WEBVTT - July Trade Value Chart Changes | Dynasty Trade Block (Ep. 383) 0:00:03.960 --> 0:00:04.920 Hello, everybody. 0:00:04.960 --> 0:00:09.040 Welcome into the Fantasy Pros Dynasty Football Podcast, brought to 0:00:09.119 --> 0:00:14.120 you by League Tycoon, the Dynasty first fantasy football platform fits. 0:00:14.320 --> 0:00:16.080 I have not talked to you on air. 0:00:16.079 --> 0:00:17.600 We've talked behind the scenes, but I'm going to talk 0:00:17.640 --> 0:00:19.959 to you on air in like three plus weeks. 0:00:19.960 --> 0:00:20.560 How are you doing. 0:00:21.720 --> 0:00:22.520 I'm doing well. 0:00:22.720 --> 0:00:24.840 I hope you had a good vacation, and I know 0:00:25.480 --> 0:00:29.400 your return from vacation has not gone as optimally as 0:00:29.840 --> 0:00:32.080 it could. You want to tell the people. 0:00:32.400 --> 0:00:35.159 Yeah, I mentioned it on a couple of shows, including 0:00:35.200 --> 0:00:38.080 I just finished a live stream on the Dynasty YouTube channel, 0:00:38.080 --> 0:00:40.640 which I hope everybody here goes to subscribe to, with 0:00:40.880 --> 0:00:43.080 myself and Bogman, I was just talking a little bit 0:00:43.080 --> 0:00:45.559 about it. I have come back to a house with 0:00:45.640 --> 0:00:48.720 no air conditioning during a one hundred degree heat wave 0:00:48.800 --> 0:00:51.680 here in Denver. Not only is there no air conditioning, 0:00:51.840 --> 0:00:55.920 but the unit leaked through my kitchen ceiling, creating a 0:00:56.000 --> 0:00:58.800 huge puddle on the kitchen floor in the span of 0:00:58.840 --> 0:01:00.560 like an hour. It was like it was like a 0:01:00.600 --> 0:01:04.959 downpour through my ceiling. All told to replace the entire 0:01:05.200 --> 0:01:08.560 HVAC system, water damage, all of it. We're looking at 0:01:08.560 --> 0:01:13.360 about nineteen grand, which my jaw hit the floor when 0:01:13.360 --> 0:01:16.120 I heard that, And I'm like, I talk about, you know, 0:01:16.680 --> 0:01:20.080 dynasty market values here and not overpaying and everything, but 0:01:20.200 --> 0:01:21.920 sometimes you don't have a choice. Fits. 0:01:22.680 --> 0:01:26.560 Yeah, it's funny, Wor I've gotten addicted to this. There's 0:01:26.600 --> 0:01:29.600 this social media dude who makes videos of like people 0:01:29.880 --> 0:01:32.280 in New York and ask them what they pay for 0:01:32.319 --> 0:01:35.399 their apartment. Then he tours the place and it's everything 0:01:35.400 --> 0:01:37.679 from like guys who live in a cellar for like 0:01:38.000 --> 0:01:40.440 seven hundred a month or whatever, to like these people 0:01:40.440 --> 0:01:44.480 with these fabulous penthouse places. And it's New York, so 0:01:44.520 --> 0:01:49.000 these are absorbitent rents and like ridiculous amounts. My jaw 0:01:49.040 --> 0:01:51.120 is always hitting the floor when people say what they pay. 0:01:51.320 --> 0:01:53.400 But then again, when you rent, you don't have to 0:01:53.440 --> 0:01:55.760 deal with stuff like this. Someone comes and fixes it 0:01:55.800 --> 0:01:58.800 for you. The joys of home ownership, worm, I'm there 0:01:58.800 --> 0:02:03.640 with you. They're always some really unforeseen and unpleasant surprises. 0:02:05.280 --> 0:02:07.680 I generally have liked being a homeowner. This is the 0:02:07.720 --> 0:02:10.200 first time I have really not liked. This is the 0:02:10.240 --> 0:02:14.880 first real, like serious hit. And yeah, thank thankfully they 0:02:14.919 --> 0:02:17.519 have payment plans at this company, because otherwise I don't 0:02:17.560 --> 0:02:20.960 know what I'd do. So that's my SOB story for everybody. 0:02:21.000 --> 0:02:23.120 I'm currently recording this in a house that's like eighty 0:02:23.120 --> 0:02:26.040 seven degrees, doing the best I can to power through. 0:02:26.520 --> 0:02:28.200 We can go ahead and jump into the show here. 0:02:28.680 --> 0:02:30.880 This is the trade block, our monthly show. We obviously 0:02:31.080 --> 0:02:33.040 do it the first Tuesday of the month, which was 0:02:33.120 --> 0:02:35.360 last week because I was still on vacation, so we 0:02:35.480 --> 0:02:38.399 pushed it back week and are doing it today. We'll 0:02:38.400 --> 0:02:40.600 go through the first half of the episode just kind 0:02:40.600 --> 0:02:44.160 of generally reacting to the updated Dynasty trade value chart 0:02:44.200 --> 0:02:46.200 that was updated on July first, so a little longer 0:02:46.240 --> 0:02:48.880 ago than usual, but obviously still pretty relevant. Not much 0:02:48.880 --> 0:02:51.400 has happened between then and now, and then the second 0:02:51.400 --> 0:02:53.200 half of the show, we will take all of your questions, 0:02:53.200 --> 0:02:56.200 whether calling you up on stage or in the chat. 0:02:56.760 --> 0:02:59.480 Let's go ahead and kick things off with the quarterbacks 0:02:59.520 --> 0:03:02.320 as all always fits. You know, again this time of year, 0:03:02.400 --> 0:03:04.840 not as much on the movement side, so you know, 0:03:04.919 --> 0:03:07.840 rather than asking questions about where guys are moving, I 0:03:07.919 --> 0:03:09.520 more just want to kind of take a look at 0:03:09.600 --> 0:03:11.360 where they are right now. I actually just talked to 0:03:11.440 --> 0:03:15.240 Bogman in the last stream about Lamar a little bit. 0:03:15.360 --> 0:03:19.160 Somebody was asking about trading Lamar away for neighbors in 0:03:19.200 --> 0:03:22.120 a super Flex league, and you know, we were pretty 0:03:22.240 --> 0:03:25.000 against that in super Flex, you know, not just with 0:03:25.120 --> 0:03:27.920 neighbors as injury, but just Lamar, you know, is an 0:03:27.960 --> 0:03:30.200 elite asset. And I was like, yeah, it's like one 0:03:30.240 --> 0:03:31.840 of the top three guys in our trade value chart. 0:03:31.840 --> 0:03:32.840 And I went to go look and it's like, oh, 0:03:32.880 --> 0:03:34.280 it turns out his fourth. I didn't realize he was 0:03:34.280 --> 0:03:36.200 a little bit lower. But do you still feel like 0:03:36.240 --> 0:03:38.720 Lamar is the type of guy that should be warranting 0:03:38.760 --> 0:03:41.320 a huge haul in return. I mean, I was surprised 0:03:41.320 --> 0:03:44.840 to hear that a trade like Lamar for neighbors, even 0:03:44.880 --> 0:03:47.280 though I love neighbors, but like an injured wide receiver 0:03:47.800 --> 0:03:49.480 to me in a super Flex I was surprised that 0:03:49.480 --> 0:03:50.400 that was even on the table. 0:03:51.760 --> 0:03:55.320 I was too, especially so right now I'm in the 0:03:55.320 --> 0:03:58.080 middle of a dynasty startup, so it's kind of giving 0:03:58.120 --> 0:04:02.320 me perspective on values, and I was shocked. I mean, 0:04:02.360 --> 0:04:06.440 I have Lamar ranked third overall in super Flex Dynasty 0:04:06.520 --> 0:04:07.119 QB three. 0:04:07.520 --> 0:04:09.800 Obviously he went twelve. 0:04:10.360 --> 0:04:12.680 He went at the end of the first round, all 0:04:12.720 --> 0:04:14.920 the way to the turn and in the startup now, 0:04:14.960 --> 0:04:17.760 neighbors didn't go till two to eleven. So yes, clearly 0:04:18.040 --> 0:04:21.680 Lamar's is valued more than neighbors, and I got neighbors 0:04:21.760 --> 0:04:25.560 by the way. Yeah, I was just I was shocked 0:04:25.560 --> 0:04:28.560 that Lamar fell that far baffling to me. It is 0:04:28.920 --> 0:04:31.680 it is I just like our people, that's spooked by 0:04:32.080 --> 0:04:35.080 last year, which was so obviously injury related. 0:04:35.480 --> 0:04:36.240 I know he's not. 0:04:38.080 --> 0:04:41.560 Like young prime anymore, but I feel like he's mid 0:04:41.640 --> 0:04:44.719 to late not even late prime. I feel like he's 0:04:44.800 --> 0:04:48.919 mid prime right now. So I'm surprised, right, he's not 0:04:48.920 --> 0:04:53.320 even thirty right right, So I don't know. I feel 0:04:53.320 --> 0:04:55.440 like he's got at least two or three more seasons 0:04:55.440 --> 0:04:56.200 of prime. 0:04:56.640 --> 0:04:58.679 Twelfth, Like in a league with me, he's not getting 0:04:58.680 --> 0:05:02.920 past pick four. I like, I just I find that crazy. 0:05:03.000 --> 0:05:06.440 Like he is still in his twenties. He was, it 0:05:06.440 --> 0:05:08.480 was a really small sample size, but he was still 0:05:08.520 --> 0:05:10.799 elite before the injury last year. The injury just happened 0:05:10.800 --> 0:05:12.800 in Week three, so most of the year wasn't very good, 0:05:12.800 --> 0:05:15.360 but we wanted two. He was his usual excellent self. 0:05:15.800 --> 0:05:18.080 He has never not won an MVP in his first 0:05:18.160 --> 0:05:19.760 year with a new play caller. He has a new 0:05:19.760 --> 0:05:22.320 play caller this year. I'm just like, I don't know 0:05:22.360 --> 0:05:25.720 what there is. Like I totally get Josh Allen being ahead, 0:05:25.760 --> 0:05:28.279 and I totally get Drake may the age difference, but 0:05:28.440 --> 0:05:32.719 like it's hard for me to really see him being 0:05:32.760 --> 0:05:34.440 too low. So again I was surprised by that. I 0:05:34.440 --> 0:05:36.440 still think he's one of those Tier one super flex 0:05:36.480 --> 0:05:39.400 startup types values, So I just wanted to kind of 0:05:39.400 --> 0:05:40.160 mention that one here. 0:05:40.800 --> 0:05:43.000 I think there are two ways of looking at dynasty value. 0:05:43.040 --> 0:05:46.240 There's like the dynasty value what you produced during the season, 0:05:46.400 --> 0:05:49.960 and then you know right now worth the stage where 0:05:50.040 --> 0:05:52.440 your dynasty value is what the market says it is. 0:05:53.080 --> 0:05:55.159 And I feel like there is a gap between what 0:05:55.279 --> 0:05:57.760 Lamar Jackson is going to produce this fall and what 0:05:57.800 --> 0:05:59.520 the market is saying his value is. 0:06:00.760 --> 0:06:02.440 We can go quickly through some of these names. 0:06:02.520 --> 0:06:04.599 What I want to do with the quarterbacks is there's 0:06:04.640 --> 0:06:06.760 a bunch of guys who are tied in our trade 0:06:06.800 --> 0:06:08.880 value chart. I want you to break the tie on them, 0:06:08.880 --> 0:06:10.159 so we don't need like deep diving all of them 0:06:10.160 --> 0:06:12.400 because there's a few different pairs here, but because we'll 0:06:12.440 --> 0:06:14.480 quickly throw them at you breaking some of these ties. 0:06:14.560 --> 0:06:16.440 Right at the very top, Drake May and Josh Allen. 0:06:17.480 --> 0:06:20.719 I've got Drake May higher. I just like that. 0:06:20.839 --> 0:06:24.320 He immediately looked like one of the best pure passers 0:06:24.320 --> 0:06:26.920 in the league last year, and he's much younger. 0:06:27.839 --> 0:06:29.680 Joe Burrow and Caleb Williams are tied. 0:06:30.920 --> 0:06:33.240 I've got Caleb ranked higher. Give me the guy with 0:06:33.279 --> 0:06:35.800 a little bit of mobility. Obviously, Burrow's a much better 0:06:35.839 --> 0:06:40.760 pure passer, but Caleb Ron's than also younger, and Burrow's 0:06:40.760 --> 0:06:42.640 injury history is a little concerning. 0:06:43.400 --> 0:06:46.560 So far, you've taken the much younger guy both times. Unsurprising. 0:06:47.320 --> 0:06:50.120 Herbert and Mahomes are tied in the trade value chart. 0:06:50.880 --> 0:06:55.320 I like Herbert more. I just I think Mahomes will 0:06:55.360 --> 0:07:01.080 probably age well. But you know, the Kansas City offense 0:07:01.120 --> 0:07:04.559 has not been what it was earlier in his career 0:07:04.600 --> 0:07:07.000 when he was averaging like three hundred passing yards a game. 0:07:07.040 --> 0:07:09.880 They've been like twenty second in the last two years 0:07:09.880 --> 0:07:12.760 in yards per play, So I'm a little worried about that, 0:07:12.800 --> 0:07:14.560 And just seems like things are pointing. 0:07:14.360 --> 0:07:18.320 Up for Herbert Lawrence and Dart Lawrence. 0:07:18.360 --> 0:07:20.320 For me, Dart still has a lot to prove. 0:07:21.560 --> 0:07:23.160 Yeah, Purdy and bo Nicks. 0:07:25.000 --> 0:07:26.760 I have Purdy ranked higher. 0:07:27.360 --> 0:07:30.600 Bownicks averaged six point four yards per pass attempt last year. Like, 0:07:30.640 --> 0:07:33.360 I still don't know if he's actually good. He threw 0:07:33.360 --> 0:07:35.240 the most passes in the league last year and still 0:07:35.240 --> 0:07:37.040 didn't have four thousand passing yards. 0:07:38.560 --> 0:07:40.320 Yeah, Strout and Schuck. 0:07:42.800 --> 0:07:43.400 That's close. 0:07:43.440 --> 0:07:47.160 I've got Strout a little higher, but that's very debatable. 0:07:48.600 --> 0:07:50.800 Just two more four year at Baker and Sam Darnald. 0:07:52.920 --> 0:07:56.160 I have Darnald a little bit higher. 0:07:57.440 --> 0:08:00.000 And then a three way tie between Malik Willis, Kyler Murray, 0:08:00.160 --> 0:08:00.760 and Bryce Young. 0:08:05.200 --> 0:08:09.760 Willis, Murray and Young. I just no interest in Bryce Young. 0:08:09.800 --> 0:08:11.960 I think this is his last year as a starter 0:08:12.240 --> 0:08:13.560 in all likelihood. 0:08:13.960 --> 0:08:16.600 Kyler, who knows if it's his last year as a starter. 0:08:16.640 --> 0:08:20.680 He's got to have a compelling audition with the Vikings 0:08:20.680 --> 0:08:24.480 this year, and then, like Willis, hopefully they give him 0:08:24.560 --> 0:08:28.760 enough leash where they don't hold the terrible pass catching 0:08:28.800 --> 0:08:30.320 core against him. 0:08:30.960 --> 0:08:32.120 All right, Thanks for bearing with me. 0:08:32.200 --> 0:08:34.320 There were more ties than I realized when I was 0:08:34.760 --> 0:08:37.679 started doing that. There's a lot of them there. I said, 0:08:37.679 --> 0:08:38.880 that was kind of interesting to kind of put a 0:08:38.920 --> 0:08:40.559 bunch of head to heads. Given how many there were, 0:08:40.960 --> 0:08:43.600 let's go down to the running backs here fits. 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Standard 0:09:18.880 --> 0:09:21.480 Dynasty is free for everyone and for contract dynasty leagues 0:09:21.679 --> 0:09:23.800 use Promo Code Pros to get your first season free. 0:09:23.840 --> 0:09:26.800 Start your free dynasty league today at League tycoon dot 0:09:26.840 --> 0:09:30.000 com and for contract dynasty leagues that's Promo Code Pros 0:09:30.080 --> 0:09:33.600 to get your first season free. Get into those running 0:09:33.600 --> 0:09:38.439 backs now again, you know, not the most changes here. 0:09:38.480 --> 0:09:41.160 I'll kind of you know, kick it to you. Is 0:09:41.200 --> 0:09:43.160 there a name that you want to start with that 0:09:43.240 --> 0:09:46.000 you think is kind of interesting? Where they are ranked 0:09:46.000 --> 0:09:47.160 in the chart right now. 0:09:49.240 --> 0:09:53.000 We're continuing to see steam for Jonathan Brooks, who's up 0:09:53.040 --> 0:09:56.400 to running back thirty, just on the optimism like if 0:09:56.400 --> 0:10:01.080 this second ACL repair that they sound very confident in 0:10:01.160 --> 0:10:05.360 if this takes, he could be lead running back this year, 0:10:05.920 --> 0:10:09.120 which is interesting because he's young. He's only twenty two 0:10:09.520 --> 0:10:15.680 and yeah, like double ACL tears, that's terrifying. But a 0:10:15.720 --> 0:10:18.000 guy who could potentially be a lead running back going 0:10:18.040 --> 0:10:20.360 this cheap, and so he's starting to get a little 0:10:20.400 --> 0:10:22.800 less cheap. I think people are realizing the potential. And 0:10:22.880 --> 0:10:26.040 he's also saw some upward movement for Rashad White, who 0:10:26.040 --> 0:10:29.160 I think people realize it's kind of a pretty meaty 0:10:29.280 --> 0:10:32.800 role with the Commanders this year, like passing down stuff 0:10:32.800 --> 0:10:35.360 for sure, maybe some early down stuff too. 0:10:35.600 --> 0:10:37.240 Those are the guys that kind of jump out to. 0:10:37.200 --> 0:10:40.760 Me Brooks like, you know, sneaky, twenty two years old. 0:10:41.160 --> 0:10:45.200 I like him and I want to be trying to 0:10:45.240 --> 0:10:47.400 acquire him. I think it's I think his price point 0:10:47.440 --> 0:10:49.800 is really interesting right now. To your point about it's 0:10:49.880 --> 0:10:52.480 kind of going up, I wonder where it will settle 0:10:52.640 --> 0:10:56.040 before the season starts. In terms of Dynasty, I'm pretty 0:10:56.040 --> 0:10:58.400 convinced he is going to go up rapidly in redraft. 0:10:58.480 --> 0:11:00.800 He's like RB forty in real draft, and I think 0:11:00.800 --> 0:11:03.240 that's going to rise as we get closer to the season, 0:11:03.240 --> 0:11:06.199 barring something unforeseen. But in dynasty, I'm really curious whether 0:11:06.240 --> 0:11:07.880 it's going to settle in whether in terms of picks 0:11:07.960 --> 0:11:11.560 or another player. RB thirty is like maybe already like 0:11:12.120 --> 0:11:15.920 higher than I'm comfortable like spending up for right, Like 0:11:15.960 --> 0:11:18.040 maybe I would pay market value for him. I don't 0:11:18.080 --> 0:11:20.839 know if I would want to aggressively target him at 0:11:20.840 --> 0:11:23.240 that price point, but he is a guy that I 0:11:23.320 --> 0:11:26.280 believe in as having real upside and is I think 0:11:26.320 --> 0:11:28.000 going to get an opportunity. And it's been a long 0:11:28.040 --> 0:11:30.560 time since that second injury, so maybe it's been enough 0:11:30.600 --> 0:11:33.000 to recover. So I think he's one of the more 0:11:33.040 --> 0:11:34.080 fascinating names here. 0:11:34.679 --> 0:11:37.080 Yeah, And I feel like if you want to get him, 0:11:37.120 --> 0:11:39.520 now is the time to do it, because it is 0:11:39.559 --> 0:11:42.400 only going to take a few videos of him looking 0:11:42.440 --> 0:11:47.600 good running around tires in training camp for his stock 0:11:47.679 --> 0:11:50.520 to get steamed up. Like a couple videos is all 0:11:50.559 --> 0:11:52.120 it's going to take, and all of a sudden, he's 0:11:52.160 --> 0:11:58.000 going like his ADP and redraft has gone up half around. Yeah. 0:11:58.080 --> 0:12:00.640 We had a question in the other stream about a 0:12:00.760 --> 0:12:05.080 contender week at running back trading for Josh Jacobs. What 0:12:05.120 --> 0:12:07.560 do you think a fair deal is for Jacobs right now? 0:12:07.600 --> 0:12:10.560 Given the off field stuff that has been happening. He's 0:12:10.600 --> 0:12:13.760 in his late twenties, you know, but it's still you know, 0:12:13.840 --> 0:12:17.280 when when healthy and on the field and given the opportunity, 0:12:17.280 --> 0:12:19.000 he's been very productive. What do you think about Jacobs 0:12:19.000 --> 0:12:21.120 for a contending team at these days? He's alreably twenty 0:12:21.120 --> 0:12:22.160 four by the way on this list. 0:12:23.080 --> 0:12:25.320 Yeah, I don't want to do it in terms of 0:12:25.360 --> 0:12:28.320 twenty twenty six rookie value because a lot of people 0:12:28.400 --> 0:12:31.040 have already had their drafts. I think it's like a 0:12:31.480 --> 0:12:37.680 second in twenty twenty seven, you know, early to mid second, 0:12:37.800 --> 0:12:41.240 and we maybe have him valued closer to early second. 0:12:42.080 --> 0:12:46.680 It's worth noting that the little town in northeast Wisconsin, 0:12:47.440 --> 0:12:50.680 you know, where he was arrested for this domestic incident. 0:12:50.880 --> 0:12:54.800 Like they're still investigating the case. It has not been closed, 0:12:55.400 --> 0:12:59.120 but there's been no word on charges, and like I 0:12:59.280 --> 0:13:02.280 kind of get the feeling it's just going to disappear. 0:13:02.760 --> 0:13:06.120 And I don't think he's going to incur any sort 0:13:06.120 --> 0:13:11.280 of suspension if there are no charges forthcoming, So I 0:13:11.320 --> 0:13:12.640 think he's still. 0:13:12.440 --> 0:13:13.080 Going to be the guy. 0:13:13.200 --> 0:13:16.760 And like he has averaged pretty close to a touchdown 0:13:16.840 --> 0:13:20.760 a game since he joined the Packers two years ago, 0:13:20.920 --> 0:13:24.960 and I think the last year the Packers didn't have 0:13:25.400 --> 0:13:29.000 Josh Jacobs, Jordan Love finished QB five in fantasy scoring 0:13:29.480 --> 0:13:32.480 and he has not sniffed QB one territory since then. 0:13:32.600 --> 0:13:36.080 They like to give Jacobs the ball. Matt Lafleur is 0:13:36.080 --> 0:13:38.640 one of the better run game designers in the league. 0:13:38.760 --> 0:13:40.800 I was just thinking the other day about how good 0:13:40.840 --> 0:13:44.360 their running game looked after two years ago, after Jordan 0:13:44.440 --> 0:13:47.160 Love got injured in that Brazil game to open the 0:13:47.160 --> 0:13:50.560 season and they had to send out Malik Willis for 0:13:50.640 --> 0:13:54.040 a couple of games. Matt Lafleur was so in his 0:13:54.160 --> 0:13:57.720 bag with the run game play calling in that like 0:13:57.800 --> 0:14:00.440 some of the design stuff was just amazed, and like 0:14:00.559 --> 0:14:04.280 Josh Jacobs was ripping off these big chunk runs. I'm 0:14:04.320 --> 0:14:07.360 excited about that. Jacobs was banged up for a lot 0:14:07.360 --> 0:14:10.439 of last season. A healthy Josh Jacobs still a very 0:14:10.480 --> 0:14:13.520 impactful fantasy running back, so I do think he's worth 0:14:13.520 --> 0:14:17.120 a two, you know, if not like a real early two. 0:14:18.160 --> 0:14:18.640 Yeah. 0:14:18.920 --> 0:14:19.880 One more running back here. 0:14:19.880 --> 0:14:21.800 I want to ask you about Jerium Price, another guy 0:14:21.800 --> 0:14:24.800 that we got questions on in the last stream, and 0:14:25.240 --> 0:14:27.720 there was a question about trading him for a mid 0:14:27.960 --> 0:14:30.280 twenty twenty seven first. It was described as mid to 0:14:30.440 --> 0:14:36.000 late twenty twenty seven first. Okay, no on giving up 0:14:36.040 --> 0:14:37.880 the first or no on giving up Price. 0:14:38.560 --> 0:14:40.480 I wouldn't give up a late first. 0:14:40.400 --> 0:14:41.760 Yeah, to get you that's what I thought, you mad. 0:14:41.760 --> 0:14:42.680 I just wanted to clarify. 0:14:42.800 --> 0:14:49.080 Yeah, yeah, So the track record people like you can't 0:14:49.440 --> 0:14:53.560 keep first round running backs together when you like parse out. 0:14:53.600 --> 0:14:56.280 The track record of these guys. First round running backs 0:14:56.360 --> 0:14:59.160 drafted one through twelve over the last eight years have 0:14:59.240 --> 0:15:02.720 been like the hit or not eight years, twelve years, 0:15:02.800 --> 0:15:06.280 eleven years. Since twenty fifteen, there have been eight guys 0:15:06.360 --> 0:15:08.840 drafted top twelve and twelve. 0:15:08.720 --> 0:15:12.040 Years, right if you include this year as the twelve Yeah. 0:15:12.200 --> 0:15:16.400 Yeah, yeah, twelve if you include the season that's about 0:15:16.440 --> 0:15:19.160 to play out. But the hit rate has been fantastic 0:15:19.320 --> 0:15:22.200 on those guys, just generally. Probably the only guy who 0:15:22.200 --> 0:15:25.400 didn't really work out over the long run was Leonard Fournett, 0:15:25.760 --> 0:15:29.480 and even Fournette had some nice seasons. You had McCaffrey, 0:15:29.520 --> 0:15:33.520 You've got Gibbs, Bijon, Robinson, Jenty yet to go Ezekiel 0:15:33.600 --> 0:15:37.280 Elliott who smashed a lot of hits in there, but 0:15:37.720 --> 0:15:41.360 later in the round first runt picks maybe not as good. 0:15:41.440 --> 0:15:43.880 You get Rashad Penny in there, and like, that's the 0:15:44.280 --> 0:15:47.960 obvious comparison to make. What if Zach Charbonet is the 0:15:48.040 --> 0:15:55.280 Chris Carson to Genarian prices? You know, Charbonet is Penny 0:15:55.640 --> 0:15:58.360 or wait, oh man, am I mixing up this metaphor 0:15:58.720 --> 0:16:03.360 Charbonet is Chris Carson. Genarian price is for Seoan Penny. Like, 0:16:03.600 --> 0:16:06.680 I don't know that Genarian price is better than Zach Sharboney. 0:16:06.800 --> 0:16:11.840 I think Charbona is pretty good. So I'm a little. 0:16:13.480 --> 0:16:16.640 Less into Genarian price than a lot of other people are. Plus, 0:16:16.680 --> 0:16:19.080 we just don't know how good he is based on 0:16:19.160 --> 0:16:22.480 his college track record, because he was always Jeremiah loves 0:16:22.520 --> 0:16:26.000 backup and he does like this passes. 0:16:27.040 --> 0:16:30.120 I'm really in on price for this year. I think 0:16:30.240 --> 0:16:32.400 I'm not worried about Sharboney with as late as I 0:16:32.440 --> 0:16:35.320 expect him to come back and need time to kind 0:16:35.320 --> 0:16:37.560 of get back into things. Like, I'm very in on 0:16:37.640 --> 0:16:40.760 Price this year, and yet I still would rather have 0:16:40.840 --> 0:16:43.880 any twenty twenty seven first than Price, even though I 0:16:43.920 --> 0:16:45.880 expect Price to have a good year where his value 0:16:45.880 --> 0:16:48.000 in a vacuum will rise. I just think the class 0:16:48.080 --> 0:16:50.440 is good enough that i'd rather take the swing, especially 0:16:50.440 --> 0:16:52.120 if there's a chance it's more like a mid first 0:16:52.160 --> 0:16:54.400 next Those mid first next year are going to be awesome, 0:16:54.880 --> 0:16:59.120 so I would want to take that swing, even though 0:16:59.280 --> 0:17:00.440 I like Price more than you. 0:17:01.800 --> 0:17:04.280 Yeah, digga, All right. 0:17:05.160 --> 0:17:09.000 Let's look at the receivers here fits. I mean, I 0:17:09.080 --> 0:17:11.480 keep repeating myself, but not a ton of changes here. 0:17:11.840 --> 0:17:14.359 One guy who actually has moved up a little is 0:17:14.480 --> 0:17:17.000 Luther Burden. He's been kind of one of the more 0:17:17.000 --> 0:17:20.000 interesting guys that folks have talked about this offseason. He's 0:17:20.000 --> 0:17:24.080 now tied for sixteenth on this list with Jordan Tyson 0:17:24.320 --> 0:17:28.359 and Ladd McConkie, just ahead of mackay Lemon, Devonte Smith, 0:17:28.480 --> 0:17:32.680 Roma Doonza, and a few points behind Chris Olave, Nico 0:17:32.760 --> 0:17:34.639 Collins and Garrett Wilson. There's a little bit of a 0:17:34.640 --> 0:17:37.600 gap between the top fifteen and then sixteen in below. 0:17:38.040 --> 0:17:39.920 You have been the high man on Luther Burden. So 0:17:40.040 --> 0:17:42.200 are you feeling a little bit vindicated seeing him just 0:17:42.280 --> 0:17:45.840 slowly ever, so, you know, creeping up the rankings, or 0:17:46.320 --> 0:17:47.840 do you feel like, you know, you kind of planted 0:17:47.840 --> 0:17:48.800 your flag first here. 0:17:49.200 --> 0:17:50.880 What's your reaction to Burden moving up a bit. 0:17:51.640 --> 0:17:52.680 I'm not surprised. 0:17:52.960 --> 0:17:56.919 Just a young player playing in a really good offensive system, 0:17:57.000 --> 0:17:59.600 playing with a good quarterback, has an immediate path to 0:17:59.800 --> 0:18:03.320 like target growth. And we have seen, like it's not 0:18:03.400 --> 0:18:06.000 just our Dynasty Trade value chart, which is kind of 0:18:06.000 --> 0:18:09.119 powered by the rankings of me and Andrew ricksident Derek Brown. 0:18:09.359 --> 0:18:11.800 I've seen his probably come up on Keep Trade Cut, 0:18:12.040 --> 0:18:15.760 Dynasty Trade Calculator, some of the other you know, gauges 0:18:15.760 --> 0:18:19.200 of the market out there. So I do think there's 0:18:19.280 --> 0:18:21.240 growing enthusiasm for him. 0:18:21.960 --> 0:18:24.600 A guy ahead of him who didn't move in this update, 0:18:24.600 --> 0:18:26.480 but I still want to bring up his Carnel Tate. 0:18:26.640 --> 0:18:28.040 I like Tate a lot. 0:18:28.160 --> 0:18:30.240 There are some names behind him that I'm like a 0:18:30.280 --> 0:18:33.040 little nervous to have behind him, particularly like Nico Collins. 0:18:33.359 --> 0:18:35.000 I know there's like an age gap at this. 0:18:34.960 --> 0:18:36.919 Point between those two because Nico has been in the 0:18:37.040 --> 0:18:39.200 league a few years and came in older than Tate did. 0:18:39.680 --> 0:18:42.000 But I feel like the appeal of Tate is that 0:18:42.040 --> 0:18:44.040 I think he's going to be good right away, and 0:18:44.080 --> 0:18:46.480 I'm reasonably certain he's going to be a good player. 0:18:46.760 --> 0:18:48.240 I'm not saying he has no ceiling. 0:18:48.320 --> 0:18:52.639 I like him a ton, but I almost would just 0:18:52.680 --> 0:18:55.320 prefer maybe the ceiling of a guy like Nico compared 0:18:55.359 --> 0:18:58.639 to Tate. I I'm surprised to see Tate given that 0:18:58.800 --> 0:19:02.000 he was considered a bit of a lesser receiving prospect 0:19:02.160 --> 0:19:04.480 than some of the elite guys that have come through lately, 0:19:04.520 --> 0:19:07.280 like you know, Marveat Harrison Junior as a prospect Milik Neighbors. 0:19:07.320 --> 0:19:09.480 It's not that it's we didn't like Tate, but you know, 0:19:09.560 --> 0:19:11.679 Teero McMillan another one that I thought came in with 0:19:11.760 --> 0:19:14.520 a little bit more hype than Tate, and so I 0:19:14.560 --> 0:19:16.360 was a little surprised to see Tate at eleven. Where 0:19:16.400 --> 0:19:18.320 do you have him ranked in Dynasty right now? 0:19:19.400 --> 0:19:22.680 I've got tits and I totally get what you're saying, 0:19:22.680 --> 0:19:25.600 and I feel like maybe I'm a little bit high 0:19:25.680 --> 0:19:30.400 on him. I've got Tate thirteenth and the one that 0:19:30.560 --> 0:19:34.639 I'm I'm going to change in time for the August trade. 0:19:34.720 --> 0:19:37.640 Value Charp, I've got him on spot ahead of George Pickens. 0:19:38.520 --> 0:19:42.120 And the funny thing is Pickens. The book on Pickens 0:19:42.160 --> 0:19:44.520 going into last year was sort of the same as 0:19:44.560 --> 0:19:50.639 the book on Tait. Downfield playmaker might not earn targets 0:19:50.680 --> 0:19:54.159 at uh, you know, alpha receiver rates, but he's going 0:19:54.240 --> 0:19:56.639 to make a lot of big plays and could maybe 0:19:56.680 --> 0:20:00.720 sort of grow into a bigger target chair That's exactly 0:20:00.720 --> 0:20:03.480 what happened with Pickens. Like still making a lot of 0:20:03.520 --> 0:20:05.720 plays downfield last year, but he started to get way 0:20:05.760 --> 0:20:11.159 more targets in a more aggressive passing offense after the 0:20:11.200 --> 0:20:13.560 move from Pittsburgh to Dallas. Plus he got a little 0:20:13.560 --> 0:20:15.880