1 00:00:02,360 --> 00:00:06,680 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. 2 00:00:06,800 --> 00:00:09,280 Speaker 2: The earnings just around the corner as well. Meta set 3 00:00:09,280 --> 00:00:12,000 Speaker 2: to report earnings after the closing ballance. The industry faces 4 00:00:12,000 --> 00:00:15,920 Speaker 2: continued regulatory pressure. Facebook co founder Chris Hughes, arguing in 5 00:00:15,920 --> 00:00:18,040 Speaker 2: the US as a history of striking a balance between 6 00:00:18,120 --> 00:00:21,680 Speaker 2: free markets and state capitalism, writes in quote, we organize 7 00:00:21,680 --> 00:00:24,040 Speaker 2: many of our markets for the common good, choosing to 8 00:00:24,079 --> 00:00:26,960 Speaker 2: cultivate them rather than plan them outright. The work is 9 00:00:27,000 --> 00:00:31,200 Speaker 2: a craft, not unlike the work of a sculptor or painter. 10 00:00:31,440 --> 00:00:33,879 Speaker 2: Chris is the author of the new book Market Crafters, 11 00:00:33,920 --> 00:00:35,720 Speaker 2: and he joins us now for more. Chris Camrnic good 12 00:00:35,760 --> 00:00:37,400 Speaker 2: to see you, Thanks for having me. Let's start big 13 00:00:37,400 --> 00:00:38,480 Speaker 2: and then we can get some meta anks. 14 00:00:38,720 --> 00:00:39,080 Speaker 3: Let's do it. 15 00:00:39,120 --> 00:00:41,559 Speaker 2: A secret source of the US economy, how would you 16 00:00:41,560 --> 00:00:42,680 Speaker 2: describe it? 17 00:00:42,680 --> 00:00:45,159 Speaker 4: It's the dance between the private sector and the government. 18 00:00:45,360 --> 00:00:49,000 Speaker 4: So I make the case that policymakers have often harnessed 19 00:00:49,000 --> 00:00:52,199 Speaker 4: and guided markets toward public goals in order to make 20 00:00:52,240 --> 00:00:56,440 Speaker 4: Americans richer, say for their lives, more economically stable. And 21 00:00:56,480 --> 00:00:58,720 Speaker 4: there's a hidden history of US doing this from the 22 00:00:58,760 --> 00:01:01,360 Speaker 4: nineteen thirties all the way to present. It's a republican 23 00:01:01,440 --> 00:01:05,160 Speaker 4: project as much as it's a democratic project, and we're 24 00:01:05,160 --> 00:01:07,319 Speaker 4: going to have to pull out some of the lessons 25 00:01:07,360 --> 00:01:09,479 Speaker 4: from that if we're going to rebuild on the other 26 00:01:09,520 --> 00:01:10,280 Speaker 4: side of the chaos. 27 00:01:10,280 --> 00:01:12,240 Speaker 2: It's happening right now, so talk about the casts. So 28 00:01:12,240 --> 00:01:13,800 Speaker 2: we're doing a good job of it right now. 29 00:01:14,360 --> 00:01:14,560 Speaker 1: Yeah. 30 00:01:14,600 --> 00:01:16,840 Speaker 4: I mean, someone said this is more like market crashing 31 00:01:16,880 --> 00:01:18,440 Speaker 4: than market crafting, and. 32 00:01:18,360 --> 00:01:21,479 Speaker 3: That seemed apt to me. No. I mean, this administration 33 00:01:21,640 --> 00:01:23,199 Speaker 3: is at. 34 00:01:23,080 --> 00:01:28,760 Speaker 4: Best impulsive and at worst completely disorganized. The way to 35 00:01:28,800 --> 00:01:30,200 Speaker 4: do this in the right way would be to say 36 00:01:30,240 --> 00:01:34,039 Speaker 4: we have a mission like bringing back manufacturing jobs or 37 00:01:34,040 --> 00:01:38,399 Speaker 4: even the auto industry. Then you'd create trade policy tariffs 38 00:01:38,400 --> 00:01:42,360 Speaker 4: that would be targeted not on avocados and cars, but targeted. 39 00:01:42,640 --> 00:01:45,280 Speaker 3: You do it in collaboration with allies, and. 40 00:01:45,240 --> 00:01:48,040 Speaker 4: You'd pair it with industrial policy investments to make sure 41 00:01:48,080 --> 00:01:50,000 Speaker 4: that those plans can get online quickly and that they 42 00:01:50,000 --> 00:01:53,720 Speaker 4: can do it cheaply. And there is a recipe for 43 00:01:53,760 --> 00:01:56,080 Speaker 4: crafting a particular market along those lines. 44 00:01:56,280 --> 00:01:59,600 Speaker 3: This is just chaos. Use to use the word. 45 00:02:00,320 --> 00:02:03,080 Speaker 4: Where the tariffs are, whether they're on this week or 46 00:02:03,160 --> 00:02:04,760 Speaker 4: last week, and people are trying to figure it out. 47 00:02:04,840 --> 00:02:08,040 Speaker 1: Taking a step back though further, there is this feeling 48 00:02:08,080 --> 00:02:10,760 Speaker 1: about what the engine of US exceptionalism has been and 49 00:02:10,800 --> 00:02:13,440 Speaker 1: it's been in the world that you co founded with 50 00:02:13,520 --> 00:02:16,240 Speaker 1: respect to Facebook, which is big tech, and this idea 51 00:02:16,320 --> 00:02:19,120 Speaker 1: that the technological expertise that has been cultivated in the 52 00:02:19,200 --> 00:02:21,640 Speaker 1: United States has been superior and has been the reason 53 00:02:21,639 --> 00:02:24,000 Speaker 1: why so many people have wanted to invest here. Do 54 00:02:24,080 --> 00:02:28,119 Speaker 1: you see that unable to continue in this certain sort 55 00:02:28,160 --> 00:02:30,520 Speaker 1: of less predictable moment, or do you see that as 56 00:02:30,560 --> 00:02:33,800 Speaker 1: continuing to chug along in a healthy way that does 57 00:02:33,919 --> 00:02:36,519 Speaker 1: lead to some sort of evolution. 58 00:02:37,240 --> 00:02:39,800 Speaker 3: It is certainly on shaky ground, that's for sure. I 59 00:02:39,800 --> 00:02:40,920 Speaker 3: think the story of. 60 00:02:40,960 --> 00:02:44,120 Speaker 4: American technical leadership is also one where we see private 61 00:02:44,120 --> 00:02:47,640 Speaker 4: sector innovation as a critical engine of growth, paired with 62 00:02:47,760 --> 00:02:49,160 Speaker 4: public sector decisions. 63 00:02:49,160 --> 00:02:50,720 Speaker 3: So I'll give a crisp example. 64 00:02:51,040 --> 00:02:53,320 Speaker 4: We've all been talking about semiconductors and chips for the 65 00:02:53,400 --> 00:02:57,280 Speaker 4: last few years, and that's been incredibly important in bringing 66 00:02:57,280 --> 00:03:00,920 Speaker 4: back advanced semiconductor manufacturing in the United States. However, the 67 00:03:00,960 --> 00:03:04,040 Speaker 4: real story of how to support the high tech industry 68 00:03:04,160 --> 00:03:06,880 Speaker 4: in the US starts more in the nineteen eighties with 69 00:03:07,080 --> 00:03:11,200 Speaker 4: Reagan era industrial policy. At that point, Japan's share of 70 00:03:11,320 --> 00:03:16,040 Speaker 4: global semiconductor production was increasing quickly, and there was a man, 71 00:03:16,160 --> 00:03:18,840 Speaker 4: Robert Nois, the co founder of Intel, who teamed up 72 00:03:18,880 --> 00:03:23,160 Speaker 4: with other semiconductor producers to go to Washington say, hey, 73 00:03:23,160 --> 00:03:25,600 Speaker 4: we have a national security problem on our hands. The 74 00:03:25,639 --> 00:03:28,240 Speaker 4: Department of Defense agreed, so did White House in Congress, 75 00:03:28,560 --> 00:03:31,880 Speaker 4: and they came together to first do a structured trade 76 00:03:31,880 --> 00:03:35,000 Speaker 4: policy on Japan to prevent them dumping in the market, 77 00:03:35,080 --> 00:03:38,480 Speaker 4: and then secondly make a big public investment in semiconductor production. 78 00:03:38,600 --> 00:03:40,640 Speaker 4: So at this moment when we could have lost that 79 00:03:40,720 --> 00:03:45,200 Speaker 4: technical lead, an early important moment, we invested and it worked. 80 00:03:45,400 --> 00:03:48,200 Speaker 4: A few years later, the United States retook its share 81 00:03:48,200 --> 00:03:51,320 Speaker 4: of global semiconductor manufacturing. So what I'm trying to say 82 00:03:51,400 --> 00:03:55,080 Speaker 4: is it's not just a coincidence that we have these 83 00:03:55,160 --> 00:03:57,800 Speaker 4: high tech companies now. And it's yes, it's partially because 84 00:03:58,080 --> 00:04:01,320 Speaker 4: DARPA funded the Internet and this the lights are powered 85 00:04:01,360 --> 00:04:04,320 Speaker 4: by the government, but it's actually something even more explicit 86 00:04:05,120 --> 00:04:08,560 Speaker 4: product of market craft, and that should give us lessons 87 00:04:08,560 --> 00:04:09,600 Speaker 4: for how we can do it in the future. 88 00:04:09,640 --> 00:04:11,920 Speaker 1: You said that the US is at risk of losing 89 00:04:11,960 --> 00:04:14,720 Speaker 1: some of that tech dominance. What makes you feel that 90 00:04:14,800 --> 00:04:18,400 Speaker 1: about the structure of current tech companies, in particular Meta. 91 00:04:18,520 --> 00:04:21,120 Speaker 1: That makes you get the sense that maybe they're losing 92 00:04:21,400 --> 00:04:24,400 Speaker 1: some of that innovation or some of that structure that 93 00:04:24,440 --> 00:04:25,760 Speaker 1: allows them to lead. 94 00:04:26,240 --> 00:04:28,480 Speaker 4: It's less that I think that the tech companies are 95 00:04:28,480 --> 00:04:31,040 Speaker 4: losing innovation and more that you have to have public 96 00:04:31,040 --> 00:04:35,760 Speaker 4: policy to be fundamentally stable to encourage companies all across 97 00:04:35,760 --> 00:04:37,120 Speaker 4: the supply chain to invest. 98 00:04:37,440 --> 00:04:39,960 Speaker 3: And I think that's truly what's at risk now. 99 00:04:40,080 --> 00:04:43,279 Speaker 4: I mean, you've seen virtually all the measures of investor 100 00:04:44,080 --> 00:04:47,880 Speaker 4: confidence go down, consumer sentiment goes down, Inflation expectations are up, 101 00:04:47,920 --> 00:04:50,720 Speaker 4: equity markets are down, I mean all, and there's a 102 00:04:50,760 --> 00:04:52,920 Speaker 4: real fear that the FED won't be able to lower. 103 00:04:52,720 --> 00:04:54,000 Speaker 3: If inflation stays high. 104 00:04:54,080 --> 00:04:56,440 Speaker 4: So I think all of those storm clouds on the 105 00:04:56,480 --> 00:04:59,960 Speaker 4: horizon are not just bad macroeconomically, but bad for our 106 00:05:00,160 --> 00:05:03,000 Speaker 4: our technical companies and our leaders. It certainly makes it 107 00:05:03,040 --> 00:05:05,359 Speaker 4: a much more challenging environment for them. 108 00:05:05,960 --> 00:05:06,599 Speaker 3: To succeed in. 109 00:05:06,800 --> 00:05:09,200 Speaker 2: If you're a sculptor, you'd be breaking metsa up right. 110 00:05:10,200 --> 00:05:12,560 Speaker 4: I wrote a piece six years ago arguing that Meta 111 00:05:12,640 --> 00:05:16,640 Speaker 4: had abused its power and that it had illegally acquired 112 00:05:16,680 --> 00:05:22,760 Speaker 4: WhatsApp and Instagram in order to consolidate its power. You 113 00:05:22,880 --> 00:05:26,680 Speaker 4: have TC under Trump filed too on that same rationale. 114 00:05:26,920 --> 00:05:30,120 Speaker 4: Several years ago. The Biden administration reorganized the case and 115 00:05:30,160 --> 00:05:32,920 Speaker 4: continued to prosecute it. And as you know now, I mean, 116 00:05:32,960 --> 00:05:37,960 Speaker 4: the case is ongoing in Washington with exactly these questions. 117 00:05:37,640 --> 00:05:39,760 Speaker 2: What is it about it that you think is illegal? 118 00:05:40,760 --> 00:05:45,719 Speaker 4: The decision now over a decade ago, to say Instagram 119 00:05:45,760 --> 00:05:50,400 Speaker 4: is challenging our monopoly, our power in the social media landscape, 120 00:05:50,720 --> 00:05:53,760 Speaker 4: particularly with photos and WhatsApp, later with messaging, and then 121 00:05:53,800 --> 00:05:57,440 Speaker 4: to acquire those rivals and then do things like purposefully 122 00:05:58,360 --> 00:06:02,960 Speaker 4: slow investment development, as the Instagram co founder testified just 123 00:06:03,400 --> 00:06:06,680 Speaker 4: last week, that is against the law to acquire competitors, 124 00:06:06,680 --> 00:06:10,120 Speaker 4: either to shut them down or to consolidate a monopolistic position. 125 00:06:11,200 --> 00:06:13,800 Speaker 3: It's quite clear now. The question is is what do 126 00:06:13,839 --> 00:06:14,279 Speaker 3: you do now? 127 00:06:14,320 --> 00:06:16,960 Speaker 4: That was a long time ago, and so you know, 128 00:06:17,200 --> 00:06:19,400 Speaker 4: in my view, I think it's important that you know, 129 00:06:19,440 --> 00:06:21,719 Speaker 4: Facebook has to comply with the law despite making a 130 00:06:21,960 --> 00:06:23,600 Speaker 4: decision years ago that was illegal. 131 00:06:23,839 --> 00:06:26,720 Speaker 3: And then the question will come to what is the appropriate. 132 00:06:26,200 --> 00:06:28,839 Speaker 4: Remedy in twenty twenty five, and we need to know 133 00:06:28,960 --> 00:06:30,520 Speaker 4: more from the case to figure that out. 134 00:06:30,680 --> 00:06:33,240 Speaker 1: Is it incoherent to call some of the big tech 135 00:06:33,240 --> 00:06:36,120 Speaker 1: companies in the US national champions and to try to 136 00:06:36,240 --> 00:06:38,560 Speaker 1: hope that they're successful while trying to break them up 137 00:06:38,800 --> 00:06:42,600 Speaker 1: and change their business model with elimination of revenues from 138 00:06:42,640 --> 00:06:43,800 Speaker 1: places like China. 139 00:06:44,120 --> 00:06:45,919 Speaker 4: I understand why you say that it seems on the 140 00:06:45,920 --> 00:06:49,200 Speaker 4: surface like they might be in conflict, but actually what 141 00:06:49,240 --> 00:06:53,240 Speaker 4: I chart in my research is a long story of saying, 142 00:06:53,240 --> 00:06:57,279 Speaker 4: wait a second, we want leading industries in the United States. 143 00:06:57,400 --> 00:06:59,200 Speaker 3: So we were talking a lot about tech. 144 00:06:59,040 --> 00:07:01,080 Speaker 4: But you can do it in fu finance, you can 145 00:07:01,080 --> 00:07:03,040 Speaker 4: do it in energy. You can do it a whole 146 00:07:03,160 --> 00:07:05,320 Speaker 4: range of markets. And in order to do that you 147 00:07:05,360 --> 00:07:08,440 Speaker 4: need to use a few different tools simultaneously. One of 148 00:07:08,440 --> 00:07:11,200 Speaker 4: them might be public investment, like in the IRA for 149 00:07:11,320 --> 00:07:14,880 Speaker 4: climate or in the semiconductor example that we were talking 150 00:07:14,880 --> 00:07:18,840 Speaker 4: about earlier. Another might be procurement, another might be reserve buffering, 151 00:07:18,920 --> 00:07:21,840 Speaker 4: and then another might be competition policy. So these things 152 00:07:21,920 --> 00:07:24,520 Speaker 4: can work in concert as long as you have a 153 00:07:24,600 --> 00:07:29,040 Speaker 4: clear mission, what is government trying to do, and if 154 00:07:29,040 --> 00:07:32,080 Speaker 4: that's to spur in this moment AI research and development 155 00:07:32,120 --> 00:07:34,000 Speaker 4: so that we can lead the world and take on 156 00:07:34,120 --> 00:07:37,920 Speaker 4: China and be at the frontier that could be a 157 00:07:38,040 --> 00:07:39,680 Speaker 4: very In fact, I think that would be a very 158 00:07:39,680 --> 00:07:41,080 Speaker 4: smart mission to pursue. 159 00:07:41,120 --> 00:07:42,880 Speaker 3: But it has to be crisp and clear, and then you. 160 00:07:42,800 --> 00:07:47,040 Speaker 4: Can organize the institutions of American democracy to pursue that, 161 00:07:47,120 --> 00:07:50,160 Speaker 4: and sometimes that might mean public investment and competition policy. 162 00:07:50,520 --> 00:07:52,920 Speaker 1: At the same time, this overlaps with the idea of 163 00:07:52,920 --> 00:07:54,880 Speaker 1: tariffs as well, and the idea that it was a 164 00:07:54,920 --> 00:07:59,800 Speaker 1: bipartisan effort to have specific tariffs on certain products going 165 00:07:59,840 --> 00:08:02,320 Speaker 1: to China that were national security concerns are just outright 166 00:08:02,400 --> 00:08:05,200 Speaker 1: bans of certain types of chips being sold to China. 167 00:08:05,280 --> 00:08:07,640 Speaker 1: Do you think that that is the appropriate policy in 168 00:08:07,760 --> 00:08:10,800 Speaker 1: terms of limiting the amount of information or do you 169 00:08:10,800 --> 00:08:13,040 Speaker 1: think that, as someone who's worked in the tech industry, 170 00:08:13,280 --> 00:08:16,800 Speaker 1: the more cooperation open and transfer of information, the more 171 00:08:16,840 --> 00:08:18,800 Speaker 1: innovation and the more people can kind of get ahead. 172 00:08:19,120 --> 00:08:21,960 Speaker 4: I don't think it quite works that simply. I think 173 00:08:22,000 --> 00:08:23,640 Speaker 4: we have to be clear about what the goal is. 174 00:08:23,800 --> 00:08:24,520 Speaker 3: Is the goal. 175 00:08:24,320 --> 00:08:29,600 Speaker 4: Bringing back jobs in particular manufacturing industries, or is the 176 00:08:29,640 --> 00:08:34,599 Speaker 4: goal onshoing semiconductor manufacturing for national security concerns, or is 177 00:08:34,640 --> 00:08:38,040 Speaker 4: it just a broader goal of technical innovation and leadership, 178 00:08:38,120 --> 00:08:41,480 Speaker 4: Like with the investment in INNAI and depending on what 179 00:08:41,559 --> 00:08:45,719 Speaker 4: the goal is targeted, tariffs can have a place. I mean, 180 00:08:45,720 --> 00:08:48,079 Speaker 4: we saw this on Let's just use the example of 181 00:08:48,160 --> 00:08:48,920 Speaker 4: climate policy. 182 00:08:48,960 --> 00:08:50,840 Speaker 3: Bidenomics has gotten a bad. 183 00:08:50,640 --> 00:08:56,920 Speaker 4: Rep but obviously the IRA brought major investments in climate technology, 184 00:08:57,160 --> 00:08:59,720 Speaker 4: not only from the public sector, but doubling the overall 185 00:08:59,720 --> 00:09:03,280 Speaker 4: amount the private sector is investing as well. And that 186 00:09:03,400 --> 00:09:07,040 Speaker 4: kind of investment I think can transform that industry. So 187 00:09:08,080 --> 00:09:10,680 Speaker 4: there are bipartisan moments where people agree more so on 188 00:09:10,679 --> 00:09:14,280 Speaker 4: semiconductors than on climate, more so on tech oversite and 189 00:09:14,400 --> 00:09:16,280 Speaker 4: some other things, and I think those can be taken 190 00:09:16,320 --> 00:09:19,280 Speaker 4: advantage of. And you know, I charted the hidden history 191 00:09:19,280 --> 00:09:21,080 Speaker 4: of how to do this because. 192 00:09:20,880 --> 00:09:22,240 Speaker 3: We do fail a lot of time. 193 00:09:22,400 --> 00:09:24,840 Speaker 4: You know, government, if it doesn't have a clear mission, 194 00:09:24,880 --> 00:09:27,960 Speaker 4: if it doesn't have an institution charged with getting it 195 00:09:28,000 --> 00:09:31,720 Speaker 4: done and the discretion to bring in the best minds, 196 00:09:31,880 --> 00:09:32,440 Speaker 4: then it fails. 197 00:09:32,480 --> 00:09:35,080 Speaker 3: But when those ingredients are there, it succeeds. 198 00:09:35,080 --> 00:09:37,040 Speaker 2: And that's that's why I wrote the boking first with Chris. 199 00:09:37,080 --> 00:09:38,520 Speaker 2: This was great and hopefully we can do it again 200 00:09:38,640 --> 00:09:41,319 Speaker 2: soon for shore. Thank you, sir, Facebook co founder Chris 201 00:09:41,480 --> 00:09:41,760 Speaker 2: Use that