1 00:00:00,760 --> 00:00:03,760 Speaker 1: Hello everybody, Welcome into the Fantasy Pros Football Podcast. I'm 2 00:00:03,800 --> 00:00:06,200 Speaker 1: Ryan Warmley, joined as I am every Friday morning, by 3 00:00:06,200 --> 00:00:08,560 Speaker 1: Pat fitz Morris and by Derek Brown. We are doing 4 00:00:08,600 --> 00:00:11,160 Speaker 1: our Key Questions episode. 5 00:00:10,960 --> 00:00:11,959 Speaker 2: For Week four. 6 00:00:12,240 --> 00:00:14,560 Speaker 1: Quick reminder that all of our weekly consensus rankings and 7 00:00:14,600 --> 00:00:18,560 Speaker 1: tiers can be found at fantasypros dot com slash rankings. 8 00:00:19,160 --> 00:00:20,640 Speaker 2: Not only is the season. 9 00:00:20,320 --> 00:00:22,440 Speaker 1: You know, going fast as it always does, we're in 10 00:00:22,560 --> 00:00:25,239 Speaker 1: two week four, Like I said, we are also into 11 00:00:25,520 --> 00:00:30,040 Speaker 1: the early games. We have vikings at Steelers which is 12 00:00:30,080 --> 00:00:32,959 Speaker 1: in Ireland and it is you know, one of our 13 00:00:33,320 --> 00:00:35,920 Speaker 1: international early games. So it's going to be a very 14 00:00:35,960 --> 00:00:39,480 Speaker 1: long Sunday for everyone watching football, hopefully a very fun 15 00:00:39,560 --> 00:00:42,680 Speaker 1: sunday for everyone, Hopefully a very lucrative sunday in your 16 00:00:42,760 --> 00:00:43,680 Speaker 1: fantasy teams. 17 00:00:43,760 --> 00:00:48,040 Speaker 2: And if you're making any bets as well, I just do. 18 00:00:48,080 --> 00:00:49,600 Speaker 1: I just want to quickly ask before we dive into 19 00:00:49,600 --> 00:00:55,680 Speaker 1: the game, Debrow, like I am adamantly opposed to this 20 00:00:55,840 --> 00:01:00,000 Speaker 1: expansion of the international games. I don't need a nine 21 00:01:00,360 --> 00:01:03,720 Speaker 1: Eastern whatever time it is. I don't need these early starts. 22 00:01:04,480 --> 00:01:06,880 Speaker 1: Once a year as a novelty is fine. I don't 23 00:01:06,880 --> 00:01:08,880 Speaker 1: need this like five or six week stretch where we 24 00:01:08,880 --> 00:01:10,560 Speaker 1: have it in the middle of seemingly every season now 25 00:01:10,560 --> 00:01:11,640 Speaker 1: and it's only getting more and more. 26 00:01:11,680 --> 00:01:12,560 Speaker 2: How do you feel about it. 27 00:01:13,120 --> 00:01:14,680 Speaker 3: I don't think that that's necessary. 28 00:01:14,959 --> 00:01:18,000 Speaker 4: Like I wish the NFL would take away the Thursday 29 00:01:18,080 --> 00:01:21,000 Speaker 4: night games and then move to like a Friday night 30 00:01:21,040 --> 00:01:24,440 Speaker 4: game and then like I like the Monday doubleheaders and stuff, 31 00:01:24,440 --> 00:01:27,600 Speaker 4: But all the international stuff, it's like, I get it, 32 00:01:27,640 --> 00:01:30,280 Speaker 4: and I understand, like the the global reach of the NFL. 33 00:01:30,360 --> 00:01:31,640 Speaker 3: I understand all. 34 00:01:31,480 --> 00:01:35,480 Speaker 4: Of that, but it doesn't make it as as much 35 00:01:35,520 --> 00:01:38,440 Speaker 4: of a novelty when it becomes so much more commonplace. 36 00:01:39,560 --> 00:01:41,760 Speaker 1: I agree, by the way, on those Thursday games, Like, 37 00:01:41,840 --> 00:01:43,679 Speaker 1: I don't think you'd be very difficult if you said, 38 00:01:43,680 --> 00:01:45,720 Speaker 1: we're just going to do them during the time of 39 00:01:45,840 --> 00:01:48,360 Speaker 1: year where they are byes and always just make it 40 00:01:48,360 --> 00:01:50,480 Speaker 1: two teams coming off a bye and then you don't 41 00:01:50,520 --> 00:01:54,120 Speaker 1: have this like immediate turnaround, and then you can do 42 00:01:54,160 --> 00:01:55,880 Speaker 1: the opener still as well because they have plenty of 43 00:01:55,880 --> 00:01:57,680 Speaker 1: time before that. That's kind of my thought on the Thursdays. 44 00:01:57,800 --> 00:01:59,600 Speaker 1: Fit's what do you think about all these international games? 45 00:01:59,800 --> 00:02:02,040 Speaker 1: I expanded the game, but it just feels like it's 46 00:02:02,040 --> 00:02:03,440 Speaker 1: too much like you. 47 00:02:03,760 --> 00:02:06,120 Speaker 5: I would like to see fewer of them, maybe one 48 00:02:06,200 --> 00:02:08,880 Speaker 5: or two of year, not five or six or whatever 49 00:02:08,919 --> 00:02:12,880 Speaker 5: it is this year. I dislike those more than I 50 00:02:13,639 --> 00:02:17,800 Speaker 5: excuse me. I dislike the overlapping Monday games more than 51 00:02:17,840 --> 00:02:21,560 Speaker 5: I dislike the early Sunday games. The overlapping Monday Night 52 00:02:21,600 --> 00:02:23,880 Speaker 5: games just really annoying me. I'd like to, you know, 53 00:02:24,040 --> 00:02:26,519 Speaker 5: I want Monday Night games to be standalone games. I 54 00:02:26,560 --> 00:02:29,320 Speaker 5: want to be able to like watch all of whatever 55 00:02:29,360 --> 00:02:32,000 Speaker 5: game there is. And the first set was okay when 56 00:02:32,000 --> 00:02:34,240 Speaker 5: they did not overlap and we got two games, that 57 00:02:34,400 --> 00:02:34,800 Speaker 5: was cool. 58 00:02:35,240 --> 00:02:36,639 Speaker 6: The overlapping ones. 59 00:02:36,720 --> 00:02:40,280 Speaker 1: Well, all the East Coast folks had big complaints about 60 00:02:40,360 --> 00:02:42,360 Speaker 1: the Yeah, but. 61 00:02:42,320 --> 00:02:44,880 Speaker 4: Everybody thinks they look like everybody talks like they're in 62 00:02:44,960 --> 00:02:47,480 Speaker 4: East Coast, East Coast time zone, things that like the 63 00:02:47,520 --> 00:02:49,520 Speaker 4: rest of the world lives in eCos Deever. 64 00:02:49,560 --> 00:02:51,040 Speaker 1: I don't even know what times on you like, because 65 00:02:51,040 --> 00:02:54,080 Speaker 1: the other day on Twitter you were crapping on Mountain 66 00:02:54,080 --> 00:02:54,800 Speaker 1: times zone. 67 00:02:54,760 --> 00:02:56,959 Speaker 3: Sometimes made up. We all know that. I mean, they're 68 00:02:56,960 --> 00:02:58,920 Speaker 3: all things. I'll count on one hand how many people 69 00:02:58,919 --> 00:02:59,919 Speaker 3: we know live in Mountain. 70 00:03:00,600 --> 00:03:01,440 Speaker 2: Every time zone is. 71 00:03:03,000 --> 00:03:06,880 Speaker 1: I believe Denver has the most employees of any city 72 00:03:07,040 --> 00:03:10,640 Speaker 1: at our company, so you should show some respect to mountains. 73 00:03:10,680 --> 00:03:13,640 Speaker 5: But by the way, Deebro, we're never getting NFL games 74 00:03:13,680 --> 00:03:16,760 Speaker 5: on Friday nights. They're just never gonna high school football. 75 00:03:16,800 --> 00:03:19,160 Speaker 5: There are too many NFL fans whose kids play high 76 00:03:19,200 --> 00:03:21,919 Speaker 5: school football and they are preoccupied. 77 00:03:21,320 --> 00:03:23,200 Speaker 4: And it never gets Saturday night because and then it'll 78 00:03:23,200 --> 00:03:25,840 Speaker 4: conflict with college and the NCAA will riot. 79 00:03:26,040 --> 00:03:28,239 Speaker 3: So yeah, no, I know, just wish thinking. 80 00:03:28,360 --> 00:03:30,040 Speaker 2: I just think that we can move on after this. 81 00:03:30,040 --> 00:03:34,560 Speaker 1: I just think that, like, the limited availability of football 82 00:03:34,680 --> 00:03:36,880 Speaker 1: is a huge part of why it's so successful. Like 83 00:03:36,920 --> 00:03:38,800 Speaker 1: if there was one hundred and sixty two games, like 84 00:03:38,800 --> 00:03:42,080 Speaker 1: in baseball, it wouldn't feel as special having a whole 85 00:03:42,160 --> 00:03:44,720 Speaker 1: day dedicate dedicated to it every week on Sundays, and 86 00:03:45,440 --> 00:03:46,800 Speaker 1: you know your team only gets to play once a week, 87 00:03:46,800 --> 00:03:48,880 Speaker 1: so it really mad. If baseball was played only once 88 00:03:48,920 --> 00:03:51,000 Speaker 1: a week, those games will be way more popular. 89 00:03:51,040 --> 00:03:52,160 Speaker 2: Like, I think the. 90 00:03:53,720 --> 00:03:57,000 Speaker 1: Scarcity of football is a huge part of its appeal, 91 00:03:57,520 --> 00:03:59,280 Speaker 1: and if you get rid of that, I just think 92 00:03:59,320 --> 00:04:00,880 Speaker 1: you're playing with five I'm not that it's going to 93 00:04:00,880 --> 00:04:02,320 Speaker 1: become unpopular or anything, but. 94 00:04:02,800 --> 00:04:03,480 Speaker 2: I don't like him. 95 00:04:03,560 --> 00:04:06,480 Speaker 1: It is my Point's let's dive into that Ireland game 96 00:04:06,560 --> 00:04:10,000 Speaker 1: Vikings at Steelers, and I want to ask about Jordan Adison, 97 00:04:10,040 --> 00:04:12,720 Speaker 1: who is coming back off suspension. Fitz will start with you, 98 00:04:12,760 --> 00:04:15,800 Speaker 1: how will Jordan Addison's return from suspension impact the Vikings 99 00:04:15,800 --> 00:04:18,440 Speaker 1: passing game for fantasy managers. 100 00:04:18,800 --> 00:04:21,720 Speaker 5: I don't think it'll be a big impact in this game. Like, 101 00:04:21,920 --> 00:04:25,960 Speaker 5: it's possible we only see Addison play maybe half to 102 00:04:26,040 --> 00:04:27,760 Speaker 5: two thirds of the offensive snaps. 103 00:04:28,160 --> 00:04:28,840 Speaker 6: I'm sure he's not. 104 00:04:29,839 --> 00:04:32,760 Speaker 5: He's probably in cardio shape after being away from the team, 105 00:04:32,760 --> 00:04:35,560 Speaker 5: but maybe not in football shape yet. You know, no, 106 00:04:35,560 --> 00:04:39,200 Speaker 5: no hitting for him. Can't imagine he walks right and 107 00:04:39,279 --> 00:04:42,839 Speaker 5: plays ninety percent of the snaps. And Addison is probably 108 00:04:42,880 --> 00:04:45,080 Speaker 5: not going to be completely in sync with Carson Wentz 109 00:04:45,160 --> 00:04:48,080 Speaker 5: considering that Wednesday was the first day that Carson Wentz 110 00:04:48,120 --> 00:04:50,680 Speaker 5: has ever thrown a pass to Jordan Addison in a 111 00:04:50,760 --> 00:04:52,240 Speaker 5: Vikings practice, so. 112 00:04:52,600 --> 00:04:54,200 Speaker 6: A couple of days ago that was it. 113 00:04:54,640 --> 00:04:59,120 Speaker 5: And yeah, so, like, I'm not expecting a six catch, 114 00:04:59,279 --> 00:05:01,800 Speaker 5: ninety yard game for Jordan Addison right off the bat. 115 00:05:02,760 --> 00:05:06,040 Speaker 1: Do you see any impact fits for what Adison does 116 00:05:06,120 --> 00:05:08,200 Speaker 1: to Like, are you expecting maybe a little bit less 117 00:05:08,240 --> 00:05:12,080 Speaker 1: of a game from Jefferson Hockinson anything like that just 118 00:05:12,320 --> 00:05:14,240 Speaker 1: as they work him in and get him incorporated back 119 00:05:14,240 --> 00:05:15,200 Speaker 1: into the offense. 120 00:05:15,040 --> 00:05:17,360 Speaker 6: Not those guys. But I would not start Jalen Naylor 121 00:05:17,480 --> 00:05:18,960 Speaker 6: or Adam Thielen this week. 122 00:05:19,680 --> 00:05:22,280 Speaker 1: Okay, I don't know how many people were starting them regardless, 123 00:05:22,320 --> 00:05:24,920 Speaker 1: but it's fair to point out, do you what do 124 00:05:24,960 --> 00:05:26,760 Speaker 1: you think? What are your expectations for Addison and kind 125 00:05:26,760 --> 00:05:29,599 Speaker 1: of the offense as a whole with Addison back, And I. 126 00:05:29,600 --> 00:05:32,960 Speaker 4: Think it's it's better things moving forward with the Vikings. Unfortunately, 127 00:05:32,960 --> 00:05:36,520 Speaker 4: the acquisition of Adam Thielen has been pretty useless, like 128 00:05:36,560 --> 00:05:38,440 Speaker 4: he's been a ghost at the beginning of part of 129 00:05:38,440 --> 00:05:40,320 Speaker 4: the season. And I understand they've been more run heavy 130 00:05:40,360 --> 00:05:42,480 Speaker 4: than we all kind of anticipated and things have kind 131 00:05:42,480 --> 00:05:45,800 Speaker 4: of gone sideways. But also did anybody think that through 132 00:05:45,839 --> 00:05:47,599 Speaker 4: the first few games of the season to this point 133 00:05:47,640 --> 00:05:49,360 Speaker 4: of the season, right now, Adam Thielan will have only 134 00:05:49,400 --> 00:05:52,359 Speaker 4: six targets, two catches and twenty six receiving yards and 135 00:05:52,400 --> 00:05:56,359 Speaker 4: a nine point two percent target chair No, so considering 136 00:05:56,360 --> 00:05:58,800 Speaker 4: that Addison's going to provide a boost for this offense, 137 00:05:59,640 --> 00:06:01,719 Speaker 4: And I mean, I'm with VIZI that, like, I don't 138 00:06:01,720 --> 00:06:03,760 Speaker 4: think he plays like ninety percent of the snaps. But 139 00:06:03,800 --> 00:06:05,599 Speaker 4: I think when they're out there in passing downs, like 140 00:06:05,640 --> 00:06:08,920 Speaker 4: he's still gonna have like a seventy to seventy five 141 00:06:08,960 --> 00:06:11,200 Speaker 4: percent route per drop back rate, and they probably just 142 00:06:11,240 --> 00:06:14,560 Speaker 4: cut him on like more condensed packages, running some twelve 143 00:06:14,640 --> 00:06:16,520 Speaker 4: and run plays and stuff. That's where they take him 144 00:06:16,560 --> 00:06:18,520 Speaker 4: off the field. But when they're passing, I think he's 145 00:06:18,520 --> 00:06:19,719 Speaker 4: gonna be on the field, and I think he's gonna 146 00:06:19,760 --> 00:06:22,520 Speaker 4: have a good day man. Like this Pittsburgh secondary has 147 00:06:22,600 --> 00:06:27,360 Speaker 4: been god awful, Like just they have been nothing close 148 00:06:27,400 --> 00:06:29,120 Speaker 4: to what I think any of us thought they were 149 00:06:29,160 --> 00:06:32,720 Speaker 4: going to be entering the season, considering the talent, the names, everything, 150 00:06:33,120 --> 00:06:36,839 Speaker 4: and looking at the coverage structure. Pittsburgh has been single 151 00:06:36,880 --> 00:06:38,800 Speaker 4: high heavy for the last two seasons. We know we're 152 00:06:38,800 --> 00:06:40,720 Speaker 4: gonna get that. This year's sixty seven percent of the 153 00:06:40,760 --> 00:06:43,960 Speaker 4: defensive snaps against that. Last year, Addison tore it up man. 154 00:06:44,000 --> 00:06:46,000 Speaker 4: He had two point two yards per route run, twenty 155 00:06:46,040 --> 00:06:47,720 Speaker 4: seven percent first read share. 156 00:06:48,240 --> 00:06:49,240 Speaker 3: The matchup is good. 157 00:06:49,320 --> 00:06:51,359 Speaker 4: I think even on limited snaps, like even if he 158 00:06:51,400 --> 00:06:54,920 Speaker 4: plays seventy percent, like, I'm pretty confident he's gonna put 159 00:06:54,960 --> 00:06:55,840 Speaker 4: up a strong stat line. 160 00:06:55,839 --> 00:06:57,640 Speaker 3: Like I got him at wide receiver thirty four this week. 161 00:06:57,880 --> 00:07:01,839 Speaker 1: Uh, did you guys think think about Addison when ranking 162 00:07:01,920 --> 00:07:04,760 Speaker 1: Carson Wentz this week? Like, does he actually go up 163 00:07:04,880 --> 00:07:05,680 Speaker 1: a little bit for that? 164 00:07:05,800 --> 00:07:06,000 Speaker 3: Or No? 165 00:07:07,160 --> 00:07:10,000 Speaker 4: I didn't only because I don't think he's like Carson 166 00:07:10,040 --> 00:07:11,760 Speaker 4: Wentz is gonna throw a ton. And this is also 167 00:07:11,840 --> 00:07:13,640 Speaker 4: a good game to lean on Jordan Mason because the 168 00:07:13,640 --> 00:07:15,320 Speaker 4: Steelers run defense has been pretty bad. 169 00:07:15,560 --> 00:07:17,760 Speaker 5: Right, That's kind of where I'm at with Wentz. I've 170 00:07:17,760 --> 00:07:20,559 Speaker 5: got him QB twenty seven. I just think they're trying 171 00:07:20,600 --> 00:07:24,800 Speaker 5: to hide him as much as possible. But you actually, 172 00:07:24,880 --> 00:07:26,920 Speaker 5: Deebro did make a pretty good case for Addison. I 173 00:07:27,000 --> 00:07:28,520 Speaker 5: might have to move him up a little. I've got 174 00:07:28,600 --> 00:07:29,000 Speaker 5: him in the third. 175 00:07:29,040 --> 00:07:30,120 Speaker 3: Where do you have him at right now? 176 00:07:30,120 --> 00:07:33,480 Speaker 5: I'm like in the fifties with him like fifty three 177 00:07:33,640 --> 00:07:35,880 Speaker 5: or fifty two or something like that, But you know, 178 00:07:36,800 --> 00:07:38,920 Speaker 5: I should probably have him in the forties. 179 00:07:40,120 --> 00:07:43,560 Speaker 1: Yeah, all right, Let's go to Commanders at Falcons. This 180 00:07:43,640 --> 00:07:47,240 Speaker 1: is back to the normal Sunday early slate opposing RB 181 00:07:47,320 --> 00:07:49,960 Speaker 1: one's against The Commanders have all finished with under four 182 00:07:50,040 --> 00:07:52,600 Speaker 1: yards per carry in each game this season. I believe 183 00:07:52,640 --> 00:07:55,120 Speaker 1: it was like under three in the first game, and 184 00:07:55,120 --> 00:07:56,720 Speaker 1: then the next two have been in about three point 185 00:07:56,800 --> 00:07:58,160 Speaker 1: seven per game. I forgot to write it down, but 186 00:07:58,200 --> 00:08:00,400 Speaker 1: I think I'm remembering that correctly. But it's all under 187 00:08:00,400 --> 00:08:02,800 Speaker 1: four yards per carry. It's not like we would consider 188 00:08:02,920 --> 00:08:06,080 Speaker 1: sitting Bjeon Robinson under any circumstance, but debro is this 189 00:08:06,120 --> 00:08:08,440 Speaker 1: a defense that could give him some trouble? 190 00:08:08,480 --> 00:08:13,040 Speaker 4: Maybe I'm not worried about it, to be honest, just 191 00:08:13,080 --> 00:08:15,640 Speaker 4: because if you look at how good Bijon and looking 192 00:08:15,680 --> 00:08:20,440 Speaker 4: at this run defense on paper, like if you're not 193 00:08:20,480 --> 00:08:23,000 Speaker 4: a highly explosive runner, if you're one of these more 194 00:08:23,120 --> 00:08:28,280 Speaker 4: volume compiling not can really do and create extra yards 195 00:08:28,360 --> 00:08:31,680 Speaker 4: just by yourself, then it's more concerning like Washington, like 196 00:08:31,720 --> 00:08:34,440 Speaker 4: if you look at on paper the matchup, they do 197 00:08:34,480 --> 00:08:37,200 Speaker 4: add the seventh best stuff rate. So again going back 198 00:08:37,200 --> 00:08:39,080 Speaker 4: to the archetypes and some of the running backs they face, 199 00:08:39,160 --> 00:08:41,400 Speaker 4: like the Giants don't have a good offensive line. The 200 00:08:41,440 --> 00:08:43,920 Speaker 4: Packers Josh Jacobs is good at what he does, but 201 00:08:43,960 --> 00:08:46,319 Speaker 4: we're not saying like he's not out here ripping fifty 202 00:08:46,360 --> 00:08:49,439 Speaker 4: and sixty yard runs and he's not known for his explosiveness. 203 00:08:49,840 --> 00:08:53,160 Speaker 4: And Ashton Genty again, terrible offensive line. I think more 204 00:08:53,200 --> 00:08:55,920 Speaker 4: of what we've seen so far from the Commanders has 205 00:08:56,000 --> 00:08:59,120 Speaker 4: been a function of a middle of the road run 206 00:08:59,200 --> 00:09:02,439 Speaker 4: defense that has faced some pretty like two of these 207 00:09:02,480 --> 00:09:04,959 Speaker 4: three teams they've played a futured offensive line or they're 208 00:09:05,000 --> 00:09:08,880 Speaker 4: playing bad. This run defense also has allowed the tenth 209 00:09:09,000 --> 00:09:11,559 Speaker 4: highest explosive run rate and their middle of the road 210 00:09:11,600 --> 00:09:14,040 Speaker 4: as far as misstack rate like they're seventeenth. So you 211 00:09:14,040 --> 00:09:16,839 Speaker 4: stack all that up against Jon Robinson, who I mean, 212 00:09:16,960 --> 00:09:20,079 Speaker 4: Atlanta Quietly, even despite the injuries, their ninth best in 213 00:09:20,200 --> 00:09:23,240 Speaker 4: yards before contact per attempt was is probably more of 214 00:09:23,240 --> 00:09:25,520 Speaker 4: a Bijon stat than it is for their O line, 215 00:09:25,840 --> 00:09:28,560 Speaker 4: because Bijeon's freaking awesome, Like he's top fifteen in every 216 00:09:28,600 --> 00:09:32,800 Speaker 4: single per touch efficiency metric, the film test, the eye 217 00:09:32,800 --> 00:09:35,199 Speaker 4: test also passes too. Like, I'm not worried about Bijon. 218 00:09:35,280 --> 00:09:37,280 Speaker 4: I think that this is quietly a pretty good spot 219 00:09:37,320 --> 00:09:38,040 Speaker 4: for him. 220 00:09:38,280 --> 00:09:38,719 Speaker 2: What do you think? 221 00:09:38,720 --> 00:09:40,839 Speaker 6: Fitz Deebro said, it pretty well. 222 00:09:41,320 --> 00:09:44,000 Speaker 5: Got to look at the opponents and it was the Giants, 223 00:09:44,040 --> 00:09:46,880 Speaker 5: and that was the Tyrone Tracy Giants, not the camp 224 00:09:46,960 --> 00:09:51,440 Speaker 5: Skataboo Giants. The Raiders last week who haven't been able 225 00:09:51,440 --> 00:09:54,199 Speaker 5: to run against anyone. And Ashton gent is one of 226 00:09:54,240 --> 00:09:58,120 Speaker 5: only two running backs in the league averaging negative yards 227 00:09:58,160 --> 00:10:02,360 Speaker 5: before contact per carry, So really it was just Josh 228 00:10:02,440 --> 00:10:06,440 Speaker 5: Jacobs as the only decent running back they faced, and 229 00:10:07,040 --> 00:10:09,280 Speaker 5: he did just fine twenty three carries for eighty four 230 00:10:09,360 --> 00:10:11,440 Speaker 5: yards in a touchdown. So not a huge game, but 231 00:10:11,480 --> 00:10:14,000 Speaker 5: a solid game. I'm kind of with de bro like, 232 00:10:14,320 --> 00:10:17,000 Speaker 5: it's a pretty good and maybe above average run defense, 233 00:10:17,040 --> 00:10:20,640 Speaker 5: but not a matchup to fear, and certainly not a 234 00:10:20,679 --> 00:10:23,720 Speaker 5: matchup that's going to deter you from starting Bjon Robinson. 235 00:10:25,040 --> 00:10:27,600 Speaker 1: Today's show is brought to you by our new presenting sponsor, 236 00:10:27,720 --> 00:10:30,240 Speaker 1: hard Rock Bet. The hard Rock Bet sportsbook app is 237 00:10:30,280 --> 00:10:33,000 Speaker 1: top rated, probably because there are so many promos and 238 00:10:33,120 --> 00:10:35,760 Speaker 1: so much to bet. 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Or if you want 245 00:10:50,760 --> 00:10:53,480 Speaker 1: to sleeper, David Montgomery is down at RB thirty, even 246 00:10:53,520 --> 00:10:56,280 Speaker 1: coming after what he did on Monday night, but Montgomery 247 00:10:56,320 --> 00:10:58,760 Speaker 1: does play very well in September, according to the hard 248 00:10:58,840 --> 00:11:01,480 Speaker 1: Rock bet Stats Hub, score a touchdown in seven straight 249 00:11:01,520 --> 00:11:05,079 Speaker 1: September games when Detroit is favored, as they are this week. 250 00:11:05,320 --> 00:11:07,880 Speaker 1: You can bet that streak and find more insights any 251 00:11:07,960 --> 00:11:09,760 Speaker 1: day of the week on hard Rock Bet app. And 252 00:11:09,800 --> 00:11:11,679 Speaker 1: if you haven't tried your first bet on hard Rock 253 00:11:11,720 --> 00:11:13,440 Speaker 1: Bet yet, there's still time for you to get one 254 00:11:13,480 --> 00:11:15,800 Speaker 1: hundred and fifty dollars in bonus bets if you win. 255 00:11:16,120 --> 00:11:17,880 Speaker 1: Just place a five dollar bet and if it hits, 256 00:11:17,920 --> 00:11:19,800 Speaker 1: you get not only your winnings, but one hundred and 257 00:11:19,840 --> 00:11:22,800 Speaker 1: fifty dollars in extra bonus bets. 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Call one 267 00:11:44,840 --> 00:11:47,040 Speaker 7: eight hundred and nine with it gambling problem called one 268 00:11:47,200 --> 00:11:50,920 Speaker 7: hundred gambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, in New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia. 269 00:11:51,559 --> 00:11:54,640 Speaker 1: All right, we're going to Saints at Bills. As of 270 00:11:54,640 --> 00:11:56,000 Speaker 1: when I put the sheet together, I didn't look to 271 00:11:56,000 --> 00:11:57,319 Speaker 1: see if this mood at all. But when I put 272 00:11:57,320 --> 00:11:59,280 Speaker 1: the sheet together a couple of days ago, the Bills 273 00:11:59,280 --> 00:12:02,160 Speaker 1: were laying fifteen and a half points on hard rock bet, 274 00:12:02,440 --> 00:12:04,360 Speaker 1: which is the biggest line of the season so far. 275 00:12:04,440 --> 00:12:07,160 Speaker 2: Will they cover that spread? And then also fits. 276 00:12:07,160 --> 00:12:09,120 Speaker 1: I want you to pick one Saint that you like 277 00:12:09,200 --> 00:12:11,480 Speaker 1: this week and one Bill you dislike, to kind of 278 00:12:11,480 --> 00:12:13,320 Speaker 1: go against the narrative of this game. 279 00:12:13,440 --> 00:12:14,280 Speaker 6: Ooh interesting? 280 00:12:14,400 --> 00:12:17,880 Speaker 5: All right, Yes, I do think the Bills cover in 281 00:12:17,960 --> 00:12:20,559 Speaker 5: this one. They kind of sleep walked through their Thursday 282 00:12:20,640 --> 00:12:23,840 Speaker 5: night home game against the Dolphins and got a real 283 00:12:23,920 --> 00:12:26,199 Speaker 5: scare in that game, so I think they'll be a 284 00:12:26,200 --> 00:12:30,720 Speaker 5: little more dialed in against a second straight overmatched opponent. 285 00:12:30,800 --> 00:12:34,520 Speaker 5: They've had extra rest time, extra prep time, and they 286 00:12:34,559 --> 00:12:36,480 Speaker 5: haven't had to leave home. I think the Bills win 287 00:12:36,600 --> 00:12:37,960 Speaker 5: big in this one. 288 00:12:38,559 --> 00:12:39,280 Speaker 6: A saying I like. 289 00:12:39,559 --> 00:12:42,120 Speaker 5: I'll keep putting Chris Olave in lineups where I have 290 00:12:42,280 --> 00:12:48,080 Speaker 5: him like his his target counts so far thirteen ten, fourteen, 291 00:12:48,600 --> 00:12:51,199 Speaker 5: he's twenty three catches already. Wellough, the weird thing is 292 00:12:51,280 --> 00:12:53,760 Speaker 5: he has been between fifty four and fifty seven yards 293 00:12:53,840 --> 00:12:57,920 Speaker 5: in every game so far. So there's a sturdy floor, 294 00:12:58,160 --> 00:13:02,360 Speaker 5: especially in PPR, if not exactly you know, the ceiling 295 00:13:02,520 --> 00:13:05,160 Speaker 5: does not look like the sixteene chapel here with Spencer 296 00:13:05,240 --> 00:13:06,280 Speaker 5: Rattler at quarterback. 297 00:13:07,679 --> 00:13:08,760 Speaker 6: A fade for the Bills. 298 00:13:08,800 --> 00:13:12,080 Speaker 5: I'll say Dalton Kincaid like he's tight end three in 299 00:13:12,160 --> 00:13:15,360 Speaker 5: fantasy scoring right now because he's gotten into the end 300 00:13:15,480 --> 00:13:18,760 Speaker 5: zone a couple of times. But he's only playing about 301 00:13:18,760 --> 00:13:22,040 Speaker 5: half the Bills offensive snaps and he hasn't had more 302 00:13:22,080 --> 00:13:24,319 Speaker 5: than six targets in a game. So if there's anyone 303 00:13:24,320 --> 00:13:26,120 Speaker 5: who disappoints, maybe it's him. 304 00:13:26,520 --> 00:13:28,920 Speaker 2: Fits would you rather start Kincaid or Kelsey this week? 305 00:13:30,480 --> 00:13:31,040 Speaker 6: Oh man? 306 00:13:31,400 --> 00:13:36,199 Speaker 5: That is uh, that is interesting. I'm let me check 307 00:13:36,240 --> 00:13:38,680 Speaker 5: the rankings real quick. I think I do have Kincaid 308 00:13:39,040 --> 00:13:39,720 Speaker 5: ranked higher. 309 00:13:39,800 --> 00:13:41,080 Speaker 6: Kelsey looks pretty dusty. 310 00:13:41,600 --> 00:13:44,080 Speaker 1: They're back to back in ECR, and they're my two 311 00:13:44,120 --> 00:13:46,920 Speaker 1: tight ends in a dynasty league that we're all in together. 312 00:13:47,080 --> 00:13:49,400 Speaker 6: Yeah, I've got kid tight end eight. 313 00:13:49,920 --> 00:13:51,280 Speaker 3: You don't have Kinkaid in that league. 314 00:13:51,320 --> 00:13:53,640 Speaker 2: I have Kinkaid in though the other dynasty league that 315 00:13:53,760 --> 00:13:54,160 Speaker 2: was okay. 316 00:13:54,240 --> 00:13:56,199 Speaker 3: I was like, you can have Kinkaid, I'll trade it 317 00:13:56,280 --> 00:13:56,720 Speaker 3: to you. 318 00:13:56,720 --> 00:13:58,719 Speaker 1: No, the old chair to be in the league where 319 00:13:58,720 --> 00:14:02,880 Speaker 1: iRED have Rock Bauers. Now I'm good. I I have 320 00:14:03,000 --> 00:14:04,080 Speaker 1: Kyle Pitts's my backup. 321 00:14:04,120 --> 00:14:07,800 Speaker 5: Actually, I've got Kincaid tight end eight, Kelsey tight end ten. 322 00:14:09,679 --> 00:14:12,680 Speaker 2: Okay, so close, But yeah, you do lean in that direction. 323 00:14:13,480 --> 00:14:15,559 Speaker 2: De bro, What do you think about this game? 324 00:14:15,600 --> 00:14:16,840 Speaker 1: Do you think the Bills are going to cover this 325 00:14:16,920 --> 00:14:19,280 Speaker 1: huge spread and then also pick a Saint you like 326 00:14:19,320 --> 00:14:20,200 Speaker 1: and a billion dislike? 327 00:14:20,560 --> 00:14:22,880 Speaker 4: Man, you made me look this up. It's actually moved 328 00:14:23,160 --> 00:14:24,800 Speaker 4: more in the direction of the Bills in hard rock 329 00:14:24,840 --> 00:14:27,480 Speaker 4: bed it's minus sixteen and a half now like. 330 00:14:27,560 --> 00:14:30,880 Speaker 1: Oh okay, good lord, So it's kind of the other direction. 331 00:14:31,040 --> 00:14:31,960 Speaker 3: I okay. 332 00:14:32,040 --> 00:14:35,400 Speaker 4: So I don't think the Bills cover on this, and 333 00:14:35,560 --> 00:14:37,720 Speaker 4: only because not because I think that the Saints are 334 00:14:37,720 --> 00:14:39,600 Speaker 4: going to put up much of a fight. I just 335 00:14:39,640 --> 00:14:41,640 Speaker 4: think that they can get there in garbage time stuff 336 00:14:41,680 --> 00:14:43,240 Speaker 4: and make up after the Bills kind of take their 337 00:14:43,240 --> 00:14:45,680 Speaker 4: foot off the gas because I mean, if this number 338 00:14:45,760 --> 00:14:47,600 Speaker 4: was like twelve and a half or something like that, 339 00:14:47,640 --> 00:14:48,920 Speaker 4: then fine, I think they cover. 340 00:14:49,160 --> 00:14:51,520 Speaker 2: It opened at twelve and a half by the way, Oh. 341 00:14:51,400 --> 00:14:54,840 Speaker 3: Okay, well there you go. But sixteen and a half, dude, like. 342 00:14:54,840 --> 00:14:57,800 Speaker 5: That With that many the back door is always open 343 00:14:57,840 --> 00:14:58,840 Speaker 5: when there's a spread back. 344 00:14:58,920 --> 00:15:00,320 Speaker 3: Yes, exactly. 345 00:15:00,360 --> 00:15:02,520 Speaker 4: And that's But the other thing about it is like 346 00:15:03,120 --> 00:15:06,120 Speaker 4: there are paths to the Saints moving the ball in 347 00:15:06,200 --> 00:15:09,520 Speaker 4: this game, Like their run defense is not stellars, So 348 00:15:09,560 --> 00:15:11,680 Speaker 4: I think camera can get good usage on the ground. 349 00:15:12,200 --> 00:15:14,480 Speaker 4: Chris Lave is my saint to for all the points 350 00:15:14,480 --> 00:15:16,080 Speaker 4: that that fits he laid out here, he's getting a 351 00:15:16,080 --> 00:15:18,200 Speaker 4: crap ton of volume. But the other thing I'll point 352 00:15:18,200 --> 00:15:20,840 Speaker 4: out here too is that like the Buffalo Bills have 353 00:15:20,880 --> 00:15:23,840 Speaker 4: faced the sixth fewest perimeter wide receiver targets, but they 354 00:15:23,920 --> 00:15:26,960 Speaker 4: ranked fifteenth and Fantasy points per game, and they've allowed 355 00:15:27,000 --> 00:15:30,520 Speaker 4: the fifth highest PPR points per target two perimeter wide receivers. 356 00:15:30,520 --> 00:15:34,040 Speaker 4: So quietly pretty good spot for chrysal Lava. So I 357 00:15:34,040 --> 00:15:35,880 Speaker 4: feel really good about him as a wide receiver. Three 358 00:15:35,920 --> 00:15:39,280 Speaker 4: this week, the Bill that all fade because FITZI I 359 00:15:39,280 --> 00:15:41,120 Speaker 4: think this is gonna make things tingle. I think it's 360 00:15:41,280 --> 00:15:44,160 Speaker 4: the Keon Coleman week, bro, So I think Keon's in 361 00:15:44,200 --> 00:15:47,680 Speaker 4: for a big day. And Khalila Shakiir is the guy 362 00:15:47,680 --> 00:15:50,920 Speaker 4: that all fade here. Just his usage, the Saints have 363 00:15:50,960 --> 00:15:53,360 Speaker 4: been more single high heavy fifty eight point four percent 364 00:15:53,360 --> 00:15:55,720 Speaker 4: of their snaps. His usage versus single high this year 365 00:15:56,160 --> 00:15:58,480 Speaker 4: has been okay, but it's not great. If there's one 366 00:15:58,480 --> 00:16:00,880 Speaker 4: thing the Saints have actually been pretty good at, it's 367 00:16:00,880 --> 00:16:01,800 Speaker 4: defending the slot. 368 00:16:02,200 --> 00:16:02,320 Speaker 3: Uh. 369 00:16:02,320 --> 00:16:05,120 Speaker 4: Slot receivers against the Saints of the ninth few is 370 00:16:05,200 --> 00:16:08,440 Speaker 4: PBR points per target and the fifth or excuse me, 371 00:16:08,480 --> 00:16:10,800 Speaker 4: the fifth fewest Fantasy points per game overall. 372 00:16:10,840 --> 00:16:13,560 Speaker 3: So Shakier's my fade uh, because I think it's gonna 373 00:16:13,560 --> 00:16:14,640 Speaker 3: be a big keyonte. 374 00:16:16,040 --> 00:16:17,520 Speaker 2: On the you know, big spread. 375 00:16:17,640 --> 00:16:20,480 Speaker 1: Like also, like whatuld it totally surprised you if the 376 00:16:20,520 --> 00:16:22,240 Speaker 1: Bills kind of played with their food a bit too, 377 00:16:22,280 --> 00:16:24,120 Speaker 1: like even not even just talking about a backdoor cover, 378 00:16:24,280 --> 00:16:27,880 Speaker 1: but like a three and zero team that almost feels like, 379 00:16:27,920 --> 00:16:29,920 Speaker 1: given their schedule, they've already locked up the one seed 380 00:16:29,920 --> 00:16:31,840 Speaker 1: in the AFC, going up against the team that a 381 00:16:31,840 --> 00:16:32,560 Speaker 1: lot of people thought. 382 00:16:32,440 --> 00:16:35,600 Speaker 4: It was gonna maybe Kellen Moore, Like, maybe I'm not 383 00:16:35,640 --> 00:16:37,640 Speaker 4: saying the Saints win this, but it's closer because of 384 00:16:37,680 --> 00:16:38,600 Speaker 4: garbage time and everything. 385 00:16:38,680 --> 00:16:40,960 Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, like I yeah, My point is that I 386 00:16:41,000 --> 00:16:43,800 Speaker 1: don't think it's necessary if they cover the Saints cover. 387 00:16:43,960 --> 00:16:45,920 Speaker 1: That is, I don't think it's necessarily going to mean like, oh, 388 00:16:45,960 --> 00:16:48,000 Speaker 1: they definitely it's a backdoor cover, like I could see 389 00:16:48,000 --> 00:16:50,320 Speaker 1: it being closer than people expect for Like, I don't 390 00:16:50,320 --> 00:16:52,080 Speaker 1: think anybody will at no point. Well, I think the 391 00:16:52,080 --> 00:16:54,640 Speaker 1: Bills are going to lose, but I could see it 392 00:16:54,680 --> 00:16:57,680 Speaker 1: being you know, under three scores for most of the 393 00:16:57,720 --> 00:17:00,560 Speaker 1: afternoon and it feels like they're just not putting them well. 394 00:17:00,600 --> 00:17:03,040 Speaker 4: And I also think that it's in the Saints favor 395 00:17:03,280 --> 00:17:06,040 Speaker 4: being a dome team traveling to to freaking Buffalo that 396 00:17:06,080 --> 00:17:07,960 Speaker 4: this isn't in like the snow and the tundra and 397 00:17:07,960 --> 00:17:08,840 Speaker 4: stuff like that too. 398 00:17:08,920 --> 00:17:13,880 Speaker 2: Yeah for sure. All right, let's go to Browns at Lions. Fits. 399 00:17:13,960 --> 00:17:17,119 Speaker 1: Sorry to be talking about the Browns facing an NFC 400 00:17:17,200 --> 00:17:18,760 Speaker 1: North team. I know that's going to bring up some 401 00:17:18,800 --> 00:17:22,840 Speaker 1: scars for you. The unstoppable force, right, the Lions offense 402 00:17:22,920 --> 00:17:25,840 Speaker 1: versus the immovable object, the Browns defense, which has been 403 00:17:26,440 --> 00:17:28,840 Speaker 1: really good this year. I mean you think, like, not 404 00:17:28,920 --> 00:17:31,440 Speaker 1: just statistically like, oh, the Browns defense has been really good. 405 00:17:31,520 --> 00:17:32,640 Speaker 2: Think about who they have faced. 406 00:17:32,640 --> 00:17:34,639 Speaker 1: They have faced the Bengals when they still had Joe Burrow, 407 00:17:34,680 --> 00:17:36,840 Speaker 1: and it was a a Bengals offense that had actually 408 00:17:36,880 --> 00:17:39,119 Speaker 1: played in the preseason on like previous years, so you 409 00:17:39,200 --> 00:17:41,000 Speaker 1: kind of thought they would be, you know, more ready 410 00:17:41,040 --> 00:17:43,560 Speaker 1: to go in week one. In Week two, they faced 411 00:17:43,560 --> 00:17:45,480 Speaker 1: the Ravens offense, which is like the second or I 412 00:17:45,520 --> 00:17:47,480 Speaker 1: think it's actually still the first, you know, highest scoring 413 00:17:47,520 --> 00:17:50,520 Speaker 1: offense in football. And then the Packers, who I know, 414 00:17:50,560 --> 00:17:52,359 Speaker 1: their their defense isn't better than their offense, but it's 415 00:17:52,400 --> 00:17:54,879 Speaker 1: been a good offense this year, and the Browns defense 416 00:17:54,880 --> 00:17:56,480 Speaker 1: has made all three of those. I know, the Ravens 417 00:17:56,520 --> 00:17:58,320 Speaker 1: scored over forty points, but that was a lot of 418 00:17:58,359 --> 00:18:00,960 Speaker 1: like defense and special teams helping them get there. They 419 00:18:00,960 --> 00:18:03,119 Speaker 1: have made every one of these offenses look look pretty 420 00:18:03,119 --> 00:18:05,520 Speaker 1: bad relative to the rest of the season. But again, 421 00:18:05,560 --> 00:18:08,080 Speaker 1: the Lions offense is really good. So, Fitch, I will 422 00:18:08,080 --> 00:18:10,160 Speaker 1: start with you who wins the battle on that side 423 00:18:10,200 --> 00:18:12,320 Speaker 1: of the ball? Lions offensive, Browns defense. 424 00:18:12,680 --> 00:18:16,920 Speaker 5: Yeah, so I'm gonna say the Lions maybe more through 425 00:18:17,040 --> 00:18:19,600 Speaker 5: the air, than on the ground. Like the Browns are 426 00:18:19,640 --> 00:18:22,159 Speaker 5: only giving up two point two yards per carry to 427 00:18:22,280 --> 00:18:26,000 Speaker 5: running backs so far. They rank first in DVOA against 428 00:18:26,040 --> 00:18:29,159 Speaker 5: the run, but they're only eighteenth in DVA against the pass. 429 00:18:29,720 --> 00:18:30,560 Speaker 6: So I don't think. 430 00:18:30,480 --> 00:18:33,280 Speaker 5: We're getting another one hundred and fifty yard rushing day 431 00:18:33,280 --> 00:18:36,639 Speaker 5: from David Montgomery, sorry, worm, but we might get one 432 00:18:36,720 --> 00:18:39,240 Speaker 5: hundred and fiftyard day from either ham and Ross, Saint 433 00:18:39,280 --> 00:18:43,720 Speaker 5: Brown or Jamison Williams. But like this not to diminish 434 00:18:43,840 --> 00:18:47,200 Speaker 5: this Cleveland defense, it is really good. They totally stuffed 435 00:18:47,200 --> 00:18:50,440 Speaker 5: the Green Bay offense into a locker last week, and 436 00:18:50,880 --> 00:18:56,479 Speaker 5: they just the Packers could not handle the Browns defensive front. 437 00:18:56,680 --> 00:18:59,760 Speaker 5: After the Packers lost Zach Tom and Aaron Banks to 438 00:18:59,800 --> 00:19:01,800 Speaker 5: in injuries early in the game, two of their key 439 00:19:01,840 --> 00:19:05,800 Speaker 5: starting linemen. After that, it was just kind of open 440 00:19:05,880 --> 00:19:08,160 Speaker 5: season on Jordan Love and they couldn't get any movement 441 00:19:08,160 --> 00:19:08,920 Speaker 5: in the running game. 442 00:19:10,200 --> 00:19:11,840 Speaker 1: I think the Lions are going to do enough like 443 00:19:11,920 --> 00:19:15,240 Speaker 1: to win the game obviously, and so like by that 444 00:19:15,359 --> 00:19:17,520 Speaker 1: measure you could say that I'm picking the Lions offense, 445 00:19:17,560 --> 00:19:19,760 Speaker 1: but like specifically on the side of the ball, I 446 00:19:19,760 --> 00:19:21,439 Speaker 1: actually think the Browns defense is going to have the 447 00:19:21,440 --> 00:19:24,000 Speaker 1: better day in the Lions offense. I'm just so impressed 448 00:19:24,000 --> 00:19:25,880 Speaker 1: by what I've seen from Cleveland that side of the ball. 449 00:19:26,760 --> 00:19:28,560 Speaker 1: So Debro go ahead and break our tie here. 450 00:19:29,400 --> 00:19:31,280 Speaker 4: I'm gonna go with the Lions offense. And I think 451 00:19:31,320 --> 00:19:35,200 Speaker 4: this all comes down to one specific factor in this game. 452 00:19:36,080 --> 00:19:40,280 Speaker 4: Do Christian Mahogany and Tate Ratledge hold up. If they 453 00:19:40,280 --> 00:19:43,360 Speaker 4: hold up against this defensive line, then the Lions can 454 00:19:43,400 --> 00:19:46,119 Speaker 4: cook here, really and this all comes down to the 455 00:19:46,160 --> 00:19:50,040 Speaker 4: trenches and can the Browns have a good day. It 456 00:19:50,119 --> 00:19:52,399 Speaker 4: is possible if their d line can get home, they 457 00:19:52,440 --> 00:19:54,760 Speaker 4: can bring pressure because they are seventh best in pressure, 458 00:19:54,760 --> 00:19:56,520 Speaker 4: and we know Jared Golf has a problem with that. 459 00:19:56,520 --> 00:19:59,200 Speaker 4: That's what happened with the Packers game. Tate Rautli and 460 00:19:59,280 --> 00:20:02,720 Speaker 4: Mahogany were overmatched. But I think this offensive line is 461 00:20:02,800 --> 00:20:05,000 Speaker 4: kind of not finding it stride. But I think they're 462 00:20:05,000 --> 00:20:07,720 Speaker 4: playing better. Both those guards have played better over the. 463 00:20:07,760 --> 00:20:08,480 Speaker 3: Last two weeks. 464 00:20:08,520 --> 00:20:12,040 Speaker 4: I think that continues this week. And if that happens, man, 465 00:20:12,119 --> 00:20:14,760 Speaker 4: I just they might be without Denzel a Ward. Their 466 00:20:14,800 --> 00:20:17,480 Speaker 4: cornerbacks in the back end are not equipped to deal 467 00:20:17,520 --> 00:20:20,280 Speaker 4: with this passing attack. Like Cleveland has quietly been as 468 00:20:20,320 --> 00:20:22,560 Speaker 4: good as their defense defensive line has been and they 469 00:20:22,560 --> 00:20:25,560 Speaker 4: are carrying the day. Their run defenses top five in 470 00:20:25,600 --> 00:20:27,720 Speaker 4: the NFL. Again, I said, they have the seventh best 471 00:20:27,720 --> 00:20:30,879 Speaker 4: pressure rate. If those things like if Detroit Lions to 472 00:20:30,880 --> 00:20:32,879 Speaker 4: just say, look like, if we got enough time with 473 00:20:32,960 --> 00:20:35,879 Speaker 4: Jared Golf, whether it's short area targets or JMO just 474 00:20:35,920 --> 00:20:38,879 Speaker 4: burning these corners, like they can put up some points. 475 00:20:38,880 --> 00:20:40,879 Speaker 4: They just have to keep Jared Goff clean. And if 476 00:20:40,880 --> 00:20:42,800 Speaker 4: they can do that, which I think, I lean in 477 00:20:42,840 --> 00:20:45,280 Speaker 4: the direction that they can, and I know I'm stepping 478 00:20:45,280 --> 00:20:47,080 Speaker 4: out on a limb because we've already seen the Lions 479 00:20:47,480 --> 00:20:51,040 Speaker 4: offensive line fold under a good D line already previously. 480 00:20:51,480 --> 00:20:53,920 Speaker 3: But if they can, Cleveland's given. 481 00:20:53,800 --> 00:20:57,120 Speaker 4: Up the fifth most passing touchdowns, the eighth highest pass 482 00:20:57,240 --> 00:21:00,680 Speaker 4: rating in their middle road in success and they're quietly 483 00:21:00,720 --> 00:21:03,679 Speaker 4: middle of the road in against D passing. It just 484 00:21:03,720 --> 00:21:06,639 Speaker 4: comes down to can their pass rush and their D 485 00:21:06,760 --> 00:21:09,760 Speaker 4: line win. If not, it's a big day for JMO, 486 00:21:09,920 --> 00:21:12,520 Speaker 4: It's a big day for Jair Golf and Amara saying 487 00:21:12,520 --> 00:21:15,720 Speaker 4: Brown is going to cook Miles Harden, who right now 488 00:21:15,800 --> 00:21:18,000 Speaker 4: is giving up a seventy five percents catch rad and 489 00:21:18,040 --> 00:21:20,240 Speaker 4: a one thirty pass ring in his coverage, he doesn't 490 00:21:20,240 --> 00:21:21,399 Speaker 4: have a chance against Amana. 491 00:21:22,600 --> 00:21:25,960 Speaker 1: I am not as optimistic about the Lions line as 492 00:21:26,000 --> 00:21:28,760 Speaker 1: you are, like in terms of them playing better last 493 00:21:28,760 --> 00:21:30,440 Speaker 1: couple of weeks. I mean, like when we threw their 494 00:21:30,480 --> 00:21:33,359 Speaker 1: facing the Ravens without nondematic week without Kyle van Noy, 495 00:21:33,440 --> 00:21:36,000 Speaker 1: with the banged up Travis Jones, Like, that's not a 496 00:21:36,000 --> 00:21:39,080 Speaker 1: good defensive lines this weakest unit on the Ravens as 497 00:21:39,119 --> 00:21:41,639 Speaker 1: an entire team, really, So I don't think it was 498 00:21:41,680 --> 00:21:43,840 Speaker 1: like impressive of the Lions offensive line to do what 499 00:21:43,880 --> 00:21:44,240 Speaker 1: they did. 500 00:21:44,240 --> 00:21:45,639 Speaker 2: And you know, the week before against. 501 00:21:45,400 --> 00:21:48,000 Speaker 1: The Bears, like like the Browns are closer to the 502 00:21:48,000 --> 00:21:50,160 Speaker 1: Packers in that regard than they are the other two 503 00:21:50,359 --> 00:21:53,480 Speaker 1: opponents they faced. So I'm not ready to say like 504 00:21:53,560 --> 00:21:55,960 Speaker 1: that this offensive line is ready for a matchup like this. 505 00:21:56,080 --> 00:21:58,720 Speaker 1: I do think they will get kind of bullied by 506 00:21:58,840 --> 00:22:02,119 Speaker 1: the Browns defense line, and if they're shutting down the 507 00:22:02,200 --> 00:22:05,280 Speaker 1: run and don't have that threat with Montgomery and Gibbs, 508 00:22:05,119 --> 00:22:07,080 Speaker 1: that's kind of why I lean towards Again, I do 509 00:22:07,160 --> 00:22:08,760 Speaker 1: not think the Browns are gonna win this game. I 510 00:22:08,840 --> 00:22:10,800 Speaker 1: am not saying that because I think the Lions defense 511 00:22:11,040 --> 00:22:13,560 Speaker 1: will do very very well against the Browns offense, like 512 00:22:13,640 --> 00:22:17,280 Speaker 1: every defense does against the Browns offense. But I do 513 00:22:17,400 --> 00:22:19,560 Speaker 1: I do think we will come away saying, like, even 514 00:22:19,560 --> 00:22:21,960 Speaker 1: if the Lions score scores some points, because they're going 515 00:22:22,000 --> 00:22:23,399 Speaker 1: to just over the course of a long game, I 516 00:22:23,400 --> 00:22:25,639 Speaker 1: think we'll come away saying the Browns defense won the 517 00:22:25,640 --> 00:22:28,320 Speaker 1: battle even if they lost the game, if that makes sense. 518 00:22:28,480 --> 00:22:32,880 Speaker 5: The Browns defense, man, like if they I mean, they 519 00:22:32,920 --> 00:22:35,760 Speaker 5: had such a nice draft, getting the extra first run 520 00:22:35,840 --> 00:22:38,679 Speaker 5: pick for next year, getting Mason Taylor, who looks like 521 00:22:38,720 --> 00:22:42,199 Speaker 5: a stut already. Carson Schwessinger is like already one of 522 00:22:42,240 --> 00:22:46,320 Speaker 5: the like an above average NFL linebacker from the jump, 523 00:22:46,400 --> 00:22:49,240 Speaker 5: like he is really good. Grant del Pitt is one 524 00:22:49,240 --> 00:22:51,159 Speaker 5: of the better safeties in the league. Like they have 525 00:22:51,240 --> 00:22:55,120 Speaker 5: a really tough defense if they can just like finally 526 00:22:55,119 --> 00:22:57,119 Speaker 5: figure it out at quarterback, and they do have some 527 00:22:57,200 --> 00:23:00,720 Speaker 5: AMMO in the draft next year, like the Browns might 528 00:23:00,800 --> 00:23:03,600 Speaker 5: not be And I don't want to give the Browns 529 00:23:03,640 --> 00:23:06,040 Speaker 5: fans false hope, because I know they've had plenty of 530 00:23:06,040 --> 00:23:08,040 Speaker 5: that over the years, but like they could they could 531 00:23:08,080 --> 00:23:09,320 Speaker 5: be competitive in a hurry. 532 00:23:09,960 --> 00:23:11,800 Speaker 1: I want to save you here fits from the comments 533 00:23:11,840 --> 00:23:15,840 Speaker 1: you said Mason Taylor. It's Mason Graham. Sorry, yeah, obviously 534 00:23:15,840 --> 00:23:18,880 Speaker 1: you know that, but just so the commentaris don't jump 535 00:23:18,880 --> 00:23:19,160 Speaker 1: on you. 536 00:23:19,200 --> 00:23:22,119 Speaker 4: Also shout out to Eliite Collins. He's arguably playing some 537 00:23:22,160 --> 00:23:23,399 Speaker 4: of the best football of his career. 538 00:23:23,440 --> 00:23:23,600 Speaker 3: Right. 539 00:23:23,640 --> 00:23:26,000 Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, it's it's been. I mean, defense is a 540 00:23:26,040 --> 00:23:28,240 Speaker 1: lot of efforts. So I wonder if, like later in 541 00:23:28,280 --> 00:23:30,480 Speaker 1: the year, if like the offense has been just terrible 542 00:23:30,520 --> 00:23:31,400 Speaker 1: all season, and. 543 00:23:31,480 --> 00:23:32,800 Speaker 3: That's you know, that's what I'll worry about it. 544 00:23:33,359 --> 00:23:37,520 Speaker 4: They're not going to play complimentary football right but right now, yeah, 545 00:23:37,640 --> 00:23:41,200 Speaker 4: it's early enough that they're still pretty scary, very very scary. 546 00:23:41,240 --> 00:23:45,960 Speaker 1: Actually, let Autopilot manage your fantasy football lineup automatically so 547 00:23:46,000 --> 00:23:48,560 Speaker 1: you never have to worry about last minute changes, Auto 548 00:23:48,560 --> 00:23:51,840 Speaker 1: swap inactive players, and assure your lineup is always optimized 549 00:23:51,880 --> 00:23:54,280 Speaker 1: even when you can't be online. Take control with the 550 00:23:54,320 --> 00:23:57,879 Speaker 1: flexibility to approve lineup changes via email or let autopilot 551 00:23:57,920 --> 00:24:01,280 Speaker 1: handle everything. Stay ahead with my play Book. Autopilot available 552 00:24:01,320 --> 00:24:04,560 Speaker 1: now for Fantasy Pros Premium subscribers at Fantasypros dot com, 553 00:24:04,560 --> 00:24:07,440 Speaker 1: Slash my Playbook or on the Fantasy Pros app Try 554 00:24:07,480 --> 00:24:09,920 Speaker 1: Premium for free right now by claiming your three day 555 00:24:09,960 --> 00:24:14,520 Speaker 1: trial of Fantasy Prospremium at fantasypros dot com Slash Premium. 556 00:24:14,960 --> 00:24:19,840 Speaker 1: All Right, guys, Titans at Texans gross key question here. 557 00:24:20,040 --> 00:24:23,000 Speaker 1: Houston is the lowest scoring team in football this season. 558 00:24:23,280 --> 00:24:26,600 Speaker 1: Tennessee is also bottom five. The total on this game 559 00:24:26,680 --> 00:24:29,440 Speaker 1: is down at thirty eight and a half. Actually, I 560 00:24:29,480 --> 00:24:31,760 Speaker 1: want to see if it's still there, because that's where 561 00:24:31,800 --> 00:24:33,359 Speaker 1: it was again a couple of days ago. I wonder 562 00:24:33,359 --> 00:24:36,440 Speaker 1: if that, like the like Bill Saints, has moved at all. 563 00:24:37,280 --> 00:24:39,320 Speaker 1: It is, Oh, it's moved up. It's now at thirty 564 00:24:39,400 --> 00:24:41,160 Speaker 1: nine on hard Rock Bet. 565 00:24:42,359 --> 00:24:43,040 Speaker 2: So the total in this. 566 00:24:43,000 --> 00:24:44,920 Speaker 1: Game is now at thirty nine on hard Rock Bet. 567 00:24:44,920 --> 00:24:47,720 Speaker 1: What is the path to this game going over? Basically, 568 00:24:47,760 --> 00:24:50,840 Speaker 1: what is the path to these offenses showing us anything 569 00:24:51,320 --> 00:24:51,920 Speaker 1: in this game? 570 00:24:52,000 --> 00:24:54,360 Speaker 3: De bro, This is the lowest total of the week. 571 00:24:54,400 --> 00:24:55,600 Speaker 3: Am I am? I right with that? 572 00:24:55,960 --> 00:24:56,960 Speaker 2: Yes, I believe. 573 00:24:57,480 --> 00:24:59,920 Speaker 1: I believe it's the second lowest total this season behind 574 00:25:00,080 --> 00:25:02,560 Speaker 1: Steelers Jets in Week one, which obviously did go over. 575 00:25:03,800 --> 00:25:06,720 Speaker 4: Yeah, Minnesota and Pittsburgh's close, but they're not in the thirties. 576 00:25:06,760 --> 00:25:09,159 Speaker 4: It's the only one in the thirties. The path for 577 00:25:09,240 --> 00:25:11,480 Speaker 4: this going over? Man, really comes down to two things 578 00:25:11,480 --> 00:25:15,480 Speaker 4: for me. Houston's offense has to like carry the day here. 579 00:25:15,640 --> 00:25:18,120 Speaker 4: Tennessee's not gonna put up a ton of points regardless 580 00:25:18,119 --> 00:25:20,679 Speaker 4: of how you look at this. So Houston has to 581 00:25:20,760 --> 00:25:22,480 Speaker 4: like somehow find a way. 582 00:25:22,560 --> 00:25:24,160 Speaker 3: C J. Stroud's got to play better. 583 00:25:25,840 --> 00:25:28,480 Speaker 4: It really, I think not only Stroud, but Nico has 584 00:25:28,520 --> 00:25:31,159 Speaker 4: to have a big day and he can do that 585 00:25:31,280 --> 00:25:34,600 Speaker 4: versus this Tennessee pass defense like they're not very good 586 00:25:34,640 --> 00:25:37,120 Speaker 4: man like a lot of too high. Nico's not been 587 00:25:37,280 --> 00:25:38,800 Speaker 4: great against it this year. I think it's more of 588 00:25:38,840 --> 00:25:42,280 Speaker 4: a Stroud result than it is Nico. But Lugerius Sneed's 589 00:25:42,320 --> 00:25:45,440 Speaker 4: not playing great. Although he's talking a little bit of 590 00:25:45,440 --> 00:25:47,639 Speaker 4: smack to Nico, Collllins, good luck, Nico's gonna drop one 591 00:25:47,720 --> 00:25:49,840 Speaker 4: fifty on you this Week's Need not smart. 592 00:25:49,880 --> 00:25:51,520 Speaker 3: You're just You're not that dude. 593 00:25:51,320 --> 00:25:52,919 Speaker 4: Anymore at this part of your career to sit here 594 00:25:52,960 --> 00:25:54,520 Speaker 4: and be talking that crap to one of the best 595 00:25:54,520 --> 00:25:55,520 Speaker 4: wide receivers in the league. 596 00:25:56,200 --> 00:25:59,120 Speaker 3: Godspeed. But the other thing I'll. 597 00:25:59,040 --> 00:26:01,280 Speaker 4: Bring up here is that for Houston to sit here 598 00:26:01,280 --> 00:26:02,879 Speaker 4: and put up the points to push this to the 599 00:26:02,920 --> 00:26:04,879 Speaker 4: over because I just don't think the Tennessee Titans have 600 00:26:04,960 --> 00:26:08,200 Speaker 4: the capability with their with their offense, it helps them. 601 00:26:08,200 --> 00:26:10,400 Speaker 4: Of Derek Stingley, this is this game, but still like 602 00:26:10,760 --> 00:26:13,160 Speaker 4: Calvid Ridley ain't carrying no passing attack in the year 603 00:26:13,200 --> 00:26:13,840 Speaker 4: twenty twenty five. 604 00:26:13,880 --> 00:26:15,160 Speaker 3: It's just not happening, dude. 605 00:26:15,359 --> 00:26:17,320 Speaker 4: I think this also has to be a good day 606 00:26:17,400 --> 00:26:19,720 Speaker 4: for the Houston rushing attack, which they can get there. 607 00:26:20,000 --> 00:26:23,720 Speaker 4: Tennessee cannot stop the run like. They're fourth worst an 608 00:26:23,760 --> 00:26:26,800 Speaker 4: explosive run rate in rushing yards per game. I'm not 609 00:26:26,840 --> 00:26:29,760 Speaker 4: telling you that Nick Chubb looks like yesterdayear Nick Chubb, 610 00:26:30,359 --> 00:26:34,399 Speaker 4: but against this run defense, he might surprise some people. 611 00:26:35,359 --> 00:26:37,520 Speaker 2: What do you think fits? What's the path the over here? 612 00:26:37,920 --> 00:26:38,480 Speaker 6: Oh man? 613 00:26:38,560 --> 00:26:41,800 Speaker 5: Trying to pin a picture of an interesting fun Texans 614 00:26:41,840 --> 00:26:44,960 Speaker 5: Titan scan. That's a tall order word, but well, I 615 00:26:45,000 --> 00:26:48,480 Speaker 5: mean you could say that the Texans haven't been especially 616 00:26:48,560 --> 00:26:51,080 Speaker 5: good against their run like. Their run defense is twenty 617 00:26:51,080 --> 00:26:55,040 Speaker 5: eighth in DVA. They've given up four rushing touchdowns, and 618 00:26:55,119 --> 00:26:58,000 Speaker 5: the Texans are also twenty sixth in pressure rate, which 619 00:26:58,040 --> 00:27:00,520 Speaker 5: is pretty disappointing for a team with Willane Anderson and 620 00:27:00,600 --> 00:27:03,600 Speaker 5: daneil Hunter. I don't get that. But if the Titans 621 00:27:03,640 --> 00:27:07,760 Speaker 5: can run the ball effectively keep like down in distance 622 00:27:07,960 --> 00:27:11,080 Speaker 5: manageable and keep the Houston pass rush from getting the 623 00:27:11,119 --> 00:27:15,320 Speaker 5: cam Ward who's been smacked around in the first three weeks. 624 00:27:15,320 --> 00:27:17,280 Speaker 5: I'm worried the kid isn't going to survive the season. 625 00:27:18,080 --> 00:27:21,240 Speaker 5: But if that happens, maybe the Tennessee offense can be functional, 626 00:27:21,520 --> 00:27:24,199 Speaker 5: you know, if they keep those guys from getting award. 627 00:27:25,040 --> 00:27:26,200 Speaker 6: And then on the other side. 628 00:27:26,040 --> 00:27:29,360 Speaker 5: Of the ball, the Titans' defense is twenty ninth in DVA, 629 00:27:29,480 --> 00:27:33,280 Speaker 5: like thirty first in DVA against the run. So yes, 630 00:27:33,359 --> 00:27:36,479 Speaker 5: the Houston offensive line is just garbage. But if it 631 00:27:36,480 --> 00:27:40,119 Speaker 5: can be just decent this week, like, you can certainly 632 00:27:40,160 --> 00:27:41,840 Speaker 5: move the ball and score points on the Titans. 633 00:27:41,920 --> 00:27:45,440 Speaker 1: D Yeah, I don't really want to talk any more 634 00:27:45,440 --> 00:27:46,520 Speaker 1: about this game because. 635 00:27:46,359 --> 00:27:49,720 Speaker 6: It's okay, it's agreed, gross dude, so gross. 636 00:27:50,200 --> 00:27:52,520 Speaker 2: All right, let's go to Panthers at Patriots. 637 00:27:52,880 --> 00:27:55,679 Speaker 1: After all the fumbles from the New England backfield last week, 638 00:27:56,480 --> 00:28:00,399 Speaker 1: is this the game Trayvon Henderson finally gets unleaded. 639 00:28:00,960 --> 00:28:01,720 Speaker 6: Man, you would hope. 640 00:28:01,760 --> 00:28:05,320 Speaker 5: So if you are Travian Henderson investor, like, it had 641 00:28:05,359 --> 00:28:08,760 Speaker 5: to be really frustrating for the Henderson investors that after 642 00:28:09,200 --> 00:28:14,000 Speaker 5: Ramandra Stevenson coughed up his second fumble last week. Antonio 643 00:28:14,000 --> 00:28:16,440 Speaker 5: Gibson was in on the next series, got to carry 644 00:28:16,440 --> 00:28:19,040 Speaker 5: on first down, got another carry on second down, and 645 00:28:19,040 --> 00:28:22,280 Speaker 5: then fumble the ball away himself. So that was early 646 00:28:22,359 --> 00:28:25,440 Speaker 5: third quarter. The good thing was after that Gibson fumble, 647 00:28:25,680 --> 00:28:27,840 Speaker 5: from that point on, Henderson was the only New England 648 00:28:27,920 --> 00:28:30,040 Speaker 5: running back who touched the ball the rest of the game. 649 00:28:30,680 --> 00:28:35,560 Speaker 5: I like Henderson. His snaphas were thirty five percent in 650 00:28:35,640 --> 00:28:40,080 Speaker 5: week one, h thirty one point seven percent in Week two, 651 00:28:40,200 --> 00:28:42,440 Speaker 5: up to forty five point nine percent last week with 652 00:28:42,520 --> 00:28:45,760 Speaker 5: the spike and usage in the second half. So maybe 653 00:28:45,800 --> 00:28:49,000 Speaker 5: his snapchare hits fifty percent for the first time this week. 654 00:28:49,640 --> 00:28:54,000 Speaker 5: Like all we ask please Traveon Henderson just hold onto 655 00:28:54,040 --> 00:28:54,360 Speaker 5: the ball. 656 00:28:55,360 --> 00:28:58,240 Speaker 1: Yeah, he's not somebody who fumbled, you know in college 657 00:28:58,280 --> 00:28:59,080 Speaker 1: or I don't think so. 658 00:28:59,160 --> 00:29:01,120 Speaker 6: Not an issue. I mean, anyone can cough it up. 659 00:29:01,200 --> 00:29:03,480 Speaker 5: But like it hasn't been a problem for him, it's 660 00:29:03,680 --> 00:29:06,720 Speaker 5: clearly been a problem for Romandre and Gibson over their careers. 661 00:29:07,040 --> 00:29:09,560 Speaker 2: Yeah for sure, deebro, what do you think is this 662 00:29:09,800 --> 00:29:10,200 Speaker 2: the game? 663 00:29:12,360 --> 00:29:14,240 Speaker 4: If this isn't the game, I don't know what the 664 00:29:14,280 --> 00:29:16,400 Speaker 4: game is gonna be. Man, I mean to be honest, like, 665 00:29:16,440 --> 00:29:18,240 Speaker 4: this is the perfect matchup, this is the one that 666 00:29:18,320 --> 00:29:20,400 Speaker 4: you unleash him, but both the other running backs have 667 00:29:20,480 --> 00:29:24,280 Speaker 4: fumbled and to fit to his point, after the Ramandre 668 00:29:24,400 --> 00:29:26,120 Speaker 4: put the ball on the ground in the third quarter, 669 00:29:26,680 --> 00:29:30,080 Speaker 4: Henderson played seventy two percent of the snaps after that. 670 00:29:30,160 --> 00:29:31,880 Speaker 4: For the rest of the game, he had a sixty 671 00:29:31,960 --> 00:29:34,840 Speaker 4: three percent route share. I think this is the week 672 00:29:34,880 --> 00:29:38,760 Speaker 4: that they unleashed Traveon Henderson. The Panthers just they're just 673 00:29:38,800 --> 00:29:40,920 Speaker 4: giving up everything on the ground. Man, Like their their 674 00:29:40,960 --> 00:29:43,440 Speaker 4: pass defense has been really good, but their run defense 675 00:29:43,480 --> 00:29:45,320 Speaker 4: has been god awful. 676 00:29:45,800 --> 00:29:46,200 Speaker 3: Still. 677 00:29:46,440 --> 00:29:47,920 Speaker 4: I was hoping it was gonna be better with some 678 00:29:47,920 --> 00:29:50,200 Speaker 4: of the additions they made Derek Brown coming back, but 679 00:29:50,280 --> 00:29:52,600 Speaker 4: it has not worked out. It has not been the case. 680 00:29:52,640 --> 00:29:54,320 Speaker 4: And if there was ever a game to get Trevion 681 00:29:54,400 --> 00:29:57,280 Speaker 4: Henderson going, it is this one against a Carolina run 682 00:29:57,320 --> 00:29:59,640 Speaker 4: defense that's given up the eighth most rushing yards and 683 00:29:59,680 --> 00:30:01,960 Speaker 4: the highest yards out of contact. Forer attempt to win. 684 00:30:02,080 --> 00:30:04,240 Speaker 4: And I guess the only thing that my takeaway with 685 00:30:04,280 --> 00:30:07,239 Speaker 4: Travion right now is I'm kind of surprised that I 686 00:30:07,400 --> 00:30:09,440 Speaker 4: know it's only nineteen carries. 687 00:30:09,720 --> 00:30:13,360 Speaker 3: I get that guys. I'm kind of surprised, like how. 688 00:30:13,160 --> 00:30:15,920 Speaker 4: Little he's making guys miss, Like he has only a 689 00:30:15,960 --> 00:30:19,240 Speaker 4: five percent mistackle rate. So again, I think this is 690 00:30:19,320 --> 00:30:21,720 Speaker 4: more small sample because the guy is explosive. We saw 691 00:30:21,760 --> 00:30:24,120 Speaker 4: that multiple years in college. I don't think that he 692 00:30:24,280 --> 00:30:26,720 Speaker 4: just lost all of that. But it is a little 693 00:30:26,720 --> 00:30:29,920 Speaker 4: bit eyebrown raising, eyebrow raising to this point that that 694 00:30:30,080 --> 00:30:33,360 Speaker 4: he's done or hasn't done what he hasn't done with 695 00:30:33,400 --> 00:30:35,080 Speaker 4: the work that he's been given. 696 00:30:35,800 --> 00:30:37,240 Speaker 2: Where is he ranked for you, debro? 697 00:30:38,760 --> 00:30:40,640 Speaker 4: Oh, I think I got him inside my top twenty 698 00:30:40,680 --> 00:30:43,560 Speaker 4: four running backs right now? Oh wow, Yeah, I've got 699 00:30:43,640 --> 00:30:45,640 Speaker 4: him at RB twenty three. Like I do think that 700 00:30:45,680 --> 00:30:47,320 Speaker 4: this is the game where he gets unleashed. I think 701 00:30:47,360 --> 00:30:50,000 Speaker 4: he's probably gonna play at least fifty percent of the snaps, 702 00:30:50,680 --> 00:30:54,280 Speaker 4: and again, he hasn't looked like great on a per 703 00:30:54,320 --> 00:30:55,520 Speaker 4: touch basis to this point. 704 00:30:55,880 --> 00:30:59,560 Speaker 3: This this is the matchup. This, this is the matchup. 705 00:30:59,800 --> 00:31:01,920 Speaker 4: Like we also like what Traves e TM did a 706 00:31:01,920 --> 00:31:04,040 Speaker 4: week one and what he hasn't done since week one? 707 00:31:04,480 --> 00:31:05,800 Speaker 3: Like this is it? Dude? 708 00:31:07,000 --> 00:31:08,360 Speaker 2: Fits? Did you say where you have him ranked? 709 00:31:09,440 --> 00:31:12,160 Speaker 5: Thirty one for Henderson, thirty three for Remondra I'm just 710 00:31:12,200 --> 00:31:14,680 Speaker 5: not totally convinced that they do the right thing and 711 00:31:14,680 --> 00:31:15,680 Speaker 5: play Henderson more. 712 00:31:16,360 --> 00:31:19,760 Speaker 4: Okay, Rabel doesn't seem like the head coach that's going 713 00:31:19,800 --> 00:31:21,440 Speaker 4: to sit here and force that. FITZI, like the old 714 00:31:21,440 --> 00:31:25,200 Speaker 4: school guy is like, not, you're in the Brabel doghouse, baby, Like. 715 00:31:26,320 --> 00:31:28,400 Speaker 1: He was like, Remandre needs to figure this out because 716 00:31:28,400 --> 00:31:32,320 Speaker 1: we need him to, you know, be a real significant 717 00:31:32,360 --> 00:31:33,880 Speaker 1: part of this team. Like he was talking like he 718 00:31:33,960 --> 00:31:36,720 Speaker 1: wants him to keep getting chances and figure it out. 719 00:31:36,880 --> 00:31:38,280 Speaker 2: And I don't know if that's gonna play out. 720 00:31:38,520 --> 00:31:40,960 Speaker 3: If only the doghouse is deep and ugly, man, I. 721 00:31:40,880 --> 00:31:45,160 Speaker 5: Know, if only if only every coach, uh, Like, if 722 00:31:45,160 --> 00:31:48,600 Speaker 5: only Rabel was as quick to throw Remondra in fumble 723 00:31:48,680 --> 00:31:50,680 Speaker 5: jail as like Ron Rivera used to be to throw 724 00:31:50,720 --> 00:31:52,240 Speaker 5: Gibson into fumble jail. 725 00:31:52,280 --> 00:31:53,280 Speaker 3: Oh jeez man. 726 00:31:53,360 --> 00:31:54,959 Speaker 2: Yeah. 727 00:31:54,600 --> 00:31:54,719 Speaker 3: Uh. 728 00:31:55,000 --> 00:31:57,480 Speaker 1: If you want a chance to win a signed Jamar 729 00:31:57,560 --> 00:32:00,440 Speaker 1: Chase Bengals jersey for free courtesy of our friends at 730 00:32:00,480 --> 00:32:02,760 Speaker 1: Pristineauction dot com, all you need to do is head 731 00:32:02,800 --> 00:32:05,680 Speaker 1: to Fantasypros dot com slash contest, complete the form, and 732 00:32:05,760 --> 00:32:08,360 Speaker 1: either download the Fantasy Pros app, leave a review for 733 00:32:08,400 --> 00:32:11,120 Speaker 1: the podcast, or follow us on x, Instagram or TikTok 734 00:32:11,160 --> 00:32:13,760 Speaker 1: at Fantasy pros. The more actions you complete, the more 735 00:32:13,880 --> 00:32:15,840 Speaker 1: entries you receive. We will be announcing a winner right 736 00:32:15,840 --> 00:32:18,000 Speaker 1: here on the podcast. If you're watching on YouTube, be 737 00:32:18,040 --> 00:32:20,480 Speaker 1: sure to subscribe and turn on those notifications so you 738 00:32:20,520 --> 00:32:22,600 Speaker 1: can be alerted when new episodes are up and to 739 00:32:22,640 --> 00:32:28,000 Speaker 1: claim your prize. Guys, how about Chargers at Giants. Camscataboo 740 00:32:28,160 --> 00:32:30,960 Speaker 1: is taking over the Giants backfield fits, but the Chargers 741 00:32:31,000 --> 00:32:34,080 Speaker 1: defense is no joke. Where are you ranking him this week? 742 00:32:34,160 --> 00:32:38,120 Speaker 1: Expert consensus ranking has him at RB twenty three. That's 743 00:32:38,120 --> 00:32:39,960 Speaker 1: in half PPR scoring. Let me just make sure that 744 00:32:40,120 --> 00:32:42,640 Speaker 1: an update RB twenty two now so moved up to 745 00:32:42,880 --> 00:32:43,400 Speaker 1: a spot. 746 00:32:43,920 --> 00:32:44,280 Speaker 6: Yeah. 747 00:32:44,320 --> 00:32:47,320 Speaker 5: So the Chiefs R on defense no joke either. And 748 00:32:47,440 --> 00:32:50,240 Speaker 5: Scataboo ten carries for sixty yards and a touchdown on 749 00:32:50,280 --> 00:32:53,800 Speaker 5: the ground last year and in addition to six yards 750 00:32:53,800 --> 00:32:57,360 Speaker 5: per carry against that very good Chiefs run defense. Sketubo's 751 00:32:57,400 --> 00:32:59,400 Speaker 5: work in the passing game was even more exciting. I 752 00:32:59,400 --> 00:33:02,920 Speaker 5: think six catches sixty one yards on eight targets. 753 00:33:03,640 --> 00:33:05,320 Speaker 6: This guy is so much fun. 754 00:33:06,240 --> 00:33:09,360 Speaker 5: I wasn't sure how well Cam Scataboo's game was going 755 00:33:09,400 --> 00:33:13,840 Speaker 5: to translate to the NFL like the physical tackle breaker 756 00:33:13,920 --> 00:33:18,760 Speaker 5: going against a different breed of defenders and tacklers. It 757 00:33:18,800 --> 00:33:23,400 Speaker 5: looks like it's gonna translate very well. Thank you. You know, 758 00:33:23,520 --> 00:33:27,560 Speaker 5: Cam Scataboo is just so hard to bring down. I've 759 00:33:27,600 --> 00:33:31,360 Speaker 5: got him RB fourteen this week. No Tyrone Tracy for 760 00:33:31,400 --> 00:33:35,160 Speaker 5: the Giants. He dislocated his shoulder last week. The Giants 761 00:33:35,240 --> 00:33:38,960 Speaker 5: backfield now belongs to Cam Skataboo, and you would imagine 762 00:33:38,960 --> 00:33:40,760 Speaker 5: the Giants are gonna want to lean on him pretty 763 00:33:40,760 --> 00:33:44,160 Speaker 5: heavily this week. With rookie QB Jackson Dart making his 764 00:33:44,240 --> 00:33:47,480 Speaker 5: first NFL start against this good Chargers defense. 765 00:33:48,480 --> 00:33:53,360 Speaker 2: De Bro, you seemed to be in agreement here, dude. 766 00:33:53,360 --> 00:33:55,280 Speaker 3: I was hoping fits he wasn't gonna come here throw 767 00:33:55,320 --> 00:33:57,720 Speaker 3: cold water on this man. I'm so in. 768 00:33:58,400 --> 00:34:00,960 Speaker 4: I've got Cam Skataboo at Rby's sixteen. I think he's 769 00:34:00,960 --> 00:34:04,120 Speaker 4: gonna crush this week, and I think it's it's gone 770 00:34:04,320 --> 00:34:08,759 Speaker 4: under the radar. You can run the ball against the 771 00:34:08,800 --> 00:34:13,440 Speaker 4: freaking Chargers. This defense has given up the seventh highest 772 00:34:13,440 --> 00:34:19,040 Speaker 4: explosive run rate and the highest mistackle rate. Well, oh 773 00:34:19,160 --> 00:34:21,319 Speaker 4: guess what on top that cherry on top of all 774 00:34:21,320 --> 00:34:24,440 Speaker 4: of that, they got the third lowest stuff rate, and 775 00:34:24,480 --> 00:34:28,640 Speaker 4: they get cams Kataboo this week. Dude, We're gonna get 776 00:34:28,680 --> 00:34:31,480 Speaker 4: some really good gifts and stuff out of Campscattaboy and 777 00:34:31,560 --> 00:34:33,439 Speaker 4: some good moments. I think he's gonna have a really 778 00:34:33,520 --> 00:34:37,480 Speaker 4: good game, Man Strong RB two. I'm all in for it. 779 00:34:37,560 --> 00:34:40,960 Speaker 4: And I think I had to include him because he 780 00:34:41,000 --> 00:34:42,319 Speaker 4: was a little bit I think it was an RB 781 00:34:42,360 --> 00:34:44,279 Speaker 4: twenty five when we did the primer video, which should 782 00:34:44,280 --> 00:34:46,120 Speaker 4: be live on YouTube at the time you're watching this. 783 00:34:46,760 --> 00:34:48,640 Speaker 4: I had to include him because I felt like with 784 00:34:48,760 --> 00:34:51,840 Speaker 4: people with the roster composition, Camskatabou as a player you 785 00:34:51,920 --> 00:34:55,440 Speaker 4: probably drafted as like an RB three, RB four, and 786 00:34:55,480 --> 00:34:58,360 Speaker 4: you're like, at this point, it's Jackson Dart's first game 787 00:34:58,400 --> 00:35:00,759 Speaker 4: and the defense and you're so worried, and everybody's like, 788 00:35:01,040 --> 00:35:02,480 Speaker 4: I don't know if I should play him or not. 789 00:35:02,800 --> 00:35:05,440 Speaker 4: You need to play camp Scataboo this week. He's an 790 00:35:05,560 --> 00:35:09,000 Speaker 4: RB two. Get him into your flex. He's probably a 791 00:35:09,000 --> 00:35:11,960 Speaker 4: flex on most different rosters unless you just lost like 792 00:35:12,320 --> 00:35:16,000 Speaker 4: James Connor other injuries. Aaron Jones, you should be licking 793 00:35:16,040 --> 00:35:18,000 Speaker 4: your chops to play Camp Scataboo this week. 794 00:35:18,560 --> 00:35:21,400 Speaker 5: Isn't the NFL so much more fun where there's a 795 00:35:21,520 --> 00:35:26,080 Speaker 5: running back like Mike Alstott or you know, sorry Hill 796 00:35:26,800 --> 00:35:31,160 Speaker 5: date you but John Riggins. Yes, it's just so impossible 797 00:35:31,200 --> 00:35:35,719 Speaker 5: to tackle and just bounces defenders off them like ping 798 00:35:35,840 --> 00:35:38,840 Speaker 5: pong balls, like Scataboo is is just going to be 799 00:35:38,880 --> 00:35:39,839 Speaker 5: a joy to watch, man. 800 00:35:39,880 --> 00:35:42,280 Speaker 6: I can't wait to enjoy his career. 801 00:35:42,800 --> 00:35:44,920 Speaker 1: I think it's a good point by you, debro On, 802 00:35:45,600 --> 00:35:47,680 Speaker 1: Like he was not drafted to be a starter, so 803 00:35:47,760 --> 00:35:49,759 Speaker 1: unless you've had injuries like you are gonna have to 804 00:35:49,880 --> 00:35:52,960 Speaker 1: choose to play him ahead of somebody that you had 805 00:35:53,040 --> 00:35:55,160 Speaker 1: drafted ahead of him and who maybe even has played 806 00:35:55,200 --> 00:35:58,160 Speaker 1: okay this season for you, Like. 807 00:35:59,320 --> 00:36:01,040 Speaker 3: I got a great one I got. I know you're 808 00:36:01,080 --> 00:36:01,520 Speaker 3: searching for. 809 00:36:01,520 --> 00:36:04,200 Speaker 4: A name worm, Yeah, go ahead, Cam's Cattaboy or Chase Brown. 810 00:36:05,800 --> 00:36:08,120 Speaker 4: Come on, you know we all want to say Cam's. 811 00:36:07,840 --> 00:36:08,920 Speaker 3: Cataboo, Like. 812 00:36:10,440 --> 00:36:13,239 Speaker 1: Yeah, ironically, Chase Brown is actually ranked back to back 813 00:36:13,280 --> 00:36:17,799 Speaker 1: with him in the CR I feel like like I'm 814 00:36:17,800 --> 00:36:20,600 Speaker 1: still playing Cam's Cattaboy, Like yeah, I was gonna say 815 00:36:20,640 --> 00:36:22,919 Speaker 1: Javante or Scattaboo. 816 00:36:25,400 --> 00:36:28,880 Speaker 6: David Montgomery Cam just exactly. 817 00:36:30,840 --> 00:36:32,680 Speaker 2: Yeah. 818 00:36:31,960 --> 00:36:35,480 Speaker 1: I will be really excited to well, well, I mean, 819 00:36:35,600 --> 00:36:37,400 Speaker 1: let's see this step brother, then we'll move off this point. 820 00:36:37,440 --> 00:36:38,759 Speaker 2: Where is the rest of season for you? 821 00:36:41,320 --> 00:36:43,960 Speaker 4: I think he's a comfortable RB two high end RB two. 822 00:36:44,440 --> 00:36:45,880 Speaker 4: I'm looking at my rest of the season ranks and 823 00:36:45,880 --> 00:36:48,560 Speaker 4: I'm probably got him too low in there, but RB 824 00:36:48,640 --> 00:36:52,080 Speaker 4: twenty I've got him as rest of the season ranks. Okay, 825 00:36:52,200 --> 00:36:55,440 Speaker 4: he's not giving if he stays healthy, he's not giving 826 00:36:55,480 --> 00:36:57,640 Speaker 4: this job back to Tyrone Tracy. I want to be 827 00:36:57,800 --> 00:36:59,840 Speaker 4: very clear about that. I said that in the off season. 828 00:37:00,400 --> 00:37:04,160 Speaker 4: Brian Dable has a history of utilizing one back again 829 00:37:04,440 --> 00:37:07,320 Speaker 4: Pop Quiz Time Boys. Who was the OC with Peyton 830 00:37:07,360 --> 00:37:10,600 Speaker 4: Hillis's monster season, It was Brian freaking day Ball like 831 00:37:11,200 --> 00:37:15,719 Speaker 4: this archetype of volume compiling back. He likes this archetype 832 00:37:15,719 --> 00:37:18,200 Speaker 4: of back. It was Devin Singletary, it was Zach Moss, 833 00:37:18,200 --> 00:37:20,279 Speaker 4: but Zach Moss wasn't good enough in Buffalo to take 834 00:37:20,320 --> 00:37:23,799 Speaker 4: the job. So he's going to take this job and 835 00:37:24,040 --> 00:37:24,800 Speaker 4: health permitted. 836 00:37:25,040 --> 00:37:25,960 Speaker 3: Because of the I. 837 00:37:25,960 --> 00:37:28,120 Speaker 4: Understand his play style and as the touch is kind 838 00:37:28,120 --> 00:37:30,560 Speaker 4: of like ramp up and the hits ramp up, there 839 00:37:30,560 --> 00:37:34,160 Speaker 4: are worries there for me. But if he stays healthy, 840 00:37:34,239 --> 00:37:35,760 Speaker 4: he's not letting go of this job. 841 00:37:36,000 --> 00:37:36,319 Speaker 3: He's not. 842 00:37:37,760 --> 00:37:40,320 Speaker 1: Let's go to Eagles at Buccaneers. This is the last 843 00:37:40,320 --> 00:37:43,279 Speaker 1: game in the early slay fits. Was the second half 844 00:37:43,320 --> 00:37:46,120 Speaker 1: against the Rams and outlier for the Eagles offense or 845 00:37:46,120 --> 00:37:48,840 Speaker 1: did they unlock something in their passing game for moving forward? 846 00:37:49,400 --> 00:37:53,279 Speaker 5: I'd like to think they unlocked something, and if their 847 00:37:53,280 --> 00:37:55,920 Speaker 5: passing game was locked, it was pretty much self locking, 848 00:37:56,680 --> 00:37:59,520 Speaker 5: like they just had not been throwing downfield very much. 849 00:37:59,560 --> 00:38:01,759 Speaker 5: But then and you know, they fell behind against the 850 00:38:01,840 --> 00:38:04,160 Speaker 5: Rams and really opened up the offense in the second 851 00:38:04,160 --> 00:38:07,440 Speaker 5: half and they look great, like Jalen Hurts was throwing darts. 852 00:38:07,480 --> 00:38:10,719 Speaker 6: AJ Brown was making plays. Hopefully we get more of 853 00:38:10,719 --> 00:38:11,480 Speaker 6: that this week. 854 00:38:12,239 --> 00:38:13,160 Speaker 2: Deebro, what do you think? 855 00:38:13,680 --> 00:38:13,960 Speaker 3: Yeah? 856 00:38:14,000 --> 00:38:15,800 Speaker 4: I think this is a case the Eagles felt like 857 00:38:15,840 --> 00:38:17,560 Speaker 4: the person that locked their keys in the car. You 858 00:38:17,600 --> 00:38:19,359 Speaker 4: can't drive anywhere when you don't have a keep freaking 859 00:38:19,440 --> 00:38:21,960 Speaker 4: keys man, and the keys to this offense. And no 860 00:38:22,040 --> 00:38:25,240 Speaker 4: shade against Saquon Barkley, but should be the passing attack 861 00:38:25,320 --> 00:38:28,759 Speaker 4: and stuff man. Like Saquan's per touch efficiency has not 862 00:38:28,800 --> 00:38:31,439 Speaker 4: been great this year. I mean that has to get 863 00:38:31,480 --> 00:38:33,279 Speaker 4: noted here. And you have two of the best wide 864 00:38:33,320 --> 00:38:36,759 Speaker 4: receivers arguably the best wide receiver tandem in the entire 865 00:38:36,800 --> 00:38:39,239 Speaker 4: freaking NFL. And I think, what really is going to 866 00:38:39,360 --> 00:38:41,879 Speaker 4: kind of like push the Eagles in this direction this week? 867 00:38:42,000 --> 00:38:42,480 Speaker 3: Especially? 868 00:38:42,960 --> 00:38:45,440 Speaker 4: Is there against another pass final defense like the Buccaneers 869 00:38:45,480 --> 00:38:48,480 Speaker 4: are an elite run defense their top twelve and stuff rate, 870 00:38:48,520 --> 00:38:51,719 Speaker 4: Lewismith's tackle rate and yards before contact per attempt. So 871 00:38:51,920 --> 00:38:55,399 Speaker 4: looking at just this matchup, yes, the Eagles should lean 872 00:38:55,400 --> 00:38:58,920 Speaker 4: into their passing attack. Can I tell you definitively that 873 00:38:58,960 --> 00:39:00,799 Speaker 4: they're not gonna be hard headed and try to run 874 00:39:00,840 --> 00:39:02,920 Speaker 4: the ball in the first quarter and then find out, oh, 875 00:39:03,000 --> 00:39:06,440 Speaker 4: this is probably a really stupid idea and then change course. 876 00:39:06,640 --> 00:39:10,520 Speaker 1: Possibly that feels probably maybe more likely that they pivot 877 00:39:10,560 --> 00:39:11,319 Speaker 1: part way through the game. 878 00:39:11,400 --> 00:39:13,200 Speaker 4: I hope they don't wait until the freaking fourth quarter 879 00:39:13,239 --> 00:39:15,560 Speaker 4: at this time and say, oh, hey, guess what we 880 00:39:15,600 --> 00:39:18,319 Speaker 4: should probably do this thing this other thing that we're 881 00:39:18,400 --> 00:39:18,959 Speaker 4: really good. 882 00:39:19,040 --> 00:39:19,520 Speaker 2: Yeah. 883 00:39:19,600 --> 00:39:21,479 Speaker 5: By the way, the Rams would like a word about 884 00:39:21,480 --> 00:39:23,359 Speaker 5: that best wide receiver tandem thing? 885 00:39:23,880 --> 00:39:27,239 Speaker 3: Oh well, yes, you're right, good, good shout out. 886 00:39:27,400 --> 00:39:28,560 Speaker 2: Yeah. 887 00:39:28,640 --> 00:39:30,640 Speaker 1: I want to ask, on the other side of this game, 888 00:39:31,080 --> 00:39:33,279 Speaker 1: what are our expectations for a Mecca BUCA with Mike 889 00:39:33,320 --> 00:39:34,400 Speaker 1: Evans out Debro. 890 00:39:35,480 --> 00:39:37,759 Speaker 4: He's gonna get a crap down a volume, like dude. 891 00:39:37,760 --> 00:39:39,560 Speaker 4: He last week he had almost a twenty eight percent 892 00:39:39,600 --> 00:39:42,000 Speaker 4: target share, And that was one of the things that 893 00:39:42,120 --> 00:39:44,880 Speaker 4: I was not that I was taught saying at Mecca's 894 00:39:44,920 --> 00:39:47,919 Speaker 4: early season production was fraudulent, but it was very much 895 00:39:48,000 --> 00:39:50,880 Speaker 4: carried by touchdowns. Like he was living in that like 896 00:39:51,000 --> 00:39:54,160 Speaker 4: eighteen to nineteen percent target share range. It wasn't as 897 00:39:54,239 --> 00:39:57,480 Speaker 4: high as I think like people would believe, just saying 898 00:39:57,520 --> 00:40:01,640 Speaker 4: looking at the fantasy production. So last week seeing him 899 00:40:01,800 --> 00:40:06,200 Speaker 4: garner a wide receiver one type of workload where he 900 00:40:06,239 --> 00:40:08,440 Speaker 4: had a twenty seven point five percent target share, he 901 00:40:08,520 --> 00:40:12,040 Speaker 4: had a thirty five percent first read chare those were 902 00:40:12,120 --> 00:40:14,200 Speaker 4: really good things because you're either one of the wide 903 00:40:14,239 --> 00:40:16,720 Speaker 4: receivers that is the archetype of player that can command 904 00:40:16,840 --> 00:40:20,360 Speaker 4: volume and earn volume at that type of clip, or 905 00:40:20,400 --> 00:40:23,640 Speaker 4: you're not and it's that freaking easy. So, like we 906 00:40:23,680 --> 00:40:27,319 Speaker 4: get into this realm of like projecting guys to earn 907 00:40:27,360 --> 00:40:30,240 Speaker 4: better target shares than maybe their archetype or their talent 908 00:40:30,400 --> 00:40:33,479 Speaker 4: allows them to do. That was really encouraging to see 909 00:40:33,480 --> 00:40:36,439 Speaker 4: from a Mecca. I'm worried about him this week because 910 00:40:36,440 --> 00:40:39,520 Speaker 4: I'm worried about do they do the Eagles put Quinjon 911 00:40:39,600 --> 00:40:43,200 Speaker 4: Mitchell on him, because Quinyon has followed guys like he 912 00:40:43,320 --> 00:40:46,320 Speaker 4: followed Adams last week on almost eighty percent of his routes. 913 00:40:46,360 --> 00:40:49,480 Speaker 4: If that happens, I'm worried about Ameca's outlook. But I 914 00:40:49,480 --> 00:40:51,680 Speaker 4: think the volume is definitely gonna be there because Baker 915 00:40:51,719 --> 00:40:53,200 Speaker 4: doesn't have a whole lot of other options. 916 00:40:53,640 --> 00:40:56,120 Speaker 1: Yeah, Fitz Deepro kind of hit on the follow up. 917 00:40:56,160 --> 00:40:58,880 Speaker 1: I was going to ask, which is the volume is 918 00:40:58,920 --> 00:41:01,200 Speaker 1: clearly going to be high or at least expect, But 919 00:41:01,960 --> 00:41:03,640 Speaker 1: so with the defensive attention. 920 00:41:04,040 --> 00:41:07,120 Speaker 6: That's exactly it's the push pull on that. 921 00:41:07,440 --> 00:41:10,400 Speaker 5: And Iguca was just sort of maximizing a modest target 922 00:41:10,440 --> 00:41:13,320 Speaker 5: share early on. Then last year or last week, I 923 00:41:13,320 --> 00:41:18,040 Speaker 5: should say, spike in target share and you figure he's 924 00:41:18,040 --> 00:41:20,200 Speaker 5: going to see more targets this week with no evans. 925 00:41:20,239 --> 00:41:23,320 Speaker 5: But yeah, maybe he gets locked up by Quinnon Mitchell. 926 00:41:24,719 --> 00:41:27,080 Speaker 5: So yeah, I've got him rank like wide receiver sixteen, 927 00:41:27,200 --> 00:41:28,240 Speaker 5: What about you, de Bro. 928 00:41:28,880 --> 00:41:31,200 Speaker 3: I've got him. I was actually pulling that up. 929 00:41:32,760 --> 00:41:34,560 Speaker 4: One of my worries here and not decide I've got 930 00:41:34,600 --> 00:41:37,560 Speaker 4: a Wade receiver eighteen just because of the volume one 931 00:41:37,600 --> 00:41:39,799 Speaker 4: of my worries, and this is a quiet worry. We 932 00:41:39,840 --> 00:41:41,600 Speaker 4: have to see if this is going to pan out. 933 00:41:41,960 --> 00:41:44,439 Speaker 4: I don't know if Josh Josh Grizzard is any good man, 934 00:41:44,800 --> 00:41:48,000 Speaker 4: and just trying to read the small tea leaves of stuff, 935 00:41:48,040 --> 00:41:50,400 Speaker 4: like the things that we saw Liam Cohen adjust and 936 00:41:50,480 --> 00:41:52,920 Speaker 4: do different, Like when the entire offense got like just 937 00:41:53,000 --> 00:41:55,759 Speaker 4: cratered to nothing and Kate Auton has put into a 938 00:41:55,800 --> 00:41:58,560 Speaker 4: power slot role and he has a few monster games. 939 00:41:59,040 --> 00:41:59,840 Speaker 3: What scared me. 940 00:41:59,840 --> 00:42:03,320 Speaker 4: About the way that Grizzard deployed this offense in previous games, 941 00:42:03,360 --> 00:42:08,279 Speaker 4: like just this is a perfect parallel to this the 942 00:42:08,320 --> 00:42:11,680 Speaker 4: week against the Texans when Mike Evans is getting shadowed 943 00:42:11,680 --> 00:42:15,239 Speaker 4: by Derek Stingley, and the way that you change you 944 00:42:15,320 --> 00:42:17,759 Speaker 4: flip this matchup and you put it back in your 945 00:42:17,880 --> 00:42:20,719 Speaker 4: favor is you move Mike Evans, put him in the 946 00:42:20,719 --> 00:42:23,920 Speaker 4: freaking slot and Derek Stingley is not following him to 947 00:42:23,960 --> 00:42:26,920 Speaker 4: the slot. Like that's just what it's a cheat code. 948 00:42:27,360 --> 00:42:29,600 Speaker 4: He didn't do it. He just put Mike Evans out 949 00:42:29,600 --> 00:42:31,560 Speaker 4: there on the boundary and said, sure, just go win. 950 00:42:31,920 --> 00:42:32,919 Speaker 4: It's cool, go win. 951 00:42:33,400 --> 00:42:35,480 Speaker 3: If he does that. This week versus a Mecca but the. 952 00:42:35,480 --> 00:42:37,480 Speaker 4: Bucks are going to struggle as a passing attack because 953 00:42:37,480 --> 00:42:41,400 Speaker 4: they don't have a CounterPunch. So I'm worried about is 954 00:42:41,440 --> 00:42:44,840 Speaker 4: Grizzard not a great oc and did the Liam Cohen 955 00:42:44,880 --> 00:42:47,000 Speaker 4: magic kind of like leave out of the room. Because 956 00:42:47,040 --> 00:42:49,640 Speaker 4: little things like that, where you make it easier for 957 00:42:49,680 --> 00:42:53,360 Speaker 4: your offense and you exploit different matchups, those are the 958 00:42:53,400 --> 00:42:55,239 Speaker 4: things you want to press the easy button for your 959 00:42:55,280 --> 00:42:57,960 Speaker 4: quarterback and your offense. I don't know if dude is 960 00:42:57,960 --> 00:42:58,640 Speaker 4: good enough to do that. 961 00:43:00,160 --> 00:43:04,200 Speaker 1: Let's go to the late afternoons late Sunday Colts at Rams, which, 962 00:43:04,239 --> 00:43:05,800 Speaker 1: by the way, I think is the highest total of 963 00:43:05,800 --> 00:43:07,520 Speaker 1: the week of forty nine and a half on hard 964 00:43:07,560 --> 00:43:10,880 Speaker 1: rock bet. I actually really like the under on that, truthfully. 965 00:43:10,920 --> 00:43:13,160 Speaker 1: But there are a couple of studs in this game 966 00:43:13,160 --> 00:43:15,480 Speaker 1: that we are definitely very happy to be starting in 967 00:43:15,480 --> 00:43:16,440 Speaker 1: our fantasy lineups. 968 00:43:16,440 --> 00:43:17,680 Speaker 2: I want to ask you guys about two. 969 00:43:17,520 --> 00:43:20,640 Speaker 1: Of them, who finishes better at their position this week 970 00:43:20,840 --> 00:43:25,000 Speaker 1: Jonathan Taylor or Pooka Nakua? And then also who finishes 971 00:43:25,040 --> 00:43:28,400 Speaker 1: better at their position this season if we guaranteed health 972 00:43:28,760 --> 00:43:31,800 Speaker 1: for these guys. If you look at the consensus rankings 973 00:43:32,120 --> 00:43:35,120 Speaker 1: on the flex rankings, because obviously the different positions. Jonathan 974 00:43:35,120 --> 00:43:40,600 Speaker 1: Taylor is third overall, Pukuakua is fourth overall. Taylor, of course, 975 00:43:40,680 --> 00:43:43,200 Speaker 1: is behind a couple of running backs in the consensus rankings. 976 00:43:43,280 --> 00:43:45,719 Speaker 1: Puka is behind nobody at wide receiver. But how do 977 00:43:45,719 --> 00:43:48,120 Speaker 1: you guys see this playing out? Who's better this week 978 00:43:48,200 --> 00:43:50,760 Speaker 1: and for the season, deebra, I'll start with you, Jonathan 979 00:43:50,760 --> 00:43:52,000 Speaker 1: Taylor ort Pooka Nakua. 980 00:43:52,360 --> 00:43:55,440 Speaker 3: This is not my bias showing. I promise it's not, Guys. 981 00:43:55,719 --> 00:43:58,760 Speaker 4: I'm so sure this is Puoka, this is Pooka now, 982 00:43:58,880 --> 00:44:02,640 Speaker 4: and this is Pooka rest us Pookah's I mean, dude, 983 00:44:02,640 --> 00:44:04,840 Speaker 4: he hasn't scored any receiving touchdowns. 984 00:44:04,840 --> 00:44:06,080 Speaker 3: I know he got one in the ground. 985 00:44:06,360 --> 00:44:08,920 Speaker 4: He has scored zero receiving touchdowns. And the dude is 986 00:44:08,920 --> 00:44:11,480 Speaker 4: the runaway wide receiver one in fantasy points per game 987 00:44:11,520 --> 00:44:15,360 Speaker 4: right now, with zero receiving touchdowns. He's gonna he's scoring 988 00:44:15,400 --> 00:44:19,799 Speaker 4: twenty four point five fantasy points per game with one 989 00:44:19,880 --> 00:44:21,640 Speaker 4: freaking touchdown on the year, one total. 990 00:44:21,880 --> 00:44:25,040 Speaker 3: That's it. And he's not slowing down this week. 991 00:44:25,080 --> 00:44:27,920 Speaker 4: Where this is a week where I'm not saying JT 992 00:44:28,080 --> 00:44:31,200 Speaker 4: slows down, but I think like tempering expectations because the 993 00:44:31,280 --> 00:44:33,919 Speaker 4: Rams do have a really good run defense, Like they're 994 00:44:33,920 --> 00:44:36,560 Speaker 4: allowed the six lowest explosive run rates, seventh lowest miss 995 00:44:36,600 --> 00:44:40,040 Speaker 4: tackle rate, so they are a good run defense. So 996 00:44:40,040 --> 00:44:42,839 Speaker 4: I think Jonathan Taylor has a quiet not a quiet week, 997 00:44:43,000 --> 00:44:46,120 Speaker 4: Like he's still gonna get twenty to twenty five opportunities, 998 00:44:46,120 --> 00:44:48,640 Speaker 4: He's still probably gonna score touchdowns. So like I'm just saying, 999 00:44:48,640 --> 00:44:51,880 Speaker 4: this is not a smash tailor type of matchup. Whereas 1000 00:44:52,239 --> 00:44:55,680 Speaker 4: dude Pooka, Nakua Colts run single high at fifty five 1001 00:44:55,680 --> 00:44:59,120 Speaker 4: percent of their defensive snaps. Pooka's usage has been just 1002 00:45:00,040 --> 00:45:02,719 Speaker 4: Puca's usage has been ridiculous the whole entire season. But 1003 00:45:02,800 --> 00:45:06,240 Speaker 4: versus single high, dude, he's got a forty six point 1004 00:45:06,239 --> 00:45:10,160 Speaker 4: three percent target cheer, He's got five point six yards 1005 00:45:10,160 --> 00:45:10,799 Speaker 4: per route run. 1006 00:45:11,160 --> 00:45:14,000 Speaker 3: These are video game type of metrics. 1007 00:45:14,040 --> 00:45:17,880 Speaker 4: These are ridiculous numbers like this is Madden on Easy 1008 00:45:18,000 --> 00:45:19,120 Speaker 4: Mode type of numbers. 1009 00:45:19,560 --> 00:45:22,640 Speaker 3: So pook is my answer for both of these fits. 1010 00:45:23,120 --> 00:45:26,080 Speaker 5: I'll say Pooka on both counts two, Like he is 1011 00:45:26,120 --> 00:45:30,360 Speaker 5: a reception machine, like twenty nine catches leading the league, 1012 00:45:30,840 --> 00:45:34,160 Speaker 5: Like remember that Cooper Cup season in twenty one. 1013 00:45:34,200 --> 00:45:35,160 Speaker 3: I was going to bring that up. 1014 00:45:35,280 --> 00:45:38,200 Speaker 5: Yeah, it was one hundred and forty five catches that 1015 00:45:38,239 --> 00:45:41,520 Speaker 5: you're in almost two thousand receiving yards for Cooper Cup. Like, 1016 00:45:41,560 --> 00:45:43,640 Speaker 5: if Puka stays healthy all year, he could put up 1017 00:45:43,680 --> 00:45:44,640 Speaker 5: those types of numbers. 1018 00:45:45,040 --> 00:45:48,040 Speaker 4: Bitfitsy to your point. He's on pace right now for 1019 00:45:48,080 --> 00:45:50,480 Speaker 4: one hundred and ninety eight targets, one hundred and sixty 1020 00:45:50,520 --> 00:45:55,920 Speaker 4: four receptions, almost nineteen hundred receiving yards eighteen eighty seven. 1021 00:45:57,160 --> 00:45:58,359 Speaker 3: That's just stupid, man. 1022 00:45:59,000 --> 00:46:00,200 Speaker 5: You know what do you know, if the top of 1023 00:46:00,239 --> 00:46:03,279 Speaker 5: your head, who's second in the NFL in receptions right now? 1024 00:46:03,800 --> 00:46:03,960 Speaker 3: Oh? 1025 00:46:03,960 --> 00:46:09,680 Speaker 6: Good lord, I don't it's Jake Ferguson. What too? 1026 00:46:09,880 --> 00:46:15,040 Speaker 5: Only Jake Ferguson only has two fewer catches than Puka Nukua. 1027 00:46:15,520 --> 00:46:17,960 Speaker 5: Jake Ferguson is on pace for one hundred and fifty 1028 00:46:17,960 --> 00:46:18,799 Speaker 5: three catches, right. 1029 00:46:18,880 --> 00:46:22,840 Speaker 3: That is a sultry stat It's a it's very well done. 1030 00:46:23,160 --> 00:46:24,960 Speaker 3: It's that's that's nice. 1031 00:46:25,200 --> 00:46:27,960 Speaker 1: It's not on the same level as Pooka, but I 1032 00:46:27,960 --> 00:46:30,440 Speaker 1: do think it is worth like giving some praise to 1033 00:46:30,520 --> 00:46:33,799 Speaker 1: Jonathan Taylor also, who is having a ridiculous right one 1034 00:46:33,840 --> 00:46:37,320 Speaker 1: hundred and ten in your rushing yards per game, averaging 1035 00:46:37,360 --> 00:46:39,319 Speaker 1: a touchdown per game, although obviously on the ground, those 1036 00:46:39,360 --> 00:46:40,480 Speaker 1: all came in. 1037 00:46:40,480 --> 00:46:42,719 Speaker 3: The same matchup pace. Right now, like I'm asking, I'm 1038 00:46:42,719 --> 00:46:43,640 Speaker 3: about to look this up. 1039 00:46:43,960 --> 00:46:46,640 Speaker 1: Is he I can't do that math that quickly. He 1040 00:46:46,680 --> 00:46:50,120 Speaker 1: has three hundred and thirty eight rushing yards through three games, So. 1041 00:46:50,000 --> 00:46:51,239 Speaker 2: I'm looking up whatever that. 1042 00:46:51,440 --> 00:46:53,640 Speaker 3: I'm letting Pro Football Reference. Who is for me? 1043 00:46:54,000 --> 00:46:55,480 Speaker 6: You know, a couple of years ago whenever. 1044 00:46:55,440 --> 00:46:57,280 Speaker 3: Nineteen fifteen, nineteen. 1045 00:46:57,440 --> 00:46:59,439 Speaker 1: And he has he has, he has finished the last 1046 00:46:59,480 --> 00:47:01,760 Speaker 1: each of the last He's been RB one on the week. 1047 00:47:02,840 --> 00:47:05,920 Speaker 5: A couple of years ago, before the injury, everyone was saying, 1048 00:47:05,960 --> 00:47:08,439 Speaker 5: like Nick Chubb was the best pure runner in the league, 1049 00:47:08,480 --> 00:47:11,040 Speaker 5: even if he wasn't necessarily putting up the best numbers. 1050 00:47:11,080 --> 00:47:13,880 Speaker 5: Like I think Jonathan Taylor gets that title now. He 1051 00:47:14,000 --> 00:47:16,399 Speaker 5: is the best peer runner in the league. 1052 00:47:16,640 --> 00:47:19,200 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean he he just looks really good. 1053 00:47:19,840 --> 00:47:24,840 Speaker 5: And I think just more versatility, more explosion, I think 1054 00:47:24,920 --> 00:47:30,600 Speaker 5: than like Derrick Henry, uh like, and Henry's great, and like, 1055 00:47:30,640 --> 00:47:33,319 Speaker 5: I just think he's got a little more. I think 1056 00:47:33,360 --> 00:47:35,920 Speaker 5: he's better inside than b Jon Robinson. 1057 00:47:36,000 --> 00:47:39,279 Speaker 4: Is My takeaway with JT two is the injuries. I 1058 00:47:39,400 --> 00:47:42,000 Speaker 4: was lower on him and I'll own that than consensus, 1059 00:47:42,040 --> 00:47:44,080 Speaker 4: Like I did not have good things to say because 1060 00:47:44,080 --> 00:47:47,719 Speaker 4: of Daniel Jones, the target chair everything like that. The 1061 00:47:47,760 --> 00:47:50,239 Speaker 4: injuries really hurt him last year. 1062 00:47:50,239 --> 00:47:50,759 Speaker 3: And that's hard. 1063 00:47:50,800 --> 00:47:52,560 Speaker 4: That's a hard thing to quantify and know because we 1064 00:47:52,560 --> 00:47:54,080 Speaker 4: don't we're not in the room and we don't know. 1065 00:47:54,560 --> 00:47:57,319 Speaker 4: But like looking at the per rush metrics last year, 1066 00:47:57,360 --> 00:48:00,560 Speaker 4: we're horrible for JT. He's bounced back, like he's all 1067 00:48:00,600 --> 00:48:02,839 Speaker 4: the way back to like that the like what fits 1068 00:48:02,880 --> 00:48:05,319 Speaker 4: he was talking about being like in the conversation or 1069 00:48:05,440 --> 00:48:07,840 Speaker 4: leading the pack for the best pure rusher in the 1070 00:48:07,880 --> 00:48:10,880 Speaker 4: NFL right now, Like the injuries were really really bothers 1071 00:48:10,920 --> 00:48:11,720 Speaker 4: him for him last. 1072 00:48:11,640 --> 00:48:15,040 Speaker 1: Year, It's funny I ranked him ahead of consensus, like 1073 00:48:15,080 --> 00:48:18,120 Speaker 1: for draft season, and and yet I barely drafted him 1074 00:48:18,120 --> 00:48:20,839 Speaker 1: anywhere because I kept just going at him. I liked 1075 00:48:20,920 --> 00:48:23,400 Speaker 1: him at costs, but I just kept liking other players. 1076 00:48:23,400 --> 00:48:25,120 Speaker 1: There was always one player that fell to me that 1077 00:48:25,160 --> 00:48:28,000 Speaker 1: I liked a little bit better, usually at a different position, 1078 00:48:28,239 --> 00:48:29,880 Speaker 1: you know, I like I liked the receiver there, or 1079 00:48:30,160 --> 00:48:31,440 Speaker 1: felt like it was a league I wanted to take 1080 00:48:31,480 --> 00:48:33,000 Speaker 1: a swing of hours or something like that. 1081 00:48:34,200 --> 00:48:35,040 Speaker 2: So I didn't really. 1082 00:48:34,920 --> 00:48:36,520 Speaker 3: Didn't know Daniel Jones was going to be this year, 1083 00:48:36,560 --> 00:48:38,640 Speaker 3: Sam Arnold, weren't you didn't know that? I mean, that's 1084 00:48:38,680 --> 00:48:39,080 Speaker 3: what you know. 1085 00:48:39,239 --> 00:48:41,680 Speaker 4: We get in the comments these days, it's like come oh, guys, 1086 00:48:41,719 --> 00:48:43,200 Speaker 4: Like I'm like, dude, it's staying. 1087 00:48:43,560 --> 00:48:45,759 Speaker 1: If you told me the entire league stayed healthy this year, like, 1088 00:48:45,800 --> 00:48:47,840 Speaker 1: I don't think this is I think Jonathan Taylor finished 1089 00:48:47,840 --> 00:48:50,000 Speaker 1: his hiss RB one this year, like assuming health. I 1090 00:48:50,760 --> 00:48:53,319 Speaker 1: I legitimately think very highly of him. But Pooka has 1091 00:48:53,320 --> 00:48:55,480 Speaker 1: been awesome also, so that's why I put them together. 1092 00:48:56,120 --> 00:48:59,200 Speaker 1: Let's go to the next game here. Jaguars at forty 1093 00:48:59,280 --> 00:49:02,160 Speaker 1: nine ers. Ricky Pearsall is ranked three spots higher than 1094 00:49:02,160 --> 00:49:05,560 Speaker 1: Brian Thomas Junior in this game game in the rest 1095 00:49:05,600 --> 00:49:06,960 Speaker 1: of the ah ME, not rest of season, in the 1096 00:49:06,960 --> 00:49:09,560 Speaker 1: expert consensus rankings for this week, but the rest of 1097 00:49:09,640 --> 00:49:12,800 Speaker 1: season rankings have Thomas eight spots ahead of Pearsaul. Do 1098 00:49:12,880 --> 00:49:14,239 Speaker 1: both of those sound right to you? So again, I'll 1099 00:49:14,239 --> 00:49:16,280 Speaker 1: read that again because I kind stumbled over that Piersaw 1100 00:49:16,360 --> 00:49:19,320 Speaker 1: is three spots higher for this week in the consensus rankings, 1101 00:49:19,400 --> 00:49:22,000 Speaker 1: but Thomas is eight spots higher for rest of season 1102 00:49:22,200 --> 00:49:24,879 Speaker 1: in the consensus rankings. Fits do those both sound right 1103 00:49:24,880 --> 00:49:26,439 Speaker 1: to you or would you change either? Yeah? 1104 00:49:26,520 --> 00:49:28,839 Speaker 5: No, I understand that disparity, and I have that same 1105 00:49:28,880 --> 00:49:32,080 Speaker 5: type of disparity in my own rankings for Ricky Pearsall 1106 00:49:32,239 --> 00:49:34,439 Speaker 5: and Brian Thomas Junior for Week four and the rest 1107 00:49:34,480 --> 00:49:37,120 Speaker 5: of the season. Part of the reason I have Pearsall 1108 00:49:37,239 --> 00:49:41,360 Speaker 5: ranked wide receiver twelve this week is because George Kittle 1109 00:49:41,400 --> 00:49:45,319 Speaker 5: isn't playing and Juwan Jennings might not play. But those 1110 00:49:45,360 --> 00:49:46,920 Speaker 5: guys are both going to be playing soon, and then 1111 00:49:46,920 --> 00:49:49,239 Speaker 5: I might not have Pearsall ranked in the top twenty 1112 00:49:49,360 --> 00:49:52,799 Speaker 5: your top twenty five. Brian Thomas Junior, things are just 1113 00:49:53,200 --> 00:49:55,600 Speaker 5: so bad right now. It seems like he has the yips. 1114 00:49:56,120 --> 00:49:59,240 Speaker 5: He's caught seven out of twenty five targets, a twenty 1115 00:49:59,239 --> 00:50:02,720 Speaker 5: eight percent cat trait. It's really hard to confidently endorse 1116 00:50:02,840 --> 00:50:05,920 Speaker 5: him this week when things are so bad. But we've 1117 00:50:05,920 --> 00:50:07,560 Speaker 5: seen how good this guy can be. Like, I don't 1118 00:50:07,560 --> 00:50:10,480 Speaker 5: think it's crazy to think BTJ can get the train 1119 00:50:10,560 --> 00:50:12,920 Speaker 5: back on the tracks at some point and be something 1120 00:50:13,000 --> 00:50:15,399 Speaker 5: closer to the Brian Thomas Junior we saw last year. 1121 00:50:16,520 --> 00:50:19,080 Speaker 4: What do you think, Debro, I think Pearsall should be 1122 00:50:19,160 --> 00:50:22,560 Speaker 4: ahead of him and both of them I worry about 1123 00:50:22,560 --> 00:50:25,280 Speaker 4: George Kittle coming back. I'm not that worried about Brandon Ayuku. 1124 00:50:25,280 --> 00:50:27,160 Speaker 4: We saw the statement saying that he's nowhere close to 1125 00:50:27,160 --> 00:50:29,920 Speaker 4: one hundred percent or seeing in the field. Jwan Jennings, 1126 00:50:30,120 --> 00:50:32,960 Speaker 4: I can at this point of the season, he's already 1127 00:50:33,040 --> 00:50:34,640 Speaker 4: like really really banged up. 1128 00:50:34,719 --> 00:50:36,400 Speaker 3: Is he going to make it through the season. I 1129 00:50:36,440 --> 00:50:36,839 Speaker 3: don't know. 1130 00:50:37,480 --> 00:50:41,320 Speaker 4: So this could be legit the CMC Pearsall and George 1131 00:50:41,400 --> 00:50:44,520 Speaker 4: Kittle Show. And if that's the case, he's got enough 1132 00:50:44,600 --> 00:50:48,480 Speaker 4: volume man, and Ricky p has been freaking fantastic, Like 1133 00:50:48,520 --> 00:50:50,799 Speaker 4: we all, like everybody's like, oh, okay, can he really 1134 00:50:50,840 --> 00:50:52,680 Speaker 4: step forward and be the guy? Can he be the 1135 00:50:52,680 --> 00:50:55,160 Speaker 4: guy that you know? First round wide receiver? And with 1136 00:50:55,239 --> 00:50:57,560 Speaker 4: the final two games of last year, real when the 1137 00:50:57,600 --> 00:50:59,480 Speaker 4: forty nine ers put it at his feet and said, 1138 00:50:59,520 --> 00:51:01,799 Speaker 4: can you step up and be the number one guy 1139 00:51:01,880 --> 00:51:03,960 Speaker 4: we needed you to be? And he's wide receiver sixteen. 1140 00:51:04,239 --> 00:51:06,760 Speaker 4: He's got a twenty one percent target chair, he's averaging 1141 00:51:06,840 --> 00:51:09,000 Speaker 4: ninety three point seven receiving yards, he's got two point 1142 00:51:09,080 --> 00:51:11,160 Speaker 4: six yards per route run, and he's commanding almost a 1143 00:51:11,200 --> 00:51:14,799 Speaker 4: twenty eight percent first reach here outside of the target chair. 1144 00:51:15,040 --> 00:51:17,560 Speaker 4: The rest of those are wide receiver one numbers. So 1145 00:51:18,360 --> 00:51:19,960 Speaker 4: I don't have a lot of questions about Ricky P. 1146 00:51:20,200 --> 00:51:22,600 Speaker 4: I got tons of questions about Brian Thomas Junior, whether 1147 00:51:22,640 --> 00:51:27,520 Speaker 4: it's Liam Cohen that offense, Trevor Lawrence, Brian Thomas Junior himself, 1148 00:51:27,920 --> 00:51:31,640 Speaker 4: and whether this is his play or in his head 1149 00:51:32,120 --> 00:51:34,279 Speaker 4: or the wrist injury, because again we don't know the 1150 00:51:34,320 --> 00:51:36,560 Speaker 4: severity of that. They could say he's a full practice 1151 00:51:36,600 --> 00:51:40,760 Speaker 4: and that doesn't mean anything, man, Like these guys practice reports. 1152 00:51:40,800 --> 00:51:43,759 Speaker 4: And I'm not saying I'm not conspiracy theory, like, but 1153 00:51:44,719 --> 00:51:47,920 Speaker 4: I've been around fantasy and the NFL long enough that 1154 00:51:48,000 --> 00:51:52,239 Speaker 4: we see every single year reports documentaries, Netflix specials come 1155 00:51:52,239 --> 00:51:53,120 Speaker 4: out and it's like. 1156 00:51:53,280 --> 00:51:55,720 Speaker 3: Oh, this dude was way more hurt than we thought, 1157 00:51:56,239 --> 00:51:56,759 Speaker 3: or he was a. 1158 00:51:57,160 --> 00:52:00,319 Speaker 4: Full time practice participant, and but now we have video 1159 00:52:00,440 --> 00:52:03,120 Speaker 4: stuff on the Netflix documentary saying the like, bro, I 1160 00:52:03,120 --> 00:52:05,000 Speaker 4: couldn't even make a fist. I couldn't even pick up 1161 00:52:05,040 --> 00:52:07,759 Speaker 4: like a soda to drink with that arm, Like if ever, 1162 00:52:07,920 --> 00:52:11,120 Speaker 4: would y'all be this surprised if this week's game we 1163 00:52:11,200 --> 00:52:13,319 Speaker 4: get one of those sideline clips like everybody was doing 1164 00:52:13,360 --> 00:52:16,000 Speaker 4: with Joe Burrow before, Like, look, Brian Thomas Junior is 1165 00:52:16,040 --> 00:52:18,520 Speaker 4: not grabbing his water bottle with with that hand. 1166 00:52:19,000 --> 00:52:21,440 Speaker 3: Uh oh, Like I'm not gonna be shocked. 1167 00:52:21,600 --> 00:52:23,680 Speaker 4: So I think it's just I'm going with talent, and 1168 00:52:23,680 --> 00:52:26,680 Speaker 4: I'm going with the healthy guy, and who's producing Ricky Piersol. 1169 00:52:27,840 --> 00:52:30,960 Speaker 1: Let's go to Ravens at Chiefs. The Ravens defense has 1170 00:52:31,040 --> 00:52:35,360 Speaker 1: been really bad in their two games against Non Brown's offenses, 1171 00:52:35,760 --> 00:52:38,800 Speaker 1: and their entire starting defensive line is now injured. Although 1172 00:52:39,000 --> 00:52:41,400 Speaker 1: Travis Jones did return to practice on Thursday, it was 1173 00:52:41,400 --> 00:52:45,080 Speaker 1: in a limited capacity. Obviously, nom Dematic Week is still 1174 00:52:45,200 --> 00:52:48,200 Speaker 1: not gonna be playing this week. We don't know if 1175 00:52:48,200 --> 00:52:50,640 Speaker 1: and when he'll even be back with his next stuff. 1176 00:52:51,680 --> 00:52:53,640 Speaker 1: And of course Kylevin no, I still not practice. 1177 00:52:53,680 --> 00:52:54,839 Speaker 2: Know it's very bad. 1178 00:52:54,880 --> 00:52:55,960 Speaker 3: It's so sad. 1179 00:52:56,080 --> 00:52:59,759 Speaker 6: I question, Oh my goodness, we. 1180 00:53:00,239 --> 00:53:03,560 Speaker 3: Are grinning because you sound so pain. 1181 00:53:05,160 --> 00:53:08,040 Speaker 6: Were car, I know, when you were like the. 1182 00:53:07,960 --> 00:53:11,880 Speaker 3: Ravens defense is playing so bad? Like I was like, oh, 1183 00:53:11,960 --> 00:53:13,040 Speaker 3: this dude's going through. 1184 00:53:12,880 --> 00:53:15,799 Speaker 2: It like no, no, I mean, obviously it has been tough. 1185 00:53:16,360 --> 00:53:18,759 Speaker 1: I I you might remember guys that I did kind 1186 00:53:18,800 --> 00:53:21,920 Speaker 1: of predict I was when I was pushing back into. 1187 00:53:22,680 --> 00:53:24,560 Speaker 3: An audible hug here but no, no, no. 1188 00:53:24,560 --> 00:53:26,120 Speaker 1: What I'm saying is like I was, I kind of 1189 00:53:26,120 --> 00:53:28,279 Speaker 1: predicted that the run defense was going to be a 1190 00:53:28,320 --> 00:53:30,920 Speaker 1: problem this year, and it's been much worse than I expected. 1191 00:53:30,920 --> 00:53:33,400 Speaker 1: Of course I didn't expect this level, but that was 1192 00:53:33,480 --> 00:53:36,160 Speaker 1: my concern for the team going into the season. So 1193 00:53:36,200 --> 00:53:38,680 Speaker 1: it's not really even that surprising, you know, to me 1194 00:53:38,760 --> 00:53:41,120 Speaker 1: and crushing. It's just it's kind of what I expected, 1195 00:53:41,120 --> 00:53:42,440 Speaker 1: just on a more extreme version of it. 1196 00:53:42,480 --> 00:53:43,280 Speaker 2: And of course the injuries. 1197 00:53:43,680 --> 00:53:45,680 Speaker 1: What I really feel bad about and actually like kind 1198 00:53:45,680 --> 00:53:47,879 Speaker 1: of crestfalling for is is Madaw Weekk, who's a great 1199 00:53:47,880 --> 00:53:52,120 Speaker 1: player and uh simularly a great person who has possibly 1200 00:53:52,160 --> 00:53:54,080 Speaker 1: not going to play again type of injury. Like it's 1201 00:53:54,120 --> 00:53:56,759 Speaker 1: it's really unknown right now what's going on with his 1202 00:53:56,840 --> 00:53:59,279 Speaker 1: neck injury, but it's it's just very scary. But I 1203 00:53:59,320 --> 00:54:01,600 Speaker 1: said all that is the reason I bring this up 1204 00:54:01,640 --> 00:54:04,319 Speaker 1: is to say Isaiah Pachecko has also been super bad, 1205 00:54:04,560 --> 00:54:07,320 Speaker 1: but he now gets to go up against this really 1206 00:54:07,400 --> 00:54:09,959 Speaker 1: beaten up and you know, bad and no. 1207 00:54:09,920 --> 00:54:11,080 Speaker 2: Depth defensive line. 1208 00:54:11,120 --> 00:54:12,839 Speaker 1: So I'm wondering what kind of game you guys are 1209 00:54:12,840 --> 00:54:15,960 Speaker 1: expecting from Pachecko considering his poor start to the season. 1210 00:54:16,040 --> 00:54:19,040 Speaker 1: But that this is actually a very good matchup. And 1211 00:54:19,680 --> 00:54:21,719 Speaker 1: even if the Chiefs end up having to if the 1212 00:54:21,800 --> 00:54:24,319 Speaker 1: Ravens offense, you know, plays really well, even in a 1213 00:54:24,360 --> 00:54:27,040 Speaker 1: tough matchup against the Chiefs defense. Well maybe not that tough, 1214 00:54:27,040 --> 00:54:28,719 Speaker 1: but you know, a matchup that's given them, you know, 1215 00:54:28,760 --> 00:54:30,920 Speaker 1: problems in the past. The Chiefs will have to throw 1216 00:54:30,960 --> 00:54:32,920 Speaker 1: a lot, so you would think, well, maybe Pachecko doesn't 1217 00:54:32,920 --> 00:54:36,080 Speaker 1: do that well, but I think there will be scoring opportunities. Plus, 1218 00:54:36,120 --> 00:54:38,080 Speaker 1: like I said, the beat up defensive line so fits. 1219 00:54:38,080 --> 00:54:39,400 Speaker 1: I'll start with you on this one. What kind of 1220 00:54:39,400 --> 00:54:41,160 Speaker 1: game are you expected from Pachecko given all that? 1221 00:54:41,680 --> 00:54:43,880 Speaker 5: Even if he runs more effectively than he has in 1222 00:54:43,920 --> 00:54:46,960 Speaker 5: his first three games, and he's only averaging three point 1223 00:54:47,000 --> 00:54:49,520 Speaker 5: seven yards per carry, with his longest run of the 1224 00:54:49,520 --> 00:54:52,480 Speaker 5: season going for just ten yards, I don't know if 1225 00:54:52,480 --> 00:54:54,279 Speaker 5: he gets enough work to really move the needle in 1226 00:54:54,360 --> 00:54:58,920 Speaker 5: fantasy like Pachecko just the snap shares are around fifty percent. 1227 00:54:59,400 --> 00:55:01,520 Speaker 5: He hasn't had more than ten carries in a game 1228 00:55:01,640 --> 00:55:04,640 Speaker 5: and he's only had six targets all season, with just 1229 00:55:04,880 --> 00:55:05,319 Speaker 5: three in. 1230 00:55:05,280 --> 00:55:06,280 Speaker 6: The last two weeks. 1231 00:55:06,320 --> 00:55:09,359 Speaker 5: So I don't really see a big game for him. 1232 00:55:09,360 --> 00:55:11,240 Speaker 5: And if he does go for one hundred yards rushing 1233 00:55:11,280 --> 00:55:15,120 Speaker 5: against your Ravens worm, then it's safe to totally abandon hope. 1234 00:55:16,160 --> 00:55:18,759 Speaker 2: Yeah, if you can't take advantage of this matchup, I 1235 00:55:18,800 --> 00:55:21,120 Speaker 2: think that's a that's a fair point, Debro. 1236 00:55:21,680 --> 00:55:25,680 Speaker 4: What do you think I said exactly what I said 1237 00:55:25,719 --> 00:55:31,279 Speaker 4: in the primer. I'll say again here, Baltimore's a terrible 1238 00:55:31,320 --> 00:55:33,839 Speaker 4: run defense. If you're willing to flex Pacheco again at 1239 00:55:33,840 --> 00:55:37,480 Speaker 4: this point, godspeed. Like he's not playing well. He's on 1240 00:55:37,560 --> 00:55:40,040 Speaker 4: an offense that has had If he can't get it 1241 00:55:40,080 --> 00:55:43,680 Speaker 4: done through against the Giants, he's not going to get 1242 00:55:43,680 --> 00:55:44,000 Speaker 4: it done. 1243 00:55:44,040 --> 00:55:46,120 Speaker 2: I mean if you're not If let me ask you this, Debrot, 1244 00:55:46,320 --> 00:55:46,920 Speaker 2: they don't want. 1245 00:55:46,760 --> 00:55:48,480 Speaker 3: To run the ball either. They don't even want to 1246 00:55:48,560 --> 00:55:49,080 Speaker 3: run the ball. 1247 00:55:49,280 --> 00:55:52,520 Speaker 1: If you're not starting him in this matchup, shouldn't you 1248 00:55:52,520 --> 00:55:53,040 Speaker 1: just drop him? 1249 00:55:53,040 --> 00:55:53,919 Speaker 2: Why is he even on your team? 1250 00:55:54,000 --> 00:55:54,160 Speaker 3: Yeah? 1251 00:55:54,280 --> 00:55:58,200 Speaker 4: Like I dude, I don't disagree at all. 1252 00:55:58,400 --> 00:55:59,520 Speaker 3: Like he's on it. 1253 00:55:59,680 --> 00:56:03,719 Speaker 4: He's playing effectively on a per touch basis. He's in 1254 00:56:03,719 --> 00:56:05,680 Speaker 4: an offense that doesn't want to freaking run the ball. 1255 00:56:05,719 --> 00:56:07,600 Speaker 4: So even if you want to talk about volume, he's 1256 00:56:07,600 --> 00:56:09,640 Speaker 4: not going to get there. The Chiefs has already told 1257 00:56:09,640 --> 00:56:11,680 Speaker 4: you that they don't want to do that. They're not 1258 00:56:11,719 --> 00:56:14,480 Speaker 4: going to feature him. If anything, I'll take a left 1259 00:56:14,480 --> 00:56:17,040 Speaker 4: field shot on freaking Burchard Smith catching a wheel route 1260 00:56:17,080 --> 00:56:20,360 Speaker 4: in this game. Then I will on freaking flexing Isaiah 1261 00:56:20,360 --> 00:56:24,680 Speaker 4: freaking Pacheco. And to that point, the Ravens have been 1262 00:56:24,680 --> 00:56:27,319 Speaker 4: bad versus receiving backs over the last two years, so 1263 00:56:28,160 --> 00:56:32,560 Speaker 4: I would rather bet on that than anything with Pachecko. No, 1264 00:56:32,920 --> 00:56:36,160 Speaker 4: just I'm not man like. It all lines up that 1265 00:56:36,239 --> 00:56:39,719 Speaker 4: he's not getting usage. The team doesn't want to want 1266 00:56:39,760 --> 00:56:41,680 Speaker 4: to run the freaking ball. He's not good at running 1267 00:56:41,680 --> 00:56:45,040 Speaker 4: the ball. Tell me, would you all be surprised or 1268 00:56:45,600 --> 00:56:49,120 Speaker 4: if you're not betting this, but who leads them and 1269 00:56:49,160 --> 00:56:51,440 Speaker 4: carries this week, Isaiah Pachecko or Kareem Hunt? 1270 00:56:52,840 --> 00:56:54,040 Speaker 3: Hunt? 1271 00:56:54,880 --> 00:56:58,000 Speaker 6: Probably Hunt, maybe fifty to fifty. 1272 00:56:58,840 --> 00:57:01,400 Speaker 1: By the way, I don't have a good feel on 1273 00:57:01,440 --> 00:57:04,160 Speaker 1: the total for this game. It's at forty nine. I 1274 00:57:04,760 --> 00:57:07,040 Speaker 1: would bet a lot of money on Chiefs plus two 1275 00:57:07,080 --> 00:57:09,480 Speaker 1: and a half. I think that line is a mistake. 1276 00:57:09,600 --> 00:57:12,160 Speaker 1: The Ravens have beaten the Chiefs in this era of 1277 00:57:12,239 --> 00:57:13,160 Speaker 1: Lamar and mahomes Oh. 1278 00:57:13,200 --> 00:57:14,640 Speaker 3: I think the Ravens are going to hand it to him. 1279 00:57:14,680 --> 00:57:18,080 Speaker 1: Man, They've only beaten him once. Ever, they get out 1280 00:57:18,160 --> 00:57:20,840 Speaker 1: of their themselves when they face Kansas City. It's in 1281 00:57:20,920 --> 00:57:23,520 Speaker 1: Kansas City. They just they they freak themse. Even when 1282 00:57:23,520 --> 00:57:25,760 Speaker 1: they are the better team, they get in their own 1283 00:57:25,800 --> 00:57:28,320 Speaker 1: heads and they always they get away from who they are. 1284 00:57:28,800 --> 00:57:32,760 Speaker 1: They always look bad against Steve Spagnolo, Like, I don't 1285 00:57:32,840 --> 00:57:38,400 Speaker 1: understand why the Chiefs are dogs. And also the ref 1286 00:57:38,400 --> 00:57:40,560 Speaker 1: in this game, Warren Sharp was just tweeting this out. 1287 00:57:41,400 --> 00:57:43,120 Speaker 1: I forget the ref's name, but I just thought it 1288 00:57:43,120 --> 00:57:46,560 Speaker 1: was earlier this morning that lifetime in games that the 1289 00:57:46,640 --> 00:57:48,680 Speaker 1: Ravens have played with this ref, they're zero to three 1290 00:57:49,000 --> 00:57:51,680 Speaker 1: and the Chiefs lifetimes in game with this ref are 1291 00:57:51,760 --> 00:57:55,120 Speaker 1: six and zero. So like it just is very much 1292 00:57:55,160 --> 00:57:57,640 Speaker 1: going against the Ravens, even setting aside the fact that 1293 00:57:57,640 --> 00:57:59,080 Speaker 1: they're always bad against the Chiefs. 1294 00:57:59,120 --> 00:58:00,360 Speaker 2: Like, I know we're gonna get. 1295 00:58:00,240 --> 00:58:02,560 Speaker 4: One of those moments where Mahomes like does that crap 1296 00:58:02,600 --> 00:58:05,760 Speaker 4: where he runs along the sideline and then he like 1297 00:58:05,800 --> 00:58:08,360 Speaker 4: tries to fall over and pretend like somebody tried to 1298 00:58:08,400 --> 00:58:10,439 Speaker 4: like take his heill off and they touched his thigh 1299 00:58:10,560 --> 00:58:11,000 Speaker 4: or something. 1300 00:58:11,120 --> 00:58:13,680 Speaker 1: I tell like, obviously I would love to be wrong, 1301 00:58:14,200 --> 00:58:17,720 Speaker 1: but I really do not think the Ravens are winning 1302 00:58:17,720 --> 00:58:20,720 Speaker 1: this game, I will be very shocked. Honestly, I think 1303 00:58:21,160 --> 00:58:23,600 Speaker 1: Chiefs plus two and a half is eight smash, but 1304 00:58:23,760 --> 00:58:25,360 Speaker 1: I would love to be wrong, so we'll see what 1305 00:58:25,640 --> 00:58:26,880 Speaker 1: I will. 1306 00:58:26,720 --> 00:58:28,560 Speaker 3: Be the Ravens fan for this. I think they win. 1307 00:58:28,640 --> 00:58:30,400 Speaker 3: I think the Chiefs just don't have the firepower. 1308 00:58:30,440 --> 00:58:33,360 Speaker 1: Man, I appreciate you taking up the torch for me 1309 00:58:33,440 --> 00:58:37,720 Speaker 1: here Bears at Raiders. Caleb Williams and the Bears are 1310 00:58:37,720 --> 00:58:39,680 Speaker 1: coming off their best game of the season, but it 1311 00:58:39,720 --> 00:58:42,560 Speaker 1: did come against the Tallis defense that makes everybody look 1312 00:58:42,600 --> 00:58:44,480 Speaker 1: like they have the best game of their season. How 1313 00:58:44,480 --> 00:58:47,280 Speaker 1: will Chicago follow it up against the Raiders de bro 1314 00:58:48,280 --> 00:58:48,760 Speaker 1: I think. 1315 00:58:48,600 --> 00:58:51,600 Speaker 4: Well, and I think this Raiders defense is slowly evolving 1316 00:58:51,640 --> 00:58:53,600 Speaker 4: into the Raiders defense that I thought we were going 1317 00:58:53,680 --> 00:58:54,280 Speaker 4: to get this year. 1318 00:58:54,320 --> 00:58:57,280 Speaker 3: And they're not very good. Their secondary is not very good. 1319 00:58:57,320 --> 00:58:59,200 Speaker 4: Like they'd give another the seventh highest Sharks for ten, 1320 00:58:59,320 --> 00:59:02,280 Speaker 4: ten highest pass rating and tenth most passing arts per game. 1321 00:59:03,040 --> 00:59:05,760 Speaker 4: I think it's another opportunity for Roma Dunes eight to 1322 00:59:05,920 --> 00:59:08,920 Speaker 4: just eat Man lots of single high coverage. He's got 1323 00:59:08,920 --> 00:59:11,040 Speaker 4: a twenty nine point six percent target chair. I think 1324 00:59:11,080 --> 00:59:13,480 Speaker 4: Caleb's gonna feature him and they're I think Caleb's gonna 1325 00:59:13,480 --> 00:59:14,160 Speaker 4: have another good day. 1326 00:59:15,320 --> 00:59:17,080 Speaker 1: By the way, just because I only just mentioned this 1327 00:59:17,200 --> 00:59:19,360 Speaker 1: and this came out a minute ago on Twitter, Kyle 1328 00:59:19,440 --> 00:59:21,360 Speaker 1: van Noy was back at practice for the Ravens. 1329 00:59:21,400 --> 00:59:22,400 Speaker 2: For whatever that's. 1330 00:59:22,280 --> 00:59:24,320 Speaker 3: Worth it, let's go, let's go, all right? 1331 00:59:24,360 --> 00:59:26,120 Speaker 2: So all right, Ravens mind is two and a half? 1332 00:59:26,240 --> 00:59:26,760 Speaker 2: Go for it? 1333 00:59:26,800 --> 00:59:30,720 Speaker 3: Not? Yeah, love to see it. 1334 00:59:30,960 --> 00:59:33,200 Speaker 2: Yeah, Kylevenoi moves the live five points for me. 1335 00:59:33,800 --> 00:59:35,320 Speaker 3: Uh fits. 1336 00:59:35,360 --> 00:59:37,120 Speaker 2: What do you think on Bears Raiders? 1337 00:59:37,440 --> 00:59:41,520 Speaker 5: Well, the Raiders are twenty sixth the DVOA against the pass, 1338 00:59:41,560 --> 00:59:44,400 Speaker 5: They're twenty first in pressure rates. So Caleb kind of 1339 00:59:44,440 --> 00:59:47,640 Speaker 5: goes from one soft matchup against Dallas into another against 1340 00:59:47,880 --> 00:59:52,880 Speaker 5: Las Vegas. He's QB three in fantasy scoring, sixth in 1341 00:59:53,000 --> 00:59:56,680 Speaker 5: passer rating among quarterbacks with more than one starts, tied 1342 00:59:56,720 --> 01:00:00,280 Speaker 5: for second, and touchdown passes eleventh in passing yard edge. 1343 01:00:00,320 --> 01:00:03,040 Speaker 5: It's been pretty good. And he's adding rushing value too, 1344 01:00:03,040 --> 01:00:06,080 Speaker 5: with ninety seven rushing yards in a touchdown. Looks like 1345 01:00:06,120 --> 01:00:08,560 Speaker 5: a pretty good spot for him. And you know, maybe 1346 01:00:08,600 --> 01:00:13,920 Speaker 5: this Ben Johnson Caleb Williams marriage is gonna work after all. 1347 01:00:14,040 --> 01:00:17,000 Speaker 2: I deeverer, have you started to I'm guessing the answer 1348 01:00:17,000 --> 01:00:17,320 Speaker 2: this is no. 1349 01:00:17,440 --> 01:00:19,560 Speaker 1: But do you feel any differently about like Caleb's long 1350 01:00:19,680 --> 01:00:21,560 Speaker 1: term outlook after the start of the season or no. 1351 01:00:23,600 --> 01:00:26,760 Speaker 4: I I don't want to sound like just the Caleb 1352 01:00:26,840 --> 01:00:29,520 Speaker 4: Hader constantly. I do think it has to get pointed 1353 01:00:29,520 --> 01:00:32,520 Speaker 4: out that, like I think it was three or all 1354 01:00:32,520 --> 01:00:35,960 Speaker 4: of it, all of his passing touchdowns were against terrible 1355 01:00:36,000 --> 01:00:40,520 Speaker 4: blown assignments by Dallas. So I don't think we've seen 1356 01:00:40,760 --> 01:00:44,920 Speaker 4: a big enough sample, especially him versus like actually good defenses. 1357 01:00:45,560 --> 01:00:47,800 Speaker 4: I think he's gotten a lot of cupcake matchups. He's 1358 01:00:47,800 --> 01:00:50,000 Speaker 4: gonna get another one this week. Not saying that he won't, 1359 01:00:50,360 --> 01:00:55,720 Speaker 4: but I want to see Caleb perform better when things 1360 01:00:55,760 --> 01:00:58,640 Speaker 4: are not going his way, in the sense of when 1361 01:00:58,680 --> 01:01:01,240 Speaker 4: a team can pressure you and it's against a good 1362 01:01:01,440 --> 01:01:04,120 Speaker 4: like not like a freaking Minnesota Vikings, but like a 1363 01:01:04,160 --> 01:01:08,360 Speaker 4: top seven to ten defense that can get after him'. 1364 01:01:08,800 --> 01:01:12,600 Speaker 4: That's the litmus test of like playing on schedule and 1365 01:01:13,960 --> 01:01:17,040 Speaker 4: backfoot rip it and playing better against pressure instead of 1366 01:01:17,080 --> 01:01:19,400 Speaker 4: trying to hero ball and falling back into the things. 1367 01:01:19,720 --> 01:01:21,560 Speaker 4: That's what I want to see for Caleb Williams. 1368 01:01:21,680 --> 01:01:22,280 Speaker 3: He does that. 1369 01:01:22,440 --> 01:01:25,240 Speaker 4: I'm more in the camp of believing than I am 1370 01:01:25,600 --> 01:01:26,400 Speaker 4: still skeptical. 1371 01:01:27,600 --> 01:01:32,760 Speaker 1: Sunday Night football, Packers at Cowboys. What is the Cowboys 1372 01:01:32,760 --> 01:01:35,040 Speaker 1: passing game going to look like against what is a 1373 01:01:35,040 --> 01:01:37,960 Speaker 1: great defense, and also that they are, in fact without 1374 01:01:38,000 --> 01:01:39,640 Speaker 1: Cede Lamb fits I'll start. 1375 01:01:39,480 --> 01:01:41,160 Speaker 6: With you, probably not pretty. 1376 01:01:42,400 --> 01:01:46,120 Speaker 5: The Packers are really applying the heat on quarterbacks and 1377 01:01:46,160 --> 01:01:49,360 Speaker 5: they're giving up four point eight yards per pass attempt, 1378 01:01:50,000 --> 01:01:52,720 Speaker 5: and I just I don't know if George Pickens can 1379 01:01:52,760 --> 01:01:55,560 Speaker 5: be a lead receiver in place of Lamb. That was 1380 01:01:55,600 --> 01:01:57,480 Speaker 5: kind of one of the things that had us excited, 1381 01:01:57,760 --> 01:02:00,920 Speaker 5: maybe people who wanted to invest in Pickens that he 1382 01:02:01,000 --> 01:02:04,439 Speaker 5: didn't have to be a lead receiver with Ceedee Lamb around. 1383 01:02:04,480 --> 01:02:06,040 Speaker 5: He could just kind of do his thing like I'm 1384 01:02:06,160 --> 01:02:09,360 Speaker 5: I don't he doesn't really run the whole route tree, 1385 01:02:10,520 --> 01:02:13,520 Speaker 5: like his thing is making big plays down the sideline, 1386 01:02:13,840 --> 01:02:18,040 Speaker 5: and asking him to be a one for one ced 1387 01:02:18,160 --> 01:02:22,120 Speaker 5: Lamb replacement just doesn't work. So I think they're going 1388 01:02:22,160 --> 01:02:22,680 Speaker 5: to struggle. 1389 01:02:23,720 --> 01:02:26,400 Speaker 4: What do you think, Debro, I mean, I think what 1390 01:02:26,440 --> 01:02:29,040 Speaker 4: are we going to see from the Cowboys offense. We're 1391 01:02:29,080 --> 01:02:31,080 Speaker 4: going to see a crap ton of George Pickens and 1392 01:02:31,240 --> 01:02:35,080 Speaker 4: Jake Ferguson. So I don't know how much success they're 1393 01:02:35,080 --> 01:02:36,360 Speaker 4: going to have, and I think a lot of that 1394 01:02:37,040 --> 01:02:39,880 Speaker 4: comes down to I mean they're down some offensive linemen. 1395 01:02:40,040 --> 01:02:41,600 Speaker 3: I don't know how much time Dak is. 1396 01:02:41,520 --> 01:02:43,800 Speaker 4: Going to have, but I think that Pickens and Jake 1397 01:02:43,840 --> 01:02:46,880 Speaker 4: Ferguson are going to get a crap ton of targets. 1398 01:02:46,880 --> 01:02:49,480 Speaker 4: Like pencil them both in for like eight to twelve targets. 1399 01:02:49,480 --> 01:02:52,720 Speaker 4: They're going to get featured. And historically, George Pickens is 1400 01:02:52,840 --> 01:02:55,200 Speaker 4: very good against Single High, like that's his bread and butter, 1401 01:02:55,680 --> 01:02:58,160 Speaker 4: So I've got a little more hope against Like if 1402 01:02:58,200 --> 01:03:00,400 Speaker 4: you were to tell me the Packers d up into 1403 01:03:00,440 --> 01:03:03,439 Speaker 4: like a too high a shell, then good luck. I mean, 1404 01:03:03,520 --> 01:03:07,320 Speaker 4: Ferguson is would be it and Pickens is going to struggle. 1405 01:03:07,720 --> 01:03:10,200 Speaker 4: But if if the Packers match him up with Single High, 1406 01:03:10,280 --> 01:03:13,080 Speaker 4: I think Pickens can have some success because he's going 1407 01:03:13,120 --> 01:03:15,920 Speaker 4: to get fource fed volume. But I'm not telling anybody 1408 01:03:15,960 --> 01:03:18,040 Speaker 4: it's gonna be pretty because Michael Parsons is in that 1409 01:03:18,080 --> 01:03:21,400 Speaker 4: backfield all freaking day standing over Dak Prescott. 1410 01:03:22,320 --> 01:03:24,200 Speaker 3: It's it's not gonna be good. 1411 01:03:24,600 --> 01:03:26,439 Speaker 2: How many sacks is Micah getting in this game? 1412 01:03:26,440 --> 01:03:31,000 Speaker 5: Fits, I'll say just one because he's gonna get double 1413 01:03:31,040 --> 01:03:32,560 Speaker 5: and triple teamed all game. 1414 01:03:32,720 --> 01:03:35,200 Speaker 6: But like collectively, I think the. 1415 01:03:36,920 --> 01:03:37,440 Speaker 2: Just one. 1416 01:03:37,760 --> 01:03:40,240 Speaker 5: The Packers are going to get six, but Mica just 1417 01:03:40,280 --> 01:03:42,560 Speaker 5: gets one because of all the defensive attention and Debro 1418 01:03:42,680 --> 01:03:47,080 Speaker 5: mentioned it they've got. They lost their starting center Cooper Beebie. 1419 01:03:47,280 --> 01:03:51,320 Speaker 5: He's not playing first round rookie Tyler Booker. He's out 1420 01:03:51,360 --> 01:03:54,320 Speaker 5: for this game. So like down a couple of starting 1421 01:03:54,360 --> 01:03:57,880 Speaker 5: offensive linemen against this Packers pass rush is just not 1422 01:03:58,000 --> 01:04:00,720 Speaker 5: a good scene for the Cowboys. 1423 01:04:00,720 --> 01:04:04,360 Speaker 4: Debra, I'll take the over. I think Parsons Saxon twice. 1424 01:04:04,800 --> 01:04:06,840 Speaker 4: Like if I was a betting book, I would sit 1425 01:04:06,840 --> 01:04:07,840 Speaker 4: the line at one and a half. 1426 01:04:09,080 --> 01:04:11,160 Speaker 1: All right, let's go to We have a two games 1427 01:04:11,200 --> 01:04:14,439 Speaker 1: on Monday Night Football Jets at Dolphins is the first one. 1428 01:04:14,480 --> 01:04:16,760 Speaker 1: Breese Hall now has head back to back tough games 1429 01:04:16,800 --> 01:04:19,040 Speaker 1: coming off of his Great League one. He now gets 1430 01:04:19,040 --> 01:04:22,080 Speaker 1: the Dolphins defense in a possible get right game. Deebro, 1431 01:04:22,240 --> 01:04:23,560 Speaker 1: predict his stat line. 1432 01:04:23,800 --> 01:04:25,960 Speaker 4: Dude, this is a fun NERD experience for me. I 1433 01:04:26,040 --> 01:04:29,040 Speaker 4: love this question because I like went through I got 1434 01:04:29,080 --> 01:04:31,280 Speaker 4: into it deep in the bag. I was like, all right, 1435 01:04:31,480 --> 01:04:34,360 Speaker 4: we're gonna go rushing Ray. We're looking at rushing volume. 1436 01:04:34,440 --> 01:04:35,960 Speaker 4: I want to sit here and see how many projects 1437 01:04:35,960 --> 01:04:38,080 Speaker 4: like I went like full projections mode with this, so 1438 01:04:38,480 --> 01:04:41,360 Speaker 4: and then afterwards I compared it against what's live on 1439 01:04:41,440 --> 01:04:44,280 Speaker 4: Fantasy pro site. It was pretty freaking close, man. So 1440 01:04:44,360 --> 01:04:49,040 Speaker 4: I have Breesehall for sixteen rushing attempts, eighty rushing yards, 1441 01:04:49,480 --> 01:04:52,440 Speaker 4: two catches, twenty one receiving yards, and I'll give him 1442 01:04:52,440 --> 01:04:54,240 Speaker 4: a score. I know the red zone has been more 1443 01:04:54,240 --> 01:04:55,960 Speaker 4: Braven Allen, so maybe that goes sideways. 1444 01:04:56,480 --> 01:04:58,040 Speaker 3: The site had. 1445 01:04:57,960 --> 01:05:01,440 Speaker 4: Him for fourteen point four sixty two point four, three 1446 01:05:01,520 --> 01:05:05,360 Speaker 4: catches and twenty six yards, So comparatively, I'm a little 1447 01:05:05,400 --> 01:05:08,200 Speaker 4: more bullish because I think the Jets are just I mean, 1448 01:05:08,200 --> 01:05:10,560 Speaker 4: the Dolphins run defense has got awful, so I'm more 1449 01:05:10,640 --> 01:05:14,680 Speaker 4: ceiling focused here. But eighteen touches versus the site seventeen 1450 01:05:14,720 --> 01:05:17,520 Speaker 4: and a half, I have one hundred and one total yards, 1451 01:05:17,560 --> 01:05:20,160 Speaker 4: and the site for Fantasy Pros we haven't projected for 1452 01:05:20,240 --> 01:05:24,600 Speaker 4: eighty eight point four, so pretty close fits. 1453 01:05:25,320 --> 01:05:28,160 Speaker 5: Yeah, I'm actually pretty close to Debro on the rushing 1454 01:05:28,240 --> 01:05:32,760 Speaker 5: prediction and pretty close to our projections at Fantasy Pros 1455 01:05:32,800 --> 01:05:37,160 Speaker 5: with the receiving. So I've got seventeen for seventy five 1456 01:05:37,360 --> 01:05:40,080 Speaker 5: on the ground, three for twenty eight in the air. No, 1457 01:05:40,200 --> 01:05:43,760 Speaker 5: I'll say no touchdowns. But like opponents are running on 1458 01:05:43,800 --> 01:05:46,480 Speaker 5: the Dolphins defense at the highest rate in the league. 1459 01:05:46,800 --> 01:05:49,120 Speaker 5: Like Miami opponents have run the bond fifty two point 1460 01:05:49,200 --> 01:05:52,520 Speaker 5: eight percent of their offensive snaps. Interestingly enough, the Jets 1461 01:05:52,680 --> 01:05:55,080 Speaker 5: are being run on at the second highest rate, fifty 1462 01:05:55,080 --> 01:05:56,280 Speaker 5: one point three percent. 1463 01:05:56,440 --> 01:06:00,160 Speaker 6: So you know, this series has been interesting. 1464 01:06:00,200 --> 01:06:03,240 Speaker 5: The Dolphins have kind of had the Jets number, and 1465 01:06:04,040 --> 01:06:06,680 Speaker 5: you know, I was surprised when I saw that Miami 1466 01:06:06,800 --> 01:06:09,520 Speaker 5: opened its three point favorites, but then I kind of 1467 01:06:09,520 --> 01:06:12,680 Speaker 5: remember the recent history has been going in the Dolphins direction. 1468 01:06:13,400 --> 01:06:17,720 Speaker 5: So maybe we see like a run heavy attack for 1469 01:06:17,800 --> 01:06:20,600 Speaker 5: both teams here, although I don't know, I don't I 1470 01:06:20,640 --> 01:06:23,760 Speaker 5: can't see the Dolphins just pounding away with the running game. 1471 01:06:23,840 --> 01:06:26,880 Speaker 5: But you never know this is going to be. This 1472 01:06:26,920 --> 01:06:28,960 Speaker 5: is kind of a sneaky interesting game. 1473 01:06:29,000 --> 01:06:29,600 Speaker 3: I think. 1474 01:06:31,320 --> 01:06:33,760 Speaker 2: Last game of the week Bengals at Broncos. 1475 01:06:33,800 --> 01:06:36,840 Speaker 1: Cincinnati got completely destroyed in Week three, and you might 1476 01:06:36,840 --> 01:06:39,360 Speaker 1: be able to point to the matchup as particularly tough, 1477 01:06:39,400 --> 01:06:42,000 Speaker 1: but a game at the Broncos is not that much 1478 01:06:42,040 --> 01:06:44,640 Speaker 1: easier for a backup quarterback. So how well do we 1479 01:06:44,680 --> 01:06:47,280 Speaker 1: think the Bengals offense will bounce back Debro. 1480 01:06:48,080 --> 01:06:48,560 Speaker 3: They won't. 1481 01:06:48,960 --> 01:06:51,080 Speaker 4: They're not going to bounce back against this defense the 1482 01:06:51,720 --> 01:06:54,840 Speaker 4: same problems that Jake Browning had against Minnesota. Tell me 1483 01:06:54,960 --> 01:06:58,720 Speaker 4: this sounds familiar. Now he faces a defense with Denver 1484 01:06:58,840 --> 01:07:00,760 Speaker 4: that has the twelve best per rusher rate and they 1485 01:07:00,760 --> 01:07:04,280 Speaker 4: blitz at the third highest freaking rate. Sound pretty similar 1486 01:07:04,360 --> 01:07:05,240 Speaker 4: to Brian Flores. 1487 01:07:05,600 --> 01:07:06,920 Speaker 3: Mm hmmm, because it is. 1488 01:07:07,280 --> 01:07:10,160 Speaker 4: It is a lot of man coverage. Jamar Chase is 1489 01:07:10,160 --> 01:07:12,320 Speaker 4: gonna get wrapped up of Patrick's certain this week, so 1490 01:07:12,440 --> 01:07:15,200 Speaker 4: that's not good. They cannot run the ball. The Bengals 1491 01:07:15,240 --> 01:07:19,640 Speaker 4: have arguably the worst offensive line in the NFL. Poor 1492 01:07:19,720 --> 01:07:23,600 Speaker 4: Chase brown dude, he has the lowest yards before contact 1493 01:07:23,640 --> 01:07:26,560 Speaker 4: per attempt in the NFL to work with, not even 1494 01:07:26,600 --> 01:07:30,720 Speaker 4: in a full freaking yard zero point four to three. 1495 01:07:30,800 --> 01:07:34,560 Speaker 4: This man is getting contacted before he even gets three 1496 01:07:34,800 --> 01:07:38,000 Speaker 4: feet past the freaking offensive line. 1497 01:07:38,800 --> 01:07:40,520 Speaker 3: So good luck. 1498 01:07:40,680 --> 01:07:43,280 Speaker 4: Like you're starting Jamar Chase and outside of Jamar Chase, 1499 01:07:43,640 --> 01:07:46,240 Speaker 4: I don't. And you're just starting Jamar Chase in principle 1500 01:07:46,280 --> 01:07:49,200 Speaker 4: because of based off of talent and volume. It's not 1501 01:07:49,360 --> 01:07:51,360 Speaker 4: because if you took the name of Jamar Chase out 1502 01:07:51,360 --> 01:07:53,280 Speaker 4: of this. Do I want to go up against Patrick 1503 01:07:53,320 --> 01:07:53,960 Speaker 4: freaking certain? 1504 01:07:54,520 --> 01:07:55,160 Speaker 6: No, I do not. 1505 01:07:55,680 --> 01:07:58,000 Speaker 4: But outside of that, I don't want to start a 1506 01:07:58,040 --> 01:08:00,160 Speaker 4: single other Bengal this week. 1507 01:08:00,400 --> 01:08:02,080 Speaker 3: None fits. 1508 01:08:02,640 --> 01:08:05,760 Speaker 5: I thought Chase Brown was actually averaging negative yards before 1509 01:08:05,840 --> 01:08:07,160 Speaker 5: contact per attempt? 1510 01:08:07,360 --> 01:08:07,840 Speaker 6: Is that wrong? 1511 01:08:07,920 --> 01:08:10,440 Speaker 5: Maybe I'm wrong on that, but at any rate, the 1512 01:08:10,680 --> 01:08:13,240 Speaker 5: Bengals offensive line ranks dead last in the league in 1513 01:08:13,240 --> 01:08:17,040 Speaker 5: the adjusted line yards run blocking metrics. So yeah, it's 1514 01:08:17,080 --> 01:08:19,120 Speaker 5: just hard to see any hope for the running game. 1515 01:08:19,160 --> 01:08:22,120 Speaker 5: And then the Bengals have given up ten sacks in 1516 01:08:22,200 --> 01:08:26,120 Speaker 5: face arguably the best pass rush in the league, or 1517 01:08:26,160 --> 01:08:28,240 Speaker 5: maybe it's screen Bays, you know, one of the best 1518 01:08:28,320 --> 01:08:29,360 Speaker 5: pass rushes. 1519 01:08:29,040 --> 01:08:29,519 Speaker 6: In the league. 1520 01:08:29,640 --> 01:08:32,559 Speaker 5: Nick Benito is just like that. Dude is darn near 1521 01:08:32,640 --> 01:08:35,600 Speaker 5: unblockable to the Broncos. He is just so good. I 1522 01:08:35,840 --> 01:08:37,679 Speaker 5: don't see much helpe for the Bengals offense. 1523 01:08:37,800 --> 01:08:45,720 Speaker 3: Honestly, FITZI, you're almost right. Chase Brown zero point zero two. 1524 01:08:45,640 --> 01:08:51,000 Speaker 4: George before he's barely at the positive baby by a. 1525 01:08:51,000 --> 01:08:53,439 Speaker 6: Toenail Blueto Blue Tarski. 1526 01:08:54,200 --> 01:08:59,680 Speaker 2: So bad, dude, it's so bad on that lovely note. 1527 01:08:59,720 --> 01:09:01,960 Speaker 1: Will go ahead and wrap up the show because we 1528 01:09:02,000 --> 01:09:05,000 Speaker 1: went a little long best luck to everybody here in 1529 01:09:05,040 --> 01:09:07,880 Speaker 1: week four for Debro and fits, I'm Ryan Warmley. 1530 01:09:07,880 --> 01:09:09,720 Speaker 2: Thanks for tuning in. We'll see again next time. 1531 01:09:10,040 --> 01:09:13,160 Speaker 1: Thanks for listening to the Fantasy Pros Fantasy Football podcast. 1532 01:09:13,320 --> 01:09:15,879 Speaker 1: If you love the show, the best freeway to support 1533 01:09:15,960 --> 01:09:19,080 Speaker 1: us is by leaving a positive review on Apple podcasts 1534 01:09:19,080 --> 01:09:22,400 Speaker 1: at Fantasypros dot com, slash review, or on Spotify. 1535 01:09:22,720 --> 01:09:23,760 Speaker 3: Follow us on x 1536 01:09:23,960 --> 01:09:27,280 Speaker 1: Instagram and TikTok at Fantasy Pros, and subscribe to our 1537 01:09:27,320 --> 01:09:30,040 Speaker 1: YouTube channel at YouTube dot com slash Fantasy Pros