1 00:00:02,440 --> 00:00:06,840 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. 2 00:00:07,080 --> 00:00:10,200 Speaker 2: Valdu Stanbrovski's is joining us now here in our Washington, 3 00:00:10,280 --> 00:00:12,760 Speaker 2: DC studio on Bloomberg Television and Radio. He is the 4 00:00:12,960 --> 00:00:16,840 Speaker 2: European Commission Executive Vice President for an Economy that Works 5 00:00:16,880 --> 00:00:19,240 Speaker 2: for people. Sir, thank you so much for being here 6 00:00:19,680 --> 00:00:22,319 Speaker 2: with us today. If we could first begin, given the 7 00:00:22,360 --> 00:00:25,279 Speaker 2: developments overnight in the Middle East, knowing that you primarily 8 00:00:25,320 --> 00:00:28,840 Speaker 2: look at the economy, how concerned are you about possible 9 00:00:28,960 --> 00:00:31,240 Speaker 2: escalation from here and the impact that that could have 10 00:00:31,680 --> 00:00:36,000 Speaker 2: on energy prices, which we know has been highly problematic 11 00:00:36,040 --> 00:00:37,920 Speaker 2: for the European economy in years past. 12 00:00:39,159 --> 00:00:42,320 Speaker 3: Well, first of all, we see that the world economy 13 00:00:42,440 --> 00:00:48,080 Speaker 3: is proving to be resilient despite a difficult situation and 14 00:00:48,240 --> 00:00:52,560 Speaker 3: a different geopolitical tensions and conflicts we are currently experiencing. 15 00:00:53,240 --> 00:00:56,800 Speaker 3: And also the impact on energy prices so far has 16 00:00:56,840 --> 00:01:01,120 Speaker 3: been quite limited. Obviously, we need to monitor closely all 17 00:01:01,160 --> 00:01:05,440 Speaker 3: of those developments, but the assessment is that the risks 18 00:01:05,920 --> 00:01:08,800 Speaker 3: to the economic outlook are now broadly balanced. 19 00:01:09,480 --> 00:01:13,880 Speaker 1: You've been in Washington here meeting with lawmakers about the 20 00:01:13,920 --> 00:01:16,680 Speaker 1: big story that we've been talking about here for months. 21 00:01:17,360 --> 00:01:19,840 Speaker 1: Mister Executive Vice President, and just today we saw an 22 00:01:19,840 --> 00:01:25,000 Speaker 1: important procedural vote pass for funding for Ukraine, Israel and 23 00:01:25,080 --> 00:01:29,120 Speaker 1: the Indo Pack region. You're obviously very concerned about funding 24 00:01:29,160 --> 00:01:32,000 Speaker 1: for Ukraine. What did you tell lawmakers when you met 25 00:01:32,040 --> 00:01:32,280 Speaker 1: with him. 26 00:01:32,760 --> 00:01:38,800 Speaker 3: Well, indeed, that was my main message in the meetings 27 00:01:38,840 --> 00:01:43,320 Speaker 3: on the hill, and basically I was emphasizing that from 28 00:01:43,360 --> 00:01:47,520 Speaker 3: the EU side, we are doing a lot to provide 29 00:01:48,120 --> 00:01:51,880 Speaker 3: financial but also military and other kind of support to Ukraine. 30 00:01:52,280 --> 00:01:56,200 Speaker 3: So far, we have provided support of around one hundred 31 00:01:56,240 --> 00:02:01,800 Speaker 3: billion euros. We know how fifty billion euro Ukraine facility 32 00:02:01,960 --> 00:02:04,720 Speaker 3: for the four years twenty twenty four to twenty twenty seven. 33 00:02:05,040 --> 00:02:09,440 Speaker 3: We're already disbursing from this facility. So it's important that 34 00:02:09,560 --> 00:02:14,440 Speaker 3: also other international donors and first and foremost US come 35 00:02:14,560 --> 00:02:19,320 Speaker 3: also with their contribution. And therefore I very much look 36 00:02:19,360 --> 00:02:24,799 Speaker 3: forward for tomorrow's votes and hopefully this Ukraine support is 37 00:02:25,440 --> 00:02:29,079 Speaker 3: being approved because of what we see that in the 38 00:02:29,760 --> 00:02:34,960 Speaker 3: last months, actually the situation in Ukraine is deteriorating for 39 00:02:35,040 --> 00:02:39,200 Speaker 3: the lack, especially of military support. We see it both 40 00:02:39,240 --> 00:02:41,840 Speaker 3: at the front line and we see it with the 41 00:02:41,960 --> 00:02:49,320 Speaker 3: daily shellings of Ukrainian city's residential areas, critical infrastructure so 42 00:02:49,400 --> 00:02:53,400 Speaker 3: this support is very much needed. I would say the 43 00:02:53,400 --> 00:02:58,359 Speaker 3: collective West has all the necessary resources to stop Russian 44 00:02:58,440 --> 00:03:03,399 Speaker 3: not to allow this showing to take a place. And 45 00:03:03,520 --> 00:03:06,800 Speaker 3: so hopefully this is a period of on decision and 46 00:03:07,120 --> 00:03:09,960 Speaker 3: dittering is coming to the end and we will be 47 00:03:10,240 --> 00:03:13,800 Speaker 3: able to come with a strong and firm response to 48 00:03:13,800 --> 00:03:17,600 Speaker 3: to Russia and also to other autocrats around the world, 49 00:03:17,680 --> 00:03:20,240 Speaker 3: because it's also not only about Ukraine, it's about our 50 00:03:20,280 --> 00:03:21,240 Speaker 3: collective security. 51 00:03:21,639 --> 00:03:24,079 Speaker 2: Well, sir, as you outline there the amount that Europe 52 00:03:24,120 --> 00:03:27,160 Speaker 2: already has contributed to the Ukrainian cause, it's worth pointing 53 00:03:27,200 --> 00:03:29,040 Speaker 2: out that there is at least a faction of thought 54 00:03:29,080 --> 00:03:31,120 Speaker 2: here in the United States that thinks Europe is not 55 00:03:31,760 --> 00:03:33,520 Speaker 2: caring as much weight as it should be. One of 56 00:03:33,520 --> 00:03:36,960 Speaker 2: them is the presumptive Republican nominee. Former President Donald Trump, 57 00:03:37,040 --> 00:03:41,560 Speaker 2: posted on social media yesterday effectively to summarize his words, 58 00:03:41,600 --> 00:03:44,440 Speaker 2: saying that Ukrainian survival is more important to Europe than 59 00:03:44,480 --> 00:03:46,520 Speaker 2: it is to the US. So why is Europe not 60 00:03:46,680 --> 00:03:49,720 Speaker 2: giving more money to help Ukraine? Why can't it equalize 61 00:03:49,800 --> 00:03:51,760 Speaker 2: or match the money? This is a quote put in 62 00:03:51,760 --> 00:03:55,000 Speaker 2: by the United States of America. Is there more that 63 00:03:55,040 --> 00:03:57,320 Speaker 2: Europe could be doing, sir. I wonder what your response 64 00:03:57,320 --> 00:03:58,720 Speaker 2: would be to Donald Trump. 65 00:03:58,800 --> 00:04:01,240 Speaker 3: Well, first of all, acts has never been the strong 66 00:04:01,280 --> 00:04:05,080 Speaker 3: side of Donald Trump, and it's also, unfortunately this time 67 00:04:05,160 --> 00:04:08,080 Speaker 3: the case. So that's why I'm emphasizing so much. The 68 00:04:08,440 --> 00:04:12,560 Speaker 3: financial aid EU has already provided, which is one hundred 69 00:04:12,640 --> 00:04:16,560 Speaker 3: billion euros in all kinds of support, the Ukraine facility 70 00:04:16,560 --> 00:04:19,680 Speaker 3: which is already in place of fifty billion euros. So 71 00:04:19,760 --> 00:04:24,840 Speaker 3: the fact is that EU is the largest donor to Ukraine, 72 00:04:25,360 --> 00:04:29,000 Speaker 3: and we are willing to continue this way because after all, 73 00:04:29,040 --> 00:04:35,159 Speaker 3: indeed it's a war on Ukrainian, on European continent. But 74 00:04:35,839 --> 00:04:41,599 Speaker 3: of course it also requires solidarity from the broader democratic world, 75 00:04:41,720 --> 00:04:46,239 Speaker 3: and with EU and US being strategic allies, US support 76 00:04:46,440 --> 00:04:50,560 Speaker 3: is not only financially very important, but also as a 77 00:04:51,200 --> 00:04:55,200 Speaker 3: signal of a West being united against this Russian aggression. 78 00:04:55,600 --> 00:04:59,440 Speaker 1: Crystnald Trump's view reflects the view of some Republican members 79 00:04:59,440 --> 00:05:01,920 Speaker 1: in the House were voting against this package. I wonder 80 00:05:01,960 --> 00:05:06,080 Speaker 1: when you met with lawmakers this week, what was your reception. 81 00:05:06,480 --> 00:05:09,760 Speaker 1: Did you hear pushback, did you hear criticism or were 82 00:05:09,760 --> 00:05:11,840 Speaker 1: you well received with the lawmakers you met? 83 00:05:12,520 --> 00:05:16,120 Speaker 3: Well, I would say you were definitely worrying or on 84 00:05:17,160 --> 00:05:22,279 Speaker 3: this topic. But my point was really to make the 85 00:05:22,400 --> 00:05:25,800 Speaker 3: case why it's important not only for Ukraine but for 86 00:05:26,160 --> 00:05:29,880 Speaker 3: entire global security architecture because what we are seeing that 87 00:05:30,040 --> 00:05:33,320 Speaker 3: also other autocrats are seeing if the West is not 88 00:05:33,400 --> 00:05:36,400 Speaker 3: even able to contain Russia, so they're also having ideas, 89 00:05:36,440 --> 00:05:41,599 Speaker 3: and the recent Iran attack against Israel is just another 90 00:05:41,640 --> 00:05:45,520 Speaker 3: manifestation of this point of few it's important to stay 91 00:05:46,120 --> 00:05:50,960 Speaker 3: firm and determined. Another one, indeed, to make this point 92 00:05:51,120 --> 00:05:55,640 Speaker 3: on the EU's contribution so far, to really show that 93 00:05:55,720 --> 00:05:58,160 Speaker 3: EU is doing a lot. EU is actually doing more 94 00:05:58,160 --> 00:06:00,640 Speaker 3: than the United States. We're happy to continue to do so, 95 00:06:01,120 --> 00:06:03,680 Speaker 3: but everyone has to contribute well. 96 00:06:03,720 --> 00:06:06,279 Speaker 2: Of course, your conversations here in Washington have not just 97 00:06:06,320 --> 00:06:08,560 Speaker 2: been limited to lawmakers. You are also here while the 98 00:06:08,600 --> 00:06:11,400 Speaker 2: IMF World Bank meetings are underway, and I wonder from 99 00:06:11,440 --> 00:06:13,960 Speaker 2: an economic lens, what you are hearing in the messaging 100 00:06:14,240 --> 00:06:16,760 Speaker 2: and what message you are providing about the state of 101 00:06:16,760 --> 00:06:19,480 Speaker 2: the European economy right now, Knowing that for now policy 102 00:06:19,560 --> 00:06:22,719 Speaker 2: is still tight, there's questions around when it will ease 103 00:06:23,040 --> 00:06:25,919 Speaker 2: and where the economy will be depending on when that 104 00:06:26,040 --> 00:06:29,159 Speaker 2: easing actually happens. How are you thinking about the outlook 105 00:06:29,200 --> 00:06:31,279 Speaker 2: for Europe. As the IMF essentially said, there could be 106 00:06:31,320 --> 00:06:33,239 Speaker 2: a soft landing, but there are risks here. 107 00:06:34,080 --> 00:06:37,719 Speaker 3: Well. Indeed, as I was saying before, actually is the 108 00:06:37,720 --> 00:06:44,000 Speaker 3: global economy is proving resilient to BOSS current geopolitical tensions 109 00:06:44,480 --> 00:06:47,720 Speaker 3: and also to the process of this inflation, which we 110 00:06:47,839 --> 00:06:51,560 Speaker 3: know how to go through. So the expectations for a 111 00:06:51,600 --> 00:06:54,680 Speaker 3: global gross is of three point two percent of BOSS 112 00:06:54,880 --> 00:06:58,279 Speaker 3: this year and next. That's a IMFs world economic outlook. 113 00:06:59,120 --> 00:07:02,200 Speaker 3: And as a reguards the EU, we are expecting zero 114 00:07:02,279 --> 00:07:05,159 Speaker 3: point nine percent growth this year one point seven percent 115 00:07:05,240 --> 00:07:11,560 Speaker 3: growth next year. It's somewhat subdued growth right now, one 116 00:07:11,640 --> 00:07:14,920 Speaker 3: could say. But at the same time, despite a war 117 00:07:15,000 --> 00:07:20,520 Speaker 3: on Zeroean continent, despite as a need to tame high inflation, 118 00:07:21,520 --> 00:07:25,680 Speaker 3: different disruptions we are facing, EU's economy is nevertheless growing. 119 00:07:26,560 --> 00:07:29,360 Speaker 1: I want to ask you about another foreign policy matter 120 00:07:29,440 --> 00:07:32,920 Speaker 1: that you've been concerned with, and that's China supplying components 121 00:07:32,960 --> 00:07:37,440 Speaker 1: to Russia and potentially evading sanctions. There's an economic element 122 00:07:37,480 --> 00:07:40,800 Speaker 1: to this, there's obviously a geopolitical element to it. How 123 00:07:40,840 --> 00:07:42,480 Speaker 1: big of a problem is this becoming? 124 00:07:43,000 --> 00:07:46,240 Speaker 3: Well, that's certainly a cause of concern and the two 125 00:07:46,480 --> 00:07:49,920 Speaker 3: elements one is circumvention of sanctions, but also another is 126 00:07:49,960 --> 00:07:53,440 Speaker 3: innocence backfilling of the sanctions, and we are engaged with 127 00:07:53,880 --> 00:07:57,720 Speaker 3: China on both of those elements. So in a sense, 128 00:07:58,480 --> 00:08:00,840 Speaker 3: what we are doing we how what we call a 129 00:08:01,000 --> 00:08:05,480 Speaker 3: high priority Battlefield items list, meaning items which we are 130 00:08:05,480 --> 00:08:10,600 Speaker 3: finding in Ukrainian battlefields in Russian military equipment. We are 131 00:08:10,640 --> 00:08:15,360 Speaker 3: tracing the origin of these different kind of components. It's 132 00:08:15,240 --> 00:08:20,760 Speaker 3: a lethal weaponry, well yes, it's Russian military weaponry which 133 00:08:20,800 --> 00:08:24,840 Speaker 3: is being found on Ukrainian battlefields. And because it's not 134 00:08:24,880 --> 00:08:29,400 Speaker 3: only about weapons deliveries, there's also many dual use components 135 00:08:29,400 --> 00:08:32,599 Speaker 3: if we talk about semiconductors, all kind of other components. 136 00:08:33,280 --> 00:08:36,240 Speaker 3: So we're tracing it back were it actually origins. Because 137 00:08:37,080 --> 00:08:40,440 Speaker 3: we must face there's also still quite a few of 138 00:08:40,480 --> 00:08:45,120 Speaker 3: those components of Western origin which are reaching Russia. So 139 00:08:45,160 --> 00:08:48,319 Speaker 3: we also need to work with our own companies, both 140 00:08:48,320 --> 00:08:51,480 Speaker 3: in the U and US, making sure that they are 141 00:08:51,520 --> 00:08:55,160 Speaker 3: not engaged in those sanction circumventions. And in the U 142 00:08:55,200 --> 00:08:58,440 Speaker 3: we also have a possibility actually to go after the 143 00:08:58,480 --> 00:09:02,400 Speaker 3: companies which are knowingly in engaging in these kind of activities. 144 00:09:02,440 --> 00:09:07,040 Speaker 3: We are putting also requirements on no result to Russia 145 00:09:07,160 --> 00:09:12,880 Speaker 3: on exports of use items UH, and we're actually coordinating 146 00:09:12,920 --> 00:09:17,079 Speaker 3: this work quite a lot with US. We recently also 147 00:09:17,240 --> 00:09:22,680 Speaker 3: put certain measures against Chinese and Hong Kong companies which 148 00:09:22,720 --> 00:09:27,920 Speaker 3: are involved in sanctions circumvention by prohibiting EU companies to 149 00:09:27,960 --> 00:09:33,000 Speaker 3: do any business with them. So there are things which 150 00:09:33,040 --> 00:09:37,319 Speaker 3: we can do, and it's clear as we are now 151 00:09:37,360 --> 00:09:44,320 Speaker 3: putting strict sanctions against Russia, EU, US other players, Russia 152 00:09:44,440 --> 00:09:46,320 Speaker 3: is looking at a ways to still convince them. So 153 00:09:46,360 --> 00:09:50,160 Speaker 3: we need to stay alert, follow follow the patterns and 154 00:09:50,520 --> 00:09:54,640 Speaker 3: to the extent possible closes, circumvention and possible Loopholese. 155 00:09:54,679 --> 00:09:57,200 Speaker 1: Faldest Tom Bravs guests with a view from the European Commission. 156 00:09:57,200 --> 00:09:59,240 Speaker 1: We appreciate you making us part of your week here 157 00:09:59,280 --> 00:10:01,400 Speaker 1: in Washington, and I hope the spring meetings of the 158 00:10:01,400 --> 00:10:04,040 Speaker 1: IMF continue well for you. Thanks for talking with us 159 00:10:04,400 --> 00:10:05,000 Speaker 1: on Bloomberg