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Speaker 1: The Action Network Podcast.

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Speaker 2: I can just about that action all right. Here we

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Speaker 2: all throwing out shape.

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Speaker 1: We're sitting up a cash toto.

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Speaker 2: That's all we see.

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Speaker 1: Most gamble is ships. When they go to gamble, they

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Speaker 1: go to winning. That's incredible, big bank small. I like

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Speaker 1: to make money. All right, this is the ultimate Kobi

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Speaker 1: and you want to.

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Speaker 2: And we are underway.

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Speaker 1: What's up, everybody?

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Speaker 3: Welcome to the Action Network Podcast presented by DraftKings. I'm

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Speaker 3: your host, Chris Raybond. This is your NFL Week sixteen

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Speaker 3: betting preview. We're gonna talk side, We're gonna talk total crops,

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Speaker 3: money line, underdogs, and as always, build our Sunday six

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Speaker 3: pack against the spread bets with the help of my

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Speaker 3: co host, the Prime Minister of Degenerate Nation, brand new father,

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Speaker 3: my guy Stucky Stuck.

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Speaker 1: Congrats, how you feeling, man good?

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Speaker 2: Finally back from the hospital born one oh one eastern

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Speaker 2: on an NFL Sunday. I was in the nursery after

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Speaker 2: he was cut out streaming Red Zone. So that was funny,

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Speaker 2: but it was an amazing moment. And uh yeah I

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Speaker 2: got to watch he brought me some good luck with

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Speaker 2: that bills come back. So yeah, it was a small

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Speaker 2: winning weekend. Shout to the Eagles too. I was I

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Speaker 2: was streaming that Eagles drove that nineteen seventeen play, ninety

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Speaker 2: yard twelve minute drive that ended scoreless for the For that,

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Speaker 2: I'm to lock in that under that was amazing. So

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Speaker 2: uh yeah, nothing changes. The last couple of days have

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Speaker 2: been I've been out of routine, so hopefully keep it

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Speaker 2: rolling this week. I'm really looking forward to this card

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Speaker 2: and all of the playoff implications and the rest of

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Speaker 2: the season. This is when it really starts to get good.

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Speaker 1: Oh yeah, Thursday night football before we got into the six.

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Speaker 3: If you're up fifty to thirty eight, but really good

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Speaker 3: game Seahawks.

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Speaker 1: Rams.

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Speaker 3: I saw that you are on the Seahawks. Curious as

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Speaker 3: to your angle on this because you know, I know

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Speaker 3: the Rams, with that defense and that coordinator. You know

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Speaker 3: they have given Donald issues in the past. What are

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Speaker 3: you see in for Seahawks?

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Speaker 1: Rams?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean number one Again, I've been out of

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Speaker 2: the loop a little bit, so I'm assuming DeVante Adams

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Speaker 2: is going to be out right. I mean, I can't

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Speaker 2: see them playing. I know I said he's hopeful, but

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Speaker 2: I can't see them playing. DeVante Adams. I also still

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Speaker 2: think that this Rams defense is overrated based on all

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Speaker 2: of the backup quarterbacks and ease of offenses they've faced.

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Speaker 2: But the main thing is is that, I mean this

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Speaker 2: Seattle team, so without DeVante Adams, the Rams become obviously

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Speaker 2: exponentially easier to defend. What are they going to lean into.

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Speaker 2: They're going to lean more into heavier personnel. The one

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Speaker 2: team in the NFL that's most equipped to defend heavier

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Speaker 2: person is a Seahawks. They do not match with bass

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Speaker 2: or heavy, which the lines did on every single heavy

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Speaker 2: personnel formation last week and got absolutely torched. Torched.

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Speaker 1: They even said they would. Did you peep that?

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Speaker 3: Like they were interviewing Campbell and he's like, yeah, well,

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Speaker 3: we have linebackers that we play all the time, so

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Speaker 3: we're just gonna play our linebackers Like good job, good job.

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Speaker 2: So yeah, I mean this is where even Warre comes

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Speaker 2: into play. And in that first game, Stafford had his

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Speaker 2: worst game by far of the season. He was fifteen

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Speaker 2: to twenty eight for one hundred and thirty yards the

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Speaker 2: Seahawks in Los Angeles, and this is you know, in

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Speaker 2: Los Angeles, Donald threw four picks and they had a

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Speaker 2: field goal to win the game. So I think at home,

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Speaker 2: McDonald making some adjustments and you get Donald at home.

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Speaker 2: I mean, Donald's played this defense three times, all on

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Speaker 2: the road, this form of defense. But I also thought

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Speaker 2: he figured some things out in the second half against

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Speaker 2: the Falcons because he was really strung. It's a similar

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Speaker 2: type of scheme, and so yeah, I think the lower

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Speaker 2: scoring game, with some potential weather, the loss of DeVante Adams,

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Speaker 2: Seattle's ability to defend the Rams heavy personnel, which is

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Speaker 2: the cheat code most weeks, I think put this over

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Speaker 2: the top.

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Speaker 1: Me.

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Speaker 2: So I played a cheap money line on the Seahawks,

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Speaker 2: the two best you know teams in the NFL arguably

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Speaker 2: the two best teams from against the spread record as well.

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Speaker 2: But yeah, I think that there's a if you can

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Speaker 2: get a cheap money line on the Seahawks, I think

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Speaker 2: it's worth a bet. But I see they flipped a

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Speaker 2: favorite at some some shops, you know, I think like

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Speaker 2: minus one and a half Seattle's probably a fair price.

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Speaker 2: So I just I just played a little little cheap

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Speaker 2: moneyline minus one o two earlier in the week. So yeah,

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Speaker 2: huge game in the NFC, A really good one on

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Speaker 2: Thursday night. Looking forward to it, but I like Seattle

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Speaker 2: little bit.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I think.

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Speaker 3: I mean, the Adams injury would be big. I'm curious

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Speaker 3: as to exactly how they attack it. I still do

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Speaker 3: worry about Darnold against this defense. I mean, uh, he's

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Speaker 3: just not been playing well over the past month and

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Speaker 3: a half in my opinion. But it's really hard to

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Speaker 3: project because the Rams have gone you know, like heavy,

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Speaker 3: super heavy, uh one to three personnel in some of

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Speaker 3: the last two games, but they also got to two

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Speaker 3: at well back, so like they still have like receivers

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Speaker 3: that they trust. Like they could they could spread them

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Speaker 3: out and go, like, you know, kind of throw a

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Speaker 3: different look at him. They did go more, they didn't

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Speaker 3: go as tight end heavy in that last matchup. So

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Speaker 3: I'm just curious as to what they're gonna do because

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Speaker 3: they were replacing Adams essentially with Ferguson's routes. I had

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Speaker 3: his over six and a half receiving yards. This dude

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Speaker 3: ran the most routes on the team, like more than

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Speaker 3: Puka finished with six yards. So like that their they

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Speaker 3: just cannot afford to like play him as much as

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Speaker 3: they did, So I'm curious to see what they do.

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Speaker 1: But yeah, it's I think it is a coin flip game.

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Speaker 3: I'm just always kind of weary of Darnold late late season,

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Speaker 3: especially against this defense.

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Speaker 2: But bring this also might not go. That's an important

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Speaker 2: potential injury for the Rams up front.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, the Rams are not a full strength. I

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Speaker 3: think that may tilted, especially with Seattle being at home.

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Speaker 3: But let's jump into the six pack.

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Speaker 2: Thursday for action. Let's crack open the Sunday six pack.

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Speaker 3: Two points for our first two picks, point for our

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Speaker 3: third point for a total. You're up fifty to thirty eight.

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Speaker 3: Gain a point on you last week. I gotta get

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Speaker 3: going here. I'll start it off with my first pick,

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Speaker 3: the first overall of the week sixteen Sunday six pack,

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Speaker 3: going with the New York Giants plus three at home

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Speaker 3: against the Minnesota Vikings. This Giants team is not good,

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Speaker 3: but also not as bad as not good. The Giants

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Speaker 3: are not good, however, the Vikings are not good either.

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Speaker 3: Escape with them, you know, playing them last week in Dallas.

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Speaker 3: Now they're on their second straight road game here, going

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Speaker 3: to New York, going outdoors.

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Speaker 1: McCarthy's still not good.

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Speaker 3: I think I have the better quarterback in this matchup,

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Speaker 3: and this also, this is a luck game. This so

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Speaker 3: this is a the Giants have been one of the

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Speaker 3: more unlucky teams. There's about a twenty percent luck gap.

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Speaker 3: Yere so got that working for us. But really it

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Speaker 3: just comes down to the Giants are better with Jackson

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Speaker 3: dark Uh, they're still playing hard and the Vikings really,

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Speaker 3: I mean, they're deep, they've been getting they've been they've

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Speaker 3: been relying on their defense. But against the Giants, I

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Speaker 3: don't like Jackson Dart's been good against the Blitz. You know,

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Speaker 3: his completion percentage hasn't really dropped off, his touchdown percentage

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Speaker 3: goes up, his efficiency goes up, passer rating goes up

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Speaker 3: about ten points, and he's actually making throws against the

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Speaker 3: Blitz too, it's not just scrambles. So I think that's

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Speaker 3: promising here obviously, you know, as far as we'll probably

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Speaker 3: throw some wrinkles at him, but I think that's promising

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Speaker 3: that he's good against the Blitz.

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Speaker 1: And then you know, for.

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Speaker 3: The Vikings, McCarthy, I think he's still capable of just

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Speaker 3: like imploding at any point. You know, Dallas one of

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Speaker 3: the worst defenses in the league. Giants aren't great either,

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Speaker 3: but you know, on the road outdoors, second second straight

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Speaker 3: row game, Giants coming off a loss. Everyone down on

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Speaker 3: them after you know they were favored last week. Give

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Speaker 3: me the New York Giants. Yeah, I just think this

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Speaker 3: is more of a Vikings should be favored, but maybe

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Speaker 3: by like a point point or so, like definitely inside

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Speaker 3: of three.

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Speaker 1: So I'm taking the.

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Speaker 3: Fine, taking the three, and I'm thinking, I mean, there's

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Speaker 3: a chance that gets at three and a half.

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Speaker 1: What do you think? No, no, you don't think so.

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Speaker 2: No, Yeah, I think this is a little bit too high.

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Speaker 2: I'll probably be on this with you, but I will

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Speaker 2: say McCarthy has looked better in the past two weeks,

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Speaker 2: but I think the sentiment in market maybe has gone

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Speaker 2: a bit too far now after I mean, I've been

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Speaker 2: on in the past two weeks, so I think that

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Speaker 2: the other things. I mean the last two weeks he

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Speaker 2: has five big time throws, no turnover worthy plays, and

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Speaker 2: I played the Washington defense the Dallas defense, which aren't great,

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Speaker 2: but neither is the Giants. I think the biggest thing

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Speaker 2: to note here is the Vikings injuries. Grenard and Mattellus.

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Speaker 1: Yeah we're out yep, oh.

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Speaker 2: Too, those are And then also you have. I didn't

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Speaker 2: see an updated Vikings injury report today, but with their.

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Speaker 3: Tackles, yeah, O'Neil and Darrisa Darrisa, I thought I didn't really,

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Speaker 3: I didn't think he was gonna sit last game, So

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Speaker 3: that's kind of concerning. He's been on and off the

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Speaker 3: injury report all year long. And then O'Neil as well

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Speaker 3: in practice today, very good.

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Speaker 1: Tackles too, so that that would be big. Yeah, Garrisaw

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Speaker 1: with the knee and then O'Neil.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, so I mean even if they go I

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Speaker 3: mean lower leg injuries, another road game outdoors, uh, somewhat

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Speaker 3: a little bit of a short shortened Week two because

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Speaker 3: they played on Sunday night, So yeah, it's it's it's

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Speaker 3: gonna be tough for them.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't think we get a three and a half.

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Speaker 2: I think there is the best. I wouldn't be surprised

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Speaker 2: to just close to two and a half based on

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Speaker 2: the Vikings injuries, but yeah, I think it's gonna go

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Speaker 2: too far. Vikings indoor team going outdoors in December, home

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Speaker 2: field worth a little bit more in a non divisional

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Speaker 2: game in that when that occurs. So yeah, I think

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Speaker 2: with the three you got to look at New Yorker pass.

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Speaker 2: But for my first pick and the second overall of

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Speaker 2: the week sixteen Sunday six pack, I'm going with the

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Speaker 2: Baltimore Ravens minus three at home against the New England Patriots.

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Speaker 2: You I'm waiting on this. I don't think it goes

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Speaker 2: above three. You might see if like I'm waiting to

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Speaker 2: see if I can get like a yeah, sadly out

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Speaker 2: of baby, so I couldn't get the opener. I'm waiting

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Speaker 2: to see if I at two and a half. I

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Speaker 2: shouldn't say sadly out of baby, but sadly I wasn't

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Speaker 2: in a position. Yoh man, that's an all timer, that's all.

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Speaker 2: So I just was talk when the two and a

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Speaker 2: half is out there. But even like a more expensive

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Speaker 2: two and a half is what I'm waiting for. But

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Speaker 2: I will still play very cheap three. There's like three

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Speaker 2: even money out there, but there's this is our your

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Speaker 2: classic Ravens smash spot at home in prime time against

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Speaker 2: an eleven win team, season on the line in December.

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Speaker 2: By the way, the eighteen and eight against the spread

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Speaker 2: in December, he's never lost the game. Weeks fifteen through eighteen,

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Speaker 2: he's sixteen to zero straight up. Also, the Ravens offense,

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Speaker 2: I think is finally trending up since Week eight out

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Speaker 2: of the by their second in rush EPA. They were

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Speaker 2: twenty second over the first seven weeks. The offensive line

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Speaker 2: has figured some things out. I think you're gonna start

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Speaker 2: to see more RPOs like we did last year. Charlie

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Speaker 2: Kohler has been a revelation in the run blocking game.

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Speaker 2: He's been elite in that aspect. But I mean, over

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Speaker 2: the past two weeks, their rush offenses off the charts,

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Speaker 2: and the Patriots defense, by the way, since Week eight

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Speaker 2: thirtieth and rushed success rate thirtieth and rush EPA lost.

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Speaker 2: Nottan Williams had some other injuries, and that's another thing

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Speaker 2: with the Patriots. They're now dealing with injuries. They're one

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Speaker 2: of the healthiest teams in the league. You know, over

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Speaker 2: the first twelve thirteen weeks, Nottan Williams, will Campbell, and

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Speaker 2: you got Verdarian Low at left tackle. He's a traffic cone.

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Speaker 2: Robert splane and at boot not going to play leading tackler.

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Speaker 2: He calls their defense, the rest of their linebackers very vulnerable.

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Speaker 2: They can't cover tight ends. They struggle again heavy for me.

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Speaker 2: I think the Ravens can take advantage of this Patriots

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Speaker 2: defense in multiple ways. Lamar, I thought looked better last week.

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Speaker 2: He's just every week he's getting incrementally better. I'm finally

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Speaker 2: willing to bet them here and this Patriots. And by

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Speaker 2: the way, the Ravens defense since week six fifth and

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Speaker 2: EPA pri play fifth and success rate first against the run.

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Speaker 2: And I will say, we talk about this all the time.

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Speaker 2: The one area where the Ravens are still struggling is

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Speaker 2: in the red zone. They're forty four percent red zone

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Speaker 2: touchdown percentage. Well that's second worst in the league. Well,

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Speaker 2: the Pats defense is the worst. So this might be

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Speaker 2: a week where they actually get right. And this Patriots team, look,

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Speaker 2: there might be a bit of an emotional letdown after

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Speaker 2: last week's game blowing that against Buffalo. They know that

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Speaker 2: all they have to do is beat the Jets and

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Speaker 2: the Dolphins over the past two weeks. They win the division,

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Speaker 2: probably get a two seed, but I'm not banking on that.

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Speaker 2: Just you know, just human nature. Maybe they come out

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Speaker 2: a little bit flat. I'm sure Babe will have them ready.

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Speaker 2: But this the Patriots have had the easiest schedule in

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Speaker 2: the league, and they've been lucky. I mean they're fourteen

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Speaker 2: of nineteen on fourth downs, their opponents eight of twenty three.

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Speaker 2: I've talked about this last week. Seventeen fumbles, they've only

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Speaker 2: lost seven. They've recovered sixty seven percent of their opponents.

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Speaker 2: Drake may has gotten away with some throws. He's been great,

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Speaker 2: but if you look at his turnover wheth he plays

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Speaker 2: compared to his interceptions, and just watch, he's gotten away

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Speaker 2: with some throws. And defenses have started to make some

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Speaker 2: adjustments to what the Patriots are doing, especially the confident

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Speaker 2: ones over the past few weeks. And yeah, this Patriots

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Speaker 2: team's finally just not healthy. They got banged up a

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Speaker 2: little bit in the secondary. I think there's a couple

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Speaker 2: guys in the secondary of them in practice today, and

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Speaker 2: this defense can be had on the ground. I think

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Speaker 2: the Ravens get it done at home. And if you look,

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Speaker 2: I mean in between the Patriots playing Josh Allen, the

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Speaker 2: ten I mean the quarterbacks they faced were absolutely laughable. Laughable.

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Speaker 2: I mean you're talking seven of their ten other wins

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Speaker 2: came against either rookies or quarterbacks who been benched. So

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Speaker 2: I think the Ravens get it done at home, and

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Speaker 2: there's the Ravens defense is trending up. We'll see if

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Speaker 2: a woozy will play. He's been really good, but they've

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Speaker 2: gotten They've added some pieces that have gotten They've gotten

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Speaker 2: back healthier. So you have our Darius Washington now, who

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Speaker 2: gives you a lot more flexibility. Gilman has been good.

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Speaker 2: Draymont like did Draymond Jones. Broderick Washington, Travis Jones combo

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Speaker 2: last week was elite against Burrow. I think they are

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Speaker 2: averaged two yards per play with a twenty one success rate,

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Speaker 2: twenty one percent success rate on twenty snaps with those

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Speaker 2: three in and they hadn't played together all year, so

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Speaker 2: they're starting to find some things with this defense that

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Speaker 2: I think is will continue to trend up. Run games working.

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Speaker 2: I think the Patriots are trending down a bit. So yeah,

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Speaker 2: I'll take the Ravens. I make this over a field goal,

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Speaker 2: so I'm fine laying a cheap three, but we'll wait

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Speaker 2: to see if I can get a little bit more

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Speaker 2: expensive two and a half.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, the Ravens are a little like hard to handicap

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Speaker 3: for me, just because they played the Bengals twice you know,

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Speaker 3: it's like it's like, like you mentioned the rush EPA.

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Speaker 3: I mean that's gonna happen against the Bengals. I do

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Speaker 3: think they're trending up. I do think Lamar looked a

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Speaker 3: little better. But uh, like this could be a shock

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Speaker 3: to I mean that Patriots offense is still weak, I think.

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Speaker 3: I mean, it's it's just Henderson. They can kind of

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Speaker 3: match the Ravens. I'm curious to the Bengals, aren't they are?

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Speaker 3: But I mean Joe Burrow's YPA even heading into that game,

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Speaker 3: like I was like pretty low.

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Speaker 1: He's like a lot more.

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Speaker 3: Dinking dunking, especially without a Higgins like Drake may quite

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Speaker 3: the opposite. So I just worry about the explosives. But

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Speaker 3: I mean I don't I don't blame him for taking

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Speaker 3: the Ravens. I mean, this Patriots team has been running

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Speaker 3: lucky a little bit. You know, they are now facing

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Speaker 3: some of these ewite teams in the AFC. They did

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Speaker 3: just blow that game, kind of showed up, and their

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Speaker 3: defense is just horrible, Like I like, their defense is

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Speaker 3: just for Rabel defense.

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Speaker 1: I mean it's bad. So it's specially.

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Speaker 2: Considering the competition that they've played. Yeah, I mean, to

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Speaker 2: your point, the Ravens defense since the bye they played

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Speaker 2: the Bears. I mean, the Bears are a good dophins.

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Speaker 2: They shut down the Bears, the Dolphins, the Vikings, the Browns,

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Speaker 2: the Jets, the Bengals twice in the Steelers. So it's

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Speaker 2: been a pretty tough, easy slate in fairness, but I'm

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Speaker 2: still wrong with my Ravens minus three. I take it

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Speaker 2: very serious when I get out the Ravens and the

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Speaker 2: six back.

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Speaker 3: No, no, yeah, you're I don't think you've lost many

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Speaker 3: of them. If and if you have, it's probably like

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Speaker 3: those Browns games. That's ridiculous like that.

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Speaker 2: I had the Browns earlier this year that they held

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Speaker 2: on against the Ravens. But yeah, I think the Ravens

335
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Speaker 2: gets done by the way. Interesting nugget, Ravens win and

336
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Speaker 2: they're favored. Lions win, who are favored over the Steelers.

337
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Speaker 2: Week seventeen meaningless for the Ravens and the Steelers. Steelers

338
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Speaker 2: play at the Browns, Ravens play at the Packers. I

339
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Speaker 2: imagine you probably sit Lamar. I imagine you probably sit Rogers.

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Speaker 2: Game means nothing and the division will be decided. Week eighteen, no.

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Speaker 3: Matter what, always comes down to raven Steelers. Man somehow,

342
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Speaker 3: some way. I mean, I wanted to bang the Bengals

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Speaker 3: always just blow it like way too soon. I want

344
00:18:18,200 --> 00:18:21,159
Speaker 3: to see them still alive and they just just no

345
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Speaker 3: fun with them. But yeah, I'm looking forward to that

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Speaker 3: Ravens Steelers game.

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Speaker 2: Good prime time games this week.

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Speaker 1: Oh yeah, I like to slate. I think this is

349
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Speaker 1: a great slate in general.

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Speaker 2: Especially when you consider there's forty four year old Rivers

351
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Speaker 2: and then you have seven rookie quarterbacks that are going

352
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Speaker 2: to start, like if you include Brady Cook and now

353
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Speaker 2: Quinn Yours, like it's I really do like the slate.

354
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Speaker 2: But where are you going next?

355
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Speaker 1: For my second pick?

356
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Speaker 3: The third overall of the week sixteen Sunday six pack

357
00:18:54,280 --> 00:18:56,399
Speaker 3: and going with the Tennessee Titans plus three and a

358
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Speaker 3: half hosting the Kansas City Chiefs and obviously no Patrick Mahomes.

359
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Speaker 3: But I think there's some intangible advantages here for Tennessee

360
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Speaker 3: as well. You're getting a Chiefs team that I mean

361
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Speaker 3: you could just suffer a huge letdown. They're really like

362
00:19:13,200 --> 00:19:16,720
Speaker 3: this is new territory for them, you know, not having

363
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Speaker 3: meaningful games where it's not just okay, we're resting up

364
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Speaker 3: for the playoffs where they're just eliminated.

365
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Speaker 1: So so you know, no Mahomes, you know, Midshew, big.

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Speaker 3: Step down, I mean, just massive drop off, and the

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Speaker 3: Chiefs are just it could be bad for them, especially

368
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Speaker 3: because I don't know how many guys they're gonna they're

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Speaker 3: gonna push with the season over. So you have Hollywood

370
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Speaker 3: Brown still on the injury report. Personal issue, so you

371
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Speaker 3: know that that's last week. I don't I don't know

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Speaker 3: if it was personal or something else, but that's interesting.

373
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Speaker 3: And then Rashid Rice concussion usually a nine day healing period,

374
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Speaker 3: so more likely than not guys with a concussion miss

375
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Speaker 3: a league.

376
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Speaker 1: Taekwon Thornton's same thing.

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Speaker 3: So now you're at potentially three receivers out where's he

378
00:20:02,520 --> 00:20:03,879
Speaker 3: got banged up in that last game.

379
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Speaker 1: He's not even on the injury report.

380
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Speaker 3: Then you got the offensive line issues with uh, you

381
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Speaker 3: know Taylor, we'll see if he goes. Moore's on the

382
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Speaker 3: injury report, Tray Smith got hurt his ankle ass game.

383
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Speaker 3: You already got Simmons on ir the swing tear offensive line.

384
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Speaker 2: After the first drive last week was they got to

385
00:20:22,200 --> 00:20:24,919
Speaker 2: go to Goderich or whatever was a disaster.

386
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Speaker 3: Yeah, and I mean again, this is new territory for them.

387
00:20:28,359 --> 00:20:31,240
Speaker 3: Who knows how many guys they push? You know the

388
00:20:31,320 --> 00:20:35,040
Speaker 3: season where it is, uh, the top cornerback McDuffie has

389
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Speaker 3: a knee associate if you'll see if he's back. But

390
00:20:38,040 --> 00:20:40,840
Speaker 3: you know, again, got like these valuable guys, do they

391
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Speaker 3: push them?

392
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Speaker 1: Who knows? We haven't seen him in this predicament.

393
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Speaker 3: So I think there's a little bit of injury upside

394
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Speaker 3: here with the Chiefs because you're not only getting like

395
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Speaker 3: the drop off from Mahomes to Minshew, but you're potentially

396
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Speaker 3: getting cluster wide receiver injuries and cluster offensive line injuries.

397
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Speaker 3: And then what's the one thing with the Chiefs don't

398
00:21:01,000 --> 00:21:04,119
Speaker 3: really do We'll run the football and if they have

399
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Speaker 3: to do that because they have exactly you got Simmons

400
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Speaker 3: on the interior. So this is this could get really

401
00:21:11,119 --> 00:21:13,960
Speaker 3: messy for the for the Kansas City Chiefs. Uh, you

402
00:21:14,000 --> 00:21:17,080
Speaker 3: know this this is I think I think there's a

403
00:21:17,160 --> 00:21:19,200
Speaker 3: chance to Titans show up for this one too, because

404
00:21:19,200 --> 00:21:20,720
Speaker 3: I mean, you know, they don't get a chance to

405
00:21:20,720 --> 00:21:23,320
Speaker 3: get many wins on the year, so to knock off

406
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Speaker 3: the defending conference champs, even if they're eliminated. I do

407
00:21:26,840 --> 00:21:29,960
Speaker 3: think they get up for this one. So yeah, there's

408
00:21:30,000 --> 00:21:33,000
Speaker 3: just too many injuries for the Chiefs for I mean this,

409
00:21:33,000 --> 00:21:35,560
Speaker 3: this is trending toward a corn flip game. If if

410
00:21:35,600 --> 00:21:38,640
Speaker 3: all those guys miss and again, I think it's more

411
00:21:38,800 --> 00:21:41,240
Speaker 3: likely than usual that some of these guys get get

412
00:21:41,280 --> 00:21:44,960
Speaker 3: held out. They're on the road, Minshew a lot more turnovers,

413
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Speaker 3: so usually you know, Chiefs say, Okay, they're not gonna

414
00:21:48,200 --> 00:21:50,119
Speaker 3: turn it over too much, and if they do, they

415
00:21:50,119 --> 00:21:53,000
Speaker 3: can you know, get back to it with mahomes get

416
00:21:53,040 --> 00:21:55,119
Speaker 3: you know, they can get those two minute drives with Minshew.

417
00:21:55,200 --> 00:21:57,320
Speaker 3: It's just I mean, it's just all up in the air,

418
00:21:57,400 --> 00:21:59,879
Speaker 3: especially with these receivers Kelsey end of the year, you know,

419
00:22:00,160 --> 00:22:04,280
Speaker 3: he's older. It's just it can get really ugly for

420
00:22:04,320 --> 00:22:07,280
Speaker 3: the Chiefs. So I'm going Titans plus three and a half.

421
00:22:07,640 --> 00:22:09,800
Speaker 3: I love getting the hook, but I wouldn't be surprised

422
00:22:09,840 --> 00:22:12,679
Speaker 3: if this is like a smash for the Titans. You

423
00:22:12,720 --> 00:22:16,920
Speaker 3: don't usually say that, but this Chiefs team just turned

424
00:22:17,040 --> 00:22:18,200
Speaker 3: trending way down.

425
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Speaker 2: Yeah. The only thing, I mean, how do you quantify

426
00:22:21,920 --> 00:22:26,800
Speaker 2: the I mean, the Titans they have like no, they

427
00:22:26,840 --> 00:22:28,679
Speaker 2: have like no safeties left now and they have some

428
00:22:28,760 --> 00:22:32,440
Speaker 2: offensive line injuries, so this game isn't a mess. But yeah,

429
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Speaker 2: I mean the Chiefs, I'm sure they want to lose

430
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Speaker 2: this game for draft position thing. How often can they

431
00:22:37,920 --> 00:22:39,639
Speaker 2: say that? But what do I mean by that? Are

432
00:22:39,640 --> 00:22:41,960
Speaker 2: they going to try? Yeah? But like, is there any

433
00:22:42,000 --> 00:22:45,880
Speaker 2: reason for Reid to break out the the good plays

434
00:22:45,920 --> 00:22:48,000
Speaker 2: which I haven't been working anyway? I mean, this offense is

435
00:22:48,440 --> 00:22:49,960
Speaker 2: a mess now you have all the offensive line is

436
00:22:49,960 --> 00:22:54,520
Speaker 2: a disaster and you might as well hold everyone back.

437
00:22:54,560 --> 00:22:56,960
Speaker 2: That's this game means nothing now and there's there's just

438
00:22:56,960 --> 00:22:58,840
Speaker 2: the human element of this team is always playing for

439
00:22:58,880 --> 00:23:03,159
Speaker 2: super Bow Bowls the week after being eliminated, and this

440
00:23:03,200 --> 00:23:04,920
Speaker 2: will be a big game for the Titans. They don't

441
00:23:04,920 --> 00:23:06,880
Speaker 2: get many big games. You're playing the big bed Chiefs

442
00:23:06,920 --> 00:23:07,240
Speaker 2: at home.

443
00:23:07,359 --> 00:23:09,560
Speaker 1: So holidays holidays too.

444
00:23:09,560 --> 00:23:12,720
Speaker 3: Everyone's a little distracted going on, like it's yeah, it

445
00:23:12,720 --> 00:23:13,399
Speaker 3: could get weird.

446
00:23:13,520 --> 00:23:14,640
Speaker 1: You can get real weird.

447
00:23:15,040 --> 00:23:17,320
Speaker 2: Highlight that. I'll be on it with you all right.

448
00:23:17,320 --> 00:23:19,520
Speaker 3: Before we continue with the Sunday six block, just a

449
00:23:19,520 --> 00:23:22,160
Speaker 3: reminder you could tell the bets we discussed today's show

450
00:23:22,160 --> 00:23:24,399
Speaker 3: by finding the quick slip link in the podcasts and

451
00:23:24,520 --> 00:23:26,480
Speaker 3: video description. You can also go to Action network dot

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455
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458
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472
00:24:29,640 --> 00:24:33,159
Speaker 3: crown is yours? All right, stuck, where are you going second?

473
00:24:35,000 --> 00:24:37,960
Speaker 2: All right? For my second pick and the fourth overall

474
00:24:38,000 --> 00:24:42,440
Speaker 2: the week sixteen Sunday six pack, I'm going with the

475
00:24:42,520 --> 00:24:47,199
Speaker 2: Las Vegas Raiders plus fourteen and a half. It's disgusting,

476
00:24:47,320 --> 00:24:51,520
Speaker 2: but this fits, like Bill this alarms are going off

477
00:24:51,560 --> 00:24:53,520
Speaker 2: for me to play. Let's played this already fourteen and

478
00:24:53,560 --> 00:24:58,560
Speaker 2: a half at DraftKings. Still look, I think this is

479
00:24:58,560 --> 00:25:00,200
Speaker 2: the peak of the market on the Texan saving great.

480
00:25:00,200 --> 00:25:01,639
Speaker 2: Their offense has been better. We know how good their

481
00:25:01,680 --> 00:25:04,719
Speaker 2: defense is. They won six straight, but they benefited from

482
00:25:04,760 --> 00:25:07,800
Speaker 2: a ton of injuries over that span. I mean, you

483
00:25:07,840 --> 00:25:10,840
Speaker 2: had Daniel Jones going down, You had the Bills offensive line,

484
00:25:11,119 --> 00:25:14,679
Speaker 2: their tackles were out, The Chiefs offensive line was a mess,

485
00:25:14,880 --> 00:25:17,600
Speaker 2: the Cardinals whole team was out, and four of their

486
00:25:17,640 --> 00:25:19,639
Speaker 2: six wins still over by one possession. Only one of

487
00:25:19,640 --> 00:25:21,200
Speaker 2: the six have come against the playoff team. But I

488
00:25:21,200 --> 00:25:23,160
Speaker 2: think we're peaked out on the Texans. Everyone's now saying

489
00:25:23,160 --> 00:25:25,240
Speaker 2: the Texans are going to win the AFC. All the

490
00:25:25,280 --> 00:25:26,919
Speaker 2: signs that like, Okay, we're at the peak of the

491
00:25:26,960 --> 00:25:31,199
Speaker 2: market on the Texans. This is still a team that

492
00:25:31,280 --> 00:25:35,320
Speaker 2: I don't I want to run to lay fourteen and

493
00:25:35,320 --> 00:25:39,360
Speaker 2: a half with regardless of who they're playing, they still

494
00:25:39,400 --> 00:25:42,960
Speaker 2: struggle to finish drives. Their thirtieth in red zone touchdown

495
00:25:42,960 --> 00:25:43,880
Speaker 2: percentage on the year.

496
00:25:44,600 --> 00:25:47,800
Speaker 1: Jhar Jahar I had Jahar Jordan.

497
00:25:49,320 --> 00:25:51,919
Speaker 3: Didn't he got to the three. He got to the

498
00:25:51,960 --> 00:25:54,200
Speaker 3: three and then some stupid I don't know how he

499
00:25:54,240 --> 00:25:55,880
Speaker 3: didn't score. He got over one hundred yards. But yeah,

500
00:25:56,240 --> 00:25:58,480
Speaker 3: it is frustrating with their their red zone.

501
00:25:58,680 --> 00:26:00,320
Speaker 2: So but I think this is the peak of the

502
00:26:00,359 --> 00:26:02,320
Speaker 2: market and we're getting a buy. Loo and the Raiders

503
00:26:02,920 --> 00:26:05,159
Speaker 2: after a shutout loss with only ad they less than

504
00:26:05,200 --> 00:26:08,160
Speaker 2: one hundred yards. By the way, the Raiders, they've they've

505
00:26:08,160 --> 00:26:10,520
Speaker 2: been blown out a bunch this year. Here's what they've done.

506
00:26:10,880 --> 00:26:13,280
Speaker 2: They've losing by seventeen or more. They lost by one

507
00:26:13,320 --> 00:26:15,520
Speaker 2: to the Bears, they beat the Texts and I mean

508
00:26:15,520 --> 00:26:17,800
Speaker 2: they beat the Titans by ten, They lost by one

509
00:26:17,840 --> 00:26:21,040
Speaker 2: to the Jags, they lost to the Broncos and covered

510
00:26:21,040 --> 00:26:23,399
Speaker 2: by seven shot out Pat Carroll, and then they lost

511
00:26:23,840 --> 00:26:25,639
Speaker 2: to the Browns by fourteen. So they're four and one

512
00:26:25,640 --> 00:26:30,320
Speaker 2: against the spread after blowout losses this year, but mainly

513
00:26:30,680 --> 00:26:32,680
Speaker 2: I just think because they got shut out last week,

514
00:26:33,760 --> 00:26:35,919
Speaker 2: because the Texans are at the peak of their market,

515
00:26:36,119 --> 00:26:38,080
Speaker 2: we're getting over to two touchdowns here. I think that

516
00:26:38,119 --> 00:26:40,280
Speaker 2: this line should be like thirteen thirteen and a half.

517
00:26:41,280 --> 00:26:45,520
Speaker 2: So I'm going to take over two touchdowns. I think, Look,

518
00:26:45,560 --> 00:26:49,040
Speaker 2: these are professional athletes. The Raiders will come out with

519
00:26:49,160 --> 00:26:51,520
Speaker 2: an inspired effort here after they got embarrassed last week.

520
00:26:51,520 --> 00:26:53,080
Speaker 2: And by the way, this is also a couple of

521
00:26:53,119 --> 00:26:55,280
Speaker 2: my favorite trends here, and this just speaks to buying

522
00:26:55,359 --> 00:26:58,960
Speaker 2: all teams off a shutout, teams off getting shut out

523
00:26:59,160 --> 00:27:01,200
Speaker 2: seventy four to fifty five and five against the spread,

524
00:27:01,240 --> 00:27:04,959
Speaker 2: fifty seven point four percent on the road thirty two

525
00:27:05,080 --> 00:27:07,400
Speaker 2: eighteen and two against the spread sixty four percent, covering

526
00:27:07,440 --> 00:27:12,760
Speaker 2: by over a field goal per game, and road dogs

527
00:27:13,240 --> 00:27:15,880
Speaker 2: off a shutout lost sixty five percent is historic, covering

528
00:27:15,920 --> 00:27:19,919
Speaker 2: by about four points per game. Additionally, one of my

529
00:27:20,080 --> 00:27:23,600
Speaker 2: favorite trends ever double digit dog in back to back

530
00:27:23,640 --> 00:27:27,359
Speaker 2: weeks after they didn't cover the first week. Why is

531
00:27:27,400 --> 00:27:30,280
Speaker 2: that one of my favorite trends Because A, it has

532
00:27:30,280 --> 00:27:33,000
Speaker 2: to be a really bad team, right if they didn't

533
00:27:33,040 --> 00:27:35,879
Speaker 2: cover the first time, who wants to bet them? The

534
00:27:35,920 --> 00:27:37,720
Speaker 2: second time, right, because they're going to be playing another

535
00:27:37,760 --> 00:27:40,679
Speaker 2: good team, so you usually get maybe a point sometimes

536
00:27:40,680 --> 00:27:42,280
Speaker 2: against the Kane. I think that's what we're getting here.

537
00:27:43,240 --> 00:27:45,920
Speaker 2: By the way, fifty twenty five and one against the

538
00:27:45,960 --> 00:27:49,240
Speaker 2: spread past twenty five years in that spot sixty seven percent,

539
00:27:49,280 --> 00:27:53,200
Speaker 2: covering by about four points per game, so I'm buying low. Also,

540
00:27:53,960 --> 00:27:56,800
Speaker 2: I think Colt Miller will be back this week. That's massive,

541
00:27:56,840 --> 00:27:59,760
Speaker 2: one of the best left tackles in the NFL. They're

542
00:27:59,760 --> 00:28:05,040
Speaker 2: all line is you can't function, but getting like a

543
00:28:05,080 --> 00:28:07,119
Speaker 2: stunt left tackle back will help. It's kind of like

544
00:28:07,160 --> 00:28:10,320
Speaker 2: when the Giants would have Andrew Thomas and without you

545
00:28:10,359 --> 00:28:12,920
Speaker 2: would just see the whole operation would get a little better.

546
00:28:13,240 --> 00:28:16,119
Speaker 2: So maybe they can sustain a few more drys And

547
00:28:16,160 --> 00:28:19,359
Speaker 2: the Texans have injuries like Stingley that you probably be

548
00:28:19,359 --> 00:28:21,919
Speaker 2: smart to hold him out this week because the second

549
00:28:21,920 --> 00:28:24,000
Speaker 2: time he's dealing with an I think it's an oblique

550
00:28:24,760 --> 00:28:27,800
Speaker 2: marks in their backfield. And then they've started to loose

551
00:28:27,840 --> 00:28:31,679
Speaker 2: some into your defensive lineman guys Edwards. Now they lost

552
00:28:31,800 --> 00:28:34,720
Speaker 2: and so their depth has taken some hits there, so

553
00:28:35,960 --> 00:28:37,919
Speaker 2: maybe that starts that up. But I just think this

554
00:28:38,040 --> 00:28:40,080
Speaker 2: is the bottom of the Raiders. They just didn't score

555
00:28:40,160 --> 00:28:43,600
Speaker 2: and they had seventy five total yards. Texans have won

556
00:28:43,680 --> 00:28:46,520
Speaker 2: six straight. I think we're getting over two touchdowns in

557
00:28:46,560 --> 00:28:48,640
Speaker 2: a game that I think should be under Give me

558
00:28:49,720 --> 00:28:53,560
Speaker 2: the Raiders, who if treated me well this year outside

559
00:28:53,560 --> 00:28:56,680
Speaker 2: of the Browns game. So Pete Carroll, if you're down

560
00:28:56,720 --> 00:29:02,200
Speaker 2: seventeen late field gold, baby, kick it, be careful.

561
00:29:02,240 --> 00:29:04,680
Speaker 3: I mean, whoa, what a terrible coach. But yeah, I

562
00:29:04,720 --> 00:29:07,200
Speaker 3: mean this is I'm probably I'll probably be honest with you.

563
00:29:07,520 --> 00:29:10,360
Speaker 3: It's gonna be it's gonna feel disgusting, which means it's

564
00:29:10,480 --> 00:29:11,080
Speaker 3: the right side.

565
00:29:12,520 --> 00:29:12,880
Speaker 1: I mean the.

566
00:29:12,920 --> 00:29:16,200
Speaker 3: Raiders, Uh, I don't even know what to say anymore.

567
00:29:16,360 --> 00:29:19,000
Speaker 3: I just I can't believe that they came out of

568
00:29:19,040 --> 00:29:21,600
Speaker 3: the buy with like their rookie receivers playing West. I

569
00:29:21,600 --> 00:29:23,560
Speaker 3: can't believe they got three first downs in a game

570
00:29:24,120 --> 00:29:27,560
Speaker 3: like like they've just so many. Just I haven't been

571
00:29:27,680 --> 00:29:29,720
Speaker 3: like in awe of such a terrible team and so long,

572
00:29:29,760 --> 00:29:31,560
Speaker 3: which means they'll probably.

573
00:29:31,360 --> 00:29:31,880
Speaker 1: Cover this week.

574
00:29:32,880 --> 00:29:35,880
Speaker 2: You're with the Jets, by the way, Oh I got no, no,

575
00:29:36,000 --> 00:29:37,720
Speaker 2: did got Jets originally in the draft?

576
00:29:37,920 --> 00:29:40,600
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, And then I realized they're tanking. I was

577
00:29:40,680 --> 00:29:41,680
Speaker 1: like I didn't.

578
00:29:41,440 --> 00:29:43,200
Speaker 2: Realize they were she traded out, So where are you

579
00:29:43,240 --> 00:29:45,120
Speaker 2: going there now?

580
00:29:45,120 --> 00:29:45,560
Speaker 1: I didn't know.

581
00:29:46,160 --> 00:29:50,200
Speaker 3: I did not realize they were like benching healthy quarterbacks

582
00:29:50,240 --> 00:29:51,960
Speaker 3: for cook. I thought they were just hurt with that.

583
00:29:52,120 --> 00:29:53,720
Speaker 3: Now that it sounds like they're tanking.

584
00:29:54,160 --> 00:29:54,240
Speaker 2: Uh.

585
00:29:54,320 --> 00:29:57,040
Speaker 3: But yeah, for my third pick and the fifth overall

586
00:29:57,160 --> 00:29:59,400
Speaker 3: of the week, sixteen Sunday six pack of going with

587
00:29:59,440 --> 00:30:02,800
Speaker 3: the washing Ton Commanders plus six and a half at

588
00:30:02,800 --> 00:30:08,760
Speaker 3: home against the Philadelphia Eagles, And we just talked about

589
00:30:08,760 --> 00:30:12,320
Speaker 3: the Raiders and how bad the Raiders are, so how

590
00:30:12,400 --> 00:30:16,320
Speaker 3: much are we gonna credit the Eagles for that win?

591
00:30:16,800 --> 00:30:19,680
Speaker 3: And I think the market is a little too confident

592
00:30:19,760 --> 00:30:24,520
Speaker 3: now division game, Eagles on the road, a little bit

593
00:30:24,520 --> 00:30:28,280
Speaker 3: of a short week, injury injury report a bit concerning.

594
00:30:28,320 --> 00:30:33,840
Speaker 3: I mean, you still got Wayne Johnson not practice.

595
00:30:32,880 --> 00:30:35,840
Speaker 2: That's a good question. But I don't think Lane Johnson's

596
00:30:35,840 --> 00:30:37,280
Speaker 2: playing and I don't think Carter's playing.

597
00:30:37,800 --> 00:30:39,200
Speaker 1: Yeah, so two.

598
00:30:39,000 --> 00:30:41,040
Speaker 3: Of the most important players in the trenches. And then

599
00:30:41,160 --> 00:30:44,760
Speaker 3: Landon Dickerson also looks like he is on the injury

600
00:30:44,760 --> 00:30:47,840
Speaker 3: report Fred Johnson as well. So like their tackle situation

601
00:30:47,920 --> 00:30:52,080
Speaker 3: for the Eagles, in their O line situation, Uh not great. Also,

602
00:30:52,320 --> 00:30:55,200
Speaker 3: one of their blocking tight ends has a neck. Bark

603
00:30:55,240 --> 00:30:58,040
Speaker 3: we popped he practiced limited but a neck on a

604
00:30:58,080 --> 00:31:00,280
Speaker 3: short week. And then Biggsy has an illness. I don't

605
00:31:00,280 --> 00:31:02,600
Speaker 3: know what like that running back room. We'll see about that.

606
00:31:02,720 --> 00:31:05,920
Speaker 3: But a little bit concerning there for the Eagles injuries.

607
00:31:05,960 --> 00:31:09,360
Speaker 3: And then if you go back and look at all

608
00:31:09,400 --> 00:31:11,600
Speaker 3: the games, because yeah, I don't think Lane Johnson's going again.

609
00:31:11,640 --> 00:31:14,560
Speaker 3: He missed the first two practices of the week. The

610
00:31:14,600 --> 00:31:21,000
Speaker 3: Eagles without Lane Johnson are now five and eight straight

611
00:31:21,120 --> 00:31:27,640
Speaker 3: up four eight and one against the spread. And this team,

612
00:31:27,800 --> 00:31:31,120
Speaker 3: you know, Jalen Hurts, it's still not great for him.

613
00:31:31,120 --> 00:31:34,160
Speaker 3: Like it's still he's still going to struggle against zone coverages.

614
00:31:34,200 --> 00:31:35,960
Speaker 3: He's still he's not going to be able to just

615
00:31:36,000 --> 00:31:37,920
Speaker 3: do this every week. They pulled some nice tricks out

616
00:31:37,920 --> 00:31:40,120
Speaker 3: of their bag a couple of weeks in a row,

617
00:31:40,120 --> 00:31:42,280
Speaker 3: I thought, in the run game, and then you know

618
00:31:42,400 --> 00:31:44,080
Speaker 3: last week at to go on, we got her who

619
00:31:44,080 --> 00:31:45,440
Speaker 3: should have had three touchdowns.

620
00:31:45,760 --> 00:31:47,760
Speaker 1: You could do that against the Raiders. This is the

621
00:31:47,840 --> 00:31:48,640
Speaker 1: visional opponent.

622
00:31:48,720 --> 00:31:51,000
Speaker 3: Dan Quinn has seen this team a bunch, even going

623
00:31:51,000 --> 00:31:53,360
Speaker 3: back to his days with the Cowboys.

624
00:31:53,880 --> 00:31:56,040
Speaker 1: So I just think that Hurts is intro.

625
00:31:56,200 --> 00:31:58,120
Speaker 3: A little bit of a letdown here, especially with the

626
00:31:58,160 --> 00:32:01,960
Speaker 3: offensive line banged up, because that's that's really the key

627
00:32:02,000 --> 00:32:04,280
Speaker 3: for Hurts like he he's still gonna take time to go.

628
00:32:04,200 --> 00:32:04,960
Speaker 1: Through his progressions.

629
00:32:04,960 --> 00:32:07,320
Speaker 3: Is Washington defense is not good, but he's still gonna

630
00:32:07,320 --> 00:32:10,480
Speaker 3: take time to get through his progressions. Uh, and with

631
00:32:10,520 --> 00:32:14,080
Speaker 3: the banged up offensive line, I'm gonna take the six

632
00:32:14,120 --> 00:32:16,200
Speaker 3: and a half all day. I mean, this is this

633
00:32:16,240 --> 00:32:18,920
Speaker 3: is a division game. It's the Commanders could easily win

634
00:32:19,000 --> 00:32:21,840
Speaker 3: this game. The Eagles are not all of a sudden

635
00:32:21,920 --> 00:32:23,640
Speaker 3: fixed because they blew out the Raiders. I mean the

636
00:32:23,720 --> 00:32:27,240
Speaker 3: Raiders are absolutely hapless the Commanders. I mean people are

637
00:32:27,280 --> 00:32:30,080
Speaker 3: writing them off for dead. Against the Giants, they were

638
00:32:30,160 --> 00:32:32,480
Speaker 3: like the too and ten or whatever two and eleven Giants.

639
00:32:32,520 --> 00:32:36,160
Speaker 1: The Commanders were underdogs against uh and Mariota.

640
00:32:36,520 --> 00:32:39,200
Speaker 3: Yeah, and they're better with Mariota, more efficient, e p A,

641
00:32:39,560 --> 00:32:44,720
Speaker 3: YPA success rate, you name it. They're better, Uh, Eagles

642
00:32:44,920 --> 00:32:47,920
Speaker 3: without Carter big loss on the trenches. So yeah, Uh,

643
00:32:48,000 --> 00:32:51,400
Speaker 3: even if Tumsol doesn't go, which he is questionable, the

644
00:32:51,400 --> 00:32:53,600
Speaker 3: Commanders are somewhat deep on the offensive line. I mean,

645
00:32:53,600 --> 00:32:57,440
Speaker 3: obviously it's gonna be a downgrade, but around. Yeah, yeah,

646
00:32:57,440 --> 00:33:00,080
Speaker 3: they're there, and they they'll use six offensive line, so

647
00:33:00,120 --> 00:33:03,040
Speaker 3: they have Yeah, they have some depth there, but U

648
00:33:03,200 --> 00:33:06,720
Speaker 3: and more importantly, you also got Terry McLaurin back. He

649
00:33:06,800 --> 00:33:10,280
Speaker 3: went good last week and so him and Deebo. I

650
00:33:10,280 --> 00:33:12,880
Speaker 3: think that kind of makes up for for Ertz because

651
00:33:13,040 --> 00:33:16,200
Speaker 3: you're somewhat deep at tight end. You have Baits, great blocker,

652
00:33:16,240 --> 00:33:18,680
Speaker 3: and then you have you know, Sennette Sennett, who you've

653
00:33:18,720 --> 00:33:21,280
Speaker 3: been trying to get a look at for a while anyway,

654
00:33:21,360 --> 00:33:23,239
Speaker 3: So I don't think the tight end hurts you as

655
00:33:23,280 --> 00:33:25,640
Speaker 3: much against like a man heavy defense like the Eagles.

656
00:33:25,680 --> 00:33:28,320
Speaker 1: You want to have McLaurin back, that's the key.

657
00:33:28,400 --> 00:33:31,440
Speaker 3: So uh yeah, I think Washington can keep it coose here.

658
00:33:31,640 --> 00:33:34,440
Speaker 3: Elliott's been missing some field goals outdoors as well. He's

659
00:33:34,440 --> 00:33:37,120
Speaker 3: been struggling somewhat, so I know they got the long

660
00:33:37,160 --> 00:33:39,640
Speaker 3: snapper back, so maybe that fixes it. But I'll take

661
00:33:39,640 --> 00:33:42,600
Speaker 3: my chances with the Washington Commanders plus six and half.

662
00:33:42,640 --> 00:33:45,960
Speaker 3: Also another luck side this is both we got both

663
00:33:45,960 --> 00:33:47,120
Speaker 3: of the luck sides and the six.

664
00:33:47,000 --> 00:33:48,160
Speaker 1: Pack this week.

665
00:33:48,280 --> 00:33:52,720
Speaker 3: The the Eagles and the Oh the Eagles and the

666
00:33:52,720 --> 00:33:55,760
Speaker 3: Giants are both luck sides. Those have been frushing this

667
00:33:55,880 --> 00:33:59,600
Speaker 3: year over sixty percent against the spread. So Washington plus

668
00:33:59,600 --> 00:34:01,920
Speaker 3: six and a half, where you go next?

669
00:34:02,240 --> 00:34:03,760
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'll be on this. This was gonna be one

670
00:34:03,760 --> 00:34:06,880
Speaker 2: of mine. I mean, Eagles now they know they're gonna

671
00:34:06,880 --> 00:34:08,520
Speaker 2: win the division. Maybe the sense of urgencies and now

672
00:34:08,560 --> 00:34:10,879
Speaker 2: there's no sense verget rush guys back that are dealing

673
00:34:10,920 --> 00:34:12,799
Speaker 2: with an injury. They basically just need to win one

674
00:34:12,800 --> 00:34:16,160
Speaker 2: game or Dallas loses one game, and they'll win the division.

675
00:34:16,320 --> 00:34:18,320
Speaker 2: It's also their third game in twelve days late in

676
00:34:18,360 --> 00:34:21,480
Speaker 2: the season, like they had like back to back short

677
00:34:21,520 --> 00:34:26,160
Speaker 2: weeks La to Philly to Washington. And they still can't

678
00:34:26,200 --> 00:34:27,440
Speaker 2: run the ball. I mean last week they were under

679
00:34:27,480 --> 00:34:30,520
Speaker 2: four yards per carry against the Raiders. And I don't

680
00:34:30,560 --> 00:34:31,920
Speaker 2: think the Egles I need to see more of this

681
00:34:31,960 --> 00:34:34,680
Speaker 2: Eagules office warm like it's fixed, because they've exploded against

682
00:34:34,680 --> 00:34:36,480
Speaker 2: the Raiders. We saw him explode against the Giants at home,

683
00:34:36,520 --> 00:34:38,799
Speaker 2: and then it was broken again for two months. So

684
00:34:39,480 --> 00:34:41,960
Speaker 2: and there's not a This Eagles offense isn't built on speed,

685
00:34:41,960 --> 00:34:44,640
Speaker 2: and that's how you really attack Washington, who's gonna play

686
00:34:44,640 --> 00:34:46,880
Speaker 2: a lot of zone and hurts. Us struggled immensely against

687
00:34:46,920 --> 00:34:50,760
Speaker 2: zone all year, So Uh. Yeah. The market keeps saying

688
00:34:50,800 --> 00:34:53,400
Speaker 2: that Daniels is better than Mariota, which is in like

689
00:34:53,400 --> 00:34:55,440
Speaker 2: a vacuum, but not this year. The offense is much

690
00:34:55,440 --> 00:34:59,040
Speaker 2: better with Mariota. So yeah, divisional dog year. I'm gonna

691
00:34:59,080 --> 00:35:01,440
Speaker 2: wait to see if a seven doesn't matter for the contest.

692
00:35:02,280 --> 00:35:04,200
Speaker 2: I'm not sure we'll get there, but that's what I'm

693
00:35:04,239 --> 00:35:07,239
Speaker 2: waiting on, all right. For my third pick in the

694
00:35:07,280 --> 00:35:10,840
Speaker 2: final overall the week sixteen Sunday six pack, I'm going

695
00:35:10,880 --> 00:35:17,520
Speaker 2: with the Jacksonville Jaguars plus three at the Denver Broncos.

696
00:35:18,320 --> 00:35:21,279
Speaker 2: I'm gonna wait. I'm sad, I'm sometimes this is the

697
00:35:21,280 --> 00:35:23,400
Speaker 2: time of the show. We might get a three and

698
00:35:23,400 --> 00:35:25,080
Speaker 2: a half, even if it's expensive one. That's what I'm

699
00:35:25,080 --> 00:35:27,520
Speaker 2: waiting on. But you know this is the other side.

700
00:35:27,520 --> 00:35:30,200
Speaker 2: I like. I actually was gonna take the Browns plus ten,

701
00:35:30,200 --> 00:35:33,600
Speaker 2: which I'm gonna play sadly, but you took them then

702
00:35:33,640 --> 00:35:35,240
Speaker 2: trade to them in so I do have the Jags.

703
00:35:35,239 --> 00:35:36,840
Speaker 2: I will be on the Jags, but I'm hoping to

704
00:35:36,840 --> 00:35:39,080
Speaker 2: get a three and a half. This Jags, I mean

705
00:35:39,120 --> 00:35:42,080
Speaker 2: the Broncos. They're number one on our luck rankings for

706
00:35:42,080 --> 00:35:45,520
Speaker 2: a reason. Last week. They're gonna lose the Packers start.

707
00:35:45,880 --> 00:35:47,879
Speaker 2: By the way, though Nicks last week we talked about

708
00:35:47,880 --> 00:35:52,120
Speaker 2: I struggle against only have four touchdowns, interceptions, four turnover

709
00:35:52,160 --> 00:35:54,759
Speaker 2: worthy plays. I mean, how many how many interceptions did

710
00:35:54,840 --> 00:35:57,319
Speaker 2: McKinney drop. He should have had about three or four

711
00:35:57,360 --> 00:36:00,640
Speaker 2: picks in that game. The Packers lose their stud right tackle,

712
00:36:00,920 --> 00:36:04,560
Speaker 2: They lose Watson, They lose Michael Parsons, who was held

713
00:36:04,600 --> 00:36:06,600
Speaker 2: like fifty times they didn't call any of them. They

714
00:36:06,640 --> 00:36:10,240
Speaker 2: lose Evan Williams. I mean, they lost like six starters

715
00:36:10,280 --> 00:36:12,520
Speaker 2: during the game, and the Broncos win another one in

716
00:36:12,560 --> 00:36:15,120
Speaker 2: the fourth quarter. But obviously the complexion of the Packers

717
00:36:15,120 --> 00:36:19,719
Speaker 2: team changes drastically without Parsons, so they another lucky win

718
00:36:19,800 --> 00:36:22,720
Speaker 2: for Denver. Still not buying this team. They've won eleven

719
00:36:22,760 --> 00:36:25,680
Speaker 2: straight Guess what team's on eleven plus game winning streaks.

720
00:36:25,920 --> 00:36:28,760
Speaker 2: Probably at the top of their market Guy fourteen thirty

721
00:36:28,800 --> 00:36:31,280
Speaker 2: six and two against the Spreads Sdents nineteen ninety twenty

722
00:36:31,320 --> 00:36:36,040
Speaker 2: eight percent. This Jags team market doesn't want to fully

723
00:36:36,040 --> 00:36:37,800
Speaker 2: buy into them. Maybe they finally have him and I

724
00:36:37,800 --> 00:36:40,640
Speaker 2: think this would be under a field goal. But Jags

725
00:36:40,640 --> 00:36:42,680
Speaker 2: defense in this week eight fourth and EPA per play

726
00:36:42,719 --> 00:36:44,359
Speaker 2: They've been a top five run day on the season.

727
00:36:44,440 --> 00:36:46,400
Speaker 2: That's important Against Denver, They're going to play a lot

728
00:36:46,440 --> 00:36:49,400
Speaker 2: of zone on the back end, which I don't like

729
00:36:49,480 --> 00:36:52,880
Speaker 2: Knicks against and since a. The difference with the Jags

730
00:36:52,920 --> 00:36:55,560
Speaker 2: now is the Liam Cohen effect over the course of

731
00:36:55,560 --> 00:36:59,640
Speaker 2: the season, but Jakobe Myers has been unbelievable since they

732
00:36:59,680 --> 00:37:03,959
Speaker 2: require the Jags offense third and drop back success rates

733
00:37:04,040 --> 00:37:07,959
Speaker 2: sixth and drop back EPA. Getting strange back also helped

734
00:37:08,000 --> 00:37:10,920
Speaker 2: in that department. So I think this Jags team is

735
00:37:10,920 --> 00:37:14,000
Speaker 2: for real and I think this game is going to

736
00:37:14,040 --> 00:37:15,799
Speaker 2: go right down on the wire. I mean, watch the

737
00:37:15,840 --> 00:37:18,239
Speaker 2: Broncos are probably win by one or two and some

738
00:37:18,360 --> 00:37:22,080
Speaker 2: late shenanigans, but Jacks are still't play for the one seed.

739
00:37:22,120 --> 00:37:23,640
Speaker 2: I'm really looking forward to this game. I think they

740
00:37:23,640 --> 00:37:25,279
Speaker 2: should be under a field goal. I'm going to take

741
00:37:25,320 --> 00:37:28,399
Speaker 2: them plus three in the contest, but wait, I think

742
00:37:28,440 --> 00:37:30,319
Speaker 2: we might get a three and a half. Even if

743
00:37:30,360 --> 00:37:31,799
Speaker 2: you got a three and a half minus went fIF

744
00:37:31,800 --> 00:37:34,640
Speaker 2: team minus one twenty. If not, I'll still be on

745
00:37:34,640 --> 00:37:36,960
Speaker 2: the Jags of plus three. But this team is trending up.

746
00:37:37,040 --> 00:37:40,040
Speaker 2: The Broncos luck it's gonna run out eventually. Give me.

747
00:37:40,080 --> 00:37:41,640
Speaker 2: The Jags douve all.

748
00:37:42,320 --> 00:37:42,520
Speaker 1: Yeah.

749
00:37:42,560 --> 00:37:44,719
Speaker 3: Man. The only thing that pause is they have been

750
00:37:44,719 --> 00:37:47,160
Speaker 3: a little shaky on the road, but they you know,

751
00:37:47,200 --> 00:37:50,480
Speaker 3: they're too straight at home. Jets and Colts, so obviously

752
00:37:50,560 --> 00:37:52,120
Speaker 3: just and then they had the Titans on the road,

753
00:37:52,160 --> 00:37:56,080
Speaker 3: which I not not not too challenging. So I'm curious

754
00:37:56,080 --> 00:37:58,200
Speaker 3: to see how they respond here because I agree, I

755
00:37:58,200 --> 00:38:00,560
Speaker 3: think they're They're looking like a complete team. You know,

756
00:38:00,880 --> 00:38:03,920
Speaker 3: even I think William William Corone effect in the run game.

757
00:38:03,960 --> 00:38:05,920
Speaker 3: You know, eat N has been been better. He had

758
00:38:05,920 --> 00:38:09,360
Speaker 3: a tough season last year, but he's been better all around.

759
00:38:09,560 --> 00:38:12,160
Speaker 3: They're getting even tooting. You know, it's kind of been

760
00:38:12,200 --> 00:38:13,400
Speaker 3: up and down, but they're getting a lot out of him.

761
00:38:13,400 --> 00:38:16,560
Speaker 3: He's doubtful for this one, but yeah, Jaguars just firing

762
00:38:16,560 --> 00:38:21,280
Speaker 3: on all cylinders. Really curious to see how this offense

763
00:38:21,360 --> 00:38:26,120
Speaker 3: responds on the road in Denver against the quality defense.

764
00:38:26,480 --> 00:38:28,759
Speaker 3: Can Trevor Lawrence keep doing what he's doing because he

765
00:38:28,840 --> 00:38:31,160
Speaker 3: has had some cake matches. I mean, you had the Cardinals,

766
00:38:31,239 --> 00:38:33,960
Speaker 3: the Titans, the Colt the Jets all in a row,

767
00:38:35,280 --> 00:38:38,239
Speaker 3: and then you know the Texans and Charges before that,

768
00:38:38,600 --> 00:38:40,640
Speaker 3: you hammer the Chargers, you gave up the lead to

769
00:38:40,680 --> 00:38:42,960
Speaker 3: the Texans, but you did score points. So I mean

770
00:38:43,000 --> 00:38:45,359
Speaker 3: the Jaguar has been putting up a steady dose of

771
00:38:45,800 --> 00:38:48,960
Speaker 3: you know, mid to high twenties plus since the buy.

772
00:38:49,080 --> 00:38:50,400
Speaker 3: So I'm curious to see if they can go to

773
00:38:50,480 --> 00:38:53,319
Speaker 3: Denver and do it, because I do think Denver will

774
00:38:53,360 --> 00:38:55,600
Speaker 3: be able to you know, both has calmed down a

775
00:38:55,640 --> 00:38:57,600
Speaker 3: little bit against his own Like I think that Raiders

776
00:38:57,680 --> 00:38:59,200
Speaker 3: game was good for him when he averaged like five

777
00:38:59,280 --> 00:39:02,120
Speaker 3: yards per ten. But yeah, he'll still make some turnover

778
00:39:02,160 --> 00:39:04,640
Speaker 3: worthy throw. He still doesn't read it fully, but he

779
00:39:05,200 --> 00:39:07,120
Speaker 3: is better than Hurts now, I'll give him that. I'll

780
00:39:07,120 --> 00:39:09,560
Speaker 3: give him that. But yeah, I don't mind the Jags

781
00:39:09,560 --> 00:39:12,840
Speaker 3: at all here. So we got let's see you got

782
00:39:13,200 --> 00:39:17,600
Speaker 3: for the six pack? Jackson Dart Lamar, all right, starting

783
00:39:17,600 --> 00:39:19,240
Speaker 3: off for a little too good cam Ward?

784
00:39:19,640 --> 00:39:20,000
Speaker 1: Who is it?

785
00:39:20,040 --> 00:39:23,640
Speaker 3: Kenny Pickett? This is it Picket or Gino this week? Okay,

786
00:39:23,880 --> 00:39:27,600
Speaker 3: Gino Smith, Okay, there you go, Gino Mariota and Trevor Lawrence. So,

787
00:39:27,680 --> 00:39:30,400
Speaker 3: I mean, it's like a lot of talent high draft picks,

788
00:39:30,440 --> 00:39:32,680
Speaker 3: but it might be a little too good to a

789
00:39:32,680 --> 00:39:33,440
Speaker 3: six pack for us.

790
00:39:33,480 --> 00:39:36,200
Speaker 1: I don't know. I mean Gino kind of drags it down.

791
00:39:36,239 --> 00:39:37,680
Speaker 1: So we had a really.

792
00:39:37,520 --> 00:39:39,240
Speaker 2: Good one the other week and it turned out okay,

793
00:39:39,280 --> 00:39:40,160
Speaker 2: so maybe we're turning.

794
00:39:40,760 --> 00:39:43,080
Speaker 3: Yeah, we've had some ugly ones and we've been we've

795
00:39:43,120 --> 00:39:46,000
Speaker 3: been pretty hot a couple of weeks. All Right, that's

796
00:39:46,000 --> 00:39:48,479
Speaker 3: gonna do it for our Week sixteen Sunday six back again.

797
00:39:48,920 --> 00:39:51,360
Speaker 3: If you would like to tail some of the picks,

798
00:39:51,400 --> 00:39:53,680
Speaker 3: just look for the quick flip links in the podcast

799
00:39:53,680 --> 00:39:56,520
Speaker 3: and video description. Make sure you signifaction Pro for instant

800
00:39:56,520 --> 00:39:59,359
Speaker 3: notifications when all of our bets are tracked. All right,

801
00:39:59,400 --> 00:40:02,640
Speaker 3: now it is time for our favorite totals of Week sixteen.

802
00:40:02,640 --> 00:40:05,680
Speaker 3: Here on the Action Network podcast, Presenterbody Draftings Stuck.

803
00:40:05,920 --> 00:40:07,520
Speaker 1: I went first on the six backs. Ere up first

804
00:40:07,560 --> 00:40:08,320
Speaker 1: here where you're going.

805
00:40:08,760 --> 00:40:14,000
Speaker 2: Let's go with the kind of a leap of faith here.

806
00:40:14,800 --> 00:40:20,080
Speaker 2: I don't like I generally don't like divisional matchups the

807
00:40:20,160 --> 00:40:24,160
Speaker 2: second time around, going over especially outdoors late in the

808
00:40:24,200 --> 00:40:27,040
Speaker 2: year with a lot on the line. But let's go

809
00:40:27,120 --> 00:40:30,480
Speaker 2: Packers Bears over forty six and a half. Two great

810
00:40:30,520 --> 00:40:37,040
Speaker 2: offensive minds facing defenses that they saw recently. So I'm

811
00:40:37,080 --> 00:40:40,280
Speaker 2: expecting some really nice adjustments in that aspect. The Bears

812
00:40:40,320 --> 00:40:43,520
Speaker 2: defense also just they're not. I can't imagine they keep

813
00:40:43,520 --> 00:40:47,840
Speaker 2: getting away with all these turnovers. The injuries to a

814
00:40:47,880 --> 00:40:53,359
Speaker 2: Dooneesday and Burden are a little worrisome. But I think

815
00:40:53,400 --> 00:40:57,959
Speaker 2: that Evan Williams being out for green Bay most likely

816
00:40:58,040 --> 00:41:00,279
Speaker 2: is not helpful. But most importantly Michael Barson's I don't

817
00:41:00,360 --> 00:41:07,160
Speaker 2: think his absence can be overstated for this defense. I mean,

818
00:41:07,200 --> 00:41:09,279
Speaker 2: you just watched that Denver game against one of the

819
00:41:09,320 --> 00:41:10,839
Speaker 2: better offensive he was in the I mean he got

820
00:41:10,840 --> 00:41:12,960
Speaker 2: held like ten times. They didn't call any of them.

821
00:41:13,480 --> 00:41:17,759
Speaker 2: Everyone else benefits and everyone else has been doing much good.

822
00:41:17,920 --> 00:41:20,360
Speaker 2: So like this Packers defense I think is going to

823
00:41:20,400 --> 00:41:24,959
Speaker 2: take a big step back, and I just I'm gonna

824
00:41:24,960 --> 00:41:27,800
Speaker 2: trust the offensive mine tier against defenses they just faced

825
00:41:28,800 --> 00:41:32,680
Speaker 2: and the loss of Parsons. There's some injury concerns, like

826
00:41:32,760 --> 00:41:37,440
Speaker 2: Zach Tom I think Christian Watson is a go, but

827
00:41:38,120 --> 00:41:41,080
Speaker 2: short week with some injury concerns isn't ideal. But I'm

828
00:41:41,080 --> 00:41:44,840
Speaker 2: gonna trust the floor and Johnson to get this into

829
00:41:44,880 --> 00:41:49,320
Speaker 2: the mid twenties and let's go over forty six and

830
00:41:49,360 --> 00:41:49,760
Speaker 2: a half.

831
00:41:51,239 --> 00:41:54,359
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean that Parson's injury is major. In green Bay,

832
00:41:54,440 --> 00:41:57,160
Speaker 3: you know they'll still throw it, throw it, down the fields,

833
00:41:57,880 --> 00:41:59,000
Speaker 3: and I think can run.

834
00:41:58,920 --> 00:42:02,320
Speaker 1: The ball in this seem too I'm.

835
00:42:02,160 --> 00:42:05,440
Speaker 3: Gonna go with the Bills Browns under forty two and

836
00:42:05,480 --> 00:42:05,880
Speaker 3: a half.

837
00:42:06,920 --> 00:42:10,000
Speaker 1: Wait, you made small chance you get a forty three.

838
00:42:10,040 --> 00:42:13,839
Speaker 3: Probably not, but forty three and forty one or our

839
00:42:13,920 --> 00:42:16,959
Speaker 3: tier numbers than forty two. So no reason to rush

840
00:42:16,960 --> 00:42:18,880
Speaker 3: out about this, but we'll go under forty two and

841
00:42:18,920 --> 00:42:26,239
Speaker 3: a half for the contest. Cleveland still not sure if

842
00:42:26,239 --> 00:42:30,520
Speaker 3: they're gonna have a functional offensive line. But Tonio misspractice

843
00:42:30,560 --> 00:42:35,120
Speaker 3: Wednesday with a knee Conklin still missing practice with that concussion.

844
00:42:35,200 --> 00:42:39,160
Speaker 3: Are they just holding him out? Tevin Jenkins misspractice with

845
00:42:39,200 --> 00:42:42,120
Speaker 3: a shoulder Nijoku, you're blocking tight end. He seems to

846
00:42:42,120 --> 00:42:44,600
Speaker 3: miss practice first two days every week, but he didn't

847
00:42:44,600 --> 00:42:46,640
Speaker 3: go last week. He started the week with the d

848
00:42:46,800 --> 00:42:50,399
Speaker 3: MP Samson, who's given you some juice in as out

849
00:42:50,400 --> 00:42:53,520
Speaker 3: of the backfield in the receiving game DMP to start

850
00:42:53,560 --> 00:42:59,920
Speaker 3: the week. So it's just been terrible injury ravaged offense

851
00:43:00,160 --> 00:43:03,160
Speaker 3: for Brown's office that really can't afford it. I mean, sure, Sanders,

852
00:43:03,160 --> 00:43:04,759
Speaker 3: we saw him kind of crash back down to earth.

853
00:43:04,760 --> 00:43:07,160
Speaker 3: That's what I was afraid of last week, which is

854
00:43:07,160 --> 00:43:09,160
Speaker 3: why I didn't end up going with the with the

855
00:43:09,160 --> 00:43:11,880
Speaker 3: Browns against the Bears, and it's looking like it's setting

856
00:43:11,960 --> 00:43:14,120
Speaker 3: up for the same same kind of deal here and

857
00:43:14,120 --> 00:43:14,960
Speaker 3: then Buffalo.

858
00:43:15,640 --> 00:43:19,960
Speaker 1: You know, this team is I think a little bit overrated.

859
00:43:20,000 --> 00:43:22,520
Speaker 1: I mean, there's still not.

860
00:43:22,440 --> 00:43:25,760
Speaker 2: Gonna be angles at home. They need a miracle comeback

861
00:43:25,760 --> 00:43:29,520
Speaker 2: against the Pats. Yeah, the defense is still gettable, but

862
00:43:29,560 --> 00:43:32,560
Speaker 2: this is gonna be like Denzel Ward also, it's probably

863
00:43:32,560 --> 00:43:34,480
Speaker 2: gonna be out for the Browns, which isn't ideal, but

864
00:43:34,680 --> 00:43:35,719
Speaker 2: he hasn't had a great year.

865
00:43:36,680 --> 00:43:39,400
Speaker 3: Man coverage though against the Browns. Will still playing some

866
00:43:39,440 --> 00:43:41,520
Speaker 3: man coverage against the Bills defense, and the Bills might

867
00:43:41,520 --> 00:43:42,359
Speaker 3: not need to push it here.

868
00:43:42,440 --> 00:43:44,160
Speaker 2: That's that's There's gonna be a ton of running in

869
00:43:44,239 --> 00:43:48,319
Speaker 2: this game, clock leading. I'm sadly I'm gonna be on

870
00:43:48,360 --> 00:43:50,960
Speaker 2: the Browns as long as the injury report isn't too detrimental.

871
00:43:51,000 --> 00:43:52,960
Speaker 2: I think this line's two high ten. And this is

872
00:43:52,960 --> 00:43:54,600
Speaker 2: what the Browns do. I mean, they're they're four and

873
00:43:54,600 --> 00:43:56,560
Speaker 2: I will gets to spread past three years catching over seven.

874
00:43:57,120 --> 00:43:59,400
Speaker 2: They've won three of them out right, they could have

875
00:43:59,400 --> 00:43:59,960
Speaker 2: won all four.

876
00:44:00,560 --> 00:44:02,319
Speaker 1: They didn't catch seven the last week. I thought they

877
00:44:02,320 --> 00:44:03,239
Speaker 1: caught seven last week.

878
00:44:03,560 --> 00:44:06,520
Speaker 2: No at home, I'm saying, oh okay. I mean they're

879
00:44:06,560 --> 00:44:08,640
Speaker 2: fourteen and ten against the spread at home of the Pasters,

880
00:44:08,680 --> 00:44:10,920
Speaker 2: six and eighteen on the road. It's just a different

881
00:44:11,320 --> 00:44:13,440
Speaker 2: Like it'll be like fifty thousand people here, there'll be

882
00:44:13,480 --> 00:44:16,200
Speaker 2: a thirty thousand bills fans. I actually like that for

883
00:44:16,239 --> 00:44:19,120
Speaker 2: the home dog, Like that's that's dead and out of it.

884
00:44:19,160 --> 00:44:21,840
Speaker 2: Like it kind of it gives they because otherwise it

885
00:44:21,840 --> 00:44:23,799
Speaker 2: would be like a dead stadium, right people boot like

886
00:44:25,680 --> 00:44:27,480
Speaker 2: so in certain spots. I like that for the home dog.

887
00:44:27,520 --> 00:44:29,239
Speaker 2: I think they'll juice up the Cleveland defense. They're just

888
00:44:29,280 --> 00:44:31,439
Speaker 2: a different animal at home and they can still defend

889
00:44:31,480 --> 00:44:33,880
Speaker 2: their run. I think it's too many points. I think

890
00:44:33,880 --> 00:44:36,879
Speaker 2: it will be an ugly game. So by the way,

891
00:44:36,920 --> 00:44:40,600
Speaker 2: the by Raiders play catching fourteen and a half of

892
00:44:40,600 --> 00:44:43,120
Speaker 2: a total of thirty eight. The last time that happened

893
00:44:43,120 --> 00:44:46,720
Speaker 2: was the Kendall hitting game. I spread over two touchdowns

894
00:44:46,719 --> 00:44:50,640
Speaker 2: with a total that low ridiculous. So yeah, I like

895
00:44:50,680 --> 00:44:52,920
Speaker 2: that under. I think it's an under. It'll be like

896
00:44:52,960 --> 00:45:00,000
Speaker 2: a it'll be like thirty and nothing.

897
00:45:00,640 --> 00:45:03,160
Speaker 3: He's having way too much credit to sure standers behind

898
00:45:03,239 --> 00:45:06,440
Speaker 3: team temp. Literally like a Raiders like, if all these

899
00:45:06,440 --> 00:45:09,280
Speaker 3: guys are out again, it's Raiders esque or worst offensive

900
00:45:09,280 --> 00:45:13,640
Speaker 3: line like. But but for the like you do have working,

901
00:45:13,760 --> 00:45:16,399
Speaker 3: something's working for you. So the Bills are without their

902
00:45:16,480 --> 00:45:18,920
Speaker 3: kicker again, so Prader's out, so now they have to

903
00:45:18,920 --> 00:45:22,880
Speaker 3: turn to Michael badly in sixteen mile per hour wins,

904
00:45:22,920 --> 00:45:26,560
Speaker 3: freezing temps, unders and freezing temps, by the way, are

905
00:45:26,920 --> 00:45:32,239
Speaker 3: seventy six fifty one and oh sixty percent since twenty

906
00:45:32,320 --> 00:45:35,919
Speaker 3: fifteen seventeen percent ROI. But you have the kicker out,

907
00:45:35,960 --> 00:45:38,719
Speaker 3: and then Kincaide's back on the injury report with a

908
00:45:38,800 --> 00:45:41,319
Speaker 3: knee did not practice, So that's not good because they

909
00:45:41,360 --> 00:45:44,160
Speaker 3: tend to be very conservative. So the fact that he's

910
00:45:44,200 --> 00:45:46,960
Speaker 3: popping up again on the injury report here and like

911
00:45:47,000 --> 00:45:49,240
Speaker 3: it didn't even practice at off to getting like limiteds

912
00:45:49,239 --> 00:45:51,480
Speaker 3: in the last couple of weeks a little bit concerning.

913
00:45:51,600 --> 00:45:54,520
Speaker 3: So and then Dawkins illness. I mean, he'll he'll probably

914
00:45:54,520 --> 00:45:56,880
Speaker 3: be good to go, but it could be just like

915
00:45:56,920 --> 00:46:00,920
Speaker 3: a not a very sharp Bills team here in freezing tempts,

916
00:46:01,400 --> 00:46:04,080
Speaker 3: so it could be an ugly Browns cover. I don't

917
00:46:04,120 --> 00:46:05,520
Speaker 3: hate it, but I mean they have to get some

918
00:46:05,600 --> 00:46:06,560
Speaker 3: offensive lineman back.

919
00:46:06,760 --> 00:46:07,080
Speaker 1: Like they.

920
00:46:07,200 --> 00:46:10,160
Speaker 3: Chador cannot play with like no one can play with

921
00:46:10,200 --> 00:46:12,600
Speaker 3: the with the guys like that, like with backups like that.

922
00:46:12,640 --> 00:46:15,839
Speaker 3: But Shador especially cannot. He'll just go backwards all day,

923
00:46:15,960 --> 00:46:16,239
Speaker 3: all right?

924
00:46:16,280 --> 00:46:16,560
Speaker 2: Agreed?

925
00:46:16,920 --> 00:46:20,440
Speaker 3: So Bill's Browns under forty two and a half, Packers

926
00:46:20,680 --> 00:46:22,960
Speaker 3: Bears over forty six and a half again, chop around

927
00:46:22,960 --> 00:46:25,719
Speaker 3: for Bill's Browns mega a forty three. Doubt it, but

928
00:46:26,520 --> 00:46:29,920
Speaker 3: so to your number than forty one.

929
00:46:31,160 --> 00:46:36,120
Speaker 2: Turning good weekends into great weekends. It's time for the

930
00:46:36,280 --> 00:46:38,080
Speaker 2: money line parlay.

931
00:46:38,440 --> 00:46:39,800
Speaker 1: Moneyline dog parlay.

932
00:46:39,840 --> 00:46:44,680
Speaker 3: You hit another one stuck and now you're in close Bengals,

933
00:46:44,800 --> 00:46:46,640
Speaker 3: just completely hit the bed.

934
00:46:47,320 --> 00:46:49,480
Speaker 1: Where are you going this week? Do drive?

935
00:46:49,560 --> 00:46:50,280
Speaker 2: Last week? Saints?

936
00:46:51,320 --> 00:46:51,480
Speaker 1: Yeah?

937
00:46:51,560 --> 00:46:54,719
Speaker 2: Yeah, thanks, Yeah, Yeah, I think I'm like eleven and

938
00:46:54,960 --> 00:46:55,720
Speaker 2: three or something.

939
00:46:56,840 --> 00:46:58,399
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm pretty sure you all have more than three

940
00:46:58,440 --> 00:46:59,480
Speaker 1: asses twelve and two.

941
00:46:59,520 --> 00:47:04,080
Speaker 2: I think we're going with the Titans. I already talked

942
00:47:04,080 --> 00:47:07,560
Speaker 2: about this game, like to the Chiefs, Well, there's no

943
00:47:07,600 --> 00:47:09,440
Speaker 2: reason to show anything good here, there's no reason to

944
00:47:10,080 --> 00:47:15,080
Speaker 2: play anyone that's hurt. Just a human nature letdown game,

945
00:47:16,120 --> 00:47:18,480
Speaker 2: huge drop off at quarterback. The offense was already broken,

946
00:47:20,040 --> 00:47:23,880
Speaker 2: So uh yeah, Titans rush offenses showed some times.

947
00:47:24,160 --> 00:47:26,560
Speaker 3: Yeah, Collard has been looking really he does this every year.

948
00:47:27,040 --> 00:47:28,720
Speaker 3: He just all of a sudden comes out of nowhere.

949
00:47:28,920 --> 00:47:31,920
Speaker 2: Just so, Yeah, let's go with the Titans. Where you going?

950
00:47:33,480 --> 00:47:36,319
Speaker 1: Uh, Arizona, Arizona plus one twenty eight?

951
00:47:36,560 --> 00:47:38,680
Speaker 2: Who's playing for them? I can never catch their games

952
00:47:38,680 --> 00:47:41,080
Speaker 2: early in the week. Their injury report is like a

953
00:47:41,120 --> 00:47:41,680
Speaker 2: CBS for.

954
00:47:41,760 --> 00:47:44,360
Speaker 1: C Yeah, it's it's ridiculous.

955
00:47:44,560 --> 00:47:47,560
Speaker 2: Uh, London's back, but also Harrison's probably gonna be back.

956
00:47:48,680 --> 00:47:50,520
Speaker 2: Like although I don't know if London's playing, but he

957
00:47:50,600 --> 00:47:51,520
Speaker 2: was back at practice.

958
00:47:52,000 --> 00:47:52,200
Speaker 1: Yeah.

959
00:47:52,200 --> 00:47:54,600
Speaker 3: The Falcons like rude, just rude, Like three defensive players

960
00:47:54,600 --> 00:47:56,960
Speaker 3: out for the year. I don't know if London's what

961
00:47:57,040 --> 00:47:59,160
Speaker 3: they're gonna do. Like the Falcons wide receiver. It's just

962
00:47:59,280 --> 00:48:01,319
Speaker 3: kind of a joke. But but I think I still

963
00:48:01,320 --> 00:48:03,799
Speaker 3: have the more efficient quarterback here. Jakobe were set at home.

964
00:48:03,880 --> 00:48:07,800
Speaker 3: Falcons defense has been trending down. Uh, they got lucky

965
00:48:07,920 --> 00:48:11,279
Speaker 3: against them. I mean the Bucks kind of just completely imploded.

966
00:48:11,640 --> 00:48:13,200
Speaker 2: How the Bucks that recover that fumble?

967
00:48:14,680 --> 00:48:15,520
Speaker 1: I don't know the.

968
00:48:15,400 --> 00:48:17,880
Speaker 3: Bucks as we don't lose those kind of games. Uh,

969
00:48:18,320 --> 00:48:20,520
Speaker 3: Todd Bowles, I mean usually he's like mild man. He

970
00:48:20,600 --> 00:48:23,000
Speaker 3: was heated because I kind of want to about the Panthers.

971
00:48:23,320 --> 00:48:25,080
Speaker 3: I showed a little value on them, but it's like

972
00:48:25,360 --> 00:48:27,279
Speaker 3: at some point we're gonna get just one of these

973
00:48:27,280 --> 00:48:30,399
Speaker 3: Bucks games or they just Baker throws like six touchdowns

974
00:48:30,440 --> 00:48:34,320
Speaker 3: and it's just ridiculous. So I've been holding off. But yeah, Cardinals,

975
00:48:34,360 --> 00:48:38,320
Speaker 3: here just two bad teams. Uh, two defenses that I

976
00:48:38,360 --> 00:48:40,360
Speaker 3: don't really think. I mean, I know the Falcons started

977
00:48:40,400 --> 00:48:43,600
Speaker 3: the year uh hot, but two defenses I don't think

978
00:48:43,640 --> 00:48:47,080
Speaker 3: are good. You still got Kirk Cousins, Uh, still's not

979
00:48:47,360 --> 00:48:50,400
Speaker 3: pushing it downfield. Great, Kyle Pitts isn't gonna do that

980
00:48:50,440 --> 00:48:54,680
Speaker 3: every week. H R set has been efficient pretty much

981
00:48:54,880 --> 00:48:56,120
Speaker 3: regardless of opponent.

982
00:48:56,719 --> 00:48:57,160
Speaker 1: Uh.

983
00:48:57,320 --> 00:48:59,719
Speaker 3: So I just think here Cardinals at home. They haven't

984
00:48:59,719 --> 00:49:01,719
Speaker 3: had a chance to get many wins. I mean, they

985
00:49:01,719 --> 00:49:04,160
Speaker 3: played the Rams, the Texas, they played some some pretty

986
00:49:04,200 --> 00:49:07,759
Speaker 3: good teams, but uh, in this spot, very winnable game

987
00:49:08,320 --> 00:49:11,440
Speaker 3: against the Falcons. Bjon will get his, Algail get his.

988
00:49:12,320 --> 00:49:15,000
Speaker 3: But this, I think this Cardinals offense can hang. Harrison

989
00:49:15,040 --> 00:49:17,839
Speaker 3: being back would be would be great, But I mean

990
00:49:17,920 --> 00:49:22,240
Speaker 3: the receivers they lost outside of Dorsch kind of non factors.

991
00:49:22,280 --> 00:49:26,200
Speaker 3: I mean, you're talking about Shelley say Weaver, I mean

992
00:49:26,280 --> 00:49:29,279
Speaker 3: Jalen Brooks, who's replacing them, is probably better than or

993
00:49:29,320 --> 00:49:30,680
Speaker 3: at least just as good as those guys.

994
00:49:30,719 --> 00:49:32,080
Speaker 1: And it's all Obamcbride.

995
00:49:32,120 --> 00:49:35,359
Speaker 3: So give me the Cardinals a team that I mean,

996
00:49:35,480 --> 00:49:37,760
Speaker 3: it just came out, It just came off. The wheels

997
00:49:37,760 --> 00:49:39,120
Speaker 3: just came off for them. I know you like them

998
00:49:39,280 --> 00:49:41,839
Speaker 3: heading into the year too, and they just they they're

999
00:49:41,840 --> 00:49:44,040
Speaker 3: better than this. They're they're they're better than.

1000
00:49:44,640 --> 00:49:48,520
Speaker 2: So many injuries in every single level offensive line and

1001
00:49:48,640 --> 00:49:52,840
Speaker 2: the receiver, receiver, running back. It's insane.

1002
00:49:53,560 --> 00:49:56,640
Speaker 3: Yeah, but this is this is a winnable game for them. Again,

1003
00:49:56,800 --> 00:49:59,560
Speaker 3: They've they played the Rams and the Texans the last

1004
00:49:59,600 --> 00:50:02,360
Speaker 3: two weeks. I think the market might be a little

1005
00:50:02,440 --> 00:50:04,960
Speaker 3: too a lot. I mean, this was a very kind

1006
00:50:05,000 --> 00:50:07,320
Speaker 3: of feisty team, you know, three point loss to the Bucks,

1007
00:50:07,400 --> 00:50:10,880
Speaker 3: three point lots to the Jags in overtime, beat the

1008
00:50:10,880 --> 00:50:14,480
Speaker 3: Cowboys on the road, so lost to the Coats by

1009
00:50:14,480 --> 00:50:17,040
Speaker 3: four when the Coats were rolling, lost of the Packers

1010
00:50:17,080 --> 00:50:19,320
Speaker 3: by four, all with Brissett. So this is this is

1011
00:50:19,360 --> 00:50:21,640
Speaker 3: a feisty team until they just ran into two of

1012
00:50:21,680 --> 00:50:24,760
Speaker 3: the best teams in the league. Last couple of weeks.

1013
00:50:24,760 --> 00:50:28,000
Speaker 3: So this Falcons team not that last home game too.

1014
00:50:28,120 --> 00:50:30,200
Speaker 3: For the Cardinals of the year, I think you get

1015
00:50:30,200 --> 00:50:32,560
Speaker 3: a good effort from them, second straight on the road

1016
00:50:32,560 --> 00:50:34,680
Speaker 3: from the Falcons coming off, you know, just a big

1017
00:50:34,719 --> 00:50:37,960
Speaker 3: emotional win in the division, but you're already eliminated. I

1018
00:50:37,960 --> 00:50:40,200
Speaker 3: could see a bit of a let down spot here.

1019
00:50:40,320 --> 00:50:44,200
Speaker 3: So give me Arizona. So you paraway Titans plus one

1020
00:50:44,280 --> 00:50:46,879
Speaker 3: forty five, Cardinals plus one twenty eight and you get

1021
00:50:47,160 --> 00:50:50,279
Speaker 3: plus four fifty nine, so about just a little over

1022
00:50:50,320 --> 00:50:53,719
Speaker 3: four and a half to one parlay odds. But make

1023
00:50:53,760 --> 00:50:55,759
Speaker 3: sure you at least play stuck eas side because he's

1024
00:50:55,800 --> 00:51:02,120
Speaker 3: been absolutely on fire with these Anytime Touchdown Parlay presented

1025
00:51:02,320 --> 00:51:05,760
Speaker 3: by Draft Kings Idiots. Time for our Week sixteen Anytime

1026
00:51:05,840 --> 00:51:08,719
Speaker 3: Touchdown Parlay. This is one where I've been doing a

1027
00:51:08,760 --> 00:51:11,440
Speaker 3: little bit better. Have him been able to tie him

1028
00:51:11,520 --> 00:51:14,200
Speaker 3: up though both of us hitting I think now in

1029
00:51:14,200 --> 00:51:15,680
Speaker 3: a minute, but so frustrating.

1030
00:51:17,239 --> 00:51:19,960
Speaker 1: Where were going this week? Great slates, So there's a

1031
00:51:20,000 --> 00:51:21,719
Speaker 1: lot of options. What are you going to?

1032
00:51:22,440 --> 00:51:24,920
Speaker 2: I'm going with DK Metcalf probably playing in a trailing

1033
00:51:24,960 --> 00:51:29,080
Speaker 2: game state, although the Lions don't they match heavy personnel

1034
00:51:29,680 --> 00:51:33,400
Speaker 2: with their base and that's not great against the Steelers.

1035
00:51:34,040 --> 00:51:36,400
Speaker 2: I got had of. So we're gonna go DK Metcalf

1036
00:51:36,719 --> 00:51:41,040
Speaker 2: against man coverage here, most likely playing from a trailing

1037
00:51:41,080 --> 00:51:44,600
Speaker 2: game state, so I think we'll have some opportunities against

1038
00:51:44,880 --> 00:51:49,279
Speaker 2: a bad Detroit defense. By the way, Mark, maybe this

1039
00:51:49,320 --> 00:51:51,560
Speaker 2: is how he scores. So I had to tweet go

1040
00:51:51,719 --> 00:51:55,880
Speaker 2: viral this when I was in the hospital watching them

1041
00:51:56,080 --> 00:52:00,200
Speaker 2: to Monday night game. I did the Rogers on the

1042
00:52:00,239 --> 00:52:02,799
Speaker 2: quarterback sneaks they do you know, he just stands back

1043
00:52:02,840 --> 00:52:07,200
Speaker 2: there like this yep, so he literally does nothing and

1044
00:52:07,200 --> 00:52:09,759
Speaker 2: it's so dumb because like you don't have an extra

1045
00:52:09,760 --> 00:52:13,960
Speaker 2: blocker in there. He's just doing nothing. So I did

1046
00:52:13,960 --> 00:52:16,360
Speaker 2: the I said, this is Aaron Rodgers and it was

1047
00:52:16,400 --> 00:52:22,840
Speaker 2: the Narcos where the whereas squars just standing like in

1048
00:52:22,920 --> 00:52:28,400
Speaker 2: his backyard staring. I think the Steelers are going to

1049
00:52:29,800 --> 00:52:31,520
Speaker 2: at one point, I don't know, it's probably gonna be

1050
00:52:31,560 --> 00:52:36,560
Speaker 2: against the Ravens, but they're gonna take Hayward's gonna take

1051
00:52:36,760 --> 00:52:41,399
Speaker 2: the snap from under center. I want this on tape.

1052
00:52:41,400 --> 00:52:45,719
Speaker 2: This is why I'm doing this. Rogers is gonna be

1053
00:52:45,760 --> 00:52:48,720
Speaker 2: sitting like this and everyone's just seen it like twelve

1054
00:52:48,760 --> 00:52:55,560
Speaker 2: times Hayward's gonna take the snap, pitch it back, and

1055
00:52:55,600 --> 00:52:57,680
Speaker 2: then Rogers is gonna go whoop, and then someone is

1056
00:52:57,719 --> 00:53:01,880
Speaker 2: gonna be streaking down the field. That's the only reason

1057
00:53:02,000 --> 00:53:04,879
Speaker 2: why you would keep Rogers on the field for them,

1058
00:53:05,080 --> 00:53:07,200
Speaker 2: Like why I give up to sell But keep that

1059
00:53:07,280 --> 00:53:10,040
Speaker 2: in mind. Maybe it's tell tkse but I would imagine

1060
00:53:10,040 --> 00:53:11,760
Speaker 2: they saved that for the Ravens.

1061
00:53:13,160 --> 00:53:15,359
Speaker 1: Yeah, you could got to walk in touchdown like that too.

1062
00:53:15,880 --> 00:53:18,920
Speaker 2: Yeah. I think there's gonna be some advantageous matchups for

1063
00:53:19,800 --> 00:53:25,160
Speaker 2: uh TK against the Lions man coverage, so yeah, let's go.

1064
00:53:25,960 --> 00:53:27,439
Speaker 1: And he's great against zone too.

1065
00:53:27,480 --> 00:53:29,520
Speaker 3: So if you know they like you said, they match

1066
00:53:29,880 --> 00:53:33,120
Speaker 3: I mean they they'll they'll play like pace if the

1067
00:53:33,120 --> 00:53:35,480
Speaker 3: Steelers come out with their tight ends and if they

1068
00:53:35,520 --> 00:53:37,640
Speaker 3: if anytime they're in zone coverage, you could get DK

1069
00:53:37,719 --> 00:53:39,719
Speaker 3: on a cross or something against a linebacker.

1070
00:53:40,280 --> 00:53:41,640
Speaker 1: Uh that could.

1071
00:53:41,400 --> 00:53:43,160
Speaker 3: Be problematic too, So a lot of ways for DK

1072
00:53:43,200 --> 00:53:45,520
Speaker 3: to score. But yeah, Rogers a lot of touchdowns against

1073
00:53:45,520 --> 00:53:49,720
Speaker 3: man coverage this year, and the Lions will will man up, that's.

1074
00:53:49,600 --> 00:53:50,640
Speaker 1: One thing we know about them.

1075
00:53:50,840 --> 00:53:54,759
Speaker 3: I'm gonna go with Mike Evans plus one eighty five.

1076
00:53:56,560 --> 00:53:59,640
Speaker 3: Great game for him against the Falcons, but didn't get

1077
00:53:59,760 --> 00:54:04,239
Speaker 3: in the end zone. Panthers ton of single high Mike

1078
00:54:04,280 --> 00:54:08,560
Speaker 3: Evans destroys single high. It makes sense, you know, big

1079
00:54:08,600 --> 00:54:11,439
Speaker 3: bodied Ton tested catch receiver you're away is gonna try

1080
00:54:11,440 --> 00:54:14,520
Speaker 3: it versus single high. He's been great against single high

1081
00:54:14,640 --> 00:54:18,160
Speaker 3: zone as well in his career. Top Panthers receiver versus

1082
00:54:18,160 --> 00:54:22,040
Speaker 3: single high excuse me, top Bucks receiver versus single highs.

1083
00:54:21,800 --> 00:54:24,359
Speaker 1: This year and looked great last week.

1084
00:54:24,440 --> 00:54:26,520
Speaker 3: So plus one eighty five, they're gonna get him in

1085
00:54:26,520 --> 00:54:27,960
Speaker 3: the end zone sooner or later.

1086
00:54:28,640 --> 00:54:30,120
Speaker 1: You parlay these two.

1087
00:54:30,400 --> 00:54:34,719
Speaker 3: Big bodied wideouts Metcalf Evans plus one seventy five and

1088
00:54:34,719 --> 00:54:37,399
Speaker 3: plus one eighty five, you get plus six eighty four,

1089
00:54:37,480 --> 00:54:41,040
Speaker 3: so just under seven to one. That was our anytime

1090
00:54:41,080 --> 00:54:46,319
Speaker 3: touchdown parlay, presented by DraftKings. All right, before we get

1091
00:54:46,320 --> 00:54:49,239
Speaker 3: out of here, any games we did not touch on.

1092
00:54:50,000 --> 00:54:52,879
Speaker 2: By the way, Bucks. The one thing I will say

1093
00:54:52,880 --> 00:54:55,279
Speaker 2: with that is, I mean the Bucks offense. I thank

1094
00:54:55,280 --> 00:54:59,719
Speaker 2: Baker Mayfield. Filo has been a disaster since since Week eight.

1095
00:55:00,120 --> 00:55:04,319
Speaker 2: He's second worst completion percentage of expectation. Only Shodor has

1096
00:55:04,320 --> 00:55:06,000
Speaker 2: been worse, and they were like basically neck and neck.

1097
00:55:06,680 --> 00:55:10,560
Speaker 2: But I will say that so They've had a lot

1098
00:55:10,600 --> 00:55:15,120
Speaker 2: of injuries. I'm not sure Baker was fully healthy. But

1099
00:55:15,200 --> 00:55:20,680
Speaker 2: if you look at the since Evans went down this year,

1100
00:55:21,960 --> 00:55:23,960
Speaker 2: so like in weeks one through six, they were second

1101
00:55:24,040 --> 00:55:27,759
Speaker 2: in explosive plays per game. After Evans went down, from

1102
00:55:27,800 --> 00:55:31,120
Speaker 2: week seven to fourteen, they were second worst. I went

1103
00:55:31,160 --> 00:55:34,560
Speaker 2: from second to second worst. They were averaging about three

1104
00:55:34,760 --> 00:55:40,800
Speaker 2: point one fewer explosive plays per game, and that's exposed

1105
00:55:40,800 --> 00:55:43,080
Speaker 2: to plays, exposed to passes. They went from fifth to

1106
00:55:43,239 --> 00:55:47,879
Speaker 2: dead last in the NFL since week seven. From week

1107
00:55:47,880 --> 00:55:49,880
Speaker 2: seven to week fourteen, but Evans came back, they had

1108
00:55:50,000 --> 00:55:54,160
Speaker 2: nine explosives, seven via the pass. Three of them were Evans.

1109
00:55:54,239 --> 00:55:58,240
Speaker 2: So shout out to my guy Pat Dorman, who tweeted

1110
00:55:58,239 --> 00:56:01,200
Speaker 2: that out earlier. Was getting into they're exposed to pass numbers.

1111
00:56:01,200 --> 00:56:05,920
Speaker 2: But the so yeah, I think that maybe this offense

1112
00:56:07,000 --> 00:56:08,920
Speaker 2: will start to wake up. But Baker. I don't know

1113
00:56:08,960 --> 00:56:13,120
Speaker 2: if Baker's fully healthy, Like is the It looks everything

1114
00:56:13,160 --> 00:56:16,360
Speaker 2: looks off still, But I do think there's going to

1115
00:56:16,400 --> 00:56:18,640
Speaker 2: be some opportunities. The Panthers, by the way, like I

1116
00:56:18,680 --> 00:56:20,279
Speaker 2: kind of want to play them. I might tease them,

1117
00:56:20,920 --> 00:56:29,040
Speaker 2: maybe tease the Panthers with like the Cardinals or I

1118
00:56:29,040 --> 00:56:31,240
Speaker 2: think they brought the Jags are a good teaser piece,

1119
00:56:31,480 --> 00:56:34,880
Speaker 2: but not traditional longs. But anyway, all of a teaser

1120
00:56:34,920 --> 00:56:36,759
Speaker 2: in this week. But the Panthers, they've been a different

1121
00:56:36,760 --> 00:56:38,640
Speaker 2: team at home. They have the most outright wins as

1122
00:56:38,640 --> 00:56:41,399
Speaker 2: a dog through fourteen weeks since the nineteen ninety two Colts.

1123
00:56:41,400 --> 00:56:44,960
Speaker 2: They went seven times outright as a dog. So I

1124
00:56:45,040 --> 00:56:48,120
Speaker 2: lean their way at three. But I am afraid that

1125
00:56:48,160 --> 00:56:49,799
Speaker 2: though like this is probably the bottom of the of

1126
00:56:49,840 --> 00:56:52,360
Speaker 2: the On the Bucks, they haven't covered six straight, I believe.

1127
00:56:54,280 --> 00:56:58,600
Speaker 3: Yeah, you mentioned you mentioned Baker, So weeks one through six,

1128
00:56:59,080 --> 00:57:03,720
Speaker 3: he his yards per attempt for every game it topped

1129
00:57:03,719 --> 00:57:07,200
Speaker 3: out at eleven point five. It was generally it was

1130
00:57:07,880 --> 00:57:12,640
Speaker 3: round eight on median, but from week seven to the

1131
00:57:12,680 --> 00:57:16,960
Speaker 3: week before Evans came back, he did not hit seven

1132
00:57:17,040 --> 00:57:19,520
Speaker 3: yards in attempt even once. He was between two point

1133
00:57:19,600 --> 00:57:23,280
Speaker 3: two and six point nine in all seven of those games.

1134
00:57:24,080 --> 00:57:26,480
Speaker 3: Last week, with Evans back eight point one again and

1135
00:57:26,560 --> 00:57:30,880
Speaker 3: yards per completion fourteen point six, second highest of the season,

1136
00:57:31,000 --> 00:57:31,680
Speaker 3: he didn't top.

1137
00:57:32,040 --> 00:57:32,800
Speaker 1: He didn't even hit.

1138
00:57:32,720 --> 00:57:35,840
Speaker 3: Eleven yards per completion, which is essentially the league average

1139
00:57:36,280 --> 00:57:38,960
Speaker 3: in any week with since sevens went down, So Yeah,

1140
00:57:39,000 --> 00:57:41,600
Speaker 3: he Evans makes a big difference in Abuka has been

1141
00:57:41,680 --> 00:57:44,280
Speaker 3: dropping passes too, so I mean, I don't know. Baker

1142
00:57:44,400 --> 00:57:46,760
Speaker 3: hasn't been running consistently as he has in the past.

1143
00:57:46,800 --> 00:57:50,000
Speaker 3: Maybe something is up there. But as far as the passing, I.

1144
00:57:49,920 --> 00:57:52,120
Speaker 1: Think I think they're due for some positive regression.

1145
00:57:53,040 --> 00:57:55,240
Speaker 2: Other games, let's see. I mean, I don't know what

1146
00:57:55,280 --> 00:57:57,200
Speaker 2: to do with the Jets. They doubt they there's no

1147
00:57:57,360 --> 00:58:01,880
Speaker 2: defensive backs left. Mason Taylor, he's out. I think they're

1148
00:58:01,920 --> 00:58:04,240
Speaker 2: gonna go with Brady cook I don't know if that's

1149
00:58:04,240 --> 00:58:04,880
Speaker 2: been confirmed.

1150
00:58:05,200 --> 00:58:07,160
Speaker 3: Yeah, and they they're gonna even though they have it

1151
00:58:07,200 --> 00:58:09,960
Speaker 3: seems like Taylor and Fields are pealthy. It sounds like

1152
00:58:09,960 --> 00:58:11,040
Speaker 3: and they're still going Brady Cooks.

1153
00:58:11,040 --> 00:58:11,600
Speaker 1: So they're tanking.

1154
00:58:12,040 --> 00:58:13,800
Speaker 2: But I'm not laying four and a half with the Saints.

1155
00:58:15,080 --> 00:58:21,000
Speaker 2: But what else Chargers Cowboys, and I think the Cowboys

1156
00:58:21,000 --> 00:58:22,800
Speaker 2: arena in. I am not a believer in this Chargers team.

1157
00:58:23,400 --> 00:58:26,320
Speaker 2: They had one drive last week at the end of

1158
00:58:26,360 --> 00:58:29,000
Speaker 2: the half against pre Event, and look, you have to

1159
00:58:29,000 --> 00:58:32,720
Speaker 2: give credit to Herbert for making the throws. He's still

1160
00:58:32,760 --> 00:58:35,200
Speaker 2: really good. But other than that, their offense did nothing

1161
00:58:35,520 --> 00:58:37,720
Speaker 2: and the Chiefs got all the Chiefs got hurt. I

1162
00:58:37,720 --> 00:58:39,120
Speaker 2: mean thought they had like three defensive starts to go

1163
00:58:39,120 --> 00:58:41,280
Speaker 2: out in three different plays. Their offensive line fell apart

1164
00:58:41,320 --> 00:58:46,040
Speaker 2: on the first drive wide receiver injuries. This offense is

1165
00:58:46,080 --> 00:58:48,320
Speaker 2: still like they've been a bottom eight offense since they're

1166
00:58:48,400 --> 00:58:52,400
Speaker 2: all their offensive line injuries. I trust dat to score

1167
00:58:52,520 --> 00:58:56,720
Speaker 2: enough at home, but like their lines too. If the

1168
00:58:56,720 --> 00:59:00,439
Speaker 2: Eagles beat the Commanders, the Cowboys are eliminated, I don't

1169
00:59:00,480 --> 00:59:02,400
Speaker 2: care about that. I think the Cowboys at home against

1170
00:59:02,400 --> 00:59:05,360
Speaker 2: the Chargers will still show up, but the line might

1171
00:59:05,440 --> 00:59:09,480
Speaker 2: move to the Chargers because people are like people might say, oh,

1172
00:59:09,520 --> 00:59:12,680
Speaker 2: the Cowboys are eliminated. I don't care. I remember the

1173
00:59:12,680 --> 00:59:15,560
Speaker 2: Lions in the Packers game on Week eighteen, and the

1174
00:59:15,560 --> 00:59:17,680
Speaker 2: lines are eliminated and they beat the Packers anyway, I

1175
00:59:17,680 --> 00:59:20,600
Speaker 2: think got eliminated like earlier in the day. Yeah, I

1176
00:59:20,720 --> 00:59:22,600
Speaker 2: just trust I don't trust the Chargers' offense to like

1177
00:59:22,640 --> 00:59:25,640
Speaker 2: put up a number any week because of their offensive line.

1178
00:59:25,760 --> 00:59:30,440
Speaker 2: And I think Dallas has a pretty high floor, So

1179
00:59:30,640 --> 00:59:34,040
Speaker 2: I don't know. I kind of want to play Dallas,

1180
00:59:34,040 --> 00:59:35,960
Speaker 2: but I'm not running to the window right now.

1181
00:59:37,120 --> 00:59:39,320
Speaker 3: Both of those teams are overrated for me, Like I

1182
00:59:40,760 --> 00:59:42,920
Speaker 3: don't want to weigh the points with Dallas either, because

1183
00:59:44,120 --> 00:59:44,680
Speaker 3: so like.

1184
00:59:44,640 --> 00:59:47,600
Speaker 2: My matchup by the way, Aubrey versus Slicker.

1185
00:59:47,440 --> 00:59:49,760
Speaker 1: I mean, yeah, it wasn't. I mean Aubrey was a

1186
00:59:49,800 --> 00:59:50,400
Speaker 1: little shaky.

1187
00:59:50,680 --> 00:59:53,680
Speaker 2: Always are running back now, right, But.

1188
00:59:53,480 --> 00:59:57,440
Speaker 3: But Dak actually, you know, scheduled in my like scheduled

1189
00:59:57,480 --> 00:59:59,880
Speaker 3: after I schedule adjust his numbers, he comes down to

1190
01:00:00,000 --> 01:00:03,360
Speaker 3: a little bit. So I think the Cowboys offense has

1191
01:00:03,360 --> 01:00:04,480
Speaker 3: been a little overrated to.

1192
01:00:04,760 --> 01:00:07,520
Speaker 2: What's going on Chickens. That's what's concerns me. Is he

1193
01:00:07,600 --> 01:00:08,360
Speaker 2: like checked out.

1194
01:00:09,520 --> 01:00:11,960
Speaker 3: I mean, that's that's not great for you know, I

1195
01:00:11,960 --> 01:00:14,000
Speaker 3: mean you talk about the elimination doesn't really matter for

1196
01:00:14,040 --> 01:00:17,160
Speaker 3: most guys, But I mean, who knows with him, I

1197
01:00:17,400 --> 01:00:20,040
Speaker 3: don't know. And then Ferguson doesn't seem quite right. He's

1198
01:00:20,200 --> 01:00:23,400
Speaker 3: kind of been trending down. He's been on the injury report.

1199
01:00:23,440 --> 01:00:27,360
Speaker 3: And then Davonte Williams only like he ran thirty four

1200
01:00:27,440 --> 01:00:30,440
Speaker 3: routes the week before. Uh he ran one route in

1201
01:00:30,840 --> 01:00:32,680
Speaker 3: that game against the VIK Games. He had like a

1202
01:00:32,720 --> 01:00:35,640
Speaker 3: neck issue, So who knows where he's at? Like this

1203
01:00:35,960 --> 01:00:38,240
Speaker 3: his Cowboy team is, and then they're deep. Their past

1204
01:00:38,320 --> 01:00:40,840
Speaker 3: defense is still bad, like their run defense a little

1205
01:00:40,840 --> 01:00:44,360
Speaker 3: bit better, but their pass which is important to know. Yeah,

1206
01:00:44,400 --> 01:00:49,240
Speaker 3: so like the Cowboys, like the value might actually be

1207
01:00:49,320 --> 01:00:51,240
Speaker 3: on the Chargers because they're just a good, a well

1208
01:00:51,280 --> 01:00:54,400
Speaker 3: scheme defense and you know, like they find a way

1209
01:00:54,400 --> 01:00:56,160
Speaker 3: to get it. They can win these low scoring games,

1210
01:00:56,160 --> 01:00:59,400
Speaker 3: whereas the Cowboys they essentially have to shoot you out

1211
01:00:59,680 --> 01:01:02,160
Speaker 3: to win. And if they're shooting you out, their defense

1212
01:01:02,240 --> 01:01:05,480
Speaker 3: is probably just puking all over the field. So yeah,

1213
01:01:05,160 --> 01:01:09,320
Speaker 3: I can't get with the Cowboys. I'd actually we Chargers,

1214
01:01:09,320 --> 01:01:10,440
Speaker 3: but they are running a little.

1215
01:01:10,280 --> 01:01:14,520
Speaker 2: Hot Bengals verse Quinn yours side the.

1216
01:01:14,560 --> 01:01:17,479
Speaker 1: Mash spot coming off his shutout. Right, Yeah, I've thought

1217
01:01:17,480 --> 01:01:18,400
Speaker 1: about it, but it's I.

1218
01:01:18,400 --> 01:01:20,160
Speaker 2: Thought about the Bengals and I should have bet it

1219
01:01:20,240 --> 01:01:23,040
Speaker 2: under three. Yeah, I didn't know. I really didn't think

1220
01:01:23,040 --> 01:01:24,000
Speaker 2: that they were gonna bench too.

1221
01:01:24,400 --> 01:01:24,840
Speaker 1: They did it.

1222
01:01:24,840 --> 01:01:27,280
Speaker 3: They pulled like remember they did that with Fitzpatrick two.

1223
01:01:27,280 --> 01:01:29,360
Speaker 3: And I mean not that two is playing well or anything.

1224
01:01:29,480 --> 01:01:33,720
Speaker 2: It's great for my for Dolphins wind total under, which

1225
01:01:33,760 --> 01:01:38,600
Speaker 2: was getting dicey. Now it's probably locked up as long

1226
01:01:38,640 --> 01:01:40,640
Speaker 2: as they lose this week, then they go to New

1227
01:01:40,720 --> 01:01:43,880
Speaker 2: England and who will still be playing for something?

1228
01:01:44,600 --> 01:01:46,880
Speaker 1: So it is Higgins's back is Higgins gonna play.

1229
01:01:47,880 --> 01:01:50,080
Speaker 2: I don't know, because.

1230
01:01:49,840 --> 01:01:51,760
Speaker 1: I like Joe Burrow this year.

1231
01:01:52,560 --> 01:01:54,320
Speaker 3: You know, every few years he has one of those

1232
01:01:54,320 --> 01:01:57,360
Speaker 3: weird years where he's like he just his efficiency just

1233
01:01:57,880 --> 01:02:00,240
Speaker 3: drops off a cliff. So this year, I know it's

1234
01:02:00,240 --> 01:02:03,959
Speaker 3: a small sample, but six point one yards per past

1235
01:02:04,000 --> 01:02:07,720
Speaker 3: attempt like that is that is that would be a

1236
01:02:07,720 --> 01:02:08,320
Speaker 3: career low.

1237
01:02:08,720 --> 01:02:10,600
Speaker 2: I think he's still like has it in coming back

1238
01:02:10,600 --> 01:02:13,160
Speaker 2: from injury, just like behind that offensive line just wants

1239
01:02:13,160 --> 01:02:13,880
Speaker 2: to get the ball out.

1240
01:02:15,680 --> 01:02:17,400
Speaker 3: He's had these kind of years every year, like his

1241
01:02:17,480 --> 01:02:19,720
Speaker 3: rookie year, he was at six to seven, then eight nine,

1242
01:02:19,920 --> 01:02:22,320
Speaker 3: seven to four, and then dipped to six three in

1243
01:02:22,360 --> 01:02:25,080
Speaker 3: an injury riddle year a couple of years ago, and

1244
01:02:25,120 --> 01:02:27,120
Speaker 3: now he's at six to one. I mean, so he's

1245
01:02:27,160 --> 01:02:28,880
Speaker 3: gonna have to He only has a couple more games

1246
01:02:28,880 --> 01:02:30,360
Speaker 3: to get right. I know it's a small stample. He

1247
01:02:30,400 --> 01:02:33,160
Speaker 3: played the Ravens twice, played the Bills. I guess that's

1248
01:02:33,160 --> 01:02:36,680
Speaker 3: a decent pass defense, but it's still kind of odd

1249
01:02:36,800 --> 01:02:37,600
Speaker 3: considering the.

1250
01:02:37,800 --> 01:02:39,320
Speaker 2: I mean, he should be able to throw all over Miami.

1251
01:02:39,360 --> 01:02:43,480
Speaker 2: I mean, Mimi's run defense is playing really well. I

1252
01:02:43,480 --> 01:02:45,960
Speaker 2: mean you've got to give their run dye credit. Like

1253
01:02:46,000 --> 01:02:50,080
Speaker 2: how it's just I mean they've kind of I mean

1254
01:02:50,120 --> 01:02:52,560
Speaker 2: they run d and their run offenses, let's carry them.

1255
01:02:52,640 --> 01:02:55,120
Speaker 2: I mean, Jordan Brooks is playing it like a all

1256
01:02:55,160 --> 01:02:59,040
Speaker 2: pro level, but Fitzpatrick's gonna be out here their past.

1257
01:02:59,080 --> 01:03:04,280
Speaker 2: He's already bad. So I would imagine Borrow should get

1258
01:03:04,280 --> 01:03:04,720
Speaker 2: going here.

1259
01:03:04,960 --> 01:03:07,240
Speaker 3: But is this is this is yours? Like do you

1260
01:03:07,280 --> 01:03:10,280
Speaker 3: know anything about uh like to our locker room? Is

1261
01:03:10,280 --> 01:03:12,880
Speaker 3: he like is this gonna go over poorly? Or because

1262
01:03:12,920 --> 01:03:15,360
Speaker 3: like McDaniel was, you know, he was like about to

1263
01:03:15,360 --> 01:03:17,960
Speaker 3: get fired and then now everyone thinks he's saved his

1264
01:03:18,040 --> 01:03:21,840
Speaker 3: job already but they're eliminated. But now and like everyone

1265
01:03:21,920 --> 01:03:23,600
Speaker 3: was like, okay, well he's kind of tied to Tua

1266
01:03:23,640 --> 01:03:25,560
Speaker 3: and they think he can, you know, get it right

1267
01:03:25,600 --> 01:03:27,400
Speaker 3: with Tua. But now he's bentioned Tua, So like, how

1268
01:03:27,480 --> 01:03:28,080
Speaker 3: is this going.

1269
01:03:27,920 --> 01:03:28,720
Speaker 1: Over in the locker room?

1270
01:03:28,880 --> 01:03:29,200
Speaker 2: Idea?

1271
01:03:29,680 --> 01:03:33,479
Speaker 1: Okay, I would it's kind of kind of a little

1272
01:03:33,480 --> 01:03:35,280
Speaker 1: bit surprising, but uh, any other ones.

1273
01:03:35,520 --> 01:03:37,680
Speaker 2: That's it. That's the whole card, all right.

1274
01:03:37,880 --> 01:03:40,520
Speaker 3: That's gonna do it for our NFL Week sixteen Action

1275
01:03:40,600 --> 01:03:44,400
Speaker 3: Network podcast presented by Draft Kings, shout out to our

1276
01:03:44,400 --> 01:03:45,360
Speaker 3: sponsored Draft Kings again.

1277
01:03:45,360 --> 01:03:46,960
Speaker 1: If you want to tell some of the best we discussed.

1278
01:03:47,080 --> 01:03:48,880
Speaker 3: You can find a quick slip links in the video

1279
01:03:48,920 --> 01:03:51,560
Speaker 3: and pod descriptions, or go to Action network dot com

1280
01:03:51,560 --> 01:03:54,320
Speaker 3: slash bet now. Be sure to check out at playbook

1281
01:03:54,400 --> 01:03:58,680
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1282
01:03:58,680 --> 01:04:00,560
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1283
01:04:00,600 --> 01:04:03,080
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1284
01:04:03,160 --> 01:04:06,600
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1285
01:04:06,640 --> 01:04:09,640
Speaker 3: am on the Fantasy Flex pod and I'm on x

1286
01:04:09,680 --> 01:04:12,320
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1287
01:04:12,400 --> 01:04:16,040
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1288
01:04:16,160 --> 01:04:36,080
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1289
01:04:36,480 --> 01:04:39,360
Speaker 2: If you or someone you care about has a gambling problem,

1290
01:04:39,600 --> 01:04:42,240
Speaker 2: help is available twenty four to seven at one eight

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01:04:42,320 --> 01:04:43,120
Speaker 2: hundred gambler