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Speaker 1: All right, here we go spreading the court.

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Speaker 2: Ten seconds of eating, they just go throw me off

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Speaker 2: to the basket.

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Speaker 3: Under the basket.

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Speaker 1: It's down a seventh seconds. It's the crew for the wind.

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Speaker 2: God make amerracle I. It's the water hit, that one

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Speaker 2: from the parking lot. Shuck it all.

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Speaker 1: In college basketball, it's not the size on the dog

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Speaker 1: in the fight, it's the size of the fight in

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Speaker 1: the dog. Welcome to the Big Bets on Campus Podcast.

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Speaker 1: I am your host for this week, Jim Root and

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Speaker 1: I am joined by the rest of the Three Men

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Speaker 1: Weave Crew, Ti McEwan and Matt Cox. We're spread out

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Speaker 1: all over the country today. I am staying on the

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Speaker 1: strip for all the basketball that is happening here in Vegas.

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Speaker 1: Matthew is in Hawaii, Kai is hold up in Chicago.

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Speaker 1: But we've got a lot going on. We got a

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Speaker 1: lot to talk about. We are going to be bringing

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Speaker 1: you a BBOC episode talking all things college hoops betting

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Speaker 1: every Wednesday morning. That's leading up to conference play in January,

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Speaker 1: at which point our schedule is undetermined, fellas, but we

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Speaker 1: will continue to provide quality content at that point. We're

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Speaker 1: just not exactly sure when it will be in your

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Speaker 1: airwaves in some form or another.

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Speaker 2: Keep an eye out for it, Saniel Toast. That's all

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Speaker 2: I can tell you this morning.

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Speaker 1: That's right, Maddie. On today's episode, we're going to discuss

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Speaker 1: some games of the week, go through a typical format. Here.

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Speaker 1: We got live dogs, we've got blowouts, we've got the

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Speaker 1: power games of the week hint Gonzaga Duke. And we've

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Speaker 1: got a couple other categories that we will get to.

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Speaker 1: If you're a listening to the show, you're familiar, but

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Speaker 1: we're talking power conference, talking to mid major. We do

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Speaker 1: it all projecting value on spreads that we don't know

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Speaker 1: yet because they're later in the week, but we're going

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Speaker 1: to do our best for it.

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Speaker 2: Kai.

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Speaker 3: You ready to jump in, Jim, I'm ready to jump in.

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Speaker 1: Let's do it all right, baby, it's like the deep

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Speaker 1: end of a pool. Let's do it. It's a big week,

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Speaker 1: a lot of day basketball this week because of all

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Speaker 1: the tournaments. We love it, but it's overwhelming. Let's get

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Speaker 1: started with our first category here, the live dog of

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Speaker 1: the week. Again, I think everybody knows what this is,

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Speaker 1: but if you're not, these are the teams that are

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Speaker 1: underdogs that we think are very capable of winning. Matt,

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Speaker 1: I want to start with you because last week you

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Speaker 1: proposed and I think kind I've I strongly agreed with you.

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Speaker 1: Maybe not strongly, but we were like, yeah, we're on board.

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Speaker 1: You propose that George Mason could win at Maryland and

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Speaker 1: you know what they did.

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Speaker 2: They got it done.

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Speaker 1: Yes, And that's what we're starting this week. We're starting

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Speaker 1: with George Mason again at the Pentagon on Wednesday. Taken

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Speaker 1: on South Dakota State. This is kind of like a

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Speaker 1: semi home game for the jack Rabbits. They've played in

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Speaker 1: this venue quite a bit before, and both of these

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Speaker 1: teams will played on Tuesday night in this particular venue.

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Speaker 1: But Matt Kenbom has George Mason as a seven point underdogs.

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Speaker 1: That seems like a big projected spread. Do you think

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Speaker 1: the Patriots are alive again?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, it does seem high, especially because it's not like

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Speaker 2: a true true home game for the jack Bunnies. Here,

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Speaker 2: just as a general broader take on the live dog

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Speaker 2: of the week, last week we were in the heyday

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Speaker 2: of underdogs. A money line value is at its all

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Speaker 2: time highest. The last few days, we've seen favorites roarback

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Speaker 2: with engines, much to our chagrin, as we've been backing

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Speaker 2: a lot of large dogs and they have folded like

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Speaker 2: lawn shares and the second halves. So just in general,

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Speaker 2: trying to pounce on these moneyline underdogs doesn't have I

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Speaker 2: don't think the value it had last week. But I

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Speaker 2: still think there are pockets of opportunity to pounce on,

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Speaker 2: of which we are highlighting here. Jim, I'm torn on

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Speaker 2: this one. Personally. I think Mason could be a Kryptonite

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Speaker 2: type matchup for the jack Bunnies, and you could also

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Speaker 2: argue that they've been the jack Bunnies have been overvalued

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Speaker 2: in the current betting markets because of how inflated their

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Speaker 2: kempoum and analink rakings have gotten. But I also think

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Speaker 2: they're just awesome. So I don't think I'll be doing

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Speaker 2: money line sprinkle Matty oneline sprinkles here, but I think

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Speaker 2: there's definitely a value on Mason at the dog as

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Speaker 2: a dog.

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Speaker 3: I love the.

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Speaker 4: Ones this year, and we've already seen George Mason. Jim,

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Speaker 4: like you said, take down to Goliath, why not again

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Speaker 4: here in South Dakota State, Maybe a little bit of

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Speaker 4: the less Goliath. I mean program history over all grand

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Speaker 4: scheme of things, George Mason probably the better program if

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Speaker 4: you want to look at the final four for instance,

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Speaker 4: and back in like six. Luckily for the listeners out there,

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Speaker 4: you'll have the the information about these two teams against

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Speaker 4: Nevada and Washington, two teams that are both going to

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Speaker 4: play prior to this matchup on Wednesday at the Pentagon,

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Speaker 4: So maybe you can get a couple more inklings out

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Speaker 4: of that. I think George Mason's defense is just way

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Speaker 4: better than South Dakota States defense. So I see Mason

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Speaker 4: scoring pretty easily here and I'm gonna be looking to

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Speaker 4: back George Mason.

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Speaker 3: Yeah.

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Speaker 1: The thing about South Dakota State is that they can

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Speaker 1: spread you out with like bigger playmaking wings and that's

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Speaker 1: not going to bother George Mason. Like they they've got

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Speaker 1: Deshaun Schwartz and DeVante Gaines that can big ticket gains,

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Speaker 1: ticket NA ticket gains. Those guys can spread out in

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Speaker 1: de von Cooper like they've got versatility, They got size

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Speaker 1: in the wing that can be switchable and take care

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Speaker 1: of business against the South Dakota State guys. And if

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Speaker 1: you have an athletic edge over the jack rabbits. That's

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Speaker 1: sometimes they're kryptonite as well. And we definitely think that

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Speaker 1: George Mason does oduro is a phenomenal big man. He's

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Speaker 1: not gonna be pushed around by Douglas Wilson. Inside. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: it's seven. There's no way to spreade is seven. I

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Speaker 1: would imagine at some point four if that maybe three.

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Speaker 1: But still look in the back of George Mason as

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Speaker 1: a dog here. I think these teams are pretty even,

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Speaker 1: so kind of a coin flip matchup. If you're getting points,

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Speaker 1: that's that's what we're looking for, all right. Next one

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Speaker 1: on the outline, a little bit bigger of an underdog

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Speaker 1: heading down to Kassimi, Florida. One of these neutral side events.

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Speaker 1: I believe this is the ESPN Events Invitational, formerly the

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Speaker 1: Old Spice Classic, formerly the Advocare Invitational, aka the Pyramid

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Speaker 1: Scheme in the tai that's right, got North Texas taken

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Speaker 1: on Kansas. This is a fifteen point favorite because we

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Speaker 1: know North Texas is a dangerous hunderdog because they took

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Speaker 1: down Perdue, a Purdue team that's looked incredible albeit you know,

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Speaker 1: a year ago, but they took down Perdue in the

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Speaker 1: NCAA tournament. They slowed the game down, they minimize possessions,

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Speaker 1: they play great defense. They're extremely well coached by Grant McCaslin. Kai,

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Speaker 1: do you think North Texas the mean Green can at

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Speaker 1: least make top five Kansas team? Think about this game?

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Speaker 4: Yeah, as you said, it's neutral, you know, not the fog,

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Speaker 4: So all right, automatically we don't have that going for Kansas.

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Speaker 4: I don't see this spread being fifteen like him Tom

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Speaker 4: has it. I bet it's a little bit lower than that,

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Speaker 4: just given North Texas's reputation in the market. First game

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Speaker 4: back for Jalen Wilson, Matt, I believe sometimes these teams

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Speaker 4: struggle integrating a star player back in the lineups. We've

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Speaker 4: seen seeing everyone expects immediate improvement.

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Speaker 3: Not always the case.

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Speaker 4: It can actually affect it kind of negativelygue game, We've

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Speaker 4: already established a rhythm the previous three games.

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Speaker 3: You throw on a guy who.

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Speaker 4: Wants the ball, expects to have the ball, it can

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Speaker 4: just kind of throw things off a little bit. North

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Speaker 4: Texas just play so tough. Obviously scoring is gonna be

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Speaker 4: a concern for this team, especially gets a good k defense,

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Speaker 4: But mayor they will coach with McCasland.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, you bring up the trouble integrating key guys back

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Speaker 2: into the fold after an extended period of time. For

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Speaker 2: those listening to this, you would have already have seen

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Speaker 2: yesterday if you're listening on Tuesday to Kofeie Coburn coming

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Speaker 2: back for Illinois. I mean, obviously it's a stretch of

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Speaker 2: a comparison, but maybe you see I would only struggle

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Speaker 2: in that game. That's sort of a corollary to a

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Speaker 2: team like Kansas putting in a piece like Jyalen Wilson.

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Speaker 2: So suddenly just North Texas in general, you guys mentioned it,

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Speaker 2: there's such a perfect underdog, both as of just a

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Speaker 2: back I get with spread and catching points or just

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Speaker 2: a money line. They sucked the life out of you

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Speaker 2: your offense, They bade you into jump shots. The pack

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Speaker 2: line is ironclad, and Kansas has a preencia to take

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Speaker 2: some bad shots, especially the Remy Martin. They're playing such

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Speaker 2: a high usage roll, and I just think that North

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Speaker 2: Texas has enough shot makers. We've seen Tyler Perry, who's

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Speaker 2: the new sort of unknown juco star that Grant McCaslin

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Speaker 2: has turned over a stone and uncovered a diamond in

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Speaker 2: the rough as he always does. You're gonna have to

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Speaker 2: make some shots to be Kansas. If you're looking at

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Speaker 2: like an actual money line, you know, win here, and

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Speaker 2: they have a guy who can do that. So a

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Speaker 2: guy late in the shot clock that can get you

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Speaker 2: a bucket when everything else breaks down. I'm with you, Jim.

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Speaker 2: This is a good call by you. Everything starts up

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Speaker 2: here for a cover. And because the possesson is going

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Speaker 2: to play so low, it doesn't feel like it should

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Speaker 2: be a fifteen point spread, so it should play like

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Speaker 2: a four three four possession type game. Should be a

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Speaker 2: lot closer.

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Speaker 1: Man, how do you like Tyler Perry's House of Rain?

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Speaker 2: House of Rain? That's good. I know we've been still

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Speaker 2: works shopping nicknames for him, but yeah, much better than

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Speaker 2: Javion Hamlet had some the ones with some some Shakespeare

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Speaker 2: and stuff. But now the House of paym with Tyler

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Speaker 2: Perry's just just a cut above marketability.

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Speaker 1: Yep, yeah, Matt, you kind of mentioned. It's the giant

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Speaker 1: killer formula. They limit possessions, they take a lot of threes,

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Speaker 1: so there's wide variants. I think North Texas can hang around.

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Speaker 1: I probably won't sprinkle the money line, just Kansas is

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Speaker 1: too good. I think they're a top two team in

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Speaker 1: the country, so I can't quite recommend that, but I

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Speaker 1: think the at least un the spread, there's some value here.

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Speaker 2: I'm just way too giddy over hitting money lines after

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Speaker 2: all the performance last week. Jim, So, you're right, Kansas

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Speaker 2: is awesome. I don't know why I'm talking to myself

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Speaker 2: into this like it's going to be a surefire coin

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Speaker 2: clip game. Kansas is the real deal.

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Speaker 1: Yep, Hey, let's stay in Kassimi. Guys, there's another mid

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Speaker 1: major versus power conference matchup, and this one is a

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Speaker 1: rematch of the NCAA Tournament. Last year. We've got Alabama

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Speaker 1: and Iona's a two fifteen game in the NCAA Tournament.

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Speaker 1: Now we're here with a potentially even better ion A team.

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Speaker 1: They haven't really blown the doors off anyone this season, no,

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Speaker 1: and kind of rough in first halves. Have come back

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Speaker 1: and battled and remained undefeated, but it's not been in

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Speaker 1: convincing fashion. Meanwhile, Alabama has torched almost everybody South. Alabama

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Speaker 1: hung around, but the other three games the Tide have

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Speaker 1: been outstanding. Kay, do you think that competes here coming

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Speaker 1: off the familiarity of that that NCAA tournament matchup, or

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Speaker 1: or the tide just too good.

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Speaker 4: This year, they're too good, and we put Alabama on

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Speaker 4: a upset alert. I think week one against Louisiana attach

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Speaker 4: and yeah, I don't think it's happening here. Tempo is

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Speaker 4: gonna be high, Matt, and I think that plays more

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Speaker 4: towards an Alabama route. That tournament game, thirteen point game,

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Speaker 4: I think I own it actually covered, which was a

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Speaker 4: little bit surprising to me at the time. As well,

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Speaker 4: BAM has just proven there they have another gear this season,

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Speaker 4: So I am not gonna be sprinkling the gales here.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, me either. Also, Elijah Joyner, uh maybe out for

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Speaker 2: this game. He is arguably I own his second best guard,

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Speaker 2: one of the most important backcoarp pieces. Has some hip

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Speaker 2: issue and they've already had area of other, you know,

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Speaker 2: be less type injuries. I just this, I own a

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Speaker 2: team is going to be awesome, and I think they're

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Speaker 2: a team you want to star as a look to

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Speaker 2: back and get hot when fully healthy. They've still played

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Speaker 2: very well even with some of those head winds early on.

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Speaker 2: But this matchup right now, and given the Joiner injury,

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Speaker 2: I can't in good faith back the Gales.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, he he went down as though he was like

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Speaker 1: done for the season, and then he came back against

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Speaker 1: Liberty like he came back into the game. So maybe

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Speaker 1: he's okay. But I'm sure that's something that's going to

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Speaker 1: be sore over multiple days. And Yeah, I think Alabama

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Speaker 1: is outstanding. They've been They've got that three headed guard

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Speaker 1: monster the Jays we've talked about in the past, Davison, Quinerley,

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Speaker 1: and Shackleford, and they're getting emerging contributions. Betty Aco, the

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Speaker 1: freshman has been really good lately, the big man. So

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Speaker 1: I think Alabama kind of runs away and hides in

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Speaker 1: this one, especially first half, because we've seen Iona with

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Speaker 1: so many slow starts lately. So definitely not the one

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Speaker 1: that we're looking at as dog value. Two. More in

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Speaker 1: this section, let's hit Oklahoma State is headed on the

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Speaker 1: road to Oral Roberts. This is kind of shocking, but

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Speaker 1: we did see the Cowboys go to ut Arlington to

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Speaker 1: start the season last year. Boynton has clearly shown a

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Speaker 1: willingness to play real mid major road games. This was

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Speaker 1: pretty scary. We obviously know what Oral Roberts did in

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Speaker 1: the turn last year. Max Acemis was a beast, but

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Speaker 1: he was not a beast in their most recent outing.

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Speaker 1: He was over twelve in the first half against Central Arkansas,

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Speaker 1: finished three for eighteen. They lost to Central Arkansas bad

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Speaker 1: Ben l Matt kN Oklahoma State blowed them out. Or

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Speaker 1: do we see like the incredible Oral Roberts team that

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Speaker 1: we saw in the tournament this time around?

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Speaker 2: The problem with Oral Roberts is that they're playing like

258
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Speaker 2: the team that we saw before the tournament. Offense, very fun,

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Speaker 2: defense optional, neighboring on apathetic, and they gave up one

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Speaker 2: hundred and nine to Calao, States gave up seventy to

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Speaker 2: Central Arkansas and that's not a lot of points. But

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Speaker 2: it's not a very good offense. And they have no

263
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Speaker 2: rim protection. I believe they are two point percent of

264
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Speaker 2: defense is bottom ten in the country, giving wide open

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Speaker 2: looks to opposing you know, so the defense is very shody.

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Speaker 2: But jim Y, as you mentioned, this is going to

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Speaker 2: probably be a high variance type of game just because

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Speaker 2: of the shot selection that the amount of threes that

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Speaker 2: or Roberts can take and make, especially when Asmis is

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Speaker 2: on and it sets up Kai to be like the

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Speaker 2: ultimate bounce back spot where maybe they were board against

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Speaker 2: a team they didn't really take seriously going on the road,

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Speaker 2: and now they're back home in a hype spot in Tulsa,

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Speaker 2: and they get hot and they knock off the cow

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Speaker 2: Pops could certainly see it. Or Robbers is still a

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Speaker 2: team that I think need to pump the brakes on.

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Speaker 2: Remember who they were before they were awesome in March lessure.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, overrated I think by most prognosticaters out there, Not

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Speaker 4: by us, Matthew, not by you, mister writer.

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Speaker 2: Yeah I picked them third or fourth, right, yeah, disrespect, disrespect.

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Speaker 2: Had Oklahoma State not lost to Oakland, I'm probably looking

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Speaker 2: at or Roberts's moneyline specially here. But since they did,

283
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Speaker 2: I think they're a little bit more aware of giving

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Speaker 2: up a game against a live dog like this last season.

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Speaker 2: Worth noting, Oklahoma State won by just five at home

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Speaker 2: last season against Oral Roberts. Certainly a better Oral Bob team,

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Speaker 2: but still early in the season and they're still figuring

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Speaker 2: things out. That's just Arkansas loss was head scratching aces

289
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Speaker 2: being three for a team from the floor that probably

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Speaker 2: proves to me an anomaly.

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Speaker 4: You know, or Roberts gonna be up for this game.

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Speaker 4: But Jim, it's only about an hour drive for Olahoma State,

293
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Speaker 4: not a whole lot of home here. I think KEMPOM

294
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Speaker 4: has it spread around ten. That's probably what will be.

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Speaker 4: I'm going to lean towards or Roberts.

296
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Speaker 1: Yeah, this is tough. The home team getting hype against

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Speaker 1: big brother, like in State big Brother. It always scares me,

298
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Speaker 1: like backing the road favorite when it's the super Bowl

299
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Speaker 1: for the home team. That that certainly scares me a

300
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Speaker 1: little bit. And perhaps that's part of the Central Arkansas

301
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Speaker 1: performance was a look ahead like we get to maybe

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Speaker 1: have a chance at Oklahoma State and they did not

303
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Speaker 1: take a team seriously that frankly understand why they didn't

304
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Speaker 1: because Central Arkansas has been terrible. But yeah, I would

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Speaker 1: I would definitely stay away from this one because I

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Speaker 1: just don't know what we're going to get. Matt with

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Speaker 1: the high variance take is. I think that the key

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Speaker 1: point here, all right, last one and this one is

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Speaker 1: going to be my moneyline special. Just to spoil it here,

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Speaker 1: I really think the road dog gets it done. We've

311
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Speaker 1: got Louisiana Tech headed to NC State. KEMPOM has this

312
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Speaker 1: at minus six, so this isn't a monumental kind of

313
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Speaker 1: upset or anything, you know, not a double digit dog.

314
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Speaker 1: But I just think Louisana Tech in this version of

315
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Speaker 1: them and this version of NC State, the mid major

316
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Speaker 1: team is better and Kenneth Aughton can dominate the paint.

317
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Speaker 1: There's no many baits for the entire season for the

318
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Speaker 1: wolf Pack. Their interior rotation is soft and questionable. Outside

319
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Speaker 1: of that, and Louisiana Tech guards are good enough. I

320
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Speaker 1: think they can take care of the ball against any

321
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Speaker 1: NC State pressure. Kai, am I crazy? Or can the

322
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Speaker 1: Bulldogs walk into NC State and get this done?

323
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Speaker 4: I hope they can too. Without many baits. Man, there,

324
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Speaker 4: they're weak inside. Like you said, I think Lawton has

325
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Speaker 4: a field day here. NC State Matt has yet to

326
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Speaker 4: cover a game all season. One of the very few

327
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Speaker 4: teams that is over against the spread. Louisiana Tech is

328
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Speaker 4: very very live in this situation.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, here's my concern. Isaiah Crawford has not played or

330
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Speaker 2: not yet heard I think three games in the timing

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Speaker 2: of this episode, So Louisiana Tech will have a game Wednesday,

332
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Speaker 2: so check to see if he played. If you're very interested,

333
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Speaker 2: If you're picking up with Jim and Kyle, a putting down.

334
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Speaker 2: I think if he's back, I think this is a

335
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Speaker 2: home run play. He's very important to the offense. He

336
00:16:03,680 --> 00:16:05,840
Speaker 2: provides some good inside out balance. They have other guards

337
00:16:05,840 --> 00:16:08,520
Speaker 2: with their playmakers, but I think he's probably their best

338
00:16:08,520 --> 00:16:11,200
Speaker 2: perimeter player, maybe second best behind the Murrie Archibald.

339
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Speaker 1: I mean, they're there's something.

340
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Speaker 2: They're kind of interchangeable. That's a good point. Maybe I'm

341
00:16:14,680 --> 00:16:17,680
Speaker 2: overplaying that, but Lofton's awesome. My only concern here is

342
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Speaker 2: that NC State replicates the same for that. We saw

343
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Speaker 2: Alabama against LA Tech where they sort of ran up

344
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Speaker 2: and down and took Lofton out of the game. But

345
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Speaker 2: I think Lofton is too good, and I think Conicle

346
00:16:27,240 --> 00:16:29,320
Speaker 2: has learned from that, and this is a pretty live

347
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Speaker 2: dog spot. So I will give the official co signed

348
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Speaker 2: Stanford approval on this one.

349
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Speaker 1: Boom. I love it, and I mean the NC State's

350
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Speaker 1: just not as good as Alabama doesn't.

351
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Speaker 2: Have the right It's a different gear.

352
00:16:38,160 --> 00:16:40,680
Speaker 1: They don't have the guards to dictate the tempo. Like, Yeah,

353
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Speaker 1: this one sets up a lot better for Louisiana Tech. Ki,

354
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Speaker 1: we got a couple others listed. I know you're you're

355
00:16:46,720 --> 00:16:50,600
Speaker 1: curious about new Mexico playing UAB here in Vegas as

356
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Speaker 1: a fifteen point underdog and kenbond that does seem huge.

357
00:16:54,320 --> 00:16:57,800
Speaker 3: I don't spread can't be that high right now the.

358
00:16:57,760 --> 00:17:00,120
Speaker 1: Market the market has bet New Mexico in every game

359
00:17:00,160 --> 00:17:00,800
Speaker 1: they played. Yep.

360
00:17:01,080 --> 00:17:03,040
Speaker 4: I think the market knows in Mexico is over was

361
00:17:03,160 --> 00:17:07,119
Speaker 4: undervalued in Campom based on last year's total fluke of

362
00:17:07,119 --> 00:17:09,080
Speaker 4: the season, I'm not sure if Mexico could beat you

363
00:17:09,119 --> 00:17:11,760
Speaker 4: A B E SUA B has been truly fantastic, I

364
00:17:11,760 --> 00:17:13,280
Speaker 4: guess except the South Carolina.

365
00:17:12,960 --> 00:17:14,800
Speaker 1: Game, which they almost came back and won.

366
00:17:15,119 --> 00:17:18,040
Speaker 4: They got close, certainly keeps it within double digits, I think.

367
00:17:18,560 --> 00:17:20,080
Speaker 4: So we'll see what the spread ends up being.

368
00:17:20,119 --> 00:17:23,000
Speaker 1: On Thursday. Jalen House went to the locker room with

369
00:17:23,000 --> 00:17:26,399
Speaker 1: an ankle boo boo last game, and if he's not

370
00:17:26,440 --> 00:17:28,720
Speaker 1: around to handle some of the pressure for UAB, I

371
00:17:28,760 --> 00:17:31,440
Speaker 1: think the backcourt could end up melting. Jamal Mashburn would

372
00:17:31,440 --> 00:17:34,040
Speaker 1: be overwhelmed by the responsibilities there, so keep an eye

373
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Speaker 1: out on House's status. Sorry, Matt, go ahead, No, that

374
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Speaker 1: was my point.

375
00:17:37,359 --> 00:17:40,399
Speaker 2: The Matty injuries today, so that was my final just

376
00:17:40,520 --> 00:17:42,480
Speaker 2: caveat a Kai's point. But yeah, I think that's spread

377
00:17:42,520 --> 00:17:44,720
Speaker 2: if it was close to kempom would be way too high.

378
00:17:44,960 --> 00:17:48,520
Speaker 1: Maddy mash Unit. Take all that all right, Let's go

379
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Speaker 1: to our next category. This is blowout city. We're looking

380
00:17:52,359 --> 00:17:54,200
Speaker 1: for teams that we think, we know the spread is

381
00:17:54,240 --> 00:17:56,160
Speaker 1: going to be big, but we think they can absolutely

382
00:17:56,160 --> 00:17:59,919
Speaker 1: demolish the competition. Anyways, last year or last week, excuse me,

383
00:18:00,000 --> 00:18:03,639
Speaker 1: were correctly guessed that Baylor would destroy Central Arkansas. So

384
00:18:03,680 --> 00:18:05,399
Speaker 1: we got that one right. I think we predicted a

385
00:18:05,440 --> 00:18:07,000
Speaker 1: Saint John's domination.

386
00:18:06,800 --> 00:18:09,080
Speaker 3: Seaton Hall over fairly Dickinson's.

387
00:18:09,760 --> 00:18:13,040
Speaker 1: Yeah, so even though the spread is going to be large,

388
00:18:13,600 --> 00:18:15,440
Speaker 1: we just think these blots are really going to get

389
00:18:15,480 --> 00:18:19,480
Speaker 1: out of hand. We'll start off with Houston Baptists at Oklahoma.

390
00:18:19,800 --> 00:18:21,840
Speaker 1: This is on Wednesday. Houston Baptist went to Texas A

391
00:18:21,840 --> 00:18:24,560
Speaker 1: and M, who is not a good, big favorite. They're

392
00:18:24,600 --> 00:18:28,080
Speaker 1: just not They don't have the offensive firepower. And Texas

393
00:18:28,119 --> 00:18:30,199
Speaker 1: A and M beat him by thirty five like it

394
00:18:30,280 --> 00:18:33,119
Speaker 1: was not a competition at all, probably not even that close.

395
00:18:33,280 --> 00:18:36,000
Speaker 1: Like Houston Baptist was just never in the game. Now

396
00:18:36,000 --> 00:18:38,120
Speaker 1: they go to an Oklahoma team that's probably a little

397
00:18:38,160 --> 00:18:42,480
Speaker 1: angry following the championship loss to Utah State in the

398
00:18:42,480 --> 00:18:47,040
Speaker 1: Myrtle Beach Invitational. I think Oklahoma just absolutely crushes them.

399
00:18:47,080 --> 00:18:50,359
Speaker 1: Matt that they're starting to get the Porter Moser identity

400
00:18:50,440 --> 00:18:53,840
Speaker 1: with a great passing big man, some skilled bigs, and

401
00:18:53,960 --> 00:18:56,800
Speaker 1: a really stout defensive unit. I don't see how Houston

402
00:18:56,800 --> 00:18:57,720
Speaker 1: Baptist scores.

403
00:18:57,480 --> 00:18:59,600
Speaker 2: Here, right. It's similar to what we saw in the

404
00:18:59,640 --> 00:19:01,199
Speaker 2: Texas A and M game, where if you have a

405
00:19:01,200 --> 00:19:04,480
Speaker 2: team that just plays solid, stingy defense, it will bother

406
00:19:04,560 --> 00:19:07,800
Speaker 2: Houston Baptist and that will just be like a red

407
00:19:07,840 --> 00:19:12,560
Speaker 2: carpet for transition opportunities and like Harlem Club Prider type

408
00:19:12,640 --> 00:19:14,280
Speaker 2: dunks at the other end. I mean, the Texas anem

409
00:19:14,280 --> 00:19:16,679
Speaker 2: and ouncers were laughing at how many dunks they were

410
00:19:16,680 --> 00:19:18,080
Speaker 2: getting in that game, and I think this could be

411
00:19:18,080 --> 00:19:19,280
Speaker 2: a repeat movie here.

412
00:19:19,320 --> 00:19:19,520
Speaker 1: Kai.

413
00:19:20,320 --> 00:19:23,560
Speaker 4: In addition, they lost by forty four at Texas. Oklahoma's

414
00:19:23,600 --> 00:19:26,240
Speaker 4: not quite as soon as Texas, but it's clear Houston

415
00:19:26,280 --> 00:19:31,760
Speaker 4: Baptist is not in the same gym as these power teams. Heck,

416
00:19:31,800 --> 00:19:34,000
Speaker 4: I mean they lost by thirteen to Denver. This team

417
00:19:34,080 --> 00:19:37,520
Speaker 4: is very, very bad, not super unexpected coming into the year.

418
00:19:37,520 --> 00:19:39,399
Speaker 4: I thought they'd be a little bit better maybe, but

419
00:19:39,440 --> 00:19:42,160
Speaker 4: they just can't compete, So I agree, Jim oh, use

420
00:19:42,640 --> 00:19:44,080
Speaker 4: a clear roast for me this week.

421
00:19:44,359 --> 00:19:48,760
Speaker 1: All right, Next one, Clemson hosting Charleston Southern on Friday.

422
00:19:49,240 --> 00:19:51,560
Speaker 1: I had some problems with this one, but go went

423
00:19:51,600 --> 00:19:54,320
Speaker 1: back and forth. Clemson has a big favorite. Doesn't like

424
00:19:54,400 --> 00:19:57,600
Speaker 1: leap out to me because the offense isn't megapotent, but

425
00:19:57,640 --> 00:20:01,040
Speaker 1: Matt we saw this year. Maybe it is. They knocked

426
00:20:01,080 --> 00:20:04,520
Speaker 1: down a ton of threes in the Charleston Classic. I

427
00:20:04,560 --> 00:20:07,720
Speaker 1: believe it's the Charleston Classic. And they've got some skilled

428
00:20:07,720 --> 00:20:10,800
Speaker 1: bigs PJ Hall, Hunter Tyson, some guards that can make

429
00:20:10,800 --> 00:20:15,040
Speaker 1: plays with Honor and al Emir Dawes. Meanwhile, Charleston Southern

430
00:20:15,160 --> 00:20:18,320
Speaker 1: coming off awful year, whilst their defensive player of the

431
00:20:18,400 --> 00:20:21,600
Speaker 1: year in Flann Fleming, he's at Florida. They did get

432
00:20:21,600 --> 00:20:24,840
Speaker 1: Travis Anderson back, he debuted coming off injury, but I

433
00:20:24,840 --> 00:20:26,840
Speaker 1: don't know if there's enough firepower here to hang around

434
00:20:26,840 --> 00:20:29,360
Speaker 1: with Clemson, especially if they continue to defend the way

435
00:20:29,359 --> 00:20:29,720
Speaker 1: they did.

436
00:20:30,160 --> 00:20:31,919
Speaker 2: Yeah, this doesn't feel like a hard roase to me,

437
00:20:32,080 --> 00:20:35,160
Speaker 2: but Clemson has been offensively brilliant so far. I think

438
00:20:35,160 --> 00:20:38,680
Speaker 2: we have to change our priors of Clemson basketball. You guys,

439
00:20:38,720 --> 00:20:42,360
Speaker 2: like Hunter Tyson and PJ Hall. True inverted, inside out

440
00:20:42,440 --> 00:20:44,240
Speaker 2: dual threat bigs that can step out and shoot it

441
00:20:44,240 --> 00:20:46,560
Speaker 2: and make plays off the dribble, dishit, you know, be

442
00:20:46,640 --> 00:20:49,679
Speaker 2: the kind of trigger men within the offense. There. I

443
00:20:49,720 --> 00:20:52,840
Speaker 2: love this Clemson version. I just don't know if Charleston

444
00:20:52,920 --> 00:20:55,320
Speaker 2: Southern is right to be blown out. I know they're

445
00:20:55,320 --> 00:20:57,879
Speaker 2: starting to press Morgan this year, which that you know

446
00:20:57,880 --> 00:20:59,679
Speaker 2: can play to high pace and that leads to potential

447
00:20:59,680 --> 00:21:03,320
Speaker 2: blow But I still think there's actual pockets of mini

448
00:21:03,400 --> 00:21:05,960
Speaker 2: talent on Chuck's House roster. I could be my reaching there.

449
00:21:06,160 --> 00:21:07,520
Speaker 2: I feel like there's okay players on this.

450
00:21:07,760 --> 00:21:09,520
Speaker 4: I think I think Chuck's South is very bad, just

451
00:21:09,560 --> 00:21:12,560
Speaker 4: bad bad cos the country. While still this by twenty

452
00:21:12,560 --> 00:21:13,760
Speaker 4: five Wake by thirty six.

453
00:21:14,400 --> 00:21:17,560
Speaker 1: Yeah, the Wake onees the one where it's like, ah, okay.

454
00:21:17,240 --> 00:21:18,080
Speaker 2: Yeah, that's not great.

455
00:21:18,080 --> 00:21:18,600
Speaker 3: Bob Jones.

456
00:21:18,720 --> 00:21:21,280
Speaker 2: Okay, I took on Bob Jones one nineteen sixty three.

457
00:21:21,720 --> 00:21:23,640
Speaker 3: They took down Bob Jones. Good win, good win there.

458
00:21:23,960 --> 00:21:26,800
Speaker 4: Yeah, Clemson one point three five points for possessed against Brian.

459
00:21:27,280 --> 00:21:29,600
Speaker 4: I'm thinking that type of game against Charleston Southern.

460
00:21:29,920 --> 00:21:32,000
Speaker 1: I think that's entirely possible. It might This might be

461
00:21:32,080 --> 00:21:36,720
Speaker 1: like a roast that stays under where yeah struggles to score.

462
00:21:37,000 --> 00:21:38,280
Speaker 2: Did you have to put a bill on this? Oh? Sorry,

463
00:21:38,280 --> 00:21:39,959
Speaker 2: we have one more. I'll put my bill after we

464
00:21:40,119 --> 00:21:41,119
Speaker 2: open the final present.

465
00:21:41,440 --> 00:21:43,520
Speaker 1: We got two. We got to matt we got one Friday,

466
00:21:43,560 --> 00:21:44,200
Speaker 1: one Saturday.

467
00:21:44,280 --> 00:21:46,880
Speaker 2: Read the outline, Matthew, read the outline.

468
00:21:46,560 --> 00:21:50,119
Speaker 1: And were These are two teams that were incredibly impressive

469
00:21:50,600 --> 00:21:53,840
Speaker 1: this weekend in their mtes, and now they're taking on

470
00:21:53,920 --> 00:21:56,960
Speaker 1: teams that we have some serious questions about. First, is

471
00:21:57,000 --> 00:22:01,399
Speaker 1: Purdue hosting Nebraska Omaha, And if Purdue wants to, I

472
00:22:01,400 --> 00:22:03,320
Speaker 1: think they could win this game by sixty. Like if

473
00:22:03,359 --> 00:22:05,600
Speaker 1: they just decided we're going to keep feeding our bigs,

474
00:22:05,600 --> 00:22:07,440
Speaker 1: We're going to keep our starters on the floor a lot.

475
00:22:07,880 --> 00:22:12,200
Speaker 1: They can destroy Omaha, who has had myriad injury issues

476
00:22:12,240 --> 00:22:14,280
Speaker 1: this year. Well, Mel Robinson has yet to play. He's

477
00:22:14,320 --> 00:22:18,160
Speaker 1: their best guard. Wichita State transfer big man Isaiah Porbert

478
00:22:18,200 --> 00:22:21,440
Speaker 1: Chandler missed their last game. They just got Watching tut

479
00:22:21,480 --> 00:22:24,520
Speaker 1: back from injury for his debut, but he's not the

480
00:22:24,560 --> 00:22:27,960
Speaker 1: same quite yet. This is just Purdue can name their number.

481
00:22:28,359 --> 00:22:30,600
Speaker 1: It's basically they have the choice of whether they cover

482
00:22:30,720 --> 00:22:30,919
Speaker 1: or not.

483
00:22:31,240 --> 00:22:33,800
Speaker 2: I'm almost worried they might just rest, like Edier Williams.

484
00:22:33,800 --> 00:22:36,280
Speaker 2: That's how competent probably feels coming to this game. But

485
00:22:36,320 --> 00:22:38,640
Speaker 2: if they all play, which most likely they do, Yeah,

486
00:22:38,640 --> 00:22:40,679
Speaker 2: this is gonna be a fifty point game. Omaha is

487
00:22:40,920 --> 00:22:43,240
Speaker 2: like feels like a team of misery right now. Kai.

488
00:22:43,359 --> 00:22:45,720
Speaker 2: There's probably no hope or optimism until they get any

489
00:22:45,720 --> 00:22:48,359
Speaker 2: semblance of their full roster back. And when you have

490
00:22:48,400 --> 00:22:52,280
Speaker 2: a team that mentally has that type of stuff creeping

491
00:22:52,280 --> 00:22:54,760
Speaker 2: into your head and it gets to ten, fifteen, and

492
00:22:54,760 --> 00:22:56,720
Speaker 2: that can get to forty or fifteen in a hurry.

493
00:22:56,920 --> 00:22:59,240
Speaker 4: Yeah, it's one of the best biggest Mitch matches ever.

494
00:22:59,320 --> 00:23:03,520
Speaker 4: I think blood Bath of the Century inside Muha might

495
00:23:03,520 --> 00:23:06,520
Speaker 4: not get one stop. I'll be shocked if produces win

496
00:23:06,560 --> 00:23:07,720
Speaker 4: by forty this game.

497
00:23:08,080 --> 00:23:10,520
Speaker 1: Yes, especially if poor Bear Chandler doesn't play. I don't

498
00:23:10,560 --> 00:23:12,920
Speaker 1: see how they get a rebound. Like it just could

499
00:23:12,960 --> 00:23:15,400
Speaker 1: be a total bloodbath on the glass. Matt, I don't

500
00:23:15,400 --> 00:23:17,560
Speaker 1: think they'll rest the big dudes because neither one's playing

501
00:23:17,680 --> 00:23:18,359
Speaker 1: twenty minutes, and.

502
00:23:18,440 --> 00:23:21,520
Speaker 2: Maybe they kind of have a natural like load management

503
00:23:21,520 --> 00:23:23,760
Speaker 2: system because they're so deep and they can kind of change.

504
00:23:23,800 --> 00:23:26,439
Speaker 1: It's good point, right, all right. The other one we

505
00:23:26,520 --> 00:23:30,200
Speaker 1: want to mention here. Saturday, Arizona is hosting Sacramento State.

506
00:23:30,280 --> 00:23:33,359
Speaker 1: Arizona looked like a national title contender winning the Roman

507
00:23:33,400 --> 00:23:36,399
Speaker 1: Main event, just blew out Michigan in the final mega

508
00:23:36,440 --> 00:23:40,440
Speaker 1: impressive performance. Sacramento State is dealing with an interim coach

509
00:23:40,720 --> 00:23:43,440
Speaker 1: after the the head boss, Brian Katz, stepped down right

510
00:23:43,480 --> 00:23:47,439
Speaker 1: before the season, kind of figuring out their identity. They're

511
00:23:47,480 --> 00:23:49,280
Speaker 1: a slower team, but they don't have a ton of

512
00:23:49,280 --> 00:23:53,520
Speaker 1: offensive firepower or size outside of Cominggham, the one big guy,

513
00:23:54,440 --> 00:23:57,040
Speaker 1: Arizona could just demolish them if they're engaged. This is

514
00:23:57,080 --> 00:23:59,680
Speaker 1: the same thing where it's like, is it a letdown

515
00:24:00,119 --> 00:24:02,760
Speaker 1: because they just played like an absolute home run game

516
00:24:03,440 --> 00:24:05,880
Speaker 1: or they just on a different stratosphere and they get

517
00:24:05,880 --> 00:24:07,800
Speaker 1: the blot here? Kay, how are you feeling about this.

518
00:24:07,760 --> 00:24:10,920
Speaker 4: One stratosphere and the trains leaving the station for Arizona,

519
00:24:10,960 --> 00:24:13,520
Speaker 4: they're holy shit good. You don't have much time left

520
00:24:13,520 --> 00:24:16,000
Speaker 4: to jump in the bandwagon. They already have two fifty

521
00:24:16,040 --> 00:24:18,639
Speaker 4: plus point wins this year against Rio Grand Valley and

522
00:24:18,640 --> 00:24:22,040
Speaker 4: it's North Kota State. The second one is like super

523
00:24:22,080 --> 00:24:24,400
Speaker 4: eye popping. That team shouldn't lose by fifty to anybody.

524
00:24:24,440 --> 00:24:27,320
Speaker 4: But yeah, I don't think Zach Stick can can hang

525
00:24:27,359 --> 00:24:29,480
Speaker 4: around in this game. Utah would be to my thirty threes.

526
00:24:29,640 --> 00:24:31,600
Speaker 4: This is going to be another forty to fifty point game.

527
00:24:31,760 --> 00:24:34,200
Speaker 2: Yeah, I actually think the letdown is the leftdown concern

528
00:24:34,240 --> 00:24:36,560
Speaker 2: is mitigated by the fact that Arizona will be all

529
00:24:36,640 --> 00:24:38,640
Speaker 2: for six straight days, So I think there's like an

530
00:24:38,880 --> 00:24:41,320
Speaker 2: element of antiness and excitement to get back on the

531
00:24:41,320 --> 00:24:43,679
Speaker 2: court after they just beat Michigan, so they'll have like

532
00:24:43,680 --> 00:24:45,720
Speaker 2: the hangover for maybe Monday. Tuesday, they go out, they

533
00:24:45,760 --> 00:24:51,119
Speaker 2: get hammered and Tucson. They wake up Wednesday, they detox, Thursday, Friday,

534
00:24:51,119 --> 00:24:53,080
Speaker 2: they're back in the gym, and by the time weekend

535
00:24:53,200 --> 00:24:55,480
Speaker 2: comes around, they're ready for demolition. So yeah, I like

536
00:24:55,520 --> 00:24:56,080
Speaker 2: the Cats here.

537
00:24:56,240 --> 00:24:58,480
Speaker 1: They have the blow up potential this year because Lloyd

538
00:24:58,520 --> 00:25:00,720
Speaker 1: is letting them run quite a bit, Like he gives

539
00:25:00,760 --> 00:25:02,639
Speaker 1: them a lot more freedom than Sean Miller did. So

540
00:25:02,640 --> 00:25:04,800
Speaker 1: this is kind of a different Arizona team. They're a

541
00:25:04,880 --> 00:25:08,320
Speaker 1: different kind of system that they are fantastic. Ky. You

542
00:25:08,359 --> 00:25:11,360
Speaker 1: mentioned the trains leaving the station during their game Friday,

543
00:25:11,440 --> 00:25:13,520
Speaker 1: against which toa I bet them ninety five to one

544
00:25:13,680 --> 00:25:16,879
Speaker 1: to win the NCAA tournament, and by the time they're

545
00:25:16,920 --> 00:25:20,439
Speaker 1: like during the game against Michigan, there's no price sixty

546
00:25:20,480 --> 00:25:22,800
Speaker 1: to one, like lower than sixty to one, and I

547
00:25:22,840 --> 00:25:26,480
Speaker 1: bet after that demolition it's probably even lower today, like

548
00:25:26,520 --> 00:25:30,600
Speaker 1: forty to one. They just clearly announced their presence. They're

549
00:25:30,640 --> 00:25:32,560
Speaker 1: one of the biggest teams in the entire country, really

550
00:25:32,640 --> 00:25:36,160
Speaker 1: second in average hype per Kenpom. They're awesome. They're so good.

551
00:25:36,240 --> 00:25:37,879
Speaker 1: All right, guys, let's get to the power game of

552
00:25:37,920 --> 00:25:40,440
Speaker 1: the week. There's a couple, but we're going to start

553
00:25:40,440 --> 00:25:43,040
Speaker 1: with Gonzaga Duke. This is the headliner, matt Your boys,

554
00:25:43,080 --> 00:25:45,960
Speaker 1: the Blue Devils coming here to Vegas, a game I

555
00:25:46,000 --> 00:25:49,600
Speaker 1: will be at in attendance here taking on Gonzaga, who

556
00:25:49,920 --> 00:25:53,280
Speaker 1: has already rolled Texas. But it feels like Duke's a

557
00:25:53,280 --> 00:25:55,280
Speaker 1: bit of a better matchup for them, right They've got

558
00:25:55,280 --> 00:25:58,879
Speaker 1: some better individual defenders inside the bigger they're a little

559
00:25:58,880 --> 00:26:02,760
Speaker 1: more have hind identity right now, we saw them takedown Kentucky.

560
00:26:03,240 --> 00:26:06,119
Speaker 1: Do you think Duke can get this done out right, Matthew.

561
00:26:06,160 --> 00:26:09,359
Speaker 2: Yes, I do. I think there's a money line. I

562
00:26:09,359 --> 00:26:12,120
Speaker 2: think if you're catching four or higher, there's some moneyline

563
00:26:12,200 --> 00:26:15,240
Speaker 2: value on the Devils. As you know here in the outline,

564
00:26:15,280 --> 00:26:17,320
Speaker 2: it has the spread or ken Pom projects it to

565
00:26:17,320 --> 00:26:19,600
Speaker 2: be a six point game. You probably all agree it

566
00:26:19,640 --> 00:26:22,680
Speaker 2: won't be that high, but the Zags have been pretty

567
00:26:22,720 --> 00:26:24,679
Speaker 2: dominant so far. I think the key thing to know

568
00:26:24,760 --> 00:26:27,679
Speaker 2: here is that the dominance against Texas was rooted in

569
00:26:27,720 --> 00:26:30,119
Speaker 2: the fact that Texas is a work in progress and

570
00:26:30,200 --> 00:26:33,440
Speaker 2: be very soft upfront, which is sort of a it's

571
00:26:33,440 --> 00:26:35,000
Speaker 2: not what you think of a Crisp Beier team, but

572
00:26:35,040 --> 00:26:36,280
Speaker 2: without Dylan decu that's what they