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Speaker 1: eligibility and deposit restrictions, terms and responsible gaming resources. All right,

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Speaker 1: welcome to HOOPSINAI here at the volume. Happy Tuesday, everybody hopeful,

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Speaker 1: if you guys are having an incredible week. Just quick

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Speaker 1: show for you guys today, We're just doing a deep

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Speaker 1: dive series preview on the Pacers versus the Bucks.

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Speaker 2: I also have.

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Speaker 1: Seventeen clips for a little film session surrounding this matchup

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Speaker 1: at the tail end of the show. You guys are

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Speaker 1: the Joe for we Get Startist. Subscribe to our brand

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Speaker 1: of YouTube channels you don't miss any more of our videos.

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Speaker 1: Follow me on Twitter at underscore JSNLT so you guys

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Speaker 1: don't miss show announcements as well as the film threads

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Speaker 1: that I do from time to time in the mornings.

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Speaker 1: Don't forget about a podcast feed wherever you get your

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Speaker 1: podcast under Hoops Tonight. It's also super helpful if you

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Speaker 1: alleviate rating in the review on that feed. And the

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Speaker 1: last but not least, keepdropping mail back questions in the

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Speaker 1: YouTube comments. We're gonna hit some mailbags later on this week.

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Speaker 1: All right, let's talk some basketball. So, as I've mentioned before,

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Speaker 1: as we kind of incorporate this film session kind of format.

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Speaker 1: The way that I want to do this for our

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Speaker 1: podcast audience is I want to do all of the

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Speaker 1: audio stuff first and just kind of talk through the series.

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Speaker 1: Then we'll look at the film at the tail end.

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Speaker 1: So you guys listening on the podcast feed, if you

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Speaker 1: guys want to see some visual examples of the concepts

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Speaker 1: that I'm talking about, just make your way over to YouTube.

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Speaker 2: All right, let's get into it.

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Speaker 1: So Pacers won the season series four to one a

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Speaker 1: fifth game there as a result of the season tournament

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Speaker 1: semi final. Basically, the Pacers won the first two games,

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Speaker 1: then after the n season tournament, they went to Milwaukee

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Speaker 1: and got shredded by Milwaukee's offense and lost the game.

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Speaker 1: But shortly after that, about a month later, the Pacers

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Speaker 1: beat the Bucks in a home and home, meaning they

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Speaker 1: went into Milwaukee and beat the Bucks and then came

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Speaker 1: home the Bucks trying to avoid getting embarrassed and losing

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Speaker 1: the season series four to one, going to Indiana and

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Speaker 1: lose again. It's just a really really bad matchup for Milwaukee.

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Speaker 1: In terms of the gap in foot speed, We're going

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Speaker 1: to dig into it, but in terms of the season series,

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Speaker 1: not a good showing for the Milwaukee Bucks. All the

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Speaker 1: games were before the trade deadline, so the teams are

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Speaker 1: a little bit different. Obviously, Milwaukee operating with Patrick Beverley

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Speaker 1: is kind of their new backcourt defensive option. He's actually

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Speaker 1: started a couple games down the stretch. Maleak Beasley over

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Speaker 1: his last forty one games of the season is shooting

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Speaker 1: below thirty six percent from three, so with him just

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Speaker 1: not being the same level of defender and him not

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Speaker 1: shooting as well as it typically does there, I think

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Speaker 1: two times over the final four games, Doc Rivers went

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Speaker 1: with Patrick Beverly as basically an alternative there. Patrick Beverly

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Speaker 1: is a really good guard defender, but not a great,

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Speaker 1: you know, bigger wing defender, and so honestly, I think

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Speaker 1: he kind of fits that role nicely the job that

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Speaker 1: Malik Beasley was doing. He comes with his own offensive limitations. Obviously,

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Speaker 1: he's a little bit of a ball stopper. He's he's

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Speaker 1: your textbook like catch pump, fake jab step guy, where

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Speaker 1: like the ball just kind of sticks in his hands

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Speaker 1: a little bit, and so there's some offensive limitations there.

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Speaker 1: But that's a different configuration that Milwaukee can go to

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Speaker 1: that they did not have in the Indiana or the

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Speaker 1: Indiana season series. And Patrick Beverley actually has had some

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Speaker 1: success against Tyrese Halliburton individually in that matchup over the

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Speaker 1: course of his career famously, you know, obviously covering the

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Speaker 1: Lakers pretty closely last year.

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Speaker 2: Last year with the Lakers, he had a big.

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Speaker 1: Night in Indiana where he was able to do a

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Speaker 1: good job against Tyrese Haliburton down the stretch. Now context

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Speaker 1: there obviously Anthony Davis on the back end and Tyres

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Speaker 1: Aliburton's not the same level player in season as he

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Speaker 1: is in this particular season, but different configuration they're obviously

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Speaker 1: in Indiana, they're not as good at guard without Bruce Brown,

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Speaker 1: but they're much better at forward with Pascal Siakam, and

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Speaker 1: they have a legitimate secondary shot creator, different element to

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Speaker 1: their offense that they can go to. Also, the units

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Speaker 1: that have Pascal Siakam with Miles Turner and Aaron Nesmith

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Speaker 1: and Andrew Empard have been pretty good defensively, so they

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Speaker 1: have a different look that they can get to in

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Speaker 1: terms of perimeter athleticism, including the front court that they

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Speaker 1: didn't have early in the season. So both teams are

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Speaker 1: a little bit different. But I'm gonna give you the

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Speaker 1: information that I have from the season series. The Pacers

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Speaker 1: have a one to twenty two offensive rating in this matchup.

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Speaker 1: They have consistently shredded the Bucks defense. Bucks have done

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Speaker 1: well offensively as well, a one eighteen offensive rating, just

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Speaker 1: not nearly as well. The Pacers have won the rebounding

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Speaker 1: battles slightly, although both teams have struggled a bit to

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Speaker 1: clean up the defensive glass. I was surprised by this part.

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Speaker 1: The gambling odds on DraftKings, the Bucks are a minus

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Speaker 1: one thirty five favorite. We had a Yannis report. Weind

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Speaker 1: of had a feeling coming into this series that Yannis

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Speaker 1: was going to miss some time. Wojes reported this morning.

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Speaker 1: Adrian Warzonowski from ESPN reported this morning that the Bucks

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Speaker 1: are preparing to be without Yannis for the start of

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Speaker 1: the series, but that they're hopefully having him back later

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Speaker 1: in the series. Big advantage for the Pacers on two levels.

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Speaker 1: One obviously no Yannis, but two early in the series

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Speaker 1: the Bucks have more home games. Think of it like this.

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Speaker 1: Once you get through the first two games, three of

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Speaker 1: the last five are in Indiana, and so if they

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Speaker 1: split one one, you just have to win your home games.

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Speaker 1: If you're Indiana, you win the series. If you go

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Speaker 1: up to Oho in Milwaukee, even if Jannis comes back,

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Speaker 1: you just have to go two and three over the

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Speaker 1: final five games, with three of those games being at home,

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Speaker 1: and so a lot stacked against Milwaukee in this series.

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Speaker 1: Just on the surface, before we even get into some

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Speaker 1: of the some of the matchup stuff, a couple of

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Speaker 1: things with the Bucks without Yanis. I wanted to share

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Speaker 1: some lineup data with you just so you guys can

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Speaker 1: get a feel for what the Bucks have been like

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Speaker 1: this year when Jannis has been off the floor. I'm

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Speaker 1: want to look at this from four different lineup groupings.

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Speaker 1: First of all, just giant aggregate sample of Jannis off

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Speaker 1: the floor twenty six and four possessions according to Cleaning

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Speaker 1: the Glass. With Jannis off the floor, again, cleaning the

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Speaker 1: glass filters out garbage time, but they have a minus

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Speaker 1: five point six net rating, meaning they get outscored by

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Speaker 1: five point six points per one hundred possessions. And they've

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Speaker 1: been bad on both ends of the floor. Now, what

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Speaker 1: if we look at the three best players for the

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Speaker 1: Bucks with Janis off the floor, so Damian Lillard on

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Speaker 1: Chris Middleton on Brook Lopez on Jannis off three hundred

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Speaker 1: and sixty one possessions, a minus twenty point eight net rating,

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Speaker 1: atrocious on both ends of the floor. Then we look

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Speaker 1: at their new starting lineup, so the starting line they

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Speaker 1: use for the most part after the the the Jiannis injury,

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Speaker 1: not counting obviously the configurations with Patrick Beverley, they have

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Speaker 1: Dame Malik Beasley, Chris Middleton, Bobby Portis, and Brook Lopez

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Speaker 1: ninety eight possessions, minus eight point two rating atrocious on

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Speaker 1: offense and bad on defense. They've been much better with

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Speaker 1: Patrick Beverley on the floor in that grouping. Here's the

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Speaker 1: biggest silver lining. If you just look at the big

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Speaker 1: front court, So Bobby Portis at the four, Lopez at

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Speaker 1: the five, with Giannis off the floor. Substantial sample size

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Speaker 1: three and eighty four possessions, they are plus one in

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Speaker 1: net rating, meaning they're outscoring teams by one point per

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Speaker 1: one hundred posessions in a massive sample size. Mediocre on offense,

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Speaker 1: but pretty good on the defensive end of the floor. Again,

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Speaker 1: Bobby Portis, when he's in that backup center spot and

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Speaker 1: he's constantly defending ball screens, doesn't look pretty good. It

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Speaker 1: doesn't look very good defensively, right, But like if you

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Speaker 1: get Lopez into ball screens and allow Portas to be

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Speaker 1: the low man, or if you allow Portis to come

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Speaker 1: up to the level and hedge or high drop while

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Speaker 1: having Brooke Lopez on the back line, things have looked

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Speaker 1: better defensively. And so I think that's the configuration we're

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Speaker 1: going to see for the most part with Giannis off

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Speaker 1: the floor in this series, depending on how long he's

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Speaker 1: going to be out. So translation, not a lot of good,

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Speaker 1: a lot of really bad data with Giannis off the floor.

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Speaker 1: But your ray of sunlight you're a little bit of

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Speaker 1: like kind of like optimism to cling to is that

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Speaker 1: you've been positive this year with Bobby Portis and Brook

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Speaker 1: Lopez on the floor together give yourself a better chance

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Speaker 1: to defend the rim. The Pacers in particular, are the

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Speaker 1: best paint attacking team in the league. They scored the

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Speaker 1: fourth most points in transition this year, and they've scored

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Speaker 1: the most points on the role in ball screens this year.

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Speaker 1: That's a big part of what allowed them to be

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Speaker 1: the best points in the paint team in the league

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Speaker 1: this year. So let's start with the Pacers on the

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Speaker 1: offensive end of the floor. What I expect from matchups.

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Speaker 1: I think we'll see either Malik Beasley or Patrick Beverley

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Speaker 1: on Tyrese Haliburton. That goes without saying again, we're going

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Speaker 1: to talk about the difference between Patrick Beverly and Malik

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Speaker 1: Beasley here in a minute. In terms of options, Damian

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Speaker 1: Lillard will most likely guard Andrew Nemhard. Now, the next

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Speaker 1: question is like, do you put Bobby Portis on Pascal

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Speaker 1: Siakam or do you put Chris Middleton on Pascal Siakam.

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Speaker 1: That's gonna be the challenge, right and honestly, you can

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Speaker 1: go either way. Here's here's where I have a kind

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Speaker 1: of my own little personal kind of basketball belief. I

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Speaker 1: want to keep Portis in lowman situations as much as

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Speaker 1: possible because he's not as fast, but he has good size. Right,

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Speaker 1: I want to keep Middleton defending on the perimeter as

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Speaker 1: much as possible. So if you put Middleton on Siakam,

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Speaker 1: is he gonna be able to slide his feet better?

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Speaker 2: Sure?

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Speaker 1: Is he gonna be able to deal with some of

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Speaker 1: Pascal Siakam's athleticism traits better?

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Speaker 2: Sure?

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Speaker 1: But do I want Bobby Portis trying to close out

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Speaker 1: on Aaron E. Smith on the perimeter and not be

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Speaker 1: in a low man situation as often? No? I think

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Speaker 1: that limits or brings out the worst and what Bobby

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Speaker 1: Portis brings to the table. So I personally would put

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Speaker 1: Bobby Portis on Pascal Siakam gives him more lowman type

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Speaker 1: of possessions. And again, what I mean there by lowman

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Speaker 1: possessions is he's defending a guy that he's not as

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Speaker 1: worried about as a shooter, so he can tag rollers

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Speaker 1: and help be behind brook Lopez when brook Lopez has

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Speaker 1: to show on a ball handler or leave his feet

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Speaker 1: on a shot block at tempt. He can help kind

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Speaker 1: of clean up the backside. I want him around the

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Speaker 1: basket as much as possible. If I had him on

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Speaker 1: aaron Nie Smith, who's shooting over forty percent from three

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Speaker 1: this year and has been an excellent closeout attacker with

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Speaker 1: really good slashing speed. Now he's closing out to the

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Speaker 1: perimeter more not going to be able to help at

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Speaker 1: the rim is more so, the I also think, like

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Speaker 1: with a Pascal Siakam's kind of bully ball attack, Portis

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Speaker 1: will be able to hold up under that reasonably well

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Speaker 1: by conceding the jump shot and just trying to beat

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Speaker 1: him to spots by backpedaling right. Chris Middleton. If you

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Speaker 1: put Middleton on Siakam, I think Siakam has a better

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Speaker 1: chance to kind of play bully ball against him. Middleton

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Speaker 1: closing out and trying to contain aaron Nie Smith and

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Speaker 1: close out situations. I kind of like that matchup now, right,

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Speaker 1: So here's the counterpoint. What if the Pacers just go

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Speaker 1: to Siakam Haliburton ball screens to try to attack Bobby Portis.

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Speaker 1: I get that, and I understand the concern, and they

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Speaker 1: probably have some success there. But the alternative is you

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Speaker 1: have Chris Middleton in that action and you switch it right,

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Speaker 1: so Middleton on Siakam and you have and you have

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Speaker 1: your primary point of attack defender, whether it's Malik Beasley

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Speaker 1: or Patrick Beverley on Tyrese Saliburton. Right, But if you

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Speaker 1: switch it and you put Chris Middleton onto Tyrese Aliburn,

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Speaker 1: now you got Moligue Beasley or Patrick Beverley trying to

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Speaker 1: guard Chris Middleton and or excuse me, trying to guard

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Speaker 1: Pascal Siakam. And like as I mentioned earlier, I like

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Speaker 1: Patrick Beverley defending guards, but I don't particularly like him

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Speaker 1: defending forwards. I know he has a bit of a

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Speaker 1: reputation for that, but just as someone who was rooting

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Speaker 1: for the Lakers last year, I watched him guard a

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Speaker 1: lot of forwards and for the most part, it didn't

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Speaker 1: go well. And he had to guard a lot of

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Speaker 1: fords because the Lakers didn't have any forwards at that

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Speaker 1: point in the season, so it was kind of a

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Speaker 1: thing that he had to do a lot. And so

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Speaker 1: in my opinion, the best way to handle that is

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Speaker 1: to keep portis on Seacam. Don't switch those ball screens,

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Speaker 1: just run a high drop. So essentially, imagine Tyree Sliburton

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Speaker 1: has the ball, he calls Siakam into the ball screen

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Speaker 1: to try to attack Bobby Portis, you bring Bobby Portis

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Speaker 1: up to the level of the screen, and you have

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Speaker 1: Brook Lopez basically ignore Miles Turner to handle whatever happens

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Speaker 1: in the paint. This is gonna be one of the

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Speaker 1: biggest kind of like themes of the series, the Brook

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Speaker 1: Lopez Miles Turner kind of like battle because both of

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Speaker 1: those guys are centers that can shoot threes, but that

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Speaker 1: don't hit enough of them to really truly be dangerous.

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Speaker 1: And so I think both teams are going to basically

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Speaker 1: concede catch and shoot threes on pops and spot up

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Speaker 1: situations to both of those guys, right. Brooke Miles Turner,

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Speaker 1: for instance, he's below thirty six percent from three and

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Speaker 1: below a point per possession on spot up possessions overall,

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Speaker 1: So yeah, he can make them, but from a game

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Speaker 1: plan standpoint, you almost have to ignore him to give

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Speaker 1: yourself a chance to slow down Indiana. And so basically

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Speaker 1: what I expect is on your Turner ball screens on SIAKAM,

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Speaker 1: I think you'll see Lopez in a deep drop coverage, right,

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Speaker 1: and you'll just be chasing over the top. And we'll

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Speaker 1: talk about that specific a dynamic and a mini because

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Speaker 1: they're gonna have to do a better job than they

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Speaker 1: did in the regular season. But then when they run

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Speaker 1: any ball screens with Siakam to try to bring Bobby

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Speaker 1: Portis into the action, I expect him to bring Portis

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Speaker 1: way out high and then have Lopez ignore Turner to

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Speaker 1: sit in the paint and try to clean up anything

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Speaker 1: rolling to the basket. Now, if Siakam pops, he's going

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Speaker 1: to be open. But all Bobby Portis has to do

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Speaker 1: is chase him off the line and funnel him into

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Speaker 1: Brook Lopez and it close out after the fact. Right,

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Speaker 1: And Siakam hasn't shot the three. He shot the three

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Speaker 1: better since going to Indiana, but he still isn't the

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Speaker 1: kind of guy that you're super, super worried about.

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Speaker 2: Lighting you up from the three point line.

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Speaker 1: So the main problem that I have with this particular

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Speaker 1: matchup for for Milwaukee is they just don't really do

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Speaker 1: a good job of making Tyrese Haliburton feel uncomfortable. Malik

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Speaker 1: Beasley has had little to no success just even making

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Speaker 1: applying even back pressure making him feel even remotely uncomfortable.

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Speaker 1: He can get him set up. Tyree's can get him

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Speaker 1: set up on the wrong side his screens and just

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Speaker 1: easily get into easy fifteen footers and floaters and so on.

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Speaker 1: And so he picks on Dame like crazy with guard

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Speaker 1: guard screens to get Dame switched on to him, and

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Speaker 1: then he'll bring Dame into the ball screen. It's been

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Speaker 1: a problem, and I'll show you guys some examples on

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Speaker 1: film when we get there. But the Bucks have had

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Speaker 1: a nightmare time handling Tyrese Haliburton in ball screen. So

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Speaker 1: that makes me wonder if this is gonna end up

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Speaker 1: being more of kind of like a Patrick Beverly type

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Speaker 1: of series. Obviously, as I mentioned, they started him twice

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Speaker 1: there down the stretch of the year, including in that

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Speaker 1: must win game against Orlando, And not only that, Orlando's

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Speaker 1: not really a team that initiates from the guard position

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Speaker 1: that much, and so I think that's a pretty strong

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Speaker 1: indicator of where Doc Rivers is leaning with the starting

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Speaker 1: group heading into the postseason. Like, they didn't even have

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Speaker 1: to guard a Tyres in that must win game and

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Speaker 1: they went with Patrick Beverley.

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Speaker 2: And as I mentioned.

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Speaker 1: Earlier, Malik Beasley just thirty six percent from three over

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Speaker 1: the final half of the season. It's a forty one

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Speaker 1: game sample size, so it just kind of turned into

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Speaker 1: an option there where Pat made some sense. So if

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Speaker 1: I was Milwaukee, I would just start Patrick Beverley and

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Speaker 1: from there I would lean on that deep drop coverage

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Speaker 1: because again, that heep dropped coverage. Brook Lopez is going

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Speaker 1: to be back towards the rim. But they were getting

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Speaker 1: killed because they were not doing a good enough job

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Speaker 1: on Tyres Halliburton right on the ball, and you'll see

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Speaker 1: in the video examples it's really bad. So if we

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Speaker 1: kind of take this dynamic and I go from Malik

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Speaker 1: Beasley to a much better perimeter defender in Patrick Beverley,

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Speaker 1: and we look at the fact that Tyres Haliburton is

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Speaker 1: just not the same guy that he was before his

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Speaker 1: hamstring injury. He's down a level that might give you

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Speaker 1: a better chance of holding up in that coverage. Just

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Speaker 1: to give you guys a little bit of a perspective.

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Speaker 1: Before his hamstring injury, Tyres Haliburton averaged twenty four points

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Speaker 1: and thirteen assists per game on fifty percent from the

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Speaker 1: field and forty percent from three. After his hamstring injury,

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Speaker 1: seventeen points per game a nine assists, forty six percent

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Speaker 1: from the field and thirty two percent from three, just

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Speaker 1: hasn't been the same guy, even if we zoom in

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Speaker 1: at the end of the season the kind of run

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Speaker 1: that he's currently on last ten games, nineteen points and

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Speaker 1: nine assists, forty seven percent from the field and thirty

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Speaker 1: eight percent from three, So starting to get a little

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Speaker 1: bit better, but still not the old Tyrese Halliburton that

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Speaker 1: we've kind of that we kind of grew accustomed to

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Speaker 1: early in the season. And so that's a big swing

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Speaker 1: factor in the series. It's probably the second biggest swing

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Speaker 1: factor behind when is Giannis gonna return? Is is tyres

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Speaker 1: Halliburton gonna be the Tyresse Halliburton that we know? But again,

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Speaker 1: if Patrick Beverly starts the series or plays big minutes

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Speaker 1: in the series and does a much better job in

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Speaker 1: their drop coverage of applying back pressure, that can kind

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Speaker 1: of make that coverage hold up better. Especially if Tyrese

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Speaker 1: Haliburton is not the same level player that he was

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Speaker 1: earlier in the series, that could literally be Milwaukee's best

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Speaker 1: pathway to victory keys for both teams. When Indiana has

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Speaker 1: the ball, Haliburton has to be able to score again.

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Speaker 1: That's that's that's gonna be the thing that he did

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Speaker 1: early in the season that he hasn't been able to

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Speaker 1: do as well here down the stretch. Has to be

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Speaker 1: able to score the basketball. That's the only thing that's

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Speaker 1: gonna punish that Bucks drop coverage, Siakam inverted ball screens.

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Speaker 1: This is again it's gonna be really important to try

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Speaker 1: to find a way to get Pascalci downhill, especially when

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Speaker 1: you're gonna have Bobby Portis in all likelihood sagging pretty

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Speaker 1: far off of him, and so one of the things

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Speaker 1: I'd like to see them do to attack that. And

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Speaker 1: I did a whole video on Siakam inverted ball screens earlier.

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Speaker 1: It was like two or three weeks ago on our

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Speaker 1: YouTube feed, one over a million examples, so you guys

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Speaker 1: can kind of check that out on our YouTube feed

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Speaker 1: a bit further back. But when they say guarde screens

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Speaker 1: on Siakam, he usually is able to get downhill into

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Speaker 1: the lane and get some good shots. So that's a

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Speaker 1: big thing I'd like to see him go too. I

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Speaker 1: think it's a great way to attack Milwaukee's guards too. Also,

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Speaker 1: you'll get some switches that way where Siakam will be

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Speaker 1: able to attack out of the post, and then Miles

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Speaker 1: Turner's three point shooting has to knock down threes. The

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Speaker 1: Bucks will almost certainly leave him open, and if he

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Speaker 1: shoots forty percent, that just gives Indiana a much better

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Speaker 1: chance to win the series. On the Milwaukee front, all

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Speaker 1: about ball pressure and back pressure. You've got to be

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Speaker 1: You've got to be able to stay in that deep

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Speaker 1: drop coverage to be able to hold up against Indiana's

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Speaker 1: paint attack. The only way you're gonna be able to

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Speaker 1: do that is if you can keep him in that coverage,

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Speaker 1: and the only way you're gonna be able to keep

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Speaker 1: him in that coverage is with your back pressure. That

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Speaker 1: is going to be the biggest fat for Milwaukee defensively

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Speaker 1: in this series. How well do they guard Tyres Haliburton.

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Speaker 1: Bobby Portis and Chris Middleton have to handle their matchups,

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Speaker 1: meaning Bobby Portis has to be able to hold up

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Speaker 1: in ISO against Pascal Siakam and be good and help situations.

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Speaker 1: And Chris Middleton has to be able to help and

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Speaker 1: recover in the Aaronie Smith matchup. And again he's a

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Speaker 1: very good shooter and a very good closeout attacker, so

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Speaker 1: that's going to be a tough job. And then Dame

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Speaker 1: has to do his job effort over the top of

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Speaker 1: screens when he does get switched onto Halliburton or TJ McConnell.

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Speaker 1: T J McConnell did a number on the Bucks in

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Speaker 1: this season series as well. I'll show you guys some

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Speaker 1: clips when we get there. And then also in hedge

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Speaker 1: and recover situations, he just needs to do his job

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Speaker 1: to cut off that driving angle in the hedge and

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Speaker 1: then to recover to chase the shooter off the line,

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Speaker 1: and then lastly they got to get back in transition.

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Speaker 1: The Bucks are one of the worst transition frequency teams

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Speaker 1: in the league and the Pacers are one of the

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Speaker 1: highest transition frequency teams in the league. They run as

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Speaker 1: much as they can, and the Bucks are really bad

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Speaker 1: at stopping teams from running. That's a matchup that they're

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Speaker 1: going to have to gain control of. Moving over to

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Speaker 1: Milwauke with the ball, I expect are Nemhard to guard

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Speaker 1: Damian Lillard to start the series, Aaron Nesmith to guard

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Speaker 1: Chris Middleton. Again, those are aeroni. Smith's kind of like

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Speaker 1: a fire hydrant, lower center of gravity, really good sliding

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Speaker 1: his feet will force Chris to shoot over the top.

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Speaker 1: But Chris isn't over the top shooter, and he's good

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Speaker 1: footwork guy. I'll show you some examples. Tyre's Aliburton will

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Speaker 1: most likely be guarding Patrick Beverly or Milik Beasley again.

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Speaker 1: With him, it's gonna be big, mostly a bit, mostly

428
00:20:23,720 --> 00:20:26,359
Speaker 1: going to be about hedging and recovering, and this is

429
00:20:26,400 --> 00:20:27,520
Speaker 1: a big swing factor in the series.

430
00:20:27,560 --> 00:20:27,840
Speaker 2: Shoot.

431
00:20:27,880 --> 00:20:31,120
Speaker 1: If Indiana can play Malik Beasley off the floor by

432
00:20:31,160 --> 00:20:34,680
Speaker 1: attacking him when he's on defense and he's not making

433
00:20:34,800 --> 00:20:37,359
Speaker 1: enough shots for whatever reason, then they'll have to go

434
00:20:37,400 --> 00:20:39,639
Speaker 1: to Patrick Beverley. If they go to Patrick Beverley, it

435
00:20:39,680 --> 00:20:41,840
Speaker 1: makes it a lot easier for Tyre's Haliburton to hedge

436
00:20:41,840 --> 00:20:43,840
Speaker 1: and recover without leaving openings. So that's gonna be a

437
00:20:43,880 --> 00:20:46,600
Speaker 1: big match up in this series as well. Pascal Siakam

438
00:20:46,720 --> 00:20:48,800
Speaker 1: is most likely going to guard Bobby Portis and the

439
00:20:48,920 --> 00:20:51,680
Speaker 1: Miles Turner is going to guard Brook Lopez. I don't

440
00:20:51,680 --> 00:20:53,600
Speaker 1: think you can switch that around and have Turner guard

441
00:20:53,840 --> 00:20:57,800
Speaker 1: Portis and Siakam guard Lopez because in that case, just

442
00:20:57,840 --> 00:21:00,000
Speaker 1: because of how well Bobby Portis is shooting the ball,

443
00:21:00,040 --> 00:21:02,240
Speaker 1: I don't think you can run a deep drop with

444
00:21:02,359 --> 00:21:06,760
Speaker 1: Brook Lopez or excuse me with with Miles Turner against

445
00:21:07,119 --> 00:21:10,040
Speaker 1: the Bobby Portis ball screens, because Bobby Portis is just

446
00:21:10,040 --> 00:21:12,080
Speaker 1: shooting the shit out of the basketball is fifty three

447
00:21:12,119 --> 00:21:15,040
Speaker 1: percent from three on fifteen games, and they'll just pick

448
00:21:15,080 --> 00:21:18,439
Speaker 1: and pop and Bobby Portis is just gonna make all

449
00:21:18,440 --> 00:21:20,199
Speaker 1: those shots. So I think you actually have to go

450
00:21:20,240 --> 00:21:22,520
Speaker 1: with Siakam on Bobby Portis so that you have more

451
00:21:22,520 --> 00:21:25,760
Speaker 1: athleticism athleticism to chase him off the three point line,

452
00:21:25,800 --> 00:21:27,520
Speaker 1: and then you're gonna sit in a deep drop with

453
00:21:27,560 --> 00:21:30,240
Speaker 1: Miles Turner. The Pacers are actually a solid defense with

454
00:21:30,280 --> 00:21:33,200
Speaker 1: their core group Aeronie Smith, Andrew Nemhard, Pascal Siakam, and

455
00:21:33,240 --> 00:21:35,440
Speaker 1: Miles Turner on the floor together have a one to

456
00:21:35,440 --> 00:21:37,879
Speaker 1: eleven point five defensive rating, which is pretty good. As

457
00:21:37,880 --> 00:21:40,480
Speaker 1: a matter of fact, both of these defenses, including Milwaukee,

458
00:21:40,760 --> 00:21:44,119
Speaker 1: are better statistically than their reputations would lead you to believe.

459
00:21:44,160 --> 00:21:48,199
Speaker 1: They're actually pretty solid defensive teams. I expect the Pacers,

460
00:21:48,240 --> 00:21:49,960
Speaker 1: like I mentioned earlier, to do to Lopez with the

461
00:21:49,960 --> 00:21:52,199
Speaker 1: Bucks will do to Turner, just ignore him at the

462
00:21:52,200 --> 00:21:54,680
Speaker 1: three point line. I'll show you some examples on film

463
00:21:54,840 --> 00:21:57,280
Speaker 1: of where the Pacers have had success against the Bucks

464
00:21:57,320 --> 00:22:01,359
Speaker 1: this season by ignoring brook Lopez, I expect high drop

465
00:22:01,400 --> 00:22:04,400
Speaker 1: with siakam on Portis and pick and rolls or Giannis

466
00:22:04,520 --> 00:22:06,919
Speaker 1: in pick and Rolls when he returns. One other thing

467
00:22:06,960 --> 00:22:09,320
Speaker 1: we're gonna see on film, Jiannis has to roll after

468
00:22:09,359 --> 00:22:11,159
Speaker 1: he sets his screens. That was a big issue in

469
00:22:11,200 --> 00:22:14,280
Speaker 1: the Pacers season series this year. I'll show you some examples.

470
00:22:14,560 --> 00:22:16,359
Speaker 1: Miles Turner is going to be hawking the back line

471
00:22:16,359 --> 00:22:20,639
Speaker 1: there so again, imagine siakam a in a ball screen

472
00:22:20,800 --> 00:22:24,320
Speaker 1: with Portis up at the level right sprinting to chase

473
00:22:24,320 --> 00:22:26,840
Speaker 1: Bobby Portis off the line on the kickback. Even if

474
00:22:26,840 --> 00:22:30,160
Speaker 1: Bobby Portis drives, Miles Turner is going to be sitting

475
00:22:30,160 --> 00:22:32,840
Speaker 1: in the paint, ignoring brook Lopez to kind of concede

476
00:22:32,880 --> 00:22:37,919
Speaker 1: that catch and shoot three right keys for both teams

477
00:22:37,960 --> 00:22:41,520
Speaker 1: when Milwaukee for Milwaukee, when Milwaukee has the ball cleared

478
00:22:41,560 --> 00:22:44,640
Speaker 1: side ball screens for Portis and Giannis to have easier reads.

479
00:22:44,640 --> 00:22:47,000
Speaker 1: I'll show some more film examples of that. Giannis has

480
00:22:47,040 --> 00:22:49,440
Speaker 1: to roll hard after setting these screens. It's so important

481
00:22:49,440 --> 00:22:52,040
Speaker 1: for creating the openings. Chris Middleton has to find a

482
00:22:52,040 --> 00:22:54,119
Speaker 1: way to win the Nie Smith matchup just by scoring.

483
00:22:54,160 --> 00:22:55,880
Speaker 1: He's got to find a way to get comfortable as

484
00:22:55,920 --> 00:22:59,040
Speaker 1: a secondary kind of offensive creator there, especially while Giannis is out.

485
00:22:59,359 --> 00:23:01,280
Speaker 1: Brook Lopez needs to make his catch and shoot three

486
00:23:01,320 --> 00:23:04,080
Speaker 1: similar to the Turner situation. And then lastly, Damian Lillard

487
00:23:04,080 --> 00:23:06,000
Speaker 1: just has to play like a superstar. It's got to

488
00:23:06,000 --> 00:23:08,280
Speaker 1: make superstar shots and carry this team long enough for

489
00:23:08,320 --> 00:23:11,480
Speaker 1: Yiannis to return. On the Indiana front, Aaron Nee Smith

490
00:23:11,480 --> 00:23:14,919
Speaker 1: and Angel Nemhard consistently need to make Dame and Chris uncomfortable.

491
00:23:14,920 --> 00:23:17,919
Speaker 1: Winning their defensive version of that matchup. Nie Smith does

492
00:23:17,960 --> 00:23:19,639
Speaker 1: a good job with his back pressure. I'll show you

493
00:23:19,640 --> 00:23:23,199
Speaker 1: guys some examples in Themhart again, Chris has gotten in

494
00:23:23,280 --> 00:23:26,280
Speaker 1: with his footwork over this matchup. But if dem Hard

495
00:23:26,320 --> 00:23:29,120
Speaker 1: can just stay steady, disrupt the shooting pocket, force tough

496
00:23:29,160 --> 00:23:30,960
Speaker 1: over the top jump shots, he has a chance there.

497
00:23:31,320 --> 00:23:33,080
Speaker 1: Game playing discipline is going to be big. Got to

498
00:23:33,080 --> 00:23:35,639
Speaker 1: make sure the right guys are taking the shots. And

499
00:23:35,680 --> 00:23:37,680
Speaker 1: then if you can play Moleague Beasley off the floor,

500
00:23:37,680 --> 00:23:39,399
Speaker 1: Patrick Beverley is going to do a better job on

501
00:23:39,440 --> 00:23:41,159
Speaker 1: Tyre's Halliburton, but he's also going to give you a

502
00:23:41,200 --> 00:23:43,600
Speaker 1: much better job of holding up on the defensive end.

503
00:23:43,640 --> 00:23:43,920
Speaker 2: Of the four.

504
00:23:44,000 --> 00:23:47,200
Speaker 1: My prediction for this series. If Giannis was healthy, I'd

505
00:23:47,200 --> 00:23:49,960
Speaker 1: take Milwaukee. I'd take him in seven games. Even though

506
00:23:50,000 --> 00:23:53,280
Speaker 1: Indiana has dominated this matchup, I think that Damon Giannis

507
00:23:53,280 --> 00:23:55,480
Speaker 1: would probably be the best the two best players in

508
00:23:55,520 --> 00:23:59,560
Speaker 1: the series, especially with how Tyres Haliburton has been playing. Obviously,

509
00:23:59,640 --> 00:24:02,040
Speaker 1: homecore advantage I think is a big factor there. I

510
00:24:02,119 --> 00:24:04,320
Speaker 1: basically think the home team would win every game and

511
00:24:04,400 --> 00:24:07,679
Speaker 1: Milwaukee would win in seven, especially with Tyre Salibert not

512
00:24:07,680 --> 00:24:10,399
Speaker 1: being at one hundred percent, but with Giannis out, this

513
00:24:10,520 --> 00:24:12,840
Speaker 1: feels like a series where Indiana goes up to one.

514
00:24:13,000 --> 00:24:15,440
Speaker 1: I think they're gonna split. In Milwaukee, They're gonna get

515
00:24:15,440 --> 00:24:18,200
Speaker 1: one because Gianni's being out right, They're gonna go back

516
00:24:18,200 --> 00:24:21,080
Speaker 1: to Indiana. Game three is gonna be an absolute buzzsaw

517
00:24:21,160 --> 00:24:23,959
Speaker 1: for a playoff environment. I think Indiana goes up two

518
00:24:24,040 --> 00:24:26,639
Speaker 1: to one, and then even if Jannis comes back in

519
00:24:26,680 --> 00:24:29,360
Speaker 1: Game four, that's a really hard game to win under

520
00:24:29,400 --> 00:24:32,879
Speaker 1: normal circumstances, and those would not be normal circumstances. Giannas

521
00:24:32,880 --> 00:24:35,919
Speaker 1: would be coming back from an injury, and so with

522
00:24:36,040 --> 00:24:38,679
Speaker 1: that being the case, I'm going Indiana in six. I

523
00:24:38,680 --> 00:24:42,520
Speaker 1: think Milwaukee wins Game one I'll say off the strength

524
00:24:42,520 --> 00:24:44,920
Speaker 1: of that home crowd, but I think Indiana steels game two.

525
00:24:45,760 --> 00:24:48,320
Speaker 1: They run into a buzz so on game three. Game

526
00:24:48,359 --> 00:24:50,600
Speaker 1: four is close, but I think Indiana gets a win.

527
00:24:50,760 --> 00:24:53,760
Speaker 1: Even if Jannis plays Game five, I think Milwaukee wins,

528
00:24:53,760 --> 00:24:56,080
Speaker 1: and I think Indiana closes him out in game six

529
00:24:56,640 --> 00:24:59,280
Speaker 1: at home. Again, I would pick Milwaukee if Janis was healthy,

530
00:24:59,560 --> 00:25:01,840
Speaker 1: but with him being out, I think the safest bet

531
00:25:02,359 --> 00:25:07,639
Speaker 1: is Indiana. All right, let's talk some actual film, all right,

532
00:25:07,720 --> 00:25:10,680
Speaker 1: So this first clip is an example of Andrew Nemhard

533
00:25:10,720 --> 00:25:12,760
Speaker 1: providing back pressure. Just I can show you guys how

534
00:25:12,760 --> 00:25:14,680
Speaker 1: good of a job he does in this particular matchup.

535
00:25:14,760 --> 00:25:17,440
Speaker 1: So again, we got Brooke and Giannis getting ready to

536
00:25:17,440 --> 00:25:19,480
Speaker 1: set a staggered pick and roll. But look at the

537
00:25:19,600 --> 00:25:22,920
Speaker 1: job of Andrew just chasing over the top and applying

538
00:25:22,920 --> 00:25:26,440
Speaker 1: that back pressure. He's making him uncomfortable getting that rear

539
00:25:26,520 --> 00:25:29,640
Speaker 1: view contest, and he actually forces an airball.

540
00:25:29,240 --> 00:25:30,680
Speaker 2: From Dame on this shot.

541
00:25:32,000 --> 00:25:34,520
Speaker 1: Here's an example of the difference when you look at

542
00:25:34,600 --> 00:25:38,760
Speaker 1: Tyres Haliburton working against Malik Beasley. So again, Tyres Haliburton,

543
00:25:38,800 --> 00:25:42,119
Speaker 1: Malik Beasley, Brook Lopez in his deep drop, Isaiah Jackson

544
00:25:42,119 --> 00:25:45,960
Speaker 1: sets the screen. Here, Tyres gets easily downhill. It doesn't

545
00:25:45,960 --> 00:25:48,480
Speaker 1: have any trouble getting over the top of the screen.

546
00:25:48,520 --> 00:25:50,919
Speaker 1: Look at this just easily gets downhill and sinks the floater.

547
00:25:51,480 --> 00:25:53,159
Speaker 1: By the way, you're gonna see a lot of floaters

548
00:25:53,200 --> 00:25:56,400
Speaker 1: from Tyres Haliburton in this film. Tyres Haliburton shoots fifty

549
00:25:56,440 --> 00:25:58,480
Speaker 1: four percent on floaters. That shot goes in all the

550
00:25:58,520 --> 00:26:00,200
Speaker 1: time for him. That's that's gonna be a sh shot

551
00:26:00,240 --> 00:26:03,800
Speaker 1: that he's going to be comfortable taking against that drop coverage.

552
00:26:04,000 --> 00:26:04,440
Speaker 2: Same thing.

553
00:26:04,720 --> 00:26:08,360
Speaker 1: Another floater from Tyree's easily getting over Malik Beasley. See

554
00:26:08,400 --> 00:26:09,720
Speaker 1: how it's just so easy for him to get to

555
00:26:09,760 --> 00:26:11,840
Speaker 1: that about Look how comfortable he looks. He looks like

556
00:26:11,880 --> 00:26:18,800
Speaker 1: he's dribbling through cones. Here's an example of TJ McConnell

557
00:26:18,800 --> 00:26:20,480
Speaker 1: on the ball against Dame. They just have a lot

558
00:26:20,720 --> 00:26:23,640
Speaker 1: better guard defenders to deal with Dame and make Dame

559
00:26:23,720 --> 00:26:27,680
Speaker 1: uncomfortable than the reverse with Tyres Halliburton. Good back pressure,

560
00:26:28,080 --> 00:26:31,800
Speaker 1: still pursuing, still pursuing, chasing over the top. Look at

561
00:26:31,800 --> 00:26:37,840
Speaker 1: that back pressure, good contest force, another miss. TJ McConnell

562
00:26:37,880 --> 00:26:39,240
Speaker 1: I think is going to be big swing factor in

563
00:26:39,240 --> 00:26:42,000
Speaker 1: the series because of his dribble penetration. I talked about

564
00:26:42,040 --> 00:26:44,920
Speaker 1: the gap and footspeed between both teams, especially with Giannis

565
00:26:44,960 --> 00:26:47,320
Speaker 1: off the floor. TJ McConnell is actually one of the

566
00:26:47,359 --> 00:26:49,600
Speaker 1: best dribble penetrators in the league. He can just hit

567
00:26:49,640 --> 00:26:52,040
Speaker 1: guys with a high hesitation and just toast them off

568
00:26:52,040 --> 00:26:54,240
Speaker 1: the dribble and make good things happen. Here, he's just

569
00:26:54,240 --> 00:26:56,320
Speaker 1: going to beat Chris in a straight up dribble drive

570
00:26:56,560 --> 00:26:59,159
Speaker 1: and open up a back cut for Ben Mathern at

571
00:26:59,160 --> 00:27:04,080
Speaker 1: the rim. Again, a lot of these All these clips

572
00:27:04,080 --> 00:27:06,399
Speaker 1: took place before the trade deadline, so obviously you're gonna see.

573
00:27:06,240 --> 00:27:07,399
Speaker 2: Some different players on the floor.

574
00:27:08,520 --> 00:27:10,600
Speaker 1: Here's an example of how the Pacers will use Miles

575
00:27:10,600 --> 00:27:15,400
Speaker 1: Turner to ignore Brook Lopez and help their defense hold up. Again,

576
00:27:15,440 --> 00:27:17,800
Speaker 1: this is a late game situation too, so again, watch

577
00:27:17,920 --> 00:27:20,680
Speaker 1: Miles Turner. He's actually running a high drop here because

578
00:27:20,680 --> 00:27:22,760
Speaker 1: of Dame okay, and that may be what they end

579
00:27:22,840 --> 00:27:24,679
Speaker 1: up doing with Turner in this matchup, depending on how

580
00:27:24,680 --> 00:27:26,720
Speaker 1: they hold up at the point of attack. But Brook

581
00:27:26,720 --> 00:27:29,320
Speaker 1: Lopez is gonna pop and Turner's just not worried about it. Right,

582
00:27:29,760 --> 00:27:32,600
Speaker 1: Lopez still open on the pop, Turner's not worried about it.

583
00:27:32,760 --> 00:27:34,480
Speaker 1: Giannis is gonna dribble down on top end.

584
00:27:35,040 --> 00:27:35,159
Speaker 2: Uh.

585
00:27:35,359 --> 00:27:38,119
Speaker 1: Miles Turner's still not worried about it, still not worried

586
00:27:38,119 --> 00:27:41,119
Speaker 1: about it. He's just gonna let brook Lopez catch and

587
00:27:41,200 --> 00:27:44,920
Speaker 1: you see Tyres Haliburton throws a little little stunt at him.

588
00:27:45,200 --> 00:27:47,320
Speaker 1: And that's, by the way, something that I think, especially

589
00:27:47,320 --> 00:27:49,160
Speaker 1: if Patrick Beverly's out there, that they're gonna be able

590
00:27:49,200 --> 00:27:51,160
Speaker 1: to do. And then Miles Turner is able to get

591
00:27:51,160 --> 00:27:53,120
Speaker 1: a late contest on the brook Lopez shot and force

592
00:27:53,160 --> 00:27:56,320
Speaker 1: some miss. Expect a lot of that. Expect Miles Turner

593
00:27:56,600 --> 00:28:00,960
Speaker 1: to ignore brook Lopez to shut down other actions. Here's

594
00:28:00,960 --> 00:28:05,000
Speaker 1: another example of Tyrese Haliburton cooking the drop coverage.

595
00:28:05,960 --> 00:28:09,080
Speaker 2: Let's see here. So again we.

596
00:28:09,080 --> 00:28:14,400
Speaker 1: Get a transition kind of crossmatch situation where Dame ends

597
00:28:14,440 --> 00:28:17,040
Speaker 1: up on Tyrese Aliburton off of a miss, just set

598
00:28:17,040 --> 00:28:19,800
Speaker 1: a ball screen. Dame doesn't apply any back pressure, just

599
00:28:19,840 --> 00:28:22,680
Speaker 1: dies on the screen. Tyres Haliburton gets an easy little

600
00:28:22,680 --> 00:28:29,480
Speaker 1: pull up jump shot. TJ McConnell saw food every time

601
00:28:29,520 --> 00:28:31,440
Speaker 1: he saw Malik Beasley. This is a little brush screen

602
00:28:31,480 --> 00:28:35,040
Speaker 1: with Tyrese Haliburton to get the switch and Malik Beasley

603
00:28:35,080 --> 00:28:37,520
Speaker 1: is just squared up with TJ, and TJ just goes

604
00:28:37,600 --> 00:28:39,720
Speaker 1: right through him for an easy little turnaround jump shot.

605
00:28:43,480 --> 00:28:46,600
Speaker 1: Same exact sort of thing here this time, though, it

606
00:28:46,640 --> 00:28:50,960
Speaker 1: is a trip to the foul line. So same little,

607
00:28:51,040 --> 00:28:54,800
Speaker 1: same exact action, same exact little brush screen. Get him downhill,

608
00:28:55,080 --> 00:28:56,840
Speaker 1: draws a foul, gets to the line.

609
00:28:58,160 --> 00:28:59,360
Speaker 2: Again. You're gonna see a lot of that.

610
00:28:59,400 --> 00:29:01,840
Speaker 1: You're gonna see a lot of Dame and Malik on

611
00:29:01,920 --> 00:29:05,720
Speaker 1: their heels with pacers guards just coming down at them

612
00:29:05,760 --> 00:29:12,680
Speaker 1: and getting great shots. Here's Tyres Haliburton cooking the drop

613
00:29:12,720 --> 00:29:17,520
Speaker 1: coverage again. It's gonna get swinged over. He's gonna dribble

614
00:29:17,520 --> 00:29:20,480
Speaker 1: over to the right side. Get Malik Beasley again. Watch

615
00:29:20,520 --> 00:29:25,280
Speaker 1: Malik Beasley die on the screen and just allow an

616
00:29:25,280 --> 00:29:30,959
Speaker 1: easy little pull up jump shot for Haliburton. You're not

617
00:29:31,000 --> 00:29:34,480
Speaker 1: seeing things. This is the exact same action, exact same players,

618
00:29:34,560 --> 00:29:40,920
Speaker 1: exact same result. Just too comfortable in this matchup again.

619
00:29:41,120 --> 00:29:42,680
Speaker 1: That's why I look at this as so much of

620
00:29:42,680 --> 00:29:46,040
Speaker 1: a of a Patrick Beverley series, Like it's gonna be

621
00:29:46,080 --> 00:29:47,800
Speaker 1: a price to pay because they're not going to be

622
00:29:47,880 --> 00:29:51,040
Speaker 1: nearly as good offensively. But you gotta you gotta find

623
00:29:51,040 --> 00:29:54,000
Speaker 1: a way to make Tyres Haliburton uncomfortable, and these Malik

624
00:29:54,280 --> 00:29:56,640
Speaker 1: and Dame are just completely not up to the task.

625
00:30:01,360 --> 00:30:04,240
Speaker 1: Here's an example of why Yiannis rolling hard is important.

626
00:30:04,240 --> 00:30:06,000
Speaker 1: There was a play I showed you guys earlier. Actually

627
00:30:06,040 --> 00:30:08,040
Speaker 1: I'm gonna go back to it really quick so I

628
00:30:08,080 --> 00:30:13,640
Speaker 1: can demonstrate. This was the the three with Tyre TJ

629
00:30:13,760 --> 00:30:18,959
Speaker 1: McConnell on the ball. So watch as watch as TJ

630
00:30:19,160 --> 00:30:22,280
Speaker 1: is fighting over the top. How Yannis doesn't roll, so

631
00:30:22,320 --> 00:30:26,360
Speaker 1: this gets swung over, Dame gets his ball screen as

632
00:30:26,400 --> 00:30:30,320
Speaker 1: he's coming off. Jannis just stands here on the perimeter,

633
00:30:30,960 --> 00:30:33,720
Speaker 1: and if he rolls hard, he creates another option in

634
00:30:33,800 --> 00:30:37,320
Speaker 1: the offense there, especially with how hard the show this

635
00:30:37,480 --> 00:30:40,040
Speaker 1: is like watch Obi top and Obi Tompin is way

636
00:30:40,160 --> 00:30:44,200
Speaker 1: up here. If Jannis is rolling here, Dame probably bails

637
00:30:44,240 --> 00:30:46,200
Speaker 1: out of this shot and drops it off to Dame

638
00:30:46,280 --> 00:30:48,800
Speaker 1: with an easy kind of lane towards the basket. Although

639
00:30:48,880 --> 00:30:51,760
Speaker 1: once again you can see Miles Turner ignoring Brook Lopez

640
00:30:52,200 --> 00:30:55,280
Speaker 1: to kind of help around the basket. Let's go back

641
00:30:55,320 --> 00:30:57,640
Speaker 1: to see what it looks like when Jannis does roll hard.

642
00:30:57,840 --> 00:31:00,000
Speaker 1: So as you can see here, when Yani sets the screen,

643
00:31:01,480 --> 00:31:04,480
Speaker 1: we have aaron ne Smith guarding Chris Middleton here on

644
00:31:04,560 --> 00:31:07,800
Speaker 1: the left wing. But there's a roll gravity. When Jannis

645
00:31:07,880 --> 00:31:11,320
Speaker 1: goes this hard to the basket, he pulls Aaron Nesmith in.

646
00:31:11,760 --> 00:31:14,760
Speaker 1: He actually pulls in. It looks like Bruce Brown or

647
00:31:14,800 --> 00:31:17,360
Speaker 1: that's Miles Turning. He pulls in Bruce, Miles Turner, and

648
00:31:17,880 --> 00:31:20,960
Speaker 1: Aaron Nesmith. That opens up this kickout pass to Brook

649
00:31:21,000 --> 00:31:23,080
Speaker 1: Lopez in the extra pass to Chris Middleton at the

650
00:31:23,080 --> 00:31:25,920
Speaker 1: top of the key. They need that role gravity from Giannis.

651
00:31:25,920 --> 00:31:29,440
Speaker 1: He's got a roll every single time. Here's an example

652
00:31:29,480 --> 00:31:31,280
Speaker 1: of why I love the cleared side pick and roll

653
00:31:31,280 --> 00:31:33,440
Speaker 1: for the Bucks. This is something I've been preaching forever.

654
00:31:33,520 --> 00:31:36,240
Speaker 1: They basically don't do it anymore now that Doc Rivers

655
00:31:36,280 --> 00:31:37,960
Speaker 1: is the coach, which is something that kind of bums

656
00:31:37,960 --> 00:31:39,840
Speaker 1: me out because I think it's the best configuration of

657
00:31:39,880 --> 00:31:42,160
Speaker 1: this pick and roll. But you're gonna see Yana set

658
00:31:42,160 --> 00:31:45,560
Speaker 1: the screen. When Giannis rolls into the short corner with

659
00:31:45,720 --> 00:31:48,480
Speaker 1: nobody over here that can dig down on him, it

660
00:31:48,520 --> 00:31:51,160
Speaker 1: doesn't matter how loaded up these guys are. He has

661
00:31:51,200 --> 00:31:53,960
Speaker 1: a runway, a runway where he can gather on the

662
00:31:54,040 --> 00:31:56,320
Speaker 1: left side of his body to protect the basketball and

663
00:31:56,400 --> 00:31:59,800
Speaker 1: extend out and finish. Watch he's going against two centers here.

664
00:32:00,840 --> 00:32:02,920
Speaker 1: There's two centers there with Jalen Smith and Miles Turner.

665
00:32:03,000 --> 00:32:05,360
Speaker 1: He just rips through them both. That's the advantage of

666
00:32:05,360 --> 00:32:07,400
Speaker 1: the clear side pick and roll. It just gives him

667
00:32:07,440 --> 00:32:10,479
Speaker 1: a runway to go to the basket, an uncontested runway

668
00:32:10,480 --> 00:32:12,200
Speaker 1: that he doesn't have to really face anything until he

669
00:32:12,240 --> 00:32:14,280
Speaker 1: gets to the rim. Here's an example of using a

670
00:32:14,320 --> 00:32:17,760
Speaker 1: double drag to create some more separation for Dame. So

671
00:32:18,240 --> 00:32:22,400
Speaker 1: in this case, it's gonna be a little tougher when

672
00:32:22,440 --> 00:32:24,400
Speaker 1: it's aaron Ne Smith because this one actually ends up

673
00:32:24,440 --> 00:32:26,280
Speaker 1: being Ben Matherin on the ball, and Ben Mathern is

674
00:32:26,280 --> 00:32:28,120
Speaker 1: not as good a defensive player. I shouldn't say on

675
00:32:28,160 --> 00:32:30,040
Speaker 1: the ball, but on Chris. But I like the idea

676
00:32:30,120 --> 00:32:32,520
Speaker 1: of setting this double screen action to help get some

677
00:32:32,560 --> 00:32:35,440
Speaker 1: more separation from the primary on ball defender for Dame,

678
00:32:35,480 --> 00:32:37,240
Speaker 1: and he gets a pretty good look here as a result.

679
00:32:37,640 --> 00:32:39,760
Speaker 1: Here's another example, because this is the counter. The way

680
00:32:39,760 --> 00:32:42,360
Speaker 1: most teams counter this is they'll just switch the first screen.

681
00:32:42,920 --> 00:32:45,280
Speaker 1: So we're gonna get our double drag here, but on

682
00:32:45,400 --> 00:32:47,480
Speaker 1: the double drag you're gonna see Ben Mathern jump out

683
00:32:47,480 --> 00:32:49,959
Speaker 1: and switch. See he jumps out and switches, and then

684
00:32:50,000 --> 00:32:51,160
Speaker 1: this turns into an ISO.

685
00:32:51,480 --> 00:32:52,840
Speaker 2: What I like about that is what if.

686
00:32:52,760 --> 00:32:54,880
Speaker 1: You bring Malik Beasley into the action and have him

687
00:32:54,880 --> 00:32:57,240
Speaker 1: set the first screen, and then what if Tyre's Halliburton

688
00:32:57,320 --> 00:32:59,200
Speaker 1: ends up getting caught up into the action as a result.

689
00:32:59,280 --> 00:33:01,280
Speaker 1: This might be a good one to kind of get

690
00:33:01,320 --> 00:33:03,840
Speaker 1: free of Andrew Nemhard. This is Brett Bruce Brown obviously,

691
00:33:03,920 --> 00:33:05,840
Speaker 1: but Andrew Nemhard will be on the ball. But you

692
00:33:05,880 --> 00:33:08,960
Speaker 1: get free from Andrew Nemhard and maybe get Tyre's Halliburton

693
00:33:09,000 --> 00:33:11,440
Speaker 1: involved in the action. And then these last two clips

694
00:33:11,480 --> 00:33:14,160
Speaker 1: are just examples of Chris Middleton working against Aaron Nesmith,

695
00:33:14,200 --> 00:33:15,400
Speaker 1: which I think is gonna be one of the key

696
00:33:15,400 --> 00:33:18,080
Speaker 1: matchups of the series. This is gonna be their secondary

697
00:33:18,120 --> 00:33:20,920
Speaker 1: offensive creation while Yannis is out and he's just got

698
00:33:20,960 --> 00:33:22,320
Speaker 1: to find a way to get to work. That's a

699
00:33:22,320 --> 00:33:25,080
Speaker 1: tough lefty hook that he makes. Again, He's gonna beat

700
00:33:25,120 --> 00:33:27,680
Speaker 1: him to spots. Nie Smith is, So it's gonna be

701
00:33:27,720 --> 00:33:30,400
Speaker 1: so important for Chris Middleton to be able to make

702
00:33:30,440 --> 00:33:32,640
Speaker 1: shots over the top and use his footwork to get

703
00:33:32,720 --> 00:33:34,280
Speaker 1: him out of a position. Here's an example of him

704
00:33:34,320 --> 00:33:36,360
Speaker 1: using a pump fake to get him out of position

705
00:33:36,400 --> 00:33:38,960
Speaker 1: and draw foul and get to the line. So yeah,

706
00:33:38,960 --> 00:33:41,200
Speaker 1: that that's gonna be a pretty key matchup for them too.

707
00:33:41,240 --> 00:33:44,200
Speaker 1: Just yet the ability to get some good secondary creation

708
00:33:45,480 --> 00:33:48,320
Speaker 1: from Chris Middleton. All right, so you guys get the

709
00:33:48,320 --> 00:33:51,840
Speaker 1: point that point of attack defense from Milwaukee's gonna be

710
00:33:51,880 --> 00:33:53,720
Speaker 1: the key. I think it's gonna be a trade off

711
00:33:53,800 --> 00:33:55,960
Speaker 1: because I think they're gonna eventually lean heavily into Patrick

712
00:33:56,000 --> 00:33:59,240
Speaker 1: Beverley to try to slow Halliburton down. But the trade

713
00:33:59,240 --> 00:34:01,040
Speaker 1: off is I think they're gonna a lot easier guard

714
00:34:01,440 --> 00:34:04,040
Speaker 1: with that being the case. They're gonna ignore Patrick Beverley,

715
00:34:04,040 --> 00:34:07,120
Speaker 1: they're gonna ignore Brook Lopez, and those two specific kind

716
00:34:07,120 --> 00:34:09,799
Speaker 1: of matchups are gonna allow them to kind of be

717
00:34:09,920 --> 00:34:13,560
Speaker 1: super aggressive on the ball against Dame and protect the paint.

718
00:34:13,800 --> 00:34:15,160
Speaker 1: And so a big part of this is just gonna

719
00:34:15,160 --> 00:34:17,640
Speaker 1: be shot making on the backside for guys like Patrick

720
00:34:17,640 --> 00:34:21,920
Speaker 1: Beverley and Brook Lopez as well, and then on the

721
00:34:22,239 --> 00:34:24,760
Speaker 1: on the other end of the floor again just dealing

722
00:34:24,800 --> 00:34:28,400
Speaker 1: with that, just packing the paint, trying to ignore Miles Turner,

723
00:34:28,840 --> 00:34:32,440
Speaker 1: forcing the action towards jump shooting for guys like Pascal

724
00:34:32,480 --> 00:34:35,080
Speaker 1: Siakam and Miles Turner as much as possible point of

725
00:34:35,080 --> 00:34:38,360
Speaker 1: attack defense on Tyres Haliburton to make him uncomfortable as well. Again,

726
00:34:38,440 --> 00:34:40,600
Speaker 1: as you guys can see from the film, different players

727
00:34:40,600 --> 00:34:42,799
Speaker 1: involved in the matchup at this point. But the main

728
00:34:42,840 --> 00:34:45,680
Speaker 1: thing I'm looking at here is with Giannis being out,

729
00:34:46,040 --> 00:34:49,360
Speaker 1: do you trust this slow Milwaukee Bucks team? And with

730
00:34:49,480 --> 00:34:52,560
Speaker 1: Dame as inconsistent as he's been facing higher level perimeter

731
00:34:52,640 --> 00:34:55,800
Speaker 1: defenders than Tyres Haliburton is going to be facing. Is

732
00:34:55,880 --> 00:34:57,400
Speaker 1: Dame gonna be able to keep this out of two

733
00:34:57,440 --> 00:34:58,920
Speaker 1: to two series without Giannis?

734
00:34:59,120 --> 00:35:00,520
Speaker 2: I don't think he can so.

735
00:35:00,560 --> 00:35:02,359
Speaker 1: By the time Giannis gets back, I think the Bucks

736
00:35:02,400 --> 00:35:04,319
Speaker 1: are gonna have to play perfect. And even if I

737
00:35:04,320 --> 00:35:06,239
Speaker 1: do think they're capable of beating the Pacers, I don't

738
00:35:06,239 --> 00:35:07,960
Speaker 1: think they can just sweep them like three or four

739
00:35:08,000 --> 00:35:10,120
Speaker 1: times in a row. And so to me, the odds

740
00:35:10,160 --> 00:35:12,840
Speaker 1: pretty heavily favor Indiana in that sense. I'm picking Indiana

741
00:35:12,880 --> 00:35:15,080
Speaker 1: in six. All right, guys, that is all I have

742
00:35:15,200 --> 00:35:18,080
Speaker 1: for today. We are going to be back tonight twice,

743
00:35:18,160 --> 00:35:20,200
Speaker 1: once after Pelicans Lakers that's just going to be a

744
00:35:20,239 --> 00:35:24,000
Speaker 1: YouTube upload, and then after Sacramento Kings, versus Golden State.

745
00:35:24,320 --> 00:35:26,400
Speaker 2: We will be live on YouTube. I will see you

746
00:35:26,440 --> 00:35:28,160
Speaker 2: guys then. As always, they appreciate you guys. Seeing a

747
00:35:28,200 --> 00:35:28,880
Speaker 2: few hours

748
00:35:53,000 --> 00:35:53,719
Speaker 1: The volume