1 00:00:00,320 --> 00:00:04,120 Speaker 1: The Favorite podcast is presented by FanDuel Sports Book. There's 2 00:00:04,160 --> 00:00:08,280 Speaker 1: no better place to make every moment more than with FanDuel. 3 00:00:08,400 --> 00:00:11,320 Speaker 1: I bet with FanDuel because they're safe and secure, they 4 00:00:11,320 --> 00:00:14,440 Speaker 1: offer great odds and markets across the NBA, n HL 5 00:00:14,480 --> 00:00:17,680 Speaker 1: and more, and because it's fun to combine multiple bets 6 00:00:17,920 --> 00:00:21,720 Speaker 1: into same game parlays. So if you're new, just download 7 00:00:21,720 --> 00:00:24,560 Speaker 1: the FanDuel Sports Book app to get started now. 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In Virginia one 15 00:00:48,600 --> 00:00:51,520 Speaker 1: eight seven eight nine seven seven seven seven or visit 16 00:00:51,640 --> 00:00:56,560 Speaker 1: CCPG dot org slash chat in Connecticut one eight seven 17 00:00:56,600 --> 00:00:58,960 Speaker 1: zero seven one one seven for confidential help in Michigan 18 00:00:59,120 --> 00:01:03,280 Speaker 1: one eight seventh having s t O P in Louisiana 19 00:01:03,360 --> 00:01:07,800 Speaker 1: called the Tennessee Redline one eight nine or visit one 20 00:01:07,920 --> 00:01:19,399 Speaker 1: eight gambler dot net in West Virginia. Welcome to the Favorites, 21 00:01:19,400 --> 00:01:22,759 Speaker 1: the podcast from the Value and Podcast Network. I am 22 00:01:22,840 --> 00:01:27,880 Speaker 1: Chad Mellman, Chief Content Officer of the Action Network, joined 23 00:01:27,920 --> 00:01:32,640 Speaker 1: as always by my bff, my companion, my compadre professional 24 00:01:32,680 --> 00:01:38,600 Speaker 1: better Simon Hunter. Hey Chad, talking more football, another great day. Yeah, 25 00:01:38,600 --> 00:01:41,039 Speaker 1: it's fun, right, Like it feels so different to talk 26 00:01:41,040 --> 00:01:44,759 Speaker 1: about football than everything else. Yeah, it's just the most fun. 27 00:01:44,800 --> 00:01:46,600 Speaker 1: I mean, we we we do love the other sports, 28 00:01:46,600 --> 00:01:50,200 Speaker 1: I think that, but football right now, it's it's so 29 00:01:50,280 --> 00:01:53,480 Speaker 1: far above King and in this everything. Like, do you 30 00:01:53,520 --> 00:01:55,440 Speaker 1: see how they're doing their release now of their schedule. 31 00:01:55,920 --> 00:01:59,960 Speaker 1: They're doing a I believe Spanish someone gets to do 32 00:02:00,080 --> 00:02:02,200 Speaker 1: the ninth, and then NBC gets to do with the tenth, 33 00:02:02,680 --> 00:02:04,840 Speaker 1: and then whoever CBS has do the eleventh, and then 34 00:02:04,840 --> 00:02:07,200 Speaker 1: they do the whole schedule at twelve. They're really taking 35 00:02:07,200 --> 00:02:09,240 Speaker 1: a whole week in May to release their schedule. It's 36 00:02:09,280 --> 00:02:12,320 Speaker 1: like they've they've really become all about me, and I 37 00:02:12,360 --> 00:02:15,639 Speaker 1: love it because I'm all about it. They're so good 38 00:02:16,000 --> 00:02:20,960 Speaker 1: at milking every single second of the drama. They know 39 00:02:21,040 --> 00:02:24,760 Speaker 1: how to do it. Speaking to Drama. On Tuesday, we 40 00:02:24,840 --> 00:02:29,520 Speaker 1: ran through the NFC division by division futures that we 41 00:02:29,639 --> 00:02:33,080 Speaker 1: liked based on the draft. Today, we're gonna do the 42 00:02:33,160 --> 00:02:36,360 Speaker 1: A f C as we did last week or on Tuesday. 43 00:02:36,440 --> 00:02:40,920 Speaker 1: We're gonna start with the Eastern Division in this conference. 44 00:02:41,600 --> 00:02:45,280 Speaker 1: That would be the Buffalo Bills. The Buffalo Bills heavy 45 00:02:45,360 --> 00:02:50,079 Speaker 1: heavy favorites at minus one. The Paths are next at 46 00:02:50,160 --> 00:02:55,120 Speaker 1: plus four. D side bet Week twelve is when we 47 00:02:55,160 --> 00:02:59,160 Speaker 1: start hearing the calls for Bailey's appy, likely from Colin 48 00:02:59,160 --> 00:03:03,240 Speaker 1: Wilson Action Network college football analysts to be the news 49 00:03:03,280 --> 00:03:06,919 Speaker 1: starting quarterback for the Patriots Dolphins at plus four hundred. 50 00:03:07,600 --> 00:03:11,080 Speaker 1: The Jets, who had the greatest draft in NFL history. 51 00:03:11,200 --> 00:03:15,760 Speaker 1: If you ask anybody in New York plus two thousand. 52 00:03:16,560 --> 00:03:19,040 Speaker 1: So look, Matt Mitchell, I want to bring you in 53 00:03:19,080 --> 00:03:21,000 Speaker 1: for a second. The Bills are a minus one eight. 54 00:03:21,120 --> 00:03:23,320 Speaker 1: The Bills are plus six fifty to win the Super Bowl. 55 00:03:23,560 --> 00:03:25,639 Speaker 1: They have the shortest odds of anybody in the NFL 56 00:03:25,880 --> 00:03:28,639 Speaker 1: to win the Super Bowl. Like people have become so 57 00:03:28,760 --> 00:03:31,320 Speaker 1: all in on the Bills if you ask anybody, Josh 58 00:03:31,360 --> 00:03:34,160 Speaker 1: Allen is rated as the best quarterback in the NFL 59 00:03:34,760 --> 00:03:37,840 Speaker 1: are we are we peaked Bills right now? Does it 60 00:03:37,960 --> 00:03:40,480 Speaker 1: make you nervous? How are you feeling about all this? 61 00:03:41,400 --> 00:03:43,040 Speaker 1: Does it make me nervous? Yet it makes you want 62 00:03:43,080 --> 00:03:45,800 Speaker 1: to puke my guts out? Chat The Buffalo Bills, who 63 00:03:45,840 --> 00:03:48,320 Speaker 1: have never won a Super Bowl and haven't made a 64 00:03:48,320 --> 00:03:54,200 Speaker 1: Super Bowl since the three season, are ridiculous favorites to 65 00:03:54,240 --> 00:03:56,640 Speaker 1: win the Super Bowl. Like you said, under seven to one. 66 00:03:57,040 --> 00:03:59,720 Speaker 1: I don't care for that at all, and my bullsh 67 00:03:59,760 --> 00:04:01,440 Speaker 1: on the yeah, I think just as good as they 68 00:04:01,440 --> 00:04:03,640 Speaker 1: were last year. So you know, the whole thing comes 69 00:04:03,680 --> 00:04:07,520 Speaker 1: down to can they win a really hard playoff game 70 00:04:07,920 --> 00:04:10,360 Speaker 1: against a team that will likely be an even matchup? 71 00:04:10,480 --> 00:04:12,720 Speaker 1: And I don't know. I hope so. But they seem 72 00:04:12,800 --> 00:04:16,440 Speaker 1: to have been compiling a go for broke roster and 73 00:04:16,480 --> 00:04:20,120 Speaker 1: that's really exciting. We lost Brian Table to the Giants, 74 00:04:20,360 --> 00:04:22,240 Speaker 1: had plenty of anger with him over the years about 75 00:04:22,240 --> 00:04:23,920 Speaker 1: the way he calls a game. I don't think that's 76 00:04:23,960 --> 00:04:27,000 Speaker 1: necessarily a downgrade. But I'm as anxious about this season 77 00:04:27,000 --> 00:04:29,400 Speaker 1: as I've ever been because I'm crushed by the weight 78 00:04:29,480 --> 00:04:32,360 Speaker 1: of expectation, which I've had the luxury of not having 79 00:04:32,440 --> 00:04:35,680 Speaker 1: until recently. For twenty years, so I'm kind of dreading 80 00:04:35,680 --> 00:04:37,360 Speaker 1: the season and excited about it just the same. I 81 00:04:37,400 --> 00:04:41,479 Speaker 1: wish we could just skipped January. The Bills drafted in 82 00:04:41,520 --> 00:04:48,000 Speaker 1: the first round, Um, a cornerback from Florida. Er alarm, 83 00:04:48,120 --> 00:04:50,080 Speaker 1: you know they need a corner right like, you don't 84 00:04:50,120 --> 00:04:52,800 Speaker 1: know if true Davy is white, how are we going 85 00:04:52,839 --> 00:04:56,120 Speaker 1: to return and if there are any holes in that defense? 86 00:04:56,200 --> 00:05:00,560 Speaker 1: It wasn't the defensive secondary. James Cook running back Georgia 87 00:05:00,960 --> 00:05:02,760 Speaker 1: one of the top picks in the second round, or 88 00:05:02,720 --> 00:05:05,160 Speaker 1: at least second round pick, and then they did more 89 00:05:05,200 --> 00:05:07,880 Speaker 1: defense in the in the third round with the wind 90 00:05:07,920 --> 00:05:10,520 Speaker 1: bagger from Baylor. I don't know, Simon feels like they 91 00:05:10,520 --> 00:05:12,880 Speaker 1: just sort of filled the holes they need to fill 92 00:05:12,960 --> 00:05:15,160 Speaker 1: to get more depth. But it's really gonna come down 93 00:05:15,240 --> 00:05:19,919 Speaker 1: to Josh Allen. Between the Kelsey brothers, the wob brothers, 94 00:05:19,960 --> 00:05:23,039 Speaker 1: the Bossa brothers, I'm all about taking siblings. So the 95 00:05:23,080 --> 00:05:25,400 Speaker 1: fact that they took Cook, I mean, we've seen what 96 00:05:25,440 --> 00:05:27,880 Speaker 1: his brother did from Minnesota that if he pops for 97 00:05:27,920 --> 00:05:30,000 Speaker 1: them with the Bills, I mean again, he's the second 98 00:05:30,040 --> 00:05:33,320 Speaker 1: round running back. That's that's all that equity. I love 99 00:05:33,360 --> 00:05:36,240 Speaker 1: that moved by them and the cornerback in the first round. 100 00:05:36,279 --> 00:05:38,440 Speaker 1: That's that's the play for the Bills. They literally gave 101 00:05:38,560 --> 00:05:42,280 Speaker 1: up a first down to kick a field goal with 102 00:05:42,400 --> 00:05:45,960 Speaker 1: seven seconds and seven seconds some um my home was 103 00:05:46,000 --> 00:05:47,800 Speaker 1: able to put his team in position to kick a 104 00:05:47,880 --> 00:05:49,960 Speaker 1: field goal. I had no doubt they're gonna try to 105 00:05:49,960 --> 00:05:53,080 Speaker 1: go cornerback because that's there is no weakness on offense. 106 00:05:53,120 --> 00:05:56,320 Speaker 1: It's like we talked about it last year. You're asking 107 00:05:56,360 --> 00:05:59,200 Speaker 1: me what quarterback I would take everyone else, It's Josh Allen, 108 00:05:59,240 --> 00:06:02,080 Speaker 1: just because the simple act this is every quarterback is 109 00:06:02,080 --> 00:06:05,679 Speaker 1: a different prime. This is Josh Allen's prime. He's bigger 110 00:06:05,760 --> 00:06:08,520 Speaker 1: than everyone, he's stronger than everyone, he's faster than everyone. 111 00:06:08,960 --> 00:06:11,680 Speaker 1: He can throw with incredible accuracy. He's literally what camp. 112 00:06:11,720 --> 00:06:13,480 Speaker 1: We all thought Cam Newton was going to be this 113 00:06:13,680 --> 00:06:17,960 Speaker 1: really big, strong, incredible arm. We saw quickly Cam broke down. 114 00:06:18,000 --> 00:06:21,040 Speaker 1: So for Josh Allen, these are the big years right now. 115 00:06:21,120 --> 00:06:22,920 Speaker 1: That's why it hurts so bad for Bills fans. Last 116 00:06:23,000 --> 00:06:25,599 Speaker 1: year I felt like they wasted a year because that 117 00:06:25,600 --> 00:06:27,280 Speaker 1: that was the best team in football. Last year, no 118 00:06:27,320 --> 00:06:31,000 Speaker 1: doubt the Bills was the best team in football. So um, 119 00:06:31,040 --> 00:06:34,840 Speaker 1: I love them obviously in this division, the Patriots just 120 00:06:34,920 --> 00:06:37,680 Speaker 1: quickly touch on them. I don't really love what they've 121 00:06:37,680 --> 00:06:41,360 Speaker 1: done this offseason. I think they wait, wait, wait, do 122 00:06:41,400 --> 00:06:47,839 Speaker 1: you think that their first round draft pick was wait 123 00:06:47,880 --> 00:06:56,799 Speaker 1: for it, strange? You're just waiting for that co strange 124 00:06:56,800 --> 00:07:02,279 Speaker 1: and offensive guard from Chattanooga who was ringing third at 125 00:07:02,400 --> 00:07:06,320 Speaker 1: his position, graded out at a seventy seven and in 126 00:07:06,360 --> 00:07:11,240 Speaker 1: an overall rank of player at seventies seven. The best 127 00:07:11,320 --> 00:07:16,440 Speaker 1: reaction might have been what what Sean McVeigh had when 128 00:07:16,520 --> 00:07:18,560 Speaker 1: he was doing a press conference when he heard He's like, 129 00:07:18,920 --> 00:07:20,760 Speaker 1: I can't believe we watched film on him, we think 130 00:07:20,800 --> 00:07:26,720 Speaker 1: he'd be available one oh four. Yeah, no, And again 131 00:07:26,760 --> 00:07:30,760 Speaker 1: I hate shooting on Belichick, but he does these little 132 00:07:30,840 --> 00:07:33,800 Speaker 1: questionable picks like this, and sure, back in the day 133 00:07:33,920 --> 00:07:36,760 Speaker 1: these things could work, but they haven't in the last 134 00:07:37,000 --> 00:07:40,240 Speaker 1: I don't know, five, six, seven years. So yeah, I don't. 135 00:07:40,480 --> 00:07:42,600 Speaker 1: I don't love what the Patriots have done this offseason. 136 00:07:42,640 --> 00:07:45,160 Speaker 1: They spent all that money last year, They've been very 137 00:07:45,240 --> 00:07:48,720 Speaker 1: quiet this year. Um, and Bill just hasn't drafted well, 138 00:07:49,040 --> 00:07:51,760 Speaker 1: you just simply has not through the years. So I'm 139 00:07:51,840 --> 00:07:54,800 Speaker 1: I'm down on them, right. I look at Miami is 140 00:07:54,840 --> 00:07:57,200 Speaker 1: probably the best value in this division. They got the 141 00:07:57,200 --> 00:07:59,640 Speaker 1: new coach who, Yeah, I might think he sounds like 142 00:07:59,680 --> 00:08:01,600 Speaker 1: an idi it and that he smokes way too much weed, 143 00:08:01,640 --> 00:08:04,720 Speaker 1: but apparently he's just a really chill, laid back dude, 144 00:08:04,800 --> 00:08:08,320 Speaker 1: and Miami is excited about him. They love this move 145 00:08:08,360 --> 00:08:11,960 Speaker 1: where Tyreek Hill, that's a big deal. Like this guy's 146 00:08:12,000 --> 00:08:15,080 Speaker 1: gonna open up this offense for Wattle And you know 147 00:08:15,560 --> 00:08:17,880 Speaker 1: if if to Uh he's getting the Hurts treatment, if 148 00:08:17,880 --> 00:08:20,360 Speaker 1: two is gonna be there, guy, this is kind of it, Like, 149 00:08:21,200 --> 00:08:22,840 Speaker 1: I don't know how true that whole thing is about 150 00:08:22,840 --> 00:08:25,960 Speaker 1: Tom Brady and him becoming a partial owner or doing 151 00:08:26,000 --> 00:08:29,239 Speaker 1: whatever it was with Miami. Guess what Tom Brady redid 152 00:08:29,240 --> 00:08:31,720 Speaker 1: his deal. He's he's out of Tampa for this year. 153 00:08:31,840 --> 00:08:35,760 Speaker 1: So they honestly don't think they really care about this 154 00:08:35,800 --> 00:08:37,760 Speaker 1: year in Miami, Like they're they'll be so happy if 155 00:08:37,760 --> 00:08:40,280 Speaker 1: Toa can be good and taking the playoffs. But the 156 00:08:40,280 --> 00:08:43,040 Speaker 1: way I look at it, if that stuff about Brady 157 00:08:43,280 --> 00:08:47,319 Speaker 1: getting partial ownership of Miami is true, He's going to 158 00:08:47,360 --> 00:08:50,040 Speaker 1: Miami next year. So I don't know. They're they're a 159 00:08:50,080 --> 00:08:53,280 Speaker 1: weird team to me this year. Um, it just makes 160 00:08:53,280 --> 00:08:54,720 Speaker 1: me again, It makes me like to builds you more 161 00:08:54,760 --> 00:08:58,240 Speaker 1: and the Jets. I'll be quick on them. I I'm 162 00:08:58,240 --> 00:09:01,640 Speaker 1: happy for you Jets fans. Enjoy that night. That was great. 163 00:09:02,040 --> 00:09:06,679 Speaker 1: Um It's that's where the draft so stupid. It's like 164 00:09:07,440 --> 00:09:10,400 Speaker 1: the Raiders they give up Khalil Mack and Amari Cooper. 165 00:09:10,760 --> 00:09:13,280 Speaker 1: They had three first round picks. I guess with all 166 00:09:13,320 --> 00:09:16,360 Speaker 1: three first round picks they just had, did none of 167 00:09:16,400 --> 00:09:18,679 Speaker 1: them signed a fifth year option. They literally just had 168 00:09:18,720 --> 00:09:20,480 Speaker 1: four years of the guys and they're letting them go. 169 00:09:20,760 --> 00:09:23,520 Speaker 1: So three first round picks, none of them signed for 170 00:09:23,559 --> 00:09:26,920 Speaker 1: that fifth year option. If that happens with these Jets fans, 171 00:09:27,120 --> 00:09:30,319 Speaker 1: I honestly I got help these guys. But I think 172 00:09:30,320 --> 00:09:33,120 Speaker 1: it's a hit. No matter what on sauce um top 173 00:09:33,160 --> 00:09:35,640 Speaker 1: four pick on him. He's worth of these unbelievable cornerback. 174 00:09:36,080 --> 00:09:38,040 Speaker 1: We'll see about the wire serials, see about the end. 175 00:09:38,080 --> 00:09:41,280 Speaker 1: But yeah, the Jets are exciting, but one I still 176 00:09:41,280 --> 00:09:44,400 Speaker 1: wouldn't touch him. I just think they're light years away 177 00:09:44,640 --> 00:09:48,880 Speaker 1: from the Bills and even the Patriots in Miami. Um, yeah, 178 00:09:49,000 --> 00:09:52,160 Speaker 1: Zach Wilson could take year the year to leap. I 179 00:09:52,200 --> 00:09:54,120 Speaker 1: could be dead wrong, but I just look at the 180 00:09:54,160 --> 00:09:55,760 Speaker 1: see him as being another year or two away just 181 00:09:55,800 --> 00:09:57,920 Speaker 1: because I just don't think they have enough pieces there yet. 182 00:09:58,520 --> 00:10:00,280 Speaker 1: You're going too fast. Can we go back to the 183 00:10:00,280 --> 00:10:07,360 Speaker 1: Dolphins for a second, because obviously in this division in 184 00:10:07,480 --> 00:10:10,840 Speaker 1: terms of player movement, doing what they did in the 185 00:10:10,880 --> 00:10:15,600 Speaker 1: off season, Yeah, the most interesting team. But it is 186 00:10:15,640 --> 00:10:19,120 Speaker 1: exactly what we talked about on Tuesday with A J. 187 00:10:19,360 --> 00:10:23,679 Speaker 1: Brown going to the Eagles getting Jalen Hurts some weapons 188 00:10:24,120 --> 00:10:26,920 Speaker 1: now too, it has the weapons and he's Mike McDaniels, Like, 189 00:10:27,040 --> 00:10:28,880 Speaker 1: again I make fun of the guy. He's are He 190 00:10:28,960 --> 00:10:31,360 Speaker 1: is supposed to a mastermind on offensive stuff as a 191 00:10:31,400 --> 00:10:36,640 Speaker 1: head coach, and that's a big deal. Um, this is 192 00:10:36,640 --> 00:10:38,880 Speaker 1: a really interesting team. They did not have a lot 193 00:10:38,880 --> 00:10:41,239 Speaker 1: of traft picks, so they only had like four picks. 194 00:10:41,320 --> 00:10:44,000 Speaker 1: So what you see is what you get on this 195 00:10:44,080 --> 00:10:46,439 Speaker 1: team right now. Like, if you like what they're doing 196 00:10:46,440 --> 00:10:50,440 Speaker 1: on defense, that's what it's gonna be. If you think 197 00:10:50,440 --> 00:10:53,160 Speaker 1: they're gonna be better on offense because of the offensive 198 00:10:53,160 --> 00:10:57,880 Speaker 1: weapons they now have, then a plus four hundred. This 199 00:10:58,000 --> 00:11:02,680 Speaker 1: might be the team other than the Bills, although the 200 00:11:02,720 --> 00:11:05,280 Speaker 1: truth is you probably want to take Bills in the 201 00:11:05,320 --> 00:11:08,280 Speaker 1: box and some kind of you know, big parlay it's 202 00:11:08,320 --> 00:11:11,319 Speaker 1: just we just don't again. We love, we love the 203 00:11:11,360 --> 00:11:13,640 Speaker 1: upside of tow it, we just neither chat or I 204 00:11:13,679 --> 00:11:15,640 Speaker 1: trust to h and all the pros I talked to, 205 00:11:16,640 --> 00:11:18,559 Speaker 1: they like them. They like the value on Miami too, 206 00:11:18,559 --> 00:11:21,760 Speaker 1: because again, Mike Downs is an exciting head coach and 207 00:11:21,800 --> 00:11:23,960 Speaker 1: they just got Tyreek Hill. Like, that's a really exciting 208 00:11:24,040 --> 00:11:27,160 Speaker 1: offense with arguably the best secondary in all football and defense. 209 00:11:27,240 --> 00:11:29,679 Speaker 1: So I love the value of Miami. But it's the 210 00:11:29,720 --> 00:11:31,920 Speaker 1: same thing as the Eagles and Hurts. It's like, we 211 00:11:31,920 --> 00:11:34,800 Speaker 1: don't know about this quarterback, and I don't know how 212 00:11:34,880 --> 00:11:36,280 Speaker 1: much money I want to get down on this to 213 00:11:36,360 --> 00:11:38,839 Speaker 1: a kid where I've seem to have little flash moments, 214 00:11:38,840 --> 00:11:41,200 Speaker 1: I've also had some of the most dudd dumb boat 215 00:11:41,240 --> 00:11:43,719 Speaker 1: headed plays ever last year. So it's really already know 216 00:11:43,800 --> 00:11:46,160 Speaker 1: it to U. At this time next year, do you 217 00:11:46,200 --> 00:11:52,640 Speaker 1: think that the team with the second best value in 218 00:11:52,679 --> 00:11:55,640 Speaker 1: the a f C East let's project based on current 219 00:11:55,720 --> 00:12:05,120 Speaker 1: rosters and future talent and develop a minute outside the Bills, Patriots, Dolphins, Jets. 220 00:12:05,240 --> 00:12:10,080 Speaker 1: At this time next year, who has the second shortest odds? Again, 221 00:12:10,120 --> 00:12:12,160 Speaker 1: if Tom Brady goes to the Dolphins, I think it 222 00:12:12,200 --> 00:12:17,000 Speaker 1: would be the Bills would be minus division and Tom 223 00:12:17,000 --> 00:12:20,960 Speaker 1: Brady baby plus one thirty plus one forty. Like again, 224 00:12:21,000 --> 00:12:23,680 Speaker 1: Matt Mitchell, he would hate to admit it. That would 225 00:12:23,720 --> 00:12:25,120 Speaker 1: that would literally keep him up on it. That would 226 00:12:25,120 --> 00:12:27,640 Speaker 1: give Bills fans PTSD if this man was just back 227 00:12:27,640 --> 00:12:30,720 Speaker 1: in their division on a different team. I came to 228 00:12:30,720 --> 00:12:33,080 Speaker 1: imagine how awf of that would be. So yeah, sitting 229 00:12:33,160 --> 00:12:35,959 Speaker 1: here as teams are right now, and to A does 230 00:12:35,960 --> 00:12:39,000 Speaker 1: not work out, it's gotta be. It's gotta be, uh, 231 00:12:39,120 --> 00:12:41,520 Speaker 1: the Patriots being the next team next year. But as 232 00:12:41,520 --> 00:12:43,480 Speaker 1: you say here right now, I just I just all 233 00:12:43,520 --> 00:12:45,040 Speaker 1: this stuff I hear about this time Brady stuff. It 234 00:12:45,080 --> 00:12:48,280 Speaker 1: sounds like that was a done deal, him going to Miami, 235 00:12:49,360 --> 00:12:53,800 Speaker 1: Sean Payton going there. But like Floria, I mean Flora's 236 00:12:53,840 --> 00:12:56,840 Speaker 1: I'm sorry when he came out that suit against Miami. 237 00:12:57,600 --> 00:12:58,800 Speaker 1: I think it kind of left a little bit of 238 00:12:58,800 --> 00:13:00,880 Speaker 1: a staying there so Tom Brady to give involved it. 239 00:13:01,000 --> 00:13:03,640 Speaker 1: So again, it's I know we should be talked about, 240 00:13:04,480 --> 00:13:07,760 Speaker 1: but three season, it's just these rumors. There's a lot 241 00:13:07,920 --> 00:13:10,160 Speaker 1: a lot of smoke, and like Chad always says, if 242 00:13:10,160 --> 00:13:15,040 Speaker 1: there's smoke, there's also it's hard to talk about three 243 00:13:15,080 --> 00:13:18,040 Speaker 1: season when the Bills are so much better. Right, It's 244 00:13:18,080 --> 00:13:23,640 Speaker 1: a little bit like talking about the NFC South, it 245 00:13:23,679 --> 00:13:26,440 Speaker 1: comes down to the quarterback. It's like, are they that 246 00:13:26,600 --> 00:13:29,600 Speaker 1: much better than Miami? I don't know, it comes down 247 00:13:29,600 --> 00:13:32,320 Speaker 1: to the quarterback because it's like we've seen it time 248 00:13:32,360 --> 00:13:35,400 Speaker 1: and time again these teams. It's just different comes to 249 00:13:35,400 --> 00:13:36,960 Speaker 1: the playoff time. If you don't have a quarterback, if 250 00:13:36,960 --> 00:13:39,800 Speaker 1: you have a Tannehill, he's probably not gonna live up 251 00:13:39,800 --> 00:13:41,720 Speaker 1: to the moment where you've got you have a guy 252 00:13:41,800 --> 00:13:44,839 Speaker 1: like you know, you saw a Lactor. It's like there's 253 00:13:44,880 --> 00:13:47,040 Speaker 1: there's just certain quarterbacks that stepped up in the playoffs. 254 00:13:47,120 --> 00:13:51,840 Speaker 1: And dude, Josh Allen is so far and away better 255 00:13:52,240 --> 00:13:58,960 Speaker 1: than Mac Jones than to then Zack Wilson, in the 256 00:13:59,000 --> 00:14:01,439 Speaker 1: same way that Tom Brady d is so far and 257 00:14:01,480 --> 00:14:07,600 Speaker 1: away better than Jamis or Marcus Mariotta or Sam Donald 258 00:14:07,640 --> 00:14:10,480 Speaker 1: like and order that Aaron Rodgers is so much better 259 00:14:10,520 --> 00:14:14,160 Speaker 1: than Kirk Cussin's or Justin Fields or Jared Goff. Like 260 00:14:14,600 --> 00:14:17,440 Speaker 1: that's where you're gonna see the biggest discrepancies, like in 261 00:14:17,520 --> 00:14:21,000 Speaker 1: the you know, it's really interesting. Let's go to the NFC, 262 00:14:21,160 --> 00:14:23,520 Speaker 1: the a f C North for a second. We talked 263 00:14:23,560 --> 00:14:28,520 Speaker 1: on Tuesday about, um, how much we love the Ravens draft, 264 00:14:28,640 --> 00:14:31,360 Speaker 1: we being I and then you hated it and felt 265 00:14:31,360 --> 00:14:33,520 Speaker 1: like they get credit and hat. I thought they had 266 00:14:33,520 --> 00:14:35,160 Speaker 1: a good draft. But it's just no matter what they 267 00:14:35,160 --> 00:14:37,720 Speaker 1: do every year, everyone's like, oh my god, the Ravens 268 00:14:37,720 --> 00:14:41,320 Speaker 1: and Matt Mitchell's like they drafted a center and everyone 269 00:14:41,360 --> 00:14:43,680 Speaker 1: thinks their geniuses. Whereas that anyone else does it. It's 270 00:14:43,680 --> 00:14:48,360 Speaker 1: like whatever, you drafted a center. Um, the Bengals like 271 00:14:49,440 --> 00:14:55,000 Speaker 1: are plus two twenty on FanDuel. The Ravens are plus 272 00:14:55,080 --> 00:14:59,320 Speaker 1: two hundred right now on FanDuel. So those odds have flipped, yep, 273 00:15:00,280 --> 00:15:01,720 Speaker 1: And we talked about that's why we were firing on 274 00:15:01,720 --> 00:15:04,840 Speaker 1: the Ravens. I still think this division, in my opinion, 275 00:15:04,840 --> 00:15:08,240 Speaker 1: goes Ravens one, Bengals too, Browns, and and then the 276 00:15:08,280 --> 00:15:11,200 Speaker 1: Steelers like who who the hell is putting money on 277 00:15:11,240 --> 00:15:14,080 Speaker 1: the Browns like that? I just again, I love the 278 00:15:14,160 --> 00:15:17,440 Speaker 1: upside of the team, but it's I don't know, man, 279 00:15:17,480 --> 00:15:19,920 Speaker 1: this whole Watson Baker thing, like is this guy gonna 280 00:15:19,920 --> 00:15:21,680 Speaker 1: gets to spend it for a year. We just saw 281 00:15:22,160 --> 00:15:23,920 Speaker 1: an MLB pitcher. I don't want to talk about the 282 00:15:23,920 --> 00:15:25,640 Speaker 1: whole situation. Basically, a guy got to spend it for 283 00:15:25,680 --> 00:15:31,120 Speaker 1: two years for something he didn't get charged for NFL. There, 284 00:15:31,200 --> 00:15:34,240 Speaker 1: they can't be just, you know, do nothing about this 285 00:15:34,240 --> 00:15:37,520 Speaker 1: whole Watson situation. So I don't get the Browns being 286 00:15:37,520 --> 00:15:39,520 Speaker 1: the favorite this division right now. I obviously I like 287 00:15:39,560 --> 00:15:41,960 Speaker 1: the Browns that they have a great team. Watson. We 288 00:15:42,000 --> 00:15:44,720 Speaker 1: all know he's we talked about he's probably top five 289 00:15:44,800 --> 00:15:48,000 Speaker 1: quarterback when he's full full going playing like we know 290 00:15:48,080 --> 00:15:50,840 Speaker 1: he can play. So I don't know best best value. 291 00:15:50,840 --> 00:15:54,040 Speaker 1: I'm gonna still going with the Ravens just because I 292 00:15:54,160 --> 00:15:57,800 Speaker 1: like I like teams coming back from injury ridden seasons. 293 00:15:58,480 --> 00:16:00,560 Speaker 1: I love that Lamar is still kind of being down 294 00:16:00,600 --> 00:16:02,280 Speaker 1: a little bit, so it's another proved me a year 295 00:16:02,320 --> 00:16:06,560 Speaker 1: for Littmar and we just talked about there there. I 296 00:16:06,560 --> 00:16:08,840 Speaker 1: don't know, they're They're just one of these teams every year. 297 00:16:08,880 --> 00:16:10,360 Speaker 1: They're always kind of been it. Like I might make 298 00:16:10,400 --> 00:16:11,720 Speaker 1: fun of them because they get knocked down in the 299 00:16:11,720 --> 00:16:14,480 Speaker 1: first round, usually in the playoffs, but usually they get 300 00:16:14,480 --> 00:16:16,800 Speaker 1: there by one of their divisions. So they're they're they're 301 00:16:16,840 --> 00:16:18,280 Speaker 1: a good value. They're not as good as it was. 302 00:16:18,320 --> 00:16:21,680 Speaker 1: That's why I wouldn't say take the Ravens. I honestly 303 00:16:21,680 --> 00:16:23,120 Speaker 1: think you kind of missed the boat in the value 304 00:16:23,120 --> 00:16:25,720 Speaker 1: in this division at this point. So so to me, 305 00:16:25,760 --> 00:16:27,800 Speaker 1: I'd wait because again I'm not gonna telling with Dick 306 00:16:27,840 --> 00:16:31,080 Speaker 1: Pittsburgh here. I just I can't do it. As much 307 00:16:31,080 --> 00:16:32,560 Speaker 1: as we like Mitch, I don't know if it's gonna 308 00:16:32,600 --> 00:16:36,240 Speaker 1: be Mitch or Kenny starting for the Pittsburgh Steelers. So 309 00:16:36,840 --> 00:16:39,480 Speaker 1: I'll just avoid it. I'll hold my Ravens ticket. Maybe 310 00:16:39,520 --> 00:16:42,320 Speaker 1: I'll bet it closer to the season. I mean a 311 00:16:42,400 --> 00:16:49,640 Speaker 1: very uh Baltimore frame of mind. Uh. The creators of 312 00:16:49,640 --> 00:16:53,840 Speaker 1: the Wire did have a new show on HBO called 313 00:16:53,880 --> 00:17:00,520 Speaker 1: We Own This City and it's all about policing in Baltimore. UM, 314 00:17:00,600 --> 00:17:04,600 Speaker 1: and of course I started watching it and during COVID 315 00:17:04,640 --> 00:17:08,880 Speaker 1: when I had covid, UM, and it's great. The accents 316 00:17:08,920 --> 00:17:11,320 Speaker 1: are great. It's not that, you know, Baltimore has got 317 00:17:11,359 --> 00:17:13,000 Speaker 1: a little bit of a Philly accent, because it's all 318 00:17:13,080 --> 00:17:17,080 Speaker 1: sort of that Della where you know, kind of feeling. 319 00:17:17,560 --> 00:17:24,240 Speaker 1: But it's just it's so good. I don't know what 320 00:17:24,280 --> 00:17:26,680 Speaker 1: I'm talking about. I'm just thinking about it. Every time 321 00:17:26,720 --> 00:17:30,800 Speaker 1: you say Baltimore. That's what I'm thinking about, Um, can 322 00:17:30,800 --> 00:17:33,879 Speaker 1: you Pickett thing? The Mike tomlnd thing. Uh, not a 323 00:17:33,920 --> 00:17:37,160 Speaker 1: team that you're gonna bet on at this point. They're 324 00:17:37,200 --> 00:17:40,639 Speaker 1: not exercising the option on Devin Bush. We don't know 325 00:17:40,680 --> 00:17:44,080 Speaker 1: how their defense uh is gonna do. We don't know 326 00:17:44,320 --> 00:17:47,080 Speaker 1: a lot about that offense right now. It's hard to 327 00:17:47,119 --> 00:17:49,880 Speaker 1: take a flyer on the Steelers at this point. Yeah, 328 00:17:49,920 --> 00:17:52,040 Speaker 1: the defense is going to be incredible, but yeah, we 329 00:17:52,160 --> 00:17:54,919 Speaker 1: just don't know we're getting the QB position. So if 330 00:17:54,960 --> 00:17:57,680 Speaker 1: you're just looking for a blind value bet I don't 331 00:17:57,720 --> 00:18:00,560 Speaker 1: hate it on pittsburgha again, there they had the best 332 00:18:00,600 --> 00:18:03,919 Speaker 1: defense in this division. But the Bengals are so good, 333 00:18:04,040 --> 00:18:05,960 Speaker 1: Like that's just a very complete team. And they've been 334 00:18:05,960 --> 00:18:09,040 Speaker 1: smart this whole offseason, adding to their offensive line, trying 335 00:18:09,040 --> 00:18:14,040 Speaker 1: to address that quarterback position. But we just the odds 336 00:18:14,040 --> 00:18:16,320 Speaker 1: that I'm not having a super Bowl hangover is just insane. 337 00:18:16,400 --> 00:18:18,960 Speaker 1: Like there, they fit every criteria a team that's gonna 338 00:18:18,960 --> 00:18:21,000 Speaker 1: have a down year. They want a division, which means 339 00:18:21,040 --> 00:18:23,880 Speaker 1: they have a harder schedule. They're all under the age 340 00:18:23,920 --> 00:18:28,600 Speaker 1: of seven, like their superstars. Historically, the following year they 341 00:18:28,600 --> 00:18:30,760 Speaker 1: all have left down years because it's just different. It's 342 00:18:30,800 --> 00:18:33,480 Speaker 1: a lot harder when you've reached that mountaintop to follow 343 00:18:33,560 --> 00:18:35,440 Speaker 1: up the thought in here. That's just I'm not a 344 00:18:35,480 --> 00:18:38,040 Speaker 1: Bengals hater. I think they're a great team, and we 345 00:18:38,200 --> 00:18:41,960 Speaker 1: mean Chad both really like Joe Burrow. It's just the 346 00:18:42,040 --> 00:18:43,800 Speaker 1: rhythm of the NFL. That's what a lot of this 347 00:18:43,880 --> 00:18:48,400 Speaker 1: future stuff spending on. Historically, after making two Super Bowl 348 00:18:48,440 --> 00:18:50,760 Speaker 1: and losing, that team does not do well the following season, 349 00:18:50,840 --> 00:18:54,400 Speaker 1: especially ones that win their division. The freaking Bengals made 350 00:18:54,400 --> 00:18:58,000 Speaker 1: it to the Super Bowl and they were within minutes 351 00:18:58,240 --> 00:19:00,640 Speaker 1: of winning it and probably should have won it. Yeah, 352 00:19:00,680 --> 00:19:02,719 Speaker 1: then the man in the four Knighters, like the Four 353 00:19:02,800 --> 00:19:05,440 Speaker 1: Nighters again, had the ball with a ten minute lead 354 00:19:05,480 --> 00:19:07,480 Speaker 1: against that Rams team. They had the ball with the 355 00:19:07,520 --> 00:19:10,040 Speaker 1: ten point lead with ten mends to go on the 356 00:19:10,080 --> 00:19:14,040 Speaker 1: fourth quarter. The Rams won that game. Rams were down 357 00:19:14,080 --> 00:19:16,920 Speaker 1: I believe, uh it might have been like twelve. It 358 00:19:16,960 --> 00:19:18,760 Speaker 1: was a weird number because they had missed that true 359 00:19:18,800 --> 00:19:22,040 Speaker 1: point wherever it was, and it was like midway through 360 00:19:22,080 --> 00:19:24,439 Speaker 1: the third quarter. Remember that the Bengals just had that 361 00:19:24,480 --> 00:19:28,879 Speaker 1: big touchdown. The three and out happened for the Rams. 362 00:19:28,880 --> 00:19:31,480 Speaker 1: The Bengals got the ball back and then Joe Burrow 363 00:19:31,480 --> 00:19:32,800 Speaker 1: had that whole thing with his knee and it was 364 00:19:32,840 --> 00:19:35,399 Speaker 1: just never the same. So it really is that's we 365 00:19:35,440 --> 00:19:37,600 Speaker 1: talked all the time. That's how crazy is this football game. 366 00:19:37,640 --> 00:19:40,040 Speaker 1: It's like one or two players aside the entire game. 367 00:19:41,040 --> 00:19:45,080 Speaker 1: It's stunning. It's totally stunning. Uh a f C South 368 00:19:46,560 --> 00:19:53,080 Speaker 1: Indianapolis Courts minus one oh five Tennessee Titans plus Jaguas 369 00:19:53,200 --> 00:20:00,359 Speaker 1: plus seven hundred Texans. Obviously the big news here, Matt Ryan. 370 00:20:00,720 --> 00:20:05,440 Speaker 1: Now the Colts quarterback A J. Brown not on the Titans. 371 00:20:06,880 --> 00:20:11,800 Speaker 1: Malik Willis drafted by the Titans, will not get mentored 372 00:20:11,800 --> 00:20:17,680 Speaker 1: by Bryan Tannehill. Also Malik Willis and all the other 373 00:20:17,760 --> 00:20:24,720 Speaker 1: quarterbacks Desmond Ritter fading dropping deep, deep, deep into the draft. 374 00:20:25,040 --> 00:20:27,880 Speaker 1: That was a great narrative the night of the draft. Uh. 375 00:20:28,000 --> 00:20:31,360 Speaker 1: Not just because hey, none were taken in the top ten, 376 00:20:31,640 --> 00:20:35,119 Speaker 1: as I said, but it just seemed like every single 377 00:20:35,240 --> 00:20:39,119 Speaker 1: GM put their thinking cap on and said, I'm not 378 00:20:39,160 --> 00:20:44,280 Speaker 1: over reaching just because they're playing quarterback. Yeah, and again 379 00:20:44,280 --> 00:20:46,760 Speaker 1: shout the Matt Freeman who gave us that amazing stat 380 00:20:46,760 --> 00:20:49,480 Speaker 1: about if no quarterback goes in the top five historically 381 00:20:49,520 --> 00:20:53,239 Speaker 1: in NFL's history, if no quick goes top five. The 382 00:20:53,320 --> 00:20:55,639 Speaker 1: under of two and a half quarterback is hit every time. 383 00:20:55,880 --> 00:20:58,280 Speaker 1: So something to keep in mind the future. If people 384 00:20:58,280 --> 00:21:01,640 Speaker 1: are mocking quarterbacks outside top five, it's it's pretty good 385 00:21:01,640 --> 00:21:03,520 Speaker 1: bet to beout the under quarterbacks. That's that's something I 386 00:21:03,640 --> 00:21:06,600 Speaker 1: remember because that that hurt me. Uh, that definitely hurt me. 387 00:21:07,000 --> 00:21:09,639 Speaker 1: And we think we talked about next year. It's just 388 00:21:09,640 --> 00:21:12,119 Speaker 1: a really good quarterback class. I do think that's the 389 00:21:12,119 --> 00:21:14,359 Speaker 1: biggest difference. I saw some books opened at six and 390 00:21:14,400 --> 00:21:17,960 Speaker 1: a half over under first round quarterbacks. Honestly, the O 391 00:21:18,200 --> 00:21:19,840 Speaker 1: theyre got pounded and it dropped all way down to 392 00:21:19,880 --> 00:21:21,159 Speaker 1: five and a half and they just took up. They 393 00:21:21,160 --> 00:21:25,479 Speaker 1: just took the number down. But you know, it's like 394 00:21:25,480 --> 00:21:27,520 Speaker 1: you just said, teams called the bluffs, they're just like, 395 00:21:27,560 --> 00:21:29,640 Speaker 1: go ahead and take this guy. Like we're finally either 396 00:21:29,680 --> 00:21:31,840 Speaker 1: wait next year, we think there's enough good quarterbacks in 397 00:21:31,840 --> 00:21:35,240 Speaker 1: the phrasing group. Like again, go look at the Seahawks 398 00:21:35,320 --> 00:21:37,640 Speaker 1: qb room and go look at the Atlanta Falcons qb 399 00:21:37,840 --> 00:21:40,879 Speaker 1: room and tell me these teams aren't tanking like they're 400 00:21:40,880 --> 00:21:43,440 Speaker 1: tanking it. There is no excuse for them not to 401 00:21:43,440 --> 00:21:45,639 Speaker 1: go out there get Jimmy Jr. Get get Baker, but 402 00:21:45,720 --> 00:21:48,159 Speaker 1: clearly they made a stance where they don't want to 403 00:21:48,160 --> 00:21:50,960 Speaker 1: do it. Though. Look at this division, Chaid, I like 404 00:21:51,080 --> 00:21:55,080 Speaker 1: Jacksonville coming into it, and I just thought they had 405 00:21:55,080 --> 00:21:57,360 Speaker 1: the most room to grow. I think they've gone now 406 00:21:57,400 --> 00:21:59,200 Speaker 1: from fourteen to one or twelve the one. Now they're 407 00:21:59,200 --> 00:22:01,919 Speaker 1: down to seven o one for this division. So the 408 00:22:02,000 --> 00:22:04,960 Speaker 1: values going there now, the value shifted to the Texans. 409 00:22:04,960 --> 00:22:09,520 Speaker 1: It's like it's gross. Go back and watch the film 410 00:22:09,600 --> 00:22:13,720 Speaker 1: on Davis Mills. Go back and Davis Mills comes out 411 00:22:13,760 --> 00:22:17,040 Speaker 1: this year he's the number one player taken overall. You 412 00:22:17,080 --> 00:22:21,119 Speaker 1: really think? So kidding me? Are you kidding me? I 413 00:22:21,280 --> 00:22:22,960 Speaker 1: would say if they could see what he did last 414 00:22:23,000 --> 00:22:26,120 Speaker 1: year the NFL, yes, he would easily be the number 415 00:22:26,119 --> 00:22:29,080 Speaker 1: one pick overall, just because his upside again on tape, 416 00:22:29,080 --> 00:22:32,040 Speaker 1: if you put it on there, this kid makes really 417 00:22:32,080 --> 00:22:34,919 Speaker 1: really high level throws when he had guys all around 418 00:22:34,920 --> 00:22:38,240 Speaker 1: his legs. So I just look at the Texans as 419 00:22:37,960 --> 00:22:41,440 Speaker 1: It's another thing where it's like, should they be sixteen 420 00:22:41,440 --> 00:22:44,159 Speaker 1: to one? Should they be fifteen to one for this division? Yeah, 421 00:22:44,200 --> 00:22:49,080 Speaker 1: that's a fair number. They're sitting at one for this division. 422 00:22:49,119 --> 00:22:52,200 Speaker 1: It's like people are kind of figure out what we're 423 00:22:52,240 --> 00:22:56,360 Speaker 1: doing here. We're betting teams that aren't talked about. They're 424 00:22:56,400 --> 00:22:59,000 Speaker 1: considered a joke, Like that's what the Texans kind of 425 00:22:59,000 --> 00:23:01,119 Speaker 1: are considered right now. So am I telling you go 426 00:23:01,280 --> 00:23:03,240 Speaker 1: bet a lot of money on Texas and win this division? No? 427 00:23:03,440 --> 00:23:05,600 Speaker 1: But like, have you had a couple of ten bucks, 428 00:23:05,680 --> 00:23:07,240 Speaker 1: you know, twenty bucks laying around? You just want to 429 00:23:07,280 --> 00:23:09,439 Speaker 1: throw it on a good long shot they win a division. 430 00:23:10,280 --> 00:23:11,919 Speaker 1: I don't want hate that that Texas. They they were 431 00:23:11,920 --> 00:23:14,680 Speaker 1: just a very solid team all throughout. We saw last year, 432 00:23:15,520 --> 00:23:17,639 Speaker 1: Man did I sweat that under? A better them? Like 433 00:23:17,680 --> 00:23:19,720 Speaker 1: they literally got the four wins and I was sweating 434 00:23:19,760 --> 00:23:21,760 Speaker 1: that one. So they're just one of these teams. I 435 00:23:21,800 --> 00:23:23,760 Speaker 1: think they're gonna better than people think. I do see 436 00:23:23,800 --> 00:23:26,760 Speaker 1: Tennessee taking a step back and the Colts with Matt Ryan. 437 00:23:27,920 --> 00:23:30,120 Speaker 1: I do like the move. I do think Matt Ryan 438 00:23:30,240 --> 00:23:33,879 Speaker 1: is an upgrade over Carson Wentz, but it's not that 439 00:23:33,960 --> 00:23:35,960 Speaker 1: much bigger of an upgrade. Like if you go back 440 00:23:35,960 --> 00:23:37,879 Speaker 1: and look at Wentz his numbers last year, they actually 441 00:23:37,880 --> 00:23:41,399 Speaker 1: weren't that terrible. He just again choked in these big moments. 442 00:23:41,400 --> 00:23:44,760 Speaker 1: So Matt Ryan's not known for Matt Ryan is not 443 00:23:44,840 --> 00:23:48,760 Speaker 1: known for doing that. That's you know, so right, right, 444 00:23:48,880 --> 00:23:51,240 Speaker 1: So it is, it is weird. We're all people like, 445 00:23:51,240 --> 00:23:54,480 Speaker 1: oh my god, Matt Ryan's the Colts, like that's that's 446 00:23:54,480 --> 00:23:56,120 Speaker 1: a game changer and they might be a top four, 447 00:23:56,200 --> 00:23:57,840 Speaker 1: top three team in the a f C. And it's 448 00:23:58,440 --> 00:24:01,119 Speaker 1: I still don't really look at them in that way. 449 00:24:01,160 --> 00:24:03,119 Speaker 1: With Matt Ryan. It doesn't really move the needle for him. 450 00:24:03,240 --> 00:24:05,680 Speaker 1: So if I'm just going to peer value based, either 451 00:24:05,720 --> 00:24:07,720 Speaker 1: be on the Jags or Houston at this point, and 452 00:24:08,040 --> 00:24:09,720 Speaker 1: you know where I stand, I've already bet the Jags. 453 00:24:10,040 --> 00:24:11,760 Speaker 1: I'll probably hop off this call and throw a little 454 00:24:11,840 --> 00:24:14,280 Speaker 1: through a little bit on the Texas just because that's 455 00:24:14,280 --> 00:24:16,560 Speaker 1: crazy they're this high. But number I just like, looking 456 00:24:16,560 --> 00:24:18,320 Speaker 1: at my spreadsheet right now, I had them at fifteen 457 00:24:18,320 --> 00:24:20,840 Speaker 1: o one. So the fact that they're dropped that far 458 00:24:20,880 --> 00:24:23,440 Speaker 1: at this point, it just shows that people just aren't 459 00:24:23,440 --> 00:24:24,760 Speaker 1: buying it. They're just looking at that them as a 460 00:24:24,880 --> 00:24:27,280 Speaker 1: very bland, boring team that's gonna tank for a quarterback. 461 00:24:27,840 --> 00:24:30,679 Speaker 1: A little couple of three shekeles, that's just what you're 462 00:24:30,680 --> 00:24:33,679 Speaker 1: gonna do. Yeah, not not even one unit, like literally 463 00:24:34,840 --> 00:24:37,880 Speaker 1: maybe half of you know, maybe less for a little unit, 464 00:24:38,080 --> 00:24:40,600 Speaker 1: just a little tiny unit. You don't have anything to 465 00:24:40,640 --> 00:24:44,080 Speaker 1: say about the Titans. Uh. We don't think Ryan Tannehill 466 00:24:44,480 --> 00:24:48,680 Speaker 1: is a championship level quarterback. We don't think that they 467 00:24:48,760 --> 00:24:53,280 Speaker 1: have improved themselves on the edge necessarily with their uh 468 00:24:53,520 --> 00:24:57,800 Speaker 1: drafting of a receiver. They've maybe maintained status quo um. 469 00:24:58,359 --> 00:25:00,760 Speaker 1: But this was a team that think we all thought 470 00:25:00,840 --> 00:25:03,840 Speaker 1: was overrated as the number one seed in the a 471 00:25:03,960 --> 00:25:07,119 Speaker 1: f C last year. They proved that out plenty of 472 00:25:07,119 --> 00:25:10,119 Speaker 1: opportunities to advance last year. Royn Tonnele I thought was 473 00:25:10,200 --> 00:25:14,439 Speaker 1: very thoughtful this this week. He talked about being in 474 00:25:14,480 --> 00:25:17,960 Speaker 1: therapy thinking about the loss, having to get over the 475 00:25:18,000 --> 00:25:20,560 Speaker 1: loss in the playoffs this year. That was clearly because 476 00:25:20,600 --> 00:25:23,760 Speaker 1: of him. I thought it was equally powerful when he said, 477 00:25:23,800 --> 00:25:26,960 Speaker 1: I'm not here to be a role model for Malik Willis. 478 00:25:27,320 --> 00:25:30,760 Speaker 1: What's your take on that? What's your take on players 479 00:25:30,800 --> 00:25:34,160 Speaker 1: who who outwardly say it's not my job to train 480 00:25:34,240 --> 00:25:37,439 Speaker 1: this guy. I feel like he said everything wrong, like 481 00:25:38,040 --> 00:25:40,159 Speaker 1: I'm all for mental health and going to therapy and 482 00:25:40,320 --> 00:25:43,480 Speaker 1: like that, but I just would not be putting out 483 00:25:43,520 --> 00:25:45,320 Speaker 1: there in that type of scenario because I honestly think 484 00:25:45,359 --> 00:25:48,159 Speaker 1: that's why that team drafted a quarterback. They're just like, 485 00:25:49,160 --> 00:25:51,520 Speaker 1: do you get over it? Like we all lose games, 486 00:25:51,560 --> 00:25:53,439 Speaker 1: like I've I can't tell any times I've blown it 487 00:25:53,520 --> 00:25:57,280 Speaker 1: or whatever in life like that. That was just scary 488 00:25:57,320 --> 00:25:58,960 Speaker 1: to me, the fact that he's like being hurt that 489 00:25:59,080 --> 00:26:01,359 Speaker 1: much about that loss. Where I do put on Daniel 490 00:26:01,400 --> 00:26:04,280 Speaker 1: he did choke that game away, but it's like, I 491 00:26:04,320 --> 00:26:07,159 Speaker 1: don't know, man, It's that's football. I just can't. I 492 00:26:07,200 --> 00:26:09,400 Speaker 1: can't believe he had He's in that kind of space 493 00:26:09,400 --> 00:26:11,720 Speaker 1: where he said he's had sleepless nights and like he's 494 00:26:11,720 --> 00:26:13,280 Speaker 1: had to really work through a lot of issues where 495 00:26:13,320 --> 00:26:15,000 Speaker 1: that I don't like when quarterbacks say they're not gonna 496 00:26:15,040 --> 00:26:17,359 Speaker 1: help the next guy, but I totally get it, like 497 00:26:17,400 --> 00:26:18,840 Speaker 1: you kind of have to be that way. I guess 498 00:26:18,840 --> 00:26:21,760 Speaker 1: in that job where it's like his mentality right now 499 00:26:21,840 --> 00:26:23,720 Speaker 1: is yeah, I'm not gonna help this guy. But come 500 00:26:23,760 --> 00:26:26,320 Speaker 1: first practice when him and they're both standing there doing 501 00:26:26,320 --> 00:26:28,680 Speaker 1: that little bullshit throwing to each other or whatever, and 502 00:26:28,680 --> 00:26:31,119 Speaker 1: they're gonna be shooting the ship, Daniel is gonna like 503 00:26:31,200 --> 00:26:34,280 Speaker 1: this kid. Like I've seen a bunch of interviews the 504 00:26:34,320 --> 00:26:37,120 Speaker 1: league is very likable, so Danniehill might say that right now, 505 00:26:37,200 --> 00:26:38,760 Speaker 1: he hasn't met the kid, he doesn't know the kid. 506 00:26:38,840 --> 00:26:41,320 Speaker 1: I just think he's he's piste off. They'd be like, 507 00:26:41,359 --> 00:26:43,520 Speaker 1: you're hiring someone to come do the show and be like, Hey, 508 00:26:43,560 --> 00:26:45,200 Speaker 1: I want to bring this third guy in if is 509 00:26:45,240 --> 00:26:46,920 Speaker 1: that cool with you? And I'd be like, yeah, Chad, 510 00:26:46,960 --> 00:26:48,800 Speaker 1: that's great. But in the the back might be like, fuck you, Chad. 511 00:26:48,800 --> 00:26:51,960 Speaker 1: You already bringing in my replacement. So I get where 512 00:26:52,000 --> 00:26:55,119 Speaker 1: he's coming from. But like, that's human nature. I just 513 00:26:55,160 --> 00:26:57,120 Speaker 1: I wouldn't have said the therapy thing out loud, even 514 00:26:57,119 --> 00:27:00,679 Speaker 1: though people like chat are like, yeah, that's great, supportive. 515 00:27:01,560 --> 00:27:04,400 Speaker 1: I'm a dog. I played like anyone that played sports. 516 00:27:04,480 --> 00:27:06,919 Speaker 1: Like if I would talk so much ship to this 517 00:27:06,920 --> 00:27:09,200 Speaker 1: guy in the football field, if I had heard about 518 00:27:09,200 --> 00:27:11,679 Speaker 1: this stuff horrible things, because that's an edge, that's a 519 00:27:11,720 --> 00:27:14,640 Speaker 1: weakness now that I know. So I don't like it, 520 00:27:14,760 --> 00:27:17,080 Speaker 1: but I'm more siding with him on the sense that 521 00:27:17,800 --> 00:27:20,960 Speaker 1: he just shook right now, like he's just saying things 522 00:27:21,000 --> 00:27:23,520 Speaker 1: that are shook. Person would say, so, I I got 523 00:27:23,520 --> 00:27:27,120 Speaker 1: no money on Tannehill, and I'll have every be grateful 524 00:27:27,280 --> 00:27:29,360 Speaker 1: for veryble for winning to Coach of the Year last year. 525 00:27:29,400 --> 00:27:32,560 Speaker 1: But I'm so off Tennessee and they just perfect storm 526 00:27:32,640 --> 00:27:34,800 Speaker 1: last year, right, getting that one seed. They ain't getting 527 00:27:34,800 --> 00:27:37,080 Speaker 1: that one seed this year. Wait. Now you know why 528 00:27:37,160 --> 00:27:41,000 Speaker 1: Darren Ravel hates you so much? Why because you were 529 00:27:41,040 --> 00:27:43,679 Speaker 1: the third guy in on the show. And by the 530 00:27:43,720 --> 00:27:48,359 Speaker 1: next year we kicked Ravel out, called Matt Mitchell. I'm like, 531 00:27:48,880 --> 00:27:51,760 Speaker 1: Scooch can't do it. What do you think We just 532 00:27:51,800 --> 00:27:55,840 Speaker 1: go with Simon and Darren And Matt Mitchell was like, Darren, 533 00:27:55,880 --> 00:27:57,879 Speaker 1: you don't need Darren. Just he said drop the Darren 534 00:27:58,160 --> 00:28:02,400 Speaker 1: said drop Darren. Uh tough businesses media thing. Huh. Seriously, 535 00:28:02,720 --> 00:28:06,480 Speaker 1: one day you're in, the next day you're out. Next 536 00:28:06,560 --> 00:28:12,840 Speaker 1: day you're buying your own card signed by you, dude, 537 00:28:13,200 --> 00:28:15,160 Speaker 1: no joke. I remember I was at a Super Bowl 538 00:28:15,160 --> 00:28:20,040 Speaker 1: party many many, many years ago and there was a 539 00:28:20,040 --> 00:28:25,320 Speaker 1: at the time high profile media personality who we noticed 540 00:28:25,760 --> 00:28:29,119 Speaker 1: had someone following him the whole time, just sort of 541 00:28:29,240 --> 00:28:32,080 Speaker 1: pointing him, pointing at him and saying, Hey, that's so 542 00:28:32,200 --> 00:28:34,960 Speaker 1: and so, Hey, that's so and so. God yeah, and 543 00:28:35,000 --> 00:28:36,520 Speaker 1: me and another guy who was a writer at the 544 00:28:36,520 --> 00:28:40,200 Speaker 1: magazine were like, is this really happening? Like, what is 545 00:28:40,240 --> 00:28:43,479 Speaker 1: going on here? What a next level of narcissists now right, 546 00:28:44,320 --> 00:28:48,680 Speaker 1: next level. That guy didn't last very long. 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Nine with it in 572 00:30:13,240 --> 00:30:16,360 Speaker 1: Indiana one eight seven seven seven seven zero stop in 573 00:30:16,400 --> 00:30:19,120 Speaker 1: Louisiana called the Tennessee Red Line at one hundred eight 574 00:30:19,160 --> 00:30:23,400 Speaker 1: eight nine nine seven eight ninety seven hundred in Wyoming, 575 00:30:23,600 --> 00:30:29,120 Speaker 1: or visit gambler dot net. In West Virginia. We gotta 576 00:30:29,200 --> 00:30:31,080 Speaker 1: go to the a f C West because that is 577 00:30:31,120 --> 00:30:36,040 Speaker 1: the glamour division in the NFL right now. Patrick Mahomes 578 00:30:36,080 --> 00:30:39,560 Speaker 1: in the Kansas City Chiefs plus one fifty five, the Chargers, 579 00:30:39,600 --> 00:30:42,440 Speaker 1: Justin Herbert plus to forty, Russell Wilson and the Broncos 580 00:30:42,720 --> 00:30:45,880 Speaker 1: plus two sixty. Derek Carr of the one hundred and 581 00:30:45,920 --> 00:30:49,480 Speaker 1: forty million dollar contract in Josh McDaniels plus seven hundred. 582 00:30:50,160 --> 00:30:53,640 Speaker 1: I guess the value is on the Raiders there, Yeah, 583 00:30:53,760 --> 00:30:56,080 Speaker 1: it's gotta be. I mean, we're already invest in the Charterers, 584 00:30:56,080 --> 00:30:57,840 Speaker 1: and I think we talked to the show that they 585 00:30:57,880 --> 00:31:01,000 Speaker 1: might haven three one or threeft. That was where the 586 00:31:01,040 --> 00:31:03,960 Speaker 1: value was because we joked about it, like Chiefs, They're 587 00:31:03,960 --> 00:31:05,280 Speaker 1: always gonna be the cream of the crop. But then 588 00:31:05,280 --> 00:31:07,240 Speaker 1: the Russell Wilson moved to the Denver. That's what got 589 00:31:07,280 --> 00:31:09,720 Speaker 1: us good value on the Chargers. You're just talking about this. 590 00:31:10,320 --> 00:31:12,280 Speaker 1: No joke at the NFL said you have to pay 591 00:31:12,320 --> 00:31:15,080 Speaker 1: this year to watch this division. I feel like every 592 00:31:15,080 --> 00:31:17,840 Speaker 1: fan would pay because this is literally the best, albably 593 00:31:17,840 --> 00:31:20,960 Speaker 1: the best division in football ever. And we can go 594 00:31:21,000 --> 00:31:23,960 Speaker 1: through each team like the Chiefs. Let's go through each 595 00:31:23,960 --> 00:31:26,560 Speaker 1: team and let's buy the way. Let's do it with 596 00:31:26,600 --> 00:31:32,280 Speaker 1: patients and care. Let's talk about the Chiefs. I don't know. 597 00:31:32,480 --> 00:31:34,320 Speaker 1: There's nothing I can do about the way I do 598 00:31:34,360 --> 00:31:36,920 Speaker 1: it like no patients, no care. I'm just gonna fly 599 00:31:37,080 --> 00:31:40,840 Speaker 1: through it. Chiefs, don't do it. Don't tie your money 600 00:31:40,880 --> 00:31:44,479 Speaker 1: up in this team this early. Um, it's just just 601 00:31:44,520 --> 00:31:47,640 Speaker 1: a waste. We we expect him to finally have maybe 602 00:31:47,640 --> 00:31:50,080 Speaker 1: a down year, but it's like, am I gonna put 603 00:31:50,120 --> 00:31:52,160 Speaker 1: my money on it. A lot of people were I mean, 604 00:31:52,280 --> 00:31:54,560 Speaker 1: people could not wait to barrier them last year. Remember that, 605 00:31:54,600 --> 00:31:57,400 Speaker 1: how people are just so off of them. I had 606 00:31:57,400 --> 00:31:59,760 Speaker 1: other prose texting me, do great calling the Chargers for 607 00:31:59,800 --> 00:32:02,360 Speaker 1: you to one to win the Super Bowl. Great, great, 608 00:32:02,360 --> 00:32:04,560 Speaker 1: bet on the Charges and win that division. We saw 609 00:32:04,600 --> 00:32:06,400 Speaker 1: what happened the second half of the season that the 610 00:32:06,840 --> 00:32:09,360 Speaker 1: young team, the Charges, with the young head coach who's 611 00:32:09,480 --> 00:32:12,200 Speaker 1: overthinking it, going for it on every fourth down, fell apart, 612 00:32:12,800 --> 00:32:15,600 Speaker 1: and Steady Eddie and you Reid here he came again 613 00:32:15,640 --> 00:32:18,040 Speaker 1: with Patrick Mahomes and they won that division. And you know, 614 00:32:18,120 --> 00:32:21,400 Speaker 1: it's just I want to doubt them, and I just 615 00:32:21,400 --> 00:32:23,120 Speaker 1: want to tell people to stay away from him. But 616 00:32:23,800 --> 00:32:25,280 Speaker 1: it just seems like every year the Chiefs are gonna 617 00:32:25,280 --> 00:32:28,040 Speaker 1: be in it. So to me, if I'm going off 618 00:32:28,120 --> 00:32:31,400 Speaker 1: team I like the most of this division, it wouldn't 619 00:32:31,400 --> 00:32:33,200 Speaker 1: be the Chiefs. I just like you said, Yeah, there's 620 00:32:33,200 --> 00:32:37,240 Speaker 1: no value there right now. Chargers, however, plus two forty 621 00:32:38,520 --> 00:32:42,120 Speaker 1: there was value at plus three hundred. They traded for 622 00:32:42,200 --> 00:32:46,360 Speaker 1: Khalil mack Irwin. James will be healthy. Justin Herbert is 623 00:32:46,400 --> 00:32:50,000 Speaker 1: still justin Herbert. Hopefully they have learned a little bit 624 00:32:50,040 --> 00:32:52,160 Speaker 1: about the value of going for it on fourth down 625 00:32:52,240 --> 00:32:54,080 Speaker 1: and when not to go for it on fourth down, 626 00:32:54,640 --> 00:33:00,320 Speaker 1: how to gain points because this team is a you know, 627 00:33:00,920 --> 00:33:04,520 Speaker 1: we've been the Chargers are soccer of the nineteen eighties. 628 00:33:04,960 --> 00:33:07,960 Speaker 1: They are the future team every single year. Could this 629 00:33:08,160 --> 00:33:12,600 Speaker 1: be the year they finally become the team of the future. Yeah, 630 00:33:12,760 --> 00:33:15,880 Speaker 1: I mean again, we're people know we love the Chargers. 631 00:33:15,960 --> 00:33:18,959 Speaker 1: Like that was one of my better hits I've ever had. 632 00:33:18,960 --> 00:33:21,520 Speaker 1: In one was talking about him as Rookie of the Year. 633 00:33:21,560 --> 00:33:25,440 Speaker 1: And you know, I don't know what Herbert is doing 634 00:33:25,480 --> 00:33:27,680 Speaker 1: this offseason. I can get into you it's all football related. 635 00:33:27,760 --> 00:33:30,120 Speaker 1: This kid just seems like the ultimate football nerd. He's 636 00:33:30,120 --> 00:33:33,720 Speaker 1: a quiet dude, but apparently he is just obsessed with football. So, 637 00:33:34,440 --> 00:33:36,880 Speaker 1: you know, it's hard not to love this Chargers team. 638 00:33:37,080 --> 00:33:39,560 Speaker 1: They've They've done great this offseason. I think they took 639 00:33:39,560 --> 00:33:41,840 Speaker 1: an offensive line in the first round. Love to see it. 640 00:33:41,920 --> 00:33:44,600 Speaker 1: Just keep keep adding to that old line and making 641 00:33:44,600 --> 00:33:48,840 Speaker 1: it better for him. Um, it's just the value is gone. 642 00:33:48,920 --> 00:33:50,840 Speaker 1: Like me and you talk all the time, it's it's 643 00:33:50,840 --> 00:33:53,880 Speaker 1: a value based business. So yeah, I might like them 644 00:33:53,920 --> 00:33:55,560 Speaker 1: the most to win this division. I think they're the 645 00:33:55,600 --> 00:33:58,240 Speaker 1: best bet. Sure, if you want to take it, take it. 646 00:33:58,240 --> 00:34:00,200 Speaker 1: But I just feel bad saying to this is my 647 00:34:00,440 --> 00:34:01,920 Speaker 1: you have to take the best value in this beet, 648 00:34:01,960 --> 00:34:04,080 Speaker 1: because we gave it out a month ago and it 649 00:34:04,120 --> 00:34:06,560 Speaker 1: was at plus three hundred plus three fifty different books. 650 00:34:06,560 --> 00:34:08,960 Speaker 1: And now you're you're you're missing out almost you know, 651 00:34:09,239 --> 00:34:11,200 Speaker 1: plus a hundred plus one fifty. That's a lot of 652 00:34:11,280 --> 00:34:15,680 Speaker 1: value to miss out on. The Charter took Zion Johnson, 653 00:34:16,200 --> 00:34:20,160 Speaker 1: offensive guard from Boston College in the first round. Will 654 00:34:20,200 --> 00:34:23,760 Speaker 1: be a total Day one starter. This is an offensive 655 00:34:23,800 --> 00:34:27,120 Speaker 1: line that with their draft last year, this should be 656 00:34:27,280 --> 00:34:29,680 Speaker 1: a great offensive line for the next five years. Like 657 00:34:29,760 --> 00:34:35,239 Speaker 1: they are so set at every single position. This is 658 00:34:35,400 --> 00:34:38,600 Speaker 1: This is a team just poised for greatness. And in 659 00:34:38,719 --> 00:34:42,759 Speaker 1: any other division they are minus three hundred favorites to 660 00:34:42,880 --> 00:34:48,000 Speaker 1: win their division. Yeah again, the best division ever in football. Instead, 661 00:34:48,840 --> 00:34:52,040 Speaker 1: there a plus two forty behind the Kansas City Chiefs. 662 00:34:52,480 --> 00:34:59,920 Speaker 1: And before just barely the new Russell Wilson left Denver Broncos. 663 00:35:00,000 --> 00:35:02,480 Speaker 1: I'm I'm, I'm Chad knows I've planned my flag in. 664 00:35:02,640 --> 00:35:05,160 Speaker 1: Russell Wilson is one of the most overrated quarterbacks to 665 00:35:05,280 --> 00:35:08,879 Speaker 1: ever play football. Uh, and nothing's changed, not not doing 666 00:35:08,920 --> 00:35:13,000 Speaker 1: anything with Denver not touching it. It's to me, it's 667 00:35:13,000 --> 00:35:15,880 Speaker 1: just gonna be a team at A million excuses is 668 00:35:15,920 --> 00:35:17,480 Speaker 1: gonna be made for them because all these things went 669 00:35:17,520 --> 00:35:21,080 Speaker 1: wrong for them the upcoming season. But they are what 670 00:35:21,200 --> 00:35:23,280 Speaker 1: they are. I just I just don't see it happened 671 00:35:23,320 --> 00:35:26,680 Speaker 1: with this team. I love their defense, I really do, 672 00:35:27,480 --> 00:35:30,279 Speaker 1: But with Russell Wilson, I just can't see it working 673 00:35:30,280 --> 00:35:33,520 Speaker 1: out for them. Uh, his prime was about two and 674 00:35:33,520 --> 00:35:36,960 Speaker 1: a half three years ago, and those days of him 675 00:35:36,960 --> 00:35:39,719 Speaker 1: doing that McNabb Tony Romo scrambled around, throw off his 676 00:35:39,760 --> 00:35:42,840 Speaker 1: back foot sixty yards downfield, right into a guy and 677 00:35:42,880 --> 00:35:45,560 Speaker 1: stride into the end zone. It's just it's just a 678 00:35:45,600 --> 00:35:47,640 Speaker 1: few and far in between. It's kind of, in my opinion, 679 00:35:47,680 --> 00:35:50,400 Speaker 1: it's kind of gone. So people are looking like you 680 00:35:50,480 --> 00:35:53,600 Speaker 1: got a huge upgrade offensively in Denver. Go go look 681 00:35:53,600 --> 00:35:57,640 Speaker 1: at the splits on Denver's offensive line. They're horrible. Did 682 00:35:57,680 --> 00:36:01,160 Speaker 1: they improve their offensive line this year? No, they did not, really, 683 00:36:01,200 --> 00:36:04,239 Speaker 1: So I'm off of it. I'm just not on this 684 00:36:04,280 --> 00:36:07,160 Speaker 1: Denver team. I don't know if you feel different about it. 685 00:36:07,239 --> 00:36:10,000 Speaker 1: ChIL Now, they drafted one offensive lineon. By the way, 686 00:36:10,040 --> 00:36:14,000 Speaker 1: they had probably close to ten. I think ten picks 687 00:36:14,560 --> 00:36:19,480 Speaker 1: mostly late round picks, one offensive lineman, largely choosing on 688 00:36:19,520 --> 00:36:22,440 Speaker 1: the defensive side of the ball. I'm I'm with you. 689 00:36:23,719 --> 00:36:25,960 Speaker 1: I think there's too much I love I'm the opposite 690 00:36:26,000 --> 00:36:27,680 Speaker 1: of you and that I love Russell Wilson. But I'm 691 00:36:27,719 --> 00:36:30,240 Speaker 1: with you and that there's too much value being placed 692 00:36:30,920 --> 00:36:33,440 Speaker 1: on what he can do for this team based on 693 00:36:33,480 --> 00:36:36,440 Speaker 1: the miraculous things he's done for the Seahawks over the years. 694 00:36:36,760 --> 00:36:41,120 Speaker 1: Only this this Denver team. Um, the coaching is still 695 00:36:41,160 --> 00:36:44,279 Speaker 1: obviously going to be brand new. You don't know what 696 00:36:44,320 --> 00:36:47,840 Speaker 1: you're getting yet. And uh, I think there's still some 697 00:36:47,920 --> 00:36:51,319 Speaker 1: holes offensively that they need to worry about. Um. So 698 00:36:51,440 --> 00:36:54,280 Speaker 1: to me, it's a pass a plus two sixty, especially 699 00:36:54,280 --> 00:36:57,799 Speaker 1: when you've got the Raiders and a dynamic offensive mind. 700 00:36:57,880 --> 00:37:01,880 Speaker 1: And Josh McDaniels, you just said, you said what pisses 701 00:37:01,880 --> 00:37:04,000 Speaker 1: me off on the Russell wilsonthing. You said, You've done 702 00:37:04,040 --> 00:37:09,680 Speaker 1: all these amazing things for Seattle, name them, guy, There 703 00:37:09,719 --> 00:37:11,759 Speaker 1: isn't people can't I do it all the time, Like 704 00:37:11,800 --> 00:37:13,400 Speaker 1: I have other pros to say that should I'm just like, 705 00:37:13,800 --> 00:37:15,680 Speaker 1: oh yeah, that amazing moment where he threw that pick 706 00:37:15,719 --> 00:37:17,359 Speaker 1: in the end zone where his team lost Super Bowl. 707 00:37:17,520 --> 00:37:19,560 Speaker 1: Oh my, isn't that amazing moment where his team won 708 00:37:20,360 --> 00:37:22,319 Speaker 1: eight where his defense scored No, no no, no, no no, no, no no, no, 709 00:37:23,400 --> 00:37:27,800 Speaker 1: that is that is that is That is an over generalization. 710 00:37:28,400 --> 00:37:31,839 Speaker 1: It's hot, like, look, congrats on eleven and five. Ever, 711 00:37:31,920 --> 00:37:33,560 Speaker 1: you're making the playoffs and then losing in the first 712 00:37:33,600 --> 00:37:37,399 Speaker 1: and second round at home. You're defining great things as 713 00:37:37,520 --> 00:37:43,360 Speaker 1: having one championships. I'm defining great things as having covered 714 00:37:44,080 --> 00:37:47,600 Speaker 1: and many many times in his career when it seemed 715 00:37:47,640 --> 00:37:49,680 Speaker 1: like the Seahawks should have been out of the game 716 00:37:50,239 --> 00:37:52,879 Speaker 1: one way or the other, this guy has come back 717 00:37:53,160 --> 00:37:55,800 Speaker 1: and led them to a last second win or gotten 718 00:37:55,840 --> 00:37:57,719 Speaker 1: them to a place where they ended up covering the 719 00:37:57,760 --> 00:38:00,280 Speaker 1: game they shouldn't have covered. That's all I'm talking about. 720 00:38:00,440 --> 00:38:03,800 Speaker 1: He has supreme athletic ability and the ability to make plays, 721 00:38:03,960 --> 00:38:06,120 Speaker 1: an ability to keep his team in the game. Doesn't 722 00:38:06,120 --> 00:38:08,840 Speaker 1: mean they're Super Bowl contenders. No, doesn't mean that I 723 00:38:08,920 --> 00:38:11,359 Speaker 1: think this team can win the division. No. All I'm 724 00:38:11,360 --> 00:38:14,200 Speaker 1: saying is that I give him credit for over the years, 725 00:38:14,360 --> 00:38:16,400 Speaker 1: haven't been a guy who kept his team in a 726 00:38:16,400 --> 00:38:19,920 Speaker 1: position to cover. I'm gonna find out what it splits 727 00:38:19,960 --> 00:38:24,840 Speaker 1: where historically against the spread after losing the legion of Boom. 728 00:38:24,880 --> 00:38:26,239 Speaker 1: I don't think it's as good as you think it is. 729 00:38:26,280 --> 00:38:30,000 Speaker 1: Guess what. Guess what. Guess what. I guarantee him right 730 00:38:30,360 --> 00:38:32,719 Speaker 1: in the same way I was right about no quarterback 731 00:38:33,440 --> 00:38:41,880 Speaker 1: rafted and Boom Raiders plus seven hundred Josh McDaniels Derek 732 00:38:41,920 --> 00:38:45,239 Speaker 1: Carr signed Derek Carter a massive hundred forty million dollar 733 00:38:45,280 --> 00:38:52,800 Speaker 1: guaranteed deal. I mean that's the one. Yeah, we love. 734 00:38:53,400 --> 00:38:55,080 Speaker 1: This is by far the best value I think of 735 00:38:55,160 --> 00:38:58,880 Speaker 1: all the divisions right now. This might be my favorite 736 00:38:58,920 --> 00:39:04,720 Speaker 1: value bet this. This team is again Gruden did definitely 737 00:39:04,960 --> 00:39:07,799 Speaker 1: Gruden and made off in these NFL drafts. They did 738 00:39:07,960 --> 00:39:10,840 Speaker 1: screw this Raiders team. Okay, they have holes on this defense, 739 00:39:11,680 --> 00:39:15,080 Speaker 1: but oh my god, this offense, like if they can 740 00:39:15,080 --> 00:39:20,000 Speaker 1: figure it out with Adams, Renfro and Waller, unbelievable like this, 741 00:39:20,200 --> 00:39:23,000 Speaker 1: that's it's it's literally again. We can go through all 742 00:39:23,000 --> 00:39:25,759 Speaker 1: the league. There's just so much talent everywhere. It's gotta 743 00:39:25,800 --> 00:39:28,240 Speaker 1: be one of the top five receiving corps. And Derek Carr, 744 00:39:28,239 --> 00:39:30,080 Speaker 1: we've seen him have those moments like he can make 745 00:39:30,160 --> 00:39:32,960 Speaker 1: throws that only a handful of guys can make. So 746 00:39:34,040 --> 00:39:36,160 Speaker 1: I hate it because I hate betting money on Derek 747 00:39:36,200 --> 00:39:39,040 Speaker 1: Carr because he just always burns me. I always like, okay, 748 00:39:39,160 --> 00:39:42,360 Speaker 1: because again he had that MVP year ship man it 749 00:39:42,440 --> 00:39:44,040 Speaker 1: might be like six years ago with a Mark Cooper 750 00:39:44,040 --> 00:39:46,399 Speaker 1: and Clel macro on his team. He has that in him. 751 00:39:46,560 --> 00:39:47,879 Speaker 1: He just has not been able to put it together. 752 00:39:47,880 --> 00:39:49,920 Speaker 1: And last year they were putting together. They just had 753 00:39:49,920 --> 00:39:52,080 Speaker 1: so much last year and they still somehow made the playoffs. 754 00:39:52,120 --> 00:39:54,560 Speaker 1: And again they were a fourth down away completion in 755 00:39:54,600 --> 00:39:56,799 Speaker 1: the end zone from beating the Bengals on the road. 756 00:39:56,920 --> 00:40:00,200 Speaker 1: So it's ugly, it's gross, but these are the bet 757 00:40:00,239 --> 00:40:01,560 Speaker 1: you need to make, and this is this to me, 758 00:40:01,640 --> 00:40:03,759 Speaker 1: is a smart bet taking the Raiders where this nowmuch 759 00:40:03,760 --> 00:40:05,799 Speaker 1: should be closer to plus four hundred, just because again 760 00:40:05,800 --> 00:40:08,200 Speaker 1: I think the Chargers and Chiefs are better than them. 761 00:40:08,239 --> 00:40:10,640 Speaker 1: But it's bumped way down just because people are so 762 00:40:10,880 --> 00:40:13,640 Speaker 1: much higher on Denver than we are. So I love 763 00:40:13,680 --> 00:40:16,000 Speaker 1: taking that value on the Raiders right now. All right, 764 00:40:16,360 --> 00:40:20,000 Speaker 1: we love the Raiders plus seven hundred in the a 765 00:40:20,160 --> 00:40:23,640 Speaker 1: f C West, in the a f C North, we 766 00:40:23,840 --> 00:40:26,680 Speaker 1: kind of might like the Ravens a little bit. In 767 00:40:26,719 --> 00:40:30,440 Speaker 1: the A F c East Dolphins plus four hundred, A 768 00:40:32,360 --> 00:40:36,800 Speaker 1: couple pennies on Houston, couple, couple of shekels, a couple 769 00:40:36,880 --> 00:40:41,520 Speaker 1: two or three shekeles on Houston for Simon Hunter, for 770 00:40:41,960 --> 00:40:44,560 Speaker 1: producer Matt Mitchell. I am chadman Oman. This has been 771 00:40:44,840 --> 00:40:48,319 Speaker 1: the favorites from the Volume podcast Network. The guys will 772 00:40:48,360 --> 00:40:50,680 Speaker 1: be in a lot of questions about the show changing time. 773 00:40:50,800 --> 00:40:54,200 Speaker 1: So every Tuesday and Thursday night at eleven o'clock Eastern 774 00:40:54,280 --> 00:40:56,400 Speaker 1: we will be dropping our episodes. Basically, it's a thing 775 00:40:56,400 --> 00:40:59,160 Speaker 1: of the Volume until further notice. We'll be keeping it 776 00:40:59,320 --> 00:41:02,480 Speaker 1: that schedule, So eleven pm Tuesdays and Thursdays, that's when 777 00:41:02,520 --> 00:41:06,280 Speaker 1: the show will be dropping. Download us on Apple, podcast, Spotify, 778 00:41:06,320 --> 00:41:09,759 Speaker 1: wherever you get your podcasts, rate reviews, subscribe, give us 779 00:41:09,800 --> 00:41:12,240 Speaker 1: five stars, say anything you want feedback as a gift 780 00:41:12,880 --> 00:41:22,120 Speaker 1: until next time, I love you, ye