WEBVTT - L for Loser 0:00:00.320 --> 0:00:04.040 Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly, a production of I Heart Radio. 0:00:06.160 --> 0:00:09.520 Time now for Fantasy Football Weekly from I Heart Radio, 0:00:09.760 --> 0:00:14.200 your weekly source for the nation's best fantasy football advice, speculation, 0:00:14.320 --> 0:00:17.160 and whatever stupid stuff they decided to drop into the show. 0:00:17.640 --> 0:00:23.400 Now here's your host, Paul. It's Fantasy Football Weekly. I 0:00:23.440 --> 0:00:26.840 am Paul Charchy in my co host today, hardened criminal 0:00:27.680 --> 0:00:30.720 Brian Johnson. What's it like on the inside, Brian, I'm 0:00:30.760 --> 0:00:34.080 glad I didn't get get put in the clink, got 0:00:34.080 --> 0:00:36.200 pulled over on the way over here. You got pulled 0:00:36.240 --> 0:00:39.120 over on the way over here. I've driven in the 0:00:39.200 --> 0:00:43.200 last years. Was it was it a leon let size 0:00:43.240 --> 0:00:45.960 stash in the back of your car? I got I 0:00:46.000 --> 0:00:48.320 got away with a warning, thankfully, But yeah, I don't 0:00:48.320 --> 0:00:53.040 know just what got you? State? Was it a local trooper? 0:00:53.159 --> 0:00:59.040 State trooper seventy and he's like, he was precise seventy three. Great. 0:00:59.040 --> 0:01:01.480 I thought it was the sixty five and thankfully I 0:01:01.480 --> 0:01:03.640 I didn't fully accelerate to where I wanted to be at, 0:01:03.680 --> 0:01:07.960 which is like, you know, raise the speed limits. But 0:01:08.520 --> 0:01:11.119 he was he was a nice guy. Gave me a warning. 0:01:11.760 --> 0:01:14.640 You know, you got off easy. You can't really complain. 0:01:14.880 --> 0:01:17.480 I'm not complaining. Maybe he's a listener, but I was like, 0:01:17.520 --> 0:01:19.560 I know you're gonna You're gonna check in on me 0:01:19.600 --> 0:01:21.760 soon because I am very punctual when it comes to 0:01:21.800 --> 0:01:23.959 these podcasts. No, you are, And when you were ten 0:01:24.000 --> 0:01:27.440 minutes later, I'm like, this is weird, not is it? 0:01:27.520 --> 0:01:30.320 Not like the Brian Johnson I know. But the Brian 0:01:30.400 --> 0:01:33.920 Johnson I know also would never have gotten pulled over 0:01:34.400 --> 0:01:38.119 with a leon letsign stash in the back, running into 0:01:38.120 --> 0:01:40.320 bad luck left and right. Lately got I got good 0:01:40.319 --> 0:01:43.600 things on the horizon, hopefully, but yeah, like the scales 0:01:43.640 --> 0:01:46.160 will balance out, right, I'm gonna go buy like this podcast, 0:01:46.200 --> 0:01:48.440 I'll go buy some lotto tickets after this. There you go. 0:01:48.840 --> 0:01:52.320 Last week we broke down the off season winners. This 0:01:52.400 --> 0:01:55.200 week we're doing the losers. These are the guys we 0:01:55.400 --> 0:01:58.520 think have the opportunity to perform worse than hope because 0:01:58.520 --> 0:02:01.320 of things that changed in the off season. These are 0:02:01.320 --> 0:02:04.720 guys that didn't change teams, but had their situation change. 0:02:04.880 --> 0:02:10.640 Resident losers, resident evil because the bad things happen, and 0:02:10.840 --> 0:02:15.120 I can can contest I've been I'm turning into more 0:02:15.160 --> 0:02:16.960 and more of a best ball junkie every year. I've 0:02:16.960 --> 0:02:22.520 been drafting since January. I was drafting during the playoffs, 0:02:22.600 --> 0:02:26.440 and all of these guys, their ADP has slid for 0:02:26.480 --> 0:02:29.919 reasons that we will mention for each since free agency 0:02:30.000 --> 0:02:32.200 and trading in the draft and all that stuff. Let's 0:02:32.200 --> 0:02:34.680 start with the quarterbacks. We've got four quarterbacks we think 0:02:34.720 --> 0:02:37.200 have taken a hit in the off season, beginning with 0:02:38.040 --> 0:02:41.640 Patrick Mahomes for probably obvious reasons. He is, still, however, 0:02:41.720 --> 0:02:44.839 quarterback to going off the board in Round three right now, Yeah, 0:02:45.160 --> 0:02:49.200 obvious reason, really right, Tyreek Kill basically getting traded to 0:02:49.240 --> 0:02:54.480 Miami and um. Looking back through mahomes career, not a 0:02:54.520 --> 0:02:56.839 long career by any means. He's played five games without 0:02:56.880 --> 0:03:01.200 Tyree Hill. Eight passing touchdowns in those five games. Not great. 0:03:01.240 --> 0:03:03.960 That's terrible. I mean one point eight per It's not terrible. 0:03:04.160 --> 0:03:08.000 Even worse, four of those eight touchdowns came in one 0:03:08.160 --> 0:03:12.919 quarter against the Oakland Raiders, like when the I watched 0:03:12.919 --> 0:03:15.480 the highlights too, when the dirt was still in the 0:03:15.520 --> 0:03:18.680 field baseball season, So it was just kind of a 0:03:18.720 --> 0:03:21.519 flukey game against an awful Raiders team. Half of those 0:03:21.600 --> 0:03:26.840 eight touchtowns one quarter. So yeah, I mean his ADP 0:03:26.919 --> 0:03:29.480 is probably still too, but I've I've seen him slide 0:03:29.480 --> 0:03:33.160 now to QB three, QB four. It's really hear everyone's 0:03:33.160 --> 0:03:35.880 taking Josh Allen first, but now it's kind of like, 0:03:35.920 --> 0:03:37.760 do you want Mahomes? Are you gonna go with Herbert 0:03:37.880 --> 0:03:42.440 or even Lamar Jackson? Before it was slam dunk Mahomes 0:03:42.600 --> 0:03:46.040 number two? Some mightso even we're taking him before Alan 0:03:46.440 --> 0:03:50.480 not the vast minority were. But ever since the Hill trade, 0:03:51.080 --> 0:03:53.960 you ble are down on him, and for rightful, long 0:03:54.160 --> 0:03:59.880 term I believe mahomes value should be higher without Tyreek Hill. 0:04:00.400 --> 0:04:03.040 Here's why. One, I'm a believer in sky Moore, and 0:04:03.080 --> 0:04:05.680 he won't. He's not Tyreek kill. Nobody's Tyreek killed. Tyree 0:04:05.720 --> 0:04:08.200 kills a totally special case. But I think sky Moore 0:04:08.280 --> 0:04:12.480 can be very effective. Two. They saved one hundred million 0:04:12.560 --> 0:04:16.400 dollars that they're able to put into other places to 0:04:16.520 --> 0:04:20.560 help Patrick Mahomes and sustain his career offensive line. You know, 0:04:20.640 --> 0:04:24.000 whatever replacement tight ends, you know, whatever whatever that case is. 0:04:24.320 --> 0:04:26.960 I still think Mahomes has got tremendous long term value 0:04:27.000 --> 0:04:30.440 and justin Ross, he's got the talent if he's medically 0:04:30.440 --> 0:04:34.160 clear to you know, carry Forth in his career, arguably 0:04:34.560 --> 0:04:36.919 not a draft day steal, just a out because he 0:04:37.200 --> 0:04:41.560 wasn't drafted. He pans out Yeah, Ross and Ross more 0:04:41.720 --> 0:04:45.440 easily could replace Tyley Tyreek Hill the next quarterback Losers 0:04:45.440 --> 0:04:48.320 a name that you already mentioned. Lamar Jackson currently going 0:04:48.320 --> 0:04:51.080 off the board as quarterback four in round four. At 0:04:51.120 --> 0:04:55.000 that point, you're paying a premium on him under the 0:04:55.040 --> 0:04:59.800 assumption that his rather lackluster year last year will will 0:05:00.080 --> 0:05:02.880 proved this year. But it's not obvious to see how 0:05:02.880 --> 0:05:04.760 that's going to happen now. He's in the last year 0:05:04.839 --> 0:05:09.480 was rookie deal Brian and Lamar Jackson does not have 0:05:09.520 --> 0:05:13.719 a new contract. It's not clear that he will be 0:05:13.800 --> 0:05:16.000 paid what he wants to be paid or what he 0:05:16.040 --> 0:05:19.200 thinks he's should be paid. Normally, a quarterback is good 0:05:19.200 --> 0:05:21.680 as Lamar Jackson eight never even hits the last year 0:05:21.680 --> 0:05:25.039 of their of their contract and then be when they do, 0:05:25.720 --> 0:05:27.159 they get paid a lot. They get paid like a 0:05:27.200 --> 0:05:30.000 top five guy, even if you're not a top five quarterback. 0:05:30.440 --> 0:05:33.400 Lamar Jackson has one playoff win to his credit to 0:05:33.560 --> 0:05:35.880 this point, and not that that's the only measuring stick, 0:05:36.120 --> 0:05:38.800 because it's not um, but it's not clear he's getting 0:05:38.800 --> 0:05:41.120 that he will get a new contract. And if the 0:05:41.320 --> 0:05:43.640 if the Ravens underproduced this year, if they go one 0:05:43.680 --> 0:05:45.239 and out in the playoffs or don't make the playoffs, 0:05:45.279 --> 0:05:48.000 who knows what his situation might be. But the real 0:05:48.120 --> 0:05:50.720 key here is the loss of Marquis Brown and the 0:05:50.760 --> 0:05:56.560 fact that the team replaced Marquis Brown with nobody, literally nobody. 0:05:56.680 --> 0:06:00.080 The Ravens have got I think the thinnest set of 0:06:00.080 --> 0:06:03.560 wide receivers in the league, the entire position group. Get this, 0:06:03.880 --> 0:06:08.280 the entire position group on the Ravens has one hundred 0:06:08.440 --> 0:06:15.839 thirty one NFL receptions. That's it, one thirty one. Somebody 0:06:15.880 --> 0:06:21.000 catches Mark Andrews almost had last year, probably almost season. Um, 0:06:21.240 --> 0:06:23.320 you know. I will note there is this though. Improvements 0:06:23.360 --> 0:06:26.840 the Ravens offensive line is huge. Jackson took a ton 0:06:27.000 --> 0:06:28.400 of sack In fact, I think he was He had 0:06:28.440 --> 0:06:31.040 the highest sack rate in the NFL among all quarterbacks. 0:06:31.440 --> 0:06:35.640 And they put a first round pick into center Tyler Linderbaum. 0:06:36.080 --> 0:06:40.240 They added Kevin zeitler A he was profoball focuses tenth 0:06:40.320 --> 0:06:43.640 rated guard last year, and they picked up Morgan Moses 0:06:43.680 --> 0:06:46.560 on the right hand side and on that same side, 0:06:46.839 --> 0:06:56.680 they drafted enormous rookie tackle uhla, yeah, my Daniel Falla 0:06:57.240 --> 0:07:02.760 and yeah six ft eight, three hundred sixty pounds. I mean, 0:07:02.760 --> 0:07:05.599 it's it's ridiculous. The Ravens have drafted a lot of 0:07:05.680 --> 0:07:09.160 golden Gophers, starting going way back to Ron Johnson. If 0:07:09.160 --> 0:07:13.240 you recall was drafted by the Baltimore Ravens, Max Williams 0:07:13.280 --> 0:07:15.360 or Shot Bateman, there's there's been a bunch there have 0:07:15.440 --> 0:07:19.320 been forget some other ones. So um, overall, this is 0:07:19.360 --> 0:07:22.280 a it's a The receiver set is so thin here 0:07:23.120 --> 0:07:26.960 to me, it really does put some pause before I 0:07:27.040 --> 0:07:30.280 draft Lamar Jackson. Sure the running is great, but I 0:07:30.320 --> 0:07:33.040 really need him to augment that with better, more consistent 0:07:33.080 --> 0:07:34.680 passing than he had last year. And he doesn't even 0:07:34.680 --> 0:07:36.320 have the weapons he had last year. And what doesn't 0:07:36.360 --> 0:07:39.320 bode well for Jackson it bodes well for Baltimore From 0:07:39.320 --> 0:07:43.080 a reality football perspective is uh, that defense is probably 0:07:43.080 --> 0:07:45.640 gonna be one of the better defenses in the NFL. 0:07:45.760 --> 0:07:49.239 And so when it comes to fantasy, that doesn't usually 0:07:49.240 --> 0:07:52.280 equate to a lot of a ton of scoring or 0:07:52.320 --> 0:07:55.200 the need to score a lot. The next quarterback loser 0:07:55.360 --> 0:07:58.400 Ryan Tannehill currently going up the board as quarterback twenty 0:07:58.520 --> 0:08:02.120 one in the fourteenth round. It feels like people have 0:08:02.120 --> 0:08:05.320 already baked in a pretty big drop for Ryan tanne Yeah, 0:08:05.360 --> 0:08:07.720 and this is another big name receiver leaving the team, 0:08:07.760 --> 0:08:10.600 A J. Brown, of course. Um In his three years 0:08:10.600 --> 0:08:15.280 with Tennessee, Tannehill has touchdown totals of two thirty three one. 0:08:15.320 --> 0:08:17.840 He had that one really good year in when we 0:08:17.920 --> 0:08:20.080 had the thirty three. A J. Brown accounted for nearly 0:08:20.120 --> 0:08:22.720 a third of all those passing scores. And of course 0:08:22.760 --> 0:08:25.880 he's in Philly now. And we can debate who Tennessee's 0:08:25.920 --> 0:08:28.280 top wide receiver is that rookie Traylon Burks. Is it 0:08:28.440 --> 0:08:30.680 Robert Woods who's looked good in O T A s. 0:08:30.720 --> 0:08:32.640 But I'm still not sure if he's gonna be ready 0:08:32.640 --> 0:08:35.199 to go come Week one. So the loss of Brown 0:08:35.280 --> 0:08:37.880 is a downgrade either way. I'm not saying I'm out 0:08:37.920 --> 0:08:41.400 out on Berks or Woods, but um, yeah, losing A. J. 0:08:41.559 --> 0:08:43.920 Brown hurts. And now Tannehill, a threat on the ground, 0:08:44.000 --> 0:08:48.600 of course, scored seven rushing touchdowns last season. Yes, six 0:08:48.679 --> 0:08:50.920 of those seven came after Derrick Henry went down with 0:08:50.960 --> 0:08:54.520 the broken foot Henry Whip should be back ready to 0:08:54.559 --> 0:08:56.880 go week one, and uh and you know who else 0:08:56.920 --> 0:08:59.319 it's a threat on the ground outside of Derrick Henry 0:08:59.679 --> 0:09:04.000 Leek Willis, who is not gonna challenge him Tannehill right away, 0:09:04.040 --> 0:09:06.280 but they get off to a slow start. They kind 0:09:06.280 --> 0:09:09.840 of probably have similar skill sets and if you know 0:09:10.000 --> 0:09:12.240 the Titans, there's no lock to take that division down. 0:09:12.280 --> 0:09:13.959 I think the Colts are the heavy favorite, and I 0:09:14.040 --> 0:09:17.079 think Jackson Gills will be much improved. And my Warriors, 0:09:17.200 --> 0:09:18.760 what if they bring in the leak Willis at the 0:09:18.760 --> 0:09:22.000 stripe like you know, like the Saints did or even 0:09:22.040 --> 0:09:25.800 with the Raiders, Marcus Mariotta took some touchdown opportunities from 0:09:25.800 --> 0:09:29.120 Derek Carr. So yeah, that's that's that's very plausible. So yeah, 0:09:29.240 --> 0:09:31.920 Tannehill's ADPs slid as a result of all those things. 0:09:32.480 --> 0:09:36.680 The last quarterback loser is justin field. Chicago might be 0:09:36.720 --> 0:09:38.600 the worst team in the league this year. I think 0:09:38.600 --> 0:09:41.120 it's I think there's a possibility that they just bottom 0:09:41.120 --> 0:09:42.959 out right here, that this is this is going to 0:09:43.040 --> 0:09:45.560 be the bottom for them. If if not, the Ravens, 0:09:45.600 --> 0:09:47.920 who I said earlier, have the thinnest reset of receivers 0:09:47.920 --> 0:09:51.200 then it's probably Chicago. Um, you've got Darnell Money in 0:09:51.200 --> 0:09:54.480 his third year, He's got a hundred forty two career receptions, 0:09:54.520 --> 0:09:58.080 which granted is more than all of the Ravens receivers combined. 0:09:58.400 --> 0:10:00.360 I guess that makes him an aged veter in here. 0:10:00.400 --> 0:10:03.040 But after Mooney, it's all third tier cast offs and 0:10:03.120 --> 0:10:07.360 long shots. Dante Pettis, Byron Pringle, Ecuonamius st. Brown, and 0:10:07.440 --> 0:10:13.679 the and then old Man Villas Jones. Old Man universally 0:10:13.800 --> 0:10:17.680 decried rookie draft pick Vellas Jones. I had never even 0:10:17.679 --> 0:10:19.760 heard of the guy until he was drafted, and I thought, 0:10:19.800 --> 0:10:22.000 I knew everything you need to know, at least about 0:10:22.320 --> 0:10:24.720 he's getting drafted in the five rounds because he went. 0:10:25.040 --> 0:10:27.800 He went about five rounds too early to put him 0:10:27.800 --> 0:10:30.320 out of any round was a round to her offensive 0:10:30.360 --> 0:10:32.320 line was bad last year, and they just didn't off 0:10:32.440 --> 0:10:34.280 didn't bring him a lot of help. They picked up 0:10:34.320 --> 0:10:36.760 Green based backup center Patrick Lucas, but then they had 0:10:36.760 --> 0:10:40.199 a Dakota dozer to sixth round picks and a seventh 0:10:40.320 --> 0:10:43.199 round pick. That's it. I mean nothing they helped. They 0:10:43.240 --> 0:10:46.000 put no help around, justin fields at all. They've taken 0:10:46.040 --> 0:10:48.280 sort of like the opposite approach to the Jets, who 0:10:48.320 --> 0:10:51.760 have done like everything possible to put Zack Wilson in 0:10:51.760 --> 0:10:54.839 a position to succeed. The Bears seemed to be doing 0:10:54.880 --> 0:10:58.160 the exact opposite for Justin Fields, despite the heavy price 0:10:58.160 --> 0:11:02.520 they paid to get him last year. Let's go to 0:11:02.559 --> 0:11:08.760 the running back position, Brian, and we've got one, two, three, four, five, six, seven, 0:11:09.040 --> 0:11:13.760 eight running back losers to get through. Well, we'll be 0:11:13.840 --> 0:11:17.320 quick through. These are somewhat obvious. I think I think 0:11:17.320 --> 0:11:20.560 some are. Javonte Williams for a while was looking like 0:11:20.600 --> 0:11:24.320 one of the biggest winners of the off season, and 0:11:24.360 --> 0:11:28.760 then after um not signing for over a month, they've 0:11:28.880 --> 0:11:31.960 Melvin Gordon comes back right back to last year. Earlier 0:11:31.960 --> 0:11:35.400 in the winter, everyone was under the presumption that Melvin 0:11:35.400 --> 0:11:37.199 Gordon was gonna be gone and Williams was gonna be 0:11:37.200 --> 0:11:38.880 a bell cow. He was going late first round in 0:11:38.880 --> 0:11:41.880 Best Ball drafts. Now he's going late second, early third 0:11:41.920 --> 0:11:44.800 because Gordon is back and they both average fifteen point 0:11:44.880 --> 0:11:48.520 one opportunities targets plus carries per game last year, and 0:11:48.520 --> 0:11:51.240 it's probably gonna be the same old story this year. 0:11:51.280 --> 0:11:53.360 And it's a Shavonte Williams this week said it was 0:11:53.360 --> 0:11:54.760 going to be the same old story. He said he 0:11:54.760 --> 0:11:57.120 expects the expects the exact same thing as last year. 0:11:57.720 --> 0:12:00.520 Williams and Gordon combined for two tho in three D 0:12:00.640 --> 0:12:03.559 and fifty combo yards and seventeen total touchdowns last year, 0:12:03.559 --> 0:12:05.840 and that was supposed to be all Williams this year, 0:12:06.120 --> 0:12:08.680 and that was with the they were facing numerous stacked 0:12:08.679 --> 0:12:11.480 boxes with Teddy Bridgewater and quarterback Russell Wilson is gonna 0:12:11.520 --> 0:12:14.439 open things up. But we're looking at a platoon here, 0:12:14.520 --> 0:12:17.760 So yeah, Williams, uh. Fortunately, gonna have to wait at 0:12:17.840 --> 0:12:20.240 least one more season for full on bell couch Javonte 0:12:20.280 --> 0:12:24.000 Williams unless Gordon gets injured. The Nuts next running back 0:12:24.040 --> 0:12:26.640 loser is something that some will disagree with. He's currently 0:12:26.640 --> 0:12:28.360 going off the board at running back fourteen in the 0:12:28.400 --> 0:12:31.120 third round, and that's Leonard four Nette. Tampa Bay loses 0:12:31.200 --> 0:12:34.440 Ronald Jones, but and we're gonna in my mind that's 0:12:34.440 --> 0:12:37.160 no loss. I mean, Ronald Joe's a total non factor here. 0:12:37.480 --> 0:12:41.280 But incoming rookie Rashad White is very promising and it's 0:12:41.280 --> 0:12:44.480 got to do everything. Skill set that fits very well 0:12:44.520 --> 0:12:46.960 with Tampa and he can do up most in many 0:12:46.960 --> 0:12:49.640 of the same things that Leonard for Netken and you know, 0:12:49.720 --> 0:12:51.480 for that was the only game in town last year. 0:12:51.679 --> 0:12:53.760 But you know, White could really turn this into a 0:12:53.840 --> 0:12:57.760 one two punch potentially, And Tampa has shown a willingness 0:12:57.800 --> 0:13:02.600 to use rookies extensively. Look at Anton Winfield, Tristan Wharfs, 0:13:03.120 --> 0:13:06.679 Devin White as recent examples. Now, those are all all 0:13:06.760 --> 0:13:09.199 first first I think they're all first rounders. I think 0:13:09.240 --> 0:13:12.200 even Winfield is a first rounder or early second rounder. 0:13:12.840 --> 0:13:15.200 But you know, they drafted White in a position of 0:13:15.280 --> 0:13:18.320 real equity in the draft, and I think he's gonna 0:13:18.360 --> 0:13:20.559 be a factor here, much more than Ronald Jones has been. 0:13:20.600 --> 0:13:22.480 And I think he's gonna chisel away into some of 0:13:22.640 --> 0:13:25.920 Leonard Fournett's usage. And I will continue to maintain Land 0:13:26.120 --> 0:13:27.960 not just isn't that special of a runner. I just 0:13:28.040 --> 0:13:33.280 I just I think he's just just a guy. But Tom, Yeah, 0:13:33.280 --> 0:13:34.640 that helps a lot. And you know, he was the 0:13:34.679 --> 0:13:36.559 starting running back and they really the only game in 0:13:36.600 --> 0:13:39.199 town and the Tom Brady let offense. Um, so he 0:13:39.320 --> 0:13:41.360 still has real value. But I do think White is 0:13:41.400 --> 0:13:43.240 a is a bit of a factor. Let's go to 0:13:43.280 --> 0:13:47.360 Seattle Penny throughout his entire career has been has It's 0:13:47.400 --> 0:13:51.400 all been injury plagued and underperforming until December of last 0:13:51.480 --> 0:13:53.960 year when he berserk down the stretch. And if you 0:13:54.040 --> 0:13:57.360 listen to Fantasy Football Weekly, as I'm assuming everyone hearing 0:13:57.400 --> 0:14:00.439 this podcast does, you got the peacock button are because 0:14:00.480 --> 0:14:03.440 I told you to add Rashott Penny before his the 0:14:03.480 --> 0:14:05.520 Houston game when he went off. No, not that one. 0:14:05.559 --> 0:14:09.160 We're gonna need that one later though, bookemark the sad 0:14:09.200 --> 0:14:13.080 from Bowski, uh bar. But yeah, Penny closed the season 0:14:13.200 --> 0:14:16.240 very strong, was arguably a league winner. He had the 0:14:16.280 --> 0:14:18.880 most yards per carry of all running backs at six 0:14:18.920 --> 0:14:22.320 point three one. Nick Chubb was second with five and 0:14:22.320 --> 0:14:25.800 a half. He was second in yards created per attempt 0:14:25.840 --> 0:14:29.040 among running backs who had at least one hundred rushing attempts. 0:14:29.120 --> 0:14:31.680 Rashott Penny, that is, he looked great, but uh, like 0:14:31.680 --> 0:14:34.000 you said, Kenneth Walker in town, now you have to 0:14:34.040 --> 0:14:37.960 assume he's gonna eat into fort of those touches the 0:14:37.960 --> 0:14:41.080 down the boss of Russell Wilson is also gonna hurt 0:14:41.120 --> 0:14:43.720 Rashot Penny. They're gonna be facing those stack boxes at 0:14:43.720 --> 0:14:48.080 the Broncos facing last year. So, yeah, Rashott Penny, He's 0:14:48.760 --> 0:14:50.960 people were drafting him assuming he was gonna be RB one, 0:14:51.000 --> 0:14:53.800 but he didn't dodge the land mines on on draft 0:14:53.880 --> 0:14:55.880 day and he stepped on one of the biggest ones 0:14:55.880 --> 0:14:58.920 in Kenneth Walker. So so he's RB thirty five right now. 0:14:59.480 --> 0:15:01.680 I think that's too high. I just don't. I don't 0:15:01.720 --> 0:15:03.880 trust Penny, and I'm sure I like what I saw 0:15:03.920 --> 0:15:06.320 at the end of last year. Don't trust that offense. 0:15:06.440 --> 0:15:10.479 And they put massive draft a team that needed help everywhere, 0:15:10.840 --> 0:15:15.760 put massive draft equity into the running back position right 0:15:15.840 --> 0:15:19.440 up against Penny. Yeah, and argue you can. You can't 0:15:19.520 --> 0:15:21.320 argue that they don't trust him to stay healthy because 0:15:21.320 --> 0:15:23.680 he hasn't. We hope he does, but I'll see what happens. 0:15:24.600 --> 0:15:28.720 Going two picks before Rashade Penny at running back thirty three, 0:15:28.840 --> 0:15:33.960 Chase Edmonds in Miami. He's locked into the NFL's ugliest committee, 0:15:33.960 --> 0:15:38.760 Brian with Sony, Michelle, Raheem, Mosterd, Miles Gaskin, Salvon Ahmed 0:15:38.920 --> 0:15:42.160 and now Chase Edmonds. Edmunds going off the board at 0:15:42.160 --> 0:15:45.920 thirty three. This thing's way dicier than Rashade Penny. Even 0:15:46.360 --> 0:15:49.160 any of these guys could get carries at any moment 0:15:49.280 --> 0:15:53.040 right here. And what's more, Chase Edmonds has played fifty 0:15:53.200 --> 0:15:56.640 seven career games. You know, any goal line carries he's 0:15:56.680 --> 0:15:59.720 had inside the five yard line in fifty seven games, 0:16:00.040 --> 0:16:05.320 it's not a lot six six in fifties seven games, 0:16:05.320 --> 0:16:07.720 So one out of every nine and a half games 0:16:07.920 --> 0:16:11.120 he gets a try from inside the five nine and 0:16:11.160 --> 0:16:14.080 a half games. He just doesn't score touchdowns. I think 0:16:14.120 --> 0:16:16.480 this is one of the worst spies out there. Even 0:16:16.480 --> 0:16:19.360 to pick pick thirty three shouldn't at running back thirty three, 0:16:19.400 --> 0:16:21.560 round eight shouldn't be that important. But you could do 0:16:21.640 --> 0:16:24.120 so much better. I remember last year Miami, You're like, oh, 0:16:24.160 --> 0:16:26.080 this is a Miles gask In game, and then it 0:16:26.120 --> 0:16:29.320 was Salvin Akhmed. Then sometimes it's a Salvon Ahmed game. 0:16:29.520 --> 0:16:33.320 Been Duke Johnson goes and now it's even worse. So yeah, 0:16:33.360 --> 0:16:35.080 I'm totally with you. I would if I had to 0:16:35.120 --> 0:16:38.520 pick one guy from this this uh rotation in Miami, 0:16:38.560 --> 0:16:41.080 and I wouldn't at least I'm not likely to would 0:16:41.080 --> 0:16:43.160 be where he most because he goes off the board 0:16:43.920 --> 0:16:47.360 five rounds later, running around thirteen, and he's got the 0:16:47.400 --> 0:16:50.480 history with Mike McDaniel, and we've seen where he most 0:16:50.840 --> 0:16:54.280 when healthy, he can be a special back. So I 0:16:54.280 --> 0:16:57.240 would draft mostart ride him until he inevitably gets hurt, 0:16:57.280 --> 0:17:01.000 because he always does, and then move on with you. 0:17:02.520 --> 0:17:06.320 Our next loser running back, not loser in life, just 0:17:06.520 --> 0:17:09.879 off season loser. Devin Singletary going off the board at 0:17:09.920 --> 0:17:13.320 running back twenty eight, Round seven and a half eight. Yeah, 0:17:13.320 --> 0:17:16.280 another running back who powered fantasy teams to victory late 0:17:16.280 --> 0:17:18.720 in the season last year six total touchdowns from weeks 0:17:18.720 --> 0:17:22.760 fifteen through eighteen. Also posted decent receiving numbers during that 0:17:22.800 --> 0:17:26.520 stretch and into the playoffs. But here comes James Cook, 0:17:26.960 --> 0:17:29.840 who had one drop on seventy four career targets at 0:17:29.840 --> 0:17:34.040 Georgia Buffalo. Buffalo has also signed Duke Johnson's who if 0:17:34.040 --> 0:17:37.760 he makes the team, Uh, he's gonna be a third 0:17:37.760 --> 0:17:41.160 down option as well, meaning Singletary never sees a third 0:17:41.160 --> 0:17:44.359 down snap ever again most like Now that's hyper believe, 0:17:44.400 --> 0:17:46.640 of course, but it's not looking good for his uh 0:17:46.920 --> 0:17:50.320 bell cow usage that we saw late in one and yeah, 0:17:50.400 --> 0:17:52.720 that's the bottom line. We're just looking at, you know, 0:17:52.840 --> 0:17:55.640 first down, second down working of course, Josh Allen near 0:17:55.680 --> 0:17:58.560 the stripe They probably don't want to keep running him 0:17:58.600 --> 0:18:01.240 at the straight, but you will because he's Josh Allen 0:18:01.280 --> 0:18:04.240 and one can stop him and people can stop Devan 0:18:04.280 --> 0:18:08.040 single theory. So yeah, another guy a DP is on slid. 0:18:08.840 --> 0:18:12.359 The next running back off season loser, Antonio Gibson currently 0:18:12.359 --> 0:18:14.520 going after board I think way too high. Running Back 0:18:14.560 --> 0:18:18.160 thirteen Round three. Ron Very says he's planning to integrate 0:18:18.320 --> 0:18:21.520 rookie Brian Robinson into the backfield with a significant role 0:18:21.560 --> 0:18:24.399 and this week called it a one two punch and 0:18:24.520 --> 0:18:27.000 likened his backfield to the days of Jonathan Stewart and 0:18:27.040 --> 0:18:31.040 D'Angelo Williams. That would be bad for Antonio Gibson, and 0:18:31.280 --> 0:18:34.080 Robinson has built for goal line carries. He's a bigger, 0:18:34.160 --> 0:18:37.119 more of a power back and that could impact Gibson's 0:18:37.119 --> 0:18:41.400 fantasy fortune significantly in a touch and a reduced touchdown total. Here, Gibson, 0:18:41.480 --> 0:18:44.160 last year they had seventeen carries inside the five, which 0:18:44.160 --> 0:18:47.439 is a lot. Turned it into just six touchdowns. And 0:18:47.480 --> 0:18:51.280 of course J. D. McKissick is gonna see a great point. 0:18:52.000 --> 0:18:56.160 Michael Carter massive offseason loser here. Yep uh, we all 0:18:56.160 --> 0:18:59.280 know Jets drafted Reesaw at the top running back taken 0:18:59.280 --> 0:19:03.159 in the April's draft. Carter missed five games due to 0:19:03.160 --> 0:19:05.840 injury last year, who hasn't proved to be fully durable either, 0:19:06.280 --> 0:19:08.800 And when he was giving those several bell cow opportunities, 0:19:08.840 --> 0:19:12.080 he just looked kind of like a guy. And really 0:19:12.119 --> 0:19:15.639 his good games came with Mike White at quarterback on 0:19:16.280 --> 0:19:18.680 just you know, dumping off the ball to Carter out 0:19:18.680 --> 0:19:21.920 of the backfield. So yeah, Michael Carter, he was someone 0:19:21.960 --> 0:19:23.399 you would hope the Jets weren't gonna take a big 0:19:23.480 --> 0:19:26.640 name running back, but they took the biggest name right back, 0:19:26.720 --> 0:19:31.399 So big ali for Michael Carter. I want to be 0:19:31.480 --> 0:19:34.240 clear that everybody loves Austin Neckler. We love him as 0:19:34.280 --> 0:19:37.560 a player, We love the fact that he overtly plays 0:19:37.680 --> 0:19:42.000 fantasy football, loves fantasy football. We've been touting him on 0:19:42.080 --> 0:19:45.320 this show for three years and then the payoff finally 0:19:45.400 --> 0:19:48.679 hit big time last year with his twenty touchdown season. 0:19:49.119 --> 0:19:53.600 His ADP is picked two, and it's only relative to 0:19:53.680 --> 0:19:58.119 that ADP that I discuss Austin Neckler here. In his 0:19:58.280 --> 0:20:01.600 five NFL seasons et there has been a workhorse back 0:20:02.240 --> 0:20:05.080 one time, and only one and it was last year 0:20:05.359 --> 0:20:11.640 when he roughly doubled his normal rushing attempt usage um 0:20:11.720 --> 0:20:16.640 while maintaining his effectiveness through the air. But Eckler could 0:20:16.760 --> 0:20:20.240 easily lose touches to fourth round pick Isaiah Spiller. Spiller 0:20:20.840 --> 0:20:23.840 was projected as a day to second round pick but 0:20:23.960 --> 0:20:26.320 slump to the fourth round, mostly because he ran a 0:20:26.320 --> 0:20:28.800 four six forty at his pro day. But if you 0:20:28.800 --> 0:20:31.119 watch the tape, the kid can run and he's a 0:20:31.119 --> 0:20:34.720 good player. And the fact that they put even fourth 0:20:34.760 --> 0:20:37.120 round equity tells me that they must like Spiller at 0:20:37.200 --> 0:20:41.680 least some and they let Justin Jackson go. I think 0:20:41.720 --> 0:20:45.399 that's another sign as well. And I just fear that 0:20:45.480 --> 0:20:49.400 Eckler's workload is going to get cut into more significantly 0:20:49.480 --> 0:20:51.680 this year than it did last year when nobody else 0:20:51.720 --> 0:20:56.720 could be effective. Remember, Joe Lombardi only gave Alvin he's 0:20:56.760 --> 0:20:59.959 offensive coordinator for the Chargers, only gave Alvin Kamara between 0:21:00.320 --> 0:21:04.960 one seventy one and one four carries when he was 0:21:05.000 --> 0:21:10.440 the starter in New Orleans one one. That would represent 0:21:10.480 --> 0:21:14.359 about a thirty ish carry regression for Ekeler if he 0:21:14.440 --> 0:21:18.199 drops down to camera levels. And while that isn't that 0:21:18.240 --> 0:21:21.520 doesn't torpedo his his value by any means. I just 0:21:21.680 --> 0:21:23.640 it's not the end of the world, but it's not 0:21:23.840 --> 0:21:28.480 necessarily what you want from the second overall pick. And uh, 0:21:28.520 --> 0:21:31.040 you know l A, the l A Chargers, both l 0:21:31.080 --> 0:21:32.880 A teams with the Chargers, of course, in this case, 0:21:32.880 --> 0:21:35.240 they expect to make a long they're a deep playoff 0:21:35.280 --> 0:21:38.440 push this year, and they want to keep him, keep 0:21:38.480 --> 0:21:40.439 him a little pressure than they did than they did 0:21:40.520 --> 0:21:42.560 last year. We're gonna take a break when we come 0:21:42.560 --> 0:22:01.280 back the off season. Losers that wide receiver segment too. 0:22:01.320 --> 0:22:03.879 Fantasy Football Weekly Paul Charchi and Brian Johnson with you 0:22:04.800 --> 0:22:07.760 as we look at the wide receivers to whom bad 0:22:07.800 --> 0:22:10.359 things happened in the off season. We begin in Detroit. 0:22:10.440 --> 0:22:13.760