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Speaker 1: Hey guys, tell are you welcome into a Saturday morning

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Speaker 1: edition of the Daily Juice podcast with me Matt Perrault

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Speaker 1: at Sports Doc Matt on Twitter every single morning. We're

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Speaker 1: here on Bettingpros dot com on the YouTube channel for

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Speaker 1: Betting Pros and audio wherever you get your audio podcast.

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Speaker 1: You guys can go and use the offer, great data,

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Speaker 1: use it final four ten dollars bet one hundred and

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Speaker 1: fifty bucks in your account one bet ten dollars promo

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Speaker 1: code Juice one fifty when you signed for a new

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Speaker 1: account with BETMGM BETMGM dot com. Okay, so we get

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Speaker 1: the win, the outright win Memphis plus seven and a half.

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Speaker 1: They win the game by two ten Okay, impressive performance.

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Speaker 1: Now we've got the Pelicans and the Lakers plus one.

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Speaker 1: That number was all over the place. We got plus

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Speaker 1: one last night. It went all the way to two

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Speaker 1: and a half, like I thought, and then Lebron in

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Speaker 1: ad started playing and then number went all the way

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Speaker 1: back to plus two and a half for the Pelicans.

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Speaker 1: So you probably got a better number than me if

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Speaker 1: you waited. I got plus one. At current time of taping,

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Speaker 1: it is a one point lead for the Pelicans. In

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Speaker 1: the third quarter, so either a two and oh night

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Speaker 1: or a one in one night, one or the other.

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Speaker 1: So we'll see. Parlay does not hit because we do

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Speaker 1: not get the basketball play right. We got the Vegas

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Speaker 1: goal of the Knights. It's three to nothing in the

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Speaker 1: third period, so I think we went two and three

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Speaker 1: for us on these plays. Fresno Big wins by nine

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Speaker 1: or ten in the Basketball Championship. They covered that three

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Speaker 1: point number, so we got that right. We got the

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Speaker 1: Knights under right, but we got the basketball wrong. So

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Speaker 1: Parlay doesn't hit unfortunately, So that's a bummer. But two

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Speaker 1: out of three is a typical night for the Parlay

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Speaker 1: hopefully two and oho officially here half a unit all right.

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Speaker 1: So it's Saturday. That means it's time for the Discord

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Speaker 1: bet in the morning eight o'clock Pacific time eleven am

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Speaker 1: Eastern time on the Discord channel. The link is underneath

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Speaker 1: me here on YouTube or bettingpros dot com slash chat

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Speaker 1: to get into that, you guys can make a bet

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Speaker 1: missed last week, so hopefully you guys will bounce back

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Speaker 1: and give us a play here that we will like.

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Speaker 1: On Saturday. We didn't have many people on there to

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Speaker 1: give advice. We had one hundred and ten people on

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Speaker 1: there listening. Only had four bets last week, so I

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Speaker 1: think that missed. Maybe it hit, I can't remember, but

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Speaker 1: you guys wan have a chance to do it again

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Speaker 1: coming up this morning eight o'clock Pacific eleven am Eastern

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Speaker 1: Time on the Discord channel. Voting happening on the Discord

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Speaker 1: channel right afterwards as we head towards the final four.

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Speaker 1: All right, so we're already in for one unit with

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Speaker 1: Duke minus four. Let's talk well one side in two

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Speaker 1: total bets to bring you here on the pod. One

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Speaker 1: full unit play on a side and then two half

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Speaker 1: unit plays on the totals. All right, so let's start

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Speaker 1: with Duke. Sorry, with Nova and Kansas. Ken Pom has

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Speaker 1: this as a one point win for Kansas seventy to

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Speaker 1: sixty nine. Everyone is expecting a grinder Colin Gillespie at

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Speaker 1: a point guard spot with his experience Big East player

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Speaker 1: of the year average over fifteen points per game. Look,

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Speaker 1: the Wildcats have been on a streak here. They've been

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Speaker 1: playing really well and they have a coaching advantage with

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Speaker 1: Jay Wright, who was twenty and three straight up in

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Speaker 1: nineteen and three ATS in the NAA Tournament since twenty sixteen.

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Speaker 1: Up against Bill self, who has been known to have

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Speaker 1: his teams throw up all over themselves. KU was two

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Speaker 1: and two right now in the tournament. Kansas had a

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Speaker 1: crazy second half against Miami, and I think that was

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Speaker 1: the perfect thing for us who want the dog. Four

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Speaker 1: and a half yesterday in Vegas. Hopefully it's for most

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Speaker 1: places where you are, but I think you'll get four

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Speaker 1: and a half if you shop. I think this Nova

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Speaker 1: team catching four and a half points, I think they

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Speaker 1: can win outright, I really do. But I think Kansas

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Speaker 1: will find a way to get to the championship game

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Speaker 1: by two or three points. I'll say this, this game

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Speaker 1: comes down to a free throw shooting contest. That's big

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Speaker 1: time uh oh for Kansas. Okay, this Nova team is

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Speaker 1: unbleeping believable at shooting free throws. They are a team

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Speaker 1: eighty three percent, number one in the country shooting free throws. Now,

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Speaker 1: Kansas isn't bad either. They're at seventy one point four percent.

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Speaker 1: That's pretty good. I'm sorry, seventy one point nine percent.

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Speaker 1: That's pretty good. But that's not eighty three percent like

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Speaker 1: Nova is. I get the justin Moore injury. I do

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Speaker 1: it's it's significance. Okay, it's huge, but Jay Wright's got

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Speaker 1: a week to prep, and I think with Jay Wright

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Speaker 1: with a week to prep against Bill self, I think

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Speaker 1: that's a big advantage. It's not like this injury happened

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Speaker 1: one day ago. They've had some time to deal with it,

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Speaker 1: to strategize, to figure out how they're going to play

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Speaker 1: without Justin Moore either going to lean big time on Samuel's,

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Speaker 1: big time on Colin Gillespie in a dome in a

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Speaker 1: final four. Give me the points Villanova one unit plus

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Speaker 1: four and a half here in the first game of

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Speaker 1: the NCAA Tournament Final four Duke minus four one unit

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Speaker 1: Villanova plus four and a half for one unit here.

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Speaker 1: I think it's Duke Kansas on Monday, but it could

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Speaker 1: be Duke Villanova on Monday as well, which is sort

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Speaker 1: of a coronation. If it happens. I think Duke wins

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Speaker 1: the game, Duke wins a championship. I think Duke's going

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Speaker 1: to be really happy. I don't know if the networks

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Speaker 1: will be happy. Networks want Duke Kansas. Duke and Kansas

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Speaker 1: will be a hell of a game and a lot

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Speaker 1: of people watching coming up on Monday night for the

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Speaker 1: National Championship. Don't sleep on the fact that this game

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Speaker 1: is in a dome. So that's where we go here

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Speaker 1: for our half a bet half unit bet on this

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Speaker 1: sixty one and a half Okay, sixty one and a half.

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Speaker 1: That is currently the first half number. This was an

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Speaker 1: extremely profitable bet on the Sweet sixteen and Elite eight

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Speaker 1: rounds Okay sixty one and a half. We're talking about

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Speaker 1: two offenses that are grinders, talking about two defense according

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Speaker 1: to Kenpom, in the top twenty for adjusted defensive efficiency

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Speaker 1: between these two teams, they don't play fast and they

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Speaker 1: grind it defensively seventeen and eighteen defensively okay, ninety one

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Speaker 1: point seven adjusted efficiency ninety one point Actually they're both

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Speaker 1: ninety one point seven. They're equal seventeen and eighteen here

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Speaker 1: on ken Pom for adjusted efficiency. They both have very

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Speaker 1: long average possession rates. Villanova three hundred and forty ninth

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Speaker 1: in basketball for average possession length, Kansas is fortieth sixteen

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Speaker 1: point four. But Nova, I think will dictate tempo with

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Speaker 1: Colin Gillespie. They will slow the game down, in particular

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Speaker 1: early They're gonna slow the game down. I think the

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Speaker 1: first half under comes in here Villanova, first half under

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Speaker 1: sixty one and a half here, first half under for

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Speaker 1: a half a unit for Kansas and Villanova. All right,

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Speaker 1: first half under half a unit. And where do we

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Speaker 1: go with the second play? Here? The second half a

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Speaker 1: unit Duke in North Carolina. I thought about playing the

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Speaker 1: first half over for this game, but instead I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: come in and I'm gonna play the game over at

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Speaker 1: one fifty one. Okay, So KEMPOM has this game right

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Speaker 1: now at one fifty four, has it as a four

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Speaker 1: point win for Duke. Look, this is going to be

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Speaker 1: an uptempo, crazy game. It's the only way to describe

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Speaker 1: what this game is going to be like. This game

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Speaker 1: is going to be high energy, high intensity. These teams

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Speaker 1: want to run, shoot, score. Defensively, they're both pretty good,

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Speaker 1: I'll give you that, But if you look at the

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Speaker 1: games where they played previously, in particular, the last time

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Speaker 1: these two teams played, game went over by twenty four points.

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Speaker 1: Here in this game, it flew over twenty I'm sorry,

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Speaker 1: twenty one and a half points. It was one fifty

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Speaker 1: three and a half. Ninety four to eighty one was

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Speaker 1: the final at Cameron Indoor. One fifty one is the

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Speaker 1: total here for this game. In the first matchup between

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Speaker 1: Duke and North Carolina, it was a one fifty to

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Speaker 1: two and a half in the game went over by

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Speaker 1: a point and a half. Two games, two overs. I

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Speaker 1: think we're seeing offense. I think we're seeing a lot

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Speaker 1: of tempo here. Duke is twelve and eight away from

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Speaker 1: home to the over. North Carolina is thirteen and seven

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Speaker 1: to the over. In the NAA Tournament two and two,

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Speaker 1: Marquette and Baylor went over UCLA and Saint Peter's went under.

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Speaker 1: For Duke, cal State Fullerton went under, Michigan State went

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Speaker 1: over by fourteen and a half, Texas Tech went over

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Speaker 1: by one by fourteen, and then Arkansas went under by

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Speaker 1: half a point. It just went under at won forty

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Speaker 1: seven and a half. I think Carolina has been scoring.

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Speaker 1: Carolina scored sixty nine, seventy three, ninety three, ninety five.

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Speaker 1: Duke has scored seventy eight, eighty five, seventy eight, seventy eight.

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Speaker 1: These are a real good chance. Both teams are in

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Speaker 1: the upper seventies here, eighty to seventy five, somewhere in

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Speaker 1: that range here over one fifty one for a half

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Speaker 1: a unit for North Carolina and Duke. Okay, so our

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Speaker 1: four plays on the NCAA Tournament Final four Duke minus

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Speaker 1: four Nova plus four and a half Kansas Nova half

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Speaker 1: a unit under sixty one and a half first half

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Speaker 1: and for the game over one point fifty one for

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Speaker 1: Duke and North Carolina. Three units in play plus the

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Speaker 1: Discord bet. It's a big day. It's a Final four Saturday.

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Speaker 1: I will talk to you on the Discord channel for

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Speaker 1: the Discord Chat eight o'clock Pacific eleven am Eastern time

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Speaker 1: here on a Saturday. My name is Matt Parol. To

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Speaker 1: follow me on Twitter at Sports Talk Matt. Each and

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Speaker 1: every morning, it's the'l Juice Podcast. I was brought to

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Speaker 1: you by BET'MGM