Speaker 1: Joey gean man with stance and hands fell another zig
Speaker 1: Crains of Sam Fantasy talking about diamond dreams, chase and
Speaker 1: players whisper riding their schemes.
Speaker 2: Oh Welsh breaking it down real so horses howled in
Speaker 2: the Lady whose.
Speaker 1: Go talking monsters on the baseball field with it, swinging his.
Speaker 3: Bets and magic shiels Fantasy Baseball in the nine.
Speaker 2: Podcast, skin enough fat size.
Speaker 1: Question marks and start still lie.
Speaker 3: Dreams of Glory. Member. I welcome in everybody to Fantasy
Speaker 3: Pros MLB. This is Leading Off Live, brought you by
Speaker 3: Bet three sixty five Bet five bucks and you know what,
Speaker 3: you know what you can get one hundred and fifty
Speaker 3: and bonus bets when you use the promo code leading Off.
Speaker 3: That's amazing. Welcome everyone. The Peanists like Jacks. It's me
Speaker 3: Joey p. That's the Welsh, and I've decided Welsh Mondays
Speaker 3: are for the theme song. We start the week off
Speaker 3: right with a little theme song to brighten up your Monday,
Speaker 3: just in case somebody's got a case of the Mondays.
Speaker 3: And we got a lot for you today. We got
Speaker 3: some trade talk, We've got James Wood, We've got Garrett
Speaker 3: Cole's performance yesterday. So much to talk about Welsh just
Speaker 3: so damn much.
Speaker 1: It is, so there's so much. I like you said,
Speaker 1: we've got James Wood, We've got the Garrett Cole start.
Speaker 1: I'm very excited to talk about that. And a little
Speaker 1: Rookie of the Year bet that we've been talking about.
Speaker 1: Those odds have changed. You know what I actually found
Speaker 1: out just kind of throwing it out here. I forgot
Speaker 1: I had bet on him preseason, so I actually have
Speaker 1: that bet very loud.
Speaker 3: What did you have him at?
Speaker 1: It was actually plus six hundred, It was what it
Speaker 1: was like a week ago. So I got it around
Speaker 1: six hundred for mister White Langford. So so much to
Speaker 1: talk about. Such an eventful week, by the way, this eventful,
Speaker 1: awesome weekend. We're like, oh, hey, it's Paul Schemes, Garrett Cole,
Speaker 1: James Wood's happening. And then they drop a Monday and
Speaker 1: they're like, here's three games. Dropping three games on a
Speaker 1: day is asinine. I might be a lawyer in this.
Speaker 1: I'd almost rather just like not have games on a day.
Speaker 1: Let's just close to the All Star put.
Speaker 3: Yeah, like, what the hell are we doing here? I
Speaker 3: don't know. The schedulers got drunk out here. I don't know.
Speaker 3: But let's so James Wood. Look, it's all the James
Speaker 3: would today. He is going to be promoted. He's gonna
Speaker 3: play against the Mets to day. My buddy Sam's going
Speaker 3: to the game. He's a huge Nationals fan. Shout out
Speaker 3: to Sam. Hopefully he enjoys the game tonight. Again, short slate,
Speaker 3: So all the bets today, James Wood themed. It's gonna
Speaker 3: be a good time. We want you to get in
Speaker 3: on it. More James Wood in the program. I want
Speaker 3: to start with Garrett Cole because again, this is why
Speaker 3: did not become the Grim Reaper right away. It was
Speaker 3: a good start for Garrett Cole. Let's not pretend like
Speaker 3: it was the greatest start ever. He had six strikeouts,
Speaker 3: one run. But I want to give some context here.
Speaker 3: This was a Blue Jays lineup that didn't have Bobashett
Speaker 3: in it. This is a Blue Jays lineup that has
Speaker 3: a four hundred year old Justin Turner, and it's got
Speaker 3: Dalton var Show striking out all over the place, and
Speaker 3: it's got again. You go through some of the names
Speaker 3: that they were playing Sunday and it looked pretty much
Speaker 3: like a Triple A lineup. So yes, it was good. Yes,
Speaker 3: the velocity was better. All of that was positive. So
Speaker 3: I want to take those positives, but I don't want
Speaker 3: to lose the context because I think context does matter,
Speaker 3: because we've seen him be great against these slap nut
Speaker 3: you know, Triple A squads, Double A squads, and the
Speaker 3: Blue Jays basically threw out a Quad A squad against him.
Speaker 3: Outside of lad Guerrero and Varshow, the rest of his
Speaker 3: team was not good yesterday, but it was a very
Speaker 3: good start for Garrit Cole compared to the last two
Speaker 3: Welsh You've been waiting all the last twelve hours for this,
Speaker 3: so go ahead and we let you have your time.
Speaker 1: I'm trying this Joe dish and it's a little salty.
Speaker 1: This dish is a little salty. I'm going to put
Speaker 1: it back there. Yeah, I mean, what contextualization you put.
Speaker 3: On it there?
Speaker 1: You're like, wow, yeah, he's hitting like two thirty on
Speaker 1: the season. They got old ass Justin Turner, I don't know.
Speaker 1: I mean the Blue Jays, Yeah, they're not who they
Speaker 1: were before, but this is also a team that's like
Speaker 1: like not a major strikeout team. There's phills difficult. Oh no,
Speaker 1: Vlad is one of the hottest players in baseball right
Speaker 1: now over the last couple of weeks. I mean, it's
Speaker 1: a pretty minimalized take on how you were victory. You
Speaker 1: were Connor mcgregoring in about your Garrett Cole stuff and
Speaker 1: he goes out and.
Speaker 3: He was although I went to top here because I
Speaker 3: you're Philefa Horowitz, Justin Turner Springer. Is it in two fourteen,
Speaker 3: Dalton varsha win a Buck ninety nine, Janson Hitch, Joe
Speaker 3: Buck twenty seven, he's in two twenty seven, Clement and Kirmier.
Speaker 3: This is an impressive lineup.
Speaker 1: Come on, hey, these are somebody's sons. Joe. You're being
Speaker 1: very rude. You're being I don't mean.
Speaker 3: Okay either a good lineup.
Speaker 1: This is. You know what the problem with this is
Speaker 1: is this is a little bit of that like you
Speaker 1: know where you're like, well, if you take this game out,
Speaker 1: in this game out and blah blah blah, and it's like,
Speaker 1: guess I'm not doing that. But here's what you wanted
Speaker 1: at of Garrett Cole. You want results when he should
Speaker 1: get results, they are gonna be tough games. Guess what
Speaker 1: when he goes up against the Orioles, who just hit
Speaker 1: like I think they're the third team ever, it'd have
Speaker 1: sixty home runs in the month of June or a
Speaker 1: single month. When you go up against the Orioles, you
Speaker 1: might give up three or four earned runs, you might
Speaker 1: have a dicey start. But when you go up against
Speaker 1: teams like the A's, you should dominate them. When we
Speaker 1: go up against teams like the Blue Jays, who I'll
Speaker 1: admit a notch above the Rockies and A's, essentially at
Speaker 1: this point you should be good. And guess what he
Speaker 1: was year over year half a mile per hour up
Speaker 1: on the fastball. That's what we wanted. We wanted to
Speaker 1: see that he induced twelve whiffs in that start for
Speaker 1: a team that doesn't swing through a whole lot of stuff.
Speaker 1: He had a twenty nine percent csw that's good. These
Speaker 1: are all the things that we want out of him.
Speaker 1: And only gave up four hard hit balls. That would
Speaker 1: be the other thing I would point to where you're like, oh,
Speaker 1: there's only four hard hit balls total.
Speaker 3: Yeah, because George Springer hasn't hit a ball hard most
Speaker 3: of the year. Either is just a turner. But again
Speaker 3: my point is Jackie, because I was yelling, so Jack,
Speaker 3: I'm gonna say this in a quiet voice. I'm gonna
Speaker 3: do some as Mr. Can you hear that?
Speaker 2: On that?
Speaker 3: Yeah, we're gonna do a little of.
Speaker 1: This, Jack.
Speaker 3: This lineup was a joke. Kirmeyer, Clement, Danny Janssen, Justin Turner,
Speaker 3: George Springer, Horowitz, Horowitz, Spencer Horrowitz, come on, let's go
Speaker 3: iSER Isaac Isaac, Isaiah Kiner, Fileffa. I couldn't even say
Speaker 3: his name, right, I just I can't even say Listen,
Speaker 3: it's not a good lineup. It's a good start. Those
Speaker 3: both these things can be true. You are right, yeah, no,
Speaker 3: one hundred percent right. And I am also right. This
Speaker 3: lineup was a joke. Outside of lad I guess.
Speaker 1: I like it. That's fine. It was a good start.
Speaker 3: If it was would you be super impressed if Andrew
Speaker 3: Heaney went out there and had a great start yesterday
Speaker 3: against them, what would you be here? Like would that
Speaker 3: be the lead today? Like look at Andrew Heiney's six strikeouts?
Speaker 1: And like we talk about Garrett Cole every day because
Speaker 1: you're like Garrett Cole's washed and he's done, And I
Speaker 1: did say. I never said rather, I've never said, never
Speaker 1: said I'm pretty sure.
Speaker 3: I said he's a ticking time bomb. I never said
Speaker 3: he's washed. I never said he's done. Those words never
Speaker 3: came out of my mouth. For more Crossfire, stick with
Speaker 3: us here on Fantasy Cross again.
Speaker 1: All I said, this is the last thing that was
Speaker 1: a critical start, after that one where you were like,
Speaker 1: I didn't tell yourself. I told you, so that was
Speaker 1: a critical start. You weren't talking about how garbage the
Speaker 1: blue Jay's lineup was last week and what the start was,
Speaker 1: and now because he was successful, it's like, okay, so
Speaker 1: yues what the next one as critical to get consistency
Speaker 1: with him. But the stuff is still there, the filo
Speaker 1: is there. That's what we want.
Speaker 3: Yay, Garrett Joel, I am not right nor wrong, Yet,
Speaker 3: he says, be an adult, admit you were wrong. I'm
Speaker 3: not wrong because I said he's a ticking time bomb.
Speaker 3: Let's give it six weeks. If Garrett Cole goes out there,
Speaker 3: I will come on this show. If he finishes the
Speaker 3: season strong and looks great, I will come on this
Speaker 3: show happily and say I was one hundred percent wrong
Speaker 3: with Garret Cole I got no problem with being wrong.
Speaker 3: I talk about being wrong all the time, not too
Speaker 3: much because I'm not that often.
Speaker 4: But I have no one admits to being more wrong
Speaker 4: than me. Nobody's more wrong than I am. Okay, no,
Speaker 4: but here's the thing. Listen right now.
Speaker 3: I'm also not going to do backflips because he was
Speaker 3: great against the solutions. The velocity being up is good.
Speaker 3: Also good, Aaron Judge. Another home run for me, another
Speaker 3: home run for him. Wait to go erin Wyatt Langford.
Speaker 3: That's the real thing to talk about today. Wyattlangford hit
Speaker 3: for the cycle yesterday. That number that just two weeks
Speaker 3: ago was plus twenty five hundred was now plus six
Speaker 3: hundred going into the weekend. You know what it is
Speaker 3: this morning plus four fifty. So guess who doubled down
Speaker 3: this morning on that? This guy? So he got at
Speaker 3: twenty five hundred, he's got it plus four fifty. And
Speaker 3: guess what this is gonna be a big, big payday
Speaker 3: if this one works out, because Wyatt Langford, I'm telling
Speaker 3: you right now, I think is the real favorite for
Speaker 3: this am.
Speaker 1: I actually saw a worse number than you. So that's
Speaker 1: interesting because I looked last night and Heel has moved
Speaker 1: to plus one thirty and Langford was like two forty
Speaker 1: or something like that. So yeah, when we had that
Speaker 1: debate before, or I mean in admittance, it was like, hey,
Speaker 1: why at Langford is a solid bet for it? Still
Speaker 1: I was there was no chance I was betting on Heel.
Speaker 1: But my point was, he has a really good opportunity
Speaker 1: to kind of hold on to that spot if things
Speaker 1: don't blow up, and if he can maintain that spot. Well,
Speaker 1: it's been a rough couple starts. We still don't know
Speaker 1: the trajectory of it. He comes out of the rotation,
Speaker 1: he's gone. But that's why you didn't bet him at
Speaker 1: minus money. I think the next one was Mason Miller
Speaker 1: not doing a closer, especially with the a's, So that
Speaker 1: was why Langford made the most sense if you were
Speaker 1: making the bet. But also two weeks ago he was
Speaker 1: the buye for me as well. K percentage was super low. Hitting,
Speaker 1: Homer's batting average was way up last month and the
Speaker 1: month of June, and it's continued on and that buying
Speaker 1: opportunity is gone. It is, it's gone bye bye right now.
Speaker 1: And I will say this very interesting time for prospects
Speaker 1: everyone is so jaded. Right now you're getting the turnaround
Speaker 1: like Heshton kirstein come back.
Speaker 3: Looking as grand slams think for a good.
Speaker 1: Sureio has been incredible over the last we talked about
Speaker 1: him weeks ago. He said, look, he's walking a little bit,
Speaker 1: he's making better contact. I know the numbers aren't there yet,
Speaker 1: but you can see the comfortability factor starting to settle.
Speaker 3: In the same thing with White Langford. I know the
Speaker 3: power hasn't really popped yet, but what you want to
Speaker 3: see is confidence in contact. When you see those two things,
Speaker 3: power will follow for these guys. That's just it's like
Speaker 3: touchdown regression at football. You're gonna see those things happen eventually.
Speaker 3: You want good performance, you want confidence with these rookies,
Speaker 3: and that's a really good thing. Langford right now, in
Speaker 3: the month of June closes things out. Two eighty three, three,
Speaker 3: forty seven, four forty six slash eighteen RBI six deals
Speaker 3: in twenty five games. Just two homers. But Welsh, you
Speaker 3: and I both know if he hits five homers in
Speaker 3: each of the last three months or somewhere near there,
Speaker 3: he's winning this award. Yeah and I both know it.
Speaker 1: If he keeps up at the pace I think he is,
Speaker 1: and the guy I was going to finish with is
Speaker 1: Jackson Merrill is the other one I want to throw out.
Speaker 1: So you want to talk about the rookie researches. Did
Speaker 1: you know since June first, there's only one player that
Speaker 1: has more homers in baseball than Jackson Merrill, Aaron Judge.
Speaker 2: No.
Speaker 1: One. Jackson Merrill is making a vie for the All
Speaker 1: Star Game at this point and a great bet there too.
Speaker 1: So the learning curve at the beginning of the year
Speaker 1: I think was way more difficult, and you're seeing guys
Speaker 1: that are stepping in and finding their adjustments. Cheerio Langford
Speaker 1: cursed out in the short element. It'll be really interesting
Speaker 1: to see what happens with James would today and if
Speaker 1: he experiences any of those or if he just comes
Speaker 1: out the gates banging. But yeah, I'm I'm fully on board.
Speaker 1: I was buying him. I did a so rare video
Speaker 1: I think on White Langford we might not saw it.
Speaker 1: We did video and the and the trade by so
Speaker 1: very very handsome.
Speaker 3: Man on those videos, Welsh, you know you come off.
Speaker 1: Really well on the such dark like mood. I'm like
Speaker 1: Hey everybody, Hey everybody, it was a friend.
Speaker 3: Ose you want to play a little so rare.
Speaker 1: That's my impression. You did my impression that was good.
Speaker 1: I do say friendly.
Speaker 3: I saw BIZI resigis in the chat, also saying that
Speaker 3: who are we kidting? Joe? You're not going to show
Speaker 3: up in August and take an l Yes, I will.
Speaker 3: I will absolutely, In fact, I promise you this. Not
Speaker 3: only will I take an OL, I will record and
Speaker 3: I'm sorry video in the style of the South Park
Speaker 3: bp A president every time there was an oil spill,
Speaker 3: I'll film a video. I'm so sorry, We're sorry. I
Speaker 3: will do the whole thing. But God help all of you. Now,
Speaker 3: if he comes off and does one of these things
Speaker 3: in July three.
Speaker 1: He gra either way we're getting a video, and either
Speaker 1: way a video is coming. The only problem is is
Speaker 1: of like, if he's like decent, you're gonna be like,
Speaker 1: I'm not gonna do the video because he wasn't like great.
Speaker 3: No no no, no no no, great is not even
Speaker 3: what I'm talking about. If he look, if he pitches
Speaker 3: to a five VR, then I'm gonna take a victory
Speaker 3: lap and you will, and you will admit that I
Speaker 3: was right about it. If he if he pitches to
Speaker 3: a three e R and wins games and pitches the
Speaker 3: rest of the season, hard l for me. I'm I'm
Speaker 3: mad enough. It's fine, I'll take the Well, let's let's go.
Speaker 3: Let's see what happens, all right. A lot of strikeout
Speaker 3: performances here. Joe Ryan ten strikeouts for him, Garrett Crochet,
Speaker 3: We're gonna talk about a little bit. No decision against
Speaker 3: the Rockies, but he was terrific, no walks, eleven strikeout,
Speaker 3: Tosh Bradley another one eleven strikeouts walked to Andrew Heaney,
Speaker 3: who I made fun of earlier, but struck out ten
Speaker 3: on Sunday in a win over those Orioles and Pablo
Speaker 3: Lopez on Saturday Welsh nine k's another good start for
Speaker 3: Pablo Love that also unfortunately Tristan McKenzie sent down option
Speaker 3: to Triple A with Gvin Williams coming off the IL
Speaker 3: and mackenzie has not been good. So I know Welsh
Speaker 3: has never been a big mackenzie guy. Let's have some
Speaker 3: fun here. So Gunnar Henderson thirty six game on Bay
Speaker 3: streak is snapped. He was zero for four, struck out
Speaker 3: all four times yesterday boo. But he is going to
Speaker 3: be in the home run Derby. And speaking of the Derby, Welsh,
Speaker 3: did you see they changed the rules again?
Speaker 1: See what we're doing? I read them and I here
Speaker 1: was the first response.
Speaker 3: I get it.
Speaker 1: When I read it, I was like, just SMI, what
Speaker 1: do we make this easy? What are all these like?
Speaker 3: I think they did forty.
Speaker 1: I don't understand it. They said there's like forty pitchers
Speaker 1: and this and that.
Speaker 3: Just put a clock on that harder one thing they
Speaker 3: did make easier. So in case you missed it. So
Speaker 3: the home run Derby this year, instead of it being
Speaker 3: single elimination brackets, there's just gonna be like a pool
Speaker 3: and then the top eight guys move on to the
Speaker 3: bracket stage. That's fine. I like that better because the
Speaker 3: whole bract like why should a guy who hits twenty
Speaker 3: home runs it loses to a guy who's twenty one
Speaker 3: not advanced when a guy hits eight. That's how they
Speaker 3: do like they.
Speaker 1: Do it like the high school home run Derby's. It's
Speaker 1: the same way.
Speaker 3: Yeah, easy, but you're right, this whole like three minutes
Speaker 3: or forty pitches thing.
Speaker 1: And then you get extra time if you hit one,
Speaker 1: four one.
Speaker 3: Make it easy, Make it easy? Yeah, why do they
Speaker 3: have to do it?
Speaker 1: Take it easy? You're on third Street.
Speaker 3: Kevin Gosman, he's been taking it easy. Like what is
Speaker 3: going on? Talk about checkl and hide this year Kevin
Speaker 3: Gossman against seven runs. Now, I know it's against the Yankees,
Speaker 3: but Soda wasn't in the lineup four things against the Yanks.
Speaker 3: He walk five, struck out seven. He's been all over.
Speaker 1: The more, more Jekyl than Hyde unfortunately.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I agree, And this was a guy too. If
Speaker 3: you recall not healthy going into the season. Remember in
Speaker 3: spring training was was it an elbow or shoulder? I
Speaker 3: can't even remember now.
Speaker 1: It doesn't matter it was it was something we should
Speaker 1: have been more concerned about.
Speaker 3: I was super concerned, and I wasn't. I was full
Speaker 3: Bogman on.
Speaker 1: That, and I should have been a little bit more.
Speaker 1: But he's been a disaster. He's been one of the
Speaker 1: big focal points in my my Shota like analysis of
Speaker 1: these two pitch pitchers. But I mean he has just
Speaker 1: more been blatantly in our faces. Expected era is over
Speaker 1: five right now, brutally bad, kazered down walks, don't look good.
Speaker 1: He has an eleven point three barrel percentage given up against.
Speaker 1: And if you look at his pitch mix too, here's
Speaker 1: the problem. I mean, I wish I could show this
Speaker 1: on screen. His splitter is not in the zone. It's
Speaker 1: it's you know. So when you do like a heat map,
Speaker 1: you'll see like blue, that's where some of the pitches go,
Speaker 1: and then it gets the dark red is where that
Speaker 1: is a predominant part of the pitch. The predominant area
Speaker 1: of that splitter is outside of the zone. So what
Speaker 1: does that mean? You sit on fastballs and guess what
Speaker 1: his fastball has been worse. It is dead red middle
Speaker 1: of the zone. It's lost a mile per hour. I'm out.
Speaker 1: Someone in the chat right when we started was like,
Speaker 1: should I get rid of relicst Gosman.
Speaker 3: I can't drop him, but maybe somebody sees him as
Speaker 3: a by low and maybe you can flip him for something.
Speaker 1: I might like, I don't know the context of your team.
Speaker 1: Gossman might be dropable. In a ten team, you would
Speaker 1: be trade him. Yeah, if they trade off, I think
Speaker 1: they could look, but I think his values that are
Speaker 1: an all time low. They probably don't. If you have
Speaker 1: if there are good streamable options. You are better streaming
Speaker 1: than you are dealing with Kevin Gosman rest of year
Speaker 1: because every every underlying metric is telling us a really
Speaker 1: bad story. Inefficient as far as strikeouts, expected numbers bad.
Speaker 1: He's getting barreled up and he's inefficient. So I'm out.
Speaker 1: It could fix, but I don't need to be there.
Speaker 1: You are better streaming unless you're in like a deeper
Speaker 1: league than that makes it a lot tougher. But even
Speaker 1: twelve teams, there's probably viable pitchers out there that would
Speaker 1: make more sense than dealing with Gosman. It's bad, bad.
Speaker 3: Tristan mackenzie not the only guy that got sent down,
Speaker 3: Tylord the terrible Tyler McGill gets sent down to Syracuse.
Speaker 3: So we're getting bhutto or getting Christian Scott back Welsh, Well.
Speaker 1: I would say Christian Scott. I think they even said
Speaker 1: Christian Scott was going to be down, you know, just
Speaker 1: to kind of like maintain some innings, but he wasn't
Speaker 1: done for the year.
Speaker 3: Well that's a good thing. Now. What we do like
Speaker 3: to do here on the program is talk a little trade,
Speaker 3: and it's a great time of year where teams are
Speaker 3: realizing if they're in or out. So it's time to
Speaker 3: talk some trades for week fifteen with Joey p and
Speaker 3: the Welsh. So Welsh who is on the board for
Speaker 3: us this week when it comes to making moves.
Speaker 1: All right, well, I've got call them definitives. I've got
Speaker 1: three players that I'm involving in trades that I'm gonna
Speaker 1: give you. But I want to have a public congress
Speaker 1: station here. So here's going to be the question. So
Speaker 1: people in the chap can comment, and anyone watching this
Speaker 1: on demand after the fact comment below. Should we be
Speaker 1: trading Garrett Crochet? I believe Garrett Crochet kind of sits
Speaker 1: in this Louis Heel world conceptually. Everybody feels there's a
Speaker 1: couple of those guys. It's hey, this guy seems like
Speaker 1: he's kind of limited a little bit, and they've performed well.
Speaker 1: Everybody and their mother last month said this is the
Speaker 1: best time to trade Luise Heel. If you said the
Speaker 1: same thing about Garrett Crochet, it hasn't paid off because
Speaker 1: since June first, Garrett Crochet has the seventh best era
Speaker 1: in baseball at one point nine to one. What it
Speaker 1: ranks doesn't matter, that's elite. This might matter. He has
Speaker 1: since June first, the best K per nine in baseball
Speaker 1: at thirteen point thirty eight, the best K percentage at
Speaker 1: thirty seven point eight in all of baseball qualified. And
Speaker 1: this is the craziest one, the best K minus walk percentage,
Speaker 1: So I mean he doesn't walk. It's around like four
Speaker 1: percent thirty three point eight percent K minus walk percentage.
Speaker 1: No picture in that period of time has also had
Speaker 1: a higher war So the what we know that's a
Speaker 1: bonus here is any trade he has that he you know,
Speaker 1: he goes moves off, it's a bonus for him. So
Speaker 1: you're taking all these amazing numbers, and then if he
Speaker 1: goes somewhere else, this is amazing here, But then we
Speaker 1: have the dreaded innings cap here. So I think this
Speaker 1: is more fascinating. There's been more public talk about Luise
Speaker 1: Heal in that situation, and he has regressed. Garrett Crochet
Speaker 1: went through his regression if you remember, after like the
Speaker 1: first month and bounce back. He has been one of
Speaker 1: the best pitchers in all of baseball and can only
Speaker 1: get better if traded. But the cap is out there.
Speaker 1: So the question is, and I'll ask you, Joe, are
Speaker 1: you trading Garrett Croche knowing that whoever buys is going
Speaker 1: to try to sell you on that they may get
Speaker 1: their innings limited, And do you want to trade him
Speaker 1: because you think those innings are going to be capped.
Speaker 3: I say this, I think I lean towards keeping him
Speaker 3: because unlike Heel, it's a bit bigger of a guy.
Speaker 3: You're talking about a guy who's six six two fifty
Speaker 3: versus a guy that's six two five, So in terms
Speaker 3: of frame, I think maybe physically he can push himself
Speaker 3: a little bit further this year than Louis Heel, who
Speaker 3: also Heel has had a lot of injuries in the
Speaker 3: past two throughout his career, like that's been the thing
Speaker 3: that's kind of popped up. So it's a little apple
Speaker 3: and oranges. I would also say this, I don't think
Speaker 3: we're at peak value for a Crochet yet. I would
Speaker 3: give it another couple of weeks and if he gets
Speaker 3: dealt to a Yankees, a Baltimore Orioles Los Angeles Dodgers,
Speaker 3: then I look and put him out there on the
Speaker 3: block and see if somebody wants to overpay, because if
Speaker 3: you can overpay, then I'm definitely selling right now. I'm
Speaker 3: a hold and for those two reasons frame and the
Speaker 3: other reason is I think the peak value comes when
Speaker 3: he gets dealt to that definitive contender, and then possibly
Speaker 3: the market overpays, and that's what I'm looking for. I'm
Speaker 3: not looking for a value on Crochet. I'm looking for
Speaker 3: an overpay for Crochet.
Speaker 1: That's how I The other way to present it to
Speaker 1: here's the worst case scenario is the trade option is
Speaker 1: too high, they don't trade him, he stays a wide sock,
Speaker 1: and then he gets shut down. And that's the scenario
Speaker 1: where you're like, oh, crap, I didn't benefit from it.
Speaker 1: I've seen a lot of the chat kind of saying
Speaker 1: they're gonna stick with it. I for the most part,
Speaker 1: am gonna also hold on to Crochet in the exact
Speaker 1: same vein of what I talked about with Luis Heel
Speaker 1: that I just I think they've already kind of they've
Speaker 1: openly been trying to talk about no big shut down
Speaker 1: with him. The trade option makes it really valuable. But
Speaker 1: I think this is a peak. He has been, i mean,
Speaker 1: arguably the best pitcher over the last month, but he's
Speaker 1: facing these big things. And Wonky also said the thing
Speaker 1: that I alluded to. We don't know if a team
Speaker 1: trades for him, if there will be a cap. We
Speaker 1: assume there won't be because they're trading for him. So
Speaker 1: I'm curious that what everybody has to say Chat looks
Speaker 1: like most at least in the life Chat are not
Speaker 1: trading on the hold. Yeah, but what about everybody. I
Speaker 1: think he's watching on demand and.
Speaker 3: I kind of dropped a whole moments below on the
Speaker 3: YouTube channel.
Speaker 1: If you're watching, unless it's a big offer, I'm only
Speaker 1: taking big offers. People have got got to give me
Speaker 1: a big offer if I'm moving off, because I think
Speaker 1: you're better set. So here are three players that are
Speaker 1: on a trade mind right now. One is Luis Robert
Speaker 1: another white sock in here, and I think I am
Speaker 1: trading four. On the year, Roberts got nine homers, three
Speaker 1: stolen bases, but he's hitting just two h five so
Speaker 1: that return luster gone since June tenth. Five homers, two
Speaker 1: stolen bases, So we've seen a big power output, but
Speaker 1: his average is still kind of suffered around two seventeen.
Speaker 1: But he's had one of the worst babbitbs in baseball
Speaker 1: in that June tenth period time around two forty four,
Speaker 1: but he's dropped his k percentage during that time over
Speaker 1: five percent versus the start of the year. He's walking
Speaker 1: more and on top of like you know, the luck
Speaker 1: aspect of the BABBB, there is still a potential for
Speaker 1: a huge trade and if you're if he's to be
Speaker 1: traded out, I think that again that helps his RBI
Speaker 1: run opportunities. He's been babbacked a little bit. He's getting better,
Speaker 1: he's getting his feet under and it's kind of the
Speaker 1: same like this isn't like the Garrett Cole spring training thing,
Speaker 1: but he missed significant time and he's starting to show
Speaker 1: those signs. So I'm trying to buy low on Luis
Speaker 1: Robert right now, where people a little frustrated by seeing
Speaker 1: the overall average. Number two is another player I'm trading for.
Speaker 1: It's a pitcher trading four red Sox cutter Crawford three
Speaker 1: point five to four ERA, nine point two nine k
Speaker 1: per nine and just under three walks per nine. Those
Speaker 1: are the season totals, but he's just a three to
Speaker 1: seven record three wins seven losses on the year, which
Speaker 1: have kept his overall ranking on a lot of those
Speaker 1: stats kind are those sites because it's low. Three wins
Speaker 1: doesn't get you a whole lot, But since June tenth,
Speaker 1: has the tenth best K percentage in baseball thirty two
Speaker 1: point five percent and the tenth best K minus walk
Speaker 1: percentage at twenty five percent. Those are great numbers. In
Speaker 1: that same period of time, he's got a three six
Speaker 1: six ERA and a three Sierra, so even better regressional
Speaker 1: like ERA numbers. The homers are a little bit of
Speaker 1: a problem with him, and there's been some babb luck
Speaker 1: in his favor. I think it's been on one to
Speaker 1: seventy five in that period of time, but the no
Speaker 1: wins has kept that value down. It doesn't keep him
Speaker 1: in the top range. I think Cutter Crawford is a
Speaker 1: great guy to try to target. And then finally, Joe,
Speaker 1: I'm curious with what you're gonna have to say about this.
Speaker 1: I am trading away a player and the performance has
Speaker 1: been a little bit wonky. Not penguin, but wonky. And
Speaker 1: this is a this is a name value trade. I
Speaker 1: am trading away Astros Framber Valdez. He's got a four
Speaker 1: yeah four eleven ERA six wins and a horrible seven
Speaker 1: point one seven K per nine and over three walks
Speaker 1: per nine on the year, so those ratios bad. His
Speaker 1: sierra over four, his expected era over four underlying his
Speaker 1: sinker two miles per hour slower this year. And what's
Speaker 1: even been worse is his curve is out of the zone.
Speaker 1: It's primary on the low part of the zone when
Speaker 1: it's good. This year it's been sitting outside of the zone,
Speaker 1: and that is also I think made his change up
Speaker 1: less effective. His change up is getting hit around two
Speaker 1: sixty batting average against. So this is I don't like
Speaker 1: the underlying stats. I really don't like anything about it.
Speaker 1: I am trading out name value on Framber Valdez probably
Speaker 1: rather Ronel Blanco at this point, so trading away Framber.
Speaker 1: What say you about Framber knowing he's underperformed on the year,
Speaker 1: great context of a team, you've got the history of him.
Speaker 1: Are you pushing back against me.
Speaker 3: On this just a little? Because I believe enough in
Speaker 3: Framber's body of work that I think, like some other teams,
Speaker 3: they flip the switch when it's go time, and I
Speaker 3: think Framber's enough for me. Where I look at the
Speaker 3: next three months of the season, I say whatever, rather
Speaker 3: I have Gospan or where I have Framber Valdez. I'd
Speaker 3: rather Framber Valdez, so I'm willing to go in for that.
Speaker 3: Tucker has been out a couple weeks. I'm willing to say, yeah,
Speaker 3: it hasn't been a good first half, or maybe our expectations,
Speaker 3: But to me, Framber was always more of a one
Speaker 3: A than a one anyway. So maybe there's even value
Speaker 3: on trading for him, because maybe this's a better version
Speaker 3: now of the stature giving out there a little concerning
Speaker 3: the miles per hour being down, little concerning there's no
Speaker 3: doubt about that. But but I will say I'm probably
Speaker 3: more on the if I can get him on the cheap, yes,
Speaker 3: If I'm paying high costs, no, But those are really
Speaker 3: good names and some great conversations too. If you've got questions,
Speaker 3: make sure you go to fanspros dot com. Check out
Speaker 3: all the Bilos sell high articles on there on fanspros
Speaker 3: dot com on the MLB page, and that, my friends
Speaker 3: is talking trades for week fifteen. Let's do a little
Speaker 3: up and down here real fast here Byron Buxton. How
Speaker 3: good has he been recently? Three eighty nine five homers,
Speaker 3: two steals or his last fifteen games two to four
Speaker 3: with a three run homer yesterday, Brandon Nimmo three for
Speaker 3: five with a dinger, and Brandon Fott eight strikeouts. That's right,
Speaker 3: go fot go. No decision against the A's, but still
Speaker 3: we'll take it. Three down. Cole Irvin just three and
Speaker 3: two thirds innings, give up five runs. Ranger Suarez not
Speaker 3: a good out and for him six earned run. He
Speaker 3: is starting to come back to earth a little bit,
Speaker 3: which is not surprising. Regressions a hell of a drug.
Speaker 3: And shoey Otani oh for five with three strikeouts, but
Speaker 3: that's okay because he pretty much hits a homer every
Speaker 3: other day. Injuries. Both kyleeg Shwarber and Bryce Harper went
Speaker 3: on the il this weekend after Friday's shows. So again,
Speaker 3: if the Phillies are going to struggle, this is the
Speaker 3: time of year you want to struggle in July. You
Speaker 3: get healthy in August and September, and you roll into
Speaker 3: the playoffs. Casey Miz left the game on Sunday with
Speaker 3: a leg injury. Vlad Guerrero said his right hand was
Speaker 3: sore on Sunday after getting hit by Garrett Cole, but
Speaker 3: he said he's going to be okay.
Speaker 1: To play seven. By the way Cole hit him.
Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, yeah, because his control is so good. He's
Speaker 3: got such a good feel for pitching. He's hitting flat boy.
Speaker 3: You walked right into that.
Speaker 1: I just feel I said, we should feel good that
Speaker 1: he hit him ninety seven.
Speaker 3: It was a little bit. I love this. This is fun.
Speaker 3: We're having fun. Mitch Garver got hurt, speaking of right
Speaker 3: risk contusions. Corey Seeger was out with the hand issue
Speaker 3: after getting hit by pitch on SAT. We'll see keep
Speaker 3: an eye on that, but everything seems to be okay.
Speaker 3: Elias Diaz is back from the io and Won Soto
Speaker 3: did not play yesterday, but he says he's okay. No
Speaker 3: structural damage. Just some swelling there, Welsh, just a little swelling.
Speaker 3: It's Monday, a short slate of games, but we've got
Speaker 3: some fun bets for today's best Bets of the Day
Speaker 3: with Joey p and the Welsh. Make sure you go
Speaker 3: over to Bet three sixty five Bet five bucks, get
Speaker 3: one hundred and fifteen bonus bets when you use the
Speaker 3: promo code leading off only at Bet three sixty five.
Speaker 3: Gambling problem called one one hundred Gambler or one one
Speaker 3: hundred bets off in Iowa. Terms and conditions apply. Welsh.
Speaker 3: It's James Would day, so all my bets are James
Speaker 3: Wood related. Here we go, James would RBI over point
Speaker 3: five plus two forty. James Wood to hur his first
Speaker 3: home run and his debut against Peterson today against the
Speaker 3: New York Mets over plus eight hundred, let's go, and
Speaker 3: James Wood to get a stolen base over point five
Speaker 3: plus nine hundred. That's some big money to sit there
Speaker 3: and enjoy watching James Wood. You could throw money on
Speaker 3: all three of these things. If all three hit, you're
Speaker 3: super happy. If one of them hit, you're having a
Speaker 3: good day. That's how I look at this, Welsh. I
Speaker 3: love these returns on investment. It's all James Wood all
Speaker 3: the time. What do you have for the people on this? Really?
Speaker 3: Ten tiny stus?
Speaker 1: What a fun same game parlay that would be too.
Speaker 1: To just do all of those, you'd be like, that's
Speaker 1: like twenty five thousand or some nonsense. I've actually got, well,
Speaker 1: you know what, I'll do this first. It's not my
Speaker 1: favorite bet of the day, but I did do this.
Speaker 1: It's a James Wood based bet. I was looking kind
Speaker 1: of in the same area. Here's a little trepidation the homer.
Speaker 1: I do like this call. You actually avoided the one.
Speaker 1: I'd like to bet that I didn't in its total bases,
Speaker 1: and that would be playing for a double because James
Speaker 1: Wood going up against a lefty. He's a lefty, but
Speaker 1: he has hit really well over three hundred against lefties
Speaker 1: this year, has as many homers against lefties I believe
Speaker 1: as righty's, but only has one double against lefties this year.
Speaker 1: So he has had that big power swing, but he
Speaker 1: has not had any other extra base ability. I mean
Speaker 1: literally six extra base hits against lefties all year, mainly homers.
Speaker 1: So I didn't want to play the doubles. I can
Speaker 1: get down with the homer. He steals bases. I just
Speaker 1: went with a hit, and actually, guess what, it's actually
Speaker 1: doable as far as his only is one hit is
Speaker 1: minus one fifty on the books right now, but I'm
Speaker 1: parlaying it. So give me James Wood one hit and
Speaker 1: Jordan Alvarez one hit plus thirty three, so it's a
Speaker 1: single hit parlay for both of those guys. I'm down
Speaker 1: with him getting a hit. Actually, your stolen base one
Speaker 1: is super super sneaky. It is fun. We should free.
Speaker 1: James Wood doesn't strike out a bunch, gets on base
Speaker 1: batting average against lefties and righties. That's why any of
Speaker 1: these bets are fun, So have some with it my
Speaker 1: other bets. I'm going Houston through the first five money
Speaker 1: line minus one thirty. That's better than the actual full
Speaker 1: game money line. So Houston's just got to be up
Speaker 1: by a run. This is a good matchup. Hunter Brown
Speaker 1: has been good. Yario Rodriguez eh so minus one thirty
Speaker 1: first five and this is one the Mets in Houston
Speaker 1: no run first inning nurfhy minus one reasoning Gore is
Speaker 1: given up only three earned runs in the first inning
Speaker 1: all season long, one of the best first run pitchers
Speaker 1: against the other side, where Washington is the worst first
Speaker 1: run scoring team in baseball. So Gore shutting down the
Speaker 1: Mets and Washington really not gonna be able to get there.
Speaker 1: I will say one other quick one. I was very
Speaker 1: tempted about this. This is wild the Rockies game. The
Speaker 1: Rockies no run first inning, it's Gomber and just forgetting
Speaker 1: the other person, Gomber, it is plus one twenty plus
Speaker 1: one twenty if you take the no run first inning
Speaker 1: minus one sixty that they're gonna score, so I've never
Speaker 1: I haven't seen that all season long. They are giving
Speaker 1: you plus money that one will not happen minus won sixty.
Speaker 1: A run has to score. The reason why Austin Gomber
Speaker 1: is the worst pitcher in baseball in the first inning.
Speaker 1: He's given up twenty three earned runs in the first
Speaker 1: inning this year. That's crazy. That's why he stinks. He's awful.
Speaker 1: But you can get plus money if you want to
Speaker 1: live risky. There you go, have some fun short slate,
Speaker 1: best bets of the day. There you go.
Speaker 3: Everybody download the betting pros apps. Start betting smarter, not harder. Today.
Speaker 3: All right, Welsh, let's take a look at the homer
Speaker 3: board after this weekend. Joey p moving up twenty three.
Speaker 3: Let's go look at elscal at thirty though, oh my god,
Speaker 3: I'm still seven away from the lead. But still up there, Welsh,
Speaker 3: you did get a home run this weekend, I believe.
Speaker 3: And sticking with the theme, my home run call today
Speaker 3: James Wood let's go, Welsh, I'm all in, chips are in.
Speaker 3: I can't wait to watch him tonight. Where are you
Speaker 3: going for your home run call?
Speaker 1: I kind of want to do that. Too, but I
Speaker 1: don't know. Come do it.
Speaker 3: Let's just do it just for once. You know, it's
Speaker 3: just picked the same time.
Speaker 1: I'll join you and me, James Wood. Where are you
Speaker 1: picking three best I was gonna pick Yourdan Alvarez, but
Speaker 1: you me, James Wood, Three best friends anyone's ever had.
Speaker 3: Let's go there, you go, everybody, make sure you go
Speaker 3: over our discord Fanspros dot com slash chat join that
Speaker 3: today and don't forget. Also, the cycle will be back
Speaker 3: with another episode this week. And if you are enjoying
Speaker 3: all the shows, please we ask you kindly. If you're
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Speaker 3: to the shows, please go to Fantasypros dot com slash mlbreview.
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Speaker 3: of the show five stars or bust. Please we appreciate
Speaker 3: you again. It takes about thirty seconds to do Fantasypros
Speaker 3: dot Com slash mlbreview. And somebody is gonna win in
Speaker 3: Orlando Cabrera, Montro Expos Jersey just for doing that great
Speaker 3: show today. Tomorrow will recap James Wood and everything else
Speaker 3: that'll do it for us, but the story of the
Speaker 3: game goes on for the Welsh. I'm Joey P. Well
Speaker 3: see you next time. Kids.
Speaker 1: Ooh, piece of candy. Ooh, piece of candy.
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