1 00:00:01,160 --> 00:00:05,320 Speaker 1: All right, and welcome into the Betting Pros College Football Show. 2 00:00:05,519 --> 00:00:08,000 Speaker 1: It's another beautiful day to take a lap around the 3 00:00:08,080 --> 00:00:11,039 Speaker 1: nation as we give you our top picks and predictions 4 00:00:11,039 --> 00:00:14,320 Speaker 1: for Week seven of the college football season. I'm your host, 5 00:00:14,360 --> 00:00:16,720 Speaker 1: Seth Wilcock, and today I'm joined by a man who's 6 00:00:16,760 --> 00:00:19,680 Speaker 1: gone from the heel of this particular program to the 7 00:00:19,760 --> 00:00:22,120 Speaker 1: hero with the hot bat that he has been swinging 8 00:00:22,360 --> 00:00:24,680 Speaker 1: to rel Furman Junior. How are you, my friend? 9 00:00:25,320 --> 00:00:34,839 Speaker 2: How about no balls? About no balls? Oh man, oh man, 10 00:00:34,920 --> 00:00:38,680 Speaker 2: I mean shout out to my guy Bridge. He stormed 11 00:00:38,680 --> 00:00:41,800 Speaker 2: the field. I have pictures, Oh, Evan go. He did 12 00:00:41,920 --> 00:00:45,000 Speaker 2: storm the field with the group. And you know, of 13 00:00:45,040 --> 00:00:47,519 Speaker 2: course they got to pay Tennessee a nice little I 14 00:00:47,520 --> 00:00:50,279 Speaker 2: think it was two fifty large because this is their 15 00:00:50,320 --> 00:00:53,600 Speaker 2: second offense. But you know what we pay for wins 16 00:00:53,600 --> 00:00:56,319 Speaker 2: around here, We pay for wins. Let's go. 17 00:00:57,000 --> 00:00:59,480 Speaker 1: Awesome, awesome. Good to have you and your energy here 18 00:00:59,560 --> 00:01:02,080 Speaker 1: on the Pro Today, Turell. We're also joined by the 19 00:01:02,120 --> 00:01:05,959 Speaker 1: anchor of Betting Pro's college football content. He's Scott Bogman. Scott, 20 00:01:06,000 --> 00:01:08,199 Speaker 1: how are you feeling. We're midweek, just a few days 21 00:01:08,240 --> 00:01:10,920 Speaker 1: away from another massive slate of collegiate football. 22 00:01:11,000 --> 00:01:14,840 Speaker 3: How about Anchor down Baby. Also Vandy over Bama. That 23 00:01:15,080 --> 00:01:18,480 Speaker 3: was a fun one as well. So yeah, man, I 24 00:01:18,520 --> 00:01:21,480 Speaker 3: am ready to see you. Yeah, diego baby. He did 25 00:01:21,480 --> 00:01:24,759 Speaker 3: talk to God who knows? I mean, he was. He 26 00:01:24,840 --> 00:01:28,160 Speaker 3: was unbelievably impressive. So was Vandy. And Vandy is not 27 00:01:28,200 --> 00:01:31,240 Speaker 3: a joke anymore. And that's parody in college football. Man, 28 00:01:31,280 --> 00:01:34,319 Speaker 3: it's getting the transfer portals opening it up, and il's 29 00:01:34,360 --> 00:01:36,840 Speaker 3: open it up. So we're seeing a lot more parody, 30 00:01:36,880 --> 00:01:39,160 Speaker 3: which makes these games a little bit more difficult to 31 00:01:39,200 --> 00:01:41,600 Speaker 3: pick on a week to week basis, but makes college 32 00:01:41,640 --> 00:01:46,360 Speaker 3: football a lot more fun. So enjoyable weekend and we 33 00:01:46,440 --> 00:01:48,880 Speaker 3: have this has been marked off since the beginning of 34 00:01:48,960 --> 00:01:51,560 Speaker 3: the season. This weekend, October twelfth. Hope no one you 35 00:01:51,640 --> 00:01:53,720 Speaker 3: know is getting married, because it's going to be a 36 00:01:53,800 --> 00:01:54,480 Speaker 3: huge day. 37 00:01:55,280 --> 00:01:55,520 Speaker 2: Yeah. 38 00:01:55,680 --> 00:01:58,320 Speaker 1: Fall weddings need to be outlawed. I've said that before. 39 00:01:58,440 --> 00:01:59,200 Speaker 1: I do not care. 40 00:01:59,240 --> 00:02:01,080 Speaker 2: Why do you want to get it like buried in 41 00:02:01,120 --> 00:02:02,720 Speaker 2: a cold anyway? Who wants to get married? 42 00:02:02,840 --> 00:02:04,040 Speaker 4: Yeah? 43 00:02:04,280 --> 00:02:08,760 Speaker 2: I want a nice, warm, beautiful day when I get married. Wife. 44 00:02:08,760 --> 00:02:13,520 Speaker 2: If you're listening to this, no football season weddings, I 45 00:02:13,560 --> 00:02:16,239 Speaker 2: will vto to them. You will you'll be the only 46 00:02:16,280 --> 00:02:16,800 Speaker 2: person there. 47 00:02:17,480 --> 00:02:20,080 Speaker 1: Yes, agreed, And before we jump in, I didn't want 48 00:02:20,080 --> 00:02:23,120 Speaker 1: to remind everyone about the Betting Pros discord. Looking to 49 00:02:23,240 --> 00:02:26,760 Speaker 1: up your game in sports betting, join our exclusive sports 50 00:02:26,760 --> 00:02:30,639 Speaker 1: betting discord community at Bettingpros dot com slash chat. Not 51 00:02:30,720 --> 00:02:34,280 Speaker 1: only can you connect with expert handicappers, provide free picks 52 00:02:34,320 --> 00:02:38,200 Speaker 1: for NBA, NFL, and will be NHL player props, live betting, 53 00:02:38,280 --> 00:02:40,640 Speaker 1: and more, but you can also now participate in our 54 00:02:40,680 --> 00:02:43,679 Speaker 1: weekly community picks. You can cast your vote and see 55 00:02:43,680 --> 00:02:46,760 Speaker 1: how your picks stack up against the experts and track 56 00:02:46,840 --> 00:02:49,480 Speaker 1: your success. I'll tell you what if if you're stacking 57 00:02:49,560 --> 00:02:52,200 Speaker 1: up against me last week, boys, you definitely probably won. 58 00:02:52,400 --> 00:02:54,680 Speaker 1: So make sure you guys are getting over there in 59 00:02:54,760 --> 00:02:58,680 Speaker 1: the discord and let's move to the action here in Tempe, Arizona, 60 00:02:58,680 --> 00:03:01,679 Speaker 1: where on Friday night, the unranked Sun Devils have now 61 00:03:01,720 --> 00:03:04,120 Speaker 1: moved to six and a half point dogs against the 62 00:03:04,160 --> 00:03:07,760 Speaker 1: sixteenth ranked Utah Utes. This line has moved three points 63 00:03:07,760 --> 00:03:10,680 Speaker 1: since our early week show. The Betting Pros projections are 64 00:03:10,720 --> 00:03:14,280 Speaker 1: now showing a value on Arizona State here, and this 65 00:03:14,360 --> 00:03:16,519 Speaker 1: line should be probably closer to a four and a 66 00:03:16,520 --> 00:03:18,840 Speaker 1: half point spread. Is what the betting pros projections are 67 00:03:18,880 --> 00:03:21,519 Speaker 1: telling us here. We have no inkling on whether it 68 00:03:21,520 --> 00:03:24,360 Speaker 1: will be the seventh year quarterback Cam Rising. That water 69 00:03:24,400 --> 00:03:27,160 Speaker 1: cooler took them out way back when on September seventh. 70 00:03:27,400 --> 00:03:30,440 Speaker 1: And we do know that Arizona State running back Camp 71 00:03:30,520 --> 00:03:33,680 Speaker 1: Scabito will be at full strength here after battling illness 72 00:03:33,760 --> 00:03:36,840 Speaker 1: last week. Bogman, does this line movement make you more 73 00:03:36,880 --> 00:03:39,600 Speaker 1: inclined to back the sun Devils here on Friday night? 74 00:03:39,720 --> 00:03:42,920 Speaker 1: The underdog sweat has worked for us in previous Friday nights, 75 00:03:42,920 --> 00:03:44,160 Speaker 1: So can we go back in on it? 76 00:03:44,360 --> 00:03:44,640 Speaker 4: Yeah? 77 00:03:44,680 --> 00:03:47,960 Speaker 3: I think you can. And this is this is a 78 00:03:47,960 --> 00:03:49,640 Speaker 3: game where I look at this and I go okay. 79 00:03:49,960 --> 00:03:53,080 Speaker 3: I think Utah should control the line of scrimmage on 80 00:03:53,160 --> 00:03:57,120 Speaker 3: both sides. But ASU has been pretty good. ASU's strength 81 00:03:57,120 --> 00:03:59,840 Speaker 3: to schedule has been tough as well, and they've been 82 00:03:59,840 --> 00:04:02,960 Speaker 3: doing a good job so far. For and one against 83 00:04:03,000 --> 00:04:06,160 Speaker 3: the spread, Utah is two and three against the spread. 84 00:04:06,160 --> 00:04:10,120 Speaker 3: I think probably the mindset is we're giving we're giving 85 00:04:10,200 --> 00:04:13,280 Speaker 3: Utah a little bit too much leeway here, and I 86 00:04:13,280 --> 00:04:15,760 Speaker 3: think this opening up three points. You know, when it 87 00:04:15,840 --> 00:04:17,600 Speaker 3: was three and a half, I was like, Okay, I'll 88 00:04:17,640 --> 00:04:20,360 Speaker 3: take Utah on the road to beat Asu even in 89 00:04:20,440 --> 00:04:23,400 Speaker 3: a you know, a hot game. I'm sure for everybody 90 00:04:23,440 --> 00:04:27,240 Speaker 3: in Tempe. But in this game, I think i'm my 91 00:04:27,360 --> 00:04:29,680 Speaker 3: favorite play is shifted to the under. I think we're 92 00:04:29,680 --> 00:04:32,080 Speaker 3: gonna see some defense. We're not getting Cam right. I 93 00:04:32,080 --> 00:04:34,240 Speaker 3: don't think Cam Rising plays again. I think he's done, 94 00:04:34,520 --> 00:04:37,120 Speaker 3: so I don't think we're getting him here. I think 95 00:04:37,160 --> 00:04:39,839 Speaker 3: it's gonna be Isaac Wilson again, who has been good 96 00:04:40,400 --> 00:04:44,000 Speaker 3: but not great. I think Utah can be beat through 97 00:04:44,040 --> 00:04:46,160 Speaker 3: the air, but it's not typically what Sam Levitt and 98 00:04:46,160 --> 00:04:48,760 Speaker 3: this Arizona State offense does. As you mentioned, they're led 99 00:04:48,800 --> 00:04:51,320 Speaker 3: by Cam Scatabow, and I think that's gonna be the plan. 100 00:04:51,600 --> 00:04:52,960 Speaker 3: So I think this is gonna be a little bit 101 00:04:53,000 --> 00:04:55,480 Speaker 3: of a field position, back and forth game. So I 102 00:04:55,640 --> 00:04:58,320 Speaker 3: like the under a little bit more than I like 103 00:04:58,360 --> 00:05:01,080 Speaker 3: anything else here. Probably, I'm not gonna have too much 104 00:05:01,120 --> 00:05:03,320 Speaker 3: action on this game, maybe just a little bit because 105 00:05:03,320 --> 00:05:05,920 Speaker 3: it is a Friday game, just to get a little 106 00:05:05,920 --> 00:05:07,919 Speaker 3: skin in the game. I'll have on the ender, but 107 00:05:07,960 --> 00:05:09,160 Speaker 3: it's not gonna be a huge bet. 108 00:05:09,760 --> 00:05:12,159 Speaker 1: Trelle. You have made it very clear that you love 109 00:05:12,240 --> 00:05:14,240 Speaker 1: this Utah team. Do you feel the same here. Now 110 00:05:14,279 --> 00:05:16,400 Speaker 1: that they are four and one and that it is 111 00:05:16,400 --> 00:05:19,040 Speaker 1: Isaac Wilson potentially suiting back up here, what. 112 00:05:19,040 --> 00:05:21,520 Speaker 2: Kind of question is that? Of course, I love the 113 00:05:21,680 --> 00:05:24,760 Speaker 2: Utah ute seer. What are we talking about? They are 114 00:05:24,800 --> 00:05:28,080 Speaker 2: coming off of a loss with a week to prepare. Yes, 115 00:05:28,320 --> 00:05:31,520 Speaker 2: I understand it. Cam Rising is giving us a whirlwind 116 00:05:31,520 --> 00:05:34,200 Speaker 2: of emotions. But if Kim Rising plays in this game, 117 00:05:34,240 --> 00:05:36,799 Speaker 2: there should be ten easily. If he plays, this should 118 00:05:36,800 --> 00:05:39,679 Speaker 2: be ten. It's not gonna be enough. And despite him 119 00:05:39,839 --> 00:05:43,640 Speaker 2: not wanting to play, and whatever the water cooler did's 120 00:05:43,720 --> 00:05:46,000 Speaker 2: his hand that put him out for this long, The 121 00:05:46,120 --> 00:05:49,599 Speaker 2: fact is they haven't needed him. They've been handling business 122 00:05:49,680 --> 00:05:53,280 Speaker 2: till then. Yes, they went ahead and got upset by Arizona, 123 00:05:53,360 --> 00:05:56,159 Speaker 2: but that's fine. That's fine. Now we're getting this Utah 124 00:05:56,160 --> 00:05:59,160 Speaker 2: team off of a loss and scatterball going up against 125 00:05:59,200 --> 00:06:03,880 Speaker 2: this Utah front seven. Oh, no way, there is not 126 00:06:04,040 --> 00:06:05,960 Speaker 2: a chance they're going to run this through the water. 127 00:06:06,279 --> 00:06:10,120 Speaker 2: This is ut Sah laying six all day, Bogs. I'm disappointed. 128 00:06:10,160 --> 00:06:11,359 Speaker 2: You should be betting this with me. 129 00:06:12,080 --> 00:06:14,679 Speaker 3: No, no way, I'm not. I think it's too many points. 130 00:06:14,680 --> 00:06:19,359 Speaker 3: As you haven't been watching asu Uh, they're not utsa, 131 00:06:19,680 --> 00:06:22,080 Speaker 3: but but I think they're physical enough. They're at home. 132 00:06:22,640 --> 00:06:25,159 Speaker 3: It's a weird game. I think they have enough to 133 00:06:25,200 --> 00:06:27,480 Speaker 3: stay in this game and make it a field goal game. 134 00:06:28,520 --> 00:06:31,680 Speaker 3: I don't particularly like this game, which is why I 135 00:06:31,680 --> 00:06:33,480 Speaker 3: said I'm not going to have a huge lay on 136 00:06:33,520 --> 00:06:35,080 Speaker 3: it one way or the other. I'm probably gonna do 137 00:06:35,120 --> 00:06:37,599 Speaker 3: half a unit on the under. That way I can enjoy. 138 00:06:37,839 --> 00:06:40,839 Speaker 3: If you're right, that's great. I hope ASU scores no points. 139 00:06:41,120 --> 00:06:43,760 Speaker 3: If I'm right, I hope it's thirteen to ten, So 140 00:06:44,279 --> 00:06:45,120 Speaker 3: it doesn't matter to me. 141 00:06:45,160 --> 00:06:46,360 Speaker 4: I'm gonna be on the under here. 142 00:06:47,040 --> 00:06:49,160 Speaker 2: I tried to get Bogs to come to the dark side? 143 00:06:49,800 --> 00:06:51,800 Speaker 2: Are you with me? Are you with me? So? Are 144 00:06:51,839 --> 00:06:53,880 Speaker 2: you coming to the dark side? Come on, you have 145 00:06:53,920 --> 00:06:56,040 Speaker 2: to be betting? You sau with me? Dude. 146 00:06:56,080 --> 00:06:58,279 Speaker 1: Every time I bet a favorite on Friday Night, it 147 00:06:58,480 --> 00:07:00,400 Speaker 1: ends very poorly for me, Terrell. 148 00:07:00,520 --> 00:07:01,840 Speaker 4: So that's what you don't bet. 149 00:07:02,120 --> 00:07:03,760 Speaker 2: You don't bet, you stay off of it, and we'll 150 00:07:03,839 --> 00:07:11,120 Speaker 2: just go ahead of course meetings, all right. 151 00:07:11,200 --> 00:07:14,120 Speaker 1: Yeah, nothing says start your Friday with betting the under. 152 00:07:14,160 --> 00:07:15,800 Speaker 1: I think that will be a fun one for you, Box. 153 00:07:15,840 --> 00:07:18,200 Speaker 1: I think that'll get your juices on Friday night. 154 00:07:18,200 --> 00:07:20,520 Speaker 2: And then we're gonna bet. We're gonna bet Northwestern that's 155 00:07:20,520 --> 00:07:24,240 Speaker 2: gonna be the dog that cashes. It's not youatsaw Okay, Okay, 156 00:07:24,640 --> 00:07:26,520 Speaker 2: We're gonna bet Northwestern that's the dog that cash. 157 00:07:26,600 --> 00:07:27,560 Speaker 1: Okay, all right. 158 00:07:28,520 --> 00:07:31,400 Speaker 3: By the way, watch they made that game against Indiana 159 00:07:31,440 --> 00:07:32,320 Speaker 3: pretty close last week? 160 00:07:32,360 --> 00:07:33,360 Speaker 4: Northwestern did they. 161 00:07:33,240 --> 00:07:36,040 Speaker 2: Had a little bit more l Locksley laying double digits 162 00:07:36,040 --> 00:07:36,760 Speaker 2: on Friday night. 163 00:07:36,880 --> 00:07:39,880 Speaker 4: No way, no way. I think I'm with you there. 164 00:07:40,360 --> 00:07:43,360 Speaker 1: Let's move right into the Saturday afternoon slate here in 165 00:07:43,440 --> 00:07:46,520 Speaker 1: the Steel City where the twenty second ranked and undefeated 166 00:07:46,560 --> 00:07:50,080 Speaker 1: Pitt Panthers battle Cow. Coming off that heartbreak loss to 167 00:07:50,280 --> 00:07:53,080 Speaker 1: Miami Pit five and zero against the spread, Cow four 168 00:07:53,080 --> 00:07:55,320 Speaker 1: and one against the spread, and we've actually seen the 169 00:07:55,400 --> 00:07:57,880 Speaker 1: spread shrink a bit since our Monday show. You can 170 00:07:57,880 --> 00:08:00,800 Speaker 1: now get Pitt as three point favorites. That's right where 171 00:08:00,840 --> 00:08:03,760 Speaker 1: the betting pros projections think this game should be. As well, 172 00:08:04,080 --> 00:08:06,840 Speaker 1: Pitt should have everyone active who's gotten them this far 173 00:08:07,240 --> 00:08:10,440 Speaker 1: in this game. Also, the notable injuries for Cal include 174 00:08:10,440 --> 00:08:13,760 Speaker 1: starting running back Jaden All He is probable, and then 175 00:08:13,800 --> 00:08:17,080 Speaker 1: also they're starting right guard and nickelback remain questionable. In 176 00:08:17,120 --> 00:08:19,559 Speaker 1: this one as well, Trell, where do you lean here 177 00:08:19,560 --> 00:08:21,520 Speaker 1: in this game in western Pennsylvania? 178 00:08:21,880 --> 00:08:25,200 Speaker 2: Well as somebody who's laser focused right now in this 179 00:08:25,240 --> 00:08:29,320 Speaker 2: cow squad? And oh man, another ACC call in to 180 00:08:29,480 --> 00:08:31,760 Speaker 2: just make sure that we didn't we didn't need colt 181 00:08:31,840 --> 00:08:34,640 Speaker 2: money line there. But you know what, it's all right, 182 00:08:34,679 --> 00:08:38,920 Speaker 2: It's cool, It's cool Cal. Hey. I said it last 183 00:08:38,920 --> 00:08:42,080 Speaker 2: week when Virginia Tech got hosed, I was fading Miami. 184 00:08:42,120 --> 00:08:44,920 Speaker 2: The next week, Cal got it done. And then see 185 00:08:44,920 --> 00:08:47,720 Speaker 2: what Virginia Tech did that week after they got hosed 186 00:08:47,920 --> 00:08:50,400 Speaker 2: in an ACC game. They went cross country on the 187 00:08:50,480 --> 00:08:56,040 Speaker 2: road and absolutely destroyed Stanford. Yes, another cross country's slot 188 00:08:56,120 --> 00:08:59,000 Speaker 2: West Coast team going over to the East coast early 189 00:08:59,040 --> 00:09:01,760 Speaker 2: morning game. Under Stand all of it, but I also 190 00:09:01,840 --> 00:09:04,000 Speaker 2: have to throw this for you. If all of the 191 00:09:04,040 --> 00:09:07,280 Speaker 2: money and everybody is betting Pitt, why does this line 192 00:09:07,360 --> 00:09:10,480 Speaker 2: keep falling towards Cal? What do they know that we 193 00:09:10,600 --> 00:09:14,199 Speaker 2: don't know? I think that this Cal team and Miami 194 00:09:14,360 --> 00:09:17,160 Speaker 2: is the perfect get up spot. It gave them confidence. 195 00:09:17,200 --> 00:09:20,679 Speaker 2: They're about to go in here and give Nardouzi a whirldwin, 196 00:09:21,040 --> 00:09:23,520 Speaker 2: I mean a world win. In an early game. Slate. 197 00:09:23,559 --> 00:09:26,480 Speaker 2: Cal has been really, really good in the ACC this year. Guys. 198 00:09:26,880 --> 00:09:29,600 Speaker 2: I love this Cal editions at ACC. Give me Cal 199 00:09:29,679 --> 00:09:31,959 Speaker 2: plus the point sprinkle on the money line all day. 200 00:09:32,360 --> 00:09:34,640 Speaker 1: Bog mean, where are you at here in this one? 201 00:09:34,760 --> 00:09:37,400 Speaker 3: I'm going to the complete opposite that five and zero 202 00:09:37,480 --> 00:09:40,080 Speaker 3: against the spread Pitt Panthers. I think they keep rolling 203 00:09:40,120 --> 00:09:42,040 Speaker 3: here at home and U they do. 204 00:09:42,840 --> 00:09:43,600 Speaker 4: I like Cal. 205 00:09:44,440 --> 00:09:46,000 Speaker 3: I think Cal is a good team, and I think 206 00:09:46,000 --> 00:09:47,920 Speaker 3: if this was a Neutrals like game of bowl game 207 00:09:48,200 --> 00:09:50,440 Speaker 3: or something, I would probably be taking Cal here. But 208 00:09:50,880 --> 00:09:53,920 Speaker 3: this is a letdown spot after a bad loss. I 209 00:09:54,000 --> 00:09:56,800 Speaker 3: know va Tech went and won their game against Stanford. 210 00:09:57,080 --> 00:10:00,600 Speaker 3: Stanford is not as good as Pitt. Also, I think 211 00:10:00,720 --> 00:10:03,720 Speaker 3: va Tech had woke up in that game against Miami. 212 00:10:03,800 --> 00:10:05,959 Speaker 3: I think we kind of saw them sleepwalking through this 213 00:10:06,120 --> 00:10:09,520 Speaker 3: first beginning part of the season there, and now they're 214 00:10:09,520 --> 00:10:12,360 Speaker 3: that team that offseason darling that everybody thought. I don't 215 00:10:12,400 --> 00:10:15,160 Speaker 3: think Cal's quite there yet. And the big difference in 216 00:10:15,160 --> 00:10:17,520 Speaker 3: this game to me is going to be plays over 217 00:10:17,600 --> 00:10:19,800 Speaker 3: ten yards, and I think Pitt has too much on 218 00:10:19,840 --> 00:10:21,840 Speaker 3: an offense right now. The thirteenth in the nation with 219 00:10:21,960 --> 00:10:25,560 Speaker 3: ninety five plays over ten yards, Calls ninety fifth with 220 00:10:25,679 --> 00:10:29,600 Speaker 3: seventy three ten plus yard plays allowed right now. Cal 221 00:10:29,679 --> 00:10:33,000 Speaker 3: also ninety fourth in tackle grade, and when you're traveling 222 00:10:33,400 --> 00:10:36,880 Speaker 3: that much, you already tackle poorly. Pitt is clicking on 223 00:10:36,960 --> 00:10:39,720 Speaker 3: all cylinders on offense. I like Pitt, and I'm gonna 224 00:10:39,800 --> 00:10:41,600 Speaker 3: lay the points here. I also like the over in 225 00:10:41,640 --> 00:10:43,480 Speaker 3: this game because I do think Karl's gonna be able 226 00:10:43,520 --> 00:10:46,480 Speaker 3: to score. Pitt's defense has kind of been hit or miss, 227 00:10:47,200 --> 00:10:49,320 Speaker 3: and we saw that game against you know, I picked 228 00:10:49,320 --> 00:10:51,160 Speaker 3: the under in Callum Miami and that did not go 229 00:10:51,280 --> 00:10:53,960 Speaker 3: my way last week, although I was over five hundred, 230 00:10:54,000 --> 00:10:57,920 Speaker 3: thank god again last week. But you know, in this game, 231 00:10:58,000 --> 00:11:01,240 Speaker 3: I just think Pitt has too much offense for Please 232 00:11:01,280 --> 00:11:03,320 Speaker 3: don't come after me, Calgarithm. I still think you guys 233 00:11:03,320 --> 00:11:05,120 Speaker 3: are very very good, but I think this is a 234 00:11:05,160 --> 00:11:09,760 Speaker 3: tough spot. So for the Calgarithm man, the Calgarithm is 235 00:11:09,800 --> 00:11:10,480 Speaker 3: a lot of fun. 236 00:11:10,760 --> 00:11:11,600 Speaker 4: It's a lot of fun. 237 00:11:11,720 --> 00:11:14,240 Speaker 2: They need, they need a Marquee acc win. 238 00:11:14,440 --> 00:11:17,839 Speaker 3: This is it, I mean, Loosten, this is it. If 239 00:11:17,840 --> 00:11:20,360 Speaker 3: they get it, this is it. Tourrell, You're absolutely right. 240 00:11:20,520 --> 00:11:22,360 Speaker 3: But for me in this game, I gotta take pittlelay 241 00:11:22,400 --> 00:11:23,560 Speaker 3: the points. 242 00:11:23,440 --> 00:11:25,640 Speaker 1: Okay, and before we keep it moving don't forget to 243 00:11:25,720 --> 00:11:28,480 Speaker 1: join our college football podcast group. You can sink your 244 00:11:28,559 --> 00:11:31,160 Speaker 1: picks and use our quick pick feature on the Betting 245 00:11:31,160 --> 00:11:33,400 Speaker 1: Pro Sports betting app to get a chance to win 246 00:11:33,480 --> 00:11:36,760 Speaker 1: some free prizes. Who doesn't love free prizes? Elevate your 247 00:11:36,760 --> 00:11:41,080 Speaker 1: betting strategy and join the conversation today at bettingpros dot com. 248 00:11:41,120 --> 00:11:44,880 Speaker 1: Slash college from one Pennsylvania team to another. It's the 249 00:11:44,920 --> 00:11:47,400 Speaker 1: fourth ranked Nitny Lions, who remain a four and a 250 00:11:47,400 --> 00:11:50,800 Speaker 1: half point favorite as they travel to Southern California to 251 00:11:50,880 --> 00:11:54,600 Speaker 1: battle the three and two USC Trojans. BP projections like 252 00:11:54,640 --> 00:11:56,839 Speaker 1: this line a little bit closer to a five and 253 00:11:56,880 --> 00:11:59,120 Speaker 1: a half point game, so there actually might be some 254 00:11:59,320 --> 00:12:02,959 Speaker 1: slight value here on the Ninny Lions. Franklin said this 255 00:12:03,080 --> 00:12:06,160 Speaker 1: week that as long as there's no setbacks, he expects 256 00:12:06,240 --> 00:12:09,240 Speaker 1: Nick Singleton to go. In this one quote, We're very 257 00:12:09,280 --> 00:12:12,040 Speaker 1: confident and I think that Nick's very confident that he 258 00:12:12,120 --> 00:12:14,840 Speaker 1: will be ready to go. Meanwhile, USC still has questionable 259 00:12:14,960 --> 00:12:18,760 Speaker 1: tag too tight end Lake McRee and Eric Jerey Bagman, 260 00:12:18,880 --> 00:12:20,600 Speaker 1: are you ready to lay the four and a half 261 00:12:20,679 --> 00:12:23,320 Speaker 1: points on Penn State here? Now that Singleton looks like 262 00:12:23,360 --> 00:12:25,679 Speaker 1: he'll be back in the mix, We did hear this 263 00:12:25,760 --> 00:12:28,320 Speaker 1: week from Franklin that the team will already have to 264 00:12:28,360 --> 00:12:30,600 Speaker 1: travel not just over to the West coast, but to 265 00:12:30,640 --> 00:12:33,360 Speaker 1: Harrisburg two hours. They don't have a long enough runway 266 00:12:33,400 --> 00:12:35,719 Speaker 1: for this plane here, so go to Harrisburg for two 267 00:12:35,720 --> 00:12:37,520 Speaker 1: hours on a bus and then get on the plane 268 00:12:37,559 --> 00:12:40,240 Speaker 1: to go out to cal So long long road trip 269 00:12:40,280 --> 00:12:43,280 Speaker 1: for the boys. But is that anything off your back there? 270 00:12:43,679 --> 00:12:45,800 Speaker 4: Not really? I mean it is extra weird. 271 00:12:46,080 --> 00:12:49,080 Speaker 3: You know, we got to go to Harrisburg to fly 272 00:12:49,200 --> 00:12:52,840 Speaker 3: the bigger plane to go to California is strange, and 273 00:12:52,880 --> 00:12:55,319 Speaker 3: it throws off your routine and everything. 274 00:12:55,400 --> 00:12:56,760 Speaker 4: So I get it that is weird. 275 00:12:56,800 --> 00:12:59,840 Speaker 3: But I think we're I think we're getting a little 276 00:12:59,840 --> 00:13:01,840 Speaker 3: bit too much into the weeds when. 277 00:13:01,720 --> 00:13:02,880 Speaker 4: We're looking at that stuff. 278 00:13:02,880 --> 00:13:05,760 Speaker 3: For me, this boils down to USC's defense, and they 279 00:13:05,760 --> 00:13:09,440 Speaker 3: are better defensively than they were thought to be coming 280 00:13:09,480 --> 00:13:11,880 Speaker 3: in and what we expected from them. But they're still 281 00:13:11,920 --> 00:13:14,280 Speaker 3: eighty seventh in rush yards allowed, the thirteenth in passing 282 00:13:14,320 --> 00:13:17,240 Speaker 3: yards allowed, but that is because they faced Michigan who's 283 00:13:17,240 --> 00:13:20,280 Speaker 3: one hundred and thirtieth in passing, Wisconsin who seventy eighth, 284 00:13:20,559 --> 00:13:23,480 Speaker 3: and the one time they did play a top ten 285 00:13:23,559 --> 00:13:24,839 Speaker 3: passing offense in LSU. 286 00:13:24,840 --> 00:13:26,120 Speaker 4: They gave up three hundred yards. 287 00:13:26,440 --> 00:13:30,960 Speaker 3: USC just doesn't get enough pressure on the quarterback either, 288 00:13:31,040 --> 00:13:33,000 Speaker 3: only five sacks this season. 289 00:13:33,360 --> 00:13:35,000 Speaker 4: You know, Drewelar is doing a much. 290 00:13:34,880 --> 00:13:37,800 Speaker 3: Better job passing the ball this season, and Penn State 291 00:13:37,880 --> 00:13:41,160 Speaker 3: is getting Nick Singleton back. I think there is a 292 00:13:41,160 --> 00:13:44,679 Speaker 3: pretty big mismatch between the Penn State defensive line and 293 00:13:44,920 --> 00:13:48,319 Speaker 3: the USC offensive line here as well. Penn State fifth 294 00:13:48,360 --> 00:13:52,040 Speaker 3: in PFF's pass rush grade thirteen sacks and five games. 295 00:13:52,400 --> 00:13:54,760 Speaker 3: USC passes the ball sixty three point two percent of 296 00:13:54,800 --> 00:13:57,880 Speaker 3: the time and Penn State got to Luke Altmeyer seven 297 00:13:57,960 --> 00:14:01,280 Speaker 3: times in that win. So this is a game where 298 00:14:01,520 --> 00:14:03,520 Speaker 3: I see Penn State being able to run the ball. 299 00:14:04,240 --> 00:14:08,160 Speaker 3: You know, USC is at home, so it's not my 300 00:14:08,240 --> 00:14:10,840 Speaker 3: favorite bet of the week, but I will take Penn 301 00:14:10,880 --> 00:14:12,120 Speaker 3: State and lay the points here. 302 00:14:12,720 --> 00:14:13,480 Speaker 4: Let's go Terrell. 303 00:14:13,559 --> 00:14:15,480 Speaker 1: I know you've been one to fade Penn State a 304 00:14:15,520 --> 00:14:17,160 Speaker 1: time or two. Are you doing it again here? 305 00:14:17,640 --> 00:14:19,240 Speaker 2: Nah? I like Penn State here. I think they're going 306 00:14:19,320 --> 00:14:22,000 Speaker 2: to control a lot of stormmage. I don't think this 307 00:14:22,320 --> 00:14:25,400 Speaker 2: USC offense in Lincoln Riley are ready for this big, 308 00:14:25,440 --> 00:14:28,400 Speaker 2: smash mouth, Big ten defense that they're about to face 309 00:14:28,440 --> 00:14:31,120 Speaker 2: in Penn State, and this is a James Franklin special. 310 00:14:31,280 --> 00:14:33,840 Speaker 2: James Franklin kind of dominates these games earlier in the season, 311 00:14:33,880 --> 00:14:35,920 Speaker 2: as you should know, stef It's just when he gets 312 00:14:36,000 --> 00:14:38,640 Speaker 2: to Ohio State later in the season is when he 313 00:14:39,240 --> 00:14:41,960 Speaker 2: lets down and guess what, they don't even have Ohio 314 00:14:42,000 --> 00:14:43,920 Speaker 2: State on deck. They got to buy and then they 315 00:14:43,960 --> 00:14:47,640 Speaker 2: get Wisconsin and then Ohio State. There's plenty of time 316 00:14:47,680 --> 00:14:50,680 Speaker 2: before that. This is just a beautiful scheduling spot. If 317 00:14:50,680 --> 00:14:52,680 Speaker 2: this was the week before Ohio State, I'd be all 318 00:14:52,680 --> 00:14:55,920 Speaker 2: over USC. But no way, I'm taking Penn State later points. 319 00:14:56,440 --> 00:14:58,040 Speaker 4: Okay, I like to hear it here. 320 00:14:58,440 --> 00:15:00,920 Speaker 1: Let's move forward to the Red Rigs a showdown which 321 00:15:00,960 --> 00:15:03,400 Speaker 1: will take center stage at the Texas State Fair. As 322 00:15:03,440 --> 00:15:06,920 Speaker 1: the number one Texas Longhorns are favored by fourteen points 323 00:15:06,960 --> 00:15:10,760 Speaker 1: over the eighteenth ranked Sooners. BP projections have this line 324 00:15:10,840 --> 00:15:13,680 Speaker 1: right where it is. Quinn Ewers is expected to start 325 00:15:13,720 --> 00:15:16,560 Speaker 1: for Texas, but they do have some injury question marks 326 00:15:16,600 --> 00:15:20,320 Speaker 1: around backup running backs Trey Wisner and Jared Gibson. Also 327 00:15:20,400 --> 00:15:24,280 Speaker 1: starting safety Michael Tafei is on the questionable report as well. 328 00:15:24,560 --> 00:15:28,040 Speaker 1: Oklahoma has been hit more by the injury Bugnan probably 329 00:15:28,080 --> 00:15:31,040 Speaker 1: any other SEC team. They were missing their top five 330 00:15:31,120 --> 00:15:33,720 Speaker 1: wide receivers the last time out. They also have a 331 00:15:33,760 --> 00:15:38,200 Speaker 1: slew of defensive players injured, including cornerback Woody Washington and 332 00:15:38,480 --> 00:15:42,880 Speaker 1: linebacker Desaun Miccolo. This is already after losing one of 333 00:15:42,920 --> 00:15:46,320 Speaker 1: their best defensive backs, Kendall Dolby, for the season. With 334 00:15:46,440 --> 00:15:49,160 Speaker 1: that said, Trell, can Oklahoma get up in the spot 335 00:15:49,320 --> 00:15:50,200 Speaker 1: at the Cotton Bowl? 336 00:15:50,800 --> 00:15:56,320 Speaker 2: Oh? Well, last week we had a mass serget Bridge 337 00:15:56,920 --> 00:16:00,280 Speaker 2: that you know, he stormed the field and our song 338 00:16:00,360 --> 00:16:03,080 Speaker 2: kind of done. Big big Arkansas fan shot out to 339 00:16:03,120 --> 00:16:08,640 Speaker 2: him on that deployment. Then Tech Sergeant now Master Sergeant 340 00:16:08,680 --> 00:16:14,680 Speaker 2: Bass Singer was a huge Oklahoma fan, horns down, let's 341 00:16:14,720 --> 00:16:17,880 Speaker 2: go we get another fourteen? Come on, I believe in 342 00:16:17,920 --> 00:16:21,800 Speaker 2: divine intervention. That line was this same line last week. 343 00:16:22,000 --> 00:16:24,200 Speaker 2: And you're telling me the two guys that were most 344 00:16:24,240 --> 00:16:28,560 Speaker 2: influential on my deployment, who were big fans both are 345 00:16:28,560 --> 00:16:31,640 Speaker 2: gonna be at the game. Are what I have to 346 00:16:31,720 --> 00:16:35,040 Speaker 2: bet this? And then plus it's already this is Oklahoma 347 00:16:35,120 --> 00:16:38,400 Speaker 2: super Bowl. This is it. We've seen two number one 348 00:16:38,440 --> 00:16:41,920 Speaker 2: seeds go down already this season, and so now it's 349 00:16:41,920 --> 00:16:44,080 Speaker 2: an opportunity for a third. I think that we're gonna 350 00:16:44,080 --> 00:16:47,240 Speaker 2: see a lot more of these upsets of big dogs 351 00:16:47,280 --> 00:16:50,480 Speaker 2: in college football. With the new college football playoff that 352 00:16:50,560 --> 00:16:52,880 Speaker 2: is gonna be kicking off this season and everybody is 353 00:16:52,960 --> 00:16:55,640 Speaker 2: now an extended field. People say, hey, our season is 354 00:16:55,680 --> 00:16:57,320 Speaker 2: not over. We can go out there, we can play 355 00:16:57,360 --> 00:16:59,560 Speaker 2: for it. You ad the transfer porter as well, which 356 00:16:59,600 --> 00:17:02,080 Speaker 2: is even the eyes between some of these schools as well. 357 00:17:02,240 --> 00:17:04,760 Speaker 2: I think this is a game they absolutely get up for. 358 00:17:04,840 --> 00:17:07,399 Speaker 2: They're a lot healthier, they had an extra week to prepare, 359 00:17:07,520 --> 00:17:10,879 Speaker 2: get healthy, all of that. I love Oklahoma here to 360 00:17:10,960 --> 00:17:15,159 Speaker 2: pull the upset. Nobody's on our side, but Boomer sooner. Baby, 361 00:17:15,280 --> 00:17:15,879 Speaker 2: let's go. 362 00:17:16,800 --> 00:17:19,040 Speaker 1: Plus four ninety on the money line then I take it. 363 00:17:19,359 --> 00:17:23,160 Speaker 2: Oh absolutely, the plus four seventy five cash last week, 364 00:17:23,240 --> 00:17:24,640 Speaker 2: we gotta sprinkle there. 365 00:17:25,240 --> 00:17:27,840 Speaker 1: Okay, how do you feel about it, Bogman. We're not 366 00:17:27,880 --> 00:17:29,800 Speaker 1: sure if those wide receivers will be out there or 367 00:17:29,840 --> 00:17:31,800 Speaker 1: what this defense is going to look like for Oklahoma. 368 00:17:31,880 --> 00:17:34,240 Speaker 1: That's really been carrying them thus far this season. 369 00:17:34,440 --> 00:17:36,040 Speaker 3: By the way, Treal, no one's on your side. The 370 00:17:36,080 --> 00:17:39,480 Speaker 3: public is betting Oklahoma. The cash and the tickets are 371 00:17:39,520 --> 00:17:43,040 Speaker 3: all on Oklahoma. Plus the points here, so uh, you 372 00:17:43,080 --> 00:17:44,680 Speaker 3: know the people are on your. 373 00:17:44,760 --> 00:17:46,439 Speaker 2: Forty eight percent forty eight percent. 374 00:17:46,720 --> 00:17:48,800 Speaker 3: Now I'm looking at it live right now, it's uh, 375 00:17:49,080 --> 00:17:52,560 Speaker 3: it's sixty four percent, So both. 376 00:17:52,320 --> 00:17:57,040 Speaker 2: With that's tickets and I got forty eight percent tickets 377 00:17:57,080 --> 00:18:01,880 Speaker 2: and fifty two percent money shark on Oklahoma. 378 00:18:01,640 --> 00:18:04,960 Speaker 3: Looking at it live. So maybe we've got conflicting numbers here. 379 00:18:05,000 --> 00:18:08,320 Speaker 3: But look, I've watched this game for twenty five straight years. 380 00:18:08,400 --> 00:18:12,560 Speaker 3: Don't bet the game itself because it can go either way. 381 00:18:12,600 --> 00:18:15,720 Speaker 3: This game is insane. Texas has been better than Oklahoma 382 00:18:15,840 --> 00:18:18,160 Speaker 3: for a little bit now in Oklahoma's seven and three 383 00:18:18,160 --> 00:18:20,480 Speaker 3: in the last ten years in this game. Treill is 384 00:18:20,480 --> 00:18:23,199 Speaker 3: absolutely right. This game is nuts. Both teams get up 385 00:18:23,200 --> 00:18:26,520 Speaker 3: for it. But I will say this, I've never seen 386 00:18:26,600 --> 00:18:31,200 Speaker 3: Texas in a bigger advantage in this game than they 387 00:18:31,200 --> 00:18:35,240 Speaker 3: are right now. Oklahoma has nothing on offense. They've got 388 00:18:35,280 --> 00:18:39,360 Speaker 3: nothing right now. Maybe it's gonna come back. I mean, 389 00:18:39,440 --> 00:18:41,959 Speaker 3: Hawkins had a big play in the fourth against Auburn, 390 00:18:42,160 --> 00:18:44,440 Speaker 3: but the pick six is what won them that game. 391 00:18:44,720 --> 00:18:48,280 Speaker 3: Oklahoma's defense is a national title defense, I think it is, 392 00:18:48,520 --> 00:18:51,560 Speaker 3: but their offense is bottom of the power for for sure. 393 00:18:51,640 --> 00:18:54,040 Speaker 3: Right now, maybe the two weeks off. Like Trell said, 394 00:18:54,320 --> 00:18:56,359 Speaker 3: give them a little bit of a spark here. I 395 00:18:56,400 --> 00:18:58,639 Speaker 3: don't think so. Texas is number one in coverage, so 396 00:18:58,640 --> 00:19:01,000 Speaker 3: if Texas gets up, I think it's gonna be hard 397 00:19:01,000 --> 00:19:03,439 Speaker 3: for Oklahoma to come back as well. So I just 398 00:19:03,440 --> 00:19:06,760 Speaker 3: think there's more paths to a Texas victory here. So 399 00:19:06,960 --> 00:19:10,080 Speaker 3: if I had to pick this game, I would say 400 00:19:10,119 --> 00:19:13,320 Speaker 3: I would take Texas and lay the points. This game 401 00:19:13,400 --> 00:19:15,680 Speaker 3: is always insane, it's crazy. I would say, don't bet it. 402 00:19:15,720 --> 00:19:17,720 Speaker 3: I'll tell you one bet that I do like is 403 00:19:17,760 --> 00:19:19,800 Speaker 3: I like the under twenty five and a half. In 404 00:19:19,880 --> 00:19:22,639 Speaker 3: the first half, we got Quinn Yewers coming off coming 405 00:19:22,680 --> 00:19:24,760 Speaker 3: back off of injury, missing the last couple weeks and 406 00:19:24,800 --> 00:19:26,560 Speaker 3: a bye week, so maybe he comes in a little 407 00:19:26,560 --> 00:19:29,520 Speaker 3: bit rusty. He did last year in this game. He 408 00:19:29,560 --> 00:19:31,680 Speaker 3: came back rusty and he threw a pick early, So 409 00:19:31,920 --> 00:19:34,480 Speaker 3: I think that that is a possibility. I still don't 410 00:19:34,480 --> 00:19:38,280 Speaker 3: think Oklahoma has enough on offense to contend here. Maybe 411 00:19:38,280 --> 00:19:40,640 Speaker 3: they do, Maybe that they get some of these wide 412 00:19:40,640 --> 00:19:44,280 Speaker 3: receivers back help them. It is it is their super Bowl. 413 00:19:44,400 --> 00:19:47,520 Speaker 3: It is a tough game either way, But I don't know. 414 00:19:47,560 --> 00:19:51,359 Speaker 3: I think Texas Texas is different this year and even 415 00:19:51,359 --> 00:19:54,440 Speaker 3: different than last year. And they were in the playoff 416 00:19:54,520 --> 00:19:56,880 Speaker 3: last year, so I think this is a better Texas team. 417 00:19:58,080 --> 00:20:00,639 Speaker 3: This is probably too many points giving to Oklahoma. I 418 00:20:00,680 --> 00:20:03,680 Speaker 3: will freely admit that there's no way I would take 419 00:20:03,800 --> 00:20:07,919 Speaker 3: Oklahoma on the money line, but you know I am 420 00:20:07,960 --> 00:20:09,960 Speaker 3: a Texas homer, so take that with a grain of salt. 421 00:20:10,520 --> 00:20:14,680 Speaker 2: My question, wait, my question for you Bogs, is this 422 00:20:15,400 --> 00:20:17,360 Speaker 2: is this the best chance Texas has to lose rest 423 00:20:17,359 --> 00:20:17,879 Speaker 2: of the season. 424 00:20:18,640 --> 00:20:19,960 Speaker 4: No, they played Georgia next. 425 00:20:19,840 --> 00:20:24,440 Speaker 2: Week, So so a look ahead to Georgia. 426 00:20:24,480 --> 00:20:27,560 Speaker 3: A look ahead, and Texas ain't looking ahead past Oklahoma. 427 00:20:27,880 --> 00:20:28,720 Speaker 3: I can tell you that much. 428 00:20:28,760 --> 00:20:31,040 Speaker 2: Right, Okay, that is not all right Georgia, Georgia. 429 00:20:31,160 --> 00:20:32,240 Speaker 4: It doesn't mean they're gonna win. 430 00:20:32,720 --> 00:20:34,879 Speaker 3: Like I said, this game is crazy, but they are 431 00:20:34,920 --> 00:20:38,560 Speaker 3: not looking They're not looking ahead to Georgia. They are 432 00:20:38,680 --> 00:20:42,119 Speaker 3: paying attention to Oklahoma right now because if you lose 433 00:20:42,160 --> 00:20:46,639 Speaker 3: this game, it's embarrassing, especially with this point spread. 434 00:20:46,680 --> 00:20:50,120 Speaker 2: If you lose Georgia, if you beat Georgia. 435 00:20:50,320 --> 00:20:53,480 Speaker 3: They lost to Oklahoma last year, Trell, So like if 436 00:20:53,520 --> 00:20:56,400 Speaker 3: they had beat Oklahoma into the dirt last year, maybe 437 00:20:56,480 --> 00:20:58,560 Speaker 3: I would say this team is confident going forward. They 438 00:20:58,560 --> 00:21:01,080 Speaker 3: beat them last year. Whatever they were embarrassed last year, 439 00:21:01,240 --> 00:21:03,760 Speaker 3: they remember it. If they had a bye week two, 440 00:21:03,800 --> 00:21:06,119 Speaker 3: and I guarantee you that game was playing in the 441 00:21:06,160 --> 00:21:10,560 Speaker 3: facility all day long, so everybody would remember that loss 442 00:21:10,560 --> 00:21:11,240 Speaker 3: from last year. 443 00:21:11,320 --> 00:21:12,720 Speaker 4: They're gonna come to play. 444 00:21:12,880 --> 00:21:16,400 Speaker 2: If Oklahoma because again seven and three last ten years. 445 00:21:16,400 --> 00:21:18,920 Speaker 2: Thank you for that, nugget. Didn't realize that. But if 446 00:21:18,960 --> 00:21:22,800 Speaker 2: Oklahoma wins, do we just throw everything everything on Texas 447 00:21:22,800 --> 00:21:24,600 Speaker 2: next week at with Georgia come into town. 448 00:21:25,280 --> 00:21:27,679 Speaker 3: I don't think so, because that's a tough game. I 449 00:21:28,200 --> 00:21:31,320 Speaker 3: you know that that is a very tough game both 450 00:21:31,400 --> 00:21:34,200 Speaker 3: sides for Texas and Georgia. So I think that game 451 00:21:34,280 --> 00:21:36,960 Speaker 3: is a coin flip. I think this one is better 452 00:21:37,000 --> 00:21:39,479 Speaker 3: than a coin flip for Texas, but probably not fourteen 453 00:21:39,520 --> 00:21:41,159 Speaker 3: and a half. So, like I said, if I had 454 00:21:41,200 --> 00:21:42,840 Speaker 3: to make a pick, which I don't, I would lay 455 00:21:42,880 --> 00:21:44,840 Speaker 3: the points, give me that under in the first half. 456 00:21:44,920 --> 00:21:45,560 Speaker 4: That's the one I like. 457 00:21:46,119 --> 00:21:48,520 Speaker 1: I'm also kind of the mindset to stay away from 458 00:21:48,520 --> 00:21:51,560 Speaker 1: this game. The books are already offering some boost for 459 00:21:51,640 --> 00:21:53,280 Speaker 1: it as well, so like they want you to get 460 00:21:53,280 --> 00:21:56,120 Speaker 1: invested with it because it could go either way here, 461 00:21:56,240 --> 00:21:58,439 Speaker 1: So I will be staying away as well. But Terrell, 462 00:21:58,600 --> 00:22:01,879 Speaker 1: I respect the guts as all. Friend, someone's got to 463 00:22:01,920 --> 00:22:03,720 Speaker 1: have them here on this program, and it is you 464 00:22:04,040 --> 00:22:04,800 Speaker 1: and the public. 465 00:22:05,080 --> 00:22:07,800 Speaker 4: The public has them too. Don't feel empathy for two. 466 00:22:08,080 --> 00:22:10,919 Speaker 2: I don't don't believe Bogs. This is not a public play. 467 00:22:11,119 --> 00:22:15,320 Speaker 2: I have the sharp money coming in on Oklahoma. Okay. 468 00:22:15,760 --> 00:22:17,800 Speaker 1: Uh, let's go on to the primetime slate where it 469 00:22:17,800 --> 00:22:21,120 Speaker 1: opens up in Knoxville with the eighth rank of volunteers 470 00:22:21,160 --> 00:22:24,639 Speaker 1: continuing to lay fifteen points on the Florida Gators. But 471 00:22:24,840 --> 00:22:27,840 Speaker 1: not only did Tennessee suffer their first loss to Arkansas 472 00:22:27,960 --> 00:22:30,760 Speaker 1: last week, they also got hit by injury in that game. 473 00:22:30,840 --> 00:22:34,440 Speaker 1: Starting wide receivers Brew McCoy and Squirrel White both questionable 474 00:22:34,480 --> 00:22:38,479 Speaker 1: coming into this one, as is starting defensive tackle Bryson Eason. 475 00:22:39,000 --> 00:22:43,280 Speaker 1: Notable injuries for the Gator includes only second stringers running 476 00:22:43,280 --> 00:22:46,960 Speaker 1: back Treyon Webb and tight end Tony Livingston. So a 477 00:22:47,000 --> 00:22:49,960 Speaker 1: little bit healthier of a Gator squad compared to the 478 00:22:50,040 --> 00:22:52,440 Speaker 1: notable players that are banged up for Tennessee. Here, Trell, 479 00:22:52,560 --> 00:22:55,040 Speaker 1: I know you're a trend's guy. Here the Gators. They've 480 00:22:55,080 --> 00:22:57,440 Speaker 1: won eight of the last ten against the balls? Are 481 00:22:57,440 --> 00:23:00,760 Speaker 1: you jumping on to continue to see this? This two 482 00:23:00,880 --> 00:23:04,840 Speaker 1: QB system potentially work for Florida against a big opponent here, all. 483 00:23:04,800 --> 00:23:08,720 Speaker 2: Right, So not to brag or anything. This was before 484 00:23:08,720 --> 00:23:11,480 Speaker 2: my time with betting pros, but on another network that 485 00:23:11,560 --> 00:23:14,640 Speaker 2: I worked for, I did take Florida last last time 486 00:23:14,640 --> 00:23:17,000 Speaker 2: out plus five and a half against Tennessee and cash 487 00:23:17,080 --> 00:23:19,359 Speaker 2: at home. Thank you very much on the money line. 488 00:23:20,000 --> 00:23:24,199 Speaker 2: This is not the spot, grat It's great. This is 489 00:23:24,240 --> 00:23:26,919 Speaker 2: not the spot. Graham Mertz on the road absolutely not. 490 00:23:26,960 --> 00:23:28,720 Speaker 2: The Only reason I backed Graham Mertz in that game 491 00:23:28,760 --> 00:23:31,960 Speaker 2: because it was early in the season. At home, they 492 00:23:32,040 --> 00:23:36,119 Speaker 2: ran the football really well, it was good. No, Graham 493 00:23:36,160 --> 00:23:39,000 Speaker 2: Mertz on the road, absolutely not. I'm not. And he's 494 00:23:39,000 --> 00:23:41,760 Speaker 2: off a win. Graham Mertz off a win on the road, 495 00:23:42,080 --> 00:23:45,480 Speaker 2: No way. I am not back in Graham Mertz against 496 00:23:45,520 --> 00:23:48,040 Speaker 2: Tennessee here. This is the spot where Tennessee just has 497 00:23:48,080 --> 00:23:53,520 Speaker 2: their get up game and absolutely destroys Florida. Tennessee all day. 498 00:23:54,040 --> 00:23:56,040 Speaker 1: Boggs, I think you kind of share that same sentiment 499 00:23:56,080 --> 00:23:58,600 Speaker 1: here because you said earlier this week, if you have 500 00:23:58,640 --> 00:24:00,640 Speaker 1: two quarterbacks, do you really have one? 501 00:24:01,000 --> 00:24:01,320 Speaker 4: Yeah? 502 00:24:01,400 --> 00:24:05,199 Speaker 3: I mean Mertz got more last week, but I just 503 00:24:05,480 --> 00:24:09,080 Speaker 3: how how can you count on Graham Mertz in a 504 00:24:09,119 --> 00:24:12,159 Speaker 3: game against Tennessee And I just I can't do it. 505 00:24:12,200 --> 00:24:15,840 Speaker 3: Graham Mertz has a big discrepancy in passing in a 506 00:24:15,880 --> 00:24:19,760 Speaker 3: clean pocket and passing under pressure and the things that that. 507 00:24:19,920 --> 00:24:22,480 Speaker 3: You know, the teams that they beat the last two weeks, 508 00:24:22,480 --> 00:24:26,840 Speaker 3: Mississippi State UCF do not put pressure on the quarterback. Tennessee. 509 00:24:27,200 --> 00:24:29,760 Speaker 3: Maybe they have problems on offense, maybe they don't score 510 00:24:29,800 --> 00:24:32,720 Speaker 3: a lot of points in this game. I'm more than 511 00:24:32,760 --> 00:24:35,879 Speaker 3: willing to concede that and say, maybe Nico is a 512 00:24:35,880 --> 00:24:37,880 Speaker 3: little bit in over his head as a first year 513 00:24:37,920 --> 00:24:41,280 Speaker 3: starter and all that. I don't care. Graham Mertz is 514 00:24:41,280 --> 00:24:45,320 Speaker 3: going to get murdered back there. Tennessee is going to 515 00:24:45,359 --> 00:24:50,120 Speaker 3: eat him alive. And you know, obviously there's a lot 516 00:24:50,160 --> 00:24:52,800 Speaker 3: off the field going on in Florida as well, you know, 517 00:24:53,240 --> 00:24:57,000 Speaker 3: so you're gonna have some distracted players also. So it's 518 00:24:57,080 --> 00:24:59,280 Speaker 3: just it's a tough spot for Florida in this game. 519 00:24:59,640 --> 00:25:01,800 Speaker 3: I think Tennessee massacurs them. I don't think this is 520 00:25:01,920 --> 00:25:02,920 Speaker 3: very close one. 521 00:25:03,160 --> 00:25:06,000 Speaker 1: Okay, we also have an all ranked affair in Baton 522 00:25:06,080 --> 00:25:09,640 Speaker 1: Rouge as the thirteenth ranked LSU Tigers will be hosting 523 00:25:09,680 --> 00:25:12,720 Speaker 1: the ninth ranked ole Miss Rebels. Here, you know, Lane 524 00:25:12,800 --> 00:25:15,560 Speaker 1: Kiffin has had this one circled on his calendar all 525 00:25:15,600 --> 00:25:18,439 Speaker 1: off season, but he does have a major injury to 526 00:25:18,480 --> 00:25:21,520 Speaker 1: deal with here. Wide receiver Trey Harris is banged up 527 00:25:21,760 --> 00:25:24,520 Speaker 1: coming into this one. He is currently questionable. This guy 528 00:25:24,560 --> 00:25:27,479 Speaker 1: already has fifty two receptions this season. He is a 529 00:25:27,560 --> 00:25:31,480 Speaker 1: cog in this offense. LSU has battled their own injuries 530 00:25:31,520 --> 00:25:34,520 Speaker 1: this season. They already lost three players to season enders, 531 00:25:34,520 --> 00:25:37,440 Speaker 1: and now they've the following question marks coming into Saturday. 532 00:25:37,720 --> 00:25:41,399 Speaker 1: Running back Caden Durham, wide receiver CJ. Daniels, wide receiver 533 00:25:41,480 --> 00:25:43,520 Speaker 1: Chris Hilton, who has yet to play this season, and 534 00:25:43,600 --> 00:25:47,680 Speaker 1: cornerback Zay Alexander ole Miss. They are still laying three 535 00:25:47,680 --> 00:25:50,600 Speaker 1: and a half points in this game. VP systems are 536 00:25:50,640 --> 00:25:52,840 Speaker 1: showing this should probably be closer to a five point 537 00:25:52,880 --> 00:25:55,399 Speaker 1: line and then there actually may be some value on 538 00:25:55,440 --> 00:25:57,080 Speaker 1: the Rebels. Do you agree with that, Bogman? 539 00:25:57,440 --> 00:26:00,480 Speaker 3: I do, and I know like this is this is 540 00:26:00,520 --> 00:26:02,560 Speaker 3: the game where everyone looks at it and if you 541 00:26:02,680 --> 00:26:05,040 Speaker 3: if you want to talk trends, which I don't know, 542 00:26:05,080 --> 00:26:08,600 Speaker 3: if Trell has this one pocketed here. But you know 543 00:26:08,640 --> 00:26:14,040 Speaker 3: they play this game every year and Ole Miss is 544 00:26:14,040 --> 00:26:18,240 Speaker 3: not won in Baton Rous's two thousand and eight. I mean, wow, yeah, 545 00:26:18,359 --> 00:26:20,760 Speaker 3: it has been a long time. This is under the 546 00:26:20,880 --> 00:26:24,399 Speaker 3: lights as well, so this seems like a curse spot. 547 00:26:24,520 --> 00:26:27,800 Speaker 3: But I'm gonna take the revs and lay the points. 548 00:26:27,840 --> 00:26:30,320 Speaker 3: I like the under more so, I'll say that if 549 00:26:30,359 --> 00:26:32,920 Speaker 3: I'm making one play in this game, it is the under. 550 00:26:33,240 --> 00:26:35,960 Speaker 3: Sixty Yeah, sixty three and a half is a lot 551 00:26:35,960 --> 00:26:38,760 Speaker 3: of points. And the reason I like the under is 552 00:26:38,800 --> 00:26:42,000 Speaker 3: because what you mentioned before, Trey Harris leading the country 553 00:26:42,080 --> 00:26:45,080 Speaker 3: in receiving yards right now probably not going to play 554 00:26:45,200 --> 00:26:49,240 Speaker 3: is if we're reading between the lines, Lane Kiffin said, well, 555 00:26:49,280 --> 00:26:51,520 Speaker 3: he wouldn't play today if the game was today. 556 00:26:51,560 --> 00:26:52,160 Speaker 4: That's for sure. 557 00:26:52,160 --> 00:26:55,960 Speaker 3: You're never going to get a reasonable injury report from 558 00:26:56,040 --> 00:26:56,639 Speaker 3: Lane Kiffin. 559 00:26:57,000 --> 00:26:57,560 Speaker 4: He's a joke. 560 00:26:57,600 --> 00:27:00,320 Speaker 3: He's like Bill Belichick when they started doing in the 561 00:27:00,520 --> 00:27:03,440 Speaker 3: enforcing in the NFL and find the Patriots for every 562 00:27:03,440 --> 00:27:06,880 Speaker 3: player is probable, questionable or doubtful, Like it's just absurd. 563 00:27:07,000 --> 00:27:09,080 Speaker 4: So when you. 564 00:27:08,960 --> 00:27:10,960 Speaker 1: Look at they also fake injuries as well. 565 00:27:11,040 --> 00:27:13,600 Speaker 3: Yeah, yes they do. And it's been a big thing 566 00:27:13,760 --> 00:27:16,960 Speaker 3: in South Carolina. Shane Beemer, I believe, complained about it 567 00:27:17,000 --> 00:27:19,960 Speaker 3: as well. They've been very outspoken about it. And you 568 00:27:19,960 --> 00:27:21,920 Speaker 3: know his first thing with a big grin is well, 569 00:27:21,960 --> 00:27:22,560 Speaker 3: I hope those. 570 00:27:22,440 --> 00:27:23,200 Speaker 4: Guys are okay. 571 00:27:23,640 --> 00:27:26,560 Speaker 3: And they said also, we had a couple guys go down, 572 00:27:26,600 --> 00:27:28,800 Speaker 3: like he admitted, we do it too, you know, just 573 00:27:29,119 --> 00:27:30,040 Speaker 3: enforce a rule on it. 574 00:27:30,040 --> 00:27:31,399 Speaker 4: It's getting to be ridiculous. 575 00:27:31,400 --> 00:27:38,720 Speaker 3: But LSU's defense, their secondary is rough. Ole Miss couldn't 576 00:27:38,760 --> 00:27:41,360 Speaker 3: hit big plays against Kentucky, but LSU is ninety third 577 00:27:41,359 --> 00:27:43,560 Speaker 3: and passing yards allowed the one hundred and twelfth and 578 00:27:43,600 --> 00:27:47,560 Speaker 3: coverage grade. Ole Miss is likely missing Trey Harris, but 579 00:27:47,880 --> 00:27:51,359 Speaker 3: the pass rush is great fifteen sacks this season and 580 00:27:51,440 --> 00:27:54,760 Speaker 3: thirteenth pass rush grade on PFF for LSU. 581 00:27:54,840 --> 00:27:56,200 Speaker 4: So the past RUSS grade is great. 582 00:27:56,200 --> 00:27:59,000 Speaker 3: But if you give Jackson Dart too many, you know 583 00:27:59,040 --> 00:28:02,359 Speaker 3: one Mississippi two mississippis to throw. He will beat you 584 00:28:02,440 --> 00:28:04,760 Speaker 3: even without Trey Harris. And the other thing here is 585 00:28:04,800 --> 00:28:07,200 Speaker 3: ole Miss. Yes, they lost to Kentucky, but ole Miss 586 00:28:07,280 --> 00:28:10,000 Speaker 3: defense still has not had a bad game. Their defense 587 00:28:10,119 --> 00:28:12,479 Speaker 3: is so so good this year number one and overall 588 00:28:12,560 --> 00:28:15,159 Speaker 3: defensive grade. They lead the country in sacks. LSU has 589 00:28:15,160 --> 00:28:17,560 Speaker 3: only allowed two sacks this year, but they face an 590 00:28:17,640 --> 00:28:21,480 Speaker 3: FCS team and then USC who hasn't been getting a 591 00:28:21,480 --> 00:28:24,600 Speaker 3: lot of sacks UCLA in South Alabama. These teams all 592 00:28:24,680 --> 00:28:29,160 Speaker 3: have six sacks or less in their five games. Prince Uman, 593 00:28:30,400 --> 00:28:34,919 Speaker 3: I'm gonna try it. Umanomillion is questionable, okay, but this 594 00:28:34,960 --> 00:28:37,399 Speaker 3: team has a lot of depth and the sack seller 595 00:28:37,560 --> 00:28:42,440 Speaker 3: six times last week without Princely, so I think Ole 596 00:28:42,520 --> 00:28:45,680 Speaker 3: Miss's defense is too much. I think this line is 597 00:28:45,680 --> 00:28:48,800 Speaker 3: probably not big enough. But this is under the lights 598 00:28:48,840 --> 00:28:51,240 Speaker 3: game and baton rouge. So if you want to take 599 00:28:51,360 --> 00:28:53,640 Speaker 3: LSU and lay them, take the points or take them 600 00:28:53,640 --> 00:28:56,160 Speaker 3: on the money line. Because of what this game has 601 00:28:56,240 --> 00:28:59,600 Speaker 3: been recently, I completely understand that. That's why I like 602 00:28:59,640 --> 00:29:01,440 Speaker 3: the un more one hundred sixty three and a half 603 00:29:01,440 --> 00:29:02,200 Speaker 3: as might play here. 604 00:29:02,640 --> 00:29:06,720 Speaker 2: What about you, Trell, get your popcorn ready? But wait, 605 00:29:07,000 --> 00:29:09,920 Speaker 2: this is I don't know, this is This is Lane. 606 00:29:10,360 --> 00:29:12,959 Speaker 2: This is Lane in a very very big game. And 607 00:29:13,000 --> 00:29:16,320 Speaker 2: when Lane has a game circle on his schedule, he 608 00:29:16,360 --> 00:29:20,520 Speaker 2: pulls out all of the stops and LSU. Are we 609 00:29:21,120 --> 00:29:23,080 Speaker 2: are we one hundred percent certain that LSU was a 610 00:29:23,080 --> 00:29:25,320 Speaker 2: good team. I mean, I know I backed him in 611 00:29:25,320 --> 00:29:25,960 Speaker 2: the past, but. 612 00:29:26,560 --> 00:29:28,200 Speaker 1: I have never said they were a good team. 613 00:29:29,080 --> 00:29:33,840 Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, I will say you you were. You were 614 00:29:33,840 --> 00:29:36,400 Speaker 2: definitely on them when they didn't cover against UCLA, and 615 00:29:36,440 --> 00:29:39,280 Speaker 2: I think UCLA is horrible, so that is just fresh 616 00:29:39,280 --> 00:29:42,120 Speaker 2: on the mind. I'm not really big on South Carolina 617 00:29:42,120 --> 00:29:45,960 Speaker 2: and they have some okay spots, but they really blew 618 00:29:46,000 --> 00:29:47,800 Speaker 2: that South Carolina game and had to come back and 619 00:29:47,840 --> 00:29:50,920 Speaker 2: try to win it like they lost the USC game. 620 00:29:51,000 --> 00:29:53,880 Speaker 2: Like Brian Kelly just is just blowing these games, and 621 00:29:53,920 --> 00:29:56,000 Speaker 2: I'm just tired of putting money on them. Honestly, That's 622 00:29:56,000 --> 00:29:58,640 Speaker 2: what it is for me. I understand the the they 623 00:29:58,640 --> 00:30:00,920 Speaker 2: have it won in Batan ruginal long time. That's an 624 00:30:01,000 --> 00:30:04,560 Speaker 2: amazing stat. Brian Kelly is the Coast Ruinette one hundred percent. 625 00:30:04,680 --> 00:30:08,880 Speaker 2: So yeah, I'm taking Lane in in a circle game. 626 00:30:09,160 --> 00:30:11,400 Speaker 2: A game at Lane Circles is kind of scary, So 627 00:30:11,600 --> 00:30:13,440 Speaker 2: I'm gonna take Lane Kiffin here. And it's because he 628 00:30:13,480 --> 00:30:15,080 Speaker 2: plays Georgia later in the year and I just don't 629 00:30:15,080 --> 00:30:16,440 Speaker 2: think he's gonna win that one. So he's got to 630 00:30:16,480 --> 00:30:16,920 Speaker 2: win one. 631 00:30:16,800 --> 00:30:19,960 Speaker 1: Of these, Okay. And before we continue, I wanted to 632 00:30:20,000 --> 00:30:23,360 Speaker 1: tell you about fast break bets. If you like betting 633 00:30:23,360 --> 00:30:26,120 Speaker 1: on basketball, the season is just around the corner, and 634 00:30:26,160 --> 00:30:29,160 Speaker 1: host Terrell Furman Junior is on the Fast Break Bets 635 00:30:29,200 --> 00:30:32,640 Speaker 1: podcast every single day, giving you your daily dose of 636 00:30:32,840 --> 00:30:36,200 Speaker 1: basketball betting picks in fifteen minutes or less. Tune in 637 00:30:36,320 --> 00:30:39,160 Speaker 1: daily for your rapid fire fix of all things basketball, 638 00:30:39,320 --> 00:30:42,720 Speaker 1: from the w to the NBA, to college basketball and more. 639 00:30:42,960 --> 00:30:46,000 Speaker 1: Check out the Fast Breaks Bets Podcast at the Betting 640 00:30:46,000 --> 00:30:49,280 Speaker 1: Pros YouTube channel or wherever you listen to your podcast today. 641 00:30:49,640 --> 00:30:51,920 Speaker 1: All right, and let's get to the game that everyone's 642 00:30:51,960 --> 00:30:55,040 Speaker 1: been waiting for. Number two Ohio State on the road 643 00:30:55,080 --> 00:30:58,160 Speaker 1: in Eugene, Oregon to face the number three Oregon Ducks. 644 00:30:58,400 --> 00:31:00,880 Speaker 1: It feels like neither of these teams has honestly played 645 00:31:00,920 --> 00:31:03,640 Speaker 1: their best ball yet, and they also have no major 646 00:31:03,680 --> 00:31:05,880 Speaker 1: injuries on either side of the ball as well coming 647 00:31:05,920 --> 00:31:08,120 Speaker 1: into this one college game day will be there, so 648 00:31:08,120 --> 00:31:09,960 Speaker 1: we know it will be a long day for those 649 00:31:10,080 --> 00:31:13,200 Speaker 1: Oregon Duck fans out there. Betting Pros is showing just 650 00:31:13,280 --> 00:31:15,840 Speaker 1: about a point of value on Ohio State, who are 651 00:31:15,880 --> 00:31:18,600 Speaker 1: laying three points currently. Is that where you're putting your 652 00:31:18,600 --> 00:31:19,200 Speaker 1: money as well? 653 00:31:19,280 --> 00:31:19,560 Speaker 4: Trel. 654 00:31:23,360 --> 00:31:25,960 Speaker 2: They're so public, they're so public, they're so public. But 655 00:31:26,120 --> 00:31:30,320 Speaker 2: this Oregon team has just not played to expectation right 656 00:31:30,920 --> 00:31:34,640 Speaker 2: at all at all. And there's I mean, last week 657 00:31:34,760 --> 00:31:37,120 Speaker 2: I was on the I was on Michigan State plus 658 00:31:37,120 --> 00:31:41,040 Speaker 2: the points. I had a Michigan State ticket, and I'm 659 00:31:41,080 --> 00:31:43,640 Speaker 2: over here trying to figure out how I won. How 660 00:31:43,640 --> 00:31:46,640 Speaker 2: did I win? Well? Two end zone interceptions will one 661 00:31:46,720 --> 00:31:49,120 Speaker 2: hundred percent do it for you? I mean, I just 662 00:31:49,200 --> 00:31:52,000 Speaker 2: don't know. How do you feel comfortable in? Dylan Gabriel? 663 00:31:52,160 --> 00:31:55,600 Speaker 2: Another team that has yet to cover against UCLA. Come on, 664 00:31:55,680 --> 00:31:58,320 Speaker 2: this UCLA team is not good, you know what. 665 00:31:58,440 --> 00:32:00,600 Speaker 1: I'm just gonna spend ruins, baby, I'm just I'm. 666 00:32:00,440 --> 00:32:02,880 Speaker 2: Gonna continue to find spend this day fading teams that 667 00:32:02,920 --> 00:32:05,600 Speaker 2: didn't cover against UCLA. I feel like that's a pretty 668 00:32:05,640 --> 00:32:07,920 Speaker 2: good system, and I'm gonna roll with pretty good strategy, 669 00:32:08,000 --> 00:32:10,760 Speaker 2: right Yeah, Like I'm just gonna But it's also a 670 00:32:10,800 --> 00:32:14,200 Speaker 2: revenge game for Ryan Day because I was in Vegas 671 00:32:15,000 --> 00:32:16,760 Speaker 2: two years ago? Was it two years ago? Three years ago? 672 00:32:16,760 --> 00:32:16,800 Speaker 3: No? 673 00:32:16,840 --> 00:32:19,400 Speaker 2: Three years ago, twenty twenty, twenty twenty one, three years ago. 674 00:32:19,480 --> 00:32:22,280 Speaker 2: I was in Vegas and I watched this Oregon team 675 00:32:22,320 --> 00:32:26,800 Speaker 2: walk into the Horseshoe and get a win. What Ryan 676 00:32:26,880 --> 00:32:30,120 Speaker 2: Dave remembers that he remembers that he only loses the Michigan. 677 00:32:30,520 --> 00:32:32,160 Speaker 2: This Oregon team threw him for a loop when he 678 00:32:32,160 --> 00:32:34,320 Speaker 2: lost to him. He really only loses to Michigan. 679 00:32:34,800 --> 00:32:35,760 Speaker 1: That's good point. 680 00:32:35,880 --> 00:32:38,040 Speaker 2: I'm taking Ohio State. I'm rolling with the public. The 681 00:32:38,080 --> 00:32:39,320 Speaker 2: public wins sometimes. 682 00:32:39,680 --> 00:32:41,720 Speaker 1: All right, Bogman, how do you feel about this big one? 683 00:32:42,080 --> 00:32:42,280 Speaker 4: Yeah? 684 00:32:42,320 --> 00:32:45,160 Speaker 3: I don't like this game either. I'll say this, you know, 685 00:32:45,280 --> 00:32:47,000 Speaker 3: forced to make a pick. I'll take Ohio State and 686 00:32:47,080 --> 00:32:50,840 Speaker 3: lay the points. And the difference being that we saw 687 00:32:52,000 --> 00:32:56,280 Speaker 3: jint run against this Oregon defense here and you have 688 00:32:56,320 --> 00:32:59,840 Speaker 3: Traveon Anderson quinch On Jenkins coming in like this is 689 00:33:00,080 --> 00:33:02,400 Speaker 3: it's not a good formula. If you can't stop the run, 690 00:33:02,480 --> 00:33:05,480 Speaker 3: you are going to get gash in this game. But 691 00:33:05,560 --> 00:33:08,600 Speaker 3: you know what, let's go with another first half under 692 00:33:08,960 --> 00:33:11,560 Speaker 3: in this game. It's twenty six and a half to start. 693 00:33:11,840 --> 00:33:14,920 Speaker 3: And we saw Ohio State do it last week, which 694 00:33:14,960 --> 00:33:18,440 Speaker 3: made me mad because I had the over in that 695 00:33:18,480 --> 00:33:21,520 Speaker 3: game against Iowa. They only put up seven points in 696 00:33:21,520 --> 00:33:23,640 Speaker 3: the first half. I think week one they only put 697 00:33:23,680 --> 00:33:26,760 Speaker 3: up seventeen points in the first half against Akron. They 698 00:33:26,840 --> 00:33:30,160 Speaker 3: slowed down against Michigan State late as well. They took 699 00:33:30,200 --> 00:33:33,160 Speaker 3: the foot off the gas there. So I don't think 700 00:33:33,200 --> 00:33:36,880 Speaker 3: we've seen Ohio State play a full game yet, So 701 00:33:37,080 --> 00:33:39,120 Speaker 3: maybe this is the game where they come out. You know, 702 00:33:39,160 --> 00:33:42,080 Speaker 3: you have to have You're not holding anything back in 703 00:33:42,120 --> 00:33:45,000 Speaker 3: this game. It's all coming out. You know your strategy, 704 00:33:45,080 --> 00:33:46,840 Speaker 3: you put it all on film for every other team 705 00:33:46,840 --> 00:33:48,840 Speaker 3: to see, because you need every trick in the book 706 00:33:49,440 --> 00:33:50,880 Speaker 3: to win this game. It's going to be a tough 707 00:33:50,880 --> 00:33:54,320 Speaker 3: one on the road against Oregon, and that's why I 708 00:33:54,360 --> 00:33:58,600 Speaker 3: don't really like, you know, a bounce in a game 709 00:33:59,000 --> 00:33:59,400 Speaker 3: of this. 710 00:33:59,400 --> 00:34:00,840 Speaker 4: Magnitude can go the other way. 711 00:34:00,920 --> 00:34:03,360 Speaker 3: I do think, like Terrell said, you know, if the 712 00:34:03,440 --> 00:34:06,040 Speaker 3: bounce goes one way, it's probably going to be towards 713 00:34:06,040 --> 00:34:08,400 Speaker 3: Ohio State. Dylan Gabriel has turned the ball over a 714 00:34:08,400 --> 00:34:09,759 Speaker 3: little bit. You know, he's new here. 715 00:34:09,840 --> 00:34:11,520 Speaker 4: So we took shots last week too. 716 00:34:11,640 --> 00:34:13,239 Speaker 1: Dylan Gabriel took some shots. 717 00:34:13,600 --> 00:34:16,080 Speaker 3: He did, he did, so you know, maybe he's coming 718 00:34:16,080 --> 00:34:17,600 Speaker 3: in at less than a hundred percent as well. So 719 00:34:18,000 --> 00:34:20,520 Speaker 3: I like Ohio State in this game, but my favorite 720 00:34:20,520 --> 00:34:23,239 Speaker 3: play is, you know, just banking on Ohio State to 721 00:34:23,280 --> 00:34:25,879 Speaker 3: be somewhat conservative in the first half. You know, also 722 00:34:25,960 --> 00:34:28,439 Speaker 3: against Marshall, they let Marshall hold the ball for five minutes, 723 00:34:28,480 --> 00:34:30,840 Speaker 3: done down the field and score against them too. So 724 00:34:31,320 --> 00:34:33,760 Speaker 3: you know they haven't started out hot in many games 725 00:34:33,800 --> 00:34:36,520 Speaker 3: this year, so I like the under to start this 726 00:34:36,560 --> 00:34:38,600 Speaker 3: game in the first half under twenty six and a half. 727 00:34:38,760 --> 00:34:39,160 Speaker 4: Okay. 728 00:34:39,280 --> 00:34:42,520 Speaker 1: It's also a huge weekend in Morgantown, West Virginia, as 729 00:34:42,560 --> 00:34:45,960 Speaker 1: the three and two Mountaineers welcome the undefeated and eleventh 730 00:34:46,040 --> 00:34:49,600 Speaker 1: ranked Iowa State Sideclones. The Sidclones have the Big twelve's 731 00:34:49,640 --> 00:34:52,759 Speaker 1: top scoring defense, and they have done it with linebackers 732 00:34:52,760 --> 00:34:55,480 Speaker 1: that were absolutely buried on the depth chart. Like I'm talking, 733 00:34:55,719 --> 00:34:58,360 Speaker 1: these were their linebackers that were nine, ten, eleven on 734 00:34:58,400 --> 00:35:01,040 Speaker 1: the depth chart. And they're continuing to make it work here. 735 00:35:02,000 --> 00:35:05,240 Speaker 1: And it did take some time for Garrett Green, CJ. Donaldson, 736 00:35:05,360 --> 00:35:08,120 Speaker 1: Jaheim White and company to get this West Virginia running 737 00:35:08,160 --> 00:35:10,640 Speaker 1: game going, but they are going now. They do have 738 00:35:10,760 --> 00:35:14,320 Speaker 1: defensive back Aubrey Banks as the only known injury question 739 00:35:14,360 --> 00:35:18,000 Speaker 1: mark coming in for West Virginia that we are aware of. Bogman. 740 00:35:18,120 --> 00:35:19,960 Speaker 1: This spread is tightened up to two and a half 741 00:35:20,040 --> 00:35:22,759 Speaker 1: points at some shops where the betting pros projections are 742 00:35:22,800 --> 00:35:25,680 Speaker 1: actually showing now some value on the Cyclones I know 743 00:35:25,800 --> 00:35:28,760 Speaker 1: you and I were both interested in West Virginia earlier 744 00:35:28,800 --> 00:35:30,759 Speaker 1: in the week, But does this line movement scare you 745 00:35:30,840 --> 00:35:31,120 Speaker 1: off it? 746 00:35:32,080 --> 00:35:32,760 Speaker 4: Not really. 747 00:35:32,920 --> 00:35:35,440 Speaker 3: I still I kind of like West Virginia on the 748 00:35:35,440 --> 00:35:38,000 Speaker 3: money line here. This is a difficult place to travel 749 00:35:38,000 --> 00:35:40,880 Speaker 3: and play Iowa State. It's one of the most well 750 00:35:40,920 --> 00:35:44,480 Speaker 3: coached teams in the sure in the country though, Matt 751 00:35:44,520 --> 00:35:48,120 Speaker 3: Campbell's a great coach, so I expect them to be ready. 752 00:35:48,640 --> 00:35:51,279 Speaker 3: So let's just take the over in this game. I 753 00:35:51,280 --> 00:35:54,480 Speaker 3: think it's too low. It's fifty three right now. Is 754 00:35:54,520 --> 00:35:56,279 Speaker 3: that the number that you had seth was fifty three? 755 00:35:56,400 --> 00:35:58,040 Speaker 1: Yeah, I have fifty three and a half, fifty two 756 00:35:58,080 --> 00:36:00,319 Speaker 1: and a half, so I'm getting getting various tickets there. 757 00:36:00,719 --> 00:36:03,000 Speaker 3: So right in the middle there somewhere in that neighborhood. 758 00:36:03,040 --> 00:36:05,440 Speaker 3: And this is because I don't think I don't know 759 00:36:05,480 --> 00:36:07,720 Speaker 3: that many teams are going to be able to stop 760 00:36:07,960 --> 00:36:10,080 Speaker 3: West Virginia. We did see Penn State do that, but 761 00:36:10,120 --> 00:36:12,879 Speaker 3: Penn State is a national title contender, you know, even 762 00:36:12,920 --> 00:36:15,840 Speaker 3: though Iowa State ranks eleven here, I don't think that 763 00:36:15,880 --> 00:36:19,000 Speaker 3: they're gonna be a national title contender. Maybe you know, 764 00:36:19,040 --> 00:36:20,719 Speaker 3: they have a shot to win the big twelve for sure, 765 00:36:20,760 --> 00:36:22,560 Speaker 3: this is a big game for them. But I like 766 00:36:22,640 --> 00:36:25,880 Speaker 3: the over in this game. WVU tenth nationally and offensive 767 00:36:25,920 --> 00:36:28,759 Speaker 3: grade fourteenth and rushing yards per game averaging thirty three 768 00:36:28,800 --> 00:36:32,240 Speaker 3: points per game. Iowa State sixty seventh and rush yards allowed. 769 00:36:32,239 --> 00:36:35,760 Speaker 3: They also grade ninety first in PFS run defensive grade. 770 00:36:35,800 --> 00:36:37,680 Speaker 4: WVVU still a. 771 00:36:37,560 --> 00:36:40,680 Speaker 3: Top twenty five pace of play averaging seventy three point 772 00:36:40,800 --> 00:36:43,279 Speaker 3: five points per game here, and it's not you know, 773 00:36:43,360 --> 00:36:46,399 Speaker 3: Iowa State doesn't have the best offense, but they've been 774 00:36:46,520 --> 00:36:49,359 Speaker 3: a better passing offense than they have been traditionally. This year, 775 00:36:49,960 --> 00:36:52,800 Speaker 3: WVU only has eleven sacks in five games or eightieth 776 00:36:52,880 --> 00:36:55,320 Speaker 3: and PATS rush grade. They're terrible in coverage at ninety 777 00:36:55,400 --> 00:36:57,840 Speaker 3: ninth and pass yards allowed and one hundred and twenty 778 00:36:57,920 --> 00:37:01,480 Speaker 3: six in coverage grade as well. So for me, I 779 00:37:01,520 --> 00:37:03,520 Speaker 3: think this game goes back and forth point for point, 780 00:37:04,320 --> 00:37:06,600 Speaker 3: and I think I kind of like West Virginia on 781 00:37:06,640 --> 00:37:07,160 Speaker 3: the money line. 782 00:37:07,200 --> 00:37:08,439 Speaker 4: But more than that, I like the over. 783 00:37:09,040 --> 00:37:11,920 Speaker 1: Trelle, I know you do not like fading West Virginia 784 00:37:12,040 --> 00:37:14,319 Speaker 1: at home here? How do you feel about it at night? 785 00:37:14,360 --> 00:37:17,520 Speaker 1: As well? Giving those Mountaineer fans a couple extra hours 786 00:37:17,520 --> 00:37:18,600 Speaker 1: to pregame this one. 787 00:37:18,719 --> 00:37:21,919 Speaker 2: Oh, this is such a this is this sucks? Why 788 00:37:21,960 --> 00:37:22,680 Speaker 2: do I have to pick? 789 00:37:22,719 --> 00:37:24,919 Speaker 3: That's why this is a good one because every game 790 00:37:25,040 --> 00:37:25,800 Speaker 3: is gonna be close. 791 00:37:26,120 --> 00:37:29,760 Speaker 2: I have yes. I love Morgan's. This place lights couches 792 00:37:29,800 --> 00:37:31,280 Speaker 2: on fire, Like, come. 793 00:37:31,080 --> 00:37:34,040 Speaker 4: On, who does that? Why a couch? 794 00:37:34,280 --> 00:37:36,480 Speaker 2: Why was the couch the item that we decided we 795 00:37:36,480 --> 00:37:37,560 Speaker 2: were gonna light on fire? 796 00:37:37,880 --> 00:37:38,000 Speaker 3: Like? 797 00:37:38,040 --> 00:37:40,399 Speaker 2: How do how do I fade you in a night game? 798 00:37:40,400 --> 00:37:43,439 Speaker 2: But on the other side it's rock O bec Man. 799 00:37:44,560 --> 00:37:47,319 Speaker 2: How do I can't fade my savior, rock O bec 800 00:37:47,360 --> 00:37:49,560 Speaker 2: the rock O bec that got me the win at Iowa. 801 00:37:49,800 --> 00:37:54,839 Speaker 2: I gotta faith that the rock obc four games, four 802 00:37:54,960 --> 00:37:57,719 Speaker 2: o ats is past four games that rock O Beck. 803 00:37:57,920 --> 00:37:59,719 Speaker 2: How do I have to fade one or the other? 804 00:38:00,400 --> 00:38:03,279 Speaker 4: Ah, it's so you don't take the over. I like 805 00:38:03,320 --> 00:38:03,719 Speaker 4: the over. 806 00:38:03,840 --> 00:38:04,640 Speaker 1: I like that over. 807 00:38:04,920 --> 00:38:07,040 Speaker 2: That's a good I just shart playover. Rocko Beck is 808 00:38:07,080 --> 00:38:09,400 Speaker 2: definitely gonna be able to put points up on West Virginia, 809 00:38:09,440 --> 00:38:11,080 Speaker 2: and I think the Morgan town is going to give 810 00:38:11,080 --> 00:38:13,279 Speaker 2: that West Virginia offense the courage that they need. So 811 00:38:13,320 --> 00:38:15,879 Speaker 2: I do like the over, But come on, I pick 812 00:38:15,920 --> 00:38:21,080 Speaker 2: every game. Gimme West Virginia Rocco has that. Roco has 813 00:38:21,160 --> 00:38:24,640 Speaker 2: to take a loss, and then that loss is going 814 00:38:24,719 --> 00:38:26,600 Speaker 2: to propel him for the rest of the season. As 815 00:38:26,680 --> 00:38:29,960 Speaker 2: Iowa State makes the playoff, Baby roc Obeck, let's go. 816 00:38:31,560 --> 00:38:32,680 Speaker 2: They're in the playoff right now. 817 00:38:33,480 --> 00:38:36,640 Speaker 3: That and look, who knows what's going to happen in 818 00:38:36,640 --> 00:38:40,000 Speaker 3: the Big Twelve. It has been up and down crazy 819 00:38:40,120 --> 00:38:42,440 Speaker 3: so far this year, so anybody can make it out. 820 00:38:42,280 --> 00:38:45,000 Speaker 1: Of there, including these two teams we're gonna talk about 821 00:38:45,000 --> 00:38:47,680 Speaker 1: next year. We'll round up the program with the eighteenth 822 00:38:47,760 --> 00:38:52,040 Speaker 1: ranked Kansas State Wildcats taking on the surgeon Colorado Buffalo's 823 00:38:52,160 --> 00:38:55,799 Speaker 1: in Boulder at ten to fifteen Eastern time on Saturday night. 824 00:38:56,120 --> 00:38:59,880 Speaker 1: Injuries for Kansas State include noseguard you So Siamalu and 825 00:39:00,200 --> 00:39:04,240 Speaker 1: tight end Brydon Alofton. They're both questionable in this one. Meanwhile, 826 00:39:04,280 --> 00:39:07,760 Speaker 1: Colorado is getting healthy at the right time. Shiloh Sanders 827 00:39:07,880 --> 00:39:10,520 Speaker 1: quote is ready according to coach Prime, and the defense 828 00:39:10,560 --> 00:39:13,120 Speaker 1: should be at full strength for the first time in weeks. 829 00:39:13,320 --> 00:39:16,440 Speaker 1: Betting Pro's projections as well as Bogman and I like 830 00:39:16,520 --> 00:39:19,400 Speaker 1: Colorado win this line with six and a half earlier 831 00:39:19,680 --> 00:39:21,960 Speaker 1: this week. Should we still feel the same at the 832 00:39:22,000 --> 00:39:23,959 Speaker 1: current four and a half point line that is being 833 00:39:24,000 --> 00:39:25,000 Speaker 1: offered to us Terrell. 834 00:39:25,480 --> 00:39:28,759 Speaker 2: Oh, absolutely, because Avery Johnson on the road hasn't looked 835 00:39:28,760 --> 00:39:31,480 Speaker 2: good at all. Like yeah, I mean even in the 836 00:39:31,520 --> 00:39:35,040 Speaker 2: win against Tulane, he didn't look good and Tulane was 837 00:39:35,080 --> 00:39:39,359 Speaker 2: a horrible Well, I can't get fined horrible referee call 838 00:39:39,440 --> 00:39:43,440 Speaker 2: rep a horrible referee call from from in at Tulane game. 839 00:39:43,440 --> 00:39:45,279 Speaker 2: They would have lost that game. They would have lost. 840 00:39:45,360 --> 00:39:47,759 Speaker 2: So I just you got to prove it to me 841 00:39:47,760 --> 00:39:50,240 Speaker 2: that Avery Johnson can take this Kansas State team away 842 00:39:50,320 --> 00:39:52,399 Speaker 2: from Kansas State and be able to put together four 843 00:39:52,440 --> 00:39:56,040 Speaker 2: good quarters of football. Whereas Colorado, I think they have 844 00:39:56,239 --> 00:39:59,080 Speaker 2: every every reason to get up for this game. They 845 00:39:59,080 --> 00:40:02,480 Speaker 2: have been getting in Bearest in the Big Twelve, they 846 00:40:02,480 --> 00:40:05,160 Speaker 2: have been getting embarrassed in conference, like we could talk 847 00:40:05,200 --> 00:40:07,640 Speaker 2: about it last season. They've been getting embarrassed. And now 848 00:40:07,680 --> 00:40:10,359 Speaker 2: you get a top twenty five team coming back into 849 00:40:10,440 --> 00:40:12,759 Speaker 2: Boulder and you get a chance to put them down, 850 00:40:13,000 --> 00:40:15,759 Speaker 2: you absolutely take the opportunity. The defense is healthier. That 851 00:40:15,880 --> 00:40:18,560 Speaker 2: noseguard being out I think is really really big because 852 00:40:18,680 --> 00:40:21,120 Speaker 2: if they are able to get pressure on Avery Johnson, 853 00:40:21,239 --> 00:40:23,080 Speaker 2: I just think he's gonna look like a deer in 854 00:40:23,160 --> 00:40:25,920 Speaker 2: headlights all day. And ultimately what it is for me 855 00:40:25,960 --> 00:40:28,640 Speaker 2: because I think it is gonna be point for point. 856 00:40:28,239 --> 00:40:32,080 Speaker 2: The defense for Colorado has Travis Hunter. That's what it is. 857 00:40:32,160 --> 00:40:34,400 Speaker 2: They have Travis Hunter, and so Travis Hunter when I 858 00:40:34,400 --> 00:40:36,200 Speaker 2: need a big play, I know Travis Hunter is gonna 859 00:40:36,200 --> 00:40:38,080 Speaker 2: give me a big play on both sides of the ball. 860 00:40:38,120 --> 00:40:40,640 Speaker 2: So I'm taking I'm a man on a buffalo, give 861 00:40:40,680 --> 00:40:43,720 Speaker 2: me the Colorado buffalo is on the money line. 862 00:40:43,840 --> 00:40:46,640 Speaker 1: Okay money line currently I think plus one p fifty 863 00:40:46,719 --> 00:40:49,960 Speaker 1: five for the Buffs. Are you going that direction as well? Here, Bogman, 864 00:40:50,360 --> 00:40:51,200 Speaker 1: lock it up. 865 00:40:51,360 --> 00:40:54,880 Speaker 3: Agreement all the way through with Terrell. But let me 866 00:40:54,920 --> 00:40:57,879 Speaker 3: give you some stats on the other side of the ball, 867 00:40:58,000 --> 00:41:01,279 Speaker 3: because for me, what the big difference on this game 868 00:41:01,719 --> 00:41:05,320 Speaker 3: is going to be what Kansas State is doing on defense, 869 00:41:05,360 --> 00:41:08,919 Speaker 3: which is nothing in the pass rush grade one hundred 870 00:41:08,960 --> 00:41:11,319 Speaker 3: and twenty seventh in pass rush grade. So far, they 871 00:41:11,360 --> 00:41:14,640 Speaker 3: have twelve sacks on the season. They do, but four 872 00:41:14,840 --> 00:41:19,080 Speaker 3: we're against Tennessee Martin an FCS school five or against Tulane. 873 00:41:19,200 --> 00:41:22,799 Speaker 3: Against the P four teams. They had zero against Okay State, 874 00:41:23,120 --> 00:41:27,200 Speaker 3: two against BYU, and one versus Arizona, so they are 875 00:41:27,280 --> 00:41:30,440 Speaker 3: not getting at home at all. And if you give 876 00:41:31,040 --> 00:41:33,920 Speaker 3: Sanders time to throw the ball back there, he is 877 00:41:33,960 --> 00:41:36,040 Speaker 3: going to pick you apart. Let me tell you about 878 00:41:36,120 --> 00:41:39,359 Speaker 3: another team not rushing the passer well enough right now. 879 00:41:39,360 --> 00:41:42,840 Speaker 3: It's UCF and they gave up forty eight points to 880 00:41:42,960 --> 00:41:45,400 Speaker 3: Colorado last week. I think we're gonna see more of 881 00:41:45,440 --> 00:41:48,520 Speaker 3: the same here, and not only I will also echo 882 00:41:48,640 --> 00:41:51,920 Speaker 3: these bad road games that Trell mentioned about Kansas State. 883 00:41:52,360 --> 00:41:55,600 Speaker 3: Also elevation in Colorado, which they did not handle in 884 00:41:55,680 --> 00:41:58,840 Speaker 3: BYU at all. So maybe not as bad as Provo, 885 00:41:58,880 --> 00:42:01,640 Speaker 3: but I mean it's still at elevation here. So case 886 00:42:01,640 --> 00:42:03,919 Speaker 3: State a different team at home and on the road. 887 00:42:04,160 --> 00:42:07,200 Speaker 3: I think that trend continues, specifically because they do not 888 00:42:07,239 --> 00:42:09,600 Speaker 3: blitz enough and shor Sanders is gonna sit back there 889 00:42:09,640 --> 00:42:11,840 Speaker 3: and pick them apart. So I like Colorado on the 890 00:42:11,840 --> 00:42:14,040 Speaker 3: money line as well. I don't know why k State 891 00:42:14,120 --> 00:42:14,920 Speaker 3: is favored here. 892 00:42:15,200 --> 00:42:16,080 Speaker 4: Okay, I like it. 893 00:42:16,120 --> 00:42:17,799 Speaker 1: I'm gonna ride with you, guys. I think that'll make 894 00:42:17,800 --> 00:42:20,799 Speaker 1: it three for three on the Colorado upset there, and 895 00:42:20,880 --> 00:42:22,879 Speaker 1: I'll do it for us today on the Betting Pros 896 00:42:22,880 --> 00:42:26,080 Speaker 1: College Football Show. We greatly appreciate everyone tuning in with 897 00:42:26,160 --> 00:42:28,480 Speaker 1: us Bogman. He'll be back later in the week with 898 00:42:28,600 --> 00:42:31,440 Speaker 1: more best bets and some player props as well. Until then, 899 00:42:31,719 --> 00:42:33,480 Speaker 1: like this video if you enjoy it, Subscribe to the 900 00:42:33,480 --> 00:42:36,560 Speaker 1: Betting Pros YouTube channel and the podcast feed, plus download 901 00:42:36,600 --> 00:42:39,000 Speaker 1: that Betting Pros app and make sure you are seeking 902 00:42:39,080 --> 00:42:42,560 Speaker 1: your sportsbooks today. For Scott Bogman and Trell Furman, I'm 903 00:42:42,600 --> 00:42:45,759 Speaker 1: Seth Wilcock. Thanks for washing take care of y'all. 904 00:42:45,800 --> 00:42:47,920 Speaker 4: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. 905 00:42:48,160 --> 00:42:50,560 Speaker 1: If you love the show, the best freeway to support 906 00:42:50,600 --> 00:42:53,520 Speaker 1: us is by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts 907 00:42:53,600 --> 00:42:56,600 Speaker 1: or Spotify. 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