1 00:00:00,320 --> 00:00:04,120 Speaker 1: It's the Favorites presented by FanDuel. Football season is here 2 00:00:04,160 --> 00:00:06,320 Speaker 1: and there's no better place to get in on the 3 00:00:06,360 --> 00:00:09,640 Speaker 1: action than FanDuel. I love betting with fandel because They're 4 00:00:09,640 --> 00:00:11,840 Speaker 1: app is safe, secure and easy to use, and when 5 00:00:11,880 --> 00:00:15,239 Speaker 1: I win, I get paid fast. So use promo code 6 00:00:15,240 --> 00:00:17,919 Speaker 1: Favorites and download the FanDuel app today to make every 7 00:00:17,920 --> 00:00:21,759 Speaker 1: moment more this football season. 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In Kansas call one 16 00:00:50,479 --> 00:00:53,960 Speaker 1: eight seven seven seven seven zero stop in Louisiana one 17 00:00:54,040 --> 00:00:57,680 Speaker 1: eight seven seven eight hope and why or text hope 18 00:00:57,720 --> 00:01:00,840 Speaker 1: and why four seven three six nine. In York, Tennessee, 19 00:01:00,840 --> 00:01:04,960 Speaker 1: redline is one eight eight nine called one eight hundred 20 00:01:05,000 --> 00:01:07,679 Speaker 1: five to two four seven zero zero in Wyoming or 21 00:01:07,760 --> 00:01:19,759 Speaker 1: visit www. Dot one Gambler dot net in West Virginia. 22 00:01:21,080 --> 00:01:26,080 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites, the podcast from the Volume Podcast Network. 23 00:01:26,640 --> 00:01:31,200 Speaker 1: If you are listening live on AMP, Welcome to the 24 00:01:31,360 --> 00:01:34,760 Speaker 1: live version. I am Chad Moment, Chief Content Officer of 25 00:01:35,240 --> 00:01:38,160 Speaker 1: the Action Network. I am joined as I am for 26 00:01:38,240 --> 00:01:44,160 Speaker 1: every episode by my brother in Winning, my companion, my compadre, 27 00:01:44,319 --> 00:01:52,000 Speaker 1: my BFF, Professional Better in the City of Champions, Philadelphia, Timing, Hunt, 28 00:01:54,320 --> 00:01:57,880 Speaker 1: Flying Hide Chat, Top ten sports weekend as a Philadelphia 29 00:01:57,880 --> 00:02:00,760 Speaker 1: fan for me, Fly Eagles, Fly bro There man, listen, 30 00:02:00,800 --> 00:02:03,960 Speaker 1: it wasn't just the Phillies and what they did on 31 00:02:04,000 --> 00:02:06,040 Speaker 1: Friday and Saturday night. You know you and I went 32 00:02:06,080 --> 00:02:08,120 Speaker 1: to the Phillies game over the summer. That's a great 33 00:02:08,160 --> 00:02:11,400 Speaker 1: state of experience and it is beautiful, like when the 34 00:02:11,440 --> 00:02:16,079 Speaker 1: sun is setting. It is wonderful. Man, What a glorious 35 00:02:16,120 --> 00:02:18,480 Speaker 1: weekend to be in Philadelphia. It looked like people are 36 00:02:18,520 --> 00:02:20,400 Speaker 1: paying for it. I went to the game Sunday night 37 00:02:20,400 --> 00:02:24,320 Speaker 1: and they were bruised up. Brother, I mean, people were belligerent, 38 00:02:24,560 --> 00:02:27,560 Speaker 1: like more more so than they usually are for Philadelphia fans. 39 00:02:27,600 --> 00:02:30,320 Speaker 1: So it was definitely these games where like I could 40 00:02:30,360 --> 00:02:32,520 Speaker 1: feel the tension in the vibe. Again, I'm not here 41 00:02:32,560 --> 00:02:35,520 Speaker 1: to defend Dallas Cowboys fans. I saw a kid, he's 42 00:02:35,560 --> 00:02:37,720 Speaker 1: like sixteen and a Cowboys jersey, and this dude just 43 00:02:37,760 --> 00:02:39,639 Speaker 1: laying into him. He was clearly in his forties. And 44 00:02:39,680 --> 00:02:41,120 Speaker 1: it's like I had to tell the guy, like I 45 00:02:41,160 --> 00:02:43,000 Speaker 1: was another guy who's told and big like me. I 46 00:02:43,040 --> 00:02:44,760 Speaker 1: was like, dude, we don't wanna have to fight you, 47 00:02:44,800 --> 00:02:46,480 Speaker 1: but like, you're picking on a sixteen year old, what 48 00:02:46,560 --> 00:02:49,040 Speaker 1: is happening right now? So it was definitely a risky 49 00:02:49,120 --> 00:02:51,040 Speaker 1: weekend where guys who went to the Phillies game just 50 00:02:51,120 --> 00:02:53,680 Speaker 1: kept boozing. It was an eight o'clock Cowboys game. I 51 00:02:53,680 --> 00:02:56,760 Speaker 1: think they got fourteen straight points. You could feel attention, 52 00:02:56,760 --> 00:02:59,120 Speaker 1: you know, that feeling in the stadium of like this 53 00:02:59,200 --> 00:03:01,880 Speaker 1: is happening right now. But thank you, thank god for 54 00:03:01,919 --> 00:03:04,960 Speaker 1: those Cowboy fans that didn't uh, they all survived the night. 55 00:03:05,320 --> 00:03:08,520 Speaker 1: And yeah, just again, Eagles six and oh first half, 56 00:03:08,600 --> 00:03:10,519 Speaker 1: six and oh in the season, you know, a t 57 00:03:10,880 --> 00:03:13,320 Speaker 1: S crazy bet that keeps hitting and the fact that 58 00:03:13,320 --> 00:03:16,320 Speaker 1: their six and oh as well, it's yeah, it's magical. 59 00:03:16,440 --> 00:03:18,080 Speaker 1: Is a better and a fan of the team, By 60 00:03:18,080 --> 00:03:20,400 Speaker 1: the way, we had the the Eagles and the contest, 61 00:03:20,440 --> 00:03:22,440 Speaker 1: that the Cowboys and the contest, and we will talk 62 00:03:22,480 --> 00:03:25,520 Speaker 1: about the contest the other three and two weeks. You know, 63 00:03:25,840 --> 00:03:28,720 Speaker 1: I will remind everybody in this show we will start 64 00:03:28,760 --> 00:03:33,000 Speaker 1: to narrow down our favorite five. We will do our 65 00:03:33,080 --> 00:03:35,280 Speaker 1: Fox sold, we will do our Simon says, we will 66 00:03:35,280 --> 00:03:39,120 Speaker 1: do our exact decision. A reminder to everybody. By the way, 67 00:03:39,240 --> 00:03:41,840 Speaker 1: if you like betting, do you love the n b 68 00:03:41,960 --> 00:03:44,880 Speaker 1: A the way I love the n b A. I 69 00:03:44,920 --> 00:03:48,240 Speaker 1: am a League past freak. I love Zach Lows of 70 00:03:48,480 --> 00:03:51,200 Speaker 1: ESPN dot Com. I love as lead Past rankings. My 71 00:03:51,320 --> 00:03:53,040 Speaker 1: kid and I have been talking about it all week. 72 00:03:53,480 --> 00:03:55,480 Speaker 1: I will watch as many games on Lead Pass as 73 00:03:55,480 --> 00:03:58,720 Speaker 1: I can. I think it's just an incredible product. Another 74 00:03:58,760 --> 00:04:05,080 Speaker 1: great product Action Networks Buckets podcast, hosted primarily by Matt Moore, 75 00:04:05,160 --> 00:04:09,360 Speaker 1: who's one of the premier NBA writers of his generation. 76 00:04:10,680 --> 00:04:14,840 Speaker 1: He kind of invented writing about analytics on the NBA. 77 00:04:15,480 --> 00:04:18,960 Speaker 1: He will co host Buckets, the NBA Betting Podcast, every 78 00:04:19,000 --> 00:04:21,400 Speaker 1: single day during the week, the first time we're doing 79 00:04:21,400 --> 00:04:24,719 Speaker 1: this every day. It's the most actionable NBA betting podcast 80 00:04:25,320 --> 00:04:27,359 Speaker 1: you can get, and anyone will tell you that betting 81 00:04:27,360 --> 00:04:32,880 Speaker 1: on the NBA is just freaking phenomenally fun. It's great 82 00:04:32,880 --> 00:04:36,200 Speaker 1: to combine it with watching uh Lee pass the Go 83 00:04:36,400 --> 00:04:40,760 Speaker 1: Bowls over forty one and a half. I like it, Simon. 84 00:04:41,080 --> 00:04:43,680 Speaker 1: We went three and two. We ended up going with 85 00:04:43,720 --> 00:04:46,240 Speaker 1: Atlanta plus five and a half, no brainer. Never waffled. 86 00:04:46,520 --> 00:04:50,800 Speaker 1: Jaguars plus two, that's gonna hurt a lot. And then 87 00:04:50,800 --> 00:04:55,080 Speaker 1: the Jets. The Jets was absolutely the last one in. 88 00:04:55,120 --> 00:04:57,440 Speaker 1: It came down to the Jets and the Ravens. I 89 00:04:57,480 --> 00:04:59,120 Speaker 1: wouldn't let you put the Ravens. That would do We 90 00:04:59,240 --> 00:05:01,240 Speaker 1: cannot go against the Giants. You mis remember that it 91 00:05:01,279 --> 00:05:03,360 Speaker 1: was the Seahawks and Jets. No matter what, we're gonna 92 00:05:03,400 --> 00:05:05,520 Speaker 1: get that win. I just I told you, no matter what, 93 00:05:05,560 --> 00:05:07,159 Speaker 1: we weren't going against the Giants. I said, I don't 94 00:05:07,200 --> 00:05:09,600 Speaker 1: I don't care if it's a good number. They just 95 00:05:09,680 --> 00:05:11,400 Speaker 1: keep taking our money. We're not going against the Giants. 96 00:05:11,440 --> 00:05:14,120 Speaker 1: And you're like, that's interesting. I remember having a conversation saying, 97 00:05:14,120 --> 00:05:16,440 Speaker 1: we don't really think the Ravens can cover in the 98 00:05:16,520 --> 00:05:18,680 Speaker 1: second half. Why I would put the Ravings in there? Yeah, 99 00:05:18,680 --> 00:05:21,120 Speaker 1: I just remember that the whole Giants part. But yeah, 100 00:05:21,160 --> 00:05:23,160 Speaker 1: the Jets one. I got where you're coming from, and 101 00:05:23,200 --> 00:05:25,000 Speaker 1: you talked about you just didn't like the public money 102 00:05:25,040 --> 00:05:26,760 Speaker 1: on it, and it was just like I said, the 103 00:05:26,800 --> 00:05:28,640 Speaker 1: public does win shot, and it's seven and a half. 104 00:05:28,680 --> 00:05:30,200 Speaker 1: I feel like we kind of have to take it. 105 00:05:30,320 --> 00:05:33,520 Speaker 1: So thank god we did it. Just it definitely spooked me. 106 00:05:33,880 --> 00:05:36,040 Speaker 1: Zach Wilson looks like a deer and headlights sometimes and 107 00:05:36,080 --> 00:05:40,120 Speaker 1: you're just like God, but that that defense. The Jets team, man, 108 00:05:40,240 --> 00:05:43,000 Speaker 1: their fans are lapping, taking dance on people's graves right now, 109 00:05:43,040 --> 00:05:45,279 Speaker 1: and they should be like four and to the city 110 00:05:45,640 --> 00:05:47,960 Speaker 1: or New Jerseys, I should say them in the Giants, 111 00:05:47,960 --> 00:05:51,040 Speaker 1: it's buzzing and buffalo for New York. That's it's just 112 00:05:51,440 --> 00:05:53,800 Speaker 1: a wild time right now for all these teams. Should 113 00:05:53,839 --> 00:05:55,560 Speaker 1: we check in with Matt Mitchell right now and see 114 00:05:55,600 --> 00:05:59,320 Speaker 1: how we survived the Kansas City Bills game. I have 115 00:05:59,440 --> 00:06:06,120 Speaker 1: never been in more emotionally, personally, financially invested in a 116 00:06:06,160 --> 00:06:08,719 Speaker 1: football game that was not a playoff game in my 117 00:06:08,920 --> 00:06:13,039 Speaker 1: entire life. Over leveraged as they would say. And of 118 00:06:13,080 --> 00:06:14,880 Speaker 1: course it was in that dreadful window where I had 119 00:06:14,880 --> 00:06:17,640 Speaker 1: to get both kids to bed, bless my wife, taking 120 00:06:17,680 --> 00:06:19,599 Speaker 1: my kids out of the house for the entire first half. 121 00:06:19,720 --> 00:06:21,960 Speaker 1: She's the real M v P. And it was like 122 00:06:22,000 --> 00:06:24,640 Speaker 1: a heavyweight fight, and I was the one who ended 123 00:06:24,680 --> 00:06:27,640 Speaker 1: up feeling Badford and Bruce by the end. But you know, 124 00:06:27,800 --> 00:06:30,719 Speaker 1: got to slip on the latex gloves. Have my have 125 00:06:30,839 --> 00:06:34,480 Speaker 1: my lobats, have my delicious wings. And then as soon 126 00:06:34,520 --> 00:06:36,479 Speaker 1: as that game was over, I had my wife. She 127 00:06:36,640 --> 00:06:38,520 Speaker 1: was pretty excited because she knew I would go and 128 00:06:38,520 --> 00:06:41,320 Speaker 1: pick her up anything she wanted for dinner. So I 129 00:06:41,360 --> 00:06:42,800 Speaker 1: had to drive to the South Side to get her 130 00:06:42,800 --> 00:06:45,560 Speaker 1: her favorite sandwich and then I just got absolutely blasted. 131 00:06:45,800 --> 00:06:47,839 Speaker 1: So as I got back, So I want to thank 132 00:06:47,920 --> 00:06:50,040 Speaker 1: Josh Allen. I'm gonna play the Josh Allen alarm here 133 00:06:50,279 --> 00:06:52,800 Speaker 1: and I'll continue to do this until everyone's ears bleed, 134 00:06:53,040 --> 00:06:55,360 Speaker 1: because Josh Allen is the savior of Western New York. 135 00:06:57,279 --> 00:07:05,240 Speaker 1: I learned Allen looking for God. He's a los A. 136 00:07:06,279 --> 00:07:09,520 Speaker 1: He's a football player, through and through it, there's left 137 00:07:09,520 --> 00:07:14,760 Speaker 1: and there we go dr to excuse me, cuts down? 138 00:07:15,040 --> 00:07:18,360 Speaker 1: How many quarterbacks have you ever seen hurdle anyone? Goodness, 139 00:07:18,720 --> 00:07:33,080 Speaker 1: there's no fear, no way. He was put whole. He's 140 00:07:33,120 --> 00:07:37,960 Speaker 1: still going. Oh my god. The demands to do something 141 00:07:38,000 --> 00:07:44,920 Speaker 1: about this reaches man making Loader and Loader. Let me 142 00:07:45,000 --> 00:07:47,240 Speaker 1: just say this, when you talk about putting on the 143 00:07:47,320 --> 00:07:49,640 Speaker 1: latex gloves and for those who are listening live, Matt 144 00:07:49,680 --> 00:07:54,239 Speaker 1: Mitchell eats his wings with latex gloves because he doesn't 145 00:07:54,240 --> 00:07:56,960 Speaker 1: like to get his fingers dirty. Every time you do that, 146 00:07:57,480 --> 00:08:01,080 Speaker 1: I think you're a serial killer and more like a surgeon. 147 00:08:01,520 --> 00:08:04,360 Speaker 1: Like a surgeon. But surprise of that game though, right, 148 00:08:04,440 --> 00:08:06,440 Speaker 1: Like the pros were all over that. That line was 149 00:08:06,520 --> 00:08:08,960 Speaker 1: fishy all week a little bit. So you know, if 150 00:08:09,040 --> 00:08:10,800 Speaker 1: Chadwood came here on Sunday, so let's put the Bills 151 00:08:10,800 --> 00:08:12,120 Speaker 1: and I wouldn't be able to fight him on it. 152 00:08:12,160 --> 00:08:14,600 Speaker 1: But I took the first half. Felt really lucky to 153 00:08:14,600 --> 00:08:17,240 Speaker 1: get that. But as a Bills fan, I don't know. 154 00:08:17,280 --> 00:08:18,480 Speaker 1: I feel like you guys, one of them that you 155 00:08:18,520 --> 00:08:20,760 Speaker 1: would want the Bills to lose that game. Now you 156 00:08:20,840 --> 00:08:23,960 Speaker 1: gotta beat the Chiefs twice in the same year, you 157 00:08:24,040 --> 00:08:26,360 Speaker 1: have yet to do it. It's so to me, it 158 00:08:26,440 --> 00:08:29,240 Speaker 1: was like all set up perfectly, But Josh sounds so 159 00:08:29,320 --> 00:08:31,080 Speaker 1: damn good. He can't help but be the m v 160 00:08:31,120 --> 00:08:33,319 Speaker 1: P that he is and win that game. So I'm 161 00:08:33,360 --> 00:08:35,440 Speaker 1: scared for Bills fans. We already know how it's gonna 162 00:08:35,440 --> 00:08:38,080 Speaker 1: play out, right, NFC East is NFC beast this year 163 00:08:38,440 --> 00:08:40,920 Speaker 1: one of these three teams, Giants, Cowboys, Eagles get to 164 00:08:40,960 --> 00:08:43,400 Speaker 1: the Super Bowl to take down the Bills again for 165 00:08:43,440 --> 00:08:46,440 Speaker 1: the fifth straighte time. Madam Mitchell, I don't know how 166 00:08:46,480 --> 00:08:48,760 Speaker 1: you would handle that, but it just feels like it's 167 00:08:48,800 --> 00:08:50,480 Speaker 1: all studing up for the Bills to make it and 168 00:08:50,480 --> 00:08:53,600 Speaker 1: then play an NFC NFC East team history just can't 169 00:08:53,600 --> 00:08:56,360 Speaker 1: help but repeat itself. Simon, We're gonna get to these 170 00:08:56,400 --> 00:08:59,280 Speaker 1: games right now. Also a reminder, we in the Foxhole, 171 00:08:59,360 --> 00:09:02,720 Speaker 1: we had the same plus two that was that was 172 00:09:03,679 --> 00:09:07,400 Speaker 1: crushing defeat. If Latinimore played out of a different game 173 00:09:07,480 --> 00:09:09,160 Speaker 1: like that, she's getting away there at the end of 174 00:09:09,200 --> 00:09:12,000 Speaker 1: score that touchdown, No chance he does it against him, 175 00:09:12,040 --> 00:09:15,319 Speaker 1: So that that was just a glaring injury, Simon says, 176 00:09:15,360 --> 00:09:17,360 Speaker 1: was in Atlanta plus five and a half, well done. 177 00:09:17,440 --> 00:09:20,880 Speaker 1: The exact decision was Cleveland minus three. Not good job 178 00:09:20,920 --> 00:09:24,000 Speaker 1: by me. The big balls better the week. I own it. 179 00:09:24,240 --> 00:09:26,480 Speaker 1: I own it. You said it on the podcast. It's 180 00:09:26,520 --> 00:09:32,840 Speaker 1: all me. I own it, Pittsburgh Steelers. What I don't 181 00:09:32,920 --> 00:09:36,320 Speaker 1: understand is why the fuck when I have a clip 182 00:09:36,760 --> 00:09:39,800 Speaker 1: where I say, the Pittsburgh Steelers on the right side. 183 00:09:40,160 --> 00:09:42,679 Speaker 1: Why can't we fucking find it and post it. I 184 00:09:42,679 --> 00:09:46,160 Speaker 1: don't understand this, Chad Wins. It's like it doesn't even exist. 185 00:09:46,400 --> 00:09:48,800 Speaker 1: It didn't post it, No they did. I didn't see it. 186 00:09:48,880 --> 00:09:51,680 Speaker 1: Just a pure ego. Manya god bluss chet even I 187 00:09:51,720 --> 00:09:55,199 Speaker 1: saw it. I'm never on Twitter. That's so classic chat. 188 00:09:55,800 --> 00:09:58,000 Speaker 1: But the scruture let guy who who bullied me in 189 00:09:58,000 --> 00:09:59,400 Speaker 1: the very beginning of the year because his record was 190 00:09:59,440 --> 00:10:02,480 Speaker 1: better than Survivor we had the ram scootlew led signed 191 00:10:02,559 --> 00:10:05,040 Speaker 1: at Seattle plus two and a half. Chat at the 192 00:10:05,040 --> 00:10:09,240 Speaker 1: Saints plus one and half Noman always ends up the 193 00:10:09,280 --> 00:10:12,400 Speaker 1: head my friend. Um, we gotta get into these games. 194 00:10:12,400 --> 00:10:14,760 Speaker 1: I think we've got some serious questions to ask ourselves 195 00:10:14,760 --> 00:10:18,040 Speaker 1: about the Jags, about the Browns, about the Colts. We're 196 00:10:18,040 --> 00:10:21,240 Speaker 1: gonna get to all that. Let's rock and roll with 197 00:10:21,400 --> 00:10:25,840 Speaker 1: the Thursday night game for this week, the Saints visiting 198 00:10:25,960 --> 00:10:29,320 Speaker 1: the Arizona Cardinals. These Saints are one and a half 199 00:10:29,320 --> 00:10:32,280 Speaker 1: point underdogs right now. I mean, look, the Cardinals now 200 00:10:32,320 --> 00:10:35,920 Speaker 1: have Robbie Anderson and that changes everything. Uh, tickets are 201 00:10:35,960 --> 00:10:39,800 Speaker 1: on the Cardinals. The money is on the Saints Thursday 202 00:10:39,880 --> 00:10:43,160 Speaker 1: night game. Here's what we can tell you. Tends to 203 00:10:43,240 --> 00:10:47,240 Speaker 1: favor the home team and favor the younger No. I 204 00:10:47,240 --> 00:10:49,400 Speaker 1: mean this Cardinals team, I feel like you just keep 205 00:10:49,440 --> 00:10:52,000 Speaker 1: it simple. You fade them in the first quarter, you 206 00:10:52,040 --> 00:10:53,960 Speaker 1: fade them in the first half. You can do whatever 207 00:10:54,000 --> 00:10:55,480 Speaker 1: the whatever you want with us of the game. But 208 00:10:56,400 --> 00:10:59,160 Speaker 1: it's literally like watching poetry there. There really are giving 209 00:10:59,200 --> 00:11:01,360 Speaker 1: us free money with this Ainos team. I think they 210 00:11:01,360 --> 00:11:04,120 Speaker 1: had the ball, it must have been fourth and two, 211 00:11:04,160 --> 00:11:05,720 Speaker 1: so like they should line up for a field goal 212 00:11:05,720 --> 00:11:08,720 Speaker 1: in the first quarter. They didn't. They let the time run, 213 00:11:09,000 --> 00:11:11,680 Speaker 1: so anything they took Seattle covered that first quarter and 214 00:11:11,720 --> 00:11:13,360 Speaker 1: then of course they went for the fourth and two, 215 00:11:13,400 --> 00:11:15,720 Speaker 1: didn't get it. Setta goes down the field scores, they 216 00:11:15,800 --> 00:11:18,920 Speaker 1: cover the first half and they just whatever it is 217 00:11:18,920 --> 00:11:22,040 Speaker 1: with this Cardinals team is just something wrong. And the 218 00:11:22,080 --> 00:11:24,160 Speaker 1: issue wasn't my receivers to me again, they're about to 219 00:11:24,200 --> 00:11:28,439 Speaker 1: get back Hopkins, right, So that was an interesting move 220 00:11:28,520 --> 00:11:32,120 Speaker 1: by them. Um again, could have because Marcus Brown's got 221 00:11:32,320 --> 00:11:34,600 Speaker 1: hurt and they thought, you know, Brown's got a foot injury. 222 00:11:34,760 --> 00:11:37,520 Speaker 1: Maybe that's why we make this move. But apparently it's 223 00:11:37,520 --> 00:11:39,600 Speaker 1: not serious that I thought it was gonna be. I 224 00:11:39,760 --> 00:11:42,760 Speaker 1: just I look at this Cardinals team is I just 225 00:11:42,760 --> 00:11:44,520 Speaker 1: don't know when I'm gonna get behind them. So if 226 00:11:44,520 --> 00:11:46,439 Speaker 1: you if you've been waiting to back them, this is 227 00:11:46,480 --> 00:11:48,640 Speaker 1: a good spot. But I just know all the professionals 228 00:11:48,640 --> 00:11:50,560 Speaker 1: will be on the Saints. The Saints are just a 229 00:11:50,559 --> 00:11:53,440 Speaker 1: more complete team. They're in that game without their three 230 00:11:53,480 --> 00:11:57,360 Speaker 1: top receivers against the Bengals. They're just a tough team. 231 00:11:57,440 --> 00:11:59,520 Speaker 1: So I see hard in New Orleans. I see no 232 00:11:59,640 --> 00:12:03,199 Speaker 1: heart with the Cardinals. I'll take New Orleans. The Saints 233 00:12:03,240 --> 00:12:06,520 Speaker 1: are what we like to say in the business, a 234 00:12:06,600 --> 00:12:11,839 Speaker 1: tough out. Yeah, they really are. They're They're just impressive 235 00:12:11,880 --> 00:12:17,320 Speaker 1: and uh they're they they're hyper competent. And I was 236 00:12:17,360 --> 00:12:20,640 Speaker 1: not a Dennis Allen fan coming into the year, but 237 00:12:20,760 --> 00:12:24,679 Speaker 1: it seems like he fully understands who he is and 238 00:12:24,720 --> 00:12:27,760 Speaker 1: who this team is and what their strengths are. They 239 00:12:27,800 --> 00:12:31,440 Speaker 1: don't try to be who they aren't. They're a They're 240 00:12:31,480 --> 00:12:36,240 Speaker 1: a sturdy, lunch pale team. Yeah, and when they don't 241 00:12:36,240 --> 00:12:38,560 Speaker 1: have enough talent like they did in this weekend, they 242 00:12:38,720 --> 00:12:40,600 Speaker 1: keep it close, but they might lose it in the end. 243 00:12:41,960 --> 00:12:44,079 Speaker 1: Kind of it pass for me is in the contest, 244 00:12:44,120 --> 00:12:46,520 Speaker 1: there's not it wouldn't do contest, but first at first quarter, 245 00:12:46,520 --> 00:12:49,280 Speaker 1: I'm just gonna keep riding these trends, like a couple 246 00:12:49,280 --> 00:12:51,080 Speaker 1: of trends brim me last week and other ones I 247 00:12:51,080 --> 00:12:53,880 Speaker 1: got super lucky with like that Giant under we joked 248 00:12:53,880 --> 00:12:57,000 Speaker 1: about it was it's been fourteen and one now one 249 00:12:57,280 --> 00:12:59,920 Speaker 1: took a knee at the one and it hit so again. 250 00:13:00,000 --> 00:13:01,680 Speaker 1: You can get lucky, but you just play those trends 251 00:13:01,720 --> 00:13:03,880 Speaker 1: and numbers and usually can work out for you. Well, listen, 252 00:13:04,520 --> 00:13:06,720 Speaker 1: you know how much I love the luck rankings, the 253 00:13:06,880 --> 00:13:09,800 Speaker 1: luck rankings that we're doing on Action Network, Action network 254 00:13:09,840 --> 00:13:13,360 Speaker 1: dot com down the Action Network happ is free, the 255 00:13:13,520 --> 00:13:17,280 Speaker 1: luck rankings. When there's a differential in luck as we 256 00:13:17,720 --> 00:13:23,320 Speaker 1: calculated of sixteen points or more, well ten or more 257 00:13:23,600 --> 00:13:27,920 Speaker 1: is one record, it's I think, uh, something like eighteen 258 00:13:28,040 --> 00:13:32,200 Speaker 1: and ten against the spread. But when it's sixteen or more, 259 00:13:33,000 --> 00:13:35,400 Speaker 1: the delta is like fourteen and two against the spread. 260 00:13:35,920 --> 00:13:38,000 Speaker 1: The Giants continue to be one of the luckiest teams 261 00:13:38,000 --> 00:13:44,120 Speaker 1: in the NFL. Yeah. Yeah. Meanwhile, the Colts. Are we 262 00:13:44,160 --> 00:13:46,680 Speaker 1: wrong about the Colts. They're on the road at the 263 00:13:46,720 --> 00:13:50,880 Speaker 1: Titans divisional game. There's some two and a half Titans 264 00:13:50,880 --> 00:13:55,120 Speaker 1: out there. There's some three out there. Is this one 265 00:13:55,160 --> 00:13:57,920 Speaker 1: of those where if you can get the home team 266 00:13:57,960 --> 00:14:00,079 Speaker 1: at two and a half off the by, you take it. 267 00:14:00,320 --> 00:14:03,439 Speaker 1: If not, you pass. Yeah, we're just We'll keep losing 268 00:14:03,440 --> 00:14:05,600 Speaker 1: money to the Colts. But I have no other choice here. 269 00:14:05,679 --> 00:14:08,839 Speaker 1: It's like Tennessee is a good team. They play good 270 00:14:08,880 --> 00:14:13,360 Speaker 1: at home. Colts. It's it's incredible what they've done this year. 271 00:14:13,440 --> 00:14:16,120 Speaker 1: They just even if they they're not playing well that 272 00:14:16,200 --> 00:14:19,000 Speaker 1: the Matt Ryan has just been unreal in these final 273 00:14:19,040 --> 00:14:21,360 Speaker 1: two minutes of these games, Like three different games they 274 00:14:21,480 --> 00:14:24,040 Speaker 1: flipped now on their season in the final two minutes. 275 00:14:24,080 --> 00:14:27,920 Speaker 1: So yeah, I could not understand it. It doesn't matter. 276 00:14:28,000 --> 00:14:29,760 Speaker 1: It's just like again, we'll talk about the Giants when 277 00:14:29,760 --> 00:14:32,800 Speaker 1: they come up. That's literally football, like it. Winning is 278 00:14:32,880 --> 00:14:34,920 Speaker 1: the hardest part. All the other stuff is pretty easy. 279 00:14:34,960 --> 00:14:37,560 Speaker 1: Belichick always talks about that you can have the smartest 280 00:14:37,560 --> 00:14:40,640 Speaker 1: game plan, you can have the best defensive scheme, did 281 00:14:40,680 --> 00:14:42,600 Speaker 1: you win because that is literally the hardest part of 282 00:14:42,600 --> 00:14:44,520 Speaker 1: these games. So like, I don't know if the hell's 283 00:14:44,560 --> 00:14:46,480 Speaker 1: going on the Giants. They keep winning, which is the 284 00:14:46,480 --> 00:14:48,920 Speaker 1: hardest part. I have no idea how the Colts keep 285 00:14:48,920 --> 00:14:51,040 Speaker 1: doing it. But the only thing I can think of 286 00:14:51,120 --> 00:14:54,560 Speaker 1: is like a team here that a veteran quarterback in 287 00:14:54,600 --> 00:14:57,440 Speaker 1: the final two minutes, he's just playing really well. So 288 00:14:58,200 --> 00:15:01,240 Speaker 1: I feel like the public eventually come in on the 289 00:15:01,240 --> 00:15:04,040 Speaker 1: Colts here because of what they saw last week. And 290 00:15:04,080 --> 00:15:05,960 Speaker 1: Tennessee is kind of just a team that feels a 291 00:15:05,960 --> 00:15:08,640 Speaker 1: little flukey at the record. But like I feel like 292 00:15:08,640 --> 00:15:10,960 Speaker 1: you just you talked about Chad minus two and a half, 293 00:15:10,960 --> 00:15:12,680 Speaker 1: it's it's hard for me not to take Tennessee here. 294 00:15:12,720 --> 00:15:14,800 Speaker 1: That's just a nice number for a team that beat 295 00:15:14,840 --> 00:15:17,240 Speaker 1: this cold team like two weeks ago by seven. By 296 00:15:17,280 --> 00:15:19,440 Speaker 1: the way, the Titans are minus two and a half 297 00:15:19,520 --> 00:15:22,720 Speaker 1: minus one twenty at FanDuel. Here's the benefit of listening live. 298 00:15:23,360 --> 00:15:28,920 Speaker 1: If if it's at minus one, they're basically saying get 299 00:15:28,920 --> 00:15:30,320 Speaker 1: it at two and a half while you can because 300 00:15:30,320 --> 00:15:32,600 Speaker 1: it's gonna go to three soon. If you're in a 301 00:15:32,640 --> 00:15:34,920 Speaker 1: state where you can get FanDuel and you're using the 302 00:15:34,960 --> 00:15:37,600 Speaker 1: Action Network app, you can go right from the app 303 00:15:37,720 --> 00:15:40,280 Speaker 1: to betting on FanDuel with quick Slip. It is so 304 00:15:40,400 --> 00:15:43,320 Speaker 1: freaking easy, and then are automatically then you can track 305 00:15:43,360 --> 00:15:46,480 Speaker 1: your bet right away. Um, I wouldn't do it though 306 00:15:47,560 --> 00:15:49,840 Speaker 1: I wouldn't. I would not take Tennessee right now. I 307 00:15:50,080 --> 00:15:53,320 Speaker 1: I need to run. I would have to look into 308 00:15:53,360 --> 00:15:56,520 Speaker 1: it more because this stinks. This line stinks like the 309 00:15:56,840 --> 00:15:59,440 Speaker 1: books aren't our friends, all right, guys, we all know that, 310 00:15:59,640 --> 00:16:02,320 Speaker 1: So I need to look into lines like this. I 311 00:16:02,440 --> 00:16:04,960 Speaker 1: just my first glance, My first gut is the hit it. 312 00:16:05,320 --> 00:16:07,040 Speaker 1: There's other games. I bet we're gonna talk about, but 313 00:16:07,080 --> 00:16:09,600 Speaker 1: this one. I like it. I like Tennessee. I just 314 00:16:09,600 --> 00:16:12,240 Speaker 1: would not buy it. It's the same thing with a 315 00:16:12,360 --> 00:16:15,160 Speaker 1: last week with the Saints, like they got me good, Like, honestly, 316 00:16:15,160 --> 00:16:17,600 Speaker 1: we did see those injuries coming. But that number right 317 00:16:17,600 --> 00:16:20,000 Speaker 1: away like stunk to me. It's like that's that's free money. 318 00:16:20,000 --> 00:16:22,160 Speaker 1: There's no way that Bangles should be favorite. So it 319 00:16:22,160 --> 00:16:23,760 Speaker 1: feels the same here with Tennessee. It feels like a 320 00:16:23,800 --> 00:16:26,160 Speaker 1: really low number for a home team. That's to me, 321 00:16:26,280 --> 00:16:29,320 Speaker 1: better than Colts. Simon. I'm trying to show for the 322 00:16:29,360 --> 00:16:31,440 Speaker 1: sponsor right here, and you're you're getting in the way 323 00:16:31,480 --> 00:16:35,520 Speaker 1: and you're trying to keep it real for the people. Yeah, 324 00:16:35,760 --> 00:16:41,760 Speaker 1: good lord, I haven't sold out yet. The Giants, the 325 00:16:41,960 --> 00:16:46,480 Speaker 1: very lucky Giants, are visiting the Jaguars Jaguars or minus 326 00:16:46,600 --> 00:16:50,040 Speaker 1: three right now? Are we wrong about the Jaguars. We 327 00:16:50,080 --> 00:16:51,760 Speaker 1: are in love with the Jaguars, and I feel like 328 00:16:51,760 --> 00:16:54,320 Speaker 1: the Jaguars have been the team where we have down 329 00:16:54,600 --> 00:16:57,400 Speaker 1: that our biases are getting in the way. Is it 330 00:16:57,520 --> 00:17:01,360 Speaker 1: the they were that took a third in last second touchdown? 331 00:17:01,400 --> 00:17:04,160 Speaker 1: Like that was brutal, um, But that's just gambling chat. 332 00:17:04,200 --> 00:17:05,520 Speaker 1: I don't know. I don't I don't react to it 333 00:17:05,560 --> 00:17:08,240 Speaker 1: too much. Both these teams are burned us in totally 334 00:17:08,280 --> 00:17:11,720 Speaker 1: opposite ways. Of course we should be. I'm betting, I 335 00:17:11,720 --> 00:17:13,680 Speaker 1: can tell you right. No, I'm betting Jaguars, no brainer. 336 00:17:13,680 --> 00:17:17,000 Speaker 1: I'm betting the Jaguar boxhol are the Jaguars assignment says, 337 00:17:17,680 --> 00:17:19,160 Speaker 1: I don't know, because I don't know if you're gonna 338 00:17:19,240 --> 00:17:21,280 Speaker 1: let me puts in the contest just because they literally 339 00:17:21,480 --> 00:17:23,639 Speaker 1: they just keep burning us, the Jaguars. They keep it 340 00:17:23,840 --> 00:17:26,560 Speaker 1: in good spots and then something happens where they lose 341 00:17:26,680 --> 00:17:28,919 Speaker 1: and don't cover at the end of these games. So listen, 342 00:17:29,520 --> 00:17:31,199 Speaker 1: I'm not afraid of the Jaguars. I just want to 343 00:17:31,200 --> 00:17:35,040 Speaker 1: know if we're evaluating them wrong, all right. I mean, 344 00:17:35,080 --> 00:17:37,800 Speaker 1: if you like the Giants, teak, I just think I'm 345 00:17:37,800 --> 00:17:39,679 Speaker 1: saying no, no, no, no, no no, I'm not saying I 346 00:17:39,720 --> 00:17:42,560 Speaker 1: like the Giants. Do you like that? Are you saying 347 00:17:42,760 --> 00:17:44,680 Speaker 1: you want to bet the Jaguars? You want to bet 348 00:17:44,680 --> 00:17:47,600 Speaker 1: the Giants? I would take the Jaguars. Nothing's changed in 349 00:17:47,600 --> 00:17:50,480 Speaker 1: my opinion. Like again, I don't care that they didn't 350 00:17:50,480 --> 00:17:53,240 Speaker 1: cover last week. I stay the course. It's like my 351 00:17:53,359 --> 00:17:55,760 Speaker 1: numbers say they're better than they are. Yeah, that sucked. 352 00:17:55,760 --> 00:17:58,640 Speaker 1: What happened last week? How am I going to build 353 00:17:58,640 --> 00:18:00,439 Speaker 1: a model off of that? A guy on third and 354 00:18:00,440 --> 00:18:02,480 Speaker 1: tent off his back foot, there's a perfect strike to 355 00:18:02,480 --> 00:18:04,480 Speaker 1: the corner of the end zone seventeen seconds. It's just 356 00:18:05,080 --> 00:18:07,640 Speaker 1: it's not possible. I do have worries about their defense, 357 00:18:07,760 --> 00:18:12,360 Speaker 1: which consistently can't stop anybody down. Some weeks they're good, 358 00:18:12,359 --> 00:18:14,400 Speaker 1: some weeks they're bad. Again, that's the issue right now. 359 00:18:14,440 --> 00:18:16,800 Speaker 1: Like their offense shows up, their defense doesn't. Their defense 360 00:18:16,800 --> 00:18:20,679 Speaker 1: shows up, the offense doesn't. They're just inconsistent. So that's 361 00:18:20,640 --> 00:18:21,879 Speaker 1: so I don't know if I'm gonna make it in 362 00:18:21,920 --> 00:18:23,520 Speaker 1: one of our plays in the contest, but I can 363 00:18:23,560 --> 00:18:26,359 Speaker 1: promise you I'm betting this number. It's the Giants. Like 364 00:18:26,359 --> 00:18:28,240 Speaker 1: you just said, they're probably the luckiest team of football. 365 00:18:28,240 --> 00:18:31,000 Speaker 1: It's it's insane. They're five on one, but they are 366 00:18:31,040 --> 00:18:33,560 Speaker 1: their record right like their only loss was to a 367 00:18:33,600 --> 00:18:37,119 Speaker 1: division or foe. And the Cowboys just you know the 368 00:18:37,200 --> 00:18:39,480 Speaker 1: other team. That's the same way the Bills. The Bills 369 00:18:39,520 --> 00:18:42,040 Speaker 1: are five and one, they're only lost the divisional team. 370 00:18:42,080 --> 00:18:45,359 Speaker 1: How much world aparts are these two teams? It's football though, 371 00:18:45,359 --> 00:18:47,640 Speaker 1: it doesn't make sense, but they are what their record 372 00:18:47,680 --> 00:18:50,560 Speaker 1: says they are? Uh, do you want to make it? 373 00:18:50,600 --> 00:18:53,320 Speaker 1: Foxholder signon says no, I got something else for that, 374 00:18:53,600 --> 00:18:57,800 Speaker 1: all right, Buccaneers on the Road. I'm putting the Jaguars 375 00:18:57,920 --> 00:19:00,399 Speaker 1: on our list as one of our fives, just for 376 00:19:00,480 --> 00:19:05,720 Speaker 1: conversation starters. Buccaneers. Buccaneers on the road at the damned 377 00:19:05,720 --> 00:19:12,960 Speaker 1: dinner party. That's funny, It's funny. Listen, listen. My life 378 00:19:13,000 --> 00:19:18,800 Speaker 1: is all, you know, butlers and servers and candelabras and 379 00:19:18,920 --> 00:19:23,680 Speaker 1: genteel conversation in the hinterlands of New England. It's all 380 00:19:23,880 --> 00:19:27,280 Speaker 1: folly and habit and oh isn't it cute? Isn't it 381 00:19:27,320 --> 00:19:29,879 Speaker 1: all cute? This betting thing? I'll tell you right now. 382 00:19:29,960 --> 00:19:32,719 Speaker 1: The Jacks will be part of the conversation Buccaneers on 383 00:19:32,760 --> 00:19:35,560 Speaker 1: the road at the Panthers plus ten and a half. 384 00:19:36,280 --> 00:19:40,520 Speaker 1: In our world looking at the number, this is an 385 00:19:40,560 --> 00:19:45,160 Speaker 1: auto bet on the Panthers. Yes, but I don't know. 386 00:19:45,480 --> 00:19:47,000 Speaker 1: I don't know if I'll be in our contest. But 387 00:19:47,000 --> 00:19:50,800 Speaker 1: like Chad just said, it's a divisional game. You know what, 388 00:19:50,800 --> 00:19:52,880 Speaker 1: I probably feel more comfortable even think about right now, 389 00:19:53,040 --> 00:19:55,280 Speaker 1: I'll be on the undermost likely Like this in the 390 00:19:55,359 --> 00:19:57,000 Speaker 1: Jets game, what talk can we get to that one? 391 00:19:57,480 --> 00:20:00,560 Speaker 1: Those felt like automatic bangers on the unders because something, 392 00:20:00,600 --> 00:20:03,920 Speaker 1: the Bucks defense is pretty solid and Carolina's defense isn't 393 00:20:03,960 --> 00:20:07,600 Speaker 1: that terrible? Like they were getting pressure on Stafford all 394 00:20:07,640 --> 00:20:11,520 Speaker 1: of the last UM game, you she was the offense 395 00:20:11,600 --> 00:20:16,200 Speaker 1: got nothing like again McCaffrey gets his. But the defense 396 00:20:16,240 --> 00:20:20,480 Speaker 1: can only be on the field so long until they're done. So, um, yeah, 397 00:20:20,520 --> 00:20:23,160 Speaker 1: Carolina tend and a half. I feel like Chad nailed. 398 00:20:23,200 --> 00:20:26,320 Speaker 1: It's like a big divisional dog. We take them in 399 00:20:26,320 --> 00:20:29,800 Speaker 1: the spot. Um, I don't know if I can be 400 00:20:29,800 --> 00:20:31,879 Speaker 1: talking to them that being the contest that p J 401 00:20:32,080 --> 00:20:36,639 Speaker 1: Walker kid bad bad, bad bad, So it's it's a 402 00:20:36,640 --> 00:20:39,479 Speaker 1: hard one to swallow. Um again, there's they're coming up. 403 00:20:39,480 --> 00:20:41,120 Speaker 1: There's a couple of dogs. I really like this week. 404 00:20:41,920 --> 00:20:43,640 Speaker 1: The total on this game is fourty and a half 405 00:20:43,760 --> 00:20:47,040 Speaker 1: right now, it's such an interesting game. So let's say 406 00:20:47,080 --> 00:20:48,719 Speaker 1: you don't look at the number. Let's say you look 407 00:20:48,720 --> 00:20:52,280 Speaker 1: at the numbers blindly. But the Panthers, which we will 408 00:20:52,920 --> 00:20:54,919 Speaker 1: ye have it in eat so like I'm, I'm this 409 00:20:54,960 --> 00:20:58,679 Speaker 1: is good value. But it's like no confidence. I mean again, 410 00:20:59,320 --> 00:21:01,119 Speaker 1: leads with your pit spurg one. I saw the hell 411 00:21:01,119 --> 00:21:03,159 Speaker 1: you're talking about. You're like, it's a good spot. That 412 00:21:03,240 --> 00:21:06,520 Speaker 1: back Tomlin, Like, forget the team, this is a Tomlin spot. 413 00:21:06,600 --> 00:21:09,399 Speaker 1: So like that made sense. We got nothing here except 414 00:21:09,480 --> 00:21:13,080 Speaker 1: our morals of like a divisional dog double digits at home. 415 00:21:15,240 --> 00:21:17,639 Speaker 1: We we we have morals when it comes to betting, 416 00:21:17,720 --> 00:21:19,840 Speaker 1: and we like to do the right thing. The reason 417 00:21:19,920 --> 00:21:23,000 Speaker 1: why I liked the Steelers against the Bucks, I like that, 418 00:21:23,520 --> 00:21:25,960 Speaker 1: I like Mike Tomlin as a coach. I like I 419 00:21:26,000 --> 00:21:29,480 Speaker 1: think Pittsburgh is a challenging place to play. I thought 420 00:21:29,520 --> 00:21:31,879 Speaker 1: it was a good spot. I think there's a lot 421 00:21:31,960 --> 00:21:34,920 Speaker 1: of disarray on the Buccaneers right now. I don't think 422 00:21:34,960 --> 00:21:38,320 Speaker 1: any of those things exist with the Panthers right like 423 00:21:38,400 --> 00:21:40,719 Speaker 1: I don't believe like I believe in Kenny Picket threw 424 00:21:40,720 --> 00:21:43,480 Speaker 1: a guy off the sideline and train it all. Yeah, 425 00:21:43,520 --> 00:21:45,640 Speaker 1: but I don't think like they don't. There's not it's 426 00:21:45,640 --> 00:21:49,320 Speaker 1: not a coaching mismatch. There's no real home field advantage 427 00:21:49,320 --> 00:21:51,359 Speaker 1: when you're playing in Carolina. You know how I feel 428 00:21:51,400 --> 00:21:56,359 Speaker 1: about like the culture in Carolina. It's Jake Gleeson or 429 00:21:56,359 --> 00:21:59,480 Speaker 1: p J. Walker. I just think Kenny Pickett. He played 430 00:21:59,480 --> 00:22:01,040 Speaker 1: well enough in the first game that I had enough, 431 00:22:01,040 --> 00:22:02,680 Speaker 1: but of a belief that they put together a game 432 00:22:02,680 --> 00:22:05,720 Speaker 1: plan with him for a full week, um, all those things, 433 00:22:05,760 --> 00:22:07,720 Speaker 1: even though it was Mitch Dubisky for a lot of 434 00:22:07,720 --> 00:22:11,000 Speaker 1: the game. So I like the Panthers here, but you 435 00:22:11,040 --> 00:22:16,240 Speaker 1: know we're not gonna big balls it or anything. Uh. Meanwhile, 436 00:22:17,000 --> 00:22:19,919 Speaker 1: the Green Bay Packers are on the road five and 437 00:22:19,920 --> 00:22:23,560 Speaker 1: a half point favorites against the Washington Commanders, playing without 438 00:22:23,640 --> 00:22:28,639 Speaker 1: Carson wentz Fo. I mean, Simon says, give it to me. 439 00:22:29,240 --> 00:22:31,600 Speaker 1: I love it. Automatic bet best news I heard all 440 00:22:31,640 --> 00:22:34,240 Speaker 1: week that Carson was out. Simon says, but you gotta 441 00:22:34,320 --> 00:22:37,280 Speaker 1: name who you're betting Washington. I mean, the people know 442 00:22:37,440 --> 00:22:39,480 Speaker 1: what do you think he's People think I'm taking green 443 00:22:39,520 --> 00:22:49,240 Speaker 1: Bay here doing yeah, easy bet Washington again, nothing against Wentz. 444 00:22:49,760 --> 00:22:51,959 Speaker 1: I just think they've had he's had. He has good 445 00:22:52,000 --> 00:22:54,080 Speaker 1: weapons around him, he just hasn't been using them. And 446 00:22:54,119 --> 00:22:56,919 Speaker 1: to me, where were the next quarterback up? It's a 447 00:22:56,920 --> 00:23:00,760 Speaker 1: big deal, Like Brian Roberts is going to be the offense, right, 448 00:23:00,800 --> 00:23:03,480 Speaker 1: they'll run it through the running back, play action, everything 449 00:23:03,480 --> 00:23:05,919 Speaker 1: you could think of of Corson holds onto too long. 450 00:23:05,960 --> 00:23:07,840 Speaker 1: That's why they stopped running play action because this kid 451 00:23:07,840 --> 00:23:09,800 Speaker 1: doesn't get it. You make one read, you throw it 452 00:23:09,920 --> 00:23:12,200 Speaker 1: or you throw dump you dump it off. Carson is 453 00:23:12,240 --> 00:23:15,760 Speaker 1: always like I can't stand it. So to me, I 454 00:23:15,800 --> 00:23:18,600 Speaker 1: wanted to be on Green Bay. It seems that's saw 455 00:23:18,600 --> 00:23:21,320 Speaker 1: Carson was out automatically was gonna be and on this 456 00:23:21,440 --> 00:23:23,840 Speaker 1: Washington team. The fact that all the money, all the 457 00:23:23,880 --> 00:23:25,919 Speaker 1: bets are gonna be coming in all week on Green Bed, 458 00:23:25,960 --> 00:23:28,480 Speaker 1: they're gonna putting them in teasers again. We just talked 459 00:23:28,480 --> 00:23:30,200 Speaker 1: about you talked about last week with the four nineers. 460 00:23:30,320 --> 00:23:31,840 Speaker 1: I looked at that number right away and said, this 461 00:23:31,880 --> 00:23:34,240 Speaker 1: is why you want Atlanta, Like they're giving you a 462 00:23:34,320 --> 00:23:36,680 Speaker 1: free number here at five and a half where people 463 00:23:36,680 --> 00:23:39,399 Speaker 1: will just tease down that that Forgers team like that 464 00:23:39,440 --> 00:23:41,680 Speaker 1: was gonna be a big team in that spot. Same 465 00:23:41,720 --> 00:23:43,560 Speaker 1: thing here, like iMedia, this is not number came out 466 00:23:43,600 --> 00:23:46,120 Speaker 1: green Bay. They're not what you guys think they are. 467 00:23:46,240 --> 00:23:48,919 Speaker 1: Like that. We made fun of that tenanto spread TENO 468 00:23:49,000 --> 00:23:52,040 Speaker 1: E t s number last week. It doesn't it doesn't play. 469 00:23:52,119 --> 00:23:55,280 Speaker 1: Davante Adams has gone. So to me, green Bay's issues 470 00:23:55,400 --> 00:23:59,560 Speaker 1: are way deep. Washington. They got talent, they got players 471 00:23:59,560 --> 00:24:01,640 Speaker 1: in this team. They shouldn't be as bad as a record, says. 472 00:24:01,640 --> 00:24:03,879 Speaker 1: They just didn't win these coin flip games. That's a 473 00:24:03,920 --> 00:24:05,359 Speaker 1: good n that's a good number for a team that 474 00:24:05,400 --> 00:24:07,800 Speaker 1: plays in coin flip games. So green Bay, this this 475 00:24:07,920 --> 00:24:10,120 Speaker 1: number close are three and a half three, then five 476 00:24:10,160 --> 00:24:14,639 Speaker 1: and a half six than it is, Simmons says, bet 477 00:24:14,640 --> 00:24:19,920 Speaker 1: the Washington Commanders plus five and a half couldn't agree more, 478 00:24:20,880 --> 00:24:25,679 Speaker 1: couldn't agree. More wins, wins being out the best thing 479 00:24:25,720 --> 00:24:33,639 Speaker 1: that can happen to this. He's just terrible. Why are 480 00:24:33,640 --> 00:24:37,320 Speaker 1: you laughing? Because I'm just thinking about the fact that 481 00:24:38,400 --> 00:24:42,600 Speaker 1: they they not again nothing against Carson, but the fact 482 00:24:42,600 --> 00:24:45,160 Speaker 1: that my number is like, go up just a little bit. 483 00:24:45,280 --> 00:24:47,360 Speaker 1: The fact they take him out, that's how bad he's been. 484 00:24:47,640 --> 00:24:50,399 Speaker 1: Where if you look on the on paper, he's not 485 00:24:50,480 --> 00:24:55,400 Speaker 1: that bad to get like ten touchdowns and thousand five yards. 486 00:24:55,440 --> 00:24:57,960 Speaker 1: But you look at the film, you break it down, 487 00:24:58,200 --> 00:25:00,480 Speaker 1: all the opportunities he lives on the field, it's bad. 488 00:25:00,560 --> 00:25:03,040 Speaker 1: So again, maybe I'm gonna be eating this next week 489 00:25:03,040 --> 00:25:05,440 Speaker 1: when Heineke gives up a pick six and we're down 490 00:25:05,440 --> 00:25:08,120 Speaker 1: twenty in the first half. But just a good spot 491 00:25:08,160 --> 00:25:10,200 Speaker 1: to take this Washington team against Screen Bay team that's 492 00:25:10,200 --> 00:25:13,520 Speaker 1: just reeling that they got major issues right now. Remember that. 493 00:25:13,680 --> 00:25:18,040 Speaker 1: Remember in two thousand seventeen when Carson Wentz was having 494 00:25:18,040 --> 00:25:22,280 Speaker 1: an MVP year and he injured his knee. Remember the 495 00:25:22,320 --> 00:25:25,200 Speaker 1: play really well, But there was we I was watching 496 00:25:25,200 --> 00:25:28,520 Speaker 1: the Thursday night game with the Bears, in which clearly 497 00:25:28,560 --> 00:25:32,919 Speaker 1: they should have won that game, and um, it was 498 00:25:32,960 --> 00:25:36,040 Speaker 1: third down from Washington, And there was a time when 499 00:25:36,080 --> 00:25:38,640 Speaker 1: Carson Wentz was on the Eagles in that magical year. 500 00:25:39,359 --> 00:25:41,400 Speaker 1: What if he dropped that to pass on third down? 501 00:25:42,520 --> 00:25:45,560 Speaker 1: It was like a Patrick mahomestead. You just automatically assumed 502 00:25:45,600 --> 00:25:47,320 Speaker 1: he was seeing it and it was going to convert 503 00:25:47,400 --> 00:25:50,119 Speaker 1: like you were afraid to be against Carson Wentz and 504 00:25:50,160 --> 00:25:53,199 Speaker 1: the Eagles on third down. Boy, how things have changed. 505 00:25:53,840 --> 00:25:55,760 Speaker 1: And we talked about the time. Confidence is one of 506 00:25:55,800 --> 00:25:58,960 Speaker 1: the most important things in sports, like you need it. Um, 507 00:25:59,000 --> 00:26:02,240 Speaker 1: do you watch that Ydeem the documentary? No, I'm dying too. 508 00:26:02,680 --> 00:26:04,359 Speaker 1: You would love it. I mean you would love it. 509 00:26:04,400 --> 00:26:07,439 Speaker 1: But the whole, the whole Kobe thing, like his mentality 510 00:26:07,480 --> 00:26:09,960 Speaker 1: of it. It's just one of the things like certain 511 00:26:09,960 --> 00:26:12,440 Speaker 1: guys have it and like you need that killer in you, 512 00:26:13,160 --> 00:26:16,120 Speaker 1: and Carson just seems completely gone with that. The confidence 513 00:26:16,160 --> 00:26:19,439 Speaker 1: just and has not seen there. So um yeah again, 514 00:26:19,480 --> 00:26:21,600 Speaker 1: I could be my words next week, but I do 515 00:26:21,760 --> 00:26:24,439 Speaker 1: think they've adjusted too much for Whence being out this 516 00:26:24,520 --> 00:26:26,120 Speaker 1: This is too big of a number for the Screen 517 00:26:26,160 --> 00:26:31,280 Speaker 1: Bay team. Lions plus seven on the road at the Cowboys. 518 00:26:31,560 --> 00:26:38,240 Speaker 1: Dak Prescott expected to start early money and tickets all 519 00:26:38,359 --> 00:26:41,199 Speaker 1: on the Lions at plus seven. I know, and like 520 00:26:41,240 --> 00:26:43,119 Speaker 1: I want to join them because like I love this 521 00:26:43,240 --> 00:26:47,480 Speaker 1: Detroit team, but the fear is like the Cowboys defense. 522 00:26:47,920 --> 00:26:50,840 Speaker 1: I know the Eagles did well against it, but I 523 00:26:50,880 --> 00:26:52,359 Speaker 1: don't know that. It feels like it's a lot to 524 00:26:52,400 --> 00:26:54,479 Speaker 1: ask of a Lions team that I absolutely dominated by 525 00:26:54,560 --> 00:26:57,879 Speaker 1: Patriots defense. Um, but seven is a lot of points, 526 00:26:57,920 --> 00:27:00,399 Speaker 1: so no real play for me yet. I feel like 527 00:27:00,400 --> 00:27:03,080 Speaker 1: I'm gonna end up on Detroit because like, I feel like, again, 528 00:27:03,560 --> 00:27:05,800 Speaker 1: that's a lot of points for an offense that can 529 00:27:05,920 --> 00:27:08,600 Speaker 1: move the ball right. Detroit can move the ball. But 530 00:27:09,359 --> 00:27:11,440 Speaker 1: there they sucking me in, chat giving me the seven 531 00:27:11,520 --> 00:27:14,159 Speaker 1: with Detroit. That's what I'm worried about here, because we 532 00:27:14,240 --> 00:27:17,480 Speaker 1: just saw the Cowboys lose on the main stage. Usually 533 00:27:17,520 --> 00:27:19,199 Speaker 1: that number would bump down a little bit and it 534 00:27:19,280 --> 00:27:20,800 Speaker 1: might have been seven a half on open and went 535 00:27:20,840 --> 00:27:23,520 Speaker 1: down to seven wherever it was. I'm not seeing seven 536 00:27:23,560 --> 00:27:25,960 Speaker 1: and a half. I see Open at seven, Open at seven. 537 00:27:26,000 --> 00:27:28,600 Speaker 1: So yeah, Butcher telling you something. They're they're clearly I 538 00:27:28,640 --> 00:27:31,119 Speaker 1: wanted to take a position here on Dallas se I wouldn't. 539 00:27:31,119 --> 00:27:33,160 Speaker 1: I wouldn't touch that one yet. Let me keep looking 540 00:27:33,200 --> 00:27:35,320 Speaker 1: into it. But as we sit here, I feel like 541 00:27:35,320 --> 00:27:38,760 Speaker 1: I'm being sucked in. I want to take Detroit sometimes, 542 00:27:39,359 --> 00:27:42,719 Speaker 1: you know. Sometimes, Look, we've talked about this a lot 543 00:27:43,440 --> 00:27:47,920 Speaker 1: A lot of times. Betting is about understanding inherently when 544 00:27:47,960 --> 00:27:51,040 Speaker 1: teams are going to peak and when the market has 545 00:27:51,080 --> 00:27:55,080 Speaker 1: sort of reached its apex, and that's when you sell 546 00:27:55,160 --> 00:27:57,720 Speaker 1: your position for for lack of a better turn. But 547 00:27:57,760 --> 00:28:01,840 Speaker 1: there's a lot of sort of anna terminology between betting 548 00:28:01,880 --> 00:28:07,159 Speaker 1: and investing. The Lions feel to me like a team 549 00:28:07,280 --> 00:28:11,040 Speaker 1: that you want to get off right now. Yeah, like 550 00:28:11,040 --> 00:28:13,679 Speaker 1: they're gonna go on a little slump here. Yeah, I 551 00:28:13,720 --> 00:28:15,840 Speaker 1: know they're coming off to buy. But they had they 552 00:28:15,840 --> 00:28:18,760 Speaker 1: had so many moments earlier in the year where they 553 00:28:18,840 --> 00:28:20,920 Speaker 1: kept it close, kept it close, found the back door 554 00:28:21,800 --> 00:28:25,800 Speaker 1: didn't work out. Are they coming off the by believing? 555 00:28:25,920 --> 00:28:29,879 Speaker 1: Are they coming off the by frustrated. I would not 556 00:28:29,920 --> 00:28:32,240 Speaker 1: want to play the Lions in this position yet. I 557 00:28:32,240 --> 00:28:34,560 Speaker 1: need to get a sense of who they are having 558 00:28:34,600 --> 00:28:36,800 Speaker 1: been in a really bad spot. And again, I got 559 00:28:36,840 --> 00:28:39,680 Speaker 1: a bunch of texts over the weekend about that they 560 00:28:39,720 --> 00:28:41,440 Speaker 1: knew for a fact that Doc was me back this 561 00:28:41,520 --> 00:28:44,360 Speaker 1: upcoming week. Is he being rushed back? We saw that 562 00:28:44,400 --> 00:28:46,800 Speaker 1: happen last year with Russell Wilson rushed back and he 563 00:28:46,840 --> 00:28:49,520 Speaker 1: could not do anything for that Seahawks team with that injury. 564 00:28:49,600 --> 00:28:51,600 Speaker 1: So something to think about if you are going to 565 00:28:51,640 --> 00:28:53,640 Speaker 1: bet Dallas. You've got Dak coming off a pretty serious 566 00:28:53,640 --> 00:28:57,080 Speaker 1: injury sooner than they thought, because not that he was 567 00:28:57,120 --> 00:28:59,960 Speaker 1: scared of Cooper rush, but like you know, guy does 568 00:29:00,160 --> 00:29:01,960 Speaker 1: like another guy taking a John the winning games like 569 00:29:02,000 --> 00:29:04,920 Speaker 1: he's humans, So that could be rushed back. 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They are on 612 00:31:41,720 --> 00:31:46,640 Speaker 1: the road at the Bengals six point underdogs. It feels 613 00:31:46,680 --> 00:31:49,560 Speaker 1: like a really big number for the Falcons, But I 614 00:31:49,600 --> 00:31:55,000 Speaker 1: am starting to worry about regression for who the Falcons? Yeah, 615 00:31:55,960 --> 00:31:58,200 Speaker 1: I don't know. They're the run schemes teems to work 616 00:31:58,440 --> 00:32:01,240 Speaker 1: like it's really weird and oddic, and teams don't seem 617 00:32:01,240 --> 00:32:02,880 Speaker 1: like they now to defend against BECAU. They're the only 618 00:32:02,880 --> 00:32:04,920 Speaker 1: ones that are really running this. It's like an Army 619 00:32:05,000 --> 00:32:10,840 Speaker 1: Navy's three back set with Mariota the running back. Qb Um. 620 00:32:10,960 --> 00:32:14,000 Speaker 1: I looked the other way, like six points against since 621 00:32:14,040 --> 00:32:16,480 Speaker 1: he have they won a game? I win six points 622 00:32:16,520 --> 00:32:19,880 Speaker 1: and like seven months I don't know, like their whole 623 00:32:19,880 --> 00:32:24,880 Speaker 1: playoff run was this Um, it's it's bizarre like this 624 00:32:25,000 --> 00:32:28,360 Speaker 1: number again. I'm with Chad where it's like we gotta 625 00:32:28,400 --> 00:32:30,520 Speaker 1: hop off last week was simple for me. Where the 626 00:32:30,560 --> 00:32:33,640 Speaker 1: Atlanta like that that we we spotted that a mile 627 00:32:33,640 --> 00:32:38,120 Speaker 1: of way of just is gonna letdown spot Um. Bengals, 628 00:32:38,520 --> 00:32:40,320 Speaker 1: I want to say they're in due for a letdown spot, 629 00:32:40,320 --> 00:32:43,240 Speaker 1: but they're not really like this isn't a letdown spot 630 00:32:43,240 --> 00:32:45,640 Speaker 1: where it's more so for Atlanta, But it's a big 631 00:32:45,760 --> 00:32:47,840 Speaker 1: number and Atlanta keeps games close. So I feel like 632 00:32:47,880 --> 00:32:50,520 Speaker 1: I'm going against two things here where it's like I 633 00:32:50,600 --> 00:32:52,200 Speaker 1: know for a fact, since he doesn't like to win 634 00:32:52,280 --> 00:32:54,280 Speaker 1: big and they usually keep games closed, and I know 635 00:32:54,320 --> 00:32:56,760 Speaker 1: what Atlanta is. Atlanta keeps games closed and they just 636 00:32:56,880 --> 00:32:58,840 Speaker 1: run it. And I saw last week the Saints were 637 00:32:58,840 --> 00:33:01,120 Speaker 1: able to move the ball on the ground against this 638 00:33:01,320 --> 00:33:05,080 Speaker 1: um Bengals defense. Bengals again, I told the stat last 639 00:33:05,080 --> 00:33:07,320 Speaker 1: week they have only given up Wonders zero touchdowns in 640 00:33:07,320 --> 00:33:10,320 Speaker 1: the second half this year, Like their defense is better 641 00:33:10,360 --> 00:33:12,560 Speaker 1: than people think. That was their first over of the 642 00:33:12,640 --> 00:33:16,240 Speaker 1: year last year. Um, so maybe I'll be wrong and 643 00:33:16,240 --> 00:33:18,320 Speaker 1: their defense will show up and completely shut down this 644 00:33:18,400 --> 00:33:21,160 Speaker 1: Atlanta offense. And like Chad said, there's six and oh 645 00:33:21,200 --> 00:33:23,840 Speaker 1: a t s. They're due for a letdown spot and 646 00:33:23,880 --> 00:33:26,400 Speaker 1: a letdown game. But it's hard for me to get off. 647 00:33:26,440 --> 00:33:28,520 Speaker 1: That's just such a big number for a Bengals team 648 00:33:28,560 --> 00:33:31,040 Speaker 1: that just plays games close. So yeah, I'm surprised the 649 00:33:31,080 --> 00:33:34,560 Speaker 1: market isn't adjusting to this yet, are you though? Because 650 00:33:34,560 --> 00:33:37,440 Speaker 1: there's still plus seven to win their division, even though 651 00:33:37,520 --> 00:33:39,360 Speaker 1: they should have beat the Saints and they should have 652 00:33:39,400 --> 00:33:42,920 Speaker 1: probably upset the Bucks, and there's still plus seven hundred 653 00:33:42,920 --> 00:33:44,720 Speaker 1: and the Bucks are big favorites. It just seems like 654 00:33:45,240 --> 00:33:48,200 Speaker 1: we're adjusted. We're all on this Atlanta team. The market 655 00:33:48,720 --> 00:33:51,120 Speaker 1: is not. Like the public is still not buying in Atlanta. 656 00:33:51,240 --> 00:33:53,719 Speaker 1: So I'm gonna keep buying because I still think we're 657 00:33:53,720 --> 00:33:58,240 Speaker 1: getting good number year brother, all right, all right, Uh, 658 00:33:58,280 --> 00:34:01,880 Speaker 1: we still owe people a duxholl We still owe people 659 00:34:02,120 --> 00:34:05,840 Speaker 1: an executive decision from Chad. I believe we will be 660 00:34:05,880 --> 00:34:10,560 Speaker 1: coming upon both of those very very soon. The Browns 661 00:34:10,800 --> 00:34:15,000 Speaker 1: are six and a half point underdogs to the Ravens. 662 00:34:15,520 --> 00:34:18,080 Speaker 1: Are we wrong about this brown team? I was in 663 00:34:18,120 --> 00:34:20,160 Speaker 1: love with this Browns team. We had a two and 664 00:34:20,200 --> 00:34:23,400 Speaker 1: a half in the contest. I thought it was the 665 00:34:23,480 --> 00:34:27,200 Speaker 1: right side getting a really good coach. The best running 666 00:34:27,200 --> 00:34:31,520 Speaker 1: back in the NFL, Jacoby Prisette, had been a serviceable 667 00:34:31,640 --> 00:34:35,359 Speaker 1: too better than average quarterbacks so far this year. Their 668 00:34:35,440 --> 00:34:39,359 Speaker 1: running games, their rush defense is terrible. But I really 669 00:34:39,400 --> 00:34:43,319 Speaker 1: liked this past weekend against the Patriots that we just 670 00:34:43,360 --> 00:34:46,479 Speaker 1: got it wrong, playing wrong. Ravens can't seem to close 671 00:34:46,520 --> 00:34:48,680 Speaker 1: people out. Yeah, so I don't know if they will 672 00:34:48,800 --> 00:34:51,120 Speaker 1: do with it, Like we can't stop the run. The 673 00:34:51,239 --> 00:34:53,720 Speaker 1: Ravens want to run the ball. I mean again, Kenyan 674 00:34:53,719 --> 00:34:55,759 Speaker 1: and Rake came out of nowhere and looked like unbelievable 675 00:34:55,760 --> 00:34:58,200 Speaker 1: for the Ravens last week against the Giants. But I 676 00:34:58,239 --> 00:34:59,759 Speaker 1: don't know what to do with this, Like I'm looking 677 00:34:59,800 --> 00:35:02,440 Speaker 1: at a Ravens team that they should have covered last week, 678 00:35:02,480 --> 00:35:04,840 Speaker 1: they should have won. They let these teams back in. 679 00:35:04,840 --> 00:35:06,839 Speaker 1: I don't know if it's a boy turnover. Whatever they do. 680 00:35:07,680 --> 00:35:09,200 Speaker 1: What is the crazy stating now? I think it might 681 00:35:09,200 --> 00:35:11,400 Speaker 1: be there up to like a hundred and two seconds 682 00:35:11,440 --> 00:35:14,239 Speaker 1: of only trailing the season. That's now they've trailed this 683 00:35:14,360 --> 00:35:19,399 Speaker 1: entire season. They're three and three. So man, I don't 684 00:35:19,400 --> 00:35:21,040 Speaker 1: know what to deal with it. Like I want to 685 00:35:21,080 --> 00:35:23,160 Speaker 1: I want to back Baltimore. This's like usually a spot 686 00:35:23,160 --> 00:35:26,719 Speaker 1: where Baltimore blows out a bad team. Jacoby Brissett turned 687 00:35:26,719 --> 00:35:29,359 Speaker 1: back into a pumpkin, just keeps making big mistakes, throwing 688 00:35:29,360 --> 00:35:32,279 Speaker 1: those bad picks. Um, I don't know what to do, 689 00:35:32,480 --> 00:35:35,240 Speaker 1: Like I want to take I want to take the Ravens. 690 00:35:35,880 --> 00:35:37,960 Speaker 1: I know I shouldn't. I'll probably en up on Cleveland. 691 00:35:38,000 --> 00:35:39,600 Speaker 1: I'll just stay at because I just don't know. I 692 00:35:39,640 --> 00:35:41,200 Speaker 1: don't have a field for this game right now. This 693 00:35:41,280 --> 00:35:43,360 Speaker 1: is not a contest play right now. The only games 694 00:35:43,400 --> 00:35:46,720 Speaker 1: we've really picked for the contest of our Jags minus 695 00:35:46,800 --> 00:35:50,799 Speaker 1: three Washington plus five and a half. Let's move on 696 00:35:50,840 --> 00:35:56,640 Speaker 1: to the Jets visiting the Denver Broncos. Right now at 697 00:35:56,680 --> 00:35:59,840 Speaker 1: Fandel you can get Denver at minus two and a 698 00:36:00,040 --> 00:36:04,799 Speaker 1: half minus one ten over the Jets. Money pouring in 699 00:36:04,920 --> 00:36:07,800 Speaker 1: on the Jets, tickets pouring in on the Jets should 700 00:36:07,800 --> 00:36:10,840 Speaker 1: be Yeah, what you see is what you get? Was 701 00:36:10,840 --> 00:36:14,400 Speaker 1: he big man? I mean, you're you're only reason for 702 00:36:14,480 --> 00:36:16,480 Speaker 1: taking Denver right now would just be a fate on 703 00:36:16,560 --> 00:36:19,239 Speaker 1: Zach Wilson. It's like just getting really about to win 704 00:36:19,360 --> 00:36:21,160 Speaker 1: back to back road games and Lambeau and then go 705 00:36:21,200 --> 00:36:23,480 Speaker 1: up to Denver and one another one where it's like, 706 00:36:23,520 --> 00:36:26,000 Speaker 1: look from the other way, it's like a really good 707 00:36:26,040 --> 00:36:28,839 Speaker 1: defense and a two headed monster running back. You don't 708 00:36:28,840 --> 00:36:30,640 Speaker 1: need to ask Zach Wilson do that much to make 709 00:36:30,680 --> 00:36:34,080 Speaker 1: that work. So if we're Russell Wilson's out, actually might 710 00:36:34,120 --> 00:36:37,440 Speaker 1: get on Denver because their defense is really good, Like 711 00:36:37,520 --> 00:36:39,600 Speaker 1: their their defense is just as good as the Jets. 712 00:36:39,680 --> 00:36:42,000 Speaker 1: That's why, Like, I think it's a good underplay and um, 713 00:36:42,080 --> 00:36:43,680 Speaker 1: when I might be given out on some day a 714 00:36:43,719 --> 00:36:47,799 Speaker 1: little preview, but yeah, convinced me. So it just it 715 00:36:47,840 --> 00:36:49,400 Speaker 1: just feels like a no brain or play where you 716 00:36:49,400 --> 00:36:53,040 Speaker 1: have two really dominant defenses and two major question marks 717 00:36:53,040 --> 00:36:57,080 Speaker 1: at quarterback. Again, Zach Wilson, he made plays last week. 718 00:36:57,120 --> 00:36:58,440 Speaker 1: Once they got him outside of the pocket in the 719 00:36:58,480 --> 00:37:00,279 Speaker 1: second half the rain stopped a little bit, he was 720 00:37:00,320 --> 00:37:04,880 Speaker 1: actually making semi decent throws. Um. It's just there's always 721 00:37:04,880 --> 00:37:06,520 Speaker 1: these moments of him like he did nothing for the 722 00:37:06,640 --> 00:37:09,040 Speaker 1: entire first half. Again, I get it, Rogers did nothing either, 723 00:37:09,120 --> 00:37:11,799 Speaker 1: but he has good weapons right now. The Jets have good, 724 00:37:11,800 --> 00:37:16,080 Speaker 1: surprisingly good weapons on offense. Um, I really want to 725 00:37:16,080 --> 00:37:17,719 Speaker 1: take it. I won't lie to each other. I really 726 00:37:17,760 --> 00:37:20,120 Speaker 1: want to take this plus too, because again, the look 727 00:37:20,120 --> 00:37:21,919 Speaker 1: at was seven and a half. The Jets were seven 728 00:37:21,920 --> 00:37:25,520 Speaker 1: and a half dog against this every team. So that's 729 00:37:25,560 --> 00:37:29,040 Speaker 1: a big move, um, based on what's going on this season. 730 00:37:29,719 --> 00:37:31,960 Speaker 1: But again it's it's warranted. I feel like Chad just 731 00:37:32,000 --> 00:37:34,440 Speaker 1: talked about it. It's like what we see is what 732 00:37:34,600 --> 00:37:36,960 Speaker 1: you get these two teams. I feel like we know 733 00:37:37,040 --> 00:37:40,040 Speaker 1: the Exacuo. The identities are really good defenses. One has 734 00:37:40,080 --> 00:37:42,920 Speaker 1: an offense that actually can produce points. The other one 735 00:37:42,960 --> 00:37:45,520 Speaker 1: just has not. Denver just simply is not produced points. Again, 736 00:37:45,960 --> 00:37:48,640 Speaker 1: they covered and had a chance of winning overtime. Russellson 737 00:37:48,719 --> 00:37:51,680 Speaker 1: through for thirteen yards in that second half. Like, you 738 00:37:51,719 --> 00:37:54,840 Speaker 1: can't make it up. But that's how dominant that Denver defenses. 739 00:37:55,880 --> 00:37:58,800 Speaker 1: Brees Hal and Sauce Gardner uh, two of the odds 740 00:37:58,800 --> 00:38:03,719 Speaker 1: on favorites to win Rookies of the Year respective side 741 00:38:03,760 --> 00:38:07,080 Speaker 1: of the ball. No, it's no, it's a crazy time 742 00:38:07,160 --> 00:38:09,560 Speaker 1: like them and the Giants, I get it New York, 743 00:38:09,600 --> 00:38:11,799 Speaker 1: New York people. They're allowed right now. They deserve it. 744 00:38:11,880 --> 00:38:14,520 Speaker 1: That's that's insane that both these teams and the Bills. 745 00:38:14,520 --> 00:38:18,640 Speaker 1: Again can't forget about the Bills in saying these teams, Uh, 746 00:38:18,840 --> 00:38:21,760 Speaker 1: they're all just winning and they're like again, convincingly winning 747 00:38:21,800 --> 00:38:23,680 Speaker 1: like nothing to hand it to them. They're winning really 748 00:38:23,719 --> 00:38:30,080 Speaker 1: tough games. It's incredible, Simon, you said it. Best. Democracy 749 00:38:30,160 --> 00:38:34,520 Speaker 1: is in peril, personal freedoms are under assault, the economy 750 00:38:34,560 --> 00:38:38,400 Speaker 1: around the world is cratering. But the Jets, being as 751 00:38:38,440 --> 00:38:42,839 Speaker 1: good as they are, makes it a crazy time and again. 752 00:38:42,840 --> 00:38:44,960 Speaker 1: I talked about the Phillies win the World Series. Every 753 00:38:45,000 --> 00:38:48,600 Speaker 1: time our us UH market collapses, the money whenever all 754 00:38:48,800 --> 00:38:51,440 Speaker 1: everyone goes broken America. The Phillies of won World Series, 755 00:38:51,480 --> 00:38:56,439 Speaker 1: so feeling good. Put it all on the Phillies. That's 756 00:38:56,480 --> 00:39:00,800 Speaker 1: what we're saying against inflation. I got an exact decision 757 00:39:00,800 --> 00:39:03,239 Speaker 1: coming up because I got the Houston Texans on the 758 00:39:03,320 --> 00:39:08,360 Speaker 1: road at the Raiders plus seven. The choice between the 759 00:39:08,520 --> 00:39:17,040 Speaker 1: unthinkable and the impossible text executive decision. Houston Texans one 760 00:39:17,080 --> 00:39:20,360 Speaker 1: of the best teams against the spread this year. Of 761 00:39:20,360 --> 00:39:22,759 Speaker 1: the money, of the tickets coming in on the Raiders, 762 00:39:23,760 --> 00:39:26,360 Speaker 1: of the bets coming in on the Texans, show me 763 00:39:26,400 --> 00:39:30,719 Speaker 1: the Texans boom bought a boom bought a boom. Yeehaw. 764 00:39:31,680 --> 00:39:36,080 Speaker 1: Does that mean that's your executive play another no brainer, 765 00:39:36,160 --> 00:39:39,799 Speaker 1: play Houston. They play games close, are not as bad 766 00:39:39,800 --> 00:39:43,720 Speaker 1: as people perceive. Raiders hate to play with big leads. 767 00:39:43,800 --> 00:39:45,279 Speaker 1: I feel like every time they even have a lead, 768 00:39:45,280 --> 00:39:47,879 Speaker 1: they somehow give it back again. I can't get over 769 00:39:47,920 --> 00:39:50,560 Speaker 1: that Cardinals game. I really cannot go over, especially after 770 00:39:50,560 --> 00:39:54,000 Speaker 1: we've seen Cardinals so many weeks in. The Raiders should 771 00:39:54,000 --> 00:39:55,640 Speaker 1: be so much better than their records as they are. 772 00:39:55,880 --> 00:39:58,080 Speaker 1: But at the same time, who would they to be 773 00:39:58,160 --> 00:40:00,840 Speaker 1: catching seven against a Texas team that can move the 774 00:40:00,880 --> 00:40:05,520 Speaker 1: ball and has a pretty solid defense. So I know 775 00:40:05,600 --> 00:40:08,000 Speaker 1: there's a lot of questions to me on this Raiders 776 00:40:08,040 --> 00:40:11,320 Speaker 1: defensive side. I don't have his money for the Texans. 777 00:40:11,320 --> 00:40:14,320 Speaker 1: I think they actually have a pretty solid team all around. 778 00:40:14,719 --> 00:40:16,920 Speaker 1: Their biggest question marks just to the QB position. So 779 00:40:17,400 --> 00:40:19,200 Speaker 1: I'll be with each I'll take that seven put in 780 00:40:19,239 --> 00:40:23,560 Speaker 1: the contest. Yeah, isn't that strange. Uh? The Texans are 781 00:40:23,600 --> 00:40:25,480 Speaker 1: one of those teams where people that they're never going 782 00:40:25,520 --> 00:40:27,960 Speaker 1: to get respect from the market right now. There's not 783 00:40:28,000 --> 00:40:31,640 Speaker 1: a chance, um, and so they're going to continue to 784 00:40:31,719 --> 00:40:34,960 Speaker 1: be huge underdogs and that's why they're doing so well 785 00:40:34,960 --> 00:40:39,120 Speaker 1: against the spread. Yeah, great, glad we had that conversation 786 00:40:39,239 --> 00:40:41,879 Speaker 1: putting them on the list. Houston plus seven. They are 787 00:40:41,960 --> 00:40:44,920 Speaker 1: the exact decision reminder the sign and says is Washington 788 00:40:44,960 --> 00:40:48,160 Speaker 1: plus five and a half. We still owe everybody at Foxhole. 789 00:40:49,239 --> 00:40:51,680 Speaker 1: They know the people already knew before even happened was 790 00:40:51,760 --> 00:40:55,359 Speaker 1: gonna be. Uh. The Seattle Seahawks are on the road. 791 00:40:55,760 --> 00:40:58,600 Speaker 1: There are six and a half point underdogs against the 792 00:40:58,680 --> 00:41:02,560 Speaker 1: Los Angeles Charger is I don't see any reason at 793 00:41:02,600 --> 00:41:05,600 Speaker 1: this point to not bet the Seahawks when they are 794 00:41:05,640 --> 00:41:08,880 Speaker 1: nearly a touchdown underdog. The Chargers have shown me nothing 795 00:41:10,920 --> 00:41:12,560 Speaker 1: I know. But at the same time, this is a 796 00:41:12,560 --> 00:41:14,880 Speaker 1: coin flip game that's probably gonna end with a seven. 797 00:41:15,040 --> 00:41:18,160 Speaker 1: So like I feel more comfortable taking the Seahawks money line. 798 00:41:18,200 --> 00:41:20,120 Speaker 1: I do take in the six and a half, but 799 00:41:20,800 --> 00:41:22,600 Speaker 1: I'm a hundred percent with Chat. As soon as this 800 00:41:22,640 --> 00:41:25,000 Speaker 1: game came out, it's like seven, seven and a half 801 00:41:25,040 --> 00:41:27,920 Speaker 1: before the Chargers played, I grabbed it. Um. I just 802 00:41:28,040 --> 00:41:30,200 Speaker 1: like Gino the same reason we took Gino last week 803 00:41:30,239 --> 00:41:33,040 Speaker 1: against the Cardinals. We just think their offense is legit. 804 00:41:33,920 --> 00:41:35,440 Speaker 1: I did not see their defense showing up like they 805 00:41:35,480 --> 00:41:37,040 Speaker 1: did against the Cardinals. Again, that could be more about 806 00:41:37,040 --> 00:41:41,080 Speaker 1: the Cardinals, but their team could be improven every week. Um. 807 00:41:41,160 --> 00:41:43,839 Speaker 1: We joked about it. They're fourteen to one right now 808 00:41:43,840 --> 00:41:48,160 Speaker 1: to win this Division one Seattle and they're tired right now, 809 00:41:48,480 --> 00:41:51,480 Speaker 1: so the Rams are kind of falling apart. I wouldn't 810 00:41:51,520 --> 00:41:54,200 Speaker 1: back them in any ways. Could get healthier right as 811 00:41:54,200 --> 00:41:55,840 Speaker 1: the season goes along, and that's definitely the cream of 812 00:41:55,840 --> 00:41:59,479 Speaker 1: the crop in this division. But at fourteen one Seattle. Again, 813 00:41:59,480 --> 00:42:01,080 Speaker 1: they have a tough they have a tough stretch coming 814 00:42:01,120 --> 00:42:03,759 Speaker 1: down here. That's just that's that's pretty good value. So 815 00:42:04,560 --> 00:42:07,040 Speaker 1: they'll be the public side'll be like the Jets last week. 816 00:42:07,360 --> 00:42:09,680 Speaker 1: But again, the public gets something, They get things right. 817 00:42:09,840 --> 00:42:11,680 Speaker 1: So I'm cool with walking to a trap here and 818 00:42:11,719 --> 00:42:14,400 Speaker 1: take in Seattle, hoping it would go back to seven. 819 00:42:14,440 --> 00:42:16,719 Speaker 1: But we'll still take a six and a half. You 820 00:42:16,760 --> 00:42:19,360 Speaker 1: can still get a you know, six and a half 821 00:42:19,680 --> 00:42:23,880 Speaker 1: minus one oh seven. Right now, it's interesting all right 822 00:42:24,400 --> 00:42:27,680 Speaker 1: here we got oh boy, yeah, oh boy, oh god. 823 00:42:28,320 --> 00:42:30,520 Speaker 1: The kan City Chiefs are on the road. They're visiting 824 00:42:30,520 --> 00:42:33,880 Speaker 1: the San Francisco forty niners. They are three point favorites 825 00:42:35,320 --> 00:42:43,760 Speaker 1: right now, Foxhall, I knew it. Let's clide down into 826 00:42:43,800 --> 00:42:51,359 Speaker 1: the foxholes. God, I hate this. If you're new here, 827 00:42:51,680 --> 00:42:54,400 Speaker 1: Me and Chad West always fade Shannon as a favorite, 828 00:42:54,719 --> 00:42:57,120 Speaker 1: but we always back them as a dog. And this 829 00:42:57,200 --> 00:42:59,919 Speaker 1: is a dog position with Shannahan and a run ski 830 00:43:00,160 --> 00:43:03,560 Speaker 1: that historically does very well against the Chiefs defense that's 831 00:43:03,600 --> 00:43:06,280 Speaker 1: not that good against the run. So yes, the Chiefs 832 00:43:06,280 --> 00:43:09,880 Speaker 1: added players. Maybe they have improved that aspect of their team. 833 00:43:10,000 --> 00:43:11,640 Speaker 1: I think it's gonna catch up to win this spot. 834 00:43:11,719 --> 00:43:14,160 Speaker 1: This is a bad position to be in. Again, it's 835 00:43:14,200 --> 00:43:15,640 Speaker 1: rare they're gonna drop two in a row. I don't 836 00:43:15,640 --> 00:43:18,319 Speaker 1: know if they're gonna lose. I get grabbing that three 837 00:43:18,440 --> 00:43:20,680 Speaker 1: in this matchup where there should be closer to you know, 838 00:43:20,760 --> 00:43:24,360 Speaker 1: a pick minus one thet er. So I love the 839 00:43:24,440 --> 00:43:26,560 Speaker 1: value on this with the forty nine shoes. I saw 840 00:43:26,600 --> 00:43:28,880 Speaker 1: it open. I loved it. You can wait if you 841 00:43:28,920 --> 00:43:30,719 Speaker 1: want to wait and maybe got a three and a half. 842 00:43:30,760 --> 00:43:32,560 Speaker 1: I think you can because I just see no reason 843 00:43:32,600 --> 00:43:35,000 Speaker 1: why the public wouldn't hammer this Chief's team like you're 844 00:43:35,040 --> 00:43:38,600 Speaker 1: getting my homes as a short favorite. That's that's when 845 00:43:38,640 --> 00:43:40,680 Speaker 1: people are gonna grab him. But we'll see our guy 846 00:43:40,760 --> 00:43:42,600 Speaker 1: have AMers will put out an article. I know for 847 00:43:42,640 --> 00:43:44,960 Speaker 1: a fact the trends are gonna favorite taken at forty niners. Here. 848 00:43:45,320 --> 00:43:48,000 Speaker 1: Moms just has not been covering as a short favorite. 849 00:43:48,239 --> 00:43:51,279 Speaker 1: It's it's bizarre. He just hasn't been Like these games 850 00:43:51,320 --> 00:43:53,120 Speaker 1: they win, It's like that that Raiders game they win 851 00:43:53,200 --> 00:43:56,080 Speaker 1: by one, they went by two. They win these close games, 852 00:43:56,239 --> 00:43:58,440 Speaker 1: but it's it's just a different team. We've seen it. 853 00:43:58,480 --> 00:44:00,000 Speaker 1: We've seen it with this Chiefs team. They're just different 854 00:44:00,200 --> 00:44:03,320 Speaker 1: without Tyree kill. That's that's that's for sure. So to me, 855 00:44:04,600 --> 00:44:07,279 Speaker 1: forty nine ers their defensive team. Uh, there should be 856 00:44:07,280 --> 00:44:09,480 Speaker 1: a defensive battle another game. I'll be on a dog 857 00:44:09,520 --> 00:44:12,560 Speaker 1: in and under in this matchup. Yeah. The total in 858 00:44:12,600 --> 00:44:15,919 Speaker 1: this game, um is by the way, you talked about 859 00:44:15,960 --> 00:44:19,160 Speaker 1: the total in another game and I forgot which one 860 00:44:19,200 --> 00:44:23,439 Speaker 1: it was. Yeah, it was that total a half thirty 861 00:44:23,520 --> 00:44:25,680 Speaker 1: nine and a half. The total in this game is, 862 00:44:25,880 --> 00:44:29,279 Speaker 1: um looks like forty eight and a half right now. 863 00:44:29,560 --> 00:44:31,600 Speaker 1: And people keep messing me. I know these unders gonna 864 00:44:31,600 --> 00:44:33,319 Speaker 1: catch up with me, people, but we have to keep betting. 865 00:44:33,520 --> 00:44:35,160 Speaker 1: They just keep they keep hitting. I know what you 866 00:44:35,200 --> 00:44:38,160 Speaker 1: want from me, like I I get it, I get it, 867 00:44:38,320 --> 00:44:41,480 Speaker 1: But they keep hitting. We put out a statu Uh 868 00:44:41,880 --> 00:44:44,359 Speaker 1: unders are are hitting at a rate that we haven't 869 00:44:44,400 --> 00:44:48,680 Speaker 1: seen in nearly thirty years. Whereas fewer touchdowns this year 870 00:44:49,160 --> 00:44:54,600 Speaker 1: than ever before. Um, it's actually wreaking habit, with wreaking 871 00:44:54,640 --> 00:44:58,520 Speaker 1: havoc with the anytime touchdown markets, which people love. But 872 00:44:59,320 --> 00:45:01,000 Speaker 1: there are a lot of whack now because there are 873 00:45:01,080 --> 00:45:04,920 Speaker 1: so few, so many fewer touchdowns that people aren't cashing 874 00:45:04,960 --> 00:45:09,280 Speaker 1: these things. Look at justin Herbert last night, the odds 875 00:45:09,360 --> 00:45:12,840 Speaker 1: on him at another sports book to throw a touchdown pass. 876 00:45:13,120 --> 00:45:16,960 Speaker 1: We're boosted from like minus eight hundred to plus one hundred. 877 00:45:17,640 --> 00:45:20,880 Speaker 1: Everybody bet it and nobody cashed because he didn't do 878 00:45:20,920 --> 00:45:24,560 Speaker 1: any touchdown passes. I mean, I feel no, no pain 879 00:45:24,640 --> 00:45:26,440 Speaker 1: for any any time touched on betters. It's not that 880 00:45:26,480 --> 00:45:28,120 Speaker 1: I'm calling you a sucker if you bet those all 881 00:45:28,160 --> 00:45:30,440 Speaker 1: the time, but it is. It's like there's a lot 882 00:45:30,440 --> 00:45:32,440 Speaker 1: of guys on offense, who the hell called that touch 883 00:45:32,520 --> 00:45:36,640 Speaker 1: on the first one? Backup rookie tight end first. It's 884 00:45:36,680 --> 00:45:38,719 Speaker 1: a sucker bet people, but it's fun. So like that's 885 00:45:38,760 --> 00:45:41,800 Speaker 1: why I do anytime touchdowns, Like there are value, but 886 00:45:42,000 --> 00:45:44,080 Speaker 1: you're gonna get burned by these random things. I mean 887 00:45:44,120 --> 00:45:47,560 Speaker 1: that Herbert thing hilarious, right, that promo they give out 888 00:45:47,680 --> 00:45:50,080 Speaker 1: everyone's gonna bet it the guy can't throw one touchdown 889 00:45:50,160 --> 00:45:52,800 Speaker 1: first time and what like thirties six games something bizarre, 890 00:45:52,960 --> 00:45:56,239 Speaker 1: right chet. So yeah, it's I would say the big 891 00:45:56,280 --> 00:45:58,759 Speaker 1: thing people have been stressing about there, like what what's 892 00:45:58,760 --> 00:46:01,239 Speaker 1: why scoring down? Like Brady came out, Remember you made 893 00:46:01,280 --> 00:46:04,560 Speaker 1: that whole thing about all everyone's looking softly. See, I 894 00:46:04,640 --> 00:46:07,640 Speaker 1: honestly think Tom doesn't give a damn about anyone else's 895 00:46:07,640 --> 00:46:09,640 Speaker 1: football team. He was talking to his own team. I 896 00:46:10,040 --> 00:46:12,759 Speaker 1: really do think that. So to me, when I look 897 00:46:12,800 --> 00:46:15,600 Speaker 1: at football right now, the difference is the coverage two 898 00:46:16,080 --> 00:46:19,160 Speaker 1: and the athleticism on defense. Like again, you can throw 899 00:46:19,160 --> 00:46:20,399 Speaker 1: it on the refs. You want to say, the refs 900 00:46:20,400 --> 00:46:22,560 Speaker 1: of the big reason too, I can't fight you on it. 901 00:46:22,640 --> 00:46:25,960 Speaker 1: Like that Miami game was insane. That Vikings in Miami game. 902 00:46:26,200 --> 00:46:28,680 Speaker 1: I think that Miami had four d fifty yards and 903 00:46:28,760 --> 00:46:31,359 Speaker 1: the only seventeen points. Why because they're getting the red 904 00:46:31,440 --> 00:46:33,200 Speaker 1: zone and then all of a sudden be third and thirty, 905 00:46:33,280 --> 00:46:34,799 Speaker 1: they'll pick up our first down. All of a sudden 906 00:46:34,800 --> 00:46:36,960 Speaker 1: it's fourth and forty because they called it holding. It's 907 00:46:37,000 --> 00:46:41,000 Speaker 1: just it's been bizarre for a lot of these referee games. Um, 908 00:46:41,320 --> 00:46:44,520 Speaker 1: but I'm with you. Chat the unders. What can we do? 909 00:46:44,800 --> 00:46:46,920 Speaker 1: Like we like betting unders, we have to keep pounding them. 910 00:46:46,960 --> 00:46:49,719 Speaker 1: They keep hitting. Even when the books are adjusting, the 911 00:46:49,840 --> 00:46:52,480 Speaker 1: unders are still coming through, especially prime time unders. It's 912 00:46:52,840 --> 00:46:55,279 Speaker 1: it's a magical year. If you're an under. Better I'm 913 00:46:55,280 --> 00:47:00,400 Speaker 1: gonna say something that is sacrilegious. Right now, it's more 914 00:47:00,480 --> 00:47:02,760 Speaker 1: fun to watch college football and proad Ton in the NFL, 915 00:47:03,480 --> 00:47:06,680 Speaker 1: like these games are excruciating. Last night the Broncos and 916 00:47:06,719 --> 00:47:09,359 Speaker 1: the Chargers. I think in the first two series there 917 00:47:09,440 --> 00:47:12,520 Speaker 1: might have been eight plays and seven penalties, uh, including 918 00:47:12,560 --> 00:47:15,279 Speaker 1: on the first play of the game. It's really, it's 919 00:47:15,480 --> 00:47:19,200 Speaker 1: just terrible. It's a terrible product to watch. Who's the 920 00:47:19,239 --> 00:47:23,800 Speaker 1: starting quarterback of Georgia Bennett? Damn it? All right, so 921 00:47:23,880 --> 00:47:25,399 Speaker 1: you know sports at least, But I was just gonna say, 922 00:47:25,400 --> 00:47:28,759 Speaker 1: I get it people can hype up college. I still 923 00:47:28,800 --> 00:47:31,120 Speaker 1: think college is different where it's like, I think it's 924 00:47:31,160 --> 00:47:33,400 Speaker 1: better there than it is on TV because I I 925 00:47:33,760 --> 00:47:37,040 Speaker 1: just think college is said sloppy. But yeah, Obama Tennessee game, 926 00:47:37,520 --> 00:47:39,320 Speaker 1: I watched that any day of the week. But in 927 00:47:39,440 --> 00:47:42,560 Speaker 1: Iowa Nebraska game, there's no amount of money you can 928 00:47:42,600 --> 00:47:44,719 Speaker 1: give me to watch that game. So I just I 929 00:47:44,840 --> 00:47:47,440 Speaker 1: think NFL is a little cleaner. But I guess you're 930 00:47:47,480 --> 00:47:49,680 Speaker 1: kind of a point. Like this past weekend, I would 931 00:47:49,680 --> 00:47:52,000 Speaker 1: say College one. But this season I just think NFL 932 00:47:52,040 --> 00:47:55,200 Speaker 1: has been better. Um. The parody to me is everything 933 00:47:55,280 --> 00:47:57,479 Speaker 1: people don't like it. There's all these two and three 934 00:47:57,680 --> 00:48:01,000 Speaker 1: or two and four, three and three teams. I love it. 935 00:48:01,080 --> 00:48:03,280 Speaker 1: That's my favorite thing about the NFL. It's like, truly, 936 00:48:03,360 --> 00:48:06,640 Speaker 1: any given Sunday, um that's really been that this year 937 00:48:06,719 --> 00:48:12,160 Speaker 1: to the NAX right inch by inch, Simon Steveler was 938 00:48:12,239 --> 00:48:14,920 Speaker 1: visiting the Dolphins. Uh, there's seven point under dogs with 939 00:48:15,040 --> 00:48:19,360 Speaker 1: two expected to start, tickets and money coming in in Miami. 940 00:48:19,920 --> 00:48:23,480 Speaker 1: Does this Miami team return to form when they started 941 00:48:23,520 --> 00:48:27,520 Speaker 1: the year undefeated and we're so incredibly dynamic. Yeah, again, 942 00:48:27,560 --> 00:48:29,040 Speaker 1: I might be getting sucked in, but I feel like 943 00:48:29,080 --> 00:48:32,880 Speaker 1: I'm I'm really supposed to bet Pittsburgh here like Miami. 944 00:48:33,640 --> 00:48:35,160 Speaker 1: I don't know how two is gonna be coming off 945 00:48:35,200 --> 00:48:37,239 Speaker 1: that injury. I just have a lot of questions right 946 00:48:37,280 --> 00:48:40,160 Speaker 1: now with Miami team. Maybe maybe I'm buying fool's gold 947 00:48:40,200 --> 00:48:41,839 Speaker 1: back into a Pittsburgh team that just had the winner 948 00:48:41,880 --> 00:48:44,440 Speaker 1: the season for them. But at the same time, you 949 00:48:44,440 --> 00:48:46,360 Speaker 1: could say Pittsburgh might have found an identity there. I 950 00:48:46,400 --> 00:48:48,920 Speaker 1: would honestly feel better if it wasn't mitch Um than 951 00:48:49,000 --> 00:48:52,640 Speaker 1: Kenny where I like Kenny. I think he is a 952 00:48:52,680 --> 00:48:57,200 Speaker 1: better quarterback right now than Mitches, but prime time in Miami, 953 00:48:57,840 --> 00:49:00,279 Speaker 1: that's that's a lot um to put on a rookie, 954 00:49:00,320 --> 00:49:03,120 Speaker 1: where at least Mitch has been there before. A Nosy situations, 955 00:49:03,239 --> 00:49:05,440 Speaker 1: but can't bet it. Can't bet it when I know 956 00:49:05,480 --> 00:49:08,360 Speaker 1: I don't know who the quarterbacks are. Um, I'm assuming 957 00:49:08,360 --> 00:49:09,799 Speaker 1: it is gonna be too it. Like Chad just said 958 00:49:09,800 --> 00:49:13,440 Speaker 1: he's been cleared. God, Miami fans are hoping it is 959 00:49:13,600 --> 00:49:16,560 Speaker 1: like you need him back a sap because they've dropped 960 00:49:16,640 --> 00:49:19,560 Speaker 1: what three games now. Um, it's it's just been a 961 00:49:19,640 --> 00:49:32,239 Speaker 1: slide ever since his injury. The Bears are on the road. 962 00:49:32,920 --> 00:49:37,080 Speaker 1: They are eight point underdogars against the resurgent Bailey's Appy's 963 00:49:38,200 --> 00:49:41,719 Speaker 1: Bailey Zappy. I don't know, Chad knows we have to 964 00:49:41,800 --> 00:49:44,439 Speaker 1: do here, right, We're just gonna keep losing money. Yeah, 965 00:49:44,440 --> 00:49:46,320 Speaker 1: we gotta just keep losing money against New England. But 966 00:49:46,680 --> 00:49:49,640 Speaker 1: no choice. We have to take the Bears here. Um, 967 00:49:50,520 --> 00:49:53,160 Speaker 1: no way. I know I probably get convinced to put 968 00:49:53,200 --> 00:49:55,600 Speaker 1: us in the contest. But it feels like the Steelers 969 00:49:55,680 --> 00:49:58,520 Speaker 1: last week. It's like Chad talked about, they're just certain 970 00:49:58,560 --> 00:50:00,720 Speaker 1: games you have to play. You just follow the book. 971 00:50:01,280 --> 00:50:04,040 Speaker 1: The Bears buying as low as you can buy the 972 00:50:04,120 --> 00:50:07,000 Speaker 1: team they've just lost on prime time. Got embarrassed. I've 973 00:50:07,040 --> 00:50:10,719 Speaker 1: just been talked terribly for the last ten days. Playing 974 00:50:10,719 --> 00:50:13,080 Speaker 1: against the Patriots team that is just on absolute role 975 00:50:13,640 --> 00:50:15,400 Speaker 1: you got. You got Patriots fans talking about them being 976 00:50:15,440 --> 00:50:18,520 Speaker 1: a win their division now like delusional fan base love it. 977 00:50:19,200 --> 00:50:20,839 Speaker 1: I wish I could put this in the contest, saying 978 00:50:20,960 --> 00:50:22,880 Speaker 1: on Tuesday, but like we're putting this one in. I 979 00:50:23,080 --> 00:50:25,239 Speaker 1: just I feel like I'm just simply betting a number here. 980 00:50:25,480 --> 00:50:27,640 Speaker 1: I make this whatever it is, six and a half six, 981 00:50:28,520 --> 00:50:29,840 Speaker 1: What is it up to now? Chat? I think it 982 00:50:29,880 --> 00:50:33,640 Speaker 1: might be up to eight eight? Yeah, it's I want 983 00:50:33,680 --> 00:50:36,239 Speaker 1: to say it's no over adjusted. But maybe I'm too 984 00:50:36,320 --> 00:50:39,360 Speaker 1: low and zappy because this kid makes good throws and 985 00:50:39,400 --> 00:50:42,440 Speaker 1: they're scheming it up well. But I gotta look at 986 00:50:42,440 --> 00:50:45,000 Speaker 1: the teams. He just he's beaten right like Green Bay 987 00:50:45,080 --> 00:50:48,080 Speaker 1: and nothing. It looks like they're not that good. Detroit, 988 00:50:48,520 --> 00:50:52,040 Speaker 1: what are they one in four? Cleveland? Chad just said 989 00:50:52,080 --> 00:50:54,320 Speaker 1: it like they feel like they're making more mistakes themselves, 990 00:50:54,360 --> 00:50:56,839 Speaker 1: putting in in good positions to win. So I guess 991 00:50:57,120 --> 00:50:58,680 Speaker 1: I'm trying to play the numbers here and buy a 992 00:50:58,719 --> 00:51:00,480 Speaker 1: Bears team that no one else is gonna buy. But 993 00:51:01,760 --> 00:51:04,000 Speaker 1: just like Pittsburgh last week, zero confidence, but I have 994 00:51:04,160 --> 00:51:06,400 Speaker 1: to bet it. I think the big difference here is 995 00:51:06,440 --> 00:51:09,120 Speaker 1: that the Bears are going on the road against New England. 996 00:51:09,280 --> 00:51:12,080 Speaker 1: But I agree with you. We're just it's a Bilow 997 00:51:12,160 --> 00:51:15,279 Speaker 1: cell high. That's really what it is. And again we'll 998 00:51:15,280 --> 00:51:18,320 Speaker 1: be the only ones on every teaser. Everyone's gonna have 999 00:51:19,080 --> 00:51:20,680 Speaker 1: patriots in this. That's how they already ran it up 1000 00:51:20,719 --> 00:51:22,400 Speaker 1: to eight. That's crazy. They already moves at eight, but 1001 00:51:23,040 --> 00:51:27,040 Speaker 1: it opened at seven. I think something like that, right six, 1002 00:51:27,320 --> 00:51:30,160 Speaker 1: So people came in heavy on that. Then they just 1003 00:51:30,280 --> 00:51:33,000 Speaker 1: ran it right up because again that is low, like six, 1004 00:51:33,200 --> 00:51:36,040 Speaker 1: I would bump it up to seven. That's my breaking point, 1005 00:51:36,120 --> 00:51:38,200 Speaker 1: like eight. That's that's a lot of points for this 1006 00:51:38,320 --> 00:51:40,560 Speaker 1: kid to be getting. So again, I mean I might 1007 00:51:40,600 --> 00:51:42,360 Speaker 1: be missing the boat on Zappy here. I know the 1008 00:51:42,400 --> 00:51:47,440 Speaker 1: college people love them, but we're just playing the number here, Simon, Simon, 1009 00:51:48,040 --> 00:51:49,920 Speaker 1: I think you would find you're a lot more like me. 1010 00:51:50,360 --> 00:51:52,840 Speaker 1: You know, once you grow up and get married and 1011 00:51:52,960 --> 00:51:55,400 Speaker 1: have kids, and you've got to entertained, and you've got 1012 00:51:55,480 --> 00:51:57,680 Speaker 1: to keep a positive attitude for your children. I'm the 1013 00:51:57,719 --> 00:52:00,680 Speaker 1: most positive person ever. You gotta show them optimism and 1014 00:52:00,719 --> 00:52:03,680 Speaker 1: you've got to entertain and you've gotta be happy. You know, 1015 00:52:04,239 --> 00:52:06,279 Speaker 1: here's what we're talking about. I agree with you. By 1016 00:52:06,280 --> 00:52:11,440 Speaker 1: the way, I think betters generally are incredibly optimistic. They 1017 00:52:11,520 --> 00:52:14,239 Speaker 1: have to be. Everyone thinks they're curmudgeons and angry. But 1018 00:52:15,080 --> 00:52:19,279 Speaker 1: you gotta believe like a hundred and it's not like 1019 00:52:19,880 --> 00:52:24,680 Speaker 1: you gotta believe and you're blind about it. It's you 1020 00:52:24,800 --> 00:52:26,719 Speaker 1: got to do the work and then believe in your 1021 00:52:26,760 --> 00:52:29,680 Speaker 1: system and believe that you know what's right, and believe 1022 00:52:29,760 --> 00:52:33,240 Speaker 1: in the history of what you've done and pull the trigger. 1023 00:52:33,680 --> 00:52:35,640 Speaker 1: It helps you. When we've started the year sixth straight 1024 00:52:35,640 --> 00:52:37,719 Speaker 1: winning weeks, yeah, I feel like that's. Ah, that's really 1025 00:52:37,760 --> 00:52:40,000 Speaker 1: helping your boy over here, because it's just like, man, 1026 00:52:40,320 --> 00:52:42,160 Speaker 1: that's the toughest part in these competitions. You get off 1027 00:52:42,160 --> 00:52:44,200 Speaker 1: to a slow start. Again, we're only four back of 1028 00:52:44,280 --> 00:52:46,520 Speaker 1: the leader. We can flip down a day. If you're 1029 00:52:46,560 --> 00:52:49,680 Speaker 1: like ten back, yeah, you're pretty much done. It's it's 1030 00:52:49,719 --> 00:52:51,400 Speaker 1: just really hard to catch up on these guys that 1031 00:52:51,480 --> 00:52:54,440 Speaker 1: are in these contests. Man, it's their cut through nowadays, 1032 00:52:54,520 --> 00:52:57,360 Speaker 1: like thirty and five, I mean thirty and thirty thirty 1033 00:52:57,440 --> 00:53:00,120 Speaker 1: games right have been played the guy the leaders have 1034 00:53:00,160 --> 00:53:02,840 Speaker 1: a five, Like, holy sh it, man, So that's what 1035 00:53:02,920 --> 00:53:05,320 Speaker 1: we eacha up against. Twenty one and nine we're killing 1036 00:53:05,360 --> 00:53:07,880 Speaker 1: it four back of this guy just don't believe how 1037 00:53:07,920 --> 00:53:11,960 Speaker 1: good people are should be three fucking Jack's. Uh, here's 1038 00:53:12,000 --> 00:53:15,160 Speaker 1: the foxel forty nine is plus three. And by the way, 1039 00:53:15,360 --> 00:53:16,799 Speaker 1: I do think that number is going to go up. 1040 00:53:16,840 --> 00:53:19,480 Speaker 1: There's so much money coming in on the on the Chiefs, 1041 00:53:19,520 --> 00:53:22,400 Speaker 1: that number is gonna go up. Washington plus five and 1042 00:53:22,400 --> 00:53:25,439 Speaker 1: a half. If it doesn't, sorry, if it doesn't, even 1043 00:53:25,520 --> 00:53:28,359 Speaker 1: better people like, if that number doesn't, that means we're 1044 00:53:28,400 --> 00:53:30,239 Speaker 1: taking a really nice position with the books. Like the 1045 00:53:30,280 --> 00:53:33,520 Speaker 1: books just hanged that at three. I don't sandwich money. 1046 00:53:33,520 --> 00:53:34,880 Speaker 1: I might be end the betting on that, but like, 1047 00:53:35,440 --> 00:53:37,120 Speaker 1: that's a key thing you look for. When a book 1048 00:53:37,160 --> 00:53:39,520 Speaker 1: doesn't move a number, a key number like three to 1049 00:53:39,680 --> 00:53:41,879 Speaker 1: three and a half, it's because of sharp group came 1050 00:53:41,880 --> 00:53:43,320 Speaker 1: in so heavy at three and a half. They just 1051 00:53:43,440 --> 00:53:47,040 Speaker 1: will not go back to it. Uh. Simon says, Washington 1052 00:53:47,080 --> 00:53:50,920 Speaker 1: plus five and a half the exact decision. Houston Texans 1053 00:53:50,960 --> 00:53:55,839 Speaker 1: plus seven against the Las Vegas Raiders right now are 1054 00:53:55,960 --> 00:54:00,520 Speaker 1: leans for the contest. Basically, what this means is you 1055 00:54:00,600 --> 00:54:02,719 Speaker 1: might want to start thinking about them. Keep it. Keep 1056 00:54:02,760 --> 00:54:05,239 Speaker 1: track of these lines. Jacks minus three, Washington plus five 1057 00:54:05,280 --> 00:54:09,959 Speaker 1: and half Houston plus sevens plus three. UM, I also 1058 00:54:10,000 --> 00:54:12,840 Speaker 1: would say we're probably looking at Falcons plus six, Seattle 1059 00:54:12,880 --> 00:54:15,839 Speaker 1: six and a half in Bears plus eight. I love 1060 00:54:15,920 --> 00:54:19,480 Speaker 1: it all right? Have you been listening on AMP We 1061 00:54:19,600 --> 00:54:26,120 Speaker 1: Gotta do the Survivor am a Surviva We are the 1062 00:54:26,239 --> 00:54:29,080 Speaker 1: greatest podcast in the world by the only ones left 1063 00:54:29,080 --> 00:54:32,080 Speaker 1: and Survivor pools. I feel like every other show or 1064 00:54:32,200 --> 00:54:34,480 Speaker 1: just people in general, have been knocked out. It's literally 1065 00:54:34,520 --> 00:54:37,839 Speaker 1: a waste land out there after this past week. Yeah again, 1066 00:54:37,880 --> 00:54:40,720 Speaker 1: if anyone had the Chargers last night, God damn you're lucky. 1067 00:54:42,880 --> 00:54:46,960 Speaker 1: What do we think of Miami? Holy shit, that's two 1068 00:54:47,040 --> 00:54:50,279 Speaker 1: balls for me. I was thinking playing it safe, the 1069 00:54:50,360 --> 00:54:54,640 Speaker 1: safest of safe Belichick at home right, Like again, I 1070 00:54:54,719 --> 00:54:57,239 Speaker 1: think the Bears can cover. Yeah, I get it. I 1071 00:54:57,280 --> 00:55:00,960 Speaker 1: can't see the Bears winning that or when else are 1072 00:55:01,000 --> 00:55:05,640 Speaker 1: we going to use them? The Bucks like this? This 1073 00:55:05,840 --> 00:55:08,680 Speaker 1: is like I mean again, the fear of the Bucks 1074 00:55:08,760 --> 00:55:10,920 Speaker 1: is this whole team could be collapsing right now and 1075 00:55:11,000 --> 00:55:15,200 Speaker 1: we're walking right into it. But Carolina, man, they are 1076 00:55:15,320 --> 00:55:18,800 Speaker 1: so bad. I just if the I don't know what 1077 00:55:18,920 --> 00:55:20,360 Speaker 1: else we would look at the use the Bucks the 1078 00:55:20,400 --> 00:55:22,120 Speaker 1: same reason I was cool with us taking the Rams 1079 00:55:22,200 --> 00:55:23,640 Speaker 1: last week. It's like, I don't know we're gonna use 1080 00:55:23,680 --> 00:55:27,239 Speaker 1: them again. Yeah. The big difference here the Rams were 1081 00:55:27,280 --> 00:55:29,600 Speaker 1: at home, the Panthers are not. And as much as 1082 00:55:29,640 --> 00:55:32,839 Speaker 1: I feel like playing in Carolina, you might as well 1083 00:55:32,920 --> 00:55:40,520 Speaker 1: be playing like it doesn't matter. Um, but you're sitting here, 1084 00:55:40,520 --> 00:55:42,000 Speaker 1: You're looking me in the face, and you're saying you 1085 00:55:42,080 --> 00:55:44,480 Speaker 1: were scared. Brady is gonna lose the Panthers next week, 1086 00:55:44,600 --> 00:55:50,279 Speaker 1: this weekend? Come on, alright? Fine? So that's so that's 1087 00:55:50,280 --> 00:55:52,640 Speaker 1: how I feel like. Our two choices are like, if 1088 00:55:52,680 --> 00:55:55,520 Speaker 1: you gotta, if you gotta pick between them, I would 1089 00:55:55,560 --> 00:55:57,520 Speaker 1: say Chad agrees with me. The safest one feels like 1090 00:55:57,600 --> 00:56:01,680 Speaker 1: New England. Um, don't Chad's idea of Miami, because again, 1091 00:56:01,680 --> 00:56:03,840 Speaker 1: that's when you else you're going to use them. You 1092 00:56:04,000 --> 00:56:05,759 Speaker 1: really wanted to be balls. I guess you could go 1093 00:56:05,920 --> 00:56:08,440 Speaker 1: with Vegas, but I don't know. Houston's just a frisky 1094 00:56:08,520 --> 00:56:11,919 Speaker 1: team to me. So a lot of bad matchups this week, 1095 00:56:12,239 --> 00:56:14,480 Speaker 1: there's gonna be some big upsets. Usually on weeks like this, 1096 00:56:14,640 --> 00:56:17,200 Speaker 1: you have some big upsets. So, man, if you've made 1097 00:56:17,200 --> 00:56:19,480 Speaker 1: it this far and your pool is not over, um, 1098 00:56:19,800 --> 00:56:21,919 Speaker 1: we somehow still have thousand people left in ours, which 1099 00:56:21,960 --> 00:56:25,719 Speaker 1: is freaking crazy. But I don't know. Safest play to me, 1100 00:56:25,760 --> 00:56:28,320 Speaker 1: seems like New England. Chad. I agree, I'd rather do 1101 00:56:28,400 --> 00:56:31,440 Speaker 1: New England in the bucks. Okay, so again, maybe we'll 1102 00:56:31,440 --> 00:56:32,880 Speaker 1: switch it up by this weekend, but I would say 1103 00:56:32,960 --> 00:56:38,600 Speaker 1: nine chanced. A couple of reminders, don't forget listen to Buckets. 1104 00:56:38,719 --> 00:56:41,160 Speaker 1: If you love the NBA, you want to bet in 1105 00:56:41,200 --> 00:56:42,840 Speaker 1: the n b A, if you want to keep involved 1106 00:56:42,880 --> 00:56:44,600 Speaker 1: with the drama of the n b A, if you 1107 00:56:44,600 --> 00:56:47,320 Speaker 1: want to play the narrative of the m v P betting, 1108 00:56:47,440 --> 00:56:50,600 Speaker 1: which is all that all that award is is narrative 1109 00:56:50,960 --> 00:56:54,680 Speaker 1: and that more. We'll break it down better than anybody 1110 00:56:55,280 --> 00:57:00,600 Speaker 1: covering the league. Uh. Listen to Buckets. Download Buckets Action 1111 00:57:00,680 --> 00:57:04,799 Speaker 1: Network Podcast Buckets. I am Chad Mowman. He's Simon Hunter 1112 00:57:04,920 --> 00:57:07,680 Speaker 1: for producer Matt Mitchell. If you're listening on app thank 1113 00:57:07,760 --> 00:57:11,680 Speaker 1: you very much. Uh. Download the podcast from Spotify, from 1114 00:57:11,680 --> 00:57:15,800 Speaker 1: Apple Podcasts wherever you get your podcast. Rate reviews, subscribe 1115 00:57:15,800 --> 00:57:17,919 Speaker 1: to keep us five stars. Say whatever you want, because 1116 00:57:17,960 --> 00:57:20,760 Speaker 1: we think feedback is a gift. Until next time, I 1117 00:57:20,840 --> 00:57:21,160 Speaker 1: love you,