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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites, the podcast from the Volume Podcast Network.

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Speaker 1: I am Chad Moment, Content Officer of the Action Network.

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Speaker 1: I am joined by my co hosts, my bff, my companion,

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Speaker 1: my compadre every episode Professional Better Simon Hunter. We are

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Speaker 1: on the eves, the eves of the Phillies playing the

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Speaker 1: Asters in the World series. It's a week from right now.

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Speaker 1: I mean, you're gonna be in person together. We can

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Speaker 1: we tell the fans where dude, let's talk about it.

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Speaker 1: We got it. A week from right now. A week

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Speaker 1: from right now, me you Matt Mitt show. We will

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Speaker 1: be descending on Lexington, Kentucky Thursday night. We're gonna hang

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Speaker 1: out with our friends Stucky to co host of the

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Speaker 1: Action Network NFL podcast with Raybond, which will reference in

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Speaker 1: the show. Then we'll be doing a live podcast. We're

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Speaker 1: super excited. We'll give more details about how people in

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Speaker 1: the area can attend as we get closer and as

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Speaker 1: we get them. But yeah, we'll be together. My man.

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Speaker 1: I can't wait. So I love it. I'm injocutingly Chad

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Speaker 1: the whole time. How we haven't been letting anyone know

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Speaker 1: that we're going there, And I just realized it's only

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Speaker 1: a week away. We're gonna get to this place. I

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Speaker 1: have a live showing. Two people are gonna be there,

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Speaker 1: which wouldn't be the worst thing, too loyal fans show up.

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Speaker 1: But by listen to me. Do you know how many

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Speaker 1: times I've done book signings where there can be two

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Speaker 1: hundred and literally one There was one book signing that

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Speaker 1: I did for the book I did about the Steelers

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Speaker 1: and the Cowboys, and I co wrote it with somebody,

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Speaker 1: and look, that was a best seller, one of the

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Speaker 1: four of the seven books I've written. But we did

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Speaker 1: a book signing in Pittsburgh. There were two authors there,

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Speaker 1: one guest. You never don't know what's gonna happen live events.

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Speaker 1: That's what makes them exciting. You can be completely surprised

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Speaker 1: or you can be completely tickled with sadness. I'm sure

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Speaker 1: you had a month's notice to all these people before

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Speaker 1: you went to these books signings. I'm just don't feel bad, peop.

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Speaker 1: If you can't make it the electings end, we're giving

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Speaker 1: you a week notice. I'm sure. I mean Chad will

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Speaker 1: do other live events, will meet people. I know people

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Speaker 1: always ask like can we get a drinks and meeting

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Speaker 1: you guys. We'll figure something out. This is more like

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Speaker 1: this is about the volume, right, So this is through

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Speaker 1: the volume. This is where we're all going there. So

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Speaker 1: Matt Mitch once lets everyone know. The Favorites episodes will

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Speaker 1: be done as normal. We'll still be putting out the

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Speaker 1: show Thursday Friday morning. Hey, thanks Chad and Simon. I'll

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Speaker 1: jump in here for the logistics. So next week Chad,

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Speaker 1: Simon and I are heading to Lexington, Kentucky for the

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Speaker 1: Breeders Cup. Here's the deal with the schedule for the show. Tuesday,

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Speaker 1: no changes. Will release the show like we always do

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Speaker 1: late Tuesday into Wednesday morning. That show will also record

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Speaker 1: live on AMP just after one thirty pm in the afternoon.

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Speaker 1: Then on Thursday, we're all gonna fly to Lexington. We

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Speaker 1: will record together in some hotel room. That again, the

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Speaker 1: podcast version exactly the same, will come out late Thursday

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Speaker 1: into Friday morning, same as always. That show will also

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Speaker 1: release live on AMP to PM Eastern time. That would

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Speaker 1: be my guest right now. Then we'll have a bonus

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Speaker 1: podcast episode that will record in person in Lexington for

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Speaker 1: the Breeders Cup will cover NFL Stuff, World Series Stuff.

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Speaker 1: Breeders Cup Stuff will record that and then release it

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Speaker 1: immediately upon completion. Should be somewhere around noon Eastern next

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Speaker 1: week if you don't care about AMP podcast will have

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Speaker 1: its normal episode out late Tuesday into Wednesday, late Thursday

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Speaker 1: into Friday, and a bonus episode Friday afternoon from Lexington,

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Speaker 1: So that's all you need to know if you're just

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Speaker 1: a podcast listener, will have a Wednesday morning, a Friday morning,

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Speaker 1: and a Friday after neon bonus episode. Doing doing a

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Speaker 1: live show, obviously, we'll be able to meet some people

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Speaker 1: in the local area. I think we'll be pretty cool

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Speaker 1: to meet actual fans because for the most part I've

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Speaker 1: literally had I don't know, I would say eighty interactions

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Speaker 1: seventy interactions with fans of the show, just one one

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Speaker 1: bad egg out of all of it, and to me,

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Speaker 1: that's pretty good, pretty good numbers to start this thing

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Speaker 1: off with. Speaking of pretty good numbers, we should get

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Speaker 1: to the shows we gave. We gotta finalize our final five.

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Speaker 1: We gotta give a big ball better the week. We

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Speaker 1: gotta do some scooch Roulette. We'll probably do a money

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Speaker 1: line round Robin Parla. Not probably, we will, but first

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Speaker 1: before we get to anything, we gotta do surf cos Hello,

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Speaker 1: who's there? I'm talking somebody say? This is of course,

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Speaker 1: when we get some feedback from the professional betters who

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Speaker 1: listen to the show and they give us their take

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Speaker 1: on what we got right and what we got wrong

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Speaker 1: from the previous episode. Simon, what are people saying? I

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Speaker 1: feel like it was again this isn't gonna help, but

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Speaker 1: I guess our live listeners, so I'll just be brief.

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Speaker 1: I just gonna believe how many guys like the Bucks tonight. Um,

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Speaker 1: it feels like they're just betting a spot and trying

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Speaker 1: to be sharper than they're sharp. It's just I don't

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Speaker 1: get the reason behind it. But that was one of

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Speaker 1: the bigger calls I got, and I just told them simply,

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Speaker 1: there's no no world Me and Chad we're gonna have

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Speaker 1: a bocks in our contest and I got great spot,

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Speaker 1: but I just can't do it. So when they agreed

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Speaker 1: on us with um that I think you've come around

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Speaker 1: on it was the Cowboys again. They logged they talked

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Speaker 1: to us about it last week. Mean Chad or on

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Speaker 1: the other side. Look, we didn't play the lines of

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Speaker 1: the contest. I think this week we're gonna do a

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Speaker 1: big spread. It's looking like the Cowboys like I like

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Speaker 1: the matchup, Chad, Chad loves loves watching videos of people celebrated.

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Speaker 1: Locker room are getting mad about it, which I love

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Speaker 1: about old man Chad. Well, listen that the what you're

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Speaker 1: referencing is of course we talked about. Listen as soon

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Speaker 1: as we saw that Cowboys Bears line, we both agreed

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Speaker 1: the Cowboys were the right side. And then of course

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Speaker 1: I'm on the social media, I follow the Bears everywhere,

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Speaker 1: and there is a celebration from the locker room. You

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Speaker 1: had talked about what the Bears were going to be

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Speaker 1: doing that after that game on Monday night, and of

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Speaker 1: course there was a celebration in the locker room. I

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Speaker 1: didn't even watch the whole thing. I just slacked you

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Speaker 1: and Matt Mitchell. I'm like, fading the Bears. That was it.

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Speaker 1: I sent you the link and the fade the Bears.

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Speaker 1: I'm fading the Bears. I'm with you. So I knew

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Speaker 1: we were had a couple of calls of guys back

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Speaker 1: on that one because I'm starting to see a trend,

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Speaker 1: a little bit of a trend here of just them

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Speaker 1: behind the dip on Dallas, right, I think Dallas, they're

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Speaker 1: clearly really good. Like there's three or four teams NFC

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Speaker 1: that are just performing really well. I mean, there's no

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Speaker 1: denying at this point. The Cowboys have an incredible defense.

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Speaker 1: So I wasn't surprised getting that call again. We'll break

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Speaker 1: that down, mooards you go along here. The one they

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Speaker 1: want to stay away from, which I still think I like. Okay, Um,

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Speaker 1: it was Vegas. They see it as a good spot

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Speaker 1: for this Saints team. They think they're undervalued. Um, can't

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Speaker 1: talk to me out that one again. We'll talk more

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Speaker 1: about that as we go along here. But just surprising,

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Speaker 1: surprising here that so many guys like the Saints in

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Speaker 1: that spot. And then the one we have to take

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Speaker 1: apparently we can't not take chat Houston. We we we

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Speaker 1: thought that line was fishy, we thought it stunk a little.

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Speaker 1: We said, wait, maybe a better get some points back

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Speaker 1: on it. It's gone for one and a half up

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Speaker 1: to two and a half. Um Man again, that might

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Speaker 1: be and it might be our b B B B

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Speaker 1: Bed of the week. Um Man, that is. I just

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Speaker 1: couldn't believe it when they kept saying, so there's many

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Speaker 1: other options on the board, you really love that one.

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Speaker 1: It wasn't just like one or two professionals. It was

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Speaker 1: just about every guy talked to this past two days. So, um,

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Speaker 1: that's definitely we're gonna to dive into more because I

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Speaker 1: would love to hear you're out with that one. So

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Speaker 1: that have coming out of the call. The most confident

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Speaker 1: pick I felt was the Cowboys. Didn't hear much love,

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Speaker 1: um for our Cleveland picks Price. I think guys are

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Speaker 1: just scared to get in front of Joe Burrower right

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Speaker 1: now because he's playing so hot. And Uh, didn't hear

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Speaker 1: much love for the Jets. I think guys are like you,

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Speaker 1: they're like ready to get off the Jets training here.

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Speaker 1: So just an interesting week, a lot of pros because

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Speaker 1: there's so many home dogs home divisional dogs, which again

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Speaker 1: it's just very profitable to take in these positions. It's

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Speaker 1: really interesting, um, that you say that about the Texans,

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Speaker 1: because I'm starting to fall in love with the Texans here,

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Speaker 1: and I know we fall in love with the Texans

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Speaker 1: every single week. Um, but this is line enough to

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Speaker 1: be a really good spot, so we can we can

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Speaker 1: get into that for sure. UM, let's go down the

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Speaker 1: list here because there's a couple other games that I

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Speaker 1: want to that I want to get to. I agree

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Speaker 1: with the wise guys who are coming in and saying

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Speaker 1: they don't like the Jets. Um, it makes me nervous.

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Speaker 1: I'm trying to find the logic. There's two sides of

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Speaker 1: the coin here. Are you going against the team that

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Speaker 1: are you going with with the trend of playing the

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Speaker 1: team that got blown out on prime time and fading

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Speaker 1: the team that's on a hot streak that everybody is

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Speaker 1: falling in love with, or do you play the team

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Speaker 1: that is the home dog in a divisional matchup? Those

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Speaker 1: are the signals that were battling against and it ends

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Speaker 1: up being which one do you favor more? And the

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Speaker 1: reason I'm having a hard time is because these are

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Speaker 1: all the things that I look for at one time

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Speaker 1: playing against each other I look forward to. I think

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Speaker 1: the big thing that kept getting brought to me was

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Speaker 1: just all the Belichick. The Belichick trends first, that Jets team, Um,

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Speaker 1: they have had their number for all twenty years. He's

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Speaker 1: been in New England for some reason. They just even

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Speaker 1: when the Jets were good, they made all those AFC

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Speaker 1: Championship runs. I know they did beat the Patriots one

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Speaker 1: of those runs, but I think the Hris won the

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Speaker 1: division every year that that happened. Again, the Patriots have

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Speaker 1: just played well against him, Belichick. He's twelve and oh

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Speaker 1: right now against them last twelve times they played. I'm

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Speaker 1: trying to throw all that stuff out because I'm trying

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Speaker 1: to think this is the new Jets error, like they say,

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Speaker 1: the same old Jets him they got, they got the

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Speaker 1: players on this team. Um, it's it is brutal. Though

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Speaker 1: when you think about this is the time to fade

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Speaker 1: the Jets. I think that's where these pros are, right,

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Speaker 1: Like Chad just said, they're on four straight wins, four

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Speaker 1: straight covers, all his underdogs until last week, right, they

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Speaker 1: flipped to be a favorite. But I just think they're

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Speaker 1: still just being devalued by the public. Like the public

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Speaker 1: is coming and they bet the Patriots. Again, the pros

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Speaker 1: weren't saying they're betting the Patriots. They're just saying they're

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Speaker 1: not touching the Jets. I feel like that's a bad

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Speaker 1: spot to take them. So I don't know nothing really change.

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Speaker 1: I already did a teaser with them the Bucks because

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Speaker 1: we talked about on Tuesday. Bucks, you could have teased

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Speaker 1: him up the seven and a half. That was a

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Speaker 1: good number. The same thing with the Jets, Like I

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Speaker 1: probably should have waited, right the Jets are now up

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Speaker 1: to two and a half or one and a half,

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Speaker 1: But I just was like, you know it, I'll take

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Speaker 1: up the seven and a half. Matt Jones looks broken.

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Speaker 1: So they can keep saying all these trends, all these

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Speaker 1: things they want. I try to always take in all

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Speaker 1: this stuff, but I also have to trust my numbers

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Speaker 1: and trust this Jets team and the fact that they've

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Speaker 1: just been covering for me. They've been winning for me

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Speaker 1: and for the same things I like about him. Nothing's changed,

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Speaker 1: Like their defense is really good. Going up against a

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Speaker 1: team that's one dimension on right now, all you gotta

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Speaker 1: do is stop the run of the Patriots. You want again,

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Speaker 1: This sounds crazy to say you want Matt Jones throwing

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Speaker 1: the ball. He has been atrocious this year every time

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Speaker 1: he drops back. So maybe me and Chat will have

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Speaker 1: it in our contest, right, Maybe that that's how what

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Speaker 1: we'll do again. Like last week, we'll just stay away

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Speaker 1: from it. But nothing changed from me on the Jets team,

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Speaker 1: even though I know you're right, like this is me

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Speaker 1: staying on too long. I just I'm just playing the number.

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Speaker 1: And it's just like, who the hell are the Patriots

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Speaker 1: two and a half against the Jets? Like the Patriots

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Speaker 1: are we sure the Patriots are good? Right? Like That's

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Speaker 1: why I had to keep asking myself remember when they

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Speaker 1: played Green Bead with Zappi and like, yeah, they probably

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Speaker 1: should have won that game, but they didn't, and Green

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Speaker 1: Bay looks terrible. And then they beat up Cleveland, which

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Speaker 1: I don't know, Cleveland doesn't look like the best team.

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Speaker 1: So they're just I'm just I'm just a little weary

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Speaker 1: of this New England team, where this Jets team they've

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Speaker 1: been smacking everyone they've played, like ever since time in

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Speaker 1: Miami game, they've just been bullying these teams. So I

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Speaker 1: just feel like the Jets identity is more more tangible

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Speaker 1: to me right now than saying the New England Patriots

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Speaker 1: should just win this game because Belichick is twelve and

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Speaker 1: oh against the Jets number one. I've never seen such

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Speaker 1: concern on your face when we've talked about a game

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Speaker 1: you seem so conflicted because you believe in your heart

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Speaker 1: that the Jets are the right side. But I know,

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Speaker 1: how seriously would you take the opinion of other professional

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Speaker 1: betters and it is it is killing you right now

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Speaker 1: because it should be an auto player. I just don't

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Speaker 1: get it, and like, I can't to these guys if

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Speaker 1: it hits. But I'm not going to do that because

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Speaker 1: I try to be a pro. But geez, it feels

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Speaker 1: like we're missing one here. Uh well, look it, there's

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Speaker 1: I don't think we can put this in the contest

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Speaker 1: for a couple of reasons. I think there's way too

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Speaker 1: many conflicting signals to feel, you know, if we if

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Speaker 1: we if the contest is a reflection of our confidence

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Speaker 1: level in games, I don't think we have a confidence

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Speaker 1: level with the Jets that that will be higher than

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Speaker 1: five other games. Like there are four games that I've

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Speaker 1: squared that we didn't even put on the list on

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Speaker 1: Tuesday when we spoke. But I feel better about the Jets,

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Speaker 1: all right. So the other game that we talked about,

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Speaker 1: and I kind of want to take this off right now,

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Speaker 1: is the Falcons minus four and a half. So we

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Speaker 1: believed betting the Falcons and minus four and a half.

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Speaker 1: It was time to get back on the Falcons. Were

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Speaker 1: we bet the Falcons at plus six last week against

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Speaker 1: the Bengals didn't work out plus six and a half.

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Speaker 1: It was peak Falcons. We were wrong. We knew we

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Speaker 1: were stepping into it. This week, we got back on

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Speaker 1: the Falcons right away. I am very concerned about their

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Speaker 1: defensive secondary and that hey, they can't get pressure and

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Speaker 1: be they can't cover anybody. Now, Um, I'm not so

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Speaker 1: concerned about, you know, the Panthers beating them. I just

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Speaker 1: feel like, is my confidence level high enough on the

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Speaker 1: Falcons that I think this number is right compared to

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Speaker 1: other games that I like a little more. Okay, I

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Speaker 1: mean that's fair. Again, it's two divisional it's a divisional

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Speaker 1: game between two teams are just aren't that good. So

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Speaker 1: I agree with you, you you probably should take the points there.

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Speaker 1: I just think such an easy spot to fake Carolina

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Speaker 1: and such a letdown spot after such a big win,

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Speaker 1: so completely that the injury to the injury to yes,

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Speaker 1: who's an all Pro corner back to them, that's a

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Speaker 1: big deal. We talked about it last week. That was

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Speaker 1: a huge deal against the Bengals, so I'll ride with

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Speaker 1: you on that, right. I could stay away from that

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Speaker 1: one because there are a decent amount of other games

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Speaker 1: I like to this week, uh Lions plus three and

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Speaker 1: a half. Still love him, love him more than I

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Speaker 1: ever have. I've been tracking DeAndre Swift all week, full practice,

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Speaker 1: not on the injury list, Mamra st Brown expected back.

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Speaker 1: They're playing um at home. It's a bilow Sell high

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Speaker 1: on the Dolphins. Everything about this to me screams Detroit

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Speaker 1: rock City. Hello Detroit. We'll buy and I'll blame Chad

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Speaker 1: if it doesn't win. And of course I wanna be

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Speaker 1: on this one too. I'm just Chad knows. I'm fearful

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Speaker 1: of this dank gamble thing. Man, I do not like

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Speaker 1: what I've seen from Detroit these last couple of weeks.

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Speaker 1: They started out so well. I mean, the offense was incredible.

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Speaker 1: I know they had a bunch of injuries and that's

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Speaker 1: what really slowed them down. But man, it's just bad

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Speaker 1: vibes right now with a team that again, people don't

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Speaker 1: get it. If you're not winning, that's gonna take a

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Speaker 1: toll on you. And it's been a lot of years.

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Speaker 1: A lot of guys plouncer Troy team have not been

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Speaker 1: last year and this year included, so this has gotta

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Speaker 1: be everything game. That's why I'll rod with Chat on

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Speaker 1: it like again, this is this feels like this should

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Speaker 1: be it for Dan Campbell if they can't win this one.

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Speaker 1: But I've I don't know what to make of it. Um,

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Speaker 1: good number. Play the three and a half. We played

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Speaker 1: it every time, but Detroit that got to show it here.

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Speaker 1: Um again, i'mant Brown wo'd be great if he's back.

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Speaker 1: I think Chad nailed it. The Swift that's the big

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Speaker 1: deal to me. He is the game changer for them.

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Speaker 1: We've seen what they've been like without him, so they

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Speaker 1: desperately need Swift back and at three and a half,

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Speaker 1: that's great value. Um. I believe the lines will be

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Speaker 1: in our money line round robin underdog of course. Uh

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Speaker 1: all right, let's talk about the Seahawks. We haven't been

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Speaker 1: at minus three? Are they one of our five? Most confident? Uh?

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Speaker 1: Probably not, just because of the Giants are Giants are daddy?

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Speaker 1: Giants are six and one eight ts this season. In Chat,

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Speaker 1: I think our own five picking against them, So yeah,

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Speaker 1: that's the one one of you I'll stay off. But

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Speaker 1: if it's two and a half in the contest. Gotta

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Speaker 1: be tempting. Yeah, exactly, that's gonna really tempting. Taking a

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Speaker 1: short favorite there in a game that should land on

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Speaker 1: three like that feels like a good number. The Giants

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Speaker 1: are gonna be down ten. Daniel Jones will throw a touchdown,

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Speaker 1: the will somehow cover that three and a half three,

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Speaker 1: just because that's what the Giants have done all year.

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Speaker 1: So again, the luck metrics, I love them, follow them.

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Speaker 1: They're the number one luckiest team in football right now.

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Speaker 1: It's it's it's incredible what they've done with the talent

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Speaker 1: they have. But yeah, two and a half again, me

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Speaker 1: and Chad, we'll have a tough decision on Sunday to

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Speaker 1: make with the Seahawks are sitting there in contest, all right.

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Speaker 1: The last one on our list from the other day,

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Speaker 1: it's the Simon says we bet at Brown's plus three

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Speaker 1: and a half. It's now a three and a half. Yeah,

365
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Speaker 1: which we said that that was gonna happen. So what

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Speaker 1: is the trepidation here? I mean, I still love it.

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Speaker 1: I just I was shocked to know their pros are

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Speaker 1: on it. I think it's the Joe Burrow effect. Though

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Speaker 1: the guy is on a little bit of a heater

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Speaker 1: right now. Right they started out really slow. He's kind

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Speaker 1: of put it together and they've been beating up on

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Speaker 1: bad teams. Cleveland is viewed is a very bad team. Um.

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Speaker 1: I had a couple of people reach out about d

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Speaker 1: v o A. I'm the wrong guy. I hate d

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Speaker 1: v o A. I'm the biggest naysayer of d o A.

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Speaker 1: It's just the lazy man stat um. Again, this Bengals

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Speaker 1: team last year, d v o A, they were like

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Speaker 1: twenty they went to the Super Bowl. Dv A don't

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Speaker 1: mean shit. It's just a nice little parameter where it's like, yeah,

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Speaker 1: if I have a team that's the number one d

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Speaker 1: v o A defense going against the twenty nine d

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Speaker 1: b o A offense, sure that's meaningful. Okay, that's gonna matter,

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Speaker 1: But other stuff like that doesn't really matter to me,

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Speaker 1: especially when they're going off numbers of seven weeks in

385
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Speaker 1: a dd o A. It's like based off matchup schemes,

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Speaker 1: backup quarterbacks. A lot of stuff can get skewed that way.

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Speaker 1: So that was the biggest THINGE reach out to me about.

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Speaker 1: This is a horrible team. D v o A. Wise

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Speaker 1: the Browns go to get to high power offense d

390
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Speaker 1: v O A wise of this Bengals team, which, yeah,

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Speaker 1: it makes sense. The Bengals up it up a ship

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Speaker 1: ton of points and yards. The Browns have getting up

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Speaker 1: a ton of yards and points. They're not as bad

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Speaker 1: as their record has shown. The Browns again have lost

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Speaker 1: a bunch of close games. And we talk all the time.

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Speaker 1: I tried to get two freaked out about one possession

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Speaker 1: games because those are coin flips to me, and we've

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Speaker 1: seen in the Browns. I don't know if you saw

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Speaker 1: that clip with the Ravens, Chad. They called them for

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Speaker 1: whatever it was, off sides, false start. It was a

401
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Speaker 1: bad call. Like the band, the Browns probably should have

402
00:20:26,119 --> 00:20:28,280
Speaker 1: stole that game against the Ravens. I still think they're

403
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Speaker 1: being underrated. Where since he just beat the crap out

404
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Speaker 1: of Atlanta, it's just such a cell high spot on

405
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Speaker 1: an Atlanta team and a Brown teams that no one's

406
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Speaker 1: gonna bet. And I told you that a Monday night game,

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Speaker 1: everyone's gonna be chasing. You're gonna get a good number.

408
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Speaker 1: That's why I thought I would go back up a

409
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Speaker 1: three and a half. It moved quick, That moved quick

410
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Speaker 1: to three and a half. It literally went that night.

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Speaker 1: So um, you can keep waiting, maybe up for the four,

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Speaker 1: but I can promise you it's gonna be a pros

413
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Speaker 1: versus shows game. I know Pros are gonna come in

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Speaker 1: on the Browns. I know the public will have every teaser,

415
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Speaker 1: every money and parlay, everything tied to that money night game.

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Speaker 1: So it's just an easy spot for me to take

417
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Speaker 1: this Browns team. You hate d v O A H.

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Speaker 1: I think it's good though, if you're just if you're

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Speaker 1: lazy just trying to find quick numbers, I think it's

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Speaker 1: great because it's literally two lists and you're done, while

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Speaker 1: other people gotta do tons of work to find those numbers.

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Speaker 1: I have a question, but first I want to feel

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Speaker 1: some questions from the live listeners on AMPLE are sending

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Speaker 1: Matt Mitchell some questions in the chat. I would encourage

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Speaker 1: everyone to do that we can answer them live. Uh.

426
00:21:30,160 --> 00:21:33,520
Speaker 1: Is this a good game to bet live with the

427
00:21:33,520 --> 00:21:38,439
Speaker 1: assumption that it will end within three points either way? Yeah? Again,

428
00:21:38,520 --> 00:21:41,280
Speaker 1: I'm I'm the wrong guy for live betting because I'm

429
00:21:41,320 --> 00:21:43,159
Speaker 1: I don't do it because I can't really get that

430
00:21:43,240 --> 00:21:45,200
Speaker 1: much money down doing it. So that's why I rarely

431
00:21:45,240 --> 00:21:47,280
Speaker 1: ever give it out because it's like it's like the

432
00:21:47,359 --> 00:21:50,239
Speaker 1: ultimate cheat code. Yeah, there's plenty of times where, like

433
00:21:50,480 --> 00:21:53,840
Speaker 1: even off time I had the Bangle was playing the Ravens. Um,

434
00:21:53,960 --> 00:21:56,600
Speaker 1: we talked about the exact same scenario. The Ravens get

435
00:21:56,640 --> 00:21:58,399
Speaker 1: out fast and they played bad in the second half.

436
00:21:58,440 --> 00:22:00,040
Speaker 1: So the Ravens were up I think ten enough and

437
00:22:00,119 --> 00:22:02,480
Speaker 1: on the Bengals. The line, shall we up to eleven

438
00:22:02,480 --> 00:22:04,480
Speaker 1: and a half for the Bengals, right plus eleven and

439
00:22:04,480 --> 00:22:06,959
Speaker 1: a half? Yeah, I want to give that out as

440
00:22:06,960 --> 00:22:09,880
Speaker 1: an easy play. Of course, it's a divisional game. Two

441
00:22:09,880 --> 00:22:11,480
Speaker 1: teams are gonna keep it close. I think the final

442
00:22:11,560 --> 00:22:15,240
Speaker 1: score is Bravens by three. So divisional games like this,

443
00:22:15,359 --> 00:22:19,040
Speaker 1: I love playing live dogs, especially home dogs. Um, it's

444
00:22:19,080 --> 00:22:21,480
Speaker 1: always great opportunities to play these kind of things. So yeah,

445
00:22:21,520 --> 00:22:22,840
Speaker 1: if you if you just want to wait and play

446
00:22:22,880 --> 00:22:26,600
Speaker 1: it live always, I mean that's I said all the time.

447
00:22:26,680 --> 00:22:29,760
Speaker 1: Playing live is a lot easier than betting games beforehand. Um,

448
00:22:29,960 --> 00:22:32,560
Speaker 1: you can just find a lot of opportunities betting live,

449
00:22:32,640 --> 00:22:35,000
Speaker 1: but you're also getting a lot of trouble chasing. And

450
00:22:35,040 --> 00:22:36,800
Speaker 1: that's why I try not to give out live betting

451
00:22:36,840 --> 00:22:39,159
Speaker 1: because a lot of people get hurt that way, Like

452
00:22:39,200 --> 00:22:41,640
Speaker 1: they'll have a great more one o'clock afternoon, Right, they'll

453
00:22:41,640 --> 00:22:44,359
Speaker 1: win four out of five games, so they're ups, say

454
00:22:44,400 --> 00:22:47,440
Speaker 1: four hundred dollars. Then the next two games in the

455
00:22:47,440 --> 00:22:49,600
Speaker 1: four pms isn't going their way and they start chasing

456
00:22:49,840 --> 00:22:51,920
Speaker 1: and start using the money they had already won. That's

457
00:22:51,920 --> 00:22:53,520
Speaker 1: my issue with live betting, where it's like you just

458
00:22:53,560 --> 00:22:56,000
Speaker 1: take the l and move on instead of being like, no,

459
00:22:56,080 --> 00:22:58,080
Speaker 1: I'm right. This is why I'm keep hitting this live number.

460
00:22:58,119 --> 00:23:01,440
Speaker 1: But divisional games like this, I love playing the dog

461
00:23:01,520 --> 00:23:04,639
Speaker 1: especially I know what Joe Burrows team is. They're just

462
00:23:04,720 --> 00:23:08,560
Speaker 1: incredible second half defensively, Like Joe puts up twenty four

463
00:23:08,600 --> 00:23:10,840
Speaker 1: points and the Browns. The Browns have seven points head

464
00:23:10,840 --> 00:23:14,600
Speaker 1: into halftime, it's over. That's a dead bet, so that

465
00:23:14,680 --> 00:23:17,320
Speaker 1: I would not recommend. But again, if the Browns are

466
00:23:17,400 --> 00:23:21,280
Speaker 1: up fourteen nothing on the Bengals, hell yeah, coming on

467
00:23:21,320 --> 00:23:27,480
Speaker 1: the Bengals. You hate t v o A. What is

468
00:23:27,480 --> 00:23:31,800
Speaker 1: the stat that you look at as a better that

469
00:23:31,880 --> 00:23:38,639
Speaker 1: you feel is predictive. My big reason I think I

470
00:23:38,720 --> 00:23:40,280
Speaker 1: have a little bit of an edge on most books

471
00:23:40,320 --> 00:23:42,800
Speaker 1: is I'm really into d line playing offensive line play.

472
00:23:42,960 --> 00:23:45,760
Speaker 1: So to me, if you can go into different sites

473
00:23:45,920 --> 00:23:48,720
Speaker 1: and look at different run blocking schemes, different offensive schemes,

474
00:23:48,960 --> 00:23:50,359
Speaker 1: and then you go and see how the D line

475
00:23:50,400 --> 00:23:54,639
Speaker 1: performs against those schemes. Again, Pro Football Focus they have

476
00:23:54,920 --> 00:23:57,199
Speaker 1: they have good numbers over there. Again there, I think

477
00:23:57,280 --> 00:23:59,199
Speaker 1: that books just won't account for because they don't care

478
00:23:59,200 --> 00:24:01,760
Speaker 1: about that stuff. So Carolina last week, if you would

479
00:24:01,760 --> 00:24:05,000
Speaker 1: have looked at it, they performed really well against the

480
00:24:05,040 --> 00:24:07,080
Speaker 1: certain blocking scheme of the books. We're gonna run right.

481
00:24:07,080 --> 00:24:09,560
Speaker 1: The books could not run the ball, made them one

482
00:24:09,600 --> 00:24:12,240
Speaker 1: dimensional and that was a huge advantage for Carolina. Did

483
00:24:12,280 --> 00:24:14,639
Speaker 1: I nail that pick? No? But me and Chad were

484
00:24:14,640 --> 00:24:16,840
Speaker 1: simply You're like, yeah, you take the home divisional dog.

485
00:24:17,240 --> 00:24:19,400
Speaker 1: We weren't blindly just saying that, right, there's always gonna

486
00:24:19,440 --> 00:24:22,280
Speaker 1: numbers backing up stuff. Just do people really want me

487
00:24:22,280 --> 00:24:24,760
Speaker 1: to come on here and break down the offensive line

488
00:24:24,760 --> 00:24:27,199
Speaker 1: offensive line play? I mean there's other shows that do that.

489
00:24:27,280 --> 00:24:30,440
Speaker 1: So to me, I'm looking for edges and places people

490
00:24:30,440 --> 00:24:34,200
Speaker 1: aren't looking, and that's where I find big discrepancies. Again,

491
00:24:34,280 --> 00:24:38,280
Speaker 1: I missed a big time on um the lines. Right.

492
00:24:38,359 --> 00:24:40,760
Speaker 1: I had the lines graded as my third best offensive line.

493
00:24:41,160 --> 00:24:43,679
Speaker 1: Big miss I also had the Eagles. My number one

494
00:24:43,680 --> 00:24:46,080
Speaker 1: grade in Kansas City is my number two graded. Okay,

495
00:24:46,119 --> 00:24:48,560
Speaker 1: we see my Eagles future is my super Bowl feature

496
00:24:48,600 --> 00:24:51,160
Speaker 1: is great. On the Chiefs, it wasn't me just betting

497
00:24:51,200 --> 00:24:53,959
Speaker 1: their offensive line. It was more about you're giving me

498
00:24:54,240 --> 00:24:56,520
Speaker 1: my homes behind the best offensive line. And the same

499
00:24:56,560 --> 00:24:59,359
Speaker 1: thing with the Eagles. It's like I was Basically I

500
00:24:59,480 --> 00:25:02,280
Speaker 1: liked all the talent on paper, it was all about hurts.

501
00:25:02,480 --> 00:25:04,680
Speaker 1: So to me, if people want to know what my

502
00:25:04,960 --> 00:25:08,040
Speaker 1: advantages and what I'm looking for, that's where I really start. Honestly,

503
00:25:08,080 --> 00:25:10,760
Speaker 1: I look in the trenches and that's where you'll find

504
00:25:10,800 --> 00:25:12,840
Speaker 1: so much value because no one wants to look at

505
00:25:12,880 --> 00:25:16,080
Speaker 1: that stuff. It's boring, it's bland. No one talks about it.

506
00:25:16,359 --> 00:25:19,240
Speaker 1: But I'm telling you there's a whole little world inside

507
00:25:19,240 --> 00:25:22,240
Speaker 1: that offensive defensive line matchups that you'll be able to find.

508
00:25:22,400 --> 00:25:27,760
Speaker 1: You'll be able to find value in certain games that way. Um,

509
00:25:27,800 --> 00:25:29,879
Speaker 1: that's fascinating. I mean, I don't want to shoot on

510
00:25:29,920 --> 00:25:31,320
Speaker 1: d you a that. I'm telling you. If you're just

511
00:25:31,359 --> 00:25:33,159
Speaker 1: a sports fan, you want to look at something for

512
00:25:33,240 --> 00:25:36,320
Speaker 1: one minute, do it. It's the perfect lazy man thing.

513
00:25:36,760 --> 00:25:39,760
Speaker 1: But if you're just blindly betting. You're you're gonna ge,

514
00:25:39,760 --> 00:25:43,000
Speaker 1: You're gonna get screwed. It's public. Everyone has those numbers

515
00:25:43,000 --> 00:25:45,600
Speaker 1: and everyone uses that numbers. There's no there's no advantage

516
00:25:45,600 --> 00:25:48,360
Speaker 1: onlines simply betting d V O A. It's it's too

517
00:25:48,359 --> 00:25:50,960
Speaker 1: publicly known to find advantage. I just think it's nice

518
00:25:50,960 --> 00:25:52,440
Speaker 1: for a baseline. So that's what I don't want to

519
00:25:52,440 --> 00:25:54,240
Speaker 1: shoot on it. I know people use it. I just

520
00:25:54,240 --> 00:25:56,520
Speaker 1: want to make it my number one thing. It's fascinating

521
00:25:57,000 --> 00:26:02,400
Speaker 1: um For years, I know of professional betters they're watching

522
00:26:02,920 --> 00:26:06,280
Speaker 1: the second game of preseason, the third game of preseason,

523
00:26:06,680 --> 00:26:08,680
Speaker 1: years ago when there was a fourth game, a fourth

524
00:26:08,680 --> 00:26:13,520
Speaker 1: game of preseason. Not because they're betting crazy amounts on

525
00:26:13,560 --> 00:26:17,040
Speaker 1: these games. They want to grade the second string right tackle,

526
00:26:17,440 --> 00:26:20,200
Speaker 1: they want to grade the third string left guard because

527
00:26:20,400 --> 00:26:23,919
Speaker 1: at some point of those players are gonna have to play.

528
00:26:24,040 --> 00:26:27,240
Speaker 1: And they always found the advantage in offensive line play,

529
00:26:27,520 --> 00:26:29,680
Speaker 1: and whoever was backfilling, and if they were good or

530
00:26:29,720 --> 00:26:31,800
Speaker 1: not was going to have a huge impact on whether

531
00:26:31,880 --> 00:26:35,040
Speaker 1: or not they found value in the number. It's like,

532
00:26:35,600 --> 00:26:39,160
Speaker 1: you're right, Look, you're talking to a guy who's full

533
00:26:39,320 --> 00:26:46,600
Speaker 1: belief in philosophy about building teams is an offensive line metaphor.

534
00:26:46,680 --> 00:26:51,399
Speaker 1: When we were starting Action Network before it even begun,

535
00:26:51,520 --> 00:26:54,560
Speaker 1: Like I left ESPN, I'm sitting in the VC office

536
00:26:54,600 --> 00:26:57,880
Speaker 1: of the place that was founding it UM and we're

537
00:26:57,920 --> 00:27:00,040
Speaker 1: talking about who we want to hire and talent it

538
00:27:00,680 --> 00:27:03,800
Speaker 1: And they've got all these names on the board of

539
00:27:03,880 --> 00:27:08,200
Speaker 1: people who are high profile, who we know like sports betting. Again,

540
00:27:08,240 --> 00:27:11,200
Speaker 1: this is two seventeen, Like we knew these people like

541
00:27:11,280 --> 00:27:14,439
Speaker 1: sports betting, but they weren't doing sports betting, and they

542
00:27:14,440 --> 00:27:16,080
Speaker 1: want to spend this much money and this much money.

543
00:27:16,119 --> 00:27:20,560
Speaker 1: I'm like, you, guys, we gotta hire of the offensive line. Like,

544
00:27:21,080 --> 00:27:23,240
Speaker 1: we cannot put anything out if we don't have the

545
00:27:23,280 --> 00:27:25,560
Speaker 1: people who are making the decisions and putting stuff on

546
00:27:25,560 --> 00:27:29,560
Speaker 1: the website. I'm a huge believer in building a round

547
00:27:29,560 --> 00:27:33,080
Speaker 1: our offensive line. Again, people building out models, if that's

548
00:27:33,119 --> 00:27:34,800
Speaker 1: where I start a lot of my edges, Like I

549
00:27:34,920 --> 00:27:38,280
Speaker 1: look offensive deal, defensive line play by talk all the time.

550
00:27:38,840 --> 00:27:40,960
Speaker 1: If you're building a football model, the number one thing

551
00:27:41,000 --> 00:27:44,520
Speaker 1: is always gonna be quarterback. Like again, that's there's not

552
00:27:44,560 --> 00:27:47,320
Speaker 1: too many Giants, Jets teams out there that can hide

553
00:27:47,359 --> 00:27:50,080
Speaker 1: their QB and have it work for him. But certain

554
00:27:50,080 --> 00:27:51,879
Speaker 1: schemes can do that. So that's just something you need

555
00:27:51,920 --> 00:27:54,399
Speaker 1: to be a paying attention to. Right now, we like

556
00:27:54,520 --> 00:27:57,480
Speaker 1: the lines a lot plus three and a half. Uh,

557
00:27:57,560 --> 00:28:01,040
Speaker 1: everything else we're wavering. So to throw up some other teams,

558
00:28:01,960 --> 00:28:04,040
Speaker 1: I would not be uncomfortable putting the Cowboys in at

559
00:28:04,040 --> 00:28:06,359
Speaker 1: minus nine and a half. Yeah, auto play it for

560
00:28:06,440 --> 00:28:08,320
Speaker 1: me again. We touched on it where we like the

561
00:28:08,359 --> 00:28:12,240
Speaker 1: defensive matchup. We like Michael Parsons against the fields. But

562
00:28:12,280 --> 00:28:15,359
Speaker 1: the biggest thing is just this Cowboys team's defense is

563
00:28:15,400 --> 00:28:18,040
Speaker 1: built for the exact style that this Bears offense likes

564
00:28:18,080 --> 00:28:21,920
Speaker 1: to run. So to me, they might find an edge

565
00:28:21,920 --> 00:28:24,359
Speaker 1: and running right that might be where they look to

566
00:28:24,359 --> 00:28:26,520
Speaker 1: find edge. And the Bears, but they had the same

567
00:28:26,560 --> 00:28:29,600
Speaker 1: tape we all have, like you gotta bring you just

568
00:28:29,600 --> 00:28:31,560
Speaker 1: gotta bring the house to stop the run and have

569
00:28:31,600 --> 00:28:33,800
Speaker 1: a QB spot for fields and you'll be good. The

570
00:28:33,880 --> 00:28:36,000
Speaker 1: kid doesn't get it. You can't hold to the ball

571
00:28:36,040 --> 00:28:38,000
Speaker 1: for as long as he holds onto the ball. Now

572
00:28:38,040 --> 00:28:39,960
Speaker 1: you're gonna going to get the defensive line that is

573
00:28:40,120 --> 00:28:41,800
Speaker 1: a wall be the best on football at sacking the

574
00:28:41,880 --> 00:28:43,920
Speaker 1: quarterback and against the quarterback that holds on the ball

575
00:28:43,960 --> 00:28:46,080
Speaker 1: too long. So it's the same spot when we kind

576
00:28:46,080 --> 00:28:50,880
Speaker 1: of faded that we took the Cowboys against the Washington Commanders, Like, yeah,

577
00:28:50,920 --> 00:28:53,480
Speaker 1: it was more people all over the Washington that spot there,

578
00:28:53,520 --> 00:28:55,600
Speaker 1: like this is this number is a fishing number. We

579
00:28:55,760 --> 00:28:57,880
Speaker 1: kept saying, it's when slow against that d line. I

580
00:28:57,880 --> 00:29:00,400
Speaker 1: got that holds onto the ball too much number two

581
00:29:00,400 --> 00:29:02,280
Speaker 1: and holding the ball the longest right now, being great

582
00:29:02,280 --> 00:29:04,960
Speaker 1: out this year is fields. So just a bad matchup

583
00:29:05,000 --> 00:29:07,880
Speaker 1: for a Bears team coming off a huge win. Again,

584
00:29:07,920 --> 00:29:10,000
Speaker 1: we talked about being a letdown spot. You mix that

585
00:29:10,080 --> 00:29:14,040
Speaker 1: in a young team and in a great the young

586
00:29:14,080 --> 00:29:16,120
Speaker 1: team with a big, great win on Monday night game,

587
00:29:16,520 --> 00:29:18,800
Speaker 1: it's never a good formula for them the following week.

588
00:29:19,080 --> 00:29:20,640
Speaker 1: Now you're going on the road to play against the

589
00:29:20,680 --> 00:29:23,200
Speaker 1: Dallas team. That's just you know, getting after in every

590
00:29:23,240 --> 00:29:28,040
Speaker 1: game against the quarterback. So yeah, getting back no brainer. Alright.

591
00:29:28,120 --> 00:29:31,600
Speaker 1: Another game that I have completely fallen in love with

592
00:29:31,720 --> 00:29:33,959
Speaker 1: over the past few days, and we talked about it

593
00:29:34,160 --> 00:29:37,400
Speaker 1: on the podcast earlier this week. You asked my opinion.

594
00:29:37,880 --> 00:29:39,479
Speaker 1: I didn't love it, but I felt like we had

595
00:29:39,520 --> 00:29:43,320
Speaker 1: to do it the Arizona Cardinals, And the more I

596
00:29:43,360 --> 00:29:45,760
Speaker 1: look at this, I was doing some research this morning

597
00:29:46,240 --> 00:29:48,080
Speaker 1: on my own I was doing the research and then

598
00:29:48,120 --> 00:29:50,680
Speaker 1: I listened to Raybun and Stucky on the Action Network

599
00:29:50,680 --> 00:29:55,480
Speaker 1: podcast and they confirmed it for me. Um, this is

600
00:29:55,520 --> 00:29:57,880
Speaker 1: a different team with DeAndre Hopkins. And I said this

601
00:29:58,040 --> 00:30:00,880
Speaker 1: the other day. This team Kyler mur seventeen and ten

602
00:30:01,120 --> 00:30:04,800
Speaker 1: with DeAndre Hopkins six thirteen and one without him. Hopkins

603
00:30:04,840 --> 00:30:08,880
Speaker 1: comes back, goes for ten and three last week. Uh,

604
00:30:08,920 --> 00:30:11,040
Speaker 1: they're playing in Minnesota, team that I still think is

605
00:30:11,080 --> 00:30:13,400
Speaker 1: a bit of a fraud and has been getting lucky,

606
00:30:13,760 --> 00:30:17,920
Speaker 1: and their defense is dreadful. Defense is the last three

607
00:30:17,960 --> 00:30:21,240
Speaker 1: games they've had fewer yards per play than the team

608
00:30:21,280 --> 00:30:24,080
Speaker 1: they played, which to me shows the other team has

609
00:30:24,080 --> 00:30:27,440
Speaker 1: actually played better. They've gotten good bounces, there's a regression.

610
00:30:27,960 --> 00:30:31,840
Speaker 1: They are terrible at covering a number one receiver. Everything

611
00:30:31,840 --> 00:30:34,720
Speaker 1: to me lines up and I will say this. I

612
00:30:34,760 --> 00:30:40,680
Speaker 1: got a theory. We're about to enter November. Cliff Kingsbury

613
00:30:40,760 --> 00:30:44,080
Speaker 1: usually turns into the worst coach in the NFL in November.

614
00:30:44,800 --> 00:30:47,520
Speaker 1: What if we're living in a bizarro Cliff Kingsbury universe

615
00:30:47,520 --> 00:30:50,480
Speaker 1: where because he's getting DeAndre Hopkins back, and because the

616
00:30:50,480 --> 00:30:53,720
Speaker 1: Cardinals were so bad earlier the year, the Colonel has

617
00:30:53,720 --> 00:30:56,640
Speaker 1: actually become good. So I like the Cardinals plus four.

618
00:30:56,880 --> 00:30:59,560
Speaker 1: Love him, love him in the contest, love him in

619
00:30:59,600 --> 00:31:03,800
Speaker 1: the car test. We might have a bet off. Brother. No, yeah,

620
00:31:03,880 --> 00:31:09,920
Speaker 1: I flipped. I like the Biking. I'm so sorry. I do.

621
00:31:10,200 --> 00:31:12,880
Speaker 1: I do. I know they're they're they're getting you though

622
00:31:13,000 --> 00:31:16,960
Speaker 1: sharp track, They're getting you. Don't do it, Chad, you

623
00:31:17,080 --> 00:31:23,080
Speaker 1: know better. Vikings one o'clock at home. I should have

624
00:31:23,120 --> 00:31:25,840
Speaker 1: known better to get sucked in on this Cardinal's love.

625
00:31:26,280 --> 00:31:28,320
Speaker 1: Of course, they're giving us plus three and a half.

626
00:31:28,680 --> 00:31:31,160
Speaker 1: They want us to take this game so bad. They're

627
00:31:31,200 --> 00:31:33,720
Speaker 1: begging you to take Arizona. I guess what the public

628
00:31:33,840 --> 00:31:37,640
Speaker 1: is doing. They're coming in heavy on Arizona. Chad getting

629
00:31:37,680 --> 00:31:42,360
Speaker 1: sucked in the Hopkins hype. I'm gonna lose money on Kirk.

630
00:31:42,480 --> 00:31:45,440
Speaker 1: I've already accepted it. I gotta back it. So this

631
00:31:45,520 --> 00:31:47,320
Speaker 1: sadly will not be in our contest because there's no

632
00:31:47,360 --> 00:31:49,640
Speaker 1: way I'm taking the Cardinals here. I had a couple

633
00:31:49,640 --> 00:31:52,719
Speaker 1: of calls about it, um a couple of sharps on

634
00:31:52,840 --> 00:31:55,040
Speaker 1: the Vikings as well, but that didn't even flipped me.

635
00:31:55,080 --> 00:31:56,560
Speaker 1: It was just more looking at the day, and it's

636
00:31:56,600 --> 00:32:00,320
Speaker 1: just like Arizona sucks. They probably should have lost to

637
00:32:00,360 --> 00:32:03,120
Speaker 1: New Orleans last week. They got very lucky on two picks.

638
00:32:03,160 --> 00:32:06,000
Speaker 1: Six is before the half. They haven't fixed a lot

639
00:32:06,000 --> 00:32:08,400
Speaker 1: of their issues. I like the Hopkins move. I agree

640
00:32:08,680 --> 00:32:11,440
Speaker 1: that's a big upgrade for them. He doesn't fix anything

641
00:32:11,480 --> 00:32:16,240
Speaker 1: for them. On offense, they got major issues. So to me, Vikings,

642
00:32:16,440 --> 00:32:20,080
Speaker 1: full game, Vikings, first half. The Cardinals ain't doing it.

643
00:32:20,800 --> 00:32:29,360
Speaker 1: Dude off, we got a full on bet off. Who's

644
00:32:29,360 --> 00:32:33,320
Speaker 1: gonna be my bitch? I want to know I'm bet

645
00:32:33,320 --> 00:32:36,640
Speaker 1: off so I'm feeling good. Oh my god, I can't

646
00:32:36,640 --> 00:32:38,520
Speaker 1: believe I gotta have this much pressure on the game.

647
00:32:38,520 --> 00:32:40,240
Speaker 1: I've already bet the game, and now I gotta have

648
00:32:40,280 --> 00:32:42,920
Speaker 1: a bet off. I bet it too. I bought out

649
00:32:42,920 --> 00:32:44,800
Speaker 1: of my position though, because I was. I was with

650
00:32:44,840 --> 00:32:47,240
Speaker 1: you on Tuesday. It's like, hell yeah, you take the

651
00:32:47,280 --> 00:32:50,560
Speaker 1: Cardinals here every time, Like Kirk is not that good.

652
00:32:50,640 --> 00:32:52,800
Speaker 1: Their record, They're not what their record says they are.

653
00:32:53,440 --> 00:32:55,840
Speaker 1: But when you really break down the film and the

654
00:32:55,880 --> 00:33:00,400
Speaker 1: numbers on Arizona Chat, they are broken again. I even

655
00:33:00,400 --> 00:33:01,960
Speaker 1: when the Rams being as bad they are, I still

656
00:33:02,040 --> 00:33:06,800
Speaker 1: see the Cardinals finishing fourth in this division. I am shocked.

657
00:33:06,880 --> 00:33:11,520
Speaker 1: We're in a better off about the Cardinals. Start the

658
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686
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691
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692
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Speaker 1: Tennessee redline is one eight hundred eight eight nine nine

693
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694
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695
00:35:16,600 --> 00:35:18,880
Speaker 1: want to get to the big balls. Well, I just

696
00:35:18,920 --> 00:35:21,120
Speaker 1: said Texans as you said big balls, and look at

697
00:35:22,320 --> 00:35:24,600
Speaker 1: I feel like that just shows that you and I

698
00:35:24,600 --> 00:35:26,720
Speaker 1: are having the mind meld that we always have except

699
00:35:26,760 --> 00:35:31,200
Speaker 1: on our big bet offs. Healthy relationship. It's true, It's

700
00:35:31,239 --> 00:35:38,560
Speaker 1: totally true. Uh, it's big balls better than week. Really

701
00:35:38,560 --> 00:35:40,759
Speaker 1: gonna take some big balls, right Chat, this this might

702
00:35:40,760 --> 00:35:42,439
Speaker 1: be one of our bigger balls bet of the week

703
00:35:42,520 --> 00:35:45,440
Speaker 1: of the year. Houston looks dead, they were People are

704
00:35:45,480 --> 00:35:48,239
Speaker 1: leaving them for dead. They they view them as the

705
00:35:48,280 --> 00:35:51,719
Speaker 1: worst team in football, which they might be mean. Chat

706
00:35:51,800 --> 00:35:54,000
Speaker 1: might be walking right into it betting against their divisional

707
00:35:54,080 --> 00:35:57,200
Speaker 1: leader in Tennessee. But I do think Daniels banged up.

708
00:35:57,239 --> 00:35:59,719
Speaker 1: I think that's real. The amount of professionals that reached

709
00:35:59,719 --> 00:36:01,279
Speaker 1: out to he said they like Houston here for that

710
00:36:01,360 --> 00:36:05,160
Speaker 1: simple fact of he's not healthy. Um, we'll do it.

711
00:36:05,200 --> 00:36:07,480
Speaker 1: We'll walk right into it. This is gonna be painful

712
00:36:07,520 --> 00:36:10,160
Speaker 1: as hell. Play the number here, people, two and a

713
00:36:10,160 --> 00:36:13,759
Speaker 1: half should not be what it is like. This is

714
00:36:14,239 --> 00:36:17,640
Speaker 1: this is uh another game this week. The public is

715
00:36:17,680 --> 00:36:20,440
Speaker 1: gonna view is free money and the books aren't your friends.

716
00:36:20,520 --> 00:36:22,960
Speaker 1: They're not just giving away money, They're setting you up

717
00:36:22,960 --> 00:36:27,080
Speaker 1: for a trip. So I like the Houston aspect. The

718
00:36:27,080 --> 00:36:30,239
Speaker 1: only worry with Houston is this is seller's week, right,

719
00:36:30,360 --> 00:36:33,399
Speaker 1: So you know, if you want to get the hell

720
00:36:33,400 --> 00:36:35,560
Speaker 1: out of Houston, this is the week you tank because

721
00:36:35,560 --> 00:36:38,279
Speaker 1: you're gonna get traded for the deadline this upcoming week.

722
00:36:38,800 --> 00:36:41,840
Speaker 1: But I I look at the match up, the scheme

723
00:36:42,880 --> 00:36:45,680
Speaker 1: this This Tennessee team just has not been playing that well. Again,

724
00:36:45,680 --> 00:36:47,840
Speaker 1: their defense is really but what's holding that team together

725
00:36:47,960 --> 00:36:49,759
Speaker 1: through a bunch of different games or defense just gets

726
00:36:49,760 --> 00:36:53,960
Speaker 1: the turnament makes the plays. Houston historically in this position

727
00:36:54,000 --> 00:36:58,920
Speaker 1: plays well against Tennessee, so so divisional home dog. You

728
00:36:58,960 --> 00:37:01,319
Speaker 1: can't take all of them, but this is one of

729
00:37:01,320 --> 00:37:03,280
Speaker 1: these where if I can't get the Jets in the contest,

730
00:37:03,320 --> 00:37:06,480
Speaker 1: you gotta least let me get Texans in. Dude, I'm

731
00:37:06,520 --> 00:37:13,880
Speaker 1: with you on this. I love this marking down. I

732
00:37:13,880 --> 00:37:16,160
Speaker 1: I heard a stat I think on the Action Network

733
00:37:16,160 --> 00:37:22,320
Speaker 1: PoID this morning that the texts the Titans are allowing

734
00:37:22,360 --> 00:37:24,680
Speaker 1: twenty one points a game and scoring nineteen points a

735
00:37:24,680 --> 00:37:27,040
Speaker 1: game and yet the four and two and leading the division.

736
00:37:27,320 --> 00:37:29,239
Speaker 1: That's probably what the Bills just beat the crap. I

737
00:37:29,239 --> 00:37:31,280
Speaker 1: don't know what I'm gonna This is not a great

738
00:37:31,280 --> 00:37:35,600
Speaker 1: football team right now. No, no, So I love the

739
00:37:35,640 --> 00:37:37,799
Speaker 1: Texans at plus two and a half. Year as you

740
00:37:37,840 --> 00:37:39,800
Speaker 1: were talking, hoping to get the three though, right, the

741
00:37:39,800 --> 00:37:43,399
Speaker 1: public will keep hammering, uh Tennessee. So if me chau

742
00:37:43,480 --> 00:37:45,040
Speaker 1: get three in the contest three and half, that would

743
00:37:45,040 --> 00:37:46,960
Speaker 1: be amazing. I gotta is you're taking a two and

744
00:37:46,960 --> 00:37:51,279
Speaker 1: a half though. Well. As as you were talking, um,

745
00:37:52,000 --> 00:37:55,400
Speaker 1: I went into the Action Network app, I clicked on

746
00:37:55,480 --> 00:37:58,480
Speaker 1: this game. I used fan to a quick slip and

747
00:37:58,560 --> 00:38:00,600
Speaker 1: made the bet as you were talking. King took me

748
00:38:00,600 --> 00:38:06,520
Speaker 1: about thirteen seconds. It was that easy. What number? I

749
00:38:06,560 --> 00:38:07,960
Speaker 1: took it at two and a half and a half.

750
00:38:08,760 --> 00:38:10,239
Speaker 1: I'm okay with taking me to two and a half.

751
00:38:10,400 --> 00:38:12,359
Speaker 1: Me too. But to the little listeners, I always want

752
00:38:12,360 --> 00:38:13,719
Speaker 1: them to whole to get the best of the number.

753
00:38:13,760 --> 00:38:16,359
Speaker 1: I do think the public will hammer Tennessee and you'll

754
00:38:16,360 --> 00:38:20,920
Speaker 1: be able to get the three. Yeah that's true, totally true. Um,

755
00:38:20,920 --> 00:38:22,759
Speaker 1: All right, so we got the Texans in lines three

756
00:38:22,800 --> 00:38:24,439
Speaker 1: and a half boys nine and a half Texans plus

757
00:38:24,440 --> 00:38:26,120
Speaker 1: two and a half. I will tell you right now,

758
00:38:26,560 --> 00:38:28,920
Speaker 1: I'm feeling more optimistic about this lineup so far than

759
00:38:28,960 --> 00:38:33,040
Speaker 1: any lineup we've had this year. It's never good for us.

760
00:38:33,120 --> 00:38:37,520
Speaker 1: Usually when we hate it, we do good. The Foxhild

761
00:38:37,560 --> 00:38:39,640
Speaker 1: bed for us the other day was minus one and

762
00:38:39,640 --> 00:38:42,960
Speaker 1: a half. Yeah, you hated it, Now I love it.

763
00:38:43,280 --> 00:38:46,719
Speaker 1: Let's do it again. That's another one where I didn't

764
00:38:46,719 --> 00:38:48,400
Speaker 1: break it down too much, but that was just mainly

765
00:38:48,560 --> 00:38:50,799
Speaker 1: offensive line defensive line. And I just think we have

766
00:38:50,840 --> 00:38:54,360
Speaker 1: a huge edge with the four nine, and after getting

767
00:38:54,360 --> 00:38:58,640
Speaker 1: embarrassed last week against the Chiefs, they're gonna be here

768
00:38:58,680 --> 00:39:01,120
Speaker 1: in it all we and this is such a bounce

769
00:39:01,160 --> 00:39:05,360
Speaker 1: back spot Historically Shanahan versus McVeigh, he just he schemes

770
00:39:05,360 --> 00:39:07,040
Speaker 1: it up against him. He just does really well in

771
00:39:07,080 --> 00:39:10,239
Speaker 1: these matchups. So I'm happy here. You came around on it.

772
00:39:10,280 --> 00:39:12,399
Speaker 1: I knew you would. This will be our biggest public play.

773
00:39:12,520 --> 00:39:15,319
Speaker 1: Last week, our biggest public player with Tennessee came through

774
00:39:15,360 --> 00:39:18,359
Speaker 1: for US. UM this week it's gonna be the fourty niners.

775
00:39:18,400 --> 00:39:21,680
Speaker 1: I know they're gonna get every teaser, every money line part.

776
00:39:21,800 --> 00:39:24,480
Speaker 1: Everyone's gonna have them thrown in there. Just because public

777
00:39:24,880 --> 00:39:28,279
Speaker 1: public is watched this RAMS team. They're not being they're

778
00:39:28,320 --> 00:39:30,680
Speaker 1: not being sold fool's gold here. We know they have

779
00:39:30,800 --> 00:39:33,319
Speaker 1: major issues and they have no run game and we've

780
00:39:33,360 --> 00:39:36,239
Speaker 1: just seen the running back is now on the injury report. Right,

781
00:39:36,280 --> 00:39:38,719
Speaker 1: Henderson's out, So they're bringing up some young kid to

782
00:39:38,719 --> 00:39:41,319
Speaker 1: play who wasn't played all year. Just not not good

783
00:39:41,400 --> 00:39:45,160
Speaker 1: Juji right now for the Rams. Alright, Lions three and

784
00:39:45,160 --> 00:39:47,200
Speaker 1: a half, Boys nine and a half minus nine and

785
00:39:47,200 --> 00:39:48,839
Speaker 1: a half, Texas plus two and a half, forty nine

786
00:39:49,040 --> 00:39:51,760
Speaker 1: minus one and a half. One more game. You liked

787
00:39:51,800 --> 00:39:54,640
Speaker 1: it a lot the other day. I'm liking it even

788
00:39:54,640 --> 00:40:00,920
Speaker 1: more now. Washington plus three. And I is actually surprised.

789
00:40:01,000 --> 00:40:03,480
Speaker 1: We talked about um the line movement on it. I

790
00:40:03,480 --> 00:40:06,040
Speaker 1: just couldn't believe Matt Ryan was worth a point um

791
00:40:06,120 --> 00:40:09,440
Speaker 1: because from everything I've seen this kid, Sam's not as bad. Well,

792
00:40:09,480 --> 00:40:11,520
Speaker 1: he's just more athletic, I should say, then, Matt Ryan,

793
00:40:11,680 --> 00:40:15,280
Speaker 1: So you should bring something new to this offense. But again,

794
00:40:16,239 --> 00:40:17,920
Speaker 1: we we might be stepping in here, but we have

795
00:40:18,040 --> 00:40:21,040
Speaker 1: to take We have to take Washington. It's gonna be

796
00:40:21,080 --> 00:40:23,359
Speaker 1: a public dog. I think everyone's ben because everyone's feeling

797
00:40:23,360 --> 00:40:25,919
Speaker 1: good if you took them last week, and this cold

798
00:40:25,960 --> 00:40:27,640
Speaker 1: team led a lot of people down last week. Not

799
00:40:27,680 --> 00:40:30,040
Speaker 1: only did they lose the spread, they burned a ton

800
00:40:30,080 --> 00:40:32,520
Speaker 1: of people on teasers, right, everyone teased them up to

801
00:40:32,560 --> 00:40:34,880
Speaker 1: eight and a half. They lost by nine. Usually the

802
00:40:34,920 --> 00:40:37,040
Speaker 1: public is really mad about those kind of teams. So

803
00:40:38,080 --> 00:40:40,680
Speaker 1: I I'm hoping we're not stepping in it. We're not

804
00:40:40,800 --> 00:40:44,279
Speaker 1: waiting too long here. But I just like what Washington has, right,

805
00:40:44,320 --> 00:40:47,719
Speaker 1: they have good pieces. If they weren't in the NFC East,

806
00:40:47,719 --> 00:40:49,560
Speaker 1: they'd probably be doing well in these other divisions. They're

807
00:40:49,680 --> 00:40:51,760
Speaker 1: most of their losses have just come in the division

808
00:40:51,880 --> 00:40:54,440
Speaker 1: this season. So to me, Washington is not as bad

809
00:40:54,440 --> 00:40:58,680
Speaker 1: as a record shows. And again Heineke, we we talked

810
00:40:58,680 --> 00:41:00,800
Speaker 1: about last week. He wasn't gonna be that much worse

811
00:41:00,840 --> 00:41:02,440
Speaker 1: than went. What do we know? He was gonna be

812
00:41:02,480 --> 00:41:04,120
Speaker 1: able to throw a pick six and be all right.

813
00:41:04,560 --> 00:41:07,560
Speaker 1: But still you watch that game. He had the offensive

814
00:41:07,560 --> 00:41:10,960
Speaker 1: movie like him throwing the mode Terry mcclarin. I love

815
00:41:11,000 --> 00:41:13,320
Speaker 1: that kind of stuff where it's like you've got no read,

816
00:41:13,520 --> 00:41:14,960
Speaker 1: you just get it to your best guy who's in

817
00:41:15,040 --> 00:41:17,160
Speaker 1: single coverage. You let your best guy and make a play.

818
00:41:17,400 --> 00:41:20,040
Speaker 1: There's three different third downs like thirty and eight, thirty nine,

819
00:41:20,239 --> 00:41:22,960
Speaker 1: third and twelve. He made those kind of throws to Terry.

820
00:41:23,239 --> 00:41:25,640
Speaker 1: I love that ship like that's my favorite stuff seeing

821
00:41:25,680 --> 00:41:30,400
Speaker 1: a QB trusting their best receivers. So again, this cold team,

822
00:41:30,440 --> 00:41:33,480
Speaker 1: they're just bad. They're just a bad team. Where I've

823
00:41:33,520 --> 00:41:36,160
Speaker 1: seen Washington actually have good moments and good players and

824
00:41:36,200 --> 00:41:38,600
Speaker 1: their scheme is good to me. So yeah, me and

825
00:41:38,640 --> 00:41:40,560
Speaker 1: Cha might be stepping right into it, but I can't

826
00:41:40,560 --> 00:41:42,680
Speaker 1: not take this plus three. I don't think we are

827
00:41:43,000 --> 00:41:45,080
Speaker 1: I think everything you said is true. I think the

828
00:41:45,120 --> 00:41:48,400
Speaker 1: market is not caught up to the fact that Taylor

829
00:41:48,440 --> 00:41:50,719
Speaker 1: Heineke is a better quarterback for this team and they're

830
00:41:50,719 --> 00:41:53,200
Speaker 1: still getting downgraded because of what they had done with

831
00:41:53,239 --> 00:41:57,120
Speaker 1: Carson wentz Um. The coolest thing is really interesting to me.

832
00:41:57,680 --> 00:41:59,880
Speaker 1: Sometimes there are those stories that just start to fascinate you.

833
00:42:00,040 --> 00:42:03,839
Speaker 1: And as soon as they benched Um Matt Ryan. I

834
00:42:03,920 --> 00:42:08,200
Speaker 1: was reading some of the coverage and I feel like

835
00:42:08,680 --> 00:42:11,560
Speaker 1: Frank Reich. He had some quotes in there, and he

836
00:42:11,600 --> 00:42:14,480
Speaker 1: seemed like a lovely guy, and but one of the

837
00:42:14,520 --> 00:42:17,719
Speaker 1: quotes was basically, we thought it would be great with

838
00:42:17,760 --> 00:42:20,840
Speaker 1: Matt Ryan, with our running game and our offensive line.

839
00:42:21,320 --> 00:42:24,960
Speaker 1: We didn't hold up our end of the bargain. Uh.

840
00:42:25,000 --> 00:42:28,279
Speaker 1: And then he essentially said to Matt Ryan, it's not you,

841
00:42:28,440 --> 00:42:32,880
Speaker 1: it's me, but you're getting benched and to me And

842
00:42:32,920 --> 00:42:36,880
Speaker 1: then there was a weird transition and Raybon and stuff.

843
00:42:36,880 --> 00:42:38,759
Speaker 1: You talked about this on their podcast too, but in

844
00:42:38,800 --> 00:42:42,880
Speaker 1: this story, there was this transition about how involved was

845
00:42:42,960 --> 00:42:46,280
Speaker 1: Jim Rsay in the decision making and Rich basically said

846
00:42:47,560 --> 00:42:53,200
Speaker 1: the decision was me or Say and the GM. That's

847
00:42:53,239 --> 00:42:55,680
Speaker 1: not a good way to run a football team. Yeah,

848
00:42:55,960 --> 00:42:59,759
Speaker 1: And so it feels like there's a lot there's a

849
00:42:59,800 --> 00:43:02,160
Speaker 1: lack of faith in what the coaching staff can do.

850
00:43:02,360 --> 00:43:04,360
Speaker 1: It feels like the owner is getting too involved in

851
00:43:04,360 --> 00:43:07,520
Speaker 1: the decision making. Uh. And they're given a quick hook

852
00:43:07,920 --> 00:43:10,960
Speaker 1: to the quarterback Matt Ryan for a guy who's a

853
00:43:11,000 --> 00:43:14,640
Speaker 1: six you know, round draft pick um two years ago.

854
00:43:15,160 --> 00:43:18,719
Speaker 1: So I think there's some real issues on the Colts. Yeah,

855
00:43:18,760 --> 00:43:20,800
Speaker 1: we talk all the time. It all starts in football

856
00:43:20,840 --> 00:43:23,239
Speaker 1: at the top. You go through all the different organizations

857
00:43:23,280 --> 00:43:26,719
Speaker 1: that have success, that consistently have success. What is it?

858
00:43:26,719 --> 00:43:29,680
Speaker 1: It's good ownership, good good putting the right people in

859
00:43:29,680 --> 00:43:32,839
Speaker 1: the general manager position and having owners that just shut

860
00:43:32,880 --> 00:43:35,279
Speaker 1: the funk up, like they're letting people run their teams,

861
00:43:35,400 --> 00:43:39,040
Speaker 1: have stepping in controlling everything. I feel bad for the

862
00:43:39,040 --> 00:43:41,080
Speaker 1: Colts because they're stuck in that middle level of hell,

863
00:43:41,320 --> 00:43:44,280
Speaker 1: where like you're not bad enough to get a franchise quarterback,

864
00:43:44,800 --> 00:43:47,239
Speaker 1: and you're not ever gonna stop trying to pick up

865
00:43:47,280 --> 00:43:48,919
Speaker 1: these guys and these one or two year deals because

866
00:43:48,960 --> 00:43:52,120
Speaker 1: you have the pieces there. Like again, Jonathan Taylor was

867
00:43:52,160 --> 00:43:54,759
Speaker 1: the best running back on football last year. Can't do

868
00:43:54,880 --> 00:43:58,399
Speaker 1: a single thing this year, cannot do anything. So it's

869
00:43:58,520 --> 00:44:01,560
Speaker 1: it's brutal if you're a Colts fan, where maybe this

870
00:44:01,640 --> 00:44:03,759
Speaker 1: is it right the kids Sam could come in, you'll

871
00:44:03,760 --> 00:44:06,040
Speaker 1: know you'll have in him or he's terrible, and you

872
00:44:06,080 --> 00:44:07,600
Speaker 1: can be bad this year and get a good draft

873
00:44:07,600 --> 00:44:10,400
Speaker 1: pick because it's different this year. The bottom is not

874
00:44:10,520 --> 00:44:13,000
Speaker 1: really that bad, right. The couple of the worst teams

875
00:44:13,000 --> 00:44:17,160
Speaker 1: like the Saints, the Jaguars, even Houston, they're not that

876
00:44:17,320 --> 00:44:19,800
Speaker 1: terrible like them and the Bears. The differences in that extreme,

877
00:44:19,840 --> 00:44:21,279
Speaker 1: but the hero of the Bears at what three and

878
00:44:21,320 --> 00:44:23,760
Speaker 1: four chat So there's gonna be a bunch of teams

879
00:44:23,760 --> 00:44:26,799
Speaker 1: that they're gonna win some games they shouldn't. And I

880
00:44:26,840 --> 00:44:28,640
Speaker 1: think even if the Colts tank this year, if they

881
00:44:28,680 --> 00:44:30,200
Speaker 1: only want one or two more games, you might be

882
00:44:30,200 --> 00:44:31,680
Speaker 1: able to still end up with the top four, top

883
00:44:31,760 --> 00:44:34,160
Speaker 1: five pick where we just talked about there's five good

884
00:44:34,200 --> 00:44:36,920
Speaker 1: quarterbacks in this class that could work out for the

885
00:44:36,960 --> 00:44:40,120
Speaker 1: Colts because to me, I I would do what they're doing.

886
00:44:40,360 --> 00:44:42,160
Speaker 1: I would sit Matt Ryan and get the young kid

887
00:44:42,200 --> 00:44:44,839
Speaker 1: a shot. Where again, it's nothing against Matt Ryan. They

888
00:44:44,840 --> 00:44:48,320
Speaker 1: did fail him in some aspects. He has the most interceptions,

889
00:44:48,360 --> 00:44:51,120
Speaker 1: the most fumbles, and the most sacks in football right now.

890
00:44:51,520 --> 00:44:53,440
Speaker 1: Not all on him, but some of it it is

891
00:44:53,480 --> 00:44:56,920
Speaker 1: on him. Simon, We've narrowed it down and I'm really excited.

892
00:44:57,080 --> 00:44:59,600
Speaker 1: Lions plus three and a half, Cowboys minus nine and

893
00:44:59,640 --> 00:45:02,200
Speaker 1: a half, Texans plus two and a half, Niners minus

894
00:45:02,239 --> 00:45:05,840
Speaker 1: one and a half, Washington plus three. Our foxhole is

895
00:45:05,920 --> 00:45:08,360
Speaker 1: Niners minus one and a half. Simon says, as Brown's

896
00:45:08,360 --> 00:45:12,000
Speaker 1: plus three executive decision from me as Lines plus three

897
00:45:12,000 --> 00:45:14,959
Speaker 1: and a half, Big Balls, Texas plus two and a half.

898
00:45:15,480 --> 00:45:17,920
Speaker 1: We have a bet off. We have an official bet off,

899
00:45:17,960 --> 00:45:20,879
Speaker 1: Matt Mitchell. We probably got to get some some bet

900
00:45:20,920 --> 00:45:28,080
Speaker 1: off music. Now check and here it comes. They stop it.

901
00:45:28,200 --> 00:45:31,440
Speaker 1: I'm playing because someone here's run on the field. In

902
00:45:31,480 --> 00:45:33,719
Speaker 1: this case, you know what I think you are. I

903
00:45:33,760 --> 00:45:36,120
Speaker 1: think you're the bitch, and it will not be a

904
00:45:36,120 --> 00:45:38,440
Speaker 1: good night. We have a bet off with the Cards

905
00:45:38,440 --> 00:45:41,600
Speaker 1: and the Vikings. Simon, give me a Scootroolet pick. You're

906
00:45:41,640 --> 00:45:45,640
Speaker 1: dominating right now when all hope is lost, all that's

907
00:45:45,719 --> 00:45:53,360
Speaker 1: left is relief. Let's play scots Roulette. Yeah, what's the

908
00:45:53,400 --> 00:45:56,279
Speaker 1: record of that scootra let stuff? I don't know. You're

909
00:45:56,360 --> 00:45:59,239
Speaker 1: far ahead. It's eight. What do you what do you like?

910
00:45:59,320 --> 00:46:02,360
Speaker 1: Are you like five and two? Now? Yeah? After a

911
00:46:02,400 --> 00:46:08,360
Speaker 1: slow one and two starts? Yea three and one. Real cocky.

912
00:46:08,600 --> 00:46:12,200
Speaker 1: He's now three and four. Wait, you're four and three

913
00:46:12,200 --> 00:46:13,879
Speaker 1: and on three and four? Oh no, no, I'm five

914
00:46:13,920 --> 00:46:16,200
Speaker 1: and two. Don't once you try to take one away?

915
00:46:16,600 --> 00:46:20,440
Speaker 1: How dare you? Well? Listen? What could be interesting? We

916
00:46:20,520 --> 00:46:23,600
Speaker 1: have a bet off? But should scootrow let be the

917
00:46:23,719 --> 00:46:26,399
Speaker 1: Vikings and the Cardinals. I'll do it. You really want

918
00:46:26,400 --> 00:46:28,800
Speaker 1: to do that? Yeah? I was gonna take the Cardinals anyways,

919
00:46:28,880 --> 00:46:34,040
Speaker 1: You you fool? All right, give it to me. Vikings.

920
00:46:34,120 --> 00:46:37,960
Speaker 1: You're a fool. It's not even one of my favorite bets,

921
00:46:37,960 --> 00:46:39,640
Speaker 1: and now it is that. Now I have to load

922
00:46:39,719 --> 00:46:41,719
Speaker 1: up on us just to even even feel like more

923
00:46:41,719 --> 00:46:44,320
Speaker 1: of an idiot when the Cardinals do something. Cannot wait

924
00:46:44,440 --> 00:46:46,600
Speaker 1: for the Cardinals to win I know they're gonna not win.

925
00:46:46,640 --> 00:46:50,239
Speaker 1: They're gonna definitely backdoor. Though this says backdoors. It's not

926
00:46:50,280 --> 00:46:52,960
Speaker 1: November yet. This game is being played before Halloween. As

927
00:46:52,960 --> 00:46:58,040
Speaker 1: Matt Mitchell, we'll tell you, Uh, Matt, I know the

928
00:46:58,080 --> 00:47:00,320
Speaker 1: amp folks can't hear you. But for the best benefit

929
00:47:00,360 --> 00:47:04,360
Speaker 1: of the you know, hundreds of thousands of podcast listeners,

930
00:47:04,440 --> 00:47:07,160
Speaker 1: would you like to share your Cliff Kingsbury theory. It's

931
00:47:07,160 --> 00:47:10,560
Speaker 1: an annual tradition here on the Favorites. Well, I'll do

932
00:47:10,600 --> 00:47:13,920
Speaker 1: the full screed next week when it goes into effect.

933
00:47:14,000 --> 00:47:18,279
Speaker 1: But you Cliff Kingsbury's very much inbounds for Halloween, which

934
00:47:18,320 --> 00:47:20,440
Speaker 1: is Monday, so you get it in just under the

935
00:47:20,440 --> 00:47:23,759
Speaker 1: wire here you can bat him. But once the know

936
00:47:24,040 --> 00:47:28,000
Speaker 1: his stock and the health and vitality of pumpkins are

937
00:47:28,040 --> 00:47:32,080
Speaker 1: basically the same, we're you know, we're approaching the the

938
00:47:32,920 --> 00:47:35,879
Speaker 1: other side of the curve for pumpkin futures, and same

939
00:47:35,960 --> 00:47:38,160
Speaker 1: goes for Cliff Kingsbury. So I wish you the best

940
00:47:38,160 --> 00:47:42,640
Speaker 1: of luck Bettenham in this kind of final week of eligibility. Well, listen,

941
00:47:42,680 --> 00:47:46,840
Speaker 1: Madame Mitchell. As a man who knows pumpkins, we've had

942
00:47:46,880 --> 00:47:50,880
Speaker 1: many conversations before we get on the air about the

943
00:47:51,000 --> 00:47:56,319
Speaker 1: number of pumpkins decorating his front stoop. His sons. He

944
00:47:56,400 --> 00:48:00,000
Speaker 1: has two kids. Uh, he has a boy who's older. Uh.

945
00:48:00,080 --> 00:48:04,440
Speaker 1: His son's obsession with pumpkins also gores, which he doesn't

946
00:48:04,440 --> 00:48:07,040
Speaker 1: really know how to differentiate. Kind of kind of teach

947
00:48:07,080 --> 00:48:11,280
Speaker 1: the kid these things. So it's an apt analogy. Uh,

948
00:48:11,520 --> 00:48:16,480
Speaker 1: money line round Robin Parlay. I mean, obviously we're going

949
00:48:16,520 --> 00:48:19,000
Speaker 1: with the Lions. I think we gotta go with the

950
00:48:19,040 --> 00:48:25,440
Speaker 1: Texans Washington. Yeah, we gotta. Can we get a big dog.

951
00:48:25,680 --> 00:48:29,359
Speaker 1: That's a good because that was nice last week. Um,

952
00:48:29,560 --> 00:48:32,200
Speaker 1: obviously didn't only hit on the one the Seahawks, but

953
00:48:32,600 --> 00:48:33,880
Speaker 1: if you us when it came through, that's been a

954
00:48:33,920 --> 00:48:40,160
Speaker 1: really nice pairing. You throw the Jets in there, Jets, Lions, Texans,

955
00:48:40,560 --> 00:48:43,120
Speaker 1: Washington and the Jets. I know Matt Mitchell was putting

956
00:48:43,120 --> 00:48:45,080
Speaker 1: this all into the chat for the live listeners right

957
00:48:45,080 --> 00:48:48,680
Speaker 1: now to do it. But they're the only team I

958
00:48:48,760 --> 00:48:53,120
Speaker 1: could see of all the big favorites get upset Eagles.

959
00:48:54,080 --> 00:48:56,000
Speaker 1: I could just see this scenario. I'm sleep walking in

960
00:48:56,080 --> 00:48:58,560
Speaker 1: this game, even though again I'm taking the Eagles. Why

961
00:48:58,560 --> 00:49:00,520
Speaker 1: would we not put the Cardinals in there? Instead of

962
00:49:00,520 --> 00:49:03,880
Speaker 1: the Eagles. You can, that's fair. I'm just trying to

963
00:49:03,880 --> 00:49:05,560
Speaker 1: get a big dog because all these dogs are little,

964
00:49:05,719 --> 00:49:08,000
Speaker 1: Like I like having one big guy in there because

965
00:49:08,000 --> 00:49:10,319
Speaker 1: that really juices the odds. Well, this is a little

966
00:49:10,360 --> 00:49:13,680
Speaker 1: dog week, Like there's no really big dogs, um, because

967
00:49:13,719 --> 00:49:15,920
Speaker 1: I know we didn't talk about like another survivor plays

968
00:49:15,920 --> 00:49:18,000
Speaker 1: the Cowboys obviously against the Bears. So like, there's no

969
00:49:18,040 --> 00:49:20,279
Speaker 1: way I'm picking the Bears and went out right, there's

970
00:49:20,320 --> 00:49:22,600
Speaker 1: no world I picked Green Bed and went out right. Yeah,

971
00:49:22,600 --> 00:49:27,520
Speaker 1: they're just not there's no really good big dogs this week. Um, Lions, Texans,

972
00:49:27,560 --> 00:49:30,239
Speaker 1: Washington Jets cards. That's what I think we should do,

973
00:49:31,000 --> 00:49:36,400
Speaker 1: all right, Lyons, Texans Washington Jets cards. Um, we've got

974
00:49:36,480 --> 00:49:39,319
Speaker 1: a bet off. We are playing it in Scoochroulette. You've

975
00:49:39,320 --> 00:49:42,600
Speaker 1: got the Vikings, I've got the Cardinals. Our final five

976
00:49:42,719 --> 00:49:45,400
Speaker 1: lines plus three and a half, Boys minus nine and

977
00:49:45,400 --> 00:49:47,760
Speaker 1: a half, Texas plus two and a half, forty Niners

978
00:49:47,800 --> 00:49:49,919
Speaker 1: minus one and a half, Washington plus three. Those lines

979
00:49:49,960 --> 00:49:52,920
Speaker 1: are pretty stable right now. So as you're listening to this, um,

980
00:49:52,920 --> 00:49:55,600
Speaker 1: you should definitely go get them. I only wanted to

981
00:49:55,600 --> 00:49:57,319
Speaker 1: wait on in Houston, just hope to get that three.

982
00:49:57,400 --> 00:50:00,080
Speaker 1: I love. I just love the number three even No

983
00:50:00,160 --> 00:50:01,799
Speaker 1: I bet it two and a half. Yeah, I bet

984
00:50:01,800 --> 00:50:05,320
Speaker 1: it too, Like I got it, I got any got any.

985
00:50:06,400 --> 00:50:09,920
Speaker 1: I think we've done all we can do here bro Um.

986
00:50:09,920 --> 00:50:12,920
Speaker 1: This has been the favorite podcast from the Volume podcast

987
00:50:12,960 --> 00:50:17,400
Speaker 1: Network for Simon Hunter, for Matt Mitchell. I am Chad Millman.

988
00:50:17,440 --> 00:50:20,400
Speaker 1: You can download us from Spotify podcasts, from Apple podcast

989
00:50:20,760 --> 00:50:23,400
Speaker 1: wherever you get your podcast. Please rate, review, subscribe, need

990
00:50:23,480 --> 00:50:25,520
Speaker 1: this five stars, stay whatever you want. Feedback is a

991
00:50:25,560 --> 00:50:29,120
Speaker 1: gift until next time. I love you, ye