1 00:00:00,840 --> 00:00:05,120 Speaker 1: The most valuable commodity I know of this information. Wouldn't 2 00:00:05,160 --> 00:00:07,960 Speaker 1: you agree? Did you agree? I got five dollars? 3 00:00:07,960 --> 00:00:08,640 Speaker 2: This is a rain. 4 00:00:10,000 --> 00:00:11,760 Speaker 1: Happny tackle. Hit one man. 5 00:00:14,600 --> 00:00:18,480 Speaker 2: You're saying that humans need fantasy to make life bearable. 6 00:00:19,200 --> 00:00:25,800 Speaker 2: Humans need fantasy to be human. My goodness, that was good. 7 00:00:26,680 --> 00:00:31,440 Speaker 2: You guys are prose the best, relentless, refusing to give up. 8 00:00:31,920 --> 00:00:33,080 Speaker 1: All right, hit that horn, babe. 9 00:00:33,159 --> 00:00:39,760 Speaker 2: Let's what's up? Everybody? Welcome to the Fantasy Flex Podcast. 10 00:00:40,240 --> 00:00:44,519 Speaker 2: This is your Saturday Slate DFS preview for the NFL 11 00:00:44,800 --> 00:00:46,200 Speaker 2: the Visional Round. 12 00:00:46,680 --> 00:00:46,800 Speaker 1: Hi. 13 00:00:46,880 --> 00:00:50,600 Speaker 2: I'm your host, Chris raybaon and joining me as always 14 00:00:50,600 --> 00:00:54,480 Speaker 2: one of the top Fantasy rankers in the game. Sean Kerner. Sean, 15 00:00:54,520 --> 00:00:56,000 Speaker 2: how are you feeling? What's up? 16 00:00:56,200 --> 00:00:58,800 Speaker 1: I'm filming pretty good, knockula. I still, you know, recovering 17 00:00:58,840 --> 00:01:02,560 Speaker 1: from our lengthy weekend in New York. But how you doing? 18 00:01:02,960 --> 00:01:03,480 Speaker 2: Feeling good? 19 00:01:03,520 --> 00:01:03,680 Speaker 1: Man? 20 00:01:03,720 --> 00:01:05,240 Speaker 2: I see the I see the light at the end 21 00:01:05,280 --> 00:01:05,840 Speaker 2: of the tunnel. 22 00:01:06,319 --> 00:01:06,559 Speaker 1: Uh. 23 00:01:06,640 --> 00:01:08,600 Speaker 2: You know it's only I could count the amount of 24 00:01:08,640 --> 00:01:11,399 Speaker 2: games left. You could really kind of dive in. I had. 25 00:01:11,520 --> 00:01:15,240 Speaker 2: I've already bet four props and on like Wednesday, so 26 00:01:15,720 --> 00:01:17,280 Speaker 2: you know this is this is that time of year 27 00:01:17,319 --> 00:01:19,920 Speaker 2: when starting to see the end of the road. But uh, 28 00:01:20,600 --> 00:01:23,040 Speaker 2: it's it's bittersweet, but I've got some good matches this weekend, 29 00:01:23,080 --> 00:01:25,600 Speaker 2: so we'll dive into both of them. Uh, both of 30 00:01:25,640 --> 00:01:29,039 Speaker 2: the Saturday games we'll talk about, uh, the the showdown 31 00:01:29,080 --> 00:01:31,959 Speaker 2: slates for those on this episode, And I want to 32 00:01:32,000 --> 00:01:35,120 Speaker 2: give a quick shout to our contest winner c H 33 00:01:35,240 --> 00:01:38,800 Speaker 2: six Underscore five to seven could grab the H six 34 00:01:38,880 --> 00:01:42,399 Speaker 2: Underscore five seven. Thanks for the review. You can claim 35 00:01:42,400 --> 00:01:44,880 Speaker 2: your free year of Action Pro by hitting up podcasts 36 00:01:45,000 --> 00:01:48,680 Speaker 2: with an S at Actionnetwork dot com. And for anyone 37 00:01:48,680 --> 00:01:51,520 Speaker 2: out there that wants a free year, I've Action Pro. 38 00:01:51,640 --> 00:01:56,000 Speaker 2: Be sure to leave us a five star rating and review. 39 00:01:56,480 --> 00:01:58,960 Speaker 2: All right, let's jump into the first matchup. We got 40 00:01:58,960 --> 00:02:02,040 Speaker 2: the Jags going k seed to take on the Chiefs. 41 00:02:02,480 --> 00:02:04,240 Speaker 2: Eight and a half is the line in favor of 42 00:02:04,320 --> 00:02:08,240 Speaker 2: the Chiefs. Total way up at fifty three. What do 43 00:02:08,280 --> 00:02:09,360 Speaker 2: you like? Get a Captain special? 44 00:02:10,240 --> 00:02:12,760 Speaker 1: So I was I was considering either Patrick Mahomes or 45 00:02:12,800 --> 00:02:16,280 Speaker 1: Travis kelcey here and I'm gonna go Travis kelce This 46 00:02:16,400 --> 00:02:18,000 Speaker 1: is a spot where I think the Chiefs are just 47 00:02:18,040 --> 00:02:21,120 Speaker 1: going to be throwing the ball with ease. You know, 48 00:02:21,160 --> 00:02:24,640 Speaker 1: the Jaguars defense is certainly a past funnel one, and 49 00:02:24,760 --> 00:02:27,320 Speaker 1: last time they played, you know, Mahomes was able to 50 00:02:27,960 --> 00:02:30,040 Speaker 1: pick apart in the Jags defense over the middle through 51 00:02:30,080 --> 00:02:32,400 Speaker 1: for three hundred and thirty four yards. But this is 52 00:02:32,440 --> 00:02:33,880 Speaker 1: a spot, you know, it's a playoffs, so I can 53 00:02:33,919 --> 00:02:37,160 Speaker 1: see him leaning on Kelsey even more here. The Jags 54 00:02:37,280 --> 00:02:41,480 Speaker 1: ranked thirty second in DVA against tight ends. They allowed 55 00:02:41,520 --> 00:02:44,040 Speaker 1: a big game to Gerald Everett last week, who went 56 00:02:44,080 --> 00:02:46,679 Speaker 1: off for six catches one hundred and nine yards in 57 00:02:46,720 --> 00:02:51,960 Speaker 1: a touchdown. Even teams trying to slow down Kelsey, you know, 58 00:02:52,000 --> 00:02:55,200 Speaker 1: the double team, it doesn't matter. He goes off, you know, 59 00:02:55,240 --> 00:02:57,639 Speaker 1: no matter what. So if there's any team that certainly 60 00:02:57,680 --> 00:03:01,360 Speaker 1: can't stop him, it's the Jaguars. Kelsey's ran a route 61 00:03:01,400 --> 00:03:04,640 Speaker 1: on eighty two percent of mahomes drop back since Week nine, 62 00:03:04,720 --> 00:03:06,600 Speaker 1: So now that we're in the playoffs, that could go 63 00:03:06,680 --> 00:03:08,519 Speaker 1: up culture in ninety percent. You know, he's going to 64 00:03:08,600 --> 00:03:11,560 Speaker 1: play as much as possible here since it's the playoffs, 65 00:03:11,600 --> 00:03:14,360 Speaker 1: So I think that raises his ceiling even more. So 66 00:03:14,400 --> 00:03:16,320 Speaker 1: that's why I like using in the captains slot for 67 00:03:16,360 --> 00:03:16,679 Speaker 1: this game. 68 00:03:17,160 --> 00:03:21,480 Speaker 2: Yeah, Kelsey, you know is he has the best matchup. 69 00:03:21,480 --> 00:03:24,280 Speaker 2: I think here, at least on paper thirty second in 70 00:03:24,400 --> 00:03:29,040 Speaker 2: DCA against tight ends are the Jaguars, so certainly don't 71 00:03:29,040 --> 00:03:31,959 Speaker 2: hate it. I think he's a threat forward multiple touchdowns 72 00:03:32,000 --> 00:03:35,840 Speaker 2: in this game. I'm going with Mahomes here. I actually 73 00:03:35,840 --> 00:03:40,400 Speaker 2: haven't projected for almost seven more fantasy points than Trevor Lawrence, 74 00:03:40,440 --> 00:03:44,280 Speaker 2: so kind of an ideal spot. I actually have Mahomes 75 00:03:44,720 --> 00:03:47,720 Speaker 2: almost five ahead of Kelsey, so like, I'm really high 76 00:03:47,760 --> 00:03:50,840 Speaker 2: on Mahomes in this spot. I think, like you said, 77 00:03:50,920 --> 00:03:53,760 Speaker 2: I think they the Chiefs will be able to throw 78 00:03:53,800 --> 00:03:57,520 Speaker 2: the ball here against this Jags D that ranks seventeen 79 00:03:57,560 --> 00:04:01,080 Speaker 2: spots worse in DVAWA against the past. Then versus the run, 80 00:04:01,120 --> 00:04:04,839 Speaker 2: they're abottom five pass d So give me some Mahomes, 81 00:04:05,720 --> 00:04:07,320 Speaker 2: you know. I think he spreads it get I think 82 00:04:07,360 --> 00:04:09,200 Speaker 2: he gets it to Kelsey. I also like Juju in 83 00:04:09,240 --> 00:04:12,040 Speaker 2: this spot. I think Juju has a really good matchup 84 00:04:12,440 --> 00:04:15,680 Speaker 2: against his zone heavy Jags D with that has a 85 00:04:15,680 --> 00:04:19,200 Speaker 2: weak slot corner in Herndon. So quite a few ways 86 00:04:19,200 --> 00:04:21,840 Speaker 2: you could go here, but yeah, going with Patty here 87 00:04:22,040 --> 00:04:25,320 Speaker 2: and Mahomes. Also, I looked it up. Tends to scramble 88 00:04:26,120 --> 00:04:29,919 Speaker 2: about about two percent more per dropback than he does 89 00:04:30,600 --> 00:04:32,480 Speaker 2: in the regular season when he's in the postseason, and 90 00:04:32,520 --> 00:04:35,440 Speaker 2: it's like that kind of adds up to because scrambles 91 00:04:35,520 --> 00:04:37,880 Speaker 2: usually go for seven eight yards on average, that that 92 00:04:37,880 --> 00:04:40,080 Speaker 2: can add up to you know, an additional like half 93 00:04:40,120 --> 00:04:42,839 Speaker 2: a point or something. So don't sleep on that either. 94 00:04:43,080 --> 00:04:46,680 Speaker 2: But yeah, a lot of reasons to like Mahomes here. 95 00:04:47,120 --> 00:04:50,960 Speaker 1: Yeah that's when I was gonna go with Mahomes, but 96 00:04:51,200 --> 00:04:52,840 Speaker 1: I pivoted. But yeah, that's the one thing I was 97 00:04:52,880 --> 00:04:54,400 Speaker 1: gonna mention. It always seems like when we get to 98 00:04:54,440 --> 00:04:57,080 Speaker 1: the playoffs, we're projecting him maybe not this week, but 99 00:04:57,120 --> 00:04:58,720 Speaker 1: maybe next week, we're going to be projecting him for 100 00:04:58,760 --> 00:05:02,599 Speaker 1: over thirty rushing yards. If you remember that Super Bowl game, 101 00:05:03,480 --> 00:05:05,520 Speaker 1: he was at like thirty five and a half, because 102 00:05:05,520 --> 00:05:07,880 Speaker 1: that's how much more he scrambles, because hopefully when he 103 00:05:07,960 --> 00:05:10,400 Speaker 1: kneels down, it's you know, not minus tenurards to pop 104 00:05:10,480 --> 00:05:12,839 Speaker 1: this time. But yeah, I was gonna say usually in 105 00:05:12,839 --> 00:05:16,360 Speaker 1: the playoffs, he really, you know, just unleashes himself when 106 00:05:16,360 --> 00:05:19,080 Speaker 1: it comes to scrambling. So just massive, massive upside here. 107 00:05:19,480 --> 00:05:21,520 Speaker 2: Yeah, and that and that is one of the reasons 108 00:05:21,640 --> 00:05:23,960 Speaker 2: why I think he has a little extra added value 109 00:05:23,960 --> 00:05:26,200 Speaker 2: in that captain spot because yeah, he could get a 110 00:05:26,240 --> 00:05:29,360 Speaker 2: rushing touchdown in that that's leverage on everyone. 111 00:05:29,480 --> 00:05:32,640 Speaker 1: Now, do you have him for more points than Josh Allen? 112 00:05:32,839 --> 00:05:38,080 Speaker 2: Yeah, he's which at about half a point, more about 113 00:05:38,080 --> 00:05:38,520 Speaker 2: a half a point. 114 00:05:38,560 --> 00:05:40,680 Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't think that happened too often in the 115 00:05:40,680 --> 00:05:44,800 Speaker 1: regular season. If ever, you know, it's typically Josh Allen 116 00:05:44,880 --> 00:05:47,279 Speaker 1: number one. So that just goes to show what a 117 00:05:47,279 --> 00:05:49,200 Speaker 1: great matchup this is for Mahomes this week. 118 00:05:49,480 --> 00:05:52,919 Speaker 2: Mahomes had his interception issues this year, but Allen's really haven't. 119 00:05:54,040 --> 00:05:56,520 Speaker 2: So it's kind of building on each other to where 120 00:05:56,560 --> 00:06:01,560 Speaker 2: Allen's rushing is not necessarily canceling out Mahomes his proficiency 121 00:06:01,600 --> 00:06:04,880 Speaker 2: throwing the throw in the football here all right, who 122 00:06:04,920 --> 00:06:07,800 Speaker 2: else do you like in this game? Darth Row's value plays? 123 00:06:07,839 --> 00:06:11,000 Speaker 2: Just who else are you rostering on this week? 124 00:06:11,440 --> 00:06:15,719 Speaker 1: Do like Dots? Okay? I'm more of a you know, 125 00:06:15,920 --> 00:06:19,200 Speaker 1: a corn hoole man myself. Yeah. So on the Jaguars side, 126 00:06:19,560 --> 00:06:22,520 Speaker 1: I like Marvin Jones, and you know, he's obviously the 127 00:06:22,520 --> 00:06:25,800 Speaker 1: forgotten guy in this passing attack behind you know, Christian 128 00:06:25,839 --> 00:06:29,920 Speaker 1: kirk Zay Jones, Evan Ingram, but he saw a pretty 129 00:06:29,920 --> 00:06:33,080 Speaker 1: big jump in usage last week. He ran around on 130 00:06:33,160 --> 00:06:36,000 Speaker 1: sixty nine percent of Lawrence's dropback since week twelve, but 131 00:06:36,120 --> 00:06:38,560 Speaker 1: last week it was all the way up to ninety percent. 132 00:06:38,880 --> 00:06:41,440 Speaker 1: They use this way more eleven personnel, and I could 133 00:06:41,480 --> 00:06:43,880 Speaker 1: see them sticking with that against the Chiefs. You know, 134 00:06:43,880 --> 00:06:45,760 Speaker 1: they're gonna have to keep up with this. Chiefs offense 135 00:06:45,800 --> 00:06:48,400 Speaker 1: put up a ton of points, so he could see 136 00:06:48,600 --> 00:06:51,320 Speaker 1: you know, similar playing time play. He's their main downfield 137 00:06:51,320 --> 00:06:54,400 Speaker 1: target as well, so he has some upside there and 138 00:06:54,440 --> 00:06:57,680 Speaker 1: his rostership will probably be a bit low here. Like 139 00:06:57,720 --> 00:06:59,359 Speaker 1: I said, he's sort of the forgotten guy in his 140 00:06:59,400 --> 00:07:02,799 Speaker 1: passing attack, So I like his upside on the Showdown slate. 141 00:07:02,960 --> 00:07:06,760 Speaker 1: And then the chief side gotta go with Cadarius Tony mcnikole. 142 00:07:06,800 --> 00:07:10,320 Speaker 1: Harman's out again this week. So you know, Tony, he's 143 00:07:10,320 --> 00:07:12,720 Speaker 1: been running arount just like twenty five thirty percent of 144 00:07:12,800 --> 00:07:15,720 Speaker 1: the time. But I mean, he has massive, massive upside 145 00:07:16,160 --> 00:07:18,840 Speaker 1: if he does see an increase in playing time. Plus 146 00:07:18,840 --> 00:07:21,800 Speaker 1: they're starting to give him the ball on direct handoffs. 147 00:07:21,840 --> 00:07:24,120 Speaker 1: You know, he saw three ferries for twenty six yards 148 00:07:24,520 --> 00:07:28,080 Speaker 1: and a touchdown rushing in their last game, so he 149 00:07:28,240 --> 00:07:30,480 Speaker 1: just has massive upside. And I Remember there's a game 150 00:07:30,480 --> 00:07:32,119 Speaker 1: this here where I thought he's going to run around 151 00:07:32,320 --> 00:07:35,640 Speaker 1: sixty to seventy percent of dropbacks, and I was projecting 152 00:07:35,720 --> 00:07:39,040 Speaker 1: him for like over five receptions. So again, if he 153 00:07:39,120 --> 00:07:41,760 Speaker 1: does sort of see an increase in usage, which is possible, 154 00:07:41,760 --> 00:07:44,200 Speaker 1: they're coming off a buye. He's still trying to get 155 00:07:44,240 --> 00:07:46,880 Speaker 1: integram in this offense. So I think his playing time 156 00:07:46,920 --> 00:07:49,880 Speaker 1: can only go up in the playoffs. He just has 157 00:07:50,080 --> 00:07:51,920 Speaker 1: massive upside in this game. 158 00:07:52,520 --> 00:07:55,320 Speaker 2: Yeah, I like Tony as well. He's one of the 159 00:07:55,320 --> 00:07:58,240 Speaker 2: guys I had written down, and you know, it really 160 00:07:58,240 --> 00:08:00,400 Speaker 2: comes down to the fact that there's a there's a 161 00:08:00,440 --> 00:08:02,520 Speaker 2: wide range of outcomes with him and that that's great 162 00:08:02,600 --> 00:08:06,320 Speaker 2: for a DFS tournament. And one of the things that 163 00:08:06,440 --> 00:08:09,320 Speaker 2: I took note of is that Jacksonville plays the sixth 164 00:08:09,320 --> 00:08:14,520 Speaker 2: most zone coverage and Darius Tony is averaging two point 165 00:08:14,520 --> 00:08:16,920 Speaker 2: four yards per route against zone. Now, he doesn't have 166 00:08:17,080 --> 00:08:21,960 Speaker 2: enough usage to qualify in the leaderboard, but if he did, 167 00:08:22,000 --> 00:08:24,880 Speaker 2: he'd be right there in the top five in that 168 00:08:25,120 --> 00:08:28,080 Speaker 2: in that metric, and that and against man coverage, he's 169 00:08:28,160 --> 00:08:31,240 Speaker 2: under half a yard per route, So he's kind of 170 00:08:31,280 --> 00:08:34,360 Speaker 2: specializes in kind of running away from guys you know, 171 00:08:34,360 --> 00:08:36,040 Speaker 2: if you jam him up with the line or do 172 00:08:36,080 --> 00:08:38,080 Speaker 2: something like that, he's not going to be as effective. 173 00:08:38,080 --> 00:08:40,960 Speaker 2: But that's the beauty of this Chiefs offense. He doesn't 174 00:08:41,040 --> 00:08:42,719 Speaker 2: he's not he doesn't have to be the number one 175 00:08:42,720 --> 00:08:45,600 Speaker 2: receiver like he was at times with the Giants last year. 176 00:08:45,720 --> 00:08:47,839 Speaker 2: So I like the way they've been using him, and 177 00:08:47,880 --> 00:08:50,320 Speaker 2: yet a ton of upside. And you know, if if 178 00:08:50,360 --> 00:08:52,800 Speaker 2: you kind of look to the prop market as a tell, 179 00:08:53,400 --> 00:08:56,680 Speaker 2: you and I were both talking before the show about how, 180 00:08:56,840 --> 00:08:59,760 Speaker 2: you know, the market is about ten yards higher. Eight 181 00:08:59,840 --> 00:09:03,000 Speaker 2: yard is higher than our projection on Tony. So I 182 00:09:03,000 --> 00:09:05,000 Speaker 2: don't know exactly how they're getting there. I think they're 183 00:09:05,080 --> 00:09:07,400 Speaker 2: kind of they're probably not regressing things as much as 184 00:09:07,440 --> 00:09:11,560 Speaker 2: they should. But nevertheless, you know, NFL one of the 185 00:09:11,559 --> 00:09:14,320 Speaker 2: more efficient markets, So I'm not just going to assume 186 00:09:14,600 --> 00:09:16,560 Speaker 2: that just you know that I'm right, just because mine 187 00:09:16,600 --> 00:09:18,400 Speaker 2: is lower. So I would say, you know, that's just 188 00:09:18,520 --> 00:09:21,560 Speaker 2: another thing kind of working in favor, especially in a 189 00:09:21,600 --> 00:09:23,760 Speaker 2: tournament setting, because again there's a wide range outcomes, Like 190 00:09:23,920 --> 00:09:26,400 Speaker 2: you know, you and I two top five fantasy ranchors 191 00:09:26,400 --> 00:09:28,840 Speaker 2: have them about eight yards lower than the market. But 192 00:09:28,880 --> 00:09:30,880 Speaker 2: then the market the most efficient market in the world. 193 00:09:31,040 --> 00:09:33,880 Speaker 2: Betting market in the World has them at over thirty yards, 194 00:09:33,920 --> 00:09:37,200 Speaker 2: So either way, I think there's a lot to like 195 00:09:37,240 --> 00:09:40,640 Speaker 2: about about Tony in terms of the variant and you 196 00:09:40,679 --> 00:09:45,320 Speaker 2: know what could happen as you mentioned rushing receiving. You know, 197 00:09:45,320 --> 00:09:47,800 Speaker 2: they're they're exposed to play potential, So a lot to 198 00:09:47,960 --> 00:09:50,840 Speaker 2: like with him. I'll mentioned a couple other guys. One 199 00:09:50,960 --> 00:09:53,120 Speaker 2: the first one not really a dart throw but just 200 00:09:53,120 --> 00:09:54,880 Speaker 2: the guy that I really like for value purposes and 201 00:09:54,960 --> 00:09:58,240 Speaker 2: is not actually too expensive, and that's Evan Ingram. He's 202 00:09:58,240 --> 00:10:02,000 Speaker 2: slowly season high ninety four percent out participation rate last week, 203 00:10:02,440 --> 00:10:05,960 Speaker 2: and I think this is going to be another advantageous 204 00:10:06,280 --> 00:10:09,760 Speaker 2: matchup for him going against this this Chiefs defense. Just 205 00:10:09,800 --> 00:10:11,839 Speaker 2: the way they play coverage, I think they can be 206 00:10:11,920 --> 00:10:16,600 Speaker 2: vulnerable to the tight end position underneath. So I really like, uh, 207 00:10:16,800 --> 00:10:20,000 Speaker 2: Evan Ingram here, and that if he keeps playing, if 208 00:10:20,000 --> 00:10:22,000 Speaker 2: he keeps seeing this bumpet snaps, which I think he 209 00:10:22,080 --> 00:10:25,240 Speaker 2: will because it's kind of been a trend now, not 210 00:10:25,360 --> 00:10:27,560 Speaker 2: just this game, but you know, in the must win 211 00:10:27,679 --> 00:10:30,520 Speaker 2: game he was a little above him. He was above 212 00:10:30,559 --> 00:10:32,760 Speaker 2: his season average as well, so it seems like the 213 00:10:32,800 --> 00:10:36,280 Speaker 2: more important the game is uh, the the more snaps 214 00:10:36,440 --> 00:10:38,719 Speaker 2: Ingram is getting and that really bumps him up. He 215 00:10:38,840 --> 00:10:41,520 Speaker 2: like tight end two on the week. This this stiff 216 00:10:41,559 --> 00:10:44,400 Speaker 2: competition behind Kelsey, you're talking about chit or you're talking 217 00:10:44,440 --> 00:10:48,880 Speaker 2: about Goddard against the Giants defense, Sultz Shelton Schultz who 218 00:10:48,880 --> 00:10:52,520 Speaker 2: just catches nothing but touchdown And somehow Evan Ingram has 219 00:10:52,520 --> 00:10:55,400 Speaker 2: elevated himself h to number two. And that's that. That 220 00:10:55,520 --> 00:10:59,720 Speaker 2: just goes to show how important routes are. And uh, yeah, 221 00:11:00,000 --> 00:11:02,200 Speaker 2: I think both of us have Trevor Lawrence projected around 222 00:11:02,440 --> 00:11:05,240 Speaker 2: you know, thirty nine or forty pass attempts in this 223 00:11:05,320 --> 00:11:08,400 Speaker 2: game if I'm not mistaken. So h yeah, there's uh, 224 00:11:08,559 --> 00:11:09,640 Speaker 2: there should be a lot of Yeah. 225 00:11:10,320 --> 00:11:12,439 Speaker 1: Remember last year we were talking about James Connor and 226 00:11:12,640 --> 00:11:14,679 Speaker 1: he was like the best running back in football. We 227 00:11:14,679 --> 00:11:17,480 Speaker 1: were saying, like the eyeball test matches that he just 228 00:11:17,520 --> 00:11:19,720 Speaker 1: like like he was playing playing a different level. That's 229 00:11:19,720 --> 00:11:22,480 Speaker 1: how Evan Ingram has looked the past what five or 230 00:11:22,480 --> 00:11:25,080 Speaker 1: six games. Yep, there's at times he looks like the 231 00:11:25,080 --> 00:11:27,839 Speaker 1: best player on the field. So the eye test is 232 00:11:27,880 --> 00:11:30,600 Speaker 1: definitely matching the underlying metrics. So yeah, he's definitely a 233 00:11:30,600 --> 00:11:33,200 Speaker 1: player that I'm super high and I'm as my tight 234 00:11:33,320 --> 00:11:35,840 Speaker 1: end too as well. But just yeah, a ton of 235 00:11:35,880 --> 00:11:36,800 Speaker 1: upside in this matchup. 236 00:11:37,080 --> 00:11:41,000 Speaker 2: You know what's crazy, Giants? The Giants are in the 237 00:11:41,040 --> 00:11:45,560 Speaker 2: final eight giving up and they let go of Evan Ingram, 238 00:11:45,800 --> 00:11:48,439 Speaker 2: I know, he let go of Cadarius, like all the 239 00:11:48,480 --> 00:11:51,920 Speaker 2: guys were talking about. Yeah, it's like the guys, it's 240 00:11:51,920 --> 00:11:54,559 Speaker 2: like the guys that the Giants that go We're saying, hey, yeah, 241 00:11:54,559 --> 00:11:58,200 Speaker 2: you need your ross, these these explosive guys. Yet somehow 242 00:11:58,200 --> 00:12:01,320 Speaker 2: the Giants are still here with with Isaiah Hodges. 243 00:12:02,280 --> 00:12:04,560 Speaker 1: When is Isaiah Hodgens going to end up on like 244 00:12:04,600 --> 00:12:05,959 Speaker 1: the Chargers or something like. 245 00:12:06,240 --> 00:12:10,800 Speaker 2: Man Priby sooner than later. But I just thought that 246 00:12:10,840 --> 00:12:13,520 Speaker 2: I thought that was pretty funny. But yeah, a couple 247 00:12:13,600 --> 00:12:15,719 Speaker 2: other guys I want to mention for this because you're 248 00:12:15,720 --> 00:12:18,760 Speaker 2: gonna have to find the right guard throw here, because 249 00:12:18,920 --> 00:12:20,960 Speaker 2: you're gonna have to pay up for some combination of 250 00:12:21,600 --> 00:12:25,600 Speaker 2: Kelsey Mahomes probably you know, one of the one of 251 00:12:25,960 --> 00:12:29,840 Speaker 2: etn Or Kirk or somebody up there. So Trevor Lawrence. 252 00:12:30,240 --> 00:12:35,319 Speaker 2: So another two more guys I'll mention Chiefs, Noah Gray, Jaguars, 253 00:12:35,520 --> 00:12:38,320 Speaker 2: Dead Last the DVOA against tight ends, and Noah Gray 254 00:12:39,160 --> 00:12:42,440 Speaker 2: has had a very consistent role in this offense. He's 255 00:12:42,480 --> 00:12:44,800 Speaker 2: never run fewer than ten routes in the game and 256 00:12:44,840 --> 00:12:47,680 Speaker 2: he's gotten as high as twenty seven. When they go 257 00:12:47,800 --> 00:12:51,480 Speaker 2: into you know, heavier pass scripts. Uh, they will often 258 00:12:51,760 --> 00:12:53,599 Speaker 2: play with two tight ends on the field, and you 259 00:12:53,600 --> 00:12:56,000 Speaker 2: know Mcole Hartman's still out, so they'll still mix in 260 00:12:56,040 --> 00:12:59,440 Speaker 2: a good amount of two tight end personnel here. Even 261 00:12:59,520 --> 00:13:02,000 Speaker 2: though you know we like Tony, Noah Gray is kind 262 00:13:02,040 --> 00:13:04,960 Speaker 2: of that sneaky play who he would be probably be 263 00:13:05,040 --> 00:13:07,360 Speaker 2: leveraged on Kelsea because you know, if if you're dead 264 00:13:07,440 --> 00:13:10,120 Speaker 2: assd against tight ends, I mean he's gonna cover Kelsey 265 00:13:10,160 --> 00:13:13,520 Speaker 2: and not the backup, and you know he's he's gonna 266 00:13:13,520 --> 00:13:17,960 Speaker 2: be leverage on you know, guys like Tony, Justin Watson, 267 00:13:18,120 --> 00:13:19,920 Speaker 2: you know, all these receivers. People are going to try 268 00:13:19,920 --> 00:13:22,440 Speaker 2: to figure out the answer might just be Noah Gray. 269 00:13:22,559 --> 00:13:24,720 Speaker 2: So I think he's a guy that you have to 270 00:13:25,040 --> 00:13:27,600 Speaker 2: have some exposure to. And then on the Jaguars side, 271 00:13:28,160 --> 00:13:31,880 Speaker 2: it's swim pickings. But I'll go with Jamal Agnew only 272 00:13:31,920 --> 00:13:34,959 Speaker 2: because I think of guys that you know, you probably 273 00:13:35,000 --> 00:13:36,960 Speaker 2: don't expect to run more than a handful of routes, 274 00:13:37,080 --> 00:13:40,720 Speaker 2: so a true dark throw. He does have a lot 275 00:13:40,760 --> 00:13:42,920 Speaker 2: of different things working for him as far as upside 276 00:13:43,320 --> 00:13:46,400 Speaker 2: number one, he's fifth on the team with six red 277 00:13:46,480 --> 00:13:48,720 Speaker 2: zone targets. He's also tied for fourth on the team 278 00:13:49,200 --> 00:13:52,800 Speaker 2: with three targets inside the ten. And he's averaging just 279 00:13:52,880 --> 00:13:56,520 Speaker 2: over three kick returns per game, you know, kickoff punt combined, 280 00:13:56,760 --> 00:13:59,439 Speaker 2: so he's gonna get three extra cracks on average to 281 00:14:00,000 --> 00:14:03,760 Speaker 2: score a touchdown. And he has a questionable tag coming 282 00:14:03,800 --> 00:14:06,080 Speaker 2: into the game, so I think that will only lower 283 00:14:06,360 --> 00:14:08,360 Speaker 2: his roster ship. When you combine kind of a guy 284 00:14:08,360 --> 00:14:11,240 Speaker 2: who hasn't really been seeing much usage with a guy 285 00:14:11,280 --> 00:14:14,560 Speaker 2: who's questionable, I think people tend to stay away. But 286 00:14:15,200 --> 00:14:17,920 Speaker 2: when Admaw has been on the field, he has been targeted. 287 00:14:18,000 --> 00:14:20,360 Speaker 2: Thirty four percent of his routes he's been targeted. So 288 00:14:20,400 --> 00:14:22,240 Speaker 2: even though he only plays, you know sometimes it's like 289 00:14:22,280 --> 00:14:24,600 Speaker 2: three four snaps a game, he's always gets at least 290 00:14:24,600 --> 00:14:28,040 Speaker 2: one target. So and he could be good for a 291 00:14:28,120 --> 00:14:31,240 Speaker 2: rush attempt as well. Has let's see how many does 292 00:14:31,240 --> 00:14:34,040 Speaker 2: he have. I believe it's nine and fifteen games. 293 00:14:34,440 --> 00:14:34,960 Speaker 1: Let's see. 294 00:14:35,160 --> 00:14:38,000 Speaker 2: Oh no, he's got twelve and sixteen games, so yeah, 295 00:14:38,040 --> 00:14:41,040 Speaker 2: he's about three quarters at the time. You have to 296 00:14:41,040 --> 00:14:42,520 Speaker 2: make it a rush attempt at him. So just a 297 00:14:42,560 --> 00:14:44,400 Speaker 2: lot of different ways. And he's a very exposed to player, 298 00:14:44,480 --> 00:14:47,560 Speaker 2: so you know, obviously a guy that could easily goose egg, 299 00:14:48,040 --> 00:14:51,080 Speaker 2: but also a guy that I think, you know, could 300 00:14:51,080 --> 00:14:53,320 Speaker 2: be a slate breaker if if he pops something. 301 00:14:53,600 --> 00:14:56,040 Speaker 1: Yeah, So going back to no Gray, love that call. 302 00:14:56,160 --> 00:14:59,120 Speaker 1: You know, I'm projecting for about forty five percent routes 303 00:14:59,160 --> 00:15:03,360 Speaker 1: run rate, and he's great leverage against Kelsey. But more 304 00:15:03,360 --> 00:15:05,240 Speaker 1: of a game three question. I don't even know if 305 00:15:05,280 --> 00:15:07,840 Speaker 1: there's a right answer. What would give you, like more 306 00:15:07,920 --> 00:15:11,680 Speaker 1: leverage in a tournament playing Noah Gray and not having 307 00:15:11,760 --> 00:15:13,240 Speaker 1: Kelsey a lineup or playing both. 308 00:15:13,760 --> 00:15:17,280 Speaker 2: Oh, that's a good question. I think if you just 309 00:15:17,320 --> 00:15:19,160 Speaker 2: want to say more leverage, I think it would be 310 00:15:19,200 --> 00:15:23,800 Speaker 2: playing Gray and not Kelsea because if Kelsey catches let's say, 311 00:15:23,840 --> 00:15:25,800 Speaker 2: let's say Kelsey goes six for eighty, like you know, 312 00:15:25,920 --> 00:15:28,200 Speaker 2: kind of his yeah, but he doesn't get a touchdown 313 00:15:28,280 --> 00:15:32,440 Speaker 2: and Noah Gray does. It's just you probably just aren't 314 00:15:32,480 --> 00:15:37,120 Speaker 2: supposed to have a player that expensive, like you're not 315 00:15:37,120 --> 00:15:39,680 Speaker 2: supposed to have Kelsey, like the optimal lineup probably just 316 00:15:39,720 --> 00:15:42,320 Speaker 2: won't have Kelsey if he doesn't score a touchdown, But 317 00:15:42,360 --> 00:15:45,160 Speaker 2: if Gray scores a touchdown, the optimal lineup will almost 318 00:15:45,320 --> 00:15:48,840 Speaker 2: is almost guaranteed, right, gret So, like, yes, it could, 319 00:15:49,080 --> 00:15:52,240 Speaker 2: It could very well work out that you need both. 320 00:15:52,360 --> 00:15:54,800 Speaker 2: But if you're just talking what gives you max leverage, 321 00:15:55,040 --> 00:15:58,560 Speaker 2: it's obviously to fade the guy who everyone's going to 322 00:15:58,640 --> 00:16:01,640 Speaker 2: have and play the guy that much fewer people are 323 00:16:01,640 --> 00:16:04,160 Speaker 2: gonna have without him. So yeah, I would go one 324 00:16:04,200 --> 00:16:06,840 Speaker 2: without the other. End of course, as we always say, 325 00:16:07,200 --> 00:16:10,040 Speaker 2: you'll always have to added upside if Kelsey gets banged up, 326 00:16:10,040 --> 00:16:11,440 Speaker 2: even if he doesn't get hurt for the whole game, 327 00:16:11,640 --> 00:16:14,440 Speaker 2: let's say he misses a drive or a few plays. Yeah, exactly, 328 00:16:14,800 --> 00:16:17,760 Speaker 2: So yeah, I would go without. But you know, the 329 00:16:17,800 --> 00:16:19,840 Speaker 2: more lions you're building, the more you're gonna end up 330 00:16:19,840 --> 00:16:21,800 Speaker 2: combining them. But yeah, if I had just had one, 331 00:16:22,280 --> 00:16:26,520 Speaker 2: I would probably fade, take my chances, fade with the Kelsey, fade. 332 00:16:27,040 --> 00:16:29,280 Speaker 2: Luck rankings. What do we got again? 333 00:16:29,360 --> 00:16:34,280 Speaker 1: The game luck game? Yeah, so the Jaguars are tenth 334 00:16:34,880 --> 00:16:38,200 Speaker 1: chiefs three, so it's only a luck ranking differential of seven. 335 00:16:38,600 --> 00:16:40,800 Speaker 1: And now that we're you know, in the final stages 336 00:16:40,800 --> 00:16:43,480 Speaker 1: of the playoffs, we're not going to see many luck 337 00:16:43,560 --> 00:16:47,600 Speaker 1: rankings games, especially with the Vikings out, so this this 338 00:16:47,680 --> 00:16:51,560 Speaker 1: is a pass And it's really hard to evaluate if 339 00:16:51,600 --> 00:16:54,560 Speaker 1: the JAG's got lucky or unlucky last week, because probably 340 00:16:54,560 --> 00:16:58,080 Speaker 1: a bit unlucky going down twenty four to twenty seven 341 00:16:58,160 --> 00:17:01,080 Speaker 1: nothing whatever it was with Laura and staring four picks. 342 00:17:01,120 --> 00:17:03,960 Speaker 1: They had the you know, the punt that bounced off 343 00:17:03,960 --> 00:17:06,919 Speaker 1: the helmet, and the Chargers have good field position, and 344 00:17:06,960 --> 00:17:09,080 Speaker 1: then the Jags probably got lucky in the second half 345 00:17:09,160 --> 00:17:11,800 Speaker 1: by being able to come back and win. So those 346 00:17:11,840 --> 00:17:15,400 Speaker 1: games are always really bizarre to kind of figure out. 347 00:17:15,440 --> 00:17:18,000 Speaker 1: But our expected score did have the Chargers winning that 348 00:17:18,080 --> 00:17:21,560 Speaker 1: game thirty two to twenty five, so you know, if anything, 349 00:17:22,320 --> 00:17:25,600 Speaker 1: the Jaguars might be a little overrated coming into this. 350 00:17:25,720 --> 00:17:29,119 Speaker 1: But do you see any value on this spread right now? 351 00:17:29,160 --> 00:17:29,560 Speaker 1: Either way? 352 00:17:29,920 --> 00:17:32,879 Speaker 2: So I kind of go back and forth. So the 353 00:17:32,920 --> 00:17:38,840 Speaker 2: answer is no. But I'll say my reasoning is when 354 00:17:38,880 --> 00:17:41,639 Speaker 2: I look at the Chiefs, I generally do try to 355 00:17:41,680 --> 00:17:46,560 Speaker 2: fade them in spots like this. They are very poor 356 00:17:46,640 --> 00:17:49,960 Speaker 2: against the spread in in spots where they're favored by 357 00:17:50,320 --> 00:17:54,040 Speaker 2: more than a field goal. Since November of twenty twenty, 358 00:17:54,640 --> 00:17:57,200 Speaker 2: they are just ten and twenty four including postseason ten 359 00:17:57,240 --> 00:17:59,920 Speaker 2: and twenty four against the spread when favored by more 360 00:18:00,080 --> 00:18:02,399 Speaker 2: in a field goal in a game that Patrick Mahomes starts, 361 00:18:02,720 --> 00:18:05,800 Speaker 2: that is twenty nine percent. So they have been just 362 00:18:06,040 --> 00:18:09,720 Speaker 2: not good in these spots. But that being said, they do. 363 00:18:09,760 --> 00:18:12,640 Speaker 2: One of the games they did cover was against the Jaguars. 364 00:18:13,160 --> 00:18:16,320 Speaker 2: And you also, for what it's worth, you know, we 365 00:18:16,400 --> 00:18:19,359 Speaker 2: track sharp action in the Action Network app. If you 366 00:18:19,359 --> 00:18:21,400 Speaker 2: go to the pro signals, you see the little knife, 367 00:18:21,440 --> 00:18:25,639 Speaker 2: it's the sharp action. It earlier in the week the Sharps. 368 00:18:25,840 --> 00:18:29,000 Speaker 2: The sharp signal was on the Jaguars. I just check 369 00:18:29,080 --> 00:18:32,000 Speaker 2: now and it has flipped to the Chiefs. Oh so 370 00:18:32,080 --> 00:18:35,919 Speaker 2: that is interesting as well. But yeah, I think this 371 00:18:36,040 --> 00:18:38,679 Speaker 2: line's about right, you know, about about a touchdown just 372 00:18:38,720 --> 00:18:40,960 Speaker 2: over you know, just over one possession game. I think 373 00:18:41,040 --> 00:18:44,359 Speaker 2: is a fair line in this spot. But of course, 374 00:18:44,640 --> 00:18:47,120 Speaker 2: your lineup should always tell a story. So if you're 375 00:18:47,119 --> 00:18:50,000 Speaker 2: building maybe one lineup, maybe you still do want to 376 00:18:50,000 --> 00:18:53,200 Speaker 2: go contrarian. Maybe you go with somebody like Travis Etn 377 00:18:53,800 --> 00:18:57,160 Speaker 2: in the captain spot and and you kind of play 378 00:18:57,200 --> 00:18:58,800 Speaker 2: it that way. Maybe you even stack them with the 379 00:18:58,880 --> 00:19:00,760 Speaker 2: Jags D hope you could. I think the way the 380 00:19:00,800 --> 00:19:04,200 Speaker 2: Jaguars path to victory is, you know, keep the ball 381 00:19:04,320 --> 00:19:06,960 Speaker 2: out of the Chiefs hands, you know, with the running game, 382 00:19:07,040 --> 00:19:09,159 Speaker 2: and also get a couple of get luck into a 383 00:19:09,160 --> 00:19:12,320 Speaker 2: couple of turnovers and mahomes is. You know there's been 384 00:19:12,359 --> 00:19:15,120 Speaker 2: some games where yeah he's turned it over and it's 385 00:19:15,119 --> 00:19:17,600 Speaker 2: a bad spots too. So uh, you know, I think 386 00:19:17,640 --> 00:19:20,320 Speaker 2: that is a build that I will explore. You know, 387 00:19:20,359 --> 00:19:25,120 Speaker 2: ETN Jaguars D stacked McKinnon. Uh yeah, McKinnon. I'll probably 388 00:19:25,160 --> 00:19:27,920 Speaker 2: go m two of you know, two of McKinnon Kelsey 389 00:19:28,359 --> 00:19:31,640 Speaker 2: and in Smith Schuster, you know, something like that. Uh, 390 00:19:31,840 --> 00:19:34,320 Speaker 2: and maybe even fade Trevor Lawrence. You know, maybe you say, okay, hey, 391 00:19:34,400 --> 00:19:36,840 Speaker 2: maybe he's they're gonna kind of shorten the game. He's 392 00:19:36,840 --> 00:19:39,639 Speaker 2: not gonna need attempts. So maybe you go, like a 393 00:19:39,680 --> 00:19:42,040 Speaker 2: guy like Marvin Jones, you know, get that one, you know, 394 00:19:42,080 --> 00:19:44,240 Speaker 2: get that one, try to capture that one receiving touchdown 395 00:19:44,280 --> 00:19:46,720 Speaker 2: if there is one. Something like that, maybe even stack 396 00:19:46,760 --> 00:19:48,560 Speaker 2: the defense with agnew and hope that they get a 397 00:19:48,600 --> 00:19:51,120 Speaker 2: return touchdown and will take a drive off. So but yeah, 398 00:19:51,160 --> 00:19:53,040 Speaker 2: that's how I would kind of build it, you know, 399 00:19:53,119 --> 00:19:56,760 Speaker 2: from the Jags perspective, uh, and then obviously from the Chiefs. 400 00:19:57,119 --> 00:19:59,520 Speaker 2: I think one guy you know we haven't mentioned, uh, 401 00:19:59,600 --> 00:20:02,200 Speaker 2: but but Checko. It would be a guy that, yeah, 402 00:20:02,520 --> 00:20:04,680 Speaker 2: kind of a wide range of outcomes. If the Chiefs 403 00:20:05,000 --> 00:20:07,119 Speaker 2: are able to kind of maintain a lead. You know, 404 00:20:07,160 --> 00:20:10,080 Speaker 2: he's obviously the best bet for a rushing touchdown and 405 00:20:10,119 --> 00:20:12,240 Speaker 2: he could see you know, fifteen twenty carries if the 406 00:20:12,320 --> 00:20:15,840 Speaker 2: Chiefs are in a positive game. Scare all right, let's 407 00:20:15,880 --> 00:20:19,240 Speaker 2: slip over to the late game and the aforementioned Giants 408 00:20:19,280 --> 00:20:21,880 Speaker 2: going to Philly. Seven and a half point dogs in 409 00:20:21,920 --> 00:20:25,120 Speaker 2: Philly are the Giants with a total of forty eight 410 00:20:25,160 --> 00:20:30,040 Speaker 2: that has risen from forty five early in the week. 411 00:20:30,080 --> 00:20:32,960 Speaker 2: The Giants over the second half of the season have 412 00:20:33,119 --> 00:20:36,720 Speaker 2: been one of the better offenses in the league, even 413 00:20:36,720 --> 00:20:40,080 Speaker 2: when you adjust for schedule. Yeah, so you know what 414 00:20:40,320 --> 00:20:43,360 Speaker 2: you know, So this is this Giant offense is no joke. 415 00:20:43,480 --> 00:20:47,400 Speaker 2: The defense still not good. The talent is better now 416 00:20:47,440 --> 00:20:50,760 Speaker 2: with them being healthy. But you know, this Philly team's 417 00:20:50,840 --> 00:20:52,879 Speaker 2: going to be prepared, They're going to be well rested, 418 00:20:53,359 --> 00:20:56,960 Speaker 2: and they this is the now third time these teams 419 00:20:56,960 --> 00:20:58,920 Speaker 2: will be facing off although the Giants didn't play many 420 00:20:58,960 --> 00:21:02,159 Speaker 2: of their starters in that finale of the regular season. 421 00:21:02,200 --> 00:21:05,320 Speaker 2: But with all that being said, who do you like 422 00:21:05,480 --> 00:21:06,680 Speaker 2: in the captain spot. 423 00:21:07,080 --> 00:21:08,760 Speaker 1: I'm going to be a little contraining here and growth 424 00:21:08,840 --> 00:21:11,800 Speaker 1: my boy, Dallas Godder. I just think he's under the 425 00:21:11,880 --> 00:21:14,840 Speaker 1: radar play in the captain So I think most people 426 00:21:14,840 --> 00:21:18,240 Speaker 1: will be on Jalen Hurts, AJ Brown, maybe even DeVonta 427 00:21:18,320 --> 00:21:20,639 Speaker 1: Smith or even Miles Sanders, like if they have so 428 00:21:20,680 --> 00:21:24,359 Speaker 1: many options you could consider. But you know, Goddard, he 429 00:21:24,400 --> 00:21:27,199 Speaker 1: put up OK numbers in week sixteen through eighteen. He 430 00:21:27,240 --> 00:21:30,159 Speaker 1: missed the previous five games to a should with the 431 00:21:30,200 --> 00:21:33,400 Speaker 1: shoulder injury. So he's a guy that people it might 432 00:21:33,440 --> 00:21:35,480 Speaker 1: not be top of mind using the captain sawt, but 433 00:21:35,800 --> 00:21:39,000 Speaker 1: you know, the Giants really struggle covering tight ends. They 434 00:21:39,040 --> 00:21:43,320 Speaker 1: rank thirty first in DVA against the position. They've allowed 435 00:21:43,320 --> 00:21:46,439 Speaker 1: two one hundred yard games to che J Hawkinson over 436 00:21:46,520 --> 00:21:48,480 Speaker 1: the past four games. I mean he's sort of in 437 00:21:48,520 --> 00:21:51,720 Speaker 1: the same tier I would consider as Dallas Goddard. So 438 00:21:51,760 --> 00:21:53,720 Speaker 1: this is one of those games where Goddard could easily 439 00:21:53,720 --> 00:21:57,240 Speaker 1: go off and pretty good leverage of having a captain 440 00:21:57,240 --> 00:21:59,359 Speaker 1: saw on the site because I don't think his rostership 441 00:21:59,640 --> 00:22:02,040 Speaker 1: will be high, at least in the captain slot. So 442 00:22:02,240 --> 00:22:04,800 Speaker 1: I like tapping into his ceiling here. 443 00:22:05,040 --> 00:22:07,000 Speaker 2: Oh yeah, you know, and got it to the guy 444 00:22:07,040 --> 00:22:09,639 Speaker 2: that he he can kind of break out of the 445 00:22:09,680 --> 00:22:12,600 Speaker 2: formation and line up in the slot as well. And 446 00:22:12,600 --> 00:22:14,800 Speaker 2: that's where the Giants have really been struggling. And that's 447 00:22:14,880 --> 00:22:18,359 Speaker 2: kind of what the Vikings did last week with Hockinson. 448 00:22:18,680 --> 00:22:21,439 Speaker 2: You know, it was just I mean, it was it 449 00:22:21,520 --> 00:22:25,000 Speaker 2: was really just a thorough beat down. If you just 450 00:22:25,040 --> 00:22:27,399 Speaker 2: took like if the Vike, if if the football was 451 00:22:27,480 --> 00:22:30,440 Speaker 2: just about getting your tight end the football the Vikings, 452 00:22:30,760 --> 00:22:33,080 Speaker 2: the Vikings win that game by a landslide last week, 453 00:22:33,760 --> 00:22:35,919 Speaker 2: because man, it was it was ugly for the Giants. 454 00:22:36,080 --> 00:22:37,760 Speaker 1: Everyone but Smith of course. 455 00:22:38,119 --> 00:22:40,159 Speaker 2: Yeah, I think. But he did run three routes and 456 00:22:40,200 --> 00:22:40,800 Speaker 2: got a touchdown. 457 00:22:41,160 --> 00:22:41,920 Speaker 1: Yeah, that is true. 458 00:22:42,960 --> 00:22:47,399 Speaker 2: He dropped targeted routes, dropped one, caught a touchdown on 459 00:22:47,400 --> 00:22:51,159 Speaker 2: the ear, So uh yeah, it's I mean, I mean, 460 00:22:51,200 --> 00:22:53,600 Speaker 2: at this point, we gotta probably look at Jack Stole 461 00:22:53,720 --> 00:22:54,240 Speaker 2: or somebody. 462 00:22:54,359 --> 00:22:59,119 Speaker 1: I mean, Cousins even wanted to target TJ. Hawkinson at 463 00:22:59,119 --> 00:23:00,480 Speaker 1: the game on the line fourth and eight and he 464 00:23:00,520 --> 00:23:02,840 Speaker 1: threw it, you know, to the boundary two yards down 465 00:23:02,880 --> 00:23:05,600 Speaker 1: the field. So just goes to show how willing he 466 00:23:05,760 --> 00:23:06,920 Speaker 1: was to throw to his tight end. 467 00:23:07,440 --> 00:23:09,159 Speaker 2: He's like, oh, you know, I can can easily get 468 00:23:09,200 --> 00:23:12,879 Speaker 2: this other just turn turning a turn into Alex Smith 469 00:23:12,920 --> 00:23:17,840 Speaker 2: at the crack at the oh man. Uh yeah, So 470 00:23:18,119 --> 00:23:20,440 Speaker 2: I like that gotterd call. I think that's a good way, 471 00:23:20,480 --> 00:23:23,280 Speaker 2: like you said, to get some differentiation. Uh, I'll go 472 00:23:23,359 --> 00:23:26,040 Speaker 2: with the chalk Jalen hurts H. I looked at I 473 00:23:26,040 --> 00:23:28,159 Speaker 2: was like, wow, I'm projecting him for six and a 474 00:23:28,200 --> 00:23:30,880 Speaker 2: half points more than Barkley, eight and a half more 475 00:23:30,920 --> 00:23:34,160 Speaker 2: than Brown. Uh. So you know the value is there 476 00:23:34,320 --> 00:23:37,159 Speaker 2: for Jalen Uh. You know, I think there's a good 477 00:23:37,240 --> 00:23:40,040 Speaker 2: chance he spreads it around Goddard. I think we'll get 478 00:23:40,280 --> 00:23:41,960 Speaker 2: it heavily involved as you mentioned. 479 00:23:42,359 --> 00:23:42,520 Speaker 1: Uh. 480 00:23:42,560 --> 00:23:45,760 Speaker 2: And I think you know Round and Smith. What do 481 00:23:45,840 --> 00:23:47,879 Speaker 2: they do last time? They moved him into the slot 482 00:23:48,359 --> 00:23:51,600 Speaker 2: and took advantage. So you have three different guys that 483 00:23:51,680 --> 00:23:54,440 Speaker 2: you could kind of I know, Quez Watkins starts there, 484 00:23:54,480 --> 00:23:56,960 Speaker 2: but you have Goddard, you have Brown, you have Smith. 485 00:23:57,000 --> 00:23:58,439 Speaker 2: All those guys can go into the slot. So I 486 00:23:58,440 --> 00:24:02,320 Speaker 2: don't think hurts Uh kind of have problems thrown the football, 487 00:24:02,680 --> 00:24:05,000 Speaker 2: and you know, we'll see what the Giants do in 488 00:24:05,080 --> 00:24:07,119 Speaker 2: terms of their coverage. They actually played a ton of 489 00:24:07,200 --> 00:24:10,320 Speaker 2: zone against the Vikings. If that continues, I think, you 490 00:24:10,359 --> 00:24:12,920 Speaker 2: know Hurts will succeed, We'll have a success as a passer. 491 00:24:13,160 --> 00:24:16,040 Speaker 2: But we also know the Giants. They've their whole identity 492 00:24:16,040 --> 00:24:19,160 Speaker 2: this year has been man coverage. Send the blitz. So 493 00:24:19,320 --> 00:24:22,119 Speaker 2: if this Eagle's O line, you know it's one of 494 00:24:22,119 --> 00:24:24,360 Speaker 2: the best in the league. If it holds up, you're 495 00:24:24,359 --> 00:24:26,560 Speaker 2: gonna get rushing wings if you play man coverage because 496 00:24:26,560 --> 00:24:30,159 Speaker 2: the defenders backs will be turned so high, high floor, 497 00:24:30,840 --> 00:24:35,159 Speaker 2: high ceiling. Play. Is Jalen Hurts against this Giant d 498 00:24:35,240 --> 00:24:39,000 Speaker 2: that ranks twenty ninth and DVAA overall twenty third against 499 00:24:39,000 --> 00:24:41,800 Speaker 2: the pass and dead last against the run. 500 00:24:42,240 --> 00:24:45,359 Speaker 1: Yeah, and he had dextra week to rest up. I 501 00:24:45,400 --> 00:24:49,040 Speaker 1: think he's probably closer to one hundred percent over his 502 00:24:49,080 --> 00:24:51,120 Speaker 1: shoulder injury. So this could be all those games where 503 00:24:51,119 --> 00:24:54,680 Speaker 1: receive fifteen plus rusher attempts from Hurts. It's been a 504 00:24:54,680 --> 00:24:56,720 Speaker 1: while since we've had that. But he should be one 505 00:24:56,760 --> 00:24:57,800 Speaker 1: hundred percent this week. 506 00:24:58,320 --> 00:25:01,359 Speaker 2: Yeah, I missed the eight and a half on his rush. 507 00:25:01,480 --> 00:25:04,040 Speaker 2: I was looking at his rush attemp prop and I 508 00:25:04,080 --> 00:25:05,520 Speaker 2: think it opened at eight and a half and I 509 00:25:05,640 --> 00:25:08,680 Speaker 2: missed it and I have I'm actually I'm like two 510 00:25:08,800 --> 00:25:11,920 Speaker 2: rushes higher than you, which is hilarious. I'm like ten nine. 511 00:25:12,200 --> 00:25:14,320 Speaker 2: I'm at ten point nine, So I like, if I 512 00:25:14,320 --> 00:25:15,800 Speaker 2: could have got that eight and a half, I would 513 00:25:15,840 --> 00:25:17,320 Speaker 2: have been living like at nine and a half. It's 514 00:25:17,359 --> 00:25:20,439 Speaker 2: a little closer, I mean if I mean still, I 515 00:25:20,440 --> 00:25:21,680 Speaker 2: still might end up taking it. 516 00:25:22,119 --> 00:25:24,760 Speaker 1: But yeah, it's ain't and happy you got like you know, 517 00:25:24,880 --> 00:25:27,439 Speaker 1: Mius one forty minus one fifty juice. But honestly it's 518 00:25:27,480 --> 00:25:28,400 Speaker 1: probably still worth it. 519 00:25:28,920 --> 00:25:29,160 Speaker 2: Yeah. 520 00:25:29,240 --> 00:25:32,560 Speaker 1: Yeah, So the meal downs, QB sneaks, like all those 521 00:25:32,760 --> 00:25:35,680 Speaker 1: add up. So yeah, that's I might have to fall 522 00:25:35,800 --> 00:25:36,320 Speaker 1: on that one. 523 00:25:36,920 --> 00:25:39,960 Speaker 2: Yeah, So you know expecting Hurts, you know, and I 524 00:25:40,000 --> 00:25:42,600 Speaker 2: know the Giants they did play well against him in 525 00:25:42,640 --> 00:25:44,840 Speaker 2: the run game in that last matchup, so you know that. 526 00:25:45,080 --> 00:25:48,800 Speaker 2: But that's the whole advantage of locking up that number 527 00:25:48,840 --> 00:25:51,199 Speaker 2: one seed. Now you can get to rest and you 528 00:25:51,240 --> 00:25:54,119 Speaker 2: get to take two weeks to prepare for your for 529 00:25:54,200 --> 00:25:57,639 Speaker 2: your next opponent. So I expect Hurts to come out fire, 530 00:25:58,560 --> 00:26:01,480 Speaker 2: all right, Who do you like Darth throws? Other just 531 00:26:01,560 --> 00:26:03,560 Speaker 2: value plays? Who else you're trying to get in your 532 00:26:03,560 --> 00:26:06,399 Speaker 2: lineups in this Giant Eagles game. Yeah, take your darts 533 00:26:06,440 --> 00:26:07,520 Speaker 2: over here pretty seriously. 534 00:26:07,600 --> 00:26:10,880 Speaker 1: Huh Yeah. So you know, for every Eagles Showdown slate, 535 00:26:10,960 --> 00:26:14,000 Speaker 1: I have to say this guy's name, it's Quez Watkins. 536 00:26:14,880 --> 00:26:17,960 Speaker 1: You just always have to consider his upside on Showdown slate. 537 00:26:18,240 --> 00:26:20,159 Speaker 1: He's never a guy I'm gonna play on, you know, 538 00:26:20,240 --> 00:26:23,440 Speaker 1: like a main slate, but you know he's the main 539 00:26:23,480 --> 00:26:27,560 Speaker 1: downfield threat. He could break this slate with a single catch. Now, 540 00:26:27,960 --> 00:26:30,320 Speaker 1: his role did seem to change a bit when Goddard 541 00:26:30,400 --> 00:26:32,400 Speaker 1: was out. He was running a lot more underneath routes. 542 00:26:32,640 --> 00:26:35,400 Speaker 1: His eight out was only eight point six when god 543 00:26:35,440 --> 00:26:37,840 Speaker 1: It was out those five games. It's thirteen point two 544 00:26:37,880 --> 00:26:40,000 Speaker 1: when got Her is out of the lineup. So I 545 00:26:40,000 --> 00:26:42,080 Speaker 1: think he's gonna be more of that boom bus, you know, 546 00:26:42,240 --> 00:26:46,679 Speaker 1: deep downfield target here. So love Quez Watkins upside, I 547 00:26:46,720 --> 00:26:48,720 Speaker 1: always do. I think he's come through And like you know, 548 00:26:48,760 --> 00:26:50,680 Speaker 1: the Eagles have been on like four Showdown sites. I 549 00:26:50,680 --> 00:26:52,720 Speaker 1: think he's come through in about two or three of them. 550 00:26:53,000 --> 00:26:54,679 Speaker 1: So he has a pretty high hit rate on the 551 00:26:54,760 --> 00:26:58,480 Speaker 1: Showdown slate. So always love taking Quez Watkins on the 552 00:26:58,480 --> 00:27:00,600 Speaker 1: giant side. There's there's a couple of I think the 553 00:27:00,920 --> 00:27:03,600 Speaker 1: obvious one would be Richie James just because it's a 554 00:27:03,600 --> 00:27:07,399 Speaker 1: great matchup in the slot. He can avoid you know, 555 00:27:07,440 --> 00:27:11,680 Speaker 1: the better cornerbacks for the Eagles and Sleigh and Bradberry. 556 00:27:11,800 --> 00:27:14,359 Speaker 1: So I think he's going to be you know, funnel 557 00:27:14,359 --> 00:27:17,080 Speaker 1: targets here. Plus, Hodgens is playing for a pretty nasty 558 00:27:17,119 --> 00:27:18,960 Speaker 1: ankle injury. I know he had a good game last week, 559 00:27:18,960 --> 00:27:21,560 Speaker 1: but at some point, you know, Hodgens might be unable 560 00:27:21,880 --> 00:27:24,520 Speaker 1: to play at a high level with what seems to 561 00:27:24,560 --> 00:27:26,520 Speaker 1: be a pretty ankle injury. 562 00:27:26,200 --> 00:27:30,280 Speaker 2: You know, just to so breaking news. Uh, he's completely 563 00:27:30,359 --> 00:27:32,080 Speaker 2: off the injury report, so he actually might be fine. 564 00:27:32,240 --> 00:27:35,159 Speaker 2: I'm just saying, I don't. Yeah, I know, he's like 565 00:27:35,200 --> 00:27:38,040 Speaker 2: glimping around out there, like I think, I think James. 566 00:27:38,080 --> 00:27:40,320 Speaker 2: Did you see the picture of his ankle is not? 567 00:27:40,440 --> 00:27:43,240 Speaker 2: I actually did not. Yeah, it is nasty. I'm saying 568 00:27:43,240 --> 00:27:45,199 Speaker 2: when guys, when guys are off the injury report, I 569 00:27:45,240 --> 00:27:47,560 Speaker 2: just I'm not I'm not gonna tote myself by like 570 00:27:47,840 --> 00:27:49,879 Speaker 2: trying to factor that in. But but I but I agree, 571 00:27:49,880 --> 00:27:52,919 Speaker 2: I think James just matchup wise, I mean, ye is 572 00:27:53,520 --> 00:27:56,439 Speaker 2: the play because you're not going to have, uh, the 573 00:27:56,520 --> 00:27:59,600 Speaker 2: same kind of separation for Slayton and Hodgens against slay 574 00:27:59,600 --> 00:28:02,440 Speaker 2: and Brad that you had against Peterson and who was 575 00:28:02,440 --> 00:28:03,680 Speaker 2: I don't even know who was on the other side 576 00:28:03,760 --> 00:28:07,800 Speaker 2: last week, but Duke Shelley was it? Whoever? Yeah, So 577 00:28:07,880 --> 00:28:09,840 Speaker 2: I think I think James is a great call. 578 00:28:10,040 --> 00:28:12,480 Speaker 1: Yeah, but check out that picture. Granted, he's a professional 579 00:28:12,480 --> 00:28:15,360 Speaker 1: athlete and I'm sure he'll be totally fine, but there 580 00:28:15,440 --> 00:28:17,800 Speaker 1: is some hidden upside there if Hodgens is less than 581 00:28:17,800 --> 00:28:20,879 Speaker 1: one hundred percent and then Lawrence Cager. You know, I 582 00:28:20,920 --> 00:28:24,760 Speaker 1: mentioned this with my Daniel Bellinger prop on our other pod, 583 00:28:24,840 --> 00:28:27,080 Speaker 1: but I was shocked to see him runner out on 584 00:28:27,359 --> 00:28:31,760 Speaker 1: thirty percent of Daniel Jones dropbacks last week. So he's 585 00:28:31,840 --> 00:28:33,679 Speaker 1: got you know, he's a former receiver, so maybe they 586 00:28:33,760 --> 00:28:36,040 Speaker 1: just wanted to get some more pop in the passing game. 587 00:28:36,080 --> 00:28:38,640 Speaker 1: He went off for eight catches sixty nine yards in 588 00:28:38,680 --> 00:28:40,880 Speaker 1: their Week eighteen game when they rest all the starters, 589 00:28:40,880 --> 00:28:43,440 Speaker 1: so you know they might continue to give him thirty 590 00:28:43,480 --> 00:28:46,920 Speaker 1: percent routes round right here. So well, he only caught 591 00:28:46,920 --> 00:28:49,440 Speaker 1: one pass for four yards. He could catch two or 592 00:28:49,480 --> 00:28:51,600 Speaker 1: three balls with that kind of usage. So just the 593 00:28:51,600 --> 00:28:54,520 Speaker 1: guy I would sprinkle in GPPs. Again, this is a 594 00:28:54,560 --> 00:28:56,640 Speaker 1: showdown slate. We're trying to hit home runs on some 595 00:28:56,720 --> 00:28:59,920 Speaker 1: of these lower roster guys. And I think Cagor is 596 00:29:00,080 --> 00:29:02,400 Speaker 1: worth a flyer just based on his usage last week. 597 00:29:02,600 --> 00:29:04,720 Speaker 2: Yeah, and I just looked at the Hodgens pitchers. Yeah, 598 00:29:04,760 --> 00:29:06,240 Speaker 2: and that was before the Vikings game. 599 00:29:06,240 --> 00:29:10,840 Speaker 1: Wow, that makes his performance that much more amazing, right, 600 00:29:10,920 --> 00:29:13,320 Speaker 1: I mean, yeah, yeah, it's that time of the year. 601 00:29:13,360 --> 00:29:18,080 Speaker 2: Man, everybody's just messed up. But yeah, no, I like that, 602 00:29:18,440 --> 00:29:21,719 Speaker 2: Uh caj you call I think that. So the way 603 00:29:21,760 --> 00:29:26,000 Speaker 2: I'm kind of handicapping this game is the Giants so 604 00:29:26,160 --> 00:29:28,760 Speaker 2: well coached. The Giants have been so good when they 605 00:29:28,760 --> 00:29:31,080 Speaker 2: play a team for the second time, you know, think 606 00:29:31,080 --> 00:29:35,400 Speaker 2: about uh, you know, Washington, think about the Eagles, I 607 00:29:35,400 --> 00:29:37,680 Speaker 2: mean with their you know, not even their starters in 608 00:29:37,680 --> 00:29:39,680 Speaker 2: the game. They kept that when you know, kept the 609 00:29:39,680 --> 00:29:42,760 Speaker 2: Eagles offense relatively in check and uh, you know, made 610 00:29:42,760 --> 00:29:47,480 Speaker 2: the final score with respectable uh somehow. So I think 611 00:29:47,640 --> 00:29:51,600 Speaker 2: what's going to happen here is you played them two times. 612 00:29:52,080 --> 00:29:55,640 Speaker 2: You have to and and and you're the two most consistent, 613 00:29:56,200 --> 00:30:00,840 Speaker 2: uh passing game weapons for you, Slayton and Hodgens will 614 00:30:00,880 --> 00:30:05,320 Speaker 2: probably be compromised by slay and Bradbury just the quality 615 00:30:05,320 --> 00:30:07,720 Speaker 2: of their of their coverage. So you can't expect to 616 00:30:07,720 --> 00:30:10,719 Speaker 2: get the same production out of those two, right. So 617 00:30:11,080 --> 00:30:14,280 Speaker 2: I think what's gonna happen here is you're going to 618 00:30:14,360 --> 00:30:19,240 Speaker 2: see these other guys, these fringe role player guys, be 619 00:30:19,360 --> 00:30:24,400 Speaker 2: schemed into advantageous situations. So a guy like Lawrence Cager, 620 00:30:24,440 --> 00:30:27,000 Speaker 2: who does have some explosiveness, you know, I wouldn't be 621 00:30:27,040 --> 00:30:30,200 Speaker 2: surprised if you see, you know, like a jet sweep, 622 00:30:30,240 --> 00:30:33,480 Speaker 2: throwback pass something just to get him, you know, alone 623 00:30:33,560 --> 00:30:36,400 Speaker 2: streaking down the sideline, like I think he had something 624 00:30:36,400 --> 00:30:39,080 Speaker 2: like that maybe over the middle opening the Thanksgiving game. 625 00:30:39,080 --> 00:30:41,600 Speaker 2: But you know, just kind of plays to get different 626 00:30:41,640 --> 00:30:45,400 Speaker 2: guys that we don't usually see as involved into space, 627 00:30:45,960 --> 00:30:48,320 Speaker 2: you know, like that are not named Sakuon Barkley, that 628 00:30:48,360 --> 00:30:51,320 Speaker 2: are not named Hodgens, and that are not named Slayton. 629 00:30:51,440 --> 00:30:53,520 Speaker 2: So I think Cager is going to be a key 630 00:30:53,560 --> 00:30:55,800 Speaker 2: on this slate. I think Richie James, even though his 631 00:30:55,920 --> 00:30:58,160 Speaker 2: playing time dip the little last week, I think he's 632 00:30:58,160 --> 00:31:00,479 Speaker 2: going to be a key. Matt Brada, the Giants played 633 00:31:01,200 --> 00:31:04,880 Speaker 2: a number of personnel groupings that had both halfbacks on 634 00:31:04,920 --> 00:31:10,040 Speaker 2: the field, Barkley and Brada. So I think the I 635 00:31:10,040 --> 00:31:12,840 Speaker 2: think guys like that, I'll even throwing Daniel Bellinger. I 636 00:31:12,880 --> 00:31:14,840 Speaker 2: know you're on his under on his receiving prop. But 637 00:31:15,080 --> 00:31:17,479 Speaker 2: another guy with you know, still should see around, you know, 638 00:31:17,520 --> 00:31:20,360 Speaker 2: seventy five eighty percent of the routes. Another guy with 639 00:31:20,400 --> 00:31:23,320 Speaker 2: a wide wider range of outcomes who we've seen, he 640 00:31:23,480 --> 00:31:26,280 Speaker 2: schemed up a touchdown in the past, he had a 641 00:31:26,360 --> 00:31:29,520 Speaker 2: rushing touchdown earlier. Yeah, so I think you have to 642 00:31:29,600 --> 00:31:35,720 Speaker 2: roster Hager, James Rada, Bellinger because those are the guys 643 00:31:35,720 --> 00:31:38,000 Speaker 2: that are next up, that are still going to see 644 00:31:38,280 --> 00:31:42,400 Speaker 2: at least some time on some significant time on the field. 645 00:31:42,800 --> 00:31:48,280 Speaker 2: And I guarantee you you're gonna see one, if not multiple, 646 00:31:49,080 --> 00:31:50,800 Speaker 2: kind of schemed up I don't know if it's going 647 00:31:50,840 --> 00:31:52,480 Speaker 2: to be straight up trick plays, but some kind of 648 00:31:52,480 --> 00:31:56,160 Speaker 2: plays designed to get these guys free and kind of 649 00:31:56,160 --> 00:31:58,760 Speaker 2: count on the defense, you know, paying the most attention 650 00:31:58,840 --> 00:32:01,479 Speaker 2: to your star players, even though I don't know if 651 00:32:01,480 --> 00:32:03,480 Speaker 2: i'd call Slaton and Hodges stars, but for this Giant 652 00:32:03,560 --> 00:32:07,200 Speaker 2: team they are. Yeah, and you know, shouts to Joe 653 00:32:07,200 --> 00:32:10,200 Speaker 2: Shane and you know, for your roster he's assembled because 654 00:32:10,480 --> 00:32:12,240 Speaker 2: I mean, like we said, you know, we're talking about 655 00:32:12,800 --> 00:32:14,480 Speaker 2: on the other swate, we're talking about guys that the 656 00:32:14,520 --> 00:32:15,920 Speaker 2: Giants gave up, and we were like, heyeah, we want 657 00:32:15,960 --> 00:32:19,920 Speaker 2: to ross of these guys. So yeah, I think that's 658 00:32:19,920 --> 00:32:22,000 Speaker 2: a great call. I think Quez is a great call 659 00:32:22,000 --> 00:32:24,800 Speaker 2: as well, because remember he lines up in the slot 660 00:32:25,560 --> 00:32:28,360 Speaker 2: about three quarters of the time. Now, I do think 661 00:32:28,400 --> 00:32:30,600 Speaker 2: they'll move other guys in there, so maybe it won't 662 00:32:30,600 --> 00:32:34,880 Speaker 2: be that high. But Giants really struggling with their slot coverage. 663 00:32:35,760 --> 00:32:39,560 Speaker 2: Darnay Holmes excuse me, allowed seven of seven completions for 664 00:32:39,560 --> 00:32:42,960 Speaker 2: forty seven yards last week. He's allowed seventeen of nineteen 665 00:32:43,000 --> 00:32:45,040 Speaker 2: to be completing his coverage over the last three games. 666 00:32:45,360 --> 00:32:49,840 Speaker 2: And then McLoud is allowing a one fifty six passer 667 00:32:49,920 --> 00:32:52,320 Speaker 2: rating from the slot on the season, so they don't 668 00:32:52,320 --> 00:32:54,040 Speaker 2: really have and if not, if you don't go with 669 00:32:54,080 --> 00:32:56,200 Speaker 2: those two, now you got to kind of use a 670 00:32:56,280 --> 00:32:59,400 Speaker 2: safety in there. So I mean the Giants, that's the 671 00:32:59,440 --> 00:33:01,880 Speaker 2: one spot where the Giants really don't have a ton 672 00:33:01,920 --> 00:33:05,160 Speaker 2: of answers. You may see a Dory Shadow, Brown or 673 00:33:05,200 --> 00:33:08,120 Speaker 2: Smith into the slot, but then that just opens up 674 00:33:08,400 --> 00:33:11,200 Speaker 2: Watkins against you know, maybe one of these corners on 675 00:33:11,280 --> 00:33:13,920 Speaker 2: the outside, whether it's Moreau, whether it's homes you know, 676 00:33:14,760 --> 00:33:17,960 Speaker 2: following him outside. But either way, I think Watkins, as 677 00:33:17,960 --> 00:33:20,160 Speaker 2: you said, you just have to have some exposure to 678 00:33:20,240 --> 00:33:23,040 Speaker 2: him on a suit like this. All right, what do 679 00:33:23,040 --> 00:33:28,800 Speaker 2: we got for the luck rankings for the luckby Lady Tune. 680 00:33:28,600 --> 00:33:34,680 Speaker 1: Night, Well, it's pretty tight. Giants ranked fourth, Eagle second. Yeah, 681 00:33:34,760 --> 00:33:37,840 Speaker 1: the Giants. They rank really high in our luck rankings 682 00:33:37,840 --> 00:33:40,760 Speaker 1: because they're nine to four in one score games this year. 683 00:33:40,760 --> 00:33:43,760 Speaker 1: But they're overall, they're a well coached team under Brian Dable, 684 00:33:43,920 --> 00:33:46,880 Speaker 1: so I think we can expect them to continue to 685 00:33:46,920 --> 00:33:50,480 Speaker 1: overachieve going forward. So they're not necessarily a team I'm 686 00:33:50,480 --> 00:33:53,440 Speaker 1: looking to fade simply due to the luck rankings. Like 687 00:33:53,480 --> 00:33:55,320 Speaker 1: I said, heading into the season, that's a big reason 688 00:33:55,320 --> 00:33:57,160 Speaker 1: why I like they're over I think it was like 689 00:33:57,160 --> 00:33:59,360 Speaker 1: six and a half wins. I just think they're a 690 00:33:59,440 --> 00:34:02,560 Speaker 1: really wellcome coach team. And then on the eagle side, 691 00:34:02,680 --> 00:34:06,440 Speaker 1: same thing. They ranked second and Luck rankings. I think 692 00:34:06,560 --> 00:34:08,160 Speaker 1: a lot of that has to do with their plus 693 00:34:08,200 --> 00:34:12,280 Speaker 1: eight turnover differential third highest, but you'd kind of expect 694 00:34:12,280 --> 00:34:15,920 Speaker 1: that from a team like this. They're very complete, probably 695 00:34:15,960 --> 00:34:18,719 Speaker 1: the best overall roster. They're a well coached team, so 696 00:34:18,760 --> 00:34:21,759 Speaker 1: they're not a team I would consider overrated. Plus, they 697 00:34:21,800 --> 00:34:23,920 Speaker 1: had some pretty bad injury luck to close this season. 698 00:34:24,080 --> 00:34:27,560 Speaker 1: They were without kurtz and Orlane Johnson in two of 699 00:34:27,560 --> 00:34:30,720 Speaker 1: their final three games, so you know, having this bye week, 700 00:34:30,960 --> 00:34:32,960 Speaker 1: they're going to be closer one hundred percent health that 701 00:34:33,239 --> 00:34:36,000 Speaker 1: I'd say neither one of these teams is a team 702 00:34:36,080 --> 00:34:38,640 Speaker 1: i'd be looking to fade just based on the luck rankings. 703 00:34:38,640 --> 00:34:41,680 Speaker 1: So the fact that they're so close that this is 704 00:34:41,719 --> 00:34:43,680 Speaker 1: definitely not a luck ranking game. 705 00:34:44,320 --> 00:34:48,359 Speaker 2: Yeah, mentioned you know, Hurts is my top value in 706 00:34:48,400 --> 00:34:51,120 Speaker 2: the captain spot, but I think obviously, you know, one 707 00:34:51,160 --> 00:34:53,759 Speaker 2: way to play it would be okay going with the 708 00:34:53,760 --> 00:34:58,480 Speaker 2: Giants upset game script. I'm fine Saquon Barkley in the 709 00:34:58,480 --> 00:35:01,360 Speaker 2: captain spot. I multi find Daniel Jones in the captain spot. 710 00:35:01,480 --> 00:35:03,400 Speaker 2: I don't necessarily think he gets you. I don't know 711 00:35:03,400 --> 00:35:06,000 Speaker 2: if he gets you multiple passing touchdowns, but I'm pretty 712 00:35:06,000 --> 00:35:08,239 Speaker 2: sure he can get you a rushing score. Because they 713 00:35:08,600 --> 00:35:11,880 Speaker 2: showed no hesitation like they were using him as the 714 00:35:11,960 --> 00:35:14,640 Speaker 2: lead back. Like Barker got what like nine carries last week. 715 00:35:15,880 --> 00:35:19,600 Speaker 1: I think it was like five. Yeah, yeah, it was. 716 00:35:19,680 --> 00:35:23,080 Speaker 2: So you know, Daniel Jones the guy, right, so he 717 00:35:23,200 --> 00:35:25,480 Speaker 2: Daniel Jones is the guy who's going to run the 718 00:35:25,520 --> 00:35:28,160 Speaker 2: football in this spot. And I think that's kind of 719 00:35:28,160 --> 00:35:29,840 Speaker 2: the way you want to run on the Eagles. You 720 00:35:29,880 --> 00:35:32,800 Speaker 2: want to go outside, because now they kind of shored 721 00:35:32,840 --> 00:35:35,440 Speaker 2: up the inside. You know, Davis came back a dominicance, 722 00:35:35,440 --> 00:35:38,200 Speaker 2: Sue's there. Now you got Winville Joseph like Davis doesn't 723 00:35:38,239 --> 00:35:40,200 Speaker 2: even play that much, but at the beginning of the 724 00:35:40,239 --> 00:35:41,799 Speaker 2: year we were like, oh man, when he's out, their 725 00:35:41,880 --> 00:35:46,040 Speaker 2: run defense suffers, and now fist on the depth chart now, 726 00:35:46,120 --> 00:35:49,239 Speaker 2: So but yeah, I would I would look to the 727 00:35:49,280 --> 00:35:52,000 Speaker 2: Giants running game and then you know, roster one of 728 00:35:52,000 --> 00:35:55,520 Speaker 2: those others to save some cast, whether it's Richie James 729 00:35:55,719 --> 00:35:58,640 Speaker 2: or Cager or Bellinger or even Brita, you know, in 730 00:35:58,719 --> 00:36:00,919 Speaker 2: kind of a QB running back, unning back stack something 731 00:36:00,960 --> 00:36:03,640 Speaker 2: like that. But that's how I'd kind of attack it 732 00:36:04,080 --> 00:36:07,080 Speaker 2: from the Giant side if I'm looking for it for 733 00:36:07,160 --> 00:36:10,759 Speaker 2: that kind of pro JIHNT positive game script for the Giants, 734 00:36:10,960 --> 00:36:11,520 Speaker 2: and I. 735 00:36:11,440 --> 00:36:13,200 Speaker 1: Think Richie James would be good in that game trip 736 00:36:13,400 --> 00:36:16,120 Speaker 1: as well. Just you're trying to make higher percentage pros 737 00:36:16,719 --> 00:36:19,160 Speaker 1: either games trip, I think Richie James is going to 738 00:36:19,200 --> 00:36:19,680 Speaker 1: be crucial. 739 00:36:20,120 --> 00:36:22,759 Speaker 2: Well, I would say I would actually go Cajer as 740 00:36:22,800 --> 00:36:26,439 Speaker 2: the top one in a positive because you're more likely 741 00:36:26,520 --> 00:36:29,839 Speaker 2: to play double tight end and take the slotman off 742 00:36:29,840 --> 00:36:32,120 Speaker 2: the field when you're up. Like you know, I still 743 00:36:32,160 --> 00:36:34,520 Speaker 2: think James has a great matchup, but we did see 744 00:36:34,520 --> 00:36:36,919 Speaker 2: that a couple of times. We saw that a little 745 00:36:36,960 --> 00:36:40,560 Speaker 2: bit last week his routes run dropped to sixty six percent. Uh, 746 00:36:40,680 --> 00:36:42,520 Speaker 2: and then there was another game against Washington where it 747 00:36:42,560 --> 00:36:44,320 Speaker 2: was like fifty five. So there's been a couple of 748 00:36:44,360 --> 00:36:46,120 Speaker 2: games where the Giants have kind of gone to a 749 00:36:46,120 --> 00:36:48,279 Speaker 2: little heavier person now. So I mean I think cajor 750 00:36:48,320 --> 00:36:50,879 Speaker 2: and Bellinger. I guess Bellinger probably Actually, I would say 751 00:36:51,120 --> 00:36:55,319 Speaker 2: the top one. So like a Barkley Jones Bellinger. You 752 00:36:55,400 --> 00:36:58,560 Speaker 2: hope Jones sits Bellinger for like the only pass touchdown. 753 00:36:58,560 --> 00:37:01,000 Speaker 2: But then Jones also runs one in and bark Your 754 00:37:01,080 --> 00:37:03,600 Speaker 2: ruts one in and then then you're in business, all right. 755 00:37:04,400 --> 00:37:08,880 Speaker 2: So that's gonna do it for the Fantasy Flex Saturday 756 00:37:09,320 --> 00:37:14,239 Speaker 2: Divisional Round DFS freeview. Hope you guys enjoyed it. Be 757 00:37:14,320 --> 00:37:16,960 Speaker 2: sure to check out the full up rankings list at 758 00:37:16,960 --> 00:37:19,839 Speaker 2: Action network dot com. For more great fantasy content from 759 00:37:19,880 --> 00:37:22,360 Speaker 2: Sean and I, you can check out our full Player 760 00:37:22,640 --> 00:37:26,760 Speaker 2: Props episode over on the Action Network podcast channel. Also 761 00:37:26,960 --> 00:37:30,040 Speaker 2: keep an eye out for our Fantasy Flex Sunday Slate episode, 762 00:37:30,560 --> 00:37:33,320 Speaker 2: so actionnetwork dot com for all of our NFL Fantasy 763 00:37:33,360 --> 00:37:36,520 Speaker 2: embedded content, Fantasylabs dot com for DFS tools and models. 764 00:37:36,880 --> 00:37:39,880 Speaker 2: Sewn is on Twitter at the Underscore Odds maker, I 765 00:37:40,000 --> 00:37:42,319 Speaker 2: am at Chriss Raybond, and of course you can find 766 00:37:42,400 --> 00:37:44,080 Speaker 2: us at those same hands Who's on the free award 767 00:37:44,160 --> 00:37:48,720 Speaker 2: winning Action Network app. Until next time, Let's get this money. 768 00:37:55,160 --> 00:37:59,600 Speaker 2: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or 769 00:37:59,640 --> 00:38:02,480 Speaker 2: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is 770 00:38:02,480 --> 00:38:05,560 Speaker 2: available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred gambler