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Speaker 1: What's up, guys?

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Speaker 2: How are you welcome into a Tuesday morning episode of

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Speaker 2: the Daily Juice podcast with me and Matt Parralte. You

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Speaker 2: guys can follow me across all my socials at Sports

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Speaker 2: Talk Matt as we come to you after a pretty

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Speaker 2: cold night last night, after a red hot Saturday Sunday,

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Speaker 2: a cool down, if you will, which is pretty indicative

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Speaker 2: given what we're looking at here for the weather here

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Speaker 2: in the Northeast. It has been windy, it has been wet,

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Speaker 2: it has been freezing cold, and that was what happened

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Speaker 2: last night as we wound up going zero to three rams.

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Speaker 2: Get beat outright, Matthew Stafford can kiss the MVP award

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Speaker 2: by after his performance last night. On Monday Night football,

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Speaker 2: Blake Korum got hurt. That was a bummer, so he

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Speaker 2: was not utilized all that much. And then Ryan Rolins

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Speaker 2: had a good game for the Bucks, but not good

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Speaker 2: enough as his pointer abound and assists to not go over.

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Speaker 2: So oh and three down, three point six units. It's

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Speaker 2: not that crazy. We've done a lot of that where

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Speaker 2: we've had a problem going down early in the week

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Speaker 2: and we've made it up. We did it last week

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Speaker 2: where we had a bad start, and then we wound

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Speaker 2: up up for the week, so plenty of time left

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Speaker 2: for the week. But we're running out of dates here

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Speaker 2: obviously in twenty twenty five, which is kind of remarkable

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Speaker 2: because we have today and we have tomorrow, and then

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Speaker 2: the year will be wrapped up. Now reminder, I will

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Speaker 2: count the future wagers for the NFL on the twenty

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Speaker 2: five schedule, so we're not going to have totally the

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Speaker 2: recount after week eighteen. Then I'm going to be able

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Speaker 2: to recap twenty eighteen, so we have a lot of

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Speaker 2: future bets if those cash will factor that in as

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Speaker 2: well to twenty twenty five. But just so you know,

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Speaker 2: for the regular season wagers that we made back in August,

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Speaker 2: I will count that for the twenty five records. We

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Speaker 2: won't have the full calibration of the year until after

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Speaker 2: we get through week eighteen. But there are two huge

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Speaker 2: games on Saturday, one game on Sunday, so there's a

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Speaker 2: lot of things that get into for the NFL this weekend.

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Speaker 2: But for college basketball and college football, we've got the

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Speaker 2: playoff games this weekend. We've got college basketball tonight, which

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Speaker 2: I'm getting back involved with.

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Speaker 1: Two plays in.

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Speaker 2: College basketball, I will have one NBA player prop as well,

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Speaker 2: but we're going to be left after this weekend. Really

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Speaker 2: we start being left with during the week just college basketball,

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Speaker 2: the NBA, and the NHL. So I got to get

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Speaker 2: my feet back into it. And so when I do that,

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Speaker 2: I tend to go back to the things I know

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Speaker 2: the best, which is well Big East basketball. So I

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Speaker 2: got two plays. Both games are on Fox Sports one tonight,

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Speaker 2: so you got National TV to watch both the games.

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Speaker 2: I'm going to play tonight, and then we have the

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Speaker 2: player prop as well, and we'll you know, if you

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Speaker 2: want to fade, you want.

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Speaker 1: To follow, go right ahead. But I'm getting back in.

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Speaker 2: I haven't met college basketball in a while, so when

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Speaker 2: you kind of sometimes it's beginner's luck, sometimes you start cold.

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Speaker 1: Whatever it might be. But we're going to come more.

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Speaker 2: Consistently with college basketball plays over the next month or

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Speaker 2: two as we head into amazingly January of twenty twenty six.

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Speaker 2: Before I give you guys to plays, a reminder that

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Speaker 2: if you want this George Kittle signed mini helmet San

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Speaker 2: Francisco forty nine or tight end George Kittle will give

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Speaker 2: this away at the end of the week, you must

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Speaker 2: be subscribed to the Betting Pros YouTube channel and you

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Speaker 2: must comment on this video.

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Speaker 1: That's all you gotta do.

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Speaker 2: If you do that, you are entered into winning the

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Speaker 2: George Kittle signed mini helmet from Pristine Auction dot Com.

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Speaker 2: We will give that away coming up here at the

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Speaker 2: end of the week. Also, you guys have been told

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Speaker 2: this quite a bit, but the Deal Juice podcast is

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Speaker 1: We got Week eighteen going on in the NFL this week.

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Speaker 2: But also you got hockey and basketball, so many things

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Speaker 2: to get involved with. You can combine your plays football

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Speaker 2: and basketball for parlays with NBA parlays or an NFL parlay.

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Speaker 2: You guys could even do the in game betting. Reminder

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Speaker 2: that once a game starts, the live in game betting

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Speaker 2: will be there so you can jump on it. Even

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Speaker 2: All right, let's begin here with Seaton Hall against Marquette.

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Speaker 2: Ken Boum's got Seaton Hall as a top fifty team,

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Speaker 2: and it's pretty impressive when we start looking at the

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Speaker 2: numbers for Seaton Hall. Defensively, they have really been impressive

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Speaker 2: this year. They are thirteenth in the country in defensive

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Speaker 2: adjusted efficiency. They are forty second in defensive effective field

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Speaker 2: goal percentage, in their fifth in turnover percentage. This is

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Speaker 2: a defense that travels. They are number one in block percentage,

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Speaker 2: they are number one in steel percentage. Defensively, this team

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Speaker 2: has been absolutely tremendous on the defensive end of of

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Speaker 2: the court. And really when it comes to traveling to

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Speaker 2: a place like Marquette, which is a very tough place

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Speaker 2: to play, Okay, you're playing a shaka Smart team that

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Speaker 2: generally speaking, Shaka Smart one of the best coaches in

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Speaker 2: the country. But Marquettees had a really rough start to

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Speaker 2: their year. They're five and eight on this season. They've

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Speaker 2: lost four consecutive games. Three of those four games have

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Speaker 2: been on the road, but they lost to Georgetown at home.

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Speaker 2: Back on the seventeenth of December, they lost to Oklahoma.

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Speaker 2: Their last win was an overtime against val Pereiso at home.

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Speaker 2: So it has been a really rough start to the

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Speaker 2: year for Seaton Hall. This has been one of the

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Speaker 2: nice surprises in college basketball and here for the Big East.

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Speaker 2: They're eleven and two on the year, but they are

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Speaker 2: also coming off of a loss. And this is where

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Speaker 2: I like betting on good teams off of losses. Now, generally,

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Speaker 2: if you remember, we've used to do this where they

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Speaker 2: lose a road game and then they would come home

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Speaker 2: and we would bet them in their next home game.

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Speaker 2: But I'm comfortable here because Nova beating a Seaton Hall

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Speaker 2: at home, that's a rivalry game, that's a Big five

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Speaker 2: Philly game, that's just a game that's Seaton Hall. You know,

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Speaker 2: normally from a New Jersey school taking on a Philly school,

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Speaker 2: there's a rivalry. There's not a Big five game, but

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Speaker 2: you know what I mean, it's a big opportunity to

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Speaker 2: watch these teams play against each other and they recruit

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Speaker 2: the same kids, same size school.

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Speaker 1: So this is a.

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Speaker 2: A lost I think will stick with Seaton Hall and

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Speaker 2: so they turn around in their two point favorites on

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Speaker 2: the road against Marquette. Ken Palm has this as a

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Speaker 2: three point win for Seaton Hall, a seventy two sixty

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Speaker 2: nine win for Seaton Hall. But you look at what

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Speaker 2: this has done this season, and the numbers are pretty impressive.

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Speaker 2: Seaton Hall is five and zero ATS on the road

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Speaker 2: this year. Marquette is two and six ATS at home

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Speaker 2: this year. They have lost five games in a row

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Speaker 2: against the number Seaton Hall six and four over their

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Speaker 2: last ten games against the number zero in two Marquette

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Speaker 2: so far this year in the biggiest conference, They've yet

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Speaker 2: to cover a game here. And it's a very small number. Essentially,

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Speaker 2: it's a money line. I like defense.

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Speaker 1: I don't mind the under either.

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Speaker 2: At one forty two and a half, this is going

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Speaker 2: to be a rock fight basketball game. But I think

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Speaker 2: Seaton Hall will find a way to win the game.

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Speaker 2: I'm taking Seaton Hall. Give me the Pirates lay in

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Speaker 2: two on the road against Marquette. I don't like road

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Speaker 2: favorites in college basketball all that much, but I think

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Speaker 2: with this defense that Seaton Hall has un comfortable going

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Speaker 2: ahead and laying it. Seaton Hall minus two for one

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Speaker 2: point one units. The second game on Fox Sports one

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Speaker 2: will be the Creighton Blue Jays hosting the Butler Bulldogs.

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Speaker 2: Now Butler forty ninth on Ken Palm's rankings, the Creighton

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Speaker 2: Blue Jays forty fourth. The thing about the Creyton Blue

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Speaker 2: Jays and we haven't bet them, they've had a really

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Speaker 2: rough season. Okay, you want to go, matt Man. The

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Speaker 2: Jesus have been really rough this year. It's a fair point. However,

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Speaker 2: the last three games against Xavier, Marquette, and Utah Tech,

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Speaker 2: the Blue Jays and Greg McDermott have been arguably the

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Speaker 2: hottest team in college basketball. They beat Xavier by forty one,

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Speaker 2: they beat Marquette by twenty one, and they beat Utah

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Speaker 2: Tech by twenty three. Some of these numbers for the Jays,

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Speaker 2: it's really amazing. The Jays had their largest halftime lead

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Speaker 2: since leading Houston Christian back in twenty twenty four. When

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Speaker 2: they beat Xavier. They annihilated Xavier ninety eight to fifty seven.

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Speaker 2: If you look at what teams have done to start

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Speaker 2: a big eet schedule, this is not normal.

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Speaker 1: Okay.

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Speaker 2: They won by forty one and twenty one to start

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Speaker 2: Biggie's conference play. That's a plus sixty two point differential,

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Speaker 2: and that's the largest in league history, outpacing the eighty

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Speaker 2: eight eighty nine Providence team coached by Rick Barnes that

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Speaker 2: was plus fifty after two conference games. The plus six

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Speaker 2: two margin is the best in Creighton basketball history, just

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Speaker 2: ahead of the nineteen twenty four nineteen twenty five Creighton

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Speaker 2: Blue Jays team. So, like, give you an idea of

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Speaker 2: how good the Jays have been over their first two games.

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Speaker 2: And Nick Graves has been the biggest reason why. Nick

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Speaker 2: Graves scored seventeen points in less than three minutes in

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Speaker 2: the game against Marquette. He's been phenomenal for the Jays.

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Speaker 2: And this is a guy that they need to be

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Speaker 2: the leader. They're paying him in Jason Dix and all

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Speaker 2: these transfers that came in. The Jays, you know, thought

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Speaker 2: they were going to have Josh Dick. Sorry, the Jays

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Speaker 2: thought they were going to have a really good deep team.

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Speaker 2: Owen Freeman, you know, Blake, Blake Harper. These kids that

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Speaker 2: they came in with the nil and transfer portal didn't

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Speaker 2: work early, but maybe they're going to work late for

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Speaker 2: the Creaton Blue Jays. Butler's ten and three. They've beaten

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Speaker 2: South Carolina, Virginia, Providence in Northwestern they've lost at SMU,

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Speaker 2: at home against Boise State, and they lost at Yukon.

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Speaker 2: They got a couple of kids from or one kid

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Speaker 2: from Gonzaga, the transferreda who's played really well. But here's

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Speaker 2: the thing. The Jays just given the number at five.

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Speaker 2: They're four and three at home ats wise, but three

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Speaker 2: in a row. They've covered three and a row that

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Speaker 2: they've won. And the road record for Butler is three

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Speaker 2: and two. They've lost at Yukon, like we talked about earlier,

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Speaker 2: and they lost games you know, on the road at SMU.

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Speaker 2: So two losses both on the road in one in

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Speaker 2: Big East play against Yukon, and.

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Speaker 1: The number is five.

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Speaker 2: These are games where on a Tuesday night in Omaha,

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Speaker 2: there's not much going on and the Jays are playing

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Speaker 2: really well.

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Speaker 1: This is a tough place to play.

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Speaker 2: Okay, this just is playing at Creighton on a Tuesday

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Speaker 2: is very hard, very difficult. This is a five point win.

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Speaker 2: According to kempom. The number is five. We're right on

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Speaker 2: the number for the Creighton Blue Jays, and I think

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Speaker 2: we start breaking down the numbers. The Jays play poorly

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Speaker 2: and they lose games this year when they are turning

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Speaker 2: the basketball over. The problem is that Butler does not

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Speaker 2: turn over their opponent. Okay, the Jays turnover percentage wise,

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Speaker 2: they're three hundred and eighth. Okay, they don't turn you over,

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Speaker 2: but they also don't turn the basketball over all that much.

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Speaker 2: Butler's defense is two hundred and forty first in turnover

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Speaker 2: percentage at sixteen point four. The Jays are at fifteen percent.

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Speaker 2: The D one average is seventeen point five percent from

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Speaker 2: a turnover percent percentage, Butler also doesn't hit their free throws,

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Speaker 2: which is a little bit strange. They're two hundred and

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Speaker 2: eighty fifth in free throw percentage. Not hitting your free

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Speaker 2: throws on the road, it's more difficult to cover here.

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Speaker 2: So again, just not much going on. It's a holiday week.

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Speaker 2: This should be a packed house in Omaha, Nebraska. Creighton

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Speaker 2: fans probably should feel really excited about this with a

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Speaker 2: conference game coming back in late December, and the team

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Speaker 2: has turned the corner at least after getting blown out

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Speaker 2: by you know, rivalries, and they got killed by Nebraska.

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Speaker 2: They lost seventy one to fifty on the road against Nebraska.

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Speaker 2: They lost to Iowa State seventy eight to six. I mean,

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Speaker 2: they lost to Gonzaga ninety to sixty three. Like they've

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Speaker 2: been destroyed by teams in which the creat and Blue

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Speaker 2: Jay fan base would kind of measure themselves up against.

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Speaker 1: Ali.

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Speaker 2: The five points at home in Omaha for Greg mcdermoy

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Speaker 2: to keep the ball going in the right direction for

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Speaker 2: the creaton Blue Jays three and oh straight up three

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Speaker 2: and oh ats, let's he even cover the five points

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Speaker 2: Butler against Butler Jay's minus five for one point one units,

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Speaker 2: and let's go to the prop bet cheat sheet for

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Speaker 2: the final play of the day, with Kawhi Leonard coming

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Speaker 2: off of a unbelievable performance in his last game in

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Speaker 2: which he scored fifty five points, a career high for him.

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Speaker 2: In the one to twelve ninety nine win over the Pistons.

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Speaker 2: He had eleven rebounds, two assists, five steals, and three blocks.

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Speaker 2: He attempted a season high twenty six shots in that

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Speaker 2: game as well. He shot sixty five percent from the floor. Unbelievableformance.

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Speaker 2: Prop bet cheat sheet likes to do this, and so

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Speaker 2: do I. When a player has an unbelievable performance, just

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Speaker 2: an insane performance faded the next week. Kawhi Leonard points

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Speaker 2: and assists has gone over thirty four and a half

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Speaker 2: or over thirty three and a half in four straight games.

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Speaker 2: He had thirty four back against the Portland Trailblazers in

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Speaker 2: the last road game that they had. But this is

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Speaker 2: a team last week, last game, they were catching three

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Speaker 2: and a half and they won one to twelve to

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Speaker 2: ninety nine over the Pistons. Very impressive fifty five points,

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Speaker 2: eleven rebounds and two assists. Game before that it was

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Speaker 2: twenty eight points and six assists. Game before that was

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Speaker 2: forty one points in five assists. For that thirty two

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Speaker 2: points and three assists. And then against Okac on the

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Speaker 2: road he was twenty two points and six assists. You

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Speaker 2: know what, the Kings, even though they stink at eight

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Speaker 2: and twenty four, you know what the game plan is

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Speaker 2: going to be here for tonight. It's going to be

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Speaker 2: to shut down Kawhi Leonard prop PITCHI cheet likes this

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Speaker 2: to be. It's thirty four and a half four points

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Speaker 2: and assists for Kawhi Leonard. We are projecting at twenty

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Speaker 2: eight and a half points and assists. It's a seventy

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Speaker 2: six percent cover probability, a thirty six percent expected value

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Speaker 2: play in a five star rated play as well. The

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Speaker 2: number has gone over fourteen of twenty one games, however,

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Speaker 2: for Kawhi Leonard. So we are going against the grain

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Speaker 2: here a little bit on this, but I think you

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Speaker 2: can play it with fifty five points. Again, if it

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Speaker 2: goes thirty four, with twenty eight points and six assists,

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Speaker 2: we're at thirty four and a half. We're paying a

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Speaker 2: little juice for it at might as one twenty five.

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Speaker 2: But I think it's a good play here to go.

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Speaker 2: And just as everyone will bet the over, you guys

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Speaker 2: might want to wait, even you might get a higher

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Speaker 2: number guys coming off with fifty five points in his

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Speaker 2: last game. I think it's a decent play to think

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Speaker 2: he comes back down to earth a little bit after

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Speaker 2: a career night more on the average, more of a

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Speaker 2: typical type of performance for Kawhi tonight against the Sacramento Kings.

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Speaker 2: We're going to come in and bet the points. They

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Speaker 2: should not be rebounds there that are should not be there.

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Speaker 2: I polodes a mistake. It's points and assists, not points

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Speaker 2: in rebound. So cross off the r there. It's PA,

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Speaker 2: not pr A. That's a typo. Kawhi Leonard under thirty

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Speaker 2: four and a half points and assists at minus one

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Speaker 2: twenty five. So the plays for us on a Tuesday,

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Speaker 2: Seaton Hall minus two on the road against Marquette Creighton

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Speaker 2: minus five at home up against Butler and Kawhi Leonard

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Speaker 2: under thirty four and a half points and assists, no rebounds,

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Speaker 2: points and assists at minus one twenty five minus.

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Speaker 1: Matt Paroalt.

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Speaker 2: You guys can follow me across all my socials at

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Speaker 2: sports Doc Matt every morning wherever you guys get your podcasts.

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Speaker 1: It is the Daily Juice