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Speaker 1: Welcome in, everybody to betting pros. It's time to place

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Speaker 1: your bets. So this be Joey P joe Pisapia and

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Speaker 1: this is BP NFL. It's Friday. You know what that means.

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Speaker 1: It's time to look ahead to the props. And of course,

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Speaker 1: who better to talk props with than the Undertaker himself.

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Speaker 1: Andrew Erickson and my boy the Welsh. We're gonna give

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Speaker 1: you our favorite prop bets for Week one in the

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Speaker 1: NFL and call some touchdowns. And of course we want

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Speaker 1: you to subscribe to the channel. We're brought to you

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Speaker 1: by our new sponsor this year, hard Rock Bets, so

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Speaker 1: we're very happy to have them along for the ride.

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Speaker 1: But it's more important you're here for the ride, so subscribe.

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Speaker 1: Bring the bell to Lick goes Dan, drop your comments below,

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Speaker 1: call your touchdowns, let's have some fun. Got off to

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Speaker 1: a good start Thursday night, Andrew Erickson, you got the

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Speaker 1: under coming in and I got the same game parlay

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Speaker 1: from the Thursday Night Football Show at Bogman. A pretty

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Speaker 1: good start to the year. I would say, what do

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Speaker 1: you say? Yeah?

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Speaker 2: Ah my under props all cashed. Devontae Smith under, George

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Speaker 2: Pickens under I wasn't sharp enough to be on the

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Speaker 2: brown on there, but we all know what happened there

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Speaker 2: that one. Definitely cash So yeah, feeling good so far?

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Speaker 1: Well, should we got another game in Brazil tonight? Are

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Speaker 1: you looking forward to the game or the Carol g

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Speaker 1: halftime show?

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Speaker 3: Ooh not the halftime show. No, I don't think I've

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Speaker 3: ever looked forward to a halftime show, so definitely I

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Speaker 3: think they.

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Speaker 1: Should tune in. I'm just saying I think you might

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Speaker 1: might want to do it.

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Speaker 3: I know what you're talking about. Yeah, I'm familiar with

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Speaker 3: the game that they're going to be bringing out there,

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Speaker 3: but no, the game itself, my boy, lad see how

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Speaker 3: it's going to play out, obviously playing out of the States,

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Speaker 3: but it should be a pretty great game, all.

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Speaker 1: Right, So let's get after it. Let's get to those

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Speaker 1: props here, and let's start with Andrew Erickson here, first

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Speaker 1: prop out of the gate, Andrew, what do you have

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Speaker 1: for the people? Week one?

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Speaker 2: I'm starting with it under very very surprising, but I

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Speaker 2: gotta stay on rand here. DK metcalf is going to

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Speaker 2: finish under four and a half receptions. He's playing in

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Speaker 2: his first game with Aaron Rodgers as his quarterback and

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Speaker 2: a game that we talked about on the Best Bets Show.

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Speaker 2: Hate this game. This is where fantasy points go to

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Speaker 2: die between these Steelers and the Jets. And this number

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Speaker 2: makes no sense to me. Metcalf had over four and

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Speaker 2: a half receptions last year in one of the past

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Speaker 2: happiest offenses with Seattle three times in fourteen games played.

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Speaker 2: So why is his line of four and a half

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Speaker 2: receptions on an offense that's going to run the ball

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Speaker 2: more than the Seahawks did last season. So I'm gonna

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Speaker 2: continue to fade Arthur Smith's wide receiver one into oblivion.

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Speaker 2: And when we look up next week a DK metcs

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Speaker 2: reception prop, it's gonna be nowhere near four and a half.

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Speaker 2: And that's not even considering he's gone up against Sauce Gardner,

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Speaker 2: a very tough cornerback matchup. Metcalf played the Jets last year.

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Speaker 2: He had four catches against Sauce, So I don't think

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Speaker 2: that he's gonna go to four and a half or

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Speaker 2: five receptions. I'm taking the under.

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Speaker 1: I think that's a pretty good one there. I like

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Speaker 1: that I've never been so excited to hate watch a

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Speaker 1: game than this game. I think it's gonna be wretched.

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Speaker 1: But I love all the storylines and the narratives and

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Speaker 1: the fact that's in New York and Roger coming back

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Speaker 1: and fields against his old team. And I think it's

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Speaker 1: gonna be messy and gross and terrible. It's like all

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Speaker 1: those adult women who are hate watching the summer. I

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Speaker 1: turned pretty all summer and wondering what they're doing with

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Speaker 1: their lives. That's gonna be me Sunday one o'clock watching

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Speaker 1: Jet Steelers and I can't watch Joe. Yeah, but I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna be going back. I'm gonna be watching Red Zone

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Speaker 1: most of the time anyway, but I will be going

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Speaker 1: back and forth just to watch the crowd. By the

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Speaker 1: third quarter, just the booze turned from the Aaron Rodgers

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Speaker 1: to the Justin Field. It's gonna it's gonna be so good,

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Speaker 1: all right, Welsh, what do you have Week one? Coming

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Speaker 1: out hot of the gate.

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Speaker 3: I'm gonna stick in this game, and I'm gonna I'm

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Speaker 3: gonna get ugly too. I'm gonna get with the player

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Speaker 3: that everybody is down on. I mean, from from a

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Speaker 3: fantasy perspective, everybody hates Breece Hall. That'll be the new

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Speaker 3: show remember that everybody hates Chris everybody hates Brice Hall.

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Speaker 3: Now I'm gonna jump on the briefs Hall train, but

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Speaker 3: I'm gonna take a low over on his receiving yards.

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Speaker 3: It's seventeen and a half found over on betting pros,

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Speaker 3: a very nice low number, and one of the big

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Speaker 3: reasons behind it is that's where they're going to play

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Speaker 3: him the most, especially if you're like a big fader

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Speaker 3: of Breece Hall and Brayln Allen's gonna take over. They've

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Speaker 3: talked about that. Breece Hall is going to be big

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Speaker 3: in the pass game. Last year, eight games he caught

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Speaker 3: four or more passes. When doing so, when he has

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Speaker 3: caught four more, he's destroyed this receiving yard prop he

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Speaker 3: has hit. This also interesting fact out there, Breece has

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Speaker 3: been like a top ten option as far as target

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Speaker 3: rate versus blitzes. Pittsburgh blitzes a lot. They're also in

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Speaker 3: the top ten, So that could lead to more opportunities

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Speaker 3: because you've also got Justin Fields, who was one of

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Speaker 3: the number one checkdown quarterbacks out there. So I think

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Speaker 3: they're going to look for bres Hall to get into

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Speaker 3: open space. They're going to use short passes as like

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Speaker 3: quote runs because Justin Field's passing game is going to

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Speaker 3: be difficult in general, and that's where Breece is going

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Speaker 3: to get his damage done. So seventeen point five over

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Speaker 3: receiving yards. I really do love this total in a

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Speaker 3: gross game with what has become a gross fantasy player

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Speaker 3: for most Okay.

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Speaker 1: All the grossness, Andrew Erickson, let's get back to you

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Speaker 1: here with your second pick for week one. What do

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Speaker 1: you have for the people?

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Speaker 2: I'm going over here with David and Joku over forty

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Speaker 2: five and a half receiving yards. And Joku went off

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Speaker 2: last year against the Cincinnati Bengals in both matchups for

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Speaker 2: the Browns tight end. He went over sixty receiving yards

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Speaker 2: in both contests. And I think that with Joe Flacco

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Speaker 2: under center, he is going to hone in hyper target

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Speaker 2: his number one tight end in this offense. We've seen

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Speaker 2: this before within Djoku and Joe Flacco five games back

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Speaker 2: in twenty twenty three. Yeah, and boy it was a

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Speaker 2: fun time. It was twenty two percent target share, nine

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Speaker 2: targets per game, nearly a thirty percent target rate per

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Speaker 2: route run. So at forty five and a half receiving

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Speaker 2: yards for his uber explosive tight end who can make

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Speaker 2: plays after the catch. The OC now Tommy Reese. He

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Speaker 2: was the tight ends coach for the Browns last season,

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Speaker 2: So I'm pretty sure that the Browns are going to

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Speaker 2: be using their tight ends a lot, especially in a

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Speaker 2: really beatable matchup against the Bengals defense that we still

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Speaker 2: think is very bad up and down the board. So

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Speaker 2: give me the over on David and Joku.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm with you on this one. It's weird too

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Speaker 1: because in Djoko's had a strange career where you just

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Speaker 1: look at me and go it's such a spectacular specimen, right,

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Speaker 1: he looks like an impact tight end, but from a

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Speaker 1: fantasy perspective and from an even wagering perspective, it's always

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Speaker 1: been underwhelming until Joe Flacco came to town. Joe Flacco was

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Speaker 1: the guy to unlock David and Joku. It's just crazy.

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Speaker 2: We're all and get to be on the Joe Flacca

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Speaker 2: ride for so many weeks, guys.

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Speaker 1: Is the week nine or twelve? I forget where they

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Speaker 1: I think they're Week nine. So eight and a half

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Speaker 1: for the over under Joe Flacco games under center this

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Speaker 1: year Welsh, let's stick in this game. Let's talk about

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Speaker 1: the Cincinnati side, because you got some love here for

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Speaker 1: one of the guys on the Cincy side of the football.

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Speaker 3: I remember last year early on when we did this

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Speaker 3: show Ericson and I we kind of came to an

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Speaker 3: impass where we were like we were trying to get

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Speaker 3: really cute, and it's like sometimes you just got to

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Speaker 3: back the best players in football, especially early on in

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Speaker 3: the season, and that's kind of where this ended up

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Speaker 3: going With Chase Brown. We're gonna go with Chase Brown

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Speaker 3: rushing yards, which is a really nice number. You can

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Speaker 3: look around sixty five point five found. I'm betting pros

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Speaker 3: and I'm going to take the over on that. They

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Speaker 3: said that this offense is going to be built around

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Speaker 3: featuring him more. Six of seven games last year when

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Speaker 3: rushing fifteen times or more, this prop has been hit.

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Speaker 3: The one he didn't was against the Brown where he

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Speaker 3: just had fifteen carries. The second game he faced off

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Speaker 3: against him, he put over eighty Browns last year gave

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Speaker 3: up the twelfth most rushing yards per game and four

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Speaker 3: point five on the ground per average, which was around

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Speaker 3: twentieth in the league. And if you want to go

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Speaker 3: look at Fantasy pros projections. They've got him over fifteen carries,

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Speaker 3: they've got him sixty on the ground. A little bit

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Speaker 3: of a cushion as far as the projection on the

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Speaker 3: yards go. But I really love Chase Brown in this game.

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Speaker 3: If the Bengals do start stacking on some points against

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Speaker 3: the Browns and their defense holds even a tiny bit,

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Speaker 3: that's going to be more for Chase Brown. This is

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Speaker 3: very obtainable number, So I like this. I'm not sure

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Speaker 3: how many sixty mid sixty rushing yard props we're gonna

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Speaker 3: see on Chase Brown if he really truly is the

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Speaker 3: top featured guy this year. So I'm gonna go with

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Speaker 3: the over on his rushing yard prop.

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Speaker 1: I like what you said about investing early in the

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Speaker 1: best players, because times these lines are a little shorter

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Speaker 1: than they should be. That's why I like i'mon ross

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Speaker 1: Saint Brown. I think you're finding him at like sixty

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Speaker 1: five sixty six and a half for the receiving yards,

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Speaker 1: and I just think they're going to be grossly overmatching

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Speaker 1: those wide receivers to that cornerback room of the Green

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Speaker 1: Bay Packers this weekend. So I think taking advantage of

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Speaker 1: some of those early props and those big time stars.

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Speaker 1: Welsh's on with that one. Speaking of being on, we're

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Speaker 4: know has a gambling problem and wants to help, call

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Speaker 4: one eight hundred and nine with it gambling problem called

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Speaker 4: one eight hundred gambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee,

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Speaker 4: or Virginia.

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Speaker 1: All right, let's get to more props here on the

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Speaker 1: line for this week. Let's go to you Welsh. We'll

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Speaker 1: start with you here for pick number three. I am

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Speaker 1: very much in and you'll see a little bit later

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Speaker 1: on spoiler alert the Seattle Seahawks in this game, and

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Speaker 1: I'm also on Ken Walker to score a Tuddy plus

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Speaker 1: one twenty five. Who I love that. Gonna be talking

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Speaker 1: about that later, So let's talk about the rush yards

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Speaker 1: for him. Sixty three and a half is the number

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Speaker 1: you're going over or under.

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Speaker 3: I have been over on my first prop, I've been

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Speaker 3: over on my second prop, and we are going down.

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Speaker 3: We are going under on my first prop of the

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Speaker 3: show here and this line actually is over at hard

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Speaker 3: Rock they had the best line available at sixty three

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Speaker 3: point five, and I'm going to take the under rushing

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Speaker 3: yard prop for that. Forty nine Ers made a commitment

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Speaker 3: to stopping the run after finishing eighteenth in rushing yards

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Speaker 3: allowed per game last year. Last year they were I

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Speaker 3: mean in the PFF grade, it was like twenty eighth.

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Speaker 3: It was pretty bad, and they were giving up a

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Speaker 3: lot of touchdowns, which is what's going to be a

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Speaker 3: favorable thing if you're looking at the kin Walker stuff.

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Speaker 3: But they brought in three rookies. All three rookies on

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Speaker 3: the defensive line that they brought in had run grades

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Speaker 3: from PFF that were over eighty two, So essentially it's

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Speaker 3: like an eighty three or higher, which very impressed CJ.

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Speaker 1: West.

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Speaker 3: One of them had like an eighty eight. And this

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Speaker 3: as far as run grade goes. The guys that they

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Speaker 3: lost in Malie, Collins, Hargrave, and Floyd all had fifty

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Speaker 3: four lower defensive grades according to PFF. So just throwing

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Speaker 3: this out here, that these low run stoppers on the

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Speaker 3: defensive line are gone. They brought in high end dudes

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Speaker 3: to help stop that run. So now moving away from

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Speaker 3: the forty nine ers, going over to ken Walker. Ken

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Speaker 3: Walker only hit this rushing yard prop four of eleven

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Speaker 3: games played last year. We're talking about sharbon A getting

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Speaker 3: on the field even more. That's going to take opportunities away.

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Speaker 3: And then this was probably my favorite, most fun fact.

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Speaker 3: Ken Walker's never rushed for sixty yards against the forty

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Speaker 3: nine ers ever in his career. PFF projections around fifty

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Speaker 3: seven Fantasy Pros projections at fifty nine, I'm taking under

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Speaker 3: sixty three point five rushing yards against the forty nine

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Speaker 3: ers for kin Walker.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, the sharbon A talk kind of skewed me off

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Speaker 1: his rushing total just period. And you know me, I

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Speaker 1: always bet the yards over the attempts anyway, because you

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Speaker 1: know I get that one big run, that's all you need. Sometimes,

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Speaker 1: so interesting, the faith in the rookies, that's where Welsh

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Speaker 1: is for Week one, and the forty nine ers. Let's

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Speaker 1: go to Andrew Erickson for number three on his board

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Speaker 1: this week.

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Speaker 2: Sticking to the theme of picking just good players to

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Speaker 2: just smash in Week one, and that's why I'm going

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Speaker 2: with Drake London. I think that he's going to be

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Speaker 2: a frequent player to highlight in the Betting pros primer

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Speaker 2: because of them, He's going to bet is overs all

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Speaker 2: season long. I think it's going to be profitable. So

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Speaker 2: Drake London over six and a half receptions you can

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Speaker 2: get at plus money. You can also find his receptions

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Speaker 2: at five and a half with the juice not as good.

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Speaker 2: But look the last two games that we saw him

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Speaker 2: play with Michael Pennix, he had thirty one targets combined.

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Speaker 2: This guy's going to see so many targets from Michael

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Speaker 2: Pennix against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. They're playing at home.

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Speaker 2: We know that this defense is traditionally a pass funnel.

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Speaker 2: So when you can't run against them, what do you

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Speaker 2: do You drop back and throw forty times pre a

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Speaker 2: and that's what Michael Pennix is going to do in

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Speaker 2: Drake London. If you read any of the reports from

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Speaker 2: OTA's it was oh wow, another fifty percent target shaw

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Speaker 2: Drake London this week, So I think he's gonna get

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Speaker 2: absolutely fed here and at plus money. He had seven

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Speaker 2: plus catches in both the last two starts that Michael

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Speaker 2: Pennox started with Drake London, so I think that he's

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Speaker 2: just gonna smash.

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Speaker 1: Okay, smashing all the way around for Drake London. Let's

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Speaker 1: get to some more of these stats, and remember, if

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Speaker 1: you need some more help picking your props, let us

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Speaker 1: help you. Download the Betting Pros app. We always talk

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Speaker 1: about the prop bet cheat sheet here. Use it. You

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Speaker 1: could sort it by all the different props. You can

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Speaker 1: sort it by different games. If you just want to

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Speaker 1: go heavy into a game, whatever your journey is in

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Speaker 1: this week, or any week of Fantasy football, or any

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Speaker 1: game for that matter, use the prop bet cheat sheet.

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Speaker 1: It's one of the many amazing tools over at Betting Pros.

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Speaker 1: And again, you can go to bettingpros dot com slash props,

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Speaker 1: or just download the app. Who are you kidding You're

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Speaker 1: gonna use the app anyway, and go check out the

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Speaker 1: prop bet cheat sheet to get daily prop ed value

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Speaker 1: based on our projections over fantasy pros, and of course

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Speaker 1: you'll find the best lines to bet them. That's the

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Speaker 1: whole point. So sink your sportsbooks for free and get

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Speaker 1: ready to get winning some cat with the prop ed

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Speaker 1: chee sheet. All right, let's get to number four on

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Speaker 1: the list for the boys. Ear Welsh kick us off

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Speaker 1: here with a Patriot and an over. Let's go.

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Speaker 3: We are going to jump on the Patriot train here.

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Speaker 3: We're gonna be big Stefan dig fans this weekend, as

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Speaker 3: Diggs has a receiving yard prop of forty five point

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Speaker 3: five and we are going to take the over. The

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Speaker 3: Raiders ranked sixteenth last year in receiving yards two opponents

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Speaker 3: the last three games, though they fell to the fifth

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Speaker 3: most receiving yards given up. We've got a pretty nice

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Speaker 3: positive wide receiver cornerback rating according to PFF. You've got

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Speaker 3: Stokes like around sixty of one to twelve at cornerback,

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Speaker 3: so you really like the cornerback matchup. But Drake May

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Speaker 3: on Wednesday said quote, he is looking forward to getting

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Speaker 3: the rock to Digs and seeing what he does with it.

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Speaker 3: All season long, Diggs has look good in camp. I

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Speaker 3: know there's been some questions all week long. Looks fast,

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Speaker 3: hitting the cuts, and they talk about kind of spreading

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Speaker 3: the ball out and spreading that offense. But I think

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Speaker 3: he is just a massive playmaker. You don't see a healthy,

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Speaker 3: active Stefan Diggs with an under fifty yard receiving yard prop.

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Speaker 3: So this is due to the injury questions, and this

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Speaker 3: is due to I think just the Patriots offense in general.

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Speaker 3: But I really really like this number under fifty. The

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Speaker 3: fantasy pros projections had it over fifty. I've seen some

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Speaker 3: floating around no matter where you look at it's betting pros,

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Speaker 3: Fantasy pros, anywhere the yard prop is over. I think

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Speaker 3: everyone's being very cautious about it. Stefan Diggs is gonna

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Speaker 3: eat this weekend, and I'm gonna take the over andie

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Speaker 3: his receiving yard prop.

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Speaker 1: We can only hope, right Andrew, We can only hope

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Speaker 1: we get off to a good start here with Stefan

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Speaker 1: Diggs and this new regime here with the Patriots. Okay,

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Speaker 1: not everything is gonna be great necessarily. I've already talked

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Speaker 1: about it at length, even going back to our lookhead

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Speaker 1: show that I just think cam Ward's gonna have a

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Speaker 1: bad time. Basically, he's gonna try to pizza and French fry,

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Speaker 1: and I don't think either are gonna work in Denver,

354
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Speaker 1: and this is gonna be a bad time potentially for

355
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Speaker 1: him first start in Denver against that secondary, no bueno.

356
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Speaker 1: And speaking of that secondary, you've got Calvin Ridley set

357
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Speaker 1: up for an under So how you approached this from

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Speaker 1: the receptions or from the receiving.

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Speaker 2: Yards Just take your receptions under Calvin Reardy four and

360
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Speaker 2: a half. I get the argument you can make for

361
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Speaker 2: the yardage two, but there's always chance that he just

362
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Speaker 2: catches a deep one, you know, a broken coverage or

363
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Speaker 2: something like that. But for cam Moore to consistently get

364
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Speaker 2: really the ball when you know the Broncos have that

365
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Speaker 2: tight coverage unit in the back end defending against Ridley,

366
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Speaker 2: I just don't see that happening. So against the number

367
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Speaker 2: one pass defense the NFL last season. I mean, Ridley

368
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Speaker 2: hasn't necessarily been this volume hog either. Just look at

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Speaker 2: his average just under four catches per game since his

370
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Speaker 2: return to the NFL in twenty twenty three. He's at

371
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Speaker 2: three point eight last season. So again, I think it's

372
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Speaker 2: just an aggressive number that even in a good matchup

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Speaker 2: like Ridley is probably more like fifty to fifty to

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Speaker 2: necessarily hit, and in a brutal matchup on the road,

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Speaker 2: just you know, just take the under and move on.

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Speaker 1: Okay, taking the under and moving on. There you have it, everybody,

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Speaker 1: all right, We got some Texans receivers to talk about.

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Speaker 1: Eric soon, let's start with you on this one. You

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Speaker 1: want to talk about somebody who might be playing because

380
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Speaker 1: Christian Kirk might be out, So let's talk about that

381
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Speaker 1: scenario here with the Houston Texas. So what it might

382
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Speaker 1: mean for Jalen Nole.

383
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Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm expecting big things from Jalen Nole because I

384
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Speaker 2: think that he's going to take over that full time

385
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Speaker 2: starting role in the slot. That's why the Texans drafted

386
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Speaker 2: Jalen Nole because they looked at him as the future

387
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Speaker 2: of that slot receiver with Christian Kirk playing the veteran

388
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Speaker 2: for this one year. But Christian Kirk's dealt with injuries

389
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Speaker 2: and now he's already hurt and it's a hamstring injury.

390
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Speaker 2: So this is something that could linger throughout the regular season.

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Speaker 2: Kirk may never be right, and I want to take

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Speaker 2: advantage of this with Noel because right now his numbers

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Speaker 2: at twenty and a half receiving yards, I don't see

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Speaker 2: why his number wouldn't be any different from Christian Kirk. Yes,

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Speaker 2: Kirk is a veteran, but Nole' is a super talented

396
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Speaker 2: player out of Iowa State. I can't believe he fell

397
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Speaker 2: to the third round and the Texans were supremely lucky

398
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Speaker 2: to get him and Jaden Higgins into their lineup, And honestly,

399
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Speaker 2: I would expect bigger things in Week one from Nole

400
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Speaker 2: than Higgins just because Higgins. I think it's going to

401
00:17:49,680 --> 00:17:52,360
Speaker 2: be sharing time with Xavier Hutchinson as that other outside

402
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Speaker 2: wide receiver where Nole is teed up to be that

403
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Speaker 2: number one slot vertical player. So I think that you

404
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Speaker 2: can alf this up to four over forty receiving yards

405
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Speaker 2: because that's what Kirk's prop was. I looked it was

406
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Speaker 2: forty two and a half opening with Christian Kirk. Nol

407
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Speaker 2: can get that easily if he's in that exact same role.

408
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Speaker 2: So just take the over the twenty and a half

409
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Speaker 2: and alter it up over thirty over forty for a

410
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Speaker 2: little bit of a fat or payout.

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Speaker 1: Yeah. I liked him during the draft process coming out

412
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Speaker 1: of Iowa State too, So I'm a fan of jail Noel.

413
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Speaker 1: I just didn't think we'd get here this quickly. And

414
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Speaker 1: who knows. If he has a good game, maybe're right,

415
00:18:23,040 --> 00:18:25,399
Speaker 1: maybe holds on to it. All right, Nico Collins is

416
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Speaker 1: the guy that Welsh wants to talk about. So let's

417
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Speaker 1: talk about Nico and what he might do in this

418
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Speaker 1: game against the Rams, which you know some people Andrew

419
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Speaker 1: Erickson are looking at it under for this game.

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Speaker 3: I could see that, but we're going to go with

421
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Speaker 3: an over for Nico Collins. We said we are going

422
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Speaker 3: to try as best we can to target the best

423
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Speaker 3: players out there for those props, especially when you know

424
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Speaker 3: the markets don't quite know what to do with some

425
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Speaker 3: of these guys. Where you know, Nico's going to start

426
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Speaker 3: flying into the like high eighties and nineties every single week.

427
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Speaker 3: This is a great spot. But I will warn that

428
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Speaker 3: this number is starting to move because the number I've

429
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Speaker 3: got is lower than what is currently on the market.

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Speaker 3: The good thing is our friends over at hard Rock

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Speaker 3: have the best line that is out there for him. Currently,

432
00:19:07,400 --> 00:19:09,480
Speaker 3: I have it at seventy five point five. It's at

433
00:19:09,480 --> 00:19:12,400
Speaker 3: seventy eight point five. It's moving because Kirk is out

434
00:19:12,520 --> 00:19:14,840
Speaker 3: and we are going with the Nico Collins receiving yards

435
00:19:15,200 --> 00:19:18,840
Speaker 3: over He started last year off by hitting this in

436
00:19:18,960 --> 00:19:21,840
Speaker 3: five straight games before getting hurt. We don't have any

437
00:19:21,840 --> 00:19:23,880
Speaker 3: other big target monsters. We can like Noel, we can

438
00:19:23,960 --> 00:19:26,720
Speaker 3: like Higgins. This is all Nico moving them around the line.

439
00:19:26,760 --> 00:19:28,600
Speaker 3: Kirk is obviously hurt. As you guys mentioned, you got

440
00:19:28,600 --> 00:19:31,600
Speaker 3: a questionable running game and they're likely to be playing

441
00:19:31,600 --> 00:19:35,160
Speaker 3: from behind. The better thing, this is the number one

442
00:19:35,200 --> 00:19:38,760
Speaker 3: PFF wide receiver cornerback matchup rating of the week. You've

443
00:19:38,800 --> 00:19:43,000
Speaker 3: got both Williams and Witherspoon on that secondary ranked in

444
00:19:43,080 --> 00:19:46,199
Speaker 3: the seventies and the fifties as far as cornerbacks overall.

445
00:19:46,440 --> 00:19:48,560
Speaker 3: So that also is like just another little marker for

446
00:19:48,920 --> 00:19:51,240
Speaker 3: Noel if you really like him. But Nico Collins is

447
00:19:51,240 --> 00:19:53,000
Speaker 3: going to get fed, and he's going to get fed

448
00:19:53,320 --> 00:19:55,160
Speaker 3: a lot. This is like in the dre if you're

449
00:19:55,160 --> 00:19:57,320
Speaker 3: talking the Drake London thing, like he's going to get

450
00:19:57,520 --> 00:20:00,159
Speaker 3: ten catches done. This is Nico Collins this week, and

451
00:20:00,200 --> 00:20:04,040
Speaker 3: it's under eighty projections wherever you go, we're looking at

452
00:20:04,040 --> 00:20:06,520
Speaker 3: over eighty. This number is moving, so make sure you

453
00:20:06,560 --> 00:20:08,840
Speaker 3: get in on it and our friends at hard Rock

454
00:20:08,880 --> 00:20:11,200
Speaker 3: have got that best line seventy eight point five. I'm

455
00:20:11,200 --> 00:20:13,199
Speaker 3: locking in. I already locked in. You can see it

456
00:20:13,240 --> 00:20:15,400
Speaker 3: on our Betting Pros app at seventy five point five.

457
00:20:15,880 --> 00:20:18,159
Speaker 3: But that is my final of my prop bets for

458
00:20:18,160 --> 00:20:20,159
Speaker 3: the week over Nico Collins receiving yards.

459
00:20:20,800 --> 00:20:23,320
Speaker 1: Gentlemen, very good, strong out of the gate. Next week,

460
00:20:23,400 --> 00:20:26,040
Speaker 1: of course, accountabill of buddies, we'll be back, so we'll

461
00:20:26,080 --> 00:20:28,439
Speaker 1: be letting everybody know how we did on some of

462
00:20:28,480 --> 00:20:30,399
Speaker 1: these picks here. And of course it's time to call

463
00:20:30,440 --> 00:20:32,560
Speaker 1: some touchdowns. And if you need some help calling touchdowns

464
00:20:32,600 --> 00:20:36,520
Speaker 1: or making your own touchdown looks, bettingpros dot com slash touchdown,

465
00:20:36,600 --> 00:20:38,840
Speaker 1: that's how you get the edge. The Touchdown Score Report

466
00:20:38,840 --> 00:20:42,160
Speaker 1: compares anytime touchdown stats to prop bet odds and projections

467
00:20:42,160 --> 00:20:45,480
Speaker 1: to help identify the very best in any time touchdown bets.

468
00:20:45,520 --> 00:20:47,840
Speaker 1: And I've got two touchdown bets for you, and I'm

469
00:20:47,840 --> 00:20:50,480
Speaker 1: gonna get real specific with one because just like I

470
00:20:50,480 --> 00:20:52,360
Speaker 1: did on Thursday night where I said, well I don't

471
00:20:52,440 --> 00:20:55,120
Speaker 1: like that minus one sixty on Jalen Hurts to score

472
00:20:55,160 --> 00:20:58,160
Speaker 1: a touchdown. That's no fun. If I chop off half

473
00:20:58,200 --> 00:21:00,920
Speaker 1: the game, I get that first half. Anytime touchdout for

474
00:21:01,000 --> 00:21:04,040
Speaker 1: Jalen Hurts, it goes plus money. Guess what you had two?

475
00:21:04,400 --> 00:21:06,720
Speaker 1: He had two touchdowns. So I'm gonna take that same

476
00:21:06,760 --> 00:21:09,240
Speaker 1: logic and do it with Derek Henry on Sunday Night Football.

477
00:21:09,480 --> 00:21:11,879
Speaker 1: Turn that minus into a plus, and turn that plus

478
00:21:11,920 --> 00:21:14,959
Speaker 1: into money with Derrick Henry. So Derek Henry plus one

479
00:21:15,040 --> 00:21:17,720
Speaker 1: sixty five anytime touchdown score for the first half of

480
00:21:17,760 --> 00:21:20,159
Speaker 1: the game, and then give me ken Walker. I know

481
00:21:20,800 --> 00:21:23,840
Speaker 1: Welsh feels good about the rookies, but I want to

482
00:21:23,840 --> 00:21:26,200
Speaker 1: see it first. So give me ken Walker the third

483
00:21:26,600 --> 00:21:29,359
Speaker 1: at plus one twenty five. There to find the end

484
00:21:29,440 --> 00:21:32,840
Speaker 1: zone in that San Francisco game against Seattle. Everybody knows

485
00:21:32,840 --> 00:21:34,480
Speaker 1: that's the upset special of the week. We'll see if

486
00:21:34,520 --> 00:21:36,760
Speaker 1: I'm right or wrong. We come back next week. All right,

487
00:21:36,880 --> 00:21:39,520
Speaker 1: let's go to you, Andrew Erickson for your favorite touchdown

488
00:21:39,560 --> 00:21:40,480
Speaker 1: calls of the week.

489
00:21:41,119 --> 00:21:44,560
Speaker 2: I'm gonna go with Hunter Henry at plus two fifty.

490
00:21:44,840 --> 00:21:47,760
Speaker 2: I think that the chemistry was playing with Drake May

491
00:21:47,800 --> 00:21:49,840
Speaker 2: in real live action last year is going to carry

492
00:21:49,840 --> 00:21:53,560
Speaker 2: over to the regular season. And Hunter Henry, he had

493
00:21:53,600 --> 00:21:55,399
Speaker 2: a ton of red zone targets last year, but he

494
00:21:55,480 --> 00:21:57,159
Speaker 2: just did not score. He was like allergic to the

495
00:21:57,280 --> 00:21:58,960
Speaker 2: end z. In fact, Austin Hooper was one that caught

496
00:21:59,000 --> 00:22:01,600
Speaker 2: more touchdowns than Hunter Henry did, and it was comical

497
00:22:01,880 --> 00:22:04,159
Speaker 2: it would bounce out of Hunter Henry's hand into Austin

498
00:22:04,200 --> 00:22:05,880
Speaker 2: Hooper in the end zone.

499
00:22:06,080 --> 00:22:09,560
Speaker 1: So I think he's last year Patriots anymore.

500
00:22:09,840 --> 00:22:12,879
Speaker 2: Candidate for a positive touchdown regression, just be based on

501
00:22:12,920 --> 00:22:15,680
Speaker 2: his red zone role last year. He's averaging nearly five

502
00:22:15,720 --> 00:22:18,600
Speaker 2: touchdowns per year since joining the Patriots, and when Josh

503
00:22:18,680 --> 00:22:21,560
Speaker 2: McDaniel was calling the shots back in twenty twenty one,

504
00:22:22,160 --> 00:22:24,800
Speaker 2: Henry was top three in the NFL in red zone

505
00:22:24,800 --> 00:22:28,720
Speaker 2: targets among tight ends. So against a very beatable Raiders defense,

506
00:22:28,760 --> 00:22:30,320
Speaker 2: I think that Hunter Henry is going to find the

507
00:22:30,359 --> 00:22:33,399
Speaker 2: end zone from Drake May and then sticking with the

508
00:22:33,440 --> 00:22:35,639
Speaker 2: Drake theme here, Drake London again. He's gonna have a

509
00:22:35,640 --> 00:22:37,679
Speaker 2: monster game and this is the this is just the

510
00:22:37,720 --> 00:22:39,879
Speaker 2: start of all the touchdowns Drake London is going to

511
00:22:39,960 --> 00:22:42,320
Speaker 2: catch this year. So Drake London plus one thirty to

512
00:22:42,359 --> 00:22:44,879
Speaker 2: catch a touchdown at home against the Bucks.

513
00:22:45,240 --> 00:22:47,720
Speaker 1: All right, Welsh, Who's finding the end zone in Week one?

514
00:22:48,240 --> 00:22:50,960
Speaker 3: My lower odds plus one twenty five. I've looked at

515
00:22:51,000 --> 00:22:54,600
Speaker 3: for Brian Thomas. Brian Thomas to score touchdown. Panthers average

516
00:22:54,680 --> 00:22:58,679
Speaker 3: most receiving touchdowns given up per game last year. Brian

517
00:22:58,720 --> 00:23:01,000
Speaker 3: Thomas is going to get right back at it. If anything,

518
00:23:01,040 --> 00:23:03,400
Speaker 3: whatever you feel about Travis Hunter, that's going to get

519
00:23:03,440 --> 00:23:07,200
Speaker 3: some type of a focal point on the defensive side

520
00:23:07,240 --> 00:23:09,600
Speaker 3: that it's not just staring at Brian Thomas. He is

521
00:23:09,640 --> 00:23:12,000
Speaker 3: the target. He's the big guy. Also, if you look

522
00:23:12,040 --> 00:23:14,480
Speaker 3: at the fantasy side, Trevor Lawrence like top twelve quarterback

523
00:23:14,560 --> 00:23:17,240
Speaker 3: rated out for fantasy. So if he is going to

524
00:23:17,680 --> 00:23:20,040
Speaker 3: get to that marker, it's going to because Brian Thomas,

525
00:23:20,080 --> 00:23:22,040
Speaker 3: and Brian Thomas is going to score a touchdown. And

526
00:23:22,080 --> 00:23:24,280
Speaker 3: you want to talk about allergic to the end zone,

527
00:23:24,560 --> 00:23:26,520
Speaker 3: no one was more allergic to the end zone last

528
00:23:26,600 --> 00:23:30,400
Speaker 3: year than Trey McBride. We are going positive touchdown regression.

529
00:23:30,640 --> 00:23:33,639
Speaker 3: We are getting two to one Trey McBride versus the

530
00:23:33,680 --> 00:23:35,840
Speaker 3: Saints Kyler Murray. I think it's the first touchdown that

531
00:23:35,880 --> 00:23:37,480
Speaker 3: he throws this year. He's going to get it done

532
00:23:37,600 --> 00:23:40,000
Speaker 3: right out the gates. Whatever you want to talk about

533
00:23:40,040 --> 00:23:42,239
Speaker 3: the stuff with Marvin Harrison and him, this is Trey

534
00:23:42,320 --> 00:23:46,240
Speaker 3: McBride's year. He's going to score big touchdowns. Rickson's going

535
00:23:46,320 --> 00:23:48,159
Speaker 3: to get in on the McBride touchdowns the rest of

536
00:23:48,200 --> 00:23:51,520
Speaker 3: the season. Two to one McBride, that's my second touchdown call.

537
00:23:52,160 --> 00:23:54,080
Speaker 1: Here you have it, everybody, all right? What are your

538
00:23:54,119 --> 00:23:56,840
Speaker 1: touchdown calls? I want to hear from you. Drop your

539
00:23:56,840 --> 00:23:59,640
Speaker 1: touchdown predictions in the chat right here on the YouTube channel.

540
00:23:59,640 --> 00:24:01,159
Speaker 1: Don't forget to subscribe. We're trying to get to one

541
00:24:01,200 --> 00:24:03,120
Speaker 1: hundred thousand this year. We could do it with your help,

542
00:24:03,440 --> 00:24:05,080
Speaker 1: and of course bring the belt to the cohast ding

543
00:24:05,160 --> 00:24:07,080
Speaker 1: to and never miss a piece of content here on

544
00:24:07,160 --> 00:24:09,960
Speaker 1: our Betting Pros channel, and of course download the Betting

545
00:24:09,960 --> 00:24:12,520
Speaker 1: Pros app. Bet smarter or not Harder, don't be a tool,

546
00:24:12,920 --> 00:24:16,040
Speaker 1: use the tools and special shout out to our sponsor

547
00:24:16,119 --> 00:24:18,760
Speaker 1: of our shows, Hard Rock Bets. That'll do it for us.

548
00:24:18,800 --> 00:24:21,800
Speaker 1: But the story of the game goes on for the Undertaker,

549
00:24:21,840 --> 00:24:24,640
Speaker 1: Andrew Erickson and the Welsh. I'm Joey p. We'll see

550
00:24:24,680 --> 00:24:26,760
Speaker 1: you next time, Giz Happy prop Betting.

551
00:24:27,880 --> 00:24:30,520
Speaker 4: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you

552
00:24:30,560 --> 00:24:32,920
Speaker 4: love the show, the best freeway to support us is

553
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Speaker 4: by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify.

554
00:24:36,640 --> 00:24:39,280
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555
00:24:39,359 --> 00:24:43,000
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556
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