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Speaker 1: Good luck with the most beautiful game? Do us proud

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Speaker 1: read a lot? They're running a game so smoothe, so sweet, splendid.

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Speaker 2: Sisting, just glorious execution.

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Speaker 1: Guys, all I'm looking for is sixty percent effort four

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Speaker 1: thousand percent of the time.

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Speaker 3: How shot with that? Shop with mind bog buddy, And

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Speaker 3: that's why you see your beautiful tiers.

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Speaker 1: Look at his movements, the.

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Speaker 3: Most dangerous amount of the planet.

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Speaker 1: Nobody picks them.

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Speaker 2: God shut up, I'm trying the one.

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Speaker 3: It's left to the wide eyed drill bibus, How old

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Speaker 3: Earth pick that happens?

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Speaker 2: Hello everybody, and welcome back to Wonder Goal, the Soccer

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Speaker 2: Betty podcast from the Action Network. My name is Michael

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Speaker 2: Liba and as always I am joined by my friends

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Speaker 2: at co hosts Anthony Bundo and bj Cunningham. And it

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Speaker 2: was another great weekend of Premier League action, especially that

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Speaker 2: Monday night football game between Manchester United and Liverpool which

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Speaker 2: went my way. But we're a podcast that likes to

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Speaker 2: look ahead, not look back. Well, guess what we got

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Speaker 2: another big Manchester United match to look ahead to and

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Speaker 2: it's the first one this weekend. Seven thirty in the

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Speaker 2: morning on Saturday, they're traveling to the South Coast to

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Speaker 2: take on Southampton. Saints are plus three forty at home,

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Speaker 2: United minus one thirty on the road. Can't help but

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Speaker 2: laugh and the draws plus three ten. I mean, the

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Speaker 2: prices on this United team is just hilarious. They want

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Speaker 2: one game, they won one game at home and now

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Speaker 2: we're looking at them odds on on the road. Anthony,

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Speaker 2: I let you start because I think we know where

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Speaker 2: this conversation's going, so you kick it off.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, congratulations on your victory.

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Speaker 2: Lap.

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Speaker 3: I think a well deserved one. You know, when nobody

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Speaker 3: wants to bet Manchester United. There was our host Michael

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Speaker 3: Leeboff betting them, and.

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Speaker 1: Nothing to do with the fact that they were playing Liverpool,

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Speaker 1: right Michael.

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Speaker 2: No, absolutely not. It did because of the number, but

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Speaker 2: that was coming like it was at some point they

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Speaker 2: were going to be good. It wasn't like they were

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Speaker 2: not going to win a game, and it just that,

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Speaker 2: like I said, it was a perfectly time match and

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Speaker 2: I think that this one is a perfect almost like

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Speaker 2: a banana skin for them to step on because they're

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Speaker 2: playing a team that they're tricky, they shoot themselves in

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Speaker 2: the foot themselves, but like it can't make this team

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Speaker 2: odds on right now. They're not on the road. They

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Speaker 2: don't deserve that, trust.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, so I thought it was interesting that the market

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Speaker 3: moved quite a bit here. United was looking at like

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Speaker 3: minus one oh five minus one ten. They win one

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Speaker 3: match where they put in a half decent performance, and

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Speaker 3: yes they were good, but that was a very different

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Speaker 3: kind of match and I actually thought it had more

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Speaker 3: to do with Liverpool being bad than it did with

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Speaker 3: United being good. I think Liverpool's midfield struggled to deal

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Speaker 3: with the pressing from the front. They didn't create enough

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Speaker 3: separation from United's midfielders. They didn't they didn't create any

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Speaker 3: big scoring chances. I thought for Mino and Milner especially

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Speaker 3: looked pretty well washed at this point. And I think that,

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Speaker 3: you know, the spine of this Liverpool team, which has

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Speaker 3: been so solid, really well and I think you know, United,

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Speaker 3: to their credit, took advantage. They can replicate a similar

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Speaker 3: type performance against Southampton, but they are going to have

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Speaker 3: more of the ball, so I think that kind of

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Speaker 3: changes it naturally. I also liked that United got rid

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Speaker 3: of this short passing and kicking from Dehea. It was

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Speaker 3: so bad against Brentford, trying to play out from the back.

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Speaker 3: Against Brighton, they said screw it, We're going long. Will

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Speaker 3: they try to go short again against a weaker team

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Speaker 3: in Southampton. That'll be really interesting to look at from

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Speaker 3: a betting perspective. I would have passed here, but again

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Speaker 3: the number moving that far means that I will be

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Speaker 3: hopping in on Southampton plus a half at home. United

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Speaker 3: has taken money in the last two matches. Of course,

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Speaker 3: they got steamed blade against Brentford pretty faulty there, and

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Speaker 3: they got steamed blade against Liverpool and that thepool got

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Speaker 3: as low as one forty five on the money line.

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Speaker 3: So back to back weeks where somebody and some market

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Speaker 3: respect is coming in from Manchester United late. We may

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Speaker 3: see that again. We saw this last year in the

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Speaker 3: same exact fixture. United had a huge win, they ended

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Speaker 3: up getting steamed heavily and then they settled for a

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Speaker 3: one to one draw on the road at Southampton. They

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Speaker 3: were minus one seventy in that game. They're only minus

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Speaker 3: one thirty here. Of course United, it's much worse at

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Speaker 3: this point, but overall I will be playing the Saints.

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Speaker 3: I'm going to wait a little bit closer to game

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Speaker 3: time for this one. I am interested to see if

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Speaker 3: ten Hog does make any changes. I don't think he

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Speaker 3: should or will to the lineup. But ultimately, you look

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Speaker 3: at some of the numbers. United still got out shot

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Speaker 3: fourteen to six in penalty box shots, their pass per

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Speaker 3: defensive action was still fifteen in the last match, and

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Speaker 3: only forced three high turnovers. So it's not like United

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Speaker 3: was destroying Liverpool. It was more so that the midfield

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Speaker 3: kind of was just broken for Liverpool.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, and it's not just the market moving on United

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Speaker 2: for this match. But let's look at their last road match,

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Speaker 2: which was, as you said, against Brentford. Brentford was plus

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Speaker 2: two ninety three hundred. Maybe by the time the game

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Speaker 2: picked off, Southampton's worse than Brentford, but fifty cents worse

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Speaker 2: is I just can't believe it. And it's so predictable

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Speaker 2: at the same time as it is surprising, because look

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Speaker 2: like the simple pattern that I was following with this

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Speaker 2: United the team was that they're gonna lose against Brighton,

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Speaker 2: They're gonna lose against Brentford, We're gonna catch a huge

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Speaker 2: number against Liverpool, They're gonna win against Liverpool, and then

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Speaker 2: we're gonna be able to fade them again against Southampton.

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Speaker 2: It shouldn't really go like that. The market is smarter

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Speaker 2: than just boiling it down to that. But I guess

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Speaker 2: with a team like United, maybe it isn't. And yeah,

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Speaker 2: United is the likely winner here, the odds tell you that.

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Speaker 2: But you're getting such a good number to go against

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Speaker 2: a team that has had sixty good, impressive minutes of soccer,

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Speaker 2: maybe seventy because you can count to ten minutes against

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Speaker 2: Brighton where they started to play in the second half.

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Speaker 2: But that's it. So yeah, Saints plus three forty and

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Speaker 2: like Anthony says, like you probably can wait it out

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Speaker 2: a little bit get a better number.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm with you, guys. I mean it's this has

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Speaker 1: to be Southampton. I don't so to Antony's point, I

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Speaker 1: guess I thought that United was, for a large stretches

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Speaker 1: not really that good. They just capitalized on a few

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Speaker 1: mistakes in Liverpool's high line, got in behind and they

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Speaker 1: converted those chances. And you know that good good on

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Speaker 1: that rash for put one away, Sancho put one away,

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Speaker 1: and you know that's something that United hasn't really had

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Speaker 1: for a long time. But this line has gotten too high.

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Speaker 1: I thought I thought minus one pH five was somewhat

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Speaker 1: of a fair price to price United at in terms

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Speaker 1: of that, but the market has told you that. Well

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Speaker 1: now people are betting on United after that performance. What

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Speaker 1: concerned me about United in that performance is even though

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Speaker 1: Liverpool's midfield was without Piago and they didn't start for

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Speaker 1: bean Neal, for some reason, I thought Liverpool pressed them

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Speaker 1: really well. They had a forty percent pressure success rate,

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Speaker 1: they had a pass per defensive action of seven point

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Speaker 1: two and they forced eight high turnovers. Southampton, as we know,

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Speaker 1: plays a very frenetic pressing style and through their first

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Speaker 1: three matches they have a little bit over a thirty

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Speaker 1: seven percent pressure success rate, which is actually the second

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Speaker 1: best mark in the Premier League, and they've also forced

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Speaker 1: the fourth most high turnovers. So if United succumbs to

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Speaker 1: that kind of pressure that we saw them you know

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Speaker 1: against really Brighton, Brentford and Liverpool, and not really play

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Speaker 1: well through it, well, then Southampton I believe, is going

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Speaker 1: to have some chances going in on United's net. And

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Speaker 1: to your point about United Michael being bad away from home,

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Speaker 1: this has been going on for a long time. They

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Speaker 1: have not won away from Old Trafford since February twentieth

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Speaker 1: against Leeds. That's eight matches. In those eight matches they

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Speaker 1: scored two goals. It was off of five expected but

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Speaker 1: still that's really really bad for a club like Manchester United,

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Speaker 1: and overall last year they were minus seven point four

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Speaker 1: expected gold differential away from home and also United last

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Speaker 1: season I talked about it a couple of times, but

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Speaker 1: they conceded the thirteenth most big scoring chances. They've already

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Speaker 1: conceded five in three matches so far this season. Say well,

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Speaker 1: you will about Southampton's offense, but they were six the

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Speaker 1: big scoring chances created, no matter how much they gave

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Speaker 1: up on defense. So I have United producted at plus

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Speaker 1: one thirty. I think it's crazy if the market has

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Speaker 1: overreacted to them beating Liverpool even though they didn't control possession,

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Speaker 1: they didn't play through pressure well and just capitalize on

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Speaker 1: a few mistakes. So for me have to play Southampton

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Speaker 1: plus half of goal, I've already played it at plus

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Speaker 1: one to ten. I'm kind of just jumping in on

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Speaker 1: it now because I kind of saw the rest of

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Speaker 1: the market and I you know, United could get steam.

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Speaker 1: Depending on the lineup. Casamiro will probably play on Saturday,

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Speaker 1: which if one season the lineup, maybe you'll get to

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Speaker 1: catch the United Steam. But you have to play Southampton here.

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Speaker 2: It's just it's too good of a price. Yeah, the

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Speaker 2: numbers already good enough. All right, let's go to another

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Speaker 2: Manchester team. This one is at home this weekend though,

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Speaker 2: Manchester City. Their mine is six hundred against our team,

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Speaker 2: the team of the podcast, Crystal Palace, sixteen to one

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Speaker 2: on the money line the draws plus six fifty, just

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Speaker 2: like the last conversation. Pretty sure, I know how this

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Speaker 2: one is going to go. But let's just, you know,

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Speaker 2: throw some more laurels in the direction of Patrick Vieira

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Speaker 2: and Crystal Palace. Here. This is how they're opening the

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Speaker 2: season home against Arsenal, away to Liverpool, home against Asavilla,

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Speaker 2: and now away against City. And in those first three games,

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Speaker 2: five point five expectacles for four expectacles against That's really impressive.

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Speaker 2: And I know that Liverpool had to play with ten

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Speaker 2: men for a portion of that match, but still like

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Speaker 2: this is this team is just picked up where it

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Speaker 2: left off last year, where it was one of the

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Speaker 2: best defensive sides in the Premier League. And against the

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Speaker 2: City team that will likely storm them, like the odds

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Speaker 2: are telling you that they're still worth a bet. Sixteen

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Speaker 2: to one. For me, this is the fixture last year

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Speaker 2: that Palace upset City as a twenty to one underdog.

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Speaker 2: The City actually went oh one to one windrow loss

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Speaker 2: against Palace last season, so they really one of the

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Speaker 2: only teams I think Tottenam was the only other one

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Speaker 2: that took four points from City last year. And so

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Speaker 2: who knows. Maybe this team just matches up well, and

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Speaker 2: I think that they do, and they're just really tricky

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Speaker 2: to unlock. So when you're getting sixteen to one on

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Speaker 2: what maybe the seventh eighth best team in the Premier League,

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Speaker 2: no matter who the opponent is, I'm gonna take it.

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Speaker 2: So I'll be riding with my boys from Crystal Palace

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Speaker 2: on the money line sixteen to one BJ. What about you.

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Speaker 1: We've seen now, patric Vera, fourteen matches against the Big Six.

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Speaker 1: In those fourteen matches, Crystal Palace is fourteen point seven

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Speaker 1: expected goals for nineteen point two expected goals again, so

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Speaker 1: minus four point five expected goal to differential. I don't

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Speaker 1: think people understand how impressive that is for a mid

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Speaker 1: table club like Crystal Palace to pull off over that

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Speaker 1: long of a stretch, and they've shown the match against

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Speaker 1: Liverpool is a perfect example that they can sit in

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Speaker 1: defensively and just counter with these big six sides, and

218
00:10:01,360 --> 00:10:03,559
Speaker 1: then the match against Caston Ville is another perfect example

219
00:10:03,679 --> 00:10:06,240
Speaker 1: where they can control possession and be the aggressors and

220
00:10:06,800 --> 00:10:09,040
Speaker 1: play a style that shows that they should be the favorite.

221
00:10:09,080 --> 00:10:13,280
Speaker 1: So not to mention, they beat City two nothing at

222
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Speaker 1: the at the AAD last year. Now there was a

223
00:10:14,720 --> 00:10:17,520
Speaker 1: red card at the forty fifth minute, but still Crystal

224
00:10:17,520 --> 00:10:19,319
Speaker 1: Palace put in that good of a performance and then

225
00:10:19,320 --> 00:10:22,480
Speaker 1: they drew them zero at Selhurst Park. And like we've

226
00:10:22,480 --> 00:10:24,880
Speaker 1: already mentioned many times, this is a top five defense

227
00:10:24,880 --> 00:10:29,120
Speaker 1: in pretty much every single category. And last season the

228
00:10:29,120 --> 00:10:32,360
Speaker 1: biggest thing against Manchester City and how you have to

229
00:10:32,360 --> 00:10:34,480
Speaker 1: beat them is you have to prevent them from creating

230
00:10:34,520 --> 00:10:37,040
Speaker 1: any type of big scoring chance. Well, Crystal Palace was

231
00:10:37,360 --> 00:10:40,720
Speaker 1: point six' eight big scoring chances allowed all last. Season

232
00:10:40,960 --> 00:10:43,880
Speaker 1: AND i mean The Newcastle Manchester city match is. INTERESTING

233
00:10:44,320 --> 00:10:46,840
Speaker 1: i think it's a perfect example of maybe not overreacting

234
00:10:47,240 --> 00:10:50,440
Speaker 1: to one type of match that just gets totally. CHAOTIC i,

235
00:10:50,480 --> 00:10:52,760
Speaker 1: mean in my, OPINION i don't Think newcastle would have

236
00:10:52,840 --> 00:10:55,240
Speaker 1: played that open and that Aggressive city didn't score in

237
00:10:55,240 --> 00:10:58,240
Speaker 1: the sixth, minute so you'll likely See Crystal palace employ

238
00:10:58,280 --> 00:11:00,800
Speaker 1: a similar strategy that they did Against Liverpool. City like

239
00:11:00,800 --> 00:11:04,520
Speaker 1: we've already talked about many, times they're, slow they're pragmatic

240
00:11:04,920 --> 00:11:07,840
Speaker 1: and which they play a lot slower style Than. Liverpool

241
00:11:07,920 --> 00:11:10,240
Speaker 1: so for, Me i'm going to go under three and

242
00:11:10,240 --> 00:11:12,200
Speaker 1: a half goals at minus one TWENTY i only have

243
00:11:12,200 --> 00:11:15,040
Speaker 1: about two point six projected for this, match and also

244
00:11:15,040 --> 00:11:17,520
Speaker 1: going to Go Crystal palace plus two at even, MONEY

245
00:11:17,559 --> 00:11:19,640
Speaker 1: i only Have city spread at minus one point sixty.

246
00:11:19,640 --> 00:11:23,079
Speaker 1: Five it's just another example Of city getting overvalued against

247
00:11:23,120 --> 00:11:25,440
Speaker 1: the mid table club that is not really a mid table.

248
00:11:25,440 --> 00:11:27,400
Speaker 1: Club the club it more plays more like the seventh

249
00:11:27,480 --> 00:11:30,280
Speaker 1: best team in The Premier. League So Crystal palace plus

250
00:11:30,320 --> 00:11:31,560
Speaker 1: two and under three no goals for.

251
00:11:31,600 --> 00:11:33,800
Speaker 2: Me palace right now thirty five to one for top,

252
00:11:33,800 --> 00:11:36,360
Speaker 2: four ten to one for top six still out. THERE

253
00:11:36,559 --> 00:11:38,800
Speaker 2: i think both of those are worth a. Shot obviously

254
00:11:38,840 --> 00:11:40,800
Speaker 2: the top four to one might be a little bit

255
00:11:40,840 --> 00:11:43,360
Speaker 2: of a, stretch BUT i think from what we saw last,

256
00:11:43,400 --> 00:11:46,199
Speaker 2: Season vieira has shown that this team can play out

257
00:11:46,240 --> 00:11:49,440
Speaker 2: in an entire thirty eight game. Marathon and keep this

258
00:11:49,520 --> 00:11:51,920
Speaker 2: level like they hit this, really really good. TEAM i

259
00:11:51,960 --> 00:11:53,640
Speaker 2: don't know how many times we've had to say, it

260
00:11:53,679 --> 00:11:55,960
Speaker 2: but it's just and part of it is the, schedule

261
00:11:56,000 --> 00:11:58,520
Speaker 2: Right like they're going up Against, Arsenal liverpool And city

262
00:11:58,520 --> 00:12:00,400
Speaker 2: three out of the first four, games so people are

263
00:12:00,440 --> 00:12:03,320
Speaker 2: not going to really pay attention To Crystal palace in those.

264
00:12:03,440 --> 00:12:08,040
Speaker 2: Matchups but when they are starting to take on the you,

265
00:12:08,080 --> 00:12:10,840
Speaker 2: know the the West hams And brighton's of the, WORLD i,

266
00:12:10,840 --> 00:12:14,000
Speaker 2: mean look, out this team could string together some results

267
00:12:14,080 --> 00:12:17,400
Speaker 2: and charge up the. Table anthony three for three here

268
00:12:17,440 --> 00:12:17,640
Speaker 2: on The.

269
00:12:17,679 --> 00:12:20,960
Speaker 3: Eagles, yep this will be four straight matches THAT i

270
00:12:20,960 --> 00:12:25,599
Speaker 3: bet On palace AND i continue to think they're undervalued

271
00:12:25,640 --> 00:12:27,400
Speaker 3: in the. Market they've had a good start to the.

272
00:12:27,440 --> 00:12:30,080
Speaker 3: Season but, again you, know IF i Thought palace plus

273
00:12:30,120 --> 00:12:32,599
Speaker 3: two At liverpool was too high and it proved to

274
00:12:32,720 --> 00:12:35,200
Speaker 3: be much too, high you can Bet i'm going to

275
00:12:35,240 --> 00:12:37,880
Speaker 3: be On palace plus two and a quarter now At Manchester.

276
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Speaker 3: CITY i think there is something to the fact That

277
00:12:41,320 --> 00:12:44,400
Speaker 3: holland gets more space on the. ROAD i think that

278
00:12:44,840 --> 00:12:47,040
Speaker 3: teams will come out and play maybe a little bit

279
00:12:47,080 --> 00:12:49,840
Speaker 3: more When city is on the road and that will

280
00:12:49,920 --> 00:12:52,360
Speaker 3: leave space in behind For holland to kind of work

281
00:12:52,400 --> 00:12:55,360
Speaker 3: his magic and get, In WHEREAS i think at The

282
00:12:55,400 --> 00:12:57,600
Speaker 3: Etty head and we saw this in The bournemouth, match

283
00:12:58,040 --> 00:13:00,920
Speaker 3: teams are going to sit so. Deep and it's not

284
00:13:00,960 --> 00:13:03,440
Speaker 3: That holland can't create. ANYWAY i, mean he's an excellent,

285
00:13:03,480 --> 00:13:07,600
Speaker 3: scorer but his ultimate, strength his best attribute is his,

286
00:13:07,679 --> 00:13:11,560
Speaker 3: pace is his strength through brushing off, defenders and you

287
00:13:11,600 --> 00:13:13,840
Speaker 3: just don't get that many opportunities to do that in

288
00:13:13,880 --> 00:13:16,160
Speaker 3: a match like. THIS i will be interested to see

289
00:13:16,160 --> 00:13:19,760
Speaker 3: If pallas employed The newcastle, method though they could if

290
00:13:19,800 --> 00:13:22,720
Speaker 3: they wanted to take some, chances you, know Keep zaha

291
00:13:22,840 --> 00:13:25,400
Speaker 3: up on one, side keep maybe as a up on

292
00:13:25,440 --> 00:13:28,280
Speaker 3: the other, side and it's a little, dangerous but If

293
00:13:28,320 --> 00:13:30,680
Speaker 3: city really wants to play with these tucked in full

294
00:13:30,760 --> 00:13:34,840
Speaker 3: backs Where Kyle walker And cancello are basically, midfielders there's

295
00:13:34,880 --> 00:13:37,800
Speaker 3: going to be a ton of space in. Behind pep

296
00:13:37,840 --> 00:13:40,960
Speaker 3: did the same thing last year And spurs exploited the

297
00:13:40,960 --> 00:13:44,320
Speaker 3: first match of the season and won the, match and

298
00:13:44,360 --> 00:13:49,040
Speaker 3: Then pep kind of slowly switched. TUNE i think the

299
00:13:49,160 --> 00:13:51,000
Speaker 3: last game will be a wake up, call AND i

300
00:13:51,000 --> 00:13:54,040
Speaker 3: Think pep will kind of take fewer chances and that

301
00:13:54,200 --> 00:13:57,600
Speaker 3: also leads Towards bjay's under as. Well SO i think

302
00:13:57,840 --> 00:13:59,320
Speaker 3: this is going to be a tight. GAME i see

303
00:13:59,320 --> 00:14:00,760
Speaker 3: it as a two to one kind of win For.

304
00:14:00,840 --> 00:14:03,600
Speaker 3: CITY i do expect The citizens to, win but, Again

305
00:14:03,679 --> 00:14:05,720
Speaker 3: palace has been feisty as an underdog And i'm going

306
00:14:05,800 --> 00:14:06,439
Speaker 3: to continue to back.

307
00:14:06,480 --> 00:14:10,040
Speaker 2: Them, yeah and their makeup is perfect for a counter attacking,

308
00:14:10,160 --> 00:14:12,040
Speaker 2: side especially one that needs to do it. Quickly With

309
00:14:12,920 --> 00:14:16,400
Speaker 2: esa in the, midfield and THEN i Use aha as

310
00:14:16,400 --> 00:14:18,720
Speaker 2: the guys he's he's looking to link up. With it's

311
00:14:18,800 --> 00:14:20,960
Speaker 2: just working really well for them right. Now So pallace

312
00:14:21,360 --> 00:14:25,640
Speaker 2: on them. Again Leicester city they're traveling To Stamford bridge

313
00:14:25,640 --> 00:14:28,560
Speaker 2: to take On. Chelsea as you can, Imagine chelsea is

314
00:14:28,600 --> 00:14:31,040
Speaker 2: a big favorite minus two sixty Five leicester seven to

315
00:14:31,080 --> 00:14:33,600
Speaker 2: one to draw here four to. One this is another

316
00:14:33,680 --> 00:14:36,320
Speaker 2: ten am. Kickoff there's a lot to unpack With, lester

317
00:14:37,000 --> 00:14:40,760
Speaker 2: which is mostly transfer and off field. Related Wesley fafana

318
00:14:40,880 --> 00:14:43,720
Speaker 2: is training with THE u twenty. Threes he's. DEMANDING i

319
00:14:43,760 --> 00:14:46,480
Speaker 2: guess maybe demanding is too hard a, word but he's

320
00:14:46,560 --> 00:14:49,320
Speaker 2: he's requested to let the transfer To, chelsea the team

321
00:14:49,320 --> 00:14:52,720
Speaker 2: they're playing go. Through you're deelim ins he can go

322
00:14:52,760 --> 00:14:54,440
Speaker 2: to a number of different places by the end of the.

323
00:14:54,440 --> 00:14:56,680
Speaker 2: Window by the who knows if he'll play because they

324
00:14:56,720 --> 00:14:58,640
Speaker 2: won't want to risk the injury with the window shutting

325
00:14:58,680 --> 00:15:01,640
Speaker 2: in a. Week and it's been really terrible so far the.

326
00:15:01,680 --> 00:15:05,680
Speaker 2: Season one point five expectacles so far across three, matches

327
00:15:05,720 --> 00:15:07,520
Speaker 2: and it's not like they've played a murderer's. ROW i

328
00:15:07,520 --> 00:15:10,800
Speaker 2: Know arsenal is, solid but still one point five for

329
00:15:10,920 --> 00:15:13,680
Speaker 2: in a team that came into the season prices as

330
00:15:13,680 --> 00:15:15,880
Speaker 2: a mid TABLE a solid mid table team eighth or

331
00:15:15,960 --> 00:15:18,840
Speaker 2: ninth in The Premier league is. Bad we talked about

332
00:15:18,880 --> 00:15:21,040
Speaker 2: how things might just be getting stale For Brendan, rodgers

333
00:15:21,040 --> 00:15:22,760
Speaker 2: and it does feel a little bit like he's a lame.

334
00:15:22,880 --> 00:15:24,840
Speaker 2: Duck this just has the feel of a team that

335
00:15:25,040 --> 00:15:28,160
Speaker 2: is just waiting for the shoe to. Drop and once that,

336
00:15:28,280 --> 00:15:30,520
Speaker 2: happens maybe they'll have a little bit of like a

337
00:15:30,560 --> 00:15:33,280
Speaker 2: dead cat or new manager. Bounce but until THEN i

338
00:15:33,280 --> 00:15:36,480
Speaker 2: think it's fade or. Nothing and you, Know, chelsea this

339
00:15:36,520 --> 00:15:38,560
Speaker 2: could be a get right spot after getting pasted By

340
00:15:38,600 --> 00:15:41,200
Speaker 2: leeds last week minus one and a half plus one oh, five,

341
00:15:41,840 --> 00:15:43,800
Speaker 2: yeah but minus two and a half at nearly three

342
00:15:43,800 --> 00:15:46,080
Speaker 2: to One this seems interesting because it does seem like

343
00:15:46,080 --> 00:15:48,120
Speaker 2: this this match can go off the rails pretty quickly

344
00:15:48,120 --> 00:15:50,720
Speaker 2: In chelsea's. Favor even though they're a team that does

345
00:15:50,840 --> 00:15:53,600
Speaker 2: prefer to strangle out results rather than blow teams, away

346
00:15:53,640 --> 00:15:56,320
Speaker 2: they still do have that. Potential so that's Where i'd

347
00:15:56,320 --> 00:15:58,800
Speaker 2: be looking IF i were to play it right. Now

348
00:15:59,160 --> 00:16:00,920
Speaker 2: i'm not too keen on. It will wait to see

349
00:16:00,920 --> 00:16:03,520
Speaker 2: what The chelsea transfer business is like as. WELL dja

350
00:16:03,640 --> 00:16:06,880
Speaker 2: anything for you here between The foxes and The, Blues.

351
00:16:06,960 --> 00:16:09,080
Speaker 1: Yeah i'm. Passing SO i Think chelsea's going to be

352
00:16:09,160 --> 00:16:11,840
Speaker 1: kind of a difficult team to crack this. Season so,

353
00:16:12,560 --> 00:16:15,560
Speaker 1: yes they deserve to lose To leeds On, Sunday BUT

354
00:16:16,040 --> 00:16:18,480
Speaker 1: i don't think they were as bad offensively as you

355
00:16:18,480 --> 00:16:20,080
Speaker 1: know the final stats made it out to. Be they

356
00:16:20,080 --> 00:16:22,320
Speaker 1: still had thirty four touches in, leads penalty, area twenty

357
00:16:22,360 --> 00:16:24,960
Speaker 1: four shock creating, actions one point twenty five expected threat

358
00:16:25,320 --> 00:16:27,840
Speaker 1: in sixteen box, entries so it wasn't a bad offensive.

359
00:16:27,840 --> 00:16:30,960
Speaker 1: Performance they just couldn't turn any of the possession they

360
00:16:30,960 --> 00:16:33,680
Speaker 1: had in the final third into any chances of. Value

361
00:16:34,520 --> 00:16:37,280
Speaker 1: but he already mentioned lesser it's to hit the nail

362
00:16:37,360 --> 00:16:40,120
Speaker 1: net is a lame duck type feel For lester right,

363
00:16:40,160 --> 00:16:41,560
Speaker 1: now AND i don't really know what to make of.

364
00:16:41,600 --> 00:16:45,080
Speaker 1: It you, know If teleman's And fafana were both playing

365
00:16:45,200 --> 00:16:48,480
Speaker 1: With chelsea Having kovaci And kante still out where they're

366
00:16:48,560 --> 00:16:50,000
Speaker 1: very thin in the, midfield where they had to Play

367
00:16:50,000 --> 00:16:52,480
Speaker 1: Conor gallagher in a central midfielder, role which is just

368
00:16:52,520 --> 00:16:54,480
Speaker 1: not his. ROLE i know people were clowning on him

369
00:16:54,480 --> 00:16:56,600
Speaker 1: because he had a bad performance in the middle of the,

370
00:16:56,600 --> 00:16:58,960
Speaker 1: park but that's just not his his. Role he's better

371
00:16:59,000 --> 00:17:01,920
Speaker 1: in the type Of mason mount center attacking midfielder role

372
00:17:01,960 --> 00:17:04,520
Speaker 1: that we saw him At Crystal palace last. Season he

373
00:17:04,680 --> 00:17:06,960
Speaker 1: just he's not better Than Mason mounts and he. Was

374
00:17:07,080 --> 00:17:12,600
Speaker 1: chelsea desperately needed a midfielder to pair Alongside. Georgino so for,

375
00:17:12,680 --> 00:17:14,399
Speaker 1: Me i'm passing on this. ONE i have it pretty

376
00:17:14,480 --> 00:17:16,520
Speaker 1: much close to what the market is. SAYING i, MEAN

377
00:17:17,440 --> 00:17:19,480
Speaker 1: i showed some value on both team's score, no BUT

378
00:17:19,520 --> 00:17:20,960
Speaker 1: i have no interest in playing that at. All With

379
00:17:21,000 --> 00:17:24,720
Speaker 1: kobali being, Out fafna being. Out, lester they're just bad.

380
00:17:24,760 --> 00:17:27,560
Speaker 1: Defensively we've said it so many, times especially With Alpha fana,

381
00:17:27,600 --> 00:17:30,080
Speaker 1: now they're just they're a bottom half of The Premier

382
00:17:30,160 --> 00:17:33,159
Speaker 1: league type club AND i don't really know what to

383
00:17:33,160 --> 00:17:34,879
Speaker 1: make of, them but what's. Funny SO i just look

384
00:17:34,920 --> 00:17:38,120
Speaker 1: at the, Schedule. Michael they're Hosting Manchester united next. Week,

385
00:17:38,160 --> 00:17:41,400
Speaker 1: yeah so this will be very telling and that's gonna

386
00:17:41,400 --> 00:17:43,399
Speaker 1: be one maybe one of the more hilarious matches of the.

387
00:17:43,440 --> 00:17:45,000
Speaker 1: Season or midwek, sorry that'll be.

388
00:17:44,920 --> 00:17:48,199
Speaker 2: Midweek yeah, YEAH i think It's, wednesday, right, yeah and

389
00:17:48,440 --> 00:17:51,560
Speaker 2: it Has arsenal next weekend. TOO i think it's What

390
00:17:52,359 --> 00:17:55,280
Speaker 2: leicester is kind of like the anti right now in

391
00:17:55,520 --> 00:17:57,479
Speaker 2: their current, state are kind of like the Anti Palace

392
00:17:57,520 --> 00:18:01,200
Speaker 2: Brighton brentford where you can't really quantify. IT i, mean

393
00:18:01,200 --> 00:18:02,680
Speaker 2: the stats will look, better but when you could you

394
00:18:02,720 --> 00:18:04,399
Speaker 2: could tell when a team is a galvanized and on

395
00:18:04,440 --> 00:18:06,359
Speaker 2: the same page and everyone's pulling in the same. Direction

396
00:18:07,280 --> 00:18:08,600
Speaker 2: just how much of a difference it. MAKES i, mean

397
00:18:08,600 --> 00:18:11,280
Speaker 2: look at The united from The liverpool match compared to

398
00:18:11,320 --> 00:18:14,000
Speaker 2: the first two, matches, right so this lesser, Team, like

399
00:18:14,000 --> 00:18:16,600
Speaker 2: it's just really hard to get invested on a team, that,

400
00:18:16,960 --> 00:18:18,960
Speaker 2: like it's one thing to get invested on A bournemouth

401
00:18:18,960 --> 00:18:21,000
Speaker 2: team where maybe they're just not, good but they are

402
00:18:21,080 --> 00:18:23,320
Speaker 2: everyone at least is on the same, page like with.

403
00:18:23,320 --> 00:18:24,400
Speaker 1: These things, try, yeah.

404
00:18:24,440 --> 00:18:26,480
Speaker 2: Exactly with this, team you just don't, know and that's

405
00:18:26,520 --> 00:18:29,879
Speaker 2: really hard to get. Behind so If chelsea, WINS i

406
00:18:29,880 --> 00:18:32,840
Speaker 2: think it could be like a Walkover. Anthony anything really

407
00:18:32,920 --> 00:18:34,280
Speaker 2: quick on this one before we move? On?

408
00:18:34,480 --> 00:18:35,439
Speaker 3: Yeah can we play? Trivia?

409
00:18:35,960 --> 00:18:36,240
Speaker 2: Sure?

410
00:18:36,400 --> 00:18:39,119
Speaker 3: Yeah how many shots Has jamie varready attended the? Season

411
00:18:39,320 --> 00:18:42,720
Speaker 3: he's played almost every? Minute three matches four? Two the

412
00:18:42,720 --> 00:18:47,360
Speaker 3: answer is, One so like we have to have that, conversation,

413
00:18:47,480 --> 00:18:49,240
Speaker 3: right like he's really.

414
00:18:49,440 --> 00:18:52,040
Speaker 1: To Play pats And doc in. Conversations, YEAH i mean

415
00:18:52,080 --> 00:18:52,840
Speaker 1: that that is a.

416
00:18:53,000 --> 00:18:56,399
Speaker 3: CONVERSATION i think that's probably an answer to the question

417
00:18:56,480 --> 00:18:59,520
Speaker 3: why Have leicster created one point five expected goals in three?

418
00:18:59,560 --> 00:19:04,320
Speaker 3: MATCHES i mean one. SHOT i think we are dangerously

419
00:19:04,320 --> 00:19:06,320
Speaker 3: close to the end, here AND i don't want to.

420
00:19:06,480 --> 00:19:09,040
Speaker 3: React of, course maybe three or four more. Matches but

421
00:19:09,119 --> 00:19:12,800
Speaker 3: If I'm Brendan, rodgers how AM i not? OVERREACTING i

422
00:19:12,840 --> 00:19:15,680
Speaker 3: mean we talked about this on the pregame or the preseason.

423
00:19:15,760 --> 00:19:18,200
Speaker 3: Pod we said ten to one that first manager. FIRED

424
00:19:18,200 --> 00:19:20,640
Speaker 3: i think if we're looking at live, odds who's more.

425
00:19:20,720 --> 00:19:24,000
Speaker 3: LIKELY i, mean he's clearly the clear. Favorite you, Know

426
00:19:24,080 --> 00:19:27,240
Speaker 3: david moy is not going, anywhere SO i think it's definitely.

427
00:19:27,320 --> 00:19:29,560
Speaker 3: Him as far as this match, GOES i would lean

428
00:19:29,560 --> 00:19:31,800
Speaker 3: toward the under. AGAIN i still haven't Bettle lester. UNDER

429
00:19:31,840 --> 00:19:34,679
Speaker 3: i keep talking about. Them the day is. COMING i

430
00:19:34,720 --> 00:19:37,400
Speaker 3: mean the ball progression, numbers even dating back to last.

431
00:19:37,480 --> 00:19:40,639
Speaker 3: Year guess what's really scary About. Lester they were thirteenth

432
00:19:40,680 --> 00:19:43,200
Speaker 3: in box entries and nineteenth and crosses last year into

433
00:19:43,200 --> 00:19:46,359
Speaker 3: the penalty, area yet seventh in non penalty exg AND

434
00:19:46,359 --> 00:19:47,640
Speaker 3: i think a lot of that was they have good

435
00:19:47,680 --> 00:19:50,520
Speaker 3: attacking players Like vardi And daca when they. Played but

436
00:19:50,560 --> 00:19:53,520
Speaker 3: If vardy has lost a step, now you're just left

437
00:19:53,520 --> 00:19:56,320
Speaker 3: with a bad, attack which is what we've seen through three.

438
00:19:56,359 --> 00:19:58,040
Speaker 3: Weeks and we saw this last year too early in

439
00:19:58,080 --> 00:20:00,439
Speaker 3: the season and they ended up being, better and you're

440
00:20:00,480 --> 00:20:05,120
Speaker 3: left with the bad defense who still can't solve, defensively it's.

441
00:20:05,160 --> 00:20:07,840
Speaker 3: Woes and the goalie's been really bad minus three point

442
00:20:07,880 --> 00:20:10,840
Speaker 3: one post shot. EXPECTED i understand it's a small, sample

443
00:20:11,520 --> 00:20:13,800
Speaker 3: but given that it's the backup To michael now and

444
00:20:13,800 --> 00:20:17,000
Speaker 3: It's Danny, ward he just dropped the ball on the last,

445
00:20:17,000 --> 00:20:20,920
Speaker 3: match So i'm, concerned very. Concerned in this. Match i'm

446
00:20:20,960 --> 00:20:24,280
Speaker 3: still concerned with WHAT bj said. Too With, chelsea all

447
00:20:24,320 --> 00:20:27,639
Speaker 3: that final third, possession all those box entries were the.

448
00:20:27,640 --> 00:20:29,560
Speaker 3: SHOTS i think they're they're short AND i don't think

449
00:20:29,560 --> 00:20:31,840
Speaker 3: i'll bomb means the, answer but we'll see What chelsea

450
00:20:31,920 --> 00:20:32,159
Speaker 3: ends up.

451
00:20:32,160 --> 00:20:34,440
Speaker 1: Doing the answer he's.

452
00:20:34,480 --> 00:20:37,200
Speaker 3: NOT i mean we'll get to. That he's damn near a,

453
00:20:37,240 --> 00:20:41,399
Speaker 3: fullback so would be. INTERESTING i, mean look at his.

454
00:20:41,480 --> 00:20:43,919
Speaker 3: Numbers he just runs. FAST i don't, know runs with

455
00:20:44,000 --> 00:20:47,040
Speaker 3: the ball, like he doesn't get. Shots he had like

456
00:20:47,040 --> 00:20:49,840
Speaker 3: three shots last. Game we'll, SEE i mean that's just.

457
00:20:49,840 --> 00:20:53,280
Speaker 3: IT i, mean always the wheel that we'll we'll see

458
00:20:53,280 --> 00:20:56,080
Speaker 3: With chelsea. Again the midfield, Too Like Contan, kovic you're.

459
00:20:56,080 --> 00:20:58,120
Speaker 3: Out we're left with the bad midfield. Too they can't

460
00:20:58,160 --> 00:21:01,560
Speaker 3: really dominate matches to the because that they want to, so.

461
00:21:03,560 --> 00:21:04,440
Speaker 1: And they're thin at the back.

462
00:21:04,480 --> 00:21:07,240
Speaker 3: Too the right easiest pass on the. Board, well BUT i,

463
00:21:07,400 --> 00:21:09,040
Speaker 3: MEAN i Think chelsea's kind of still in.

464
00:21:09,040 --> 00:21:12,520
Speaker 2: Turmoil let's move on To liverpool And bourne myth, quickly

465
00:21:12,520 --> 00:21:14,800
Speaker 2: BECAUSE i don't think this one is going to attract

466
00:21:14,880 --> 00:21:19,200
Speaker 2: much betting attention from. Us The reds minus one thousand at,

467
00:21:19,200 --> 00:21:21,600
Speaker 2: home born with twenty to. One remember they were thirty

468
00:21:21,600 --> 00:21:24,480
Speaker 2: five to one away To Man. City the draw here

469
00:21:24,600 --> 00:21:27,560
Speaker 2: is nine to. ONE i, mean what a brutal schedule

470
00:21:27,640 --> 00:21:30,520
Speaker 2: to start for Bourn myth trips the city In liverpool

471
00:21:30,560 --> 00:21:34,040
Speaker 2: within your first four games they did Beat Essen villa And. Arsenal,

472
00:21:34,400 --> 00:21:37,359
Speaker 2: yeah and Then arsenal, too, right so this does just

473
00:21:37,359 --> 00:21:41,919
Speaker 2: seem like a perfect schedule get right spot For. LIVERPOOL

474
00:21:42,160 --> 00:21:44,360
Speaker 2: i DON'T i don't know what Excuse Jurgen klopp can

475
00:21:44,400 --> 00:21:45,679
Speaker 2: come up with at the end of this one if

476
00:21:45,680 --> 00:21:47,680
Speaker 2: they don't Paste bourne, myth But i'm sure he'll find.

477
00:21:47,680 --> 00:21:51,920
Speaker 1: One, YEAH i, mean just he just said we were.

478
00:21:51,920 --> 00:21:53,000
Speaker 1: Better just believe me.

479
00:21:54,800 --> 00:21:55,320
Speaker 2: That guy's got.

480
00:21:55,359 --> 00:21:57,200
Speaker 3: Issues no big scoring chances Against.

481
00:21:57,359 --> 00:22:01,000
Speaker 2: United, Anthony i'll go with you because since you're the

482
00:22:01,040 --> 00:22:04,119
Speaker 2: big clop And liverpool guy on the, podcast just to

483
00:22:04,200 --> 00:22:07,080
Speaker 2: kind of give us your thoughts here quickly on a

484
00:22:07,119 --> 00:22:11,760
Speaker 2: match THAT i don't see any interest From benning's, Standpoint, Yeah.

485
00:22:11,600 --> 00:22:14,000
Speaker 3: I've got nothing. HERE i, Mean bournemouth looked. Dreadful they've

486
00:22:14,000 --> 00:22:16,400
Speaker 3: been absolutely terrible and there will be a by low

487
00:22:16,480 --> 00:22:18,679
Speaker 3: time on this team AND i think it's, coming but

488
00:22:18,920 --> 00:22:20,480
Speaker 3: it's not going to be against one of these three

489
00:22:20,520 --> 00:22:23,520
Speaker 3: or four five top teams in the. League so you,

490
00:22:23,560 --> 00:22:25,480
Speaker 3: Know i'm going to end up passing. HERE i agree

491
00:22:25,480 --> 00:22:27,399
Speaker 3: with the point that this is A liverpool get right,

492
00:22:27,480 --> 00:22:30,920
Speaker 3: spot BUT i Mean. Liverpool you, KNOW i said last

493
00:22:30,920 --> 00:22:33,480
Speaker 3: WEEK i wasn't concerned About. Liverpool i'm still not that

494
00:22:33,640 --> 00:22:37,360
Speaker 3: concerned About. Liverpool if nobody gets, healthy that's a. Problem

495
00:22:37,440 --> 00:22:39,560
Speaker 3: BUT i just think that you Put Darwin nunez And

496
00:22:39,600 --> 00:22:42,560
Speaker 3: fabinho back in the team and they're probably a lot

497
00:22:42,600 --> 00:22:45,040
Speaker 3: better and we probably don't have to do all this

498
00:22:45,160 --> 00:22:48,720
Speaker 3: handwringing about one loss and one, draw so you, know

499
00:22:48,880 --> 00:22:51,159
Speaker 3: or two. Draws SO i think it's a slow. Start it.

500
00:22:51,200 --> 00:22:53,400
Speaker 3: Happens we talked about this last week, too like Every

501
00:22:53,400 --> 00:22:54,960
Speaker 3: big six team is going to go through a spell

502
00:22:55,000 --> 00:22:57,520
Speaker 3: where weird things go against. Them you still look at

503
00:22:57,520 --> 00:23:01,400
Speaker 3: THE xg difference over the first, rematches they're like plus point.

504
00:23:01,400 --> 00:23:03,760
Speaker 3: Seven their ACTUAL xg is like minus. Points their actual

505
00:23:03,760 --> 00:23:06,280
Speaker 3: goal difference is like minus point six now so for

506
00:23:06,440 --> 00:23:07,879
Speaker 3: ninety So i'm not that.

507
00:23:07,960 --> 00:23:11,720
Speaker 2: Worried this one's, interesting. Though brighton odds on minus one

508
00:23:11,840 --> 00:23:15,159
Speaker 2: fifteen hosting leads three to one the draw here plus

509
00:23:15,200 --> 00:23:19,400
Speaker 2: two seventy. On full marks To Leeds united And Jesse

510
00:23:19,520 --> 00:23:22,280
Speaker 2: marsh for the way they played Against. CHELSEA i don't

511
00:23:22,960 --> 00:23:27,399
Speaker 2: know If brighton. Warrants we talk About brighton and teams

512
00:23:27,400 --> 00:23:29,399
Speaker 2: of their ilk like not being a great, favorite but

513
00:23:29,440 --> 00:23:32,520
Speaker 2: Against leeds it's a little different Because leeds isn't your

514
00:23:32,560 --> 00:23:36,640
Speaker 2: typical kind of sit back underdog right like they're they're gonna.

515
00:23:36,640 --> 00:23:38,879
Speaker 2: Press brighton could play through the. Press so this matchup

516
00:23:38,920 --> 00:23:42,000
Speaker 2: does kind of keep me give me some pause about Betting,

517
00:23:42,080 --> 00:23:44,240
Speaker 2: leads But i'm not laying it With brighton, either so

518
00:23:44,840 --> 00:23:46,879
Speaker 2: likely a pass if anything, else take a stab on.

519
00:23:46,960 --> 00:23:50,160
Speaker 2: Leads bj you're, smiling you got Your brighton Kid.

520
00:23:50,200 --> 00:23:53,680
Speaker 1: On OH i Love brighton's, Match, Michael oh my. Goodness say,

521
00:23:53,720 --> 00:23:56,520
Speaker 1: LOOK i Mean briban just they looks just as impressive as.

522
00:23:56,560 --> 00:23:58,960
Speaker 1: EVER i, mean they just dominated West ham last week

523
00:23:58,960 --> 00:24:01,800
Speaker 1: and they're now foard point two expected goals for two

524
00:24:01,880 --> 00:24:05,439
Speaker 1: point six against to their first three. Matches and, LISTEN

525
00:24:05,800 --> 00:24:08,919
Speaker 1: i Understand Jesse Marsh's. AMERICAN i understand they has Some

526
00:24:08,920 --> 00:24:11,080
Speaker 1: americans on the team and that was fun On. Sunday you,

527
00:24:11,119 --> 00:24:13,760
Speaker 1: Know american soccer is. Back we're gonna win The World.

528
00:24:13,760 --> 00:24:17,000
Speaker 1: Cup Right, well if we go from When Jesse marsh

529
00:24:17,119 --> 00:24:19,879
Speaker 1: was hired At, leeds if we take their performance compared

530
00:24:19,920 --> 00:24:23,720
Speaker 1: To bright's. Performance leeds since marsh has been in charge

531
00:24:23,760 --> 00:24:26,600
Speaker 1: up until today one point three x g four to

532
00:24:26,720 --> 00:24:29,480
Speaker 1: per ninety one point four to eight against twenty point

533
00:24:29,480 --> 00:24:32,119
Speaker 1: five expected Points brighton over that exact same time per,

534
00:24:32,160 --> 00:24:35,119
Speaker 1: him and they've played six big six sides in this

535
00:24:35,280 --> 00:24:38,200
Speaker 1: run up two one point four to five expected goals

536
00:24:38,200 --> 00:24:41,080
Speaker 1: for one point one four expected goals against per ninety

537
00:24:41,080 --> 00:24:44,960
Speaker 1: minutes twenty five expected. Points so they've basically been about

538
00:24:45,000 --> 00:24:47,119
Speaker 1: half a goal per ninety better Than, leads and then

539
00:24:47,119 --> 00:24:49,359
Speaker 1: you throw a home field. ADVANTAGE i think this line's

540
00:24:49,359 --> 00:24:51,240
Speaker 1: a little too. Low this is also a bad matchup

541
00:24:51,240 --> 00:24:54,000
Speaker 1: For leeds pretty much every time they Face brighton Because

542
00:24:54,160 --> 00:24:56,640
Speaker 1: leeds is terrible at playing through. Pressure first three matches

543
00:24:56,880 --> 00:24:59,480
Speaker 1: their bottom three and offensive pass per defensive action under

544
00:24:59,520 --> 00:25:01,520
Speaker 1: marshal season they were bottom half in The Premier league

545
00:25:01,520 --> 00:25:04,000
Speaker 1: in that category as. Well we've talked about many Times

546
00:25:04,000 --> 00:25:07,159
Speaker 1: brighton top six or seven pressing team in The Premier.

547
00:25:07,240 --> 00:25:10,359
Speaker 1: League they're also a top five team playing through, pressure

548
00:25:10,359 --> 00:25:12,359
Speaker 1: so they'll be able to deal With leads for neatic

549
00:25:12,440 --> 00:25:16,040
Speaker 1: pressing and, LEADS i mean they they haven't been good

550
00:25:16,040 --> 00:25:18,480
Speaker 1: defensively Under. MARSH i MEAN i mentioned, it but last

551
00:25:18,480 --> 00:25:21,040
Speaker 1: season they were one point six big scoring chances per

552
00:25:21,080 --> 00:25:26,600
Speaker 1: match through the first three. Matches PER, Opta leeds has

553
00:25:26,600 --> 00:25:29,720
Speaker 1: allowed the second most expected goals from open. Play do

554
00:25:29,720 --> 00:25:31,440
Speaker 1: you want to know who's allowed the fewest expected goals

555
00:25:31,440 --> 00:25:34,439
Speaker 1: from open? Play brighton at one point. Five and this

556
00:25:34,480 --> 00:25:37,320
Speaker 1: is the last Thing i'll say About. Brighton, yes we

557
00:25:37,359 --> 00:25:40,160
Speaker 1: say they don't profile well as a favorite because essentially

558
00:25:40,160 --> 00:25:42,120
Speaker 1: what they do all the time is they just dominate

559
00:25:42,160 --> 00:25:44,800
Speaker 1: these type of matches similar to The newcastle, match and

560
00:25:44,800 --> 00:25:48,360
Speaker 1: they end up drawing zero. Zero. Well over last season

561
00:25:48,720 --> 00:25:51,240
Speaker 1: ten matches at home against the bottom half of the,

562
00:25:51,280 --> 00:25:55,640
Speaker 1: table fourteen point six expected goals, for seven point nine

563
00:25:55,760 --> 00:25:59,280
Speaker 1: expected goals. AGAINST i Have brighton projected at minus one thirty.

564
00:25:59,280 --> 00:26:01,320
Speaker 1: Three you can get him at minus one fifteen or.

565
00:26:01,359 --> 00:26:02,240
Speaker 1: BETTER i love The.

566
00:26:02,280 --> 00:26:06,360
Speaker 2: Seagulls, yeah And, anthony you've been playing The leads trumpet

567
00:26:06,520 --> 00:26:09,560
Speaker 2: since they Hired Jesse marsh and played it before That chelsea.

568
00:26:09,640 --> 00:26:10,720
Speaker 1: Match you just gonna, Stop.

569
00:26:10,760 --> 00:26:12,800
Speaker 2: Michael, yeah but it seems like you're going to put

570
00:26:12,800 --> 00:26:14,960
Speaker 2: that trumpet down for a little bit and pick up

571
00:26:15,240 --> 00:26:16,000
Speaker 2: Your brighton.

572
00:26:16,080 --> 00:26:18,040
Speaker 3: CLARINET i, mean, LOOK i think on soccer would be

573
00:26:18,040 --> 00:26:19,880
Speaker 3: easy IF i just like picked my five favorite teams

574
00:26:19,880 --> 00:26:21,320
Speaker 3: in the league and then decided to bet them every,

575
00:26:21,320 --> 00:26:23,000
Speaker 3: Week and like we do that as a podcast because

576
00:26:23,000 --> 00:26:25,320
Speaker 3: we think there are certain teams that are consistently, undervalued

577
00:26:25,920 --> 00:26:28,159
Speaker 3: AND i Think leads is generally on that. Position BUT

578
00:26:28,359 --> 00:26:30,200
Speaker 3: i think this is a good sell spot for. THEM

579
00:26:30,440 --> 00:26:33,399
Speaker 3: i agree With bjay pretty much everything he. Said the

580
00:26:33,440 --> 00:26:37,239
Speaker 3: matchup is not great For. Leeds the emotion of the

581
00:26:37,240 --> 00:26:39,639
Speaker 3: biggest win of the marsh era and, all you, know

582
00:26:39,640 --> 00:26:42,160
Speaker 3: we talked about The, Americans Jack, harrison the Pseudo america

583
00:26:42,200 --> 00:26:46,160
Speaker 3: and all these people who are you, know Proclaiming leads

584
00:26:46,160 --> 00:26:48,720
Speaker 3: as these great champions and you know they won the, league,

585
00:26:48,800 --> 00:26:51,400
Speaker 3: right but they have seven. POINTS i still think they're

586
00:26:51,400 --> 00:26:54,480
Speaker 3: a mid table at best team who's thirteenth or. Fourteenth

587
00:26:54,760 --> 00:26:57,520
Speaker 3: my opinion on them has not changed because of one.

588
00:26:57,560 --> 00:26:59,600
Speaker 3: Game hasn't changed because the three. GAMES i was high

589
00:26:59,600 --> 00:27:01,280
Speaker 3: on them coming in and NOW i think the market

590
00:27:01,320 --> 00:27:04,040
Speaker 3: is too And i'm gonna. Sell SO i Like brighton as.

591
00:27:04,040 --> 00:27:06,560
Speaker 3: WELL i just think that bj makes a good, point,

592
00:27:06,640 --> 00:27:10,000
Speaker 3: Right like we are kind of snake bitten because we've

593
00:27:10,000 --> 00:27:12,040
Speaker 3: lost so much money Betting brighton his favorites when they've

594
00:27:12,040 --> 00:27:14,680
Speaker 3: dominated the matches and never finished their. Chances Neil mape's,

595
00:27:14,720 --> 00:27:17,760
Speaker 3: gone so like maybe he's. Gone the X, g the

596
00:27:17,880 --> 00:27:21,159
Speaker 3: X g underperformance king is, gone and now Maybe brighton

597
00:27:21,200 --> 00:27:22,920
Speaker 3: with wellback will finish. Better we'll.

598
00:27:22,920 --> 00:27:26,000
Speaker 1: See let's be. HONEST i mean from a managerial, Standpoint

599
00:27:26,080 --> 00:27:28,800
Speaker 1: Graham potter is, far far and away a better manager

600
00:27:28,800 --> 00:27:31,960
Speaker 1: Than Jesse marsh at this. Point so let's.

601
00:27:31,800 --> 00:27:34,560
Speaker 3: Let's let's calm down with.

602
00:27:35,080 --> 00:27:37,119
Speaker 1: You get HANDED Rbi leipzig and you can't even make

603
00:27:37,160 --> 00:27:38,440
Speaker 1: it through half a. Season get out of.

604
00:27:38,480 --> 00:27:41,160
Speaker 3: Here those, players those, players they were calling them.

605
00:27:41,160 --> 00:27:41,639
Speaker 2: Right the?

606
00:27:41,680 --> 00:27:43,840
Speaker 1: Players all, right, yeah, Exactly.

607
00:27:44,440 --> 00:27:46,800
Speaker 3: Leipzig winless in The bundesligga this, year all.

608
00:27:46,760 --> 00:27:49,640
Speaker 2: Right let's, uh let's go on to Think brentford even

609
00:27:49,680 --> 00:27:52,000
Speaker 2: money favorite the game of the. Year line is Is

610
00:27:52,160 --> 00:27:55,400
Speaker 2: brentford even money at home evertton plus two seventy five

611
00:27:55,440 --> 00:27:57,720
Speaker 2: on the road with the draws plus two. FIFTY i

612
00:27:57,800 --> 00:28:02,280
Speaker 2: actually think this matchup could suit every because they've played

613
00:28:02,320 --> 00:28:04,840
Speaker 2: such a pragmatic style on the road and against better,

614
00:28:04,880 --> 00:28:08,960
Speaker 2: teams Which brentford, is and that's when they've been probably

615
00:28:08,960 --> 00:28:10,679
Speaker 2: at their best the season when there's no pressure on

616
00:28:10,720 --> 00:28:12,400
Speaker 2: them to score because they can't do it like even

617
00:28:12,400 --> 00:28:15,760
Speaker 2: Against Fleetwood town couldn't score more than a goal that

618
00:28:15,840 --> 00:28:18,600
Speaker 2: was gifted to them on a turnover right outside the.

619
00:28:18,600 --> 00:28:21,320
Speaker 2: Box as we talked about a little bit, earlier some

620
00:28:21,400 --> 00:28:24,400
Speaker 2: transfer business that still needs sorting out As delhi looks

621
00:28:24,400 --> 00:28:26,480
Speaker 2: on his way to play in The turkish Super, league

622
00:28:26,520 --> 00:28:30,440
Speaker 2: With bashita's reuniting with Former everton Teammate chang to. Soon,

623
00:28:30,920 --> 00:28:32,680
Speaker 2: hey they can actually use him right now because he

624
00:28:32,720 --> 00:28:38,280
Speaker 2: could score at least And Anthony gordon has handed in

625
00:28:38,320 --> 00:28:41,360
Speaker 2: a transfer, request reportedly to go To chelsea for sixty

626
00:28:41,400 --> 00:28:45,000
Speaker 2: million pounds. Huge, well it does change the makeup of the.

627
00:28:45,040 --> 00:28:47,760
Speaker 2: TEAM i mean he. Doesn't he hasn't been productive yet

628
00:28:47,800 --> 00:28:50,720
Speaker 2: he's twenty, one but he. Does he speaks volumes of

629
00:28:50,960 --> 00:28:53,800
Speaker 2: where the team. Is he has looked their most dangerous

630
00:28:53,800 --> 00:28:57,440
Speaker 2: player going forward for this. Season so without With charliston

631
00:28:57,680 --> 00:29:00,760
Speaker 2: and then Without, gordon where's the coming? From so that

632
00:29:00,840 --> 00:29:03,200
Speaker 2: is the concern. Here that, SAID i think that they

633
00:29:03,680 --> 00:29:06,000
Speaker 2: they're taking on a team THAT i think that they'll

634
00:29:06,000 --> 00:29:08,960
Speaker 2: be able to kind of hang with In brentford and

635
00:29:09,120 --> 00:29:12,720
Speaker 2: play that deep. Line Frank lampard turning Into Sean, ditsch

636
00:29:13,320 --> 00:29:15,400
Speaker 2: throwing as many men behind the ball as he, can

637
00:29:15,880 --> 00:29:19,120
Speaker 2: SO i would like to Bet everton in the, spot

638
00:29:19,240 --> 00:29:21,240
Speaker 2: not just with my heart but also with my. Head

639
00:29:21,240 --> 00:29:23,800
Speaker 2: but we got to see where everyone ends, up what

640
00:29:23,840 --> 00:29:25,440
Speaker 2: team people are going to be playing. For by the

641
00:29:25,440 --> 00:29:28,000
Speaker 2: time this match, STARTS bj you're going the other, Way.

642
00:29:28,160 --> 00:29:31,200
Speaker 1: Yeah everton playing. Deep is the ghost Of Ralpha benitas

643
00:29:31,240 --> 00:29:34,040
Speaker 1: come back For? EVERTON i don't. KNOW i think this

644
00:29:34,080 --> 00:29:35,840
Speaker 1: is a good matchup For. BRENTFORD i, mean we've talked

645
00:29:35,840 --> 00:29:37,360
Speaker 1: about many. Times they play so much better at The

646
00:29:37,400 --> 00:29:40,400
Speaker 1: Brentford comunity stam there on the. Road Michael everton last

647
00:29:40,480 --> 00:29:43,880
Speaker 1: year did have a plus point five expected gold Differential Goodison.

648
00:29:43,880 --> 00:29:45,920
Speaker 1: Park they're actually pretty good. There the problem is they

649
00:29:45,920 --> 00:29:48,160
Speaker 1: were just horrible away from. Home they were minus twelve

650
00:29:48,200 --> 00:29:51,440
Speaker 1: expected gold. Differential and now considering they'll be still be

651
00:29:51,440 --> 00:29:55,160
Speaker 1: Without Dominie, Calvert, Lewin Yuri mina De Corre Andres townsend

652
00:29:55,520 --> 00:29:57,880
Speaker 1: and now Potentially Anthony, GORDON i think you get the

653
00:29:57,920 --> 00:29:59,600
Speaker 1: nail on the, head like where are the goals coming?

654
00:29:59,640 --> 00:30:02,280
Speaker 1: From where the shots coming? From where is any type

655
00:30:02,280 --> 00:30:06,240
Speaker 1: of threat On. Brentford net's gonna come against the beast

656
00:30:06,240 --> 00:30:08,560
Speaker 1: team that was a top ten defensive team in The Premier.

657
00:30:08,640 --> 00:30:10,920
Speaker 1: League last. Year for, me this match is all about price.

658
00:30:10,920 --> 00:30:13,760
Speaker 1: POINTS i Have brentford projected at minus one oh, seven

659
00:30:13,760 --> 00:30:15,680
Speaker 1: So i'm pretty close to the. MARKET i don't think

660
00:30:15,720 --> 00:30:17,560
Speaker 1: i'll get, there but IF i can Get brentford at

661
00:30:17,600 --> 00:30:20,480
Speaker 1: plus one, Ten i'll play them Because i'll give me

662
00:30:20,480 --> 00:30:22,280
Speaker 1: three and a half percent value and that's usually my

663
00:30:22,520 --> 00:30:25,320
Speaker 1: threshold of WHERE i like to bet soccer. Matches or

664
00:30:25,400 --> 00:30:28,000
Speaker 1: If Anthony gordon's not, Playing i'll just Play brentford anything plus,

665
00:30:28,040 --> 00:30:30,160
Speaker 1: money BECAUSE i do think it's a pretty good matchup for.

666
00:30:30,200 --> 00:30:32,640
Speaker 2: Him you don't Think solomon Ron don the goals aren't

667
00:30:32,680 --> 00:30:33,360
Speaker 2: coming first.

668
00:30:33,440 --> 00:30:37,920
Speaker 1: Love his era At west brom was, beautiful BUT i,

669
00:30:37,960 --> 00:30:42,520
Speaker 1: mean who's going to give him the? Ball it's like

670
00:30:43,640 --> 00:30:46,040
Speaker 1: this is the thing that we joke about strikers Like

671
00:30:46,040 --> 00:30:47,960
Speaker 1: solomon Ron don and everything like, that but it's like

672
00:30:48,080 --> 00:30:51,000
Speaker 1: he doesn't he doesn't get, shots like nobody gives him the,

673
00:30:51,000 --> 00:30:52,720
Speaker 1: ball like because they're constantly just sitting.

674
00:30:52,760 --> 00:30:56,480
Speaker 2: Deep everden two goals this, season one scored by Former

675
00:30:56,560 --> 00:30:59,120
Speaker 2: everton player who was playing for Aston ville at the,

676
00:30:59,120 --> 00:31:03,080
Speaker 2: Time Louis, dean and then the second goal Was Jordan pickford.

677
00:31:03,120 --> 00:31:06,040
Speaker 2: Assists so that just tells you how hard it's been

678
00:31:06,080 --> 00:31:08,400
Speaker 2: on them to get anything going, offensively.

679
00:31:08,600 --> 00:31:10,160
Speaker 1: And dallier might be coming.

680
00:31:10,200 --> 00:31:13,360
Speaker 2: Though, Yeah Connor, GALLAGHER i Mean. Brosia they Need, brosia

681
00:31:13,480 --> 00:31:15,440
Speaker 2: that's the. Guy but LIKE i, SAID i think like

682
00:31:15,800 --> 00:31:19,600
Speaker 2: sitting back and just being completely negative is almost the

683
00:31:19,680 --> 00:31:22,320
Speaker 2: right move in the spot because put the onus On

684
00:31:22,360 --> 00:31:26,040
Speaker 2: brentford to create and pick you apart and hope that

685
00:31:26,080 --> 00:31:28,080
Speaker 2: you can stay in the. Game of course that can

686
00:31:28,120 --> 00:31:31,360
Speaker 2: be you wish for, now of, course but how it's

687
00:31:31,360 --> 00:31:33,320
Speaker 2: pathetic is that That that's What I'm i'm hoping to

688
00:31:33,360 --> 00:31:35,920
Speaker 2: wake up On saturday, morning get a cup of coffee

689
00:31:35,920 --> 00:31:38,160
Speaker 2: and Watch everyton park the bus against a team that

690
00:31:38,200 --> 00:31:41,160
Speaker 2: was in The championship two years. Ago that's where we're, At,

691
00:31:41,640 --> 00:31:43,960
Speaker 2: anthony anything on this real quick and then we'll move

692
00:31:44,000 --> 00:31:44,920
Speaker 2: on to the twelve thirty.

693
00:31:44,920 --> 00:31:47,560
Speaker 3: Game, NO i Think brentford's a little bit. EXPENSIVE i

694
00:31:47,640 --> 00:31:51,120
Speaker 3: Think everton is a little bit. Cheap but, again like you,

695
00:31:51,160 --> 00:31:53,640
Speaker 3: Mentioned i'm not going to bet This at the current.

696
00:31:53,720 --> 00:31:58,280
Speaker 2: Number twelve thirty pm KICKOFF bj Your Arsenal gunners taking

697
00:31:58,280 --> 00:32:03,360
Speaker 2: On fulham minus three twenty the Runaway league champions are Against.

698
00:32:03,360 --> 00:32:07,960
Speaker 2: Fulham The fulham coming back plus seven FIFTY i don't

699
00:32:07,960 --> 00:32:11,240
Speaker 2: hear that the draws plus four seventy five that them

700
00:32:11,360 --> 00:32:14,120
Speaker 2: two teams that have gotten off to hot. STARTS i

701
00:32:14,160 --> 00:32:17,120
Speaker 2: think a lot of credit is due to both, managers

702
00:32:17,560 --> 00:32:20,520
Speaker 2: and a lot of credit is due To Marco silva

703
00:32:20,520 --> 00:32:22,560
Speaker 2: And fulham for the way that they've kind of managed

704
00:32:22,560 --> 00:32:25,240
Speaker 2: a tricky start to the. Season liverpool And. Arsenal now

705
00:32:25,600 --> 00:32:28,280
Speaker 2: they played well, ENOUGH i guess Against, wolves but still

706
00:32:28,320 --> 00:32:29,800
Speaker 2: this is the one that. Match, yeah they should have,

707
00:32:29,840 --> 00:32:31,560
Speaker 2: won and this is still a team THAT i, mean

708
00:32:32,160 --> 00:32:35,480
Speaker 2: them being competent this early in the season is really

709
00:32:35,520 --> 00:32:38,480
Speaker 2: giving me adja about evertence. Chances so that's that's Where

710
00:32:38,480 --> 00:32:41,239
Speaker 2: i'm at right. NOW i think It's fulham. Here if

711
00:32:41,240 --> 00:32:42,400
Speaker 2: you don't want to play the money, LINE i know

712
00:32:42,440 --> 00:32:44,920
Speaker 2: you guys will make an argument for backing them to

713
00:32:45,480 --> 00:32:47,680
Speaker 2: keep it, close BUT i think it's worth. IT i,

714
00:32:47,720 --> 00:32:51,440
Speaker 2: mean the prices On, arsenal especially if they take care

715
00:32:51,480 --> 00:32:52,960
Speaker 2: of business in this, one are Just they're going to

716
00:32:53,000 --> 00:32:54,680
Speaker 2: get out of. Hand they already are out of, hand

717
00:32:54,680 --> 00:32:56,719
Speaker 2: but if it keeps going like, this they could be

718
00:32:56,920 --> 00:32:59,320
Speaker 2: What liverpool was last, year a team that's just consistently

719
00:32:59,360 --> 00:33:03,560
Speaker 2: overvalued but consistently wins and makes us look like. Fools Anthony.

720
00:33:04,200 --> 00:33:06,880
Speaker 3: Cottagers, Yeah i'll take The. Cottagers you, KNOW i said

721
00:33:06,880 --> 00:33:09,600
Speaker 3: this after the loss That pallas had on an opening.

722
00:33:09,680 --> 00:33:11,080
Speaker 3: DAY i, said you, know there will be a time

723
00:33:11,080 --> 00:33:13,600
Speaker 3: to Fade, arsenal WHO i think is overvalued a little.

724
00:33:13,640 --> 00:33:16,320
Speaker 3: Bit but the time was Not, lester and the time

725
00:33:16,360 --> 00:33:19,040
Speaker 3: for me was not born with two teams That i'm

726
00:33:19,080 --> 00:33:22,000
Speaker 3: not particularly a believer, in BUT i will hop in

727
00:33:22,040 --> 00:33:24,760
Speaker 3: here With, fulham WHO i make about a goal underdog

728
00:33:25,160 --> 00:33:28,280
Speaker 3: on the. Road it's really all about The fulham midfield

729
00:33:28,760 --> 00:33:34,000
Speaker 3: as much as anything. Else It's paulinya And, pereira Especially Decord.

730
00:33:34,000 --> 00:33:38,000
Speaker 3: OVERRED i really love what they have in their balance

731
00:33:38,080 --> 00:33:40,960
Speaker 3: and their ball winning and their ball. Progression perera getting

732
00:33:40,960 --> 00:33:45,960
Speaker 3: into the, box getting forward a little, Bit mitrovich finally

733
00:33:46,000 --> 00:33:50,040
Speaker 3: getting a. CHANCE i mean people have talked in the

734
00:33:50,080 --> 00:33:53,040
Speaker 3: past AND A brett pun one of our soccer, writers

735
00:33:53,560 --> 00:33:55,360
Speaker 3: made this good. Point you, know he didn't get much

736
00:33:55,400 --> 00:33:57,400
Speaker 3: of a chance in the prem two years ago When

737
00:33:57,400 --> 00:33:59,800
Speaker 3: fulham came up Under, parker and now he's getting a

738
00:33:59,840 --> 00:34:02,720
Speaker 3: chant and the early returns are really. IMPRESSIVE i, mean

739
00:34:03,240 --> 00:34:05,760
Speaker 3: we talked about The brentford defense and how effective it

740
00:34:05,960 --> 00:34:09,239
Speaker 3: was last season and even the first match of the

741
00:34:09,280 --> 00:34:11,920
Speaker 3: first two matches of this season Against leicester And, United

742
00:34:12,320 --> 00:34:15,200
Speaker 3: fulham ripped them apart almost three expected goals over three

743
00:34:15,200 --> 00:34:18,799
Speaker 3: expected goals on some. Models SO i was very impressed With.

744
00:34:18,840 --> 00:34:22,480
Speaker 3: Fulham you, know my biggest question was actually not their,

745
00:34:22,520 --> 00:34:26,359
Speaker 3: defense but their. Attack could their attack translate AND i said,

746
00:34:26,400 --> 00:34:28,080
Speaker 3: that you know they might be a sneaky under team

747
00:34:28,160 --> 00:34:32,920
Speaker 3: early in the. Season, well their defense has coped. WELL

748
00:34:33,080 --> 00:34:34,800
Speaker 3: i still have some questions about the center, backs but

749
00:34:34,840 --> 00:34:37,680
Speaker 3: their attack has looked really lively and SO i think

750
00:34:37,719 --> 00:34:41,600
Speaker 3: this is going to be a, difficult more difficult game

751
00:34:41,640 --> 00:34:44,600
Speaker 3: Than arsenal got in its last, two with more capable

752
00:34:44,680 --> 00:34:47,800
Speaker 3: defensive side who also offers a threat on the. Counter

753
00:34:47,880 --> 00:34:49,759
Speaker 3: so at plus one and a, HALF i like the,

754
00:34:49,840 --> 00:34:51,920
Speaker 3: NUMBER i like the Team i'm betting, on AND i

755
00:34:51,920 --> 00:34:54,960
Speaker 3: Think arsenal was. Overvalued it's a good combination for me

756
00:34:55,000 --> 00:34:57,720
Speaker 3: to back The. Cottagers you'll hear on every soccer.

757
00:34:57,760 --> 00:35:00,600
Speaker 2: Pass, oh it's still. Early it's still. Early and what

758
00:35:01,040 --> 00:35:05,000
Speaker 2: can we kind of surmise from just three games For.

759
00:35:05,200 --> 00:35:07,839
Speaker 2: ARSENAL i think it's more of the same that they're

760
00:35:07,880 --> 00:35:10,200
Speaker 2: gonna pummel teams that are, better are worse than, them

761
00:35:10,200 --> 00:35:12,640
Speaker 2: which makes me a little bit nervous about the, spot

762
00:35:13,080 --> 00:35:16,560
Speaker 2: but still like they've had such a cake walk start

763
00:35:16,640 --> 00:35:18,600
Speaker 2: to a, Season LIKE i know we all Love Crystal,

764
00:35:18,600 --> 00:35:20,759
Speaker 2: palace But arsenal are better Than Crystal, palace and that

765
00:35:20,880 --> 00:35:23,240
Speaker 2: you're going to Sell Hurst park is, tough but in that, match,

766
00:35:23,360 --> 00:35:25,680
Speaker 2: like how much better Were arsenal Than Crystal. PALACE i

767
00:35:25,719 --> 00:35:28,000
Speaker 2: wouldn't say they were too nothing better than, them and

768
00:35:28,320 --> 00:35:30,239
Speaker 2: then they get after, that they get lesser In bourne

769
00:35:30,239 --> 00:35:32,480
Speaker 2: myth AND i mean you're often running nine points out

770
00:35:32,520 --> 00:35:35,160
Speaker 2: of nine and everybody's talking about they're ten to one

771
00:35:35,239 --> 00:35:37,200
Speaker 2: to win the. Title like they went from a, huge

772
00:35:37,320 --> 00:35:40,360
Speaker 2: huge price let there and Like, ANTHONY i, think like you,

773
00:35:40,400 --> 00:35:43,239
Speaker 2: said perhaps your best point in there was they're going

774
00:35:43,280 --> 00:35:47,759
Speaker 2: to get a test, here like and they did well

775
00:35:47,760 --> 00:35:49,680
Speaker 2: in their first one Against Crystal, palace but that's opening

776
00:35:49,760 --> 00:35:51,960
Speaker 2: match of the. Season palace had that really, rocky weird

777
00:35:52,320 --> 00:35:56,000
Speaker 2: preseason And palace probably deserved a better fate in that. Match,

778
00:35:56,040 --> 00:36:00,000
Speaker 2: SO i, Mean fulham is not a Great Premier league,

779
00:36:00,040 --> 00:36:02,880
Speaker 2: team but the fact that there is like a step

780
00:36:02,960 --> 00:36:04,799
Speaker 2: up from What arsenal has been dealing with the past

781
00:36:04,800 --> 00:36:06,840
Speaker 2: two weeks, HERE i think is. Interesting and gives me

782
00:36:06,840 --> 00:36:09,080
Speaker 2: a little bit more. Topid it's about Backing fulham, HERE,

783
00:36:09,320 --> 00:36:12,239
Speaker 2: DJ i feel bad for you because you can't keep you,

784
00:36:12,280 --> 00:36:13,800
Speaker 2: know you can't bet your favorite team like, me LIKE

785
00:36:13,840 --> 00:36:15,560
Speaker 2: i can Bet everydon every week because you're getting a

786
00:36:15,560 --> 00:36:18,320
Speaker 2: great price on. Them but you still have some something

787
00:36:18,360 --> 00:36:21,680
Speaker 2: you want to share for This saturday twelve thirty pm. Kickoff.

788
00:36:22,320 --> 00:36:24,799
Speaker 1: YEAH i Mean i've said in many weeks and it

789
00:36:24,880 --> 00:36:27,120
Speaker 1: still rains true to this is That arsenal is overvalued

790
00:36:27,200 --> 00:36:29,840
Speaker 1: in this. SPOT i MEAN i either spread up minus

791
00:36:29,840 --> 00:36:33,440
Speaker 1: one point one two so close On, everton but plus

792
00:36:33,440 --> 00:36:35,120
Speaker 1: one and a, half but probably when it won't end

793
00:36:35,200 --> 00:36:37,839
Speaker 1: up playing. It arsenal's obviously coming out of the gates,

794
00:36:37,920 --> 00:36:41,080
Speaker 1: hot But i've been most impressed with their defense through

795
00:36:41,160 --> 00:36:43,680
Speaker 1: three match. Weeks one point eight extually. Allowed that's the

796
00:36:43,680 --> 00:36:47,040
Speaker 1: best in The Premier. League second fewest shots twenty two

797
00:36:47,160 --> 00:36:49,480
Speaker 1: THE us big scoring chance is, one and the fewest

798
00:36:49,480 --> 00:36:52,760
Speaker 1: shot crating actions thirty. Two you see Adding William, saliba

799
00:36:53,000 --> 00:36:55,360
Speaker 1: who might just be the best defender in The Premier,

800
00:36:55,440 --> 00:36:58,680
Speaker 1: league but what he does to a team that only

801
00:36:58,719 --> 00:37:01,560
Speaker 1: allowed one point one actually per ninety over the second

802
00:37:01,640 --> 00:37:05,080
Speaker 1: half of last. Season now they didn't play the three best.

803
00:37:05,160 --> 00:37:08,600
Speaker 1: OFFENSES i get, that But fulham is not an offense

804
00:37:08,640 --> 00:37:11,839
Speaker 1: THAT i think is going to Threaten arsenal any more

805
00:37:11,880 --> 00:37:17,120
Speaker 1: Than Crystal palace or Even lester. WOULD i Mean. Fulham

806
00:37:17,160 --> 00:37:20,240
Speaker 1: they've had two penalties and they've created two point five

807
00:37:20,400 --> 00:37:22,799
Speaker 1: expected goals from open play in three, matches which is

808
00:37:22,840 --> 00:37:25,359
Speaker 1: fourteenth in The Premier. League so really not that. Good

809
00:37:25,520 --> 00:37:28,440
Speaker 1: but to Ring anthony's points About fulham, defensively you know

810
00:37:28,560 --> 00:37:30,360
Speaker 1: one point nine XT g you allowed Against liverpool and

811
00:37:30,520 --> 00:37:32,040
Speaker 1: say what it, is it's probably you know what they

812
00:37:32,040 --> 00:37:35,080
Speaker 1: probably should allow against a team Like liverpool Held wolves

813
00:37:35,120 --> 00:37:37,680
Speaker 1: to point seven XT g on the road Despite wolves

814
00:37:37,680 --> 00:37:40,400
Speaker 1: having sixty percent. Possession and then they give up one

815
00:37:40,400 --> 00:37:42,480
Speaker 1: point five To, brentford which you, know game state does

816
00:37:42,560 --> 00:37:44,160
Speaker 1: kind of matter if you go up to. Nothing brentford's

817
00:37:44,160 --> 00:37:47,399
Speaker 1: can be more aggressive and more. Attacking But fulham through

818
00:37:47,520 --> 00:37:49,680
Speaker 1: these first three matches they've allowed the fourth few s

819
00:37:49,760 --> 00:37:52,759
Speaker 1: shot creating. Actions they've allowed their opponents to get in

820
00:37:52,800 --> 00:37:55,000
Speaker 1: the box only thirty six, times that's top six in

821
00:37:55,000 --> 00:37:59,160
Speaker 1: The Premier, league and they've only allowed sixteen shots inside

822
00:37:59,160 --> 00:38:01,400
Speaker 1: their own, penalty fourth in The Premier. League they've actually

823
00:38:01,520 --> 00:38:03,520
Speaker 1: really really. Good they've just a lot of few chances

824
00:38:03,560 --> 00:38:06,960
Speaker 1: inside their six yard. Box plus it looks Like fulham

825
00:38:07,040 --> 00:38:09,319
Speaker 1: is gonna be perfectly fine playing without the, ball which

826
00:38:09,360 --> 00:38:10,960
Speaker 1: is a question we had coming into the season with

827
00:38:11,000 --> 00:38:13,440
Speaker 1: them just dominating the ball in The. CHAMPIONSHIP i, mean

828
00:38:13,480 --> 00:38:17,239
Speaker 1: they have the third most direct, attacks the highest direct,

829
00:38:17,280 --> 00:38:20,279
Speaker 1: speed and the fewest ten plus pass sequences through the

830
00:38:20,320 --> 00:38:21,920
Speaker 1: first three matches of anybody in The Premier. League so

831
00:38:21,920 --> 00:38:23,840
Speaker 1: they're going to be price set up very defensive in

832
00:38:23,880 --> 00:38:26,680
Speaker 1: this time, match But i'm not sure that they're gonna

833
00:38:26,680 --> 00:38:28,560
Speaker 1: be able to really Threaten arsenal's, defense and given how

834
00:38:28,560 --> 00:38:31,120
Speaker 1: good it's. Been SO i only have two point six

835
00:38:31,200 --> 00:38:33,800
Speaker 1: goals projected this, match so you're getting under three goals

836
00:38:34,239 --> 00:38:35,759
Speaker 1: plus one oh. FIVE i think it's a decent, price

837
00:38:35,760 --> 00:38:36,600
Speaker 1: So i'm taking under three.

838
00:38:36,600 --> 00:38:40,440
Speaker 2: Goals we'll flip To Sunday net a little disagreement on this,

839
00:38:40,480 --> 00:38:43,279
Speaker 2: ONE i, think and it should be Fun villa plus

840
00:38:43,360 --> 00:38:45,879
Speaker 2: one twenty five at home hosting West ham plus two

841
00:38:46,000 --> 00:38:50,359
Speaker 2: twenty that draw plus two thirty. Five Asa villa are

842
00:38:50,400 --> 00:38:53,399
Speaker 2: starting to remind me a little bit Of everetten from

843
00:38:53,400 --> 00:38:56,120
Speaker 2: a couple of seasons. Ago they're buying some big name

844
00:38:56,160 --> 00:39:01,520
Speaker 2: players who don't necessarily all fit, together and the result

845
00:39:01,640 --> 00:39:04,480
Speaker 2: of that is sometimes you, know things will click on

846
00:39:04,560 --> 00:39:08,160
Speaker 2: the right day and it'll come off And villa can

847
00:39:08,520 --> 00:39:11,680
Speaker 2: can look, great and other times it just looks like

848
00:39:11,880 --> 00:39:15,520
Speaker 2: nobody's on the same. Page AND i Know anthony is

849
00:39:15,560 --> 00:39:18,040
Speaker 2: a Huge Stephen girard guy because of his connections To

850
00:39:18,080 --> 00:39:20,839
Speaker 2: liverpool and he thinks that this guy is a good.

851
00:39:20,880 --> 00:39:24,520
Speaker 2: Manager but six, wins four draw us ten losses in

852
00:39:24,560 --> 00:39:28,960
Speaker 2: their last Twenty Premier league matches and those six wins

853
00:39:29,239 --> 00:39:34,240
Speaker 2: For villa in that span twice Against, Everdon, Burnley norwich Leads.

854
00:39:34,480 --> 00:39:36,759
Speaker 2: BRIGHTON i don't know if this team is, good AND

855
00:39:36,880 --> 00:39:39,720
Speaker 2: i think you're getting a pretty good price on West

856
00:39:39,719 --> 00:39:42,400
Speaker 2: ham here on the. ROAD i, know talking about a

857
00:39:42,440 --> 00:39:45,200
Speaker 2: team that might not be. Good West ham have been

858
00:39:45,360 --> 00:39:48,560
Speaker 2: brutal to start the, season zero, wins three losses and

859
00:39:48,600 --> 00:39:53,000
Speaker 2: the defense looks particularly. Vulnerable but is Aston villa offense

860
00:39:53,200 --> 00:39:55,000
Speaker 2: the type that's going to take advantage of. THAT i

861
00:39:55,000 --> 00:39:56,880
Speaker 2: don't think. SO i like West ham here as an

862
00:39:56,920 --> 00:40:00,320
Speaker 2: underdog plus two, twenty so that's Where i'm. Going David,

863
00:40:00,320 --> 00:40:05,000
Speaker 2: moyes he will stop the rot Against Steven, Gerrard anthony

864
00:40:05,400 --> 00:40:06,759
Speaker 2: what's the counterpoint.

865
00:40:06,280 --> 00:40:09,920
Speaker 3: Here, WELL i think the number for me is it's

866
00:40:09,960 --> 00:40:11,799
Speaker 3: come down a little bit, now so you know we're

867
00:40:11,840 --> 00:40:13,799
Speaker 3: looking at like plus one twenty one twenty. Five that's

868
00:40:13,840 --> 00:40:16,200
Speaker 3: a right around WHERE i am, actually AND i Bet

869
00:40:16,320 --> 00:40:19,120
Speaker 3: villa at plus one thirty, FIVE i think it may

870
00:40:19,120 --> 00:40:21,520
Speaker 3: come back, up and if it, DOES i Love. Villa

871
00:40:21,680 --> 00:40:24,200
Speaker 3: if you can find a plus one Thirty, LOOK i

872
00:40:24,280 --> 00:40:27,200
Speaker 3: understand the, criticism, right, Like villa hasn't been good the

873
00:40:27,200 --> 00:40:29,480
Speaker 3: first three matches of the, season but let's go back

874
00:40:29,520 --> 00:40:31,360
Speaker 3: to the beginning of the year and just kind of

875
00:40:31,400 --> 00:40:34,640
Speaker 3: take my. PRIOR i came into this higher On villa

876
00:40:34,680 --> 00:40:38,319
Speaker 3: THAN i was on West. HAM i maintained that through three.

877
00:40:38,360 --> 00:40:40,839
Speaker 3: Games as much as you Think villa may have, underperformed

878
00:40:41,200 --> 00:40:43,200
Speaker 3: how do we not think West ham's been. WORSE i

879
00:40:43,200 --> 00:40:46,040
Speaker 3: mean they had that fluke result Against Nottingham Forest, fair

880
00:40:46,760 --> 00:40:49,960
Speaker 3: but the other two matches they showed zero threat At,

881
00:40:50,040 --> 00:40:53,080
Speaker 3: city which you, Know newcastle was able to do a

882
00:40:53,160 --> 00:40:55,799
Speaker 3: whole lot more damage at home than West ham. Was

883
00:40:56,320 --> 00:40:58,160
Speaker 3: AND i don't love those kind of apples to apples,

884
00:40:58,200 --> 00:41:01,840
Speaker 3: comparisons but it is. Interesting and then West, ham you,

885
00:41:01,880 --> 00:41:06,400
Speaker 3: know offers zero thread Against, brighton so you have to downgrade.

886
00:41:06,440 --> 00:41:09,240
Speaker 3: Them so even if you're Downgrading villa and you're downgrading

887
00:41:09,239 --> 00:41:12,359
Speaker 3: West ham still gets me pretty similar to WHERE i

888
00:41:12,400 --> 00:41:13,799
Speaker 3: was on both teams at being of the, year even

889
00:41:13,800 --> 00:41:16,160
Speaker 3: If i've lowered, them and THUS i Like villa.

890
00:41:15,960 --> 00:41:18,160
Speaker 2: At home, yeah and on the, OPPOSITE i THINK i

891
00:41:18,200 --> 00:41:19,600
Speaker 2: like West ham as as a better.

892
00:41:19,640 --> 00:41:22,719
Speaker 3: Team and you're absolutely buying. Low, yeah in sense by,

893
00:41:22,800 --> 00:41:25,040
Speaker 3: low like you can't get, lower and like.

894
00:41:24,960 --> 00:41:27,440
Speaker 2: You, said like they didn't they didn't do anything Against

895
00:41:27,480 --> 00:41:29,440
Speaker 2: city that was a stroll in the, park almost like

896
00:41:29,440 --> 00:41:31,600
Speaker 2: a coronation game For city coming back after you, know

897
00:41:31,640 --> 00:41:33,360
Speaker 2: winning the. Title they could have just like stood there

898
00:41:33,360 --> 00:41:35,800
Speaker 2: in the two lines and clapped them out and onto the.

899
00:41:35,840 --> 00:41:38,440
Speaker 2: Field they could have collected their their, oyster their trophy

900
00:41:38,440 --> 00:41:40,759
Speaker 2: again At London stadium and walked back off and they

901
00:41:40,800 --> 00:41:42,680
Speaker 2: could have handshake and said you guys want to do

902
00:41:42,719 --> 00:41:44,839
Speaker 2: nothing and it'll be. Fine but, then like you, said

903
00:41:44,840 --> 00:41:47,560
Speaker 2: like they were very unlucky Against forrest on the road

904
00:41:47,680 --> 00:41:49,440
Speaker 2: and against the newly promoted, team and then we Know

905
00:41:49,480 --> 00:41:51,399
Speaker 2: brighton is a really tricky team going.

906
00:41:51,400 --> 00:41:53,520
Speaker 3: Down West ham doesn't have any, goals, right they haven't scored,

907
00:41:53,600 --> 00:41:56,279
Speaker 3: yet there scored, Yet they've had a free expected. Goals

908
00:41:56,400 --> 00:41:57,919
Speaker 3: but we have to go back to last year, too

909
00:41:58,280 --> 00:42:00,320
Speaker 3: and West ham ran better than any team in the

910
00:42:00,400 --> 00:42:04,200
Speaker 3: league just about yeah goal with, Finishing so in some

911
00:42:04,239 --> 00:42:05,839
Speaker 3: ways just kind of get you, know if you if

912
00:42:05,880 --> 00:42:09,120
Speaker 3: you just widen out the, yeah it's not even.

913
00:42:08,960 --> 00:42:12,040
Speaker 2: Really about, that like the regression coming for, them it's

914
00:42:12,040 --> 00:42:14,400
Speaker 2: it's just more about. That LIKE i just think that

915
00:42:14,640 --> 00:42:16,640
Speaker 2: when you look at the two teams and two, managers

916
00:42:16,640 --> 00:42:19,920
Speaker 2: IT'S i like West ham better AND i think that

917
00:42:20,120 --> 00:42:22,759
Speaker 2: a lot of people over. Eight Steven gerard as a

918
00:42:22,760 --> 00:42:26,040
Speaker 2: as a manager coming from he did a good job

919
00:42:26,080 --> 00:42:28,040
Speaker 2: With rangers in a in a team in a league

920
00:42:28,040 --> 00:42:30,200
Speaker 2: where all you have to do is beat up on

921
00:42:30,480 --> 00:42:33,960
Speaker 2: much worse opposition and beat A celtic and he did.

922
00:42:34,000 --> 00:42:37,120
Speaker 1: It brian motherwell, right like it's not it's NOT.

923
00:42:37,200 --> 00:42:38,919
Speaker 3: I think there's a good West ham spot coming.

924
00:42:39,000 --> 00:42:42,799
Speaker 1: Up it. Is it's it's this midweek and against.

925
00:42:42,800 --> 00:42:45,400
Speaker 3: WHO i have that, circle SO i do. TOO i

926
00:42:45,400 --> 00:42:46,319
Speaker 3: THINK i may be betting than.

927
00:42:46,360 --> 00:42:48,160
Speaker 1: That we mean what we all. Know we all know

928
00:42:48,280 --> 00:42:51,000
Speaker 1: that West ham has a really difficult game Against vyboard

929
00:42:51,040 --> 00:42:53,040
Speaker 1: coming up On. Thursday one of our you, know shout

930
00:42:53,080 --> 00:42:56,040
Speaker 1: out to our better collective owners but on the, road

931
00:42:56,120 --> 00:42:58,040
Speaker 1: right they're On, yeah West ham on the road In,

932
00:42:58,080 --> 00:43:01,160
Speaker 1: denmark so probably a hostile and viral and At viborg

933
00:43:01,160 --> 00:43:01,520
Speaker 1: would be my.

934
00:43:01,600 --> 00:43:04,800
Speaker 2: Guess BUT i mean talking about West, ham their schedule

935
00:43:04,880 --> 00:43:07,400
Speaker 2: coming Up city And. ARSENAL i Think arsenal Then city

936
00:43:07,600 --> 00:43:10,959
Speaker 2: For villa coming up. Next so let's if they do drop,

937
00:43:11,000 --> 00:43:12,640
Speaker 2: This Steven gerard could be in a lot of trouble

938
00:43:12,640 --> 00:43:16,239
Speaker 2: because they're not gonna win those two. Games uh so we'll.

939
00:43:16,280 --> 00:43:18,239
Speaker 2: SEE i, MEAN i mean you don't think He'll the

940
00:43:18,760 --> 00:43:20,680
Speaker 2: pressure was on him before The everden match where they

941
00:43:20,719 --> 00:43:22,160
Speaker 2: that was the second game of the season and people

942
00:43:22,160 --> 00:43:23,040
Speaker 2: are already calling.

943
00:43:22,880 --> 00:43:27,759
Speaker 1: For last eighteen matches Under Jerrard, Aston villa's held their

944
00:43:27,760 --> 00:43:31,200
Speaker 1: opponents under one expected goal only five times and they

945
00:43:31,239 --> 00:43:34,000
Speaker 1: just Bought Diego carlos and he ruptured his, ankle so,

946
00:43:34,239 --> 00:43:37,200
Speaker 1: achilles excuse? Me so if it continues to get, worse

947
00:43:38,120 --> 00:43:38,560
Speaker 1: what do they?

948
00:43:38,560 --> 00:43:41,400
Speaker 2: Do and he's he's fighting With Tyrone, mings who he

949
00:43:41,480 --> 00:43:43,880
Speaker 2: stretched the, Captain see like this isn't this is a.

950
00:43:43,960 --> 00:43:45,160
Speaker 2: Team it's not.

951
00:43:45,200 --> 00:43:49,160
Speaker 1: Playing Tyro mings and Play Diego. Carlos, yeah now that's

952
00:43:49,160 --> 00:43:49,440
Speaker 1: out the.

953
00:43:49,440 --> 00:43:51,279
Speaker 2: Window And i'm not Saying West ham is like a

954
00:43:51,320 --> 00:43:53,920
Speaker 2: really strong. Team they have plenty of. Wards BUT i

955
00:43:54,040 --> 00:43:57,239
Speaker 2: don't see way to put it If villa is a

956
00:43:57,320 --> 00:43:59,960
Speaker 2: better team right now Than west hamp despite the fact

957
00:44:00,040 --> 00:44:02,960
Speaker 2: that us tam has it won or. Scored that's Where i'm.

958
00:44:03,000 --> 00:44:05,840
Speaker 2: At there another nine and kickoff On. Sunday wolves And

959
00:44:05,960 --> 00:44:08,560
Speaker 2: newcastle both sitting plus one seventy on the money. LINE

960
00:44:08,600 --> 00:44:10,719
Speaker 2: a true pick them here at the mall and you

961
00:44:11,000 --> 00:44:14,000
Speaker 2: in The Black. Country the draw plus two, fifteen as

962
00:44:14,000 --> 00:44:16,600
Speaker 2: you can, imagine pretty low total here two and a

963
00:44:16,680 --> 00:44:18,880
Speaker 2: quarter kind of points me in the direction of the.

964
00:44:18,960 --> 00:44:23,320
Speaker 2: Draw wolves kind of have everdonis as. Well can't score

965
00:44:23,920 --> 00:44:27,360
Speaker 2: one goal on. Takeo they, can they can keep the.

966
00:44:27,360 --> 00:44:32,040
Speaker 3: Ball and they can create some. Chances And wolves parts

967
00:44:32,040 --> 00:44:33,400
Speaker 3: of the match for the first half.

968
00:44:33,200 --> 00:44:35,160
Speaker 2: They were good, right like for one one.

969
00:44:35,040 --> 00:44:37,280
Speaker 3: Goal twelve, shots but like eight of them were Like Ruben,

970
00:44:37,320 --> 00:44:39,200
Speaker 3: Nevez rubin nevezing so.

971
00:44:39,680 --> 00:44:42,280
Speaker 2: More and like they have some transfer stuff like netto

972
00:44:42,480 --> 00:44:44,960
Speaker 2: is is being linked To, united so we'll see where that.

973
00:44:45,040 --> 00:44:48,919
Speaker 2: Goes Uh newcastle of, course but our Boy Alexander, ESHAK

974
00:44:48,960 --> 00:44:50,560
Speaker 2: i don't know if that's official, yet but it looks

975
00:44:50,560 --> 00:44:52,319
Speaker 2: like it's coming down the. Pipeline and the.

976
00:44:52,280 --> 00:44:55,799
Speaker 3: Two matches that's absolutely devastating the TEAM i bet on

977
00:44:55,880 --> 00:44:57,920
Speaker 3: selling their best striker to a TEAM i bet against

978
00:44:57,920 --> 00:45:00,520
Speaker 3: the season that's, uh it's not. Good we need to

979
00:45:00,560 --> 00:45:01,520
Speaker 3: change this transfer window.

980
00:45:01,600 --> 00:45:04,600
Speaker 2: Madness newcastle defensively is looked all right start the season,

981
00:45:04,840 --> 00:45:06,760
Speaker 2: again AND i don't know how Much i'm gonna trust

982
00:45:06,800 --> 00:45:10,080
Speaker 2: it BECAUSE i think That Eddie howe philosophy will will

983
00:45:10,120 --> 00:45:14,319
Speaker 2: end up turning this team into like a mediocre maybe

984
00:45:14,400 --> 00:45:16,960
Speaker 2: above average defense rather than the one that's allowed one

985
00:45:17,000 --> 00:45:19,480
Speaker 2: point four expected goals and the two matches that weren't Against.

986
00:45:19,520 --> 00:45:23,160
Speaker 2: City but even, SO i think this is probably the

987
00:45:23,160 --> 00:45:24,960
Speaker 2: best spot on the board to bet a. Draw So

988
00:45:25,320 --> 00:45:29,359
Speaker 2: i'll go there With wolves And. Newcastle anything for you, Here, Bija.

989
00:45:29,160 --> 00:45:31,120
Speaker 1: Yeah i'm gonna go both teams to score no at

990
00:45:31,200 --> 00:45:34,120
Speaker 1: plus one oh. Five i'm not going to, overreact like already,

991
00:45:34,120 --> 00:45:36,399
Speaker 1: Mentioned i'm going to overreact To Newcastle city. Match it's

992
00:45:36,440 --> 00:45:39,160
Speaker 1: Just city scored in the sixth, minute which Forced newcastle

993
00:45:39,200 --> 00:45:41,040
Speaker 1: to come out and play more aggressive and things just got,

994
00:45:41,400 --> 00:45:43,439
Speaker 1: chaotic and that happens from time to time in The Premier.

995
00:45:43,520 --> 00:45:46,160
Speaker 1: League But, WOLVES i know we've talked about a lot

996
00:45:46,160 --> 00:45:49,680
Speaker 1: of times historically one of the luckiest seasons, defensively BUT

997
00:45:50,040 --> 00:45:52,880
Speaker 1: i mean their compact defensive style kind of leads to

998
00:45:52,960 --> 00:45:57,080
Speaker 1: that kind of older. Performance but, no these two that's

999
00:45:57,120 --> 00:45:59,239
Speaker 1: not my. Point my point is that these two offenses are.

1000
00:45:59,239 --> 00:45:59,479
Speaker 3: Bad.

1001
00:45:59,560 --> 00:46:02,839
Speaker 1: Okay since The january transfer, Window newcastle one point two

1002
00:46:02,880 --> 00:46:05,560
Speaker 1: eight expected goals per, Match wolves point nine to SIX

1003
00:46:05,680 --> 00:46:09,800
Speaker 1: extu per. Match and you know these two played towards

1004
00:46:09,840 --> 00:46:12,040
Speaker 1: the end of last season At Saint James. Park it

1005
00:46:12,080 --> 00:46:15,480
Speaker 1: was a one zero win For. Newcastle wolves created zero

1006
00:46:15,480 --> 00:46:19,440
Speaker 1: point three expected goals despite holding fifty eight percent, possession

1007
00:46:19,520 --> 00:46:23,920
Speaker 1: which is what they've done against Both fulham and in

1008
00:46:24,000 --> 00:46:26,239
Speaker 1: their first match Against. Leeds so they're having all this

1009
00:46:26,280 --> 00:46:28,640
Speaker 1: Possion anthony mentioned on the first. Pot they have all

1010
00:46:28,680 --> 00:46:31,080
Speaker 1: this possession basically in their own final third and then

1011
00:46:31,080 --> 00:46:33,600
Speaker 1: they're just trying to get it moving forward and it's

1012
00:46:33,600 --> 00:46:36,719
Speaker 1: just not really. Working SO i don't really see why

1013
00:46:36,760 --> 00:46:38,640
Speaker 1: both teams to score no should be sitting at plus

1014
00:46:38,680 --> 00:46:41,080
Speaker 1: one oh. FIVE a highly doubt E shak's gonna get

1015
00:46:41,080 --> 00:46:43,319
Speaker 1: his medicaline and be able to play By, sunday but who,

1016
00:46:43,320 --> 00:46:48,000
Speaker 1: knows maybe he. Will But newcastle since The january transfer

1017
00:46:48,040 --> 00:46:52,400
Speaker 1: window matches that both teams have failed to create at

1018
00:46:52,480 --> 00:46:56,440
Speaker 1: least one expected goal seventeen out of Twenty seventeen out

1019
00:46:56,480 --> 00:46:59,560
Speaker 1: of twenty, matches at least one team has failed to

1020
00:46:59,600 --> 00:47:03,319
Speaker 1: create unexpected. Goal the same staff For wolves fifteen out

1021
00:47:03,320 --> 00:47:06,120
Speaker 1: of twenty matches since The january transfer. Window So i'm

1022
00:47:06,160 --> 00:47:08,799
Speaker 1: taking both teams score now at plus one all five

1023
00:47:09,000 --> 00:47:12,000
Speaker 1: because these two offenses are. BAD i don't care what

1024
00:47:12,040 --> 00:47:16,360
Speaker 1: happened Against. City these two offenses are. Bad, defensively they're

1025
00:47:16,400 --> 00:47:19,359
Speaker 1: both are very seem to play a little bit more

1026
00:47:19,400 --> 00:47:22,560
Speaker 1: compact if the match doesn't get. Crazy so both teams

1027
00:47:22,560 --> 00:47:24,880
Speaker 1: score now at plus one o five and it'll probably

1028
00:47:24,960 --> 00:47:25,360
Speaker 1: end up three to.

1029
00:47:25,400 --> 00:47:27,799
Speaker 2: Two interested to see where this number goes. TOO i

1030
00:47:27,800 --> 00:47:31,040
Speaker 2: think people would want to Back newcastle after what they

1031
00:47:31,080 --> 00:47:34,480
Speaker 2: saw Against city and the fact that they're if you

1032
00:47:34,520 --> 00:47:35,200
Speaker 2: want to, buy.

1033
00:47:35,040 --> 00:47:37,160
Speaker 1: If you want to buy low spot On. Liverpool they

1034
00:47:37,160 --> 00:47:39,880
Speaker 1: Got newcastle at home next? Week yeah or the midweek.

1035
00:47:40,120 --> 00:47:42,680
Speaker 1: Yeah MIDWEK i saw they're under minus three hundred against them.

1036
00:47:42,719 --> 00:47:45,879
Speaker 2: Too it is a good time to remind, you dear,

1037
00:47:45,960 --> 00:47:48,920
Speaker 2: listener that we will be back On monday morning with

1038
00:47:49,040 --> 00:47:53,200
Speaker 2: a podcast previewing the midweek matches in The Premier. League et.

1039
00:47:53,200 --> 00:47:55,640
Speaker 2: Cetera all, right we'll wrap up The Premier league for

1040
00:47:55,680 --> 00:47:59,520
Speaker 2: this weekend eleven thirty am On, Sunday not in The

1041
00:47:59,600 --> 00:48:02,880
Speaker 2: forest six to one at home at The City ground

1042
00:48:03,120 --> 00:48:06,960
Speaker 2: Hosting Tottenham Hot spur minus two, Thirty anthony's second favorite,

1043
00:48:06,960 --> 00:48:10,160
Speaker 2: team the draw plus three. Seventy The forest defense is

1044
00:48:10,360 --> 00:48:13,160
Speaker 2: looking like it could be an. Issue five point nine expectacles,

1045
00:48:13,160 --> 00:48:16,560
Speaker 2: against including one point eight to a team that can't

1046
00:48:16,560 --> 00:48:19,279
Speaker 2: score in. Evidence it does feel like if this is

1047
00:48:19,280 --> 00:48:20,960
Speaker 2: one of those games Where spurs can just went going.

1048
00:48:21,000 --> 00:48:24,000
Speaker 2: AWAY i know that they prefer to play teams that

1049
00:48:24,040 --> 00:48:26,359
Speaker 2: are a little bit more up for it in terms

1050
00:48:26,400 --> 00:48:28,759
Speaker 2: of pressing so that they can counter attack. Quickly BUT

1051
00:48:29,120 --> 00:48:32,719
Speaker 2: i wonder if we'll see a more Rambunctious forest team

1052
00:48:32,800 --> 00:48:35,399
Speaker 2: like they were against West ham at. Home and if

1053
00:48:35,400 --> 00:48:38,080
Speaker 2: that is the, case the doors open up. Here spurs

1054
00:48:38,120 --> 00:48:39,600
Speaker 2: minus one and a half plus one twenty.

1055
00:48:39,640 --> 00:48:44,560
Speaker 1: Five they got more, Players, Michael, YEAH i. Know are

1056
00:48:44,600 --> 00:48:46,240
Speaker 1: they gonna get up to twenty five thirty? Players?

1057
00:48:47,120 --> 00:48:50,200
Speaker 2: Good that's fund they just signed. Today they had a

1058
00:48:50,239 --> 00:48:51,799
Speaker 2: ton of they had a ton of loan.

1059
00:48:51,840 --> 00:48:55,400
Speaker 3: Players they're becoming A Nottingham. FOREST i saw somebody treated that.

1060
00:48:55,440 --> 00:48:58,080
Speaker 3: Today Nottingham forest because they're Signing Surge aureate and they're

1061
00:48:58,120 --> 00:49:00,759
Speaker 3: interested in staff at Teng ganga and they're probably gonna

1062
00:49:00,760 --> 00:49:02,520
Speaker 3: try to make a move by the end of the.

1063
00:49:02,600 --> 00:49:03,759
Speaker 3: Window they just won't.

1064
00:49:03,760 --> 00:49:07,120
Speaker 2: Stop, natley what are your thoughts here On spurs minus

1065
00:49:07,120 --> 00:49:08,600
Speaker 2: two thirty on the money.

1066
00:49:08,400 --> 00:49:10,320
Speaker 3: LINE i feel really, boring you, KNOW i feel LIKE

1067
00:49:10,360 --> 00:49:13,000
Speaker 3: i never Bet spurs matches, anymore and it's really. Boring

1068
00:49:13,080 --> 00:49:14,759
Speaker 3: but once, Again i've GOT i don't have a ton.

1069
00:49:14,800 --> 00:49:17,080
Speaker 3: HERE i, MEAN i Think spurs are a teamy bit,

1070
00:49:17,600 --> 00:49:21,800
Speaker 3: overvalued but Again i'm having a hard time power Rating Nottingham. Forest, like,

1071
00:49:21,880 --> 00:49:24,359
Speaker 3: yes they got very. Lucky they've relied on, really, really

1072
00:49:24,400 --> 00:49:26,520
Speaker 3: really good goalkeeping to this point in the. SEASON i

1073
00:49:26,560 --> 00:49:29,399
Speaker 3: don't expect that to. Last BUT i Mean spurs haven't

1074
00:49:29,440 --> 00:49:31,560
Speaker 3: been that good, Either like you mentioned. IT i Understand

1075
00:49:31,600 --> 00:49:33,800
Speaker 3: wolves didn't create any, chances but the fact That wolves

1076
00:49:33,800 --> 00:49:36,080
Speaker 3: outshoot you ten to one in the first half on

1077
00:49:36,120 --> 00:49:39,799
Speaker 3: home soil is still, concerning even if it kind of

1078
00:49:40,000 --> 00:49:43,160
Speaker 3: is the contest style a little bit to, like give

1079
00:49:43,200 --> 00:49:46,279
Speaker 3: you some bad shots and then we're gonna get a

1080
00:49:46,320 --> 00:49:48,120
Speaker 3: bunch of really good shots and then you know we're

1081
00:49:48,120 --> 00:49:50,080
Speaker 3: going to control the. Match one point five to point,

1082
00:49:50,120 --> 00:49:52,719
Speaker 3: eight and that was what they actually Westinst. Wolves but,

1083
00:49:52,800 --> 00:49:55,520
Speaker 3: like better teams will take advantage of. THAT i think

1084
00:49:55,560 --> 00:49:59,160
Speaker 3: that's a. Problem But Nottingham forest is probably not the better.

1085
00:49:59,200 --> 00:50:00,640
Speaker 3: Teams so in this, Case i'm.

1086
00:50:00,880 --> 00:50:04,560
Speaker 1: Passing, yeah thirteen of those twenty shots were from outside the,

1087
00:50:04,600 --> 00:50:06,960
Speaker 1: box so and, LIKE i guess that's that's one of

1088
00:50:06,960 --> 00:50:08,759
Speaker 1: the things where and that's a great that's actually kind

1089
00:50:08,760 --> 00:50:12,480
Speaker 1: of a good larger point in total is why we

1090
00:50:13,000 --> 00:50:16,360
Speaker 1: trust X g more than just total, shots BECAUSE i,

1091
00:50:16,400 --> 00:50:18,800
Speaker 1: mean the AVERAGE xg on a shot outside the boxes

1092
00:50:18,880 --> 00:50:19,520
Speaker 1: point zero.

1093
00:50:19,640 --> 00:50:23,200
Speaker 3: Three so one of, everything you get thirteen.

1094
00:50:22,840 --> 00:50:25,839
Speaker 1: Shots you get what point four X G like it's,

1095
00:50:25,920 --> 00:50:29,000
Speaker 1: Nothing so you know that's and and and larger.

1096
00:50:29,000 --> 00:50:32,920
Speaker 3: Point And luris has been a plus goal shot stopper

1097
00:50:33,000 --> 00:50:35,279
Speaker 3: every year of his career, Too so you, throw then

1098
00:50:35,480 --> 00:50:40,200
Speaker 3: don't and we'll give you shots from twenty Yards Nottingham.

1099
00:50:39,800 --> 00:50:42,880
Speaker 1: Forest Noting forrest most expectable is allowed of anyway in

1100
00:50:42,880 --> 00:50:44,200
Speaker 1: The Premier league so far five point.

1101
00:50:44,360 --> 00:50:47,319
Speaker 2: Nine the defense is and they had.

1102
00:50:47,480 --> 00:50:49,799
Speaker 3: Exactly played a murderer's row of its.

1103
00:50:49,920 --> 00:50:53,000
Speaker 2: Right and, yeah he's.

1104
00:50:52,400 --> 00:50:55,400
Speaker 1: One of our, guys one of our guys From Mines

1105
00:50:55,760 --> 00:50:58,880
Speaker 1: nikita he's injured for two, months so he was one

1106
00:50:58,880 --> 00:50:59,600
Speaker 1: of their starters as.

1107
00:50:59,600 --> 00:51:02,480
Speaker 2: Well so, YEAH i think the MORE i think about,

1108
00:51:02,480 --> 00:51:03,080
Speaker 2: IT i think the.

1109
00:51:03,040 --> 00:51:07,720
Speaker 3: Buy more PLAYERS. Bj they already have four new center backs.

1110
00:51:07,719 --> 00:51:09,759
Speaker 3: Purchased you just haven't read about the.

1111
00:51:09,840 --> 00:51:11,960
Speaker 2: YET i wonder if they're interested In Michael.

1112
00:51:12,040 --> 00:51:16,080
Speaker 3: Keane maybe you're Amina Roy kent is coming into play

1113
00:51:16,080 --> 00:51:16,640
Speaker 3: for Not.

1114
00:51:17,000 --> 00:51:28,479
Speaker 2: Enforce all, right let's let's go to The. Bundesliga, now

1115
00:51:28,800 --> 00:51:32,319
Speaker 2: UH o favorite bets In. Germany anthony back on the.

1116
00:51:32,360 --> 00:51:35,960
Speaker 3: Back it's the it's THE i, mean look LIKE i

1117
00:51:36,000 --> 00:51:38,759
Speaker 3: have had more fun betting. Matches i've never had more

1118
00:51:38,760 --> 00:51:42,360
Speaker 3: fun betting soccer than these these freaking Glad Bok byron.

1119
00:51:42,440 --> 00:51:45,520
Speaker 3: MATCHES i want to do an oral history of the

1120
00:51:45,600 --> 00:51:50,000
Speaker 3: last six matches Between byron And gladbach because it is.

1121
00:51:50,040 --> 00:51:53,840
Speaker 3: REMARKABLE i, Mean byron every year going AWAY bj bets

1122
00:51:53,840 --> 00:51:57,439
Speaker 3: on every year Against gladbach and he, loses and it's

1123
00:51:57,480 --> 00:52:01,399
Speaker 3: just beautiful because we just you, know The. Bach for some,

1124
00:52:01,440 --> 00:52:05,000
Speaker 3: reason this, fixture we get up for. It december, nineteenth twenty,

1125
00:52:05,080 --> 00:52:07,920
Speaker 3: Nineteen bladbock wins two to. One, Okay byron got us

1126
00:52:07,920 --> 00:52:11,040
Speaker 3: to one in twenty, twenty but it was there was

1127
00:52:11,080 --> 00:52:13,000
Speaker 3: an own goal at the end that swung. It it

1128
00:52:13,000 --> 00:52:16,320
Speaker 3: was a very competitive. Match january twenty twenty, One gladbach

1129
00:52:16,360 --> 00:52:18,360
Speaker 3: goes down two, nil comes back to win three to.

1130
00:52:18,360 --> 00:52:19,840
Speaker 3: Two no fans were there at the, time but it

1131
00:52:19,880 --> 00:52:22,400
Speaker 3: was an incredible moment for God. Bach they played again In.

1132
00:52:22,440 --> 00:52:25,840
Speaker 3: May this was the One byron won six. Nil so,

1133
00:52:26,000 --> 00:52:28,520
Speaker 3: look there's like that, potential Like byron could just steam

1134
00:52:28,560 --> 00:52:30,440
Speaker 3: roll AS i Had Godboch in that. MATCH i, lost

1135
00:52:30,760 --> 00:52:32,880
Speaker 3: but again that was When Marco rosa was on his

1136
00:52:32,920 --> 00:52:35,319
Speaker 3: way out and there was all kinds of. Turmoil they

1137
00:52:35,360 --> 00:52:38,120
Speaker 3: played to open Last bundesliga. Season it was one to,

1138
00:52:38,120 --> 00:52:40,640
Speaker 3: one But gladbach had over two and a half expected.

1139
00:52:40,680 --> 00:52:44,160
Speaker 3: Goals the Famous jodascalley game if you remember, correctly his

1140
00:52:44,200 --> 00:52:47,520
Speaker 3: first start For. Gladbach he was. Incredible they played twice

1141
00:52:47,560 --> 00:52:50,400
Speaker 3: again last. Year they played in THE Dfb. Pocal God

1142
00:52:50,400 --> 00:52:52,759
Speaker 3: boch was plus five hundred at. Home they beat them

1143
00:52:52,800 --> 00:52:55,239
Speaker 3: five nil and it Was byron's full. Team then they

1144
00:52:55,239 --> 00:52:58,279
Speaker 3: played them In. January God bock was seven to one

1145
00:52:58,520 --> 00:53:00,560
Speaker 3: and they beat him two to. One so they've now

1146
00:53:00,600 --> 00:53:04,600
Speaker 3: played seven times in the last three. Years gladbach has four.

1147
00:53:04,640 --> 00:53:08,360
Speaker 3: Wins byron has. Two they drew. Once now what is

1148
00:53:08,360 --> 00:53:10,799
Speaker 3: that get? Us this line opened one point seventy five

1149
00:53:11,120 --> 00:53:13,279
Speaker 3: AND i was, like MAYBE i don't want to Back,

1150
00:53:13,320 --> 00:53:16,279
Speaker 3: gludboc but it has now been steamed up to two

1151
00:53:16,400 --> 00:53:18,440
Speaker 3: and a. Quarter and, LOOK i Know gladbach have been

1152
00:53:18,480 --> 00:53:20,520
Speaker 3: really bad, defensively they have all kinds of, issues but

1153
00:53:20,560 --> 00:53:23,239
Speaker 3: this is still an attacking team that has talent to

1154
00:53:23,280 --> 00:53:27,640
Speaker 3: cause problems For. Byron huge, team And byron still conceded

1155
00:53:27,680 --> 00:53:30,640
Speaker 3: eight high turnovers and nine penalty box shots to boke

1156
00:53:30,680 --> 00:53:33,720
Speaker 3: them last, week so there are still flaws in This byron.

1157
00:53:33,760 --> 00:53:37,920
Speaker 3: Team as much AS i Love musiala And mane replacing

1158
00:53:38,000 --> 00:53:41,160
Speaker 3: kind of The lewandowsky, Production i'm Taking glodbach plus two

1159
00:53:41,160 --> 00:53:44,120
Speaker 3: and a, quarter and, yes as his, TRADITION i will

1160
00:53:44,120 --> 00:53:47,520
Speaker 3: be sprinkling the money. Line this is My Super bowl D.

1161
00:53:47,680 --> 00:53:50,600
Speaker 2: Foulam, Yeah i'm on glad back with. You it's six to, one.

1162
00:53:50,600 --> 00:53:52,520
Speaker 3: Six to, one it's up to like, eight eight to,

1163
00:53:52,560 --> 00:53:53,160
Speaker 3: one whatever it.

1164
00:53:53,200 --> 00:53:55,120
Speaker 2: WAS i can't even remember WHEN i saw it. Earlier

1165
00:53:55,200 --> 00:53:58,280
Speaker 2: and This byron train will be stopped at some. Point

1166
00:53:59,280 --> 00:54:01,760
Speaker 2: but for, ME i Like Unjan berlin plus one thirty

1167
00:54:02,120 --> 00:54:06,960
Speaker 2: Against shaka on the road last. Year unjan was similar

1168
00:54:07,000 --> 00:54:09,200
Speaker 2: To mines in terms of being a great defensive, team

1169
00:54:09,520 --> 00:54:12,600
Speaker 2: fourth in non penalty, expecta goles against and big chances.

1170
00:54:12,640 --> 00:54:15,839
Speaker 2: Allowed this year their second in terms of expected, Goals

1171
00:54:15,880 --> 00:54:17,719
Speaker 2: so it looks like the defense is carrying over from

1172
00:54:17,760 --> 00:54:21,040
Speaker 2: season to season and they shouldn't have trouble AGAINST Us

1173
00:54:21,040 --> 00:54:23,640
Speaker 2: shaka defense that bends but doesn't break two point three

1174
00:54:23,680 --> 00:54:26,439
Speaker 2: to five expected goals allowed per game For Shaka's who's

1175
00:54:26,440 --> 00:54:28,680
Speaker 2: been lucky not to be much further down in the

1176
00:54:28,719 --> 00:54:32,000
Speaker 2: standings after a couple of. Games So i'll Take unyan

1177
00:54:32,400 --> 00:54:35,560
Speaker 2: plus one thirty on the ROAD, bj what about.

1178
00:54:35,600 --> 00:54:37,880
Speaker 1: You i'm gonna Go Werder Bremen Drono bead at minus one.

1179
00:54:38,000 --> 00:54:41,360
Speaker 1: Fifteen they pulled off maybe one of the craziest Compacks

1180
00:54:41,360 --> 00:54:43,680
Speaker 1: i've seen in a long time Against. Dortmann it was.

1181
00:54:43,760 --> 00:54:45,840
Speaker 1: Absurd they were down to nothing the eighty ninth minutes

1182
00:54:45,880 --> 00:54:48,680
Speaker 1: scored three goals to win three. Two just just.

1183
00:54:48,760 --> 00:54:51,000
Speaker 3: Crazy they totally dominated the. Match by they, DID i

1184
00:54:51,000 --> 00:54:52,680
Speaker 3: mean and they should have won the match to begin.

1185
00:54:52,719 --> 00:54:54,920
Speaker 1: With dormant up until the point that they scored in

1186
00:54:54,960 --> 00:54:57,799
Speaker 1: the first, half had like one shot in point zero

1187
00:54:57,840 --> 00:54:58,120
Speaker 1: two x.

1188
00:54:58,200 --> 00:55:01,640
Speaker 3: G it was. Crazy they scored dollars on five shots.

1189
00:55:01,480 --> 00:55:04,480
Speaker 1: Exactly like they were, very very, dominant and now they're

1190
00:55:04,520 --> 00:55:07,359
Speaker 1: taking on A frankfurt team at home that you, know

1191
00:55:07,640 --> 00:55:10,120
Speaker 1: IF i were to say a team has a lesser

1192
00:55:10,160 --> 00:55:12,440
Speaker 1: feel outside of The Premier, league Like, frankfort is that

1193
00:55:12,719 --> 00:55:15,359
Speaker 1: right now because they won The Europa, league so they're

1194
00:55:15,360 --> 00:55:17,160
Speaker 1: gonna be in The Champions. League the draw is obviously

1195
00:55:17,160 --> 00:55:20,440
Speaker 1: happening On. Thursday they might just check out at The bundesliga

1196
00:55:20,440 --> 00:55:21,919
Speaker 1: and just, say you know, what similar to last, season

1197
00:55:21,960 --> 00:55:23,560
Speaker 1: like we're just gonna focus On, Europe like who really

1198
00:55:23,600 --> 00:55:26,520
Speaker 1: cares about The bundesliga right? Now they've been bad through

1199
00:55:26,560 --> 00:55:29,040
Speaker 1: their first three. Matches they get destroyed By. BAYERN i,

1200
00:55:29,040 --> 00:55:31,280
Speaker 1: mean say what you. WILL i mean it Is. Bayern

1201
00:55:31,880 --> 00:55:33,960
Speaker 1: they draw hurt Their berlin one to one on the,

1202
00:55:34,040 --> 00:55:36,799
Speaker 1: road and then they Draw cologne last week and they

1203
00:55:36,840 --> 00:55:39,520
Speaker 1: create point four X g for the entire. Match SO

1204
00:55:40,239 --> 00:55:42,600
Speaker 1: i mean last season and for whatever, reason the market

1205
00:55:42,800 --> 00:55:44,920
Speaker 1: seems to Love frankfort because they were even money favorite

1206
00:55:44,920 --> 00:55:47,120
Speaker 1: Against colonne last. Week BUT i mean they were minus

1207
00:55:47,120 --> 00:55:49,560
Speaker 1: seven point three expected gold differential only one point three

1208
00:55:49,640 --> 00:55:52,840
Speaker 1: expected goals four in the wide Open bundesliga And Werder.

1209
00:55:52,840 --> 00:55:55,920
Speaker 1: Bremen you know MIAs point seven expected goldifriendal through their

1210
00:55:55,920 --> 00:55:58,759
Speaker 1: first three. Matches one thing to look out for Water.

1211
00:55:58,800 --> 00:56:00,359
Speaker 1: Bred we might have to pet some unders on the going,

1212
00:56:00,360 --> 00:56:03,600
Speaker 1: Forward anthony Uh. In their matches have featured thirteen goals

1213
00:56:03,600 --> 00:56:06,399
Speaker 1: of five and a half. Expected they were the best

1214
00:56:06,400 --> 00:56:08,879
Speaker 1: defense in The TUBE andesga last year they. Were that's,

1215
00:56:08,960 --> 00:56:11,439
Speaker 1: right and they're also the best Offense anthony two point

1216
00:56:11,440 --> 00:56:14,000
Speaker 1: one seven xt per. MATCH i do think they're capable

1217
00:56:14,040 --> 00:56:16,799
Speaker 1: of beating This frankfurt. TEAM i don't think this match

1218
00:56:16,800 --> 00:56:19,239
Speaker 1: should be priced right out a pick. THEM i Have

1219
00:56:19,800 --> 00:56:22,719
Speaker 1: bremen projected at plus one twenty, Eight so like John

1220
00:56:22,719 --> 00:56:23,600
Speaker 1: o betet minus one.

1221
00:56:23,480 --> 00:56:27,360
Speaker 2: Fifteen onto A spanya now bj anything for you?

1222
00:56:27,560 --> 00:56:28,719
Speaker 3: Here, YEAH i.

1223
00:56:28,760 --> 00:56:30,959
Speaker 1: GOT i got a both team to score no bet

1224
00:56:31,040 --> 00:56:34,000
Speaker 1: for a bottom half of the table fixture which seems

1225
00:56:34,040 --> 00:56:36,680
Speaker 1: to be my brand now Which i'll, find Which i'm fine.

1226
00:56:36,719 --> 00:56:37,720
Speaker 2: With that's slightly.

1227
00:56:37,719 --> 00:56:40,439
Speaker 1: Good bet you can, yeah So yacono My orca both

1228
00:56:40,440 --> 00:56:44,040
Speaker 1: teams to score no minus one twenty Five. Viacano last

1229
00:56:44,040 --> 00:56:46,560
Speaker 1: season they were. GOOD i mean they were good. Defensively

1230
00:56:46,560 --> 00:56:48,880
Speaker 1: they were seventh to non penalty, spectacles loud fifth and

1231
00:56:48,920 --> 00:56:51,920
Speaker 1: shots per ninety a loud fifth and big scoring chances

1232
00:56:51,920 --> 00:56:54,480
Speaker 1: out and they're actually the third best pressing team In

1233
00:56:54,560 --> 00:56:57,239
Speaker 1: La lega by passed per defensive, action which is key

1234
00:56:57,280 --> 00:56:59,600
Speaker 1: against My, orca who was second to last at playing through.

1235
00:56:59,600 --> 00:57:02,960
Speaker 1: Pressure myorca WAS i mean they're really below average offense

1236
00:57:03,040 --> 00:57:05,080
Speaker 1: a season, ago the only average point nine to two

1237
00:57:05,600 --> 00:57:08,000
Speaker 1: non penalty expected goals per, match their bottom half the

1238
00:57:08,000 --> 00:57:11,440
Speaker 1: table and big scoring chances in box. Entries but defensively

1239
00:57:11,480 --> 00:57:14,239
Speaker 1: they were one of the unluckiest teams Across. Europe they

1240
00:57:14,239 --> 00:57:17,840
Speaker 1: allowed sixty three goals off of forty eight expected last.

1241
00:57:17,840 --> 00:57:20,560
Speaker 1: SEASON i mean both clubs are set up as heavy

1242
00:57:20,640 --> 00:57:23,960
Speaker 1: counter attacking, sides and they both last yearhead about double

1243
00:57:24,000 --> 00:57:26,760
Speaker 1: the amount of direct attacks compared to build up. Attacks

1244
00:57:26,800 --> 00:57:30,280
Speaker 1: they were both top five indirect speed PER. Opta these

1245
00:57:30,280 --> 00:57:32,680
Speaker 1: two met towards the end of last season Two myorca

1246
00:57:32,720 --> 00:57:35,160
Speaker 1: won to to one on the, island but there were

1247
00:57:35,760 --> 00:57:39,880
Speaker 1: just around two expected goals, created only two expected goals

1248
00:57:39,880 --> 00:57:42,600
Speaker 1: off of twenty two shots and thirty five combined touches

1249
00:57:42,600 --> 00:57:44,720
Speaker 1: in the penalty. Area most, importantly the same SET i

1250
00:57:44,720 --> 00:57:49,600
Speaker 1: brought with you For newcastle And wolves last season matches

1251
00:57:49,600 --> 00:57:51,920
Speaker 1: where at least one team failed to create at least

1252
00:57:51,960 --> 00:57:54,880
Speaker 1: one expected goal For viacano twenty five out of thirty

1253
00:57:54,880 --> 00:57:57,840
Speaker 1: eight For myorca twenty five out of thirty, eight so

1254
00:57:58,120 --> 00:58:00,480
Speaker 1: both teams to score no at minus one twenty. Five

1255
00:58:00,480 --> 00:58:01,880
Speaker 1: i've projected at minus one sixty.

1256
00:58:02,000 --> 00:58:05,320
Speaker 2: NINE i like my first bet on Bill bao of

1257
00:58:05,400 --> 00:58:07,760
Speaker 2: the season feels. Good they are a plus one oh

1258
00:58:07,840 --> 00:58:11,360
Speaker 2: five road favorite Against, cadiz who are one of the

1259
00:58:11,360 --> 00:58:14,040
Speaker 2: worst offensive teams In laaliga from last, year and they

1260
00:58:14,080 --> 00:58:16,680
Speaker 2: have zero goals on one point three expected goals through

1261
00:58:16,680 --> 00:58:18,680
Speaker 2: two matches this, year so it's not like they were

1262
00:58:18,680 --> 00:58:22,200
Speaker 2: Playing barcelona And Real. Madrid they played sociodd And. OSASUNA

1263
00:58:22,680 --> 00:58:24,720
Speaker 2: i Think billbaal can probably handle that. Attack ive been

1264
00:58:24,800 --> 00:58:27,960
Speaker 2: their defensive, prowess So i'll take a shot On Los

1265
00:58:28,040 --> 00:58:30,720
Speaker 2: leones at plus one. Five Anthony.

1266
00:58:30,880 --> 00:58:32,880
Speaker 3: Laaliga, yeah anytime you can bet an, over you got

1267
00:58:32,920 --> 00:58:34,680
Speaker 3: to do it In. Laaliga they always say to me

1268
00:58:34,960 --> 00:58:38,560
Speaker 3: they've been so fictional people THAT i, Invented BUT i

1269
00:58:38,680 --> 00:58:41,760
Speaker 3: like the over in this match that you just. Mentioned. Cadiz,

1270
00:58:42,120 --> 00:58:44,600
Speaker 3: look they're really bad. Offensively i'm not going to pretend

1271
00:58:44,640 --> 00:58:46,880
Speaker 3: like they're a good. Attack they're one of the worst last,

1272
00:58:46,960 --> 00:58:48,520
Speaker 3: year and they've had a rough start this, year but

1273
00:58:48,600 --> 00:58:51,000
Speaker 3: they will score goals at some, point and this total

1274
00:58:51,000 --> 00:58:53,680
Speaker 3: being two minus one fifteen to the over is just

1275
00:58:53,720 --> 00:58:57,160
Speaker 3: a little bit too low for. Me Bill bao continues

1276
00:58:57,200 --> 00:59:00,439
Speaker 3: to be a major goal positive regression and that both

1277
00:59:00,480 --> 00:59:03,480
Speaker 3: ends at the pitch team that for some reason continues

1278
00:59:03,520 --> 00:59:06,440
Speaker 3: to play these crazy games that nobody can ever actually

1279
00:59:06,480 --> 00:59:08,040
Speaker 3: kick it into the net with all these, chances and

1280
00:59:08,040 --> 00:59:09,919
Speaker 3: So i'm probably gonna lose more money on these old

1281
00:59:10,160 --> 00:59:12,120
Speaker 3: BUT i, LOVE i love the love.

1282
00:59:12,160 --> 00:59:13,360
Speaker 1: It it's just too.

1283
00:59:13,400 --> 00:59:14,840
Speaker 3: Low IT'S i, MEAN i know it.

1284
00:59:14,880 --> 00:59:16,240
Speaker 1: IS i agree with. YOU i have two point three

1285
00:59:16,280 --> 00:59:18,160
Speaker 1: goals projected so, Too.

1286
00:59:18,040 --> 00:59:20,439
Speaker 3: I'm gonna take you over and maybe both teams to score.

1287
00:59:20,480 --> 00:59:23,880
Speaker 3: Too But i'm not that. Crazy but we'll, say Right,

1288
00:59:23,920 --> 00:59:25,920
Speaker 3: SYRIA i actually haven't seen the market for it for some.

1289
00:59:25,960 --> 00:59:27,680
Speaker 2: Reason, yeah Onto italy for, You.

1290
00:59:27,720 --> 00:59:30,800
Speaker 3: Anthony, YEAH i, mean, look first of, all there's kind

1291
00:59:30,800 --> 00:59:33,000
Speaker 3: of the state Of syria as a. Whole there has

1292
00:59:33,040 --> 00:59:35,120
Speaker 3: never been in the history of the, LEAGUE i, think

1293
00:59:35,200 --> 00:59:37,360
Speaker 3: at least in the modern history of the league this

1294
00:59:37,640 --> 00:59:41,960
Speaker 3: much of A one everybody's, broke and two the bottom

1295
00:59:42,040 --> 00:59:44,760
Speaker 3: is so bad THAT i Think i'm gonna need to

1296
00:59:44,840 --> 00:59:47,320
Speaker 3: let them kind of the numbers settle a little bit

1297
00:59:47,320 --> 00:59:49,720
Speaker 3: on some of these teams BEFORE i go betting on you,

1298
00:59:49,720 --> 00:59:55,000
Speaker 3: know Cremin essay And monza And leche and. Whatnot So

1299
00:59:55,600 --> 00:59:57,480
Speaker 3: i'm kind of scaling back my volume a little bit

1300
00:59:57,520 --> 00:59:59,480
Speaker 3: In italy to start the. Season of, COURSE i love

1301
00:59:59,520 --> 01:00:01,240
Speaker 3: to bet at. All i'll love to bet three noo

1302
01:00:01,280 --> 01:00:02,280
Speaker 3: with bj every, week BUT.

1303
01:00:03,120 --> 01:00:04,320
Speaker 1: I will do it again this.

1304
01:00:04,400 --> 01:00:08,160
Speaker 3: Week, YEAH i will be Betting roma because in the

1305
01:00:08,200 --> 01:00:11,479
Speaker 3: top five six, teams there's one team That i'm selling really.

1306
01:00:11,520 --> 01:00:14,280
Speaker 3: Hard they're Called, juventus and there's one team That i'm

1307
01:00:14,280 --> 01:00:17,280
Speaker 3: buying coming into this season And they're Called. Roma and

1308
01:00:17,480 --> 01:00:21,480
Speaker 3: through two match weeks, Now roma has not played. Anybody

1309
01:00:21,520 --> 01:00:24,800
Speaker 3: they Played, saurnyitana they played Cremen essa plus two point

1310
01:00:24,840 --> 01:00:27,880
Speaker 3: five xtally difference per. Ninety they have destroyed teams and

1311
01:00:27,960 --> 01:00:31,440
Speaker 3: not finished any. Chances But juventus has played two pretty

1312
01:00:31,440 --> 01:00:36,320
Speaker 3: mediocre sides In saswolo And, samptoria two teams, who So swolo's,

1313
01:00:36,360 --> 01:00:38,520
Speaker 3: case lost a ton from an overrated team last year

1314
01:00:38,760 --> 01:00:42,320
Speaker 3: and In sampdoria's case was damn near. Relegation and in

1315
01:00:42,360 --> 01:00:45,480
Speaker 3: two matches against those two. Teams juventus has been out.

1316
01:00:45,640 --> 01:00:48,520
Speaker 3: SHOT i tweeted this after their tie With. Sampdoria they

1317
01:00:48,520 --> 01:00:51,240
Speaker 3: have also not conceded a goal despite giving up enough

1318
01:00:51,320 --> 01:00:53,160
Speaker 3: chances to the point where they should have conceded one by.

1319
01:00:53,200 --> 01:00:55,880
Speaker 3: Now SO i Think roma is a great. Bet they

1320
01:00:55,880 --> 01:00:58,160
Speaker 3: are my best. BET i like them on the money

1321
01:00:58,200 --> 01:01:00,479
Speaker 3: line and plus a quarter bej what about?

1322
01:01:00,480 --> 01:01:02,640
Speaker 1: You, YEAH i Know anthony's afraid to bet the bottom

1323
01:01:02,640 --> 01:01:04,280
Speaker 1: of the, Table, Interia i'm. NOT i love betting the

1324
01:01:04,280 --> 01:01:06,120
Speaker 1: bottom of the. Table So i'm gonna. Go Letche drawno

1325
01:01:06,160 --> 01:01:08,880
Speaker 1: bett minus one thirday Against himpoli And pollie's in a

1326
01:01:08,880 --> 01:01:11,000
Speaker 1: little bit of crazy flux right. Now so they've lost

1327
01:01:11,000 --> 01:01:13,600
Speaker 1: their best midfielder they do during this Transfer, windo they

1328
01:01:13,640 --> 01:01:17,200
Speaker 1: lost their best defender the match Against, fiorentina their best

1329
01:01:17,240 --> 01:01:19,920
Speaker 1: defender got a red, card and their new, manager who

1330
01:01:19,920 --> 01:01:21,640
Speaker 1: they just tired In, june lost his mind and got

1331
01:01:21,640 --> 01:01:24,200
Speaker 1: a red card in the ninetieth minute of the tenth

1332
01:01:24,200 --> 01:01:27,720
Speaker 1: minute of stoppage. Time, SO i mean last Season we've

1333
01:01:27,760 --> 01:01:29,280
Speaker 1: talked about them a couple of, times BUT i mean

1334
01:01:29,280 --> 01:01:31,400
Speaker 1: they were a minus twenty one point two expected goal

1335
01:01:31,400 --> 01:01:33,760
Speaker 1: at The. Frenchal they allowed one point seventy nine expected

1336
01:01:33,760 --> 01:01:35,439
Speaker 1: goals for, match which would have been the worst mark

1337
01:01:35,720 --> 01:01:39,120
Speaker 1: In syria if it wasn't For. Venezia, OFFENSIVELY i, mean,

1338
01:01:39,240 --> 01:01:41,200
Speaker 1: listen they do get a decent number of, shots but

1339
01:01:41,760 --> 01:01:43,840
Speaker 1: they can't create anything of. Value they were seventeenth and

1340
01:01:43,880 --> 01:01:46,600
Speaker 1: big scoring, chances and their two BEST xg p ninety

1341
01:01:46,600 --> 01:01:49,520
Speaker 1: minute strikers were loneies from last season who are now

1342
01:01:49,520 --> 01:01:52,520
Speaker 1: back with their parent clubs Leche knew from more to.

1343
01:01:52,560 --> 01:01:54,840
Speaker 1: Club if you remember them DURING i think it was

1344
01:01:54,880 --> 01:01:57,600
Speaker 1: during the. Pandemic, yeah they were when they got. RELEGATED

1345
01:01:58,040 --> 01:02:00,520
Speaker 1: i think they allowed the most expected goals of anybody

1346
01:02:00,600 --> 01:02:04,240
Speaker 1: during The expectable's era ninety one in three eight. Matches but,

1347
01:02:04,360 --> 01:02:06,440
Speaker 1: listen they're back In syria and they were actually pretty

1348
01:02:06,440 --> 01:02:08,640
Speaker 1: good in the second division last year plus point six

1349
01:02:08,800 --> 01:02:11,640
Speaker 1: TWO xg differential per ninety. Minutes their first two, matches

1350
01:02:12,080 --> 01:02:13,960
Speaker 1: ye haven't been the. Best they Lost enter two, one

1351
01:02:14,040 --> 01:02:16,360
Speaker 1: gave up two point five expected goals and they lost

1352
01:02:16,360 --> 01:02:18,720
Speaker 1: To swallow on the, road but did hold them two

1353
01:02:18,720 --> 01:02:21,440
Speaker 1: point seven expected, goals only conceded twenty one touches in

1354
01:02:21,440 --> 01:02:24,120
Speaker 1: their own. Penalty it's not. Bad i'm taking. Them john

1355
01:02:24,160 --> 01:02:26,240
Speaker 1: O bett at minus one thirty BECAUSE i have them

1356
01:02:26,240 --> 01:02:28,320
Speaker 1: projected at plus one oh seven BECAUSE i think This

1357
01:02:28,440 --> 01:02:31,520
Speaker 1: empollee team is The anthony. MATCH i, MEAN i don't

1358
01:02:31,560 --> 01:02:33,560
Speaker 1: know who really the worst team is In SYRIA a.

1359
01:02:33,720 --> 01:02:35,600
Speaker 1: YET i think we're gonna find out here as we

1360
01:02:35,640 --> 01:02:38,800
Speaker 1: get toward towards the middle half Of, yeah But empolie's

1361
01:02:38,800 --> 01:02:42,440
Speaker 1: definitely at least one of the three. League, yeah you,

1362
01:02:42,480 --> 01:02:45,000
Speaker 1: KNOW i mean this feels good right. Now it's finally

1363
01:02:45,040 --> 01:02:47,600
Speaker 1: my first True marseilles fate of the. Season it feels

1364
01:02:47,640 --> 01:02:50,320
Speaker 1: it feels great over what they're. Playing they're Playing, NIE i,

1365
01:02:50,320 --> 01:02:52,040
Speaker 1: Mean niece is in a little bit of. Transition you.

1366
01:02:52,080 --> 01:02:55,080
Speaker 1: Know galtier has moved on TO, psg but now they

1367
01:02:55,120 --> 01:02:58,880
Speaker 1: have Former dortmun Manager Lucien. Favre first three, matches they

1368
01:02:58,920 --> 01:03:01,920
Speaker 1: really haven't gotten what they. DID i, mean they were,

1369
01:03:01,960 --> 01:03:04,680
Speaker 1: up they drew to one Against, toulouse they won the

1370
01:03:04,720 --> 01:03:08,200
Speaker 1: expected goals. Battle then they are at home AGAINST us Against,

1371
01:03:08,200 --> 01:03:10,840
Speaker 1: strasbourg they drawn one to one when the expected goals.

1372
01:03:10,840 --> 01:03:13,960
Speaker 1: Battle then they lose To Clearmont foot last weekend won

1373
01:03:14,000 --> 01:03:16,240
Speaker 1: the expected goals to. Differentials they're around to plus one

1374
01:03:16,320 --> 01:03:18,560
Speaker 1: expected goal differential through three, matches but don't have a

1375
01:03:18,600 --> 01:03:20,800
Speaker 1: win to show for. It marseille is just doing what

1376
01:03:20,800 --> 01:03:23,200
Speaker 1: they always, do seven goals off of three point nine,

1377
01:03:23,240 --> 01:03:25,480
Speaker 1: expected three goals all out of a five point one

1378
01:03:25,520 --> 01:03:28,720
Speaker 1: EXPECTED i, mean it's just it's it's similar To. Lazio

1379
01:03:28,800 --> 01:03:31,080
Speaker 1: it's it's never gonna. Stop but it does show that

1380
01:03:31,160 --> 01:03:34,360
Speaker 1: Without saliba, defensively if things continue the way they, are

1381
01:03:34,400 --> 01:03:37,640
Speaker 1: they're in, deep deep. Trouble giving up five point one

1382
01:03:37,720 --> 01:03:41,600
Speaker 1: expected goals To, Reems breast And knots is concerning because

1383
01:03:41,640 --> 01:03:44,720
Speaker 1: those were three bottom half offenses in the league on last.

1384
01:03:44,760 --> 01:03:47,800
Speaker 1: Season here's the thing also About marseille is they were

1385
01:03:47,800 --> 01:03:50,840
Speaker 1: the number one team and shots allowed per ninety progressive

1386
01:03:50,880 --> 01:03:53,640
Speaker 1: passes and dribbles, allowed box entries, allowed crosses a loud

1387
01:03:53,680 --> 01:03:56,440
Speaker 1: in the penalty, area but they were fifth and expected

1388
01:03:56,480 --> 01:03:59,680
Speaker 1: goals allowed because they allowed the tenth most big scoring

1389
01:03:59,760 --> 01:04:02,919
Speaker 1: chance this. Niece offensively last season they were top five

1390
01:04:02,920 --> 01:04:06,200
Speaker 1: and big scoring chances. Created so and Also, marseille you

1391
01:04:06,240 --> 01:04:09,640
Speaker 1: know on the road plus fourteen actual goal differential only

1392
01:04:09,640 --> 01:04:13,040
Speaker 1: a plus six expected gold. Diferential this has to. Stop

1393
01:04:13,480 --> 01:04:16,240
Speaker 1: it's got to stop at some. Point i'm thinking it's

1394
01:04:16,240 --> 01:04:18,560
Speaker 1: going to be this. Weekend nicetrono beat at minus one. Fifteen,

1395
01:04:18,800 --> 01:04:19,520
Speaker 1: Yeah i'll be joining.

1396
01:04:19,560 --> 01:04:22,520
Speaker 3: You i'm over. ONE i tried Fading. MARSEILLE i took

1397
01:04:22,600 --> 01:04:25,920
Speaker 3: names plus one opening, weekend AND i think there was

1398
01:04:25,960 --> 01:04:27,200
Speaker 3: a there was definitely a non.

1399
01:04:27,280 --> 01:04:30,760
Speaker 1: Goal there's no. Goal, yeah own. Goal they scored four

1400
01:04:30,760 --> 01:04:33,320
Speaker 1: goals off of two point two. EXPECTED i, mean it's

1401
01:04:33,360 --> 01:04:34,040
Speaker 1: just it's just what they.

1402
01:04:34,080 --> 01:04:36,680
Speaker 3: DO a lot of it piled on late. Too you,

1403
01:04:36,680 --> 01:04:40,720
Speaker 3: know we get these vendettas against, teams AND i think

1404
01:04:41,000 --> 01:04:43,920
Speaker 3: sometimes we get a little carried. Away but, this you,

1405
01:04:43,960 --> 01:04:44,640
Speaker 3: Know marseille is.

1406
01:04:44,560 --> 01:04:47,919
Speaker 1: When it keeps. HAPPENING i, listen people have been listening

1407
01:04:47,960 --> 01:04:49,400
Speaker 1: to this podcast for a long, time know THAT i

1408
01:04:49,440 --> 01:04:52,920
Speaker 1: don't get carried away very. Often BUT i mean this is.

1409
01:04:52,960 --> 01:04:54,760
Speaker 3: Guys it was like once a week occurrence at.

1410
01:04:54,760 --> 01:04:57,720
Speaker 1: This that's The Joe, anthony thank you for letting people.

1411
01:04:57,760 --> 01:05:00,360
Speaker 2: Know all, right and now we get to go to

1412
01:05:00,520 --> 01:05:04,520
Speaker 2: our favorite part of the, program our three team under

1413
01:05:04,640 --> 01:05:08,160
Speaker 2: dog moneyline. Parlay i'm gonna start BECAUSE i got a

1414
01:05:08,200 --> 01:05:11,400
Speaker 2: doozy FOR us sixteen to One Crystal palace At Man.

1415
01:05:11,440 --> 01:05:15,400
Speaker 2: City they Won it's twenty to one underdogs last season

1416
01:05:15,560 --> 01:05:18,280
Speaker 2: in this exact, fixture and then they Drew city At

1417
01:05:18,320 --> 01:05:21,160
Speaker 2: Selhurst park, when by the, Way city was in that

1418
01:05:21,280 --> 01:05:24,960
Speaker 2: crazy neck and neck title race With. Liverpool This palace

1419
01:05:25,000 --> 01:05:28,840
Speaker 2: team continued its incredible form from last. Season they carried it,

1420
01:05:28,880 --> 01:05:33,480
Speaker 2: over especially. Defensively they have played Against Arsenal liverpool and

1421
01:05:33,520 --> 01:05:35,600
Speaker 2: asked The villa come away with a, win a draw

1422
01:05:35,720 --> 01:05:37,920
Speaker 2: and a, loss and have one of the best defensive

1423
01:05:37,960 --> 01:05:40,800
Speaker 2: records through this early part of the. Season they can

1424
01:05:40,840 --> 01:05:42,920
Speaker 2: hang With. City So i'll take sixteen to one a

1425
01:05:42,920 --> 01:05:45,960
Speaker 2: Crystal palace against basically any team on the, planet and

1426
01:05:46,000 --> 01:05:47,640
Speaker 2: you're seeing it here BECAUSE i take it on the

1427
01:05:47,640 --> 01:05:50,560
Speaker 2: best team on the, Planet Man, city The. Eagles Patrick

1428
01:05:50,640 --> 01:05:53,200
Speaker 2: Vieira's eagles sixteen to one to get us start At.

1429
01:05:53,200 --> 01:05:54,240
Speaker 2: Anthony what about?

1430
01:05:54,240 --> 01:05:56,520
Speaker 3: You, well you, KNOW i really wanted to Do blodboc,

1431
01:05:56,520 --> 01:05:58,200
Speaker 3: here But i'm gonna be more. Reasonable i'm gonna Take

1432
01:05:58,240 --> 01:06:00,280
Speaker 3: roma plus two. THIRTY i just talked about. It BUT

1433
01:06:00,360 --> 01:06:04,680
Speaker 3: i Think juventus is teetering on the edge. Here vlahovich

1434
01:06:05,440 --> 01:06:07,440
Speaker 3: is going to have to carry what's otherwise are pretty

1435
01:06:07,480 --> 01:06:11,160
Speaker 3: mediocre ball progression and attacking. UNIT i do like Adding Philip,

1436
01:06:11,240 --> 01:06:14,480
Speaker 3: costage but, again the result was eight shots Against, Sampdoria

1437
01:06:14,960 --> 01:06:17,720
Speaker 3: SO i think there's a bit of a hole in

1438
01:06:17,760 --> 01:06:21,920
Speaker 3: THIS uva. Team roma looks like a ball progression machine right,

1439
01:06:21,960 --> 01:06:26,480
Speaker 3: now And jose's second season magic maybe just. Starting So

1440
01:06:27,320 --> 01:06:29,080
Speaker 3: i'm gonna be there For. ROMA i think they're a

1441
01:06:29,120 --> 01:06:31,480
Speaker 3: better team plus two thirty lock it, up BUT i

1442
01:06:31,520 --> 01:06:33,320
Speaker 3: will also be Betting glodbach.

1443
01:06:34,520 --> 01:06:35,200
Speaker 2: Vj what about.

1444
01:06:35,240 --> 01:06:38,840
Speaker 1: You i'm gonna go with Al maria plus two fifty

1445
01:06:38,880 --> 01:06:41,120
Speaker 1: at home Against. SEVILLA i Mean savilla is gonna be

1446
01:06:41,120 --> 01:06:43,040
Speaker 1: a fade team early on for me this, season just

1447
01:06:43,080 --> 01:06:45,480
Speaker 1: BECAUSE i mean the negative aggression that they're due for

1448
01:06:45,840 --> 01:06:49,560
Speaker 1: by drastically overperforming last, season but also just selling both

1449
01:06:49,600 --> 01:06:51,560
Speaker 1: your center backs in the same trans window is just

1450
01:06:51,560 --> 01:06:54,080
Speaker 1: gonna have a negative effect on your. Defense how. DRASTIC i,

1451
01:06:54,080 --> 01:06:56,160
Speaker 1: mean we'll find out as we go along. Here but

1452
01:06:56,760 --> 01:06:59,480
Speaker 1: they were much more Dominantgainst valade laid Last. Friday BUT

1453
01:06:59,800 --> 01:07:01,840
Speaker 1: i mean they're going on the road against The Segundu

1454
01:07:01,840 --> 01:07:05,080
Speaker 1: division champs Al. MARIA i mean it's a tricky spot for.

1455
01:07:05,120 --> 01:07:07,120
Speaker 1: THEM i Mean almeria their TEAM i kind of like.

1456
01:07:07,240 --> 01:07:09,600
Speaker 1: THAT i think has some staying power In La liga

1457
01:07:09,640 --> 01:07:11,720
Speaker 1: for a couple. REASONS i, mean, first they were good

1458
01:07:11,760 --> 01:07:14,680
Speaker 1: last season in second division plus point four to five

1459
01:07:14,800 --> 01:07:17,680
Speaker 1: actually differential per. Ninety they have some talent on their.

1460
01:07:17,680 --> 01:07:19,360
Speaker 1: SQUAD i mean they got a good striker In Lumar.

1461
01:07:19,400 --> 01:07:21,840
Speaker 1: Sadik he scored eighteen goals and twelve assists last, season

1462
01:07:21,880 --> 01:07:24,880
Speaker 1: scored AGAINST lja this past, weekend you know perf transfer

1463
01:07:24,920 --> 01:07:28,040
Speaker 1: market dot. COM i mean their total squad transfer valve

1464
01:07:28,080 --> 01:07:29,720
Speaker 1: was a little bit over eighty, million which is actually

1465
01:07:29,720 --> 01:07:33,840
Speaker 1: fourteenth In. Laaliga that's actually pretty good for a newly promoted.

1466
01:07:33,920 --> 01:07:36,960
Speaker 1: Side SO i MEAN i only have severe. Projected it's

1467
01:07:37,000 --> 01:07:39,760
Speaker 1: just a slight favorite on the. Road so give me

1468
01:07:39,800 --> 01:07:41,520
Speaker 1: Al maria plus two fifty.

1469
01:07:41,400 --> 01:07:44,640
Speaker 2: This threeteen parlay thanks To palace being in there is

1470
01:07:44,680 --> 01:07:46,640
Speaker 2: a huge launch at one hundred and seventy nine to.

1471
01:07:46,680 --> 01:07:48,680
Speaker 2: ONE i, MEAN i don't want to even do the

1472
01:07:48,720 --> 01:07:50,880
Speaker 2: math if if you sprinkle in cloud bock, there but

1473
01:07:52,120 --> 01:07:54,240
Speaker 2: sure you could retire on. It let's move on to

1474
01:07:54,320 --> 01:07:57,800
Speaker 2: our best bets in The Premier league this, Weekend, anthony

1475
01:07:58,160 --> 01:07:58,400
Speaker 2: you go.

1476
01:07:58,480 --> 01:08:01,360
Speaker 3: First fulham PLUS us one and a half on the

1477
01:08:01,440 --> 01:08:05,000
Speaker 3: road At. Arsenal fulham has shown an ability to play

1478
01:08:05,040 --> 01:08:07,160
Speaker 3: without the ball in their first three matches of the,

1479
01:08:07,200 --> 01:08:09,680
Speaker 3: season AND i think it's mostly due to their upgraded

1480
01:08:09,720 --> 01:08:12,040
Speaker 3: midfield and the work rate that they've shown With paulinia

1481
01:08:12,120 --> 01:08:15,680
Speaker 3: And pereira and De Cordova reed really doing a nice

1482
01:08:15,760 --> 01:08:18,439
Speaker 3: job of keeping opponents out of their own penalty, area

1483
01:08:18,960 --> 01:08:22,120
Speaker 3: Holding wolves just seven, shots doing a pretty good job On,

1484
01:08:22,120 --> 01:08:25,760
Speaker 3: brentford controlling large parts of that match as. WELL i

1485
01:08:25,800 --> 01:08:27,679
Speaker 3: have to Respect arsenal what they've done at this point

1486
01:08:27,680 --> 01:08:29,879
Speaker 3: in the. SEASON i think the addition Of Gabrielle jazus

1487
01:08:30,320 --> 01:08:33,240
Speaker 3: brings this team up a, level but the market has

1488
01:08:33,280 --> 01:08:35,160
Speaker 3: brought them up a little bit too far at this,

1489
01:08:35,280 --> 01:08:37,479
Speaker 3: point and so at plus one and a, Half i'm

1490
01:08:37,520 --> 01:08:39,280
Speaker 3: going to take The. Cottagers at even, Money.

1491
01:08:39,120 --> 01:08:41,519
Speaker 2: I'm going with West ham plus two twenty on the

1492
01:08:41,600 --> 01:08:45,759
Speaker 2: road against Aston. Villa over their last Twenty Premier league,

1493
01:08:45,760 --> 01:08:49,639
Speaker 2: matches Aston villa six wins for, draws ten. Losses those

1494
01:08:49,680 --> 01:08:53,360
Speaker 2: wins came against twice Against, everyden one Against, brighton Then

1495
01:08:53,439 --> 01:08:55,800
Speaker 2: Leeds norwich And. Burnley this two out of three teams

1496
01:08:55,800 --> 01:08:59,080
Speaker 2: have relegated and then two teams that were in the

1497
01:08:59,120 --> 01:09:02,880
Speaker 2: relegation battle till the very last couple games of the.

1498
01:09:02,920 --> 01:09:05,960
Speaker 2: Season West ham no, wins no goals on the year,

1499
01:09:06,040 --> 01:09:08,880
Speaker 2: yet but we know that they're. Come like we know

1500
01:09:08,960 --> 01:09:11,679
Speaker 2: that this team can. Score they're pretty good going forward

1501
01:09:11,680 --> 01:09:14,599
Speaker 2: and while they do have their warts, defensively Aston villa

1502
01:09:14,680 --> 01:09:17,760
Speaker 2: is not a robust offensive, attack SO i don't think

1503
01:09:17,800 --> 01:09:19,719
Speaker 2: that they'll be able to take advantage of this leaky.

1504
01:09:19,760 --> 01:09:21,760
Speaker 2: Defense AND i think you're getting a pretty good number

1505
01:09:21,760 --> 01:09:23,240
Speaker 2: on a team THAT i think is better than Aston.

1506
01:09:23,280 --> 01:09:26,439
Speaker 2: Villa West ham plus two twenty on the ROAD bj

1507
01:09:26,760 --> 01:09:27,200
Speaker 2: close us.

1508
01:09:27,200 --> 01:09:29,960
Speaker 1: Out i'm Going Manchester City Crystal palace under three and

1509
01:09:29,960 --> 01:09:32,080
Speaker 1: a half goals at minus won. Twenty Crystal palace a

1510
01:09:32,080 --> 01:09:34,440
Speaker 1: team that we've already talked about many times that profiles

1511
01:09:34,600 --> 01:09:37,800
Speaker 1: really well as an. Underdog you saw Against liverpool their

1512
01:09:37,840 --> 01:09:40,640
Speaker 1: ability to sit, deep defend and look to. COUNTER i

1513
01:09:40,640 --> 01:09:42,920
Speaker 1: mean they only allowed one point seven expected goals off

1514
01:09:43,000 --> 01:09:46,559
Speaker 1: twenty four shots Against liverpool and only one big scoring

1515
01:09:46,640 --> 01:09:49,160
Speaker 1: chance as well in that entire. Match not to mention

1516
01:09:49,439 --> 01:09:51,360
Speaker 1: like you like you, SAID i Said michael earlier in the.

1517
01:09:51,360 --> 01:09:54,400
Speaker 1: Podcast Beat Manchester city as twenty to one underdogs at

1518
01:09:54,439 --> 01:09:56,559
Speaker 1: the they had drew them zero zero At Selhurst. Park

1519
01:09:56,840 --> 01:09:59,559
Speaker 1: Crystal palace a top five defense and pretty much every

1520
01:09:59,560 --> 01:10:03,000
Speaker 1: single cat including big scory chances, allowed only allowing zero

1521
01:10:03,000 --> 01:10:06,240
Speaker 1: point six to eight per match last season which was

1522
01:10:06,600 --> 01:10:09,599
Speaker 1: third best in The Premier. League and also The Manchester

1523
01:10:09,600 --> 01:10:12,000
Speaker 1: City newcastle match that got chaotic and it ended up

1524
01:10:12,040 --> 01:10:14,800
Speaker 1: three to. Three it's a good example of not overreacting

1525
01:10:14,800 --> 01:10:16,360
Speaker 1: to one. MATCH i don't Think city is going to

1526
01:10:16,439 --> 01:10:19,479
Speaker 1: suddenly just become this overteam and this team that doesn't

1527
01:10:19,479 --> 01:10:21,960
Speaker 1: try to just control possession like they did last season

1528
01:10:22,000 --> 01:10:23,920
Speaker 1: when they were number one in The Premier league in

1529
01:10:24,000 --> 01:10:27,160
Speaker 1: terms of ten plus past sequences sequence time and had

1530
01:10:27,200 --> 01:10:29,960
Speaker 1: the lowest direct speed of anybody in the. League SO

1531
01:10:30,400 --> 01:10:33,160
Speaker 1: i only have two point five goals projected for this,

1532
01:10:33,240 --> 01:10:34,720
Speaker 1: match SO i like the under three and a half

1533
01:10:34,720 --> 01:10:36,080
Speaker 1: GOALS a minus one twenty.

1534
01:10:35,880 --> 01:10:38,799
Speaker 2: All, right and that'll do it for this episode Of Wonder.

1535
01:10:38,800 --> 01:10:41,000
Speaker 2: Goal LIKE i said, earlier we will be back on

1536
01:10:41,040 --> 01:10:43,280
Speaker 2: the other side of the weekend to preview our first

1537
01:10:43,320 --> 01:10:46,880
Speaker 2: midweek pixtures of the season For Bija kuningham And Anthony.

1538
01:10:46,920 --> 01:10:49,519
Speaker 2: GUBUNDO i might believe best of luck with your bet this.

1539
01:10:49,640 --> 01:10:49,880
Speaker 3: Month