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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into Week eight?

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Speaker 2: It is early bets, Survivor picks and plays to make

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Speaker 2: right now. He is Pat Fitzmorris. I am Matt Perolt.

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Speaker 2: We are on the Betting Bros. YouTube channel, as we

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Speaker 2: are each and every Tuesday afternoon. Pat, Good to see you.

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Speaker 2: A week eight an interesting week for sure. I don't

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Speaker 2: know if I'm in a Survivor pool and I've made

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Speaker 2: it to week eight, I am very concerned.

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Speaker 1: This is going to be a very hard week. How

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Speaker 1: are you?

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Speaker 3: I'm good man. Thanks. There are options though this week,

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Speaker 3: and considering that there're six teams on buy, they're more

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Speaker 3: options than maybe I would have expected, So not a

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Speaker 3: bad thing. If you made it this far, you're not

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Speaker 3: sort of blocked out maybe with some earlier picks, because

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Speaker 3: there are I think four or five plausible possibilities.

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Speaker 2: So we have no international game this week, we do

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Speaker 2: not have two games on Monday night this week, and

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Speaker 2: the Cardinals, Lions, Jaguars, Rams, and Seahawks are all off

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Speaker 2: the board for buys this week, So let's get into it.

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Speaker 2: First play for you that you like for this week

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Speaker 2: here on Tuesday is who.

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Speaker 3: I'm backing the New York Jets this week, mass And yeah,

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Speaker 3: so right away, that's gonna get some people's attention and

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Speaker 3: have them wanting to commit. Me. If I'm getting six

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Speaker 3: and a half points against the Joe Burrow less Cincinnati Bengals,

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Speaker 3: I'm taking it pretty much in no matter the opponent.

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Speaker 3: And I know Joe Flacco has jump started the Cincinnati offense,

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Speaker 3: but this feels like a major overreaction to the Bengals.

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Speaker 3: Thursday Night went over the Steelers last week. That game

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Speaker 3: really could have gone either way, and let's face it,

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Speaker 3: a win over the Steelers isn't all that impressive these days.

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Speaker 3: In fact, Matt, the Steelers barely beat the New York

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Speaker 3: Jets in Week one. Steelers won that game thirty four

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Speaker 3: to thirty two. The Jets actually outranked the Bengals in

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Speaker 3: overall DVOA. Bengals are or the Jets are twenty seventh,

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Speaker 3: the Bengals are twenty ninth. Bengals defense ranks dead last

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Speaker 3: in DVOA. The Jets might have a sneaky special teams

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Speaker 3: advantage here. That's one area where they've been pretty good.

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Speaker 3: They rank third in special teams DVOA. The Bengals twenty. First, yes,

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Speaker 3: Joe Flacco does look like a big upgraded quarterback over

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Speaker 3: Jake Browning. But what does late career Joe Flacco always do.

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Speaker 3: Eventually he starts throwing interceptions in bunches. And that's why

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Speaker 3: I love getting these points. Matt against a Joe Flacco

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Speaker 3: led team, There's absolutely a chance that he could set

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Speaker 3: up the Jets with a short field a couple of times,

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Speaker 3: or maybe throw a pick six. And I think the

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Speaker 3: Jets are going to make a quarterback change this week.

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Speaker 3: They haven't announced it as of our recording the show

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Speaker 3: on Tuesday morning, but the guests here is that Tyrod

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Speaker 3: Taylor is going to start in place with Justin Fields,

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Speaker 3: and that's probably a good thing.

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Speaker 1: I want seven if I'm going to take this beat seven.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm waiting. I'm waiting. I'm not putting this down now.

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Speaker 3: I do want to get yeah extra halfpoint?

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I want seven. I want to fade the public.

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Speaker 2: I think you're right with the read that this is

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Speaker 2: an overreaction to what the Bengals did. And I think

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Speaker 2: people are going to say the Jets are dead. They're

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Speaker 2: zer to seven. They might be dead. That's my only

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Speaker 2: worry isn't this team they're playing for a first year

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Speaker 2: head coach. It's difficult to see the Jets firing Aaron

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Speaker 2: Glenn either mid season or even after the first year,

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Speaker 2: because it would be an admission that they made a

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Speaker 2: massive mistake with the decision to hire him to begin with.

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Speaker 1: So there's a lot of people whose.

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Speaker 2: Jobs are on the line, not just Aaron Glenn's job,

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Speaker 2: but people in the brass all the way up to

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Speaker 2: the owner for that matter, to say, Okay, we signed

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Speaker 2: off on the hiring of this guy, and we made

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Speaker 2: the wrong decision. So that's a worry. But I think

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Speaker 2: you're right about the team with their backs against the wall.

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Speaker 2: I like Tyrod Taylor personally more than justin fields, so

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Speaker 2: I like the opportunity to play Tyrod Taylor here. I

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Speaker 2: don't like the Bengals defense at all. They've been banged

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Speaker 2: up on top of that, So if I get seven,

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Speaker 2: I think seven could be the ceiling. But if we

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Speaker 2: get seven, I'm with you. I think that that is

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Speaker 2: too many points to come in and take it. And

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Speaker 2: it's just one of those hold your nose type of

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Speaker 2: games in the NFL where if you're at the bar

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Speaker 2: and you say I'm on the Jets. Everyone looks at

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Speaker 2: you and go, You're on the Jets. And at the

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Speaker 2: end of the day, at about four thirty Eastern time,

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Speaker 2: you go see twenty four to twenty one and you cover.

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Speaker 1: So I'm with you. I like it.

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Speaker 2: My first play is and I think you and I

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Speaker 2: both are on this pretty heavily here with the Falcons

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Speaker 2: and what they're going to do here and why I

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Speaker 2: like seven again, I don't want I don't want to

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Speaker 2: lay more than seven points here, So we talk about

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Speaker 2: bets to get in on early. This is the play

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Speaker 2: that I would talk about getting in on early with

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Speaker 2: the Falcons at home against Miami. The number is seven,

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Speaker 2: but it is creeping up here at the time of taping,

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Speaker 2: some books have moved to seven and a half. Look,

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Speaker 2: Mike McDaniel is going to be the next coach fired

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Speaker 2: in the NFL. It's just as a matter of when

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Speaker 2: do the Dolphins make the decision to remove him. Do

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Speaker 2: they wait till after the year is over. A lot

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Speaker 2: of people in Miami that I've been talking to and

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Speaker 2: listening to have been saying, look, there's no point in

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Speaker 2: firing him now. It's a lost season too. His contracts

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Speaker 2: a major problem. Nothing's going to get better. Hill is

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Speaker 2: hurt for the year. Just let him sit there and

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Speaker 2: just you know, right out the you know, the season,

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Speaker 2: and then fire him.

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Speaker 1: And that's the case. Fade them the rest.

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Speaker 2: Of the year because the entire team knows that they

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Speaker 2: are completely dead in the water. And frankly, the Falcons

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Speaker 2: are a much better football team at home. When when

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Speaker 2: they play at home, they can beat almost anybody in

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Speaker 2: the NFL, they can lose to almost anybody on the road.

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Speaker 2: I'll lay the seven with the Falcons and hopefully Michael

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Speaker 2: Pennix does not throw picks in this game.

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Speaker 1: But I like Atlanta you.

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Speaker 3: I'm with you. I don't see any way that the

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Speaker 3: Dolphins keep this one close really or well, they have

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Speaker 3: no chance to win. I suppose they could keep it

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Speaker 3: closer or you know, force their way through the back

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Speaker 3: door at the end of the game. But right awful

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Speaker 3: against the Browns on Sunday. He just like I know,

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Speaker 3: the weather conditions were bad, but that was an abominable performance.

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Speaker 3: And this offense seems broken. The defense hasn't been able

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Speaker 3: to stop anyone running the ball. Passing the ball doesn't matter.

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Speaker 3: You can cut through the Dolphins defense like a hot

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Speaker 3: knife through butter pretty much. And when you've got Bjon

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Speaker 3: Robinson and Drake London, that's gonna help Michael Pennix Junior considerably.

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Speaker 3: So Yeah, I think this one is a pretty easy call.

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Speaker 2: Game number two for you that you like. I like

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Speaker 2: this bet, I might, I might be on this come Sunday.

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Speaker 2: Where are you for your second play.

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Speaker 1: For the week.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm taking the Cowboys plus four and a half

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Speaker 3: at Denver. So I don't love betting against the Denver

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Speaker 3: Broncos in Denver, but the Dallas offense Matt just firing

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Speaker 3: on all cylinders. The Denver offense, meanwhile, has been struggling

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Speaker 3: other than in the fourth quarter that crazy comeback win

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Speaker 3: against the Giants on Sunday. And if you're going to

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Speaker 3: give me four and a half points with a team

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Speaker 3: that scored forty thirty seven, twenty seven and forty four

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Speaker 3: points over its last four games, why yes, thank you.

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Speaker 3: I'll take those points. And Denver's defense is really good.

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Speaker 3: This is a strength versus strength matchup, but it's also

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Speaker 3: kind of a weakness versus weakness matchup on the other

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Speaker 3: side of the ball. Over his last three games, Bonnicks

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Speaker 3: is avertering five point eight yards per pass attempt and

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Speaker 3: completing under sixty percent of his passes. And the Broncos

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Speaker 3: only scored thirteen points against the Jets a couple of

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Speaker 3: weeks ago in London, and they were sitting at zero

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Speaker 3: points at the start of the fourth quarter against the

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Speaker 3: Giants before they stopped on the accelerator. So, and by

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Speaker 3: the way, Matt, in this game, I want to see

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Speaker 3: Brandon Aubrey kick a seventy yard field goal, Like he

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Speaker 3: should be able to break the field goal record in

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Speaker 3: this game at altitude. Don't we think the record is

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Speaker 3: sixty six yards. I'll bet Aubrey could make one from

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Speaker 3: seventy in Denver.

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Speaker 2: I mean, I think they'll give him a chance to

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Speaker 2: do so if he wants to do so. I don't

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Speaker 2: know what Tom Brady's on comparing him to show Haled Tani.

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Speaker 2: I think that was a little bit of a reach

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Speaker 2: from Brady. Maybe the botox is seeking into his brain.

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Speaker 2: I was like, Tom, what are you talking about? Like

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Speaker 2: what are we doing?

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Speaker 1: Like? I love Brendon Aubrey. He's not shoheo Tani?

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Speaker 2: Like what Okay, he's a kicker, Okay, he's the best

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Speaker 2: kicker in the game. He's an awesome weapon for the

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Speaker 2: Cowboys to have. He's an awesome weapon for the offense

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Speaker 2: for the Cowboys. But the defense is still the major

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Speaker 2: problem for the Dallas Cowboys. Sin It's why they're dogs

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Speaker 2: to Denver. And look, Denver had one of the craziest

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Speaker 2: comebacks in the history in the NFL, scoring thirty three

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Speaker 2: points in the second half and beating the Giants, and

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Speaker 2: now they get to be at home and hear all

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Speaker 2: about the you know, the congratulations and everything else, and

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Speaker 2: I feel like they're not going to remember that they

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Speaker 2: played like dirt for the first three quarters of that.

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Speaker 1: Game and they couldn't do anything.

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Speaker 2: And I'm not saying the Cowboys defense is anywhere near

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Speaker 2: the Giants defense, but I don't like bow Knicks, and

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Speaker 2: I'm very concerned about bo Nicks and the way Bonnicks

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Speaker 2: is playing the defense for the Giants. They basically went

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Speaker 2: into a shell. They stopped rushing the quarterback, and they

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Speaker 2: gave Bownecks a ton of time and thus the result

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Speaker 2: was throwing the ball down the field and getting big

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Speaker 2: chunk yardage. I think Dak's gonna be able to throw

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Speaker 2: on this defense for the Broncos. But I'm more concerned

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Speaker 2: about the Broncos offense as to what they're going to

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Speaker 2: look like here in this game.

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Speaker 1: So I'm with you. I like the dog at plus

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Speaker 1: four and a half.

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Speaker 2: I will see how many points we can wind up

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Speaker 2: getting with the public driving that number potentially up. My

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Speaker 2: second bet is the game I'm the most excited to watch.

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Speaker 2: To be quite honest, I can't wait to see this.

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Speaker 2: The Green Bay Packers on the road against the Pittsburgh Steelers.

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Speaker 2: This is the Aaron Rodgers revenge game of revenge games here,

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Speaker 2: and I have Mike Tomlin at home as a dog.

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Speaker 2: When you give me three and a half points with

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Speaker 2: Mike Tomlin at home, I'm going to take it.

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Speaker 1: Now.

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Speaker 2: How many points we wind up getting, I think this

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Speaker 2: number is going to be three. I don't think this

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Speaker 2: number goes higher. I don't think we see four. I

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Speaker 2: think it's going to land three and stay at three.

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Speaker 2: So if I get three and a half here on Tuesday,

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Speaker 2: I'm comfortable jumping on it right now.

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Speaker 1: For the Stea Deelers at home, I.

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Speaker 2: Know the defense has been somewhat questionable, but this is

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Speaker 2: the point in the year and you, as a Packer fan,

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Speaker 2: can kind of back me up on this. We get

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Speaker 2: closer to Halloween and things start to get a little

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Speaker 2: bit ghoulish for the Green Bay Packers under Matt Lafleur.

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Speaker 2: Like they're awesome in September, they're awesome in early October,

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Speaker 2: and as we get later into the month of October,

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Speaker 2: things start to go a little bit sideways. So I

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Speaker 2: like the Green Bay Packers, So I like the Steelers

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Speaker 2: against the Packers. Back to back road trips for the Packers,

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Speaker 2: I tend to fade teams on that second leg of

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Speaker 2: a road trip in the NFL, even though well that

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Speaker 2: was a home game breaks basically in Arizona for the

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Speaker 2: Packers last week. There were so many Packer fans there,

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Speaker 2: But where are you and your Packers on the road

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Speaker 2: against the Steelers.

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Speaker 3: So I like all of your points here. I agree

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Speaker 3: with everything you said in the pools. Where I have

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Speaker 3: to pick a game against the number, I am probably

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Speaker 3: going to take the Steelers. I don't think I'm going

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Speaker 3: to bet this game. And the only thing that kind

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Speaker 3: of scares me here, Matt is that the the Packers

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Speaker 3: haven't really thrown a good punch since week two, and

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Speaker 3: we know they're capable of it. I mean, they blew

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Speaker 3: the Lions doors off in Week one, and turns out

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Speaker 3: the Lions are pretty good, and they beat the Commanders

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Speaker 3: handily when the Commanders were sort of at full capacity

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Speaker 3: with Jade and Daniels. So two really good games to start,

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Speaker 3: and ever since then, they have been pretty unimpressive and

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Speaker 3: played around with teams that it seemed like they should

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Speaker 3: handle pretty easily, as we saw last week in Arizona.

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Speaker 3: I just wonder if this is the game that has

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Speaker 3: their full attention and maybe we see sort of the

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Speaker 3: full force of what the Packers could be because I

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Speaker 3: do think this is a super Bowl caliber team. They

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Speaker 3: just haven't played like it for several weeks, and I

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Speaker 3: wonder if that team might eventually show up. You know,

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Speaker 3: it does seem like a good spot to fade them.

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Speaker 3: They've been very fadable in recent weeks. I just wonder

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Speaker 3: if maybe this is the game where they let loose.

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Speaker 1: I can't wait to watch it. It's gonna be fun.

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Speaker 2: It's more numbers play. I mean, Packers went by three.

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Speaker 2: You know, take the hook and you wind up covering

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Speaker 2: on that. So I think if it's three I don't

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Speaker 2: really think I would make this play. The hook is

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Speaker 2: what I like with the three and a half at

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Speaker 2: home for the Steelers. So if your book is at three,

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Speaker 2: I wouldn't play it, or you can buy it up,

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Speaker 2: and that's pretty expensive to buy it off of three.

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Speaker 2: So I think the number is what matters at three

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Speaker 2: and a half here, And I think there could be

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Speaker 2: you know, to your point, there could be a public

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Speaker 2: narrative of like, oh, Green Bay on the road against

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Speaker 2: Mike Tomlin is a dog automatic play. And then also, well,

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Speaker 2: it's Rogers up against the Packers, so of course he's

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Speaker 2: gonna come out and play really well and have an

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Speaker 2: awesome game. Maybe this offense for the Steelers needs to

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Speaker 2: find a way to run the football.

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Speaker 1: Like, if they can't run the ball, they're not going anywhere.

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Speaker 2: I don't care what the division looks like when they

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Speaker 2: get to the playoffs, they're not gonna be going anywhere

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Speaker 2: if they can't establish.

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Speaker 1: The run the third and final game. We haven't done

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Speaker 1: this in a bit.

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Speaker 2: Me versus you, we're on opposite sides of the same

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Speaker 2: game here. I like the Niners, you like the Texans.

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Speaker 2: I'll let you go first.

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Speaker 3: Why Houston yeah, and as a caveat, historically fade me

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Speaker 3: in these Fitzmorris versus Peroult battles, Parlt usually comes out

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Speaker 3: ahead in these, So I just love the spot here, Matt.

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Speaker 3: We've got a team that's probably pretty content after a

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Speaker 3: fairly convincing nationally televised win on Sunday Night over the Falcons,

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Speaker 3: going on the road to face a pretty good team

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Speaker 3: coming off a frustrating nationally televised loss. The Texans did

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Speaker 3: not play a very good game in Seattle Monday night,

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Speaker 3: and the pretty good team coming off the loss as

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Speaker 3: a home dog.

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Speaker 1: I like that spot.

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Speaker 3: I know the Texans offense is shaky, the offensive line stinks,

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Speaker 3: they struggle to run the ball, and as possible, the

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Speaker 3: Texans won't have star receiver Nico Collins, who left Monday

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Speaker 3: Night's game with a concussion. But the Texans defense is

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Speaker 3: no joke. Like Damika Ryan's team is really tough on

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Speaker 3: that side of the ball. Texans also have a big

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Speaker 3: special team's edge here. They're special teams rank seventh in DVA,

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Speaker 3: the forty nine ers twenty ninth, and the forty nine

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Speaker 3: ers are beating up team Matt no Nick Bosa, no,

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Speaker 3: Fred Warner, the two biggest stars on this defense gone.

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Speaker 3: So I think this one could be a little bit

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Speaker 3: of a rock fight. I want to take the Texans

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Speaker 3: at home as a dog.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, rock Fight's true.

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Speaker 2: And there is some description in the market because you

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Speaker 2: can take the Texans up plus one and a half.

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Speaker 2: But there's also pick them in the market as well,

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Speaker 2: so we have Obviously, it's Tuesday, so this is one

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Speaker 2: of those games where there's going to be differentiating opinions

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Speaker 2: by the professionals, and that's going to move the numbers

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Speaker 2: around here pretty quickly until we actually settle on what

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Speaker 2: the number will be at the time of kick. It

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Speaker 2: wouldn't surprise me if the Texans are favored by the

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Speaker 2: time we get to kickoff. However, I will push back

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Speaker 2: on the lie that the Texans are a good football team,

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Speaker 2: because I can't. They're two and four and their wins

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Speaker 2: are against the Titans, and the Ravens call this team

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Speaker 2: a good team with four losses against any I mean

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Speaker 2: they lost to the Jaguars, they haven't beaten anybody of consequence.

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Speaker 2: In my mind, this offense has taken a gigantic step backwards,

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Speaker 2: and it continues to do so with CJ. Stroud, who know,

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Speaker 2: everybody thought this was going to be the AFC was his.

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Speaker 2: He was going to be him and Mahomes and he

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Speaker 2: was going to be in the same category as Josh Allen.

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Speaker 2: And we haven't seen it for the last year and

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Speaker 2: a half. And yes, they've got some good weapons, but

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Speaker 2: you know without this tank Dell Nico Collins trio that

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Speaker 2: we saw what now almost over a year ago, where

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Speaker 2: we saw the offense really playing well. Since these injuries

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Speaker 2: have happened, they haven't run the ball, they haven't been

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Speaker 2: able to find other whiteouts to throw the ball too,

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Speaker 2: and the offense just keeps on going in reverse. I'm

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Speaker 2: with you on the under. I think the under is

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Speaker 2: also a good play in this game because I don't

332
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Speaker 2: think we see a lot of offense. But the Niners

333
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Speaker 2: have just found a way to win football games. It

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Speaker 2: doesn't make any sense how they're five and two but

335
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Speaker 2: they're three and one on the road, like they're going

336
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Speaker 2: on the road a lot, and they're winning these football games.

337
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Speaker 2: Maybe it's smoking mirrors, but until I'm proven wrong, I

338
00:16:11,080 --> 00:16:13,160
Speaker 2: like what the Niners are able to do with Christian

339
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Speaker 2: McCaffrey in this offense and mac Jones has been a

340
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Speaker 2: guy that you could legitimately say deserves to be the

341
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Speaker 2: starting quarterback for the forty nine ers for the rest

342
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Speaker 2: of the season given the way he has played. I

343
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Speaker 2: know they're paying Brock Purty a ton of money, but

344
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Speaker 2: I mean, this is a team that you win twenty

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Speaker 2: to ten at home against the Falcons, and they're a

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Speaker 2: different team, Like we talked about the Falcons at home

347
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Speaker 2: or a better football team.

348
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Speaker 1: But I like the Niners. I like them on the road.

349
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Speaker 1: They're road warriors.

350
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Speaker 2: And if I get a pick and I don't get

351
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Speaker 2: to lay points, just take him to win the football game.

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Speaker 2: I like San Francisco. I think the rock fight angle

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Speaker 2: is right. I think last twenty to ten, twenty seventeen

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Speaker 2: somewhere in that range from a football game from a

355
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Speaker 2: score perspective. But I like this Niners team. I don't

356
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Speaker 2: love Mac Jones, but the guy's just winning bad He's

357
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Speaker 2: not losing football games.

358
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Speaker 3: Yeah, we could see Purdy this week. Do you like

359
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Speaker 3: the forty nine Ers less if it's Brock Purdy coming back?

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Speaker 1: I don't.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean it worries me just a little bit,

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Speaker 2: but I'm not sure how big of a difference there

363
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Speaker 2: is between Brock, Purdy and mac Jones. They might be

364
00:17:14,760 --> 00:17:17,239
Speaker 2: very similar in terms of just productivity and where this

365
00:17:17,320 --> 00:17:20,520
Speaker 2: team is. It is a difficult thing. It's surprising that

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Speaker 2: the team would make a move on the road to

367
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Speaker 2: put Purdy back in coming off of a home win.

368
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Speaker 2: But there may be some pressure from upstairs, like, hey,

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Speaker 2: look at we're paying this guy a lot of money.

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Speaker 1: He needs to be the starting quarterback.

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Speaker 2: So like Matt, Jones will get to get his money

372
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Speaker 2: somewhere else and play somewhere else. But or maybe a

373
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Speaker 2: trade Brock party in the offseason if somebody wants him.

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Speaker 2: But I understand a fired up Brock party. I'm okay

375
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Speaker 2: with it because his job's on the line. So he

376
00:17:45,720 --> 00:17:47,840
Speaker 2: when he comes back, he needs to play his tail

377
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Speaker 2: off or he may not see the field again. So

378
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Speaker 2: they can't go to the Texans with Purdy and lose,

379
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Speaker 2: because that that happens the next week on the road

380
00:17:55,680 --> 00:17:57,879
Speaker 2: to the Giants, you very well might see mac Jones

381
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Speaker 2: back in there.

382
00:17:58,680 --> 00:18:01,879
Speaker 3: Yeah, and I I wonder if they might try to

383
00:18:01,920 --> 00:18:03,800
Speaker 3: get him in there because he's a little more mobile

384
00:18:03,880 --> 00:18:07,200
Speaker 3: than mac Jalon's two and you've got you know, Will

385
00:18:07,240 --> 00:18:09,680
Speaker 3: Anderson and company bearing down on you in this game,

386
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Speaker 3: so that that is an interesting angle on this. I

387
00:18:12,000 --> 00:18:14,439
Speaker 3: don't think it really matters for me in which way

388
00:18:14,480 --> 00:18:15,679
Speaker 3: I want to beat it. Like, I'm not sure I

389
00:18:15,720 --> 00:18:17,159
Speaker 3: like one more than the other. I used to be

390
00:18:17,200 --> 00:18:19,119
Speaker 3: a brock Price skeptic, but he's kind of won me

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Speaker 3: over over time. So but yeah, should we talk Survivor picks?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, but before we before we jump into Survivor picks,

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00:18:29,400 --> 00:18:31,280
Speaker 2: let me let's let me remind you guys of what's

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Speaker 2: All right, so we have a bunch of options here

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00:19:37,280 --> 00:19:40,920
Speaker 2: when it comes to Survivor this week. Obviously, a bunch

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00:19:40,960 --> 00:19:42,879
Speaker 2: of teams like you mentioned are on a buy. But

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Speaker 2: where do you where do you think you should a

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00:19:44,480 --> 00:19:47,520
Speaker 2: player should go? If they have the team available. Now, reminder, guys,

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Speaker 2: we don't know what you have available, so we're just

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00:19:49,720 --> 00:19:52,280
Speaker 2: going to give you options for Survivor that we think

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00:19:52,359 --> 00:19:55,160
Speaker 2: you could use if that team is available to you

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00:19:55,520 --> 00:19:56,920
Speaker 2: on your Survivor pick team?

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00:19:57,040 --> 00:19:58,080
Speaker 1: Where are you this week?

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Speaker 3: I like the idea of using the thought Wilkins, and

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00:20:00,880 --> 00:20:03,359
Speaker 3: that's not a team you can use confidently very often.

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00:20:03,400 --> 00:20:08,080
Speaker 3: But at home against this stumbling Dolphins team with Mike

435
00:20:08,160 --> 00:20:12,080
Speaker 3: McDaniel basically being a dead man walking, I think that

436
00:20:12,440 --> 00:20:15,159
Speaker 3: probably is the obvious play Matt. Now, maybe the bigger

437
00:20:15,240 --> 00:20:17,840
Speaker 3: layup on the board the Colts.

438
00:20:18,160 --> 00:20:19,600
Speaker 1: Yeah, that's the number one pick.

439
00:20:19,760 --> 00:20:23,040
Speaker 3: Yeah, it's two touchdown favorites over the Titans. And we've

440
00:20:23,080 --> 00:20:27,080
Speaker 3: been kind of targeting the Titans in Survivor. It's just

441
00:20:27,080 --> 00:20:30,960
Speaker 3: that the Colts now do seem like a legitimate top ten,

442
00:20:31,080 --> 00:20:33,240
Speaker 3: if not top five team in the NFL.

443
00:20:33,800 --> 00:20:37,520
Speaker 2: So maybe I have the number one Yeah, like, and

444
00:20:37,600 --> 00:20:40,160
Speaker 2: I can't argue with that with what they're the best

445
00:20:40,160 --> 00:20:42,320
Speaker 2: team in they're the best team in football. And I

446
00:20:42,320 --> 00:20:45,000
Speaker 2: know everyone's going to run into the Chiefs, but and look,

447
00:20:45,040 --> 00:20:48,359
Speaker 2: Casey played really well against the Raiders. The Raiders are garbage,

448
00:20:48,440 --> 00:20:50,320
Speaker 2: and we and look at I know everyone's going, how

449
00:20:50,320 --> 00:20:52,000
Speaker 2: did the Patriots lose to the Raiders in Week one?

450
00:20:52,080 --> 00:20:53,200
Speaker 1: Fine? But it was Week one.

451
00:20:53,400 --> 00:20:55,159
Speaker 2: There's there's many games in week one we're going to

452
00:20:55,200 --> 00:20:56,320
Speaker 2: look back on and go, how did that?

453
00:20:56,560 --> 00:20:57,240
Speaker 1: How did that happen?

454
00:20:57,560 --> 00:20:59,399
Speaker 2: It's week one, it was a new coaching staff, it

455
00:20:59,440 --> 00:21:01,040
Speaker 2: was a new off so, I mean, the pitchers just

456
00:21:01,080 --> 00:21:05,720
Speaker 2: didn't play well. But look at the numbers are ridiculous.

457
00:21:05,800 --> 00:21:09,080
Speaker 2: Daniel Jones is the number one quarterback in the NFL.

458
00:21:09,160 --> 00:21:13,000
Speaker 2: When he is pressured from a completion percentage, you blitz

459
00:21:13,080 --> 00:21:13,840
Speaker 2: Daniel Jones.

460
00:21:14,040 --> 00:21:14,760
Speaker 1: He kills you.

461
00:21:15,160 --> 00:21:17,760
Speaker 2: It doesn't make any sense, but it's just what this

462
00:21:17,800 --> 00:21:20,600
Speaker 2: guy has done. And a double digit win against the

463
00:21:20,720 --> 00:21:24,080
Speaker 2: Chargers that was a message to me. That was, oh my,

464
00:21:24,560 --> 00:21:28,679
Speaker 2: So yeah, Colts, Titans, if you have it available and

465
00:21:28,720 --> 00:21:32,000
Speaker 2: you want to burn the Colts, there's your play, right.

466
00:21:32,320 --> 00:21:36,640
Speaker 3: Yeah, I think so unless you want to save the Colts.

467
00:21:37,160 --> 00:21:39,439
Speaker 3: That's the only thing I think that the Colts are

468
00:21:39,440 --> 00:21:41,760
Speaker 3: a team I would much rather have to be able

469
00:21:41,760 --> 00:21:44,439
Speaker 3: to pull out a little later in the season, whereas

470
00:21:44,440 --> 00:21:46,760
Speaker 3: the Falcons, this might be the last time you can

471
00:21:46,880 --> 00:21:48,280
Speaker 3: use them continently all year.

472
00:21:49,119 --> 00:21:49,639
Speaker 1: I'm with you.

473
00:21:49,960 --> 00:21:51,760
Speaker 2: That's the case, that's a great point for the falcons.

474
00:21:52,280 --> 00:21:55,920
Speaker 2: And look at when it comes just to survivor contests.

475
00:21:56,000 --> 00:21:58,959
Speaker 2: My opinion has always been get to October. It's our

476
00:21:59,000 --> 00:22:03,040
Speaker 2: get to Halloween and then worry about the path after that.

477
00:22:03,400 --> 00:22:06,439
Speaker 1: Like, you have to survive in Survivor.

478
00:22:05,920 --> 00:22:08,639
Speaker 2: Okay, and there are many people even in the Circus

479
00:22:08,680 --> 00:22:11,400
Speaker 2: Survivor here in Las Vegas or what there are thousands

480
00:22:11,440 --> 00:22:14,040
Speaker 2: of people who are out of that contest eighteen thousand

481
00:22:14,080 --> 00:22:15,000
Speaker 2: and we're down to four.

482
00:22:15,359 --> 00:22:17,800
Speaker 1: So like, it's very difficult to get to.

483
00:22:17,720 --> 00:22:20,480
Speaker 2: This point in the season when it comes to Survivor

484
00:22:20,520 --> 00:22:22,960
Speaker 2: because the first month and a half is so volatile.

485
00:22:23,040 --> 00:22:26,119
Speaker 2: So if you are still alive, you can start to

486
00:22:26,320 --> 00:22:28,920
Speaker 2: kind of look at a path and say, all right,

487
00:22:29,000 --> 00:22:31,879
Speaker 2: I'm never going to use the falcons again. Let's go

488
00:22:32,000 --> 00:22:35,240
Speaker 2: Michael Pennix. It's dangerous. I mean, I don't you know,

489
00:22:35,760 --> 00:22:38,640
Speaker 2: from a Circus Survivor standpoint, am I putting one thousand

490
00:22:38,640 --> 00:22:40,160
Speaker 2: dollars down on Michael Pennix?

491
00:22:40,400 --> 00:22:40,920
Speaker 1: Yikes?

492
00:22:41,160 --> 00:22:43,120
Speaker 2: That's not really going to make me feel good about that,

493
00:22:43,200 --> 00:22:46,080
Speaker 2: But I think you have to. If you're looking at

494
00:22:46,160 --> 00:22:49,840
Speaker 2: where we are this week, colts are the obvious. Falcons

495
00:22:49,840 --> 00:22:54,320
Speaker 2: are the strategic and then I mean, maybe can you

496
00:22:54,359 --> 00:22:58,080
Speaker 2: talk yourself into the Chiefs on Monday night. I mean,

497
00:22:58,119 --> 00:23:01,959
Speaker 2: if you have Casey available, take them against the commanders.

498
00:23:02,000 --> 00:23:04,600
Speaker 3: Especially if the commanders aren't going to have Jade and Daniels.

499
00:23:04,600 --> 00:23:07,080
Speaker 3: I could definitely be talked into that. The only thing

500
00:23:07,200 --> 00:23:09,800
Speaker 3: is that the Chiefs have this way of not squashing

501
00:23:09,840 --> 00:23:13,600
Speaker 3: opponents they should squash. They just squashed an opponent they

502
00:23:13,680 --> 00:23:16,560
Speaker 3: were supposed to squash the Raiders. Are they going to

503
00:23:16,600 --> 00:23:18,679
Speaker 3: do it twice in a row or do they like

504
00:23:19,320 --> 00:23:21,879
Speaker 3: fool around and make this a scarier game than it

505
00:23:21,920 --> 00:23:25,520
Speaker 3: should be. I don't think so, and I do like

506
00:23:25,560 --> 00:23:29,320
Speaker 3: those other two games more. But yeah, I could play

507
00:23:29,359 --> 00:23:33,520
Speaker 3: the Chiefs and I wouldn't be too worried about it. What, oh,

508
00:23:33,560 --> 00:23:34,280
Speaker 3: go ahead?

509
00:23:34,600 --> 00:23:34,679
Speaker 1: No.

510
00:23:34,720 --> 00:23:36,720
Speaker 2: I was just saying, if you are just remember that

511
00:23:36,800 --> 00:23:40,080
Speaker 2: if you are in the Circus Survivor, that the Chiefs

512
00:23:40,080 --> 00:23:43,040
Speaker 2: and holidays and you got to keep teams available for

513
00:23:43,119 --> 00:23:47,080
Speaker 2: Thanksgiving and Christmas, and so when you're you using Kansas

514
00:23:47,119 --> 00:23:49,639
Speaker 2: City as a big question from a standpoint of if

515
00:23:49,680 --> 00:23:51,760
Speaker 2: you are still alive in the Big One and the

516
00:23:51,800 --> 00:23:55,359
Speaker 2: Big Circuit Survivor for eighteen million dollars, always remember to

517
00:23:55,359 --> 00:23:58,600
Speaker 2: look at Christmas and Thanksgiving, you got to have options

518
00:23:58,960 --> 00:24:02,000
Speaker 2: available because those are extra weeks for that contest. So

519
00:24:02,119 --> 00:24:05,000
Speaker 2: people haven't been using the Chiefs for that reason. But

520
00:24:05,760 --> 00:24:07,920
Speaker 2: you know, just depends on how you want to use

521
00:24:08,000 --> 00:24:08,600
Speaker 2: Kansas City.

522
00:24:08,760 --> 00:24:11,159
Speaker 3: How do you feel about your Patriots at home favored

523
00:24:11,160 --> 00:24:12,479
Speaker 3: by a touchdown over the Browns.

524
00:24:12,960 --> 00:24:13,960
Speaker 1: I like it. I think they win.

525
00:24:14,240 --> 00:24:17,520
Speaker 2: I think it's definitely an option. I'm always concerned because

526
00:24:17,640 --> 00:24:22,680
Speaker 2: I am old enough to remember when the Patriots did

527
00:24:22,680 --> 00:24:28,480
Speaker 2: not deal with attention and success very well. So maybe

528
00:24:28,480 --> 00:24:31,439
Speaker 2: it's just the PTSD and scar tissue as a Patriot

529
00:24:31,520 --> 00:24:33,960
Speaker 2: fan back pre Brady, like what used to happen for

530
00:24:34,000 --> 00:24:36,760
Speaker 2: the Patriots. But they're five and two. I think the

531
00:24:36,800 --> 00:24:39,120
Speaker 2: Patriots are a top ten team in the NFL. I'm

532
00:24:39,119 --> 00:24:41,400
Speaker 2: not sure I'm putting them top five yet. But Drake

533
00:24:41,480 --> 00:24:45,200
Speaker 2: may is in the conversation for the MVP for a reason,

534
00:24:45,680 --> 00:24:48,480
Speaker 2: and he just did something historic that Brady never did.

535
00:24:48,600 --> 00:24:51,879
Speaker 2: Ninety one point three percent completion. Tom Brady never did that,

536
00:24:52,240 --> 00:24:55,480
Speaker 2: and no one has ever done ninety one percent completion,

537
00:24:55,880 --> 00:24:59,479
Speaker 2: two hundred plus passing yards and fifty plus rushing yards

538
00:24:59,640 --> 00:25:02,359
Speaker 2: in this same game. And that is what brock that

539
00:25:02,440 --> 00:25:05,320
Speaker 2: is what, Matt. Uh, Why am I going back to

540
00:25:05,359 --> 00:25:08,199
Speaker 2: old Patriots? Sorry Mac mac jill, I want to call

541
00:25:08,240 --> 00:25:10,639
Speaker 2: it mac Jones at the time. But Drake May what

542
00:25:10,800 --> 00:25:12,960
Speaker 2: Drake May has been able to accomplish for the Patriots,

543
00:25:12,960 --> 00:25:15,520
Speaker 2: So I don't mind it. I like it money line

544
00:25:15,600 --> 00:25:17,639
Speaker 2: more than I do like laying the seven because that

545
00:25:17,760 --> 00:25:23,480
Speaker 2: defensive front for the Browns. Yeah, the offensive line for

546
00:25:23,560 --> 00:25:25,879
Speaker 2: the Patriots is a bit concerning against that defense for

547
00:25:25,920 --> 00:25:26,400
Speaker 2: the Browns.

548
00:25:26,480 --> 00:25:27,040
Speaker 1: Yeah.

549
00:25:27,119 --> 00:25:30,239
Speaker 3: My only problem it's kind of the same thinking that

550
00:25:30,600 --> 00:25:33,000
Speaker 3: I had with the Packers and the Steelers. Just as

551
00:25:33,040 --> 00:25:36,719
Speaker 3: the Packers haven't played a real good game for three weeks,

552
00:25:36,760 --> 00:25:40,040
Speaker 3: four weeks, the Patriots haven't played a bad game for

553
00:25:40,119 --> 00:25:42,199
Speaker 3: three or four weeks. And I always just wonder, you know,

554
00:25:42,440 --> 00:25:46,399
Speaker 3: the the NFL is, it's the League of elasticity, Matt,

555
00:25:46,560 --> 00:25:49,720
Speaker 3: And we always, like I always just live in fear

556
00:25:49,760 --> 00:25:52,000
Speaker 3: of sort of the other shoe dropping And when a

557
00:25:52,040 --> 00:25:54,520
Speaker 3: team gets on these streaks, like oh, are they due

558
00:25:55,000 --> 00:25:56,399
Speaker 3: for a good game or are they do for a

559
00:25:56,400 --> 00:25:58,520
Speaker 3: bad game? One more to throw at, Matt. Would you

560
00:25:58,600 --> 00:26:00,760
Speaker 3: dare take the Bengals the Jets?

561
00:26:01,200 --> 00:26:01,760
Speaker 1: No?

562
00:26:01,760 --> 00:26:05,960
Speaker 3: No, me neither, No not since I'm betting the Jets obviously.

563
00:26:07,359 --> 00:26:10,640
Speaker 1: A team that's a team that's winless in the NFL.

564
00:26:11,560 --> 00:26:14,600
Speaker 1: At this point in the season, everyone's job is on

565
00:26:14,640 --> 00:26:18,840
Speaker 1: the line. You have maximum buy in. No one's making

566
00:26:18,880 --> 00:26:21,720
Speaker 1: a business decision unless you think that the coach is

567
00:26:21,760 --> 00:26:23,520
Speaker 1: going to get fired. And it's a first year head

568
00:26:23,560 --> 00:26:25,560
Speaker 1: coach and Aaron Glenn and again we already talked about it.

569
00:26:25,560 --> 00:26:29,760
Speaker 1: I don't think it gets fired. So no, I that's danger.

570
00:26:29,840 --> 00:26:34,399
Speaker 1: I mean that is yeah. Yeah, big ballpick. If you're

571
00:26:34,440 --> 00:26:34,840
Speaker 1: taking that.

572
00:26:34,920 --> 00:26:37,119
Speaker 3: There are always the people who like to get cute

573
00:26:37,280 --> 00:26:40,399
Speaker 3: and survivor pulls. That's that's the cute pick for a weekend.

574
00:26:40,480 --> 00:26:40,720
Speaker 1: Get you.

575
00:26:40,920 --> 00:26:43,879
Speaker 2: Yeah, absolutely, before we talk about who locks it in. Guys,

576
00:26:43,880 --> 00:26:45,919
Speaker 2: track your bets since stay accountable and level up by

577
00:26:45,920 --> 00:26:48,960
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578
00:26:49,000 --> 00:26:51,440
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579
00:26:51,640 --> 00:26:54,560
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580
00:26:54,560 --> 00:26:57,720
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581
00:26:57,760 --> 00:27:00,959
Speaker 2: find winning trends and profitable opportunities. New users can get

582
00:27:01,000 --> 00:27:03,760
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583
00:27:03,800 --> 00:27:06,600
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584
00:27:06,800 --> 00:27:10,400
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585
00:27:10,440 --> 00:27:12,080
Speaker 2: All right, So if you're locking in the bet right

586
00:27:12,119 --> 00:27:14,320
Speaker 2: now on Tuesday, which one is it?

587
00:27:14,640 --> 00:27:17,280
Speaker 3: I want to get the Falcons at minus seven against

588
00:27:17,280 --> 00:27:19,760
Speaker 3: the Dolphins before that goes up to seven and a half.

589
00:27:19,800 --> 00:27:22,880
Speaker 3: Hard Rock Bets head it this morning at Falcons minus seven,

590
00:27:23,119 --> 00:27:26,600
Speaker 3: but minus one fifteen to take the Falcons. I still

591
00:27:26,680 --> 00:27:29,399
Speaker 3: grabbed it, like I want that at seven, not seven

592
00:27:29,400 --> 00:27:32,840
Speaker 3: and a half. Alternatively, I also really like the under

593
00:27:32,880 --> 00:27:35,600
Speaker 3: in this game at forty four and a half. Like

594
00:27:35,680 --> 00:27:40,200
Speaker 3: the Falcons defense has been terrific. The Dolphins offense kind

595
00:27:40,200 --> 00:27:42,359
Speaker 3: of wayward right now except for Devon ah Chan, and

596
00:27:42,480 --> 00:27:46,600
Speaker 3: the Falcons offense sort of a methodical, ball controlled offense.

597
00:27:47,520 --> 00:27:49,240
Speaker 3: You know, the Falcons had a thirty four to twenty

598
00:27:49,280 --> 00:27:51,520
Speaker 3: seven win over the Commanders in Week four, and there

599
00:27:51,520 --> 00:27:54,359
Speaker 3: are other five games they've averaged fifteen point six points.

600
00:27:54,640 --> 00:27:57,480
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean they had in their home games. They

601
00:27:57,480 --> 00:27:59,960
Speaker 2: scored twenty four against the Bills, twenty at thirty four

602
00:28:00,040 --> 00:28:04,119
Speaker 2: against the Commanders, and twenty against the Bucks. So that's

603
00:28:04,160 --> 00:28:07,400
Speaker 2: my only concern here. If they get to twenty seven points,

604
00:28:08,160 --> 00:28:10,320
Speaker 2: I don't know how many points they're going to give up,

605
00:28:10,359 --> 00:28:12,639
Speaker 2: but I could see them giving up seventeen or twenty,

606
00:28:12,720 --> 00:28:15,240
Speaker 2: and like we're right there at the number, like twenty

607
00:28:15,280 --> 00:28:18,479
Speaker 2: seven to twenty final is very possible. That's why I

608
00:28:18,520 --> 00:28:21,520
Speaker 2: want seven. And so we're right around that total of

609
00:28:21,600 --> 00:28:24,400
Speaker 2: forty four and a half where it's one touchdown difference

610
00:28:24,440 --> 00:28:26,359
Speaker 2: between the game going over or under. But I do

611
00:28:26,400 --> 00:28:27,760
Speaker 2: think you're right. I do think this is going to

612
00:28:27,760 --> 00:28:28,800
Speaker 2: be a rock fight. I think this is going to

613
00:28:28,840 --> 00:28:31,520
Speaker 2: be under. But I'm with you on the seven. I mean,

614
00:28:31,520 --> 00:28:33,400
Speaker 2: if it goes below seven, I like it even more.

615
00:28:33,960 --> 00:28:37,080
Speaker 2: Seven and a half gives me pause. I'm like, Okay,

616
00:28:37,160 --> 00:28:39,160
Speaker 2: I'm not sure I want to be laying two scores

617
00:28:39,240 --> 00:28:43,600
Speaker 2: here with the Falcons at home, but Miami's got talent

618
00:28:44,160 --> 00:28:47,080
Speaker 2: and indoors in a dome. First quarter is a little

619
00:28:47,120 --> 00:28:48,480
Speaker 2: bit of like we're going to find out a little

620
00:28:48,480 --> 00:28:50,480
Speaker 2: bit how the Dolphins are going to approach this game

621
00:28:50,840 --> 00:28:53,480
Speaker 2: and just how they're going to perform on the road

622
00:28:53,960 --> 00:28:56,680
Speaker 2: in a dome on a quick track. They've got team speed,

623
00:28:56,720 --> 00:28:59,160
Speaker 2: like there's no debate, but they have played so poorly

624
00:28:59,200 --> 00:29:01,360
Speaker 2: in the second half when they get behind, they just

625
00:29:01,400 --> 00:29:03,680
Speaker 2: give up. So the hope is that the Falcons score

626
00:29:03,720 --> 00:29:06,440
Speaker 2: early and then they just get run out of the building,

627
00:29:06,440 --> 00:29:08,640
Speaker 2: and this easy win for the Falcons. So I think

628
00:29:08,680 --> 00:29:11,000
Speaker 2: I'm more comfortable laying the seven, But I'm with you

629
00:29:11,000 --> 00:29:11,520
Speaker 2: on the under.

630
00:29:11,720 --> 00:29:14,560
Speaker 3: Can I throw one more possible lockett in early pick

631
00:29:14,600 --> 00:29:16,640
Speaker 3: at you? It's actually two in the same game, and

632
00:29:16,680 --> 00:29:19,800
Speaker 3: I'm curious what you think about this. So as of now,

633
00:29:20,440 --> 00:29:23,520
Speaker 3: the Ravens are six and a half point home favorites

634
00:29:23,600 --> 00:29:26,320
Speaker 3: over the Bears with a total of fifty and a half,

635
00:29:27,240 --> 00:29:30,800
Speaker 3: and the Ravens, coming off their by had a practice

636
00:29:30,840 --> 00:29:34,400
Speaker 3: on Monday. Lamar Jackson was not at that practice. I

637
00:29:34,400 --> 00:29:36,880
Speaker 3: think it's been assumed that he's coming back, and those

638
00:29:37,040 --> 00:29:41,000
Speaker 3: numbers on this game suggest that it's assumed he's coming back.

639
00:29:41,360 --> 00:29:43,600
Speaker 3: What if he doesn't come back, do we feel good

640
00:29:43,600 --> 00:29:45,920
Speaker 3: about the Ravens covering six and a half if they

641
00:29:45,920 --> 00:29:48,400
Speaker 3: do not have Lamar Jackson? Or do we feel good

642
00:29:48,400 --> 00:29:51,000
Speaker 3: about this game getting over fifty and a half points

643
00:29:51,400 --> 00:29:53,160
Speaker 3: if the Ravens don't have Lamar Jackson.

644
00:29:54,240 --> 00:29:56,520
Speaker 2: I don't like it with Lamar Jackson, right, I mean,

645
00:29:56,640 --> 00:29:59,960
Speaker 2: I'm not sure I like either bet even Lamar play.

646
00:30:00,600 --> 00:30:02,800
Speaker 1: I don't know what these Ravens are.

647
00:30:03,400 --> 00:30:06,640
Speaker 2: I think everybody is just assuming that it's Harbaugh in

648
00:30:06,840 --> 00:30:09,040
Speaker 2: Jackson and so all of a sudden, the bye week

649
00:30:09,080 --> 00:30:14,280
Speaker 2: will fix everything. Maybe, But this is a team that

650
00:30:14,360 --> 00:30:18,040
Speaker 2: has shown nothing on defense, and it's a team that

651
00:30:18,160 --> 00:30:22,200
Speaker 2: on offense has looked disjointed and just not able to

652
00:30:22,280 --> 00:30:25,160
Speaker 2: protect Lamar Jackson and not make plays that you would

653
00:30:25,160 --> 00:30:28,400
Speaker 2: expect this offense to make. So the Ravens have a

654
00:30:28,400 --> 00:30:31,520
Speaker 2: big black line through them. For me, I'm not touching

655
00:30:31,600 --> 00:30:35,240
Speaker 2: Ravens against or four until we figure out exactly what

656
00:30:35,320 --> 00:30:39,000
Speaker 2: this team is. And without Lamar Jackson, forget it. That

657
00:30:39,360 --> 00:30:40,959
Speaker 2: makes it even more of a play that I want

658
00:30:41,040 --> 00:30:43,880
Speaker 2: nothing to do with. So I mean it's probably Bears

659
00:30:43,880 --> 00:30:47,080
Speaker 2: are nothing for me. And it's from a total perspective,

660
00:30:47,160 --> 00:30:51,800
Speaker 2: I don't know, because Caleb is he's just tough to

661
00:30:51,840 --> 00:30:54,960
Speaker 2: figure out right now. Some games at home he's tremendous.

662
00:30:55,200 --> 00:31:00,040
Speaker 2: Some games on the road, he's a turnover machine. So

663
00:31:00,120 --> 00:31:02,000
Speaker 2: that's a very hard game to bet in my mind.

664
00:31:02,600 --> 00:31:05,280
Speaker 2: But I think you're right Lamar doesn't play, this number

665
00:31:05,320 --> 00:31:07,280
Speaker 2: comes way down, like we're talking like three and a

666
00:31:07,320 --> 00:31:09,480
Speaker 2: half three If Jackson's not playing.

667
00:31:09,560 --> 00:31:12,080
Speaker 3: Yeah, that's and that's sort of my angle on it

668
00:31:12,240 --> 00:31:15,080
Speaker 3: that I think the Bears are a reasonable play at

669
00:31:15,120 --> 00:31:17,320
Speaker 3: plus six and a half even if Lamar does play,

670
00:31:17,320 --> 00:31:19,920
Speaker 3: and if Lamar doesn't play, I would feel great about

671
00:31:19,920 --> 00:31:21,440
Speaker 3: having the Bears plus six and a half.

672
00:31:21,760 --> 00:31:23,640
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's a good number, and I mean, shoot, you

673
00:31:23,640 --> 00:31:25,040
Speaker 2: get seven like it even more.

674
00:31:24,920 --> 00:31:25,800
Speaker 1: When coming up on that.

675
00:31:25,920 --> 00:31:28,240
Speaker 2: So on that, guys, before we go, remember that if

676
00:31:28,240 --> 00:31:29,880
Speaker 2: you want to track all your wages in one place,

677
00:31:29,920 --> 00:31:31,920
Speaker 2: you can do so with Betting Pros Picktracker. It synks

678
00:31:31,960 --> 00:31:35,000
Speaker 2: up with your sportsbooks to tally your picks and which

679
00:31:35,000 --> 00:31:37,240
Speaker 2: pits hit, which picks miss. Plus, it gives you a

680
00:31:37,240 --> 00:31:38,760
Speaker 2: live look at what the public is doing, so you

681
00:31:38,760 --> 00:31:40,760
Speaker 2: can use real time tracking to determine which plays you

682
00:31:40,760 --> 00:31:42,200
Speaker 2: want to make and which plays you want to fade.

683
00:31:42,280 --> 00:31:44,760
Speaker 2: Track your picks today with the Betting Pros Picktracker at

684
00:31:44,840 --> 00:31:48,680
Speaker 2: Bettingpros dot com, slash tracking or on the Betting Pros

685
00:31:49,280 --> 00:31:52,240
Speaker 2: app on the way out pat any thoughts heading into

686
00:31:52,320 --> 00:31:53,080
Speaker 2: week number eight?

687
00:31:53,120 --> 00:31:54,040
Speaker 1: Anything you're looking for.

688
00:31:55,160 --> 00:31:57,280
Speaker 3: No, I think that's about it. We sort of had

689
00:31:57,320 --> 00:32:01,440
Speaker 3: the brain dump on this, but there were more bets

690
00:32:01,480 --> 00:32:05,040
Speaker 3: that I wanted to make early Matt in a sixteen

691
00:32:05,120 --> 00:32:08,360
Speaker 3: bye week that I would have expected. And on our

692
00:32:08,400 --> 00:32:10,240
Speaker 3: way out, I do have to ask you anything you

693
00:32:10,320 --> 00:32:12,640
Speaker 3: like in the World Series. Now that we have Toronto

694
00:32:12,720 --> 00:32:14,800
Speaker 3: and the Dodgers, we know the mask gentlemen.

695
00:32:15,200 --> 00:32:17,640
Speaker 1: Gentlemen's sweep Dodgers in five.

696
00:32:19,840 --> 00:32:23,560
Speaker 2: Yeah, look this is I'm a baseball guy.

697
00:32:24,520 --> 00:32:26,480
Speaker 1: I have been so bored by the American League.

698
00:32:26,520 --> 00:32:30,240
Speaker 2: George Springer's home run was incredible, Like it just feels

699
00:32:30,240 --> 00:32:33,000
Speaker 2: so anti climactic to me because I already I feel

700
00:32:33,000 --> 00:32:35,200
Speaker 2: like we already have Biff's Almanac and we already know

701
00:32:35,200 --> 00:32:38,080
Speaker 2: what's gonna happen in the World Series. I don't think

702
00:32:38,120 --> 00:32:41,480
Speaker 2: this team, either Team Mariners or the Blue Jays, are

703
00:32:41,520 --> 00:32:43,640
Speaker 2: going to be able to beat this Dodger team with

704
00:32:43,680 --> 00:32:46,880
Speaker 2: the way that they're pitching. And Shoe Heotani is the

705
00:32:47,000 --> 00:32:51,520
Speaker 2: single greatest player of any sport of our lifetime. Joey

706
00:32:51,560 --> 00:32:56,000
Speaker 2: Otani is better than Tom Brady sport wise. Shoeyotani is

707
00:32:56,040 --> 00:32:59,280
Speaker 2: doing things that no one has ever done in our lifetime.

708
00:32:59,720 --> 00:33:04,280
Speaker 2: And he did something in Game four that I'm not

709
00:33:04,280 --> 00:33:06,760
Speaker 2: sure we'll ever see again in the postseason.

710
00:33:06,800 --> 00:33:07,520
Speaker 1: It was the single.

711
00:33:07,280 --> 00:33:10,360
Speaker 2: Greatest postseason performance ever with six and a third innings

712
00:33:10,360 --> 00:33:13,760
Speaker 2: worth of work shutout ball two hits ten K's and

713
00:33:13,800 --> 00:33:16,200
Speaker 2: he went to the plate and hit three home runs.

714
00:33:16,720 --> 00:33:19,400
Speaker 2: Like there's only ten guys in the history of the

715
00:33:19,400 --> 00:33:22,760
Speaker 2: Baseball Playoffs that have done that as a position player.

716
00:33:23,320 --> 00:33:26,520
Speaker 2: Only twenty six pitchers all time have ever gone and

717
00:33:26,600 --> 00:33:30,920
Speaker 2: had a performance of six innings and ten K's Shoey

718
00:33:30,960 --> 00:33:33,360
Speaker 2: did it both in the same game. And he's one guy.

719
00:33:34,560 --> 00:33:38,920
Speaker 2: Like it, bless you Toronto, best of luck five that's it.

720
00:33:39,040 --> 00:33:41,960
Speaker 3: I mean, for Toronto to have any chance, you have

721
00:33:42,000 --> 00:33:44,320
Speaker 3: to be able to get into that Dodger bullpen. And

722
00:33:44,640 --> 00:33:47,360
Speaker 3: the Brewers could not do it. The bullpen only had

723
00:33:47,360 --> 00:33:49,880
Speaker 3: to throw a handful of innings in that entire series.

724
00:33:50,520 --> 00:33:54,280
Speaker 3: And you know, but good luck doing that against like

725
00:33:54,440 --> 00:34:00,280
Speaker 3: snell Yamamoto, Otani, Tyler Glass. Now, it was just such

726
00:34:00,280 --> 00:34:02,240
Speaker 3: a loaded pitching staff.

727
00:34:02,440 --> 00:34:04,320
Speaker 2: And I feel like Dave Roberts has finally figured it

728
00:34:04,360 --> 00:34:06,480
Speaker 2: out that don't go to the bullpen. Just leave your

729
00:34:06,520 --> 00:34:09,640
Speaker 2: guys out there, like, forget the analytics, just leave your starters.

730
00:34:09,680 --> 00:34:11,399
Speaker 2: I mean, he let Yellon want to pitch a complete game,

731
00:34:11,600 --> 00:34:14,120
Speaker 2: Like you just don't see that. And granted, look at

732
00:34:14,160 --> 00:34:17,080
Speaker 2: the Blue Jays lineup is way better than the Brewers

733
00:34:17,120 --> 00:34:20,560
Speaker 2: lineup like way better and frankly, I mean, this is

734
00:34:20,560 --> 00:34:22,799
Speaker 2: a top five, you know, two hundred and eighty million

735
00:34:22,840 --> 00:34:26,960
Speaker 2: dollars payroll versus a bottom ten payroll in Milwaukee. So

736
00:34:27,719 --> 00:34:29,319
Speaker 2: I get the idea that the Blue Jays are a

737
00:34:29,400 --> 00:34:32,200
Speaker 2: much better baseball team, and I understand that. You know,

738
00:34:32,280 --> 00:34:35,040
Speaker 2: I want the Blue Jays to win. If I'm picking

739
00:34:35,160 --> 00:34:38,000
Speaker 2: what team am I pulling for? I want Toronto to win.

740
00:34:38,200 --> 00:34:40,600
Speaker 2: I don't want to see this juggernaut keep rolling down

741
00:34:40,640 --> 00:34:43,280
Speaker 2: the tracks and keeping you know, beating up on people

742
00:34:43,320 --> 00:34:47,200
Speaker 2: like the Dodgers. But I just I one team has Otani,

743
00:34:47,520 --> 00:34:50,440
Speaker 2: one team doesn't. It's kind of as easy as that

744
00:34:50,480 --> 00:34:51,759
Speaker 2: for me when it comes to who I'm picking to

745
00:34:51,800 --> 00:34:52,600
Speaker 2: win the World Series.

746
00:34:52,960 --> 00:34:53,879
Speaker 3: Can't argue with that.

747
00:34:54,920 --> 00:34:56,040
Speaker 1: Guys, thank you for being here.

748
00:34:56,080 --> 00:34:58,680
Speaker 2: Remember we're back every single Tuesday afternoon on the Betting

749
00:34:58,680 --> 00:35:00,719
Speaker 2: Pros YouTube channel. Hit subscribe, pit like and in the

750
00:35:00,760 --> 00:35:02,239
Speaker 2: comment section you can tell us where Pat and I

751
00:35:02,320 --> 00:35:04,880
Speaker 2: are right or wrong for that matter. Here we'll talk

752
00:35:04,920 --> 00:35:07,800
Speaker 2: to you next week for Week nine of the Betting

753
00:35:07,840 --> 00:35:11,839
Speaker 2: Pros MFL Early Look podcast here on the Betting Pros

754
00:35:11,840 --> 00:35:12,440
Speaker 2: YouTube channel.

755
00:35:13,800 --> 00:35:15,960
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756
00:35:16,160 --> 00:35:18,560
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757
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758
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759
00:35:22,560 --> 00:35:25,160
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760
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761
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