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Speaker 1: The Action Network Podcast.

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Speaker 2: I'm just about that action, all right. Here we go

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Speaker 2: from throwing out spect we're sitting up to cash.

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Speaker 1: That's all. We'll see. Most gamblers when they go to gamble,

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Speaker 1: they go to win. That's incredible, big bank small. I

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Speaker 1: like to make money, all right.

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Speaker 2: This is the ultimate combining.

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Speaker 1: Want to and we are underway. What's up, everybody? Welcome

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Speaker 1: to the Action the Network Podcast presented by bet MGM. Today,

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Speaker 1: we've got our NFL player projections for week number seven.

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Speaker 1: I am your host, Chris Raybond of The Action Network,

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Speaker 1: and on today's show, we're gonna run through our top

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Speaker 1: five fantasy projected players at each skill position, will discuss

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Speaker 1: players we're especially high and low on this week in

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Speaker 1: the market. You know fantasy DFS prop, so all that

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Speaker 1: and throw out a player prop for each position. Here

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Speaker 1: to break it down with me one of the most

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Speaker 1: accurate Fantasy football rankers and projectors in a game, the

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Speaker 1: odds maker Sean Kerner. Sean, how you doing. I heard

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Speaker 1: you're taking a lot of walks from the bed to

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Speaker 1: the living room and.

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Speaker 2: I'm working on it. I probably rushed my return last week.

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Speaker 2: I had a pretty bad week, lost like five units

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Speaker 2: still on fifteen nuts on the air, so it was

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Speaker 2: due for a slight correction, but siesh, I managed to

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Speaker 2: have out hit my FORIG nine ers future even though

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Speaker 2: they technically lost before the Eagles, since both team's loss

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Speaker 2: is a dead nice.

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Speaker 1: I was wondering about that.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, you win like half your bet and then you

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Speaker 2: lose half your bet. So it cashing out six to one,

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Speaker 2: which helped wipe out an awful, awful week, but physically

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Speaker 2: starting to feel att better. So hopefully you know week

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Speaker 2: seven can be better for me in more ways than one.

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Speaker 2: But how are you doing?

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Speaker 1: I'm doing glad to hear you're doing a little better.

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Speaker 1: I add pretty great week, so I guess I held

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Speaker 1: it down for both of us. My only loss of

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Speaker 1: the I went five and one. I think it was no.

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Speaker 1: Six and five and five or six and one, but

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Speaker 1: my only loss was Patriots plus three by one point

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Speaker 1: on Mac Jones safety, and I just I knew, like

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Speaker 1: I was, I was like nineteen seventeen, this feels too

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Speaker 1: good to be true, and I was like, I wish

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Speaker 1: the Raiders would just get this first down and end

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Speaker 1: the game, because like I didn't have money line, so

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Speaker 1: I didn't really care if the Patriots won or lost,

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Speaker 1: and the minute they had to kick back to the

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Speaker 1: Patriots deep in their own territory, I'm like, oh no,

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Speaker 1: like mac Jones does not have the awareness. I'm sure enough.

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Speaker 1: Max Crosby just ended my ended my ship.

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Speaker 2: Was that your first bad beat? And like two, I

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Speaker 2: feel like your your last bad beat was like the

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Speaker 2: the Gabe Davis, like the Bills, Oh my game two

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Speaker 2: years ago. Well, welcome to the NFL betting. The rest

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Speaker 2: of us in the entire world have dealt with this

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Speaker 2: shit tiers. So it's been a field. I have your

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Speaker 2: first bad beat in like years.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, it's my first bad beat in years, but I

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Speaker 1: mean it's been a crazy run. Like I'm above seventy

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Speaker 1: percent again on the year, so fingers crossed, let's keep

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Speaker 1: it going. But definitely had one earlier this year. I

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Speaker 1: have like under thirty nine and a half Jets Cowboys

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Speaker 1: and it landed on forties. I mean it didn't feel

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Speaker 1: like a bad beat, but like anytime you have a

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Speaker 1: half point, you're gonna be a little.

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Speaker 2: Taking the safety there.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, that's that's a brutal beat. That's yeah, that's like

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Speaker 1: that what is that that that that was the Houston

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Speaker 1: College game? Was it Sam Houston? Or used to like

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Speaker 1: when it was like a score like twelve seconds left

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Speaker 1: and then another score.

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Speaker 2: Hail Mary.

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Speaker 1: Didn't see that game this weekend? Oh man, no.

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Speaker 2: Football games.

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Speaker 1: But yeah, there were some games. But we digress. Let's

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Speaker 1: jump in to our top fives. Start quarterback. We got I.

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Speaker 2: Got Jalen Hurts, Patrick Mahomes, Lamar Jackson, Josh Allen, and

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Speaker 2: Justin Herbert.

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Speaker 1: Where's Tua?

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Speaker 2: Oh he's right there? Yeah, I mean damn, I mean

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Speaker 2: the top five is pretty legit. If anything, Yeah, if anything,

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Speaker 2: he's number five. I haven't really updated Herbert's past couple

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Speaker 2: after the past couple of games. I can't imagine I

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Speaker 2: bump that up. So yeah, I would say Tua in

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Speaker 2: theory would be my QB five. But I mean, you

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Speaker 2: can't go wrong with any of these top five this week.

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Speaker 1: So you're so your your spreadsheet, like when you import

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Speaker 1: your data, are you still manually like upgetting like looking

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Speaker 1: at like let's say Herbert's like like passing stats manually

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Speaker 1: or does it just kind of like update?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, Like, well, that's a great question. I have like

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Speaker 2: two separate sheets. I have my raw projection sheet where

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Speaker 2: you know, Herbert's going to be a little bit lower,

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Speaker 2: and then I filter that into my working sheet, which

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Speaker 2: is more of a manual entry. So I'm looking at

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Speaker 2: my updated projections in my main sheet, but my you know, manual.

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Speaker 2: I know you have something like that. I know you

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Speaker 2: do it.

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Speaker 1: Yeah it.

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Speaker 2: Is. You know, there's a lot of things going on.

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Speaker 2: I haven't really translated all that over, but that's where

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Speaker 2: that's where Herbert's projection will be much lower.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I know, because I have for me, you know,

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Speaker 1: I kind of do it the same, like I have

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Speaker 1: a manual override column for every column, but like it

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Speaker 1: updates automatic, so if I don't change anything just by

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Speaker 1: importing it up. But I think the big thing for

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Speaker 1: me with Herbert is just that Kansas City defense. I

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Speaker 1: actually have them as one of the best pass defenses

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Speaker 1: like for a opponent like efficiency. So that's that's probably

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Speaker 1: why Herbert's like six for me.

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Speaker 2: But I have.

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Speaker 1: In the top five hurts my homes Allen two to

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Speaker 1: four and then Lamar Jackson number five.

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Speaker 2: Makes sense. See if you have to by all means

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Speaker 2: playing this week, fire him.

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Speaker 1: Up like every week for the rest of his life.

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Speaker 1: All who are you high on?

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Speaker 2: I'm high on Jordan Love. He's actually inside my top

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Speaker 2: ten to begin of the week, probably because there's a

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Speaker 2: lot of teams on either's sixteen on by this week,

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Speaker 2: and he is coming off you know, back to back

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Speaker 2: rough games where he's throwing multiple interceptions in both games.

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Speaker 2: But I think the bye week should help, uh, you know,

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Speaker 2: hopefully it allows you know, Aaron Jones enough time to

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Speaker 2: fully recover from his hamstring injury. I think his return

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Speaker 2: will give the entire offense and Jordan Love a boost.

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Speaker 2: You know, Christian Watson has looked great. I think with

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Speaker 2: the bye week he's he's gonna be even closer to

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Speaker 2: one hundred percent. I think he's primed for just a

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Speaker 2: massive game. So that's gonna help Jordan Love. And it's

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Speaker 2: just an easy matchup this week against the Broncos. They've

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Speaker 2: all lo the third most fancy points to quarterbacks is here,

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Speaker 2: So I think this is a good week to to

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Speaker 2: use Love as like a potential streaming option. So he's

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Speaker 2: my QB taned ope in the week.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, he's my QB eight So yeah as well, I

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Speaker 1: mean it's really that yeah at Denver defense, and you

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Speaker 1: know what, he's got the arms out. I feel like

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Speaker 1: what's messing him up is mechanics sometimes, like he doesn't

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Speaker 1: necessarily he doesn't have his like feet set in the

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Speaker 1: direction he always throws because he could just kind of

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Speaker 1: sling it and then he ends up being a little

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Speaker 1: bit imprecise on some of those downfield throws. But he's

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Speaker 1: got all the talent and this is a bad defense.

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Speaker 1: So this is one of those games you expect. We

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Speaker 1: love to put up with some good numbers. I'm high

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Speaker 1: on Baker Mayfield versus the Atlanta Falcons. They're a pass

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Speaker 1: fun of this year. They're number nine in DVOA against

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Speaker 1: a run, twenty ninth against the pass. So I have

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Speaker 1: Mayfield inside my top fifteen borderline streamer. He's can be

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Speaker 1: eighteen and expert consensus. But remember he faced the Lions

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Speaker 1: top five pass defense per DVA. That's kind of going

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Speaker 1: under the radar. They've really improved a lot. That's why

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Speaker 1: you know a lot of people were, you know, loving

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Speaker 1: the Bucks as a home dog last week. I was like, no,

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Speaker 1: taking the Lions like this, This is a comeback down

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Speaker 1: the earth spot for the Bucks. Predictable. And then he

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Speaker 1: faced the Saints. The week before that their number seven,

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Speaker 1: and he faced the Eagles, who their numbers aren't great,

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Speaker 1: but we know how much talent the Eagles have on defense.

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Speaker 1: So three really tough matchups in a row from Mayfield.

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Speaker 1: Now this is more of a matchup where I think

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Speaker 1: he can have some success. Throw in to Mike Evans,

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Speaker 1: Chris Godwin, Kate Aten and those guys. So like Mayfield

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Speaker 1: this week. I know he has the injury, but I'm

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Speaker 1: assuming he's gonna play. It looks like he's gonna play

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Speaker 1: through it. So you know, as long as he plays,

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Speaker 1: I like him in the top fifteen. Optional. What's a

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Speaker 1: pretty ugly slate with all these other far more injured quarterbacks.

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Speaker 2: Oh man, Yeah, there's there's six teams on by and

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Speaker 2: we might have Tyson Bagent, CJ. Bethard, Brian Hoyer, PJ

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Speaker 2: Walker starting this week. So yeah, Baker Mayfield in my

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Speaker 2: top fifteen as well.

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Speaker 1: Who you long?

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Speaker 2: I'm alow on Kirk Cousins again this week. You know,

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Speaker 2: even with all the bye weeks and all these crappy

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Speaker 2: quarterbacks starting, he's still like QB twenty for me. And

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Speaker 2: you know last week he finished QB twenty four against

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Speaker 2: the Bears the the Vikings just you know, they didn't

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Speaker 2: have to throw much, but even when the game was

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Speaker 2: close on early downs, their pass rate ranked fifteenth in

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Speaker 2: the league, when they've typically been you know, a top

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Speaker 2: ten team in terms of pass rate with Justin Jefferson.

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Speaker 2: So I think they're clearly going to be more of

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Speaker 2: a run heavy team without Jefferson. And this is just

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Speaker 2: a brutal matchup. You know, they're facing the Niners, which

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Speaker 2: could you know, result in Cousins attempting more passes. But

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Speaker 2: he's not going to be as efficient, especially without Justin Jefferson,

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Speaker 2: so he could struggle again here. So right now, you know,

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Speaker 2: I'm doing him more as a low MQB two, which

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Speaker 2: is a shame because earlier in the season he was

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Speaker 2: like a slam dunk you know, mid range KB one option.

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Speaker 2: But right now we just have the lower expectations until

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Speaker 2: JJ comes back.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, it's just completely not the same. I mean JJ

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Speaker 1: was getting like one hundred yards a game, like It's

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Speaker 1: it's a totally Addison is a good player, which is

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Speaker 1: not not a true number one.

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Speaker 2: At least not yet exactly.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, neither is kJ Osbourne. I am low on Desmond Ritter.

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Speaker 1: He's another one of these guys who despite all of

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Speaker 1: the injuries, that he's still outside in my top twenties.

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Speaker 1: The QB nineteen in ECR, Tampa Bay has the eleventh

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Speaker 1: best pass defense according to Dvoa and Ritter. We know,

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Speaker 1: he just lost his first home game since elementary school,

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Speaker 1: I guess, But now he's going on the road to

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Speaker 1: Tampa Bay, and he historically has struggled on the road.

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Speaker 1: His completion percentage dropped from sixty seven percent to fifty

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Speaker 1: nine percent, his yards per attempt from seven point three

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Speaker 1: to five and a half, his passing yards per game

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Speaker 1: from two hundred and thirty at home to one hundred

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Speaker 1: and seventy seven on the road, his passing touchdowns from

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Speaker 1: one point two at home to just zero point twenty

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Speaker 1: five a quarter of a touchdown, one touch one passing score,

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Speaker 1: and four road games in his career a seventy passer

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Speaker 1: rating on the road compared to ninety two at home.

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Speaker 1: So tough matchup for ridd He's coming off two, you know,

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Speaker 1: more volume heavy, bigger games where he played pretty solidly

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Speaker 1: at times. I didn't like how he was playing against Washington,

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Speaker 1: especially down a stretch. I just thought he you know,

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Speaker 1: he forced him throw that picking the end zone was horrible.

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Speaker 1: But yeah, now this is like a comeback down to

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Speaker 1: earth spot for Desmond Ridder big time against this this

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Speaker 1: Bucks defense. So going low on Ridder here.

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Speaker 2: What do you have his passing yards projected for? That?

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Speaker 2: This isn't my prop, I'm not bamboozling you right now,

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Speaker 2: but he's coming off back to back, you know, three

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Speaker 2: hundred plus yard games, Like, how how much regression do

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Speaker 2: you see this week? Are you low? Two hundreds?

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm about two twenty four, so like terrible but

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Speaker 1: but yeah it's really the touchdowns and you know, higher

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Speaker 1: chance of just bad negative plays on the road Bucks

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Speaker 1: d So yeah, it's just not not a great projection.

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Speaker 1: But yet passing yards he's getting up. There's it's like

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Speaker 1: they're not afraid. They don't seem as afraid to throw

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Speaker 1: anymore with him, but they probably should be. So right,

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Speaker 1: what are what are we doing for the prop?

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Speaker 2: Oh? Man? So? Uh, I was gonna go to his

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Speaker 2: passing yards, but that's boring. Let's let's go the bottom

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Speaker 2: of the barrel here. Who will have more passing yards

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Speaker 2: this week? Mac Jones or Tyson Baigent?

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Speaker 1: Oh?

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Speaker 2: My god. So Mac Jones is facing the Bills and

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Speaker 2: Beigent is facing the Raiders.

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Speaker 1: Who uh who gotta go Mac Jones still? Uh, I

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Speaker 1: mean he's both of them. The thing about Beige, I

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Speaker 1: mean both of them I think are at risk of benching.

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Speaker 1: You know, they have Bears will probably sign a veteran

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Speaker 1: like Peterman or if he's he might be back on

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Speaker 1: and they released him every week. But I Beigent just

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Speaker 1: didn't look good. Mac Jones hasn't looked good. But yeah,

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Speaker 1: I just I still I'll still go Jones on the off.

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Speaker 1: You know, we've seen Jones put up a big a

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Speaker 1: couple of big yardage games when his team has gotten down.

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Speaker 1: So uh, yeah, I spoofed that's tough, But yeah, I

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Speaker 1: still have more confidence in Jones than they maybe had

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Speaker 1: a great preseason, but I think we've learned these preseason

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Speaker 1: guys like it, not learned like, but are reminded that

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Speaker 1: these preseason performances me nothing. So yeah, I'll still go

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Speaker 1: Mac Jones.

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Speaker 2: Are we gonna see? Oh? Sorry, what's that? No?

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Speaker 1: I was gonna ask is was Mac Jones the favorite?

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Speaker 1: Because we need a tiebreaker? Is Mac Jones?

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Speaker 2: Oh? I mean they're not gonna tie, but all uh yeah,

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Speaker 2: Mac Jones minus a half. Are we gonna see Malik

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Speaker 2: Cunningham uh breakout this week as a quarterback? I don't know.

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Speaker 1: He had a couple of snaps and then but they

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Speaker 1: and then they had guess Zappie was a third quarterback.

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Speaker 2: So yeah, I mean, who is like, like, I don't

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Speaker 2: think he has wide receiver eligibility yet in like fancy leagues,

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Speaker 2: but he's been playing wide receiver. He could get that.

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Speaker 2: And then we could see him start. Who is that

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Speaker 2: guy for the I think it was the Vikings? It

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Speaker 2: was web Uh?

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Speaker 1: Was it?

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Speaker 2: Was?

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Speaker 1: It?

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Speaker 2: Not?

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Speaker 1: In Ja Marcus? Well, what's this guy's name? Yeah? Joe Webb,

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Speaker 1: Jo Joe Webb.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, he started a quarterback for the Vikings one week

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Speaker 2: and he had wide receiver eligibility that there's a non

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Speaker 2: zero chance that at some point with Mike Cunningham this year.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean it was weird today. Apparently he hasn't

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Speaker 1: really practiced that quarterback all year. So Patriots have just

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Speaker 1: I don't know what they're doing on offense, man, right,

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Speaker 1: non't even try to figure it out. Yeah, all right,

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Speaker 1: but you know what everyone does love Sean and that's

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Speaker 1: impressions with Caldera Lab. Sean, you got your top five

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Speaker 1: running backs for week number seven?

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Speaker 2: Oh man, this is a wild week at running back.

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Speaker 2: I haven't seen your top five good, but I can't

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Speaker 2: wait to hear it. Mine is Kenneth Walker number one.

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Speaker 2: I have Josh Jacobs, Alvin Kamara, Austin at and Bjon Robinson.

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Speaker 1: I got. I still got Equer number one. I think

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Speaker 1: I'll throw him back in there, but yeah, Walker number two,

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Speaker 1: Etn third, Jacob fourth, and Raheem Moster number five.

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Speaker 2: Nice. Yeah, Like, how are you handling Chris mccaffran now,

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Speaker 2: just assuming he's out?

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Speaker 1: Yeah? Yeah, so I don't have him at full full,

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Speaker 1: full strength, but it sounded like he was gonna miss

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Speaker 1: that weast and he's pushing a play. But it sound

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Speaker 1: I heard a two to four week timeline quoting, so

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Speaker 1: I'm assumed he probably misses at least one week. And uh,

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Speaker 1: you know, we'll see see next week. But as of now,

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Speaker 1: you have McCaffrey out, and uh yeah, who are you hiring?

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Speaker 2: I guess Zach Evans. I can't believe I'm doing this

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Speaker 2: with myself. I'm trying to figure out how Sean Bailey

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Speaker 2: to handle the running backs. But you know, Kyron's out

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Speaker 2: this week. It looks like, you know, Ronnie Rivers looks

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Speaker 2: like he's gonna as a handful of games. So that

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Speaker 2: should mean Zach Evans and Royce Freeman will handle the

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Speaker 2: workload this week. You know, Evans has been the RB three,

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Speaker 2: you know, he is the sixth round rookie. He probably

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Speaker 2: has the most upside of the two backs, you know,

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Speaker 2: but McVeigh has been unpredictable, so he could opt to

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Speaker 2: go with the veteran Royce Freeman. Here. My guess is,

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Speaker 2: you know, Evans will probably handle most of the early

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Speaker 2: down work with Freeman, you know, handling more of the

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Speaker 2: passing down work. And just considering you know, the rams

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Speaker 2: the three point favorites. Stafford doesn't throw to you know,

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Speaker 2: his running backs much. I think Evans will have the

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Speaker 2: more fancy, friendly role. So just on a week where

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Speaker 2: there's so many injuries, so many teams on by, you know,

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Speaker 2: I think Evans is a you know, an RB three

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Speaker 2: flex option for you know, desperate managers. He does have

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Speaker 2: a ton of upside. He's not quite polished as a

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Speaker 2: rookie yet. He does have a ton of upside. He

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Speaker 2: just really hasn't hit it yet at the college level

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Speaker 2: or in preseason, but he should. You know, see the

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Speaker 2: touches this week, so I'm you know, I'm ranking Evans

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Speaker 2: as like an RB three flex option.

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Speaker 1: Pittsburgh been below average against the run. They're nineteenth to

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Speaker 1: DVA so decent matchup as well for Evans. I'm high

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Speaker 1: on Javonte Williams going against the Packers. He's the RB

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Speaker 1: twenty and ECR I think he should be inside the

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Speaker 1: top twenty. He's had a long rest after playing Thursday.

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Speaker 1: Soma jp Ran is questionable, so Williams could get more

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Speaker 1: passing down work. I feel like him and Julia mclafflin

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Speaker 1: will probably split most of the early down work, but

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Speaker 1: Williams do for some touchdown aggression. He's got one hundred

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Speaker 1: and fifty four straight touches without a touchdown dating back

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Speaker 1: to twenty twenty one. And you have this Green Bay

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Speaker 1: run defense that has been long been the weakness of

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Speaker 1: the team. You know, they are twenty sixth in DVOA

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Speaker 1: against the run, So I think this is a good

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Speaker 1: time for Williams and Broncos are playing at home. They

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Speaker 1: are underdogs but could easily win this game. So like

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Speaker 1: Javonte here against the Packers.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, like I think even if p Ryan is healthy

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Speaker 2: enough to play, I think they were kind of phasing

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Speaker 2: him out last week. So this is more of a

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Speaker 2: two way committee. And p Ryan had a late, you know,

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Speaker 2: fumble late in the game, so this should be more

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Speaker 2: of a two way committee. Malgauklins look great, but this

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Speaker 2: is still Chante's backfield. I'm low on Brian Robinson Junior.

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Speaker 2: You know, he only ran the ball ten times for

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Speaker 2: thirty one yards, managed to salvage you know, pretty solid

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Speaker 2: fancy day considering he caught a touchdown. We can't really

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Speaker 2: bank on receiving touchdowns from him most week, so you know,

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Speaker 2: he's gonna be pretty dicey going forward. If you know,

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Speaker 2: Chris Rodriguez continues to eat into his early down work.

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Speaker 2: Rodriguez played a season high end snaps, ran the ball

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Speaker 2: four times. That was one of the things that we

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Speaker 2: pointed out heading into the season as a potential downside

390
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Speaker 2: for Robinson is if Rodriguez sees an increase in work

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Speaker 2: because you know, Antonio Gibson's already handling most of the

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Speaker 2: past network, so b Rob can't afford to be sharing

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Speaker 2: early do work. And you know, the commanders have just

394
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Speaker 2: been very pass heavy under a new offensive Cornary Eric enemy,

395
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Speaker 2: so there aren't that many carriers to go around. So

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Speaker 2: it's just a bad situation for b Rob. He had

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Speaker 2: a great start to the season, but he's cooled off,

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Speaker 2: and now with Rodriguez seeing more work, you know, I'm

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Speaker 2: pretty low on b Rob. And yeah, he's probably you know,

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Speaker 2: more of a you know, a I would say high

401
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Speaker 2: end RB threeflex because so many teams are on a buy.

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Speaker 2: But long term this is certainly a concern.

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Speaker 1: Oh wow, you're dropping. Well, I still have RB two.

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Speaker 1: I don't mean he's extra. Consensus has him as a

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Speaker 1: pretty much an RB one.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, no, I'm looking right now. Yeah, I have him

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Speaker 2: like more of a low end RB two.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I still put him in mid range. I mean

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Speaker 1: against the Giants, he might you might pop up. I

410
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Speaker 1: have to go rewatch the film. I don't know what

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Speaker 1: did did he get hurt? Is that why Rodrigue has

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Speaker 1: got more work? Is it just Rodriguez? Just no, Jesus no.

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Speaker 2: I mean, they had it decently, but towards the end

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Speaker 2: of the game, it was just a one score game. Yeah.

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Speaker 1: Remember that. It wasn't like so many.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, it wasn't like garbage time or anything like that.

417
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Speaker 2: And Rodriguez looked more efficient. So you know, in the

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Speaker 2: limited work, Rodriguez look good. So it just it's just

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Speaker 2: a potential concern for b Rob.

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Speaker 1: All right. I'm low on ra Shaud White against the

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Speaker 1: Atlanta Falcons. He is the RB nineteen in East year

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Speaker 1: and he's a guy I think should be outside the

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Speaker 1: top twenty just averaging forty six yards a game rushing

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Speaker 1: one touchdown on they air. Atlanta is a top ten

425
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Speaker 1: defense in DVOA against the run. And the big thing

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Speaker 1: here is Atlanta has been good covering running backs out

427
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Speaker 1: of the backfield, giving up the fifth fewest adjust schedule

428
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Speaker 1: justed targets per game just over four and the third

429
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Speaker 1: fewest adjusted receiving yards per game just over eighteen to

430
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Speaker 1: the running back position. In has gotten thirty nine percent

431
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Speaker 1: of his forty percent excuse me, of his half PPR

432
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Speaker 1: points and forty eight percent of his PPR points from receiving.

433
00:22:08,920 --> 00:22:12,320
Speaker 1: So facing a team that defends the running backs well

434
00:22:12,320 --> 00:22:14,960
Speaker 1: out of the backfield. He can't really afford to lose

435
00:22:14,960 --> 00:22:17,120
Speaker 1: any production in the receiving game because he's averaging under

436
00:22:17,160 --> 00:22:20,800
Speaker 1: fifty yards rushing. You know, Keishaan Vaughan is starting to

437
00:22:20,800 --> 00:22:23,879
Speaker 1: get more and more work. So I don't think this

438
00:22:23,920 --> 00:22:26,720
Speaker 1: is a great spot for Rashad my White. He's more

439
00:22:26,760 --> 00:22:28,760
Speaker 1: of a fringe RB two.

440
00:22:30,200 --> 00:22:33,320
Speaker 2: This week for me. Yeah, they really haven't had anybody

441
00:22:33,359 --> 00:22:36,359
Speaker 2: to really push his early time work. Everyone's been awful.

442
00:22:37,200 --> 00:22:40,359
Speaker 2: You know, Sean Tucker flopped and this week it was

443
00:22:40,440 --> 00:22:42,879
Speaker 2: Keishaw vons turn. He ran of all six times for

444
00:22:43,000 --> 00:22:46,320
Speaker 2: nine yards. I wonder if they give Leonard fourneticall who

445
00:22:46,359 --> 00:22:49,919
Speaker 2: seems ready to play right now, but who knows?

446
00:22:51,280 --> 00:22:55,280
Speaker 1: All Right, for the prop we're gonna go, let's go

447
00:22:55,320 --> 00:22:59,960
Speaker 1: half PPR points. Najie Harris minus tenth of a point

448
00:23:00,160 --> 00:23:01,359
Speaker 1: versus Jaymen Warren.

449
00:23:01,720 --> 00:23:05,479
Speaker 2: Oh, a tenth of a point? So yeah, okay, Oh

450
00:23:06,560 --> 00:23:07,600
Speaker 2: which one is? Yeah?

451
00:23:07,600 --> 00:23:10,720
Speaker 1: Because ECR actually has Warren higher. I have Nase a

452
00:23:10,760 --> 00:23:13,080
Speaker 1: little higher. But so curious to where you are?

453
00:23:13,480 --> 00:23:16,480
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, I can't believe I'm in a situation

454
00:23:16,480 --> 00:23:18,960
Speaker 2: where I'm picking Nase Harris over Jalen Warren. But I

455
00:23:18,960 --> 00:23:22,439
Speaker 2: think I have to do that. I do have Nausea

456
00:23:22,600 --> 00:23:26,280
Speaker 2: just a bit higher, although you know, it could be

457
00:23:26,320 --> 00:23:28,760
Speaker 2: a trailing game script and Warren could get a couple

458
00:23:28,800 --> 00:23:30,919
Speaker 2: of catches here, but you know, coming out of the

459
00:23:30,920 --> 00:23:32,640
Speaker 2: by I think that they'll lean on the run game

460
00:23:32,640 --> 00:23:35,879
Speaker 2: and Harris early. So yeah, I'll go Harris here. But

461
00:23:36,000 --> 00:23:37,040
Speaker 2: it's it's pretty close.

462
00:23:37,880 --> 00:23:40,720
Speaker 1: Yeah, this is a pretty interesting one. I'm with you.

463
00:23:40,760 --> 00:23:43,560
Speaker 1: I have Harris a little higher, but ECR has Warren

464
00:23:43,640 --> 00:23:48,840
Speaker 1: twenty four Harris twenty seven, so that heads. Yeah, it

465
00:23:48,920 --> 00:23:52,240
Speaker 1: makes sense that they've never really shown like they've never

466
00:23:52,280 --> 00:23:56,119
Speaker 1: really given Warren, you know, more than like forty percent

467
00:23:56,160 --> 00:23:57,960
Speaker 1: of the carries. That's the thing. Like he does get

468
00:23:57,960 --> 00:24:01,000
Speaker 1: the receiving work, but he just really hasn't eating in

469
00:24:01,040 --> 00:24:03,240
Speaker 1: as much as we'd like to the carry. So that's

470
00:24:03,320 --> 00:24:05,120
Speaker 1: kind of the hold up I think with him.

471
00:24:05,400 --> 00:24:08,840
Speaker 2: Yeah, Like I'm still of the stance that, you know,

472
00:24:09,280 --> 00:24:13,000
Speaker 2: people that drafted nause and what round two should not

473
00:24:13,040 --> 00:24:15,240
Speaker 2: be happy about that, and people that drafted Warren and

474
00:24:15,400 --> 00:24:17,840
Speaker 2: like round ten or Rubber like me should be happy

475
00:24:17,880 --> 00:24:20,800
Speaker 2: about it. But I'm not ranking him ahead of Harris yet.

476
00:24:20,840 --> 00:24:23,160
Speaker 2: I think there's still you know, maybe a few weeks

477
00:24:23,160 --> 00:24:25,720
Speaker 2: for that to happen. But yeah, right now, I still

478
00:24:25,760 --> 00:24:27,840
Speaker 2: think Harris. Harris has the higher floor anyway.

479
00:24:29,040 --> 00:24:31,600
Speaker 1: Yeah, just based on the carries, I think, yeah, because

480
00:24:31,640 --> 00:24:33,720
Speaker 1: you know that game script could could kind of be

481
00:24:34,280 --> 00:24:38,520
Speaker 1: a little odd, but you know that man Warren's only

482
00:24:38,560 --> 00:24:41,159
Speaker 1: had one game with more than double digit half PPR

483
00:24:41,200 --> 00:24:45,680
Speaker 1: points anyway, So it's it's it's kind of been ugly

484
00:24:45,720 --> 00:24:48,280
Speaker 1: all the way around for the Pittsburgh offense. Let's go

485
00:24:48,320 --> 00:24:50,840
Speaker 1: to receiver. Who you got in your top five?

486
00:24:51,840 --> 00:24:55,520
Speaker 2: So have try Hill, Cooper, Cup, Stefan Diggs, keenan Ellen,

487
00:24:55,560 --> 00:24:56,320
Speaker 2: and AJ Brown.

488
00:24:57,200 --> 00:24:59,560
Speaker 1: Yeah, same, except I got a Hill Cup, Allen third,

489
00:24:59,680 --> 00:25:02,760
Speaker 1: gigs fourth, just because you know Patriots, he never Oh

490
00:25:02,840 --> 00:25:06,040
Speaker 1: he's bumping down tiny bit. I think he'll be fine.

491
00:25:06,160 --> 00:25:09,080
Speaker 1: But keenan Awen has been dog walking people as usual.

492
00:25:10,320 --> 00:25:11,840
Speaker 2: Check or Allen?

493
00:25:11,960 --> 00:25:15,680
Speaker 1: Right now, remember when people thought Quentin Johnston when it

494
00:25:15,760 --> 00:25:17,760
Speaker 1: was gonna cut into like that whole thing like that,

495
00:25:17,920 --> 00:25:20,560
Speaker 1: That is keenan Owen is getting more targets.

496
00:25:20,119 --> 00:25:22,920
Speaker 2: Now, but then targets no.

497
00:25:22,480 --> 00:25:25,840
Speaker 1: No, bye By. They had four guys, you know, they

498
00:25:25,880 --> 00:25:28,399
Speaker 1: had Palmer at one point, Williams. But now it's just

499
00:25:28,440 --> 00:25:32,160
Speaker 1: like Williams out. It's just more targets to keenan out.

500
00:25:32,280 --> 00:25:32,399
Speaker 2: Yea.

501
00:25:32,960 --> 00:25:36,879
Speaker 1: So uh, but I know you are hiring one of

502
00:25:36,880 --> 00:25:38,720
Speaker 1: these charger receivers, so talk to me.

503
00:25:39,200 --> 00:25:42,320
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, I'm high on Josh Palmer. Looks like he's

504
00:25:42,359 --> 00:25:45,359
Speaker 2: really taken over the Michaellliams role just as being Herbert's

505
00:25:45,800 --> 00:25:48,159
Speaker 2: number two target. You know, he ran around all of

506
00:25:48,200 --> 00:25:51,760
Speaker 2: Herbert's dropbacks last night, and you know, Quin Johnson's out

507
00:25:51,800 --> 00:25:54,359
Speaker 2: there running wind sprints. I thought he would see a

508
00:25:54,440 --> 00:25:57,159
Speaker 2: little bit more work last night, but he's just not

509
00:25:57,240 --> 00:26:02,040
Speaker 2: there yet. Like he is just not you know polish well.

510
00:26:02,640 --> 00:26:04,720
Speaker 2: Of all the rookie first round picks, I think we

511
00:26:04,760 --> 00:26:07,760
Speaker 2: could all say he was the more raw prospect. He

512
00:26:07,880 --> 00:26:10,400
Speaker 2: was not ready for this. Like the only reason he's

513
00:26:10,400 --> 00:26:13,560
Speaker 2: seeing up ticking playing time is because Mike Williams is hurt.

514
00:26:13,560 --> 00:26:15,800
Speaker 2: If Mike Williams is healthy, he would not be seeing

515
00:26:15,800 --> 00:26:18,800
Speaker 2: over a twenty percent yah's run rate. So he's just

516
00:26:18,840 --> 00:26:22,000
Speaker 2: not there yet. Palmer is clearly the guy looked great

517
00:26:22,080 --> 00:26:24,280
Speaker 2: last night. He's always looked good when he when he's

518
00:26:24,280 --> 00:26:27,040
Speaker 2: had to step up. And you know, aus Necker is

519
00:26:27,119 --> 00:26:30,560
Speaker 2: rotating out quite a bit, especially on like third down plays,

520
00:26:31,200 --> 00:26:34,359
Speaker 2: you know, maybe they're easing him back. Yeah, that could continue.

521
00:26:35,200 --> 00:26:37,840
Speaker 2: But it was Josh Kelly running around twenty five percent

522
00:26:37,840 --> 00:26:40,400
Speaker 2: of the time, and you know he's not really seeing targets.

523
00:26:40,400 --> 00:26:43,280
Speaker 2: So if that continues, that will only help you know,

524
00:26:43,359 --> 00:26:46,040
Speaker 2: Palmer and Allen. This should be a pass heavy game

525
00:26:46,080 --> 00:26:47,840
Speaker 2: script against the Chiefs. I do agree with you. The

526
00:26:47,880 --> 00:26:50,720
Speaker 2: Chiefs pass defense is much much better this year, so

527
00:26:50,760 --> 00:26:53,560
Speaker 2: they won't be as efficient. But Herbert's only thrown for

528
00:26:53,600 --> 00:26:55,600
Speaker 2: one hundred and sixty seven and two hundred and twenty

529
00:26:55,640 --> 00:26:58,240
Speaker 2: seven yards the past two games, so have to just

530
00:26:58,320 --> 00:27:01,480
Speaker 2: figure that'll go up at least, so the added volume

531
00:27:01,760 --> 00:27:03,960
Speaker 2: should only help Palmer and I see him as more

532
00:27:03,960 --> 00:27:06,240
Speaker 2: of a you know, a wide receiver two option this week.

533
00:27:08,000 --> 00:27:14,000
Speaker 1: Yeah, he's thirty fifth in ECR right now, so thanks.

534
00:27:14,240 --> 00:27:17,879
Speaker 2: Probably not updating based on last night quite yet. Probably

535
00:27:17,880 --> 00:27:21,240
Speaker 2: they have Quinton Johnson still in the top seventy.

536
00:27:21,359 --> 00:27:26,080
Speaker 1: I've got to scroll hold fifty six. Yeah too high?

537
00:27:25,880 --> 00:27:32,160
Speaker 2: Okay? Who oh yeah, I'm also high on Jacoby Myers

538
00:27:32,240 --> 00:27:34,679
Speaker 2: just you know, back to back games of five plus

539
00:27:34,720 --> 00:27:37,520
Speaker 2: catches and a touchdown, so he's starting to heat up.

540
00:27:37,600 --> 00:27:40,200
Speaker 2: You know, unsure who the quarterback will be this week.

541
00:27:40,200 --> 00:27:42,720
Speaker 2: But with Myers, I don't think it'll matter. You know,

542
00:27:42,760 --> 00:27:45,840
Speaker 2: he'll still see a good number of targets. You know,

543
00:27:45,920 --> 00:27:48,520
Speaker 2: DeVante Adams targets have taken a hit in the past

544
00:27:48,520 --> 00:27:51,240
Speaker 2: couple of weeks. That's obviously not gonna alass so he

545
00:27:51,280 --> 00:27:54,040
Speaker 2: should bounce back. But I noticed that they use trade

546
00:27:54,040 --> 00:27:57,320
Speaker 2: Tucker as the wide receiver three over Hunter Refro. I

547
00:27:57,320 --> 00:28:00,400
Speaker 2: think that means, you know, Rentro could be traded very soon.

548
00:28:01,000 --> 00:28:03,159
Speaker 2: But Tucker's only been target on eight percent of his

549
00:28:03,280 --> 00:28:05,680
Speaker 2: routes this year, with an eight out of fifteen and

550
00:28:05,720 --> 00:28:08,560
Speaker 2: a half. So he's just out there, you're running wind sprints.

551
00:28:08,600 --> 00:28:10,040
Speaker 2: So if he if he takes over as the wide

552
00:28:10,040 --> 00:28:12,919
Speaker 2: receiver three, it's only going to result more targets for

553
00:28:13,040 --> 00:28:16,840
Speaker 2: Adams and Myers. So Myers has an easy matchup against

554
00:28:16,840 --> 00:28:19,920
Speaker 2: the Bears this week, So you know, I like him

555
00:28:19,920 --> 00:28:22,160
Speaker 2: as like a high end wide receiver three this week

556
00:28:22,840 --> 00:28:24,919
Speaker 2: page wide receiver two. Yeah, with all the.

557
00:28:25,400 --> 00:28:30,320
Speaker 1: I's not saying, that's yeah, okay, uh yeah, I'm high

558
00:28:30,320 --> 00:28:33,240
Speaker 1: on Wandale Rondo Robinson this week. Now, the guy who

559
00:28:33,560 --> 00:28:36,119
Speaker 1: I don't think he's two quarterback dependent, had a pretty

560
00:28:36,119 --> 00:28:38,959
Speaker 1: good game again with with Tyrod, but he's going up

561
00:28:38,960 --> 00:28:43,120
Speaker 1: against Washington. He is just outside the top forty in ECR.

562
00:28:43,160 --> 00:28:45,760
Speaker 1: I have him inside the top four wide receiver thirty eight,

563
00:28:45,800 --> 00:28:48,520
Speaker 1: so fringe wide receiver three and deeper leagues. He ran

564
00:28:48,560 --> 00:28:53,920
Speaker 1: a season high seventy three percent of the routes last

565
00:28:54,360 --> 00:28:57,280
Speaker 1: against Buffalo excuse me, and four plus catches every game

566
00:28:57,320 --> 00:29:01,760
Speaker 1: for Wandale, averaging five and a half catches game. Pretty

567
00:29:01,800 --> 00:29:03,640
Speaker 1: low eight dot guys to the yard They're only thirty

568
00:29:03,640 --> 00:29:05,560
Speaker 1: five yards, but I think that should go you know,

569
00:29:05,600 --> 00:29:08,640
Speaker 1: that should go up. Eventually he'll break a tackle or

570
00:29:08,640 --> 00:29:11,320
Speaker 1: two and get some big plays. And Washington is twenty

571
00:29:11,320 --> 00:29:16,160
Speaker 1: seventh in past defense DVA, so uh, pretty easy matchup

572
00:29:16,200 --> 00:29:18,680
Speaker 1: for Wandale, So I think everything kind of works out

573
00:29:18,720 --> 00:29:21,120
Speaker 1: for him in a similar kind of guy. I also

574
00:29:21,240 --> 00:29:23,320
Speaker 1: like this week to to at Well against the Steelers.

575
00:29:23,600 --> 00:29:26,640
Speaker 1: Since Cooper Cup came back, He's still averaging an eighty

576
00:29:26,680 --> 00:29:30,000
Speaker 1: nine percent route participation rate. But Pittsburgh is one of

577
00:29:30,040 --> 00:29:33,520
Speaker 1: the more man heavy defenses in the league, and Atwell

578
00:29:33,600 --> 00:29:38,320
Speaker 1: leads the Rams in targets and receiving yards against man coverage,

579
00:29:38,320 --> 00:29:40,959
Speaker 1: So this could be a week where at Well pops uh,

580
00:29:41,160 --> 00:29:43,040
Speaker 1: you know, after a couple of choir. I know we

581
00:29:43,080 --> 00:29:45,880
Speaker 1: had a touchdown, but quiet week since Cooper Cup has been.

582
00:29:45,720 --> 00:29:49,520
Speaker 2: Back breaking news. Did you see the Eagles have landed

583
00:29:49,600 --> 00:29:50,400
Speaker 2: Julio Jones?

584
00:29:51,240 --> 00:29:59,720
Speaker 1: No, seriously, yeah, like for what I don't know, as

585
00:30:01,640 --> 00:30:03,200
Speaker 1: I mean, I know Ques went on I R so,

586
00:30:03,320 --> 00:30:05,880
Speaker 1: I mean, I guess I get it, but yeah, in

587
00:30:06,120 --> 00:30:10,280
Speaker 1: no impact really right, he might be the wide receiver

588
00:30:10,680 --> 00:30:14,520
Speaker 1: three because I'm assuming better blocker than Olami Day is

589
00:30:14,520 --> 00:30:17,760
Speaker 1: the key iss so and too much too. I remember

590
00:30:17,800 --> 00:30:21,160
Speaker 1: thinking at some point, like watching the Eagles in the

591
00:30:21,200 --> 00:30:23,480
Speaker 1: last couple weeks, just like too much is the Keys,

592
00:30:23,520 --> 00:30:27,320
Speaker 1: Like I don't know I saw this the keys is

593
00:30:27,360 --> 00:30:30,080
Speaker 1: going on here, but I guess they feel the same way.

594
00:30:30,440 --> 00:30:36,760
Speaker 1: So that's interesting. But uh, who are you low on

595
00:30:36,800 --> 00:30:38,000
Speaker 1: at wide receiver this week?

596
00:30:38,440 --> 00:30:41,160
Speaker 2: I'm low on Calvin Ridley. Uh, you know, coming off

597
00:30:41,760 --> 00:30:44,800
Speaker 2: four catch thirty yard game. He's been hit or miss

598
00:30:44,920 --> 00:30:47,640
Speaker 2: the last two weeks and he would certainly take a

599
00:30:47,720 --> 00:30:50,400
Speaker 2: hit if if Lawrence is ruled out for Thursday football

600
00:30:50,920 --> 00:30:53,920
Speaker 2: and CJ. Bethard starts. I don't think we know yet

601
00:30:54,200 --> 00:30:55,920
Speaker 2: if Lawrence is gonna play or not, so that's something

602
00:30:55,960 --> 00:30:59,200
Speaker 2: a monitor, but he would still be you know, you

603
00:30:59,240 --> 00:31:02,320
Speaker 2: know cusp wide receiver two, three options just since so

604
00:31:02,400 --> 00:31:04,160
Speaker 2: many teams are on a bye this week, but would

605
00:31:04,320 --> 00:31:08,760
Speaker 2: certainly have to lower expectations. And then another guy I'm

606
00:31:08,800 --> 00:31:12,400
Speaker 2: fairly low on is Drake London. You know, he's coming

607
00:31:12,400 --> 00:31:14,800
Speaker 2: off just a huge nine catch, hundred and twenty five

608
00:31:14,880 --> 00:31:17,760
Speaker 2: yard game. He's seen a twenty four percent target right

609
00:31:17,760 --> 00:31:20,440
Speaker 2: over the last three games. There's no question in the talent. Sorry,

610
00:31:20,440 --> 00:31:22,880
Speaker 2: I love Hm as a talent, but like I mentioned earlier,

611
00:31:22,920 --> 00:31:24,880
Speaker 2: Ridder is thrown back to back three hundred plus yard

612
00:31:24,880 --> 00:31:29,640
Speaker 2: passing games. That probably isn't sustainable. So I haven't you

613
00:31:29,640 --> 00:31:31,800
Speaker 2: know more is a wide receiver three option or his

614
00:31:31,880 --> 00:31:34,240
Speaker 2: fanasy Pros has him wide receiver two. So a little

615
00:31:34,280 --> 00:31:35,400
Speaker 2: bit lower on London this week.

616
00:31:36,520 --> 00:31:38,480
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean it also ridd around the road. It

617
00:31:38,560 --> 00:31:41,680
Speaker 1: tends to struggle that kind of pulls down everybody involved

618
00:31:41,720 --> 00:31:46,920
Speaker 1: in that passing game. I'm low on Jamison Williams, and

619
00:31:47,720 --> 00:31:50,640
Speaker 1: I do think he played really well. I liked what

620
00:31:50,680 --> 00:31:54,479
Speaker 1: I saw out of him against the Buccaneers. You know,

621
00:31:54,760 --> 00:31:58,480
Speaker 1: got helped us with that cover, got a beautiful adjustment

622
00:31:58,720 --> 00:32:02,560
Speaker 1: on a deep But you know, watching him play, there's

623
00:32:02,560 --> 00:32:04,160
Speaker 1: a couple of things that really concern me. So I

624
00:32:04,160 --> 00:32:07,280
Speaker 1: have him still outside the top sixty Fantasy pros, hasn't

625
00:32:07,320 --> 00:32:11,640
Speaker 1: right around the fringe top fifty guy. But even though

626
00:32:11,680 --> 00:32:14,440
Speaker 1: he's kind of ramping up, I don't know if he's

627
00:32:14,440 --> 00:32:16,880
Speaker 1: really ramping up because two weeks ago with Amon ra

628
00:32:17,400 --> 00:32:20,080
Speaker 1: you know, not their fifty three percent route participation ry

629
00:32:20,280 --> 00:32:24,600
Speaker 1: last week nineteen percent. So like this is it's he's

630
00:32:24,640 --> 00:32:26,320
Speaker 1: making the most of his routes, but it's kind of

631
00:32:26,320 --> 00:32:29,640
Speaker 1: like Canarius Tony, Like eventually he's gonna have just a

632
00:32:29,960 --> 00:32:32,400
Speaker 1: like a bunch of terrible games because he's not on

633
00:32:32,440 --> 00:32:35,720
Speaker 1: the field consistently. So uh, you know, Marvin Jones still

634
00:32:35,760 --> 00:32:39,600
Speaker 1: played over him, Khalif Raymond still played over him, Josh Reynolds,

635
00:32:39,840 --> 00:32:42,640
Speaker 1: and Amon Ross Saint Brown, So you know, this is

636
00:32:42,680 --> 00:32:44,400
Speaker 1: something we kind of talked about, like is he gonna

637
00:32:44,400 --> 00:32:47,200
Speaker 1: be any better than the than the third or fourth receiver,

638
00:32:47,240 --> 00:32:50,840
Speaker 1: And so far the answer has been no. So now

639
00:32:50,840 --> 00:32:54,320
Speaker 1: you're facing Baltimore, who's the top three pass defense in DVOA,

640
00:32:54,440 --> 00:32:58,120
Speaker 1: but most importantly number one in DVA on deep passes

641
00:32:58,200 --> 00:33:00,600
Speaker 1: is the Baltimore defense. And that's what I think. It's

642
00:33:00,640 --> 00:33:02,800
Speaker 1: it's tough for Williams because a lot of times he's

643
00:33:02,840 --> 00:33:06,360
Speaker 1: running these clear out routes down the field and it's working.

644
00:33:06,440 --> 00:33:09,280
Speaker 1: You know, he's he's opening up the middle and underneath

645
00:33:09,280 --> 00:33:12,880
Speaker 1: for Laporta, for aman Ros, Saint Brown, guys like that.

646
00:33:13,000 --> 00:33:15,680
Speaker 1: But in a game like this, I just don't know

647
00:33:15,680 --> 00:33:18,600
Speaker 1: if he's gonna see the snaps or the targets or

648
00:33:18,600 --> 00:33:21,040
Speaker 1: the efficiency against the Ravens.

649
00:33:21,040 --> 00:33:25,280
Speaker 2: So well on Jamison, Yeah, it's like the full on

650
00:33:25,360 --> 00:33:29,360
Speaker 2: Jamison experience finishes, you know, the wide receiver twenty four

651
00:33:29,440 --> 00:33:32,840
Speaker 2: on a nineteen percent routes run rate. Right, Yeah, don't

652
00:33:32,840 --> 00:33:35,960
Speaker 2: get fooled and playing this week and normal leagues.

653
00:33:37,680 --> 00:33:38,440
Speaker 1: What do you got from Prome?

654
00:33:39,920 --> 00:33:44,760
Speaker 2: Let's go with Jahan Dotson's receiving yards coming off of

655
00:33:44,840 --> 00:33:47,480
Speaker 2: goose Egg. I thought he would bounce back this week

656
00:33:47,560 --> 00:33:51,360
Speaker 2: or sometime soon. Just curious where you're projecting him and

657
00:33:51,400 --> 00:33:54,160
Speaker 2: where your thoughts are if like, if he's gonna show

658
00:33:54,240 --> 00:33:58,880
Speaker 2: up anytime soon. But I'm gonna set his line at

659
00:33:59,280 --> 00:34:04,400
Speaker 2: thirty year five and a half for Sydney yards. Hmmm

660
00:34:05,320 --> 00:34:06,040
Speaker 2: against the Journey.

661
00:34:06,120 --> 00:34:09,719
Speaker 1: That's a that's a good line. I'll take the over.

662
00:34:09,920 --> 00:34:13,040
Speaker 1: I have it thirty eight, so right right there. But

663
00:34:13,160 --> 00:34:15,759
Speaker 1: three catches for thirty six. I think that's doable for him.

664
00:34:15,920 --> 00:34:19,040
Speaker 1: And I think one of the Giant corners got hurt.

665
00:34:19,120 --> 00:34:21,279
Speaker 1: Who was some one of the corners got hurt in

666
00:34:21,280 --> 00:34:25,439
Speaker 1: the last game. It was either Banks or somebody left

667
00:34:25,440 --> 00:34:29,000
Speaker 1: the door. Yeah, Dory, so that uh, you know. He

668
00:34:29,000 --> 00:34:31,920
Speaker 1: he Giants do play a lot of Man. Last year,

669
00:34:31,960 --> 00:34:33,839
Speaker 1: he was very good against Man. This year not so much,

670
00:34:33,920 --> 00:34:36,400
Speaker 1: but he still. I mean, you gotta think after a

671
00:34:36,440 --> 00:34:38,399
Speaker 1: goose egg, it's just gonna be a little bit more

672
00:34:38,680 --> 00:34:41,400
Speaker 1: of a squeaky wheel situation. So yeah, I'm gonna I'm

673
00:34:41,400 --> 00:34:43,279
Speaker 1: gonna go over. But that that's a good line. I

674
00:34:43,320 --> 00:34:46,680
Speaker 1: have it right at thirty eight. As a reminder, the

675
00:34:46,719 --> 00:34:50,880
Speaker 1: Action Network podcast is presented by bet MGM. Used bonus

676
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677
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678
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679
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681
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682
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Speaker 1: made when you're there for live NFL action and when

683
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684
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00:35:56,440 --> 00:35:59,759
Speaker 1: your favorite teams colors. Find tickets today at ticketmaster dot

693
00:35:59,800 --> 00:36:03,120
Speaker 1: com slash NFL. I was closed out with tight end.

694
00:36:03,160 --> 00:36:04,080
Speaker 1: Who you got in your top five?

695
00:36:05,040 --> 00:36:08,760
Speaker 2: I got Travis Kelce, Mark Andrews, TJ. Huckinson, Darren Waller

696
00:36:09,480 --> 00:36:10,560
Speaker 2: and Dallas Goddard.

697
00:36:11,760 --> 00:36:17,360
Speaker 1: I got Kelsey, Andrews, Sam Laporta, George Kittle and t J. Hockinson.

698
00:36:17,640 --> 00:36:19,879
Speaker 2: Nice. Yeah, it killed me that Laporta was the only

699
00:36:19,920 --> 00:36:21,440
Speaker 2: top five. I'm gonna have to change that.

700
00:36:23,800 --> 00:36:24,480
Speaker 1: Who you hiring?

701
00:36:25,320 --> 00:36:30,080
Speaker 2: I'm high on Logan Thomas more of just the let's

702
00:36:30,280 --> 00:36:32,319
Speaker 2: keep him as a low end tight end one this

703
00:36:32,400 --> 00:36:36,280
Speaker 2: week after coming off a one catch, two yard dud.

704
00:36:36,960 --> 00:36:38,839
Speaker 2: I think if we benched and moved on from any

705
00:36:38,880 --> 00:36:41,239
Speaker 2: fringe tight end one because they had a bad game,

706
00:36:41,280 --> 00:36:44,640
Speaker 2: there wouldn't be any tight ends left. So it was

707
00:36:44,680 --> 00:36:46,799
Speaker 2: just a weird game where the Commanders, you know, they

708
00:36:46,800 --> 00:36:48,640
Speaker 2: had a two score lead for most of the game,

709
00:36:49,200 --> 00:36:51,640
Speaker 2: but were also dominated in time of possession. They only

710
00:36:51,640 --> 00:36:54,960
Speaker 2: had the ball for twenty three minutes, so Logan Thomas

711
00:36:55,040 --> 00:36:57,000
Speaker 2: didn't really have a chance. They weren't really throwing the

712
00:36:57,040 --> 00:37:02,200
Speaker 2: ball much. So you know, he still has solid underlying usage.

713
00:37:02,239 --> 00:37:04,720
Speaker 2: You know, I mentioned the Commanders are a very pass

714
00:37:04,719 --> 00:37:07,520
Speaker 2: heavy team. You know, Eric the enemy is coming from

715
00:37:07,520 --> 00:37:10,279
Speaker 2: the Chiefs, so Logan Thomas is technically playing you know,

716
00:37:10,360 --> 00:37:13,120
Speaker 2: the Travis Kelce role. So I look, I think he's

717
00:37:13,120 --> 00:37:15,920
Speaker 2: gonna bounce back this week. Still treating him as a

718
00:37:15,960 --> 00:37:17,879
Speaker 2: low end tight end one option with so many teams

719
00:37:17,880 --> 00:37:19,160
Speaker 2: on a buy this week.

720
00:37:19,600 --> 00:37:22,920
Speaker 1: Yeah, it's been tough. I mean, you know, guys, just

721
00:37:23,280 --> 00:37:25,520
Speaker 1: guys who you'd think are are going to produce it

722
00:37:25,680 --> 00:37:29,920
Speaker 1: just like one catch, no catch, Yes, but Travis Kelsey

723
00:37:29,960 --> 00:37:33,600
Speaker 1: is still still still floating along almost he was on

724
00:37:33,680 --> 00:37:36,360
Speaker 1: pace to break the all time receiving records for single

725
00:37:36,360 --> 00:37:38,919
Speaker 1: game for tight ends at the half last week. Quote

726
00:37:38,960 --> 00:37:40,759
Speaker 1: off in the second half, but he had I think

727
00:37:40,760 --> 00:37:43,000
Speaker 1: he had a buck nine and the record is two fourteen,

728
00:37:43,080 --> 00:37:44,879
Speaker 1: So he was on pace for two eighteen at the half.

729
00:37:44,880 --> 00:37:48,720
Speaker 2: And who has the record, David Joku. I'm trying to guess,

730
00:37:48,760 --> 00:37:54,200
Speaker 2: like it's gonna be like that, right shark. Oh okay,

731
00:37:54,360 --> 00:37:55,920
Speaker 2: that makes it Chiefs.

732
00:37:55,880 --> 00:37:57,640
Speaker 1: Against the Chiefs. So it would have been a Chiefs

733
00:37:57,680 --> 00:37:59,560
Speaker 1: against a Bronco to break it last week if Kelsey

734
00:37:59,600 --> 00:38:01,359
Speaker 1: had done right right, I.

735
00:38:01,280 --> 00:38:04,280
Speaker 2: Think Joker had like a massive game against the Chargers

736
00:38:04,360 --> 00:38:08,040
Speaker 2: as that like not even close.

737
00:38:08,360 --> 00:38:11,439
Speaker 1: Yeah, I would have guessed like click, Antonio Gates maybe

738
00:38:11,520 --> 00:38:15,839
Speaker 1: or somebody if it wasn't or Gronk obviously. I am

739
00:38:15,960 --> 00:38:18,080
Speaker 1: high on Pat Fryarmuth. Looks like he's going to return

740
00:38:18,120 --> 00:38:19,800
Speaker 1: this week. He's the tight end twenty seven in the

741
00:38:19,800 --> 00:38:21,560
Speaker 1: easier I have him as the top twelve tight end.

742
00:38:21,719 --> 00:38:23,880
Speaker 1: The Rams are bottom five and Dvoa against tight end,

743
00:38:23,960 --> 00:38:27,400
Speaker 1: so this is just kind of a matchup playing. But

744
00:38:27,600 --> 00:38:29,759
Speaker 1: you know, Friar Moot has been banged up almost every

745
00:38:29,760 --> 00:38:31,759
Speaker 1: game in and out, but he said he could have

746
00:38:31,760 --> 00:38:33,760
Speaker 1: played if the Steers had a game in Week six

747
00:38:33,840 --> 00:38:35,600
Speaker 1: on the by so coming out, I think you should

748
00:38:35,640 --> 00:38:36,960
Speaker 1: be healthy. I think you should be back to a

749
00:38:36,960 --> 00:38:40,000
Speaker 1: normal snap rate, and I know Deontay may come back

750
00:38:40,040 --> 00:38:42,279
Speaker 1: this week. But either way, just a great matchup for

751
00:38:43,239 --> 00:38:45,879
Speaker 1: uh Friarmuth as much as you can have a great

752
00:38:45,880 --> 00:38:47,759
Speaker 1: matchup with. Can't pick it as your quarterback in Matt

753
00:38:47,760 --> 00:38:50,600
Speaker 1: Canada as your offensive coordinator. But as we said, this

754
00:38:50,760 --> 00:38:52,880
Speaker 1: tight end, the low end tight end one tier is

755
00:38:52,920 --> 00:38:55,120
Speaker 1: just ugly. So you just kind of playing playing a

756
00:38:55,120 --> 00:38:58,000
Speaker 1: matchup playing talent here and I think far Mount Friar

757
00:38:58,040 --> 00:39:00,600
Speaker 1: Mooth is way too low outside of the top twenty.

758
00:39:02,440 --> 00:39:03,279
Speaker 1: Who are you low on?

759
00:39:04,160 --> 00:39:06,200
Speaker 2: Yeah, so zach Ertz is one of those guys that

760
00:39:06,480 --> 00:39:08,400
Speaker 2: you know we've had is a low end tight end

761
00:39:08,400 --> 00:39:10,279
Speaker 2: one in the past few weeks. But I have to

762
00:39:10,480 --> 00:39:13,600
Speaker 2: remove him from that range after last week because we

763
00:39:13,600 --> 00:39:17,080
Speaker 2: saw the Cardinals just really treat this more as a

764
00:39:17,120 --> 00:39:20,359
Speaker 2: fifty to fifty split. Both Ertz and McBride essentially ran

765
00:39:20,400 --> 00:39:24,480
Speaker 2: a route on fifty of Josh Dobb's dropbacks. McBride had

766
00:39:24,520 --> 00:39:27,680
Speaker 2: the much better game, catching four balls for sixty two yards.

767
00:39:28,480 --> 00:39:31,880
Speaker 2: We've seen McBride's usage go up from you know, a

768
00:39:31,920 --> 00:39:33,600
Speaker 2: couple of weeks and then Ertz just went right back

769
00:39:33,640 --> 00:39:36,760
Speaker 2: to dominating snaps. But this seems a little bit different,

770
00:39:36,920 --> 00:39:39,520
Speaker 2: or at least it's unclear on how it's gonna shake

771
00:39:39,560 --> 00:39:41,600
Speaker 2: out next week. But either way, we can't trust Ertz

772
00:39:41,680 --> 00:39:44,920
Speaker 2: right now as a streaming option, even with the you know,

773
00:39:44,960 --> 00:39:47,239
Speaker 2: the six teams on a buy. This could be a

774
00:39:47,280 --> 00:39:50,560
Speaker 2: situation where McBride is breaking out or reverts back to

775
00:39:50,600 --> 00:39:53,000
Speaker 2: what we've seen where Ertz is running a seventy eighty

776
00:39:53,040 --> 00:39:55,040
Speaker 2: percent routes run rate. But either way, this is one

777
00:39:55,040 --> 00:39:57,560
Speaker 2: of those situations where I think it is okay to

778
00:39:57,640 --> 00:40:00,359
Speaker 2: move on and find somebody else until you we get

779
00:40:00,360 --> 00:40:02,759
Speaker 2: more clarity. But I'm low on Earth this week. He's

780
00:40:02,760 --> 00:40:05,000
Speaker 2: more of a you know, a mid range tight end

781
00:40:05,000 --> 00:40:07,160
Speaker 2: to low end and tied in to this week for.

782
00:40:07,160 --> 00:40:09,200
Speaker 1: Me, Yeah, it's been tough to it. There's really been

783
00:40:09,239 --> 00:40:11,400
Speaker 1: no rhyme or reason with the usage for Earth, so

784
00:40:12,880 --> 00:40:18,040
Speaker 1: I yeah, I can't call it. I'm low on Kyle

785
00:40:18,080 --> 00:40:20,400
Speaker 1: Pitts this week. He's my tight end eleven. He's tightened

786
00:40:20,440 --> 00:40:22,719
Speaker 1: nine in ECR and that's just because even though he's

787
00:40:22,719 --> 00:40:25,600
Speaker 1: been productive of these last two weeks, his route participation

788
00:40:25,719 --> 00:40:28,600
Speaker 1: rate has been going down, and that's always what you

789
00:40:28,600 --> 00:40:31,320
Speaker 1: don't want to see, especially at this position where routes

790
00:40:31,320 --> 00:40:34,320
Speaker 1: are just so important. And you know, he's been running

791
00:40:34,360 --> 00:40:37,640
Speaker 1: around just under sixty five percent of the time in

792
00:40:37,719 --> 00:40:40,560
Speaker 1: the last two games, and usually he's around eighty percent plus.

793
00:40:40,600 --> 00:40:44,160
Speaker 1: So that's kind of a little bit worrisome, especially with

794
00:40:44,600 --> 00:40:47,800
Speaker 1: Desmond Ritter likely to come back down to earth passing

795
00:40:47,880 --> 00:40:51,759
Speaker 1: yardage wise on the road. Also, Tampa Bay number five

796
00:40:51,880 --> 00:40:54,640
Speaker 1: in DVA against the tight end position. I don't know

797
00:40:54,680 --> 00:40:56,880
Speaker 1: how meaningful that is because Pitts is kind of a

798
00:40:56,920 --> 00:41:00,080
Speaker 1: glorified wide receiver, but I mean, just watching him, I

799
00:41:00,520 --> 00:41:02,359
Speaker 1: don't know. You know, he's been productive and they've kind

800
00:41:02,400 --> 00:41:04,120
Speaker 1: of found a way to use him in a more

801
00:41:04,239 --> 00:41:06,800
Speaker 1: limited role. But I just wonder if he's losing staffs

802
00:41:06,840 --> 00:41:09,400
Speaker 1: to John who number one, if he's fully healthy, because

803
00:41:09,560 --> 00:41:11,759
Speaker 1: watching him play, there's a lot of routes where like

804
00:41:12,280 --> 00:41:14,400
Speaker 1: he'll be he'll have like a clear out deep route

805
00:41:14,680 --> 00:41:17,879
Speaker 1: and won't be able to outrun like the other guy

806
00:41:17,920 --> 00:41:19,920
Speaker 1: he's clearing it out for like like if him and

807
00:41:20,000 --> 00:41:22,480
Speaker 1: Drake London are are like London is supposed to run the

808
00:41:22,520 --> 00:41:25,640
Speaker 1: inn and pits like the flot clear. It's like London

809
00:41:25,680 --> 00:41:28,439
Speaker 1: is sometimes out running him, which should never happen. And

810
00:41:28,760 --> 00:41:31,440
Speaker 1: also he's not like doing little things like getting rubs on,

811
00:41:31,480 --> 00:41:33,600
Speaker 1: like running back routes out of the backfield, and he's

812
00:41:33,600 --> 00:41:35,120
Speaker 1: like trying to get open instead of trying to get

813
00:41:35,160 --> 00:41:37,360
Speaker 1: the pick. So like, I wonder if his his like

814
00:41:37,480 --> 00:41:39,319
Speaker 1: usage is going down just because of a mix of

815
00:41:39,320 --> 00:41:42,000
Speaker 1: health and just not doing like the little things that

816
00:41:42,200 --> 00:41:44,799
Speaker 1: Arthur Smith wants. So I think we could see a

817
00:41:44,880 --> 00:41:48,480
Speaker 1: kind of a comeback down to earth for Kyle Pitts too,

818
00:41:48,480 --> 00:41:51,080
Speaker 1: even though he's probably been more consistent now that he's

819
00:41:51,120 --> 00:41:53,280
Speaker 1: been in a while. I think it's gonna end this week.

820
00:41:54,120 --> 00:41:56,000
Speaker 2: Yeah, by the way, nice pick. Last week he took

821
00:41:56,360 --> 00:42:00,560
Speaker 2: Kyle Pitts on my minus a half PPR point to

822
00:42:00,640 --> 00:42:03,280
Speaker 2: Johnny Smith and he beat him bio point seven points,

823
00:42:03,280 --> 00:42:05,759
Speaker 2: So congrats on that. It was.

824
00:42:06,200 --> 00:42:07,959
Speaker 1: It was one of those weeks for you with the props.

825
00:42:07,960 --> 00:42:10,200
Speaker 1: You went to four on this on the pod, you know,

826
00:42:10,239 --> 00:42:11,680
Speaker 1: O and two on mine and O and two on

827
00:42:11,719 --> 00:42:15,239
Speaker 1: your your book setting. So got it. Gotta bounce back

828
00:42:15,280 --> 00:42:17,600
Speaker 1: this week, but I'll give you a chance to bounce

829
00:42:17,680 --> 00:42:21,919
Speaker 1: back with zach Ertz, who you you're low on. So, yeah,

830
00:42:21,920 --> 00:42:23,319
Speaker 1: the yardage is in all it's either he has a

831
00:42:23,320 --> 00:42:25,080
Speaker 1: good game, a really good game, or a really bad game.

832
00:42:25,360 --> 00:42:29,520
Speaker 1: So I'm gonna put his yardage prop at twenty seven

833
00:42:29,640 --> 00:42:30,200
Speaker 1: and a half.

834
00:42:30,920 --> 00:42:32,600
Speaker 2: I already wrote it down twenty three and a half.

835
00:42:32,640 --> 00:42:36,120
Speaker 1: Give me the under, all right, Yeah, you know he's

836
00:42:36,160 --> 00:42:38,759
Speaker 1: his median is what like twenty two yards, so I

837
00:42:38,760 --> 00:42:41,719
Speaker 1: think it's average twenty eight medians twenty two. So just

838
00:42:41,760 --> 00:42:44,120
Speaker 1: trying to go somewhere in between there. It's really hard,

839
00:42:44,200 --> 00:42:48,160
Speaker 1: really hard got to project. But yeah, I mean I

840
00:42:48,160 --> 00:42:50,719
Speaker 1: think median wis you're probably rights, probably an under, but

841
00:42:51,000 --> 00:42:53,040
Speaker 1: I just like it's hard to say, Like it seems

842
00:42:53,040 --> 00:42:54,799
Speaker 1: like they're like rest in one game and then next

843
00:42:54,840 --> 00:42:57,319
Speaker 1: game it's all right, now we'll beat you again. So

844
00:42:58,040 --> 00:43:00,480
Speaker 1: I don't know exactly how I'm gonna project them. Yeah,

845
00:43:00,560 --> 00:43:05,279
Speaker 1: but yeah, it's it's tough. Okay, that'll do it for us.

846
00:43:05,280 --> 00:43:09,280
Speaker 1: Here Week seven NFL Player Projections episode of the Action

847
00:43:09,480 --> 00:43:13,880
Speaker 1: Network podcast presented by BETMGM, the King of sportsbooks. For

848
00:43:14,000 --> 00:43:16,120
Speaker 1: more great fantasy content from Sean and I, be sure

849
00:43:16,160 --> 00:43:18,520
Speaker 1: to check out our full Fantasy preview episode that's out

850
00:43:18,560 --> 00:43:21,480
Speaker 1: right now over on the Fantasy Flex podcast channel. If

851
00:43:21,480 --> 00:43:24,279
Speaker 1: you're in the betting, my weekly betting preview episode every

852
00:43:24,320 --> 00:43:27,200
Speaker 1: Thursday with Stuck is right here on the Action Network

853
00:43:27,200 --> 00:43:30,080
Speaker 1: podcast channel. And also be sure to check out the

854
00:43:30,200 --> 00:43:32,560
Speaker 1: favorites as well. Action network dot com for all of

855
00:43:32,560 --> 00:43:36,360
Speaker 1: our NFL fantasy and betting content, Fantasylabs dot com for

856
00:43:36,400 --> 00:43:39,480
Speaker 1: our DFS tools and models. You can find Sean on

857
00:43:39,880 --> 00:43:43,160
Speaker 1: x at the Underscore odds maker at Chris Raybon, and

858
00:43:43,160 --> 00:43:45,280
Speaker 1: we're at those same handles on the free award winning

859
00:43:45,719 --> 00:44:03,760
Speaker 1: Action Network app. Until the next time we got this money.

860
00:44:04,200 --> 00:44:08,719
Speaker 1: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or

861
00:44:08,760 --> 00:44:11,560
Speaker 1: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is

862
00:44:11,560 --> 00:44:14,759
Speaker 1: available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred Gambler