WEBVTT - William Lazonick on How The Stock Market Killed Tech

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<v Speaker 1>Also media, Hello, and welcome to Better Offline.

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<v Speaker 2>I am, of course your host ed Zittron and know

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<v Speaker 2>a lot of people have been asking, hundreds of thousands

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<v Speaker 2>of people. In fact, I will be submitting myself at

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<v Speaker 2>the next d NC is the left is Joe Rogan.

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<v Speaker 2>I am two or three inches taller as well. But

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<v Speaker 2>today I'm joined by Professor William Lazonek. He's a professor

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<v Speaker 2>emeritus of Economics ever at University of Massachusetts and the

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<v Speaker 2>co founder of the Academic Industry Research Network. William, thank

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<v Speaker 2>you so much for coming.

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<v Speaker 3>Pleasure to be here.

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<v Speaker 2>All right, So, if you look at the tech industry

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<v Speaker 2>right now, it's probably the most it's definitely the most

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<v Speaker 2>profitable it's ever been, and probably the worst. It feels

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<v Speaker 2>like the furthest it's been from really innovating, and it's

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<v Speaker 2>moved to value extraction, I think, and you know, you

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<v Speaker 2>know a great deal about that.

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<v Speaker 4>How did we get here? And I mean historically, how

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<v Speaker 4>did we get here?

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<v Speaker 5>Well, first of all, you have to understand that the

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<v Speaker 5>United States as the most formidable developmental state in history.

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<v Speaker 5>A lot of people think that Japan in the eighties

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<v Speaker 5>invented the developmental state, but actually the United States was

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<v Speaker 5>japan developmental state from the point of view of technology.

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<v Speaker 3>So I won't go into.

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<v Speaker 5>The whole history of that, but it goes back to

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<v Speaker 5>the nineteenth century building of Langrand colleges, railroads, and going

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<v Speaker 5>into aviation, the computer.

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<v Speaker 3>Industry, etc.

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<v Speaker 5>So tech was provided with all kinds of resources.

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<v Speaker 3>Those resources were.

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<v Speaker 5>Originally used by large corporations that actually gave people lifetime employment.

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<v Speaker 5>So that's something else. When people discovered Japanese competition in

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<v Speaker 5>the nineteen eighties, he said, oh, a secret to Japan's

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<v Speaker 5>success is they give people permanent employment, life time employment.

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<v Speaker 5>US companies were doing that, particularly post World War Two.

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<v Speaker 5>Iconic company that did that, which became a totally shareholder

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<v Speaker 5>value company, and that's where I'm going was IBM. You

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<v Speaker 5>had a job for life, so you had a defined

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<v Speaker 5>benefit pension, you had all your medical compenses paid, et cetera.

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<v Speaker 5>Those companies were highly innovative, A lot of them connected

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<v Speaker 5>to what was called the military industrial complex, and in

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<v Speaker 5>the early late fifties early sixties, some companies started setting off,

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<v Speaker 5>spinning off of that, companies that would have been like

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<v Speaker 5>companies here today that that were, and they went on,

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<v Speaker 5>they went public and they were called glamorous stocks, but

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<v Speaker 5>they were thinly traded. So the Security and Exchange Commission,

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<v Speaker 5>which was set up in the mid thirties to get

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<v Speaker 5>rid of manipulation and fraud on markets, they had what

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<v Speaker 5>was called a Special Study that created Nasdaq, which you

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<v Speaker 5>all know about, but you probably don't know the origins

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<v Speaker 5>of it. So Nasdaq was really backed by the US

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<v Speaker 5>government to create a liquid market in a spec highly

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<v Speaker 5>speculative stocks. And so the National Association Dealer's Automated Quotation

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<v Speaker 5>system came online in April nineteen seventy one, and it

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<v Speaker 5>wasn't actually a trading market, it was just a quotation system.

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<v Speaker 5>So the security dealers who were all working on their

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<v Speaker 5>phones and rollodexes in isolation and never knowing what the

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<v Speaker 5>price of a stock would be, all of a sudden.

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<v Speaker 5>This is really the first use of internetworking, right, because

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<v Speaker 5>computers mainframes had just come in in the sixties, So

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<v Speaker 5>you now have NASDAK. One of the first companies that

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<v Speaker 5>listened on Nasdaq was Intel, three years after was founded.

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<v Speaker 5>That would never have been possible with the New York

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<v Speaker 5>Stock Exchange. They could have gone the over counter market

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<v Speaker 5>because the New York Stock exchange had listen requirements in

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<v Speaker 5>terms of capitalization profitability that would require ten to fifteen

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<v Speaker 5>years at least, right, Okay, but now you could get

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<v Speaker 5>companies going pro public.

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<v Speaker 3>They didn't even have a product.

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<v Speaker 5>That really was the thing that brought venture capital into

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<v Speaker 5>the picture. There was no well defined venture capital industry

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<v Speaker 5>until nineteen seventy two, a year after Nasdaq was created,

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<v Speaker 5>and it came out of Silicon Valley, which by the way,

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<v Speaker 5>was dubbed Silicon Valley in nineteen seventy one by a

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<v Speaker 5>journalist because there were so many startups producing silicon ship.

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<v Speaker 4>Fill this point.

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<v Speaker 2>Going public required you to be a good company.

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<v Speaker 5>You had to, yeah, so often you went over the

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<v Speaker 5>counter and then graduated to what they called the Big

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<v Speaker 5>Board the New York Stockution be Yeah, and you had

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<v Speaker 5>to have a lot of different shareholders, cetera. Yeah, so

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<v Speaker 5>rid of that, and well, those companies tended to pay dividends,

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<v Speaker 5>but they didn't do something which I'm going to talk

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<v Speaker 5>about today, which is the way the datory value extraction

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<v Speaker 5>is working in the US economy, particularly in the tech sector,

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<v Speaker 5>and that's the phenomenon of companies buying back their stock.

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<v Speaker 3>Okay, but before we get to that.

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<v Speaker 5>We basically have to see that in the nineteen seventies

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<v Speaker 5>there was a change in the institutions of the stock market,

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<v Speaker 5>particularly around Nasdaq and venture capital, that made it possible

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<v Speaker 5>all of a sudden to get funding from for startups

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<v Speaker 5>that couldn't get funding before.

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<v Speaker 6>Now.

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<v Speaker 5>A big change was and it was really under the radar,

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<v Speaker 5>was in nineteen seventy nine July of nineteen seventy nine

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<v Speaker 5>when the Department of Labor in the US said that

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<v Speaker 5>pension funds could put some of their money into risky assets.

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<v Speaker 5>There had been some legislation earlier in the decade which

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<v Speaker 5>said that if pension fund managers put their money into

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<v Speaker 5>companies like the companies on show here they're trying to

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<v Speaker 5>go public, that they could get into.

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<v Speaker 3>Trouble or company, it's a company.

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<v Speaker 5>Immediately, from that point in time on, there was no

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<v Speaker 5>shortage of money in the US economy for venture.

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<v Speaker 3>Capital, for new firms.

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<v Speaker 5>There was really always Since then, it's been a shortage

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<v Speaker 5>of good firms and a lot of money chasing.

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<v Speaker 2>Well. Pushing back on that way, yeah, agreeing, But isn't

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<v Speaker 2>the problem more so that venture capital no longer really works.

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<v Speaker 2>It isn't really taking risks, it's just okay doing more

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<v Speaker 2>value extraction.

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<v Speaker 5>Now, venture capital at that point where it was really

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<v Speaker 5>dominated by people who came out of the industries in

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<v Speaker 5>which they were investing. Right, So there were individuals who

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<v Speaker 5>decided to be a like Don Valentine who backed Cisco

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<v Speaker 5>and other companies. He came out of National Semiconductor, had

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<v Speaker 5>been in the semiconductor industry. They were in a whole

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<v Speaker 5>number of them, and so they understood the industries in

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<v Speaker 5>which they were investing.

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<v Speaker 3>Some of them were better, some of the worst.

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<v Speaker 5>Right, But really what put it venture capital made it

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<v Speaker 5>something that people would now say, hey, let's go after

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<v Speaker 5>this stuff. We're two IPOs in nineteen eighty one was

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<v Speaker 5>Apple and the other was Genentech. One attack and one

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<v Speaker 5>on biotech. And from then on there was well, in

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<v Speaker 5>the early eighties, there was a whole bunch of investing

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<v Speaker 5>in venture capital. Here's your point comes up. There was

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<v Speaker 5>a very good book written in nineteen eighty five by

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<v Speaker 5>BusinessWeek journalist your named John Wilson, called The New Ventures.

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<v Speaker 3>It was the first real good book.

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<v Speaker 5>Out there on venture capital, and the last chapter was

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<v Speaker 5>vulture Capital. So it was basically the bad venture capitalists

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<v Speaker 5>coming in and just hyping companies and the whole thing

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<v Speaker 5>falling apart. And then so you always you have these

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<v Speaker 5>cycles of good venture capital, and then you know, in

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<v Speaker 5>the dot com period you have the boom and bust,

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<v Speaker 5>et cetera.

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<v Speaker 2>I think, I think what I'm thinking is the way

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<v Speaker 2>venture capital is today is strange because after twenty twenty one,

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<v Speaker 2>the collapse of the zero interest free era, you're kind

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<v Speaker 2>of seeing that a lot of venture capitalists did not

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<v Speaker 2>exactly know how to invest in companies at all.

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<v Speaker 4>They knew how to invest in concepts, in.

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<v Speaker 2>Things that they could take public or things that they

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<v Speaker 2>could flog to another company. And that's venture capital is

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<v Speaker 2>falling off quite a lot.

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<v Speaker 4>Now.

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<v Speaker 2>Is that something that reflects the larger market conditions of

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<v Speaker 2>the tech industry, because it feels like the same problem

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<v Speaker 2>in that meta makes their Facebook sucks. Now, if I'm

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<v Speaker 2>sure you all use Instagram and Facebook, if you don't

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<v Speaker 2>think it's bad, please go on the app take a look.

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<v Speaker 4>It feels like they're.

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<v Speaker 2>All following the same thing of they have all fallen

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<v Speaker 2>into Jack Welch's shareholder value system of bigger, more money

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<v Speaker 2>as much as we can squeeze my users as possible,

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<v Speaker 2>which only appears to work in the public market.

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<v Speaker 4>So how did how did we we really get here? Though? Like,

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<v Speaker 4>how do how do we get to the sho Okay?

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<v Speaker 5>So, now what you had with venture capital, with Nasdak

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<v Speaker 5>being part part of it, with a shift actually of

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<v Speaker 5>Wall Street self from investing in these older companies and

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<v Speaker 5>doing their bond issues to trading in stocks that also

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<v Speaker 5>occurred in the nineteen seventy you when the stock market

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<v Speaker 5>actually was.

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<v Speaker 3>Not doing very well.

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<v Speaker 5>But you then had a whole situation where you had,

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<v Speaker 5>I mean, this really did unleash innovation. The older economy companies,

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<v Speaker 5>they were good at doing some things, but a lot

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<v Speaker 5>of them became conglomertized, became sclorotic, et cetera. There was

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<v Speaker 5>a demand coming out of basically conservative economics, led by

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<v Speaker 5>a guy named Michael Jensen, to discourage the free cash flow,

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<v Speaker 5>as they called it. It actually invented the term free

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<v Speaker 5>cash flow, which every company used. A free cash flow,

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<v Speaker 5>by the way, means that if you got to lay

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<v Speaker 5>off five thousand and workers to create free cash flow,

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<v Speaker 5>well that's fine, you know, as long as anything that

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<v Speaker 5>isn't nailed down is free cash flow. And this prioritized

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<v Speaker 5>shareholder value ideology that I witnessed firsthand when I was

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<v Speaker 5>at Harvard Business School in the mid nineteen eighties, and

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<v Speaker 5>they hired this guy, Michael Jensen. I'm not sure if

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<v Speaker 5>you've heard of him, but he died recently, the guru

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<v Speaker 5>of a maximizing shareholder value.

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<v Speaker 3>And once he did that, you start.

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<v Speaker 5>Getting hits in the Wall Street Journal of Financial Time

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<v Speaker 5>Center shareholder value. Okay, then they start with executive pay,

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<v Speaker 5>stock based pay. That was already the longer history of that,

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<v Speaker 5>but that comes in in the nineteen eighties. That's aligning

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<v Speaker 5>the top executives with shareholder value.

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<v Speaker 3>And then how do you.

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<v Speaker 5>Create and I use creative quotes value for shareholders. Not

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<v Speaker 5>only do you pay dividends, but you buy back the

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<v Speaker 5>company's stock the stock buy back. You tell your broker

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<v Speaker 5>go into the market, buy back our stock. You're giving

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<v Speaker 5>their money away to get the stock price up, and

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<v Speaker 5>you're nactually not benefiting shareholders who get dividends. You're benefiting

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<v Speaker 5>share sellers who are using the opportunity to sell their shares,

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<v Speaker 5>including the top executives who pay is stock based stock options.

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<v Speaker 5>Now it's more stock awards, but also corporate raiders who

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<v Speaker 5>want to come in and say, get the stock price up,

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<v Speaker 5>do the buybacks, then we'll sell the shares. So this

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<v Speaker 5>becomes a massive phenomenon. Now, this was enabled by in

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<v Speaker 5>nineteen eighty two again the Security Exchange Commission, which has

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<v Speaker 5>said was set up to get rid of manipulation and

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<v Speaker 5>fraud in the market. It went from being a regulator

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<v Speaker 5>of the stock market to being a promoter of the

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<v Speaker 5>stock market. And to this day that's what the Security

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<v Speaker 5>Exchange Commission is. It is not a regulator of the

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<v Speaker 5>stock market, it's a promoter of the stock market.

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<v Speaker 3>And what they did it was really under the radar.

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<v Speaker 5>Usually in the US you have public comment on these issues.

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<v Speaker 5>They said, any company on any single trading day can

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<v Speaker 5>buy back twenty five percent of their average daily trading

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<v Speaker 5>volume over the previous four weeks without being charged with manipulation.

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<v Speaker 3>It was a safe harbor.

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<v Speaker 5>So didn't say if you went over that you would

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<v Speaker 5>be charged. It just said if you want to be

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<v Speaker 5>sure that you won't be charged manipulation, that's how much

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<v Speaker 5>you can you can do and buy backs.

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<v Speaker 2>Now, so how does this lead to where we are today,

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<v Speaker 2>which is a death of innovation?

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<v Speaker 5>Okay, So What that means is that a company like Apple.

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<v Speaker 5>I looked at the figures, they change a bit from

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<v Speaker 5>year to year, or sometimes quite a bit. They could

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<v Speaker 5>do about four billion a day day in buybacks, day.

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<v Speaker 3>After day after day. They Apple just.

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<v Speaker 5>Came out with his twenty twenty four annual report. They

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<v Speaker 5>did ninety five billion in buybacks. They had ninety four

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<v Speaker 5>billion of profits. Hugely profitable, but ninety five billion in buybacks.

0:13:16.800 --> 0:13:20.679
<v Speaker 5>Apple has done seven hundred and twenty six billion dollars

0:13:20.720 --> 0:13:26.760
<v Speaker 5>in stock buybacks over the previous twelve years, plus about

0:13:26.800 --> 0:13:31.240
<v Speaker 5>one about two hundred billion in dividends. The buybacks are

0:13:31.240 --> 0:13:36.360
<v Speaker 5>about ninety three percent of its profits. Now Apples hugely profitable,

0:13:37.400 --> 0:13:41.480
<v Speaker 5>but there are costs to doing that now. By the way,

0:13:41.640 --> 0:13:45.640
<v Speaker 5>when if you look on Apple's website, they call this

0:13:45.800 --> 0:13:50.880
<v Speaker 5>program of paying out dividends and doing buybacks, which really

0:13:50.920 --> 0:13:51.600
<v Speaker 5>only got going.

0:13:51.960 --> 0:13:53.319
<v Speaker 3>Is a longer history to this.

0:13:54.240 --> 0:13:57.120
<v Speaker 5>When Steve Jobs left in nineteen eighty five or was

0:13:57.160 --> 0:14:00.240
<v Speaker 5>pushed out of Apple, the executives there start paying doing

0:14:00.320 --> 0:14:03.319
<v Speaker 5>giving in the buyback almost drove the company into bankruptcy.

0:14:03.720 --> 0:14:06.640
<v Speaker 5>Jobs came back in nineteen ninety seven said we're not

0:14:06.760 --> 0:14:09.640
<v Speaker 5>doing that. We're doing what I call retaining and reinvesting.

0:14:10.400 --> 0:14:13.720
<v Speaker 5>And we know the history of that. They have the iPod, iPhone, iPad,

0:14:13.760 --> 0:14:19.960
<v Speaker 5>et cetera. Steve Jobs died in twenty eleven. Shortly before

0:14:20.000 --> 0:14:23.600
<v Speaker 5>he did that, he died, he gave the CEO position

0:14:23.720 --> 0:14:27.000
<v Speaker 5>to Tim Cook, who was claimed to fame. There was

0:14:27.120 --> 0:14:30.120
<v Speaker 5>outsourcing their manufacturing to China and.

0:14:30.680 --> 0:14:33.360
<v Speaker 3>Courtually everything that operations guy, yeah, operation guy.

0:14:33.440 --> 0:14:38.040
<v Speaker 5>And he got pressured by the hedge fund activists starting

0:14:38.080 --> 0:14:44.160
<v Speaker 5>in twenty twelve twenty thirteen, including Carl Icon, and they

0:14:44.200 --> 0:14:46.640
<v Speaker 5>started doing the buybacks. And once they started doing them,

0:14:46.640 --> 0:14:49.560
<v Speaker 5>they just kept doing more and more of them, as

0:14:49.560 --> 0:14:53.480
<v Speaker 5>I say, an average of sixty billion a year over

0:14:53.920 --> 0:14:56.640
<v Speaker 5>the last twelve years. Now they call it their capital

0:14:56.680 --> 0:15:00.400
<v Speaker 5>return program. But the only time Apple ever got money

0:15:00.440 --> 0:15:03.440
<v Speaker 5>from the stock market was in nineteen eighty and it's ibo,

0:15:04.720 --> 0:15:06.560
<v Speaker 5>so who is it returning capital too?

0:15:06.680 --> 0:15:09.200
<v Speaker 2>But what I understand this is bad because it makes

0:15:09.240 --> 0:15:12.400
<v Speaker 2>it's basically just money going into the corporation's mouth from.

0:15:12.240 --> 0:15:14.280
<v Speaker 4>It hand its hands. But how does this fuck up

0:15:14.280 --> 0:15:15.080
<v Speaker 4>the innovation economy?

0:15:15.080 --> 0:15:17.880
<v Speaker 2>How does this stop people actually building more cool stuff,

0:15:18.040 --> 0:15:20.200
<v Speaker 2>all right, or useful things I guess, or at least,

0:15:20.200 --> 0:15:21.680
<v Speaker 2>how does it enable the bad habits.

0:15:21.840 --> 0:15:25.320
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, okay, so first of all, again, sticking with a

0:15:25.360 --> 0:15:30.200
<v Speaker 5>company like Apple, they could be paying people in the

0:15:30.240 --> 0:15:35.000
<v Speaker 5>Apple stores maybe twenty percent more, maybe twenty five percent more,

0:15:35.200 --> 0:15:37.680
<v Speaker 5>making those even though they can might be able to

0:15:37.720 --> 0:15:40.440
<v Speaker 5>substitute a lot of those people fairly easily. But they

0:15:40.560 --> 0:15:42.840
<v Speaker 5>could have made those the best jobs that anybody could

0:15:42.880 --> 0:15:44.520
<v Speaker 5>have in the economy. It wouldn't just be in the

0:15:44.560 --> 0:15:46.360
<v Speaker 5>US all over the place, and that would have pulled

0:15:46.440 --> 0:15:48.640
<v Speaker 5>up wages for the kinds of people who work in

0:15:48.680 --> 0:15:52.560
<v Speaker 5>the Apple stores by other competitors, right, you know, and

0:15:53.400 --> 0:15:55.160
<v Speaker 5>this is not just Apple, there's a whole all the

0:15:55.200 --> 0:15:56.160
<v Speaker 5>big companies.

0:15:55.840 --> 0:15:59.040
<v Speaker 3>Are doing this stuff. Okay.

0:15:59.120 --> 0:16:05.359
<v Speaker 5>They could have invested in innovation that was not immediately

0:16:05.400 --> 0:16:12.040
<v Speaker 5>profitable or commercially profitable, but for public good like for

0:16:12.080 --> 0:16:16.800
<v Speaker 5>disabilities things like this. They did hardly any of that.

0:16:17.240 --> 0:16:19.960
<v Speaker 4>Okay, they sornety billion.

0:16:19.720 --> 0:16:24.080
<v Speaker 5>Year when they did try to move into new technology.

0:16:24.080 --> 0:16:26.600
<v Speaker 5>And I use all the Apple products you know out there,

0:16:26.640 --> 0:16:28.600
<v Speaker 5>but the ones they didn't produce, the you know, AI,

0:16:29.080 --> 0:16:32.320
<v Speaker 5>self driving cars, et cetera. They spent billions and failed.

0:16:32.600 --> 0:16:37.360
<v Speaker 5>But it's worse than that. The US is now engaged

0:16:37.400 --> 0:16:42.560
<v Speaker 5>in what some people call the chipwar with Samsung and TSMC.

0:16:43.280 --> 0:16:49.240
<v Speaker 5>Intel turned down the contract for Apple processors after the

0:16:49.280 --> 0:16:52.160
<v Speaker 5>iPhone was launched in two thousand and seven. That's because

0:16:52.320 --> 0:16:55.920
<v Speaker 5>Intel was doing massive buybacks at the time and they

0:16:55.920 --> 0:17:01.240
<v Speaker 5>had a financial guy running the company. But then they

0:17:01.280 --> 0:17:05.640
<v Speaker 5>gave the contract to Samsum. Sansum became a high end

0:17:05.680 --> 0:17:10.520
<v Speaker 5>producer fabricator of chips, the highest end by doing the

0:17:10.560 --> 0:17:11.159
<v Speaker 5>products for.

0:17:13.000 --> 0:17:13.320
<v Speaker 3>Apple.

0:17:13.840 --> 0:17:16.760
<v Speaker 5>Then they became a competitor, so they switched to TSMC.

0:17:18.400 --> 0:17:22.160
<v Speaker 5>And so basically the US is from a US point

0:17:22.160 --> 0:17:27.199
<v Speaker 5>of view, does not have a leading edge producer of

0:17:27.520 --> 0:17:32.640
<v Speaker 5>fabricator of chips now because in fact it was outsourced

0:17:32.680 --> 0:17:36.400
<v Speaker 5>by one of the leading companies that could have actually

0:17:37.000 --> 0:17:40.159
<v Speaker 5>sixty billion dollars away would build a state of the

0:17:40.240 --> 0:17:44.000
<v Speaker 5>art plant. That's that's that's what TSMC is spending in

0:17:44.800 --> 0:17:47.760
<v Speaker 5>Arizona now, and that's just the one year with Apple's

0:17:48.119 --> 0:17:49.800
<v Speaker 5>is spent on average.

0:17:59.200 --> 0:18:01.600
<v Speaker 2>Maybe I want to take a step further out because

0:18:02.160 --> 0:18:05.720
<v Speaker 2>whiles stock buybacks are a major problem, there is a

0:18:05.840 --> 0:18:08.080
<v Speaker 2>much larger one as well, with the growth of all

0:18:08.160 --> 0:18:10.159
<v Speaker 2>coast row economy. As I call it, the idea that

0:18:10.200 --> 0:18:12.399
<v Speaker 2>every single company I mentioned matter earlier The reason my

0:18:12.440 --> 0:18:15.200
<v Speaker 2>bag on matter is because the average Instagram Facebook experience

0:18:15.280 --> 0:18:18.800
<v Speaker 2>is horrible, interfered with, it's full of aislop. In fact,

0:18:18.800 --> 0:18:21.000
<v Speaker 2>Mark Zuckerbot literally just said he wants to have a

0:18:21.080 --> 0:18:23.680
<v Speaker 2>channel just for AI. Slop makes you want a channel

0:18:23.680 --> 0:18:26.119
<v Speaker 2>a gun in my mouth. And the thing is, we

0:18:26.160 --> 0:18:29.320
<v Speaker 2>are seeing tech getting worse. And it's not just these buybacks.

0:18:29.359 --> 0:18:32.480
<v Speaker 2>It's if they had that money to spend, they probably

0:18:32.520 --> 0:18:35.080
<v Speaker 2>wouldn't spend it on an innovation. If we're honest, they're

0:18:35.080 --> 0:18:39.080
<v Speaker 2>not incentivized to innovate. So how do we change this?

0:18:39.119 --> 0:18:42.560
<v Speaker 2>How do we actually unfucked this system? Because right now,

0:18:42.600 --> 0:18:45.640
<v Speaker 2>if you look at Google, you look at Microsoft, these

0:18:45.680 --> 0:18:48.040
<v Speaker 2>products are getting worse as they get more profitable.

0:18:48.560 --> 0:18:50.440
<v Speaker 4>How do you write this and what can be done

0:18:50.480 --> 0:18:51.800
<v Speaker 4>to them to change them?

0:18:52.080 --> 0:18:59.680
<v Speaker 5>Okay, well yeah, so first, companies that prioritize getting this

0:18:59.760 --> 0:19:04.240
<v Speaker 5>stuff price up over investing in innovation and that, by

0:19:04.240 --> 0:19:06.600
<v Speaker 5>the way, that doesn't mean just spending money on our ID.

0:19:06.720 --> 0:19:10.600
<v Speaker 5>It means employing people, integrating them, getting the learning going,

0:19:10.800 --> 0:19:14.760
<v Speaker 5>and actually maintaining a stable labor force so that you

0:19:14.840 --> 0:19:18.439
<v Speaker 5>can actually produce those products serve as those products once

0:19:18.520 --> 0:19:23.440
<v Speaker 5>in the market. But companies that prioritize shareholder value get

0:19:23.480 --> 0:19:26.119
<v Speaker 5>involved in other kinds of all kinds of mysfils like

0:19:26.720 --> 0:19:30.680
<v Speaker 5>they price gouge, they tax avoid taxes, they layoff lots

0:19:30.680 --> 0:19:37.040
<v Speaker 5>of workers. When they're profitable, they'll basically shareholder value takes

0:19:37.080 --> 0:19:42.160
<v Speaker 5>over everything. Okay, so how do you deal with that? Yes, okay,

0:19:42.800 --> 0:19:47.520
<v Speaker 5>here's part of the problem that the people, a lot

0:19:47.520 --> 0:19:50.359
<v Speaker 5>of people understand that this is a problem, at least

0:19:50.640 --> 0:19:54.040
<v Speaker 5>the work I've done on this. On stock buybacks, I

0:19:54.040 --> 0:19:56.560
<v Speaker 5>had an article in Harvard Business Review ten years ago,

0:19:56.600 --> 0:20:00.200
<v Speaker 5>which was just an article I wrote, but because where

0:20:00.240 --> 0:20:03.520
<v Speaker 5>it appeared and because it had it was called profits

0:20:03.560 --> 0:20:06.359
<v Speaker 5>without Prosperity. The subtitle was the best part, how stock

0:20:06.440 --> 0:20:10.119
<v Speaker 5>buybacks manipulate the market at least most Americans worse off.

0:20:10.680 --> 0:20:14.520
<v Speaker 5>It shocked me that Harvard Business Review actually published that article.

0:20:14.840 --> 0:20:19.520
<v Speaker 5>Usually yeah, yeah, okay, so but the fact is that

0:20:19.560 --> 0:20:20.760
<v Speaker 5>it did get a lot of attention.

0:20:21.280 --> 0:20:22.160
<v Speaker 4>Right, But.

0:20:23.840 --> 0:20:25.360
<v Speaker 3>If you are in power.

0:20:25.160 --> 0:20:28.800
<v Speaker 5>As the Democrats were for the last four years, they

0:20:28.840 --> 0:20:31.320
<v Speaker 5>gave it a lot of attention when Trump was in power.

0:20:32.480 --> 0:20:35.080
<v Speaker 4>But I got to push back on that. I'm sorry,

0:20:35.080 --> 0:20:36.240
<v Speaker 4>did they because.

0:20:35.920 --> 0:20:40.480
<v Speaker 5>Oh no, yeah, they did? Pal okay around the Trump

0:20:40.520 --> 0:20:44.920
<v Speaker 5>tax cuts. They had what it was called hashtag GOP

0:20:45.119 --> 0:20:47.280
<v Speaker 5>tax scam. It was all about stock buybacks.

0:20:47.400 --> 0:20:51.080
<v Speaker 2>I know he's the thing, okay, the larger economic conditions

0:20:51.119 --> 0:20:54.159
<v Speaker 2>of the problem here. The tax thinks, sure, it's a

0:20:54.200 --> 0:20:57.080
<v Speaker 2>part of it. But the problem is that the incentive

0:20:57.359 --> 0:21:01.320
<v Speaker 2>is the dual company grows and continues for writing shareholder value, which,

0:21:01.640 --> 0:21:04.240
<v Speaker 2>as my listeners will know, into the audience here literally

0:21:04.280 --> 0:21:07.480
<v Speaker 2>just means what will increase stock price and increased dividends.

0:21:07.600 --> 0:21:11.800
<v Speaker 2>Very basic, Jack Welsh, bullshit. How do you change those incentives?

0:21:11.880 --> 0:21:14.000
<v Speaker 2>Because I don't think that true, and this is not

0:21:14.040 --> 0:21:16.600
<v Speaker 2>even a political statement. I don't think there's any movement

0:21:17.560 --> 0:21:21.639
<v Speaker 2>to stop that other than maybe Lena Khan and rip

0:21:21.840 --> 0:21:24.760
<v Speaker 2>very soon, probably sadly, an attempt to move away from

0:21:24.760 --> 0:21:27.960
<v Speaker 2>the monopolies. How do you actually breach this machine, because

0:21:28.000 --> 0:21:29.560
<v Speaker 2>the machine is breaking everything else.

0:21:29.800 --> 0:21:35.600
<v Speaker 5>There is actually legislation, okay, influenced by the work first

0:21:36.160 --> 0:21:40.040
<v Speaker 5>introduced by Senator Tammy Baldwin, who won by a whisker

0:21:40.080 --> 0:21:43.360
<v Speaker 5>in Wisconsin, was reelected, called the Reward Work.

0:21:43.160 --> 0:21:46.119
<v Speaker 3>Act, and it would ban buy backs.

0:21:46.160 --> 0:21:49.000
<v Speaker 5>It would get rid of this rule from nineteen eighty

0:21:49.000 --> 0:21:51.680
<v Speaker 5>two that allows companies to do and without being charged

0:21:51.680 --> 0:21:54.159
<v Speaker 5>with manipulation, and so in effect, it would say that

0:21:54.200 --> 0:21:56.280
<v Speaker 5>if you do buybacks on the scale that you're doing

0:21:56.280 --> 0:22:00.840
<v Speaker 5>them now would man it also the other side of it,

0:22:01.560 --> 0:22:06.000
<v Speaker 5>which is that you would put worker representatives on boards.

0:22:07.000 --> 0:22:10.359
<v Speaker 5>I think you have to put representatives on boards. I

0:22:10.440 --> 0:22:12.960
<v Speaker 5>think they actually I want to be as a taxpayer

0:22:13.000 --> 0:22:16.160
<v Speaker 5>represented on boards if they're using my money, if Elon

0:22:16.280 --> 0:22:20.720
<v Speaker 5>Musk is using my money of apples, yeah, I mean.

0:22:20.560 --> 0:22:22.760
<v Speaker 3>The boards boards, boards are a joke.

0:22:22.880 --> 0:22:26.800
<v Speaker 5>I mean the notion of independent board members and given

0:22:26.960 --> 0:22:30.440
<v Speaker 5>given the money that board members are making went from

0:22:30.440 --> 0:22:31.359
<v Speaker 5>shareholder value.

0:22:31.480 --> 0:22:32.040
<v Speaker 4>Yeah.

0:22:32.240 --> 0:22:37.959
<v Speaker 5>We just wrote an article on Elon musk twenty eighteen

0:22:38.280 --> 0:22:39.719
<v Speaker 5>pay package.

0:22:40.880 --> 0:22:42.639
<v Speaker 3>The so called independent.

0:22:43.720 --> 0:22:49.200
<v Speaker 5>Directors have made hundreds of millions of dollars on giving

0:22:49.240 --> 0:22:52.480
<v Speaker 5>him that PayPal being around giving that and staying on

0:22:52.520 --> 0:22:55.800
<v Speaker 5>the board. Interestingly enough, there was one board member, her

0:22:55.880 --> 0:22:59.400
<v Speaker 5>name was Linda Johnson Rice, who actually made one hundred

0:22:59.440 --> 0:23:03.560
<v Speaker 5>and thirty five dollars from her stock based pay because

0:23:04.119 --> 0:23:08.280
<v Speaker 5>they didn't renew her her board seat after twenty nineteen

0:23:08.640 --> 0:23:10.880
<v Speaker 5>and she left. We calculate one hundred and seventy three

0:23:10.880 --> 0:23:14.400
<v Speaker 5>million dollars of options on the table, So that's what happened.

0:23:14.440 --> 0:23:16.800
<v Speaker 5>Then it came out that she had spoken out against

0:23:17.040 --> 0:23:20.760
<v Speaker 5>Musk Anyway, that's part of the problem is you have

0:23:21.000 --> 0:23:23.280
<v Speaker 5>a totally corrupt governance system.

0:23:23.640 --> 0:23:27.240
<v Speaker 2>It's that, but it's also bigger. The market is incentivized

0:23:27.240 --> 0:23:30.200
<v Speaker 2>for growth. You can these are pieces of the puzzle.

0:23:30.280 --> 0:23:33.879
<v Speaker 2>But how do I realize that what I'm suggesting destroy

0:23:33.920 --> 0:23:36.879
<v Speaker 2>the markets, which is the markets are focused on growth.

0:23:36.920 --> 0:23:39.879
<v Speaker 2>They are five actually just one part of this machine.

0:23:40.200 --> 0:23:42.879
<v Speaker 2>And as long as that happens, innovation is going to

0:23:42.880 --> 0:23:45.680
<v Speaker 2>be stemy because if you're just trying to make more

0:23:45.720 --> 0:23:48.360
<v Speaker 2>money and not even more profit, just trying to grow

0:23:48.400 --> 0:23:51.440
<v Speaker 2>the stock value, you're not trying to make yeah, lots

0:23:51.440 --> 0:23:51.840
<v Speaker 2>of things.

0:23:52.400 --> 0:23:57.040
<v Speaker 5>A company it's successful by producing a higher quality, lower

0:23:57.040 --> 0:23:57.679
<v Speaker 5>cost product.

0:23:57.880 --> 0:24:00.600
<v Speaker 2>Then I'm sorry, look at me. I have to hate

0:24:00.600 --> 0:24:03.879
<v Speaker 2>to disagree that. Look at Meta, Look at Microsoft. The

0:24:04.000 --> 0:24:06.160
<v Speaker 2>Microsoft three sixty five is a product of realign't going

0:24:06.119 --> 0:24:06.800
<v Speaker 2>to little NSA.

0:24:07.119 --> 0:24:08.640
<v Speaker 4>It's become a worse product.

0:24:08.800 --> 0:24:11.879
<v Speaker 5>Oh no, I'm not saying that. I said it becomes

0:24:12.240 --> 0:24:14.800
<v Speaker 5>it gets into that position. Now what you call a

0:24:14.880 --> 0:24:17.440
<v Speaker 5>higher quality product, you know different people can have.

0:24:17.640 --> 0:24:19.760
<v Speaker 2>Oh do you mean this in a higher quality selling

0:24:19.800 --> 0:24:23.560
<v Speaker 2>product that makes more money.

0:24:22.200 --> 0:24:26.080
<v Speaker 5>It's one that can get customers. Okay, all right, and

0:24:26.280 --> 0:24:30.880
<v Speaker 5>now there is a problem I call it. Okay, companies

0:24:30.920 --> 0:24:33.639
<v Speaker 5>retain and reinvest when they when they are doing this,

0:24:33.680 --> 0:24:37.879
<v Speaker 5>they retain their money, they reinvest in the company. The

0:24:37.960 --> 0:24:40.159
<v Speaker 5>other side of that is they do what I call

0:24:40.240 --> 0:24:43.280
<v Speaker 5>downsize and distribute. They downsize the labor force and distribute

0:24:43.280 --> 0:24:46.600
<v Speaker 5>cast channel. There's most tech that are doing the big

0:24:46.640 --> 0:24:49.440
<v Speaker 5>bypass are in between. I call them dominate and distribute.

0:24:49.520 --> 0:24:51.960
<v Speaker 5>That's where Microsoft comes in. Yes, so they have a

0:24:52.000 --> 0:24:54.640
<v Speaker 5>dominant product. No one can get in there. Now, that's

0:24:54.680 --> 0:24:56.840
<v Speaker 5>where there's an element of monopoly there.

0:24:57.119 --> 0:24:57.399
<v Speaker 3>Uh.

0:24:57.440 --> 0:25:00.679
<v Speaker 5>And but but basically they they're they're pulling in the

0:25:00.720 --> 0:25:04.760
<v Speaker 5>cash from from that product, from their their their their

0:25:04.800 --> 0:25:08.280
<v Speaker 5>software suite, and uh they're using it to pump up

0:25:08.280 --> 0:25:08.960
<v Speaker 5>their stock.

0:25:08.720 --> 0:25:11.440
<v Speaker 4>Price right and crushing crushing gold competition.

0:25:11.640 --> 0:25:15.359
<v Speaker 5>Yeah and so, and not investing in things like Apple,

0:25:15.480 --> 0:25:20.000
<v Speaker 5>not investing in a fab Apple outsourced dolls, it's rechargeable

0:25:20.040 --> 0:25:23.200
<v Speaker 5>batteries to China and running.

0:25:23.240 --> 0:25:25.479
<v Speaker 2>Because Apple, one of the best moves was when they

0:25:25.480 --> 0:25:26.720
<v Speaker 2>invested in their own silicon.

0:25:27.040 --> 0:25:29.200
<v Speaker 4>It's probably been one of the best softest moves.

0:25:29.280 --> 0:25:31.840
<v Speaker 5>Well, of course they put Tim Cook that was the

0:25:31.880 --> 0:25:33.879
<v Speaker 5>guy they put in charge there with you know, he

0:25:34.680 --> 0:25:38.359
<v Speaker 5>outsourced the Fox con et cetera. And okay, now, but

0:25:38.440 --> 0:25:41.040
<v Speaker 5>I think the bigger issue maybe that you're getting at,

0:25:42.200 --> 0:25:47.399
<v Speaker 5>is where did this whole idea of shareholder value come from? Right?

0:25:48.240 --> 0:25:53.440
<v Speaker 5>And you know, people often cite an article by Milton Friedman,

0:25:54.560 --> 0:26:00.119
<v Speaker 5>Chicago economists, who in nineteen seventy wrote an article in

0:26:00.160 --> 0:26:03.680
<v Speaker 5>The New York Times called the only responsibility or social

0:26:03.680 --> 0:26:08.600
<v Speaker 5>responsibility of a company is to increase its profits.

0:26:08.760 --> 0:26:10.800
<v Speaker 2>This man is one of the most evil people alone.

0:26:10.880 --> 0:26:12.520
<v Speaker 2>Well he's dead now, he's bounding in hell. But he

0:26:12.840 --> 0:26:13.840
<v Speaker 2>just to be clear, he is.

0:26:13.880 --> 0:26:19.080
<v Speaker 5>Like, yeah, now, okay, what's interesting about that? And off

0:26:19.119 --> 0:26:21.440
<v Speaker 5>and overlooked when people read the articles.

0:26:22.400 --> 0:26:22.920
<v Speaker 3>Two things.

0:26:23.720 --> 0:26:27.080
<v Speaker 5>One is he wrote that, in the context of a

0:26:27.720 --> 0:26:32.600
<v Speaker 5>what was called campaign GM against general motors to put

0:26:32.680 --> 0:26:37.880
<v Speaker 5>three public interests people on the board, right, Okay, they

0:26:37.920 --> 0:26:42.280
<v Speaker 5>wanted one person to be They wanted to deal with pollution,

0:26:43.119 --> 0:26:45.880
<v Speaker 5>they wanted to deal with safety, and they wanted an.

0:26:45.800 --> 0:26:48.800
<v Speaker 3>African American on the board. They okay, okay.

0:26:49.840 --> 0:26:52.679
<v Speaker 5>That came out of the consumer movement that was launched

0:26:52.680 --> 0:26:55.920
<v Speaker 5>in nineteen sixty five by Ralph Nator's book unsafe at

0:26:55.920 --> 0:27:00.160
<v Speaker 5>any speed. Al Ralph Nator's still around with his podcast

0:27:00.000 --> 0:27:08.520
<v Speaker 5>The Government. Yeah, okay that Actually many corporate executives, top level,

0:27:09.400 --> 0:27:12.080
<v Speaker 5>they wanted to do some of those things, but people

0:27:12.119 --> 0:27:15.119
<v Speaker 5>like Milton Friedman came along and said, this is what

0:27:15.200 --> 0:27:19.399
<v Speaker 5>he called it is pure unadulterated socialism. Okay, to put

0:27:20.160 --> 0:27:23.280
<v Speaker 5>those people on the board. Now we know the history

0:27:23.320 --> 0:27:26.520
<v Speaker 5>of what's happened in the auto industry since then. Okay,

0:27:26.640 --> 0:27:28.960
<v Speaker 5>if you didn't produce safer cars, you lost market share.

0:27:29.000 --> 0:27:31.520
<v Speaker 5>If you didn't produce more fuel efficient cars, you lost

0:27:31.600 --> 0:27:34.440
<v Speaker 5>my market share. Actually, what happened in the US automobile

0:27:34.480 --> 0:27:39.639
<v Speaker 5>industry that African Americans became a very important source of

0:27:40.240 --> 0:27:43.680
<v Speaker 5>semi skilled and skilled blue collar workers during the sixties

0:27:43.680 --> 0:27:46.680
<v Speaker 5>and seventies when immigration was low, So that was important

0:27:46.680 --> 0:27:51.040
<v Speaker 5>for them in terms of being competitive, having a blue.

0:27:50.800 --> 0:27:51.680
<v Speaker 3>Collar day perforce.

0:27:52.119 --> 0:27:54.440
<v Speaker 5>They should have put those people on the board, absolutely,

0:27:54.720 --> 0:27:58.000
<v Speaker 5>and they might have done better. So you get back

0:27:58.040 --> 0:28:03.000
<v Speaker 5>to this notion that it sharedholders who basically owned the company.

0:28:03.359 --> 0:28:05.840
<v Speaker 5>All those profits belonged to them, and that was what

0:28:05.920 --> 0:28:10.160
<v Speaker 5>shareholder value kind of legitimized. And it came out of academia.

0:28:11.359 --> 0:28:15.000
<v Speaker 5>I mean it's Milton Friedman won so called Nobel Prize

0:28:15.040 --> 0:28:18.680
<v Speaker 5>in economics. It's really a Swedish Central Bank Prize in economics.

0:28:18.800 --> 0:28:25.840
<v Speaker 5>But basically, and it was also in many ways that

0:28:25.880 --> 0:28:32.000
<v Speaker 5>whole movement was racist, sexist, et cetera. Why because the

0:28:32.000 --> 0:28:37.679
<v Speaker 5>world that I described of secure employment that existed up

0:28:37.720 --> 0:28:39.840
<v Speaker 5>to that time, and I think this had a lot

0:28:39.880 --> 0:28:43.080
<v Speaker 5>to do with it, was a white man's world. And

0:28:43.320 --> 0:28:46.400
<v Speaker 5>what happened is the labor force was changing. Women were

0:28:46.400 --> 0:28:50.640
<v Speaker 5>getting into the l African Americans both because of demand

0:28:50.680 --> 0:28:54.400
<v Speaker 5>and equal opportunity. Okay, And this was a backlash against it.

0:28:54.400 --> 0:28:57.360
<v Speaker 5>It was a backlash against Nator and a backlash against

0:28:57.400 --> 0:29:00.480
<v Speaker 5>the civil rights movement. So it has to be seen

0:29:00.480 --> 0:29:05.440
<v Speaker 5>in that context, although it was often disguised as you know,

0:29:06.600 --> 0:29:11.720
<v Speaker 5>mainstream economics, legitimate economic yes, yes. And by the way,

0:29:11.760 --> 0:29:14.080
<v Speaker 5>you know, of course it's called liberal and conservative in

0:29:14.120 --> 0:29:17.360
<v Speaker 5>the US. You know, the liberal counterpart of that was

0:29:17.480 --> 0:29:20.280
<v Speaker 5>a guy named Paul Samuelson. There was no difference really

0:29:20.360 --> 0:29:23.680
<v Speaker 5>ultimately between Paul Samuelson and Milton Freeman in terms of

0:29:23.680 --> 0:29:26.480
<v Speaker 5>their fundamental economics. They thought, just let the market work

0:29:26.480 --> 0:29:29.440
<v Speaker 5>and everything will be fine if it fails. In Paul

0:29:29.480 --> 0:29:32.760
<v Speaker 5>Samuels said, Okay, the government should intervene a little bit,

0:29:33.160 --> 0:29:37.760
<v Speaker 5>but basically what they missed was the role of the corporation,

0:29:37.920 --> 0:29:41.760
<v Speaker 5>for better or worse in the economy. I mean basically,

0:29:42.080 --> 0:29:45.920
<v Speaker 5>right now, there's about two thousand companies in the US

0:29:46.480 --> 0:29:49.440
<v Speaker 5>that employ five thousand or more people to average about

0:29:49.480 --> 0:29:53.400
<v Speaker 5>twenty twenty two thousand. That account for about thirty five

0:29:53.440 --> 0:29:56.560
<v Speaker 5>percent of total business sector employment in the US. And

0:29:56.600 --> 0:29:59.400
<v Speaker 5>those are the most profitable companies. They pay higher wages.

0:30:00.160 --> 0:30:04.040
<v Speaker 5>The investment decisions that they may drive the economy. They

0:30:04.080 --> 0:30:06.760
<v Speaker 5>determine what kind of jobs are availed in the economy.

0:30:07.040 --> 0:30:10.880
<v Speaker 5>They determine what kind of education we get, They determine

0:30:10.920 --> 0:30:12.000
<v Speaker 5>what kind of resources go.

0:30:12.200 --> 0:30:13.760
<v Speaker 4>So if they if they decided.

0:30:14.640 --> 0:30:18.960
<v Speaker 5>And so, yeah, and so, once those companies changed their

0:30:19.040 --> 0:30:25.800
<v Speaker 5>their their purpose, they they they they became a big problem.

0:30:25.880 --> 0:30:29.120
<v Speaker 4>And so Friedman was successful in influencing.

0:30:29.320 --> 0:30:32.200
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, it took time, but he was successful and he

0:30:32.360 --> 0:30:35.800
<v Speaker 5>was successful. Now here's where the tech industry comes in,

0:30:36.320 --> 0:30:42.880
<v Speaker 5>because the tech industry was much more dependent on the

0:30:42.920 --> 0:30:46.640
<v Speaker 5>stock market than those old economy companies. Okay, the old

0:30:46.680 --> 0:30:50.840
<v Speaker 5>economy companies. There's five functions of the stock market for

0:30:50.920 --> 0:30:54.640
<v Speaker 5>a company what they called creation, which is inducing venture

0:30:54.680 --> 0:30:57.880
<v Speaker 5>capital to come in. You create companies because you can exit.

0:30:57.600 --> 0:30:58.480
<v Speaker 3>On the stock market.

0:30:59.040 --> 0:31:03.840
<v Speaker 5>There's control that is separating ownership and control, which a

0:31:03.880 --> 0:31:06.360
<v Speaker 5>lot of the shareholder value people see as the original

0:31:06.360 --> 0:31:10.280
<v Speaker 5>sin of American industry. But it's actually necessary because once

0:31:10.320 --> 0:31:13.680
<v Speaker 5>you have owner entrepreneurs who want to pass on the company,

0:31:14.040 --> 0:31:15.719
<v Speaker 5>what they did in the United States, they passed on

0:31:15.720 --> 0:31:19.440
<v Speaker 5>on to professional managers. Yes, and this actually opened up

0:31:19.520 --> 0:31:21.760
<v Speaker 5>the growth of the company. When did that still happening, Well,

0:31:21.800 --> 0:31:24.360
<v Speaker 5>that was already come in, That was already by the

0:31:24.440 --> 0:31:25.160
<v Speaker 5>nineteen twenties.

0:31:25.200 --> 0:31:26.400
<v Speaker 4>And how do we get rid of them?

0:31:26.640 --> 0:31:29.000
<v Speaker 2>Is the thing because if you look at most major

0:31:29.040 --> 0:31:32.479
<v Speaker 2>tech companies, Apple included, MBAs, these people are right now.

0:31:32.560 --> 0:31:35.640
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, but that's the problem, that's the way nbas are educated.

0:31:36.080 --> 0:31:36.320
<v Speaker 3>Now.

0:31:37.120 --> 0:31:39.720
<v Speaker 5>Basically, the people who are running companies in the twenties

0:31:39.720 --> 0:31:45.480
<v Speaker 5>and thirties were basic engineers. The thirties, even though the

0:31:45.520 --> 0:31:50.120
<v Speaker 5>Great Depression that was incredibly important.

0:31:49.640 --> 0:31:52.080
<v Speaker 4>But the value multiplieres was so much smaller of us.

0:31:52.160 --> 0:31:52.400
<v Speaker 3>Yeah.

0:31:52.480 --> 0:31:55.680
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, but these companies for the US, and this is

0:31:55.720 --> 0:32:00.480
<v Speaker 5>true globally, these large companies and critical industries dominated and

0:32:01.240 --> 0:32:03.440
<v Speaker 5>you had to be they had to be run professionally,

0:32:04.840 --> 0:32:08.640
<v Speaker 5>and yeah, basically you got this separation, so that that's

0:32:08.680 --> 0:32:12.600
<v Speaker 5>the second thing control. The third is what it called combination.

0:32:12.720 --> 0:32:15.200
<v Speaker 5>You can use your stock to acquire other companies, right.

0:32:15.280 --> 0:32:17.760
<v Speaker 5>The fourth is compensation, you can use your stock to

0:32:17.800 --> 0:32:20.960
<v Speaker 5>pay people, and the fifth is cash. Most people think

0:32:21.200 --> 0:32:23.160
<v Speaker 5>that the role of the stock market is raised cash

0:32:23.200 --> 0:32:26.719
<v Speaker 5>for companies. That is not necessarily true, and it certainly

0:32:26.760 --> 0:32:31.080
<v Speaker 5>wasn't true historically. Okay, Now, what happened with the rise

0:32:31.280 --> 0:32:33.760
<v Speaker 5>of the what I call these new economy companies coming

0:32:33.880 --> 0:32:37.640
<v Speaker 5>up basically out of Silicon Valley is they started using

0:32:38.040 --> 0:32:42.360
<v Speaker 5>cash the stock market to induce venture capital, They started

0:32:42.440 --> 0:32:45.800
<v Speaker 5>using it to acquire other companies. They started using it

0:32:45.840 --> 0:32:50.360
<v Speaker 5>to compensate people deep down in terms of stock options,

0:32:50.720 --> 0:32:55.440
<v Speaker 5>and particularly in the biotech industry where companies go public

0:32:55.520 --> 0:32:57.760
<v Speaker 5>without a product, they raised tons of money on the.

0:32:57.680 --> 0:33:01.240
<v Speaker 4>Side they effectively to so, so yeah, they pay.

0:33:02.160 --> 0:33:06.440
<v Speaker 5>So once they start within that model, you basically are

0:33:06.520 --> 0:33:09.480
<v Speaker 5>looking at your stock price all the time, and so

0:33:10.000 --> 0:33:15.680
<v Speaker 5>it's hard to resist the shareholder value arguments, particularly when

0:33:15.680 --> 0:33:20.680
<v Speaker 5>they're self serving. Now, and once those companies became big,

0:33:21.200 --> 0:33:23.719
<v Speaker 5>they all started saying, oh, we got to keep our

0:33:23.720 --> 0:33:28.040
<v Speaker 5>stock price up, so I can trace when companies like Intel, Apple, Microsoft,

0:33:28.120 --> 0:33:31.280
<v Speaker 5>et cetera started going from just saying all that money

0:33:31.280 --> 0:33:33.000
<v Speaker 5>we're bringing in, we got to just put it back

0:33:33.000 --> 0:33:36.600
<v Speaker 5>in the company, to oh, no, that company that money

0:33:36.640 --> 0:33:39.560
<v Speaker 5>can go out and just boost our stock price. And

0:33:39.600 --> 0:33:46.120
<v Speaker 5>then you get a whole system of what called results

0:33:46.120 --> 0:33:49.520
<v Speaker 5>in predatory value extraction, which have to do with corporate raiders,

0:33:50.280 --> 0:33:53.520
<v Speaker 5>institutional shareholders, pension funds, everybody is trying to get their

0:33:53.600 --> 0:33:58.719
<v Speaker 5>yields out of companies and basically support this. And this

0:33:59.080 --> 0:34:03.920
<v Speaker 5>is based for the economy as a whole. This means

0:34:04.040 --> 0:34:09.040
<v Speaker 5>a huge increase in income inequality driven by the stock market,

0:34:09.080 --> 0:34:11.200
<v Speaker 5>making money in the stock market and then looking for

0:34:11.280 --> 0:34:14.080
<v Speaker 5>other ways to make that money through private equity, et cetera.

0:34:15.640 --> 0:34:19.960
<v Speaker 5>One figure, the top one tenth of one percent of

0:34:20.000 --> 0:34:22.320
<v Speaker 5>households in terms of net worth in the United States

0:34:22.680 --> 0:34:25.799
<v Speaker 5>about fifteen percent of their assets we're in the stock market.

0:34:25.560 --> 0:34:26.520
<v Speaker 3>In nineteen ninety.

0:34:26.719 --> 0:34:29.520
<v Speaker 5>Now it's about forty five percent of their assets. So

0:34:29.840 --> 0:34:32.480
<v Speaker 5>their wealth is very much tied up with the stock market.

0:34:32.880 --> 0:34:36.160
<v Speaker 5>The stock market is very hard to crash now because

0:34:36.160 --> 0:34:39.480
<v Speaker 5>there's so many people are making so much money out

0:34:39.480 --> 0:34:42.040
<v Speaker 5>of money that they have to put it somewhere. And

0:34:42.280 --> 0:34:46.200
<v Speaker 5>actually this number of listed stock the companies are shrinking

0:34:46.560 --> 0:34:49.080
<v Speaker 5>and through buybacks the shares out there.

0:34:48.960 --> 0:34:51.720
<v Speaker 2>At some point this has to fall apart though, because

0:34:52.520 --> 0:34:54.880
<v Speaker 2>surely if everything is based on the value of the stock,

0:34:55.000 --> 0:34:57.960
<v Speaker 2>every single large company is effectively at the will of

0:34:58.000 --> 0:34:59.879
<v Speaker 2>the stock market, which will mean that the companies will

0:34:59.880 --> 0:35:02.200
<v Speaker 2>have eventually stop making things with the purpose of doing

0:35:02.239 --> 0:35:05.200
<v Speaker 2>anything of them. Than racing shareholder value does not lead Okay,

0:35:05.320 --> 0:35:06.040
<v Speaker 2>death of innovation.

0:35:06.200 --> 0:35:09.760
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, okay, yes it does, but it doesn't happen overnight.

0:35:10.440 --> 0:35:11.640
<v Speaker 4>We're watching it happen now.

0:35:11.760 --> 0:35:15.319
<v Speaker 5>And and so, uh, you start seeing China has a

0:35:15.320 --> 0:35:17.920
<v Speaker 5>different model. They start out competing the United States, and

0:35:18.000 --> 0:35:20.239
<v Speaker 5>you try to block China. Right, this is a big

0:35:20.280 --> 0:35:24.960
<v Speaker 5>problem for the United States because tech companies are so

0:35:25.600 --> 0:35:29.240
<v Speaker 5>they're so integrally related with trade with China and manufacturing

0:35:29.280 --> 0:35:30.360
<v Speaker 5>and imparting from China.

0:35:30.880 --> 0:35:32.960
<v Speaker 3>This is a total disaster.

0:35:33.360 --> 0:35:38.719
<v Speaker 5>And but but basically what has happened is companies, and

0:35:38.760 --> 0:35:41.080
<v Speaker 5>I can have a whole bunch of them, have fallen

0:35:41.120 --> 0:35:44.799
<v Speaker 5>behind global competitors in the US because they stuck with

0:35:44.880 --> 0:35:46.560
<v Speaker 5>this shareholder value model.

0:35:46.840 --> 0:35:47.680
<v Speaker 3>So the US is.

0:35:47.600 --> 0:35:50.680
<v Speaker 5>Falling behind in a whole range of critical technologies. So

0:35:50.800 --> 0:35:55.200
<v Speaker 5>reasons there's no major EVY battery produced in the United States,

0:35:55.239 --> 0:35:59.280
<v Speaker 5>the problem of FABS, which I already mentioned. The problem

0:35:59.400 --> 0:36:04.640
<v Speaker 5>well Boeing they did forty three billion dollars in buybacks

0:36:04.920 --> 0:36:09.080
<v Speaker 5>from twenty thirteen to the week before the second crash.

0:36:09.280 --> 0:36:13.520
<v Speaker 5>Jack Welch Boys then yeah, and they had Boeing's Boeing

0:36:13.560 --> 0:36:16.800
<v Speaker 5>stock price was at a record level in March March first,

0:36:17.120 --> 0:36:21.120
<v Speaker 5>twenty twenty nineteen, ten days before the second crash, and

0:36:21.160 --> 0:36:23.200
<v Speaker 5>there was no doubt. I wrote an article on this

0:36:24.200 --> 0:36:28.359
<v Speaker 5>in May of twenty nineteen that the.

0:36:28.320 --> 0:36:32.080
<v Speaker 3>Boeing crashes were the result of top.

0:36:31.920 --> 0:36:37.040
<v Speaker 5>Management ignoring issues of safety because it would.

0:36:36.920 --> 0:36:52.520
<v Speaker 6>Hurt the stockprist Right, So I have a theory.

0:36:52.920 --> 0:36:54.960
<v Speaker 2>I'd love to run it by your school, the roll Coombubble.

0:36:56.200 --> 0:36:58.400
<v Speaker 2>Right now, I think the tech industry is reckoning with

0:36:58.480 --> 0:37:00.640
<v Speaker 2>the fact that they're all no big ideas. Sure the

0:37:00.680 --> 0:37:02.600
<v Speaker 2>audience will love this. I do not think general if

0:37:02.600 --> 0:37:05.480
<v Speaker 2>AI is the future. I think it is a ginied

0:37:05.560 --> 0:37:10.080
<v Speaker 2>up software product based on desperation. But what happens if

0:37:10.120 --> 0:37:13.280
<v Speaker 2>the tech industry stops coming up with hypergrowth markets because

0:37:13.280 --> 0:37:16.799
<v Speaker 2>they haven't had one for a while, what happens, like,

0:37:16.840 --> 0:37:18.840
<v Speaker 2>what happens to these companies stop having new things?

0:37:19.680 --> 0:37:25.320
<v Speaker 5>Well, first of all, were reliant on these things still, Yes,

0:37:25.680 --> 0:37:28.360
<v Speaker 5>so even though they're not new things, we're still using

0:37:29.000 --> 0:37:30.080
<v Speaker 5>the whole ecosystem.

0:37:30.200 --> 0:37:30.400
<v Speaker 3>You know.

0:37:30.480 --> 0:37:33.239
<v Speaker 5>Again, I use the Apple products, and to Apple is

0:37:33.239 --> 0:37:36.120
<v Speaker 5>going to make money off of me because I'm.

0:37:36.000 --> 0:37:37.240
<v Speaker 4>Standing by every iPhone.

0:37:37.239 --> 0:37:39.800
<v Speaker 2>I'm just saying, what if this is I have the

0:37:39.840 --> 0:37:41.600
<v Speaker 2>new iPhone with me because I'm a little pig and

0:37:41.640 --> 0:37:45.160
<v Speaker 2>I own for Apple every time. What happens if this

0:37:45.320 --> 0:37:47.680
<v Speaker 2>is about as good as it gets, if each version

0:37:47.960 --> 0:37:50.799
<v Speaker 2>is more incremental, is just more and more incremental, If

0:37:50.800 --> 0:37:53.560
<v Speaker 2>it's faster but not that faster, because we're hitting a

0:37:53.600 --> 0:37:56.480
<v Speaker 2>wall on CPUs as well, More's lawa is falling apart.

0:37:57.239 --> 0:37:59.359
<v Speaker 5>Well, we don't really have to. I mean it's easy

0:37:59.360 --> 0:38:02.360
<v Speaker 5>to answer that question. We get Donald Trump.

0:38:02.719 --> 0:38:05.640
<v Speaker 4>I mean basically, well we have Donald Trump. What happens

0:38:05.640 --> 0:38:06.000
<v Speaker 4>off to that?

0:38:06.120 --> 0:38:09.520
<v Speaker 5>Okay, well that will find out because you know this,

0:38:10.680 --> 0:38:10.920
<v Speaker 5>you know.

0:38:11.440 --> 0:38:13.880
<v Speaker 2>Say sorry, but perhaps like me whil back, are you

0:38:13.920 --> 0:38:16.160
<v Speaker 2>saying that the death of innovation led to Trump?

0:38:16.239 --> 0:38:19.319
<v Speaker 5>No, I'm saying the financialization of the economy. Oh yeah,

0:38:19.480 --> 0:38:20.399
<v Speaker 5>so so oh yeah.

0:38:20.400 --> 0:38:21.600
<v Speaker 4>Also the corporate authoritisery.

0:38:21.640 --> 0:38:24.480
<v Speaker 5>Say so, even here's the problem. Even when I put

0:38:24.520 --> 0:38:28.000
<v Speaker 5>more stress on, even when there is innovation, the wrong

0:38:28.000 --> 0:38:31.960
<v Speaker 5>people are going to grab it. Okay, and the economy

0:38:32.000 --> 0:38:37.160
<v Speaker 5>is going to become more financialized, you know, the people

0:38:37.200 --> 0:38:40.800
<v Speaker 5>who actually should be sharing in in the first instance,

0:38:40.880 --> 0:38:43.799
<v Speaker 5>employees of those companies. They can be laid off and

0:38:43.840 --> 0:38:46.840
<v Speaker 5>in some elon musk one hundred and forty thousand people

0:38:47.160 --> 0:38:51.920
<v Speaker 5>at Tesla the end of last year, just like that,

0:38:52.000 --> 0:38:53.279
<v Speaker 5>laid off twenty thousand people.

0:38:53.840 --> 0:38:55.920
<v Speaker 2>Yeah. Yeah, But my point is if they have no

0:38:55.960 --> 0:38:59.120
<v Speaker 2>other vehicles for growth, because you look at Microsoft for example,

0:38:59.320 --> 0:39:01.719
<v Speaker 2>they are able to They've had I think a year

0:39:01.760 --> 0:39:04.320
<v Speaker 2>of a year growth of over lower ten percents.

0:39:04.719 --> 0:39:06.520
<v Speaker 4>You these companies are slowing down.

0:39:06.680 --> 0:39:06.879
<v Speaker 3>Yeah.

0:39:06.920 --> 0:39:10.239
<v Speaker 5>Well, first of all, I don't think that the companies

0:39:10.280 --> 0:39:12.520
<v Speaker 5>themselves don't need to grow bigger and bigger. They could

0:39:12.520 --> 0:39:17.279
<v Speaker 5>spin off other companies, okay, And I think that that's

0:39:17.320 --> 0:39:20.200
<v Speaker 5>a model that works very well because you create incentives

0:39:20.200 --> 0:39:23.080
<v Speaker 5>for people in those companies to become their own bosses,

0:39:23.120 --> 0:39:24.840
<v Speaker 5>to become the head of other.

0:39:24.800 --> 0:39:27.279
<v Speaker 4>If that's not their culture. Though, the reason I'm pushing isn't.

0:39:27.480 --> 0:39:31.160
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, the reason I'm pushing on this is I'm thinking Microsoft,

0:39:31.200 --> 0:39:35.520
<v Speaker 2>I'm thinking Meta especially, I'm thinking I mean Cisco as well,

0:39:35.560 --> 0:39:39.360
<v Speaker 2>and even Oracle. I mean these companies don't have new innovations.

0:39:39.360 --> 0:39:41.680
<v Speaker 2>Oracles doing a ripe smokes up, became the largest customer,

0:39:41.719 --> 0:39:45.240
<v Speaker 2>they make data sentence, fine, but what if they stop

0:39:45.360 --> 0:39:47.640
<v Speaker 2>being able to grow revenue every year? Like that is

0:39:47.680 --> 0:39:48.520
<v Speaker 2>the real question.

0:39:48.840 --> 0:39:53.000
<v Speaker 5>What happens, Well, they'll lay off some of their workers,

0:39:53.480 --> 0:39:57.760
<v Speaker 5>you know, that's that's the first thing that is not enough. Well,

0:39:57.960 --> 0:40:01.040
<v Speaker 5>then they might you know, they might go out of existence.

0:40:01.120 --> 0:40:09.280
<v Speaker 5>I mean this has happened to some companies who Sun Microsystems. Yeah, okay,

0:40:09.360 --> 0:40:12.040
<v Speaker 5>so you know there are companies that that that just

0:40:12.680 --> 0:40:17.920
<v Speaker 5>don't make it. And you know, but once once you

0:40:18.000 --> 0:40:21.439
<v Speaker 5>have made it, it's very hard to disappear in ten

0:40:21.520 --> 0:40:25.600
<v Speaker 5>years or twenty years, of course, because you have that

0:40:25.600 --> 0:40:29.359
<v Speaker 5>that that demand base, and you have the capabilities, you

0:40:29.440 --> 0:40:33.120
<v Speaker 5>have very very basically the barriers to entry. You have

0:40:33.160 --> 0:40:36.200
<v Speaker 5>a whole lot of advantages that allow you to dominate.

0:40:37.400 --> 0:40:41.360
<v Speaker 5>And the question is, you know, and then if you

0:40:41.400 --> 0:40:44.719
<v Speaker 5>take the global competitors and you try to just shut

0:40:44.760 --> 0:40:46.760
<v Speaker 5>them out, then you have a problem.

0:40:46.800 --> 0:40:50.239
<v Speaker 2>I mean, the I think my bigger point is that

0:40:50.960 --> 0:40:54.840
<v Speaker 2>in the lost ten years, the tech industry has categorically

0:40:54.880 --> 0:40:59.040
<v Speaker 2>failed to find any hypergrowth movement that matches smartphones, that

0:40:59.080 --> 0:41:03.400
<v Speaker 2>matches clouds software. They've not had any of them to

0:41:03.560 --> 0:41:06.759
<v Speaker 2>create the level of value that those did. And they

0:41:06.800 --> 0:41:11.960
<v Speaker 2>are squeezing everything. And my concern is what happens if

0:41:12.040 --> 0:41:15.400
<v Speaker 2>they don't have anything left to squeeze Because they're all Microsoft, METSA,

0:41:15.480 --> 0:41:17.439
<v Speaker 2>all these companies. They've laid up tens of thousands of people,

0:41:17.440 --> 0:41:19.480
<v Speaker 2>they've tried that, and they could lay off more. And

0:41:19.520 --> 0:41:23.160
<v Speaker 2>now they're putting billions into a two hundred billion into.

0:41:23.000 --> 0:41:25.880
<v Speaker 4>Capex into that to lose money. I just feel like

0:41:26.000 --> 0:41:27.800
<v Speaker 4>we're in a corporate psychosis.

0:41:27.960 --> 0:41:30.720
<v Speaker 5>Well see the other Another way to answer this question

0:41:31.000 --> 0:41:35.480
<v Speaker 5>is is today, ultimately, what is the economy run for

0:41:36.280 --> 0:41:37.600
<v Speaker 5>the economy? Actually?

0:41:39.200 --> 0:41:40.760
<v Speaker 3>Is this a normative?

0:41:41.400 --> 0:41:44.160
<v Speaker 5>In my view, should be run to provide services to

0:41:44.239 --> 0:41:50.080
<v Speaker 5>people that are not profitable like healthcare, education, uh, you know,

0:41:50.560 --> 0:41:55.200
<v Speaker 5>care for all people whatever. That's what a prosperous economy

0:41:55.200 --> 0:42:01.000
<v Speaker 5>should do. Now, these goods producing companies, these innovative companies,

0:42:01.360 --> 0:42:04.480
<v Speaker 5>have a lot of capability produced through those markets. But

0:42:04.560 --> 0:42:09.040
<v Speaker 5>that means the government becomes a big source or it's

0:42:09.080 --> 0:42:13.280
<v Speaker 5>either governments or you're well paid employees, right become sources

0:42:13.360 --> 0:42:19.839
<v Speaker 5>of demand for those products. And that's the opportunity that's

0:42:19.880 --> 0:42:25.160
<v Speaker 5>been missed. Yeah, yeah, And and what you have now

0:42:25.320 --> 0:42:28.560
<v Speaker 5>is with all this financialization of the whole economy, with

0:42:28.600 --> 0:42:32.640
<v Speaker 5>all this money being funneled out of these highly successful

0:42:32.680 --> 0:42:36.960
<v Speaker 5>goods producing companies successful in terms of profits, you have

0:42:37.040 --> 0:42:40.120
<v Speaker 5>money looking money looking to make more money. And you

0:42:40.200 --> 0:42:43.080
<v Speaker 5>have the whole which has been written about a lot recently,

0:42:43.120 --> 0:42:47.160
<v Speaker 5>private equity moving into healthcare, for example, moving into areas

0:42:47.200 --> 0:42:49.920
<v Speaker 5>which would not be for profit at all, buying up

0:42:49.960 --> 0:42:56.040
<v Speaker 5>doctors office, thensince's office, you know, yeh, basically nursing, labor supply,

0:42:56.760 --> 0:42:58.839
<v Speaker 5>what have you. A lot of stuff being written about

0:42:58.880 --> 0:43:00.560
<v Speaker 5>that now, and a lot of it is kind of

0:43:00.640 --> 0:43:02.720
<v Speaker 5>under the radar because you don't even know who owns

0:43:03.280 --> 0:43:06.520
<v Speaker 5>these various companies that the corporate structures are so paid.

0:43:06.840 --> 0:43:12.120
<v Speaker 5>But basically what should have been happening all along was

0:43:12.160 --> 0:43:16.120
<v Speaker 5>that when you became prosperous, this was really taking some

0:43:16.200 --> 0:43:19.720
<v Speaker 5>of those profits, not just paying your workers better, creating

0:43:19.800 --> 0:43:23.800
<v Speaker 5>more stable employment upwards socio economic ability. We have downwards

0:43:23.800 --> 0:43:26.160
<v Speaker 5>socio economic ability for a lot of a lot of

0:43:26.239 --> 0:43:31.319
<v Speaker 5>big proportion of the population, into more education, into more

0:43:32.040 --> 0:43:37.200
<v Speaker 5>producing things that people need but aren't necessarily the next

0:43:37.320 --> 0:43:41.000
<v Speaker 5>big profitable product. Actually, some of those would become profitable

0:43:41.040 --> 0:43:45.400
<v Speaker 5>products if in fact you have enough government demand for

0:43:45.440 --> 0:43:48.600
<v Speaker 5>them and you are the companies as as in the military.

0:43:48.800 --> 0:43:51.520
<v Speaker 5>So that's what that's what should have been happening. That's

0:43:51.560 --> 0:43:52.560
<v Speaker 5>what's not been happening.

0:43:52.560 --> 0:43:54.440
<v Speaker 4>So how do we make it happen? How do we

0:43:54.480 --> 0:43:55.120
<v Speaker 4>force them?

0:43:55.280 --> 0:43:57.399
<v Speaker 5>Well, okay, so you have to change the whole way

0:43:57.400 --> 0:43:59.520
<v Speaker 5>in which companies allocate resources.

0:43:59.560 --> 0:44:00.319
<v Speaker 4>So how do you do that?

0:44:00.920 --> 0:44:03.360
<v Speaker 3>Well, so'm I.

0:44:03.360 --> 0:44:06.200
<v Speaker 5>If you wanted to talk practically, you say, you cannot

0:44:06.239 --> 0:44:07.200
<v Speaker 5>do buybacks anymore.

0:44:07.320 --> 0:44:09.279
<v Speaker 3>You're manipulating the market. There should be a need.

0:44:09.560 --> 0:44:14.000
<v Speaker 5>This, this is a phenomenon. Buybacks are past dividends as

0:44:14.040 --> 0:44:17.120
<v Speaker 5>distribut starts of distribution shareholders in nineteen ninety seven. They're

0:44:17.200 --> 0:44:20.720
<v Speaker 5>much more volatile, but way bigger than dividends.

0:44:20.760 --> 0:44:22.360
<v Speaker 4>But it's bigger than just by this.

0:44:23.280 --> 0:44:25.400
<v Speaker 3>Well, okay, but that's the start. Okay.

0:44:26.160 --> 0:44:29.719
<v Speaker 5>You stop tying executive pay to the stock market. You

0:44:30.120 --> 0:44:32.680
<v Speaker 5>tie executive paid to the success of the company in

0:44:32.760 --> 0:44:37.920
<v Speaker 5>terms of employing people, keeping people employed, innovative products. You

0:44:38.640 --> 0:44:44.360
<v Speaker 5>change corporate boards. Okay, you put people on corporate boards

0:44:44.360 --> 0:44:48.040
<v Speaker 5>who have a real interest in that company's position in

0:44:48.600 --> 0:44:53.359
<v Speaker 5>the economy. Okay, you change the tax system. The tax

0:44:53.400 --> 0:44:58.319
<v Speaker 5>system rewards value extraction rather than value creation. Uh. And

0:44:59.040 --> 0:45:01.960
<v Speaker 5>you basically, and this I think is the most important thing,

0:45:03.120 --> 0:45:08.840
<v Speaker 5>you figure out how to mobilize all the resources in

0:45:08.880 --> 0:45:12.719
<v Speaker 5>the economy, the human resources in particular, or what I

0:45:12.760 --> 0:45:15.880
<v Speaker 5>call collective and cumulative learning. When you get down to it,

0:45:15.960 --> 0:45:19.960
<v Speaker 5>innovation is about people getting together collectively.

0:45:19.960 --> 0:45:21.200
<v Speaker 3>And learning cumulatively.

0:45:21.280 --> 0:45:24.440
<v Speaker 5>That is, what you learned yesterday determines what you can

0:45:24.520 --> 0:45:33.160
<v Speaker 5>learn today. And what happens is when these companies stop

0:45:33.840 --> 0:45:38.560
<v Speaker 5>retaining and reinvesting, you just have all kinds of people

0:45:38.600 --> 0:45:43.680
<v Speaker 5>with capabilities who are not living up using those capabilities,

0:45:43.800 --> 0:45:46.280
<v Speaker 5>or in the end never even get those capabilities because

0:45:46.440 --> 0:45:49.319
<v Speaker 5>money doesn't go back through the education. I mean the

0:45:49.440 --> 0:45:53.040
<v Speaker 5>US at a point in time in the nineteen eighties

0:45:53.840 --> 0:45:57.880
<v Speaker 5>when it was necessary to everybody knew you had to

0:45:57.960 --> 0:46:03.000
<v Speaker 5>really up the educational system. And the US was absolutely

0:46:03.040 --> 0:46:07.160
<v Speaker 5>and still is ideally situated for that because of the

0:46:07.280 --> 0:46:10.920
<v Speaker 5>history of higher education in the United States, which goes

0:46:10.960 --> 0:46:13.320
<v Speaker 5>back to something called the Lion Grand colleges, which really

0:46:13.640 --> 0:46:16.719
<v Speaker 5>came out in the late nineteenth century and were the

0:46:16.760 --> 0:46:20.360
<v Speaker 5>bedrock of innovation in the US economy at that point

0:46:20.360 --> 0:46:24.640
<v Speaker 5>in time. The huge investments that should have been made

0:46:24.680 --> 0:46:28.280
<v Speaker 5>were not made. Public education was virtually in every state

0:46:28.320 --> 0:46:32.479
<v Speaker 5>free before then became expensive student loans. The interest rates

0:46:32.480 --> 0:46:37.359
<v Speaker 5>that extortionate in the US from the government. Basically it

0:46:37.440 --> 0:46:40.200
<v Speaker 5>was white people not wanting to fund other people.

0:46:40.920 --> 0:46:41.880
<v Speaker 3>For upward mobilities.

0:46:41.880 --> 0:46:47.640
<v Speaker 5>So that's definitely yeah, and that's when you now, how

0:46:47.760 --> 0:46:51.560
<v Speaker 5>was that resolved. It was resolved through the fact that Asia,

0:46:52.120 --> 0:46:57.080
<v Speaker 5>in particular in the tech industry, was educating people and

0:46:57.280 --> 0:47:01.719
<v Speaker 5>those people were in the United States and I think

0:47:01.760 --> 0:47:04.160
<v Speaker 5>to the benefit of them and benefit of the United States.

0:47:04.520 --> 0:47:07.600
<v Speaker 5>So I'm not saying that Asians in some case took

0:47:07.640 --> 0:47:12.120
<v Speaker 5>any jobs away from anybody they but they became an

0:47:12.160 --> 0:47:15.239
<v Speaker 5>available labor supply through what's called L one visas, H

0:47:15.320 --> 0:47:20.560
<v Speaker 5>one B VISUS permanent VISUS employee and preference visas. I've

0:47:20.600 --> 0:47:23.919
<v Speaker 5>got all the data on this. This is all encapsulated

0:47:23.960 --> 0:47:27.200
<v Speaker 5>in the Immigration Act of nineteen ninety and for the

0:47:27.280 --> 0:47:31.240
<v Speaker 5>tech industry, they were now off the hook in terms

0:47:31.280 --> 0:47:35.120
<v Speaker 5>of US economy for saying, oh, we have to ensure

0:47:35.480 --> 0:47:42.280
<v Speaker 5>that higher education is available for African Americans, available for

0:47:43.400 --> 0:47:48.160
<v Speaker 5>white families who are coming out of low income that

0:47:48.239 --> 0:47:52.560
<v Speaker 5>we have to be sure that this system is available

0:47:53.600 --> 0:47:57.680
<v Speaker 5>for upwer mobility. They took a walk on that, and

0:47:57.719 --> 0:47:59.680
<v Speaker 5>they were able to take a walk on that because

0:47:59.680 --> 0:48:01.200
<v Speaker 5>they were part of the global system.

0:48:01.280 --> 0:48:01.839
<v Speaker 3>That's what I mean.

0:48:01.920 --> 0:48:05.880
<v Speaker 5>It's very ironic now that United States is in this

0:48:05.960 --> 0:48:06.839
<v Speaker 5>conflict with things.

0:48:06.840 --> 0:48:09.960
<v Speaker 4>It feels like we've gone yeah, socially regressive.

0:48:09.640 --> 0:48:14.000
<v Speaker 5>Absolutely absolutely, And what you see is concentration on the

0:48:14.040 --> 0:48:19.799
<v Speaker 5>top downwards socioeconomic mobility for people particularly who have no

0:48:19.880 --> 0:48:22.879
<v Speaker 5>more than high school educations. And that's why I say,

0:48:22.920 --> 0:48:26.400
<v Speaker 5>that's why it leads to Trump. Basically, it's no big mystery.

0:48:26.440 --> 0:48:30.480
<v Speaker 5>Once you understand the concentration on the top, the money

0:48:30.520 --> 0:48:31.960
<v Speaker 5>that will go, and.

0:48:31.960 --> 0:48:34.400
<v Speaker 2>I imagine to some extent, even if you don't understand it,

0:48:35.000 --> 0:48:37.040
<v Speaker 2>you look at the system, you look at the current

0:48:37.440 --> 0:48:41.280
<v Speaker 2>political apparatus. Why would you trust authority even if Trump

0:48:41.320 --> 0:48:44.040
<v Speaker 2>is a he's obviously not going to do a whole

0:48:44.040 --> 0:48:45.800
<v Speaker 2>bunch of stuff, and he's going to do much worse.

0:48:47.239 --> 0:48:49.520
<v Speaker 2>It's almost like you, I feel like people need to

0:48:49.560 --> 0:48:53.640
<v Speaker 2>realize everything you've discussed today, is just describing how the

0:48:53.680 --> 0:48:57.640
<v Speaker 2>system fucks regular people, how the system has somehow we

0:48:57.640 --> 0:49:01.720
<v Speaker 2>were more progressive in America in the seventy's corporate why

0:49:01.760 --> 0:49:05.000
<v Speaker 2>it's just it's very worrying. So I'm gonna end on

0:49:05.040 --> 0:49:07.440
<v Speaker 2>a nice note. What actually should give people hope?

0:49:07.680 --> 0:49:09.720
<v Speaker 4>Where can people find it right now? In your opinion?

0:49:10.280 --> 0:49:11.120
<v Speaker 3>Ah?

0:49:11.400 --> 0:49:15.760
<v Speaker 5>Well, that's hard to say right now, I mean because

0:49:15.800 --> 0:49:21.160
<v Speaker 5>because I mean the you know, there was a notion

0:49:21.840 --> 0:49:27.480
<v Speaker 5>that with all the opposition before the election and before

0:49:27.640 --> 0:49:32.000
<v Speaker 5>before Biden had that disasters debate. Okay, you know, he

0:49:32.040 --> 0:49:34.719
<v Speaker 5>had tried to push policies in a much more progressive way,

0:49:34.719 --> 0:49:35.560
<v Speaker 5>and I think it's true.

0:49:35.800 --> 0:49:36.640
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, they were trying.

0:49:36.680 --> 0:49:39.120
<v Speaker 5>They couldn't get any of the family stuff passed, but

0:49:39.160 --> 0:49:41.920
<v Speaker 5>they were trying to do it. They got the infrastructure

0:49:42.000 --> 0:49:47.920
<v Speaker 5>infrastructure Builds pass, et cetera, Inflation Reduction Act, starting finally

0:49:48.000 --> 0:49:52.520
<v Speaker 5>to to try to negotiate health care prices. Basically, they

0:49:52.520 --> 0:49:56.239
<v Speaker 5>were trying to do some things that got a resounding

0:49:56.360 --> 0:49:59.360
<v Speaker 5>no from the electorate. And in fact, that part of

0:49:59.400 --> 0:50:03.759
<v Speaker 5>the regressive policy was not part of the campaign. And

0:50:04.160 --> 0:50:09.440
<v Speaker 5>certainly Joe Biden was a big fan of this stuff

0:50:09.480 --> 0:50:13.719
<v Speaker 5>on binding buybacks back when he was vice president. I'll

0:50:13.719 --> 0:50:15.319
<v Speaker 5>tell you a little story about that. We can end

0:50:15.360 --> 0:50:20.760
<v Speaker 5>on this, which is not that. Basically, in twenty sixteen,

0:50:21.120 --> 0:50:22.839
<v Speaker 5>when he was still vice president, he wrote an op

0:50:22.960 --> 0:50:24.520
<v Speaker 5>ed in the New York Times in the Wall Street

0:50:24.560 --> 0:50:27.960
<v Speaker 5>Journal about stock buybacks executive pay and said, we have

0:50:28.040 --> 0:50:30.560
<v Speaker 5>to rain all this stuff in. This is really screwing

0:50:30.640 --> 0:50:33.759
<v Speaker 5>up the economy. The future of the economy depends on it.

0:50:35.120 --> 0:50:38.960
<v Speaker 5>In that article he named one person that was me.

0:50:39.520 --> 0:50:42.720
<v Speaker 5>It said, according to economist, William was on at Comma,

0:50:42.920 --> 0:50:44.959
<v Speaker 5>and then he had data from the article I mentioned

0:50:45.000 --> 0:50:48.040
<v Speaker 5>in twenty fourteen. I looked at it a couple of

0:50:48.080 --> 0:50:51.000
<v Speaker 5>years ago when a journalist contacted me and I said, oh, Biden,

0:50:51.160 --> 0:50:54.840
<v Speaker 5>when he was vice president was I really thought this

0:50:54.960 --> 0:50:57.640
<v Speaker 5>was a problem. Now he's not saying anything about it.

0:50:57.680 --> 0:50:59.279
<v Speaker 5>And I said, look at the article. I looked at

0:50:59.320 --> 0:51:03.880
<v Speaker 5>the article and it said, according to economists, blank space Comma,

0:51:04.200 --> 0:51:05.839
<v Speaker 5>someone had actually hacked out my name.

0:51:07.640 --> 0:51:10.880
<v Speaker 2>Yes, it feels like it. We need a populist movement,

0:51:10.920 --> 0:51:12.279
<v Speaker 2>then straight up pro no.

0:51:12.719 --> 0:51:19.520
<v Speaker 5>Basically, Basically, the when the Democrats got into power, and

0:51:19.640 --> 0:51:21.440
<v Speaker 5>this happened under Obama, It's happened.

0:51:22.120 --> 0:51:23.440
<v Speaker 3>It was happened under Clinton.

0:51:24.160 --> 0:51:27.680
<v Speaker 5>Uh, they have just cosied up to Wall Street, cosied

0:51:27.800 --> 0:51:31.840
<v Speaker 5>up to rich people. Basically, they do not have a

0:51:31.840 --> 0:51:36.680
<v Speaker 5>critique of shareholder value. There is nothing coming out of

0:51:36.280 --> 0:51:38.920
<v Speaker 5>the of from the Democrats when they are in power

0:51:38.920 --> 0:51:43.200
<v Speaker 5>in particular. Uh, and that that is that it's confronting

0:51:43.280 --> 0:51:47.880
<v Speaker 5>this and I think it's now basically comfortull circle in

0:51:47.960 --> 0:51:51.319
<v Speaker 5>terms of the people being affected by the lack of

0:51:51.600 --> 0:51:55.719
<v Speaker 5>upward mobility, the lack of job security, living people living

0:51:55.719 --> 0:51:59.439
<v Speaker 5>paycheck to paycheck while other people are getting richer and richer.

0:51:59.560 --> 0:52:04.680
<v Speaker 5>Finding Okay, we'll just take someone who you know with

0:52:04.760 --> 0:52:06.640
<v Speaker 5>a hope that they're going to do something different. Of

0:52:06.680 --> 0:52:09.880
<v Speaker 5>course they're not. So yeah, So what's what's the where's

0:52:09.880 --> 0:52:12.760
<v Speaker 5>the optimism of courts? We need, we need a progressive movement.

0:52:13.600 --> 0:52:15.719
<v Speaker 3>But but it is, Yeah.

0:52:15.600 --> 0:52:17.359
<v Speaker 2>I feel like you can find hope in the fact

0:52:17.400 --> 0:52:20.040
<v Speaker 2>that these ideas will become more prevalent because at some point,

0:52:20.440 --> 0:52:23.239
<v Speaker 2>we mean, we need to review these systems. We need

0:52:23.280 --> 0:52:26.640
<v Speaker 2>to also realize that worker power will make cooler shit,

0:52:26.719 --> 0:52:29.799
<v Speaker 2>it will make more innovation. William, thank you so much

0:52:29.840 --> 0:52:31.440
<v Speaker 2>for joining me, and everyone, thank you so much for

0:52:31.520 --> 0:52:34.440
<v Speaker 2>joining us today for the first live episode of Better Offline.

0:52:34.440 --> 0:52:37.640
<v Speaker 4>From the beautiful country of Portugal. Websummit.

0:52:37.680 --> 0:52:49.040
<v Speaker 1>Thank you everyone, Thanks, thank you for listening to Better Offline.

0:52:49.160 --> 0:52:51.600
<v Speaker 2>The editor and composer of the Better Offline theme song

0:52:51.640 --> 0:52:54.320
<v Speaker 2>is Matasowski. You can check out more of his music

0:52:54.320 --> 0:52:57.960
<v Speaker 2>and audio projects at Mattasowski dot com, m A T

0:52:57.960 --> 0:52:58.560
<v Speaker 2>T O.

0:52:58.800 --> 0:53:02.320
<v Speaker 1>S O W s ki dot com.

0:53:02.360 --> 0:53:04.680
<v Speaker 2>You can email me at easy at Better offline dot

0:53:04.719 --> 0:53:06.920
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0:53:06.960 --> 0:53:10.359
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0:53:10.360 --> 0:53:12.560
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0:53:12.680 --> 0:53:15.160
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0:53:14.880 --> 0:53:16.720
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0:53:17.520 --> 0:53:18.880
<v Speaker 4>Thank you so much for listening.

0:53:19.680 --> 0:53:22.160
<v Speaker 1>Better Offline is a production of cool Zone Media.

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<v Speaker 3>For more from cool Zone Media, visit our website cool

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<v Speaker 3>Zonemedia dot com, or check us out on the iHeartRadio app,

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<v Speaker 3>Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.