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Speaker 1: What's going on everybody? Scott bog gonna hear for Betting

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Speaker 1: Pros to give you my favorite picks and props for

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Speaker 1: Week twelve of the college football season. Before we dive

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Speaker 1: into the action, let me remind you, guys, if you

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Speaker 1: are looking to up your game in sports betting, you

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Speaker 1: can join our exclusive sports betting discord community at bettingpros

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Speaker 1: dot com slash chat. Not only can you connect with

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Speaker 1: expert handicappers who provide free picks for the NBA, NFL, MLB, NHL,

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Speaker 1: player props, live betting, and more, but now you can

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Speaker 1: also participate in our weekly community picks. Cast your vote

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Speaker 1: and see how your picks stack up against the experts

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Speaker 1: and track your success all right. Week eleven not great

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Speaker 1: on the picks three and seven props pretty good. Seven

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Speaker 1: and three bring us to fifty two and fifty five

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Speaker 1: on the picks, fifty seven and fifty two on the props.

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Speaker 1: So two games over five hundred. Again reviewing what happened

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Speaker 1: with the picks, Duh Penn State team total under sixteen

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Speaker 1: and a half. Nope, twenty seven to twenty four was

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Speaker 1: a final on that game Mississippi SI plus five and

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Speaker 1: a half. First half Forst. Georgia. Nope, twenty forty seven

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Speaker 1: at first half. We did get Texas A and M

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Speaker 1: at Missouri over forty eight and a half. That was

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Speaker 1: thirty eight to seventeen. Was the final auburnteine total under

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Speaker 1: nineteen and a half at Vanderbilt and they scored thirty eight.

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Speaker 1: Hugh Freeze must have been the problem there. The hard

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Speaker 1: rock bet of the week, This one crushed me. Washington

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Speaker 1: minus eleven and a half. They lost straight out to

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Speaker 1: Wisconsin thirteen to ten. We had seen Washington play bad

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Speaker 1: on the road before I took it for they were

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Speaker 1: playing really good teams on the road. I guess they're

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Speaker 1: just bad on the road. Wisconsin has not been good

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Speaker 1: all year. I did say they were fighting, they had

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Speaker 1: not given up, and obviously that was true. But I

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Speaker 1: did not expect this in the slightest so I was

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Speaker 1: very shocked that this happened. Florida minus three and a

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Speaker 1: half at Kentucky. You want to talk about shocked thirty

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Speaker 1: eight to seven. Kentucky was the final in this game,

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Speaker 1: so they lost by thirty one points on the road,

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Speaker 1: and Florida is on absolute quit watch. That will come

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Speaker 1: up later Ohio State at Purdue under forty eight and

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Speaker 1: a half. We got that, didn't get the Purdue team

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Speaker 1: total under eight and a half. They scored a late

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Speaker 1: touchdown after only having a field goal for the whole game.

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Speaker 1: Ohio States defense clearly did not care it was the

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Speaker 1: end of the game. They just wanted to go home.

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Speaker 1: They won that game thirty four to ten, so didn't

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Speaker 1: get the under on the Purdue team total, so split

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Speaker 1: that one one in one. Virginia minus six and a

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Speaker 1: half versus wake Forest. They lost to wake Forest straight

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Speaker 1: out sixteen to nine, but it was because Chandler Morris,

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Speaker 1: the quarterback, got hurt and left early. I think if

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Speaker 1: Chaldla Morris playd they win that game. But wake Forest

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Speaker 1: defense is nasty, so big ups to them for the win.

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Speaker 1: And West Virginia minus six versus Colorado. They ended up

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Speaker 1: winning this game twenty nine to twenty two, but Colorado

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Speaker 1: was coming back fast and furious at the end, making

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Speaker 1: me sweat. So but we did get that that game.

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Speaker 1: The props were great seven and three. Like I said,

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Speaker 1: we got all but one of our touchdown calls. Did

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Speaker 1: not get West Virginia running back to ra Hubbard and

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Speaker 1: the end zone, but Bog got in there, a Hardy

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Speaker 1: got in there. Jeremiah Smith and Skyler Bell all scored.

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Speaker 1: West Virginia quarterback Scottie Foxx over half a passing touchdown

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Speaker 1: he had one, didn't get Malik Washington over one and

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Speaker 1: a half. He had a real bad day passing, but

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Speaker 1: really good day running, but he only had the one

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Speaker 1: passing touchdown, didn't get the two. I was wrong about

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Speaker 1: Auburn and their offense. Ashton Daniels did not throw a pick.

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Speaker 1: He looked great, and they really opened it up and

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Speaker 1: looked good. I mean, they've always had the horses this year,

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Speaker 1: but they just haven't had the quarterback. And obviously the

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Speaker 1: play calling switch was huge for them. LG running back

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Speaker 1: Harlan Berry over forty five and a half rushing receiving

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Speaker 1: yards he had sixty six. All good there at Alabama

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Speaker 1: and wide receiver TCU wide receiver Eric mccowser over eighty

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Speaker 1: and a half. He had one hundred and seven. So

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Speaker 1: good game against Iowa State for him. So, like I said,

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Speaker 1: seven and three on the props, three and seven on

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Speaker 1: the picks, let's go into the week twelve picks. Now

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Speaker 1: I have streamlined them because I wasn't so good last week.

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Speaker 1: I added a couple props, dreamlined a couple picks to

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Speaker 1: go where the trend has been going for me. But

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Speaker 1: the first game we're going to take is Penn State

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Speaker 1: minus seven and a half at Michigan State. Michigan State

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Speaker 1: has massive problems. Obviously they have off the field stuff

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Speaker 1: with these vacated wins and everything, but really just on

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Speaker 1: the field, I think Penn State found something against Indiana.

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Speaker 1: Right they started throwing the ball downfield vertically look great.

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Speaker 1: It opened up the run game for them, and they

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Speaker 1: were in that game against Indiana. They haven't been a

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Speaker 1: good team all year at Michigan State. Michigan State's having

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Speaker 1: issues a quarterback. They're playing musical chairs there. They're splitting

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Speaker 1: first team reps with their quarterbacks. They haven't played great

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Speaker 1: defense all year. I think this version of Penn State

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Speaker 1: can win out and still get to a ball. I

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Speaker 1: think they're going to make that their goal, and I

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Speaker 1: think they beat Michigan State going away. Now, there is

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Speaker 1: projected to be some wind in this game, but it

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Speaker 1: looks like it's going to be just under a threshold

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Speaker 1: of fifteen miles per hour with you know, some gust.

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Speaker 1: So let's wait till late Friday early Saturday to make

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Speaker 1: this bet. Right, Let's check the weather report and see

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Speaker 1: what it looks like. Because if it's crazy, win, I

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Speaker 1: don't trust anything in it. So let's just wait and

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Speaker 1: pump the brakes. But make sure that the weather is

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Speaker 1: clear in that game. You know how the weather is

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Speaker 1: this time of year. It changes every five minutes. Ol

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Speaker 1: Miss minus fourteen versus Florida. Florida's quit, They're done, and

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Speaker 1: Lane Kiffin has incentive to run this score up because

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Speaker 1: he's been connected to this Florida job. It's either a hey,

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Speaker 1: I want this job, this is why, or I don't

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Speaker 1: want your stupid job, and I'm going to do this

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Speaker 1: to you no matter who's coaching there. Right So, I

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Speaker 1: think that ole Miss was shambless in this offense and

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Speaker 1: this defense and just the way they do things. I

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Speaker 1: think they are going to beat down a Florida team

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Speaker 1: that looks like they are absolutely quitting on this season

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Speaker 1: right now. Texas versus Georgia over forty nine and a half.

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Speaker 1: I know this is in a popular bet, I get it,

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Speaker 1: but Georgia has been scoring, their offense has been good,

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Speaker 1: and their defense has not been great in every game

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Speaker 1: this year, specifically Tennessee. That game they were really bad.

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Speaker 1: And Texas offense is coming alive the last two weeks.

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Speaker 1: Arch Is thrown for over seven hundred yards in the

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Speaker 1: last two games that Texas has played. The offensive line

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Speaker 1: has given him time. Georgia doesn't pressure the quarterback very well,

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Speaker 1: one hundred and twenty eighth in pass rush grade, very

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Speaker 1: low in sacks total across the country. Their coverage grade

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Speaker 1: is below average. Their statistical pass coverage is just above average.

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Speaker 1: So give Texas two weeks to prepare for that, I

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Speaker 1: think they're going to be able to score. We've also

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Speaker 1: seen Texas defense not play well. They were horrible in

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Speaker 1: the first half against Mississippi State, horrible in the second

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Speaker 1: half against Vanderbilt. Last couple games, they have not put

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Speaker 1: a complete defensive game plan together. So it doesn't mean

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Speaker 1: they can't, right, But I think both these teams score.

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Speaker 1: I think Wingo is gonna have a pretty good game.

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Speaker 1: More on that a little bit later, but I think

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Speaker 1: that arch is gonna have a decent game as well.

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Speaker 1: I think Stockton is gonna have a good game. Georgia

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Speaker 1: seems to have Texas numbers, So I don't really want

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Speaker 1: to bet. I know a lot of people taking Texas

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Speaker 1: on the as far as the side, I'm not gonna

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Speaker 1: do that. Kirby Smart has beat Texas twice last year,

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Speaker 1: so we're gonna wait. We'll play the over in this game.

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Speaker 1: Another over A team total over for North Texas at UAB.

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Speaker 1: They have hit this in five of nine games this year.

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Speaker 1: UAB is one hundred and thirty first in scoring defense.

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Speaker 1: North Texas is second in scoring offense forty four point

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Speaker 1: two points per game. They're averaging more than this forty

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Speaker 1: two and a half. Now. UAB has played well at home.

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Speaker 1: They played great against Memphis and beat them. Even if

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Speaker 1: they beat North Texas, it's going to be a very

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Speaker 1: high scoring game. If that's the case, North Texas will

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Speaker 1: be scoring a lot of points in this game. Regardless

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Speaker 1: winner lose, something weird happens, they're gonna be points. This

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Speaker 1: is not Navy that they're playing UNC. Team total under

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Speaker 1: sixteen and a half at wake Forest. UNC is one

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Speaker 1: hundred and twenty third in scoring. Wake Forest is thirtieth

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Speaker 1: in scoring defense. There's nothing special, like they haven't woken

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Speaker 1: up and found anything. North Carolina. They beat a really

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Speaker 1: really hurt Syracuse team twenty seven to ten, and then

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Speaker 1: they beat Stanford. I think it was twenty to fifteen.

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Speaker 1: These are still bad offensive performances, like you beat a

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Speaker 1: limping in Syracuse team and a bad Stanford team. I

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Speaker 1: don't think they're gonna hang in this game with wake

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Speaker 1: Forest at all. I don't really trust wake Forest offense,

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Speaker 1: so I don't want to lay aside on this, but

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Speaker 1: I do trust that defense to hold UNC under sixteen

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Speaker 1: and a half. So we're gonna We're gonna bet on it.

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Speaker 1: BYU minus three and a half first TCU. I know

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Speaker 1: I'm opposite of the public here, and I think a

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Speaker 1: lot of people think that this BYU magic is dead

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Speaker 1: because they lost to Texas Tech. Right maybe TCU also

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Speaker 1: played pretty good rushing defense this year, and BYU runs

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Speaker 1: the ball lot that would be a problem, but in

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Speaker 1: their losses they have given up a lot of rushing

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Speaker 1: yards TCU, and I think that's gonna happen here. Again,

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Speaker 1: it's the line. The on line is very very physical

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Speaker 1: for BYU. I think that Uh. It's also a night

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Speaker 1: game in Provo, which gets real weird. UH nine start

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Speaker 1: locally for TCU is a pretty late game in Dallas.

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Speaker 1: So I just don't like this game for TCU at all.

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Speaker 1: I think BYU gets back on the horse and wins

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Speaker 1: this game. We do have one more, but that is

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Speaker 1: going to be the game we say for the hard

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Speaker 1: rock bet of the Week. I remind you guys, if

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Speaker 1: you want to track your bets they accountable level up.

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Speaker 1: You can download the Betting Pros app today. With sportsbooks Sink,

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Speaker 1: you can automatically track your bets across all major sports

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Speaker 1: books in one spot. Easily monitor your bet performance by

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Speaker 1: sport and bet type, including game picks, props, and parlays.

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Speaker 1: Great custom betting systems to find winning trends and profitable opportunities.

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Speaker 1: You can get a seven day free trial Betting Pros

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Speaker 1: Premium by using code Juice Juice and activating your trial

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Speaker 1: on the upgrade screen. All right, going to the props.

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Speaker 1: Kansas State quarterback Avery Johnson at Oklahoma State easy one.

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Speaker 1: I mean, Avery Johnson keeps getting in the end zone.

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Speaker 1: Oklahoma States defense has been bad, should be a higher

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Speaker 1: scoring game. Their offense has been playing better recently, But

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Speaker 1: we're gonna go with Avery Johnson getting the end zone.

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Speaker 1: Jeff Simms Arizona State quarterback versus West Virginia. This is

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Speaker 1: going to be a trend. I've liked some running backs

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Speaker 1: or some quarterbacks. Excuse me. This week, West Virginia better

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Speaker 1: home team, and we saw a lot a lot of

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Speaker 1: running from Arizona State. Jordan Tyson's still down. I think

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Speaker 1: that this is a good one for Jeff Simms to

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Speaker 1: get in the end zone. We have to go to

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Speaker 1: two rushing touchdowns for Haines King because one is no

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Speaker 1: longer available because he scored in every game. They're at

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Speaker 1: Boston College. Boston College is another team that's probably on

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Speaker 1: quit watch. Here is gonna roll over this team as

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Speaker 1: long as this is in an overlook, I don't think

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Speaker 1: it is. I don't think Georgia Tech is that type

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Speaker 1: of a team, so I think they are rolling downhill

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Speaker 1: and Haynes King gets in the end zone twice. Washington

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Speaker 1: is playing at home, so they're much better. They're also

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Speaker 1: playing Purdue, who is really bad on defense. So I

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Speaker 1: think Jonah Coleman could get in the end zone. We've

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Speaker 1: hit on him a couple times picking him for a

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Speaker 1: touchdown this year, and I'm gonna go on a tight

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Speaker 1: end here. Lsu tight end Tredez Green versus Arkansas. Arkansas

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Speaker 1: defense is not good. LSU did have nuss Meyer play,

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Speaker 1: and this is just he's such a massive human. He

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Speaker 1: is such a red zone threat. I think he can

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Speaker 1: easily get in against Arkansas. All right, a couple more

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Speaker 1: here for you. We're gonna go TCU quarterback Josh Hoover

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Speaker 1: over half an interception at Baylor. Like I said, late

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Speaker 1: weird night game, he had two last week for Hoover

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Speaker 1: BYU was tied for seventh interceptions with twelve. They just

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Speaker 1: passed the ball a lot. By. He's been really good

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Speaker 1: getting after the quarterback and playing in coverage, so I

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Speaker 1: think they can get a pick here. Arizona State running

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Speaker 1: back Rayleag Brown over eighty and a half rushing yards

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Speaker 1: versus West Virginia. He's had fifteen plus carries in five

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Speaker 1: of eight games. There's still no Kyson Brown. ASU using

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Speaker 1: those RPOs with Jeff Simms and UCF smoked West Virginia

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Speaker 1: for two hundred and fifty five. Utah got him for

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Speaker 1: two hundred and forty two. There's just going to be

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Speaker 1: a lot of rushing yards to go round for anybody

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Speaker 1: that wants them. For Arizona State against West Virginia. Missouri

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Speaker 1: running back a Mode Hardy over one hundred and a

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Speaker 1: half rushing yards for Mississippi State. Mississippi State has allowed

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Speaker 1: a one hundred plus yard rusher in four of their

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Speaker 1: last five games. The only game they didn't was that

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Speaker 1: game against Texas. They played great run defense in that game,

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Speaker 1: but in the second half Texas had to pass to

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Speaker 1: come back. They were not running. So I think that

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Speaker 1: this is a pretty easy one to hit with Hardy.

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Speaker 1: He's been great all year. LC running back Harlan Berry

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Speaker 1: over fifty seven and a half yards rushing yards versus Arkansas.

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Speaker 1: We're going back to the well on this one. He's

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Speaker 1: getting just over eleven carries a game the last three

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Speaker 1: games and has cleared this total in two straight. ARKI

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Speaker 1: is one hundred and eighteenth and rushing Yart's allowed per

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Speaker 1: game rough for Arkansas. Duke wide receiver Cooper Barcade over

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Speaker 1: seventy and a half receiving yards versus UVA, forty two targets,

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Speaker 1: twenty nine catches, four hundred and fifteen yards, and two

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Speaker 1: touchdowns over his last four games. It's over ten targets

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Speaker 1: per game. Duke passes at a sixty point seven percent clip.

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Speaker 1: Chandler Morris is looking like he's going to play in

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Speaker 1: this game. I'd say that kind of. He just hasn't

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Speaker 1: cleared all the concussion protocol, but he was back working

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Speaker 1: on the side at practice. He feels good. I think

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Speaker 1: he's gonna pass him play, So this should turn in

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Speaker 1: to a nice shootout game for us, and I think

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Speaker 1: Barcatti can get there. And I'm gonna go with my

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Speaker 1: boy Ryan Wingo over fifty eight and a half receiving

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Speaker 1: yards at Georgia. He's back from the thumb injury the

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Speaker 1: two games before that one hundred and eighty four eighty

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Speaker 1: nine yards. I think he can easily get this. Usually

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Speaker 1: is fifty eighth in passing yards allowed, but eighty third

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Speaker 1: in coverage grades, so we can definitely get this one here.

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Speaker 1: All right, Before I get to the hard Rock Bet

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Speaker 1: All Right, our hard rock bet of the week is

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Speaker 1: going to be Utah minus seven and a half at Baylor.

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Speaker 1: Baylor is getting bet on a lot this week. I

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Speaker 1: was kind of surprised by that. So they're at home,

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Speaker 1: but I honestly think that's the only good thing that

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Speaker 1: they have in this game. Utah is an upper echelon

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Speaker 1: Big twelve team Baylor's. They have the talent to be

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Speaker 1: an upper echelon team. They haven't gotten there. Specifically on defense,

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Speaker 1: I think this game is going to be one on

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Speaker 1: the line of scrimmage on both sides for Utah, and Look,

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Speaker 1: stepping into this game, it's just not a good matchup

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Speaker 1: the things that Baylor does well passing and stopping the

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Speaker 1: run or stopping the pass, passing and stopping the pass.

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Speaker 1: Utah stops the pass and they run the ball very well.

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Speaker 1: So their powers match up with the weaknesses of Baylor.

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Speaker 1: It's just not a good matchup for Baylor at all.

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Speaker 1: I think that, you know, look, with a good offense,

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Speaker 1: you're in every game. So that's why this number isn't

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Speaker 1: better bigger excuse me, but I do think that the

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Speaker 1: offensive line for Utah, specifically against the defense, I think

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Speaker 1: they're gonna hold the ball. I think they're gonna run

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Speaker 1: the ball. He keep the ball away from Sawyer Robinson,

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Speaker 1: and when he has to come in he will panic.

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Speaker 1: He will throw some interceptions. So I just think that

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Speaker 1: Utah is gonna dominate this game. It's the offensive line.

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Speaker 1: They have two tackles that are grated top fifty right

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Speaker 1: now in PFF's big Board. I think that they are

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Speaker 1: going to run Downhill. I think they're gonna own line

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Speaker 1: of scrimmage, and I think they're gonna beat Baylor down

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Speaker 1: in their own house. So that is going to be

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Speaker 1: the hard rock better of the week. It's two weeks

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Speaker 1: in a row. I'm taking a road team, but I

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Speaker 1: really like Utah this week to beat town Baylor. So

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Speaker 1: to review everything that we've got for you, obviously, Utah

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Speaker 1: minus seven and a half at Baylor is a hard

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Speaker 1: rock bet of the week. We're going Penn State minus

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Speaker 1: seven and a half at Michigan State, Ole Miss minus

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Speaker 1: fourteen versus Florida, Texas Georgia over forty nine and a half.

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Speaker 1: North Texas team total over forty two and a half

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Speaker 1: at UAB UNC team total under sixteen and a half

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Speaker 1: at Wake Forest, and BYU minus three and a half

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Speaker 1: at home against TCU are props. We've got touchdowns for

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Speaker 1: Avery Johnson at Oklahoma State, Jeff Simms versus West Virginia.

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Speaker 1: We're going too for Haines King at Boston College, one

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Speaker 1: for Jonah Coleman versus Purdue, and Trey des Green versus Arkansas.

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Speaker 1: The other bets we have, we're going over half an

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Speaker 1: interception for Josh Hoover against BYU. Over eighty and a

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Speaker 1: half rushing yards for Real Leake Brown, over one hundred

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Speaker 1: and a half rushing yards for Amad Hardy, over fifty

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Speaker 1: seven and a half rushing yards for Harlem Barry, over

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Speaker 1: seventy and a half receiving yards for Cooper Barcade, and

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Speaker 1: over fifty eight and a half receiving yards for Ryan Wingo.

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Speaker 1: That is going to wrap it up for me. You

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Speaker 1: can follow me at Bogman Sports. Good luck and I

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Speaker 1: will see y'all next week. Take it easy, everybody.

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Speaker 2: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast.

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