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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast Podcast. All right, here

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Speaker 1: we go.

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Speaker 2: Fifteen Conny twenty five, thirty thirty five, forty forty five fifty.

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Speaker 3: And the kick as block look all its football stunned

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Speaker 3: us good bye, Oh my goodness, he stumble the football,

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Speaker 3: the lateral turn, the counter on the inside, get you

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Speaker 3: the lad table up the field to night. It's not

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Speaker 3: the side of the dog in the fight, it's the

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Speaker 3: sage of the fight in the role.

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Speaker 2: Welcome to the Big Bets on Campus Podcast presented by

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Speaker 2: Bett MGM on my calvaries. And this is that little

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Speaker 2: glimmer of hope on the horizon. Yes, you have made

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Speaker 2: it to the conference preview season. Here at the Action Network,

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Speaker 2: we're going to be breaking down all ten FBS conferences

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Speaker 2: for you in the coming weeks, including a mega show

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Speaker 2: breaking up the SEC into the East and West. Colin

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Speaker 2: and Stuck. You will be delivering that for you guys.

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Speaker 2: Speaking of Colin, he is our Carmen San Diego. Where

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Speaker 2: is he across the country. He's been in every media day,

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Speaker 2: he's been kicking off the Q and A sessions with coaches,

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Speaker 2: doing in a great job. I can't wait to hear

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Speaker 2: if he got to the bottom of who's going to

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Speaker 2: get more carries in that boise backfield between George Hallani

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Speaker 2: and Ashton gen Z as well as presno State. Are

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Speaker 2: they going more area this year?

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Speaker 4: And the question on.

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Speaker 2: Everyone's mind what does Greg Bull smell like? I assume

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Speaker 2: some kind of combination of sawdust and onion rings, but

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Speaker 2: you can confirm that for.

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Speaker 1: Me, Colin, how you doing? I'm doing great. I might

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Speaker 1: have an answer to some of those things. I literally,

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Speaker 1: as we're recording this, just walked off the floor of

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Speaker 1: Mountain West Conference Media Days, and you know, a lot

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Speaker 1: of information to soak in, and the coaches are all

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Speaker 1: super nice. It's a very laid back, relaxed atmosphere in

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Speaker 1: the G five and they don't want to be called

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Speaker 1: G five anymore. They said there's just ten conferences right now,

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Speaker 1: that there's a whole playoff structure, there's no visions, and

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Speaker 1: they don't want to hear about being G five. But

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Speaker 1: I will say this, let me drop up of this

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Speaker 1: because I'm not gonna I'm not gonna ever give an

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Speaker 1: answer on this podcast. One coach won seven thousand and

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Speaker 1: craps on the on the circle floor last night, and

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Speaker 1: I will let you guys try to figure out who

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Speaker 1: it is. One coach is doing very well in crops

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Speaker 1: on the floor, J Norvell. J.

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Speaker 2: Norvell's my pick there, all right, Moving on to our

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Speaker 2: other co pilot here on the podcast, Who's really emphasizes

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Speaker 2: love of the G five Mike Guy Andello. Let me

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Speaker 2: go and introduce you to the audience if you were

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Speaker 2: unfamiliar with his workis the embodiment of sir, this is

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Speaker 2: a Wendy's. I'm sure that you've been talking a lot

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Speaker 2: about Ken Colorado State's offensive line. Put it together this year?

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Speaker 2: You know, where are we with the new Mexico offense?

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Speaker 2: All of this very bottom of the barrel conversations for some,

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Speaker 2: not for you. It's top of minds.

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Speaker 4: How you doing, Mike, I'm good. It's it's good to

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Speaker 4: see you again.

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Speaker 3: Breathe.

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Speaker 4: It's like Christmas morning for me recording these pods being

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Speaker 4: back with you guys.

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Speaker 2: Speaking of seating the table, let me go ahead and

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Speaker 2: set the table here with the odds to win the

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Speaker 2: Mountain West Conference this upcoming fall, and then we'll break

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Speaker 2: down all twelve teams. So let's start at the top

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Speaker 2: Boise plus two to twenty followed by Fresno State plus

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Speaker 2: two to sixty, essentially co favorites there, then Air Force

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Speaker 2: with a bit of value at nine to two, San

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Speaker 2: Diego State at plus seven fifty, and then you get

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Speaker 2: into some of those teams that you want to throw

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Speaker 2: a roulette chip down on Wyoming ten to one, San

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Speaker 2: Jose State twelve to one, UNLV sixteen to one with

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Speaker 2: a new head coach, Colorado State twenty two to one,

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Speaker 2: as well as UTAs State at twenty two to one,

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Speaker 2: Nevada forty to one, and a pair of one hundred

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Speaker 2: to ones. But they may as well be ten thousand

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Speaker 2: to one Hawaii and New Mexico. So let's get it

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Speaker 2: started here with Boise at the top of the conference.

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Speaker 2: They went ten to four last year, eight to zero

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Speaker 2: in the Moundwest Conference. Their win total set at eight

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Speaker 2: and a half. Fifty three percent of their offensive line

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Speaker 2: starts return and thanks to Colin putting together an exhaustive

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Speaker 2: list in the offseason. He does his net TARP ratings,

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Speaker 2: that's transfers in returning production. They're negative one. That basically

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Speaker 2: means they treaded water a little bit. Their offense actually

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Speaker 2: is plus three in terms of what they bring back

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Speaker 2: fourteen returning starters in total. Both specialist, but really it

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Speaker 2: comes down to Taylor Green. I mean, this guy is

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Speaker 2: a superstar and he's surrounded by seven players who made

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Speaker 2: either the first or second team All Mountain West Conference preseason.

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Speaker 2: So the big question, I'll kick it off to you

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Speaker 2: guys before I get into some of the weeds of

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Speaker 2: their coaching changes and what they have on defense.

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Speaker 1: How good can.

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Speaker 2: Taylor Green be this year? And the comparison to Vince Young.

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Speaker 2: It's not my comparison, but Troy Calhoun from Air Force

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Speaker 2: threw it around last year. He's a Texas kid, He's

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Speaker 2: a long strider, and his compact delivery a little bit,

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Speaker 2: I guess I could see it. And he certainly had

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Speaker 2: some long touchdown runs that caught teams by surprise last year.

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Speaker 2: Three games of one hundred yards and two touchdowns or more.

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Speaker 2: So I'll start with you, Colin. What are your thoughts

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Speaker 2: on Boise and Taylor Green in particular?

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Speaker 1: Well, Taylor Green can be the best quarterback in this conference.

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Speaker 1: I think the big issue that I have with Boise

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Speaker 1: State is their new offensive coordinator, Bush Hampden. If we

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Speaker 1: remember back to last year, a Boise had some offensive

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Speaker 1: problems until Dirk Cotter took over the offensive coordinator position,

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Speaker 1: and then all of a sudden, we could score as

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Speaker 1: much as we possibly wanted, allowing Tailor Green to leave

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Speaker 1: the pocket whenever he wanted, scramble, make explosive plays that

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Speaker 1: kind of put the defense back on their heels. Boise

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Speaker 1: had a functional offense under Dirt Cotter. When you bring

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Speaker 1: Bush Hamden in, who has said in two separate occasions,

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Speaker 1: I don't think I can stop Tailing Green from leaving

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Speaker 1: the pocket, but we want to limit how many times

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Speaker 1: he leaves the pocket because that could be injury, there

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Speaker 1: could be turnover, and we just don't want that to happen.

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Speaker 1: I'm thinking, Okay, you run a pro style offense, you're

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Speaker 1: going to start putting him under center. And by the way,

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Speaker 1: Bush Hampden, if you know anything about the offense that

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Speaker 1: he's called in the past, it's very reliant on the center.

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Speaker 1: The center gets up to the ball, you know, calls out,

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Speaker 1: you know, calls out where everybody's going, the blocking, the audibles,

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Speaker 1: everything like that. And it's just going to be a

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Speaker 1: completely different offense that we saw last year. And I

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Speaker 1: have series heartburn on you know, putting handcuffs on tail

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Speaker 1: and Green from leaving the pocket.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, it's interesting up his previous work. You look at

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Speaker 2: what he did at Washington. That was Jake Browning pocket passer.

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Speaker 2: He has a couple of coffee in the NFL as

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Speaker 2: a quarterback coach with the Falcons. Matt Ryan's certainly not

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Speaker 2: a dual threat by any stretch. And then he comes

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Speaker 2: in from Mazoo, a team that you know wasn't reliant

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Speaker 2: or it's at this scale for a player going off

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Speaker 2: script in the same way that Tailor Green has. I know,

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Speaker 2: what are your thoughts on this offense? Do you think

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Speaker 2: they can keep the positive momenting rolling from last season? Yeah?

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Speaker 4: See, I actually I actually kind of looked at a

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Speaker 4: Handen as the opposite, to be honest, Colin, I was

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Speaker 4: kind of I took it as a good thing of like,

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Speaker 4: this is a guy who's used to working with pocket passers.

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Speaker 4: You know, Taylor Green already has that built in, you know,

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Speaker 4: rushing ability. He's so electric he might try to keep

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Speaker 4: him in the pocket. By the end of the day

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Speaker 4: when Green has the ball, if're gonna do what he

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Speaker 4: wants to do. I'm more optimistic that Handen is going

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Speaker 4: to help develop Green as a solid passer, which to

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Speaker 4: me is what sets them over the edge, because you

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Speaker 4: know you mentioned that they bring back these two stud

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Speaker 4: running backs, the Green on the ground, I think their

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Speaker 4: running game is going to be fine, regardless of whether

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Speaker 4: it's Green running it or just it off. My thought

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Speaker 4: is that Hamden helps develop Green as a passer, which

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Speaker 4: like really elevates this Poisse day offense to the next level.

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Speaker 4: I think the defense will take a step back. They've

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Speaker 4: lost so many starters. I'll be honest, like, going through this,

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Speaker 4: I know it's boring to just take the they were like,

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Speaker 4: I don't really know how you don't take anyone but

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Speaker 4: Boise State to win this conference. I think they're so

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Speaker 4: clearly the best team in this conference. I don't love

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Speaker 4: the number. I don't really love them from a win

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Speaker 4: total perspective to just you know, jump right into the

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Speaker 4: gambling because their schedule is brutal, their non con is

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Speaker 4: ridiculous Washington, UCF, Memphis. So I don't love the win total,

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Speaker 4: but I think at the end of the day, you know,

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Speaker 4: they get into the conference championship, I think they're gonna

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Speaker 4: win it. So I don't know, like the number is

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Speaker 4: not great, but I do think they're head and shoulders

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Speaker 4: above everyone else in this conference. And I think Hamden

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Speaker 4: will just make Green that much more of a true

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Speaker 4: dual threat instead of like a run first quarterback. It's

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Speaker 4: my hope at least by them.

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Speaker 2: Being one of the top, you know, group of five

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Speaker 2: teams teams outside the Power Conference right now, and in

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Speaker 2: your opinion, they're so strong? Are they strong enough to

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Speaker 2: hang with Washington and the opener in Seattle? I'll kick

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Speaker 2: that to you first column.

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Speaker 1: No, No, not when you're returning thirty six percent of

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Speaker 1: your defense back. And yeah, they pulled a negative one

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Speaker 1: in power rating adjustment over the offseason, but they were

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Speaker 1: turn eighty one percent of their offense on only thirty

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Speaker 1: six percent of the defense. So the defense is the

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Speaker 1: one that really brought that down. They were the top

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Speaker 1: defense in passing success rate last year. Spencer Danielson is

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Speaker 1: the DC. He's multiple, he'll go three of four man front.

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Speaker 1: But you know what, Eric Shenander the old three four

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Speaker 1: coach for Nebraska, he was at UCF with Scott Frost.

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Speaker 1: He's no longer the DC and Lincoln he is now

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Speaker 1: the defensive line coach, and I think that. I like

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Speaker 1: it when coaches that are former had success as coordinators

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Speaker 1: go to a new job, it doesn't work out, and

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Speaker 1: then they turn into position coaches and generally like they've

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Speaker 1: had so much experience at a higher level. When they

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Speaker 1: turn into position coaches, it usually helps the unit. I

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Speaker 1: just go back to four hundred seventy seven designed rushing

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Speaker 1: yards by Taylor Green. If you're taking that away, I'm

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Speaker 1: taking the under. I think I did hit under nine

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Speaker 1: when it opened. I think it's eight and a half

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Speaker 1: everywhere I projected, you know, seven point eight, which is

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Speaker 1: crazy because people love Boise, but Ianello said it. I mean,

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Speaker 1: the non conference is impossible. Washington is going to tear

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Speaker 1: that defense a new one, and then you're in conference

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Speaker 1: play with a lot of defenses. We'll talk about it,

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Speaker 1: and a lot of offenses, but a lot of defenses.

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Speaker 1: So I like the win total under on Yeah.

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Speaker 2: I'm actually hoping that Washington, as you put it, tears

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Speaker 2: them a new one and Taylor Green has a muted

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Speaker 2: performance in the opener and then play them the following

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Speaker 2: week against Central Florida. Hopefully, you know, the market overreacts

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Speaker 2: a little bit. I think that's a better opportunity on

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Speaker 2: the smurf turf to play them. From a pure win

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Speaker 2: total perspective, the number two team here is actually air Force,

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Speaker 2: So let's go ahead and get into the Falcons fly

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Speaker 2: fight win. They went ten to three last year, five

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Speaker 2: and three in conference, eighty percent of their offensive line returns,

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Speaker 2: but their overall net in terms of TARP was negative three,

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Speaker 2: negative seven on offense. Essentially, losing Haseique Daniels was really

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Speaker 2: difficult because honestly, he presided over back to back ten

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Speaker 2: win seasons for the first time since ninety seven to

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Speaker 2: ninety eight for air Force, a ton of experience on

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Speaker 2: the line. They actually of eighty percent there, But in general,

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Speaker 2: I view this as a team that needs everything to

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Speaker 2: go right with some new faces to be able to

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Speaker 2: put together. But my question first, I'll throw this to Ainello.

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Speaker 2: Their defense last year, without any superstars was absolutely lights

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Speaker 2: out on third down. They finished the season holding their

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Speaker 2: last two opponents San Diego State and Baylor in the

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Speaker 2: bowl game to oh for twenty one on third downs,

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Speaker 2: which is just absurd given their opening slate. They opened

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Speaker 2: with Robert Morris and Sam Houston State in the first month.

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Speaker 2: Do you think there's an opportunity for the offense to

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Speaker 2: work out the kinks and for this to be a

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Speaker 2: team that's actually in the fight down the stretch to

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Speaker 2: win the Mound West Or is this going to be

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Speaker 2: one of those bridge years where they win let's call it,

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Speaker 2: seven or eight games and then they get fired up

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Speaker 2: about next season.

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Speaker 4: Now, I do think they're right there. I think all

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Speaker 4: serves academies. You almost don't even like care who's on

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Speaker 4: the field. Like, like you said, the defense was elite

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Speaker 4: last year. And what's crazy about it, they led the

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Speaker 4: country in total defense and they didn't have a single

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Speaker 4: All Mountain West performer on that team, So that kind

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Speaker 4: of shows you it's like they're not like losing a superstar.

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Speaker 4: And even if they were, they returned nine of their

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Speaker 4: thirteen defenders with two hundred and fifty or more snaps.

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Speaker 4: I think this is the best defense in the conference.

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Speaker 4: I think it will be once again. I don't even

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Speaker 4: know that it's not necessarily that close, to be honest,

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Speaker 4: their offensive line is back, Like you said, Yeah, they

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Speaker 4: lose Daniels and Roberts, which is huge, but I just

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Speaker 4: kind of, you know, John Ley elrich Pie takes over

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Speaker 4: as that fullback role. He got some burn last year.

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Speaker 4: I think he'll be fine. You know, Jensen Jones looks

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Speaker 4: like the presumed starter. He's got a little he's got

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Speaker 4: a decent arm everything. I was raising it, like all

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Speaker 4: his teammates say, he has a canon of an arm

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Speaker 4: so maybe we'll throw a little bit more. But they

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Speaker 4: were one of those teams, like you mentioned it. They've

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Speaker 4: won at least ten games in the last three seasons.

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Speaker 4: Their win totals eight and a half. Like I do

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Speaker 4: think the option style kind of caps their ceiling a

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Speaker 4: little bit, but it gives them such a high floor.

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Speaker 4: To me, you can just like pencil them in for

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Speaker 4: nine wins pretty much every year until they start until

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Speaker 4: they change they do the army and stop running option anymore.

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Speaker 4: I just I think that you can easily get nine

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Speaker 4: wins and I wouldn't be stocked if they win ten

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Speaker 4: games again. And you know, the Mountain West conversation is

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Speaker 4: a little bit different, but to me that their floor

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Speaker 4: is just so high. I absolutely like eight and a

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Speaker 4: half and I'll probably bet it. I think I bet

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Speaker 4: them over last year and I'll do it again because

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Speaker 4: they're just they're so consistent.

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Speaker 2: So when you bring it up like that, as I

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Speaker 2: mentioned their non conference Robert Morris, Bobby mo Sam, Houston State,

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Speaker 2: and Army Navy. So with that being said, and you

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Speaker 2: pair it with the fact that their three losses last

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Speaker 2: year were by three points, five points, and seven points,

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Speaker 2: so they were on the verge of a special year.

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Speaker 4: Broke my heart.

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Speaker 2: They were my preseason picked to with the Mountain West

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Speaker 2: Conference last year. Do you think they're close to something,

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Speaker 2: Colin or is that just the byproducts of the offense

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Speaker 2: they run. They're going to be in close games and

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Speaker 2: with a brand new quarterback, maybe you should cansidered the under.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I wish I could take I don't have any

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Speaker 1: action on air force. I'll just say that right out.

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Speaker 1: So I'll be quick. Because I projected eight point six,

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Speaker 1: they're at eight and a half. They end the season

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Speaker 1: going to Boise, and that's probably the game that's going

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Speaker 1: to decide the win total. It's a game where they'll

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Speaker 1: be probably an underdog by like two or three, so

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Speaker 1: that instead of playing, you know, the wind total, you

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Speaker 1: could just wait until that Boise game because they have

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Speaker 1: to win that on the road, probably to eclipse an

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Speaker 1: eight and a half win total. I mean there's half

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Speaker 1: a dozen guys trying to replace Brad Roberts. There's a

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Speaker 1: three way battle going on a quarterback to replace his

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Speaker 1: Eeke Daniels. But it's the system, and it's the system

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Speaker 1: that's really hard to really hard to defend, especially if

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Speaker 1: you've never seen the flexbone triple. And they're always you know,

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Speaker 1: top ten and havoc allowed. They don't make mistakes. It's

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Speaker 1: a schedule where they don't play Fresno. They do host Wyoming,

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Speaker 1: but they got to go to Boys at the end,

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Speaker 1: So no play for me on them. But that Boise

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Speaker 1: game is what decides it, so if you have a

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Speaker 1: lean or a lock, because air Force lost a home

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Speaker 1: to Bois last year, but they went to Boise and

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Speaker 1: won two years ago. So that's kind of odd that

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Speaker 1: the road teams all always win because that's good for

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Speaker 1: air Force. But I would just wait and play that

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Speaker 1: final game, all right.

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Speaker 2: Hopping to the de facto co favorite here in the

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Speaker 2: Mountain West, Fresno State, their win till will set of eight.

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Speaker 2: They went ten to four last year, had that huge

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Speaker 2: turnarounds after a one and four start, they finished seven

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Speaker 2: and one in Mountain West play. They got seventy percent

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Speaker 2: of their line starts back, but negative seven and a

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Speaker 2: half in their net tarp the offense alone negative seven. There,

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Speaker 2: it's all returning starters, both specialists, but a new quarterback,

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Speaker 2: and that's not good news because Logan Feife was a

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Speaker 2: turnover machine and we all know how much ja Haneer

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Speaker 2: mints the program. They also have a new OC, with

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Speaker 2: Kirby Moore moving on to Miszoo, they bring in Pat

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Speaker 2: McCann as their OC, the first time he's in this

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Speaker 2: role at the FBS level. He has a marriad experience

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Speaker 2: dating back to his time at Eastern Washington. So if

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Speaker 2: it's Mikey Keane, who was a very accurate passer at UCF,

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Speaker 2: maybe it works. With some new skill position players around him,

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Speaker 2: offensive line could potentially be elite by Mountain West Conference standards.

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Speaker 2: And in my opinion, the schedule is workable. You know,

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Speaker 2: they're at Purdue, that's not an automatical loss there. At

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Speaker 2: Arizona State, I'd say the same there. That's all in

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Speaker 2: the first three weeks. They go to Wyoming, they go

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Speaker 2: to San Diego State in the finale, so there's some

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Speaker 2: tough games there, but in terms of winning the Conference.

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Speaker 2: I think it comes down to the Boison game on

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Speaker 2: November fourth, which they have at home.

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Speaker 1: So what are your thoughts?

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Speaker 2: I l I will start with you on the Bulldogs.

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Speaker 4: These previepods are going to be tough for us. As

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Speaker 4: our loyal listeners know, we have these teams we fall

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Speaker 4: in love with, and I have a feeling that we're

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Speaker 4: going to be turning heel on most of them this year,

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Speaker 4: and Frezo is one of them. Like they just they've

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Speaker 4: lost so much. You know, you mentioned Hanner, but like Mims, Cropper, Ormigio,

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Speaker 4: Pope Kelly, their whole receiving car, you know, Mims Rivers there.

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Speaker 4: I think it's brothers on this team actually, but they're

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Speaker 4: all gone. You know, defense loses Evan Williams, who is like,

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Speaker 4: I don't know that there's a more like heart and

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Speaker 4: soul defender that was in the G five other than like,

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Speaker 4: you know, Carlton Marshall type. But you know, Evan Williams

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Speaker 4: was that whole defense and great. I think the defense

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Speaker 4: will still be very good. I do trust the defense.

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Speaker 4: I don't think they'll drop off too much. But you

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Speaker 4: mentioned that I don't trust five for I mean five

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Speaker 4: lost to Yukon. I don't trust mikey Keane. I'm kind

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Speaker 4: of down on fresnow. I think they'll probably figure it

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Speaker 4: out late. That second spot in the Mountain West Championship

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Speaker 4: comes down to that season finale against San Diego State.

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Speaker 4: Like I said, I do think Boys gets the first spot,

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Speaker 4: So I think it basically comes down to who wins

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Speaker 4: that Fresno of San Diego State game. So instead of

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Speaker 4: investing my money all season, I'll kind of see who

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Speaker 4: wins the quarterback battle, how they're doing. If I like Fresno,

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Speaker 4: I'll just bet him against San Diego State, who I'm

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Speaker 4: not high on. So that's kind of how I'll attack them.

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Speaker 4: But I do think they take a big step back.

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Speaker 1: I just came off before talking to Tedford for a

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Speaker 1: long time. You know, when you ask these coaches questions,

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Speaker 1: they're not going to give you a straight out answer,

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Speaker 1: right like how do you feel about this quarterback? When

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Speaker 1: you have a quarterback batle, They're not going to give

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Speaker 1: you any old screwed Yeah, they're not going to give

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Speaker 1: you any hints. But what Tedford did say is that

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Speaker 1: he and the staff spent hours watching mikey Kean footage,

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Speaker 1: and you know, I know all of college football is

380
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Speaker 1: up in arms about tamperring and going in and you know,

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Speaker 1: getting kids to get into the portal come to your program.

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Speaker 1: It wasn't a thing where Mikey King go into the

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Speaker 1: portal and then they did all this research. I mean, Tedford,

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Speaker 1: they've had their eyes on Mike Kean for a while.

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Speaker 1: The way that he talked about the work they put

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Speaker 1: in on Mikey Kean, it sounded to me like if

387
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Speaker 1: I had to run to the window and make a wager,

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Speaker 1: and who's gonna be Fresno starter, that's who I would

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Speaker 1: bet one thing that I love about their schedule, and

390
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Speaker 1: you know, not to punt on Fresno too. I make

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Speaker 1: it eight point one numbers eight. And there's good and

392
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Speaker 1: bad about this system, right Like Kirby Moore moves on

393
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Speaker 1: to take over control at Missouri, Pat McCann gets promoted

394
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Speaker 1: up to offensive coordinator. But he's been in this Tedford

395
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Speaker 1: system forever. So it's not like new schemes, no new tempo,

396
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Speaker 1: nothing to the players. Because Tedford's big deal is I

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Speaker 1: don't want a new system for the players to learn.

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Speaker 1: That's why I promote from within all the time. So

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Speaker 1: I'm not really worried about from a coaching standpoint, but yeah,

400
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Speaker 1: from a I mean, you're losing your best playmakers, mems

401
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Speaker 1: and some of the others. But I will say this

402
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Speaker 1: their defense. I know that they pull Purdue in Arizona State,

403
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Speaker 1: but every non conference game they play at the beginning

404
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Speaker 1: of the year has brand new offenses, brand new spanking offenses.

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Speaker 1: Purdue State and Ken State. Those three teams are searching

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Speaker 1: for an identity through those first three games. So I'm

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Speaker 1: not trying to fade Fresen. I know Fresne replaces a

408
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Speaker 1: lot on offense, but the systems in place, it hasn't

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Speaker 1: changed from what it was, and these first three teams

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Speaker 1: they play to start the year are offensively inept, So

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Speaker 1: I am not fading the Bulldogs. They'll be better at

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Speaker 1: the end of the year. The last three games where

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Speaker 1: they go to San Diego State, they go to San

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Speaker 1: Jose State, then they will be at the beginning. So

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Speaker 1: you know, they're really going to take advantage of playing

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Speaker 1: three four teams you including Nevada, a bunch of teams

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Speaker 1: scrambling to find an offense the first half of the season.

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Speaker 4: If you're just like an average gambler, just someone you're like, really,

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Speaker 4: the first time you open a college football book is

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Speaker 4: early on. You see Fresno State Perdue, You're gonna think points.

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Speaker 4: Those are two brand names that you associate with scoring.

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Speaker 4: So that could be a good open and opening weekend

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Speaker 4: under if you're you're kind of the fading the brand

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Speaker 4: names taken under on two new offices with a.

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Speaker 1: Defensive coordinator, make a note of that. Yeah, with a

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Speaker 1: defensive coordinator running Perdue now. And the fact that the clock,

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Speaker 1: Like everybody, I mean everybody's aware that there's gonna be

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Speaker 1: less possessions, less snaps in a game because of the

429
00:19:08,960 --> 00:19:12,000
Speaker 1: changes of the clock. There's I am quietly sitting on

430
00:19:12,160 --> 00:19:14,280
Speaker 1: unders right for week one because I'd like to see

431
00:19:14,280 --> 00:19:16,200
Speaker 1: steam on overs before I go and hit unders. But

432
00:19:16,240 --> 00:19:18,639
Speaker 1: you're right, Mike, I it's this under thing is a

433
00:19:18,720 --> 00:19:20,200
Speaker 1: real deal, and I think people are going to be

434
00:19:20,240 --> 00:19:23,320
Speaker 1: shocked at some of these offenses that are these scores

435
00:19:23,320 --> 00:19:24,040
Speaker 1: are going to be lower.

436
00:19:26,040 --> 00:19:28,720
Speaker 2: So those are essentially, at least by the market, the

437
00:19:28,800 --> 00:19:31,080
Speaker 2: top three teams. In my opinion, this is where this

438
00:19:31,160 --> 00:19:34,320
Speaker 2: conference gets really fun because you get into that soft

439
00:19:34,400 --> 00:19:36,640
Speaker 2: medal where teams could go eight and four they could

440
00:19:36,640 --> 00:19:38,399
Speaker 2: go four and eight. So we're gonna start with one

441
00:19:38,440 --> 00:19:40,800
Speaker 2: of those teams. San Diego State the win total seven.

442
00:19:41,080 --> 00:19:43,040
Speaker 2: We went seven and six last year, five and three

443
00:19:43,119 --> 00:19:45,800
Speaker 2: in conference. About sixty percent of their offensive line starts

444
00:19:45,840 --> 00:19:48,520
Speaker 2: return but they're negative three point five in the net tarp,

445
00:19:48,680 --> 00:19:52,199
Speaker 2: negative four on defense alone, nine returning starters in total. Yes,

446
00:19:52,240 --> 00:19:55,520
Speaker 2: they get both specialists, but I mean, I would argue

447
00:19:55,600 --> 00:19:58,159
Speaker 2: that no quarterback in the conference is more important than

448
00:19:58,240 --> 00:20:02,240
Speaker 2: Jalen Maiden because they're def defense by all accounts, should

449
00:20:02,280 --> 00:20:04,520
Speaker 2: take a baby step back after last year taking a

450
00:20:04,600 --> 00:20:08,080
Speaker 2: step backwards. So does Ryan Linley, the new OC taking over.

451
00:20:08,240 --> 00:20:10,960
Speaker 2: Can he unlock the potential of Maiden? And we saw

452
00:20:11,000 --> 00:20:12,800
Speaker 2: it from Maiden, like he would give you the good

453
00:20:12,840 --> 00:20:14,840
Speaker 2: in the bads sometimes in the same game they had

454
00:20:14,880 --> 00:20:16,880
Speaker 2: that game against Fresno, They're up twenty one to ten

455
00:20:16,920 --> 00:20:19,879
Speaker 2: at halftime. He accounts for four total touchdowns, but throws

456
00:20:19,920 --> 00:20:22,280
Speaker 2: two second half picks and they blow that game. So

457
00:20:22,480 --> 00:20:24,879
Speaker 2: he has the potential. I'm not sure that they can,

458
00:20:24,960 --> 00:20:28,199
Speaker 2: you know, cash in on that promise necessarily because they

459
00:20:28,280 --> 00:20:31,000
Speaker 2: have some new pieces on the perimeter, they have some

460
00:20:31,080 --> 00:20:33,719
Speaker 2: new pieces in the backfield. They also have beyond Linley,

461
00:20:33,920 --> 00:20:35,920
Speaker 2: a new running back coach from Stanford, a new wide

462
00:20:35,920 --> 00:20:39,080
Speaker 2: receiver coach from UNLB, some new pieces here, and then

463
00:20:39,160 --> 00:20:41,000
Speaker 2: Kurt Maddox like I love him. He's one of my

464
00:20:41,000 --> 00:20:43,520
Speaker 2: favorite coordinators in all of college football. But this defense

465
00:20:43,600 --> 00:20:45,800
Speaker 2: in general, particularly in the front seven and on the

466
00:20:45,880 --> 00:20:49,760
Speaker 2: d line, has a lot of new faces. Samuela Tuihala

467
00:20:49,840 --> 00:20:52,720
Speaker 2: Macha is a key. He comes in from Oklahoma State.

468
00:20:52,760 --> 00:20:55,399
Speaker 2: He needs to be the next in line of their disruptive,

469
00:20:55,560 --> 00:20:58,320
Speaker 2: you know, defensive line players, and if he isn't, I

470
00:20:58,359 --> 00:21:00,119
Speaker 2: think a tricky non conference schedule is going to the

471
00:21:00,160 --> 00:21:02,399
Speaker 2: best of the aztext right away. They open with Ohio,

472
00:21:02,680 --> 00:21:04,440
Speaker 2: a game I know we're talking about a lot of unders.

473
00:21:04,560 --> 00:21:06,000
Speaker 2: I like over in that one. I think it's going

474
00:21:06,040 --> 00:21:07,960
Speaker 2: to be high scoring. They also take on a pair

475
00:21:08,080 --> 00:21:10,520
Speaker 2: of Pack twelve teams UCLA at home and on the

476
00:21:10,600 --> 00:21:13,479
Speaker 2: road in Corbells against Oregon State. I know, what are

477
00:21:13,480 --> 00:21:15,440
Speaker 2: your thoughts on the Aztecs, A team that's been in

478
00:21:15,440 --> 00:21:17,680
Speaker 2: the butt of the jokes, you know, for years offensively,

479
00:21:17,720 --> 00:21:20,320
Speaker 2: but generally speaking, their defense has been really salty. Do

480
00:21:20,400 --> 00:21:21,800
Speaker 2: you see more of that this year or they're going

481
00:21:21,880 --> 00:21:23,280
Speaker 2: to be a little more balanced.

482
00:21:24,119 --> 00:21:25,840
Speaker 4: Yeah, this might be the first time in a while.

483
00:21:25,920 --> 00:21:28,679
Speaker 4: I'm like kind of concerned about San Diego State's defense.

484
00:21:28,800 --> 00:21:32,600
Speaker 4: And I'll be honest, like I've never liked them. I've

485
00:21:32,680 --> 00:21:34,800
Speaker 4: never thought that. I've always thought they were overrated. I've

486
00:21:34,840 --> 00:21:38,240
Speaker 4: never I never often bet San Diego State. I feel

487
00:21:38,240 --> 00:21:40,280
Speaker 4: like over the last couple of years, they keep trying

488
00:21:40,320 --> 00:21:42,800
Speaker 4: to open up the offense more and it just really

489
00:21:42,840 --> 00:21:44,440
Speaker 4: hasn't worked. You know, they were one hundred and eleventh

490
00:21:44,440 --> 00:21:48,320
Speaker 4: in success rate last year. Maiden's a converted safety playing quarterback.

491
00:21:48,480 --> 00:21:50,320
Speaker 4: It's like, I don't know that I believe in him

492
00:21:50,359 --> 00:21:52,879
Speaker 4: at all. And like I said, the defense just they

493
00:21:52,960 --> 00:21:56,600
Speaker 4: lose their entire front seven. I just they have a

494
00:21:56,680 --> 00:22:01,200
Speaker 4: lot of questions and I'm not there are another team

495
00:22:01,200 --> 00:22:02,960
Speaker 4: where I mean just pencil them in for eight nine

496
00:22:03,000 --> 00:22:04,680
Speaker 4: wins and I just don't know. I think they take

497
00:22:04,680 --> 00:22:07,560
Speaker 4: a step back. You mentioned the I already bet Ohio

498
00:22:07,640 --> 00:22:11,280
Speaker 4: plus four in that Week one game, so I don't

499
00:22:11,280 --> 00:22:13,960
Speaker 4: really have anything from a future standpoint. I think there

500
00:22:14,119 --> 00:22:16,000
Speaker 4: they have a good enough floor. I'm not really trying

501
00:22:16,040 --> 00:22:18,200
Speaker 4: to bet they're under But like I said, I took

502
00:22:18,280 --> 00:22:20,920
Speaker 4: Ohio plus four, I'll probably end up taking Fresno in

503
00:22:20,960 --> 00:22:23,399
Speaker 4: that finale. They're a team I just like to fade

504
00:22:23,880 --> 00:22:24,480
Speaker 4: throughout the year.

505
00:22:25,440 --> 00:22:27,040
Speaker 1: I think this is a good time for the podcast

506
00:22:27,160 --> 00:22:29,639
Speaker 1: for me to because sometimes I can't say what coaches

507
00:22:29,640 --> 00:22:31,640
Speaker 1: have told me, So I won't say what coach told

508
00:22:31,680 --> 00:22:33,600
Speaker 1: me this. But one coach looked me in the eyes

509
00:22:33,600 --> 00:22:35,800
Speaker 1: and said, quick betting on overs on my team. So

510
00:22:35,960 --> 00:22:37,240
Speaker 1: I'm not gonna say who told me that, but I

511
00:22:37,240 --> 00:22:38,960
Speaker 1: think it's a good spot on the podcast to just

512
00:22:39,080 --> 00:22:44,160
Speaker 1: drop that as techovers. The conversation today with Brady Hope

513
00:22:44,280 --> 00:22:47,720
Speaker 1: was a lot of what we're talking about here. On

514
00:22:47,800 --> 00:22:49,639
Speaker 1: the defensive side of the ball, they lose you know,

515
00:22:49,720 --> 00:22:53,280
Speaker 1: three defensive linemen creating pressure is a really really big

516
00:22:53,400 --> 00:22:55,960
Speaker 1: deal in a three three five, And it got to

517
00:22:56,080 --> 00:22:57,879
Speaker 1: a point where Brady Hope got in front of me,

518
00:22:58,160 --> 00:22:59,920
Speaker 1: got down into a squad and showed me the tech

519
00:23:00,040 --> 00:23:01,840
Speaker 1: net that the dow edges have to use to try

520
00:23:01,840 --> 00:23:04,040
Speaker 1: to get to the quarterback, like he's he knows that

521
00:23:04,119 --> 00:23:05,679
Speaker 1: he's got a big job. And then I asked him,

522
00:23:06,000 --> 00:23:08,040
Speaker 1: you know, you're also losing three offensive linemen here that

523
00:23:08,080 --> 00:23:10,080
Speaker 1: were starters. Are you worried about your trench on both

524
00:23:10,119 --> 00:23:11,240
Speaker 1: sides of the ball and he looked at me and

525
00:23:11,520 --> 00:23:14,800
Speaker 1: he had one word answer, yes. So Brady Hoax got

526
00:23:14,880 --> 00:23:17,560
Speaker 1: concerns about what's going on in the trench for a

527
00:23:17,680 --> 00:23:19,840
Speaker 1: team that is built from the trench out, that makes

528
00:23:19,920 --> 00:23:23,000
Speaker 1: me worried. Now, Jalen Maiden, I don't know if I

529
00:23:23,040 --> 00:23:25,119
Speaker 1: can take any hate on this because this guy has

530
00:23:25,200 --> 00:23:27,560
Speaker 1: cashed them overs for some of the most exciting overs

531
00:23:27,640 --> 00:23:29,760
Speaker 1: for me live overs at nineteen and a half, twenty

532
00:23:29,840 --> 00:23:32,800
Speaker 1: seven and a half. You're right, he is a converted safety.

533
00:23:32,840 --> 00:23:36,680
Speaker 1: He was He was recruited as a safety, was in

534
00:23:36,760 --> 00:23:38,720
Speaker 1: the third string, not really doing much, and when they

535
00:23:38,760 --> 00:23:40,359
Speaker 1: needed and had a need for a quarterback, it just

536
00:23:40,400 --> 00:23:43,439
Speaker 1: so happened that he played in high school and they

537
00:23:43,520 --> 00:23:46,080
Speaker 1: had to completely change the offense to do what Jalen

538
00:23:46,119 --> 00:23:49,439
Speaker 1: Maiden does, which is tuck the ball and run. Brady

539
00:23:49,480 --> 00:23:54,080
Speaker 1: Hope told me that Ryan Lindley wants to maximize everything

540
00:23:54,160 --> 00:23:56,400
Speaker 1: that Jalen Maiden does. Now, we just had this conversation

541
00:23:56,480 --> 00:23:59,359
Speaker 1: about Bush Hampden is going to limit Taylor Green and

542
00:23:59,440 --> 00:24:03,080
Speaker 1: what he does pocket. Well, guess what Ryan Linley wants

543
00:24:03,400 --> 00:24:08,720
Speaker 1: Jalen Maiden to leave the pocket more? I said, more, Yes, more,

544
00:24:08,880 --> 00:24:11,440
Speaker 1: we want maiden out there making plays. We're gonna teach

545
00:24:11,520 --> 00:24:13,560
Speaker 1: him to hold onto the ball not to fumble. We'll

546
00:24:13,560 --> 00:24:15,760
Speaker 1: see if that actually happens, but it almost I mean

547
00:24:15,800 --> 00:24:17,800
Speaker 1: he had three interceptions in the spring game. It almost

548
00:24:17,840 --> 00:24:20,600
Speaker 1: sounds like we just want you to run inside outside

549
00:24:20,680 --> 00:24:24,480
Speaker 1: zone and maybe not right right. So they I mean

550
00:24:24,680 --> 00:24:27,000
Speaker 1: they know that his strength is getting out in space

551
00:24:27,040 --> 00:24:30,560
Speaker 1: and making people miss. So you know, for me, I

552
00:24:30,960 --> 00:24:33,560
Speaker 1: put them at six point six. They really got hit

553
00:24:33,680 --> 00:24:36,200
Speaker 1: hard and tarp for losing the trench, which is a

554
00:24:36,240 --> 00:24:38,600
Speaker 1: big part of this team. Uh, the under is juice

555
00:24:38,600 --> 00:24:40,639
Speaker 1: pretty heavy at seven, so it kind of matches the

556
00:24:40,720 --> 00:24:41,480
Speaker 1: projection that I have.

557
00:24:42,160 --> 00:24:42,280
Speaker 4: Uh.

558
00:24:42,520 --> 00:24:44,560
Speaker 1: I think the Ohio San Diego State game and the

559
00:24:44,640 --> 00:24:47,280
Speaker 1: opener is going to have a lot of points. And

560
00:24:47,400 --> 00:24:52,240
Speaker 1: the reason is because Sam Wiggles getting you know, Curtis Rourke.

561
00:24:52,680 --> 00:24:54,920
Speaker 1: That's a deep bomb system all the way right there.

562
00:24:55,040 --> 00:24:57,320
Speaker 1: And this secondary has some issues with this this three

563
00:24:57,400 --> 00:24:59,199
Speaker 1: three five not getting any pressure and you're gonna let

564
00:24:59,240 --> 00:25:01,960
Speaker 1: Roorc sit back all and find targets. It's a game

565
00:25:01,960 --> 00:25:03,960
Speaker 1: where I'm gonna let people just keep pounding on the

566
00:25:04,040 --> 00:25:05,800
Speaker 1: under and then right before the game kicks off, I'll

567
00:25:05,800 --> 00:25:08,479
Speaker 1: probably be hitting it over, but I don't tell I'm

568
00:25:08,520 --> 00:25:11,400
Speaker 1: not taking San Diego State to win this conference. They're

569
00:25:11,480 --> 00:25:13,200
Speaker 1: one of the few teams that is almost always in

570
00:25:13,240 --> 00:25:15,159
Speaker 1: the championship game. But there is a no play for

571
00:25:15,240 --> 00:25:17,120
Speaker 1: me because when Brady Hoak says that he's worried about

572
00:25:17,160 --> 00:25:19,680
Speaker 1: the trench, that makes me worried about backing these guys

573
00:25:19,720 --> 00:25:20,320
Speaker 1: to win games.

574
00:25:20,520 --> 00:25:21,720
Speaker 4: Do you know what you make that spread in the

575
00:25:21,760 --> 00:25:23,000
Speaker 4: opening game, I'll stop your head.

576
00:25:23,240 --> 00:25:25,199
Speaker 1: Yeah, like four and a half, So it's it's right

577
00:25:25,280 --> 00:25:28,800
Speaker 1: there and and to me because Ohio, we know what

578
00:25:28,880 --> 00:25:30,880
Speaker 1: they want to do, right Rourke wants to break free

579
00:25:30,920 --> 00:25:32,960
Speaker 1: in his own and then he's gonna at some point

580
00:25:33,240 --> 00:25:35,920
Speaker 1: go play action. It wiggles down down, you know, far

581
00:25:36,080 --> 00:25:38,840
Speaker 1: deep down the field, and it's going to expose the

582
00:25:38,920 --> 00:25:40,720
Speaker 1: fact that there's so much youth on the San Diego

583
00:25:40,800 --> 00:25:44,000
Speaker 1: State defense. So to me, it's a live betting dream

584
00:25:44,119 --> 00:25:46,200
Speaker 1: this first game Ohio and San Diego State, because I

585
00:25:46,200 --> 00:25:47,960
Speaker 1: think each team is just gonna trade shots or at

586
00:25:48,040 --> 00:25:52,280
Speaker 1: least trade field goals. So you know, I can't wait

587
00:25:52,320 --> 00:25:53,760
Speaker 1: for that game. But no, it's it's a no play

588
00:25:53,800 --> 00:25:55,080
Speaker 1: in the future is in the win total for me?

589
00:25:55,680 --> 00:25:57,800
Speaker 2: I actually like under there and I'm gonna go on

590
00:25:58,080 --> 00:26:01,119
Speaker 2: their their seven to another team that we owe an

591
00:26:01,119 --> 00:26:03,719
Speaker 2: apology to, because man, we just beat the crap out

592
00:26:03,760 --> 00:26:06,720
Speaker 2: of this team from an audio perspective last summer, and

593
00:26:06,800 --> 00:26:10,280
Speaker 2: that's Wyoming. They won seven games in the regular season

594
00:26:10,440 --> 00:26:12,160
Speaker 2: and their win total set at six and a half.

595
00:26:12,600 --> 00:26:14,960
Speaker 2: Sixty percent of their offensive line starts to return. Their

596
00:26:15,080 --> 00:26:18,600
Speaker 2: plus nine in NETTAR plus five on offense alone, that

597
00:26:18,720 --> 00:26:21,800
Speaker 2: means they got fourteen returning starters coming back, both specialists

598
00:26:21,920 --> 00:26:24,560
Speaker 2: or elites, so they can count on them for field

599
00:26:24,560 --> 00:26:27,040
Speaker 2: position in game, money field goals. But this is really

600
00:26:27,119 --> 00:26:29,040
Speaker 2: just an apology tour at this point because I did

601
00:26:29,119 --> 00:26:30,840
Speaker 2: not see their defense being as good as they were

602
00:26:30,920 --> 00:26:32,960
Speaker 2: last year. They bring back nine from that side of

603
00:26:33,000 --> 00:26:35,240
Speaker 2: the ball. Both their dms are really good. They had

604
00:26:35,280 --> 00:26:37,879
Speaker 2: twenty six and a half tackles for loss between Devon

605
00:26:37,920 --> 00:26:40,480
Speaker 2: Harris and Braden Siders. And then they go into the

606
00:26:40,520 --> 00:26:43,239
Speaker 2: portal and they snatch a guy who absolutely murdered them

607
00:26:43,280 --> 00:26:46,000
Speaker 2: two years ago. That's Harrison Whaley had one hundred and

608
00:26:46,000 --> 00:26:48,600
Speaker 2: seventy nine yards and two scores against the Pokes. Now

609
00:26:48,680 --> 00:26:51,200
Speaker 2: he's playing for them. And keep an eye on a

610
00:26:51,240 --> 00:26:54,240
Speaker 2: wide receiver small school coming out of holy Cross a year,

611
00:26:54,359 --> 00:26:57,960
Speaker 2: a Santi sixteen career touchdowns, a track and field burner.

612
00:26:58,160 --> 00:26:59,800
Speaker 2: I think he could give him something special. When they

613
00:26:59,800 --> 00:27:02,359
Speaker 2: go to those three and four wide receiver sets, not

614
00:27:02,440 --> 00:27:04,320
Speaker 2: all that often, but if they just go, you know,

615
00:27:04,400 --> 00:27:06,200
Speaker 2: three or four deep balls per game and try to

616
00:27:06,240 --> 00:27:08,000
Speaker 2: keep the defense honest, I think that's going to help.

617
00:27:08,480 --> 00:27:11,480
Speaker 2: Brutal opening slate. They get tech As in Texas Tech

618
00:27:11,760 --> 00:27:14,600
Speaker 2: at Altitude in the opener, then they're at Texas and

619
00:27:14,720 --> 00:27:17,959
Speaker 2: app State all in excuse me, home against Appstate all

620
00:27:18,000 --> 00:27:20,480
Speaker 2: in the month of September. But after that Fresno stay

621
00:27:20,520 --> 00:27:23,200
Speaker 2: at home, then air Force Boise as Roadies in back

622
00:27:23,280 --> 00:27:26,560
Speaker 2: to back games. It's a challenging schedule. It's a pass

623
00:27:26,680 --> 00:27:29,840
Speaker 2: for me. But I'm no longer underestimating Wyoming, even though

624
00:27:30,160 --> 00:27:32,920
Speaker 2: Andrew Peasley he leaves a lot to be desired. But

625
00:27:33,040 --> 00:27:35,240
Speaker 2: in terms of their offensive game plan, you know that

626
00:27:35,320 --> 00:27:37,639
Speaker 2: Craig Bowl wants to pound the rock and he's got

627
00:27:37,680 --> 00:27:39,360
Speaker 2: a stud running back to do So I'm gonna start

628
00:27:39,400 --> 00:27:41,040
Speaker 2: with you on this one, Colin, what are your thoughts

629
00:27:41,119 --> 00:27:43,600
Speaker 2: on Wyoming this year? You think they can get back

630
00:27:43,640 --> 00:27:44,240
Speaker 2: to a bowl game.

631
00:27:44,720 --> 00:27:47,040
Speaker 1: There's been a thirteen to one purchase here in Vegas,

632
00:27:47,040 --> 00:27:48,959
Speaker 1: and I've been waiting to podcast about it, and I've

633
00:27:48,960 --> 00:27:50,760
Speaker 1: been waiting for it to get posted before so the

634
00:27:50,840 --> 00:27:53,520
Speaker 1: masses can hear it. This is my pick to win

635
00:27:53,560 --> 00:27:58,280
Speaker 1: the Mountain West. I took a lot of heat when

636
00:27:58,359 --> 00:28:01,359
Speaker 1: I put out the projections conference win totals for this

637
00:28:01,960 --> 00:28:04,280
Speaker 1: for the Mountain West. And you know, people did not

638
00:28:04,440 --> 00:28:06,760
Speaker 1: like Wyoming being up in the upper tier with everybody else.

639
00:28:07,680 --> 00:28:10,080
Speaker 1: I mean, they're within a half game conference win with everybody,

640
00:28:10,600 --> 00:28:13,399
Speaker 1: all the big boys here, but there's just there's too

641
00:28:13,520 --> 00:28:17,600
Speaker 1: much here that I'm hearing coach speak from Craig Bowl.

642
00:28:18,280 --> 00:28:20,639
Speaker 1: That kind of tells me that what happened last year

643
00:28:20,680 --> 00:28:24,280
Speaker 1: with the defense was a fluke. Wyoming fell to bottom

644
00:28:24,359 --> 00:28:26,840
Speaker 1: ten and tackling they fell like bottom ten and havoc.

645
00:28:26,960 --> 00:28:30,160
Speaker 1: That is not a Wyoming defense. And talking to Craig

646
00:28:30,200 --> 00:28:36,520
Speaker 1: Bowl today, that's just lazy players technique coaching. He said,

647
00:28:36,560 --> 00:28:41,120
Speaker 1: the ballhawking was terrible, Our tackling fundamentals were terrible. Craig

648
00:28:41,200 --> 00:28:44,480
Speaker 1: Bowl realizes that, and now defensive coordinator j Sovels, you know,

649
00:28:45,320 --> 00:28:48,640
Speaker 1: I expect massive improvement from this team. In attack, they

650
00:28:48,640 --> 00:28:50,800
Speaker 1: were one hundred and twenty eighth and tackling. I expect massive.

651
00:28:51,040 --> 00:28:52,960
Speaker 1: I think this defense will get back to what Wyoming

652
00:28:53,000 --> 00:28:55,920
Speaker 1: has always been. They recognize it as a problem. It

653
00:28:56,080 --> 00:28:59,840
Speaker 1: is the toughest conference schedule at air Force at Boise,

654
00:29:00,880 --> 00:29:03,160
Speaker 1: but at the same time, you know, if they get

655
00:29:03,200 --> 00:29:05,160
Speaker 1: back there, they are the best defense in the conference.

656
00:29:05,280 --> 00:29:07,840
Speaker 1: Boise has a maybe a small argument about that, but

657
00:29:08,040 --> 00:29:10,320
Speaker 1: they have You know, Wyley has a much better linebacker

658
00:29:10,560 --> 00:29:13,720
Speaker 1: unit than Boise does. And so the big question with

659
00:29:13,760 --> 00:29:17,200
Speaker 1: this team is the offense, because I don't know if

660
00:29:17,200 --> 00:29:21,320
Speaker 1: it's going to be Andrew Peasley or Evans Savada, but

661
00:29:21,880 --> 00:29:23,239
Speaker 1: you know they do have some weapons that have come

662
00:29:23,280 --> 00:29:27,600
Speaker 1: in through the portal. The offense is really I'm questioning

663
00:29:27,680 --> 00:29:30,640
Speaker 1: how the you know, the multiple pro style. You know

664
00:29:31,040 --> 00:29:33,280
Speaker 1: they want to run the ball. They barely know how

665
00:29:33,320 --> 00:29:36,000
Speaker 1: to throw the ball downfield. You know, their offensive line

666
00:29:36,080 --> 00:29:38,520
Speaker 1: is jacked. Eighty three percent of offensive line snaps come back.

667
00:29:38,560 --> 00:29:41,960
Speaker 1: And this is a trench that I trust. I know

668
00:29:42,080 --> 00:29:44,320
Speaker 1: the schedule's tough, but if there's any kind of life

669
00:29:44,360 --> 00:29:46,600
Speaker 1: on this offense, they'll be in the championship game.

670
00:29:47,200 --> 00:29:50,360
Speaker 4: Do you agree? I know, no, but I'll also I'm

671
00:29:50,440 --> 00:29:52,440
Speaker 4: not fainting them again. I'll tell you that much. I'll

672
00:29:52,520 --> 00:29:56,440
Speaker 4: echo calibers, and I'll issue my my formal apology to Laramie.

673
00:29:57,000 --> 00:29:59,320
Speaker 4: I was especially hordering them last off season. I believe

674
00:29:59,360 --> 00:30:00,960
Speaker 4: I just spent the whole talking about how bad the

675
00:30:01,040 --> 00:30:03,360
Speaker 4: vibes were because every player on their team transferred out.

676
00:30:04,560 --> 00:30:05,000
Speaker 4: They did it.

677
00:30:05,200 --> 00:30:05,320
Speaker 3: You know.

678
00:30:05,400 --> 00:30:08,240
Speaker 4: They They're just there're another team that's just so consistent.

679
00:30:09,320 --> 00:30:11,280
Speaker 4: I can't back them because I think Andrew Peasley is

680
00:30:11,320 --> 00:30:15,120
Speaker 4: hot garbage. He completed what fifty two percent of his passes,

681
00:30:15,240 --> 00:30:18,480
Speaker 4: ten touchdowns, nine picks. I agree, their defense is still

682
00:30:18,480 --> 00:30:20,320
Speaker 4: gonna be nasty. They you know, they have the best

683
00:30:20,400 --> 00:30:23,520
Speaker 4: D line in the conference, and they return a ton.

684
00:30:24,520 --> 00:30:27,080
Speaker 4: It's just I don't trust Peasley. If I had to

685
00:30:27,120 --> 00:30:29,280
Speaker 4: bet this win total, I think they go over it.

686
00:30:30,320 --> 00:30:32,840
Speaker 4: But they're just not necessary a team I want to bet,

687
00:30:32,920 --> 00:30:35,680
Speaker 4: and like betting. They're basically just G five Iowa. It's

688
00:30:35,760 --> 00:30:38,320
Speaker 4: like they somehow win, but you still just come away

689
00:30:38,320 --> 00:30:40,440
Speaker 4: from the season just kind of feeling like they stink.

690
00:30:40,520 --> 00:30:43,880
Speaker 4: But they're they're just consistent. So I'm done fading them.

691
00:30:44,240 --> 00:30:47,920
Speaker 4: I concede my my hate. I think they'll be fine again.

692
00:30:48,720 --> 00:30:50,800
Speaker 4: Like Colin said, if the offense steps up. They have

693
00:30:50,880 --> 00:30:52,840
Speaker 4: the best defense in the conference or one of the

694
00:30:52,920 --> 00:30:56,600
Speaker 4: top two or three, So I wouldn't be shocked if there.

695
00:30:56,680 --> 00:30:59,560
Speaker 4: I'm just not gonna invest my money on it.

696
00:31:00,240 --> 00:31:01,680
Speaker 1: You know, you know what we are going to bet though,

697
00:31:01,760 --> 00:31:03,920
Speaker 1: We're betting week one against Tech, against Texas Tech.

698
00:31:04,480 --> 00:31:06,800
Speaker 4: Texas Tech hype is getting Banana Land.

699
00:31:07,040 --> 00:31:09,560
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean that number is already too high at

700
00:31:09,600 --> 00:31:11,800
Speaker 1: thirteen and a half, fourteen. I would love to play,

701
00:31:11,840 --> 00:31:13,560
Speaker 1: but I don't think it. I don't think it's done steaming.

702
00:31:13,640 --> 00:31:15,560
Speaker 1: I was gonna keep going up Texas Tech. I mean,

703
00:31:15,680 --> 00:31:19,440
Speaker 1: most like off season darlings in the entire country this year,

704
00:31:19,800 --> 00:31:22,280
Speaker 1: coming off the big twelve days, there is so much

705
00:31:22,440 --> 00:31:25,760
Speaker 1: chest pounding going on, like, hey, we know you all

706
00:31:25,840 --> 00:31:28,959
Speaker 1: think Texas is winning this conference, but don't forget about us. Uh,

707
00:31:29,040 --> 00:31:31,200
Speaker 1: there's a I mean there is a and you know

708
00:31:31,240 --> 00:31:33,160
Speaker 1: there's a lot of reasons why. But at the same time,

709
00:31:33,280 --> 00:31:36,360
Speaker 1: you're not proven and Tyler Show can't stay healthy. And

710
00:31:36,800 --> 00:31:38,520
Speaker 1: this is not a Texas Tech preview pod, but I'm

711
00:31:38,520 --> 00:31:40,960
Speaker 1: saying that number is bonkers going up the Laramie playing

712
00:31:41,000 --> 00:31:44,920
Speaker 1: in that elevation again against this defense. No, So Week

713
00:31:45,000 --> 00:31:47,520
Speaker 1: one is definitely going to be a play on the Cowboys.

714
00:31:48,680 --> 00:31:49,520
Speaker 4: Coo we go any further.

715
00:31:49,640 --> 00:31:52,320
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746
00:33:22,400 --> 00:33:23,360
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747
00:33:24,320 --> 00:33:25,440
Speaker 1: For fading the Red Raiders?

748
00:33:25,440 --> 00:33:28,360
Speaker 2: How do we feel about fading the Utah State Aggies?

749
00:33:28,680 --> 00:33:29,440
Speaker 2: Their win total?

750
00:33:29,640 --> 00:33:30,880
Speaker 1: Six I love them.

751
00:33:31,000 --> 00:33:33,880
Speaker 2: I got lots of Utah state swag in my house. Actually,

752
00:33:34,240 --> 00:33:36,880
Speaker 2: I interviewed this woman years ago as working at a

753
00:33:36,920 --> 00:33:40,640
Speaker 2: youth sports company. All timer name Dixie Loveless. She runs

754
00:33:40,720 --> 00:33:43,080
Speaker 2: the Mountain Peak follow book there and logan Logan's a

755
00:33:43,120 --> 00:33:44,680
Speaker 2: hell of a sports town. I want to say a

756
00:33:44,720 --> 00:33:46,600
Speaker 2: lot of positive things before I get into all the

757
00:33:47,440 --> 00:33:51,000
Speaker 2: just horrific awfulness of this roster. They only returned twenty

758
00:33:51,040 --> 00:33:54,440
Speaker 2: five percent of their offensive line starts. They're negative ten

759
00:33:54,600 --> 00:33:57,280
Speaker 2: in the net tarp, which is negative five on both

760
00:33:57,360 --> 00:34:00,640
Speaker 2: sides of the ball, tied for seventh worse nationally. Twenty

761
00:34:00,720 --> 00:34:03,240
Speaker 2: three scholarship players walked out the door in the offseason,

762
00:34:03,280 --> 00:34:06,200
Speaker 2: including eight walk ons. They only returned nine starters with

763
00:34:06,280 --> 00:34:09,239
Speaker 2: any starting experience. Also their punter, they may be using

764
00:34:09,280 --> 00:34:12,200
Speaker 2: him a lot. Cooper Legas is not sending the world

765
00:34:12,280 --> 00:34:15,319
Speaker 2: on fire. Quarterback Blake Anderson taking over the play calling

766
00:34:15,400 --> 00:34:18,520
Speaker 2: duties on offense. Their new DC Joe Coffin from Steven F.

767
00:34:18,560 --> 00:34:19,279
Speaker 4: Austin comes in.

768
00:34:21,080 --> 00:34:23,719
Speaker 2: That's I mean lots of moving pieces, as you can tell.

769
00:34:23,800 --> 00:34:26,680
Speaker 2: And last year I will add this little nugget in

770
00:34:26,760 --> 00:34:30,320
Speaker 2: my research. Joe Coffin, Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks beat a

771
00:34:30,360 --> 00:34:34,680
Speaker 2: team ninety eight nothing that was the Warner Royals, So

772
00:34:34,719 --> 00:34:37,120
Speaker 2: I had to look up where Warner was there south

773
00:34:37,160 --> 00:34:40,960
Speaker 2: of Orlando. If you're driving down there and you hit Frostproof, Florida,

774
00:34:41,000 --> 00:34:43,160
Speaker 2: you've driven too far. So back it up, go to

775
00:34:43,239 --> 00:34:45,120
Speaker 2: Warner find out how they lost a football game ninety

776
00:34:45,160 --> 00:34:48,879
Speaker 2: eight nothing. The offense just absolutely looked round last year

777
00:34:48,920 --> 00:34:50,840
Speaker 2: for Utah State, and I'm not sure that it's going

778
00:34:50,920 --> 00:34:53,360
Speaker 2: to get any better here. They have some interesting options

779
00:34:53,400 --> 00:34:55,839
Speaker 2: in the slot. That's about as good as I can say,

780
00:34:56,280 --> 00:34:58,960
Speaker 2: and they draw two great defenses in the first three weeks.

781
00:34:59,000 --> 00:35:01,120
Speaker 2: To really kill the self confidence. They got to go

782
00:35:01,120 --> 00:35:03,920
Speaker 2: to Iowa City take on the Hawkeyes and then they

783
00:35:03,960 --> 00:35:05,880
Speaker 2: got to go to Air Force to take on the Falcons.

784
00:35:06,440 --> 00:35:08,319
Speaker 2: Don't love it, but I do love the under. I'm

785
00:35:08,360 --> 00:35:10,279
Speaker 2: going under the win total on six here. I know

786
00:35:10,400 --> 00:35:14,240
Speaker 2: Utah State has been a consistent program and Blake Anderson's

787
00:35:14,280 --> 00:35:15,879
Speaker 2: a hell of a coach, but I just don't think

788
00:35:15,880 --> 00:35:17,879
Speaker 2: he has the horses this year. Do you agree, Colin?

789
00:35:20,040 --> 00:35:22,520
Speaker 1: How many interceptions I are we going to have in

790
00:35:22,560 --> 00:35:24,600
Speaker 1: that first game? About seven eight we're going to be

791
00:35:24,640 --> 00:35:29,759
Speaker 1: complaining about Iowas turnover margin. One thing really bothers me

792
00:35:29,840 --> 00:35:31,879
Speaker 1: about this team, especially when you have Blake Anderson as

793
00:35:31,880 --> 00:35:34,600
Speaker 1: your head coach, is that you fell to one hundred

794
00:35:34,640 --> 00:35:38,600
Speaker 1: and twenty eighth and passing downs explosiveness. Everything I can

795
00:35:38,680 --> 00:35:41,520
Speaker 1: remember from my Arkansas State studies told me that during

796
00:35:41,600 --> 00:35:44,200
Speaker 1: passing downs, Arkansas State is basically going to score a

797
00:35:44,239 --> 00:35:46,600
Speaker 1: touchdown it. I mean, the offense is nothing compared to

798
00:35:46,680 --> 00:35:48,960
Speaker 1: what we've seen before out of any of Anderson's offenses.

799
00:35:49,000 --> 00:35:51,160
Speaker 1: And I think that speaks to why you know, Kyle

800
00:35:51,280 --> 00:35:54,759
Speaker 1: Cephalo is promoted as cooc but Anderson's made it very

801
00:35:54,840 --> 00:35:57,320
Speaker 1: clear I'm the one calling all the plays my offense.

802
00:35:57,320 --> 00:36:00,840
Speaker 1: I'm calling all the plays of the speed RP. You

803
00:36:00,920 --> 00:36:02,759
Speaker 1: know when you go well by the way this team

804
00:36:02,800 --> 00:36:05,839
Speaker 1: finished dead last, and penalties per game, I mean, that's

805
00:36:05,960 --> 00:36:07,720
Speaker 1: on coaching. That's not players.

806
00:36:07,719 --> 00:36:08,080
Speaker 4: That's coach.

807
00:36:08,160 --> 00:36:11,400
Speaker 1: When you're that bad, that's coaching. And it's one of

808
00:36:11,440 --> 00:36:14,600
Speaker 1: those things where, let me give you an example here.

809
00:36:14,960 --> 00:36:16,320
Speaker 1: This is why I don't have the warm and fuzzies

810
00:36:16,320 --> 00:36:19,360
Speaker 1: about Blake Anderson. When I went to Dana Holgerson and

811
00:36:19,400 --> 00:36:21,799
Speaker 1: I said, hey, let's talk about your penalties, He's like, yep,

812
00:36:21,840 --> 00:36:24,560
Speaker 1: we deserved them all. I purposely wanted them jumping the

813
00:36:24,920 --> 00:36:26,960
Speaker 1: you know, I wanted them doing this and doing that,

814
00:36:27,160 --> 00:36:29,800
Speaker 1: being aggressive. I loved it. I wanted them committing penalties.

815
00:36:30,200 --> 00:36:33,200
Speaker 1: Holgerson flats out, flat out admits it, like he promotes

816
00:36:33,239 --> 00:36:36,799
Speaker 1: to his players, I want you to be aggressive. Anderson says,

817
00:36:37,080 --> 00:36:39,480
Speaker 1: it's more of a player thing. Yeah, well, when you're

818
00:36:39,560 --> 00:36:41,920
Speaker 1: dead last. There's some coaching involved there too, with penalties.

819
00:36:42,000 --> 00:36:45,160
Speaker 1: So you know, and we've got what a dozen JUCO

820
00:36:45,360 --> 00:36:48,160
Speaker 1: editions on the defense, not even portal guys, like we're

821
00:36:48,239 --> 00:36:50,440
Speaker 1: just going to the JUCO ranks to get them. You know,

822
00:36:50,520 --> 00:36:53,279
Speaker 1: Cooper Legless has got some he's got some run in them.

823
00:36:53,600 --> 00:36:55,680
Speaker 1: Three hundred and sixty three rushing yards last year, so

824
00:36:55,719 --> 00:36:58,480
Speaker 1: I guess that's some offense. But I can't get over

825
00:37:00,600 --> 00:37:03,800
Speaker 1: a team that Anderson offense at Anderson would have a

826
00:37:03,880 --> 00:37:07,400
Speaker 1: hand in falling that far and explosive passing, and I

827
00:37:07,440 --> 00:37:10,319
Speaker 1: can't get over the penalties. I have this projected at

828
00:37:10,320 --> 00:37:13,759
Speaker 1: four point seven. I thought the juice was really a

829
00:37:13,800 --> 00:37:16,040
Speaker 1: little bit too thick for me to lay a season

830
00:37:16,160 --> 00:37:17,960
Speaker 1: long bet on it, But that's the way that I

831
00:37:18,000 --> 00:37:18,279
Speaker 1: would go.

832
00:37:19,160 --> 00:37:20,799
Speaker 2: Can we make it a clean sweep here, I nl

833
00:37:20,840 --> 00:37:21,960
Speaker 2: o three for three on the under.

834
00:37:22,480 --> 00:37:25,520
Speaker 4: Yeah. Absolutely. I think you guys mentioned that their offense

835
00:37:25,640 --> 00:37:30,239
Speaker 4: was just dreadful last year, and you know it is

836
00:37:30,360 --> 00:37:32,840
Speaker 4: something that you know people have been hammering dabbo against.

837
00:37:32,920 --> 00:37:35,879
Speaker 4: Where like when when your offensive you just have something

838
00:37:35,960 --> 00:37:38,279
Speaker 4: really bad, it's usually best to kind of go as

839
00:37:38,360 --> 00:37:41,000
Speaker 4: far away from your system and like try something new.

840
00:37:41,960 --> 00:37:45,239
Speaker 4: Blake Anderson's like, oh, I'm taking over play calling. I

841
00:37:45,400 --> 00:37:47,279
Speaker 4: hate when coaches do that. I think that's always a

842
00:37:47,360 --> 00:37:50,960
Speaker 4: bad sign. It's also like, you know, the OC and

843
00:37:51,040 --> 00:37:53,480
Speaker 4: DC have been with him since Arkansas State, so he's

844
00:37:53,520 --> 00:37:56,480
Speaker 4: basically just keeping yes men around. He promoted the passing

845
00:37:56,560 --> 00:37:59,320
Speaker 4: game coordinator of a passing attack that ranked one hundred

846
00:37:59,360 --> 00:38:01,960
Speaker 4: and six in the country. He me, if you were

847
00:38:02,000 --> 00:38:03,759
Speaker 4: one hundred and six at your job and they're like,

848
00:38:03,840 --> 00:38:06,120
Speaker 4: here's your promotion, you'd be like, this doesn't make any sense.

849
00:38:06,719 --> 00:38:09,399
Speaker 4: And you know they have to replace Calvin Tyler, who

850
00:38:09,480 --> 00:38:12,600
Speaker 4: is basically their whole team, all their receivers, all their

851
00:38:12,640 --> 00:38:17,000
Speaker 4: offensive line. First of all, it's Cooper Laga. He's fancy,

852
00:38:17,080 --> 00:38:19,560
Speaker 4: so you have to say with the little Leaga, yeah,

853
00:38:19,719 --> 00:38:23,600
Speaker 4: like why are they what about this offseason has made

854
00:38:23,719 --> 00:38:26,120
Speaker 4: anyone believe that their offense is going to be any better.

855
00:38:26,920 --> 00:38:27,120
Speaker 1: Yeah.

856
00:38:27,239 --> 00:38:28,919
Speaker 4: The only that makes me a little nervous is they've

857
00:38:28,920 --> 00:38:31,359
Speaker 4: had a They've had five straight years with at least

858
00:38:31,400 --> 00:38:34,399
Speaker 4: a five game change in wins. So if they won,

859
00:38:34,520 --> 00:38:36,719
Speaker 4: you know, six games last year, they're either going to

860
00:38:36,760 --> 00:38:39,480
Speaker 4: go eleven and one or one and eleven, and I

861
00:38:39,560 --> 00:38:41,560
Speaker 4: think one in eleven is a lot more likely. So

862
00:38:42,560 --> 00:38:45,160
Speaker 4: when you look at their schedule, Okay, you give mydo

863
00:38:45,600 --> 00:38:49,719
Speaker 4: Idaho State, where is there another easy win? Even if

864
00:38:49,760 --> 00:38:54,880
Speaker 4: you gave them New Mexico, Nevada and Yukon, which I

865
00:38:55,000 --> 00:38:57,600
Speaker 4: don't I think kind of crushes them. Where are the

866
00:38:57,640 --> 00:39:00,440
Speaker 4: other two wins coming from James Madison?

867
00:39:00,560 --> 00:39:01,920
Speaker 1: It's not James Maddens, no like.

868
00:39:02,080 --> 00:39:05,279
Speaker 4: And then they're not beating early like. So how are

869
00:39:05,320 --> 00:39:07,399
Speaker 4: this team getting to six wins? Even if you give

870
00:39:07,480 --> 00:39:10,880
Speaker 4: them the four that are probably within a touchdown spread,

871
00:39:11,320 --> 00:39:13,440
Speaker 4: which that in itself seems unlikely, They're gonna have to

872
00:39:13,520 --> 00:39:17,279
Speaker 4: pull two massive upsets. I think this team goes well

873
00:39:17,360 --> 00:39:19,399
Speaker 4: under five and a half or six whatever.

874
00:39:19,640 --> 00:39:19,879
Speaker 2: I think.

875
00:39:19,920 --> 00:39:22,000
Speaker 1: What else is bad to Iello is that if you

876
00:39:22,080 --> 00:39:24,640
Speaker 1: look at the November schedule here, like they want to pass,

877
00:39:24,680 --> 00:39:27,160
Speaker 1: they want to pass all the time. But the defenses

878
00:39:27,320 --> 00:39:29,960
Speaker 1: San Diego State, Boise State, New Mexico, that's a lot

879
00:39:30,000 --> 00:39:33,320
Speaker 1: of nickel packages that like to hide coverage. And you

880
00:39:33,760 --> 00:39:35,600
Speaker 1: and I and we just talked about San Diego State.

881
00:39:35,880 --> 00:39:37,960
Speaker 1: I'd rather face that defense at the beginning of the season,

882
00:39:38,080 --> 00:39:38,520
Speaker 1: not the end.

883
00:39:39,440 --> 00:39:42,520
Speaker 4: You mentioned throwing. You know, Iowa James Madison Air Force.

884
00:39:42,600 --> 00:39:45,120
Speaker 4: You like, they play really good defenses the whole year,

885
00:39:45,800 --> 00:39:48,200
Speaker 4: and their offense is horrific. They're going to be they

886
00:39:48,280 --> 00:39:50,240
Speaker 4: might be one of the worst offenses in the country

887
00:39:50,239 --> 00:39:50,839
Speaker 4: when it's all said.

888
00:39:52,000 --> 00:39:54,560
Speaker 2: From that conversation to one, that's a little, at least

889
00:39:54,560 --> 00:39:55,800
Speaker 2: in my opinion, more positive.

890
00:39:55,920 --> 00:40:01,480
Speaker 6: Unl E there comes the rebel Ruler, a giant slot

891
00:40:01,600 --> 00:40:05,080
Speaker 6: machine used in the wake of any UNLV score or

892
00:40:05,200 --> 00:40:08,080
Speaker 6: turnover forced, and the first to pull.

893
00:40:08,200 --> 00:40:09,960
Speaker 3: The lever is the chuck Wagon.

894
00:40:10,080 --> 00:40:14,319
Speaker 2: Charles Williams UNLV five and seven last year almost broke through.

895
00:40:14,440 --> 00:40:17,200
Speaker 2: Had some injury issues with Doug Brumfield at quarterback, their

896
00:40:17,200 --> 00:40:19,879
Speaker 2: win totals sitting at six. They returned about sixty percent

897
00:40:19,880 --> 00:40:21,799
Speaker 2: of their offensive line starts plus two in the net

898
00:40:21,880 --> 00:40:24,520
Speaker 2: tarp plus one point five on offense, twelve starters in

899
00:40:24,640 --> 00:40:28,040
Speaker 2: total and their punter coming back. Barry Otem steps in

900
00:40:28,400 --> 00:40:30,600
Speaker 2: takes over from Marcus Arroyo, who is seven and twenty

901
00:40:30,640 --> 00:40:33,480
Speaker 2: three straight up but a gambling darling sixteen thirteen and

902
00:40:33,600 --> 00:40:36,560
Speaker 2: one against the spread, but the headline for me. Guess

903
00:40:36,600 --> 00:40:40,360
Speaker 2: who's the OC? Brennan Marion and his famed go go offense.

904
00:40:40,960 --> 00:40:43,880
Speaker 2: UNLV fans are familiar with him. He orchestrated the biggest

905
00:40:43,920 --> 00:40:46,680
Speaker 2: upset in gambling history in terms of college football point

906
00:40:46,719 --> 00:40:48,880
Speaker 2: spreads when he was the OC at Howard and they

907
00:40:49,000 --> 00:40:52,440
Speaker 2: upset the same UNLV team. It's no huddle, it's shotgun,

908
00:40:52,520 --> 00:40:56,040
Speaker 2: it's run heavy, takes big shots downfield, and he's been

909
00:40:56,040 --> 00:40:58,040
Speaker 2: a rising star for years now in the coaching ranks.

910
00:40:58,080 --> 00:41:00,680
Speaker 2: He coached up Joran Adison at as the wide receiver

911
00:41:00,760 --> 00:41:03,440
Speaker 2: coach he wins to Blendikoff coach at Texas last year,

912
00:41:04,160 --> 00:41:06,640
Speaker 2: and as the Howard and William Mary OC, they ran

913
00:41:06,680 --> 00:41:08,920
Speaker 2: the ball sixty three percent at the time. And to

914
00:41:09,000 --> 00:41:11,479
Speaker 2: find a little nugget here, his number one wide receiver

915
00:41:11,600 --> 00:41:14,880
Speaker 2: at Howard averaged over twenty six yards per catch. So

916
00:41:15,920 --> 00:41:18,759
Speaker 2: looking at this UNLV team, Ken Barry Odom work a

917
00:41:18,760 --> 00:41:21,440
Speaker 2: little magic sprinkle some faery dust on this defense that

918
00:41:21,600 --> 00:41:23,960
Speaker 2: wasn't quite a dumpster fire, was right on the verge

919
00:41:24,000 --> 00:41:26,360
Speaker 2: of being a dumpster fire last year. This is obviously

920
00:41:26,440 --> 00:41:28,960
Speaker 2: his backgrounds. I think if he can get them into

921
00:41:29,000 --> 00:41:31,600
Speaker 2: the sixties low seventies and some of the metrics and

922
00:41:32,239 --> 00:41:34,560
Speaker 2: knock on wood, Doug Brumfield stays healthy for the first

923
00:41:34,600 --> 00:41:37,080
Speaker 2: time in three years, I think there's a chance for

924
00:41:37,160 --> 00:41:38,160
Speaker 2: them to go over this number.

925
00:41:38,280 --> 00:41:39,600
Speaker 4: I like over on the win total.

926
00:41:39,640 --> 00:41:42,520
Speaker 2: Their schedule includes Bryant Vandy utep in the non con

927
00:41:42,800 --> 00:41:44,960
Speaker 2: I think those are all winnable games. So I'm going

928
00:41:45,040 --> 00:41:47,000
Speaker 2: to go ahead and roll the dice on the run

929
00:41:47,080 --> 00:41:48,960
Speaker 2: and rebels. What do you think here, Colin? I know

930
00:41:49,040 --> 00:41:51,640
Speaker 2: that you are in Vegas right now, so what are

931
00:41:51,719 --> 00:41:52,160
Speaker 2: the thoughts?

932
00:41:53,680 --> 00:41:56,000
Speaker 1: And I love Barry Otum. I'min former defensive coordinator for

933
00:41:56,120 --> 00:41:58,719
Speaker 1: Arkansas and I actually never had a problem with the

934
00:41:58,760 --> 00:42:01,719
Speaker 1: way that he calls defense. You know, he wants to rush, three,

935
00:42:02,000 --> 00:42:04,520
Speaker 1: drop eight. That's exactly what he's going to do here

936
00:42:04,560 --> 00:42:06,200
Speaker 1: on the defensive side of the ball. Him and Mike

937
00:42:06,280 --> 00:42:09,200
Speaker 1: Scherer is his DC. You know, he was the former

938
00:42:09,280 --> 00:42:11,440
Speaker 1: linebacker coach at Arkansas. So they have a scheme they

939
00:42:11,480 --> 00:42:13,680
Speaker 1: want to put in another nickel three three five defense.

940
00:42:13,760 --> 00:42:17,120
Speaker 1: And by the way, the front six are you know,

941
00:42:17,320 --> 00:42:19,840
Speaker 1: not that bad in Mountain West Conference. They're you know

942
00:42:19,920 --> 00:42:22,480
Speaker 1: about fourth fifth unit probably in all of the conference.

943
00:42:22,480 --> 00:42:24,439
Speaker 1: So I'm not worried about the defense whatsoever. They won't

944
00:42:24,480 --> 00:42:27,440
Speaker 1: give up explosive plays because that's Barry Odam's specialty. But

945
00:42:27,560 --> 00:42:29,640
Speaker 1: the offensive side of the ball is the story. I mean,

946
00:42:29,719 --> 00:42:32,560
Speaker 1: the go go up temple, no huddle. Who is ready

947
00:42:32,600 --> 00:42:35,920
Speaker 1: for some twenty one formation with dual running back sets.

948
00:42:36,040 --> 00:42:38,879
Speaker 1: You know, I'm all about it for my late night TV,

949
00:42:39,960 --> 00:42:42,279
Speaker 1: I think. And the good news is that Odam is

950
00:42:42,280 --> 00:42:44,560
Speaker 1: going to let Marion do whatever he wants. You know,

951
00:42:44,680 --> 00:42:47,319
Speaker 1: he has free range, which did not happen before GJ.

952
00:42:47,520 --> 00:42:50,680
Speaker 1: Kinney Hawaii. There's been other stops where Maryon has been

953
00:42:50,840 --> 00:42:52,839
Speaker 1: He's just not been allowed to call what he wants

954
00:42:52,880 --> 00:42:55,120
Speaker 1: to call. And so I couldn't be more excited to

955
00:42:55,160 --> 00:42:58,080
Speaker 1: see this late at night. They did have a wide

956
00:42:58,120 --> 00:43:01,719
Speaker 1: receiver Tojesus juco player. He was a breakout player for

957
00:43:01,760 --> 00:43:03,520
Speaker 1: the spring game, so keep your eyes on that. On

958
00:43:03,600 --> 00:43:06,719
Speaker 1: the offense, I project this at six point one. I

959
00:43:06,840 --> 00:43:09,799
Speaker 1: haven't played an over of six. I would play the over,

960
00:43:10,200 --> 00:43:14,200
Speaker 1: but to me, it's extremely Doug Brumfield health dependent. When

961
00:43:14,320 --> 00:43:16,600
Speaker 1: he is allowed to move around and do what he

962
00:43:16,680 --> 00:43:19,000
Speaker 1: wants and he's healthy, it's a game changer. I mean,

963
00:43:19,080 --> 00:43:22,000
Speaker 1: to me, it's seven points. There's the reason why I'm

964
00:43:22,840 --> 00:43:25,759
Speaker 1: crowdsourcing Twitter of people that are actually down in a

965
00:43:25,800 --> 00:43:28,200
Speaker 1: Legion stadium trying to find out if Doug Brumfield is

966
00:43:28,239 --> 00:43:31,120
Speaker 1: taking snaps ninety minutes before the game starts, because he's

967
00:43:31,200 --> 00:43:34,360
Speaker 1: that important to the spread. So I will be you

968
00:43:34,440 --> 00:43:37,640
Speaker 1: and V is a play on team, and because they're

969
00:43:37,640 --> 00:43:40,279
Speaker 1: going to now create explosives on offense with Brumfield and

970
00:43:40,360 --> 00:43:43,400
Speaker 1: they're going to limit explosives on defense. So they're a

971
00:43:43,440 --> 00:43:45,000
Speaker 1: play on team week to week. But I can't play

972
00:43:45,040 --> 00:43:47,760
Speaker 1: the over because it's Brumfield injury dependent.

973
00:43:48,840 --> 00:43:51,719
Speaker 4: Do you agree? I know, yeah, that's exactly Ryan. I mean,

974
00:43:51,760 --> 00:43:53,680
Speaker 4: it seems dumb to say on a gambling podcast, but

975
00:43:53,880 --> 00:43:57,680
Speaker 4: they're the biggest gamble in the conference because if if

976
00:43:57,719 --> 00:44:01,160
Speaker 4: Brumfield's healthy, I think they're I don't want to say easily,

977
00:44:01,239 --> 00:44:03,040
Speaker 4: but I think they're easily a bold team and if

978
00:44:03,080 --> 00:44:05,200
Speaker 4: he's not, and that's just just if if he's not,

979
00:44:05,560 --> 00:44:08,080
Speaker 4: and I feel like it's more likely than not you

980
00:44:08,160 --> 00:44:10,880
Speaker 4: won't be you know, you guys mentioned it with the defense.

981
00:44:10,920 --> 00:44:14,400
Speaker 4: I think, you know, just Barry Otem immediately makes his

982
00:44:14,520 --> 00:44:17,480
Speaker 4: defense better. I like some of the transfer portal, you know.

983
00:44:17,520 --> 00:44:21,160
Speaker 4: In additions, they brought in Jackson Woodword from Arkansas, Zevier

984
00:44:21,200 --> 00:44:24,320
Speaker 4: Carter from LSU, Jalen Fraser from ENCI State. They're bringing

985
00:44:24,360 --> 00:44:26,880
Speaker 4: in some power five guys to boll strop that defense.

986
00:44:28,000 --> 00:44:29,799
Speaker 4: It's just all gonna come down to Brumfield. So I'm

987
00:44:29,840 --> 00:44:31,680
Speaker 4: with Colin, where you know, you look at the schedule

988
00:44:31,719 --> 00:44:36,040
Speaker 4: and you're going to get big numbers against you know, Michigan, Vanderbilt.

989
00:44:36,400 --> 00:44:38,280
Speaker 4: You know, you're probably you can get them as a favorite,

990
00:44:38,320 --> 00:44:41,239
Speaker 4: probably against UTAP Hawaii. Like That's where I'm attacking them,

991
00:44:41,280 --> 00:44:43,600
Speaker 4: you know, take them with the points against Vanderbilt. Stuff

992
00:44:43,600 --> 00:44:46,080
Speaker 4: like that, where you can basically know before the game

993
00:44:46,920 --> 00:44:49,800
Speaker 4: back in before Brumfield gets hurt, not worry about tying

994
00:44:49,880 --> 00:44:53,320
Speaker 4: up your you know, your money all year long on

995
00:44:53,600 --> 00:44:57,160
Speaker 4: this dude's you know, ankles who can't stay healthy. Also,

996
00:44:57,719 --> 00:44:59,680
Speaker 4: I'm a little disappointed both of you guys. You know,

997
00:45:00,200 --> 00:45:03,839
Speaker 4: Calabres is like, oh the big headlines, Colin, the big story. Okay,

998
00:45:03,920 --> 00:45:06,400
Speaker 4: the big headline was, you know, let's pour one out

999
00:45:06,440 --> 00:45:08,960
Speaker 4: for the two weeks Bobby Patrino was their offensive coordinator,

1000
00:45:09,040 --> 00:45:11,920
Speaker 4: or you know, rip to the Bobby Patrino era. I

1001
00:45:12,000 --> 00:45:13,520
Speaker 4: have to think back to what my favorite game of

1002
00:45:13,560 --> 00:45:16,680
Speaker 4: the Bobby Patrino era was, but yeah, that would be

1003
00:45:16,680 --> 00:45:18,320
Speaker 4: the big headline for you and l He's off season.

1004
00:45:18,760 --> 00:45:21,839
Speaker 1: It was the warmest cardboard box that was described as

1005
00:45:21,880 --> 00:45:24,120
Speaker 1: it came into the building in the facility to unload

1006
00:45:24,160 --> 00:45:26,600
Speaker 1: his personals, and then two weeks later was backloaded up

1007
00:45:26,640 --> 00:45:28,800
Speaker 1: and that box was right. He never actually go on campus.

1008
00:45:29,080 --> 00:45:31,520
Speaker 1: We will have an SEC podcast, but we're gonna there's

1009
00:45:31,520 --> 00:45:33,840
Speaker 1: a lot of info coming out about this whole Patrino

1010
00:45:33,920 --> 00:45:37,840
Speaker 1: hiring process and the Jimbo hesitation. I accidentally kicked a

1011
00:45:37,880 --> 00:45:41,440
Speaker 1: hornets nest at SEC Media days by asking specifically who

1012
00:45:41,560 --> 00:45:45,279
Speaker 1: was calling plays, but UNLV, specific to this podcast fell

1013
00:45:45,360 --> 00:45:47,839
Speaker 1: into a great I mean, you lose Patrino, you think, man,

1014
00:45:47,920 --> 00:45:49,640
Speaker 1: how am I going to find a play caller? They've

1015
00:45:49,719 --> 00:45:52,040
Speaker 1: got One's gonna be a lot of fun for UNLV

1016
00:45:52,160 --> 00:45:52,440
Speaker 1: this year.

1017
00:45:52,760 --> 00:45:54,920
Speaker 2: All right, turning to another team that actually has a

1018
00:45:54,960 --> 00:45:58,280
Speaker 2: lot of promise on offense, and we'll start with Chevin

1019
00:45:58,320 --> 00:46:01,320
Speaker 2: Cardero and San Jose State. Iello and I love to

1020
00:46:01,360 --> 00:46:04,319
Speaker 2: give this guy a hard time, but Santose State comes

1021
00:46:04,360 --> 00:46:07,200
Speaker 2: into the year seven and five. Last season when total

1022
00:46:07,280 --> 00:46:09,319
Speaker 2: set at five and a half, every one of their

1023
00:46:09,400 --> 00:46:12,279
Speaker 2: offensive line starts return one hundred percent. They're one of

1024
00:46:12,320 --> 00:46:13,680
Speaker 2: I want to say, seven or eight teams in the

1025
00:46:13,800 --> 00:46:16,959
Speaker 2: entire country. Their net TARP, though, is minus one point

1026
00:46:17,000 --> 00:46:19,720
Speaker 2: five because they're minus five on defense, twelve returning starters

1027
00:46:19,760 --> 00:46:23,560
Speaker 2: in total. Both specialists are back. Chevin Cordero. You know

1028
00:46:23,719 --> 00:46:26,080
Speaker 2: he has his moments, but certainly when you pair him

1029
00:46:26,120 --> 00:46:28,920
Speaker 2: with Kyrie Robinson, who's a fun scat back lot of

1030
00:46:29,000 --> 00:46:31,680
Speaker 2: experience together, you know what you're going to get from

1031
00:46:31,680 --> 00:46:34,239
Speaker 2: the Spartans. But the question here is Brent Brennan. His

1032
00:46:34,400 --> 00:46:37,080
Speaker 2: calling card has been this defense, and right out of

1033
00:46:37,120 --> 00:46:38,719
Speaker 2: the shoot they're going to be tested because they got

1034
00:46:38,800 --> 00:46:41,480
Speaker 2: to go up against Cali Williams and USC. They they

1035
00:46:41,520 --> 00:46:44,239
Speaker 2: face DJU and Oregon State and their running game, and

1036
00:46:44,280 --> 00:46:46,640
Speaker 2: then they have a rodiated Toledo taking on to Kwan

1037
00:46:46,719 --> 00:46:48,839
Speaker 2: Finn at the end of the month of September, toss

1038
00:46:48,920 --> 00:46:51,480
Speaker 2: in a conference slate that includes Air Force Fresno, San

1039
00:46:51,600 --> 00:46:54,359
Speaker 2: Jose State and at home against Boise Stairs. All those

1040
00:46:54,400 --> 00:46:56,520
Speaker 2: three at home and then Boise State on the road.

1041
00:46:57,239 --> 00:46:59,600
Speaker 2: I'm seeing it under. Even with this offense looking as

1042
00:46:59,640 --> 00:47:01,920
Speaker 2: good as it has in years, and they have all

1043
00:47:02,000 --> 00:47:05,600
Speaker 2: the components, I just don't think they have. I remember

1044
00:47:05,719 --> 00:47:08,040
Speaker 2: back to that COVID year they had two really good

1045
00:47:08,080 --> 00:47:10,720
Speaker 2: wide receivers. I don't see that right now on their roster.

1046
00:47:11,120 --> 00:47:13,839
Speaker 2: And defensively they lost so much, you know, in terms

1047
00:47:13,880 --> 00:47:16,040
Speaker 2: of their defensive line and the last two years, you

1048
00:47:16,080 --> 00:47:18,480
Speaker 2: think about that as their calling card. Last year we

1049
00:47:18,560 --> 00:47:20,560
Speaker 2: were kind of banging the drum on potentially they're under.

1050
00:47:20,640 --> 00:47:23,320
Speaker 2: Colin came in, staked his claims, said that you should

1051
00:47:23,320 --> 00:47:25,520
Speaker 2: go over. He was right. Are you feeling the same

1052
00:47:25,600 --> 00:47:28,320
Speaker 2: way on SJSU, Colin? I'm not.

1053
00:47:28,520 --> 00:47:31,160
Speaker 1: And I love the team and I love their head coach,

1054
00:47:33,719 --> 00:47:37,040
Speaker 1: and you know, I think the problem is is my

1055
00:47:37,080 --> 00:47:39,239
Speaker 1: projection on this was five point two, so under five

1056
00:47:39,280 --> 00:47:42,160
Speaker 1: point five A plus money would obviously make sense to

1057
00:47:42,239 --> 00:47:43,800
Speaker 1: make the bet. And then there's other things that I

1058
00:47:43,880 --> 00:47:45,560
Speaker 1: and I hate going against San Jose State, so it

1059
00:47:45,640 --> 00:47:47,080
Speaker 1: kind of pains me to go through all this. But

1060
00:47:47,880 --> 00:47:50,160
Speaker 1: you know, in on this schedule, when you realize that

1061
00:47:50,600 --> 00:47:52,920
Speaker 1: you know Brennan has a two and nine record against

1062
00:47:52,920 --> 00:47:54,719
Speaker 1: San Diego State and Fresno State, and those are two

1063
00:47:54,760 --> 00:47:56,960
Speaker 1: of the teams that they play in November. It doesn't

1064
00:47:57,000 --> 00:47:58,759
Speaker 1: bode very well. And then you look at the front

1065
00:47:58,800 --> 00:48:01,759
Speaker 1: of the schedule, like Chavon Cordero is the group of

1066
00:48:01,840 --> 00:48:04,120
Speaker 1: five Caleb Williams, Right, they get Caleb Williams out of

1067
00:48:04,120 --> 00:48:06,120
Speaker 1: the gate with USC and then if that doesn't tax

1068
00:48:06,200 --> 00:48:07,919
Speaker 1: him enough, they got to go up to Oregon State

1069
00:48:07,960 --> 00:48:11,040
Speaker 1: and have Djuungaliali in a crazy running back attack. Just

1070
00:48:11,120 --> 00:48:14,840
Speaker 1: go at their defense, which I'm looking at this front

1071
00:48:14,960 --> 00:48:17,600
Speaker 1: seven is just you know, it's going to be a

1072
00:48:17,680 --> 00:48:19,600
Speaker 1: problem in that three four three four is not built

1073
00:48:19,600 --> 00:48:21,480
Speaker 1: to stop the run. Oregon State's going to run through them.

1074
00:48:21,520 --> 00:48:23,000
Speaker 1: So their first win is going to be cal Pauly.

1075
00:48:23,120 --> 00:48:25,000
Speaker 1: And then what are we doing at Toledo?

1076
00:48:25,440 --> 00:48:25,560
Speaker 2: Right?

1077
00:48:25,920 --> 00:48:27,239
Speaker 1: We don't know what we're getting with the Kwan fin

1078
00:48:27,280 --> 00:48:29,480
Speaker 1: how many turnovers or maybe he'll play elite, We don't know.

1079
00:48:29,680 --> 00:48:31,920
Speaker 1: And I hate to go under on this team, but

1080
00:48:32,000 --> 00:48:34,120
Speaker 1: at plus money at five and a half, that's that's

1081
00:48:34,120 --> 00:48:36,400
Speaker 1: where you got to go because they are bringing in

1082
00:48:36,680 --> 00:48:39,880
Speaker 1: one of the top FCS running backs, Isaiah fonse is

1083
00:48:39,920 --> 00:48:42,200
Speaker 1: coming in from Montana State, so that is a positive.

1084
00:48:43,040 --> 00:48:44,960
Speaker 1: But you know this is a brands make a new

1085
00:48:45,040 --> 00:48:47,560
Speaker 1: defense from a front seven perspective, you know, there's good

1086
00:48:47,600 --> 00:48:50,040
Speaker 1: things on the offense. This is the most experienced offensive

1087
00:48:50,080 --> 00:48:52,400
Speaker 1: line and tight ends in the Mountain West. That's a

1088
00:48:52,440 --> 00:48:55,279
Speaker 1: good thing. Cordero is back. He's played forever, it seems like,

1089
00:48:56,320 --> 00:48:58,680
Speaker 1: and I think you you know, I don't want to

1090
00:48:58,680 --> 00:49:01,440
Speaker 1: base last year on a negative losing by two touchdowns

1091
00:49:01,480 --> 00:49:03,840
Speaker 1: and the Potato Bowl to Eastern Michigan. You know, they

1092
00:49:03,880 --> 00:49:06,680
Speaker 1: had a player death. The second half of last season

1093
00:49:06,840 --> 00:49:08,680
Speaker 1: was really tough for this team. But at the same time,

1094
00:49:08,800 --> 00:49:11,719
Speaker 1: the schedule's tough. Their conference schedule is tough. They're non

1095
00:49:11,840 --> 00:49:14,319
Speaker 1: con to start off is tough. I can't make six

1096
00:49:14,360 --> 00:49:16,239
Speaker 1: wins here and you're giving me plus money on under

1097
00:49:16,280 --> 00:49:20,000
Speaker 1: five and a half. So that's I haven't shed the

1098
00:49:20,480 --> 00:49:22,320
Speaker 1: broccoli rubber band I have with all my money and

1099
00:49:22,400 --> 00:49:24,239
Speaker 1: gone down and hit it over the counter. But I'm

1100
00:49:24,520 --> 00:49:25,600
Speaker 1: going to be on San Jose.

1101
00:49:25,520 --> 00:49:28,600
Speaker 4: State under I'm gonna say something. I think it's going

1102
00:49:28,640 --> 00:49:31,479
Speaker 4: to shock you guys. I'm really starting to come around

1103
00:49:31,560 --> 00:49:33,840
Speaker 4: on Cordero. It kind of happened quietly last year. I

1104
00:49:33,880 --> 00:49:34,560
Speaker 4: didn't bring it up.

1105
00:49:34,840 --> 00:49:36,160
Speaker 1: Who's this guy? Too late?

1106
00:49:36,360 --> 00:49:39,719
Speaker 2: Sorry, Bud that the bandwagon has closed. The aescello doors

1107
00:49:39,760 --> 00:49:42,080
Speaker 2: have sealed shut, the conductor's waving it is over. You

1108
00:49:42,120 --> 00:49:44,719
Speaker 2: cannot get on the Cadaro bandwagon at this point.

1109
00:49:45,040 --> 00:49:50,000
Speaker 4: This thing on, dude. Twenty three touchdowns, nine passing, nine

1110
00:49:50,040 --> 00:49:53,240
Speaker 4: touchdowns rushing. He might be the best quarterback in his conference.

1111
00:49:53,360 --> 00:49:56,000
Speaker 4: So that scares me to say it's kind of more

1112
00:49:56,040 --> 00:49:57,800
Speaker 4: of an indictment on the rest of the conference. But

1113
00:49:58,520 --> 00:50:00,239
Speaker 4: I think it is also a non zero chance this

1114
00:50:00,320 --> 00:50:02,160
Speaker 4: is the best offense in the conference. I think you

1115
00:50:02,239 --> 00:50:04,800
Speaker 4: know them and Boise' I don't know why. I'm just

1116
00:50:04,880 --> 00:50:07,560
Speaker 4: sold on the offense. Kyle Robinson's back at running back,

1117
00:50:07,719 --> 00:50:10,359
Speaker 4: Justin Lockhart's back at receiver. You mentioned their offensive line

1118
00:50:10,400 --> 00:50:13,759
Speaker 4: I think is really good. They returned a ton on offense. Yeah,

1119
00:50:13,760 --> 00:50:16,200
Speaker 4: their defense has to replace two of the last three

1120
00:50:16,239 --> 00:50:18,480
Speaker 4: Mountain West defense players of the year, which is not great,

1121
00:50:18,600 --> 00:50:23,000
Speaker 4: and a three time All Conference linebacker. But they still

1122
00:50:23,040 --> 00:50:25,160
Speaker 4: have pieces. They have decent depths, so it's not like

1123
00:50:25,200 --> 00:50:27,160
Speaker 4: they're replacing them with freshmen. It's just kind of like

1124
00:50:27,760 --> 00:50:32,600
Speaker 4: backups are now playing more minutes. So you mentioned the

1125
00:50:32,640 --> 00:50:35,799
Speaker 4: non con it's brutal, usc Organ States, Toledo. So I'm

1126
00:50:35,840 --> 00:50:39,160
Speaker 4: not betting a win total on this team, but I

1127
00:50:39,239 --> 00:50:41,239
Speaker 4: mentioned I think Boise State's winning this conference, but I

1128
00:50:41,320 --> 00:50:43,840
Speaker 4: don't love the number. If I had to make a

1129
00:50:43,920 --> 00:50:47,279
Speaker 4: conference future bet, I would take them because I think

1130
00:50:47,360 --> 00:50:50,719
Speaker 4: they have the upside where if everything clicks. Sure, they're

1131
00:50:50,719 --> 00:50:53,279
Speaker 4: not gonna win the non con, but I do think

1132
00:50:53,400 --> 00:50:55,200
Speaker 4: they can run through this conference because, like I said,

1133
00:50:55,239 --> 00:50:57,920
Speaker 4: I'm down on Fresno State, and you mentioned that you

1134
00:50:58,000 --> 00:51:01,040
Speaker 4: look at their schedule before the player death, they beat

1135
00:51:01,080 --> 00:51:03,200
Speaker 4: everyone but Fresno State. Grant they didn't have to play

1136
00:51:03,239 --> 00:51:06,840
Speaker 4: San Diego State yet, But considering the kind of step

1137
00:51:06,920 --> 00:51:09,239
Speaker 4: back I'm expecting from Fresno and I don't trust San

1138
00:51:09,320 --> 00:51:12,279
Speaker 4: Diego State. If you wanted to take a long shot

1139
00:51:12,360 --> 00:51:15,000
Speaker 4: fire in this conference, this is the team I would

1140
00:51:15,040 --> 00:51:18,200
Speaker 4: take it on because I think if the defense can click,

1141
00:51:18,520 --> 00:51:20,480
Speaker 4: I think they have the offense that they can win

1142
00:51:20,560 --> 00:51:24,600
Speaker 4: this conference. So this is my unofficial Mountain West Conference

1143
00:51:24,840 --> 00:51:26,080
Speaker 4: future is San Jose State.

1144
00:51:26,560 --> 00:51:29,440
Speaker 1: Yeah, and I hate fading Brent Brennan because he is

1145
00:51:29,640 --> 00:51:32,480
Speaker 1: I think they finished thirty first offensive finishing drives last year.

1146
00:51:33,040 --> 00:51:35,120
Speaker 1: There is a strong correlation for those of you new

1147
00:51:35,160 --> 00:51:37,439
Speaker 1: to betting teams that know how to score when given

1148
00:51:37,520 --> 00:51:41,839
Speaker 1: opportunity cover spreads and Brennan's thirty four and twenty nine

1149
00:51:41,880 --> 00:51:45,160
Speaker 1: against the spread. I don't like. I don't like fading

1150
00:51:45,239 --> 00:51:48,520
Speaker 1: this team. So but you know what, the defense, I

1151
00:51:48,560 --> 00:51:50,640
Speaker 1: think you're right, the offense is stacked.

1152
00:51:50,840 --> 00:51:53,040
Speaker 4: That's kind of why I like the more the long

1153
00:51:53,080 --> 00:51:56,040
Speaker 4: on flyer because then it's just like if the defense clicks,

1154
00:51:57,120 --> 00:52:00,080
Speaker 4: they have a really high ceiling, I think. But I

1155
00:52:00,120 --> 00:52:01,960
Speaker 4: don't want to touch the win total with the non

1156
00:52:02,080 --> 00:52:02,520
Speaker 4: con You.

1157
00:52:02,560 --> 00:52:03,800
Speaker 1: Know what's going to make me mad is that I

1158
00:52:03,840 --> 00:52:05,440
Speaker 1: think I took a thirty to one on this podcast

1159
00:52:05,480 --> 00:52:07,840
Speaker 1: on San Jose State last year, right, and if you

1160
00:52:07,960 --> 00:52:10,120
Speaker 1: cash something like that this year, I'm just not gonna

1161
00:52:10,120 --> 00:52:11,000
Speaker 1: be able to talk to you for a while.

1162
00:52:11,040 --> 00:52:15,640
Speaker 4: I literally, I'm like Colin, that's insane. That's why I said, all.

1163
00:52:15,600 --> 00:52:19,400
Speaker 2: Right from inl O's long Shot to Mine. Colorado State

1164
00:52:19,520 --> 00:52:21,640
Speaker 2: three and nine last year, three and five in the

1165
00:52:21,640 --> 00:52:23,439
Speaker 2: Mountain West. Their win total at four and a half,

1166
00:52:23,560 --> 00:52:26,760
Speaker 2: it's juiced minus one fifty to the over. Their offensive

1167
00:52:26,800 --> 00:52:29,320
Speaker 2: line only returns twenty eight percent of their starts. But

1168
00:52:29,360 --> 00:52:31,160
Speaker 2: that's a good thing because their offensive line was total

1169
00:52:31,200 --> 00:52:34,439
Speaker 2: garbage last year. They give fifty nine sacks, the worst

1170
00:52:34,480 --> 00:52:36,640
Speaker 2: in the country. They're plus four and then at TARP

1171
00:52:36,760 --> 00:52:39,200
Speaker 2: plus three point five on offense, their return eleven starters

1172
00:52:39,239 --> 00:52:41,800
Speaker 2: in total, and their punter Clay Millon, My man, you

1173
00:52:41,920 --> 00:52:43,720
Speaker 2: want to talk about the best offense in the Mountain

1174
00:52:43,719 --> 00:52:46,800
Speaker 2: West Conference. If they can block, this will be the

1175
00:52:46,840 --> 00:52:49,560
Speaker 2: best offense in the Mountain West Conference. Clay Millan set

1176
00:52:49,600 --> 00:52:52,600
Speaker 2: the NCAA record for a freshman for completion percentage. He

1177
00:52:52,640 --> 00:52:54,719
Speaker 2: can play at seventy two point two percent of his

1178
00:52:54,800 --> 00:52:57,239
Speaker 2: throws last year. He's got a future pro. And Tory

1179
00:52:57,320 --> 00:52:59,719
Speaker 2: Hordon out on the perimeter, he's going to be at

1180
00:52:59,800 --> 00:53:02,759
Speaker 2: that yard plus ten touchdown plus kind of guy. They

1181
00:53:02,800 --> 00:53:05,920
Speaker 2: get a stud in the portal and BYU's Dallen Hulker

1182
00:53:06,320 --> 00:53:09,520
Speaker 2: at tight ends and one of the most underrated transfer

1183
00:53:09,640 --> 00:53:12,719
Speaker 2: gets Kobe Johnson from North Dakota State. This guy was

1184
00:53:12,880 --> 00:53:15,800
Speaker 2: a runaway beer truck when you watched him for the Bison.

1185
00:53:16,040 --> 00:53:17,840
Speaker 2: He'd hit the hole, he had vision, and he was

1186
00:53:17,880 --> 00:53:20,279
Speaker 2: a home run kind of running back. I love what

1187
00:53:20,360 --> 00:53:21,960
Speaker 2: they have. They go in the portal, they bring in

1188
00:53:22,000 --> 00:53:24,880
Speaker 2: four new offensive linemen. Granted three of them came from

1189
00:53:24,960 --> 00:53:28,640
Speaker 2: Lane College, Monmouth and Lamar, but apparently they're feeling better

1190
00:53:28,719 --> 00:53:30,960
Speaker 2: about their pass blocking than they did last year.

1191
00:53:31,120 --> 00:53:31,719
Speaker 4: How could they not?

1192
00:53:32,120 --> 00:53:34,200
Speaker 2: Jane Norvel, that's the question I ask for you Colin

1193
00:53:34,320 --> 00:53:36,239
Speaker 2: right off the bat. How does he feel about his

1194
00:53:36,320 --> 00:53:38,480
Speaker 2: offensive line? And he has to feel good about his

1195
00:53:38,560 --> 00:53:40,560
Speaker 2: secondary that brings back four of their five starters, and

1196
00:53:40,560 --> 00:53:42,120
Speaker 2: they were pretty good against the pass last year.

1197
00:53:42,280 --> 00:53:44,920
Speaker 1: The longest conversation I had today was forty five minutes

1198
00:53:44,960 --> 00:53:47,239
Speaker 1: one on one with Jane Norvel, and this is a

1199
00:53:47,520 --> 00:53:49,239
Speaker 1: we are now The Action Network is now a Jane

1200
00:53:49,239 --> 00:53:52,759
Speaker 1: Norvel fan club because I really love this guy. And

1201
00:53:53,320 --> 00:53:55,680
Speaker 1: you know, we talked everything that you just mentioned. His

1202
00:53:55,840 --> 00:53:58,800
Speaker 1: offensive line he inherited last year. He was telling me

1203
00:53:58,880 --> 00:54:01,239
Speaker 1: he like pointed his He's like they were all this tall.

1204
00:54:01,800 --> 00:54:04,719
Speaker 1: I think Jay's about six three, you know, but you know,

1205
00:54:04,880 --> 00:54:08,640
Speaker 1: he inherited a roster last year, and you know you

1206
00:54:08,719 --> 00:54:10,920
Speaker 1: could tell by his body Lane. He's a very positive guy.

1207
00:54:10,960 --> 00:54:12,400
Speaker 1: He doesn't say negative things, but you tell by his

1208
00:54:12,440 --> 00:54:14,600
Speaker 1: body language it was a roster that he didn't want whatsoever.

1209
00:54:15,440 --> 00:54:17,840
Speaker 1: That it was worse than a year zero. It was

1210
00:54:17,880 --> 00:54:19,880
Speaker 1: like a year negative one that Jay Norville had to

1211
00:54:19,960 --> 00:54:24,719
Speaker 1: go through. I will say this I I I asked him,

1212
00:54:25,960 --> 00:54:28,160
Speaker 1: the problem with the offense last year is that Tory

1213
00:54:28,239 --> 00:54:31,560
Speaker 1: Horton is getting triple teamed. And then he laughed me

1214
00:54:31,600 --> 00:54:34,560
Speaker 1: and said, yeah, Timmy Chang put five defenders on him

1215
00:54:34,640 --> 00:54:37,080
Speaker 1: when we played Hawaii, and I said, well, what do

1216
00:54:37,160 --> 00:54:40,120
Speaker 1: you have? You know, maybe in the slot. He's like, well,

1217
00:54:40,239 --> 00:54:42,719
Speaker 1: first off, we have new tight ends that we went

1218
00:54:42,760 --> 00:54:44,879
Speaker 1: out and got and they're going to open up things

1219
00:54:44,920 --> 00:54:45,720
Speaker 1: for for Tory Horton.

1220
00:54:45,760 --> 00:54:46,000
Speaker 4: He goes.

1221
00:54:46,040 --> 00:54:48,200
Speaker 1: But the name no one's talking about is Justice Ross Simmons.

1222
00:54:48,600 --> 00:54:50,120
Speaker 1: That he goes, he goes. He has a chance to

1223
00:54:50,160 --> 00:54:53,440
Speaker 1: be the best wide receiver in this conference, and you know,

1224
00:54:53,560 --> 00:54:56,279
Speaker 1: doing a little background research talking to him about that.

1225
00:54:56,600 --> 00:55:00,960
Speaker 1: Then he brought up old Kobe John from North Dakota

1226
00:55:01,000 --> 00:55:03,680
Speaker 1: State and there's a lot of excitement around this Colorado

1227
00:55:03,680 --> 00:55:07,640
Speaker 1: State team. This is my highest dollar win total over

1228
00:55:07,920 --> 00:55:10,879
Speaker 1: that we're talking about on this entire podcast over four

1229
00:55:10,920 --> 00:55:13,960
Speaker 1: and a half. I've hit it twice in town. I

1230
00:55:14,000 --> 00:55:15,640
Speaker 1: think I'm gonna go hit it again. There's a book

1231
00:55:15,680 --> 00:55:19,520
Speaker 1: here downtown that is not properly juicing it. I trust

1232
00:55:19,560 --> 00:55:22,480
Speaker 1: everything that Jane Norvel is doing. The offensive line has improved,

1233
00:55:24,520 --> 00:55:27,799
Speaker 1: you know, so they were You can't really go off

1234
00:55:27,840 --> 00:55:30,440
Speaker 1: anything that happened last year. You know, if you want

1235
00:55:30,480 --> 00:55:32,239
Speaker 1: to talk about how you know the defense, you know

1236
00:55:32,640 --> 00:55:34,440
Speaker 1: didn't have much pressure. They don't return any of that

1237
00:55:34,520 --> 00:55:38,720
Speaker 1: last year. You know they were last and Havoc allowed.

1238
00:55:39,080 --> 00:55:41,560
Speaker 1: That's gonna get itself turned around. That was not Jane

1239
00:55:41,600 --> 00:55:44,120
Speaker 1: Norvell's roster. But they are loaded on offense now. Do

1240
00:55:44,280 --> 00:55:47,080
Speaker 1: not use last year as a measuring stick for what

1241
00:55:47,160 --> 00:55:49,800
Speaker 1: this offense can do because they have some serious players

1242
00:55:49,880 --> 00:55:53,000
Speaker 1: in a conference that is full of sluggish offenses.

1243
00:55:54,360 --> 00:55:56,880
Speaker 2: You're gonna flip on this opener in their beautiful stadium

1244
00:55:56,960 --> 00:55:59,560
Speaker 2: with the nicest in all the G five, and you're

1245
00:55:59,560 --> 00:56:01,960
Speaker 2: gonna watch Clay Millen, who's the highest rateed quarterback to

1246
00:56:02,040 --> 00:56:04,880
Speaker 2: ever sign with this program, and he's gonna carve up

1247
00:56:04,880 --> 00:56:07,640
Speaker 2: Wlasoo if they can keep his jersey clean. I'm calling

1248
00:56:07,680 --> 00:56:10,040
Speaker 2: for the upset in the opener. I know, I know

1249
00:56:10,200 --> 00:56:13,600
Speaker 2: you're on board with the Rams, So just add in

1250
00:56:13,680 --> 00:56:16,640
Speaker 2: a little extra positivity before we slam this one shut

1251
00:56:16,719 --> 00:56:18,240
Speaker 2: and fire in these bets.

1252
00:56:18,440 --> 00:56:20,600
Speaker 4: Yeah, I love that we got two bets that were

1253
00:56:20,640 --> 00:56:23,160
Speaker 4: all aligned on. This is my app Ty Collins said,

1254
00:56:23,200 --> 00:56:26,200
Speaker 4: this is my absolute favorite bet that I've made so far.

1255
00:56:27,080 --> 00:56:29,640
Speaker 4: I'm all in on this Colorado State team. They looked

1256
00:56:29,760 --> 00:56:31,680
Speaker 4: so much better down the stretch last year. You know,

1257
00:56:31,719 --> 00:56:34,600
Speaker 4: the numbers don't fully show it, but just you know,

1258
00:56:34,680 --> 00:56:36,560
Speaker 4: for this plot, I'm watching a lot of these games

1259
00:56:36,600 --> 00:56:39,440
Speaker 4: and they just looked better. And it all comes down

1260
00:56:39,480 --> 00:56:40,680
Speaker 4: to that air Ray defense.

1261
00:56:40,760 --> 00:56:40,880
Speaker 2: You know.

1262
00:56:41,200 --> 00:56:43,319
Speaker 4: I know Stucky always harps on the year three thing.

1263
00:56:43,440 --> 00:56:46,560
Speaker 4: We cash that Mississippi State ticket last year, but even

1264
00:56:46,640 --> 00:56:50,320
Speaker 4: year two, like it takes time to get into rhythm

1265
00:56:50,560 --> 00:56:52,600
Speaker 4: and to come into a team and just revamp the

1266
00:56:52,800 --> 00:56:56,120
Speaker 4: entire offense takes time. So now at year two, you

1267
00:56:56,160 --> 00:56:58,839
Speaker 4: look at what Jane Ravel did at Nevada, Ye're one,

1268
00:56:59,320 --> 00:57:02,400
Speaker 4: three and nine, just like Colorado State. You're two at

1269
00:57:02,480 --> 00:57:05,920
Speaker 4: Nevada eight and five. So you just see the steps

1270
00:57:05,960 --> 00:57:08,359
Speaker 4: it takes. I'm not gonna you guys mentioned the offensive line.

1271
00:57:08,440 --> 00:57:12,080
Speaker 4: That's really the big question mark. The defense returns eight starters.

1272
00:57:12,160 --> 00:57:14,720
Speaker 4: Jack Howell's a great safety back there roam in the secondary,

1273
00:57:14,760 --> 00:57:16,160
Speaker 4: so I love having him back there.

1274
00:57:17,640 --> 00:57:17,840
Speaker 6: There.

1275
00:57:18,520 --> 00:57:20,120
Speaker 4: Even when you look at their games, you know they

1276
00:57:20,160 --> 00:57:22,280
Speaker 4: went three at nine, but okay, they They lost to

1277
00:57:22,400 --> 00:57:25,920
Speaker 4: Nevada by three. They lost to or Utah State by three.

1278
00:57:26,000 --> 00:57:30,320
Speaker 4: They lost to Air Force by fourteen or thirteen. They

1279
00:57:30,400 --> 00:57:33,120
Speaker 4: lost to like all their games. They lost to San Jose,

1280
00:57:33,280 --> 00:57:37,040
Speaker 4: stay closed. They lost to someone else close, like all

1281
00:57:37,080 --> 00:57:38,720
Speaker 4: their games. They the easily could have won four or

1282
00:57:38,720 --> 00:57:41,400
Speaker 4: five games last year. I love over four and a half.

1283
00:57:41,680 --> 00:57:43,720
Speaker 4: I am this is a bowl team, So I am

1284
00:57:43,840 --> 00:57:44,880
Speaker 4: all in on the rams.

1285
00:57:45,920 --> 00:57:48,040
Speaker 2: All right, We're down to the last three, and this

1286
00:57:48,160 --> 00:57:49,520
Speaker 2: is going to be a bit of a challenge in

1287
00:57:49,640 --> 00:57:53,440
Speaker 2: terms of your overall positivity. We're gonna start with White.

1288
00:58:00,600 --> 00:58:02,520
Speaker 2: Their win total set at three and a half. They

1289
00:58:02,560 --> 00:58:04,800
Speaker 2: went three and ten last year, two and six in conference.

1290
00:58:05,000 --> 00:58:07,320
Speaker 2: They returned less than thirty percent of their offensive line

1291
00:58:07,320 --> 00:58:10,360
Speaker 2: starts negative three on the nettarp, almost all the losses

1292
00:58:10,400 --> 00:58:14,280
Speaker 2: on defense. Nine returning starters, both specialists. Braden Shager at

1293
00:58:14,320 --> 00:58:17,640
Speaker 2: quarterback running the Bow's offense. Let me start with some positivity.

1294
00:58:17,640 --> 00:58:21,000
Speaker 2: Timmy Chang College legends bringing the Brada hood or however

1295
00:58:21,080 --> 00:58:23,960
Speaker 2: he pronounces it through the Big Islands, and they went

1296
00:58:24,040 --> 00:58:25,800
Speaker 2: nine to four against the spread last year. People I

1297
00:58:25,840 --> 00:58:28,600
Speaker 2: think overestimated how bad this team was. But when you

1298
00:58:28,680 --> 00:58:30,600
Speaker 2: look at the opening, they got to go forty three

1299
00:58:30,720 --> 00:58:33,560
Speaker 2: hundred miles and eleven hour flight to Vandy. They got

1300
00:58:33,680 --> 00:58:36,520
Speaker 2: home against Stanford new head coach. I mean, anything could

1301
00:58:36,520 --> 00:58:39,000
Speaker 2: happen there, I guess. And then they go to Oregon.

1302
00:58:39,440 --> 00:58:42,080
Speaker 2: They avoid Boise, but they're winnable games in my opinion,

1303
00:58:42,160 --> 00:58:45,200
Speaker 2: are only really at New Mexico and at Nemada. So

1304
00:58:45,480 --> 00:58:48,360
Speaker 2: both of those winnable games that they absolutely need to

1305
00:58:48,400 --> 00:58:50,520
Speaker 2: go over three and a half are on the mainland.

1306
00:58:51,080 --> 00:58:52,880
Speaker 2: I don't see it with the Bows this year. I

1307
00:58:52,920 --> 00:58:55,440
Speaker 2: may be playing them, you know, situationally taking the points,

1308
00:58:55,800 --> 00:58:57,760
Speaker 2: but this run and shoot offense, I don't see them

1309
00:58:57,840 --> 00:59:01,800
Speaker 2: protecting Shager. Like Color to State had similar issues keeping

1310
00:59:01,840 --> 00:59:04,080
Speaker 2: their quarterback up right. They went through the portal. They

1311
00:59:04,120 --> 00:59:05,760
Speaker 2: feel a little bit better about it. When I look

1312
00:59:05,800 --> 00:59:08,200
Speaker 2: at what Why did in the transfer portal, I'm not

1313
00:59:08,240 --> 00:59:10,120
Speaker 2: sure it's going to be enough. And if he gets

1314
00:59:10,200 --> 00:59:11,920
Speaker 2: hurt or if they have the same kind of issues

1315
00:59:12,240 --> 00:59:14,400
Speaker 2: keeping him protected, I think this could be another three

1316
00:59:14,480 --> 00:59:18,040
Speaker 2: and ten ten two an eleven season. So sorry with you, Colin.

1317
00:59:18,080 --> 00:59:19,880
Speaker 2: What are your thoughts on Timmy Chang and what he's

1318
00:59:19,920 --> 00:59:20,720
Speaker 2: trying to accomplish.

1319
00:59:21,280 --> 00:59:24,560
Speaker 1: Immy Chang needs to learn how to score points when

1320
00:59:24,600 --> 00:59:26,960
Speaker 1: he gets into scoring position. This team finished one hundred

1321
00:59:26,960 --> 00:59:29,400
Speaker 1: and twenty second red zone TD rate. They settled for

1322
00:59:29,680 --> 00:59:32,040
Speaker 1: field goals or nothing at all. They finished one hundred

1323
00:59:32,040 --> 00:59:34,240
Speaker 1: and twentieth and finishing drives, which means they just didn't

1324
00:59:34,240 --> 00:59:36,560
Speaker 1: get any points up, which is crazy to me because

1325
00:59:36,560 --> 00:59:39,360
Speaker 1: they covered the final the seven of their final eight games, Like,

1326
00:59:39,480 --> 00:59:42,000
Speaker 1: how are you covering? And you're so terrible in finishing drives.

1327
00:59:42,720 --> 00:59:45,760
Speaker 1: And I think one thing that's extremely interesting is this

1328
00:59:45,840 --> 00:59:48,560
Speaker 1: team was thirtieth in tempo, but they had nine games

1329
00:59:48,640 --> 00:59:51,400
Speaker 1: go to the under last year, so it's a really

1330
00:59:51,520 --> 00:59:53,280
Speaker 1: kind of a weird team to figure out. But the

1331
00:59:53,360 --> 00:59:55,520
Speaker 1: point is is that they're moving the ball. They're just

1332
00:59:55,600 --> 00:59:58,440
Speaker 1: not maximizing their opportunities. And that is coaching. That is

1333
00:59:58,480 --> 01:00:00,920
Speaker 1: Ian Schumacher, that is Timmy Chang. We'll see if they

1334
01:00:00,920 --> 01:00:02,640
Speaker 1: can figure it out here. I do actually project it

1335
01:00:02,680 --> 01:00:04,240
Speaker 1: at four point one, so you think that you would

1336
01:00:04,240 --> 01:00:07,800
Speaker 1: take an over, but the offensive line is completely wiped,

1337
01:00:07,880 --> 01:00:10,960
Speaker 1: the defense has been gutted in every single unit. It

1338
01:00:11,080 --> 01:00:14,040
Speaker 1: still looks like it's a year zero situation going on

1339
01:00:14,160 --> 01:00:16,760
Speaker 1: here with this team. And I'm not gonna have any

1340
01:00:17,000 --> 01:00:19,920
Speaker 1: negative narrative around Braden Schager because he has the seventh

1341
01:00:19,960 --> 01:00:22,280
Speaker 1: highest pressures in all of FBS the last couple of years,

1342
01:00:22,280 --> 01:00:24,160
Speaker 1: and the kid is I don't think he's ever had

1343
01:00:24,160 --> 01:00:27,480
Speaker 1: a clean pocket in his life. But you know, I

1344
01:00:27,600 --> 01:00:31,000
Speaker 1: am not playing Hawaii on Hawaii and going with my

1345
01:00:31,320 --> 01:00:35,640
Speaker 1: projected wind total over because Timmy Chang and that offensive

1346
01:00:35,680 --> 01:00:39,560
Speaker 1: staff have been really bad in the red zone. Do

1347
01:00:39,600 --> 01:00:40,000
Speaker 1: you agree?

1348
01:00:40,600 --> 01:00:42,440
Speaker 4: I'm gonna cheat a little bit here because when I

1349
01:00:42,560 --> 01:00:46,560
Speaker 4: was doing my research, I kind of grouped Hawaii, Nevada,

1350
01:00:46,600 --> 01:00:49,400
Speaker 4: New Mexico together and it kind of had me come

1351
01:00:49,480 --> 01:00:54,960
Speaker 4: up with the realization that I love this Hawaii on

1352
01:00:55,040 --> 01:00:57,840
Speaker 4: here because when you look at the bottom of the

1353
01:00:57,840 --> 01:00:59,760
Speaker 4: Mountain West, you know, this time of year is all

1354
01:00:59,760 --> 01:01:02,040
Speaker 4: about you know, you read all these articles and breakdowns,

1355
01:01:02,120 --> 01:01:04,720
Speaker 4: and I like reading, you know, like the local sites

1356
01:01:04,760 --> 01:01:06,800
Speaker 4: and they kind of do like the best case scenario,

1357
01:01:06,880 --> 01:01:08,560
Speaker 4: worst case scenario or why you should have hope, why

1358
01:01:08,560 --> 01:01:11,360
Speaker 4: you shouldn't kind of thing. And so when you look

1359
01:01:11,440 --> 01:01:13,640
Speaker 4: at you know, I'm gonna jump ahead a little bit.

1360
01:01:13,840 --> 01:01:17,080
Speaker 4: You know, Nevada you have you know Ken Willlson going

1361
01:01:17,120 --> 01:01:20,200
Speaker 4: into here too, been a great defensive coach. The team

1362
01:01:20,240 --> 01:01:22,120
Speaker 4: that they're just so excited to have him there. They

1363
01:01:22,200 --> 01:01:24,320
Speaker 4: bring in Brandon Lewis from Colorado, they bring in Sean

1364
01:01:24,400 --> 01:01:27,360
Speaker 4: Dollars from Oregon. They bring in these PAC twelve transfers,

1365
01:01:27,680 --> 01:01:31,480
Speaker 4: you know. So while I kind of think, you know,

1366
01:01:31,760 --> 01:01:33,600
Speaker 4: I'm sitting there, I'm like, oh, I think Thevada might

1367
01:01:33,640 --> 01:01:35,840
Speaker 4: be a little bit better next year. New Mexico brings

1368
01:01:35,880 --> 01:01:38,520
Speaker 4: in Dylan Hopkins, you know, and his OC Brian Vincent

1369
01:01:38,600 --> 01:01:42,320
Speaker 4: from UAB. So that's a massive upgrade at quarterback for them,

1370
01:01:42,560 --> 01:01:44,600
Speaker 4: their offensive lines experience. They bring in a ton of

1371
01:01:44,680 --> 01:01:48,520
Speaker 4: transfers at wide receiver, two good running backs. So when

1372
01:01:48,560 --> 01:01:51,000
Speaker 4: I was going through the Nevada New Mexico teams, and

1373
01:01:51,040 --> 01:01:53,400
Speaker 4: I'm like, I think both these teams take a step better.

1374
01:01:53,800 --> 01:01:55,880
Speaker 4: And then you take a step up. And then you

1375
01:01:55,960 --> 01:01:57,360
Speaker 4: go through and you try to find the wins, and

1376
01:01:57,400 --> 01:01:59,840
Speaker 4: you try to find how are these teams heading there over?

1377
01:02:00,840 --> 01:02:03,520
Speaker 4: And you give them both Hawaii. And that's when I'm like,

1378
01:02:04,080 --> 01:02:06,320
Speaker 4: who's Hawaii beating? If I think the Vada in New Mexico,

1379
01:02:06,360 --> 01:02:08,600
Speaker 4: I'm like, all right, they're gonna they're gonna be by Hawaii,

1380
01:02:08,800 --> 01:02:11,760
Speaker 4: Like who are they beating? They might win one game,

1381
01:02:12,360 --> 01:02:15,720
Speaker 4: So I think New Mexico and Nevada get better. I

1382
01:02:15,840 --> 01:02:17,760
Speaker 4: think they were better than Hawaii last year. I think

1383
01:02:17,760 --> 01:02:21,080
Speaker 4: they're better than Hawaii this year. There's nothing that you

1384
01:02:21,160 --> 01:02:23,880
Speaker 4: can look at with Hawaii to me and say like

1385
01:02:24,920 --> 01:02:28,480
Speaker 4: they did this to improve. Like Colin said, they're bringing

1386
01:02:28,520 --> 01:02:30,600
Speaker 4: back Braden s Trigger, who you don't want to be mean,

1387
01:02:30,920 --> 01:02:34,919
Speaker 4: I will, he sucks, so like they didn't. Really it's

1388
01:02:34,960 --> 01:02:36,480
Speaker 4: not like a player you could be like they brought

1389
01:02:36,520 --> 01:02:39,280
Speaker 4: in this guy. They brought in, you know, this coach.

1390
01:02:39,320 --> 01:02:42,000
Speaker 4: They're changing up this offense, like they're basically trying to

1391
01:02:42,120 --> 01:02:46,320
Speaker 4: recreate the Timmy Chang era. They're bringing in like I

1392
01:02:46,400 --> 01:02:48,320
Speaker 4: thought saw they're like having him work with like another

1393
01:02:48,400 --> 01:02:51,200
Speaker 4: old Hawaii quarterback and like they're just trying to like

1394
01:02:51,360 --> 01:02:55,040
Speaker 4: relive the glory days. And there's just nothing about this

1395
01:02:55,120 --> 01:02:58,080
Speaker 4: team that makes them better from last year. So I

1396
01:02:58,240 --> 01:03:00,600
Speaker 4: love under three and a half. They'll be you to

1397
01:03:00,680 --> 01:03:01,280
Speaker 4: win two games.

1398
01:03:02,200 --> 01:03:03,680
Speaker 2: I mean, you're just giving away one win.

1399
01:03:03,880 --> 01:03:04,600
Speaker 1: Not on my watch.

1400
01:03:04,720 --> 01:03:06,600
Speaker 2: My mother was born and bred in Albany, New York.

1401
01:03:06,680 --> 01:03:09,520
Speaker 2: You don't just have the Danes roll into town and

1402
01:03:09,640 --> 01:03:12,400
Speaker 2: immediately get a dub over that FCS program.

1403
01:03:12,480 --> 01:03:14,040
Speaker 4: So that's the best part of Albany beats, then you

1404
01:03:14,120 --> 01:03:16,320
Speaker 4: can just go ahead and cash that ticket September ninth.

1405
01:03:16,520 --> 01:03:18,840
Speaker 2: All right, let's move on to the final two. Here.

1406
01:03:18,920 --> 01:03:20,600
Speaker 2: New Mexico their win total set at three and a

1407
01:03:20,640 --> 01:03:22,600
Speaker 2: half plus one twenty if you want to go with

1408
01:03:22,680 --> 01:03:24,720
Speaker 2: the over. They went to and ten last year, winless

1409
01:03:25,000 --> 01:03:28,640
Speaker 2: in Mountain West Conference play, just as Nevada was. Seventy

1410
01:03:28,720 --> 01:03:31,000
Speaker 2: one percent of their line starts to return though plus

1411
01:03:31,120 --> 01:03:34,160
Speaker 2: three in tarp in terms of their offense, but only

1412
01:03:34,200 --> 01:03:35,920
Speaker 2: six returning starters on both sides of the ball.

1413
01:03:36,440 --> 01:03:38,040
Speaker 1: And they go ahead and they bring in Brian.

1414
01:03:37,880 --> 01:03:41,320
Speaker 2: Vincent as their new OC formerly of UAB. You know

1415
01:03:41,400 --> 01:03:42,760
Speaker 2: what UAB wanted to do. They want to have a

1416
01:03:42,840 --> 01:03:46,360
Speaker 2: bell cow Dwayne McBride. In recent years, Christian Washington could

1417
01:03:46,400 --> 01:03:48,160
Speaker 2: be that guy. You could be the beneficiary at least

1418
01:03:48,200 --> 01:03:50,440
Speaker 2: in terms of, you know, racking up some stats. But

1419
01:03:50,720 --> 01:03:53,919
Speaker 2: when you look at their schedule, yes, they draw Tennessee Tech.

1420
01:03:54,400 --> 01:03:56,800
Speaker 2: But outside of that, where are the winnable games? They're

1421
01:03:56,840 --> 01:03:59,840
Speaker 2: home against New Mexico State in the Rio Grand rivalry,

1422
01:04:00,000 --> 01:04:02,400
Speaker 2: but we're gonna get into it in Conference USA preview.

1423
01:04:02,600 --> 01:04:05,439
Speaker 2: I like New Mexico State. They get UMass on the road,

1424
01:04:05,640 --> 01:04:08,600
Speaker 2: they're home against Hawaii, they're at Nevada. I think they'll

1425
01:04:08,760 --> 01:04:11,960
Speaker 2: flirt with, you know, two wins, but to say over

1426
01:04:12,040 --> 01:04:14,080
Speaker 2: three and a half, I absolutely do not see it,

1427
01:04:14,400 --> 01:04:16,000
Speaker 2: given what you know they're bringing back. I know they

1428
01:04:16,040 --> 01:04:18,760
Speaker 2: have Dylan Hopkins coming in from UAB. We watched plenty

1429
01:04:18,800 --> 01:04:20,880
Speaker 2: of Blazer football. He was not sending the world on fire.

1430
01:04:20,880 --> 01:04:22,560
Speaker 2: They asked him to do very little and he couldn't

1431
01:04:22,600 --> 01:04:24,800
Speaker 2: even do that. So I'm out on the lobos. I

1432
01:04:24,880 --> 01:04:27,160
Speaker 2: think this is the bottom of the barrel in the FBS,

1433
01:04:27,520 --> 01:04:28,760
Speaker 2: and I think they're going to be in the one

1434
01:04:28,840 --> 01:04:31,200
Speaker 2: twenties and a lot of meaningful metrics. I know, do

1435
01:04:31,240 --> 01:04:33,160
Speaker 2: you agree with me? Let's let's make this a quick

1436
01:04:33,200 --> 01:04:35,360
Speaker 2: around the horn chat on the lobos.

1437
01:04:35,720 --> 01:04:38,360
Speaker 4: I think they're better. Like I said, I like having

1438
01:04:38,440 --> 01:04:42,280
Speaker 4: the combination of Hopkins and Vincent together. Yeah, Hopkins wasn't

1439
01:04:42,280 --> 01:04:45,320
Speaker 4: great at UAB, but he's to me a massive upgrade

1440
01:04:45,320 --> 01:04:47,960
Speaker 4: over the guys they were thrown out last year. And

1441
01:04:48,280 --> 01:04:50,360
Speaker 4: you know you mentioned Washington. They also be and Andrew

1442
01:04:50,400 --> 01:04:53,600
Speaker 4: Henry from Louisiana Monroe. I kind of like that Monroe. Sorry,

1443
01:04:53,680 --> 01:04:55,919
Speaker 4: I know they get weird about that. I think they're

1444
01:04:55,960 --> 01:04:59,840
Speaker 4: better team I just had. I had trouble finding the win.

1445
01:05:00,560 --> 01:05:02,720
Speaker 4: So that's kind of where you know, to me, it

1446
01:05:02,800 --> 01:05:06,560
Speaker 4: comes down to that Nevada game. So that's why I'm like,

1447
01:05:06,600 --> 01:05:07,960
Speaker 4: it's just easier to fade away to me.

1448
01:05:08,640 --> 01:05:11,439
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm on the over, guys, I'm absolutely on the over.

1449
01:05:11,560 --> 01:05:13,040
Speaker 1: I was going to fire on over three and a

1450
01:05:13,080 --> 01:05:15,800
Speaker 1: half plus one twenty and then I found a shop

1451
01:05:15,840 --> 01:05:18,400
Speaker 1: that was offering over three at minus one thirty. Either

1452
01:05:18,480 --> 01:05:20,960
Speaker 1: of them are good. I projected at four point three.

1453
01:05:21,200 --> 01:05:24,000
Speaker 1: I think that we are dismissing the upgrade that we're

1454
01:05:24,040 --> 01:05:26,760
Speaker 1: getting with Brian Vinson coming in, who can call an offense,

1455
01:05:26,800 --> 01:05:30,640
Speaker 1: and UAB made a massive mistake in going with trend Dilferd.

1456
01:05:30,640 --> 01:05:34,040
Speaker 1: That's for another podcast. Agree, But you know, Dylan Hopkins

1457
01:05:34,160 --> 01:05:37,520
Speaker 1: and Brian Vincent have shown that they can have explosive passes.

1458
01:05:37,920 --> 01:05:40,200
Speaker 1: Now Rocky Long has gone, the three three five scheme

1459
01:05:40,280 --> 01:05:42,720
Speaker 1: is still in, you know, but six of these games

1460
01:05:42,760 --> 01:05:45,920
Speaker 1: on this schedule project as a one possession spread. So

1461
01:05:46,080 --> 01:05:50,080
Speaker 1: if you get the expected bump in the offense, especially

1462
01:05:50,120 --> 01:05:52,320
Speaker 1: with seventy two percent of your offensive line snaps back,

1463
01:05:52,400 --> 01:05:55,760
Speaker 1: you've got a competent wide receiver room here. I expect

1464
01:05:55,800 --> 01:05:57,680
Speaker 1: them to make some noise. When I look at the schedule,

1465
01:05:57,720 --> 01:06:00,600
Speaker 1: you say, where's the wins? Well, this team's going to UMASSU.

1466
01:06:00,840 --> 01:06:02,480
Speaker 1: There's a lot of teams in high school that can

1467
01:06:02,560 --> 01:06:05,400
Speaker 1: that can beat that roster. You know, they play New

1468
01:06:05,440 --> 01:06:07,960
Speaker 1: Mexico State at home, they can win that game. Tennessee Tech,

1469
01:06:08,000 --> 01:06:10,440
Speaker 1: they can win that game. You know they have to

1470
01:06:10,480 --> 01:06:12,760
Speaker 1: play you know what, I say, Hawaii, they can win

1471
01:06:12,800 --> 01:06:14,040
Speaker 1: that game. And then you know what, we had a

1472
01:06:14,080 --> 01:06:16,320
Speaker 1: pretty negative narrative around Utah State. They get them to

1473
01:06:16,400 --> 01:06:18,920
Speaker 1: end the season. There's a lot of chances to get

1474
01:06:18,960 --> 01:06:20,960
Speaker 1: to four here. But if you can find that three

1475
01:06:21,040 --> 01:06:23,560
Speaker 1: at minus one thirty in the market, there's a lot.

1476
01:06:23,720 --> 01:06:26,120
Speaker 1: I mean, you've got Tennessee Tech and mass and UMass

1477
01:06:26,200 --> 01:06:28,280
Speaker 1: on this schedule. This team can get to three wins.

1478
01:06:28,480 --> 01:06:30,240
Speaker 1: It is not as tough as you would think.

1479
01:06:30,520 --> 01:06:32,000
Speaker 2: All right, let's close it out here with the other

1480
01:06:32,040 --> 01:06:34,920
Speaker 2: winless squad in MountainWest play last year, those.

1481
01:06:34,800 --> 01:06:38,840
Speaker 3: Nevada Nevada Are you kidding me?

1482
01:06:39,360 --> 01:06:43,560
Speaker 2: Novada Nevada eight in conference to and ten overall. Their

1483
01:06:43,560 --> 01:06:47,360
Speaker 2: win total set three. They're net tarp negative seven, negative

1484
01:06:47,360 --> 01:06:50,240
Speaker 2: six on offense. But as Ianello already teed up. Brendon

1485
01:06:50,280 --> 01:06:52,720
Speaker 2: Lewis comes in from Colorado, Sewan dollars at running back

1486
01:06:52,760 --> 01:06:55,600
Speaker 2: from Oregon. They got a usc wide receiver in Jackson

1487
01:06:55,680 --> 01:06:58,680
Speaker 2: the third and a lot too from cal at tight end,

1488
01:06:58,800 --> 01:07:03,200
Speaker 2: so they're upgrading offensive talent for sure. Defense returned six starters,

1489
01:07:03,320 --> 01:07:06,680
Speaker 2: like a solid duo at cornerback, and the schedule is

1490
01:07:06,800 --> 01:07:09,040
Speaker 2: workable at least in my opinion. They got winnable games

1491
01:07:09,040 --> 01:07:12,440
Speaker 2: at home against Idaho, at Texas State home against Hawaii

1492
01:07:12,600 --> 01:07:14,920
Speaker 2: and New Mexico, and I rodeate Utah State late in

1493
01:07:14,960 --> 01:07:18,480
Speaker 2: the year, so it's possible. But am I just trying to,

1494
01:07:18,840 --> 01:07:21,240
Speaker 2: you know, shine up this turd here at the end

1495
01:07:21,240 --> 01:07:23,520
Speaker 2: of the podcast, or does the wolf back actually have

1496
01:07:23,640 --> 01:07:24,760
Speaker 2: a shot in your opinion? I know.

1497
01:07:25,800 --> 01:07:29,240
Speaker 4: Oh, Like I said, it's weird. I'm in the same

1498
01:07:29,240 --> 01:07:31,560
Speaker 4: boat with New Mexico, where I think they're better. I

1499
01:07:31,600 --> 01:07:33,480
Speaker 4: think they improved a lot. I think they did take

1500
01:07:33,480 --> 01:07:35,360
Speaker 4: a step for it on both sides. They have a

1501
01:07:35,440 --> 01:07:38,040
Speaker 4: good defensive coach. I like the Pac twelve transfers they

1502
01:07:38,080 --> 01:07:41,200
Speaker 4: brought in. The offensive line is probably still a mess,

1503
01:07:41,480 --> 01:07:45,560
Speaker 4: but again, I I'm higher on New Mexico and Nevada.

1504
01:07:45,560 --> 01:07:48,520
Speaker 4: They're definitely teams I'm gonna look too back as dogs.

1505
01:07:49,080 --> 01:07:50,600
Speaker 4: But you said, it comes down to the schedule where

1506
01:07:50,640 --> 01:07:53,600
Speaker 4: you know, you give them Idaho, you give them Hawaii,

1507
01:07:54,200 --> 01:07:55,400
Speaker 4: you want to you know, if you want to give

1508
01:07:55,440 --> 01:07:59,080
Speaker 4: them Texas State, then to me again, it comes down

1509
01:07:59,120 --> 01:08:01,920
Speaker 4: to that New Mexico of to me, whoever wins the

1510
01:08:01,960 --> 01:08:04,680
Speaker 4: New Mexico Nevada game goes over their win total and

1511
01:08:04,760 --> 01:08:06,720
Speaker 4: the other team doesn't. So that's why I'm kind of like,

1512
01:08:06,880 --> 01:08:09,280
Speaker 4: let's just sade Hawaii who they're both going to be

1513
01:08:10,280 --> 01:08:13,560
Speaker 4: that I think this These two win totals both come

1514
01:08:13,640 --> 01:08:15,560
Speaker 4: down in that game, So that's why I didn't really

1515
01:08:15,640 --> 01:08:17,639
Speaker 4: want to take each of them, if that makes sense.

1516
01:08:17,960 --> 01:08:20,000
Speaker 4: But I am high on them, but I just I'm

1517
01:08:20,000 --> 01:08:22,920
Speaker 4: not as confident in finding the wins as as I

1518
01:08:23,000 --> 01:08:24,679
Speaker 4: am not having Hawaii.

1519
01:08:24,840 --> 01:08:27,559
Speaker 1: And I don't understand what's going on with the team.

1520
01:08:27,840 --> 01:08:31,120
Speaker 1: They're being pumped like crazy in the wind total market.

1521
01:08:31,240 --> 01:08:33,960
Speaker 1: The over just keeps going up, and it's all based

1522
01:08:34,040 --> 01:08:37,840
Speaker 1: upon the fact that a magazine outlet said that they're

1523
01:08:37,840 --> 01:08:40,000
Speaker 1: going to be hot with these Juco transfers in these

1524
01:08:40,120 --> 01:08:42,320
Speaker 1: and what they've done in the portal to fill you know,

1525
01:08:42,479 --> 01:08:44,599
Speaker 1: some holes that they've had. Well, guess what, I think

1526
01:08:44,680 --> 01:08:47,000
Speaker 1: what Colorado State and Wyoming has done from a portal

1527
01:08:47,080 --> 01:08:49,679
Speaker 1: and juco perspective is better than what Nevada has done.

1528
01:08:50,200 --> 01:08:52,040
Speaker 1: So you have to do a little bit more than

1529
01:08:52,080 --> 01:08:54,200
Speaker 1: a deep dive here because I don't understand why this

1530
01:08:54,280 --> 01:08:58,160
Speaker 1: wind total keeps going up and I just don't see it. Yeah,

1531
01:08:58,280 --> 01:08:59,360
Speaker 1: up to four and a half, and what are we

1532
01:08:59,439 --> 01:09:02,320
Speaker 1: talking about? Just think about it. Let's just think about this.

1533
01:09:02,920 --> 01:09:05,240
Speaker 1: Break it down real quick. Ken Wilson wants to run

1534
01:09:05,280 --> 01:09:07,240
Speaker 1: the ball one hundred percent of the time. And you

1535
01:09:07,280 --> 01:09:09,799
Speaker 1: know Nevada Dodge is Boise and air Force on the schedule.

1536
01:09:10,120 --> 01:09:12,200
Speaker 1: But here's the teams that can beat Nevada this year.

1537
01:09:12,240 --> 01:09:15,040
Speaker 1: Here's the profile teams that can pass into their safeties

1538
01:09:15,560 --> 01:09:17,719
Speaker 1: and teams that can stop the run. All right, let's

1539
01:09:17,720 --> 01:09:20,360
Speaker 1: look at their winnable games. Utah State they can pass

1540
01:09:20,400 --> 01:09:24,120
Speaker 1: into their safeties. Colorado State absolutely with Clay Millan to

1541
01:09:24,160 --> 01:09:27,360
Speaker 1: Torrey Horden can get into their secondary. Un LV you're

1542
01:09:27,360 --> 01:09:29,960
Speaker 1: telling me Brumfield the go go offense, you know, and

1543
01:09:30,000 --> 01:09:32,760
Speaker 1: their fifth defensively in the front. Seven New Mexico with

1544
01:09:33,320 --> 01:09:36,760
Speaker 1: Vincent Hopkins, they can get into that secondary Idaho. By

1545
01:09:36,800 --> 01:09:39,240
Speaker 1: the way, aren't they top five in the FCS Top

1546
01:09:39,280 --> 01:09:41,760
Speaker 1: twenty five, pole ap Top twenty I mean, I don't

1547
01:09:41,880 --> 01:09:44,320
Speaker 1: understand how this win total is going up and up.

1548
01:09:44,760 --> 01:09:48,240
Speaker 1: So I have it in my calendar a notification to

1549
01:09:48,320 --> 01:09:50,560
Speaker 1: go off around August twenty fourth that I'm betting the

1550
01:09:50,680 --> 01:09:52,360
Speaker 1: under on Nevada after it's done steaming.

1551
01:09:52,720 --> 01:09:55,160
Speaker 2: All right, you heard it here, First set those alarms.

1552
01:09:55,840 --> 01:09:57,760
Speaker 1: Let's do a quick recap year.

1553
01:09:57,720 --> 01:10:00,519
Speaker 2: Your best plays, go best bet, and really what you

1554
01:10:00,680 --> 01:10:03,520
Speaker 2: like in terms of the conference. From a championship perspective,

1555
01:10:03,760 --> 01:10:05,800
Speaker 2: I like to be choosy about when I'm taking my

1556
01:10:05,920 --> 01:10:07,920
Speaker 2: long shots. This is the conference for me. I like

1557
01:10:08,000 --> 01:10:10,400
Speaker 2: twenty two to one in Colorado State. I'm gonna hope

1558
01:10:10,760 --> 01:10:13,599
Speaker 2: this paper mache offensive line that has some new pieces

1559
01:10:13,640 --> 01:10:16,400
Speaker 2: of paper holds up, because if it does, everything on

1560
01:10:16,479 --> 01:10:18,680
Speaker 2: the offense is ready to go. And I think this

1561
01:10:18,840 --> 01:10:21,759
Speaker 2: conference at the very top. There's some questions about Fresno,

1562
01:10:21,880 --> 01:10:25,559
Speaker 2: there are some legitimate questions about Boise State. There's certainly

1563
01:10:25,640 --> 01:10:27,639
Speaker 2: questions about new quarterback play at air Force.

1564
01:10:27,680 --> 01:10:28,599
Speaker 4: So I think it's open.

1565
01:10:29,120 --> 01:10:31,160
Speaker 2: My best bet is over on the wind total on

1566
01:10:31,280 --> 01:10:33,040
Speaker 2: Colorado State. You want to make sure you get the

1567
01:10:33,080 --> 01:10:34,840
Speaker 2: best number out there, but don't be afraid to lay

1568
01:10:34,840 --> 01:10:36,880
Speaker 2: a little juice to go to the over. What I'm

1569
01:10:36,880 --> 01:10:38,439
Speaker 2: seeing right now is a win total four and a

1570
01:10:38,479 --> 01:10:40,880
Speaker 2: half minus one forty for the over. I'll go ahead

1571
01:10:40,880 --> 01:10:43,120
Speaker 2: and lay it. Ianella, what are your two favorites here?

1572
01:10:43,680 --> 01:10:43,840
Speaker 3: Well?

1573
01:10:43,880 --> 01:10:46,320
Speaker 4: You said like I said, my answer is the Colorado

1574
01:10:46,360 --> 01:10:48,519
Speaker 4: State over as well. But since you took it, I'll

1575
01:10:48,560 --> 01:10:52,439
Speaker 4: say my two favorites are the Utah State under five

1576
01:10:52,479 --> 01:10:55,360
Speaker 4: and a half and the Hawaii under three and a half.

1577
01:10:55,720 --> 01:10:58,240
Speaker 4: And then my conference future. Like I said, it'd beat

1578
01:10:58,240 --> 01:11:01,200
Speaker 4: a long shot on San Jose State. I think they

1579
01:11:01,240 --> 01:11:03,400
Speaker 4: have the second best quarterback in the conference. I like

1580
01:11:03,479 --> 01:11:05,840
Speaker 4: the upside there. If it clicks, I'm colm with you,

1581
01:11:06,000 --> 01:11:07,479
Speaker 4: or I'm kind of like I think Boys is the

1582
01:11:07,520 --> 01:11:09,280
Speaker 4: best team, but I don't love the number, so I'll

1583
01:11:09,320 --> 01:11:11,200
Speaker 4: take a flyer on San Jose State.

1584
01:11:11,680 --> 01:11:13,880
Speaker 1: If only we could put that San Jose State offense

1585
01:11:13,960 --> 01:11:16,400
Speaker 1: with the Wyoming defense would be great. I'm gonna go

1586
01:11:16,479 --> 01:11:19,800
Speaker 1: with Wyoming. There's some eleven ones out there. I would

1587
01:11:19,840 --> 01:11:22,120
Speaker 1: take that. I would understand if people aren't that comfortable

1588
01:11:22,160 --> 01:11:24,719
Speaker 1: with that. And there's also a to make the Mountain

1589
01:11:24,760 --> 01:11:27,040
Speaker 1: West Conference Championship Game, where Wyoming is listed at plus

1590
01:11:27,080 --> 01:11:29,120
Speaker 1: four fifty. That may be more realistic with the kind

1591
01:11:29,120 --> 01:11:32,160
Speaker 1: of schedule that they have from a win total perspective,

1592
01:11:32,200 --> 01:11:34,960
Speaker 1: Colorado State on the over, they are my favorite team

1593
01:11:35,040 --> 01:11:37,880
Speaker 1: from what they have rebuilt with Jayane Norvel and from

1594
01:11:37,920 --> 01:11:39,880
Speaker 1: an under perspective, I am right there with you guys

1595
01:11:40,000 --> 01:11:43,240
Speaker 1: on Utah State not have the warm and fuzzies about

1596
01:11:43,280 --> 01:11:44,600
Speaker 1: that team for.

1597
01:11:44,720 --> 01:11:47,240
Speaker 2: Colin Wilson, Mike Ainello on Mike Calibreys. This has been

1598
01:11:47,320 --> 01:11:49,360
Speaker 2: the Big Bets on Campus podcast, brought to you by

1599
01:11:49,400 --> 01:11:52,519
Speaker 2: Bett mgm are Mountain West Conference preview now in the books,

1600
01:11:52,840 --> 01:11:55,080
Speaker 2: and a reminder that we're covering all ten of the

1601
01:11:55,280 --> 01:11:58,479
Speaker 2: FBS conferences over the next few weeks, so make sure

1602
01:11:58,640 --> 01:12:01,439
Speaker 2: to subscribe. Bit tell friend, tell an enemie. You know

1603
01:12:01,520 --> 01:12:03,240
Speaker 2: how we do it here at the Action Network. Thanks

1604
01:12:03,240 --> 01:12:05,280
Speaker 2: again for listening. Can't wait to get the season started.

1605
01:12:17,479 --> 01:12:21,960
Speaker 2: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or

1606
01:12:22,000 --> 01:12:24,800
Speaker 2: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is

1607
01:12:24,800 --> 01:12:27,879
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