1 00:00:02,440 --> 00:00:04,240 Speaker 1: Good morning. It's five of the eighth of December here 2 00:00:04,280 --> 00:00:08,320 Speaker 1: in London. This is the Bloomberg Davit Podcast. I'm Caroline HEPKIV. 3 00:00:07,920 --> 00:00:10,760 Speaker 2: And I'm Stephen Carroll. Coming up today, the Palestinian Prime 4 00:00:10,760 --> 00:00:13,480 Speaker 2: Minister tells us his administration is in talks with the 5 00:00:13,600 --> 00:00:16,840 Speaker 2: United States about a post war plan for Gaza. 6 00:00:17,239 --> 00:00:20,840 Speaker 1: The Japanese yen surge is as traders ratchet up bets 7 00:00:20,880 --> 00:00:23,560 Speaker 1: that the Bank of Japan is close to calling time 8 00:00:23,840 --> 00:00:25,320 Speaker 1: on negative rates. 9 00:00:25,200 --> 00:00:29,040 Speaker 2: And a premiership at risk of sinking Kuld Sunak's small 10 00:00:29,080 --> 00:00:32,559 Speaker 2: boats Ruwanda policy capsize. The Prime Minister, let's. 11 00:00:32,400 --> 00:00:34,199 Speaker 1: Start with a roundup of our top stories. 12 00:00:35,640 --> 00:00:38,960 Speaker 2: The Palestinian authority is working with US officials on a 13 00:00:39,000 --> 00:00:41,640 Speaker 2: plan to run Gaza after the end of the war 14 00:00:41,680 --> 00:00:45,600 Speaker 2: between Israel and Hamas. Speaking to Bloomberg, Palestinian Prime Minister 15 00:00:45,680 --> 00:00:48,920 Speaker 2: mohammaj Daia says his preferred outlook would be to see 16 00:00:48,960 --> 00:00:52,440 Speaker 2: Hamas as a junior partner in a post war administration. 17 00:00:53,200 --> 00:00:56,000 Speaker 3: I think if they are ready to come to ground, 18 00:00:56,200 --> 00:01:00,560 Speaker 3: to an agreement and really accept the political block of 19 00:01:00,600 --> 00:01:05,840 Speaker 3: the b law, accept the tools of struggle, because this 20 00:01:05,959 --> 00:01:09,399 Speaker 3: is an important point of war difference between us and them, 21 00:01:10,240 --> 00:01:13,720 Speaker 3: and then there will be a room for talk. Otherwise, 22 00:01:14,520 --> 00:01:17,280 Speaker 3: it's just simply things will continue to. 23 00:01:17,240 --> 00:01:17,720 Speaker 4: Be the same. 24 00:01:18,440 --> 00:01:21,960 Speaker 2: Mahamajdai also turned Blueberg that he doesn't believe Hamas can 25 00:01:22,040 --> 00:01:25,120 Speaker 2: be eradicated by Israel. Those comments are at odds with 26 00:01:25,160 --> 00:01:27,880 Speaker 2: the stated aim of Israel's military campaign to wipe out 27 00:01:27,880 --> 00:01:31,480 Speaker 2: the militant group following the October seventh attack, when some 28 00:01:31,560 --> 00:01:34,920 Speaker 2: one thy two hundred people were killed and hundreds more 29 00:01:34,959 --> 00:01:38,080 Speaker 2: were taken hostage. The subsequent war in Gaza has so 30 00:01:38,240 --> 00:01:42,000 Speaker 2: far killed more than sixteen thousand Palestinians, according to the 31 00:01:42,000 --> 00:01:43,360 Speaker 2: hamastro On Health Ministry. 32 00:01:43,920 --> 00:01:46,680 Speaker 1: Well as the war in Gaza grinds on Israel's Prime 33 00:01:46,680 --> 00:01:50,400 Speaker 1: Minister Benjamin Netnia, who has threatened to devastate Beay route 34 00:01:50,440 --> 00:01:54,400 Speaker 1: if Hezblah opens a second front in the conflict. Netnya, 35 00:01:54,440 --> 00:01:56,960 Speaker 1: who delivered the warning during a visit to a command 36 00:01:57,080 --> 00:02:00,880 Speaker 1: center which oversees units that have traded far with Hesbela 37 00:02:00,880 --> 00:02:03,440 Speaker 1: along the border with Lebanon. Here's what he said. 38 00:02:04,720 --> 00:02:07,680 Speaker 5: The people are proud of you. I also suggest to 39 00:02:07,760 --> 00:02:11,320 Speaker 5: our enemies that they pay attention to this spirit, because 40 00:02:11,360 --> 00:02:14,839 Speaker 5: if Hezbela chooses to start an all out war, then 41 00:02:14,880 --> 00:02:18,680 Speaker 5: it will single handedly turn Beirut in South Lebanon not 42 00:02:18,760 --> 00:02:21,440 Speaker 5: far from here, into Gaza and carn. 43 00:02:21,240 --> 00:02:25,200 Speaker 1: Unis Benjamin Etniahu there, speaking through a translator, His threat 44 00:02:25,280 --> 00:02:28,880 Speaker 1: referred to the destruction that Israel's military has unleashed in 45 00:02:28,919 --> 00:02:31,760 Speaker 1: the Gaza Strip in retaliation for the attack by hermas 46 00:02:32,000 --> 00:02:35,920 Speaker 1: Hezbela's expressed solidarity with the group, and as the fighting 47 00:02:35,919 --> 00:02:39,359 Speaker 1: in Gaza has escalated, cross border fire with Israel has 48 00:02:39,400 --> 00:02:41,040 Speaker 1: become a daily occurrence. 49 00:02:42,080 --> 00:02:44,560 Speaker 2: The Japanese yen has surged over the past twenty four 50 00:02:44,560 --> 00:02:47,079 Speaker 2: hours as traders beth at the Bank of Japan will 51 00:02:47,120 --> 00:02:50,960 Speaker 2: scrap the world's last negative interest rate regime much sooner 52 00:02:51,000 --> 00:02:55,200 Speaker 2: than previously thought. The advance sent Japanese stocks and barns lower. 53 00:02:55,440 --> 00:02:58,280 Speaker 2: Former New York Fed President and Bloomberg opinion columnist Bill 54 00:02:58,360 --> 00:03:01,359 Speaker 2: Dudley says, ending yield curve control is a good thing. 55 00:03:01,800 --> 00:03:04,440 Speaker 6: This has been a multi decade effort, and so if 56 00:03:04,440 --> 00:03:06,480 Speaker 6: they actually managed to exit, I would take that as 57 00:03:06,480 --> 00:03:09,359 Speaker 6: a very good sign. Now, obviously that means that they'll 58 00:03:09,360 --> 00:03:11,240 Speaker 6: be less liquidity coming out of Japan, but I don't 59 00:03:11,240 --> 00:03:13,919 Speaker 6: think the Japanese economy and what the Bank of Japan 60 00:03:14,000 --> 00:03:18,560 Speaker 6: has been doing has huge implications for global liquidity or global. 61 00:03:18,200 --> 00:03:22,240 Speaker 2: Banials, Bloomberg Opinion columnists Bill Dudley, speaking there after the end, 62 00:03:22,320 --> 00:03:25,200 Speaker 2: jumped by almost four percent at one point against the dollar. 63 00:03:25,280 --> 00:03:26,000 Speaker 2: On Thursday. 64 00:03:26,320 --> 00:03:27,000 Speaker 4: Markets will be. 65 00:03:27,000 --> 00:03:30,600 Speaker 2: Watching for any clarification from Governor Kazu Awada of comments 66 00:03:30,600 --> 00:03:32,720 Speaker 2: he made to lawmakers that his job was going to 67 00:03:32,760 --> 00:03:35,120 Speaker 2: get more challenging now. 68 00:03:35,200 --> 00:03:38,800 Speaker 1: EU finance ministers are still scrambling to find an agreement 69 00:03:38,840 --> 00:03:42,200 Speaker 1: on new fiscal rules for the Bloc. After months of haggling, 70 00:03:42,400 --> 00:03:45,080 Speaker 1: nations are understood to be in the final stages of 71 00:03:45,160 --> 00:03:49,080 Speaker 1: negotiating a reform of the Bloc's framework to limit debt 72 00:03:49,160 --> 00:03:53,640 Speaker 1: and deficits. Officials had prepared for a long night of talks, 73 00:03:53,920 --> 00:03:56,240 Speaker 1: but called it a day at around three am in 74 00:03:56,360 --> 00:03:58,920 Speaker 1: Brussels after a deal could not be reached. The current 75 00:03:58,920 --> 00:04:02,160 Speaker 1: fiscal rules are expected to kick in again in January 76 00:04:02,480 --> 00:04:05,080 Speaker 1: after being suspended to cope with the pandemic and the 77 00:04:05,160 --> 00:04:07,520 Speaker 1: fallout from Russia's invasion of Ukraine. 78 00:04:08,040 --> 00:04:12,080 Speaker 2: In the UK, Rishi Sunak faces a showdown with hardliners 79 00:04:12,200 --> 00:04:16,040 Speaker 2: in the party over his migration bill. It's a faction 80 00:04:16,160 --> 00:04:19,760 Speaker 2: that has toppled multiple Conservative leaders in recent history. The 81 00:04:19,800 --> 00:04:22,400 Speaker 2: Prime Minister avoided a question on whether he'd call a 82 00:04:22,480 --> 00:04:25,000 Speaker 2: general election if he loses a vote on the bill 83 00:04:25,080 --> 00:04:25,720 Speaker 2: next week. 84 00:04:26,839 --> 00:04:29,039 Speaker 7: I'm confident I can get this thing done. The question 85 00:04:29,080 --> 00:04:30,919 Speaker 7: is for the Labor Party. All right, we're going to 86 00:04:30,920 --> 00:04:33,640 Speaker 7: get this thing into Parliament. We've introduced it in record time. 87 00:04:33,800 --> 00:04:35,360 Speaker 7: I want to get it on the statue books in 88 00:04:35,440 --> 00:04:37,800 Speaker 7: record time. It's very clear what we're about and what 89 00:04:37,800 --> 00:04:40,159 Speaker 7: we're trying to do, and we're confident it's going to work. 90 00:04:40,200 --> 00:04:42,080 Speaker 7: And my track record tells you that I can get 91 00:04:42,080 --> 00:04:42,600 Speaker 7: things done. 92 00:04:43,760 --> 00:04:46,640 Speaker 2: Labour has said that they will not support Sunak's bill. 93 00:04:47,560 --> 00:04:52,200 Speaker 1: Jeremy Hunt's flagship financial reforms, meanwhile, will make no substantial 94 00:04:52,320 --> 00:04:54,440 Speaker 1: change to the economy. That is the view of a 95 00:04:54,480 --> 00:04:58,880 Speaker 1: report from the UK's parliament Parliamentary Treasury Select Committee Bloombags. 96 00:04:58,920 --> 00:05:01,480 Speaker 1: James Wilcock has more the scathing assessments. 97 00:05:01,920 --> 00:05:04,360 Speaker 8: The plans were trailed as a big bang, an echo 98 00:05:04,400 --> 00:05:06,960 Speaker 8: of Market Thatcher's changes to the City of London. 99 00:05:07,480 --> 00:05:10,360 Speaker 9: Well, no, they're being called the Edinburgh Reforms and they're 100 00:05:10,360 --> 00:05:13,960 Speaker 9: a very ambitious set of reforms to seize on our 101 00:05:14,000 --> 00:05:17,960 Speaker 9: Brexit freedoms. To deliver a smarter regulatory regime, one that's 102 00:05:18,080 --> 00:05:21,640 Speaker 9: right for the circumstances we find ourselves in now, and 103 00:05:21,680 --> 00:05:24,440 Speaker 9: that work in the interests of all the British people 104 00:05:24,480 --> 00:05:25,520 Speaker 9: across the country. 105 00:05:25,800 --> 00:05:29,200 Speaker 8: That City Minister Andrew Griffith on our program one year ago. 106 00:05:29,600 --> 00:05:33,520 Speaker 8: But instead of revamping Britain's financial sector, the Treasury Select 107 00:05:33,520 --> 00:05:36,800 Speaker 8: Committee says nothing major has been achieved. They say the 108 00:05:36,839 --> 00:05:39,599 Speaker 8: reforms will have zero economic impact and some of the 109 00:05:39,600 --> 00:05:42,599 Speaker 8: policies amount to a little more than paper pushing. The 110 00:05:42,640 --> 00:05:45,960 Speaker 8: government responded to the damning report from the Conservative led committee, 111 00:05:46,080 --> 00:05:48,640 Speaker 8: saying a year was too soon to gauge the impact 112 00:05:48,720 --> 00:05:52,880 Speaker 8: of the reforms. In London. James Wilcock Bloomberg Radio and. 113 00:05:53,040 --> 00:05:56,599 Speaker 2: Move over Walmart's Walton's. Another family has emerged as the 114 00:05:56,760 --> 00:06:00,560 Speaker 2: richest dynasty in the world for the first time. Dab's 115 00:06:00,640 --> 00:06:05,040 Speaker 2: House of Nahyan joined Bloomberg's annual ranking of family fortunes 116 00:06:05,360 --> 00:06:08,159 Speaker 2: with a three hundred and five billion dollar fortune. The 117 00:06:08,160 --> 00:06:11,760 Speaker 2: Gulf Royals took the top spot as the world's richest family. 118 00:06:12,000 --> 00:06:15,760 Speaker 2: Another notable riser was the sixth generation dynasty behind luxury 119 00:06:15,760 --> 00:06:19,159 Speaker 2: brand Ermez, who added fifty six billion dollars to take 120 00:06:19,240 --> 00:06:21,680 Speaker 2: the third spot. Bloomberg found that as a group, the 121 00:06:21,720 --> 00:06:25,359 Speaker 2: world's richest family families have gotten one point five trillion 122 00:06:25,400 --> 00:06:29,120 Speaker 2: dollars wealthier since the last ranking. No, No moment will 123 00:06:29,160 --> 00:06:31,159 Speaker 2: bring you more of that exclusive interview with the Palestinian 124 00:06:31,200 --> 00:06:33,440 Speaker 2: Prime Minister. But first, a story that caught Aurai here 125 00:06:33,600 --> 00:06:37,720 Speaker 2: in the UK about how much the Bank of Mom 126 00:06:37,760 --> 00:06:40,800 Speaker 2: and Dad is really worth to young people who are 127 00:06:40,839 --> 00:06:45,000 Speaker 2: buying property, and new figures putting it at twenty five 128 00:06:45,160 --> 00:06:48,400 Speaker 2: thousand pounds the average amount of money that Britain's wealthy 129 00:06:48,440 --> 00:06:51,600 Speaker 2: parents are giving to their children to buy property Leader 130 00:06:51,640 --> 00:06:53,160 Speaker 2: figures in the Institute for Fiscal Studies. 131 00:06:53,400 --> 00:06:56,279 Speaker 1: Yeah, I think this just under lines the issue that 132 00:06:56,279 --> 00:06:58,840 Speaker 1: the UK has with rising inequality, which has been a 133 00:06:58,839 --> 00:07:01,320 Speaker 1: problem for the last decade. I mean, twenty five thousand 134 00:07:01,320 --> 00:07:03,520 Speaker 1: pounds I would have thought is actually quite a conservative 135 00:07:03,640 --> 00:07:06,120 Speaker 1: estimate of your China buy a property in the southeast 136 00:07:06,440 --> 00:07:09,240 Speaker 1: of England. But it just shows Yeah, and we've done 137 00:07:09,279 --> 00:07:11,520 Speaker 1: a number of stories about this. You know, it's not 138 00:07:11,560 --> 00:07:13,120 Speaker 1: just the Bank of Mom and Dad. Some sorts other 139 00:07:13,200 --> 00:07:16,560 Speaker 1: relatives also that are being asked the difficulties of trying 140 00:07:16,600 --> 00:07:18,640 Speaker 1: to live in one of the most expensive cities. 141 00:07:18,360 --> 00:07:21,040 Speaker 2: And it's the contrast between those that can afford to 142 00:07:21,040 --> 00:07:23,720 Speaker 2: give their children money, which is helping them onto the 143 00:07:23,720 --> 00:07:26,400 Speaker 2: property ladder, versus those that can't, and how much that's 144 00:07:26,440 --> 00:07:29,280 Speaker 2: proving an obstacle for those people who, you know, given 145 00:07:29,320 --> 00:07:31,080 Speaker 2: higher interest rates, the cost of course of paying a 146 00:07:31,120 --> 00:07:34,239 Speaker 2: mortgage is much more expensive, but perhaps less said about 147 00:07:34,280 --> 00:07:36,480 Speaker 2: the huge obstacle of being able to get the mortgage 148 00:07:36,520 --> 00:07:37,200 Speaker 2: in the first place. 149 00:07:37,400 --> 00:07:40,360 Speaker 1: No, absolutely, I think it's. Yeah, it's very telling, especially 150 00:07:40,400 --> 00:07:44,240 Speaker 1: as we see overall debt household debt to income ratios 151 00:07:44,240 --> 00:07:47,040 Speaker 1: going up so much. Yeah, it's a real point that 152 00:07:47,120 --> 00:07:49,360 Speaker 1: I think is becoming increasingly political. 153 00:07:49,520 --> 00:07:51,600 Speaker 2: Well, let's bring you more out of our exclusive interview 154 00:07:51,640 --> 00:07:54,600 Speaker 2: with the Palestinian Prime Minister. In the broad ranging conversation 155 00:07:54,760 --> 00:07:58,480 Speaker 2: with our Israel BUA chief Ethan Brohner, Mahamachdaia discusses his 156 00:07:58,600 --> 00:08:02,360 Speaker 2: recent meetings with US officials, had the Palestinian authority wants 157 00:08:02,360 --> 00:08:05,920 Speaker 2: to be involved in rebuilding Gaza when the wars, and 158 00:08:05,960 --> 00:08:09,560 Speaker 2: his hopes for an opportunity for a peace agreement establishing 159 00:08:09,600 --> 00:08:12,200 Speaker 2: a Palestinian state. Take a listen now to some of 160 00:08:12,200 --> 00:08:12,720 Speaker 2: that interview. 161 00:08:14,080 --> 00:08:16,840 Speaker 3: Gaza is an integral part of the state of Balistline 162 00:08:17,280 --> 00:08:21,120 Speaker 3: and the Balestinian territory includes Gaza, West Bank and Jerusalem. 163 00:08:21,240 --> 00:08:24,080 Speaker 3: So when we talk about two states, the geography of 164 00:08:24,120 --> 00:08:28,080 Speaker 3: the two states is Gaza, Jerusalem and the West Bank. 165 00:08:28,520 --> 00:08:33,160 Speaker 3: So this integral part of the Balistinian territory should always 166 00:08:33,160 --> 00:08:33,920 Speaker 3: be there. 167 00:08:33,960 --> 00:08:36,400 Speaker 4: Is there a fear of going in after this. 168 00:08:38,240 --> 00:08:41,320 Speaker 10: Operation by Israel that you're sort of following in under 169 00:08:41,400 --> 00:08:42,920 Speaker 10: tanks concern? 170 00:08:43,040 --> 00:08:45,240 Speaker 3: We said that we are not going to go there 171 00:08:45,400 --> 00:08:48,960 Speaker 3: on and Israelian military what does it mean? It means 172 00:08:49,040 --> 00:08:53,320 Speaker 3: that for us there has to be an arrangement. Our 173 00:08:53,400 --> 00:08:58,040 Speaker 3: people are there and we need to put together a 174 00:08:58,040 --> 00:09:01,160 Speaker 3: structure and we need to put together a mechanism. This 175 00:09:01,320 --> 00:09:04,040 Speaker 3: is something that we are working on with the international 176 00:09:04,080 --> 00:09:07,200 Speaker 3: community in order for us to make it possible. There 177 00:09:07,280 --> 00:09:13,040 Speaker 3: were there will be huge needs in terms of relief, reconstruction, 178 00:09:13,760 --> 00:09:15,240 Speaker 3: to remedy the wounds. 179 00:09:15,320 --> 00:09:17,440 Speaker 4: And are you ready to take that on? 180 00:09:19,160 --> 00:09:23,079 Speaker 3: Not by ourselves, I mean, obviously we need international assistance, 181 00:09:23,240 --> 00:09:23,720 Speaker 3: but this. 182 00:09:23,600 --> 00:09:26,720 Speaker 10: Is your plan, your planners that the PA would when 183 00:09:26,760 --> 00:09:32,640 Speaker 10: this thing ends, be the kind of vehicle for rebuilding Gaza. 184 00:09:31,960 --> 00:09:36,720 Speaker 3: By all means. Look, when Israel incursed into Gaza in 185 00:09:36,720 --> 00:09:42,079 Speaker 3: twenty fourteen, who did all the reconstruction, and we were 186 00:09:42,200 --> 00:09:47,880 Speaker 3: still reconstructing Gaza. Most of the most of aspects of 187 00:09:48,040 --> 00:09:51,640 Speaker 3: infrastructure has been actually built by the Palatino authority, and 188 00:09:51,679 --> 00:09:54,640 Speaker 3: even before the war, I should tell you that there 189 00:09:54,679 --> 00:09:58,959 Speaker 3: were there under implementation a total value of eight hundred 190 00:09:59,040 --> 00:10:02,720 Speaker 3: million dollars of infrastructure projects, that is and that has 191 00:10:02,800 --> 00:10:09,000 Speaker 3: been under implementation by US, the roads, hospitals, water networks, electricity, 192 00:10:09,080 --> 00:10:12,600 Speaker 3: desalination plants and so on. So we, as I told you, 193 00:10:12,640 --> 00:10:16,280 Speaker 3: we never abandoned Gaza, We never left Gaza. So now 194 00:10:16,480 --> 00:10:20,400 Speaker 3: any day after it should also include a package of 195 00:10:20,440 --> 00:10:23,720 Speaker 3: assistance with the full engagement of the international community, because 196 00:10:24,400 --> 00:10:25,800 Speaker 3: ourselves we cannot do it. 197 00:10:26,400 --> 00:10:26,719 Speaker 4: A lot. 198 00:10:27,440 --> 00:10:32,359 Speaker 10: The relationship between the PA and Hammas is very complicated. 199 00:10:32,400 --> 00:10:35,120 Speaker 10: It's been there was after all, civil war, as you 200 00:10:35,160 --> 00:10:38,679 Speaker 10: said in two thousand and seven. But the Israeli say 201 00:10:38,720 --> 00:10:44,520 Speaker 10: they want to eradicate Hamas. Is that a goal that 202 00:10:44,679 --> 00:10:45,600 Speaker 10: is achievable? 203 00:10:46,000 --> 00:10:46,719 Speaker 4: Can you do it? 204 00:10:47,280 --> 00:10:50,640 Speaker 3: First of all, you know, we tried four times or 205 00:10:50,720 --> 00:10:54,720 Speaker 3: more to come to an agreement with Hamas, but it 206 00:10:54,800 --> 00:11:00,000 Speaker 3: didn't work and correct and we signed four agreements. Unfortunately 207 00:11:00,640 --> 00:11:03,960 Speaker 3: none of them was ever implemented by them. By them 208 00:11:04,440 --> 00:11:08,079 Speaker 3: and recently we have had a dialogue in Egypt and 209 00:11:08,200 --> 00:11:12,119 Speaker 3: Alamen and we agreed on certain issues, we did disagree 210 00:11:12,120 --> 00:11:14,640 Speaker 3: on a number of issues, and we did form a 211 00:11:14,640 --> 00:11:18,120 Speaker 3: committee to keep them engaged. That was the idea. But 212 00:11:18,320 --> 00:11:21,040 Speaker 3: unfortunately all these sort of things has happened, and then 213 00:11:21,160 --> 00:11:24,520 Speaker 3: now things are going in a totally different direction. Now. 214 00:11:24,559 --> 00:11:27,119 Speaker 3: For Israel to say that they are going to eradicate 215 00:11:27,320 --> 00:11:30,760 Speaker 3: or eliminate Hamas, I don't think that's a possible goal 216 00:11:30,840 --> 00:11:34,440 Speaker 3: to achieve simply because Hamas is not in Gaza only 217 00:11:34,480 --> 00:11:39,240 Speaker 3: Hamas is in Libanon, Hamas in leadership, everybody knows in Kata, 218 00:11:39,440 --> 00:11:41,920 Speaker 3: and they're here in the West Bank and so on 219 00:11:41,960 --> 00:11:46,160 Speaker 3: and so forth. So what is needed really is a 220 00:11:46,160 --> 00:11:51,560 Speaker 3: situation in which that Palestinian unity should be allowed to 221 00:11:51,679 --> 00:11:57,480 Speaker 3: function on very clear bonds and agenda. We did both together, 222 00:11:57,920 --> 00:12:01,400 Speaker 3: certain bonds for Hamas to accept the never accepted, including 223 00:12:01,440 --> 00:12:05,559 Speaker 3: the recognition of international legitimacy, United National Resolutions, be a 224 00:12:05,640 --> 00:12:08,040 Speaker 3: low commitments, and so on and so forth. We even 225 00:12:08,080 --> 00:12:11,800 Speaker 3: invited Hamas to become part of the Balistinian Balistan Liberation 226 00:12:11,920 --> 00:12:14,959 Speaker 3: organ They never wanted to. Hamas wanted to take things 227 00:12:15,200 --> 00:12:17,960 Speaker 3: their own way. Either their way or the highway, and 228 00:12:18,040 --> 00:12:20,600 Speaker 3: it seems that way are on the highway. So that 229 00:12:20,760 --> 00:12:24,839 Speaker 3: is where the situation is now. As I said, whether 230 00:12:25,000 --> 00:12:30,040 Speaker 3: Israel will be able to achieve what they are claiming 231 00:12:30,120 --> 00:12:31,440 Speaker 3: to do, I doubt that. 232 00:12:31,840 --> 00:12:34,960 Speaker 10: But on the other hand, in no way to say 233 00:12:35,000 --> 00:12:38,640 Speaker 10: that you were in favor of what's happening. The suppression 234 00:12:38,679 --> 00:12:42,000 Speaker 10: of Hamas ultimately needs to happen in some way. If 235 00:12:42,000 --> 00:12:43,800 Speaker 10: they're not going to come into the pl or if 236 00:12:43,840 --> 00:12:49,000 Speaker 10: they're not going to foreswear their armed struggle and join 237 00:12:49,080 --> 00:12:52,400 Speaker 10: in some international legitimacy, what needs to happen with Hamas? 238 00:12:52,960 --> 00:12:54,120 Speaker 4: What can you see happening? 239 00:12:54,320 --> 00:12:58,280 Speaker 3: Well, I think Hamas before October seven is one thing, 240 00:12:58,360 --> 00:13:02,600 Speaker 3: and Hamas after point and so, and therefore, I think 241 00:13:03,200 --> 00:13:05,400 Speaker 3: if they are ready to come to ground, to an 242 00:13:05,400 --> 00:13:10,720 Speaker 3: agreement and really accept the political platform of the blow, 243 00:13:10,920 --> 00:13:15,679 Speaker 3: accept the tools of struggle, because this is an important 244 00:13:15,920 --> 00:13:20,360 Speaker 3: point of difference between us and them, and then there 245 00:13:20,440 --> 00:13:24,600 Speaker 3: will be a room for talk. Otherwise it's just simply 246 00:13:25,000 --> 00:13:28,280 Speaker 3: things will continue to be the same. And even Palestinians 247 00:13:28,840 --> 00:13:32,560 Speaker 3: should not be divided. We have been divided. Unfortunately. Hamas 248 00:13:32,920 --> 00:13:36,199 Speaker 3: took over Gaza by force in two thousand and seven 249 00:13:36,280 --> 00:13:38,880 Speaker 3: and this should not have lasted for seventeen years. 250 00:13:39,440 --> 00:13:42,400 Speaker 2: That was the Palaestinian Prime Minister, Mohamachsdai. They're speaking to 251 00:13:42,760 --> 00:13:46,600 Speaker 2: Bloomberg's Israel Bureau chief, Ethan Browner, and Ethan joins us 252 00:13:46,640 --> 00:13:50,319 Speaker 2: now for more, Ethan, is this a realistic plan from 253 00:13:50,360 --> 00:13:53,640 Speaker 2: the Palestinian prime minister for governing Gaza after the war? 254 00:13:56,080 --> 00:13:58,959 Speaker 10: Well, I mean that's a great question. Look, there are 255 00:13:59,000 --> 00:14:02,040 Speaker 10: no realistic plan right now. In every direction you look, 256 00:14:02,120 --> 00:14:06,240 Speaker 10: you see an enormous obstacle. The idea that there has 257 00:14:06,320 --> 00:14:09,920 Speaker 10: to be a Palestinian administrative force in charge of a 258 00:14:09,960 --> 00:14:14,600 Speaker 10: group of Palestinians in Gossam makes enormous sense. Now, what 259 00:14:14,640 --> 00:14:17,640 Speaker 10: the Prime Minister is saying is that after what goes 260 00:14:17,679 --> 00:14:19,840 Speaker 10: on now, after the seventh of October, in the war 261 00:14:19,880 --> 00:14:23,600 Speaker 10: that follows, that Hamas will perhaps be a chastened group 262 00:14:23,880 --> 00:14:26,600 Speaker 10: with a slightly different leadership, more willing to join the 263 00:14:26,640 --> 00:14:31,160 Speaker 10: PLO in its acceptance of the legitimacy of Israel. Of course, 264 00:14:31,200 --> 00:14:33,920 Speaker 10: the whole idea of Hamas from its birth in the 265 00:14:34,000 --> 00:14:37,800 Speaker 10: late eighties was precisely because it refused ever. 266 00:14:37,680 --> 00:14:39,720 Speaker 4: To recognize the legitimacy of Israel. 267 00:14:39,800 --> 00:14:44,280 Speaker 10: So you know, it's an enormous change that he's thinking 268 00:14:44,400 --> 00:14:47,000 Speaker 10: is going to happen. They've tried for years to bring 269 00:14:47,040 --> 00:14:50,040 Speaker 10: them into the PLO and have failed, so it doesn't 270 00:14:50,120 --> 00:14:51,000 Speaker 10: look very likely. 271 00:14:51,040 --> 00:14:53,000 Speaker 4: On the other hand, the Israeli. 272 00:14:52,640 --> 00:14:55,000 Speaker 10: Argument that we're going to destroy Hamas and it will 273 00:14:55,000 --> 00:14:58,120 Speaker 10: never exist again also seems unrealistic to most people who 274 00:14:58,120 --> 00:15:00,120 Speaker 10: look at it. So there we are. 275 00:15:01,000 --> 00:15:05,400 Speaker 1: Yeah, and I thought it was a fascinating interview to 276 00:15:05,400 --> 00:15:10,760 Speaker 1: simply understand, you know, the difficulties that Mohammed ssta is in. Also, 277 00:15:11,040 --> 00:15:14,840 Speaker 1: he's also highly critical of Israel's Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. 278 00:15:15,000 --> 00:15:19,960 Speaker 1: Did you get the impression that this Palestinian leadership could 279 00:15:19,960 --> 00:15:21,800 Speaker 1: actually negotiate with Israel? 280 00:15:23,280 --> 00:15:26,880 Speaker 10: Well, with Anne Israel, but with this Israel it doesn't 281 00:15:26,920 --> 00:15:28,040 Speaker 10: seem at all likely. 282 00:15:28,120 --> 00:15:31,200 Speaker 4: I mean, they all despise one another right now. And 283 00:15:31,680 --> 00:15:32,720 Speaker 4: you know this, it's. 284 00:15:32,560 --> 00:15:34,840 Speaker 10: Also true that that Prime Minister in the tenn now, 285 00:15:34,920 --> 00:15:39,200 Speaker 10: in his very right wing government, is openly opposed to 286 00:15:39,240 --> 00:15:42,360 Speaker 10: a Palestinian state, which is the whole goal of the 287 00:15:42,400 --> 00:15:46,720 Speaker 10: Palestinian authority. So you know, there's a lot of a 288 00:15:46,760 --> 00:15:50,760 Speaker 10: lot of tension there. So I can't really see that 289 00:15:50,880 --> 00:15:53,960 Speaker 10: happening now. It's also fair to imagine that when this 290 00:15:54,040 --> 00:15:57,640 Speaker 10: war ends a certain point, there will be perhaps new 291 00:15:57,640 --> 00:16:00,720 Speaker 10: elections in Israel and perhaps a slightly different set of 292 00:16:00,840 --> 00:16:03,920 Speaker 10: characters in charge, and that could make a difference. But 293 00:16:04,680 --> 00:16:07,520 Speaker 10: I mean, I think we're in a very very difficult place, 294 00:16:07,560 --> 00:16:10,840 Speaker 10: which is why there is so much destruction underway. 295 00:16:12,160 --> 00:16:17,280 Speaker 2: Muhammasdays still did emphasize how invested the Palestinian Authority, the 296 00:16:17,320 --> 00:16:20,920 Speaker 2: Palestinian Rational Organization is in Gaza as well, talking about 297 00:16:21,080 --> 00:16:25,080 Speaker 2: the employees that they still have working there as well. 298 00:16:26,120 --> 00:16:29,200 Speaker 2: He also seemed optimistic about the idea that perhaps a 299 00:16:29,280 --> 00:16:33,400 Speaker 2: crisis could leave an opening for a bigger peace negotiation. 300 00:16:33,960 --> 00:16:35,760 Speaker 2: Took us through what he had to say about that. 301 00:16:36,800 --> 00:16:39,840 Speaker 10: Yeah, so on the first point, this is the case. 302 00:16:39,920 --> 00:16:41,560 Speaker 10: I mean, just it's you know, it's hard for everyone 303 00:16:41,560 --> 00:16:45,200 Speaker 10: to keep in mind the history. But between the mid 304 00:16:45,280 --> 00:16:48,280 Speaker 10: nineties and two thousand and seven, when Hamas threw the 305 00:16:48,360 --> 00:16:51,960 Speaker 10: Palastinian Authority out, the Palatine Authority ran Gaza, as it 306 00:16:52,000 --> 00:16:53,840 Speaker 10: did the West Bank, and. 307 00:16:54,280 --> 00:16:57,800 Speaker 4: It had twenty five thirty forty thousand. 308 00:16:57,440 --> 00:17:02,880 Speaker 10: Employees left there it was thrown out and kept paying them. 309 00:17:03,080 --> 00:17:04,760 Speaker 4: Now, some of them kept working in the. 310 00:17:04,720 --> 00:17:08,720 Speaker 10: Health ministry and the schools the security forces. Some twenty 311 00:17:08,800 --> 00:17:10,840 Speaker 10: thousand of them just stayed home and got paid for 312 00:17:10,880 --> 00:17:15,000 Speaker 10: the last fifteen or seventeen years. So what he's saying is, look, 313 00:17:15,040 --> 00:17:17,840 Speaker 10: we have people on the ground, this is not foreign 314 00:17:18,040 --> 00:17:19,120 Speaker 10: territory to us. 315 00:17:19,440 --> 00:17:22,480 Speaker 4: We can get going right away. So that's the idea 316 00:17:22,800 --> 00:17:23,200 Speaker 4: of that. 317 00:17:24,160 --> 00:17:27,159 Speaker 10: In terms of there being a kind of international conference 318 00:17:27,480 --> 00:17:31,680 Speaker 10: to establish peace between Israel and the Palestinians, that's an 319 00:17:31,720 --> 00:17:34,200 Speaker 10: idea that the Palestinians have pushed for many, many years 320 00:17:34,240 --> 00:17:38,040 Speaker 10: because they feel impotent alone against the Israelis. The Israelis 321 00:17:38,080 --> 00:17:41,720 Speaker 10: have always rejected it because they consider the international community 322 00:17:41,760 --> 00:17:44,440 Speaker 10: to be too hostile, much of it especially at the. 323 00:17:44,480 --> 00:17:46,679 Speaker 4: UN, and it has been a non starter. 324 00:17:46,800 --> 00:17:49,480 Speaker 10: And by the way, it's also true that what the 325 00:17:49,520 --> 00:17:50,880 Speaker 10: Palstinian Prime Minister. 326 00:17:50,720 --> 00:17:53,679 Speaker 4: Wants is full membership for. 327 00:17:53,640 --> 00:17:57,320 Speaker 10: The Palestinian Authority for the State of Palestine in the UN, 328 00:17:57,400 --> 00:18:01,359 Speaker 10: something which the US Congress has specifically voted. Again, so 329 00:18:02,119 --> 00:18:05,320 Speaker 10: as I say, a lot of no exit signs in 330 00:18:05,359 --> 00:18:06,320 Speaker 10: all directions. 331 00:18:07,880 --> 00:18:11,720 Speaker 1: On a last but very important point, we've also been 332 00:18:11,760 --> 00:18:14,920 Speaker 1: hearing and played for the clip of the Israeli prime 333 00:18:14,920 --> 00:18:18,280 Speaker 1: ministers speaking in Hebrew making this direct threat to Hesbala 334 00:18:18,280 --> 00:18:22,520 Speaker 1: that Israel would turn Beirut and southern Lebanon into Gaza 335 00:18:22,560 --> 00:18:25,440 Speaker 1: and Han Yunis if it opens an all out war. 336 00:18:26,080 --> 00:18:28,760 Speaker 1: In your assessment, Ethan, how much of a risk, how 337 00:18:28,840 --> 00:18:31,120 Speaker 1: much of people thinking about that now? 338 00:18:31,800 --> 00:18:33,120 Speaker 4: Well, this is an enormous risk. 339 00:18:33,200 --> 00:18:36,040 Speaker 10: This is something the Israeli leadership has said from day one, 340 00:18:36,280 --> 00:18:41,480 Speaker 10: since October seventh, that if Hesbalah thinks it's going to 341 00:18:41,520 --> 00:18:45,720 Speaker 10: start raining down missiles on Israel and join Hamas in 342 00:18:45,800 --> 00:18:48,880 Speaker 10: this war, that it is going to and has used 343 00:18:48,880 --> 00:18:52,720 Speaker 10: those exact words turn Beirut into Gaza, into Gaza City. 344 00:18:52,840 --> 00:18:56,840 Speaker 10: So a good portion of the Israeli air force is 345 00:18:57,080 --> 00:18:58,640 Speaker 10: up north in Israel. 346 00:18:58,960 --> 00:19:01,360 Speaker 4: Ready to fail. Southern Lebanon. 347 00:19:01,480 --> 00:19:04,480 Speaker 10: An enormous, enormous damage would be done, which I think 348 00:19:04,560 --> 00:19:09,080 Speaker 10: is probably understood by Nasala, the leader of his Bola, 349 00:19:09,200 --> 00:19:11,760 Speaker 10: and by the leadership there, and one of the reasons, 350 00:19:11,800 --> 00:19:14,920 Speaker 10: perhaps the main reason it has not become more involved 351 00:19:14,920 --> 00:19:15,480 Speaker 10: in this war. 352 00:19:16,800 --> 00:19:19,560 Speaker 2: This is Bloomberg Daybreak Europe, your morning brief on the 353 00:19:19,600 --> 00:19:22,680 Speaker 2: stories making news from London to Wall Street and beyond. 354 00:19:22,920 --> 00:19:26,119 Speaker 1: Look for us on your podcast feed every morning, on Apple, 355 00:19:26,280 --> 00:19:28,960 Speaker 1: Spotify and anywhere else you get your podcasts. 356 00:19:29,000 --> 00:19:32,000 Speaker 2: You can also listen live each morning on London DAB Radio, 357 00:19:32,080 --> 00:19:34,760 Speaker 2: the Bloomberg Business app, and Bloomberg dot Com. 358 00:19:34,800 --> 00:19:37,560 Speaker 1: Our flagship New York station, is also available on your 359 00:19:37,600 --> 00:19:42,320 Speaker 1: Amazon Alexa devices. Just say Alexa Play Bloomberg eleven thirty. 360 00:19:42,560 --> 00:19:45,200 Speaker 2: I'm Caroline Hepka and I'm Stephen Carroll. Join us again 361 00:19:45,240 --> 00:19:47,840 Speaker 2: tomorrow morning for all the news you need to start 362 00:19:47,880 --> 00:19:54,480 Speaker 2: your day right here on Bloomberg Daybreak Europe