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Speaker 1: What's up, guys?

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Speaker 2: How are you welcome into a Sunday morning episode of

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Speaker 2: the Daily Juice Podcast. My name is Matt Perrelt. You

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Speaker 2: guys can follow me on my social media accounts at

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Speaker 2: sports Talk Matt. We're back after a losing day, but

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Speaker 2: I got a lot to talk about, in a lot

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Speaker 2: to say about what happened last night. We won the

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Speaker 2: horse race, but we lost. Sixteen dollars point one six

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Speaker 2: units is what we are using, as we went off

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Speaker 2: one hundred dollars. As I told you, that's what we're

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Speaker 2: going to use. Harrison gets there with ease, but the

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Speaker 2: underhits for Morob, who was dominant and I mean dominant

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Speaker 2: in his fight over sugar Sean O'Malley. The play of

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Speaker 2: the day goes down, Orioles money line comes in late,

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Speaker 2: so we end the day with a win. We're down

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Speaker 2: one point one units on the day. Not that big

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Speaker 2: of a deal just to losing day on a Saturday.

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Speaker 2: We're still having a winning week, winning month, and winning year.

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Speaker 2: So let's get to this Sunday. But before we do that,

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Speaker 2: I need to talk to you guys for just one second.

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Speaker 2: So I tried to go exotic yesterday and I thought

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Speaker 2: it might be kind of fun to put out something

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Speaker 2: for the Belmont, because I thought, all right, let's mix

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Speaker 2: it up. It's June, right, so let's add some new place.

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Speaker 2: Let's add some something different when I do that next time.

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Speaker 2: And I'm not sure I will ever bet horse racing

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Speaker 2: ever again, given the number of and I'm sorry to

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Speaker 2: call you guys this, but idiotic things that were said

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Speaker 2: to me on social media, both on the Discord channel

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Speaker 2: and on my Twitter account from you guys who bet

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Speaker 2: that and didn't understand or don't understand what paramutual betting is.

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Speaker 2: When the top two horses come in, the payouts that great.

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Speaker 2: So each one dollar exacta paid out six dollars and

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Speaker 2: sixty cents.

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Speaker 1: It's not great.

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Speaker 2: You go buy three, We bet three dollars. It's basically

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Speaker 2: nineteen twenty bucks. Right, Well, we bet thirty six to

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Speaker 2: win twenty back, so we win, but we lose money.

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Speaker 2: Why because we were hoping and it would have been

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Speaker 2: a different story if the six horse who came in

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Speaker 2: third on our ticket.

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Speaker 1: By the way, if that.

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Speaker 2: Horse comes in second or first, if Baeza comes in

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Speaker 2: second or first, came in third, we have a winning day.

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Speaker 2: We have a winning ticket, so I was playing defense

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Speaker 2: on that. And then you know, the one horse on

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Speaker 2: the rail wasn't really a factor in the race, but

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Speaker 2: we put that on. There is a thirteen to one

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Speaker 2: long shot just to try to come over the top.

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Speaker 2: So we got sovereignty and we got journalism. Our ticket cashed.

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Speaker 2: But that's parama, that's horse racing. I can't get over

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Speaker 2: the number of people who were barking at me and

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Speaker 2: angry because you guys don't understand what you're betting. If

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Speaker 2: you don't get how to bet horses, don't bet horses. Okay,

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Speaker 2: somebody said, why didn't Matt tell me this was a possibility?

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Speaker 2: What about we to do spoon feed your food to you?

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Speaker 2: Why didn't Matt tell me this was a possibility. Well,

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Speaker 2: if you got what paramutual betting was, if you haven't

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Speaker 2: met horse racing before, well maybe you should ask somebody,

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Speaker 2: or maybe don't bet, Maybe just watch and see what

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Speaker 2: can happen and live vicariously through all of us rather

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Speaker 2: than sending me hate dms and message on Twitter and

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Speaker 2: everything else that went on yesterday. Because the ticket that

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Speaker 2: I predicted won, but it didn't win enough to make

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Speaker 2: you happy because the ticket lost money by the horses

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Speaker 2: coming in like I thought. So I predicted the race right,

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Speaker 2: But you don't understand how to bet horses, and so

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Speaker 2: you're gonna be a baby.

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Speaker 1: I don't know.

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Speaker 2: I bet a triple crown race again, I don't know,

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Speaker 2: but that was ridiculous yesterday. I'm mad at myself because

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Speaker 2: I wanted to give myself an out.

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Speaker 1: With that parlay.

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Speaker 2: I should have just bet Morob and gone with Sugar

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Speaker 2: on kind of a half a unit knockout, and Morob

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Speaker 2: should have taken money line. I did not think Morob

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Speaker 2: was gonna submit O'Malley. I'll admit there that that surprised me.

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Speaker 2: O'Malley was doing great with takedown defense. He had twenty

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Speaker 2: seconds in the round to survive that and he couldn't

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Speaker 2: do it, unfortunately in the third round, so the under

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Speaker 2: comes in. I thought an under bet was decent for

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Speaker 2: a flyer play on that, but I took Amali on

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Speaker 2: the money line instead as a flyer play. So unfortunately

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Speaker 2: we lost two units on that. But the Orals come

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Speaker 2: back and get a w for us, So again, not

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Speaker 2: that big of a deal. All right, let's talk NBA

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Speaker 2: basketball today. We've got Game two NBA Finals, three bets

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Speaker 2: for us going on that and a strategic play. I'll

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Speaker 2: tell you about that here in twe just one second

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Speaker 2: and a bet on Sunday Night Baseball between the Red

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Speaker 2: Sox and the Yankees. But before I do that, let

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Speaker 2: me remind you about the Betting Pros app. Have you

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Speaker 2: downloads the free Betting pros app yet for iOS and

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Speaker 2: Android With sportsbooks Sink, you can automatically track your bets

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Speaker 2: across all major sports books in one spot. Easily monitor

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Speaker 2: your bet performance by sport and bet type, including game picks,

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Speaker 2: props and parlays. That app is where you find the

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Speaker 2: play of the day, which is now nine to one

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Speaker 2: over the last ten days and six in one in

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Speaker 2: the month of June. Best place to find the play

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Speaker 2: of the day is right there on the Betting Pros app.

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Speaker 2: You can create custom betting systems to find winning trends

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Speaker 2: and profitable opportunities. You guys told you before. You can

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Speaker 2: get a seven day trial for Betting pros Premium, where

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Speaker 2: you can find the prop bet cheat sheet, the same

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Speaker 2: prop bet cheat sheet that I have pulled two bets

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Speaker 2: off of for today's NBA game that I am going

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Speaker 2: to play on the daily Juice. You guys can go

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Speaker 2: and find that on Betting Pros Premium with the promo

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Speaker 2: code Juice after you download the Betting Pros app, after

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Speaker 2: you sync your sportsbooks to it, you then go and

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Speaker 2: use the code Juice Free Day seven trial for Betting

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Speaker 2: Pros Premium.

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Speaker 1: Go and check that out today.

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Speaker 2: It's also where you guys can go and check out

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Speaker 2: Betting Pros in the Betting Pro Systems, which gives you

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Speaker 2: a chance to build your own custom bet systems by

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Speaker 2: bet type, time frame, best opportunities using real time data

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Speaker 2: and expert analysis. When it download the Betting Pros app

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Speaker 2: or go to bettingpros dot com slash Systems to take

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Speaker 2: a look at that elevate your betting strategy.

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Speaker 1: When it comes to.

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Speaker 2: Overall what we're doing here for the Betting Pros app,

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Speaker 2: I'm going to try this week when it comes to baseball,

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Speaker 2: depending on when, maybe not this week, whenever we lose

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Speaker 2: either hockey or the NBA, the NBA Finals or the

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Speaker 2: Stanley Cup Final. Whenever we see one of those to end,

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Speaker 2: I will come back probably the next time we have

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Speaker 2: a day with no championships sports either hockey or basketball,

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Speaker 2: and I'll do a little bit more of an in

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Speaker 2: depth explanation of a betting Pro system, and I will

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Speaker 2: bet a betting Pro system that we have currently on

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Speaker 2: the app, and we'll make a playoff of it to

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Speaker 2: kind of explain it more, because I don't think we

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Speaker 2: have a great grasp of how to explain the Betting

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Speaker 2: Pro system and why is it such a cool tool

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Speaker 2: that you guys can use, Because it's a little wonky.

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Speaker 2: It's a little math heavy, and it's a little trend heavy.

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Speaker 2: So it's not a guarantee. It's not selling a pick,

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Speaker 2: it's not any of that. It's just selling you access.

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Speaker 2: The Betting pros premium subscription gives you access to this

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Speaker 2: gigantic database of data that you then can sift through

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Speaker 2: and use your own criteria to build a system that

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Speaker 2: could help you make bets. So it's a little convoluted.

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Speaker 2: I'll explain that more coming up later on in the

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Speaker 2: month of June.

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Speaker 1: All right, let's get to tonight. Let's start with the line.

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Speaker 2: Pacers are catching eleven and a half points, eleven in

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Speaker 2: a half half points. If this closes at eleven, it

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Speaker 2: will be the third largest spread for an NBA Finals

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Speaker 2: game over the last twenty one years, we don't see

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Speaker 2: these very often. We don't see this. This is a big,

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Speaker 2: big number. The NBA Finals four teams have been favored

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Speaker 2: by minus ten or higher, including what happened where it

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Speaker 2: closed at ten for OKC in Game one. Those big

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Speaker 2: favorites are three and one straight up, but they're just

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Speaker 2: one in three against the number. Here's how I am

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Speaker 2: playing this. At some point in this game, we're going

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Speaker 2: to get a number much better for OKC than eleven.

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna take the points before tip, all right, if

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Speaker 2: it climbs overnight, take as many points as you can

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Speaker 2: take eleven and a half. Okay, generally speaking, I like

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Speaker 2: a ten point middle. I'm not sure we're gonna get

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Speaker 2: a ten point middle. I'm probably gonna have to settle

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Speaker 2: for like a like a five point middle. But the

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Speaker 2: idea of the Pacers go wide to wire is somewhat

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Speaker 2: hard to under are hard to see. Okay, in game two,

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Speaker 2: most likely they're not gonna go wire to wire. So

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Speaker 2: at some point the Pacers may have a lead. They

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Speaker 2: may have, you know, kind of a larger lead, and

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Speaker 2: we can come in and take the thunder at four

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Speaker 2: or five, somewhere in that range and look to middle this. Okay,

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Speaker 2: that I think is the best way to play this.

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Speaker 2: I don't know if Okasee covers the eleven. I think

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Speaker 2: they probably cover four or five. I think they most

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Speaker 2: likely win this game. But in the first quarter we

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Speaker 2: bet that in game one and we laid three with Oka.

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Speaker 2: See the number now is four and a half. That's

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Speaker 2: too heavy, okay. All that emotion is now nervous energy

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Speaker 2: for the Thunder. They came out, they were so fired up,

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Speaker 2: they were so excited. The building was on fire.

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Speaker 1: Let's go, and.

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Speaker 2: They're up by nine points or ten points after the

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Speaker 2: first quarter. I could see them be trailing after the

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Speaker 2: first quarter against the Pacers. I mean, they've got nothing

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Speaker 2: to lose. They're playing with house money. They are loosey, goosey,

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Speaker 2: and good to go the Thunder. They're gonna be tight,

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Speaker 2: They're gonna be nervous. The Celtics lost Game one in

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Speaker 2: two at home to the Knicks, and they lost their

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Speaker 2: series in six. The Knicks lost games one and two

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Speaker 2: to the Pacers and they lost their series in six.

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Speaker 2: If the Thunder lose Game two and they're down two,

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Speaker 2: going to Indiana, they are in.

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Speaker 1: Serious trouble, and I mean serious trouble.

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Speaker 2: I'll take the points Pacers plus eleven, and then we'll

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Speaker 2: look to middle that somewhere below two possessions. If we

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Speaker 2: get that number with OKC, we'll come in and jump

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Speaker 2: on it with OKAC. If not, if OKA SE gets

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Speaker 2: out to a gigantic lead, we just ride the eleven

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Speaker 2: and we hope that the scrubs come in and they

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Speaker 2: cover it late and we get the plus eleven to.

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Speaker 1: Come in for the Pacers.

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Speaker 2: Okay, it's not a guarantee, but you don't have to

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Speaker 2: middle it. You can just ride the Pacers plus eleven.

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Speaker 2: But eleven points, as I just told you, I mean

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Speaker 2: this is an insanely high number for the NBA Finals.

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Speaker 2: For an eleven point spread, especially for the team that

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Speaker 2: well one game one is now expected to get killed,

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Speaker 2: you have to get down by fifteen points. That's kind

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Speaker 2: of right where Indiana wants them.

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Speaker 1: Right.

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Speaker 2: So along those same lines, let's go to the prop

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Speaker 2: bet Chia cheet and let's talk about SGA. SGA the

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Speaker 2: MVP of the league, points, rebounds, and assists. It's set

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Speaker 2: for forty two and a half prop bet cheat sheets

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Speaker 2: projecting forty two points, rebounds, and assists. In the first

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Speaker 2: game of this series, it got to forty six, thirty

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Speaker 2: eight points, five rebounds, and three assists, short of the

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Speaker 2: forty seven and a half half point number. In Game

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Speaker 2: seven or Game sorry five against Minnesota he had forty nine,

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Speaker 2: went over this number, but in the whole series against Denver,

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Speaker 2: the only time he went over forty seven points, rebounds

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Speaker 2: and assists was Game one. Every other game against Denver

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Speaker 2: he was under, and the Pacers did a really good

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Speaker 2: job in Game one under forty six. Now not way under,

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Speaker 2: but still under. Prop Betchichi, like I mentioned, is projecting

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Speaker 2: this as going under. And you look at the numbers

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Speaker 2: for SGA forty six, forty nine, fifty nine, okay, overs,

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Speaker 2: but then you get to Minnesota twenty two, forty nine,

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Speaker 2: forty five, forty two, forty one, forty four, thirty seven,

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Speaker 2: thirty eight and forty six. So going all the way

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Speaker 2: back to the seventh of May, SGA has only gone

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Speaker 2: over this three times. It's big number, points, rebounds, and

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Speaker 2: assists over forty seven and a half. We're gonna play

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Speaker 2: the under. This is a five star play according to

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Speaker 2: the prop bet cheat sheet. This is a seventy percent

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Speaker 2: cover probability. We're going under forty seven and a half

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Speaker 2: for SGA points, rebounds and assists at minus one twenty five. Now,

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Speaker 2: you guys don't like to play one prop on each

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Speaker 2: team one over one under, Let's talk about TJ McConnell.

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Speaker 2: TJ McConnell points, rebounds and assists over twelve and a

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Speaker 2: half in game number one fourteen to be exact, twelve

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Speaker 2: and a half is the number. Now fandul has got

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Speaker 2: it a minus one fourteen for TJ McConnell. This is

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Speaker 2: a sixty eight percent cover probability. Fifteen points, rebounds and

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Speaker 2: assists is with the projection from the prop bet cheat

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Speaker 2: sheet for TJ McConnell five star play again here in

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Speaker 2: a forty percent expected value, which is the highest the

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Speaker 2: prop bet cheat sheet will label a prop for forty

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Speaker 2: percent expected value. So this is a guy who has

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Speaker 2: gone over when over in game one, missed it against

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Speaker 2: the Knicks in Game six, but had it at seventeen

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Speaker 2: in game five on the road against the Knicks, he

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Speaker 2: went over this number all three times against the Knicks,

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Speaker 2: didn't go over against Cleveland on the road, missed it

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Speaker 2: all three times, but on the road against the Knicks

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Speaker 2: had sixteen sixteen and seventeen had fourteen in game one,

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Speaker 2: and the books came right back with a twelve and

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Speaker 2: a half for points, rebounds and assists. We're going to

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Speaker 2: play over points, rebounds and assists for TJ McConnell here

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Speaker 2: at minus one fourteen. All right, So for the NBA

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Speaker 2: plays for game two tonight, Pacers plus eleven, looking to

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Speaker 2: try to middle that SGA under forty seven and a

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Speaker 2: half points rebounds and assists and TJ McConnell over twelve

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Speaker 2: and a half points rebounds in assists. You guys know

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Speaker 2: what I like betting baseball on Sunday, but I do

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Speaker 2: bet the Sunday night baseball game.

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Speaker 1: I went at Red Sox Yankees. I will get involved

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Speaker 1: with it. Initially.

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Speaker 2: I'll get involved with it because the Red Sox pitching

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Speaker 2: staff is garbage.

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Speaker 1: Sucks.

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Speaker 2: Won ten seven yesterday. Garrett Crochet gave up five runs.

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Speaker 2: Red Sox somehow rallied and scored one run in the second,

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Speaker 2: five runs in the third, and two runs in the fourth,

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Speaker 2: and then two runs in the ninth to win the

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Speaker 2: game ten to seven. After nearly blowing the game to

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Speaker 2: the Yankees. It was it was what eight to seven,

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Speaker 2: and they scored two runs of insurance and won the

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Speaker 2: game ten to seven. Trevor Story had five RBIs yesterday,

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Speaker 2: Garrett Crochet Kate Aaron Judge three times, so he's due,

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Speaker 2: and the Red Sox are turning around and throwing Hunter Dobbins.

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Speaker 1: Well, here's the thing.

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Speaker 2: You can bet first five over four and a half

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Speaker 2: if you want for the Red Sox.

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Speaker 1: That team just it's insane.

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Speaker 2: First three over should be two and a half or

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Speaker 2: three first five over.

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Speaker 1: I don't mind it.

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Speaker 2: But the problem is that Carlos run Don is pitching

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Speaker 2: for the Yankees, and the Yankees are twenty one and

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Speaker 2: eleven at home. And the Yankees are really good after

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Speaker 2: they lose a game this year.

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Speaker 1: They're sixteen and seven this year.

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Speaker 2: After they lose, they don't really go on losing streaks,

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Speaker 2: so they tend to bounce back. They won Game one,

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Speaker 2: lost Game two. Here's the road match, here's the Sunday

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Speaker 2: night baseball audience in cars. Rondon is eight and three

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Speaker 2: with a two point four to nine ERA, and Rendon

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Speaker 2: at home this year has been really good two point

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Speaker 2: three eight ERA. He's four and two eleven earned in

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Speaker 2: forty one and two thirds innings worth of work in

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Speaker 2: a one to fifty four opposing batting average. So I

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Speaker 2: don't like the Red Sox chances to score very much.

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Speaker 2: I don't mind the Yankees on the run line today.

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Speaker 2: It's cheap to bet the Yankees on the run line

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Speaker 2: if you want. I'm just I'm not in love with

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Speaker 2: the run line in rivalry games because the Red Sox

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Speaker 2: offense can score at times, and it can score against bullpens,

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Speaker 2: and the Yankees this year on the run line are

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Speaker 2: twenty nine and thirty four. That's just forty six percent

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Speaker 2: of the time, so that's not really all that great

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Speaker 2: against a loss. After a loss, they're fourteen and nine

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Speaker 2: on the run line, which is a little bit better

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Speaker 2: have them bounced back. But I think the better way

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Speaker 2: of attacking it is to fade the Red Sox pitching staff.

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Speaker 2: The Red Sox era in the first inning is over twelve.

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Speaker 2: It's actually the worst. If the year ended today, the

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Speaker 2: Red Sox would have the worst the worst ERA in

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Speaker 2: the first inning ever in Major League Baseball history for

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Speaker 2: a pitching staff. So like you can bet the yur fee,

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Speaker 2: we want that as well. But I think it's better

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Speaker 2: just look at the team total because I don't know

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Speaker 2: how many runs that Ron Don is going to.

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Speaker 1: Give up to the Red Sox bats. Could be quite

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Speaker 1: a few.

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Speaker 2: But Hunter Dobbins is two to one with a four

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Speaker 2: point zero six ERA, and this is a big spot

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Speaker 2: for a young pitcher. He's got a four point five

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Speaker 2: ERA on the road, seven earned runs in fourteen innings

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Speaker 2: worth of work for him. His road starts have been

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Speaker 2: against Milwaukee where we went three innings gave up two

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Speaker 2: earned runs, Detroit we went five innings and gave up

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Speaker 2: five earned runs, and the Royals, where we went six

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Speaker 2: innings gave up zero earned runs. So a decent start

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Speaker 2: on the road, and then two not so decent starts

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Speaker 2: against the Tigers and the Milwaukee Brewers. So against this team,

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Speaker 2: the Yankees in prime time on Sunday night, team total

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Speaker 2: for the Yankees is four and a half. If Hunter

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Speaker 2: Dobbins doesn't give it up, the bullpen for the Red

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Speaker 2: Sox probably comes in and gives it up. So I

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Speaker 2: don't hate yr Fee, I don't hate Yankees on the

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Speaker 2: run line. I don't hate Yankees' money line, but it's expensive.

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Speaker 2: But I think the best bet is just to say

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Speaker 2: the Yankees score five runs in this game. They've scored

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Speaker 2: five runs in both these games. So far, Yankees have

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Speaker 2: scored six and sorry, nine and seven Yankees have scored

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Speaker 2: against the Red Sox so far.

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Speaker 1: So they flew over five over four and a half.

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Speaker 2: You know, maybe that the Red Sox pitch really well,

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Speaker 2: but like, I don't know Red Sox offense. I mean

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Speaker 2: needs Roman Anthony, the number one prospect in baseball, who

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Speaker 2: had a five hundred foot home run and grand Slam

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Speaker 2: yesterday for triple A Wooster. I mean, I don't know

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Speaker 2: what the Red Talks are waiting for to get this

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Speaker 2: kid up. They scored ten runs yesterday. You could say, well, Matt,

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Speaker 2: they scored a bunch of runs. But I don't find

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Speaker 2: somewhere to play them. Play him in right field, play him,

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Speaker 2: I don't care. Just play him. He has to play.

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Speaker 2: He has to be called up. Marcel Mayer came in

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Speaker 2: and pinched hit. He got a hit and scored a

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Speaker 2: run tonight for the Red Sox. So he's playing third base.

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Speaker 2: He came in and played third So it's I mean,

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Speaker 2: right now, the Red Soxs are a little bit of

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Speaker 2: a mess. Pitching Scout's been a mess all year. Team

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Speaker 2: total Yankees over four and a half for one point

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Speaker 2: two units. That should say one point two, sorry not

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Speaker 2: one point one. So plays four today Pacers plus eleven

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Speaker 2: SGA under forty seven and a half points, rebounds and assists.

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Speaker 2: TJ McConnell over twelve and a half points, rebounds and

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Speaker 2: assists and Yankees team total over four and a half.

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Speaker 2: On Sunday Night Baseball min Is Matt Parol. You guys

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Speaker 2: follow miracles all my socials at Sports Talking Matt every

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Speaker 2: morning wherever you guys get your podcasts.

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Speaker 1: It is the Daily Juice