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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast podcast.

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Speaker 2: All right, here we go.

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Speaker 3: Spreading the corn.

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Speaker 1: Ten seconds remaining to just go show off to the

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Speaker 1: basket under the basket.

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Speaker 2: It's the troup for the wind.

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Speaker 1: God make a miracle.

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Speaker 2: I'm it's up the water.

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Speaker 3: Hit that one from the parking lot.

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Speaker 1: And welcome boys and girls. Yes it is that month,

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Speaker 1: a month they call March. This is the BBOC podcast.

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Speaker 1: Three man we is here Matthew Cox, Timothy Root, Kyle

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Speaker 1: McKeon breaking down the early portion of the week of

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Speaker 1: the upcoming week in college basketball for the usual cadence,

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Speaker 1: but the cadence has been shuffled. Conference tournaments are upon us,

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Speaker 1: smister kean. We will talk about some i don't know,

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Speaker 1: not meetingless power conference games, but not as an exciting

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Speaker 1: relative juxtapose next to the actual conference tournaments that we

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Speaker 1: have heaten up early this week. Show to the horizon,

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Speaker 1: the Patriot and the sum Belt fun Belt for front

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Speaker 1: loading their schedule, so we get to break them down

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Speaker 1: for you fellas. Let's get right to some of the

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Speaker 1: power games for Monday and Tuesday. Pretty quick turnaround off

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Speaker 1: the pretty loaded Saturday slate. As we come down the

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Speaker 1: stretch here let's talk about Kansas at Houston and wake

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Speaker 1: Forest at Duke.

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Speaker 3: Those are the two marquee games. On Monday.

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Speaker 1: A couple other noteworthy, but there's really nothing that really

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Speaker 1: jumps out at you. And then Tuesday we have some

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Speaker 1: good sec action with Auburn going to Texas A and

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Speaker 1: m in Byu going to Iowa State. Kai to you

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Speaker 1: first for the Monday too, for heading down to Houston.

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Speaker 3: I don't know.

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Speaker 1: I've been kind of a Houston skeptic. That's maybe a cynic.

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Speaker 1: I would say, just not voting that they are double

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Speaker 1: digits better than all of these really good big ball teams.

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Speaker 1: But yet they continuously prove you wrong. And you know,

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Speaker 1: silence my Chris, what are your thoughts? Your laying eleven

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Speaker 1: against this basically ZOMBIEKU team that everyone thinks is dead

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Speaker 1: and and and and buried at this point.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, everyone thinks they're dead and they might be right.

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Speaker 4: Texas Tech came in and beat Kansas in fog for

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Speaker 4: the second time in Texas Tech's history. They're two and

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Speaker 4: twenty two at the fog against Kansas now, and yeah,

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Speaker 4: the Beakers haven't excuse me, the Jayhawks, I call them

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Speaker 4: beaker some of them Zoo guys. They have not beaten

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Speaker 4: a team not named Colorado or Oklahoma State since February third.

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Speaker 4: It's been a while since their last could win. That

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Speaker 4: was Iowa State. Their struggles on the road have been

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Speaker 4: well documented. They've lost their three of the last four

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Speaker 4: road games, use me, four of the last five road games.

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Speaker 4: And Houston is obviously a team that doesn't get hangovers. Yes,

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Speaker 4: they clinched, They're not going to let off the gas pedal.

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Speaker 4: That's not what Kevin Sampson does. That's not what anybody

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Speaker 4: on this Houston team does. You saw a game effort

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Speaker 4: from the Bearcats last game in Houston. Didn't matter, they

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Speaker 4: still took care of business. Eleven's a lot, Jim double

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Speaker 4: digits still for this Kansas team, despite the fact that

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Speaker 4: we just declared them dead. Still a very talented team.

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Speaker 4: Still at bill self in the sidelines last time I checked.

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Speaker 4: That's a ton of points lean towards kau on a

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Speaker 4: side there.

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Speaker 3: But I don't really want to fade Houston right now. Yeah,

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Speaker 3: I think to Ku as well.

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Speaker 5: I mean, they had this team beat at fog Allen,

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Speaker 5: they beat Houston and then miracle vault miracles to tie

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Speaker 5: that game.

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Speaker 2: And send it to a second overtime.

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Speaker 5: Houston is able to get the victory there, but I

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Speaker 5: think Kansas can enter this with a solid.

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Speaker 2: Amount of confidence based on that.

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Speaker 5: Despite the run of pretty poor play they've had in

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Speaker 5: February that you mentioned, Houston is a monster. They're eleven

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Speaker 5: and seven against the spread in conference, Matthew, So despite

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Speaker 5: some of those inflated numbers, they have been very good.

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Speaker 5: Did not cover against Cincy, but they shot twenty percent

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Speaker 5: from three. We're not hitting shots. The team that's hit

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Speaker 5: forty percent from three all season, one of the best

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Speaker 5: ten to fifteen shooting teams in the entire country.

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Speaker 2: That was a little bit of an aberration. Yeah.

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Speaker 5: I typically in the mid major leagues, a team that

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Speaker 5: clinches outright might get the more celebration hangover type effect

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Speaker 5: than you want to fade them the next game. I

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Speaker 5: did that successfully against Tousand this weekend, SIEMA lost outright

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Speaker 5: to Eastern Illinois. Chattanooga is actually able to cover against VMI,

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Speaker 5: but I generally think that's a pretty good spot in

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Speaker 5: mid majors, not in the high majors, matt There's still

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Speaker 5: a ton for them to play for. With seeding at

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Speaker 5: Houston could get up to the number two overall seed.

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Speaker 5: They they basically can't pass Auburn, so they can't get

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Speaker 5: the South region. That's probably what they would want most,

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Speaker 5: but you want to avoid getting the four and getting shipped.

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Speaker 3: West and just having to have that heavy travel.

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Speaker 5: So I think Houston's going to be totally dialed in

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Speaker 5: for this one. It's just a matter of number, and

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Speaker 5: I think it's too high with the way Kansas can defend.

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Speaker 5: Definitely lean to the Jayhawks, but not an official play, and.

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Speaker 1: We do have some early openers out there. Yeah, basically

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Speaker 1: ten and a half, so right on market with Kempalm.

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Speaker 1: I think that's about right. You look at Kansas so

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Speaker 1: far this year, they're actually four and seven against the

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Speaker 1: spread away from home, which I think sort of I

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Speaker 1: kind of looked this team as more of an adult

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Speaker 1: team should play well on the road, but they have not.

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Speaker 3: That's not been true this year.

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Speaker 1: I think a lot of teams that host K get

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Speaker 1: hype to play K, so they usually get their the

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Speaker 1: other team's best shot, and this team obviously is lacking

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Speaker 1: some depth, some offensive dynamism as we talked about.

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Speaker 3: All right, Duke laying twenty two?

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Speaker 5: Yeah, sorry, quick matchup mode on that Kansas talking about

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Speaker 5: how they're going to play through Dickinson more, It's really

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Speaker 5: hard to play through the post against Houston because they

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Speaker 5: post double. Like Dickinson had seventeen on only ten two pointers.

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Speaker 5: Like that's not a very high usage in a fifty

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Speaker 5: minute game. Dickinson played forty five minutes and took ten shots.

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Speaker 5: So they're gonna need stuff from the.

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Speaker 2: Other guys, the shooters.

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Speaker 5: Zeek Mayo is gonna have to bounce back after the

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Speaker 5: weird debacle over the weekend. Yeah, his his social media

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Speaker 5: stuff cut spread around. Go ahead and search that if

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Speaker 5: you want to. We don't need to get into it.

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Speaker 5: But it's gonna have to come from the roll guys.

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Speaker 2: And maybe that will be too tough for them.

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Speaker 3: On the road. But again, still number thing all right,

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Speaker 3: just wanted to mention that note, Matthew. Sorry, no worth mentioning.

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Speaker 1: I think the whistle final point will matter here, very

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Speaker 1: physical up front. I think the questionable calls a few

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Speaker 1: went against the Houston front line at the fog highly

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Speaker 1: dot they go that way in Houston. I don't think

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Speaker 1: the whistle means anything. When do coast wake Forest now,

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Speaker 1: I will say wake Forest, if we remember the first matchup,

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Speaker 1: an admirable effort relative to their ace see Counterpartskins Duke.

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Speaker 1: They kind of slowed the game down as Wake has

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Speaker 1: sort of dovetailed into this like very gritty, grimy type

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Speaker 1: of Steve Forbes team. They're not playing with much tempo,

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Speaker 1: they can't shoot, and Forbes is like, we have to

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Speaker 1: get to the rim at all costs.

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Speaker 3: It's just such a.

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Speaker 1: Terrible offensive approach against Duke in that size. Even without

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Speaker 1: Malik Brown, Tyre's proctor. They're debatably best on ball defender

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Speaker 1: obviously out here as well, so you could argue in

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Speaker 1: Duke down two of their best defenders, but I think

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Speaker 1: the whole team defense is just so sturdy and so long.

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Speaker 1: I don't know Jim any any chance wait keeps us

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Speaker 1: within twenty. It does feel like a high number. If

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Speaker 1: Way can control tempo here, yeah.

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Speaker 5: Twenty it feels crazy again. I mean, Duke has won

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Speaker 5: their last three games by a combined one hundred and

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Speaker 5: fifteen points. That's an average of thirty eight to gave

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Speaker 5: forty a game. Let's a little less than forty a game.

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Speaker 2: It's absurd.

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Speaker 3: They're just completely smashing teams.

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Speaker 2: Matt do you have an.

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Speaker 5: Eye report on Cooper Flag after this weekend?

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Speaker 3: No, I heard. It's fine.

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Speaker 1: I'm hoping we see like air an eye patch and

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Speaker 1: we get the Cooper Flag one eye eye patch game

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Speaker 1: on Monday.

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Speaker 3: That's that's my guest. But we'll say.

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Speaker 5: Cooper Fly doesn't need that perception folkus. Yes, he can

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Speaker 5: do it with one eye.

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Speaker 1: He doesn't need it when he's lamps from two feet

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Speaker 1: out of every time you can score with one eye,

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Speaker 1: he's fine.

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Speaker 5: It's hard not to remember the Wake twenty five to

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Speaker 5: four run on Duke coming out of the halftime.

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Speaker 2: They smashed this team. It was by far the.

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Speaker 5: Most mortal Duke has looked, even including the Clemson game.

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Speaker 5: They looked like flabbergasted and it was a rather shocking performance.

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Speaker 5: But they did kind of dig in get some more stops.

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Speaker 5: Flag made some big buckets down the stretch of that game,

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Speaker 5: and Duke was able to pull out the win. Maybe

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Speaker 5: Wake's a little bit confident because of that, but man,

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Speaker 5: they're reeling Kay. They are playing really poorly right now,

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Speaker 5: have basically played themselves out of the tournament, even though

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Speaker 5: they've got decent resume metrics. Still, this is general Custer's

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Speaker 5: last stand for Wake, and I have a feeling it's

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Speaker 5: going to end similarly to poor old General Custer. So yeah,

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Speaker 5: I would not want to fade Duke given the run

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Speaker 5: they're on even.

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Speaker 4: Shorthanded, No Wake has lost can't lose games, and now

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Speaker 4: they have a must win game against the best team

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Speaker 4: in the country right now, at least the team that's

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Speaker 4: playing like it since February first, Duke's margin of victory

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Speaker 4: and this includes the loss to Clemson is twenty five

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Speaker 4: points per game over the last nine games.

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Speaker 3: That's insane.

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Speaker 4: They beat Florida State by thirty five points with Flag

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Speaker 4: in the locker room, playing nineteen minutes with Brown out,

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Speaker 4: with Procter out, They're more than capable of beating Wake here.

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Speaker 4: Of course, twenty two feels big. Of course it does

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Speaker 4: for a tournament team like Wake, or at least a

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Speaker 4: bubble team like Wake. Excuse me, but I'm not excited

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Speaker 4: to fade Duke. In fact, I won't do it, so again,

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Speaker 4: kind of like Houston, I'm staying away in this game.

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Speaker 5: First meeting forty six to twenty nine on the board's

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Speaker 5: Duke absolutely.

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Speaker 1: Blast had Yeah, I guess you could argue it's the

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Speaker 1: look ahead spot for two think at UNC, but I

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Speaker 1: don't know. I mean, Duke's only one game up in

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Speaker 1: the ACA tonight. How much did Duke care about the

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Speaker 1: AC title race. It's just funny to think that they've

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Speaker 1: been so dominant yet only League Clemson in Louisville by

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Speaker 1: a game in these C standings.

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Speaker 3: Both of those teams sixteen and two, pretty crazy.

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Speaker 1: B a lot of bullies, a lot of haves, a

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Speaker 1: lot of have absolutely nothings. I would call them, Let's

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Speaker 1: turn a Tuesday a little bit better. Slay on Tuesday,

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Speaker 1: Kai your SEC country. Sort of as a Miszoo fan,

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Speaker 1: you guys kind of adopted SECT sort of the rest

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Speaker 1: of the conferences to accepting you. But but they will

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Speaker 1: in a few years.

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Speaker 3: Just let's just let it. Give it time.

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Speaker 1: Texas A and M hosting Auburn here. I'm tired of

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Speaker 1: fading Auburn. It's just a really good basketball team. The

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Speaker 1: shots that they made over the weekend were just absolutely absurd.

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Speaker 1: They had a couple of guys get banged up in

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Speaker 1: that game, though, Denver Jones, Chad Baker Mazzarro, who I

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Speaker 1: think gets hurt every game and he's never actually really hurt.

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Speaker 1: So I don't know if that's that's a real thing,

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Speaker 1: but Denver Jones a very noticeable bone bers thing with yeah,

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Speaker 1: the official diagnosis there, I debabibly their best on ball defender.

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Speaker 1: So key piece, A and M kai physical. We know

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Speaker 1: what the recipe is. Plus seven is the projected line.

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Speaker 1: Any interest there.

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Speaker 4: It's been enjoyable seeing A and M come back down

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Speaker 4: to earth. They've lost four straight. Their offense is catching.

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Speaker 3: Up with them.

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Speaker 4: They're a horrible offensive team without the offensive rebounding that

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Speaker 4: is what they rely on. So they need to score,

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Speaker 4: and when other teams hit shots, like the last four

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Speaker 4: teams they've played, they lose games. They're mortal because they're

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Speaker 4: not a great offensive team. They can't they can't shoot

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Speaker 4: from three. They really can't finish around the rim or

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Speaker 4: in the paint, and they need to get to the

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Speaker 4: bre throw line and rebound two score Auburn, good luck

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Speaker 4: scoring in the paint against them. With broom and cardwell,

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Speaker 4: now they can be beaten on the glass. In fact,

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Speaker 4: in conference play, the Auburns are pretty bad in the glass.

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Speaker 4: But still it's probably more of a symptom of the

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Speaker 4: way they're scheming their defense, they're going for blocks. They're

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Speaker 4: kind of out of position. I think against A and M.

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Speaker 4: I think Pearl knows to stay home, emphasize, box out

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Speaker 4: a little bit more against the good Siaggi team, certainly

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Speaker 4: going to pack the paint a little bit more against

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Speaker 4: them because they cannot shoot. And then Auburn so much

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Speaker 4: firepower if those guys are out for whatever reason, Baker

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Speaker 4: Massara and Denver Jones, like you mentioned, Matt, you know,

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Speaker 4: maybe you get cute with A and M, but I

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Speaker 4: am still an interested in thing to Auburn. We've talked

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Speaker 4: about Houston, Duke, Auburn the three best teams in the country.

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Speaker 4: I'm kind of a no thanks, no need to fade

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Speaker 4: them right now.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, And Auburn's back to the first two and a

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Speaker 5: half months when they were completely untouchable, and then they

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Speaker 5: had the little bit of lull.

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Speaker 2: Starting with that South Carolina game when Broom got.

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Speaker 5: Hurt, and then they struggled a little bit, and now

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Speaker 5: the last few games have been just like complete wagon like.

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Speaker 5: They dominated the game in Alabam, ended up winning by nine.

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Speaker 5: Arkansas game was dice, they didn't make any shots, but

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Speaker 5: then crush Georgia destroy Mississippi blowout Kentucky on the road.

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Speaker 5: They clearly have rediscovered what makes them elite. On the

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Speaker 5: other side, though, Texas A and M. Man you mentioned

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Speaker 5: the last four games teams are shooting forty two percent

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Speaker 5: from three against them.

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Speaker 2: That's not good.

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Speaker 5: But Texa, San and M's only shooting twenty seven percent.

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Speaker 5: That's not that much of an outlier.

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Speaker 2: They suck at shooting.

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Speaker 3: That's a really bad shooting team.

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Speaker 5: So you can talk about the three point splits there,

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Speaker 5: but they give up a ton of threes and they

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Speaker 5: can't make them, so they're going to be prone to

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Speaker 5: those type of out ends. I just this is another.

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Speaker 3: Tough spot here where four in a row, text Ana

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Speaker 3: is lost.

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Speaker 5: You expect kind of a big playoff effort against Auburn.

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Speaker 5: Their last game is at LSU. I don't think there's a.

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Speaker 2: Any look ahead there.

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Speaker 5: But on the other side, Matt, you do have the

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Speaker 5: potential look ahead for Auburn with the rematch of the

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Speaker 5: Eyebob the Iron Bowl of Basketball name copyright to trademark

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Speaker 5: Tarlie Donovan on that. But so so there's a little

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Speaker 5: bit of worry there. I would lean towards A and M.

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Speaker 5: But again I don't want to fade Auburn or Duke

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Speaker 5: or Houston, so I'm not going to.

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Speaker 4: Do it.

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Speaker 1: Many Obuseki, this is the whole an M story. Like

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Speaker 1: when he's playing good, I love this team. When he's

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Speaker 1: a non factor and Buzz Williams is playing Jase Carter

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Speaker 1: over him, like even if has been and he has

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Speaker 1: been bad, like I think he's over his last twelve.

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Speaker 1: He was terrible against Vandy, Like he came in, just

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Speaker 1: took some crap shots, and Buzz like, all right, you're

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Speaker 1: you're sitting down.

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Speaker 3: He can He's a very.

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Speaker 1: Feast or fan and dude, I think the team's offense

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Speaker 1: kind of rides with his volatility and they need him

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Speaker 1: in there. And at this if he's gonna be a

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Speaker 1: non factor, I'm some shares will need to be offloaded

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Speaker 1: of my A and M of port video. I'll just

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Speaker 1: say that, all right, that's that's.

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Speaker 5: Going to be a strange message for people that are

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Speaker 5: BBOC listeners because Stucky is like the biggest Texas.

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Speaker 2: A and M buyer in the entire land.

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Speaker 1: I'm with them, but I don't like what I'm seeing now,

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Speaker 1: Like look at the trajectory last year. It's like you

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Speaker 1: turn the calendar to March, you see Obi Seki's minutes

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Speaker 1: double and he's in fifteen eighteen twenty points a game,

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Speaker 1: and like the Houston game was like that was him

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Speaker 1: and a nutshell just like looked like one of the

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Speaker 1: best players on the floor against Houston. Like that's what

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Speaker 1: this team needs, because it doesn't need Zeric Phelps taking

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Speaker 1: bat shots, which.

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Speaker 3: Is what a lot of Like, what's what is right now?

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Speaker 3: You're still going to get a lot of it.

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Speaker 2: Get excited.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, that might be a not negotiable at this point.

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Speaker 1: All right, ky I always stay hosting BYU. Oh yeah,

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Speaker 1: Ken Pound projected seven that feels light BYU has been

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Speaker 1: awesome lately, so maybe I've not taken stock of that.

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Speaker 1: I'd appreciate that. What are your thoughts on this matchup here?

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Speaker 1: First being between these two the youngish Cougars go from

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Speaker 1: altitude to Hilton Magic.

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Speaker 3: What do they have?

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Speaker 2: Yeah?

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Speaker 4: I like Hilton Magic. You're right, Bo, He's been awesome

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Speaker 4: one sixth straight. Three of them have been on the

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Speaker 4: road completely have turned around their road by I don't

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Speaker 4: know what he said that we thought of this team

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Speaker 4: as a bad road team start the year, right, they

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Speaker 4: went to Providence, they got smoked. They lost a bunch

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Speaker 4: of games in conference TCU, Utah, Cincinnati, and now they're

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Speaker 4: a juggernaut. They look great. Uh, they're clearly very talented team.

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Speaker 4: They can shoot the lights out. But I always state

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Speaker 4: that Arizona game really showed me this team when fully healthy,

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Speaker 4: is really.

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Speaker 3: Hard to beat. I need to check the record books.

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Speaker 4: But when mom Chilovich is back, when Gilbert is back,

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Speaker 4: when Jones is back, there go Jams hold up with a.

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Speaker 3: Basket to Auburn.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, arguably a top five team when fully healthy. And

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Speaker 4: I think that's not even that arguable, So I.

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Speaker 3: Like I always stayed here.

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Speaker 4: You could argue they're a little bit undervalued right now

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Speaker 4: in analytics because they've had injuries, because they dropped a

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Speaker 4: few games. Hilton Magic, Yeah minus seven leaning towards Iowa

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Speaker 4: State there.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, I wonder what this number opens if it gets

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Speaker 5: bumped up to eight or nine because they're healthier and

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Speaker 5: that version of them has been so freaking good. I mean,

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Speaker 5: Kishon Gilbert returned, it was terrible against or against Arizona.

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Speaker 5: Seven turnovers, two of eight from the field, twenty three minutes,

356
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Speaker 5: Like clearly still banged up or not right, not his

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Speaker 5: normal self, and it didn't matter. They dominated both ends

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Speaker 5: of the court, held Arizona below one point possession while

359
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Speaker 5: scoring a bunch themselves. Hilton magic does matter, Matthew. I

360
00:15:36,160 --> 00:15:38,960
Speaker 5: think the basket looks a little bigger for the Iowa

361
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Speaker 5: State casalunchian away and I do lean pretty heavily towards

362
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Speaker 5: the Clones. If it was seven, I would bet it.

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Speaker 5: I think it's going to be north of seven. That's

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Speaker 5: just a hunch.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I would guess eight and a half.

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Speaker 1: If ever, yeah, I think that's fair. Again, nothing in

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Speaker 1: that game. A few other notes on the Monday Tuesday games.

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Speaker 1: I only have one official play. I'll start with this

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Speaker 1: and Jam you can talk about some of your leans

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Speaker 1: for the Monday town. They did some of the note

371
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Speaker 1: taking here. I looked really heavily. At Tuesday, Villanova goes

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Speaker 1: to Georgetown. It's their final. It's the rate they close

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Speaker 1: out the right or season at Georgetown. I've waughted Georgetown

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Speaker 1: play the last two games, and this team just has

375
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Speaker 1: absolutely no hope defensively without Sober. It's too young and

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Speaker 1: there's only one mic A PV out there if they

377
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Speaker 1: need like three of them, if they have any prayer

378
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Speaker 1: to be good defensively, and I know they've been kind

379
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Speaker 1: of scoring and making some fun shots and had some

380
00:16:26,800 --> 00:16:28,200
Speaker 1: rum uni its. You come, they kind of like had

381
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Speaker 1: a run whords like okay, you know, like this young fun,

382
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Speaker 1: but it's just not same because they don't guard people,

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Speaker 1: and I don't like at Cooley teams without a defensive backbone.

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Speaker 1: I think the Nova hate has gone too far. I

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Speaker 1: like what I'm seeing recently.

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Speaker 2: Kai.

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Speaker 1: I'm just gonna trust my gut here. I think it's

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00:16:42,640 --> 00:16:46,040
Speaker 1: gonna be a pretty cheap number minus two minus three, minus.

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Speaker 3: Four, but he's not higher than four.

390
00:16:48,280 --> 00:16:50,120
Speaker 1: I'm sure people will fade Road Nova because Road. No,

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00:16:50,200 --> 00:16:52,120
Speaker 1: it's not been great this year frankly, but that's my

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Speaker 1: only bet for the Monday Tuesday non conference turning games.

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Speaker 2: Boom.

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Speaker 3: There it is. I'll hand it off to you. No,

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Speaker 3: I like that a lot.

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Speaker 4: Their offense is awesome. Villanova any outsourber. Georgetown's lost three

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Speaker 4: straight games by double digits. Of course, three of those

398
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Speaker 4: games we're against three the best teams in the Big East.

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Speaker 4: But yeah, better, I think Villanova can do it. Yeah

400
00:17:07,680 --> 00:17:09,920
Speaker 4: without seb where I want no piece of Georgetown, No thanks,

401
00:17:09,920 --> 00:17:13,320
Speaker 4: and Villanova is still you know, outside outside outside looking

402
00:17:13,320 --> 00:17:14,760
Speaker 4: into the tournament right now, it.

403
00:17:14,880 --> 00:17:17,000
Speaker 3: Still has a chance for it. Yeah, they're not dead, I.

404
00:17:17,000 --> 00:17:19,159
Speaker 4: Mean small, not not really a large, to be honest,

405
00:17:19,160 --> 00:17:21,840
Speaker 4: but a chance to play to a little bit higher

406
00:17:21,880 --> 00:17:24,360
Speaker 4: seed in the Big East tournament. At the very least

407
00:17:24,400 --> 00:17:25,800
Speaker 4: they can finish twelve and eight. I think they would

408
00:17:25,800 --> 00:17:28,760
Speaker 4: get them top five. I want to say maybe six

409
00:17:28,840 --> 00:17:29,520
Speaker 4: in the Big East.

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00:17:29,920 --> 00:17:31,960
Speaker 1: I have a chance of four. They could catch No, no,

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00:17:32,080 --> 00:17:33,680
Speaker 1: Ukhon's got only one game left right.

412
00:17:34,600 --> 00:17:37,119
Speaker 3: Did two games. I think it's a really big outside shot.

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00:17:38,160 --> 00:17:40,360
Speaker 3: Still one. No part of Georgetown. I definitely like your

414
00:17:40,359 --> 00:17:41,360
Speaker 3: your side there, Matthew.

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00:17:41,840 --> 00:17:42,040
Speaker 2: Yeah.

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Speaker 5: I just to add to it, it's the road revenge jingle.

417
00:17:44,240 --> 00:17:46,520
Speaker 5: They lost by one at home to Georgetown, and you

418
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Speaker 5: kind of expect the bounce back against a much lesser

419
00:17:49,359 --> 00:17:52,040
Speaker 5: version Woga Popla only played eight minutes in that game

420
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Speaker 5: and it still only lost by one. Dixon, you'd think

421
00:17:55,200 --> 00:17:57,080
Speaker 5: Michkeay PV is a perfect matchup for him. He had

422
00:17:57,200 --> 00:17:59,679
Speaker 5: twenty nine points on ten of twenty three shooting. He

423
00:17:59,800 --> 00:18:03,119
Speaker 5: is in every small too small Kai I'm doing the

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Speaker 5: sign to you over zoom.

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Speaker 2: For our listeners.

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Speaker 3: He's too small, so I like that.

427
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Speaker 5: My one that I'm definitely going to lock in is

428
00:18:10,000 --> 00:18:13,919
Speaker 5: the under in North Texas and Wichita State Battle in

429
00:18:13,920 --> 00:18:16,680
Speaker 5: the American The first game between these two was fifty

430
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Speaker 5: eight to fifty four fifty eight possessions. Most notably North

431
00:18:20,480 --> 00:18:22,960
Speaker 5: Texas really controlled the pace, which to I was not

432
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Speaker 5: able to speed things up.

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Speaker 2: Total of one thirty per ken.

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Speaker 5: Pum right now, let me check what the actual official

435
00:18:29,359 --> 00:18:31,760
Speaker 5: total is out there, but I think that first one

436
00:18:31,800 --> 00:18:33,800
Speaker 5: is very indicative of what we're going to see here.

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00:18:36,280 --> 00:18:36,760
Speaker 2: The market.

438
00:18:36,880 --> 00:18:38,600
Speaker 5: Yeah, I think I bet it down to one twenty

439
00:18:38,680 --> 00:18:41,840
Speaker 5: six would be my absolute basement. I just think it's

440
00:18:41,880 --> 00:18:44,760
Speaker 5: clearly going to be another slow game, really strong defensive

441
00:18:44,760 --> 00:18:47,479
Speaker 5: team with North Texas and Wichita can't make much impact.

442
00:18:47,520 --> 00:18:50,760
Speaker 5: There kai some other ones that I looked at, but

443
00:18:50,800 --> 00:18:53,840
Speaker 5: I'm not going to lock in. There's big sky title

444
00:18:53,840 --> 00:18:57,920
Speaker 5: implications on Monday for people interested in awesome and major

445
00:18:57,920 --> 00:19:00,800
Speaker 5: hoops to potentially check that out more than Kyliato at

446
00:19:00,840 --> 00:19:02,800
Speaker 5: Weaver State, Eastern Washington at Montana.

447
00:19:02,880 --> 00:19:04,040
Speaker 2: No real bets there for me.

448
00:19:04,520 --> 00:19:08,440
Speaker 5: I'm considering u NC on Tuesday because the Heels offense

449
00:19:08,480 --> 00:19:13,280
Speaker 5: has legitimately looked awesome over the last three weeks or so,

450
00:19:13,440 --> 00:19:15,800
Speaker 5: and they're doing it against bad teams. And guess what,

451
00:19:15,840 --> 00:19:18,400
Speaker 5: they're playing another bad team, Virginia Tech with no athletes.

452
00:19:18,800 --> 00:19:21,840
Speaker 5: Toby Lawall missed last game. If he's out for the Hokies,

453
00:19:21,960 --> 00:19:26,600
Speaker 5: I would definitely lean hard towards UNC and then Arizona

454
00:19:26,720 --> 00:19:30,480
Speaker 5: back home after a loss at Hilton Magic, they get

455
00:19:30,520 --> 00:19:32,000
Speaker 5: our tribal Arizona State, who.

456
00:19:31,880 --> 00:19:33,720
Speaker 2: Is down to like four players than me.

457
00:19:33,840 --> 00:19:36,440
Speaker 5: Matt and Kai are coming in off the bench, Bobby

458
00:19:36,480 --> 00:19:38,679
Speaker 5: Hurley seniors playing actual minutes as a walk on.

459
00:19:40,720 --> 00:19:45,680
Speaker 3: From from from BHS. Yeah, so why is he?

460
00:19:46,720 --> 00:19:47,080
Speaker 2: I don't know.

461
00:19:48,080 --> 00:19:51,200
Speaker 5: I don't know, but really concerning so, I think Arizona

462
00:19:51,240 --> 00:19:54,679
Speaker 5: can actually blow them out. Considered Dayton, I don't really

463
00:19:54,680 --> 00:19:57,200
Speaker 5: trust Dayton. Sleu's lost ten in a row at Dayton,

464
00:19:57,440 --> 00:19:59,760
Speaker 5: and Sleugh just had the Marty Gras home game, which

465
00:19:59,800 --> 00:20:03,119
Speaker 5: is all is a massive emotional bump at the at

466
00:20:03,160 --> 00:20:05,320
Speaker 5: schae Fitz and they murdered.

467
00:20:05,119 --> 00:20:05,919
Speaker 2: Loyal in Chicago.

468
00:20:05,960 --> 00:20:08,520
Speaker 5: You could see a little leftdown there at Dayton. But

469
00:20:08,600 --> 00:20:10,200
Speaker 5: those were just some spots. I looked at, Kyle. The

470
00:20:10,240 --> 00:20:12,080
Speaker 5: only one I'm actually gonna lock in is North Texas,

471
00:20:12,119 --> 00:20:13,040
Speaker 5: in which you tat Under.

472
00:20:13,600 --> 00:20:15,679
Speaker 4: Yeah, I would encourage everybody to just watch the A

473
00:20:15,760 --> 00:20:16,440
Speaker 4: Sun Tournament.

474
00:20:17,119 --> 00:20:17,920
Speaker 3: I'm pretty sure.

475
00:20:17,880 --> 00:20:21,080
Speaker 4: Stucky took you through that one already on a podcast.

476
00:20:21,119 --> 00:20:25,560
Speaker 4: Here it starts on Sunday. Yeah, it's it was the

477
00:20:25,600 --> 00:20:27,600
Speaker 4: most fun conference sermon to watch. Last year was the

478
00:20:27,600 --> 00:20:30,560
Speaker 4: first one. Almost every game was like within five points.

479
00:20:30,600 --> 00:20:33,200
Speaker 4: We had multiple overtime games. I think you're gonna get

480
00:20:33,240 --> 00:20:35,760
Speaker 4: a lot of hydrama again, this leegue is totally unpredictable.

481
00:20:36,000 --> 00:20:38,760
Speaker 4: You got e K Jacksonville on Monday, you got Queen's

482
00:20:38,800 --> 00:20:42,800
Speaker 4: Foorty Golf Coast. Good luck choosing one. If you want

483
00:20:42,840 --> 00:20:46,080
Speaker 4: to get frisky, I would take the dogs, maybe Moneyline

484
00:20:46,119 --> 00:20:48,919
Speaker 4: Queens a little bit, get get weird with it in

485
00:20:48,960 --> 00:20:51,119
Speaker 4: the A Sun I think no bet is crazy in

486
00:20:51,359 --> 00:20:52,119
Speaker 4: that conference startup.

487
00:20:52,600 --> 00:20:55,480
Speaker 5: Yeah, the last overs were a bonanza. In the turn

488
00:20:55,760 --> 00:20:57,280
Speaker 5: no one played any defense.

489
00:20:57,400 --> 00:20:57,560
Speaker 3: Yeah.

490
00:20:57,600 --> 00:20:59,200
Speaker 2: Last year absolutely is a great time.

491
00:21:00,480 --> 00:21:03,800
Speaker 1: Yeah, well do you think I think North Alabama and Lipscomb,

492
00:21:03,800 --> 00:21:05,600
Speaker 1: who will be playing the winners of the Sunday night

493
00:21:05,640 --> 00:21:07,920
Speaker 1: So you're listening to this Monday morning, which you probably are,

494
00:21:08,720 --> 00:21:10,760
Speaker 1: I'm gonna probably be leading Lipscomb in UNA.

495
00:21:10,560 --> 00:21:11,919
Speaker 3: There pretty hard. I think those two teams a kind

496
00:21:11,960 --> 00:21:15,200
Speaker 3: of separated themselves. Yeah, getting the back to my team dog. Yeah,

497
00:21:15,240 --> 00:21:17,480
Speaker 3: those two have been the best teams in this league.

498
00:21:18,000 --> 00:21:21,280
Speaker 1: But we're gonna break down three for you in a

499
00:21:21,480 --> 00:21:23,399
Speaker 1: couple of which the horizon sun Belt are near dear

500
00:21:23,440 --> 00:21:25,880
Speaker 1: to my heart, the Patriots, I'm not very patriotic, so

501
00:21:26,000 --> 00:21:29,240
Speaker 1: I guess we're a patriot communists. It's good, thank you,

502
00:21:29,800 --> 00:21:34,200
Speaker 1: But for the Horizon GUI on the near horizon Tuesday Thursday.

503
00:21:34,359 --> 00:21:37,240
Speaker 1: Monday Tuesday is the set up here, so we have

504
00:21:37,280 --> 00:21:40,399
Speaker 1: campus sites and then they moved to Indianapolis the neutral

505
00:21:40,440 --> 00:21:43,840
Speaker 1: site for the semis and then the finals next Tuesday

506
00:21:43,880 --> 00:21:45,919
Speaker 1: on a back to back. It is one of those

507
00:21:46,000 --> 00:21:48,639
Speaker 1: nice situations where you do have a day off, but

508
00:21:48,720 --> 00:21:50,320
Speaker 1: still it's a tough travel for the team that wins

509
00:21:50,320 --> 00:21:53,360
Speaker 1: the opening round has to go to the top five seeds.

510
00:21:53,400 --> 00:21:56,439
Speaker 1: I'm sorry, top top five seeds. Shouts to Bobby mo

511
00:21:56,600 --> 00:21:59,840
Speaker 1: got the one seed, Andy Tool just to complete re

512
00:22:00,080 --> 00:22:03,119
Speaker 1: tool cople of their team this year. Whole new staff,

513
00:22:03,200 --> 00:22:06,919
Speaker 1: all new players on the hot seat, you know, rises

514
00:22:06,960 --> 00:22:09,879
Speaker 1: to the occasion. Then some Cleveland State got the two seed,

515
00:22:09,960 --> 00:22:12,360
Speaker 1: Milwaukee with the three seed kind of snuck in there.

516
00:22:12,920 --> 00:22:14,639
Speaker 1: Youngstown State, who I thought was kind of the best

517
00:22:14,680 --> 00:22:16,800
Speaker 1: team in this league until they lost E. J. Farmer

518
00:22:16,840 --> 00:22:20,199
Speaker 1: to a sort of mysterious illness. I don't know if

519
00:22:20,200 --> 00:22:22,439
Speaker 1: he's playing. That's a key storyline for this tournament. Kai,

520
00:22:22,920 --> 00:22:26,480
Speaker 1: and then your master Don's got the five seed. Let's

521
00:22:26,480 --> 00:22:28,640
Speaker 1: back it up to the Tuesday opening round games here,

522
00:22:28,880 --> 00:22:32,840
Speaker 1: Wright State, I, und NKU, Detroit and Oakland Kareem bay

523
00:22:32,920 --> 00:22:35,160
Speaker 1: I have a best bet from the openers on Tuesday.

524
00:22:35,359 --> 00:22:37,239
Speaker 3: Any of these three jump out to you?

525
00:22:37,800 --> 00:22:39,320
Speaker 1: Or do you want to talk the best bets for

526
00:22:39,359 --> 00:22:42,120
Speaker 1: like conference tournament futures?

527
00:22:41,400 --> 00:22:45,000
Speaker 4: Right, we'll talk odds for sure. Well, first of all,

528
00:22:45,000 --> 00:22:48,080
Speaker 4: I think this league is a This converserment is weird because,

529
00:22:48,800 --> 00:22:50,840
Speaker 4: like you kind of mentioned Thursdays at quarter finals and

530
00:22:50,840 --> 00:22:53,119
Speaker 4: then you have like three days off and then it's

531
00:22:53,119 --> 00:22:56,120
Speaker 4: the semis on the crease suite. Yeah, very strange. It's

532
00:22:56,119 --> 00:22:59,520
Speaker 4: a rorshack test. I think this league is wide open.

533
00:23:00,000 --> 00:23:03,399
Speaker 4: Pick your poison of the top five teams. Heck, I

534
00:23:03,400 --> 00:23:05,920
Speaker 4: will spoil an odds thing. I took North Northern Kentucky

535
00:23:05,920 --> 00:23:06,439
Speaker 4: on a flyer.

536
00:23:06,640 --> 00:23:06,960
Speaker 3: Why not?

537
00:23:07,119 --> 00:23:10,480
Speaker 4: Forty three to one was a crazy price in my opinion.

538
00:23:10,720 --> 00:23:12,400
Speaker 4: They have Detroit in the first round. I think they're

539
00:23:12,400 --> 00:23:14,800
Speaker 4: going to breeze pass Detroit. I definitely thin they can

540
00:23:14,800 --> 00:23:17,560
Speaker 4: beat Cleveland State. I think can be every team this league. Basically,

541
00:23:17,560 --> 00:23:19,800
Speaker 4: that was a price thing for me. I you Indie,

542
00:23:19,840 --> 00:23:22,720
Speaker 4: Jim just played Right State last game. That's an interesting angle.

543
00:23:22,800 --> 00:23:25,240
Speaker 4: Right State seems dead. I would go I would lean

544
00:23:25,240 --> 00:23:28,400
Speaker 4: towards IU Indy in that game. Green Bay. No point

545
00:23:28,400 --> 00:23:31,800
Speaker 4: in talking about them, But overall, we are we doing

546
00:23:31,800 --> 00:23:35,159
Speaker 4: a pick right now. I'll spoil my pick. I am

547
00:23:35,200 --> 00:23:37,240
Speaker 4: between Fort Wayne, who I also took a future on

548
00:23:37,440 --> 00:23:41,080
Speaker 4: six plus six fifty in Milwaukee, who I think is

549
00:23:41,119 --> 00:23:43,040
Speaker 4: the best team, number one team in Kim Palm.

550
00:23:43,320 --> 00:23:45,600
Speaker 3: Unfortunately they're on the same side of the bracket.

551
00:23:46,480 --> 00:23:49,200
Speaker 4: I will say Fort Wayne for the official show pick here, Jim.

552
00:23:49,320 --> 00:23:51,760
Speaker 4: But I really do like the Panthers. I don't think

553
00:23:51,840 --> 00:23:53,199
Speaker 4: Robert Morris is gonna be the champion.

554
00:23:53,800 --> 00:23:55,879
Speaker 5: No, I don't either. I'm just looking back at this

555
00:23:56,240 --> 00:23:58,560
Speaker 5: horizon is a wild tournament. The one seed has been

556
00:23:58,560 --> 00:24:00,439
Speaker 5: in the final only four of the last ten years.

557
00:24:00,600 --> 00:24:03,119
Speaker 2: Like that does not go well for the one seed.

558
00:24:03,200 --> 00:24:05,480
Speaker 5: Yeah, yeah, because it's typically like not even the best team,

559
00:24:05,520 --> 00:24:08,399
Speaker 5: it's it's somebody who survived the weird Gauntlet, maybe was

560
00:24:08,440 --> 00:24:11,440
Speaker 5: not as injured. I am also betting Northern Kentucky forty

561
00:24:11,480 --> 00:24:13,720
Speaker 5: three to one. I think that is ludicrous.

562
00:24:15,160 --> 00:24:17,320
Speaker 3: What bandul By the way, so forty three to one

563
00:24:17,480 --> 00:24:18,359
Speaker 3: was at least this morning.

564
00:24:18,480 --> 00:24:21,680
Speaker 5: Yeah, Northern Kentucky's won three of the last six tournaments.

565
00:24:21,720 --> 00:24:23,720
Speaker 5: They've been in the final and four of the last six.

566
00:24:23,880 --> 00:24:26,600
Speaker 5: It's really tough to prepare for that zone. They're a

567
00:24:26,600 --> 00:24:29,640
Speaker 5: tricky team to play against, and I think it's it's

568
00:24:29,640 --> 00:24:31,840
Speaker 5: the type of tournaments open to a guy a team

569
00:24:31,920 --> 00:24:34,320
Speaker 5: running through it. Just the seed matchups in the finals

570
00:24:34,320 --> 00:24:36,560
Speaker 5: the last few years matt one verse six four vers

571
00:24:36,600 --> 00:24:40,800
Speaker 5: three four vers three one verse three, two four. Then

572
00:24:40,800 --> 00:24:43,200
Speaker 5: you had the rare one verse two in twenty nineteen

573
00:24:43,680 --> 00:24:46,680
Speaker 5: and two verse eight four, verse ten four verse three

574
00:24:47,000 --> 00:24:49,480
Speaker 5: like it's this is topsy turvy chaos.

575
00:24:49,640 --> 00:24:52,880
Speaker 2: Go for it with an underdog that.

576
00:24:52,880 --> 00:24:55,359
Speaker 5: Said, I'm gonna pick Milwaukee because I think they're the

577
00:24:55,400 --> 00:24:57,119
Speaker 5: best team and the best coach and have a lot

578
00:24:57,160 --> 00:24:57,760
Speaker 5: of depth to.

579
00:24:57,720 --> 00:24:58,480
Speaker 2: Get through this event.

580
00:24:58,880 --> 00:25:01,280
Speaker 5: But by far the best value is Northern Kentucky on

581
00:25:01,320 --> 00:25:03,919
Speaker 5: a betting. They're probably going to get Cleveland State in

582
00:25:03,960 --> 00:25:06,720
Speaker 5: the second round. Even with the receding unless Green Bay

583
00:25:06,720 --> 00:25:09,720
Speaker 5: beats Oakland, which yeah, I guess they almost just did

584
00:25:09,920 --> 00:25:14,080
Speaker 5: end the season to overtime. But I think they end

585
00:25:14,160 --> 00:25:15,840
Speaker 5: up playing Cleveland State, who I'm not afraid of. They

586
00:25:15,840 --> 00:25:19,280
Speaker 5: are circling the drain Northern Kentucky since February first, Matt

587
00:25:19,320 --> 00:25:21,920
Speaker 5: number two in the conference, seven and two. Overall, they've

588
00:25:21,960 --> 00:25:25,080
Speaker 5: been playing outstanding. And again I mentioned the history with

589
00:25:25,119 --> 00:25:25,680
Speaker 5: them in this event.

590
00:25:25,800 --> 00:25:28,040
Speaker 3: So yea, maybe I should just pick Northern Kentucky.

591
00:25:28,359 --> 00:25:29,560
Speaker 2: I won't. I'll just say better.

592
00:25:30,000 --> 00:25:32,359
Speaker 4: They swept Fort Wayne this year, they beat Cleveland State,

593
00:25:32,520 --> 00:25:34,639
Speaker 4: they beat Young Sound State, they beat Oakland. Really, the

594
00:25:34,640 --> 00:25:37,200
Speaker 4: only thing that didn't beat Jim was well Robert Morris

595
00:25:37,200 --> 00:25:39,679
Speaker 4: took him to overtime, but Milwaukee crushed them twice. They

596
00:25:39,720 --> 00:25:42,240
Speaker 4: beat him an average nineteen points per game. So Milwaukee

597
00:25:42,280 --> 00:25:45,560
Speaker 4: Matt might be their cryptonite. Yeah, Milwaukee's pressure. I'm guessing

598
00:25:45,560 --> 00:25:45,840
Speaker 4: about it.

599
00:25:46,080 --> 00:25:48,720
Speaker 1: It's tough to sort of extra play too much from

600
00:25:48,720 --> 00:25:50,840
Speaker 1: a game or two in terms of like matchup advantages,

601
00:25:50,880 --> 00:25:52,239
Speaker 1: but I do think there's something to that.

602
00:25:52,320 --> 00:25:53,639
Speaker 3: Potentially, I agree with you.

603
00:25:53,680 --> 00:25:55,399
Speaker 1: I'll make that a sweep of I don't like ben

604
00:25:55,440 --> 00:25:57,400
Speaker 1: A ton of these features to be honest, but this one.

605
00:25:58,760 --> 00:26:01,320
Speaker 1: Jim mentioned like the top that the seed pairings of

606
00:26:01,359 --> 00:26:03,920
Speaker 1: the title games, the top five seed is a big advantage.

607
00:26:03,920 --> 00:26:05,760
Speaker 1: That's why you see the price drop off is huge,

608
00:26:05,760 --> 00:26:07,920
Speaker 1: So don't discount that. Like, I don't think you're getting

609
00:26:07,960 --> 00:26:10,320
Speaker 1: an absolute like you're not stealing.

610
00:26:10,160 --> 00:26:14,560
Speaker 3: With betting Detroit, but that's like an automatic win.

611
00:26:14,720 --> 00:26:16,520
Speaker 1: I think like it's like it's you can misk a

612
00:26:16,600 --> 00:26:18,679
Speaker 1: pencil in and since seeds to Cleveland road trip will

613
00:26:18,720 --> 00:26:20,600
Speaker 1: not be substantial, you get a day off in between

614
00:26:21,040 --> 00:26:22,679
Speaker 1: and then as we mentioned, like kind of the reset

615
00:26:22,720 --> 00:26:24,520
Speaker 1: there and that's where all have it can break loose

616
00:26:25,000 --> 00:26:26,440
Speaker 1: and n K he does this every year. They always

617
00:26:26,480 --> 00:26:29,000
Speaker 1: kind of peaked late. They they peaked later than usual

618
00:26:29,040 --> 00:26:31,880
Speaker 1: this year. But you know, Sam Vinson was one hundred

619
00:26:31,880 --> 00:26:33,280
Speaker 1: percent healthy for the first two months of the season.

620
00:26:33,320 --> 00:26:35,320
Speaker 1: I think he's fully back. So yeah, I'm with you

621
00:26:35,359 --> 00:26:35,800
Speaker 1: on the Norse.

622
00:26:36,240 --> 00:26:36,359
Speaker 3: UH.

623
00:26:36,520 --> 00:26:39,040
Speaker 1: In terms official best bets and matchups, I do like

624
00:26:39,160 --> 00:26:42,880
Speaker 1: Ky you mentioned the IU Indiana Right State Immediate Revenge game.

625
00:26:43,040 --> 00:26:45,280
Speaker 1: Same with Oakland Green Bay. I actually like Oakland in

626
00:26:45,359 --> 00:26:48,440
Speaker 1: that one. Oakland won in OT but I think that's

627
00:26:48,440 --> 00:26:51,119
Speaker 1: sort of like woke up Oakland, like Okay, this, you know,

628
00:26:51,400 --> 00:26:53,640
Speaker 1: apparently dog shit team may not be as dog shit

629
00:26:53,680 --> 00:26:55,679
Speaker 1: as we thought. We kind of saw their wrinkles and

630
00:26:55,680 --> 00:26:57,479
Speaker 1: how Green Bay has been playing better lately, which by

631
00:26:57,480 --> 00:27:00,320
Speaker 1: the way, they have not good, but better, And I

632
00:27:00,359 --> 00:27:02,480
Speaker 1: think Oakland kind of just wears on them up front,

633
00:27:02,520 --> 00:27:05,520
Speaker 1: and there's just kind of a slow death by a

634
00:27:05,600 --> 00:27:09,000
Speaker 1: thousand paper cuts being offensive rebounds and put backs up

635
00:27:09,000 --> 00:27:11,480
Speaker 1: front by Oakland's front line slam. So Oakland first rounds

636
00:27:11,520 --> 00:27:15,040
Speaker 1: my bet there. Hopefully the prices go idea.

637
00:27:15,320 --> 00:27:17,040
Speaker 5: They just had nothing to play for, like they were

638
00:27:17,080 --> 00:27:19,280
Speaker 5: locked into playing in the open day, like they couldn't

639
00:27:19,280 --> 00:27:22,159
Speaker 5: get up to the five seed. So I'm not that

640
00:27:22,200 --> 00:27:25,120
Speaker 5: worried about it. Quick mentioned I was. Doug Gottlie filed

641
00:27:25,160 --> 00:27:27,760
Speaker 5: up three with eight seconds left and they still lost,

642
00:27:27,840 --> 00:27:31,040
Speaker 5: so not an auto win. It was funny to see

643
00:27:31,080 --> 00:27:33,239
Speaker 5: him tweet at John Rosstein about that. Yeah, I had

644
00:27:33,240 --> 00:27:35,320
Speaker 5: to tip my cap to Doug. My rare hat tip

645
00:27:35,359 --> 00:27:35,720
Speaker 5: to Doug.

646
00:27:36,440 --> 00:27:38,719
Speaker 1: Jimmy says, they spent They spent five minutes and then

647
00:27:38,720 --> 00:27:41,280
Speaker 1: to practice, everyone practices missed free throws. They have a

648
00:27:41,359 --> 00:27:43,440
Speaker 1: left and a right call, so both every player has

649
00:27:43,480 --> 00:27:46,359
Speaker 1: a can miss left and can miss right. Hit topps

650
00:27:46,359 --> 00:27:47,960
Speaker 1: at Rim and so they went in to call a

651
00:27:48,000 --> 00:27:50,280
Speaker 1: timeout and and Isaiah Jones like they did like a

652
00:27:50,400 --> 00:27:52,320
Speaker 1: ready left break play.

653
00:27:52,119 --> 00:27:56,080
Speaker 3: And they it was amazing, can't be So don't foul

654
00:27:56,080 --> 00:27:58,000
Speaker 3: Oakland up three is the narrative there.

655
00:27:58,480 --> 00:27:58,760
Speaker 2: N four.

656
00:27:59,560 --> 00:28:01,640
Speaker 4: I will just cavet real quit my Fort Wayne. Pick

657
00:28:01,800 --> 00:28:04,200
Speaker 4: Jalen Jackson this last game. He might be the best

658
00:28:04,200 --> 00:28:06,200
Speaker 4: player in the league and win Player of the Year.

659
00:28:06,320 --> 00:28:08,240
Speaker 4: So you gotta know if he's in.

660
00:28:08,960 --> 00:28:11,320
Speaker 3: If you're going to bet Fort Wayne. That is my

661
00:28:11,359 --> 00:28:12,159
Speaker 3: caveat on that.

662
00:28:12,280 --> 00:28:14,800
Speaker 1: I think it was cautionary because they were already locked in.

663
00:28:14,800 --> 00:28:16,600
Speaker 1: I think if you're in the top five seed, which

664
00:28:16,640 --> 00:28:18,760
Speaker 1: they were, none of those teams had really anything to

665
00:28:18,760 --> 00:28:19,200
Speaker 1: play for.

666
00:28:19,720 --> 00:28:23,000
Speaker 5: Frankly, I think even the goat Jordan Macjeski doesn't know

667
00:28:23,080 --> 00:28:24,320
Speaker 5: for sure if he's playing okay.

668
00:28:24,200 --> 00:28:26,480
Speaker 3: So well then no one is very not even he.

669
00:28:26,440 --> 00:28:28,560
Speaker 2: Knows if Jorda does monitor monitor that.

670
00:28:29,040 --> 00:28:29,240
Speaker 3: Yeah.

671
00:28:29,440 --> 00:28:32,240
Speaker 4: Just in terms of price, Matt, do you like any

672
00:28:32,240 --> 00:28:37,240
Speaker 4: prices here we mentioned in K forty three to one.

673
00:28:36,160 --> 00:28:38,400
Speaker 1: I said, I think I like Oakland as a team,

674
00:28:38,560 --> 00:28:40,280
Speaker 1: like a potential matchup ryptinit to a lot of these

675
00:28:40,280 --> 00:28:43,360
Speaker 1: other sort of shrimpier more guard oriented teams. But as

676
00:28:43,360 --> 00:28:45,800
Speaker 1: I mentioned, I think the playing round one is a

677
00:28:45,880 --> 00:28:48,360
Speaker 1: noticeable disadvantage, but I think you're at a good value

678
00:28:48,360 --> 00:28:50,080
Speaker 1: with NKU forty three versus fifteen.

679
00:28:50,360 --> 00:28:53,640
Speaker 4: It's a big one fifteen to one. Milwaukee's a favorite

680
00:28:53,680 --> 00:28:55,080
Speaker 4: two fifty and.

681
00:28:55,040 --> 00:28:56,640
Speaker 3: Then everyone's kind of the same after that.

682
00:28:57,920 --> 00:29:00,280
Speaker 1: Yeah, market loves Milwaukee, like I think we all like

683
00:29:00,320 --> 00:29:03,480
Speaker 1: Milwaukee the best. They are the heist and chempom so.

684
00:29:03,520 --> 00:29:06,200
Speaker 1: I just they they haven't been as consistent enough for

685
00:29:06,240 --> 00:29:07,760
Speaker 1: me to trust them to be honest. I don't know,

686
00:29:07,880 --> 00:29:09,600
Speaker 1: like they they're they're shooting comes and goes.

687
00:29:10,240 --> 00:29:10,640
Speaker 2: I don't know.

688
00:29:12,880 --> 00:29:16,400
Speaker 1: To the Sunbell thumb belt aka the who started this?

689
00:29:16,640 --> 00:29:18,880
Speaker 1: What we need a name for this conference crnament format

690
00:29:18,920 --> 00:29:22,440
Speaker 1: like the the rig WCC I think is the O G.

691
00:29:22,800 --> 00:29:26,240
Speaker 3: Right this step ladder. This is step latter of death

692
00:29:26,400 --> 00:29:27,680
Speaker 3: for lower seeds.

693
00:29:28,600 --> 00:29:29,840
Speaker 1: And it was kind of fun too because this was

694
00:29:29,880 --> 00:29:33,400
Speaker 1: a very close race at the top of the leaderboard.

695
00:29:33,480 --> 00:29:35,640
Speaker 3: So those who actually edged out their top seeds.

696
00:29:35,680 --> 00:29:39,560
Speaker 1: South Alabama GMU the one two spot, they're automatic to

697
00:29:39,600 --> 00:29:42,160
Speaker 1: the semis. You have Arkansas State and Troy at the

698
00:29:42,200 --> 00:29:45,080
Speaker 1: three four they're to the quarters and then it's two

699
00:29:45,120 --> 00:29:47,120
Speaker 1: and two and two down from there. So Marshall Apps

700
00:29:47,120 --> 00:29:49,880
Speaker 1: State are five to six, they're gonna win four, and

701
00:29:49,920 --> 00:29:52,720
Speaker 1: then Georgia State Texas State five. By the way, Texas

702
00:29:52,720 --> 00:29:54,240
Speaker 1: State is my dark horse here. I think they can

703
00:29:54,280 --> 00:29:57,440
Speaker 1: win three. Don't allow four or five, uh, and then

704
00:29:57,440 --> 00:30:01,480
Speaker 1: Odeu Georgia, Georgia Southern good luck in Southern Mists Coastal Carolina,

705
00:30:01,600 --> 00:30:04,760
Speaker 1: and Yale Monroe, Louisiana. Don't even bother showing up. Frankly,

706
00:30:06,080 --> 00:30:08,600
Speaker 1: it's in Pensacola, I'll start with that. It is very

707
00:30:08,640 --> 00:30:11,280
Speaker 1: close to South Alabama. They always have a very good

708
00:30:12,360 --> 00:30:14,920
Speaker 1: on site contingent here. Kai I like the Jags to

709
00:30:14,920 --> 00:30:18,440
Speaker 1: win this. We'll talk value in a sec where you

710
00:30:18,480 --> 00:30:20,120
Speaker 1: going with this best bets in terms of futures for

711
00:30:20,160 --> 00:30:22,600
Speaker 1: the tournament or like opening round matchups, of which there's

712
00:30:22,600 --> 00:30:26,040
Speaker 1: really only two. We can probably speculate four if you

713
00:30:26,080 --> 00:30:28,960
Speaker 1: want to talk through those the Wednesdays after the plans.

714
00:30:28,520 --> 00:30:31,959
Speaker 3: But more futures talk here. Probably futures talk wise.

715
00:30:32,760 --> 00:30:35,520
Speaker 4: I would not bet anybody else besides the top four

716
00:30:35,560 --> 00:30:38,320
Speaker 4: teams because you mentioned the teams that play in the

717
00:30:38,320 --> 00:30:40,480
Speaker 4: first round have to win seven games in seven days,

718
00:30:40,480 --> 00:30:44,640
Speaker 4: so it's not happening. It's a literal step ladder. The

719
00:30:44,760 --> 00:30:47,160
Speaker 4: Arkansas State's the best team and they're actually the favorite

720
00:30:47,400 --> 00:30:49,440
Speaker 4: in this conference. They're plus two hundred.

721
00:30:49,200 --> 00:30:52,239
Speaker 3: In the market. I do like them. I took them

722
00:30:52,280 --> 00:30:52,840
Speaker 3: a little bit.

723
00:30:52,760 --> 00:30:54,960
Speaker 4: For that one, but I think Troy's price at four

724
00:30:55,000 --> 00:30:57,480
Speaker 4: to one is even better. I think Troy is a

725
00:30:57,480 --> 00:30:59,720
Speaker 4: great shot at winning. They're on Jmu side of the bracket.

726
00:31:00,080 --> 00:31:01,680
Speaker 4: Jamie a team I fear a little bit less in

727
00:31:01,720 --> 00:31:04,800
Speaker 4: South Alabama, but I think it's one of those four teams.

728
00:31:04,840 --> 00:31:08,080
Speaker 4: So it's kind of pick your poison. I think, you know,

729
00:31:08,920 --> 00:31:10,760
Speaker 4: I'm going to Arkansas State gym if I to choose

730
00:31:10,760 --> 00:31:12,440
Speaker 4: a team out of this one, and I will. For

731
00:31:12,480 --> 00:31:14,720
Speaker 4: the show beking, the best value on the board from

732
00:31:14,720 --> 00:31:16,480
Speaker 4: a betting perspective is Troy.

733
00:31:16,160 --> 00:31:19,360
Speaker 3: Ford to one. I probably agree with you.

734
00:31:19,680 --> 00:31:21,920
Speaker 5: First of all, like they announced this format in the

735
00:31:22,000 --> 00:31:25,040
Speaker 5: offseason and people were like, what the hell this is absurd,

736
00:31:25,120 --> 00:31:27,200
Speaker 5: But it kind of ended up being perfect for this

737
00:31:27,280 --> 00:31:29,880
Speaker 5: conference because it like the top four teams are near

738
00:31:29,920 --> 00:31:32,760
Speaker 5: the top one hundred, the bottom six are like sub

739
00:31:32,800 --> 00:31:33,400
Speaker 5: three hundred.

740
00:31:33,840 --> 00:31:36,080
Speaker 3: It's like, Okay, you have been crappy all year.

741
00:31:36,200 --> 00:31:38,520
Speaker 2: You have to really earn it. The times have actually

742
00:31:38,600 --> 00:31:38,960
Speaker 2: been good.

743
00:31:39,000 --> 00:31:41,240
Speaker 3: Like it's split perfectly.

744
00:31:40,880 --> 00:31:42,920
Speaker 5: To set up this format, and I'm kind of glad

745
00:31:42,960 --> 00:31:46,800
Speaker 5: that worked out. Matt also heavy agreed Texas State's.

746
00:31:46,560 --> 00:31:47,040
Speaker 2: The dark horse.

747
00:31:47,080 --> 00:31:50,040
Speaker 5: I'd consider that there's nobody else outside the top four.

748
00:31:50,080 --> 00:31:54,000
Speaker 5: I have any interest. I wrote that down expecially, No,

749
00:31:54,320 --> 00:31:54,720
Speaker 5: I don't like.

750
00:31:54,800 --> 00:31:57,040
Speaker 2: No, Tate might end up being like the best.

751
00:31:59,000 --> 00:32:01,080
Speaker 1: Pissed they have no depths. No, it's just way too

752
00:32:01,160 --> 00:32:03,440
Speaker 1: much Miles Tate and c. J. Hountley is a mis

753
00:32:03,480 --> 00:32:03,960
Speaker 1: match problem.

754
00:32:04,000 --> 00:32:05,560
Speaker 3: But I think others no debt.

755
00:32:05,680 --> 00:32:07,120
Speaker 2: Year they won four and four days.

756
00:32:07,200 --> 00:32:09,200
Speaker 1: Remember that's true, that was insitane. That team was more

757
00:32:09,240 --> 00:32:10,200
Speaker 1: talented in this team though, I think.

758
00:32:10,240 --> 00:32:13,600
Speaker 5: Yes, agreed Tate would have to go on like Sunday

759
00:32:13,840 --> 00:32:18,120
Speaker 5: Kimba type. Yes, the former Butler player app State's best guard.

760
00:32:18,280 --> 00:32:20,600
Speaker 5: For those listening and not aware of him, he's really good.

761
00:32:21,480 --> 00:32:23,800
Speaker 5: The thing that kind of trips me up. Arkansas State

762
00:32:24,080 --> 00:32:26,360
Speaker 5: has worse odds than South Alabama. They have to win

763
00:32:26,360 --> 00:32:29,000
Speaker 5: an extra game, and they got swept by South Alabama.

764
00:32:29,040 --> 00:32:29,560
Speaker 2: They scored one.

765
00:32:29,520 --> 00:32:33,360
Speaker 5: Hundred and eighteen points combined against that zone. They really

766
00:32:33,440 --> 00:32:36,479
Speaker 5: tripped him up. They could shoot against it, but they

767
00:32:36,480 --> 00:32:38,920
Speaker 5: didn't get any transition, which is tough for Hodgton. They

768
00:32:38,960 --> 00:32:42,080
Speaker 5: made Oates disciple. It's a weird draw for them. I

769
00:32:42,080 --> 00:32:44,760
Speaker 5: would lean towards whoever you like more of Troy and

770
00:32:44,840 --> 00:32:48,000
Speaker 5: James Madison, and James Madison has to win one less game.

771
00:32:48,040 --> 00:32:51,040
Speaker 1: I like Jamie go ahead real quick South Alabama because

772
00:32:51,040 --> 00:32:53,440
Speaker 1: I I think it's a bad matchup. But I also

773
00:32:53,520 --> 00:32:56,680
Speaker 1: watched Arkansas State shred the zone tiears ago. But this

774
00:32:56,760 --> 00:32:58,840
Speaker 1: year zone that USA plays is better and just like

775
00:32:58,920 --> 00:33:02,880
Speaker 1: a different design. Joe's opinion, the former Arkansas transfer kind

776
00:33:02,880 --> 00:33:04,800
Speaker 1: of the sharp shooter of for Arkansas State five to

777
00:33:04,880 --> 00:33:07,400
Speaker 1: fifteen from three against the USA. The most recent two

778
00:33:07,480 --> 00:33:09,320
Speaker 1: of fourteen from three to the first meeting. So he

779
00:33:09,440 --> 00:33:12,640
Speaker 1: was seven of twenty nine from three in two meetings.

780
00:33:12,640 --> 00:33:14,360
Speaker 1: Like they just dare you to shoot threes, Like it's

781
00:33:14,360 --> 00:33:16,320
Speaker 1: almost like it's in your head if you continue to

782
00:33:16,320 --> 00:33:19,240
Speaker 1: miss them, I think they get the three sweep if

783
00:33:19,280 --> 00:33:20,360
Speaker 1: they If that's.

784
00:33:20,200 --> 00:33:22,400
Speaker 4: What the matchup is, guy, I want to point out

785
00:33:22,480 --> 00:33:25,760
Speaker 4: Arkansas State was not healthy for either South Alabama game.

786
00:33:25,960 --> 00:33:29,120
Speaker 4: Kobe Juliet in the first game, Ye Darien fourda out

787
00:33:29,120 --> 00:33:31,720
Speaker 4: for the second game, so you know, maybe third times

788
00:33:31,760 --> 00:33:35,680
Speaker 4: the charm for Arkansas State. Like I said, I Arkansas sator,

789
00:33:35,720 --> 00:33:38,600
Speaker 4: Troy is where I'm going between. I suppose I'll go

790
00:33:38,680 --> 00:33:40,600
Speaker 4: Arkansas State, but I really like this Troy team too.

791
00:33:40,640 --> 00:33:42,960
Speaker 4: And Matt, you love Troy, Surprise, You're all over this team.

792
00:33:43,040 --> 00:33:43,280
Speaker 5: I do.

793
00:33:43,320 --> 00:33:45,479
Speaker 1: I've cooled on them this year. I've watched them play.

794
00:33:46,960 --> 00:33:50,480
Speaker 1: My team of destiny is is South Alabama. I've transitioned

795
00:33:50,480 --> 00:33:52,120
Speaker 1: to I love Scott Cross. I'll be back in his

796
00:33:52,160 --> 00:33:55,320
Speaker 1: corner next year. But for this this tournament with I'm

797
00:33:55,360 --> 00:33:59,920
Speaker 1: with Richie Riley and the Boys of Mobile, so that

798
00:34:00,000 --> 00:34:01,320
Speaker 1: it's a future player for me. I think to win

799
00:34:01,320 --> 00:34:03,280
Speaker 1: two games plus two seventy plus two eighty. I know

800
00:34:03,280 --> 00:34:04,840
Speaker 1: the Odvery team has seen the zone now, but still

801
00:34:04,920 --> 00:34:06,959
Speaker 1: to tight turn on tight prep. I think that kind

802
00:34:06,960 --> 00:34:09,160
Speaker 1: of has a little bit a unique advantage. And then

803
00:34:09,160 --> 00:34:10,879
Speaker 1: I am going to do a Texas State money line rollover.

804
00:34:10,920 --> 00:34:12,520
Speaker 1: I don't think they're gonna win the tournament. I think

805
00:34:12,560 --> 00:34:14,480
Speaker 1: you're kind of drawing dead going outside the top six,

806
00:34:14,520 --> 00:34:18,279
Speaker 1: but I'm gonna bet money line hope to win three games.

807
00:34:18,280 --> 00:34:19,799
Speaker 1: You probably get them as a dog the next two

808
00:34:19,960 --> 00:34:22,480
Speaker 1: if they can get past, which I think they will

809
00:34:22,520 --> 00:34:24,200
Speaker 1: probably o to you or whoever the hell comes out

810
00:34:24,200 --> 00:34:27,920
Speaker 1: of that bottom that bottom half there. So Texas State again,

811
00:34:28,320 --> 00:34:30,440
Speaker 1: shitty draw with the way this bracket steps up, but

812
00:34:30,560 --> 00:34:32,680
Speaker 1: I think a money line if I just commit to that,

813
00:34:33,080 --> 00:34:35,239
Speaker 1: I think they get to the Semis and get me

814
00:34:35,280 --> 00:34:35,759
Speaker 1: in the green.

815
00:34:36,160 --> 00:34:38,480
Speaker 5: So yeah, it might be enduring with a little confidence.

816
00:34:38,520 --> 00:34:41,759
Speaker 5: They just prevented JMU from getting the outright title in

817
00:34:41,800 --> 00:34:44,280
Speaker 5: the final game of the season, beat them double overtime.

818
00:34:44,320 --> 00:34:45,520
Speaker 2: That Texas State, and.

819
00:34:45,480 --> 00:34:47,960
Speaker 3: That's who they see in the Semisio.

820
00:34:48,120 --> 00:34:49,480
Speaker 2: I mentioned I like I like JMU.

821
00:34:49,480 --> 00:34:51,040
Speaker 5: I picked them in the preseason to win this league

822
00:34:51,400 --> 00:34:53,439
Speaker 5: and they didn't really let me down sharing the title,

823
00:34:53,440 --> 00:34:55,480
Speaker 5: so I'm gonna stick with them. I think Preston Spratland's

824
00:34:55,480 --> 00:34:57,640
Speaker 5: a great coach. He's got his guy Mark Freeman at

825
00:34:57,680 --> 00:35:00,000
Speaker 5: point guard that has led them to cut some side,

826
00:35:00,200 --> 00:35:01,960
Speaker 5: so I will go with the Duke's a fun little

827
00:35:02,080 --> 00:35:03,840
Speaker 5: split across the board here in the Boys, which I

828
00:35:03,880 --> 00:35:06,440
Speaker 5: think is representative of this league. It is very a

829
00:35:06,480 --> 00:35:08,680
Speaker 5: mix at the top four and they all shared the

830
00:35:08,680 --> 00:35:09,640
Speaker 5: regular season titles.

831
00:35:09,800 --> 00:35:10,080
Speaker 2: Yep.

832
00:35:11,480 --> 00:35:14,919
Speaker 1: All right to the Patriot we go here, another all

833
00:35:14,960 --> 00:35:17,160
Speaker 1: campus site, which I love, by the way, I think

834
00:35:17,160 --> 00:35:19,880
Speaker 1: it's the America East is my favorite all campus tournament,

835
00:35:19,880 --> 00:35:24,120
Speaker 1: but the Patriots certainly a good one as well. Man,

836
00:35:24,160 --> 00:35:26,799
Speaker 1: this league got real weird, real quick. Like I'm looking

837
00:35:26,800 --> 00:35:30,160
Speaker 1: at like in my preseason expectations where I thought my

838
00:35:30,680 --> 00:35:33,600
Speaker 1: ratings were middle of January and then what they are now.

839
00:35:33,680 --> 00:35:36,040
Speaker 3: And I still can't make like seeing Lee High in

840
00:35:36,040 --> 00:35:36,640
Speaker 3: the playing game.

841
00:35:36,640 --> 00:35:40,400
Speaker 1: It's just weird to me, even Lafayette with one of

842
00:35:40,400 --> 00:35:42,879
Speaker 1: the most impactful players in the league and mister seven

843
00:35:42,880 --> 00:35:45,240
Speaker 1: foot monster Vanderbond, to see them in the seven slides

844
00:35:45,239 --> 00:35:48,480
Speaker 1: of playing. So just to clarify this, the seven, eight, nine,

845
00:35:48,560 --> 00:35:51,759
Speaker 1: ten seeds have to play the first round playing around.

846
00:35:51,880 --> 00:35:54,760
Speaker 1: The top six seeds get the botto of the quarters

847
00:35:55,480 --> 00:35:56,520
Speaker 1: with Bucknell in America in.

848
00:35:56,560 --> 00:35:57,160
Speaker 3: The top two seeds.

849
00:35:57,239 --> 00:36:00,000
Speaker 1: Kai, what's your future's angle here or any first round

850
00:36:00,040 --> 00:36:02,719
Speaker 1: bets of the four games that we have kind of

851
00:36:02,760 --> 00:36:03,640
Speaker 1: penciled in right now.

852
00:36:04,520 --> 00:36:07,840
Speaker 4: Yeah, DraftKings was offering Colgate five to one this morning,

853
00:36:07,960 --> 00:36:10,840
Speaker 4: so I jumped all over that that was an outlier.

854
00:36:10,440 --> 00:36:11,080
Speaker 3: In the market.

855
00:36:11,960 --> 00:36:13,520
Speaker 4: I think you have them at three point fifty at

856
00:36:13,520 --> 00:36:15,000
Speaker 4: fan Duel, and that's kind of where they're at in

857
00:36:15,040 --> 00:36:15,600
Speaker 4: most places.

858
00:36:15,600 --> 00:36:18,120
Speaker 3: Three to one. It's their league till it's not.

859
00:36:18,200 --> 00:36:18,359
Speaker 2: Man.

860
00:36:18,400 --> 00:36:20,359
Speaker 4: They've won this league four years in a row. They've

861
00:36:20,360 --> 00:36:22,360
Speaker 4: won five of the last six. I know they just

862
00:36:22,400 --> 00:36:24,440
Speaker 4: lost to American, and you could argue Americans playing the

863
00:36:24,440 --> 00:36:26,319
Speaker 4: best basketball. I don't think Bucknell is the best team

864
00:36:26,320 --> 00:36:29,160
Speaker 4: in this league. But Colgate at that price, that was

865
00:36:29,200 --> 00:36:31,480
Speaker 4: a no brainer for me. Buck Nell's minus one oh

866
00:36:31,520 --> 00:36:34,680
Speaker 4: five on DraftKings, plus one thirty at FanDuel. Their side

867
00:36:34,680 --> 00:36:38,080
Speaker 4: of the bracket is lighter than the bottom half. You

868
00:36:38,160 --> 00:36:40,560
Speaker 4: got col Game, an American in the same section, and

869
00:36:40,680 --> 00:36:43,399
Speaker 4: Army is not even that bad. So that's probably why

870
00:36:43,400 --> 00:36:46,839
Speaker 4: their price as such, Jim, But Colgate's the best bet

871
00:36:46,920 --> 00:36:47,440
Speaker 4: on the board for me.

872
00:36:47,520 --> 00:36:50,480
Speaker 5: And then my pick to win this conference, Yeah, I

873
00:36:50,520 --> 00:36:53,000
Speaker 5: want to pick Colgate. I think when you look at this,

874
00:36:53,239 --> 00:36:54,560
Speaker 5: we talked about it in every conference.

875
00:36:54,600 --> 00:36:55,560
Speaker 2: I'm sure everybody.

876
00:36:55,640 --> 00:36:58,160
Speaker 5: All the breakdowns you get of these conference tournaments, we'll

877
00:36:58,200 --> 00:37:00,120
Speaker 5: at least highlight the teams that have been good over

878
00:37:00,120 --> 00:37:03,440
Speaker 5: the last month, and that's been Bucknell in this conference.

879
00:37:03,480 --> 00:37:05,799
Speaker 5: They're eight and one. They have not lost a game

880
00:37:05,840 --> 00:37:08,759
Speaker 5: in regulation since January twentieth. They have their only two

881
00:37:08,800 --> 00:37:11,799
Speaker 5: losses since then are in overtime. That regulation loss was

882
00:37:11,840 --> 00:37:15,239
Speaker 5: to Kai Colgate Colgate, so so.

883
00:37:15,360 --> 00:37:16,879
Speaker 2: You know clearly they can beat them.

884
00:37:17,400 --> 00:37:20,200
Speaker 5: But since February first, col Gate's four and five, three

885
00:37:20,320 --> 00:37:23,000
Speaker 5: hundred and thirty, third in the country for the Bend

886
00:37:23,080 --> 00:37:25,200
Speaker 5: Tour VIC, so they have really struggled. But maybe this

887
00:37:25,280 --> 00:37:28,120
Speaker 5: is the reset button. We always do like to kind

888
00:37:28,160 --> 00:37:32,040
Speaker 5: of revert to preseason expectations provided the team is healthy,

889
00:37:32,640 --> 00:37:35,120
Speaker 5: and that is something there with with Colgate that I

890
00:37:35,120 --> 00:37:38,000
Speaker 5: think has got potential. But just Bucknell is a fringe

891
00:37:38,040 --> 00:37:40,560
Speaker 5: top one hundred team. Since February first, nobody else is

892
00:37:40,600 --> 00:37:43,080
Speaker 5: in the top two hundred and thirty. They have really

893
00:37:43,120 --> 00:37:47,040
Speaker 5: been a juggernaut, so that that pricing. I have no

894
00:37:47,160 --> 00:37:50,400
Speaker 5: interest in a league that has this much parody. Basically

895
00:37:50,400 --> 00:37:53,919
Speaker 5: even money at DraftKings, that's ridiculous. I would not touch

896
00:37:54,000 --> 00:37:58,240
Speaker 5: that much. Would prefer American or Colgate. As Kai mentioned,

897
00:37:59,160 --> 00:38:01,560
Speaker 5: Army intrigues me. I just wish they didn't get Colgate

898
00:38:01,640 --> 00:38:04,279
Speaker 5: right away because I think Jalen Rucker can be a

899
00:38:04,320 --> 00:38:07,480
Speaker 5: wrecker of this type of conference. He's a monster on

900
00:38:07,560 --> 00:38:10,120
Speaker 5: the ball. They have a little bit of shooting, but

901
00:38:10,520 --> 00:38:12,000
Speaker 5: they just ended up with the worst draw. They have

902
00:38:12,040 --> 00:38:14,120
Speaker 5: to go to Colgate and Langle's going to have that

903
00:38:14,160 --> 00:38:15,600
Speaker 5: team really really ready.

904
00:38:16,239 --> 00:38:17,560
Speaker 2: So ultimately, yeah, five to one.

905
00:38:17,600 --> 00:38:18,319
Speaker 3: I also bet it.

906
00:38:18,239 --> 00:38:23,800
Speaker 5: With Kai uh DraftKings Colgate, but with Path and maybe

907
00:38:23,840 --> 00:38:25,960
Speaker 5: Buckmeill's the right choice, but I'll go with Kai.

908
00:38:26,200 --> 00:38:28,320
Speaker 2: Let's do it. Colgate keeps it alive.

909
00:38:28,680 --> 00:38:32,000
Speaker 4: Those those those wins, they they smoked American buck Nell did,

910
00:38:32,080 --> 00:38:37,560
Speaker 4: but it was Boston, Okay, Lafayette, Lehigh Army, Loyala, Holy Cross,

911
00:38:37,640 --> 00:38:40,000
Speaker 4: the other or the other games that Bucknell won. Their

912
00:38:40,040 --> 00:38:42,880
Speaker 4: schedule has been light in the Patriot this season.

913
00:38:43,640 --> 00:38:47,000
Speaker 1: Yeah, fladed, I respect Colgate's Why am we going in

914
00:38:47,000 --> 00:38:48,960
Speaker 1: the opposite, I'm going Navy the Mids.

915
00:38:50,560 --> 00:38:52,240
Speaker 3: Wow, he has They're hot.

916
00:38:52,480 --> 00:38:54,680
Speaker 1: The only bad game the last three weeks was they

917
00:38:54,680 --> 00:38:58,440
Speaker 1: lost at Colgate, which is nothing to to to snuff at.

918
00:38:58,480 --> 00:38:59,480
Speaker 3: This team had a high hopes.

919
00:38:59,520 --> 00:39:01,359
Speaker 1: I think they're They have everyone back from last year,

920
00:39:01,400 --> 00:39:05,080
Speaker 1: basically their twentieth and Kem Palm's continuity. They're tiny and

921
00:39:05,120 --> 00:39:08,160
Speaker 1: that kind of matters against like, you know, Bucknell, who's

922
00:39:08,200 --> 00:39:09,640
Speaker 1: you know, know Williamson the best part of league as

923
00:39:09,600 --> 00:39:11,640
Speaker 1: se foot, He's a dominant force. You have to have

924
00:39:12,040 --> 00:39:15,279
Speaker 1: a stop a kind of stop gap for him, and

925
00:39:15,280 --> 00:39:17,200
Speaker 1: they did not do it. Was not the case when

926
00:39:17,200 --> 00:39:18,840
Speaker 1: they've played off in February.

927
00:39:18,840 --> 00:39:21,000
Speaker 3: First, I just like this team like an easier draw

928
00:39:21,239 --> 00:39:24,480
Speaker 3: sixteen to one. That's my pick. So ed to chelse

929
00:39:24,640 --> 00:39:25,440
Speaker 3: in the mids.

930
00:39:25,920 --> 00:39:28,400
Speaker 5: I mentioned I mentioned Rucker Matt for Army, Benini for

931
00:39:28,520 --> 00:39:32,320
Speaker 5: Navy is like that good. He's super creative point guard.

932
00:39:32,320 --> 00:39:34,239
Speaker 5: He was a monster recruit for them when they got

933
00:39:34,280 --> 00:39:37,280
Speaker 5: him three years ago out of Texas, and he's elevated

934
00:39:37,280 --> 00:39:39,359
Speaker 5: to like clear first team All Conference type guy, really

935
00:39:39,360 --> 00:39:42,440
Speaker 5: tough to stop shooter creator. So yeah, if the role

936
00:39:42,440 --> 00:39:45,680
Speaker 5: guys step up, Hey maybe maybe did beat American on the.

937
00:39:45,680 --> 00:39:47,400
Speaker 3: Road second last game of the year, so yeah, that

938
00:39:47,440 --> 00:39:48,359
Speaker 3: shows they can play up.

939
00:39:49,680 --> 00:39:51,680
Speaker 1: Historically, I think maybe's one of the better ATS road

940
00:39:51,680 --> 00:39:53,600
Speaker 1: teams like the last five years too. So got that

941
00:39:53,680 --> 00:39:57,440
Speaker 1: militant nothing bothers him, kind of just stoic as it

942
00:39:57,480 --> 00:39:58,239
Speaker 1: goes on the road.

943
00:39:59,239 --> 00:40:03,360
Speaker 3: Gotta be bossed first. You no respect for Joe Jones.

944
00:40:03,400 --> 00:40:07,480
Speaker 3: I guess respect for Joe Jones. Not one ward like

945
00:40:07,560 --> 00:40:08,440
Speaker 3: Joe Jones period.

946
00:40:09,520 --> 00:40:12,560
Speaker 4: Boston. Boston has no bite this season. No, no thanks

947
00:40:13,440 --> 00:40:14,080
Speaker 4: vanilla to me.

948
00:40:14,160 --> 00:40:17,200
Speaker 5: I watched him there, very vanilla everybody Colgate the final

949
00:40:17,600 --> 00:40:20,560
Speaker 5: five weeks kinds okay, we were hitting the reset button

950
00:40:20,840 --> 00:40:22,680
Speaker 5: and the Patriot with the Raiders.

951
00:40:22,440 --> 00:40:25,280
Speaker 4: Colgate has two of the five best players in this league,

952
00:40:25,440 --> 00:40:27,200
Speaker 4: Cox and Woodward something like that.

953
00:40:27,360 --> 00:40:29,960
Speaker 1: Yeah, Woodward is just like a monster, but again the

954
00:40:29,960 --> 00:40:32,279
Speaker 1: other teams have like kind of like built around that.

955
00:40:33,080 --> 00:40:35,160
Speaker 5: Cox had a stretch in the league where he like

956
00:40:35,239 --> 00:40:37,680
Speaker 5: got lost and figure things out. In a four game

957
00:40:37,760 --> 00:40:40,000
Speaker 5: losing streak, he ended up getting benched. He could not shoot,

958
00:40:40,040 --> 00:40:42,520
Speaker 5: couldn't score. He's playing a little better to end and

959
00:40:42,600 --> 00:40:45,920
Speaker 5: the end the season. And Woodward, yeah, he's won this event.

960
00:40:45,880 --> 00:40:47,200
Speaker 2: Like four streight times.

961
00:40:47,200 --> 00:40:52,440
Speaker 4: Basically, Yeah, yes, he's never lost a Patriot Conference tournament.

962
00:40:53,640 --> 00:40:56,719
Speaker 3: This would be his first road game in the tournament though.

963
00:40:56,719 --> 00:40:59,560
Speaker 3: I think Right would play American.

964
00:40:59,719 --> 00:41:01,400
Speaker 4: If they play American and then Buccane will be the

965
00:41:01,440 --> 00:41:04,080
Speaker 4: first road game for him. That's because they're home in

966
00:41:04,120 --> 00:41:05,120
Speaker 4: its army and then they win.

967
00:41:05,160 --> 00:41:06,320
Speaker 3: They got it, Yeah America.

968
00:41:06,360 --> 00:41:11,640
Speaker 1: Yeah, that's a wild steph all right, fellas that concludes

969
00:41:14,200 --> 00:41:15,880
Speaker 1: I just had the oh yeah, just for the Patriot.

970
00:41:16,440 --> 00:41:19,120
Speaker 1: So for Patriot, just for me was a Navy sixteen

971
00:41:19,160 --> 00:41:21,880
Speaker 1: to one. I think I saw twenty to one, but

972
00:41:21,960 --> 00:41:25,480
Speaker 1: like fit yeah, shop shop shop, thank you, Kai. But

973
00:41:25,600 --> 00:41:27,640
Speaker 1: none of the first round matchups to gods me, I

974
00:41:27,640 --> 00:41:29,600
Speaker 1: do kind of like Holy Cross maybe as a flyer

975
00:41:30,360 --> 00:41:33,560
Speaker 1: in the first round, but but nothing.

976
00:41:33,280 --> 00:41:33,719
Speaker 3: There for me.

977
00:41:34,520 --> 00:41:38,640
Speaker 5: I could buy a Lehigh like resurgence to preseason. Yeah,

978
00:41:38,680 --> 00:41:41,520
Speaker 5: Lee High checks that box, You're right, but yeah, the

979
00:41:41,760 --> 00:41:44,000
Speaker 5: Higgins has been out and that kills something. I mean,

980
00:41:44,000 --> 00:41:46,520
Speaker 5: that's when we say revert to preseason expectations if the

981
00:41:46,520 --> 00:41:49,440
Speaker 5: team is healthy. Lehi doesn't quite qualify there because Higgins

982
00:41:49,480 --> 00:41:50,600
Speaker 5: was supposed to be their best player.

983
00:41:51,239 --> 00:41:53,080
Speaker 2: But I just meant, like for for everything.

984
00:41:52,760 --> 00:41:54,759
Speaker 5: On the show and Northern Kentucky forty three to one

985
00:41:54,880 --> 00:41:58,480
Speaker 5: and the Horizon love that as just a swing kind

986
00:41:58,520 --> 00:42:00,640
Speaker 5: I will to Colgate five to one in the Patriot.

987
00:42:00,719 --> 00:42:03,920
Speaker 5: I've got that North Texas Wichita under one twenty seven

988
00:42:03,960 --> 00:42:06,480
Speaker 5: and a half on Monday night. That's what I'm looking at.

989
00:42:07,000 --> 00:42:09,400
Speaker 5: And then I'm not gonna I'm not gonna lock in

990
00:42:09,440 --> 00:42:11,919
Speaker 5: Arizona on Tuesday because I'm worried the spread is gonna

991
00:42:11,920 --> 00:42:14,920
Speaker 5: be like massively inflated because Arizona State has no players left.

992
00:42:15,360 --> 00:42:17,399
Speaker 3: But like they were up at halftime against Utah and then.

993
00:42:17,360 --> 00:42:20,200
Speaker 5: Lost by twenty, they just have no bodies, So I

994
00:42:20,200 --> 00:42:22,960
Speaker 5: could see them getting thoroughly demolished by an Arizona team

995
00:42:23,000 --> 00:42:24,560
Speaker 5: off a loss. So I'm gonna wait and see the

996
00:42:24,640 --> 00:42:26,920
Speaker 5: number though, And then what was some belt? I went

997
00:42:26,920 --> 00:42:28,960
Speaker 5: with JMU, but I don't feel great about that one.

998
00:42:29,400 --> 00:42:32,399
Speaker 4: Yeah, picture shows in the conference tournament, I'm going Fort

999
00:42:32,440 --> 00:42:36,160
Speaker 4: Wayne provided Glaan Jackson's healthy, Arkansas State in the Sunbelt,

1000
00:42:36,520 --> 00:42:39,239
Speaker 4: and then Colgate in the Patriot. I did put money

1001
00:42:39,239 --> 00:42:41,759
Speaker 4: on Colgate five to one. At DraftKings, I would take

1002
00:42:41,760 --> 00:42:45,840
Speaker 4: four to one. I'd consider three fifty. Probably wouldn't quite

1003
00:42:45,840 --> 00:42:48,719
Speaker 4: go lower than that. And then yeah, the Flyer with

1004
00:42:48,840 --> 00:42:51,800
Speaker 4: NKU had forty three to one. That price is just it.

1005
00:42:52,080 --> 00:42:54,399
Speaker 4: It's too big. So I had to put my money

1006
00:42:54,400 --> 00:42:57,080
Speaker 4: where my mouth is in that one. And then yeah, look,

1007
00:42:57,120 --> 00:43:02,200
Speaker 4: look for those early opening round games. The rematches in

1008
00:43:02,239 --> 00:43:04,600
Speaker 4: the Horizon intriguing, Matthew we mentioned a little bit, but

1009
00:43:05,040 --> 00:43:07,480
Speaker 4: rights at iund Oakland green Bay just played each other.

1010
00:43:07,560 --> 00:43:10,719
Speaker 3: I always are I always look closer at those games. Yep,

1011
00:43:11,320 --> 00:43:14,640
Speaker 3: they're very interesting. Yeah, that's one of my best bets.

1012
00:43:14,640 --> 00:43:17,560
Speaker 1: I think green Bay, even though Oakland won, I think

1013
00:43:17,560 --> 00:43:19,440
Speaker 1: they actually have the edge here in the rematch. Hopefully

1014
00:43:19,440 --> 00:43:23,120
Speaker 1: that's like less than twelve. We'll see what the market

1015
00:43:23,200 --> 00:43:24,680
Speaker 1: set some of these opening price sets. So I had

1016
00:43:24,680 --> 00:43:27,279
Speaker 1: that one's official first round bet and the Horizon a

1017
00:43:27,320 --> 00:43:30,160
Speaker 1: long with my flyer on NKU joining the fellows on

1018
00:43:30,200 --> 00:43:33,320
Speaker 1: that one. South Alabama is my official sun Belt pick,

1019
00:43:34,280 --> 00:43:36,759
Speaker 1: and then Navy is my flyer and the Patriot for

1020
00:43:36,840 --> 00:43:40,360
Speaker 1: futures and the first round matchups. I guess I mentioned Oakland.

1021
00:43:40,520 --> 00:43:42,560
Speaker 1: I got Texas State against whoever they play, it's gonna

1022
00:43:42,560 --> 00:43:45,160
Speaker 1: a little bit. That's looking kind of projecting matchup, but

1023
00:43:45,280 --> 00:43:49,160
Speaker 1: just to Texas State as a money line portfolio. Hopefully

1024
00:43:49,160 --> 00:43:50,600
Speaker 1: they can win two games or more to get me

1025
00:43:50,600 --> 00:43:52,840
Speaker 1: to plus EV and then go all the way back

1026
00:43:53,280 --> 00:43:56,680
Speaker 1: to the non tournament section. I got Nova smacking the

1027
00:43:56,719 --> 00:44:00,600
Speaker 1: sorberless the sorbeless Hoyas in DC.

1028
00:44:01,440 --> 00:44:07,839
Speaker 3: Yeah, and there you have conference tournament season. Yeah.

1029
00:44:08,040 --> 00:44:11,120
Speaker 1: Tracking the matchups is an absolute. It's a cluster, it's

1030
00:44:11,120 --> 00:44:14,279
Speaker 1: a late night, early morning chore, but value is there

1031
00:44:14,320 --> 00:44:14,719
Speaker 1: to be had.

1032
00:44:15,120 --> 00:44:16,240
Speaker 3: BI sure check out the rest.

1033
00:44:16,080 --> 00:44:18,680
Speaker 1: Of the Fella's content coming up this week Stucky and

1034
00:44:18,800 --> 00:44:21,319
Speaker 1: the crew as they dive deeper into all the rest

1035
00:44:21,360 --> 00:44:23,880
Speaker 1: of the bigger marquee stuff. We'll be a feature on

1036
00:44:23,920 --> 00:44:24,640
Speaker 1: some of those as well.

1037
00:44:25,080 --> 00:44:26,680
Speaker 2: Yeah, encourage a bunch next Sunday.

1038
00:44:26,719 --> 00:44:29,720
Speaker 3: With Next Sunday, I'm recording tomorrow Monday.

1039
00:44:29,760 --> 00:44:31,839
Speaker 5: You're probably listening to some Monday, so I'm recording one

1040
00:44:32,200 --> 00:44:35,680
Speaker 5: another one with Stucky on four more conferences starting this week,

1041
00:44:35,960 --> 00:44:39,080
Speaker 5: So the BBOC feed is going to be popping with.

1042
00:44:39,000 --> 00:44:41,680
Speaker 3: All kinds of conference tournaments CRIB, so stay tuned all

1043
00:44:41,719 --> 00:44:59,359
Speaker 3: the goods. Take Care Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly.

1044
00:45:00,080 --> 00:45:02,640
Speaker 3: You or someone you care about has a gambling problem.

1045
00:45:02,920 --> 00:45:05,520
Speaker 3: Help is available twenty four to seven at one eight

1046
00:45:05,600 --> 00:45:06,400
Speaker 3: hundred gambler