WEBVTT - The ‘ABC’ Test for COVID-19

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week. I'm Carol Masser. Every day

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<v Speaker 1>we're bringing you the latest news from the worlds of

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<v Speaker 1>business and finance, plus technology, politics. So much going on

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<v Speaker 1>in the world of politics, economics, and it's all harnessing

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<v Speaker 1>dot com. If you can also listen to our radio

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<v Speaker 1>show at two pm Eastern on Bloomberg Radio, and be

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<v Speaker 1>sure to watch us too on YouTube by searching Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 1>Global News. A lot of virus headlines certainly coming today.

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<v Speaker 1>Among them, chief uh is certainly the COVID night teen vaccine,

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<v Speaker 1>developed by University of Oxford and Astra Zeneca, preventing a

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<v Speaker 1>majority people from getting the disease, but falling short of

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<v Speaker 1>the bar set by Fiser and Maderna. This is all

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<v Speaker 1>happening as global cases past fifty eight point seven million

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<v Speaker 1>deaths topping one point thirty nine million. Working though to

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<v Speaker 1>help in managing covid is, writ Egan, chairman, CEO and

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<v Speaker 1>co founder of Utah based Co Diagnostics. They make diagnostic tests,

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<v Speaker 1>including one that detects influenza A and B as well

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<v Speaker 1>is Kevin Nighteen, also another coronavirus TESK Dwight joining us

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<v Speaker 1>on the phone from Salt Lake City, Utah. Dwight, nice

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<v Speaker 1>to have you here with us, UM. I gotta ask

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<v Speaker 1>you quickly though. First let's start with Utah. I have

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<v Speaker 1>a niece there, she's a doctor. It's been pretty tough,

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<v Speaker 1>it is, and Utah happens to be one of those

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<v Speaker 1>states which is experiencing a very large increase in current

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<v Speaker 1>COVID cases. So when you look at what's happening and

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<v Speaker 1>you see again this second third wave that we're seeing globally,

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<v Speaker 1>UM and the role that you guys can play, talk

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<v Speaker 1>to us a little bit about your diagnostic tests and

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<v Speaker 1>how that is going, Uh, Carol. First of all, I

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<v Speaker 1>would say that the problem that we think some of

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<v Speaker 1>the states are having is a lack of protocols that

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<v Speaker 1>are in place to deal with businesses and to deal

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<v Speaker 1>with schools. For example. It's not enough to just tell

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<v Speaker 1>people to be preventative, in other words, to wash your

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<v Speaker 1>hands a lot, wear a mask, and so sleep distance.

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<v Speaker 1>You actually have to have a protocol. I think you're

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<v Speaker 1>seeing more success in places where they actually have a

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<v Speaker 1>testing protocol. You don't have to test everybody all the time.

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<v Speaker 1>You have to test enough of a scientific random probability

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<v Speaker 1>sampling that you can spot where it's showing up. For instance,

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<v Speaker 1>in our in our own business here at CO Diagnostics,

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<v Speaker 1>we test our lab three times a week and every

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<v Speaker 1>other employee at least every other week, and that makes

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<v Speaker 1>it so we have a COVID safe workspace and we

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<v Speaker 1>are employees know their COVID status from day to day.

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<v Speaker 1>And I think that's one of the places where the

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<v Speaker 1>States have fallen down is not being able to have

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<v Speaker 1>those types of protocols firmly established so that a business

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<v Speaker 1>knows what they're supposed to do to be safe and

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<v Speaker 1>a school knows what they're supposed to do to be safe. Now,

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<v Speaker 1>with respect to our testing, we have developed a COVID

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<v Speaker 1>test that was our original test offering, which we still

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<v Speaker 1>sell a lot of. We also have done a COVID

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<v Speaker 1>two test which we sell internationally in places that are

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<v Speaker 1>more were influenced by the World Health Organization and their

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<v Speaker 1>recommendations that learned some multiple genes, and then our most

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<v Speaker 1>recent iteration is an ABC test as we stylize it,

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<v Speaker 1>which tests for flu a flu B and COVID nineteen.

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<v Speaker 1>And the reason we did that is that we're entering

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<v Speaker 1>now at cold and flu season with potentially a hundred

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<v Speaker 1>million cases flu like symptoms. You're just in the United States,

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<v Speaker 1>and of course, in the course of a year, the

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<v Speaker 1>United States has about a billion colds, and all of these,

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<v Speaker 1>the covid, the flu, and the colds present with similar symptoms,

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<v Speaker 1>especially in the early going of the disease. So this

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<v Speaker 1>this test is meant to make it so you can

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<v Speaker 1>tell a patient you do or do not have COVID nineteen,

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<v Speaker 1>you do or do not have flu A or D,

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<v Speaker 1>or you may have both of them and so on.

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<v Speaker 1>So it's we're doing that kind of a test in

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<v Speaker 1>order to make it so we can have more differentiation

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<v Speaker 1>between the different types of diseases that present present with

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<v Speaker 1>similar symptoms. Hey, remind us, you know, Dwight, in terms

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<v Speaker 1>of how many people are accessing I haven't given me

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<v Speaker 1>an idea if you have, you know, in terms of

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<v Speaker 1>distribution of your test, you know, if that's wrapped up

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<v Speaker 1>in terms of demand, and remind us of what the

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<v Speaker 1>cost is and kind of the timeline and and the

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<v Speaker 1>accuracy of your testing. Yeah, so you know, we were

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<v Speaker 1>the first US based company to have a ce MARK

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<v Speaker 1>test for COVID. As a result, a lot of our

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<v Speaker 1>distribution is overseas. We service over fifty countries throughout the

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<v Speaker 1>world with COVID testing. We also have a plant in India,

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<v Speaker 1>which is the second largest hot spot in the world,

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<v Speaker 1>where we actually manufacture in India. We service well over

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<v Speaker 1>half of these states in the United States, and our

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<v Speaker 1>model is a clear lab model. Care we don't we're

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<v Speaker 1>not a clear lab, but we don't actually perform the

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<v Speaker 1>tests at any of our facilities. We actually make the

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<v Speaker 1>tests and sell them to clear labs around the world

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<v Speaker 1>and around the United States, who then do their own testing,

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<v Speaker 1>So we don't really even have control over the final

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<v Speaker 1>pricing those Clear labs asked for. Our tests historically have

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<v Speaker 1>been compassionately priced since the get go, and that means,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, we're selling tests for you know, six seven

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<v Speaker 1>eight dollars to our customers who they then put into

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<v Speaker 1>their uh their order flown and their workflow, and you know,

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<v Speaker 1>they have to do the collecting of the sample and

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<v Speaker 1>the doing the PCR test and everything associated with it.

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<v Speaker 1>But you know, our whole history as a company deals

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<v Speaker 1>with tests that are like tuberculosis and malaria. We see

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<v Speaker 1>and we do that all around the world. And what

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<v Speaker 1>I'm curious to white to it. As you said that

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<v Speaker 1>what's lacking right now is some of the protocols in

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<v Speaker 1>states to kind of have a testing plan in place

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<v Speaker 1>that can give people some confidence in terms of safety

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<v Speaker 1>and who's got the virus, who doesn't have it, how

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<v Speaker 1>frequent is it. Just got about forty five seconds left here.

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<v Speaker 1>What kind of demand have you seen, UM for your tests.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm just trying to get an idea if it's been

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<v Speaker 1>ramping up in the last couple of months. We have

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<v Speaker 1>very strong demand for our test, Carol, we have since

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<v Speaker 1>we started selling them. Uh, we have a very robust

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<v Speaker 1>business in our original COVID test. We're now taking orders

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<v Speaker 1>all over the world with our ABC tests. And so

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<v Speaker 1>we think even with vaccination around the corner, and we

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<v Speaker 1>don't resist that, of course, as long as you've got

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<v Speaker 1>cold and the flu, you're going to have to figure

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<v Speaker 1>out whether people have COVID or not. Even if they're vaccinated, right,

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<v Speaker 1>You're going to still need to do this. To have

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<v Speaker 1>an idea of exactly what we're all dealing with, UM.

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<v Speaker 1>Dwight we're running out of time. I appreciate it. I

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<v Speaker 1>hope we can get you back here real soon to

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<v Speaker 1>talk a little bit more about what you guys are doing.

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<v Speaker 1>Dwight Egan he chief executive officer and co founder of

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<v Speaker 1>Utah based Co Diagnostics. They do make diagnostic tests and

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<v Speaker 1>as you just heard, with flu A and B as

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<v Speaker 1>well as COVID nineteen uh and certainly in the thick

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<v Speaker 1>of all of this, this is Bloomberg Business Week with

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<v Speaker 1>Carol Messer from Bloomberg Radio. So this story was the

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<v Speaker 1>top the most read on the Bloomberg when it recently hit.

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<v Speaker 1>It was about Prince Andrew acting as an unofficial door

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<v Speaker 1>opener for a particular individual and his private bank and

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<v Speaker 1>bottom line added all up, it's not been a good

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<v Speaker 1>year for the Prince. So for more, let's bring in

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<v Speaker 1>Harry Wilson, reporting for Bloomberg Business Week. He's financial reporter

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<v Speaker 1>at Bloomberg News on the phone in London along with

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<v Speaker 1>Jail Webber, Bloomberg Business Week Editor. He is on the

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<v Speaker 1>access line in Brooklyn. Maybe it's because I've just been

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<v Speaker 1>binging on the Crown again, Joel, but I am kind

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<v Speaker 1>of all in on this story. I know the Crown

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<v Speaker 1>is basically the only reason we did this story. Now

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<v Speaker 1>I'm joking, um uh, you know you mentioned a rough

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<v Speaker 1>year for Prince Andrew. It's actually longer than a year

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<v Speaker 1>because of how his name has been sort of dragged around.

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<v Speaker 1>But you know, we didn't we didn't go dragging in

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<v Speaker 1>in that same mud. But what we we did learn

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<v Speaker 1>and and Harry's reporting is part of this, is that

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<v Speaker 1>he's been a little bit of an unofficial door opener

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<v Speaker 1>for a certain private bank that has dealt with some

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<v Speaker 1>sketty customers. Um, so here, what's the bank and what

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<v Speaker 1>was Prince Andrew's relationship with him? Hello? Yes, so, um,

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<v Speaker 1>Prince Andrew was exectually an unofficial door door opener for

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<v Speaker 1>a bank in Luxembourg called Bank Hatland. Now most people

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<v Speaker 1>won't have heard of this bank because as a as

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<v Speaker 1>a tiny bank. So Prince Andrew was very close to

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<v Speaker 1>the owners of this bank, David Rowland and his son

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<v Speaker 1>Jonathan Rowland or one of us was Jonathan Rowland, and

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<v Speaker 1>he basically started introducing well he was out there acting

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<v Speaker 1>as a door opener. His neighbor was being used by

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<v Speaker 1>them to attract clients and generally I guess for acting

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<v Speaker 1>as a it's kind of hard to say, well, he

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<v Speaker 1>didn't have any official role there, but he was basically

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<v Speaker 1>being used to to attract people to the business. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>and what's interesting is, okay, I mean, these kinds of

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<v Speaker 1>things happen, But when you start to dig a little

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<v Speaker 1>bit deeper, and you guys got access to a bunch

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<v Speaker 1>of filings, regulatory filings that was reviewed by you and

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<v Speaker 1>your team and a lot of you did a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of interviews with former bank insiders. Tell us a little

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<v Speaker 1>bit about the information that started to come across as

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<v Speaker 1>you went through it and the picture that started to

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<v Speaker 1>develop when it in terms of how it involved Prince Andrew. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>so Prince and Story has been friends with the Rolands

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<v Speaker 1>since at least these mid aughts, and and what you

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<v Speaker 1>kind of see is a picture developing there of this

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<v Speaker 1>relationship whereby the Rolands would be out trying to pitch

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<v Speaker 1>for their business. So it started off with their own

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<v Speaker 1>family office, Blackfish Capital, and then in two thousands and

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<v Speaker 1>nine they buy this bank from the ruins of Iceland's Calcting,

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<v Speaker 1>which they don't go on to Bank caval And what

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<v Speaker 1>what you see is some gradually over this time, Prince

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<v Speaker 1>Andrew is used to you know, when when they want

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<v Speaker 1>to get introductions to someone or something like that, his

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<v Speaker 1>name will be being voked. And these really, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>there's some pretty extraordinary names out there. So, for instance,

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<v Speaker 1>on a trip to North Korea, Prince Andrew's name was

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<v Speaker 1>used as that they were when the when the Romans

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<v Speaker 1>were there, that they were introduced as friends of Prince Andrew.

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<v Speaker 1>So it really is quite a Quinn extraordinary Carter characters.

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<v Speaker 1>When we started looking into it, Okay, I gotta ask

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<v Speaker 1>a question there. You said, North Korea, who are these

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<v Speaker 1>people and what were they doing business with? Well, so,

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<v Speaker 1>so one thing I should make clear is, um, they

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<v Speaker 1>never actually ended up doing business. So, but just the

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<v Speaker 1>very fact that you would entertain the idea of potentially

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<v Speaker 1>doing some kind of business with the leadership of North Korea,

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<v Speaker 1>it's pretty crazy. Um, so this this was a business opportunity.

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<v Speaker 1>I guess who might describe it that they went out

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<v Speaker 1>to pursue their potentially to offer banking services to the

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<v Speaker 1>family of the North Korean leadership. As they say, nothing,

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<v Speaker 1>nothing actually happened with it. But just the very facty

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<v Speaker 1>going out there, it's it's it's it's pretty out there.

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<v Speaker 1>And tis let's look about more of that Kasak characters

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<v Speaker 1>that you know. The North Korea one is obviously a

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<v Speaker 1>recognizable one, but there's some other Kase characters that big have.

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<v Speaker 1>One's also counadas as customers area, and some of those

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<v Speaker 1>customers have recent eyebrows. Can you work us through some

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<v Speaker 1>of those other cast of characters, Yeah, sure so so Actually, um,

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<v Speaker 1>you know it's for instance, to take to take New York,

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<v Speaker 1>the largest, one of the largest foreclosures in New York

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<v Speaker 1>was actually a bank Havalian customer. This was Cutaway Luco,

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<v Speaker 1>who was a It was a Nigerian old tycoon who

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<v Speaker 1>was They lent twenty five million to twenty five million

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<v Speaker 1>euros to buy this this or so after you brought

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<v Speaker 1>this part the ex plunging with a mortgage. But the

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<v Speaker 1>you know, the this sent he was then linked to

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<v Speaker 1>or he was linked at the time to a massive

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<v Speaker 1>bribery scandal back in Nigeria. And you know that that's

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<v Speaker 1>you know, that's one customer. I guess. You also have

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<v Speaker 1>the family of the ruling family of azerbai Chan. You know,

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<v Speaker 1>this is one of the most corrupt countries on earth,

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<v Speaker 1>and they were thanking the daughters of the of the

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<v Speaker 1>President of azabay Jan. Well, and it's interesting to you know,

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<v Speaker 1>I wonder what the princess saying, what the palace is saying,

0:12:37.360 --> 0:12:40.160
<v Speaker 1>because you say, the emails don't connect Andrew to any

0:12:40.200 --> 0:12:42.240
<v Speaker 1>of these clients, and you don't know whether the Rollins

0:12:42.640 --> 0:12:44.760
<v Speaker 1>mentioned him to kind of get it out there. Just

0:12:44.880 --> 0:12:50.160
<v Speaker 1>to be fair, Yes, yes, so the palace, as as

0:12:50.200 --> 0:12:52.920
<v Speaker 1>the story shows that the palace really is instant, isn't

0:12:52.920 --> 0:12:55.400
<v Speaker 1>saying anything on this one. I think, you know, obviously

0:12:55.800 --> 0:12:57.440
<v Speaker 1>they've got quite a few things going on there at

0:12:57.480 --> 0:13:00.439
<v Speaker 1>the moment, so you know, it's probably quite busy. But

0:13:01.200 --> 0:13:05.040
<v Speaker 1>you know that basically the it's a sort of a

0:13:05.120 --> 0:13:07.319
<v Speaker 1>straight no comment from the Palace on this stuff. And

0:13:08.760 --> 0:13:12.120
<v Speaker 1>uh yeah, well we're waiting to see what comes out

0:13:12.160 --> 0:13:14.760
<v Speaker 1>and other things. So so here I do want to ask,

0:13:14.760 --> 0:13:16.839
<v Speaker 1>because there's a there's a reference that you guys making

0:13:16.880 --> 0:13:20.760
<v Speaker 1>the story about investigators and regulators looking at bank have

0:13:20.920 --> 0:13:22.760
<v Speaker 1>we in and what do we know on that front

0:13:22.800 --> 0:13:26.720
<v Speaker 1>in terms of of what you know, outside interest might

0:13:26.880 --> 0:13:29.320
<v Speaker 1>might be in sort of the banks in its dealings,

0:13:30.720 --> 0:13:33.800
<v Speaker 1>So we have, um, you know, as we reported, there

0:13:33.880 --> 0:13:38.319
<v Speaker 1>is a Luxemburg prostitutors are looking at Bank Kavalant. So

0:13:38.480 --> 0:13:43.600
<v Speaker 1>this follows a referral from Luxembourg's financial regulators, who'd already

0:13:43.640 --> 0:13:46.360
<v Speaker 1>find the bank four million euros, which you know, it

0:13:46.480 --> 0:13:48.319
<v Speaker 1>doesn't sound like an awful loss, I guess to a

0:13:48.400 --> 0:13:50.839
<v Speaker 1>lot of people who might be more used to banks

0:13:50.840 --> 0:13:54.880
<v Speaker 1>getting multi billion dollar fines, But in Luxemburg this is

0:13:54.880 --> 0:13:58.240
<v Speaker 1>probably one of the largest signs ever ever levied there

0:13:58.679 --> 0:14:01.720
<v Speaker 1>and so this this anyway, so the prosecutors there are

0:14:01.800 --> 0:14:04.280
<v Speaker 1>now looking at the bank. They're looking probably you know

0:14:05.000 --> 0:14:07.599
<v Speaker 1>a lot of the things that we prison about. We

0:14:07.800 --> 0:14:11.640
<v Speaker 1>know that they're looking at the relationship with the as

0:14:11.679 --> 0:14:15.400
<v Speaker 1>of by John Ruling family. Um. I think obviously the

0:14:15.480 --> 0:14:19.400
<v Speaker 1>investigation who has been somewhat kind of waylaid by the

0:14:19.720 --> 0:14:24.040
<v Speaker 1>COVID pandemic, but it's still there, and I guess, you know,

0:14:24.520 --> 0:14:26.640
<v Speaker 1>as as things start to clear up, you know, the

0:14:26.720 --> 0:14:29.560
<v Speaker 1>process should get going again, and you know, who knows

0:14:29.600 --> 0:14:32.640
<v Speaker 1>where that could lead. Well, it's a great read, Harry,

0:14:32.680 --> 0:14:34.800
<v Speaker 1>and as you could get off you and Gavin Finch

0:14:34.840 --> 0:14:37.040
<v Speaker 1>in your story, it isn't much fun these days being

0:14:37.120 --> 0:14:39.840
<v Speaker 1>Prince Andrew. There's so many great details and it sounds

0:14:39.880 --> 0:14:42.160
<v Speaker 1>like there's still more to be known. But what a

0:14:42.200 --> 0:14:44.680
<v Speaker 1>great deep dive into this. So thank you so much

0:14:45.000 --> 0:14:48.000
<v Speaker 1>for bringing it to us. Our thanks to uh Harry

0:14:48.000 --> 0:14:50.600
<v Speaker 1>Wilson reporting for Bloomberg Business Week, Finance reporter U Bloomberg

0:14:50.600 --> 0:14:52.520
<v Speaker 1>News joining us on the phone in London, of course,

0:14:52.520 --> 0:14:54.600
<v Speaker 1>our thanks to Joe Weber are Bloomberg b is this

0:14:54.680 --> 0:14:59.480
<v Speaker 1>week editor from Brooklyn. Vince is Bloomberg Business Week with

0:14:59.640 --> 0:15:03.400
<v Speaker 1>Carol Master on Bloomberg Radio. It's indeed you are listening

0:15:03.400 --> 0:15:06.360
<v Speaker 1>to Bloomberg Business Week on this Monday, just crossing the bloomberg.

0:15:06.440 --> 0:15:09.600
<v Speaker 1>According to Dow Jones, Janet Yellen is President elect Joe

0:15:09.640 --> 0:15:13.960
<v Speaker 1>Biden's pick for Treasury secretary. So again some speculation last week,

0:15:14.000 --> 0:15:16.680
<v Speaker 1>but again crossing the bloomberg. According to Dow Jones Wall

0:15:16.720 --> 0:15:20.520
<v Speaker 1>Street Journal, Janet Yellen, former Fed chair, is President elect

0:15:20.560 --> 0:15:23.120
<v Speaker 1>Joe Biden's pick for Treasury secretary. So we continue to

0:15:23.200 --> 0:15:26.200
<v Speaker 1>see more and more headlines and news about what a

0:15:26.320 --> 0:15:30.480
<v Speaker 1>Biden cabinet and senior advisory team would look like. Alright,

0:15:30.520 --> 0:15:33.560
<v Speaker 1>so we're watching that. I'm also watching a story that

0:15:33.680 --> 0:15:36.000
<v Speaker 1>also came from Dow Jones the Wall Street Journal. It

0:15:36.120 --> 0:15:39.280
<v Speaker 1>was about senior Trump administration officials saying that they are

0:15:39.360 --> 0:15:42.680
<v Speaker 1>pushing for new hardline measures against Beijing, even as President

0:15:42.720 --> 0:15:46.360
<v Speaker 1>Trump winds down his final two months in office. Anything

0:15:46.480 --> 0:15:48.920
<v Speaker 1>China always a top story in my view. Let's get

0:15:48.960 --> 0:15:52.320
<v Speaker 1>a smart perspective from Bloomberg New Economy editorial director Andy Brown,

0:15:52.440 --> 0:15:55.160
<v Speaker 1>joining us on the phone in New York City. Andy, Um,

0:15:55.320 --> 0:15:57.480
<v Speaker 1>nice to have you here with us on this Monday.

0:15:58.040 --> 0:16:01.720
<v Speaker 1>So this story from the Walls Street Journal. Uh, you know,

0:16:01.880 --> 0:16:04.200
<v Speaker 1>it looks like the Trump team maybe looking to be

0:16:04.320 --> 0:16:07.000
<v Speaker 1>even harder, if you will, when it comes to Beijing.

0:16:07.400 --> 0:16:09.400
<v Speaker 1>What's your thoughts on that and what might be going

0:16:09.440 --> 0:16:12.520
<v Speaker 1>on inside the White House right now? Yeah? So I

0:16:12.640 --> 0:16:15.400
<v Speaker 1>think the sense in the White House and the China

0:16:15.520 --> 0:16:17.960
<v Speaker 1>team is that, you know, we've got two months left

0:16:18.640 --> 0:16:21.960
<v Speaker 1>to put in place a series of tough measures against Beijing,

0:16:22.120 --> 0:16:26.480
<v Speaker 1>which the Biden administration will find very difficult to roll back,

0:16:26.640 --> 0:16:29.000
<v Speaker 1>even assuming that they wanted to do that. And I

0:16:29.080 --> 0:16:33.320
<v Speaker 1>think that that is quite an assumption. And so um,

0:16:33.480 --> 0:16:37.200
<v Speaker 1>the reports that the US is going to come up

0:16:37.200 --> 0:16:40.080
<v Speaker 1>with a list of dozens of Chinese companies affiliated with

0:16:40.120 --> 0:16:44.280
<v Speaker 1>the Chinese military and ban US companies from doing business

0:16:44.320 --> 0:16:46.680
<v Speaker 1>with them. So that would include, for instance, Komac, which

0:16:46.760 --> 0:16:49.760
<v Speaker 1>is coming up trying to build a mid sized airline

0:16:50.360 --> 0:16:53.760
<v Speaker 1>that would affect companies like Honeywell and ge which of

0:16:53.920 --> 0:16:58.520
<v Speaker 1>joint bench agreements to help build that aircraft. And then

0:16:58.560 --> 0:17:01.000
<v Speaker 1>in the latest report, the one that you mentioned the

0:17:01.040 --> 0:17:03.640
<v Speaker 1>Wall Threet Journal, Dal Jones this idea that the U

0:17:03.800 --> 0:17:07.400
<v Speaker 1>s should put together an informal coalition of like minded

0:17:07.440 --> 0:17:12.600
<v Speaker 1>democracies to push back against Chinese coercion. And we've seen

0:17:12.640 --> 0:17:15.600
<v Speaker 1>that most dramatically just in the past few months, with

0:17:16.320 --> 0:17:27.560
<v Speaker 1>China sanctioning or choking off exports of Australian wine, of grains, lobsters,

0:17:27.760 --> 0:17:32.920
<v Speaker 1>seafood um in response to a whole laundry list of

0:17:33.280 --> 0:17:36.280
<v Speaker 1>complaints or as a result of a laundry list of

0:17:36.359 --> 0:17:42.000
<v Speaker 1>complaints that China has against Australian behavior, basically behavior that's

0:17:42.080 --> 0:17:45.320
<v Speaker 1>critical of China and its human rights, critical of China

0:17:45.400 --> 0:17:48.280
<v Speaker 1>over Hong Kong and Shin Jong and so right. And

0:17:48.520 --> 0:17:50.800
<v Speaker 1>we know President elect Joe Biden has been very careful

0:17:50.840 --> 0:17:54.360
<v Speaker 1>about not really commenting right now in US China policy,

0:17:54.440 --> 0:17:56.920
<v Speaker 1>certainly when he's been asked about it. Um, But do

0:17:57.000 --> 0:17:59.919
<v Speaker 1>you find it odd potentially that there's all of us

0:18:00.000 --> 0:18:02.639
<v Speaker 1>done kind of a ramping up um by the U.

0:18:02.760 --> 0:18:04.879
<v Speaker 1>S and this administration in terms of new policies. And

0:18:04.920 --> 0:18:08.200
<v Speaker 1>I do wonder Andy, what you think that Chinese officials

0:18:08.240 --> 0:18:11.640
<v Speaker 1>are they saying, all right, this is just the current administration.

0:18:12.440 --> 0:18:15.119
<v Speaker 1>It's unlike any other and we're going to really just

0:18:15.240 --> 0:18:19.600
<v Speaker 1>wait to see what happens come January. Yeah. Look, I

0:18:19.640 --> 0:18:22.159
<v Speaker 1>I mean we we of course had as you know,

0:18:22.359 --> 0:18:23.960
<v Speaker 1>you were you were hosting this and you're going to

0:18:24.000 --> 0:18:26.479
<v Speaker 1>be forum last week. And I think what was very

0:18:26.560 --> 0:18:29.520
<v Speaker 1>clear I'm talking to the Chinese delegates is that is

0:18:29.560 --> 0:18:33.879
<v Speaker 1>that nobody has any expectation that a Biden administration is

0:18:33.920 --> 0:18:37.200
<v Speaker 1>going to dismantle wholesale all of the menasures that the

0:18:37.240 --> 0:18:41.639
<v Speaker 1>Trump administration has has built against China. And it may

0:18:41.720 --> 0:18:45.239
<v Speaker 1>actually well be that the Biden administration may welcome all

0:18:45.320 --> 0:18:49.119
<v Speaker 1>this UM. It will give them some room for negotiation

0:18:49.440 --> 0:18:52.800
<v Speaker 1>with China after they come in UM. And as they

0:18:53.440 --> 0:18:56.040
<v Speaker 1>it's not at all clear that that in the area

0:18:56.160 --> 0:18:59.760
<v Speaker 1>of trade, commerce investment, the Biden administration will will take

0:18:59.840 --> 0:19:03.720
<v Speaker 1>us off the line. UM. Then then then the Trump

0:19:03.760 --> 0:19:07.720
<v Speaker 1>administration and actually in some areas you could see a hardening.

0:19:07.800 --> 0:19:10.480
<v Speaker 1>I mean, there's been reports that Michelle floor, and I

0:19:10.520 --> 0:19:13.680
<v Speaker 1>could be the new Defense secretary. She is actually quite

0:19:13.760 --> 0:19:17.520
<v Speaker 1>hawkish on China and a big defender of Taiwan. Well,

0:19:17.600 --> 0:19:19.200
<v Speaker 1>that's what I wanted to ask you. I mean, you've

0:19:19.240 --> 0:19:21.320
<v Speaker 1>got to be watching, you know, as these names continued

0:19:21.320 --> 0:19:24.960
<v Speaker 1>across the Bloomberg in other news outlet, other news outlets,

0:19:24.960 --> 0:19:26.960
<v Speaker 1>about what you know a Biden administration would look like,

0:19:27.040 --> 0:19:29.760
<v Speaker 1>whether it's Secretary of State, whether it's National Security Advisor,

0:19:30.080 --> 0:19:32.760
<v Speaker 1>you know, the people that that he is considering or

0:19:32.840 --> 0:19:35.760
<v Speaker 1>will be potentially in those positions. What it What it

0:19:35.880 --> 0:19:38.800
<v Speaker 1>tells you And like you said about the Defense secretary,

0:19:38.880 --> 0:19:40.800
<v Speaker 1>what it tells you about you know, what kind of

0:19:40.880 --> 0:19:43.679
<v Speaker 1>policies might be coming out of the new administration when

0:19:43.720 --> 0:19:47.240
<v Speaker 1>it comes to China. Yeah. So, so even though is

0:19:47.320 --> 0:19:50.640
<v Speaker 1>you know, Biden hasn't been quite careful not to say

0:19:50.680 --> 0:19:54.760
<v Speaker 1>anything about China, I think his cabinet picks tell us

0:19:54.840 --> 0:19:58.200
<v Speaker 1>quite a lot about where a Biden administration will go. So,

0:19:58.320 --> 0:20:01.239
<v Speaker 1>as I said, you know, with Michelle Flournoy, I think

0:20:01.280 --> 0:20:04.879
<v Speaker 1>we could expect a much more hawkish military posture by

0:20:04.920 --> 0:20:08.840
<v Speaker 1>the Pentagon um. She critiques the Trump administration for not

0:20:09.080 --> 0:20:11.879
<v Speaker 1>standing up to China strongly enough and not coming up

0:20:12.160 --> 0:20:16.480
<v Speaker 1>to alternatives to China's vision for global order as expressed

0:20:16.520 --> 0:20:19.840
<v Speaker 1>by the Belt and Road initiative. On the other hand, um,

0:20:20.160 --> 0:20:23.840
<v Speaker 1>I think what was interesting is this is appointing John

0:20:23.960 --> 0:20:26.840
<v Speaker 1>Kerry as climates are. Just a few weeks ago, he

0:20:26.960 --> 0:20:29.479
<v Speaker 1>published a long piece in The New York Times calling

0:20:29.640 --> 0:20:35.159
<v Speaker 1>for a really ambitious engagement with China to protect the Antarctic.

0:20:35.560 --> 0:20:39.359
<v Speaker 1>He talked about creating three gigantic marine parks to protect

0:20:39.720 --> 0:20:44.040
<v Speaker 1>biodiversity and allow and allow wild you know, wildlife to

0:20:45.119 --> 0:20:48.680
<v Speaker 1>get used to to climate and acidifying oceans. And that

0:20:49.080 --> 0:20:52.080
<v Speaker 1>again last week we talked about that, yes, the US

0:20:52.119 --> 0:20:54.240
<v Speaker 1>are going to have rivalry, Yes they are going to

0:20:54.280 --> 0:20:57.640
<v Speaker 1>be competitives, that they also have to find discreet areas

0:20:57.680 --> 0:21:00.600
<v Speaker 1>where they can collaborate so that their ride read doesn't

0:21:00.920 --> 0:21:04.560
<v Speaker 1>been out of control and into potentially hostility in war.

0:21:04.960 --> 0:21:06.960
<v Speaker 1>Right climate change, especially if you think about things like

0:21:07.040 --> 0:21:09.239
<v Speaker 1>that right knows no borders. It's not like you can

0:21:09.320 --> 0:21:12.720
<v Speaker 1>just draw a line at this way, do you anticipate

0:21:12.840 --> 0:21:14.760
<v Speaker 1>And just got about forty seconds here, Andy that we

0:21:14.880 --> 0:21:17.920
<v Speaker 1>kind of have good cop, bad cop, you know, good parent, parent,

0:21:18.040 --> 0:21:21.119
<v Speaker 1>kind of uh, you know, relationship with China potentially within

0:21:21.200 --> 0:21:25.120
<v Speaker 1>this administration. I think it's going to be Yes, that's

0:21:25.160 --> 0:21:27.760
<v Speaker 1>one way of putting it. Another would be a mixture

0:21:27.880 --> 0:21:33.399
<v Speaker 1>of competition and collaboration, and um Biden has has talked

0:21:33.400 --> 0:21:34.959
<v Speaker 1>about that in the past, and I think it's going

0:21:35.000 --> 0:21:38.879
<v Speaker 1>to be a much more balanced sort of relationship. All Right,

0:21:38.920 --> 0:21:40.880
<v Speaker 1>Gonna leave it on that note, Andy, Thank you so much.

0:21:40.920 --> 0:21:45.080
<v Speaker 1>I always appreciate it. Bloomberg News Bloomberg New Economy editorial

0:21:45.119 --> 0:21:47.719
<v Speaker 1>director Andy Brown joining us on the phone in New

0:21:47.800 --> 0:21:51.479
<v Speaker 1>York City. This is Bloomberg Business Week with Carol Messer

0:21:51.760 --> 0:21:55.480
<v Speaker 1>from Bloomberg Radio. President like Joe Biden planning to nominate

0:21:55.560 --> 0:21:59.200
<v Speaker 1>former Federal Reserve your Janet Yell into service his Treasury secretary.

0:21:59.520 --> 0:22:01.560
<v Speaker 1>It's a move that would put the first woman in

0:22:01.640 --> 0:22:05.639
<v Speaker 1>a seasoned central banker into the nation's top economic policy job. Again,

0:22:06.359 --> 0:22:09.040
<v Speaker 1>this is said to be true according to those familiar

0:22:09.119 --> 0:22:11.760
<v Speaker 1>with the matter. Let's bring in our Bloomberg Intelligence senior

0:22:11.840 --> 0:22:14.920
<v Speaker 1>US economist Jelena Lativa. She joins us on the phone

0:22:14.960 --> 0:22:18.960
<v Speaker 1>from Long Island. Hey, Yelena, you know this name was

0:22:18.960 --> 0:22:22.679
<v Speaker 1>floated about last week. We were all kind of talking

0:22:22.720 --> 0:22:25.320
<v Speaker 1>about it and reporting it. But it looks like it's

0:22:25.359 --> 0:22:28.600
<v Speaker 1>more likely Now, what does a Janet yell and bring

0:22:28.840 --> 0:22:32.000
<v Speaker 1>to the position of Treasury Secretary, and especially at this

0:22:32.160 --> 0:22:36.760
<v Speaker 1>particular time. She brings a lot of experience, a lot

0:22:36.840 --> 0:22:40.040
<v Speaker 1>of crisis time experience, so she was at the helm

0:22:40.119 --> 0:22:45.080
<v Speaker 1>of the FIT during the last expansion. And Uh. She

0:22:45.320 --> 0:22:49.359
<v Speaker 1>also brings a lot of expertise in terms of the

0:22:49.520 --> 0:22:53.600
<v Speaker 1>labor market economics, so she her research has been always

0:22:53.640 --> 0:22:58.520
<v Speaker 1>focused on the labor market, how this is working, how

0:22:59.320 --> 0:23:02.800
<v Speaker 1>the labor mark it should be, labor labor market indicators

0:23:02.800 --> 0:23:07.359
<v Speaker 1>should be targeted in in terms of policy, and I

0:23:07.560 --> 0:23:11.119
<v Speaker 1>think that will be very helpful for the economy going forward.

0:23:11.680 --> 0:23:13.800
<v Speaker 1>How would it how would it be different from a J.

0:23:14.040 --> 0:23:20.439
<v Speaker 1>Powell fan for her? Well, yeah, it's a slightly different

0:23:20.560 --> 0:23:23.760
<v Speaker 1>job description obviously, so that will be a lot There

0:23:23.760 --> 0:23:26.440
<v Speaker 1>will be a lot of focus on the fiscal policy.

0:23:27.240 --> 0:23:30.520
<v Speaker 1>But again I think she will focus on the fiscal

0:23:30.640 --> 0:23:34.320
<v Speaker 1>policy in terms of how it can help the labor

0:23:34.400 --> 0:23:38.520
<v Speaker 1>market at the time of the recovery. So she knows

0:23:38.720 --> 0:23:42.040
<v Speaker 1>this inside and out. And I would just say that

0:23:42.320 --> 0:23:46.399
<v Speaker 1>if confirmed by the Senate, UH, Janet Yellen and Jerome

0:23:46.520 --> 0:23:49.159
<v Speaker 1>Powell at the head of the FIT would make it

0:23:49.720 --> 0:23:53.160
<v Speaker 1>an optimal pair to lead the economy out of the crisis,

0:23:53.520 --> 0:23:58.520
<v Speaker 1>so that I really applaud the Peak. Yeah, and and

0:23:58.640 --> 0:24:01.080
<v Speaker 1>forgive me, I misspoke. I'm like, you know, confusing my

0:24:01.160 --> 0:24:04.440
<v Speaker 1>positions here, but I mean she would be a very

0:24:04.480 --> 0:24:09.840
<v Speaker 1>different Treasury secretary from Stephen Malution. Well, at the time

0:24:09.920 --> 0:24:15.440
<v Speaker 1>of the crisis, it's really about how to pull all

0:24:15.520 --> 0:24:19.920
<v Speaker 1>the forces together, walk as a team, and really try

0:24:20.000 --> 0:24:23.280
<v Speaker 1>to help the economy. I would say that even the

0:24:23.359 --> 0:24:26.520
<v Speaker 1>notion and J. Powell work really well as a team

0:24:26.880 --> 0:24:30.080
<v Speaker 1>at the height of the crisis, as it wasn't folding

0:24:30.600 --> 0:24:33.760
<v Speaker 1>in in the springs. So you know, there was some

0:24:33.920 --> 0:24:38.520
<v Speaker 1>recent disagreement about the fate of the lending lending programs,

0:24:39.160 --> 0:24:42.600
<v Speaker 1>but I think it really worked well as a team

0:24:42.640 --> 0:24:44.600
<v Speaker 1>in the beginning of the crisis, and I think it

0:24:44.680 --> 0:24:48.400
<v Speaker 1>would be a great team again if J. Paw Will

0:24:48.440 --> 0:24:53.879
<v Speaker 1>gets renominated and Janet Yellen is confirmed as a Treasury Secretary. Well,

0:24:53.920 --> 0:24:55.600
<v Speaker 1>and I guess what I was thinking, And like I said,

0:24:55.640 --> 0:24:57.560
<v Speaker 1>forgive me, I was kind of mixing my fans and

0:24:57.640 --> 0:25:00.040
<v Speaker 1>my Treasury secretaries. But I think what's important yell And

0:25:00.240 --> 0:25:02.280
<v Speaker 1>is that this is somebody Janet Yell and someone who

0:25:02.480 --> 0:25:05.359
<v Speaker 1>understands how the FED works. Right, And the FED and

0:25:05.400 --> 0:25:08.400
<v Speaker 1>the Treasury Secretary often work, as we've seen certainly during

0:25:08.440 --> 0:25:11.600
<v Speaker 1>this pandemic crisis, have to work closely in hand, right,

0:25:11.640 --> 0:25:14.240
<v Speaker 1>because there's different tools that each of them can employ.

0:25:14.920 --> 0:25:18.080
<v Speaker 1>But you know, it's all about making sure the economy

0:25:18.640 --> 0:25:21.000
<v Speaker 1>can keep moving as well as it can or doesn't

0:25:21.040 --> 0:25:25.080
<v Speaker 1>fall apart, you know, more than it needs to. Uh So,

0:25:25.440 --> 0:25:27.440
<v Speaker 1>And I do wonder about, you know, her having this

0:25:27.600 --> 0:25:29.800
<v Speaker 1>knowledge of how the FED works, how that will be

0:25:29.880 --> 0:25:33.760
<v Speaker 1>an advantage during this time. Again. She brings a lot

0:25:33.800 --> 0:25:37.480
<v Speaker 1>of experience, a lot of knowledge from all different aspects

0:25:37.600 --> 0:25:42.240
<v Speaker 1>so for policymaking, and she would just use this knowledge

0:25:42.280 --> 0:25:46.520
<v Speaker 1>as in her new position. Uh. Look, the teamwork during

0:25:46.560 --> 0:25:50.080
<v Speaker 1>the crisis time was very important during the financial crisis.

0:25:50.240 --> 0:25:53.399
<v Speaker 1>We saw that back in thousand nine, and uh you know,

0:25:53.600 --> 0:25:58.959
<v Speaker 1>the combined response from physical and monetary policy authorities. Uh

0:25:59.200 --> 0:26:01.640
<v Speaker 1>you know e then truly brought us out of the crisis.

0:26:02.200 --> 0:26:05.680
<v Speaker 1>We saw that again this time around in in the spring,

0:26:05.840 --> 0:26:10.000
<v Speaker 1>and we will definitely need the steamwork going forward as

0:26:10.160 --> 0:26:13.720
<v Speaker 1>we really get through the recovery. One thing I want

0:26:13.720 --> 0:26:15.919
<v Speaker 1>to ask you got about forty fifty seconds here. I mean,

0:26:16.080 --> 0:26:19.320
<v Speaker 1>what's also key is she's got to, you know, deal

0:26:19.520 --> 0:26:22.120
<v Speaker 1>with and what will be a challenge is the logjam

0:26:22.240 --> 0:26:24.959
<v Speaker 1>that we have on Capitol Hill to deliver economic relief

0:26:25.520 --> 0:26:28.840
<v Speaker 1>to those long and growing unemployment lines. Does she have

0:26:29.080 --> 0:26:31.280
<v Speaker 1>the respect and do you think she'll be able to

0:26:31.359 --> 0:26:34.080
<v Speaker 1>work her way through Congress? And just got about thirty

0:26:34.160 --> 0:26:38.120
<v Speaker 1>seconds here. I think she has all the respect from

0:26:38.240 --> 0:26:41.760
<v Speaker 1>different you know, sides of the aisle, and she proved

0:26:41.800 --> 0:26:47.000
<v Speaker 1>that very much during her tenure at the fifth All right, well,

0:26:47.160 --> 0:26:50.720
<v Speaker 1>certainly living in interesting times, you know, just quickly you

0:26:50.800 --> 0:26:52.960
<v Speaker 1>len it, does this seem like the right type of

0:26:53.000 --> 0:26:57.280
<v Speaker 1>Treasury secretary for the world that we're in right now? Well,

0:26:57.400 --> 0:27:00.600
<v Speaker 1>I I think yes, absolutely. I think she just has

0:27:00.640 --> 0:27:03.720
<v Speaker 1>a lot of experience and knowledge and she would just

0:27:03.880 --> 0:27:06.119
<v Speaker 1>be the right peak of the job. Yeah, she's definitely

0:27:06.200 --> 0:27:08.240
<v Speaker 1>As we said earlier Charlie and I were talking about

0:27:08.240 --> 0:27:10.920
<v Speaker 1>at Charlie Pellett, she certainly has seen the world and

0:27:11.000 --> 0:27:13.520
<v Speaker 1>the economy from a lot of different perspectives. Um so

0:27:13.640 --> 0:27:16.240
<v Speaker 1>brings kind of a rich base of knowledge to the position.

0:27:16.359 --> 0:27:19.120
<v Speaker 1>Or would certainly All right, Elena, thank you so much.

0:27:19.119 --> 0:27:22.399
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Intelligence Senior US economist j'll initiall let give up,

0:27:23.040 --> 0:27:30.040
<v Speaker 1>brother Journal now, but you let me drive. No, no, no,

0:27:31.200 --> 0:27:36.159
<v Speaker 1>drive home, honey, please, I'll do the right drivel I

0:27:36.280 --> 0:27:52.080
<v Speaker 1>want to drive, just drive the question try this is

0:27:52.160 --> 0:27:55.320
<v Speaker 1>the drive to the globe. Gim me thanks. We'll drying

0:27:55.400 --> 0:27:59.440
<v Speaker 1>us down on Bloomberg Radio. This indeed, everyone just about

0:27:59.440 --> 0:28:02.399
<v Speaker 1>twenty minute, twenty minutes left his training session as I

0:28:02.480 --> 0:28:04.600
<v Speaker 1>checked the clock. Here, uh, let's do the Drive to

0:28:04.640 --> 0:28:07.080
<v Speaker 1>the close with Michael Sheldon back with US executive director,

0:28:07.160 --> 0:28:10.280
<v Speaker 1>chief investment officer over at High Tower r DM Financial

0:28:10.400 --> 0:28:14.480
<v Speaker 1>once again joining us from Westport, Connecticut. Michael, good to

0:28:14.520 --> 0:28:17.840
<v Speaker 1>have you here with us. How are you good? Good?

0:28:17.880 --> 0:28:20.520
<v Speaker 1>Thank you, happy pre Thanksgiving? Thank you and to you

0:28:20.680 --> 0:28:22.760
<v Speaker 1>as well. Uh. You know, I kidded at the top

0:28:22.800 --> 0:28:25.120
<v Speaker 1>of our broadcast, it's supposed to be a quiet week.

0:28:25.200 --> 0:28:29.400
<v Speaker 1>It's a holiday week. But because it's it's unlike any

0:28:29.480 --> 0:28:31.800
<v Speaker 1>holiday week that we've known before, a lot of news,

0:28:31.880 --> 0:28:35.280
<v Speaker 1>virus news, vaccine news. And then we had, of course

0:28:35.560 --> 0:28:39.360
<v Speaker 1>um crossing the Bloomberg about Janet Yellen, said to be

0:28:39.720 --> 0:28:43.920
<v Speaker 1>President elect Joe Biden's plans for Treasury secretary. According to

0:28:44.040 --> 0:28:47.360
<v Speaker 1>those in the know, as you start to see the

0:28:47.440 --> 0:28:50.640
<v Speaker 1>Biden administrations start to shape up, what does it say

0:28:50.720 --> 0:28:52.840
<v Speaker 1>to you and what kind of environment and what kind

0:28:52.880 --> 0:28:55.760
<v Speaker 1>of team does it mean for the markets the economy

0:28:55.800 --> 0:28:59.320
<v Speaker 1>in your view, Well, I think is as a president

0:28:59.400 --> 0:29:01.640
<v Speaker 1>elect Biden builds out his team. I think he's one.

0:29:01.720 --> 0:29:04.200
<v Speaker 1>He has to he has to put together a team

0:29:04.240 --> 0:29:06.760
<v Speaker 1>of people who is likely to be able to pass

0:29:06.840 --> 0:29:09.320
<v Speaker 1>both the House and the Senate, so to get approved

0:29:09.360 --> 0:29:11.280
<v Speaker 1>of the first thing. And then I think he's really

0:29:11.480 --> 0:29:13.840
<v Speaker 1>a pragmatist, so I think he's likely to put people

0:29:14.160 --> 0:29:16.640
<v Speaker 1>on his team that have a lot of experience already.

0:29:17.280 --> 0:29:19.080
<v Speaker 1>And I think if you look at Janny yell and

0:29:19.160 --> 0:29:22.560
<v Speaker 1>she sounds like a good choice. She has an impressive background.

0:29:23.080 --> 0:29:26.120
<v Speaker 1>She's was the former chair of the Federal Reserve for

0:29:26.200 --> 0:29:29.560
<v Speaker 1>several years. She was head of the San Francisco FED.

0:29:30.360 --> 0:29:34.400
<v Speaker 1>She was previously part of the Council of Economic Advisors

0:29:34.480 --> 0:29:37.920
<v Speaker 1>under Bill Clinton, so she definitely knows her way around Washington.

0:29:38.440 --> 0:29:40.640
<v Speaker 1>And I think the market should welcome the fact that

0:29:40.760 --> 0:29:44.960
<v Speaker 1>fiscal and monetary policy should be able to coordinate fairly

0:29:45.040 --> 0:29:48.160
<v Speaker 1>closely and which should help the economic recovery at least

0:29:48.240 --> 0:29:50.880
<v Speaker 1>over the next several quarters. I would think, yeah, and listen,

0:29:50.960 --> 0:29:53.440
<v Speaker 1>this is someone who also prioritizes, as we just heard

0:29:53.440 --> 0:29:56.880
<v Speaker 1>from our lane is selective Bloomberg intelligence. This is someone

0:29:57.120 --> 0:30:00.520
<v Speaker 1>who prioritizes the labor market, right. She fcuses on it.

0:30:00.640 --> 0:30:03.160
<v Speaker 1>This is where her work and research has dealt with, UH,

0:30:03.280 --> 0:30:05.960
<v Speaker 1>and she understands maybe what needs to be done to

0:30:06.120 --> 0:30:10.320
<v Speaker 1>get a labor market back to more normal And she

0:30:10.440 --> 0:30:13.640
<v Speaker 1>also importantly knows her way around Washington, so that should help.

0:30:13.640 --> 0:30:16.480
<v Speaker 1>But work with policymakers and coordinate again with the felt

0:30:16.480 --> 0:30:20.520
<v Speaker 1>to a reserve, which outgoing Treasury Secretary of Minuchin seems

0:30:20.560 --> 0:30:22.360
<v Speaker 1>to maybe have hit a little bit of a stumbling

0:30:22.360 --> 0:30:24.840
<v Speaker 1>block in his last parting days. But that's a really

0:30:24.880 --> 0:30:27.040
<v Speaker 1>good point, Michael. I mean, listen, that's going to be

0:30:27.200 --> 0:30:31.200
<v Speaker 1>the roadblocks that are Congress, right, or that is Congress. Uh.

0:30:31.560 --> 0:30:33.560
<v Speaker 1>That's a big deal in terms of trying to get

0:30:33.680 --> 0:30:36.880
<v Speaker 1>the necessary policies that need to be put into place

0:30:37.360 --> 0:30:40.000
<v Speaker 1>to help out workers, to help out the economy. We've

0:30:40.040 --> 0:30:42.720
<v Speaker 1>seen it. As you said, we thought things were going

0:30:42.800 --> 0:30:44.680
<v Speaker 1>so well, and they were for the first round, right,

0:30:44.760 --> 0:30:47.120
<v Speaker 1>but it's gotten much more difficult. We need somebody who

0:30:47.200 --> 0:30:52.240
<v Speaker 1>understand the intricacies and the difficulties that are Congress. Absolutely,

0:30:52.280 --> 0:30:53.680
<v Speaker 1>it seems like it's gotten a little more of a

0:30:53.720 --> 0:30:56.760
<v Speaker 1>contentious the relationship between the Fed and the Treasury have

0:30:56.840 --> 0:30:59.440
<v Speaker 1>gotten a little more contentious in recent weeks. But I

0:30:59.520 --> 0:31:02.040
<v Speaker 1>think I think it sounds like Johnny Yellen sounds like

0:31:02.080 --> 0:31:05.280
<v Speaker 1>a sensible, solid choice. Yeah, exactly, Well, what are you

0:31:05.360 --> 0:31:08.320
<v Speaker 1>going to be looking for specifically when you know, as

0:31:08.360 --> 0:31:10.560
<v Speaker 1>an investor somebody who watches the markets, what are the

0:31:10.640 --> 0:31:14.280
<v Speaker 1>types of policies that you think are going to be

0:31:14.360 --> 0:31:17.600
<v Speaker 1>at least mentally necessary to kind of provide a little

0:31:17.600 --> 0:31:19.440
<v Speaker 1>bit of a safety net and kind of shore up

0:31:19.960 --> 0:31:22.840
<v Speaker 1>the economy at this point, which ultimately then right shoes

0:31:22.920 --> 0:31:24.360
<v Speaker 1>up the market. I mean the markets, as we heard

0:31:24.360 --> 0:31:26.880
<v Speaker 1>at the top of our show with our Gina Martin Adams.

0:31:26.960 --> 0:31:29.720
<v Speaker 1>You know, they're forward looking and they're getting more optimistic

0:31:29.800 --> 0:31:32.320
<v Speaker 1>as we see more news about a vaccine. But nonetheless,

0:31:32.800 --> 0:31:35.160
<v Speaker 1>if the economy starts to come undone again, markets and

0:31:35.320 --> 0:31:38.040
<v Speaker 1>investors are gonna get a little bit nervous. Yeah. I

0:31:38.080 --> 0:31:39.760
<v Speaker 1>think the big news over the past few weeks is

0:31:39.840 --> 0:31:42.400
<v Speaker 1>certainly news about the vaccine. The fact that we have

0:31:42.560 --> 0:31:46.440
<v Speaker 1>multiple vaccines that will likely be available to the general

0:31:46.520 --> 0:31:48.760
<v Speaker 1>public over the next maybe three to six months or

0:31:48.800 --> 0:31:52.080
<v Speaker 1>maybe a little longer depending on logistics and distribution. I

0:31:52.160 --> 0:31:53.840
<v Speaker 1>think that sort of provides a light at the end

0:31:53.880 --> 0:31:57.040
<v Speaker 1>of the tunnel, And while the number of cases may

0:31:57.120 --> 0:31:59.240
<v Speaker 1>go up and economic data make it a little bit

0:31:59.320 --> 0:32:01.400
<v Speaker 1>weaker over the next two or three months, as we

0:32:01.480 --> 0:32:05.120
<v Speaker 1>head into early two thowy one, it sounds like from

0:32:05.120 --> 0:32:07.560
<v Speaker 1>our perspective, it looks like the economic data should start

0:32:07.640 --> 0:32:10.640
<v Speaker 1>to improve during the middle of the year and we

0:32:10.720 --> 0:32:12.760
<v Speaker 1>could have a pretty solid second half of next year

0:32:12.800 --> 0:32:16.200
<v Speaker 1>heading into two thousand twenty two. So, having said that,

0:32:16.520 --> 0:32:18.920
<v Speaker 1>have you been kind of repositioning at all? Are you

0:32:19.000 --> 0:32:20.480
<v Speaker 1>still kind of playing a little bit of a weight

0:32:20.520 --> 0:32:23.760
<v Speaker 1>and see mode might you at this point? Right? Well,

0:32:23.800 --> 0:32:26.640
<v Speaker 1>in our traditional models, outside of our income oriented model,

0:32:26.680 --> 0:32:28.520
<v Speaker 1>which has a little bit of a different mandate, we

0:32:28.640 --> 0:32:31.040
<v Speaker 1>really have sort of a barbell approach. We've we've been

0:32:31.080 --> 0:32:33.400
<v Speaker 1>overweight growth for much of the past several years, which

0:32:33.400 --> 0:32:36.520
<v Speaker 1>has worked out pretty well. But now we're basically moving

0:32:36.520 --> 0:32:39.320
<v Speaker 1>a little bit from growth and basically trying and participate

0:32:39.600 --> 0:32:41.400
<v Speaker 1>a little bit more in the parts of the market

0:32:41.440 --> 0:32:43.800
<v Speaker 1>that are likely to perform better as the economy recovers.

0:32:43.920 --> 0:32:46.080
<v Speaker 1>So we have started to shift a little bit in

0:32:46.200 --> 0:32:48.840
<v Speaker 1>terms of investments towards parts of the economy that will

0:32:49.120 --> 0:32:52.040
<v Speaker 1>participate better. But we do have a barbell approach because

0:32:52.080 --> 0:32:55.640
<v Speaker 1>you do want to be diversified. Yeah, exactly. Well, what's

0:32:55.680 --> 0:32:56.960
<v Speaker 1>going to be the trickiest I want to go back

0:32:56.960 --> 0:32:59.080
<v Speaker 1>to Johnny Allen just because it is our top story

0:32:59.160 --> 0:33:01.600
<v Speaker 1>on the Bloomberg and I just think, you know, as

0:33:01.640 --> 0:33:05.040
<v Speaker 1>we continue to try and focus and look forward, Um,

0:33:05.320 --> 0:33:07.440
<v Speaker 1>this is a key part of it. You know, what

0:33:07.600 --> 0:33:10.360
<v Speaker 1>will be kind of her number one task or does

0:33:10.400 --> 0:33:12.800
<v Speaker 1>it need to be do you think day one? Uh,

0:33:12.960 --> 0:33:15.480
<v Speaker 1>if she indeed becomes the next Treasury Secretary, as it

0:33:15.520 --> 0:33:18.840
<v Speaker 1>seems likely, Well, I think she's going to be. I

0:33:18.920 --> 0:33:21.160
<v Speaker 1>think she'll have to work with the Senate early in

0:33:21.240 --> 0:33:24.160
<v Speaker 1>two thousand twenty one. It will be critical for Congress

0:33:24.200 --> 0:33:26.480
<v Speaker 1>to pass another stimulus package. There are a lot of

0:33:26.560 --> 0:33:29.000
<v Speaker 1>workers who are going to be losing their unemployment benefits

0:33:29.200 --> 0:33:31.240
<v Speaker 1>in the next few weeks or so, and so that

0:33:31.320 --> 0:33:33.880
<v Speaker 1>the economy doesn't run on and run on, run out

0:33:33.920 --> 0:33:36.880
<v Speaker 1>of gas, so to speak, heading into the winter and

0:33:37.000 --> 0:33:40.239
<v Speaker 1>early two I think she should work as much as

0:33:40.320 --> 0:33:43.440
<v Speaker 1>best she can and coordinate with the Democrats and Republicans

0:33:43.480 --> 0:33:46.280
<v Speaker 1>to get some sort of fiscal package passed in early

0:33:46.600 --> 0:33:50.880
<v Speaker 1>two thousand one. And the government also is actually is

0:33:50.920 --> 0:33:52.880
<v Speaker 1>supposed to run out of money in a few weeks. So,

0:33:53.200 --> 0:33:55.400
<v Speaker 1>but that's part of the new the current administration, not

0:33:55.520 --> 0:33:59.040
<v Speaker 1>her administration. I think. I think over the first few

0:33:59.080 --> 0:34:01.360
<v Speaker 1>months she'll I think the best things she can do

0:34:01.480 --> 0:34:04.800
<v Speaker 1>is to work more closely with said share Powell, so

0:34:04.920 --> 0:34:09.480
<v Speaker 1>that monetary policy and fiscal policy are coordinated on the

0:34:09.560 --> 0:34:12.120
<v Speaker 1>same page to help the recovery. There used to be

0:34:12.200 --> 0:34:14.800
<v Speaker 1>a separation between the two of them, but the lines

0:34:14.840 --> 0:34:17.040
<v Speaker 1>have blurred a little bit. Uh, And you can see

0:34:17.080 --> 0:34:19.160
<v Speaker 1>that and the fact that the Federal Reserve has been

0:34:19.200 --> 0:34:21.960
<v Speaker 1>buying lots of treasury bonds and almost financing the US

0:34:22.000 --> 0:34:25.120
<v Speaker 1>government deficit in recent months. So we'll see sort of

0:34:25.200 --> 0:34:28.960
<v Speaker 1>how that develops during her administration. Yeah, and listen, no

0:34:29.080 --> 0:34:32.839
<v Speaker 1>doubt about it. There's an advantage just being with Jake balancing. Listen.

0:34:33.000 --> 0:34:35.600
<v Speaker 1>I understand your job, I understand your position. Been there,

0:34:35.640 --> 0:34:38.280
<v Speaker 1>done that, right, right. But I think for the markets,

0:34:38.320 --> 0:34:41.200
<v Speaker 1>the important question is does the economic recovery which started

0:34:41.239 --> 0:34:44.239
<v Speaker 1>this past since summer, doesn't remain on track, And we

0:34:44.360 --> 0:34:46.719
<v Speaker 1>think it does. And it's also important to think that

0:34:46.840 --> 0:34:50.600
<v Speaker 1>historically economic expansions don't typically last a number of weeks

0:34:50.719 --> 0:34:53.279
<v Speaker 1>or months, they last a number of years. So from

0:34:53.320 --> 0:34:56.759
<v Speaker 1>our perspective, we think the economic outlook we're likely to

0:34:56.800 --> 0:35:02.680
<v Speaker 1>see somewhat better GDP improvement in corporate profits UM employments

0:35:02.680 --> 0:35:05.320
<v Speaker 1>should continue to gradually improve, and this should set the

0:35:05.360 --> 0:35:08.120
<v Speaker 1>stage for some improvement as we head through next year, right,

0:35:08.200 --> 0:35:10.640
<v Speaker 1>provided we do get these virus cases under control and

0:35:10.680 --> 0:35:13.000
<v Speaker 1>the economy starts to get back to normal. Michael, thank

0:35:13.040 --> 0:35:15.680
<v Speaker 1>you so much. Really appreciate your thoughts on the markets,

0:35:15.719 --> 0:35:18.640
<v Speaker 1>as well as Janet yelling at news of her expected

0:35:18.800 --> 0:35:21.719
<v Speaker 1>expectations really to be appointed the next Treasury Secretary by

0:35:21.760 --> 0:35:25.320
<v Speaker 1>President elect Joe Biden. Michael Sheldon, executive Director, chief Investment

0:35:25.360 --> 0:35:27.960
<v Speaker 1>Officer at High Tower r DM Financial, joining us on

0:35:28.040 --> 0:35:30.600
<v Speaker 1>the phone from Westport, Connecticut. Thanks so much for listening

0:35:30.640 --> 0:35:34.160
<v Speaker 1>to Bloomberg Business Week. Download the podcast on iTunes, SoundCloud,

0:35:34.320 --> 0:35:36.400
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0:35:36.440 --> 0:35:38.759
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0:35:38.840 --> 0:35:41.200
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0:35:41.360 --> 0:35:43.719
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