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Speaker 1: What's up, guys?

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Speaker 2: How are you welcome into a Sunday selection Sunday edition

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Speaker 2: of the Daily Juice podcast. My name is Matt Perelt.

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Speaker 2: You guys can follow me across all of my socials

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Speaker 2: and we are back after one of the most insane

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Speaker 2: weeks in the history of the Daily Juice. We have

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Speaker 2: had cold streaks before on this podcast. I have had

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Speaker 2: cold streaks before on this podcast. I don't know if

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Speaker 2: I can remember a week where if we don't have

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Speaker 2: a winning day today, we don't have a winning day

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Speaker 2: in the entire week. I don't think that that's happened

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Speaker 2: before in the history. In the six year history of

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Speaker 2: this podcast. This is a historically bad streak that I

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Speaker 2: am currently on. It has been why SLEW does not

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Speaker 2: get to the A ten final. Arkansas does more on

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Speaker 2: them here in a second Alex Saar it was a blowout.

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Speaker 2: I was afraid of a blowout, but I thought he'd

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Speaker 2: get his points, rebounds and assists. He did not, So

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Speaker 2: we go zero and two down two point two units

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Speaker 2: on the day which has just been this. I mean,

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Speaker 2: I guess technically we went one in two, which would

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Speaker 2: be in line with what we have gone but we

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Speaker 2: do have a way of not losing money in the SEC.

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Speaker 2: You can let that ride, by the way, if you

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Speaker 2: want to simply just let that bet ride and see

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Speaker 2: if you can make three point three units back on

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Speaker 2: Arkansas today against Vandy. Vandy is favored, there is you

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Speaker 2: know you can do that. But I have been so

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Speaker 2: cold that I am not really willing. If I think

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Speaker 2: if I was hot, or if I was feeling it,

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Speaker 2: I probably would let it ride and say, hey, let's

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Speaker 2: just go ahead and see if we can win three

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Speaker 2: units off of that and make up for what has

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Speaker 2: been a really bad week.

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Speaker 1: So just depends upon how big of a gambler you are.

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Speaker 2: If you want to gamble and you want to take

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Speaker 2: Arkansas and let them, let it ride, go right ahead.

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Speaker 2: If you want to bet in game, not a bad

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Speaker 2: idea at all to wait and bet it in game.

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Speaker 2: I got a bunch of stuff going on here today,

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Speaker 2: so I don't know if I'm going to be able

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Speaker 2: to watch the game. So if you are able to

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Speaker 2: watch it on this Sunday, then I think it's worth it.

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Speaker 2: And saying okay, the numbers minus won forty for Vanderbilt.

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Speaker 2: At some point during the game, you might get plus

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Speaker 2: money on Vandy in the SEC Championship game, and if

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Speaker 2: that happens, that's just a great way of hedging there

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Speaker 2: and not lay the juice that I'm going to lay

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Speaker 2: it or I have laid here pre flop. It's just

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Speaker 2: the way that things have gone. You know, sometimes you're

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Speaker 2: feeling it, sometimes you want to bet, sometimes you want

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Speaker 2: to break out of it.

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Speaker 1: So this is really a personal choice.

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Speaker 2: If you have taken Arkansas at plus three thirty because

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Speaker 2: Florida lost to Vandy last week or last night, rather

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Speaker 2: so they lose to Vanderbilt, that puts Vandy in the

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Speaker 2: SEC Championship game, they are favored over Arkansas. So I

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Speaker 2: am not going to roll the dice. I'm going to

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Speaker 2: guarantee profit. I'll explain how I'm doing that here in

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Speaker 2: just one second. But as I mentioned at the top,

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Speaker 2: it is Selection Sunday, and that means we've got a

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Speaker 2: has one of these, However, this is a really cool

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Speaker 2: pick to enter. Right now, let's talk about how to

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Speaker 2: bet Arkansas and Vandy. So here's how I would do it,

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Speaker 2: and here's how I have done it. Okay, I'm gonna

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Speaker 2: bet one point eight five units. It's mine one forty

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Speaker 2: on the money line. Okay, So I'm gonna.

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Speaker 1: Guarantee one point three.

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Speaker 2: Units one point three to two units coming back here

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Speaker 2: for a win for Vanderbilt. Now we have one unit

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Speaker 2: to win three point three and so now now we're

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Speaker 2: gonna have one point eight five units to win one

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Speaker 2: point three to two. So if Arkansas wins, we're going

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Speaker 2: to win one point four to five units. If Vandy wins,

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Speaker 2: we're gonna win point three two units. We cannot lose, Okay,

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Speaker 2: I just I'm given what happened with Dayton and their

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Speaker 2: win yesterday beating Saint Louis. I don't want to play

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Speaker 2: around with anything like I think Arkansas wins today. But

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Speaker 2: I'm not playing around with it. I don't want I

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Speaker 2: just want to go ahead and guarantee a little bit

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Speaker 2: of a win. If Arkansas does win, we win one

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Speaker 2: point four to five units, and I'm good there. Or

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Speaker 2: we take that, that should really help. So we're pulling

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Speaker 2: for Arkansas. But in case I continually this streak, if

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Speaker 2: I continue the streak of being dead wrong, just in case,

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Speaker 2: let's guarantee ourselves some profit here. Again, you can wait

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Speaker 2: till in game if you want to go ahead and

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Speaker 2: bet an in game, and I would wait to see

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Speaker 2: if you can get some plus money on Vandy. If

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Speaker 2: there's a lead for Arkansas and it's you know, a two,

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Speaker 2: three four point lead, you might get even money or

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Speaker 2: plus one ten something like that, depending on when the

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Speaker 2: game is, where the game is on the clock, you.

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Speaker 1: Might get that.

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Speaker 2: So if you get that, I think that's a really

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Speaker 2: good way, a really smart way of playing that here

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Speaker 2: for today. So officially, we're going to take Vandy on

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Speaker 2: the money line mis one forty. We're going to bet

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Speaker 2: one point eighty five units to win one point three

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Speaker 2: to two units coming back, which is a hedge off

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Speaker 2: of the Arkansas bet. If you do not have the

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Speaker 2: Arkansas play already, don't do this, Okay, you have to

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Speaker 2: have the Arkansas play to go ahead and play off

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Speaker 2: of it. That's why I bet Arkansas plus three thirty.

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Speaker 2: So let's go ahead and play off of it. These

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Speaker 2: are I love doing things like this. This is we're

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Speaker 2: going to do this in the NCAA tournament like this is.

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Speaker 2: I love doing this. So we're going to get involved

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Speaker 2: with the game on both sides so we cannot lose.

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Speaker 2: In the SEC tournament, we can only win and you

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Speaker 2: can wait again. But how I've played it because I

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Speaker 2: have stuff going on. That's how I'm going to hedge

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Speaker 2: to guarantee profit for the SEC Championship. Now for the

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Speaker 2: A ten Championship, Dayton NVCU, this is going to be

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Speaker 2: a very fun basketball game, Dayton. If they win this game,

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Speaker 2: this is every bubble team's nightmare. Okay, they do not

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Speaker 2: want Dayton into the NCAA Tournament. This is probably the

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Speaker 2: biggest game of the day in terms of bubbles dealing

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Speaker 2: that if by chance, Dayton wins this game, there's major problems. However,

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Speaker 2: VCU is a very good basketball team. We've talked about

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Speaker 2: how good VCU has been this year. They were right

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Speaker 2: behind Saint Louis in the A ten. This is a

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Speaker 2: one o'clock Eastern times start. This is in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.

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Speaker 2: That will be fans of both teams in the building.

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Speaker 2: Dayton got hot, okay, and you can get hot in

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Speaker 2: this tournament and make a run all the way to

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Speaker 2: the final. You beat Saint Bonaventure, you beat Saint Louis.

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Speaker 2: But now I think this is when they run out

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Speaker 2: of gas here in the final against VCU. There's a

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Speaker 2: lot of people who like the under in this game,

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Speaker 2: and it's set at one thirty nine and a half

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Speaker 2: and we've seen Ken Palm project seventy five seventy one

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Speaker 2: projects a four point win for VCU on this Anthony

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Speaker 2: Grant is a tremendous basketball coach going back to his

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Speaker 2: days at Florida, so we know the guy can coach.

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Speaker 2: Phil Martelli Junior has a chance to do something really

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Speaker 2: cool because his dad won the A ten obviously with

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Speaker 2: Saint Joe's, and now he has a chanced to win

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Speaker 2: this with VCU. They're in this game thanks to beating

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Speaker 2: to Caine seventy one sixty six and then beating up

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Speaker 2: on Saint Josephs last night seventy seven to sixty four.

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Speaker 2: I just think VCU is the better basketball team, and

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Speaker 2: the numbers kind of bear it out. Defensively, VCU has

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Speaker 2: been good in this tournament, has been good all year,

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Speaker 2: sixty third in defensive efficiency and sixty second and defensive

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Speaker 2: effective field goal percentage. They are good defending the three,

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Speaker 2: they're good defending the two, and Dayton's offense has just

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Speaker 2: not been great this year. I mean, there are one

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Speaker 2: hundred and thirty ninth in offensive efficiency, they're one hundred

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Speaker 2: and sixty first in effective field goal percentage, there are

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Speaker 2: one hundred and sixty six and three point shooting, and

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Speaker 2: they're facing a VCU offense that will face a date

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Speaker 2: in defense. It's two hundred and sixty six and three

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Speaker 2: point defense and VCU is forty first. There could be

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Speaker 2: tired legs. You could definitely bet the under in this game.

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Speaker 2: I mean, I know people like the under, but I

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Speaker 2: just think you can go ahead and lay the three

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Speaker 2: and buy it off of three and a half and

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Speaker 2: buy it down to three, which is what I did.

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Speaker 1: It's not that expensive. Shop around and find the best price.

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Speaker 2: But I got it from Mius one twenty to take

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Speaker 2: VCU minus three, forty six, offensive efficiency sixty third, in

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Speaker 2: offensive effective field goal percentage forty first and three point

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Speaker 2: shooting ninety first and two point shooting, and I do

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Speaker 2: think VCU is the better basketball team here. You may

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Speaker 2: see some late game fouls, you may see some things

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Speaker 2: kind of tick the total up, and that's why it's

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Speaker 2: dangerous to bet overs in championship games. But there's one

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Speaker 2: hundred percent chance this is a slog fest. This is

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Speaker 2: a low scoring game. The under is very live in

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Speaker 2: this game. So if you don't like laying the VCU

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Speaker 2: minus three number, I think you can bet the under.

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Speaker 2: But I have been brutal with totals in this week,

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Speaker 2: so like I just I don't want to be sweating

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Speaker 2: out pace of play and fouls and free throws and

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Speaker 2: everything else going into this. I just think it's a

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Speaker 2: bad way of approaching it, giving where I am, but

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Speaker 2: I do think the under is a decent play, so

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Speaker 2: I think you can make a case for betting the under.

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Speaker 2: I'm just going to come in and take VCU laying

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Speaker 2: the three off the half a point. I don't want

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Speaker 2: it at three and a half. I want it at three.

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Speaker 2: I want one possession. So this game may come down

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Speaker 2: to a last second three point shot or wherever it

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Speaker 2: may be, but I think VCU wins the A ten

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Speaker 2: title at minus three for one point two units. Reminder

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Speaker 2: that as all of the chaos gets going, coming up

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Speaker 1: Don't sit on the bench.

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Speaker 2: Download the hard rock Bet app and let's get the

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Speaker 2: party started. This coming March one, NBA play for us

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Speaker 2: and it looks at Dallas and Cleveland. Look, Dallas and

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Speaker 2: Cleveland have been dead under teams all year on the road,

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Speaker 2: Dallas twenty one and twelve to the under, Cleveland twenty

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Speaker 2: two and twelve to the under at home. But the

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Speaker 2: last two games for Cleveland have gone over. And these

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Speaker 2: two teams played in Dallas two days ago and the

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Speaker 2: game went over by six and a half points. The

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Speaker 2: total was two thirty six and a half. It flew

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Speaker 2: over because Cleveland's going to one hundred and thirty eight

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Speaker 2: points against Dallas.

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Speaker 1: Now.

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Speaker 2: The difference is on the road. Cleveland is twenty and

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Speaker 2: thirteen on the road this year to the over at home,

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Speaker 2: though they are a dead under team. It's weird to

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Speaker 2: say that, but both these teams this year Cleveland overall

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Speaker 2: thirty five and thirty two to the under, Dallas thirty

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Speaker 2: nine and twenty eight to the under. When the games

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Speaker 2: are being played in Cleveland, these games just go under

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Speaker 2: for whatever reason, and the road games go over. So

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Speaker 2: at Orlando went over by twenty three and a half points,

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Speaker 2: at Dallas went over by six and a half points.

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Speaker 2: But on the road, the entire road trip for Dallas Charlotte, Orlando, Boston, Toronto, Atlanta,

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Speaker 2: and Memphis, that whole six game road trip all went under.

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Speaker 2: At home against Detroit, in Boston, in Philadelphia for Dallas,

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Speaker 2: all three of those.

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Speaker 1: Games all went under.

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Speaker 2: So the game the first game going over, we have

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Speaker 2: a two thirty five and a half total. Now this

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Speaker 2: game opened up at two thirty six and a half.

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Speaker 2: Through thirty seven and a half, it's been bet down

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Speaker 2: at two thirty five and a half. I just think

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Speaker 2: we go ahead and play the trends here when it

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Speaker 2: comes to Cleveland at home, and yet Dallas doesn't play

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Speaker 2: great defense, but they played better defense on the road,

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Speaker 2: and Cleveland plays a better defense at home, and this

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Speaker 2: game goes under. I think the best way to play

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Speaker 2: this is Dallas and Cleveland under two thirty five and

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Speaker 2: a half, so plays for today Vanderbilt on the money

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Speaker 2: line with a hedge on Arkansas money line to win

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Speaker 2: the SEC Tournaments a ten title VCU laying three against

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Speaker 2: Dayton and Dallas and Cleveland under two thirty five and

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Speaker 2: a half at minus one ten. In a reminder of

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Speaker 2: about the bracket contest for us here at Betting Pros,

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Speaker 2: it is free bettingpros dot com slash pick to get involved.

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Speaker 2: We're giving out sign jerseys, We're giving it out free

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Speaker 2: years of Betting Pros premium, tons of cool stuff to

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Speaker 2: be given away.

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Speaker 1: It's all free.

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Speaker 2: Go fill your bracket out at Bettingpros dot com slash

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Speaker 2: Bracket once the bracket is released later on today on

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Speaker 2: Selection Sunday minus ma parology. Guys in following me because

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Speaker 2: all my socials at Sports Talk Matt every morning wherever

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Speaker 2: you guys get your podcasts, it is the daily Juice