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Speaker 1: What's up, guys?

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Speaker 2: How are you welcome into the Monday morning edition of

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Speaker 2: the Daily Juice Podcast. My name is Matt Paroltz. I'm

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Speaker 2: your host every morning here of this fifteen that It

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Speaker 2: Picks podcast, always being found on Bettingpros dot com, on

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Speaker 2: YouTube and wherever you get your audios.

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Speaker 1: We're always being.

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Speaker 2: get too future college football bets from me coming up today.

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Speaker 2: credit if you will for you guys listening to the

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Speaker 2: Daily Juice Podcast.

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Speaker 1: All right, so here's where we are.

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Speaker 2: These are the days where I would normally not be

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Speaker 2: betting all right, So we had a bad day on Saturday.

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Speaker 2: We had a bad day on Sunday. Sunday was a

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Speaker 2: very was a short day. But I went five and

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Speaker 2: oh over my bets on Saturday, and I've lost my

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Speaker 2: last seven bets here. Okay, so we're five and seven

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Speaker 2: over the last two days. Now the parlay hit. So

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Speaker 2: if you had bet the parlay that would make you

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Speaker 2: up over the last three days, you'd be having a

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Speaker 2: winning run. But for me, I'm pretty much flat. Had

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Speaker 2: a couple of decent personal plays here and there, but

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Speaker 2: NASCAR did not go the way we wanted to. Christopher

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Speaker 2: but Bell came in seventh place. We bet him top five.

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Speaker 2: He got a really bad break. Larson drilled him and

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Speaker 2: knocked him off and really ruined his entire day.

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Speaker 1: He could he had a top five car, he had

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Speaker 1: a top two.

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Speaker 2: Car, really, but unfortunately that's just racing and he just

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Speaker 2: got a bad break. And that's the way things were

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Speaker 2: going this weekend.

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Speaker 1: Just a couple of bad plays unfortunately.

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Speaker 2: So Christopher Bell comes in seventh place, and then the

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Speaker 2: Mets got shut out three nothing by the Phillies and

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Speaker 2: Wheeler pitched really well. We had faded in. We thought

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Speaker 2: the Mets had plus one forty five one fifty whe

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Speaker 2: it's good value.

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Speaker 1: But both those.

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Speaker 2: Plays did not cash yesterday, so owe into down one

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Speaker 2: unit after the day before where we were owing five

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Speaker 2: down two units. So not the way we wanted to

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Speaker 2: go into a Monday here. But like I was talking

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Speaker 2: about yesterday, these are the tough days. Okay, I don't

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Speaker 2: love betting baseball. Some people get off on it and

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Speaker 2: they love it and they grind and they find it

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Speaker 2: really fun. I don't, And so I made these bets

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Speaker 2: a couple of days ago, and I was holding on

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Speaker 2: to them to give them out on the podcast because

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Speaker 2: I just wanted to wait and see for a day

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Speaker 2: like today on a Monday, where there's not much going on.

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Speaker 2: We're getting ready for preseason football coming up later on

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Speaker 2: this week on Thursday, so we've got football to bet on,

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Speaker 2: which is awesome, and once we get that then we

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Speaker 2: can get away from baseball. But really we're down to,

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Speaker 2: like you know, these are the next couple of weeks

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Speaker 2: where we just got to grind it and get to

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Speaker 2: the end of the month. Once we get to the

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Speaker 2: end of the month, we've got college football. We've got mactionin.

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Speaker 2: I mean, have you looked at the schedule, like really?

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Speaker 2: So I started doing my grinding over this weekend. I

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Speaker 2: started really looking hard at the opening weekend, started looking

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Speaker 2: at the number of games.

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Speaker 1: I mean, we're gonna have.

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Speaker 2: We're gonna bet football like every day almost. I mean

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Speaker 2: we're gonna have Monday night, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday. We'll probably

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Speaker 2: break on Friday, and then Saturday and Sunday. I mean

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Speaker 2: we're gonna be betting football six days a week now.

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Speaker 2: I don't know how you feel about that. I mean

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Speaker 2: some people, you know, look, there are other podcasts out

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Speaker 2: there that just do baseball.

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Speaker 1: I get it. I bet everything, all right.

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Speaker 2: That's where I think is kind of unique about this

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Speaker 2: podcast is that I do try to bet. We had NASCAR,

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Speaker 2: we had baseball yesterday, Saturday we had UFC.

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Speaker 1: I'll have boxing. I love hockey, I'll have.

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Speaker 2: Baseball, football, basketball, you know, tennis, even. I mean, I

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Speaker 2: bet anything if I think it's there and there's value,

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Speaker 2: I'll bet on anything. But the number one sport I

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Speaker 2: like betting on is football.

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Speaker 1: I really like betting.

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Speaker 2: Football, like watching football, like betting football. I don't think

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Speaker 2: I'm alone in that. I'm guessing most of you guys

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Speaker 2: feel the same way. But you know, we're just going

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Speaker 2: to try to get through this to get us to

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Speaker 2: football when we can really sink our teeth into the season.

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Speaker 2: So I've got two big ten futures to give you here.

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Speaker 1: Now.

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Speaker 2: I've talked a lot about this in my If you're

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Speaker 2: new to the Daily Juice podcast, you probably haven't heard

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Speaker 2: me talk about much of my history. Okay, so just

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Speaker 2: a quick refresher as to where I've worked in my career.

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Speaker 2: I started off in Virginia as the voice of UVA Women.

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Speaker 2: Went to Alabama where I covered Alabama, Auburn, and Tennessee

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Speaker 2: for five years. Went to Omaha, Nebraska, where I covered

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Speaker 2: creating university basketball and Nebraska football for five years. Went

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Speaker 2: to Des Moines covered Iowa and Iowa State for two years.

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Speaker 2: I went back to BA Austin for five where I

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Speaker 2: covered everything a lot of NFL, a lot of NHL,

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Speaker 2: a lot of NBA, some college even some minor league

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Speaker 2: stuff as well, before I moved to Houston, where I

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Speaker 2: covered everything nationally for a year and a half before

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Speaker 2: they moved us to Las Vegas in December of twenty fifteen,

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Speaker 2: So we were coming up on our six year anniversary

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Speaker 2: of moving out here to the desert where we started

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Speaker 2: pushing the odds and everything else got rolling.

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Speaker 1: So Pushing the Odds wasn't the first radio show.

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Speaker 2: I actually was sent out to host Game Night, which

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Speaker 2: was a nighttime show, and then after two years of

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Speaker 2: doing that things were not going well. My wife gave

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Speaker 2: me an ultimatum saying I either had to find a

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Speaker 2: new job or I had to find a new wife.

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Speaker 1: So I had to go to Houston and say hey.

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Speaker 2: So that's where we started Pushing the Odds four years ago,

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Speaker 2: and here we are now with me doing the Daily

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Speaker 2: Juice podcast for our second year. Okay, I only say

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Speaker 2: that because I want to give you guys a little

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Speaker 2: background as to when I make these big ten plays

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Speaker 2: and I make. We've made two plays so far, are

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Speaker 2: on futures six NFL, I've made to college. We're on

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Speaker 2: the over UNLV one and a half wins. By the way,

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Speaker 2: they lost their A D yesterday to Missouri Desiree Reid Francois,

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Speaker 2: which is wild because I mean, for a variety of reasons,

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Speaker 2: her going to the SEC is wild, but it puts

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Speaker 2: you UNLV kind of a tough spot. So you've got

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Speaker 2: a new basketball coach, you've got a new football coach.

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Speaker 2: They need like a Lawn Krueger to be hired as

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Speaker 2: the AD. They need a stabilizing figure to be the

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Speaker 2: athletic director for UNLV.

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Speaker 1: But you know, so we're on over one and a

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Speaker 1: half wins for U and.

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Speaker 2: LA football, and we're on over seven and a half

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Speaker 2: wins for Ole Miss. Those are my two favorite bets

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Speaker 2: for college football. For overs, I'm going to go the

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Speaker 2: other way with two programs that I covered quite closely,

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Speaker 2: Nebraska and Iowa Okay. Iowa State is an enigma to me.

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Speaker 2: I don't know what to do with them. Iowa State

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Speaker 2: could be undefeated and in the football playoffs or nine

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Speaker 2: and three. It's really really possible. I can't I've looked

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Speaker 2: at it fifteen different ways, and I just I'm gonna

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Speaker 2: bet Iowa State games individually. I'm not gonna put a

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Speaker 2: future on Iowa State because I just don't know. Frankly,

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Speaker 2: I just don't know. Their fan base is so mad

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Speaker 2: at Oklahoma for leaving that. You know, there's a lot

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Speaker 2: more that goes into that football game than just football.

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Speaker 2: So don't know what to do with that. But let's

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Speaker 2: start with Iowa. Okay, and let's start with Iowa football.

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Speaker 2: Here with a projected win total of eight and a half. Okay,

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Speaker 2: so you have eight and a half for the wins

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Speaker 2: for the Hawkeyes. Last year they go six and two.

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Speaker 2: We've got a eight and a half number with the

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Speaker 2: under at minus one fifteen Iowa eight and a half

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Speaker 2: total wins juiced a little bit to the under. Basically,

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Speaker 2: mine one five to the over, mis one fifteen to

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Speaker 2: the under. Their schedule, Okay, after well, let's tell it.

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Speaker 2: Last year they go six and two. Last year, Iowa

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Speaker 2: was pretty darn good. They lost two tight games early

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Speaker 2: and then they ran off six consecutive victories, including beating

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Speaker 2: Wisconsin in their last game of the year. They beat Illinois,

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Speaker 2: they beat Nebraska, they won at Penn State, they won

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Speaker 2: at Minnesota, and they beat Michigan State. Really impressive to

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Speaker 2: see what they've been able to accomplish, and really impressive

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Speaker 2: to see where they've gone. Six and two last year

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Speaker 2: for Kirk Ferrence, who now is the longest tenured college

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Speaker 2: football coach in the country. He's also the highest paid

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Speaker 2: employee of the state of Iowa.

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Speaker 1: They open with Indiana.

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Speaker 2: Indiana with Michael Pennix and an offense that's going to

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Speaker 2: have a quarterback coming off of two ACL injuries. But

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Speaker 2: they've got some of the best wide receivers, maybe the

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Speaker 2: best three wide receivers in the entire Big Ten.

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Speaker 1: The strength of Iowa, however, is their secondary.

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Speaker 2: They are bringing back a bunch of guys on that secondary,

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Speaker 2: and there's a bunch of players that will be standout

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Speaker 2: players in the back seven. The problem is that front

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Speaker 2: seven is it's it's not typical Iowa.

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Speaker 1: Okay, they graduated a.

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Speaker 2: Bunch and frankly, that means I think Indiana and others

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Speaker 2: are going to be able to run the football. I

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Speaker 2: love Indiana. I am really high on Indiana. I just

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Speaker 2: can't bet Indiana futures yet because I could see them

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Speaker 2: winning nine or ten games because of the quarterback situation

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Speaker 2: in the knees.

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Speaker 1: It's just it's too sketchy.

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Speaker 2: It's scary when you've got a guy who's that injury

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Speaker 2: prone playing quarterback for Indiana. But Indiana's going to be

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Speaker 2: a really fun team out of the Big Ten to watch.

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Speaker 2: Now you've got a sophomore quarterback for Iowa, coming back.

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Speaker 2: You've got a bunch of young receivers. You got a

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Speaker 2: bunch of young running backs. Iowa is normally running back you,

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Speaker 2: but they've graduated a lot. And frankly, I'm not sold

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Speaker 2: on this offense. There's no big play player coming back

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Speaker 2: for this offense. There's no one that makes me go,

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Speaker 2: oh my gosh. Now, you could say that's typical Iowa, right,

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Speaker 2: grind it out, run the football, offensive line, defensive line. Okay,

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Speaker 2: I'll give you all that, except the schedule is really

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Speaker 2: not good for Iowa. Eight and a half wins is

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Speaker 2: the projected total. Like I mentioned, they open up at

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Speaker 2: home against Indiana. I have that as a loss. Then

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Speaker 2: they're on the road at Iowa State. You better believe

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Speaker 2: the Cyclones are going to look to hang one on Iowa.

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Speaker 2: And I get it, man, the Hawkeyes have dominated this series.

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Speaker 2: They've won the last five. They're three to one in

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Speaker 2: one against the spread over the last five. Huge game

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Speaker 2: early in college football. Both teams will be ranked. It'll

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Speaker 2: be one of the hardest tickets ever to get to

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Speaker 2: if you want to go to that game at Jack

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Speaker 2: Trice Stadium. Loss Cyclons. I think Iowa, like last year,

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Speaker 2: they opened up to two. I think they opened up

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Speaker 2: oh to two again this season. They beat Ken State,

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Speaker 2: they beat Colorado at home, they'll be two and two.

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Speaker 2: They go to Maryland. Okay, Maryland not a very good team.

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Speaker 2: They've won the last two, both games happening in Iowa City, Iowa.

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Speaker 2: I think defensively will be able to hold down Maryland.

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Speaker 2: But that's a sneaky game, Okay, that's a It's kind

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Speaker 2: of a coin flip type of game. Maryland's gonna be

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Speaker 2: better than some people think. But let's just go ahead

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Speaker 2: and give Iowa the win there. But that's gonna be

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Speaker 2: tough because I'm gonna take Penn State, and I'm gonna

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Speaker 2: give Penn State the win at Kinnick. Okay, that very

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Speaker 2: well could flip. Iowa could lose at Maryland and they

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Speaker 2: could beat Penn State. But I'm gonna take the win

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Speaker 2: at Maryland and then loss at home. I have them

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Speaker 2: beating Perdue out on homecoming, and then they're at Wisconsin

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Speaker 2: and they're at Northwestern. I know Northwestern's not gonna be great, okay,

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Speaker 2: and I could easily see potentially a win there, but

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Speaker 2: then you've got Minnesota coming in. That game is always

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Speaker 2: incredibly hard, great football game. Gophers are always looking to

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Speaker 2: play hard here. Iowa has really dominated over the last

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Speaker 2: couple of years over over Minnesota, including last year where

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Speaker 2: they won thirty five to seven.

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Speaker 1: They whipped them.

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Speaker 2: But I think there is a tight game. I'll give

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Speaker 2: it to them though. I'll give them a win there.

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Speaker 2: I'll give them a win against Illinois and then a

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Speaker 2: win against Nebraska.

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Speaker 1: Here's the problem.

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Speaker 2: If they lose to Indiana and they losed to Iowa State,

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Speaker 2: and they lose to Penn State and they lose to Wisconsin,

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Speaker 2: the Northwestern game becomes everything. And I've got eight and

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Speaker 2: a half. Okay, I've got eight and a half sitting here.

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Speaker 2: I think Iowa is gonna win seven games. And maybe

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Speaker 2: I'm wrong, maybe they win eight, but that's it. That's

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Speaker 2: all that I see for them is to win eight games.

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Speaker 2: You can tell me I'm wrong on these different games.

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Speaker 2: You can say they beat Indiana, fine, maybe that's maybe

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Speaker 2: that's the game I'm wrong on, but maybe they Maybe

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Speaker 2: they lose at Northwestern.

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Speaker 1: They can lose there. Absolutely they can lose there.

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Speaker 2: Iowa on the road, two teams, it's like a ten

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Speaker 2: to seven football game. Absolutely they can lose that game.

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Speaker 2: Wisconsin on the road is really tough, really really tough.

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Speaker 2: There's a bunch of coin flip games. And by the way,

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Speaker 2: don't put it past Nebraska. More on them here in

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Speaker 2: a second. But Nebraska could beat them. Nebraska could beat them.

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Speaker 2: And then you're you're at seven wins. Now you're seven

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Speaker 2: and five. So like I've called Kirk Farence the King

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Speaker 2: of eight and four because that's what he goes all

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Speaker 2: the time. Twenty sixteen, twenty seventeen, twenty eighteen, eight and four,

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Speaker 2: eight and four, eight and four. It's what he does.

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Speaker 2: It's what Iowa fans accept. They have a bar and

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Speaker 2: they're comfortable.

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Speaker 1: At eight and four. This is the longest tenured coach

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Speaker 1: in college football. The guy doesn't play for Big ten

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Speaker 1: titles ever. Okay, he's lucky once in a while to

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Speaker 1: win his division.

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Speaker 2: But to Iowa fans, hey keeps on putting those NFL

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Speaker 2: players out there.

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Speaker 1: Everyone tells him he's a great coach. He's a great

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Speaker 1: and look, I hear you.

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Speaker 2: If you're an Iowa fan, you're going, oh my god,

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Speaker 2: you're talking sacrilegious about our guy. I'm just saying different

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Speaker 2: fan bases, you know, twenty three years. Has he won championships?

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Speaker 1: No? Does he contend? Really does he go to a

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Speaker 1: Bull game? Though?

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Speaker 2: Hey, you get your bull vacation every year, though, Iowa fan.

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Speaker 2: That's what matters, right, You get that bull vacation as

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Speaker 2: long as you got that bull vacation scheduled in going

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Speaker 2: to a bowl game in January, We're going to go

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Speaker 2: to Arizona. You know where you're going, right, the King

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Speaker 2: of the Insight Bowl. But I'm going under under eight

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Speaker 2: and a half wins for Iowa minus one point fifteen

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Speaker 2: one full units. Hawkeyes win eight games, not nine, under

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Speaker 2: eight and a half. Okay, So for you Nebraska fans

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Speaker 2: that are probably listening to this, and you're probably chuckling

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Speaker 2: and you're going, ha ha, Yeah, Matt Dallas, Hawkeyes are

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Speaker 2: gonna stink. Well, hold on a second, let's talk about

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Speaker 2: your team for a second. In Scott Frost, can you

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Speaker 2: believe this is Scott Frost's fourth year at Iowa. At Nebraska,

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Speaker 2: fourth year, He's in the middle of a monster rebuild's

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Speaker 2: going a brand new athletic director in Trev Roberts.

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Speaker 1: Now, so what do you make of this team?

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Speaker 2: Adrian Martinez comes back junior quarterback who is an enigma.

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Speaker 2: I mean, I don't know what you do with that guy.

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Speaker 2: He looks great certain weeks. Other weeks he can't hit

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Speaker 2: the broad side of a bar and he throws more

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Speaker 2: picks than anybody else. It is a tough team to

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Speaker 2: break down. It's a tough team to understand. But Nebraska

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Speaker 2: fans are frustrated. I mean they're they're frustrated. They want

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Speaker 2: to see more talent, they want to see more wins.

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Speaker 2: They want to see this team have a big upgrade

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Speaker 2: in talent, which they should. They've got some better talented

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Speaker 2: players coming back. Now, they've got some guys, new offensive coordinator.

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Speaker 2: Maybe this is where you see Adrian Martinez turn the corner.

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Speaker 2: But Nebraska has had forty nine fumbles in the last

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Speaker 2: two seasons, and a lot of that comes from Adrian

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Speaker 2: Martinez dropping the football. You've had a ton of interceptions

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Speaker 2: being thrown. Nebraska's win total is six and a half. Okay,

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Speaker 2: six and a half. So the problem with Nebraska, even

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Speaker 2: though I think they might be better on the field,

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Speaker 2: my problem with them is there's always a game or

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Speaker 2: two that they slip up and they lose that they

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Speaker 2: shouldn't and their schedule is extremely difficult. They open up

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Speaker 2: at Illinois. All Right, Nebraska's won four the last five

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Speaker 2: in this series. Nebraska should win this game. I'm gonna

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Speaker 2: give this game to Nebraska. Okay, I'm gonna say they

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Speaker 2: beat Illinois. But there's again. These are games that you

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Speaker 2: think at like they should win when three and five

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Speaker 2: last year, they should beat Illinois, but they lost forty three,

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Speaker 2: twenty forty one, twenty three at home to Illinois last year.

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Speaker 1: But I'll give it to you.

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Speaker 2: I'll give you a win. They beat fordam and they'll

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Speaker 2: beat Buffalo. But I made the joke on Twitter that

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Speaker 2: Nebraska's gonna lose to Buffalo, aren't they just because this

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Speaker 2: is I've seen this. I've seen in games where Nebraska

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Speaker 2: just they'll win two games, They'll be two and oho,

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Speaker 2: everyone will be like, oh the Huskers. And then Buffalo

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Speaker 2: comes in with a new head coach and only ten

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Speaker 2: returning starters out of the mac And then Buffalo finds

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Speaker 2: a way to beat Nebraska because they're playing their sight

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Speaker 2: that they're playing in Lincoln, Nebraska, they're playing at Memorial Stadium,

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Speaker 2: playing in.

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Speaker 1: A packed house. They're gonna play hard.

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Speaker 2: And I've seen Nebraska lose these They've lost this game

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Speaker 2: all the time, not just the MAX schools, but just

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Speaker 2: the schools they're supposed to win and supposed to beat

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Speaker 2: and then they fall on their face and they lose.

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Speaker 2: But I'm gonna give it to you. Let's go with

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Speaker 2: the win for Nebraska here. Okay, the Huskers win. They

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Speaker 2: have a schedule now that is just horrific. They're gonna

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Speaker 2: get curb stomped by Oklahoma on the road. They're gonna

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Speaker 2: I think they're gonna lose to Michigan State on the road.

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Speaker 1: Okay, in Michigan State's gonna bounce back season. They could

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Speaker 1: win that game.

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Speaker 2: But again, I think Michigan State on the road, Northwestern

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Speaker 2: at home. Nebraska's going one in one in those games.

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Speaker 2: They might beat Northwestern and lose to Michigan State. Or

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Speaker 2: they could beat Michigan State on the road and lose

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Speaker 2: to Northwestern. They're going one in one in those games.

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Speaker 2: Then you got Michigan at home. I think that's a loss.

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Speaker 2: They're going at Minnesota. The Gophers are off of buye

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Speaker 2: in that week. I'm taking Minnesota. Nebrassa, he's going to

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Speaker 2: buy a week On the twenty third, they'll play Purdue

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Speaker 2: at home.

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Speaker 1: I think they win that game.

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Speaker 2: Then Ohio State comes in. They're losing that game. They're

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Speaker 2: at Wisconsin, I think they're losing that game. And then

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Speaker 2: they're at home against Iowa on the day after Thanksgiving.

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Speaker 1: I think they're losing that game.

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Speaker 2: If you add up everything I just said, that's a

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Speaker 2: five win season. It's five wins for Nebraska. Say I'm wrong, Okay,

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Speaker 2: say I'm wrong about the Northwestern Michigan State and they

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Speaker 2: go two and oher with Northwestern and Michigan State. Okay,

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Speaker 2: that's six wins. The total is six and a half.

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Speaker 2: We're going under at minus one, twenty under six and

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Speaker 2: a half wins for Nebraska here in twenty twenty one.

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Speaker 1: With Scott Frost, who is a guy.

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Speaker 2: That I liked. I want him to do well. I

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Speaker 2: hope he does well. I just think he's got a

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Speaker 2: really hard schedule this year and the team might take

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Speaker 2: a step forward, but the scoreboard, the record might not

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Speaker 2: really indicate it, simply just because what you're looking at

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Speaker 2: here from a schedule respective for Nebraska and for Iowa,

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Speaker 2: very difficult schedules for both those teams.

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Speaker 1: Don't like the quarterbacks all that much. Don't like the

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Speaker 1: return turning players.

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Speaker 2: Nebraska's got some guys who they think could turn on

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Speaker 2: and really be great and do some big things.

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Speaker 1: I'm just not really there with them yet.

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Speaker 2: I'm just I've got a decent running back room now

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Speaker 2: and a couple of linebackers that they're high on. But again,

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Speaker 2: I want Scott Frost to do well. Nebraska's schedule is

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Speaker 2: ranked by Phil Steele as the tenth most difficult schedule

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Speaker 2: in the country.

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Speaker 1: Okay, you don't want to have.

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Speaker 2: The tenth most difficult in the schedule in the country

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Speaker 2: when you're trying to do a rebuild. That's not what

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Speaker 2: you want, you know. And Iowa for that matter, Iowa

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Speaker 2: has the eighteenth most difficult difficult schedule in the country

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Speaker 2: as well. In case you're curious, Okay, two top twenty

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Speaker 2: two top twenty schedules for teams that aren't that talented.

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Speaker 2: Recipe for disaster two plays for us here on the

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Speaker 2: Monday's Daily Juice eight and a half wins under Iowa

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Speaker 2: minus one fifteen six and a half wins under Nebraska

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Speaker 2: one Our two plays here for a Monday.

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Speaker 1: If I add.

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Speaker 2: Anything in baseball, I'll jump in on the Discord channel

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00:20:06,440 --> 00:20:08,879
Speaker 2: Bettingpros dot Com slash chat to get in or underneath

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00:20:08,920 --> 00:20:10,320
Speaker 2: me here on YouTube.

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Speaker 1: To come on in and click on it.

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Speaker 2: But we'll do some baseball tomorrow and we'll get ready

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Speaker 2: for Thursday coming up as we've got NFL football on

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Speaker 2: the table to be bet on. Coming up this week,

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Speaker 2: min is Matt Paroltz to following me on Twitter at

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Speaker 2: Sports Talk Matt. Each and every morning gets the Daily

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Speaker 2: Juice podcast brought to you by bet MGM. Always on

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Speaker 2: Bettingpros dot Com