WEBVTT - Single Best Idea with Tom Keene: Claudia Sahm & Adam Posen

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio news, the single best idea.

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<v Speaker 1>After an emotional month, we're deep into May, and after

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<v Speaker 1>an emotional week, and here with the jobs report doing

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<v Speaker 1>better than good. All in all, major shout out to

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<v Speaker 1>anawog of Bloomberg Economics who certainly had a huge part

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<v Speaker 1>of that buoyant seat to the job market, the trend

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<v Speaker 1>up near here one's sixty and whether it's one seventy

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<v Speaker 1>three month moving average one hundred and fifty five thousand,

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<v Speaker 1>and the stock market reacting to it at least here

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<v Speaker 1>on a Friday, as we tape at this moment, but

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<v Speaker 1>in amongst it with some tension. It's always good to

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<v Speaker 1>speak to people world acclaimed for their academics. Claudia Sam

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<v Speaker 1>leads our employment coverage definitive at Michigan. I'm thinking at

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<v Speaker 1>the fat I should say, as well, thinking about what

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<v Speaker 1>is recession? What the slowdown look like? First thing she

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<v Speaker 1>said in her conversation today, this is not a recession.

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<v Speaker 1>There is no recession out there. Late in the conversation

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<v Speaker 1>and here Claudia Sam on the speed, the rapidity of

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<v Speaker 1>our policy making.

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<v Speaker 2>They need to slow it down, right, you know, I

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<v Speaker 2>disagree with the policies they're pursuing, but I'm strong, I'm

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<v Speaker 2>very concerned about the way in which they're being pursued.

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<v Speaker 2>This is very aggressive, this is very fast, and it

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<v Speaker 2>can potentially cause a lot of damage. So even if

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<v Speaker 2>you're in the spirit of having more industrial policy, having

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<v Speaker 2>higher tariffs, a smaller government, like, there's a way to

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<v Speaker 2>do this that doesn't cause maximal damage, right, And I'm

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<v Speaker 2>very concerned of and I think the White House and

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<v Speaker 2>you hear some messaging from them that you know, terorfrates

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<v Speaker 2>aren't sustainable with China, and we're doing negotiations, but like,

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<v Speaker 2>we need to see some action that actually pulls back

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<v Speaker 2>these costs before it's too late.

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<v Speaker 1>Claudia Sam there within this trade war, within this moment

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<v Speaker 1>for America in the world. John Authur's writing up at

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Opinion. I thought the Martin Wolf essay I think

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<v Speaker 1>it was two ago on the trade war was just

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<v Speaker 1>brilliant over at the Financial Times. But the one essay

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<v Speaker 1>that for me sticks out was Adam Posen. I'm guessing

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<v Speaker 1>five ancient weeks ago, long weeks ago in Foreign Affairs,

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<v Speaker 1>Adam Posen absolutely definitive and with a piercing paragraph on

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<v Speaker 1>the zero sum fallacy of our trade war. We touched

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<v Speaker 1>on Adam Smith, the giant David Ricardo of about eighteen fifteen,

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<v Speaker 1>but late in the conversation with Adam Posen at the

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<v Speaker 1>Peterson Institute, we talked about his view on American education.

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<v Speaker 3>It's insane, no matter how valid the criticisms may or

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<v Speaker 3>may not be. And I'm not going to touch that

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<v Speaker 3>because I'm not an academic, thank god, but destroying the

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<v Speaker 3>research capacity of the greatest research complex in human history,

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<v Speaker 3>that has been the source of American advantage and well

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<v Speaker 3>being and defense capacity for eighty years is possibly the

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<v Speaker 3>most destructive thing the Trump administration is doing. And I

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<v Speaker 3>don't mean just Harvard, and I don't mean worrying about

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<v Speaker 3>supposed anti Semitism, although I think that's not what really

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<v Speaker 3>motivates them, but who the heck knows. I think you're

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<v Speaker 3>destroying at National Institute of Health. You're destroying medical biomedical

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<v Speaker 3>research across the board. You're undercutting standards for research by

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<v Speaker 3>having an HHS secretary who makes stuff up in contrast

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<v Speaker 3>to all known research. I mean, I could just spew

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<v Speaker 3>on this, sputtering for hours. This is the golden goose

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<v Speaker 3>for the US economy for the world's wellbeing, and we

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<v Speaker 3>are destroying it. And that's where the UK and a

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<v Speaker 3>few other countries including Japan, Singapore, Australia, Germany, we have

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<v Speaker 3>to help step up and fry a home for talent

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<v Speaker 3>and find the money because this is something we can't replace.

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<v Speaker 1>And I'm posing there at the Peterson Institute a major

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<v Speaker 1>shout out to an institution at Columbia University. There is

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<v Speaker 1>one guy that is written and thought about this more

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<v Speaker 1>than anyone I know. His name is Jonathan Cole Coillie,

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<v Speaker 1>and he's written definitive books on this miracle that was

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<v Speaker 1>wrought as a generalization out of World War Two, but

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<v Speaker 1>I would suggest started before that, at least with the

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<v Speaker 1>land grant program of the nineteenth century. Think the A

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<v Speaker 1>and M's Texas A and M and the rest as well.

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<v Speaker 1>But Jonathan Cole will say that the research capabilities of

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<v Speaker 1>this nation are centered around research universities bolted on to

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<v Speaker 1>the great academics of your kid getting an undergraduate degree,

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<v Speaker 1>and he centers there on the Johns Hopkins University and

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<v Speaker 1>on the University of Chicago. Somehow this will be a

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<v Speaker 1>theme forward. Janet Lauren is our expert on this at

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg will speak to her as we can across the nation.

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<v Speaker 1>On your commute. Good morning on Google thrilled with a

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<v Speaker 1>new Google technology, on Android Auto, just all sorts of

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<v Speaker 1>new stuff going on there. Good morning ninety nine one

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<v Speaker 1>FM in Washington, ninety two nine FM in Boston, and

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<v Speaker 1>Ploomberg eleven three to zero. Good morning to you. I

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<v Speaker 1>should say that we're on YouTube podcasts and this is

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<v Speaker 1>single best idea