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Speaker 1: What's going on, everybody? Scottbog'm goen you here for betting

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Speaker 1: Pros to give you my favorite picks for Week three

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Speaker 1: of a college football season. Just want to remind you guys,

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Speaker 1: you can tail me fade me. I was terrible last week.

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Speaker 1: I was good the week before, so I'm sitting somewhere

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Speaker 1: in the middle. It looks like, but the most important

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Speaker 1: week is this week. Every single week and tail me

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Speaker 1: Bettingpros dot Com, slash bagman, tail me or fade me,

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Speaker 1: however you want to see it. My bets are going

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Speaker 1: to be up there every single week. Let's get into it.

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Speaker 1: I have three totals for you, and I also have

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Speaker 1: six player props this week because I was good on

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Speaker 1: the player props last week bad on the picks, so

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Speaker 1: I have picked it up on the player props for

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Speaker 1: this week as we figure out more stuff about these

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Speaker 1: teams moving into the college football season. So let's go

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Speaker 1: ahead and start Alabama at Wisconsin. I'm taking the under

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Speaker 1: forty nine and a half in this one. I like

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Speaker 1: Alabama even though they lost me money last week. But

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Speaker 1: let's stick with the under here. As Alabama did not

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Speaker 1: find it on offense until the fourth quarter against USF Alabama.

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Speaker 1: This could be an Alabama walk but the struggles on

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Speaker 1: offense and the fact that they've only allowed sixteen points

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Speaker 1: through two games make me lean towards the under here.

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Speaker 1: Tyler Van Dyke was twenty one of thirty six the

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Speaker 1: Wisconsin quarterback first Western Michigan seventeen of twenty seven against

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Speaker 1: South Dakota, So it wasn't getting it going against worse

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Speaker 1: opponents than Alabama. You know, he's just he's still getting

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Speaker 1: his feet under him. He just transferred here. The game

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Speaker 1: plan should be for Wisconsin to run the ball against Alabama.

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Speaker 1: They did just give up two hundred plus against USF.

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Speaker 1: Alabama has the players to roll Wisconsin. If Milroe finds it,

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Speaker 1: then Bama might do the heavy lifting to get to

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Speaker 1: this total. But if they get up quick, they should

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Speaker 1: be leaning on the run game. It's a road game

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Speaker 1: against a good opponent in Wisconsin, and I just think

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Speaker 1: that should be the strategy. If you do get up

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Speaker 1: early in this game, you're on the road, let's go

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Speaker 1: ahead and run out. And while Obama did give up

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Speaker 1: those rush yards last week, a lot of them were

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Speaker 1: to the quarterback round of USF and Van Dyke just

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Speaker 1: doesn't have those kind of wheels. One hundred and twenty

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Speaker 1: two rush attempts in his career for forty nine pull

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Speaker 1: of the yards thirty six yards is the highest that

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Speaker 1: he's ever had in one game. I am fading the public.

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Speaker 1: The money is more towards the under in this game,

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Speaker 1: but I think the way the trends are going is

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Speaker 1: it's gonna be unders in most games. So the way

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Speaker 1: the public is betting this week, at least because that's

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Speaker 1: what we've seen early in the season, I'm gonna hit

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Speaker 1: you with an over now. LSU at South Carolina over

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Speaker 1: forty eight, one of my favorites of the week. And

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Speaker 1: we may have some weather in this one. The forecast

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Speaker 1: has dipped. It was a forty percent chanceer rain. Now

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Speaker 1: it's a thirty percent chanceer rain. It seems like it

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Speaker 1: might rain before this game. We'll see. But what it

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Speaker 1: comes down to in this game is elis you can't

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Speaker 1: be stopped passing and they can't stop anyone. And I

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Speaker 1: think they're going to control the pace of this game.

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Speaker 1: Even though it's on the road. It's gonna be one

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Speaker 1: or loss on the line of scrimmage for sure. South

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Speaker 1: Carolina is the highest graded defense so far this season.

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Speaker 1: But I've said this before during the week, and maybe

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Speaker 1: I haven't given the South Carolina enough credit, but there

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Speaker 1: were just so many mistakes from Kentucky in that last

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Speaker 1: game that they played. I don't really count it as

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Speaker 1: a dominant win. South Carolina looked bad against Old Dominion,

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Speaker 1: so I just don't know if they're gonna get it

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Speaker 1: going against a good LSU offense, specifically on the offensive line.

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Speaker 1: I mean, we have two NFL level tackles playing for

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Speaker 1: LSU and Emory Jones Will Campbell, so Dylan Start's great,

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Speaker 1: They're true freshman who has been outstanding this year. I

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Speaker 1: just I don't have a lot of faith that and

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Speaker 1: they don't blitz a lot. I don't feel like they're

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Speaker 1: gonna put a lot of pressure on nuss Meyer, the

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Speaker 1: quarterback for LSUN. LS you lost to USC, but they

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Speaker 1: still put up four hundred and twenty one yards. USC's

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Speaker 1: defense has been bad, but they shout out Utah State

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Speaker 1: last week. USC did and I'm not talking about South Carolina,

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Speaker 1: I'm talking about Southern California. Here. Too many USC's in

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Speaker 1: this one, but they they only allowed fewer than twenty

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Speaker 1: eight points four times last season, so it looks like

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Speaker 1: maybe this USC defense is good, but LSU's offense is

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Speaker 1: still really good as well. South Carolina has a strong

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Speaker 1: defense in terms of roster strength, but USC is way

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Speaker 1: Betternus Meyer is gonna sling it against anyone, it seems,

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Speaker 1: and LSU just can't stop anybody. They gave up twenty

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Speaker 1: one points to Nickels State. I mean Nickel State, I

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Speaker 1: think put up seventeen against Louisiana Tech. So the defensive

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Speaker 1: issues for LSU have not been solved. I think South

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Speaker 1: Carolina is good enough on offense to put up some points,

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Speaker 1: and I know LSU's gonna put up points. That's how

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Speaker 1: I feel going into this game. So I'm gonna take

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Speaker 1: the over in this one. I'm gonna take one more

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Speaker 1: over this week BC at Missouri over fifty three and

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Speaker 1: a half in Missouri really hasn't been challenged yet and

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Speaker 1: BC has looked good, but they bring back so much

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Speaker 1: on offense, and really it's the fact that Luther Burden

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Speaker 1: should be back after leaving with an illness in the

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Speaker 1: last game. Theo Wees, the wide receiver and tight end

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Speaker 1: Brett Norfleet are good to go as well, so I

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Speaker 1: don't know that Missouri has really been at full strength

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Speaker 1: yet this season, and they are going to be in

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Speaker 1: this game. It seems BC has ran down FSU in

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Speaker 1: Ducaine's throat with a three headed monster with the quarterback

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Speaker 1: Castianos and through running back Robachau and Ward. We are

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Speaker 1: going to get a mismatch of Missouri making it rain

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Speaker 1: and forcing BC to pass in this game, though, I

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Speaker 1: just think Missouri is gonna put up points and then

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Speaker 1: we're gonna see Thomas Castellanos make mistakes passing and trying

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Speaker 1: to catch up. He had fourteen interceptions last season as

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Speaker 1: a starter for BC. Seems like Bill O'Brien has worked

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Speaker 1: out a lot of those issues, right, But I think

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Speaker 1: when you're pressed, I think he's going to make some

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Speaker 1: wild throws in this game, and I think Missouri gets

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Speaker 1: the ball, has some short fields, takes advantage of those

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Speaker 1: mistakes and scores some points. So Missouri maybe bringing back

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Speaker 1: over eighty percent of their returning production on offense. But

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Speaker 1: the defense lost first round pick defensive lineman Darius Robinson,

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Speaker 1: linebacker Tyrone Hopper, cornerback Seenis Reksaw and Chris Abranstream and

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Speaker 1: safety Jalen Carlos last in the drafts, so they still

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Speaker 1: have a lot to replace on defense. BC has been

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Speaker 1: making it work, but I don't see this as really

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Speaker 1: a back and forth game. I think BC maybe scores

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Speaker 1: on the first scripted drive. I think maybe they score

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Speaker 1: again in the game, But I think Missouri does the

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Speaker 1: heavy lifting in this one, right. So if you don't

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Speaker 1: trust BC to score because you think this is too

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Speaker 1: much of a mismatch, there's a lot of that going around,

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Speaker 1: then roll the Missouri over thirty four and a half

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Speaker 1: on the team total. I think that one's an okay

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Speaker 1: one to lay as well. Take advantage of an awesome

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Speaker 1: get two hundred dollars, and stream more football today only

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Speaker 1: on FanDuel Sportsbook. All right, let's go into these player

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Speaker 1: props that I have, and I'm going to stick to

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Speaker 1: that Missouri BC game for the first one. Thomas Castellanos

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Speaker 1: over sixty and a half rushing yards. He only had

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Speaker 1: eight verse two K, but he had seventy three versus

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Speaker 1: FSU and this guy runs the ball a lot. Sixty

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Speaker 1: and a half is the total on an underdog. But

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Speaker 1: if you want to stack this one, and I'm just

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Speaker 1: picking overs here, there's so many unders to take on

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Speaker 1: player props, whatever under you want to take, I get it.

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Speaker 1: But I think that you can bet these at different levels,

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Speaker 1: and I like all these because of that. So sixty

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Speaker 1: and a half, which he hit in nine of thirteen

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Speaker 1: games last season in twenty twenty three, is minus one

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Speaker 1: fifteen seventy or more is plus one forty. He hit

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Speaker 1: that in seven and thirteen games last year, eighty plus.

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Speaker 1: Now you're doubling your money. It's plus two to twenty.

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Speaker 1: That one hit in six games last season, five of

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Speaker 1: ninety plus. That's plus three sixty. And he had four

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Speaker 1: games over one hundred. In each of those games he

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Speaker 1: went over one to ten. So one hundred is plus

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Speaker 1: five to fifty. One ten is plus eight fifty. So

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Speaker 1: if you're looking for some long shots. I don't hate

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Speaker 1: that one. Another quarterback one here, Grace McCall, the NC

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Speaker 1: State quarterback over two hundred and thirty nine and a

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Speaker 1: half passing yards first Louisiana Tech. LA Tech is ninety

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Speaker 1: fifth in defensive roster strength and one hundred and thirteenth

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Speaker 1: in the secondary. Just not a very good defense for

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Speaker 1: LA Tech and Grace McCall. He's had in games with

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Speaker 1: over twenty passing attempts, he has thirty. He's hit this

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Speaker 1: two thirty nine and a half total twenty five times.

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Speaker 1: A lot of that is playing for Coastal Carolina again

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Speaker 1: against a weaker schedule, But I think he can really

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Speaker 1: do this against a bad LA Tech team. That's a

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Speaker 1: team that would have been on his schedule against Grace

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Speaker 1: against Coastal Carolina, and now he's on NC State with

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Speaker 1: better weapons. Two forty plus is minus one fifteen two

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Speaker 1: fifty plus. Now you're getting plus money plus one ten

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Speaker 1: two seventy five is plus two fifteen, So doubling up

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Speaker 1: on that and plus four to twenty five for three

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Speaker 1: hundred or more yards. The only worry that I would

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Speaker 1: have is they're up so much on Louisiana tack early

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Speaker 1: if he doesn't get to that two fifty quickly, maybe

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Speaker 1: you know, they pull him from the game or something,

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Speaker 1: if they're stomping Louisiana attack. I don't know about that though.

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Speaker 1: If you want a pair, the wide receiver number one

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Speaker 1: wide out Fancys State, Kevin Concepcio. His total is seventy

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Speaker 1: two point five and I like that one as well.

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Speaker 1: I just like the Grayson one a little bit more.

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Speaker 1: Let's go to a running back that has had success

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Speaker 1: running the ball. It's Caleb Johnson of Iowa over seventy

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Speaker 1: eight and a half rushing yards first Troy on the season.

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Speaker 1: He has played the two games, He's thirty six carries

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Speaker 1: for three hundred and six yards and four touchdowns, eleven

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Speaker 1: and one hundred and nineteen yards and two scores versus

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Speaker 1: Illinois State, and I guess his four touchdowns my bad.

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Speaker 1: Twenty five carries one hundred and eighty seven yards and

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Speaker 1: two touchdowns last week against Iowa State. It was a

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Speaker 1: much better run defense. Troy is zero to two. They

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Speaker 1: have given up over two hundred yards rushing to Nevada

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Speaker 1: thirty three rushes for two to fourteen and Memphis twenty

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Speaker 1: nine for two to eleven. This line is seventy eight

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Speaker 1: and a half I think is just too low for

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Speaker 1: Caleb Johnson. He's gonna have a huge rush in this game.

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Speaker 1: I think, uh probably one of like thirty or forty yards.

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Speaker 1: So if you want to take his longest as well,

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Speaker 1: I don't hate that. Eighty plus is minus one forty five.

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Speaker 1: Ninety plus is plus one oh five. If you're going

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Speaker 1: over one hundred plus one sixty five, you're doubling up

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Speaker 1: at one ten plus two to thirty five, and then

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Speaker 1: one twenty or more rushing yards is going to pay

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Speaker 1: you out of plus three forty. So I like those totals.

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Speaker 1: Let's go with another running back here, Mario Anderson of Memphis.

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Speaker 1: They're at FSU, and we've seen two teams run all

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Speaker 1: over FSU so far, one hundred and ninety they give

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Speaker 1: up to Georgia Tech and two hundred and sixty three

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Speaker 1: to Boston College. He is a transfer Mario anders from

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Speaker 1: from South Carolina and he has been their lead back.

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Speaker 1: He was in some big time SEC matchups for South

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Speaker 1: Carolina last year and eclipses total against the Mississippi State, Tennessee, Florida, Missouri,

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Speaker 1: and Texas A and m and A and M and

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Speaker 1: Missouri and Tennessee were all really strong defenses last year.

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Speaker 1: This one at sixty two plus pays out minus one fifteen.

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Speaker 1: If you're going seventy, it's plus one thirty. You get

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Speaker 1: plus two ten at eighty, plus three twenty at ninety,

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Speaker 1: plus five hundred at one hundred fsu maybe they get

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Speaker 1: it right, but they have looked terrible. And then one

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Speaker 1: ten plus will pay you plus seven fifty, So some

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Speaker 1: good odds there. If you're looking for a long shot.

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Speaker 1: Coy Eken, the wide receiver from Texas Tech, I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: go with the over fifty seven and a half receiving

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Speaker 1: yards versus North Texas. North Texas is a bad secondary.

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Speaker 1: They have given up four hundred and thirty two yards

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Speaker 1: passing the South Alabama and they've played Steven F. Austin

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Speaker 1: the next week, who's not a very good FCS team.

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Speaker 1: Unt only returns one starter in the secondary, and Texas

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Speaker 1: Tech stud running back Taj Brooks his questionable play, looks

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Speaker 1: like he's good to go, but North Texas can score.

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Speaker 1: Texas Tech defense is terrible. I think this is going

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Speaker 1: to be a shootout. The total in this game is

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Speaker 1: sixty nine and a half. It's a large total, So

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Speaker 1: I really like the passing of this game. Ecan is

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Speaker 1: the second wide receiver, the wide receiver two at Texas Tech.

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Speaker 1: But I think there's gonna be a lot of passing here.

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Speaker 1: This one. Fifty eight plus is minus one twenty five,

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Speaker 1: sixty is minus one, ten, seventy is plus one forty.

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Speaker 1: You can bet this all the way up to plus

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Speaker 1: one twenty or one twenty or more will get you

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Speaker 1: plus ninety fifty. If you want to go over one hundred,

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Speaker 1: that's plus four seventy five. So there's a lot of

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Speaker 1: options for koy Ekean on the total. And then the

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Speaker 1: last one, I'm gonna go back to that BC and

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Speaker 1: Boston College game and go with Luther Burton. This one

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Speaker 1: is more of a dart throw, but the total is

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Speaker 1: sixty nine and a half receiving yards against BC, and

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Speaker 1: this is not a number you're gonna get for Luther

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Speaker 1: Burdon very often. This year. He and Ted McMillan are

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Speaker 1: kind of battling it out for who is the number

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Speaker 1: one wide receiver in the NFL draft next year, and

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Speaker 1: Burden is at the top of a lot of people's

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Speaker 1: Boards hasn't looked great, hasn't hit his rhythm quite yet.

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Speaker 1: For Missouri last week he left with an illness in

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Speaker 1: the middle of the game. I think give it a week,

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Speaker 1: he should be over that. And I just think this

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Speaker 1: total because BC has looked good and because Missouri, well,

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Speaker 1: Luther Burdon hasn't. I think that's why we're getting a

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Speaker 1: low total. And it's minus one twenty five at seventy,

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Speaker 1: plus one twenty at eighty you're doubling up at one

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Speaker 1: hundred at plus two sixty, plus three seventy for one

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Speaker 1: to ten and plus five hundred for So those are

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Speaker 1: all of my picks for this week. Good luck in

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Speaker 1: week three. Follow me on the Twitter at Bogman Sports

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Speaker 1: and if you like NFL, I'm gonna be on the

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Speaker 1: Locker app. It's a really fun app for fantasy football,

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Speaker 1: and what you do is you pick what's going to

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Speaker 1: happen in the drive. They give you options. This is

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Speaker 1: a year long contest for that in the Fantasy Pros

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Speaker 1: and Betting Pros discord. So if you want to check

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Speaker 1: that out, I'll be doing that on Monday. We have

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Speaker 1: a promo code Fantasy here fifty dollars match on that

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Speaker 1: as well. So yeah, check me out there. I'll be

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Speaker 1: doing that on the discord and good luck with all

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Speaker 1: your bets in week three. Take it easy, everybody.

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Speaker 2: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you

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Speaker 2: love the show, the best freeway to support us is

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Speaker 2: Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to our YouTube

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Speaker 2: channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros US