

0:14:17.880 --> 0:14:20.000
<v Speaker 1>does that become an issue and if you have any

0:14:20.000 --> 0:14:22.560
<v Speaker 1>thoughts on about that aspect of AI too. I think

0:14:22.560 --> 0:14:25.040
<v Speaker 1>that's something folks are super interested in right now as well.

0:14:25.560 --> 0:14:29.640
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, absolutely. I mean biometrics I think haven't gotten as

0:14:29.680 --> 0:14:33.360
<v Speaker 2>much attention as they should over the last year because

0:14:33.400 --> 0:14:36.560
<v Speaker 2>of this you know, surge and attention to generate AVEAI,

0:14:37.600 --> 0:14:41.400
<v Speaker 2>But there has been a really quiet and significant expansion

0:14:41.560 --> 0:14:48.000
<v Speaker 2>in their use places like in cars. For example. You know,

0:14:48.200 --> 0:14:51.680
<v Speaker 2>there are if you're a delivery driver, one of the

0:14:51.720 --> 0:14:57.160
<v Speaker 2>ways that drivers are being monitored by their employers is

0:14:57.200 --> 0:15:02.120
<v Speaker 2>through the use of biometrics in car can that purport

0:15:02.200 --> 0:15:06.400
<v Speaker 2>to be able to evaluate you know, whether they're falling

0:15:06.440 --> 0:15:11.280
<v Speaker 2>asleep or whether they're you know, they're signaling aggression. And

0:15:11.400 --> 0:15:16.600
<v Speaker 2>that use case of what we call emotion recognition is

0:15:16.640 --> 0:15:20.280
<v Speaker 2>one of the areas that I'm especially worried about. Emotion

0:15:20.440 --> 0:15:27.400
<v Speaker 2>recognition systems have largely been disregarded by the scientific community

0:15:27.560 --> 0:15:32.560
<v Speaker 2>as pseudoscientific. You can't sort of with any statistical validity

0:15:32.720 --> 0:15:37.480
<v Speaker 2>take you know, the measurement of somebody's facial expression and

0:15:37.560 --> 0:15:41.160
<v Speaker 2>be able to evaluate what their interstate looks like. But

0:15:41.240 --> 0:15:44.760
<v Speaker 2>that certainly doesn't stop a company from selling a system

0:15:44.840 --> 0:15:48.520
<v Speaker 2>that claims to be able to make those kinds of assessments.

0:15:49.240 --> 0:15:53.360
<v Speaker 2>And we're seeing the rollout of emotion recognition in a

0:15:53.400 --> 0:15:59.080
<v Speaker 2>lot of workplace surveillance contacts. You know, mentioned drivers, call

0:15:59.160 --> 0:16:04.440
<v Speaker 2>center workers are having their voice print measured and they're

0:16:04.480 --> 0:16:08.000
<v Speaker 2>getting feedback about, you know, whether or not they're sounding

0:16:08.080 --> 0:16:13.000
<v Speaker 2>pleasant enough to their customers, and all of these other

0:16:13.000 --> 0:16:16.400
<v Speaker 2>places where often they're used in ways that have quite

0:16:16.480 --> 0:16:20.840
<v Speaker 2>significant consequences for the people that it's used on. So

0:16:21.480 --> 0:16:26.400
<v Speaker 2>I think that biometrics are we remain an undercovered area

0:16:26.400 --> 0:16:29.560
<v Speaker 2>and one that we really need much more policy scrutiny of.

0:16:30.200 --> 0:16:33.960
<v Speaker 1>Sure. I mean, so many privacy issues there obviously, you know,

0:16:34.040 --> 0:16:38.680
<v Speaker 1>and so many privacy issues. I think we're obviously a

0:16:38.680 --> 0:16:41.960
<v Speaker 1>bit behind other global counterparts in our privacy development here

0:16:42.000 --> 0:16:45.640
<v Speaker 1>from a legal standpoint too in the US. But yeah,

0:16:45.720 --> 0:16:47.800
<v Speaker 1>just so many issues there, and again you know, kind

0:16:47.800 --> 0:16:51.200
<v Speaker 1>of robing adgit trust into that situation too with biometric surveillance,

0:16:51.560 --> 0:16:54.120
<v Speaker 1>you know, beyond the privacy issues itself, it's all of

0:16:54.120 --> 0:16:57.320
<v Speaker 1>that information the hands of a select few foot people too.

0:16:57.840 --> 0:16:59.800
<v Speaker 1>If it continues to roll out the way it does.

0:17:00.120 --> 0:17:03.000
<v Speaker 1>Sounds like so many, so many flags I think on

0:17:03.040 --> 0:17:05.919
<v Speaker 1>the play with that one. But you know, kind of

0:17:05.920 --> 0:17:09.639
<v Speaker 1>turning back a bit to actual enforcement or the regulatory

0:17:09.680 --> 0:17:12.400
<v Speaker 1>oversight here with anti trust. You know, so we see

0:17:12.440 --> 0:17:15.439
<v Speaker 1>all these these reports of investigations going on. I feel

0:17:15.440 --> 0:17:18.280
<v Speaker 1>like several times a week I'm seeing something about investigation

0:17:18.400 --> 0:17:21.240
<v Speaker 1>happening either in the US or abroad, you know. I

0:17:21.320 --> 0:17:25.440
<v Speaker 1>know you mentioned the French investigation of Navidia, for example.

0:17:25.920 --> 0:17:27.960
<v Speaker 1>But what do you see as that kind of problems

0:17:28.080 --> 0:17:30.960
<v Speaker 1>right now with the available methods for oversight, you know,

0:17:31.080 --> 0:17:34.240
<v Speaker 1>and the way that regulators are going about employing their

0:17:34.240 --> 0:17:36.640
<v Speaker 1>oversight or investigations of these entities.

0:17:37.680 --> 0:17:43.399
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, So, I mean the in the current environment. You know,

0:17:43.560 --> 0:17:46.840
<v Speaker 2>one enforcement agencies are certainly doing the most. They're taking

0:17:46.880 --> 0:17:51.280
<v Speaker 2>a very assertive and muscular stance to enforcing the laws

0:17:51.320 --> 0:17:55.320
<v Speaker 2>on the books, and they deserve all all credit for that.

0:17:57.680 --> 0:18:01.320
<v Speaker 2>They're also in an unenviable position of trying to play

0:18:01.320 --> 0:18:04.640
<v Speaker 2>whack a mole after the fact with companies that are

0:18:04.760 --> 0:18:09.720
<v Speaker 2>so big that they're very comfortable sort of experimenting out

0:18:09.720 --> 0:18:12.840
<v Speaker 2>in the wild and just seeing, you know, how these

0:18:12.880 --> 0:18:17.000
<v Speaker 2>technologies are going to work, and you know, have people

0:18:17.080 --> 0:18:19.800
<v Speaker 2>give them feedback on where they fail. And so like

0:18:19.920 --> 0:18:25.400
<v Speaker 2>the the enforcement agencies and investigative journalists and independent researchers

0:18:26.320 --> 0:18:28.960
<v Speaker 2>are all like playing whack a mole, trying to find

0:18:29.359 --> 0:18:34.080
<v Speaker 2>and surface harms long after they've occurred, and then you know,

0:18:35.119 --> 0:18:39.359
<v Speaker 2>attempting to use the law to remediate harm. But in

0:18:39.400 --> 0:18:43.120
<v Speaker 2>some cases it's it's way too late. So I think

0:18:43.160 --> 0:18:47.440
<v Speaker 2>that that's you know, far from an ideal mode of

0:18:47.560 --> 0:18:52.680
<v Speaker 2>regulating a sector that has such significant consequences for the public.

0:18:53.560 --> 0:18:57.480
<v Speaker 2>And there's you know, limited incentives for companies that have

0:18:57.520 --> 0:19:00.280
<v Speaker 2>grown this large to really comply. You know, for a

0:19:00.320 --> 0:19:03.960
<v Speaker 2>lot of these firms, they just allocate a budget line

0:19:04.000 --> 0:19:06.400
<v Speaker 2>for the finds that they're going to get hit, sure, sure,

0:19:07.080 --> 0:19:11.520
<v Speaker 2>and so we need stronger incentives for compliance and stronger

0:19:11.720 --> 0:19:15.600
<v Speaker 2>incentives for firms to be you know, engaging in basic

0:19:15.800 --> 0:19:20.720
<v Speaker 2>levels of you know, testing and validation of their systems

0:19:20.760 --> 0:19:23.119
<v Speaker 2>even to make sure that they work as intended before

0:19:23.520 --> 0:19:25.280
<v Speaker 2>they roll them out, let alone, make sure that they're

0:19:25.320 --> 0:19:26.359
<v Speaker 2>not causing harm.

0:19:26.600 --> 0:19:29.400
<v Speaker 1>Right, right, And I guess also from from the standpoint

0:19:29.400 --> 0:19:31.240
<v Speaker 1>of you know, they have TC you know, d O

0:19:31.359 --> 0:19:33.720
<v Speaker 1>J you know do I'm wondering if you have any

0:19:33.720 --> 0:19:35.480
<v Speaker 1>thoughts on just you know, what they should be looking

0:19:35.480 --> 0:19:38.160
<v Speaker 1>out for from the from the perspective of merger activity

0:19:38.200 --> 0:19:39.960
<v Speaker 1>or something that looks like a merger, right, you know,

0:19:40.119 --> 0:19:42.760
<v Speaker 1>I'm thinking about the kind of classic brick and mortar

0:19:42.840 --> 0:19:45.679
<v Speaker 1>merger context right where you know, to Let's say two

0:19:45.760 --> 0:19:47.879
<v Speaker 1>retailers are merging and I look at a map and

0:19:47.880 --> 0:19:49.800
<v Speaker 1>I draw a circle and say, hey, you've got you know,

0:19:49.840 --> 0:19:53.280
<v Speaker 1>five stores, and that's really concentrated relevant market here. The

0:19:53.320 --> 0:19:55.879
<v Speaker 1>merger is not good for this particular reason, right, But

0:19:56.000 --> 0:19:58.920
<v Speaker 1>obviously AI, you know, it's a different scenario. What kind

0:19:58.920 --> 0:20:01.560
<v Speaker 1>of thing should folks be looking looking at around merger activity?

0:20:01.560 --> 0:20:05.240
<v Speaker 1>Around AI? Should we actually start seeing you know, real

0:20:05.280 --> 0:20:06.720
<v Speaker 1>acquisitions in that space.

0:20:07.920 --> 0:20:13.160
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, so a couple things stand out. One is mergers

0:20:13.240 --> 0:20:18.160
<v Speaker 2>that are conducted for the purpose of acquiring data. And

0:20:18.200 --> 0:20:23.040
<v Speaker 2>we saw examples of this back in the day. Facebook

0:20:23.119 --> 0:20:26.480
<v Speaker 2>acquired a company and the name of the company I'm

0:20:26.520 --> 0:20:27.879
<v Speaker 2>blanking on right now.

0:20:28.359 --> 0:20:30.040
<v Speaker 1>But it was too many companies.

0:20:30.080 --> 0:20:35.080
<v Speaker 2>That's why many companies, too many acquisitions too. So they

0:20:35.320 --> 0:20:39.960
<v Speaker 2>acquired a company that was a VPN provider and once

0:20:40.000 --> 0:20:43.360
<v Speaker 2>they acquired that company, they pushed out a new research

0:20:43.480 --> 0:20:47.320
<v Speaker 2>tool on Facebook that users could sign up for that

0:20:47.320 --> 0:20:50.600
<v Speaker 2>would allow them to monitor those users traffic using the

0:20:50.720 --> 0:20:54.560
<v Speaker 2>VPN and they were able to see, well, what kinds

0:20:54.560 --> 0:20:58.359
<v Speaker 2>of apps and services were those users using, and from

0:20:58.440 --> 0:21:01.919
<v Speaker 2>that they determined that everybody was using WhatsApp and that

0:21:02.040 --> 0:21:04.720
<v Speaker 2>was one of the factors that led to you know,

0:21:04.760 --> 0:21:07.200
<v Speaker 2>while at the time was one of the largest acquisitions

0:21:08.160 --> 0:21:14.239
<v Speaker 2>in tech history, the Facebook's acquisition of WhatsApp. So, you know,

0:21:14.359 --> 0:21:21.199
<v Speaker 2>the use of data obtained through acquisition can lead to

0:21:21.640 --> 0:21:25.800
<v Speaker 2>competitive harms. It can also lead to privacy harms. I mean,

0:21:25.840 --> 0:21:31.000
<v Speaker 2>certainly for the users whose activity was being monitored. There

0:21:31.040 --> 0:21:33.360
<v Speaker 2>were similar concerns raised.

0:21:33.880 --> 0:21:34.160
<v Speaker 1>Uh.

0:21:34.280 --> 0:21:39.600
<v Speaker 2>For example, Amazon was considering acquiring one Medical and the

0:21:39.720 --> 0:21:46.320
<v Speaker 2>FTC was evaluating that acquisition. Uh FTC commissioners Bedoya and

0:21:46.359 --> 0:21:51.439
<v Speaker 2>Slaughter issued an opinion saying, you know this, this merger

0:21:51.520 --> 0:21:54.359
<v Speaker 2>is going to go through, but we do want to

0:21:54.480 --> 0:21:57.480
<v Speaker 2>raise some concerns about the new pools of data that

0:21:57.560 --> 0:22:00.480
<v Speaker 2>Amazon's now going to have access to, because they're now

0:22:00.520 --> 0:22:04.720
<v Speaker 2>going to have access to sensitive health data that may

0:22:04.760 --> 0:22:10.280
<v Speaker 2>not you know, violate privacy rules, but nevertheless, could let

0:22:10.440 --> 0:22:14.080
<v Speaker 2>Amazon make inferences about people in ways that will will

0:22:14.080 --> 0:22:18.120
<v Speaker 2>be highly consequential. So that kind of activity, I think

0:22:18.160 --> 0:22:21.720
<v Speaker 2>is one thing that deserves scrutiny. And also what you

0:22:21.800 --> 0:22:26.080
<v Speaker 2>raised earlier around you know, these sort of non traditional

0:22:26.960 --> 0:22:32.600
<v Speaker 2>paths to not acquiring companies but making these unusual business

0:22:32.680 --> 0:22:36.040
<v Speaker 2>arrangements through provision of compute credits or things that don't

0:22:36.440 --> 0:22:40.720
<v Speaker 2>reach a Heartscott Regina threshold sort of and runs around

0:22:41.720 --> 0:22:44.480
<v Speaker 2>traditional acquisition are the other that we're seeing a lot

0:22:44.480 --> 0:22:45.240
<v Speaker 2>of in the sector.

0:22:45.800 --> 0:22:47.960
<v Speaker 1>God, I got it so much to consider it there,

0:22:47.960 --> 0:22:49.959
<v Speaker 1>And you know, I think we've also been seeing so

0:22:50.080 --> 0:22:52.600
<v Speaker 1>much activity recently in the way of kind of private

0:22:52.640 --> 0:22:55.600
<v Speaker 1>lawsuits or class actions if you will, you know, and

0:22:55.720 --> 0:22:58.560
<v Speaker 1>really what stood out to me recently is these class

0:22:58.560 --> 0:23:01.760
<v Speaker 1>actions we've seen regarding that you of AI pricing algorithms

0:23:01.760 --> 0:23:05.479
<v Speaker 1>and setting residential rental rates, hotel rates, things like that.

0:23:05.560 --> 0:23:09.240
<v Speaker 1>Where where what's happening, or what's alleged to be happening,

0:23:09.359 --> 0:23:11.800
<v Speaker 1>is that you know, competitors are acting in kind of

0:23:11.800 --> 0:23:14.720
<v Speaker 1>this hub and spoke you know, conspiracy where they're sharing

0:23:14.800 --> 0:23:17.840
<v Speaker 1>their private information with a third party but also getting

0:23:17.840 --> 0:23:21.280
<v Speaker 1>access to their competitor competitors information when they by virtue

0:23:21.280 --> 0:23:23.400
<v Speaker 1>of them doing that. But you could talk a little

0:23:23.400 --> 0:23:26.160
<v Speaker 1>bit more about those lawsuits and you know what, what

0:23:26.200 --> 0:23:28.200
<v Speaker 1>other kinds of suits maybe do you expect that we

0:23:28.280 --> 0:23:31.000
<v Speaker 1>might see coming up regarding you know, AI and its

0:23:31.119 --> 0:23:32.360
<v Speaker 1>uses in those contexts.

0:23:32.600 --> 0:23:37.800
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, So there's this quiet but endemic problem of algorithmic pricing.

0:23:37.880 --> 0:23:47.760
<v Speaker 2>It's it's gone everywhere from hotels to realtors to UH groceries, insurance,

0:23:48.600 --> 0:23:53.359
<v Speaker 2>even some companies are using algorithmic systems to set the

0:23:53.440 --> 0:23:57.840
<v Speaker 2>wages that they'll pay to workers. Viena Duball has really

0:23:57.880 --> 0:24:02.919
<v Speaker 2>documented really well the use of algorithmic wage discrimination in

0:24:02.960 --> 0:24:05.960
<v Speaker 2>the gigwork sector, and what that means is that a

0:24:06.000 --> 0:24:08.920
<v Speaker 2>lot of people are being squeezed on both sides that

0:24:08.920 --> 0:24:11.920
<v Speaker 2>that the firms, you know, on the one hand, are

0:24:12.359 --> 0:24:15.159
<v Speaker 2>pushing prices as high as they can get people to

0:24:15.200 --> 0:24:18.120
<v Speaker 2>pay and trying to target them to pay as much

0:24:18.160 --> 0:24:21.000
<v Speaker 2>as possible, and then on the other side, paying them

0:24:21.040 --> 0:24:24.399
<v Speaker 2>as little as they possibly can, trying to you know,

0:24:24.560 --> 0:24:29.280
<v Speaker 2>utilize consumer surveillance data on both ends, and the firms

0:24:29.280 --> 0:24:34.520
<v Speaker 2>that have the ability to take advantage of information asymmetries

0:24:34.520 --> 0:24:38.360
<v Speaker 2>are the ones that benefit. So, like you've said that,

0:24:38.400 --> 0:24:41.600
<v Speaker 2>we've seen these cases focusing specifically on the use of

0:24:41.680 --> 0:24:46.720
<v Speaker 2>algorithmic methods to set rents, and this is problematic for

0:24:46.840 --> 0:24:50.399
<v Speaker 2>many reasons. You know, we already have a real affordable

0:24:50.440 --> 0:24:54.800
<v Speaker 2>housing problem in this country that's exacerbated by the existence

0:24:54.840 --> 0:24:58.080
<v Speaker 2>of monopolies in housing markets and cities around the country.

0:24:58.560 --> 0:25:03.600
<v Speaker 2>And what this what this does is it essentially extends

0:25:03.760 --> 0:25:08.040
<v Speaker 2>cartel like behavior into markets where it otherwise couldn't extend.

0:25:08.080 --> 0:25:13.000
<v Speaker 2>It would be really difficult for rental companies in Houston

0:25:13.160 --> 0:25:17.520
<v Speaker 2>and Chicago to coordinate with one another on setting prices,

0:25:18.520 --> 0:25:24.840
<v Speaker 2>but through systems like you know, those provided by real Page,

0:25:26.320 --> 0:25:28.720
<v Speaker 2>it creates sort of this hub and scope, hub and

0:25:28.800 --> 0:25:32.240
<v Speaker 2>spoke model across all of the firms that are relying

0:25:32.320 --> 0:25:35.600
<v Speaker 2>on this one company. There are a couple of bills

0:25:35.600 --> 0:25:40.000
<v Speaker 2>that also try and tackle this issue. Senator Klobuchar has one.

0:25:40.000 --> 0:25:43.639
<v Speaker 2>Senator wide, it has one, but like you've mentioned, nothing's

0:25:43.680 --> 0:25:47.320
<v Speaker 2>really moving through Congress right now. So what that means

0:25:47.400 --> 0:25:52.200
<v Speaker 2>is these lawsuits are really the front lines of trying

0:25:52.240 --> 0:25:55.639
<v Speaker 2>to tackle these problems in the absence of regulatory movement,

0:25:55.720 --> 0:25:57.280
<v Speaker 2>just doing the best that they can with the law

0:25:57.320 --> 0:25:59.400
<v Speaker 2>we already have on the books right right.

0:25:59.520 --> 0:26:01.480
<v Speaker 1>You know what I know, both in the real page

0:26:01.480 --> 0:26:05.000
<v Speaker 1>suit and you know the some larger hotel class actions

0:26:05.000 --> 0:26:07.639
<v Speaker 1>that are also penning. DJ certainly has filed statements of

0:26:07.680 --> 0:26:10.240
<v Speaker 1>interest and you know, sharing its view that you know,

0:26:10.280 --> 0:26:13.399
<v Speaker 1>it does believe that use of these pricing algorithms can

0:26:13.440 --> 0:26:15.639
<v Speaker 1>in fact be a violation of the Sherman Act. So

0:26:15.760 --> 0:26:18.160
<v Speaker 1>you know DJ is out there, DJ is I think,

0:26:18.200 --> 0:26:20.639
<v Speaker 1>you know, commenting on the issue as best as it

0:26:20.720 --> 0:26:22.960
<v Speaker 1>can with existing law. But you know, to your point

0:26:23.000 --> 0:26:26.800
<v Speaker 1>about this legislation pending in Congress, you know there's no

0:26:26.960 --> 0:26:29.879
<v Speaker 1>shortage of anti trust legislation that that seems to be

0:26:29.920 --> 0:26:32.480
<v Speaker 1>pending on the Hill right now. I know you testified

0:26:32.520 --> 0:26:37.919
<v Speaker 1>regarding these bills before Senator Klobashar's subcommittee last December, but

0:26:38.080 --> 0:26:41.280
<v Speaker 1>you know, beyond just those those bills you just mentioned,

0:26:41.320 --> 0:26:43.679
<v Speaker 1>what do you view as the most pressing legislation that

0:26:43.760 --> 0:26:45.600
<v Speaker 1>kind of needs to get over the finish line right

0:26:45.640 --> 0:26:46.200
<v Speaker 1>now in DC?

0:26:47.800 --> 0:26:50.040
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I mean there's there's very little hope of much

0:26:50.080 --> 0:26:51.040
<v Speaker 2>moving within election.

0:26:51.240 --> 0:26:55.640
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, very very true. Maybe even after Unfortunately, we'll see,

0:26:55.640 --> 0:26:56.520
<v Speaker 1>we'll see what happens.

0:26:56.560 --> 0:26:59.480
<v Speaker 2>But yeah, I mean so like my my real but

0:26:59.560 --> 0:27:02.200
<v Speaker 2>a little and avasive answer is, you know, our enforcement

0:27:02.280 --> 0:27:05.160
<v Speaker 2>agencies are trying to do the work, and the interims

0:27:05.200 --> 0:27:08.000
<v Speaker 2>of making sure that they're adequately resourced is probably the

0:27:08.000 --> 0:27:12.679
<v Speaker 2>most likely thing that we will hopefully see. But you know,

0:27:13.160 --> 0:27:17.719
<v Speaker 2>beyond that, it is striking that we still don't have

0:27:17.760 --> 0:27:21.360
<v Speaker 2>a federal privacy law in the US, and data privacy

0:27:21.440 --> 0:27:25.600
<v Speaker 2>law is AI policy. What we saw in the EU

0:27:25.880 --> 0:27:29.399
<v Speaker 2>after chat GPT was released is the swiftest action that

0:27:29.480 --> 0:27:35.480
<v Speaker 2>regulators took took place under the GDPR, the EU's privacy law.

0:27:36.840 --> 0:27:40.280
<v Speaker 2>We saw, you know, the EU be able to clap

0:27:40.359 --> 0:27:44.160
<v Speaker 2>back on Uber and Lift's use of algorithmic pricing methods

0:27:44.160 --> 0:27:47.720
<v Speaker 2>and algorithmic wage setting also under the GDPR. So I

0:27:47.720 --> 0:27:52.200
<v Speaker 2>think that's a really good place to start. The other place, also,

0:27:52.280 --> 0:27:55.959
<v Speaker 2>non conventional but I think reforming our labor law and

0:27:56.000 --> 0:28:00.440
<v Speaker 2>whistleblower protections because so much of what we know about AI,

0:28:00.600 --> 0:28:04.600
<v Speaker 2>which is often a very opaque sector, and many of

0:28:04.600 --> 0:28:06.920
<v Speaker 2>the early policy wines that we've seen have come from

0:28:08.280 --> 0:28:12.600
<v Speaker 2>movement by workers, whether that's organizing or whistle blowing, or

0:28:13.200 --> 0:28:17.399
<v Speaker 2>you know, codifying restrictions on how AI can be used

0:28:17.400 --> 0:28:21.280
<v Speaker 2>through collective bargaining. So I think protecting workers is the

0:28:21.359 --> 0:28:24.680
<v Speaker 2>other place where I think we can do a lot more.

0:28:25.119 --> 0:28:27.879
<v Speaker 1>Got it? Got it? And I think, you know, maybe

0:28:27.880 --> 0:28:29.879
<v Speaker 1>not so much on the labor pieces you just mentioned,

0:28:29.920 --> 0:28:31.840
<v Speaker 1>but you know, I know that some of the legislation,

0:28:31.960 --> 0:28:34.600
<v Speaker 1>at least some of the legislation that might be a

0:28:34.640 --> 0:28:38.000
<v Speaker 1>bit more tailored or narrowed to a particular antitrust concern

0:28:38.080 --> 0:28:40.440
<v Speaker 1>in a specific industry, like you know, the rental market

0:28:40.800 --> 0:28:43.080
<v Speaker 1>or the residential rental market, or you know, things along

0:28:43.120 --> 0:28:45.680
<v Speaker 1>those lines. You know, some of that legislation does seem

0:28:45.720 --> 0:28:47.960
<v Speaker 1>to have some bipartisan support, you know, And I think

0:28:47.960 --> 0:28:50.240
<v Speaker 1>you might have alluded to this a little bit earlier,

0:28:50.320 --> 0:28:52.840
<v Speaker 1>you know, when we first started speaking too. But you know,

0:28:53.520 --> 0:28:56.480
<v Speaker 1>what are your view? What's your view? I'm perhaps withstalling

0:28:56.480 --> 0:28:59.120
<v Speaker 1>this legislation and if you could talk a little bit about,

0:28:59.160 --> 0:29:01.920
<v Speaker 1>you know, just the influence of tech and D see today.

0:29:02.080 --> 0:29:04.120
<v Speaker 1>I think that's also something that you know a lot

0:29:04.120 --> 0:29:06.640
<v Speaker 1>of folks might not be considering as part of what's

0:29:06.680 --> 0:29:08.840
<v Speaker 1>happening with the legislative angle as well.

0:29:09.680 --> 0:29:13.840
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, tech's influence in DC has really grown and it's transformed.

0:29:14.720 --> 0:29:19.240
<v Speaker 2>Big tech lobbying now outspends the lobbying giants of yesterday,

0:29:19.320 --> 0:29:21.120
<v Speaker 2>like big oil and big tobacco.

0:29:21.200 --> 0:29:23.280
<v Speaker 1>Oh wow. And I think that's always what people think

0:29:23.280 --> 0:29:25.320
<v Speaker 1>of when they're thinking about the classic lobbyists.

0:29:25.360 --> 0:29:30.200
<v Speaker 2>And it's like, if anything, there's been a huge uptick

0:29:30.720 --> 0:29:34.680
<v Speaker 2>in lobbying over the last year in the EU over

0:29:34.760 --> 0:29:39.080
<v Speaker 2>the AI Act. In the US through things like you know,

0:29:39.280 --> 0:29:45.000
<v Speaker 2>Senator Schumer's Insight Forums, which you know, really prominently foregrounded

0:29:45.080 --> 0:29:50.320
<v Speaker 2>industry voices. We're also seeing the re emergence of you know,

0:29:50.760 --> 0:29:55.760
<v Speaker 2>purported self regulation through things like the voluntary commitments the

0:29:55.800 --> 0:30:00.480
<v Speaker 2>big firms made around AI through this Frontier AI Forum.

0:30:01.360 --> 0:30:05.160
<v Speaker 2>So big tech lobbying is very prominent and it's gaining

0:30:05.280 --> 0:30:10.600
<v Speaker 2>traction as you know, the industry tries to push the

0:30:10.680 --> 0:30:14.360
<v Speaker 2>narrative that AI is too complicated for a government to

0:30:14.480 --> 0:30:17.040
<v Speaker 2>regulate and that we need to trust them to determine

0:30:18.000 --> 0:30:19.240
<v Speaker 2>next steps instead.

0:30:19.840 --> 0:30:22.640
<v Speaker 1>Got it, got it? Honestly, Sarah, I feel like we

0:30:22.720 --> 0:30:25.160
<v Speaker 1>could take any one of these topics or questions and

0:30:25.240 --> 0:30:28.440
<v Speaker 1>make a separate and complete podcast episode about just that

0:30:28.640 --> 0:30:31.320
<v Speaker 1>question itself. There's just so much going on in the

0:30:31.400 --> 0:30:33.000
<v Speaker 1>space right now. I think, you know, as we even

0:30:33.000 --> 0:30:35.520
<v Speaker 1>said getting started, but kind of the closing, do you

0:30:35.520 --> 0:30:37.240
<v Speaker 1>have anything else you might just want to add, or

0:30:37.280 --> 0:30:39.840
<v Speaker 1>any considerations that you want to touch upon before we

0:30:39.880 --> 0:30:41.760
<v Speaker 1>wrap up? Yeah?

0:30:41.920 --> 0:30:45.080
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I mean, so one other quick thing that I'd

0:30:45.080 --> 0:30:49.160
<v Speaker 2>add to, like the last point about how lobbying is transformed.

0:30:49.160 --> 0:30:51.800
<v Speaker 2>We're also seeing new constituencies emerge, and I think that

0:30:51.840 --> 0:30:55.479
<v Speaker 2>we've seen this particularly come to the four with the

0:30:55.960 --> 0:30:59.560
<v Speaker 2>elections that there's you know, on the one hand, this

0:31:00.840 --> 0:31:04.680
<v Speaker 2>existential risk lobby, which was very effective in shaping a

0:31:04.720 --> 0:31:07.880
<v Speaker 2>tech agenda focused on like this sort of doom and

0:31:07.920 --> 0:31:10.920
<v Speaker 2>gloom vision for AI, and then on the other hand,

0:31:11.440 --> 0:31:16.200
<v Speaker 2>this effective accelerationism lobby, which is, you know, promoting unrestrained development.

0:31:16.280 --> 0:31:19.640
<v Speaker 2>That's the Andres and Horowitz and y Combinator and sort

0:31:19.680 --> 0:31:24.120
<v Speaker 2>of they've established their their presence in shaping sure Trump's

0:31:24.120 --> 0:31:29.200
<v Speaker 2>AI agenda, and you know, with those two camps, I

0:31:29.200 --> 0:31:33.680
<v Speaker 2>think it's it's really important to make sure that the

0:31:33.720 --> 0:31:37.040
<v Speaker 2>scope of the agenda, like the vision for what we

0:31:37.400 --> 0:31:40.280
<v Speaker 2>hope to see with this technology, doesn't just get narrowed

0:31:40.280 --> 0:31:43.280
<v Speaker 2>to that range of interest from Silicon Valley, because I

0:31:43.280 --> 0:31:45.040
<v Speaker 2>think that there's a lot more that we could build

0:31:45.080 --> 0:31:48.880
<v Speaker 2>and see, but that the industry's version has sort of

0:31:48.920 --> 0:31:52.240
<v Speaker 2>benefited only that narrow set of actors. And that's where

0:31:52.280 --> 0:31:55.560
<v Speaker 2>I hope that stronger anti trust enforcement will give us

0:31:55.920 --> 0:31:59.920
<v Speaker 2>fresh perspectives that we can really sort of like revitalize

0:32:00.000 --> 0:32:02.400
<v Speaker 2>this industry and make sure it's serving all of us.

0:32:03.040 --> 0:32:05.640
<v Speaker 1>Got it, Got it? Sarah Myers Wes, thank you so

0:32:05.720 --> 0:32:08.000
<v Speaker 1>much for joining us today, and hopefully we'll have you

0:32:08.120 --> 0:32:10.560
<v Speaker 1>back again again sometime soon. There's just so much to

0:32:10.560 --> 0:32:12.640
<v Speaker 1>talk about here, and obviously I think we're going to

0:32:12.640 --> 0:32:15.560
<v Speaker 1>continue seeing all of this roll out, you know, quite

0:32:15.600 --> 0:32:17.520
<v Speaker 1>a bit more in the coming months and years ahead.

0:32:17.560 --> 0:32:19.640
<v Speaker 1>So thank you so much for joining us today. Really

0:32:19.680 --> 0:32:20.360
<v Speaker 1>appreciate it.

0:32:20.720 --> 0:32:22.160
<v Speaker 2>Thank you for having me.

0:32:22.480 --> 0:32:26.160
<v Speaker 1>Absolutely so a fascinating topic here, so many moving parts

0:32:26.200 --> 0:32:29.680
<v Speaker 1>from a litigation and policy perspective, and as we just said,

0:32:29.760 --> 0:32:31.920
<v Speaker 1>only going to grow busier with the passage of time.

0:32:32.240 --> 0:32:34.400
<v Speaker 1>I really appreciate you taking the time to discuss it

0:32:34.440 --> 0:32:37.440
<v Speaker 1>here today. Sarah. Also thank you to the listener for

0:32:37.520 --> 0:32:39.920
<v Speaker 1>tuning in. As a reminder, you can read all of

0:32:39.920 --> 0:32:43.600
<v Speaker 1>our Bloomberg intelligence research on the Bloomberg terminal at bi GO.

0:32:44.160 --> 0:32:47.640
<v Speaker 1>And with that, I'm JUSTINTERREESI signing off. This was folks

0:32:47.680 --> 0:32:48.160
<v Speaker 1>and Vernex