WEBVTT - Bloomberg Businessweek Weekend - September 14th, 2019

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week from Bloomberg Radio. Hi, I'm

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<v Speaker 1>Jason Kelley and I'm Carol Master. Welcome to the Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 1>Business Week Weekend podcast. Well this week, Carol, it's a

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<v Speaker 1>special show highlights from our broadcast this week from Columbia

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<v Speaker 1>Business School. We went uptown and what a day. What

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<v Speaker 1>a great day, smack in the middle of the Columbia

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<v Speaker 1>University campus on College Walk, and we caught up with

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<v Speaker 1>the school's dean, professors and also some of its many

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<v Speaker 1>prominent alumni. And among the most prominent James Gorman. He

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<v Speaker 1>is the chairman and CEO of Morgan Stanley. We caught

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<v Speaker 1>him for a really interesting conversation after he had spent

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<v Speaker 1>about an hour with a lunch and learned with students.

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<v Speaker 1>If you're a Columbia Business school, so how cool is

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<v Speaker 1>that to be able to sit down It was cool

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<v Speaker 1>for us to sit down with him as well. It

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<v Speaker 1>was indeed. First up, though, we begin with a preview

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<v Speaker 1>with Joel Webber, the editor of Bloomberg Business Week. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>and it appears, Joel Webber, that this is not your

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<v Speaker 1>first time on campus. In the last couple of weeks

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<v Speaker 1>you were here taking a class this week. Yeah. They

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<v Speaker 1>let me attend a class last week business analytics too,

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<v Speaker 1>with Professor Daniel Guetta, which did you take the pre record,

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<v Speaker 1>which means I didn't have to take business and they

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<v Speaker 1>just let you skip ahead. So that was great, except

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<v Speaker 1>then you show up in the class and it's like,

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<v Speaker 1>what's going on here? Are you ready for linear regression?

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<v Speaker 1>And that's what I got to sit through an hour

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<v Speaker 1>and a half of linear aggression. Honestly, it was amazing

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<v Speaker 1>because of how well taught that class was. Professor Guerta

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<v Speaker 1>made it all very approachable. The students were amazing. It

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<v Speaker 1>was so there was such an ingred engaged group of

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<v Speaker 1>intelligent people asking really insightful questions, and he would repeatedly

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<v Speaker 1>be like, no, we're coming back back to that question

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<v Speaker 1>in two weeks, just push pause in it right now.

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<v Speaker 1>So you end up just having this little sneak peek

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<v Speaker 1>of of what an amazing school to Columbia's. One of

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<v Speaker 1>the things that wanted to make sure we talked to

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<v Speaker 1>you about was this notion that we're coming up on

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<v Speaker 1>sort of the second version candidly under your watch of

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<v Speaker 1>the business school rankings, you have to be fair, like

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<v Speaker 1>really expanded this franchise in a big way, invested heavily

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<v Speaker 1>in an ongoing series of stories. Why, like, what what

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<v Speaker 1>do you see in business schools that's so relevant to

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<v Speaker 1>the business audience. The thesis here is that the nexus

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<v Speaker 1>that you get between the business schools and alumni networks

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<v Speaker 1>and the students that are coming through, that's why people

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<v Speaker 1>come to business school. You get a crash course in

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<v Speaker 1>the you know, the greatest business curriculum you can get,

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<v Speaker 1>but then you also get the case study feeling that

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<v Speaker 1>comes from real world applications. So for us, we look

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<v Speaker 1>at that, we look at the stories we do in

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<v Speaker 1>many ways as as case studies and and kind of

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<v Speaker 1>making the world of business come to life via story

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<v Speaker 1>is what we do in the page of Business Week,

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<v Speaker 1>which is not that dissimilar from what's happening in a

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<v Speaker 1>classroom setting either. So for us, this just feels like

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<v Speaker 1>the water that we swim in and the air that

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<v Speaker 1>we breathe in. And Columbia really embodies the spirit because

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<v Speaker 1>of you know, we're we're witnessing it here with with

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<v Speaker 1>Mr Gorman today, like this is a powerful place to play. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>I think about the surveys that you guys do and

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<v Speaker 1>you really kind of dice and slice what goes on

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<v Speaker 1>in a business school community. But it is interesting because

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<v Speaker 1>you figure out the nuances that kind of make each

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<v Speaker 1>NBA program distinct. One of them about Columbia is you

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<v Speaker 1>know here you are in New York City. Yeah, so

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<v Speaker 1>New York City is part of it. I think the

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<v Speaker 1>big thing that we really leaned into with the way

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<v Speaker 1>that we've done rankings and really why you know, thirty

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<v Speaker 1>years into this, we've doubled down on it and really

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<v Speaker 1>found the our DNA with it, which is data, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>and leaning into how do we make this data set

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<v Speaker 1>be extraordinary? And you get that from talking to alumni,

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<v Speaker 1>from talking to current students and and other business schools

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<v Speaker 1>and all of that stuff together you get there's there's

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<v Speaker 1>messages in that data, which frankly brings me back to

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<v Speaker 1>that business analytics class too, that which is, look, you've

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<v Speaker 1>got a data set, and maybe that data set is

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<v Speaker 1>ever expanding because that's what you're going to be looking

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<v Speaker 1>at if you're at a company, right, how do you

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<v Speaker 1>make sense of it? And where are the little nuggets

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<v Speaker 1>inside of that? That is a business leader you can

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<v Speaker 1>have takeaways that apply and benefit from at your company.

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<v Speaker 1>So between sitting in on that class level, let's point

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<v Speaker 1>that out again, but also even being here today, like

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<v Speaker 1>what's the ethos of Columbia? I mean I would put

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<v Speaker 1>this to Carol as well, because you worked here and

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<v Speaker 1>you have a great sense in just like what is

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<v Speaker 1>it about Columbia? New York City obviously is a big

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<v Speaker 1>piece of it, but what is it about this place? Well,

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<v Speaker 1>I'll bring it back to their tagline. Have you seen

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<v Speaker 1>that one yet? At the very center of business? Right?

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<v Speaker 1>I think that really does embody it because here we

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<v Speaker 1>are in New York. You can't imagine a better setting

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<v Speaker 1>setting for a business school when you have the real

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<v Speaker 1>world applications that are right outside your door. And that's

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<v Speaker 1>what you saw in Professor Gudes class was case study,

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<v Speaker 1>case study, case study, case study. It just is an

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<v Speaker 1>ending experiment, right, and and to be able to harness

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<v Speaker 1>that with the resources that a Columbia has, whether in

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<v Speaker 1>the classroom or with the alumni network, gairly powerful place?

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<v Speaker 1>Do you think as this Well, I was thinking about

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<v Speaker 1>when I worked here. I got my undergraduate at bar

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<v Speaker 1>right across the street, but I worked at the business

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<v Speaker 1>schools an undergrad, and I just think also the connection

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<v Speaker 1>with Wall Street and the role of money. And I'm

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<v Speaker 1>not trying to you know, money makes things happen, and

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<v Speaker 1>whether you're an entrepreneur and you start something and ultimately

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<v Speaker 1>you need an investor, you know that helps you get

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<v Speaker 1>that started. I just think that connection made this schools

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<v Speaker 1>something really special. I think that's absolutely right, and that

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<v Speaker 1>entrepreneurs entrepreneurship spirit here routinely. It's it's among the things

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<v Speaker 1>that comes through in the surveys and the data that

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<v Speaker 1>we see. Uh and and you see it, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>in the classroom, because that's a place that people can

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<v Speaker 1>harness it and take it out and apply it to

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<v Speaker 1>whatever your big idea is. Why even the conversation we

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<v Speaker 1>had with Senorico Marquetti, I mean he was a banker

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<v Speaker 1>who then came here and said, Okay, I'm gonna start

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<v Speaker 1>a company. I'm not sure what it is, but I'm

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<v Speaker 1>going to learn about retail. I'm gonna learn about marketing

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<v Speaker 1>and learn about entrepreneurship, and and then he scales it.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah and yeah, and you know, I don't know if

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<v Speaker 1>somebody could scale that business idea or that business model

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<v Speaker 1>as effectively as you might have had you had a

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<v Speaker 1>linear regression class that it's like, you know, maybe you're

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<v Speaker 1>not gonna do it every day, but you're gonna probably

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<v Speaker 1>talking to somebody who can do it for you. And

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<v Speaker 1>that's Joel Weber, the editor of Bloomberg Business Week, joining

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<v Speaker 1>us at Columbia. He had actually gone to a class

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<v Speaker 1>the week before. He's a pretty confident guy. I think

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<v Speaker 1>he was a little humbled by his experience in that

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<v Speaker 1>class room. We want to talk about the global economy. Now,

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<v Speaker 1>I'm at Candle wall Is, Columbia Business School, Professor of

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<v Speaker 1>International Development and Economics joining us. Now, I'm a you

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<v Speaker 1>cover a lot in terms of what is so relevant

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<v Speaker 1>to the world right now you're sitting down with a

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<v Speaker 1>group of students. What are the things you want to

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<v Speaker 1>bring into the classroom that relates to the real world

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<v Speaker 1>and what's happening. Sure, So at Columbia, I teach two

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<v Speaker 1>kinds of courses. So I teach one core course that

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<v Speaker 1>all incoming NBA students will will take. UM. This is

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<v Speaker 1>a core course in manageri economics. So what we do

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<v Speaker 1>in this class, which is not so much global related,

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<v Speaker 1>but our general principles that we UM that we try

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<v Speaker 1>to instill UM is for students to learn the basics

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<v Speaker 1>of how to take data on the market environment and

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<v Speaker 1>try to figure out what prices they might be charging,

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<v Speaker 1>how to how to manage their revenue and product lines. UM.

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<v Speaker 1>We consider what are the implications of their business decisions

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<v Speaker 1>when they are reacting in an environment with competitors and

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<v Speaker 1>and and consumers who may be responding as well. So

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<v Speaker 1>think about kind of your classics supply and demand market conditions. UM.

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<v Speaker 1>One of the things that we try to do with

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<v Speaker 1>Columbia is to not only show when the market kind

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<v Speaker 1>of can provide the allocation of resources that we think

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<v Speaker 1>is efficient, but also to kind of think very carefully

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<v Speaker 1>about what are the conditions under which the market may

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<v Speaker 1>not be living up to what we think should be

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<v Speaker 1>going on. So that would be your your examples of

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<v Speaker 1>um uh just issues of fairness UM or should we

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<v Speaker 1>have things like search pricing. It can lead to an

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<v Speaker 1>efficient outcome, but it may not be very fair for

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<v Speaker 1>some consumers. UM. What happens in the market when a

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<v Speaker 1>fire and a seller arrive uh into a marketplace where

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<v Speaker 1>they've got differences in information um. And so this is

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<v Speaker 1>actually very relevant for very important markets like healthcare, where

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<v Speaker 1>the provider of the service has different information than than

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<v Speaker 1>the buyers the service, and and we know that classic

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<v Speaker 1>economics of the market outcomes can actually can maybe not

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<v Speaker 1>deliver UM the best outcomes in those situations. Uh. And

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<v Speaker 1>we also consider things UM related to strategic decision making

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<v Speaker 1>game theory, which is a very uh common set of

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<v Speaker 1>tools that are taught in an NBA program. But we

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<v Speaker 1>also discuss things like auction auction designs UM for instance,

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<v Speaker 1>so Google and Facebook now made the vast majority of

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<v Speaker 1>their revenues off of designing auctions. We will go through

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<v Speaker 1>the very basics of of how you would bid in

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<v Speaker 1>an auction like the one that Google sets up, How

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<v Speaker 1>would you set up an auction and so so that's

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<v Speaker 1>very much a kind of a set of things that

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<v Speaker 1>we do in the in in in my core course.

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<v Speaker 1>And then you also look at the international sort of

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<v Speaker 1>trade landscape as well. That's correct. So I also teach

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<v Speaker 1>a an elective course on doing business and emerging markets.

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<v Speaker 1>And there's a starting point if you think about what

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<v Speaker 1>is different about an emerging market relative to to to

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<v Speaker 1>a develp country like the US is really the one

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<v Speaker 1>which the markets are not working as as well as

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<v Speaker 1>we think. So the capital markets might be broken down,

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<v Speaker 1>the labor markets might be broken down, this weak rule

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<v Speaker 1>of law. And what I try to do is to

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<v Speaker 1>walk through, UM the core strategies that a company UM

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<v Speaker 1>that's maybe based in the US would need to consider

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<v Speaker 1>as they enter these environments. UM. What are the parts

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<v Speaker 1>and products and services that might be very beneficial in

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<v Speaker 1>these environments where the market is broken down? UM? As

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<v Speaker 1>well as to think about what are the UM what

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<v Speaker 1>is the role of a business in a society where

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<v Speaker 1>we where the corruption levels very high, UM and so forth,

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<v Speaker 1>and what should be under I want to make sure

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<v Speaker 1>we ask you about this this bit of research, didn't

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<v Speaker 1>you did? That caught a huge amount of attention, including

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<v Speaker 1>on the Bloomberg which was about the effects of the

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<v Speaker 1>trade war. UH. And I think some, if not unintended consequences,

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<v Speaker 1>some surprising consequences tell us about that, right, So outside

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<v Speaker 1>of the classroom, I I as you said, I'm an

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<v Speaker 1>international trade economist. UM. I recently was involved in a

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<v Speaker 1>project where we UM, we're looking at the impacts of

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<v Speaker 1>the tariffs on on the U S economy. UM. If

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<v Speaker 1>you think about what are the tariffs should do? So

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<v Speaker 1>imagine a country like the US imposted the tariff UM.

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<v Speaker 1>There's kind of a sequence of events that happened. So

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<v Speaker 1>one is that the tariffs are a tax on imports. UM.

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<v Speaker 1>Consumers are gonna start to see potentially rising prices on

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<v Speaker 1>imported goods, so they should kind of switch towards domestic

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<v Speaker 1>goods UM. And so that means that there's going to

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<v Speaker 1>be a transfer from US consumers wore potentially paying higher

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<v Speaker 1>prices to US producers who are potentially benefiting from higher

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<v Speaker 1>prices UH. And then the government collects the tariff revenue.

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<v Speaker 1>And so one of the goals of this exercise was

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<v Speaker 1>to kind of calculate what is the overall effect and

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<v Speaker 1>and what are the transfers that that are going on.

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<v Speaker 1>One of the surprising things that we found in in

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<v Speaker 1>in this in this research was when you look at

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<v Speaker 1>the at the data UM and you kind of charted

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<v Speaker 1>the time path of what happens to goods that are

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<v Speaker 1>being targeted with terriffs as they come into the US.

0:10:59.760 --> 0:11:02.240
<v Speaker 1>Is a really important number for an economist is to

0:11:02.320 --> 0:11:05.800
<v Speaker 1>understand what happens to the prices of those goods UM.

0:11:05.840 --> 0:11:09.680
<v Speaker 1>And we have heard from from the President, for instance,

0:11:09.720 --> 0:11:12.760
<v Speaker 1>to say who says that the that the Chinese, that

0:11:12.840 --> 0:11:14.880
<v Speaker 1>the Chinese will be paying for the tariffs. And in

0:11:14.880 --> 0:11:17.040
<v Speaker 1>principle that is possible. And the way that could work

0:11:17.080 --> 0:11:19.640
<v Speaker 1>is that if the U S imposes a tariff, the

0:11:19.720 --> 0:11:23.520
<v Speaker 1>Chinese exporter may lower her price down to such a

0:11:23.520 --> 0:11:26.800
<v Speaker 1>point so that the post tariff price actually doesn't change

0:11:26.800 --> 0:11:28.600
<v Speaker 1>for the U S. Consumer. And that's possible, and that

0:11:28.840 --> 0:11:31.920
<v Speaker 1>would be a consider a condition under which the Chinese

0:11:31.960 --> 0:11:34.520
<v Speaker 1>is essentially eating the tariff um. And but when we

0:11:34.520 --> 0:11:36.160
<v Speaker 1>look at the data, we in fact that's in fact

0:11:36.200 --> 0:11:38.920
<v Speaker 1>not what's going on. UM. The split, of course, could

0:11:38.960 --> 0:11:41.400
<v Speaker 1>be anywhere between zero percent and percent, and what we

0:11:41.480 --> 0:11:44.120
<v Speaker 1>find is that the U S consumers or the U

0:11:44.160 --> 0:11:47.560
<v Speaker 1>S economy is actually bearing the full incidents of the tariff.

0:11:47.679 --> 0:11:50.600
<v Speaker 1>So that's am it. Candlewall, of course, professor of Global

0:11:50.600 --> 0:11:54.120
<v Speaker 1>Business at Columbia love getting his perspective because I think,

0:11:54.240 --> 0:11:57.680
<v Speaker 1>you know, we constantly have conversations about US China different

0:11:57.679 --> 0:12:00.880
<v Speaker 1>perspectives from investors, from politics, ships, but I think it's

0:12:00.960 --> 0:12:03.240
<v Speaker 1>nice to go back to academia and see how they

0:12:03.240 --> 0:12:05.480
<v Speaker 1>see it. Well. And I'm glad you said that because

0:12:05.559 --> 0:12:07.240
<v Speaker 1>one of the things that I was thinking throughout our

0:12:07.280 --> 0:12:11.640
<v Speaker 1>time at Columbia Business School was a business degree is

0:12:11.720 --> 0:12:15.960
<v Speaker 1>only as good as its applicability in a lot of ways.

0:12:16.040 --> 0:12:18.240
<v Speaker 1>And I do think one of the things we heard

0:12:18.320 --> 0:12:20.880
<v Speaker 1>throughout our time at Columbia. We heard it, dare I say,

0:12:20.920 --> 0:12:23.920
<v Speaker 1>from Stanford. We heard it, dare I say from Harvard

0:12:23.960 --> 0:12:27.959
<v Speaker 1>as well, is these deans, these faculty, they're under a

0:12:28.000 --> 0:12:29.880
<v Speaker 1>lot of pressure to us. And you say, yeah, cool,

0:12:30.040 --> 0:12:33.600
<v Speaker 1>that's some interesting theory. How does this apply in the

0:12:33.640 --> 0:12:35.760
<v Speaker 1>real world? So, and I think what's interesting. You'll hear

0:12:35.800 --> 0:12:38.240
<v Speaker 1>this later on in some of our conversations. This point

0:12:38.360 --> 0:12:43.080
<v Speaker 1>of so many different disciplines that are crucial and having

0:12:43.080 --> 0:12:48.120
<v Speaker 1>a successful business. So whether it's psychology, whether it's technology, marketing,

0:12:48.559 --> 0:12:50.280
<v Speaker 1>you know, all of it kind of has to be

0:12:50.320 --> 0:12:53.079
<v Speaker 1>in the room when you're putting together a business plan

0:12:53.200 --> 0:12:55.040
<v Speaker 1>or running a business. It's also one thing to read

0:12:55.080 --> 0:12:58.400
<v Speaker 1>a book. It's another thing to have a conversation with someone.

0:12:58.600 --> 0:13:00.640
<v Speaker 1>And another thing. Later on the show, we're going to

0:13:00.679 --> 0:13:04.760
<v Speaker 1>hear about from a very well known yogurt maker, Ziggy.

0:13:05.280 --> 0:13:08.000
<v Speaker 1>He talks about the idea of some of the people

0:13:08.080 --> 0:13:12.040
<v Speaker 1>he was exposed to. We hear from Federico Marquetti. He

0:13:12.160 --> 0:13:15.160
<v Speaker 1>started you he got to spend some time back in

0:13:15.200 --> 0:13:17.400
<v Speaker 1>the day with Mickey Drexeler, you know what I mean,

0:13:17.480 --> 0:13:19.120
<v Speaker 1>the guy who worked at the Gap, who who helped

0:13:19.160 --> 0:13:21.320
<v Speaker 1>create Ja grew. Well, it's such an important aspect of

0:13:21.360 --> 0:13:23.360
<v Speaker 1>this because one of the folks that we talked to,

0:13:23.440 --> 0:13:26.880
<v Speaker 1>of course, is James Gorman. He's the chairman and CEO

0:13:26.960 --> 0:13:30.240
<v Speaker 1>of Morgan Stanley, a Columbia Business School alumnus. He spent

0:13:30.360 --> 0:13:33.439
<v Speaker 1>time in the class before coming to talk with us

0:13:33.800 --> 0:13:37.000
<v Speaker 1>at our special broadcast. But that's what's neat about these

0:13:37.000 --> 0:13:40.200
<v Speaker 1>business schools. You have access to folks that are out

0:13:40.240 --> 0:13:43.480
<v Speaker 1>in the business world, out in the financial community, folks

0:13:43.520 --> 0:13:45.600
<v Speaker 1>who have learned things at the school but have had

0:13:45.640 --> 0:13:47.720
<v Speaker 1>to put it to work, and so that's just a

0:13:47.720 --> 0:13:57.640
<v Speaker 1>great asset. So everything we do at Homeworker Play has

0:13:57.640 --> 0:14:00.199
<v Speaker 1>a digital element to it because it Mets is that

0:14:00.280 --> 0:14:04.640
<v Speaker 1>assistant professor Business that the management group within Columbia Business

0:14:04.640 --> 0:14:08.480
<v Speaker 1>schools focusing on manager he focuses to on all things digital.

0:14:08.720 --> 0:14:11.080
<v Speaker 1>It's so nice to have you here on Bloomberg. Tell

0:14:11.160 --> 0:14:13.840
<v Speaker 1>us a little bit about um. What's the typical class

0:14:13.880 --> 0:14:17.120
<v Speaker 1>for you in terms of what you're teaching. It's interesting

0:14:17.120 --> 0:14:19.920
<v Speaker 1>because the class that I'm teaching is not that much

0:14:19.920 --> 0:14:22.240
<v Speaker 1>related to everything digital that I study, And so I

0:14:22.280 --> 0:14:25.680
<v Speaker 1>teach managerial negotiations, which is really trying to help students

0:14:26.000 --> 0:14:28.800
<v Speaker 1>make the most of the interpersonal relationships that they have

0:14:28.880 --> 0:14:32.760
<v Speaker 1>obviously negotiating at work, negotiating with customers, their colleagues, their boss.

0:14:33.040 --> 0:14:35.680
<v Speaker 1>They personally are using data to do that, right, they

0:14:35.720 --> 0:14:38.200
<v Speaker 1>do that, and so I think it's it's part of

0:14:38.240 --> 0:14:40.120
<v Speaker 1>the class. So it's trying to figure out, how can

0:14:40.160 --> 0:14:42.360
<v Speaker 1>I learn about my counterpart, how can I learn what

0:14:42.400 --> 0:14:45.040
<v Speaker 1>they care about and use that in my negotiation. And

0:14:45.080 --> 0:14:47.080
<v Speaker 1>I think to some extent, you could actually do that

0:14:47.240 --> 0:14:49.480
<v Speaker 1>looking at what is it that they do online, stalking

0:14:49.480 --> 0:14:52.480
<v Speaker 1>their Facebook profile, looking at their company website, so all

0:14:52.480 --> 0:14:55.920
<v Speaker 1>these things could technically go into the decisions that you make. Well,

0:14:55.960 --> 0:14:57.960
<v Speaker 1>And it's interesting that this is an offering in it

0:14:58.080 --> 0:15:00.560
<v Speaker 1>in part, it's not surprising at think we talked to

0:15:00.600 --> 0:15:03.480
<v Speaker 1>the dean you know earlier, who was talking about how

0:15:03.760 --> 0:15:06.440
<v Speaker 1>this isn't just sort of like six MBAs who sort

0:15:06.440 --> 0:15:08.280
<v Speaker 1>of all look alike getting in a room and making

0:15:08.280 --> 0:15:11.040
<v Speaker 1>a decision. This is, you know, a couple of managers,

0:15:11.080 --> 0:15:14.440
<v Speaker 1>a couple of engineers. You've got to be not just

0:15:14.880 --> 0:15:17.440
<v Speaker 1>you know, sort of conversive but almost fluent in the

0:15:17.520 --> 0:15:21.440
<v Speaker 1>ability to to talk to lots of different types of

0:15:21.480 --> 0:15:24.960
<v Speaker 1>folks from different backgrounds, etcetera. And I hope that's the

0:15:25.000 --> 0:15:27.280
<v Speaker 1>experience that the NBA is actually get out of this class,

0:15:27.320 --> 0:15:30.240
<v Speaker 1>is that not the same strategy isn't always successful. It's

0:15:30.240 --> 0:15:32.360
<v Speaker 1>not always the same situation that you can use the

0:15:32.400 --> 0:15:34.840
<v Speaker 1>same strategy, is not the same person that you would

0:15:34.880 --> 0:15:36.840
<v Speaker 1>use the same strategy. And I think the NBA actually

0:15:36.840 --> 0:15:39.920
<v Speaker 1>gives them a good overview of like diverse people to

0:15:39.920 --> 0:15:42.040
<v Speaker 1>to talk to. Psychology comes into this big. I think

0:15:42.080 --> 0:15:44.920
<v Speaker 1>about my sister who studied psychology for years and years

0:15:44.920 --> 0:15:46.320
<v Speaker 1>and years, and I think everybody was thought that was

0:15:46.400 --> 0:15:48.800
<v Speaker 1>kind of like a a side form of study, right,

0:15:49.040 --> 0:15:51.600
<v Speaker 1>but it is being you know, being incorporated into so

0:15:51.680 --> 0:15:54.000
<v Speaker 1>much of what we do, and that includes the business world.

0:15:54.640 --> 0:15:56.880
<v Speaker 1>So I actually get that question a lot when people

0:15:56.880 --> 0:15:59.120
<v Speaker 1>ask me, well, your degrees in psychology, what are you

0:15:59.160 --> 0:16:01.240
<v Speaker 1>doing in a business school? And I think my answer

0:16:01.280 --> 0:16:04.080
<v Speaker 1>is usually well, like, there's people working in organizations. Not

0:16:04.120 --> 0:16:06.600
<v Speaker 1>sure if you've noticed, but there's it's groups. Is like

0:16:06.640 --> 0:16:09.240
<v Speaker 1>there's group dynamics. It's interesting to see how do people

0:16:09.240 --> 0:16:12.080
<v Speaker 1>select into organizations, what makes them happy at the job

0:16:12.120 --> 0:16:14.320
<v Speaker 1>where it makes them productive. So there's a lot of

0:16:14.360 --> 0:16:17.600
<v Speaker 1>psychologists trying to understand like the dynamics that are going

0:16:17.640 --> 0:16:20.360
<v Speaker 1>on within organizations. So give us a sense of an

0:16:20.400 --> 0:16:23.480
<v Speaker 1>assignment or an exercise that you might give in this class.

0:16:23.520 --> 0:16:25.280
<v Speaker 1>So we do a lot of cases, and I think

0:16:25.360 --> 0:16:28.160
<v Speaker 1>that's what students benefit the most from is we throw

0:16:28.240 --> 0:16:30.240
<v Speaker 1>them into a situation. We tell them just this is

0:16:30.280 --> 0:16:32.880
<v Speaker 1>a role, take it on, assume that those are your

0:16:32.920 --> 0:16:35.760
<v Speaker 1>own preferences, and now go and negotiate. And I think

0:16:35.760 --> 0:16:38.000
<v Speaker 1>the biggest learning that they get is really the feedback

0:16:38.000 --> 0:16:40.240
<v Speaker 1>from the other students. So they're like, wait, like I

0:16:40.280 --> 0:16:42.360
<v Speaker 1>lost so much money on the table. I actually felt

0:16:42.360 --> 0:16:44.840
<v Speaker 1>pretty good about the outcome, like after the negotiation, but

0:16:44.880 --> 0:16:46.680
<v Speaker 1>now that I see what the case was actually about,

0:16:47.000 --> 0:16:48.800
<v Speaker 1>maybe I see I could have pushed a lot harder.

0:16:49.120 --> 0:16:50.880
<v Speaker 1>So I think it's this feedback that they get from

0:16:50.920 --> 0:16:53.120
<v Speaker 1>from the students and also just seeing like how well

0:16:53.120 --> 0:16:55.840
<v Speaker 1>did I actually perform in the negotiations and so is

0:16:55.920 --> 0:16:59.880
<v Speaker 1>there It feels like in some of these cases, because

0:17:00.040 --> 0:17:03.240
<v Speaker 1>it's not so clinical that there are some emotional aspects

0:17:03.360 --> 0:17:05.040
<v Speaker 1>to it. Are you are you pushing students out of

0:17:05.040 --> 0:17:07.160
<v Speaker 1>their comfort zones a little bit. So that's the that's

0:17:07.200 --> 0:17:08.919
<v Speaker 1>the plan, Like you could. I mean, you have this

0:17:09.000 --> 0:17:11.840
<v Speaker 1>saying that experience alone is a great teacher, and I

0:17:11.880 --> 0:17:13.879
<v Speaker 1>think to some extent it's true. So I always encouraged

0:17:13.920 --> 0:17:16.280
<v Speaker 1>them to go out there and while negotiate, But the

0:17:16.320 --> 0:17:18.159
<v Speaker 1>problem is that you don't get the feedback and you

0:17:18.200 --> 0:17:20.760
<v Speaker 1>don't experiment. I would not recommend to any of my

0:17:20.800 --> 0:17:23.320
<v Speaker 1>students to go into the next sceleery negotiation and try

0:17:23.320 --> 0:17:26.359
<v Speaker 1>out something entirely different, something that is completely outside of

0:17:26.400 --> 0:17:28.600
<v Speaker 1>their comfort zone. So that's what we do in class,

0:17:28.600 --> 0:17:30.320
<v Speaker 1>and it's just kind of providing the safe space for

0:17:30.359 --> 0:17:32.679
<v Speaker 1>people to experiment and to say, like, well this is

0:17:32.680 --> 0:17:35.200
<v Speaker 1>what I usually do, but maybe there's another strategy that's

0:17:35.280 --> 0:17:37.239
<v Speaker 1>much more successful. I have to ask you about one

0:17:37.240 --> 0:17:38.600
<v Speaker 1>of the studies that you did. I got a lot

0:17:38.600 --> 0:17:40.520
<v Speaker 1>of media attention. Um, I think you do this with

0:17:40.560 --> 0:17:42.720
<v Speaker 1>a colleague, and it basically found out that when it

0:17:42.720 --> 0:17:46.960
<v Speaker 1>comes to finances, nice guys and gals fall short. What

0:17:47.080 --> 0:17:50.000
<v Speaker 1>exactly is going on? So do you What we showed

0:17:50.320 --> 0:17:53.040
<v Speaker 1>is basically that people who have a certain personality trade

0:17:53.119 --> 0:17:55.359
<v Speaker 1>which we call agreeableness. So that's the idea of people

0:17:55.359 --> 0:17:58.720
<v Speaker 1>are nice, trusting, caring and pathetic, that those guys have

0:17:58.840 --> 0:18:01.520
<v Speaker 1>fewer savings. I a debt and I'm more likely to

0:18:01.600 --> 0:18:04.720
<v Speaker 1>default on loans and everything. Why is that so? I

0:18:04.760 --> 0:18:06.520
<v Speaker 1>think one of the reasons is that they just care

0:18:06.560 --> 0:18:09.080
<v Speaker 1>more about other people. And I think society has this

0:18:09.119 --> 0:18:11.720
<v Speaker 1>image of well, you can either care about money or

0:18:11.760 --> 0:18:14.800
<v Speaker 1>you care about other people. So there seems this almost

0:18:14.880 --> 0:18:17.600
<v Speaker 1>a false dichotomy saying, well, if you care about other people,

0:18:17.840 --> 0:18:19.879
<v Speaker 1>you should not care about money because that makes you

0:18:19.920 --> 0:18:23.000
<v Speaker 1>a lesser person. And I think agreeable people just place

0:18:23.320 --> 0:18:25.879
<v Speaker 1>almost too much emphasis on the people's side, where they

0:18:26.000 --> 0:18:29.400
<v Speaker 1>like neglecting their finances. Just think of someone will be agreeable,

0:18:29.440 --> 0:18:32.399
<v Speaker 1>basically is the left. I think it's a different lesson

0:18:32.520 --> 0:18:34.720
<v Speaker 1>so that that would be the sad news. I think

0:18:34.760 --> 0:18:37.400
<v Speaker 1>it's because like, agreeable people are the people who keep

0:18:37.440 --> 0:18:40.119
<v Speaker 1>society together. And I think it's the way that we

0:18:40.200 --> 0:18:42.960
<v Speaker 1>think about money as a society is just the wrong way,

0:18:43.040 --> 0:18:45.600
<v Speaker 1>because technically, if you care for your loved ones and

0:18:45.640 --> 0:18:46.960
<v Speaker 1>if you really want to make sure that they have

0:18:47.000 --> 0:18:49.080
<v Speaker 1>a good life to some extent, you should be caring

0:18:49.080 --> 0:18:51.320
<v Speaker 1>about finances because if you default and if you go

0:18:51.359 --> 0:18:54.360
<v Speaker 1>into debt. It's not just you suffering, but also your

0:18:54.440 --> 0:18:57.480
<v Speaker 1>loved ones. And that's Sandra mac is a system professor

0:18:57.680 --> 0:19:01.159
<v Speaker 1>of business, and we talk so much about technology and

0:19:01.200 --> 0:19:03.760
<v Speaker 1>how it plays in that clearly is on her mind,

0:19:04.040 --> 0:19:06.640
<v Speaker 1>but what's really on her mind is the mind and

0:19:06.680 --> 0:19:09.520
<v Speaker 1>how people are interacting with each other as human beings.

0:19:09.560 --> 0:19:11.800
<v Speaker 1>I love it. So while we were at Columbia Business

0:19:11.840 --> 0:19:14.240
<v Speaker 1>School this week, as you said Carol early in the show,

0:19:14.359 --> 0:19:16.800
<v Speaker 1>right there on College Walk in the midst of it,

0:19:16.800 --> 0:19:19.600
<v Speaker 1>it was like college game day for business schools. We

0:19:19.640 --> 0:19:22.280
<v Speaker 1>had a chance to sit down with James Gorman, he

0:19:22.320 --> 0:19:26.560
<v Speaker 1>is the Morgan Stanley chairman and CEO, back to the

0:19:26.600 --> 0:19:28.760
<v Speaker 1>campus where he was thirty years ago. Right. I love

0:19:28.800 --> 0:19:31.000
<v Speaker 1>to hear about his experience because he came from Australia,

0:19:31.080 --> 0:19:33.480
<v Speaker 1>was already a lawyer. But he talked about so many

0:19:33.480 --> 0:19:35.480
<v Speaker 1>different things. We of course did speak about the I

0:19:35.600 --> 0:19:38.840
<v Speaker 1>P O market, very timely, interest rates and as I said,

0:19:39.040 --> 0:19:41.240
<v Speaker 1>his time at Columbia. Yeah, it's like Columbia in the

0:19:41.280 --> 0:19:43.399
<v Speaker 1>mid eighties, and uh it was, you know, it was

0:19:43.400 --> 0:19:45.119
<v Speaker 1>a great experience. So it was it was fun. I

0:19:45.160 --> 0:19:47.080
<v Speaker 1>just did a lunch and loan Claus for about and

0:19:47.160 --> 0:19:50.440
<v Speaker 1>fifty kids and they had kids there. They went BOM

0:19:50.480 --> 0:19:52.359
<v Speaker 1>when I was a business school here. What do you

0:19:52.400 --> 0:19:53.960
<v Speaker 1>want to know from them when you're talking with them,

0:19:54.000 --> 0:19:56.000
<v Speaker 1>because I feel like the world that so many different industries,

0:19:56.040 --> 0:19:57.960
<v Speaker 1>your industry also going through lots of changes. What do

0:19:58.000 --> 0:20:00.159
<v Speaker 1>you want to hear from them? Well, it's what kind

0:20:00.160 --> 0:20:02.560
<v Speaker 1>of cultural what kind of company they're really looking to

0:20:02.640 --> 0:20:05.040
<v Speaker 1>work out? I mean, what what what matters to this

0:20:05.080 --> 0:20:07.600
<v Speaker 1>generation different from my generation? You know, I grew up

0:20:08.560 --> 0:20:11.320
<v Speaker 1>at a time when Solomon Brothers and Drexel and you know,

0:20:11.400 --> 0:20:13.119
<v Speaker 1>that was all the rage on Wall Street is a

0:20:13.320 --> 0:20:17.560
<v Speaker 1>very sort of hyper intense environment. I mean, these uh,

0:20:17.720 --> 0:20:20.680
<v Speaker 1>young folks there are much more interested in social impact,

0:20:21.119 --> 0:20:24.880
<v Speaker 1>um in the values of the organization and just trying

0:20:24.920 --> 0:20:27.280
<v Speaker 1>to share in exchange how we think about our role

0:20:27.320 --> 0:20:30.840
<v Speaker 1>in society as as an obviously global bank. Well let's

0:20:30.840 --> 0:20:34.520
<v Speaker 1>go all the way back to your arrival here on campus.

0:20:34.760 --> 0:20:38.119
<v Speaker 1>This was after that so long ago, but it was

0:20:38.160 --> 0:20:41.000
<v Speaker 1>a big move. I mean there it was defining in

0:20:41.040 --> 0:20:44.200
<v Speaker 1>a lot of ways. What do you remember most about

0:20:45.280 --> 0:20:47.600
<v Speaker 1>arriving and then what did you take Because you came

0:20:47.640 --> 0:20:50.280
<v Speaker 1>from Australia and you were a lawyer, already, right, yeah,

0:20:50.440 --> 0:20:52.440
<v Speaker 1>I can. I came here to sort of change careers.

0:20:52.520 --> 0:20:54.919
<v Speaker 1>What I remember most is the interest rate on my

0:20:55.000 --> 0:21:01.239
<v Speaker 1>student loan, which I think is a world record, right.

0:21:01.359 --> 0:21:03.200
<v Speaker 1>And I thought I'd died and gone to heaven because

0:21:03.240 --> 0:21:07.399
<v Speaker 1>America welcomed me to come here to learn to grow,

0:21:07.520 --> 0:21:10.480
<v Speaker 1>and and I just it was unbelievable. I arrived on

0:21:10.480 --> 0:21:14.719
<v Speaker 1>a very hot August day. August was that classic New

0:21:14.760 --> 0:21:17.720
<v Speaker 1>York's sweltering heat, and it just it was on you.

0:21:17.800 --> 0:21:19.800
<v Speaker 1>It was just it was so exciting on the campus

0:21:20.440 --> 0:21:25.320
<v Speaker 1>this university, which is you know, extraordinary. Um, I couldn't

0:21:25.359 --> 0:21:28.119
<v Speaker 1>I couldn't have been happier, honestly to be given that chance.

0:21:28.160 --> 0:21:31.640
<v Speaker 1>And that's why I think, you know, immigration, welcoming foreigners,

0:21:31.640 --> 0:21:34.400
<v Speaker 1>giving them an opportunity to contribute. And I'm still here, right,

0:21:34.520 --> 0:21:37.080
<v Speaker 1>you know, thirty past years later. Because you had an

0:21:37.080 --> 0:21:40.960
<v Speaker 1>experience living in International House, I believe, and so many

0:21:40.960 --> 0:21:42.800
<v Speaker 1>people are exposed to many different cultures. I mean, you

0:21:42.840 --> 0:21:45.320
<v Speaker 1>were living in it in a lot of ways. How

0:21:45.320 --> 0:21:48.040
<v Speaker 1>did that affect sort of your world view? I used

0:21:48.040 --> 0:21:51.600
<v Speaker 1>to play chess every Sunday night with a Danish guy

0:21:51.640 --> 0:21:54.560
<v Speaker 1>who listened to Frank Sinatra with candles on, you know,

0:21:55.000 --> 0:21:57.280
<v Speaker 1>in the dark, and it was so you know, and

0:21:57.560 --> 0:22:00.600
<v Speaker 1>one of my closest friends, uh I was from leon

0:22:00.680 --> 0:22:04.520
<v Speaker 1>in France and another guy from Morocco. Uh. So you

0:22:04.520 --> 0:22:08.080
<v Speaker 1>you you learned to experience the cultures and the diversity

0:22:08.160 --> 0:22:09.880
<v Speaker 1>that this world has. And one of the great things

0:22:09.880 --> 0:22:13.040
<v Speaker 1>about a university like this is it brings people like

0:22:13.200 --> 0:22:16.679
<v Speaker 1>that together who all motivated, they're all they're obviously uh

0:22:16.720 --> 0:22:19.560
<v Speaker 1>they're talented, uh and they want to move forward. So

0:22:19.680 --> 0:22:23.080
<v Speaker 1>I thought it was a tremendous experience. Well, having said that, James,

0:22:23.119 --> 0:22:24.800
<v Speaker 1>I do wonder what you think about kind of the

0:22:24.800 --> 0:22:28.000
<v Speaker 1>pushback that we're getting, um from the current administration when

0:22:28.000 --> 0:22:30.439
<v Speaker 1>it comes to folks coming in from other countries to

0:22:30.480 --> 0:22:33.200
<v Speaker 1>study here, maybe start companies here. But it's not that

0:22:33.400 --> 0:22:37.280
<v Speaker 1>happy an environment or hospitable environment for them right now. Yeah,

0:22:37.280 --> 0:22:41.439
<v Speaker 1>I mean I think, um, this country has always been

0:22:41.440 --> 0:22:45.720
<v Speaker 1>a country of immigrants, and uh celebrating and welcoming those

0:22:45.720 --> 0:22:48.600
<v Speaker 1>immigrants and seeing how they've contributed to this society here.

0:22:48.640 --> 0:22:51.439
<v Speaker 1>I mean, it's it's been one of the great elixas

0:22:51.480 --> 0:22:55.040
<v Speaker 1>of what's made America different is most countries people trying

0:22:55.040 --> 0:22:57.240
<v Speaker 1>to move out of to get a better life. This

0:22:57.320 --> 0:22:58.840
<v Speaker 1>is one of the few countries in the world in

0:22:58.880 --> 0:23:00.800
<v Speaker 1>Australia was like that where a lot of people are

0:23:00.800 --> 0:23:04.440
<v Speaker 1>trying to get into and I think welcoming those immigrants,

0:23:04.440 --> 0:23:07.880
<v Speaker 1>providing opportunities for them, obviously having sensible border control, which

0:23:07.920 --> 0:23:11.480
<v Speaker 1>I support. People shouldn't come here illegally, right I didn't

0:23:11.520 --> 0:23:14.240
<v Speaker 1>you come through passport control. You earn your way into

0:23:14.280 --> 0:23:17.120
<v Speaker 1>this country, you set the tests, you I became a citizen.

0:23:17.160 --> 0:23:19.080
<v Speaker 1>I mean, you do it the right way. But having

0:23:19.080 --> 0:23:21.400
<v Speaker 1>as many people as you can bring in talent into

0:23:21.440 --> 0:23:22.840
<v Speaker 1>the US I think has been one of the great

0:23:22.880 --> 0:23:26.200
<v Speaker 1>hallmarks of the success of last century. When you think

0:23:26.240 --> 0:23:28.960
<v Speaker 1>about talent as well, you know, it used to be

0:23:29.000 --> 0:23:31.240
<v Speaker 1>a much more prescribed path. That feels like at a

0:23:31.280 --> 0:23:33.960
<v Speaker 1>business school, you went to a big consulting company, you

0:23:34.000 --> 0:23:36.040
<v Speaker 1>went to Wall Street. You know, you talked about hearing

0:23:36.080 --> 0:23:38.480
<v Speaker 1>from the students, going to have a social impact. What

0:23:38.560 --> 0:23:41.240
<v Speaker 1>do you draw in terms of student and talent from

0:23:41.240 --> 0:23:44.439
<v Speaker 1>a business school like Columbia, And what's the case you

0:23:44.480 --> 0:23:46.720
<v Speaker 1>make to them for working on Wall Street right now? Well,

0:23:46.720 --> 0:23:49.399
<v Speaker 1>they're they're they're great tourism Wall Street. There always have been,

0:23:49.440 --> 0:23:51.960
<v Speaker 1>I mean, things out and flow. I think the largest recruiter.

0:23:52.520 --> 0:23:54.280
<v Speaker 1>I don't know for sure, but I think Amazon might

0:23:54.280 --> 0:23:55.840
<v Speaker 1>be the largest or one of the largest at the

0:23:55.880 --> 0:23:58.679
<v Speaker 1>business school now. So at different points, the sort of

0:23:58.720 --> 0:24:02.960
<v Speaker 1>cadence and flow and focus changes as society is changing,

0:24:02.960 --> 0:24:06.879
<v Speaker 1>in as business opportunities are changing. Listen, Wall Street is

0:24:07.600 --> 0:24:13.080
<v Speaker 1>highly sophisticated, very intellectually interesting, very dynamic because you're in

0:24:13.119 --> 0:24:15.280
<v Speaker 1>the markets. As you guys know, this is what you do.

0:24:15.880 --> 0:24:18.760
<v Speaker 1>Um So for a lot of people, not everybody, for

0:24:18.800 --> 0:24:21.879
<v Speaker 1>a lot of people, who remains an extremely attractive career option.

0:24:22.359 --> 0:24:24.399
<v Speaker 1>So let's talk about the market you're in it. We

0:24:24.440 --> 0:24:26.119
<v Speaker 1>obviously watch a day in and day out. There's so

0:24:26.119 --> 0:24:29.240
<v Speaker 1>many big macro stories that are out there, whether it's Brexit,

0:24:29.280 --> 0:24:31.280
<v Speaker 1>whether it's US China trade. How do you see the market,

0:24:31.320 --> 0:24:34.080
<v Speaker 1>the global market environment right now, Well, you know, it's

0:24:34.160 --> 0:24:38.360
<v Speaker 1>it's a conundrum. At one level, We've got record low unemployment,

0:24:39.119 --> 0:24:42.119
<v Speaker 1>we do still have global growth. The US economy, the

0:24:42.119 --> 0:24:45.840
<v Speaker 1>most important economy in the world, is performing strongly. China

0:24:45.920 --> 0:24:50.080
<v Speaker 1>is still performing strongly. Um Europe. Europe is obviously mixed,

0:24:50.080 --> 0:24:53.439
<v Speaker 1>but it's been mixed for two decades now. Um So,

0:24:53.640 --> 0:24:57.080
<v Speaker 1>one level, the fundamentals are actually quite strong. Uh. At

0:24:57.119 --> 0:24:59.480
<v Speaker 1>the other level, the sense of confidence there isn't the

0:24:59.520 --> 0:25:02.080
<v Speaker 1>confidence and there's a sense of inevitability where at the

0:25:02.160 --> 0:25:04.720
<v Speaker 1>end of a cycle, you know it doesn't have to

0:25:04.760 --> 0:25:07.880
<v Speaker 1>be you don't. I mean, statistically there is a recession

0:25:07.880 --> 0:25:09.960
<v Speaker 1>every seven years, right, each year you begin with the

0:25:09.960 --> 0:25:13.000
<v Speaker 1>fifth percent chance of recession, but it doesn't have to be.

0:25:13.080 --> 0:25:14.840
<v Speaker 1>You know, in Australia they haven't had a recession for

0:25:14.880 --> 0:25:17.919
<v Speaker 1>twenty eight years in a row. So why is there

0:25:18.040 --> 0:25:20.200
<v Speaker 1>so much pressure though then on the Federal Reserve to

0:25:20.320 --> 0:25:23.720
<v Speaker 1>continue cutting race? Does that make sense? Well, because the

0:25:23.720 --> 0:25:26.359
<v Speaker 1>economy is slowing. The economy is slowing, and you know

0:25:26.400 --> 0:25:28.199
<v Speaker 1>the job of the Fed is to sort of balance

0:25:28.240 --> 0:25:32.840
<v Speaker 1>monetary policy with economic outlook and fiscal policy, and you

0:25:32.880 --> 0:25:35.680
<v Speaker 1>know they should feather rates obviously when the economy is

0:25:35.680 --> 0:25:37.879
<v Speaker 1>getting hot, their job is to raise raids, slow it

0:25:37.920 --> 0:25:40.879
<v Speaker 1>down and the reverse. So you know, I've supported the

0:25:40.960 --> 0:25:44.560
<v Speaker 1>latest FED rate cut, and I suspect they'll do one

0:25:44.680 --> 0:25:47.960
<v Speaker 1>or two more, but then it's time for pause and

0:25:48.040 --> 0:25:51.000
<v Speaker 1>really absorb this because the problem with cutting is it's

0:25:51.040 --> 0:25:53.280
<v Speaker 1>one of the few tools you've got. So if you

0:25:53.320 --> 0:25:55.719
<v Speaker 1>give it away too easily, what do you have If

0:25:55.760 --> 0:25:57.560
<v Speaker 1>we have a real problem. I want to go back

0:25:57.560 --> 0:25:59.080
<v Speaker 1>to something you said a minute ago. It sort of

0:25:59.119 --> 0:26:02.160
<v Speaker 1>squaring some of the different elements out there, and especially

0:26:02.800 --> 0:26:07.440
<v Speaker 1>businesses that certainly seem more cautious with a consumer that

0:26:07.760 --> 0:26:11.479
<v Speaker 1>isn't showing much signs of caution at all. How do

0:26:11.520 --> 0:26:14.719
<v Speaker 1>you square those things as you talk to your customers

0:26:14.720 --> 0:26:16.400
<v Speaker 1>and what do you see out there that that could

0:26:16.400 --> 0:26:19.639
<v Speaker 1>help explain that dichotomy as it were, Well, we're you know,

0:26:19.680 --> 0:26:21.560
<v Speaker 1>we're we're in a bit of an echo chamber. If

0:26:21.600 --> 0:26:24.159
<v Speaker 1>you're a business leader, you go to business leadership meetings,

0:26:24.160 --> 0:26:25.840
<v Speaker 1>we all talk to each other. We sort of, you know,

0:26:25.880 --> 0:26:27.840
<v Speaker 1>we bounce off each other. So a little bit of

0:26:27.840 --> 0:26:30.119
<v Speaker 1>it is, Gee, we must be at the end of

0:26:30.160 --> 0:26:32.720
<v Speaker 1>the cycle, the Feds cutting rates, we must be about

0:26:32.720 --> 0:26:34.439
<v Speaker 1>to have a recession. By the way, we've had an

0:26:34.440 --> 0:26:37.840
<v Speaker 1>inverted Yolka, which has been highly predictive of a recession.

0:26:38.200 --> 0:26:41.639
<v Speaker 1>So there's some hard evidence that things are more likely

0:26:41.720 --> 0:26:43.800
<v Speaker 1>to slow down than accelerat at this point. I don't

0:26:43.800 --> 0:26:46.119
<v Speaker 1>think there's any doubt about that. So as executives, his

0:26:46.280 --> 0:26:48.639
<v Speaker 1>job is to think about capital investment of a multi

0:26:48.760 --> 0:26:52.520
<v Speaker 1>years you would be prudent and being cautious at this point.

0:26:52.520 --> 0:26:55.359
<v Speaker 1>There's nothing wrong with that. Consumers aren't yet experiencing that

0:26:55.440 --> 0:26:58.720
<v Speaker 1>they've got very cheap dead housing is starting to recover

0:26:58.760 --> 0:27:02.760
<v Speaker 1>their consumer consumer read apart from student loan sadly is

0:27:02.800 --> 0:27:05.879
<v Speaker 1>in very strong shape. So the consumer balance sheet is

0:27:05.880 --> 0:27:08.159
<v Speaker 1>still very strong and that's why it's lagging where the

0:27:08.200 --> 0:27:11.400
<v Speaker 1>corporate balance sheet and corporate attitudes are. There implications though,

0:27:11.440 --> 0:27:15.359
<v Speaker 1>from having rates at such a low level for such

0:27:15.400 --> 0:27:19.879
<v Speaker 1>a protracted time. I mean, it's it's all about funding

0:27:19.920 --> 0:27:23.680
<v Speaker 1>equilibrium between economic growth and the cost of money. So

0:27:24.400 --> 0:27:27.480
<v Speaker 1>I mean there are only implications if it creates a bubble, right,

0:27:27.560 --> 0:27:31.000
<v Speaker 1>that's a cheap money eventually will create a bubble. We're

0:27:31.040 --> 0:27:33.120
<v Speaker 1>a long way from that now. Don't see any of that.

0:27:33.640 --> 0:27:36.600
<v Speaker 1>I'm seeing no bubbles. And how do you manage your

0:27:36.680 --> 0:27:40.800
<v Speaker 1>business given all of those different inputs and and outputs

0:27:40.840 --> 0:27:44.640
<v Speaker 1>that Where do you hire? Where do you maybe stay steady?

0:27:45.280 --> 0:27:50.440
<v Speaker 1>Where do you invest? Across the empire of Morgan Stanley empire,

0:27:52.200 --> 0:27:58.360
<v Speaker 1>never thought about it. We're just a simple business, um,

0:27:58.400 --> 0:28:02.440
<v Speaker 1>you know. Firstly, very long the US our wealth management

0:28:02.440 --> 0:28:06.800
<v Speaker 1>business is I think percent us UM and at least

0:28:06.800 --> 0:28:09.439
<v Speaker 1>half a securities business here. So that's a good thing, right.

0:28:09.480 --> 0:28:12.480
<v Speaker 1>This is an eighteen tree in dollar economy, strongest economy

0:28:12.520 --> 0:28:14.600
<v Speaker 1>in the world, most important economy in the world. I'm

0:28:14.640 --> 0:28:18.240
<v Speaker 1>happy to be along in the US, where obviously, you know,

0:28:18.280 --> 0:28:21.200
<v Speaker 1>we've been aggressively building our Asia business, which is now

0:28:21.240 --> 0:28:24.000
<v Speaker 1>i think fourteen percent or sell of the company. With

0:28:24.040 --> 0:28:28.000
<v Speaker 1>the trade talks, things have slowed clearly across parts of Asia,

0:28:28.680 --> 0:28:30.800
<v Speaker 1>so let's be played out. But our job is to

0:28:30.840 --> 0:28:36.480
<v Speaker 1>try and look past one three six months hiccups or slowdowns.

0:28:36.480 --> 0:28:39.880
<v Speaker 1>Our job, certainly, my job is to think out five

0:28:39.920 --> 0:28:43.480
<v Speaker 1>plus years. And you know, traders are thinking every five minutes.

0:28:43.640 --> 0:28:46.160
<v Speaker 1>I'm trying to think five years and can do that

0:28:46.240 --> 0:28:48.720
<v Speaker 1>in this environment though, because it does feel like we've

0:28:48.760 --> 0:28:51.680
<v Speaker 1>been going back and forth on let's you've got to

0:28:51.760 --> 0:28:53.840
<v Speaker 1>we've been around three d five years. I mean, we're

0:28:53.880 --> 0:28:57.880
<v Speaker 1>managing two point six three in people's money. They're not

0:28:57.920 --> 0:29:00.840
<v Speaker 1>all selling into the market on day and all buying

0:29:00.880 --> 0:29:03.840
<v Speaker 1>on the next day. No. Things things actually move in

0:29:03.840 --> 0:29:07.000
<v Speaker 1>in small increments. It's it's small things like the public

0:29:07.040 --> 0:29:09.600
<v Speaker 1>markets and companies going public that you know or m

0:29:09.640 --> 0:29:12.680
<v Speaker 1>and A transactions happening or not. But most about core

0:29:12.760 --> 0:29:17.080
<v Speaker 1>businesses are relatively immune to what's going on right now,

0:29:17.240 --> 0:29:19.640
<v Speaker 1>you wouldn't see the impact on that wealth management business

0:29:19.640 --> 0:29:23.160
<v Speaker 1>greatly at all. That's James Gorman, Columbia Business School alum,

0:29:23.400 --> 0:29:26.520
<v Speaker 1>also the CEO and chairman of Morgan Stanley. And that's

0:29:26.560 --> 0:29:28.600
<v Speaker 1>not all we've talked to him about. Well. More of

0:29:28.600 --> 0:29:31.160
<v Speaker 1>that conversation part two coming up in the next hour,

0:29:31.280 --> 0:29:34.040
<v Speaker 1>and for the full interview, download Bloomberg Business Week Extra

0:29:34.120 --> 0:29:37.400
<v Speaker 1>wherever you get your podcasts. We caught up with Kastee

0:29:37.480 --> 0:29:40.760
<v Speaker 1>mclara's He is the new dean of Columbia Business School.

0:29:40.960 --> 0:29:43.880
<v Speaker 1>We chatted about the cost of higher education. We started

0:29:43.880 --> 0:29:46.920
<v Speaker 1>by asking about what he's learned since taking the top job.

0:29:47.240 --> 0:29:53.000
<v Speaker 1>A few things to UH to say about that. I

0:29:53.000 --> 0:29:55.080
<v Speaker 1>I have been embraced with a lot of enthusiasm from

0:29:55.080 --> 0:29:59.000
<v Speaker 1>my colleagues, and we're actually working on some very interesting

0:29:59.000 --> 0:30:02.080
<v Speaker 1>initiatives here at this pol both to sort of improve

0:30:02.200 --> 0:30:06.880
<v Speaker 1>and change education UH and UH and also sort of

0:30:06.920 --> 0:30:10.320
<v Speaker 1>talk to business leaders that have been sort of flocking

0:30:10.400 --> 0:30:12.760
<v Speaker 1>in to meet the new deane and see how they

0:30:12.760 --> 0:30:15.640
<v Speaker 1>can be involved in help. So I think it has

0:30:15.680 --> 0:30:19.920
<v Speaker 1>been exciting first three months. That seems like a very

0:30:19.960 --> 0:30:23.920
<v Speaker 1>long day for McLaren's I mean he talked to us

0:30:23.920 --> 0:30:26.960
<v Speaker 1>about the NBA because there's so much of a conversation

0:30:27.080 --> 0:30:30.280
<v Speaker 1>right now about the cost of education, right, and I'm curious,

0:30:30.320 --> 0:30:33.360
<v Speaker 1>how do you see the NBA of the future. How

0:30:33.400 --> 0:30:37.160
<v Speaker 1>do you kind of justify you know, the education with

0:30:37.200 --> 0:30:42.240
<v Speaker 1>the cost. Yeah, so, uh, a few things. First of all,

0:30:43.440 --> 0:30:45.960
<v Speaker 1>we're constantly looking at the cost of the education, and

0:30:46.000 --> 0:30:48.840
<v Speaker 1>we're always trying to take cost out of the equation.

0:30:49.680 --> 0:30:52.719
<v Speaker 1>We're also working on providing good financial aid to our

0:30:52.760 --> 0:30:59.360
<v Speaker 1>students to essentially uh facilitate that investment on their part. Uh.

0:30:59.400 --> 0:31:01.760
<v Speaker 1>And we're really focusing on the value of the degree.

0:31:02.000 --> 0:31:05.400
<v Speaker 1>So I think, actually, because business is undergoing quite a

0:31:05.400 --> 0:31:08.040
<v Speaker 1>bit of change right now, it's it's a great opportunity

0:31:08.800 --> 0:31:10.920
<v Speaker 1>for us to innovate in the value that we offer

0:31:10.960 --> 0:31:14.480
<v Speaker 1>to our students. And in fact, I actually believe that, uh,

0:31:14.960 --> 0:31:19.480
<v Speaker 1>the NBA degree now it's a fantastic investment, both in

0:31:19.560 --> 0:31:24.480
<v Speaker 1>terms of time and return, uh, simply because you know,

0:31:24.520 --> 0:31:27.480
<v Speaker 1>you need new skills to succeed in practice, uh, and

0:31:27.600 --> 0:31:29.840
<v Speaker 1>that's what we're trying to do here. So I actually

0:31:29.880 --> 0:31:33.920
<v Speaker 1>think that the degree free to robust uh. And and

0:31:33.960 --> 0:31:36.200
<v Speaker 1>I think, in fact, because of the change we're undergoing

0:31:36.520 --> 0:31:39.120
<v Speaker 1>is actually more valuable now than it potentially was five

0:31:39.120 --> 0:31:42.239
<v Speaker 1>ten years ago. So as those business leaders, especially here

0:31:42.240 --> 0:31:45.360
<v Speaker 1>in New York City alum include James Gorman from more Etainly,

0:31:45.360 --> 0:31:47.520
<v Speaker 1>he's going to be with us later on when he

0:31:47.640 --> 0:31:51.520
<v Speaker 1>and his friends and and Phillo olam Or are visiting

0:31:51.520 --> 0:31:53.959
<v Speaker 1>with you. What are they asking you for that may

0:31:54.000 --> 0:31:56.160
<v Speaker 1>be different than what they've been getting in the past

0:31:56.200 --> 0:31:58.800
<v Speaker 1>in terms of what you're teaching or the types of

0:31:58.880 --> 0:32:03.480
<v Speaker 1>students that you're turning out. Yeah, So I think when

0:32:03.480 --> 0:32:07.840
<v Speaker 1>you talk to business leaders, you realize that they're encountering

0:32:08.320 --> 0:32:12.120
<v Speaker 1>two things. First of all, technology data analytics is really

0:32:12.200 --> 0:32:15.200
<v Speaker 1>changing the way their business is being transacted, so they

0:32:15.320 --> 0:32:18.200
<v Speaker 1>leave that for quite some time. They also understand that

0:32:18.240 --> 0:32:21.200
<v Speaker 1>the nature of the NBA jobs, the types of jobs

0:32:21.240 --> 0:32:24.240
<v Speaker 1>that our graduates are going to do, is itself changing

0:32:24.760 --> 0:32:28.000
<v Speaker 1>over time. So they want to see in what way

0:32:28.040 --> 0:32:30.360
<v Speaker 1>are we going to best prepare students in order to

0:32:30.400 --> 0:32:32.920
<v Speaker 1>really participate in the digital future. So they ask what

0:32:32.920 --> 0:32:35.200
<v Speaker 1>are we doing in the curriculum, what are we doing

0:32:35.200 --> 0:32:38.920
<v Speaker 1>in experiential learning? How do we bring NBA students together

0:32:38.960 --> 0:32:41.760
<v Speaker 1>with engineering students so that they learn how to collaborate

0:32:41.840 --> 0:32:43.400
<v Speaker 1>because that's what they're going to do when they go

0:32:43.840 --> 0:32:45.920
<v Speaker 1>out to work. So these are the types of things

0:32:45.960 --> 0:32:48.120
<v Speaker 1>we talk about. I'm also cures how much you talk

0:32:48.200 --> 0:32:51.080
<v Speaker 1>about the U. S. China trades spat and what that

0:32:51.120 --> 0:32:53.160
<v Speaker 1>has done to students who want to come to the

0:32:53.200 --> 0:32:55.479
<v Speaker 1>clumby business goal to get a degree, but they're nervous

0:32:55.520 --> 0:32:58.000
<v Speaker 1>about what does this mean. Can I stay in the country,

0:32:58.200 --> 0:33:01.000
<v Speaker 1>can I create a company? You know? So I'm just

0:33:01.040 --> 0:33:04.520
<v Speaker 1>curious if you're seeing pushback or a decline in students

0:33:04.520 --> 0:33:07.600
<v Speaker 1>from overseas that you know want to apply. So for

0:33:07.800 --> 0:33:12.080
<v Speaker 1>now at Columbia, we haven't actually experienced that, uh, no

0:33:12.240 --> 0:33:15.520
<v Speaker 1>change at all, almost almost no change. We continue to

0:33:15.560 --> 0:33:21.080
<v Speaker 1>have about international students, uh about two thirds of them,

0:33:21.120 --> 0:33:24.880
<v Speaker 1>about six of them that just graduated that wanted to

0:33:24.880 --> 0:33:27.240
<v Speaker 1>stay in the US actually found jobs in the US,

0:33:28.120 --> 0:33:31.080
<v Speaker 1>uh And of that left, I think a lot of

0:33:31.080 --> 0:33:33.360
<v Speaker 1>them actually wanted to go back in different areas of

0:33:33.400 --> 0:33:38.160
<v Speaker 1>the world. Having said that, you know, our service economy

0:33:38.200 --> 0:33:41.280
<v Speaker 1>here in the US depends on really high skilled human capital.

0:33:41.400 --> 0:33:43.720
<v Speaker 1>So this is a problem that we need to solve,

0:33:43.760 --> 0:33:48.960
<v Speaker 1>not just for business education, but for essentially training any

0:33:49.000 --> 0:33:51.959
<v Speaker 1>type of high skilled labor that we would like to

0:33:52.000 --> 0:33:54.680
<v Speaker 1>retain in the country and hopefully we'll get to have

0:33:55.040 --> 0:33:58.320
<v Speaker 1>the dialogue and then move to a solution. Well, I'm

0:33:58.360 --> 0:33:59.760
<v Speaker 1>curious that that's where I wanted to go. Are you

0:34:00.040 --> 0:34:04.160
<v Speaker 1>being a dialogue with folks in Washington about this issue?

0:34:04.920 --> 0:34:07.720
<v Speaker 1>There are there is some dialogue that is going on. Yes, uh,

0:34:08.080 --> 0:34:12.440
<v Speaker 1>you know, but early steps. I mean, people understand that

0:34:12.480 --> 0:34:17.440
<v Speaker 1>this is an opportunity for the US to actually do better. Ah,

0:34:17.480 --> 0:34:21.040
<v Speaker 1>and people understand the value of high skilled human capital,

0:34:21.239 --> 0:34:25.560
<v Speaker 1>which is how we actually helped build companies, start companies,

0:34:25.960 --> 0:34:30.040
<v Speaker 1>create new ideas, new technology. So you know, they recognize

0:34:30.080 --> 0:34:34.239
<v Speaker 1>the value and I think, you know, hopefully we'll keep

0:34:34.239 --> 0:34:36.920
<v Speaker 1>talking about it and resolve. And that's coach Us mcglaura's

0:34:36.920 --> 0:34:40.040
<v Speaker 1>Columbia Business Schools New Deane. What's interesting is he's been

0:34:40.040 --> 0:34:42.320
<v Speaker 1>at the school for a long time as a professor.

0:34:42.440 --> 0:34:47.000
<v Speaker 1>He focuses on operations, research, data analytics, and he focuses

0:34:47.040 --> 0:34:50.520
<v Speaker 1>on the increasingly larger and larger role of technology in

0:34:50.520 --> 0:34:52.880
<v Speaker 1>our world at large and of course in the business community.

0:34:52.880 --> 0:34:55.799
<v Speaker 1>So fun conversation, interesting to talk to him about, you know,

0:34:55.840 --> 0:34:57.719
<v Speaker 1>teaching there for a while, but then you become the

0:34:57.760 --> 0:35:01.200
<v Speaker 1>boss it's a whole different scenario. Lulu Wong, she is

0:35:01.239 --> 0:35:03.600
<v Speaker 1>definitely a pioneer when it comes to Wall Street. She

0:35:03.680 --> 0:35:06.600
<v Speaker 1>graduated from the Columbia Business School back in eighty three

0:35:06.800 --> 0:35:09.839
<v Speaker 1>on the executive program, but she's been doing financial money

0:35:09.840 --> 0:35:12.080
<v Speaker 1>management since about nineteen seventy two, so she's seen a

0:35:12.080 --> 0:35:13.920
<v Speaker 1>lot of up and down cycles. And we want to

0:35:13.960 --> 0:35:18.040
<v Speaker 1>start by talking with you about coming to Columbia in three.

0:35:18.360 --> 0:35:21.040
<v Speaker 1>Columbia was different, New York City was different. What drew

0:35:21.080 --> 0:35:24.480
<v Speaker 1>you here? I came to Columbia because um I had

0:35:24.480 --> 0:35:26.399
<v Speaker 1>already been working in Wall Street for a number of years.

0:35:26.640 --> 0:35:30.960
<v Speaker 1>Um I had developed a good um practice, but I

0:35:31.440 --> 0:35:34.600
<v Speaker 1>knew that in the future was a firm of my own,

0:35:34.960 --> 0:35:37.279
<v Speaker 1>and I really want to have the best credentials. I

0:35:37.320 --> 0:35:41.360
<v Speaker 1>had gone to Wellesley uh College undergraduate strong credential, but

0:35:41.400 --> 0:35:43.880
<v Speaker 1>I thought I needed to have the credentials of a

0:35:43.960 --> 0:35:47.640
<v Speaker 1>great university like Columbia. So I came really for that reason,

0:35:48.120 --> 0:35:50.520
<v Speaker 1>but found that it was far more than that. Well,

0:35:50.760 --> 0:35:52.839
<v Speaker 1>talk about that specifically, because you were working and doing

0:35:52.840 --> 0:35:55.160
<v Speaker 1>the executive program right, which was like Friday's for a

0:35:55.200 --> 0:35:58.239
<v Speaker 1>long time. Tell us about what you got from being here,

0:35:59.040 --> 0:36:02.359
<v Speaker 1>I found, but coming to Columbia that everything I've been

0:36:02.400 --> 0:36:06.279
<v Speaker 1>doing and observing as an investor on Wall Street, it

0:36:06.360 --> 0:36:09.560
<v Speaker 1>all began to come together in the context of theory

0:36:09.680 --> 0:36:12.680
<v Speaker 1>and practice. And I believe that when you take practice

0:36:12.680 --> 0:36:15.759
<v Speaker 1>from experience and then putting it into some sort of

0:36:15.760 --> 0:36:19.040
<v Speaker 1>a structure and theory it really works. Then it all

0:36:19.080 --> 0:36:22.080
<v Speaker 1>makes sense. And one of the things that you quickly

0:36:22.120 --> 0:36:26.160
<v Speaker 1>identified was the ability both as an investor and a leader,

0:36:26.200 --> 0:36:29.280
<v Speaker 1>a business leader, to make stronger connections between the US

0:36:29.440 --> 0:36:32.000
<v Speaker 1>and China. That clearly has been a big part of

0:36:31.840 --> 0:36:34.280
<v Speaker 1>what you've been doing. That has never been more relevant

0:36:34.320 --> 0:36:37.480
<v Speaker 1>than it is today. Tell us what you see right now,

0:36:37.640 --> 0:36:41.319
<v Speaker 1>especially headlines every day about Hong Kong. Maybe maybe we

0:36:41.360 --> 0:36:43.360
<v Speaker 1>start there. What do you make of that situation? I

0:36:43.400 --> 0:36:46.520
<v Speaker 1>think it's it's a very fraught situation, and I hear

0:36:46.560 --> 0:36:50.520
<v Speaker 1>from friends and colleagues on both sides and they're both

0:36:50.560 --> 0:36:54.160
<v Speaker 1>equally grieved of And I think the way it works

0:36:54.160 --> 0:36:57.920
<v Speaker 1>out is that, um, I don't think Beijing realized it

0:36:58.000 --> 0:37:00.560
<v Speaker 1>was going to go this far. I think they certainly

0:37:00.600 --> 0:37:02.520
<v Speaker 1>do not want to have a tantemous square. It's a

0:37:02.600 --> 0:37:05.360
<v Speaker 1>very different world we live in social media. They cannot

0:37:05.400 --> 0:37:08.160
<v Speaker 1>have that, So they have to find some face saving

0:37:08.200 --> 0:37:14.560
<v Speaker 1>way to begin to come the crowds. Um. I think fortunately,

0:37:14.680 --> 0:37:17.480
<v Speaker 1>the beef that's the demonstrators have is really more with

0:37:17.520 --> 0:37:20.480
<v Speaker 1>the Hong Kong government than with Beijing. So I think

0:37:20.520 --> 0:37:22.799
<v Speaker 1>if you can work through Carrie Lamb where she has

0:37:22.800 --> 0:37:25.840
<v Speaker 1>already withdrawn the Tradition Bill, and if she can begin

0:37:25.880 --> 0:37:29.640
<v Speaker 1>to negotiate on the three other conditions that the the

0:37:29.719 --> 0:37:33.439
<v Speaker 1>protesters have set up, there is a potential to work

0:37:33.480 --> 0:37:37.120
<v Speaker 1>through some understanding. Lulu, is there a role for folks

0:37:37.200 --> 0:37:39.640
<v Speaker 1>outside of Hong Kong and outside of China, because there's

0:37:39.640 --> 0:37:42.440
<v Speaker 1>certainly been some push among the protesters to involve the

0:37:42.520 --> 0:37:45.480
<v Speaker 1>United States. What's your role on that or well, I

0:37:45.520 --> 0:37:48.120
<v Speaker 1>do think there is a role um Um. In my

0:37:48.400 --> 0:37:51.799
<v Speaker 1>uh not day job, I'm also on the board of

0:37:51.840 --> 0:37:56.640
<v Speaker 1>Asia Society, which is really the u foremost nonpartisan group

0:37:56.880 --> 0:37:59.680
<v Speaker 1>trying to bridge US and Asia, and we have been

0:37:59.760 --> 0:38:04.080
<v Speaker 1>very busy talking to both sides about the issues. Um.

0:38:04.239 --> 0:38:07.799
<v Speaker 1>I think if we can find ways the Chinese are

0:38:07.880 --> 0:38:12.000
<v Speaker 1>very big unface, they cannot be humiliated, and there's a

0:38:12.000 --> 0:38:15.440
<v Speaker 1>way in which they can continue to stay with the

0:38:15.480 --> 0:38:20.680
<v Speaker 1>one country two systems, begin to exert some some control

0:38:20.719 --> 0:38:23.440
<v Speaker 1>over Hong Kong, but not with the heavy heavy handedness

0:38:23.440 --> 0:38:27.520
<v Speaker 1>we've seen. I think there will be a solution. Business

0:38:27.600 --> 0:38:31.440
<v Speaker 1>leaders and certainly investors are talking increasingly of a decoupling

0:38:31.800 --> 0:38:35.160
<v Speaker 1>between the United States and China. Given you've spent decades

0:38:35.719 --> 0:38:39.439
<v Speaker 1>coupling in the US and in many ways, how much

0:38:39.480 --> 0:38:42.800
<v Speaker 1>do you worry that that that may become a reality.

0:38:43.400 --> 0:38:45.520
<v Speaker 1>I think there are many people who concerned that this

0:38:45.600 --> 0:38:49.080
<v Speaker 1>is going to be uh uh, one win, one lose.

0:38:49.640 --> 0:38:51.440
<v Speaker 1>I still am a believer that it can be a

0:38:51.480 --> 0:38:55.239
<v Speaker 1>win win situation. UM. I think right now we have

0:38:55.320 --> 0:38:58.000
<v Speaker 1>two leaders who are both under short term pressure to

0:38:58.120 --> 0:39:01.720
<v Speaker 1>try to resolve some of the problems for their economy's crumble.

0:39:02.440 --> 0:39:04.840
<v Speaker 1>I think the advantage that she has is that he

0:39:04.920 --> 0:39:07.600
<v Speaker 1>also is playing the long game, and I think he

0:39:07.680 --> 0:39:11.480
<v Speaker 1>believes that the long term future of China is very

0:39:11.520 --> 0:39:17.640
<v Speaker 1>conditioned on China retaining economic political, not necessarily military, but

0:39:17.719 --> 0:39:22.400
<v Speaker 1>geo political power. UM. The question is does the economy

0:39:22.400 --> 0:39:25.759
<v Speaker 1>crumble before he can achieve this. But he has many

0:39:25.840 --> 0:39:30.200
<v Speaker 1>lovers that are not present in America which he's been pulling.

0:39:30.400 --> 0:39:34.359
<v Speaker 1>Especially there's absolutely he has been pulling levers. He's um

0:39:34.400 --> 0:39:38.200
<v Speaker 1>moving more liquidity into the system. UM. He's getting some

0:39:38.320 --> 0:39:42.880
<v Speaker 1>of his UM companies, both multinational and Chinese, to begin

0:39:42.920 --> 0:39:46.759
<v Speaker 1>to try to UM do more investing in the economy.

0:39:47.080 --> 0:39:51.160
<v Speaker 1>He's trying to bring more capitals UM investment back into China. Well,

0:39:51.320 --> 0:39:53.359
<v Speaker 1>I'm curious that what you are hearing is that, well,

0:39:53.400 --> 0:39:57.640
<v Speaker 1>there ultimately are the expectations from US folks that you're

0:39:57.640 --> 0:39:59.840
<v Speaker 1>talking to folks in China that there will be some

0:40:00.040 --> 0:40:02.359
<v Speaker 1>kind of a trade deal that's done. Or is the

0:40:02.400 --> 0:40:04.440
<v Speaker 1>fear that I think we keep hearing is that we're

0:40:04.440 --> 0:40:06.480
<v Speaker 1>going to see China kind of go off with their

0:40:06.520 --> 0:40:08.960
<v Speaker 1>plans and have its allies, and the US will go

0:40:09.000 --> 0:40:11.080
<v Speaker 1>off on its plans. And when it comes to trade

0:40:11.080 --> 0:40:14.360
<v Speaker 1>and developing technology, what do you expect. I think it

0:40:14.360 --> 0:40:17.160
<v Speaker 1>would be very difficult for there to be two fortresses.

0:40:17.480 --> 0:40:21.080
<v Speaker 1>The world is too connected, the supply chain of the markets,

0:40:21.400 --> 0:40:24.080
<v Speaker 1>we are interdependent, so I don't think we can truly

0:40:24.080 --> 0:40:28.160
<v Speaker 1>exist separately. UM. I do think that some of the

0:40:28.239 --> 0:40:31.160
<v Speaker 1>reforms that the US is pressuring China to make are

0:40:31.200 --> 0:40:34.480
<v Speaker 1>not actually bad for China. Some of the progressive in

0:40:34.600 --> 0:40:37.799
<v Speaker 1>China have been militating for them all along, but they

0:40:37.800 --> 0:40:40.880
<v Speaker 1>had been sort of outnumbered by the Hawks. But I

0:40:40.920 --> 0:40:44.920
<v Speaker 1>think with this current situation where she's under pressure internally

0:40:45.440 --> 0:40:50.239
<v Speaker 1>for UM having managed it UH in an indelicate way,

0:40:50.640 --> 0:40:54.479
<v Speaker 1>it's going to provide some opportunity for the progressive to say, look,

0:40:55.160 --> 0:40:57.839
<v Speaker 1>it makes sense that we open our markets, it makes

0:40:57.880 --> 0:41:01.279
<v Speaker 1>sense that we liberalize, and so let's do some of this.

0:41:01.640 --> 0:41:04.320
<v Speaker 1>We will make it appear that it is our own initiation.

0:41:04.400 --> 0:41:07.200
<v Speaker 1>We're not being bullied into it. That's very important. The

0:41:07.280 --> 0:41:10.759
<v Speaker 1>West has to not play the bully hand. I think

0:41:10.800 --> 0:41:13.600
<v Speaker 1>that will be very difficult for SHEET overcome. But if

0:41:13.600 --> 0:41:18.040
<v Speaker 1>there can be UM sensitive diplomatic accommodations on both sides,

0:41:18.480 --> 0:41:21.400
<v Speaker 1>I think it could come out better for both countries.

0:41:22.120 --> 0:41:25.080
<v Speaker 1>One of the biggest concerns for investors, sort of broadening

0:41:25.080 --> 0:41:29.040
<v Speaker 1>to the entire world, Lulu, is this notion of negative yields,

0:41:29.239 --> 0:41:32.759
<v Speaker 1>a world where pensions and other huge institutional investors are

0:41:32.920 --> 0:41:36.080
<v Speaker 1>just not making the money they need. Do you see

0:41:36.120 --> 0:41:39.160
<v Speaker 1>a short term change in that You're so involved in

0:41:39.440 --> 0:41:42.839
<v Speaker 1>so many of these big institutions as customers and as

0:41:42.880 --> 0:41:45.400
<v Speaker 1>an advisor, right well, I think there's a lot of

0:41:45.880 --> 0:41:49.600
<v Speaker 1>liquidity around. There is money to be invested, and in

0:41:49.640 --> 0:41:53.399
<v Speaker 1>a way, that's why many UM bears on the US

0:41:53.480 --> 0:41:56.680
<v Speaker 1>market a puzzled and frustrated that they've been shut and

0:41:56.680 --> 0:41:58.759
<v Speaker 1>the market continues to just want to work this way

0:41:58.840 --> 0:42:01.839
<v Speaker 1>up so that money wants to find a place. And

0:42:01.920 --> 0:42:05.680
<v Speaker 1>in this very troubled world, um the U S and

0:42:05.719 --> 0:42:08.960
<v Speaker 1>the U S Dollar seems to be a relative, relative

0:42:09.080 --> 0:42:11.680
<v Speaker 1>safe haven. That's Lulu Wong, founder and CEO of two

0:42:11.719 --> 0:42:14.160
<v Speaker 1>Below Capital Management. She has been on Wall Street for

0:42:14.200 --> 0:42:16.600
<v Speaker 1>a long time, been an investor for a long time.

0:42:16.640 --> 0:42:18.799
<v Speaker 1>But I also thought, what a great time to be

0:42:18.840 --> 0:42:23.360
<v Speaker 1>sitting with her because of her experience and understanding really

0:42:23.400 --> 0:42:25.440
<v Speaker 1>both the United States and China as well as we

0:42:25.480 --> 0:42:29.000
<v Speaker 1>sit in this trade war. She brought nuance to an

0:42:29.120 --> 0:42:32.319
<v Speaker 1>issue that I think far too often is painted in

0:42:32.520 --> 0:42:42.359
<v Speaker 1>very broad brush rokes. Yummy, I got loving my perfect song.

0:42:42.440 --> 0:42:45.040
<v Speaker 1>And before we wrap up our day here at Columbia

0:42:45.080 --> 0:42:47.799
<v Speaker 1>Business Going one more treat. The founder of ciggis who

0:42:47.800 --> 0:42:49.720
<v Speaker 1>when he came to the United States, I think, first

0:42:49.719 --> 0:42:52.040
<v Speaker 1>for an interview at the Clumbia Business School and then

0:42:52.200 --> 0:42:54.719
<v Speaker 1>to actually go to school here, he kind of missed

0:42:54.719 --> 0:42:58.319
<v Speaker 1>something from home. Yeah, and that was yogurt. And so

0:42:58.400 --> 0:43:01.640
<v Speaker 1>now his yogurt it's available in tens of thousands of

0:43:01.719 --> 0:43:06.880
<v Speaker 1>locations around the world. The founder is Siggy Hillmerson. He

0:43:07.120 --> 0:43:11.280
<v Speaker 1>is here with us at Columbia Business School, your alma mater. Welcome,

0:43:11.719 --> 0:43:14.799
<v Speaker 1>Thanks to you, Thanks for having me. Alright, So what

0:43:14.840 --> 0:43:16.799
<v Speaker 1>are your feeling sort of coming back here. What do

0:43:16.840 --> 0:43:20.319
<v Speaker 1>you remember most clearly about your time in Columbia. Uh,

0:43:20.640 --> 0:43:22.520
<v Speaker 1>it's great to be back on campus. I love the campus.

0:43:22.560 --> 0:43:24.360
<v Speaker 1>It's beautiful and it's uh, you know, I live in

0:43:24.400 --> 0:43:27.400
<v Speaker 1>the festivaliy now, so it's like pretty close. It's awesome

0:43:27.400 --> 0:43:29.200
<v Speaker 1>to just jump on the subway and come up here.

0:43:29.800 --> 0:43:33.600
<v Speaker 1>Uh what I miss. What I remember most vividly about

0:43:34.320 --> 0:43:37.000
<v Speaker 1>Columbia was to come here and all the amazing people

0:43:37.040 --> 0:43:40.880
<v Speaker 1>that would come through campus. I'm a big basketball buff

0:43:41.000 --> 0:43:43.279
<v Speaker 1>and uh, as a kid used to wake up in

0:43:43.280 --> 0:43:45.440
<v Speaker 1>the middle of the night to watch, you know, the

0:43:45.480 --> 0:43:50.240
<v Speaker 1>Bulls play Michael Jordan's And I remember very vividly coming

0:43:50.280 --> 0:43:52.920
<v Speaker 1>to campus one day and David Stern, who was the

0:43:53.000 --> 0:43:55.960
<v Speaker 1>NBA Right Commissioner, was giving a talk to the students.

0:43:56.000 --> 0:43:58.920
<v Speaker 1>And I when I was a kid that the whole

0:43:58.920 --> 0:44:02.800
<v Speaker 1>world felt so distant and then you come to Columbia

0:44:02.800 --> 0:44:05.080
<v Speaker 1>and these people are just there giving you advice, and

0:44:05.080 --> 0:44:07.120
<v Speaker 1>it was just my mind was blown, and I felt

0:44:07.160 --> 0:44:09.840
<v Speaker 1>so lucky I got to be here, and I was

0:44:09.880 --> 0:44:13.280
<v Speaker 1>just I remember it very vividly. I was so grateful

0:44:13.320 --> 0:44:15.640
<v Speaker 1>and it was just kind of amazing, you know. Well,

0:44:15.640 --> 0:44:17.400
<v Speaker 1>and what's interesting is, I mean, obviously you started your

0:44:17.440 --> 0:44:19.520
<v Speaker 1>own business when you initially went to business school. I

0:44:19.520 --> 0:44:22.000
<v Speaker 1>mean you started at a consulting from did you think

0:44:22.040 --> 0:44:23.920
<v Speaker 1>at some point while you were studying, man, this is

0:44:23.960 --> 0:44:26.759
<v Speaker 1>what I want to do, is have my own company. No,

0:44:26.920 --> 0:44:29.640
<v Speaker 1>I didn't have like a clear vision of what I

0:44:29.640 --> 0:44:32.520
<v Speaker 1>wanted to do post business school. I'm sort of like

0:44:32.600 --> 0:44:36.640
<v Speaker 1>a stubborn guy and I have an independent streak in me,

0:44:36.719 --> 0:44:39.280
<v Speaker 1>so I knew I would probably do something by myself.

0:44:39.800 --> 0:44:43.760
<v Speaker 1>I just wasn't quite sure what it was. And after

0:44:43.800 --> 0:44:47.719
<v Speaker 1>business school, I actually uh started working in management consulting.

0:44:48.400 --> 0:44:52.040
<v Speaker 1>But I think I was a very poor consultant, you know. Uh,

0:44:52.080 --> 0:44:55.279
<v Speaker 1>you know, I couldn't consult very well. So I was

0:44:55.320 --> 0:44:57.760
<v Speaker 1>sort of thinking about what to do with my life.

0:44:57.880 --> 0:45:00.279
<v Speaker 1>And I had started making the yogurt, you know, the skier,

0:45:00.360 --> 0:45:02.520
<v Speaker 1>which is sort of the classic iceland at yogurt from home.

0:45:02.920 --> 0:45:06.080
<v Speaker 1>I sort of started making it as a hobby, uh,

0:45:06.120 --> 0:45:08.760
<v Speaker 1>and sort of long story short, I had had a

0:45:08.760 --> 0:45:11.719
<v Speaker 1>professor at business school who I was friendly with, and

0:45:11.760 --> 0:45:14.200
<v Speaker 1>he sort of encouraged me to explore it and started

0:45:14.200 --> 0:45:17.320
<v Speaker 1>as a business and that's sort of how it came about.

0:45:17.400 --> 0:45:20.200
<v Speaker 1>And he backed you. Yeah, and so Michael, Michael Lambiema

0:45:20.520 --> 0:45:23.200
<v Speaker 1>is his name. He basically became my business partner and

0:45:23.200 --> 0:45:26.239
<v Speaker 1>first investor and and and was on the board, uh

0:45:26.840 --> 0:45:28.799
<v Speaker 1>all the way until we sold the company last year.

0:45:28.840 --> 0:45:32.160
<v Speaker 1>So as a rich Columbia connection there, What was it

0:45:32.200 --> 0:45:34.760
<v Speaker 1>that though you learned at at the at Columbia Business

0:45:34.800 --> 0:45:37.360
<v Speaker 1>School in terms of now running your own company and

0:45:37.400 --> 0:45:40.600
<v Speaker 1>starting because it's not always easy in the beginning. Yeah,

0:45:40.680 --> 0:45:42.359
<v Speaker 1>it's actually it's a it's a funny story. And it's

0:45:42.360 --> 0:45:44.880
<v Speaker 1>another sort of one of those serendipitous events is that

0:45:45.400 --> 0:45:49.000
<v Speaker 1>my background was econ and I sort of opted out

0:45:49.000 --> 0:45:50.919
<v Speaker 1>of some classes when I started Columbian and I needed

0:45:50.920 --> 0:45:53.560
<v Speaker 1>to film my schedule and I had never done anything

0:45:53.560 --> 0:45:56.680
<v Speaker 1>in supply chain, and Columbia has a great supply chain

0:45:56.719 --> 0:45:58.840
<v Speaker 1>program and and and great professors there, so I just

0:45:59.160 --> 0:46:01.359
<v Speaker 1>took a bunch of those last is not having any

0:46:01.360 --> 0:46:04.000
<v Speaker 1>idea that would ever use it. But one of the

0:46:04.000 --> 0:46:07.320
<v Speaker 1>most important things when you run a consumer products business

0:46:07.320 --> 0:46:13.200
<v Speaker 1>CpG company is supply chain and logistics, right. A business

0:46:13.200 --> 0:46:16.279
<v Speaker 1>in that industry can be broken if you don't have

0:46:16.320 --> 0:46:18.840
<v Speaker 1>your supply chain correct. So one of the most important

0:46:18.880 --> 0:46:21.399
<v Speaker 1>things that I learned from Columbia was actually supply chain.

0:46:21.680 --> 0:46:24.560
<v Speaker 1>But that was kind of almost by luck. You know

0:46:25.000 --> 0:46:28.640
<v Speaker 1>that that happened, so um, very thankful. It feels like

0:46:28.719 --> 0:46:32.960
<v Speaker 1>you did when you created this company anticipate a place

0:46:32.960 --> 0:46:35.160
<v Speaker 1>where we are now when when it comes to food

0:46:35.280 --> 0:46:40.440
<v Speaker 1>and ingredients and people's willingness candidly to pay up for

0:46:41.160 --> 0:46:44.360
<v Speaker 1>high quality and to really care about where their food

0:46:44.560 --> 0:46:47.200
<v Speaker 1>is coming from. What did you see sort of looking

0:46:47.200 --> 0:46:49.440
<v Speaker 1>around the corner that that convinced you that this was

0:46:49.480 --> 0:46:52.200
<v Speaker 1>the way to go. Oh, that's that's pretty easy to answer.

0:46:52.520 --> 0:46:55.880
<v Speaker 1>I when I came here, I not only missed Skier,

0:46:55.920 --> 0:46:57.520
<v Speaker 1>the Iceland, the yogurt. I noticed that a lot of

0:46:57.520 --> 0:47:01.160
<v Speaker 1>the yogurts here are very sweet, and the most popular

0:47:01.239 --> 0:47:03.920
<v Speaker 1>yogurt in America at the time had more sugar proounds

0:47:03.960 --> 0:47:07.080
<v Speaker 1>than a koind of coke. And the difference between coke

0:47:07.160 --> 0:47:10.240
<v Speaker 1>and yogurt was that, you know, people drink Coca cola

0:47:10.320 --> 0:47:12.040
<v Speaker 1>and they kind of know it's not healthy, but they

0:47:12.080 --> 0:47:15.240
<v Speaker 1>do it. Anyway. Right with yogurt, it had the halo

0:47:15.360 --> 0:47:18.880
<v Speaker 1>of health products, so people were totally indiscriminating of eating it,

0:47:18.920 --> 0:47:21.080
<v Speaker 1>even if it contained more sugar than the coke. Right,

0:47:21.680 --> 0:47:23.920
<v Speaker 1>So I thought, this is like a contradiction here, like

0:47:23.960 --> 0:47:25.279
<v Speaker 1>people need to know about this and I need to

0:47:25.320 --> 0:47:28.120
<v Speaker 1>do something to fix it. So when we started the company,

0:47:28.239 --> 0:47:30.239
<v Speaker 1>I wanted to make the yogurt but not make it

0:47:30.640 --> 0:47:33.680
<v Speaker 1>so sweet that it was equivalent to candy or soda.

0:47:34.200 --> 0:47:36.839
<v Speaker 1>And that was a challenge. People were sort of not

0:47:37.000 --> 0:47:40.680
<v Speaker 1>super receptive at first, but then it really took off

0:47:41.840 --> 0:47:45.000
<v Speaker 1>two and twelve and why do you think it Why

0:47:45.000 --> 0:47:46.759
<v Speaker 1>do you think it took off? And why do you

0:47:46.800 --> 0:47:48.680
<v Speaker 1>think that sort of mega trend really set in and

0:47:48.800 --> 0:47:51.200
<v Speaker 1>people just finally realized, how that's terrible for me. I

0:47:51.239 --> 0:47:53.440
<v Speaker 1>shouldn't be eating so much sugar. Like what what was

0:47:53.480 --> 0:47:56.080
<v Speaker 1>the catalytic moment? Well, I think I think it was

0:47:56.160 --> 0:47:59.160
<v Speaker 1>just sort of generally people came to realize this. I

0:47:59.200 --> 0:48:03.440
<v Speaker 1>think people have been so focused on fat as the enemy, uh,

0:48:03.480 --> 0:48:08.320
<v Speaker 1>and not focused enough on sugar and all the suddenly

0:48:08.400 --> 0:48:11.760
<v Speaker 1>sort of the drumbeat of a lot of dietitians doctors

0:48:11.760 --> 0:48:15.759
<v Speaker 1>who work in diabetes, you know, personal trainers, also some

0:48:15.840 --> 0:48:18.760
<v Speaker 1>people who work in health. That sort of started trickling

0:48:18.760 --> 0:48:21.120
<v Speaker 1>off to mainstream media and getting a lot of attention.

0:48:21.480 --> 0:48:24.759
<v Speaker 1>And that really helped us as well because we've been

0:48:24.760 --> 0:48:27.839
<v Speaker 1>around for a while when that started happening and had

0:48:27.880 --> 0:48:30.040
<v Speaker 1>been saying the same thing. So so we were lucky

0:48:30.080 --> 0:48:33.120
<v Speaker 1>to catch that wave. I do feel like there's been

0:48:33.160 --> 0:48:35.520
<v Speaker 1>an enlightenment when it comes to food right in terms

0:48:35.600 --> 0:48:37.719
<v Speaker 1>of absolutely what's in it? Because I was talking with

0:48:37.760 --> 0:48:39.600
<v Speaker 1>you before we get started. I mean I loved the

0:48:39.680 --> 0:48:41.920
<v Speaker 1>video online. I mean there's not a lot of ingredients

0:48:41.920 --> 0:48:43.319
<v Speaker 1>in it. And I think more and more people we

0:48:43.320 --> 0:48:45.279
<v Speaker 1>talk about it about our kids are turning around the

0:48:45.280 --> 0:48:49.560
<v Speaker 1>containers and saying, Okay, what's in something so fast forward

0:48:49.560 --> 0:48:51.839
<v Speaker 1>you've got this company, People are like, yeah, I don't

0:48:51.880 --> 0:48:54.240
<v Speaker 1>need all that sugar. I need just kind of healthy

0:48:54.320 --> 0:48:57.480
<v Speaker 1>ingredients in something. There's more competition, So how do you

0:48:57.520 --> 0:48:59.960
<v Speaker 1>continue to get the shelf space and set yourself upon

0:49:00.000 --> 0:49:02.600
<v Speaker 1>a right Well, we were we were very lucky in

0:49:02.600 --> 0:49:06.800
<v Speaker 1>that regard because when we started, nobody was focusing on that. Uh.

0:49:06.840 --> 0:49:10.600
<v Speaker 1>And the weirdest thing I actually found was that, uh,

0:49:11.480 --> 0:49:14.200
<v Speaker 1>we didn't get a lot of competition. We heard sort

0:49:14.239 --> 0:49:16.319
<v Speaker 1>of rumors that some of the big companies looked at

0:49:16.320 --> 0:49:19.000
<v Speaker 1>our space and said, yeah, people are not gonna like that.

0:49:19.239 --> 0:49:20.840
<v Speaker 1>You know, Oh, this is a cool little brand, but

0:49:20.880 --> 0:49:23.399
<v Speaker 1>people are not gonna like it. It's not sweet enough. Uh.

0:49:23.440 --> 0:49:25.560
<v Speaker 1>And then all of the suddenly we we sort of

0:49:25.600 --> 0:49:27.920
<v Speaker 1>are starting to have a meaningful share of the U. S.

0:49:27.920 --> 0:49:30.719
<v Speaker 1>Grocery market. First one percent, then two percent, then close

0:49:30.760 --> 0:49:33.480
<v Speaker 1>to three percent, and then sort of the competition came in.

0:49:33.760 --> 0:49:35.799
<v Speaker 1>So I think our luck in that regard was a

0:49:35.800 --> 0:49:39.319
<v Speaker 1>little bit that we managed to establish ourselves before the

0:49:39.320 --> 0:49:43.440
<v Speaker 1>competition first over advantage. Yes, so that makes a difference exactly.

0:49:43.480 --> 0:49:45.799
<v Speaker 1>So that kind of helped fight the fact that we

0:49:45.840 --> 0:49:47.760
<v Speaker 1>don't have as much fun to some of the bigger

0:49:47.760 --> 0:49:51.120
<v Speaker 1>players got and and and and they're like why you know,

0:49:51.360 --> 0:49:53.520
<v Speaker 1>I just think, is somebody who runs a company just

0:49:53.560 --> 0:49:57.600
<v Speaker 1>twenty seconds, um, you know, your advice to other entrepreneurs

0:49:57.760 --> 0:50:01.839
<v Speaker 1>and just quickly planned for success. There's nothing worse than

0:50:02.400 --> 0:50:05.719
<v Speaker 1>having the demand and having the things out there that

0:50:05.760 --> 0:50:08.440
<v Speaker 1>people watch your product and not being able to supply them.

0:50:08.520 --> 0:50:11.840
<v Speaker 1>So build the infrastructure. And that's Siggy Ellmerson. He's the

0:50:11.880 --> 0:50:14.920
<v Speaker 1>founder of Siggy's I Love his story about you know,

0:50:15.120 --> 0:50:17.480
<v Speaker 1>studying at school and the things he was interested and

0:50:17.480 --> 0:50:19.719
<v Speaker 1>he took a class on supply chain management. He's like,

0:50:19.880 --> 0:50:21.640
<v Speaker 1>I don't know if I'm into it, but it turned

0:50:21.680 --> 0:50:24.040
<v Speaker 1>out he needed it in running and developing his company.

0:50:24.160 --> 0:50:26.560
<v Speaker 1>Super important when you're growing a big brand like that.

0:50:26.719 --> 0:50:29.680
<v Speaker 1>Last hour, we caught up with James Gorman about the

0:50:29.719 --> 0:50:32.440
<v Speaker 1>FED his view on interest rates. He admitted to getting

0:50:32.800 --> 0:50:35.040
<v Speaker 1>it wrong when it came to how the ten year

0:50:35.239 --> 0:50:38.160
<v Speaker 1>is trading Now. We talk about how tech has been

0:50:38.239 --> 0:50:41.440
<v Speaker 1>driving Wall Street and also about how folks are getting

0:50:41.440 --> 0:50:44.879
<v Speaker 1>realistic with I p O valuations. But some of those

0:50:44.920 --> 0:50:46.719
<v Speaker 1>that have come public this year, whether it's an uber,

0:50:46.719 --> 0:50:49.200
<v Speaker 1>whether it's a lift, you know, came out with a bang,

0:50:49.239 --> 0:50:51.160
<v Speaker 1>but then I pulled back. So it's the market telling

0:50:51.160 --> 0:50:52.920
<v Speaker 1>you will wait a minute, you weren't worth that much

0:50:53.000 --> 0:50:54.759
<v Speaker 1>or or what is it? Does? It take some time

0:50:54.800 --> 0:50:56.440
<v Speaker 1>with these companies that have been around for a while

0:50:56.480 --> 0:50:58.520
<v Speaker 1>that are still not profitable. But I've been around for

0:50:58.560 --> 0:51:00.960
<v Speaker 1>a long time, how do you make sense that? Uh?

0:51:01.000 --> 0:51:03.759
<v Speaker 1>You know, the market can be very stupid in the

0:51:03.800 --> 0:51:06.919
<v Speaker 1>short run, um in the medium term and occasionally gets

0:51:06.960 --> 0:51:08.840
<v Speaker 1>things wrong, and the long term you're the one is stupid,

0:51:09.120 --> 0:51:13.720
<v Speaker 1>right right? So, uh, you know when facebo yeah totally.

0:51:13.800 --> 0:51:17.040
<v Speaker 1>When Facebook went public, Um, I went on TV. I

0:51:17.040 --> 0:51:19.040
<v Speaker 1>can't remember if it was with you guys or not.

0:51:19.120 --> 0:51:22.920
<v Speaker 1>Let's just say what it was obviously was you know,

0:51:23.040 --> 0:51:26.080
<v Speaker 1>I said, this is a great, great new company that

0:51:26.120 --> 0:51:29.760
<v Speaker 1>has been formed by incredibly innovative people who have created

0:51:29.800 --> 0:51:32.719
<v Speaker 1>something that didn't exist before. That should be celebrated. The

0:51:32.760 --> 0:51:34.880
<v Speaker 1>fact that traded at a value in the weeks and

0:51:34.920 --> 0:51:37.520
<v Speaker 1>months after went public below what people wanted on the

0:51:37.560 --> 0:51:40.360
<v Speaker 1>day of the issue. Okay, that happens, but look at it.

0:51:40.400 --> 0:51:42.719
<v Speaker 1>Give it time, give it a year, and now it's

0:51:42.840 --> 0:51:45.400
<v Speaker 1>it's something like six times the valuation, you know, in

0:51:45.440 --> 0:51:47.640
<v Speaker 1>a relatively short prade of time. So we should all

0:51:47.680 --> 0:51:51.000
<v Speaker 1>wish to have Facebook's problem. So I give this, I

0:51:51.120 --> 0:51:52.840
<v Speaker 1>give this a little bit of time. I'm not I

0:51:52.840 --> 0:51:55.480
<v Speaker 1>wouldn't be too too wound up about it. Are you

0:51:55.520 --> 0:51:59.279
<v Speaker 1>seeing more issues that your team? Are you talking to

0:51:59.320 --> 0:52:01.680
<v Speaker 1>more people who to bring more companies to public? How

0:52:01.719 --> 0:52:04.319
<v Speaker 1>active is it right now? Are they? Are they not

0:52:04.400 --> 0:52:06.560
<v Speaker 1>bringing them public because of this? I think it's making

0:52:06.719 --> 0:52:10.719
<v Speaker 1>people more realistic about valuations, you know, for some of

0:52:10.719 --> 0:52:13.319
<v Speaker 1>these unicorns. I think there's a little reality check has

0:52:13.360 --> 0:52:16.160
<v Speaker 1>gone into the system, and that's that's okay, this is

0:52:16.200 --> 0:52:18.120
<v Speaker 1>what the market does. You know. In fact, to my point,

0:52:18.160 --> 0:52:20.360
<v Speaker 1>the market in the long run gets it right. The

0:52:20.480 --> 0:52:23.200
<v Speaker 1>short run is how you find opportunities when you think

0:52:23.239 --> 0:52:27.080
<v Speaker 1>about this, uh, maybe overstate the little bit. This negative

0:52:27.120 --> 0:52:30.680
<v Speaker 1>yield world that that we're living in. How does that

0:52:30.920 --> 0:52:34.000
<v Speaker 1>change your view of the market. How does it change

0:52:34.000 --> 0:52:36.880
<v Speaker 1>the way you may deploy some assets and may deploy

0:52:36.920 --> 0:52:39.600
<v Speaker 1>some of your teams around the world. Well, I firstly,

0:52:39.600 --> 0:52:41.840
<v Speaker 1>I've been very surprised at where rates are. I'll just

0:52:41.840 --> 0:52:44.080
<v Speaker 1>say that up front. I felt the tenure at this point.

0:52:44.360 --> 0:52:46.160
<v Speaker 1>I'd expected by the end of this year the tenure

0:52:46.160 --> 0:52:50.280
<v Speaker 1>would be around three I was dead wrong. Okay. Um,

0:52:50.480 --> 0:52:54.400
<v Speaker 1>so you know, a negative yield curve has been historically

0:52:54.560 --> 0:52:57.440
<v Speaker 1>highly predictive of recession. But as Janet Yellen, former chair

0:52:57.560 --> 0:53:01.280
<v Speaker 1>Yelling said, uh, it's not necessary really, so it doesn't

0:53:01.280 --> 0:53:04.520
<v Speaker 1>necessarily lead to a recession. Uh So, how does it

0:53:04.600 --> 0:53:07.680
<v Speaker 1>change our business? It doesn't. You know, We're we run

0:53:07.719 --> 0:53:10.200
<v Speaker 1>our business based upon what we see going on in

0:53:10.239 --> 0:53:12.759
<v Speaker 1>the broader economy rather than where rates are trading on

0:53:12.800 --> 0:53:15.080
<v Speaker 1>any particular day. And I think in the last week,

0:53:15.160 --> 0:53:17.960
<v Speaker 1>you've seen the tenure recover about ten fifteen basis points,

0:53:17.960 --> 0:53:20.640
<v Speaker 1>so you know, we'll see you know, I'm curious to

0:53:20.880 --> 0:53:24.480
<v Speaker 1>about the role of technology and finance. We see it increasingly,

0:53:24.560 --> 0:53:26.879
<v Speaker 1>so talked to a little bit about, you know, the

0:53:26.960 --> 0:53:29.879
<v Speaker 1>incorporation of it at Morgan Stanley and where you see

0:53:29.920 --> 0:53:31.759
<v Speaker 1>it kind of all going, because it's certainly a big

0:53:31.800 --> 0:53:33.440
<v Speaker 1>part of what they're being you know, taught at the

0:53:33.480 --> 0:53:36.120
<v Speaker 1>Columbia Business School and more and more so, whether it's algorithms,

0:53:36.320 --> 0:53:39.480
<v Speaker 1>whether it's engine engineers coming in and coding, where do

0:53:39.520 --> 0:53:41.319
<v Speaker 1>you see it all playing out. It's interesting. I just

0:53:41.400 --> 0:53:44.160
<v Speaker 1>came from our monthly Risk committee meeting to our meeting

0:53:44.239 --> 0:53:46.680
<v Speaker 1>this morning, and we had a whole section on electronic

0:53:46.719 --> 0:53:49.680
<v Speaker 1>trading and um, what we're doing in that space and

0:53:49.719 --> 0:53:53.640
<v Speaker 1>how it's bleeding from equities into the fixed income space. Um.

0:53:53.680 --> 0:53:56.279
<v Speaker 1>You know, the technology has been driving Wall Street dirty

0:53:56.360 --> 0:53:59.239
<v Speaker 1>little secret for a very long time. You know, we

0:53:59.280 --> 0:54:02.280
<v Speaker 1>set up our electronic trading businesses in the mid nineties,

0:54:02.880 --> 0:54:07.160
<v Speaker 1>and it's like everybody suddenly discovered technology because of fintech. Um,

0:54:07.200 --> 0:54:09.640
<v Speaker 1>there's a lot of innovation going on in the fintech sector,

0:54:09.680 --> 0:54:12.240
<v Speaker 1>for sure, and we're partnering with a lot of those companies.

0:54:12.640 --> 0:54:15.600
<v Speaker 1>But we are you know, we spend upwards of four

0:54:15.600 --> 0:54:18.440
<v Speaker 1>b and all its on technology. We have centers of

0:54:18.480 --> 0:54:23.120
<v Speaker 1>competence in machine learning, robotics, artificial intelligence, cloud computing, big

0:54:23.200 --> 0:54:27.880
<v Speaker 1>data management. Obviously, our cyberspace is huge, so we have

0:54:28.000 --> 0:54:30.880
<v Speaker 1>the resources and I think the intellectual horsepower to be

0:54:31.040 --> 0:54:34.240
<v Speaker 1>at the forefront of a lot of the new technology development,

0:54:34.480 --> 0:54:36.320
<v Speaker 1>but not all of it we want to do in house.

0:54:36.719 --> 0:54:40.360
<v Speaker 1>So we're actively looking to partner with large and small companies,

0:54:40.760 --> 0:54:44.279
<v Speaker 1>whether it's in software development, in data management in particular,

0:54:44.960 --> 0:54:47.520
<v Speaker 1>and you know, embrace it. So it's it's very much

0:54:47.560 --> 0:54:49.719
<v Speaker 1>a part of everything we do. Digital currencies as well,

0:54:50.600 --> 0:54:54.600
<v Speaker 1>Uh we Yeah, we're helping clients hedge and manage their

0:54:54.600 --> 0:54:58.640
<v Speaker 1>exposures to digital currencies. We haven't been um, you know,

0:54:58.719 --> 0:55:02.399
<v Speaker 1>we haven't set up a digital business unit focused on

0:55:02.560 --> 0:55:05.480
<v Speaker 1>you know, the various forms of cryptos. Per see much

0:55:05.520 --> 0:55:07.880
<v Speaker 1>more interested in the blockchain technology. I don't know what.

0:55:08.120 --> 0:55:10.640
<v Speaker 1>It's just another form of stored value to me. And

0:55:10.719 --> 0:55:14.200
<v Speaker 1>I'm you know, people, maybe I'm dead wrong about this.

0:55:14.239 --> 0:55:17.360
<v Speaker 1>I've been quite conservative on this for a long time. Um,

0:55:17.400 --> 0:55:20.320
<v Speaker 1>I see much more value around the blockchain technology supporting

0:55:20.320 --> 0:55:23.360
<v Speaker 1>the currency, in the currency itself. You mentioned sort of

0:55:23.400 --> 0:55:26.080
<v Speaker 1>various partnerships, especially on the fin tech side. From a

0:55:26.080 --> 0:55:28.880
<v Speaker 1>competitive standpoint, where do you see the most competition across

0:55:28.920 --> 0:55:35.040
<v Speaker 1>your line of business at this point? Um, Well, in

0:55:35.360 --> 0:55:38.279
<v Speaker 1>wealth management clearly, you know the online space, but but

0:55:38.440 --> 0:55:40.719
<v Speaker 1>that's not new. I mean schwab and e Trade and

0:55:40.719 --> 0:55:43.440
<v Speaker 1>merrit Trade being around an awfully long time. They've been

0:55:43.480 --> 0:55:47.400
<v Speaker 1>doing online you know, digital business. It was just called

0:55:47.440 --> 0:55:50.919
<v Speaker 1>something different, which was direct brokerage, right, had a different name.

0:55:51.840 --> 0:55:56.120
<v Speaker 1>So that's always been competitive. I think. UM. In the

0:55:56.160 --> 0:55:58.880
<v Speaker 1>asset management space obviously the challenge of a lot of

0:55:58.880 --> 0:56:04.520
<v Speaker 1>the package t F indexing versus the traditional long earning

0:56:04.560 --> 0:56:09.000
<v Speaker 1>active manage. But a lot of our businesses are very complex,

0:56:09.080 --> 0:56:13.160
<v Speaker 1>require global capability, you know hedging, uh, you know a

0:56:13.280 --> 0:56:19.160
<v Speaker 1>currency exposure in Japan, being long certain rate securities in Australia.

0:56:19.239 --> 0:56:21.680
<v Speaker 1>I mean we're twenty four hours. It's a lot of

0:56:21.719 --> 0:56:25.799
<v Speaker 1>it is um. It's it's not that it's not challenged competitively,

0:56:25.880 --> 0:56:28.480
<v Speaker 1>but most of our challenge comes from our traditional competitors,

0:56:28.480 --> 0:56:31.279
<v Speaker 1>the big banks. James, I'm always curious, you know, we

0:56:31.360 --> 0:56:35.080
<v Speaker 1>spend our time so much talking about FED policy, yield curves,

0:56:35.640 --> 0:56:37.640
<v Speaker 1>us trying to trade policy. What is it that you

0:56:37.760 --> 0:56:40.960
<v Speaker 1>folks and Morgan are spending so much time having conversations about.

0:56:41.000 --> 0:56:43.320
<v Speaker 1>What is it that we're not talking about that really

0:56:43.320 --> 0:56:49.360
<v Speaker 1>deserve a little bit more attention? Leadership culture um creating

0:56:49.400 --> 0:56:53.840
<v Speaker 1>an organization where diverse employees don't feel included, but feel

0:56:54.000 --> 0:56:57.560
<v Speaker 1>not just included, but feel they belong. That's something I've

0:56:57.560 --> 0:57:00.719
<v Speaker 1>felt very strongly about the whole diversity inclusion discussion in place.

0:57:00.760 --> 0:57:03.120
<v Speaker 1>Somebody invited you into the room, Now I want you

0:57:03.200 --> 0:57:05.759
<v Speaker 1>to belong. It's your room. So we talk about a

0:57:05.760 --> 0:57:10.800
<v Speaker 1>lot of the qualities that get at. Do employees respect

0:57:10.880 --> 0:57:12.960
<v Speaker 1>your institution, want to be part of your institution, want

0:57:12.960 --> 0:57:15.840
<v Speaker 1>to make their careers and lives there? That the macro

0:57:16.120 --> 0:57:18.880
<v Speaker 1>stuff okay, rates for two and a half percent, now

0:57:18.880 --> 0:57:21.360
<v Speaker 1>they're one and a a half percent. Is Morgan sending fundamentally

0:57:21.400 --> 0:57:24.000
<v Speaker 1>changing strategy because of that? Of course not. But if

0:57:24.040 --> 0:57:27.920
<v Speaker 1>we can't attract really talented, committed people who do things

0:57:28.000 --> 0:57:29.720
<v Speaker 1>the right way you have the right vegas, then then

0:57:29.760 --> 0:57:33.040
<v Speaker 1>we're going nowhere. So I'm very Once your strategy is

0:57:33.080 --> 0:57:35.200
<v Speaker 1>in place, and I think we have a really sound strategy.

0:57:35.640 --> 0:57:38.920
<v Speaker 1>It's all about reaffirming the cultural values and putting the

0:57:39.000 --> 0:57:41.720
<v Speaker 1>leadership in place for the next ten and fifteen years.

0:57:41.720 --> 0:57:43.560
<v Speaker 1>Who can drive those vas? Are we making in roads?

0:57:43.600 --> 0:57:45.280
<v Speaker 1>I want to ask about diversity because I feel like

0:57:45.280 --> 0:57:49.840
<v Speaker 1>we've been talking about diversity, parody women, you know, issues

0:57:49.840 --> 0:57:51.960
<v Speaker 1>on Wall Street for a long long time, and we're

0:57:51.960 --> 0:57:55.280
<v Speaker 1>still struggling and we will be talking about it for

0:57:55.320 --> 0:57:57.880
<v Speaker 1>a long long time. I share one fact with you,

0:57:58.680 --> 0:58:00.920
<v Speaker 1>uh this year and this somebody design. It was an

0:58:00.960 --> 0:58:03.920
<v Speaker 1>outcome this year for the first time ever, more than

0:58:04.000 --> 0:58:07.000
<v Speaker 1>fifty of our intern class, which is a thousand interns

0:58:07.000 --> 0:58:10.800
<v Speaker 1>globally with women, first time ever, ahead of China as

0:58:10.840 --> 0:58:13.520
<v Speaker 1>a woman, Head of Europe, Middle East, Africa as a woman,

0:58:13.760 --> 0:58:15.640
<v Speaker 1>cohead of Investment banking as a woman, the head of

0:58:15.640 --> 0:58:17.880
<v Speaker 1>our bank as a woman. I mean, we have senior

0:58:17.960 --> 0:58:21.160
<v Speaker 1>leadership women in multiple roles, but are they representative of

0:58:21.160 --> 0:58:24.240
<v Speaker 1>the role of women in society? No, they're not. Right.

0:58:24.280 --> 0:58:28.440
<v Speaker 1>So we've we've we've we've made steps, but it starts

0:58:28.440 --> 0:58:30.920
<v Speaker 1>with the pipeline at the beginning, and then finding ways

0:58:30.920 --> 0:58:33.440
<v Speaker 1>in which you can keep those folks through all the

0:58:33.480 --> 0:58:37.480
<v Speaker 1>transitions we make in life. Have h terrific careers of

0:58:37.520 --> 0:58:41.840
<v Speaker 1>Morgan Stanleys. Are those discussions and those efforts becoming easier

0:58:41.920 --> 0:58:45.200
<v Speaker 1>or harder given the political climate we're in. We live

0:58:45.240 --> 0:58:47.960
<v Speaker 1>in a pretty I think it's here to say, divisive time,

0:58:48.840 --> 0:58:50.920
<v Speaker 1>hyper political time in a lot of ways. How do

0:58:50.960 --> 0:58:53.680
<v Speaker 1>you cut through all that to make these sorts of decisions?

0:58:53.720 --> 0:58:56.640
<v Speaker 1>I think from a diversity perspective, No, I think from

0:58:56.720 --> 0:59:00.160
<v Speaker 1>what is the role of the corporation society? Yes, I

0:59:00.200 --> 0:59:03.760
<v Speaker 1>think we're being called as CEOs into the public debate

0:59:03.880 --> 0:59:08.200
<v Speaker 1>much more we're our our employees want us to express

0:59:08.240 --> 0:59:11.480
<v Speaker 1>opinions on a wide range of issues, and it's very

0:59:11.520 --> 0:59:14.640
<v Speaker 1>difficult because you've got to you you know, we all

0:59:14.680 --> 0:59:16.960
<v Speaker 1>have personally. I mean, I'm I'm a voter, right, I'm

0:59:17.000 --> 0:59:20.320
<v Speaker 1>a citizen. I have opinions on all these issues. And

0:59:20.480 --> 0:59:22.760
<v Speaker 1>it can't be just what James Gorman thinks. I'm not

0:59:22.840 --> 0:59:25.520
<v Speaker 1>the company. It's what what is for the greater good

0:59:25.560 --> 0:59:27.960
<v Speaker 1>of the whole organization. And I think what a lot

0:59:28.040 --> 0:59:31.120
<v Speaker 1>of companies are now struggling with is what is our

0:59:31.200 --> 0:59:33.400
<v Speaker 1>role in society? And this is why the statement came

0:59:33.440 --> 0:59:36.960
<v Speaker 1>out recently from the CEOs at the roundtable, which was

0:59:37.040 --> 0:59:42.280
<v Speaker 1>basically two embrace the broadest stakeholders that we have. You

0:59:42.280 --> 0:59:44.160
<v Speaker 1>can listen, you can be a bank and runner only

0:59:44.160 --> 0:59:48.240
<v Speaker 1>for Shareholderbayou. But if society turns against you and nationalize

0:59:48.240 --> 0:59:50.560
<v Speaker 1>as your bank, that didn't work out so well. All right,

0:59:50.640 --> 0:59:52.880
<v Speaker 1>So I've always believed you have to operate in the

0:59:52.920 --> 0:59:57.240
<v Speaker 1>ecosystem with respect for everybody in that ecosystem. But what's

0:59:57.240 --> 1:00:00.320
<v Speaker 1>interesting isn't We had a very smart conversation with um

1:00:00.520 --> 1:00:02.640
<v Speaker 1>like we're having right now, but with another individual in

1:00:02.640 --> 1:00:05.280
<v Speaker 1>the financial community, but talking about no, not everybody has

1:00:05.320 --> 1:00:08.360
<v Speaker 1>the same access to education, you know, and I do

1:00:08.440 --> 1:00:10.880
<v Speaker 1>wonder you know what that has done in terms of

1:00:10.880 --> 1:00:13.960
<v Speaker 1>creating the gaps within our society. So how do we

1:00:14.960 --> 1:00:17.640
<v Speaker 1>deal with that? Well? There, I mean, there are gaps

1:00:17.640 --> 1:00:20.439
<v Speaker 1>in in in every society and not everybody starts off

1:00:20.440 --> 1:00:22.240
<v Speaker 1>with the same exus. I mean it's you know, you're

1:00:22.280 --> 1:00:24.280
<v Speaker 1>like I was lucky. I was born in Melbourne to

1:00:24.320 --> 1:00:26.320
<v Speaker 1>the family of his born with and given the education

1:00:26.360 --> 1:00:29.160
<v Speaker 1>I was given. That's why I'm here. That's James Gorman,

1:00:29.240 --> 1:00:33.120
<v Speaker 1>CEO and chairman on Morgan Stanley, a Columbia Business School alumnus.

1:00:33.200 --> 1:00:36.320
<v Speaker 1>Great conversation, of course, we talked the obvious about the

1:00:36.360 --> 1:00:39.400
<v Speaker 1>market environment, the business outlook. We talked about I P

1:00:39.480 --> 1:00:41.840
<v Speaker 1>O S, but I really did also love the other

1:00:41.840 --> 1:00:44.360
<v Speaker 1>areas we went Jason when it came to either diversity,

1:00:45.080 --> 1:00:48.240
<v Speaker 1>UH and other issues inequalities that we're facing in our

1:00:48.280 --> 1:00:51.880
<v Speaker 1>society right at politics too. Very thoughtful guy, obviously a

1:00:51.920 --> 1:00:55.120
<v Speaker 1>big job, and he does echo back a lot to

1:00:55.320 --> 1:00:58.800
<v Speaker 1>his time at Columbia. For the full interview, download Bloomberg

1:00:58.840 --> 1:01:01.960
<v Speaker 1>Business Week Extra wherever you get your podcasts. And that

1:01:01.960 --> 1:01:05.040
<v Speaker 1>wraps up Bloomberg Business Week's weekend podcast. Thanks for joining us.

1:01:05.040 --> 1:01:07.120
<v Speaker 1>I'm Carol Masser and I'm Jason Kelly. Be sure to

1:01:07.160 --> 1:01:10.520
<v Speaker 1>tune into Bloomberg Business Week Radio Live Monday through Friday,

1:01:10.560 --> 1:01:13.439
<v Speaker 1>starting at two pm Wall Street Time. Catch us live well.

1:01:13.520 --> 1:01:16.760
<v Speaker 1>Check out our daily podcast for the Ride Home at iTunes, SoundCloud,

1:01:16.800 --> 1:01:18.920
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1:01:18.960 --> 1:01:21.880
<v Speaker 1>week's edition of the magazine on newsstands now. We'll be

1:01:21.920 --> 1:01:24.800
<v Speaker 1>back next week at the same time. This is Bloomberg