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Speaker 1: All right, and welcome into the Betting Pros College Football Show.

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Speaker 1: We sit on the precipice of November, a month that

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Speaker 1: reveals the contenders and the pretenders of the cleech of

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Speaker 1: football landscape. Conference play is in full swing, and today

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Speaker 1: we give you our early picks and line movement predictions

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Speaker 1: for Week ten of the season.

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Speaker 2: I'm your host, Seth Woolcock.

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Speaker 1: Feeling good, feel a little bit anxious already as all eyes.

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Speaker 1: This week will be on the town that I called

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Speaker 1: home for three years of my life, Happy Valley, Pennsylvania.

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Speaker 1: I'm joined by a man who is stoking the football

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Speaker 1: flames and he's coming into week ten. Hot Scott Bogman Bogs.

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Speaker 1: Good afternoon to you, my friend. Here we go again

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Speaker 1: with another week on tap.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean I'm excited. Like you said, my picks

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Speaker 3: on my Best bet show at least have been really

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Speaker 3: solid the last week eleven and one in the last

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Speaker 3: week six and oh this weekend, I was very happy

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Speaker 3: about it. But you know what the most important week

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Speaker 3: is this week? Yeah, this week is the most important

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Speaker 3: because it's the one we're playing this week. So let's

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Speaker 3: go out and keep it rolling.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, and we've got a stacked lineup for everyone. Today

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Speaker 1: on the program, we will react to Week nine and

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Speaker 1: some of the AP rankings movement. We'll also give you

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Speaker 1: an early handicap of the biggest games on the week

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Speaker 1: ten slate. Thanks to everyone who makes us part of

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Speaker 1: their weekly routine, we greatly appreciate it. The easiest way

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Speaker 1: to support us is to give this video a thumbs

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Speaker 1: up and subscribe to the Betting Pros YouTube channel. Joey

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Speaker 1: p ericson the Welsh they're holding down the NFL.

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Speaker 2: Side of things.

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Speaker 1: Terrell he's firing away right now for the NBA season.

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Speaker 1: And Matt Parol he's giving you these daily juice each

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Speaker 1: and every single day of the week. And before we

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Speaker 1: jump in, I did want to remind you if you

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Speaker 1: one chance to win a signed Kyne Williams Los Angeles

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Speaker 1: Rams jersey for free Courtisy is our friends over at

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Speaker 1: Pristineauction dot com. All you have to do is subscribe

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Speaker 1: to the Betting Pros YouTube channel right now, drop a

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Speaker 1: comment below on any of our videos and that's it.

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Speaker 1: We'll be announcing a winner right here on the channel,

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Speaker 1: So make sure you turn on those notifications so you

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Speaker 1: can be alerted when new videos are up and acclaim

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Speaker 1: your prize. And before we jump into the next slate

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Speaker 1: of games, let's discuss what we saw in Week nine,

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Speaker 1: a week with few upsets but some honestly very very

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Speaker 1: intriguing games. Notre Dame, they smacked Navy fifty one to fourteen.

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Speaker 1: Coach SIG's Indiana Hoogiers became the first program in twenty

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Speaker 1: years to have not trailed through eight games into the

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Speaker 1: season when they beat up on Washington thirty one seventeen,

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Speaker 1: Ohio State, they survived Nebraska twenty one seventeen, Oregon wax

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Speaker 1: Illinois thirty eight to nine, Bama blanks Miszoo thirty four zero,

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Speaker 1: and Texas makes it out of Vandy goalpost intact. Marcel

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Speaker 1: Reid also provides the spark for the Aggies late night

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Speaker 1: to beat LSU thirty eight to twenty three, and in

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Speaker 1: relief of Drew aller Bo Probolia, he leads Penn State

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Speaker 1: here back to beat Wisconsin twenty eight to thirteen.

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Speaker 2: Bogman, what a week of ball? What stood out to you?

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Speaker 3: Yeah? I mean LSU and A and M one wild

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Speaker 3: game right and and M comes all the way back.

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Speaker 3: Late they put Marcel Reid in and he scores three

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Speaker 3: rushing touchdowns to lead them to victory. That was a

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Speaker 3: very very impressive performance, and I mean, I don't know

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Speaker 3: who did more, Like was it Marcel Reid getting the

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Speaker 3: spark or was it the picks from Nusmeyer in the

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Speaker 3: second half that more sunk lsu so A and M

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Speaker 3: still a bit of an enigma, right, you lose that

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Speaker 3: first game, you come back and win. You've had, you know,

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Speaker 3: musical chairs at the quarterback position. So a fun season

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Speaker 3: for them, which means that Texas game at the end

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Speaker 3: of the year is look at more and more important

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Speaker 3: every single week. So I'm getting excited for that. Means

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Speaker 3: it probably won't be going because I don't think the

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Speaker 3: ticket prices are going to be dropping, but we'll see.

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Speaker 3: So that one really stood out to me. And also

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Speaker 3: a lot of the stuff you were listing off I

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Speaker 3: had right in the predictions, but I did not have

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Speaker 3: Oregon smacking Illinois, and I had I really hadn't given

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Speaker 3: Illinois they due respect. I had picked Michigan against him

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Speaker 3: the week before, and I said, I'm going to give

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Speaker 3: him their respect this week, and they finally, you know,

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Speaker 3: let me down. So we're back against Illinois unless they

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Speaker 3: win US money. So, but Oregon looks really strong right now.

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Speaker 3: They seem to be peaking.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, it feels like we're really figuring out the teams

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Speaker 1: that are here to play and the ones that are

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Speaker 1: just having a little bit of a hot streak. Looking

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Speaker 1: at some of the AP rankings, movement Notre Dame BYU

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Speaker 1: in Texas, A and M they all join the top ten.

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Speaker 1: Pitt jumps up to number eighteen, and Washington State and

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Speaker 1: Colorado are ranked for the first time this season. Anything

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Speaker 1: noteworthy to you here, Bogman.

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Speaker 3: Man, Colorado looks good. They just look good. Well, eligible

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Speaker 3: hit Big twelve. Yeah, first time since I think twenty

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Speaker 3: sixteen when they got ten games or whatever it was.

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Speaker 3: So you know, they look strong. Legit Big twelve contender. Yeah,

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Speaker 3: A and M deserves to be in the top ten

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Speaker 3: as well with the victories that they've had. So Yeah,

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Speaker 3: interesting movement BYU. Needs to move up. I think we

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Speaker 3: need to put a little more respect on Indiana, agree

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Speaker 3: them up a little bit. Like you said, they haven't

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Speaker 3: trailed yet in a game, had a big pick crass.

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Speaker 3: I mean, Washington is not you know, they're not what

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Speaker 3: they were last year, but they weren't a scrub coming

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Speaker 3: in in Indiana. Wiped the floor with them. So yeah,

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Speaker 3: I mean, the movement's interesting. But we're gonna get the

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Speaker 3: playoff rankings pretty soon here. That's what I'm looking forward to.

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Speaker 1: Agreed, Let's start here in week ten where the action

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Speaker 1: gets going on Friday night at eight pm Eastern Time

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Speaker 1: in Boise, Idaho, where the fifteenth ranked Broncos are hanging

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Speaker 1: twenty three and a half points on the three and

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Speaker 1: four San Diego State Aztecs. Boise State. They've moved to

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Speaker 1: six zho to one against the spread last Friday, beating

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Speaker 1: UNLV twenty nine to twenty four. The Rebels did keep

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Speaker 1: Heisman Trophy favorite Ashton Genti in check three point nine

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Speaker 1: yards per carry, and UNLV's hodj Malik Williams was running

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Speaker 1: wild on this Broncos defense for a majority of this game.

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Speaker 1: San Diego State they come off a hard fought game

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Speaker 1: against Washington State, losing twenty nine to twenty six. As

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Speaker 1: a fourteen and a half point dog. They now sit

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Speaker 1: two three and two against the spread, covering in two

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Speaker 1: straight Boise There i'ving for in this rivalry all time,

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Speaker 1: but this was a one score game.

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Speaker 2: Last year.

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Speaker 1: To me, twenty three and a half seems like too

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Speaker 1: many points for a Friday night conference game between two

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Speaker 1: teams undefeated in Mountain West play.

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Speaker 2: What say you, Scott?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean I think you're right. I think the

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Speaker 3: initial line and it's actually moved down a little bit

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Speaker 3: already yesterday when I was doing this at twenty four

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Speaker 3: and a half this morning twenty three and a half.

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Speaker 3: The total also drop the point, so I think we're

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Speaker 3: getting it closer to where we want it. I would

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Speaker 3: prefer it to be at twenty one or below. That's

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Speaker 3: what I want to do to take Poise State. I

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Speaker 3: don't mind the over, but I played the over on

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Speaker 3: Boise State last week and it obviously did not work.

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Speaker 3: This is just not a good matchup for San Diego State.

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Speaker 3: It just really isn't. I mean, right now, they are

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Speaker 3: eighty eighth and rushing defense, they grade one hundred and

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Speaker 3: twelve in rushing defense. In their four losses, they've given

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Speaker 3: up on average one hundred and ninety five rushing yards.

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Speaker 3: So for me, I want this to dip to be

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Speaker 3: low to twenty one or below to take Boise State.

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Speaker 3: I'm not taking San Diego State like I'm just not

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Speaker 3: doing it. Their offense has been pathetic one hundred and fifth.

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Speaker 3: They're only averaging twenty two point eight points per game,

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Speaker 3: three hundred and forty total yards puts in one hundred

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Speaker 3: and six eighty second in passing just over two hundred

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Speaker 3: yards to win thirteen point six per game. I don't

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Speaker 3: want to rely on them to score points. And I

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Speaker 3: know that this is a get right game for Ash

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Speaker 3: and Chanty. Right, let's get back in that Heisman conversation

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Speaker 3: by having an enormous game with a bunch of touchdowns

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Speaker 3: here against San Diego State. I think that's what they

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Speaker 3: want to do. So I'm gonna wait for this line

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Speaker 3: to come back a little bit and see what the

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Speaker 3: best number is, probably before kickoff, and then the total

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Speaker 3: one I don't really want to mess with.

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Speaker 1: Okay, So if it doesn't move down too much, probably

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Speaker 1: just staying away unless it gets below three touchdowns there, yeah.

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Speaker 3: I think so, I'll probably just stay away from it.

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Speaker 3: If if the total sinks too low, I might. I

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Speaker 3: might go with the total because I think this is

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Speaker 3: going to be a lopsided game if we can only

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Speaker 3: depend on like ten to seventeen from San Diego State.

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Speaker 3: I think I'd be happier, but it's just too high

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Speaker 3: right now.

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Speaker 1: Both sides might be a Friday night that you and

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Speaker 1: I are vo sitting on the sidelines. There's a NASCAR

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Speaker 1: truck race on Friday night, though, if you're trying to

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Speaker 1: catch a little sweat in here, Scott.

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Speaker 2: So let's go ahead, though.

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Speaker 1: Let's jump right into a loaded noonslate with a top

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Speaker 1: five matchup in Happy Valley, Pennsylvania, where the third ranked

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Speaker 1: Penn State Nineellians host the fourth ranked Ohio State Buckeyes.

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Speaker 1: Big noon kickoff will be here. College Game Day will

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Speaker 1: be here as well. The town of State College, Pennsylvania

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Speaker 1: will be a buzzin'. The status of Penn State quarterback

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Speaker 1: Drew Alar is still unknown, leaving Penn State as four

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Speaker 1: point dogs at some shops bo Probola. He's been around

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Speaker 1: the system for a little bit now. He was great

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Speaker 1: in relief of the former one number one recruit, and

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Speaker 1: he has the likes of Nick Singleton, k Tron, Allen,

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Speaker 1: Tyler Warren and the fourth ranked total defense behind him.

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Speaker 1: If he has to go again. Penn State is now

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Speaker 1: three and four against the spread and also undefeated straight up. Meanwhile,

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Speaker 1: Ohio State. They were caught in somewhat of a look

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Speaker 1: ahead as you predicted last week against Nebraska again which

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Speaker 1: they were held to just two hundred and eighty five

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Speaker 1: yards and held the ball for only twenty five minutes.

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Speaker 1: They won that one, but they were twenty five and

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Speaker 1: a half point favorites. This loss now brings them to

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Speaker 1: three and four against the spread, but they're still have

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Speaker 1: the ninth total offense, second total defense. These teams play

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Speaker 1: every single year, and last time Penn State beat the

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Speaker 1: Buckeys was in twenty sixteen. I remember that game. I

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Speaker 1: was a freshman in college. I'll never forget it. Still,

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Speaker 1: Penn State is covered in three of the last five matchups.

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Speaker 1: Where does this one land here for you?

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Speaker 2: Bogman?

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Speaker 1: Is there any value available as it stands currently?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I'll say this, I'm just not I'm not messing

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Speaker 3: with the side until we know the status of Drew Aller,

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Speaker 3: So I'm that the spread can wait. So let's see

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Speaker 3: what's gonna go go on with you? I mean Pribyla,

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Speaker 3: how you say's name? He was excellent in the second half.

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Speaker 3: He was really a strong performance in that win against Wisconsin, right,

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Speaker 3: so not the worst if he has to start, but

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Speaker 3: it is you know, you want the experiencing a game

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Speaker 3: like this, So I can't take Penn State until I

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Speaker 3: know Drew Aller is playing and that he's going to

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Speaker 3: be one hundred percent. I mean, he looked good after

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Speaker 3: the game. I saw him screaming at someone on the sideline,

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Speaker 3: so he still got that fire, right. I think he's

218
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Speaker 3: going to be okay. But I like the under in

219
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Speaker 3: this game. You know, there are issues on both sides.

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Speaker 3: Ohio State looked one dimensional on offense. The play calling

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00:10:26,880 --> 00:10:29,880
Speaker 3: is even and they're top thirty both but sixty four

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Speaker 3: rushing yards against Nebraska only one hundred and forty one

223
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Speaker 3: against Oregon. The run game might be a pretty decent concern.

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Speaker 3: But what concerns me more right now is that your

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Speaker 3: Penn State Nidney Allion's got no pressure on lock last week,

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Speaker 3: and I just that is more concerning.

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Speaker 2: I'm on the.

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Speaker 3: Ohio State side a little bit, but I like the

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Speaker 3: under right now. I just you know, I think Penn

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00:10:52,320 --> 00:10:54,080
Speaker 3: State is going to step up. I think they'll get

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Speaker 3: more pressure in this game. And the run game doesn't

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Speaker 3: look very good for Ohio State right now. The little

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Speaker 3: bit one dimensional, So I just you know, we saw Oregon.

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Speaker 3: Oregon is peaking right now. I don't think either one

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Speaker 3: of these teams are peaking right now, so I kind

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Speaker 3: of I'm on the unders so far.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I think it's a good play to kind of

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Speaker 1: wait it out see what we get middle of the week.

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Speaker 1: If Aller is a go, I think I would be

240
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Speaker 1: interested getting and invested with Penn State. Like, let's be honest,

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Speaker 1: this is the worst Ohio State has looked coming into

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Speaker 1: a game in Happy Valley for as long as I

243
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Speaker 1: can remember. They feel like their backs are against the

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Speaker 1: ropes a little bit, but honestly, like that's kind of

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Speaker 1: when Ryan Day responds the best, especially against James Franklin.

246
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Speaker 1: So you kind of have history going in Ohio State's favor,

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Speaker 1: but this really is like now or never for Penn State,

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Speaker 1: right Yeah.

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Speaker 3: I think so that was also the perfect storm for

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Speaker 3: Ohio State. It was like, you know, you have the

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Speaker 3: look ahead spot for them and have Nebraska being just embarrassed.

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Speaker 3: We knew they were better than what they played again Sandiana,

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Speaker 3: but I mean Matt Rule was on top of those guys,

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Speaker 3: and they made it dangerous for Ohio State. So I

255
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Speaker 3: think Penn State is a bigger matchup and may be

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Speaker 3: a little bit of a look ahead for Penn State

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Speaker 3: against Wisconsin as well. So I think both teams are

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Speaker 3: gonna come to play, which means points are going to

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Speaker 3: be more difficult to come by. I don't see this

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Speaker 3: playing out like the Ohio State Oregon game.

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Speaker 1: Yeah yeah, can we just like I get Fox as

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Speaker 1: the rights to this game, can we not make it

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Speaker 1: a night game? Please? I mean, we need all Penn

264
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Speaker 1: State fans, all the Happy Valley folks boozing all day

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Speaker 1: for this one to get up.

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Speaker 2: But they'll be ready to go.

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Speaker 1: I have no doubt about it being up in that

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Speaker 1: area for so long, I know. I mean, this is

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Speaker 1: our super Bowl.

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Speaker 3: Man.

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Speaker 1: I hate to say it, but like every year Ohio

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Speaker 1: State comes to town and everyone from everywhere out of

273
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Speaker 1: Pennsylvania they come out of the woodwork for it. So

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Speaker 1: excited to see this one. We'll talk more about it

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Speaker 1: on Wednesday with Threll. Meanwhile, in the SEC, the Arkansas

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Speaker 1: Razorbacks hosts the nineteenth ranked Ole miss Rebels as six

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Speaker 1: and a half point dogs. Arkansas is coming into this

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Speaker 1: game after a pretty good showing against Mississippi State, where

279
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Speaker 1: they had six hundred and seventy three total yards and

280
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Speaker 1: quarterback Taylor Green counted for a total six touchdowns. They've

281
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Speaker 1: moved to six and two against the spread.

282
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Speaker 2: Ole Miss.

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Speaker 1: Meanwhile, they're coming off of twenty six to fourteen win

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Speaker 1: against the Sooners where they likely didn't cover if you

285
00:13:12,080 --> 00:13:15,840
Speaker 1: bet them earlier in the week. OU's offense, so honestly,

286
00:13:15,880 --> 00:13:18,319
Speaker 1: look the best it has in a long time, totaling

287
00:13:18,360 --> 00:13:20,800
Speaker 1: three hundred and twenty nine yards against what's supposed to

288
00:13:20,840 --> 00:13:23,800
Speaker 1: be a top ten ranked defense for Old Miss Arkansas

289
00:13:23,920 --> 00:13:26,600
Speaker 1: four and zero against the spread against Old Miss in

290
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Speaker 1: the lane Kiffen Era, where does this line head this week?

291
00:13:29,800 --> 00:13:31,199
Speaker 2: Bogman, I'm leaning.

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Speaker 1: Towards the Razorbacks, but I would love to get this

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00:13:32,960 --> 00:13:34,320
Speaker 1: line above a touchdown.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm I would not be taking the Razorbacks really yeah,

295
00:13:40,120 --> 00:13:42,480
Speaker 3: I'm not gonna do it. And look, I don't like

296
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Speaker 3: a play on the side, to be honest, I like

297
00:13:45,240 --> 00:13:48,160
Speaker 3: the under and BBP we're showing value on the under here.

298
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Speaker 3: Ole Miss still hasn't had a bad game on defense.

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Speaker 3: Even the game against LSU. They held them to twenty

300
00:13:53,679 --> 00:13:56,280
Speaker 3: three points in regulation, and they haven't allowed anyone to

301
00:13:56,280 --> 00:13:59,000
Speaker 3: put up thirty yet Ole Miss has also not played

302
00:13:59,040 --> 00:14:01,760
Speaker 3: their best on offense. It's recently just twenty six point

303
00:14:01,760 --> 00:14:04,280
Speaker 3: five points over the last four games. The best wide receiver,

304
00:14:04,280 --> 00:14:06,320
Speaker 3: Trey Harris, didn't play last week. I'm not sure if

305
00:14:06,320 --> 00:14:09,199
Speaker 3: he's gonna play this week. Arkansas's fresh off putting up

306
00:14:09,360 --> 00:14:11,520
Speaker 3: six hundred and seventy three yards and fifty eight points,

307
00:14:11,760 --> 00:14:16,000
Speaker 3: as you mentioned, but non Mississippi State SEC defenses they've

308
00:14:16,000 --> 00:14:18,280
Speaker 3: averaged just seventeen and a half points and three hundred

309
00:14:18,280 --> 00:14:21,520
Speaker 3: and fifty six yards. Arkansas also has a big piece

310
00:14:21,600 --> 00:14:23,720
Speaker 3: up in the area and they're running back to quinnin Jackson.

311
00:14:24,240 --> 00:14:26,480
Speaker 3: The freshman did a great job filling in for them

312
00:14:26,760 --> 00:14:28,600
Speaker 3: last week, but I don't know if he's gonna play there.

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Speaker 3: So we have two big pieces of these offenses down.

314
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Speaker 3: Ole Miss defense is still they still, like I said,

315
00:14:34,440 --> 00:14:36,080
Speaker 3: have not had a bad game. So that's where I'm

316
00:14:36,080 --> 00:14:39,000
Speaker 3: gonna lean. We're showing value on the under right now,

317
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Speaker 3: and that's what I like here. I like this is

318
00:14:41,400 --> 00:14:42,880
Speaker 3: another game where I like the under. I'm not a

319
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Speaker 3: big under guy. I always say life's too short to

320
00:14:45,280 --> 00:14:47,600
Speaker 3: bet the unders, but if it's gonna win us money,

321
00:14:47,600 --> 00:14:48,800
Speaker 3: I like it, and I feel like it can win

322
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Speaker 3: us money this week.

323
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Speaker 1: I'm a little surprised, honestly to hear that, just because

324
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Speaker 1: oh Miss I felt like they were supposed to dominate

325
00:14:55,120 --> 00:14:57,480
Speaker 1: that game against Oklahoma and they got up early by

326
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Speaker 1: a touchdown and then kind of let the back door

327
00:14:59,720 --> 00:15:02,600
Speaker 1: open for Oklahoma to come back and cover the spread

328
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Speaker 1: at least in that.

329
00:15:03,240 --> 00:15:06,120
Speaker 3: Yeah, but they did it because they couldn't score. Right,

330
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Speaker 3: Like Oklahoma had their best offensive game. Still wasn't a

331
00:15:09,920 --> 00:15:13,320
Speaker 3: good offensive game. It was okay, but it was their

332
00:15:13,360 --> 00:15:15,680
Speaker 3: best offensive game. It doesn't mean it was good and

333
00:15:15,880 --> 00:15:19,080
Speaker 3: ole Miss just couldn't score. Oklahoma's defense is good, you know.

334
00:15:19,120 --> 00:15:22,400
Speaker 3: I don't think Arkansas is that close, but we've seen

335
00:15:22,880 --> 00:15:27,160
Speaker 3: ole Miss play down specifically on offense. So for me,

336
00:15:27,880 --> 00:15:29,720
Speaker 3: I feel like this is going to be a low scoring,

337
00:15:29,760 --> 00:15:33,360
Speaker 3: disappointing type of game. Potential rain in that one too,

338
00:15:33,440 --> 00:15:35,760
Speaker 3: So whether might affect it, we'll see.

339
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Speaker 2: Good call on that.

340
00:15:36,840 --> 00:15:38,680
Speaker 1: Let's go ahead and round out the noon slate with

341
00:15:38,760 --> 00:15:41,680
Speaker 1: number five Miami hosting the six and two Duke Blue

342
00:15:41,680 --> 00:15:44,520
Speaker 1: Devils as twenty and a half point favorites. Duke is

343
00:15:44,560 --> 00:15:48,200
Speaker 1: coming off just a heartbreaking loss against SMU. They were

344
00:15:48,200 --> 00:15:50,920
Speaker 1: in position to kick a game winning field goal in

345
00:15:51,040 --> 00:15:54,600
Speaker 1: regulation before it was blocked, they went overtime. They lose

346
00:15:54,640 --> 00:15:57,880
Speaker 1: that one, giving them their second loss this season. Duke's

347
00:15:57,920 --> 00:16:00,680
Speaker 1: offense has been shaky at best, you could say, but

348
00:16:00,800 --> 00:16:04,680
Speaker 1: this Manny Diz led defense, no surprise, is thirty third

349
00:16:05,080 --> 00:16:08,520
Speaker 1: in total defense and thirteenth and passing defense. Will that

350
00:16:08,600 --> 00:16:10,600
Speaker 1: be enough to slow down cam Ward in this top

351
00:16:10,680 --> 00:16:14,640
Speaker 1: ranked total offense for Miami averaging over five hundred and

352
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Speaker 1: sixty yards per game.

353
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Speaker 2: Bogman, Yeah, the line.

354
00:16:17,080 --> 00:16:19,120
Speaker 3: Is right on top of the BP projection, so I

355
00:16:19,120 --> 00:16:22,040
Speaker 3: don't think that we're showing a very big advantage there.

356
00:16:22,200 --> 00:16:24,440
Speaker 3: The key matchup to me, like you mentioned set, is

357
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Speaker 3: Miami's number one offense going up against the top twenty defense.

358
00:16:27,840 --> 00:16:29,440
Speaker 3: I just think Miami is a little bit too much

359
00:16:29,480 --> 00:16:31,720
Speaker 3: for Duke to handle. But to their credit, Dupe is

360
00:16:31,760 --> 00:16:34,080
Speaker 3: top fifteen against the pass. They have the fourth best

361
00:16:34,120 --> 00:16:37,360
Speaker 3: coverage grade on PFF in the country. The Duke defense

362
00:16:37,440 --> 00:16:41,560
Speaker 3: has the second most turnovers forced nineteen this season, but

363
00:16:41,680 --> 00:16:44,240
Speaker 3: they had six of those last week against SMU and

364
00:16:44,280 --> 00:16:47,680
Speaker 3: they still lost. Miami has only turned the ball over

365
00:16:47,760 --> 00:16:51,560
Speaker 3: seven times this year. They did finally have a strong

366
00:16:51,640 --> 00:16:56,280
Speaker 3: performance defensively against FSU, but FSU is a different level

367
00:16:56,280 --> 00:16:59,760
Speaker 3: of pathetic. I'm hoping the line dips toward Miami a

368
00:16:59,840 --> 00:17:01,880
Speaker 3: little bit. A lot of the money and tickets right

369
00:17:01,920 --> 00:17:04,600
Speaker 3: now are on Duke because this line is so big.

370
00:17:05,920 --> 00:17:08,879
Speaker 3: Duke has just had some pathetic showings on offense, and

371
00:17:08,920 --> 00:17:11,320
Speaker 3: I think they're going to have enough to stick with

372
00:17:11,400 --> 00:17:13,600
Speaker 3: Miami the whole game. Like I think, if you want

373
00:17:13,600 --> 00:17:15,960
Speaker 3: to take Duke in this game, maybe take a first

374
00:17:15,960 --> 00:17:18,960
Speaker 3: half Duke number, you know what I mean. I think

375
00:17:19,080 --> 00:17:22,320
Speaker 3: right now Miami is just looking too good offensively and

376
00:17:22,320 --> 00:17:24,840
Speaker 3: it may not take many points for them to beat

377
00:17:24,840 --> 00:17:28,680
Speaker 3: this spread. I think if they score thirty five, I mean,

378
00:17:28,920 --> 00:17:32,000
Speaker 3: are we sure Duke is going to score fourteen against Miami.

379
00:17:32,040 --> 00:17:35,760
Speaker 3: Miami's defense has played bad and they played down occasionally,

380
00:17:36,040 --> 00:17:40,200
Speaker 3: but this offense for Duke has been otherworldly bad right now.

381
00:17:40,240 --> 00:17:44,360
Speaker 3: Not FSU, but not great. So I think I like Miami.

382
00:17:44,480 --> 00:17:46,320
Speaker 3: I just want this number to dip down a little bit,

383
00:17:46,440 --> 00:17:48,480
Speaker 3: like below twenty. I'll feel comfortable.

384
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Speaker 1: I'm with you there, And before we continue, I did

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Speaker 1: want to remind everyone to join the College Football podcast group.

386
00:17:54,600 --> 00:17:56,800
Speaker 1: You can sink your picks and use the quick pick

387
00:17:56,800 --> 00:17:59,480
Speaker 1: feature on the betting Pro Sports betting app to get

388
00:17:59,520 --> 00:18:02,720
Speaker 1: a chance to win some free prizes. Elevate your betting

389
00:18:02,760 --> 00:18:06,280
Speaker 1: strategy and join the conversation today at bettingpros dot com

390
00:18:06,320 --> 00:18:09,879
Speaker 1: slash college. Let's open the three point thirty slate with

391
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Speaker 1: a neutral site game in Jacksonville, Florida, where the number

392
00:18:13,400 --> 00:18:16,200
Speaker 1: two Georgia Bulldogs are favored by sixteen and a half

393
00:18:16,320 --> 00:18:19,480
Speaker 1: over the four and three Florida Gators. Both teams come

394
00:18:19,520 --> 00:18:21,720
Speaker 1: in fresh off of bye, but the last time we

395
00:18:21,760 --> 00:18:24,880
Speaker 1: saw Georgia, they knocked off your Texas Longhorns thirty to

396
00:18:24,880 --> 00:18:28,280
Speaker 1: fifteen in Austin to move to two and five ats.

397
00:18:28,400 --> 00:18:31,040
Speaker 1: Georgia dominated both lines of scrimmage in that one. I

398
00:18:31,040 --> 00:18:34,080
Speaker 1: think that's fair to say. Former Gator Trevor Etn has

399
00:18:34,160 --> 00:18:38,119
Speaker 1: best game of his Bulldog career, rushing for three touchdowns. Florida,

400
00:18:38,200 --> 00:18:40,840
Speaker 1: though they have covered in four straight games, including wins

401
00:18:40,880 --> 00:18:43,960
Speaker 1: over Mississippi State UCF and a forty eight to twenty

402
00:18:44,040 --> 00:18:47,760
Speaker 1: victory against Kentucky and DJ Lagway's first start. What's the

403
00:18:47,800 --> 00:18:48,920
Speaker 1: handicap for this game?

404
00:18:48,960 --> 00:18:49,360
Speaker 2: Bogman?

405
00:18:49,560 --> 00:18:51,359
Speaker 1: And is sixteen and a half points enough for you?

406
00:18:51,720 --> 00:18:54,600
Speaker 3: It is? Georgia has had two weeks to prepare for

407
00:18:54,640 --> 00:18:59,200
Speaker 3: this game, so hopefully the letdown spot is non existent.

408
00:18:59,359 --> 00:19:02,320
Speaker 3: Look ahead maybe because they play All Miss, but he's

409
00:19:02,359 --> 00:19:04,800
Speaker 3: not gonna look ahead from George. I think they really

410
00:19:04,880 --> 00:19:06,960
Speaker 3: want to beat Georgia. The last time we saw Florida,

411
00:19:07,119 --> 00:19:09,560
Speaker 3: as you said, they're looking strong on offense, he put

412
00:19:09,640 --> 00:19:12,000
Speaker 3: up forty eight points, twenty more than they had against

413
00:19:12,000 --> 00:19:16,000
Speaker 3: any other FBS team this year. But Georgia got the

414
00:19:16,040 --> 00:19:18,959
Speaker 3: offense rolling in that second half against Alabama, and they

415
00:19:19,000 --> 00:19:22,320
Speaker 3: found the defense in Austin against Texas. So Georgia has

416
00:19:22,320 --> 00:19:23,959
Speaker 3: won this game three years in a row, with the

417
00:19:23,960 --> 00:19:26,399
Speaker 3: margins of victory being twenty seven to twenty two to

418
00:19:26,400 --> 00:19:29,879
Speaker 3: twenty three. Georgia is only two and five against the spread,

419
00:19:30,200 --> 00:19:33,080
Speaker 3: but four of those five against the spread losses were

420
00:19:33,119 --> 00:19:35,600
Speaker 3: with spreads more than twenty points, and the other one

421
00:19:35,640 --> 00:19:39,600
Speaker 3: was Bama. I think Uga is about to thump Florida.

422
00:19:39,840 --> 00:19:41,560
Speaker 3: I don't think this game is gonna be very close.

423
00:19:42,400 --> 00:19:45,280
Speaker 3: Maybe I'm overestimating the Texas victory right because I do

424
00:19:45,320 --> 00:19:48,800
Speaker 3: think Texas is good, and maybe I'm ignoring that look

425
00:19:48,840 --> 00:19:50,760
Speaker 3: at spot to All Miss. I don't think I am though.

426
00:19:50,800 --> 00:19:52,600
Speaker 3: I'm gonna lay the points and I'm gonna be taking

427
00:19:52,840 --> 00:19:53,600
Speaker 3: the Bulldogs.

428
00:19:54,560 --> 00:19:57,440
Speaker 1: I don't think it's a bad call, especially Lagway. He's

429
00:19:57,440 --> 00:20:00,479
Speaker 1: looked good so far, but still very inexperienced in I

430
00:20:00,480 --> 00:20:04,000
Speaker 1: don't think that lends itself going against a team like Georgia,

431
00:20:04,160 --> 00:20:07,440
Speaker 1: especially the way that that defensive line finally got healthy.

432
00:20:07,680 --> 00:20:10,800
Speaker 1: They were swarming that tests offense all night.

433
00:20:10,880 --> 00:20:13,280
Speaker 3: That's so yeah, that's you know, everyone talks about how

434
00:20:13,280 --> 00:20:17,600
Speaker 3: there's two NFL level tackles in Texas and they, you know,

435
00:20:18,480 --> 00:20:21,680
Speaker 3: they beat them like a drum. So I just don't

436
00:20:21,720 --> 00:20:25,840
Speaker 3: think Florida has a lot of chance here, and Lagway.

437
00:20:25,480 --> 00:20:26,240
Speaker 2: Can prove me wrong.

438
00:20:26,440 --> 00:20:28,920
Speaker 3: I would be happy to be proven wrong in this game,

439
00:20:29,280 --> 00:20:31,960
Speaker 3: but Georgia Alaza would to them. I don't think it's

440
00:20:32,040 --> 00:20:32,520
Speaker 3: very close.

441
00:20:33,320 --> 00:20:36,360
Speaker 1: Georgia has one and covered in three straight in this rivalry.

442
00:20:36,440 --> 00:20:38,879
Speaker 1: They've also won by an average of twenty four points,

443
00:20:38,920 --> 00:20:41,640
Speaker 1: So I think you're getting value at the sixteen. Would

444
00:20:41,680 --> 00:20:43,400
Speaker 1: you hop on that now or do you think there's

445
00:20:43,440 --> 00:20:45,080
Speaker 1: gonna be a chance where we get that all week?

446
00:20:45,240 --> 00:20:48,760
Speaker 3: Yeah, it's shaded pretty heavy to Georgia, so I probably

447
00:20:48,760 --> 00:20:49,440
Speaker 3: can't get it now.

448
00:20:50,119 --> 00:20:52,399
Speaker 1: Next up, we head to ann Arbor, Michigan, where the

449
00:20:52,520 --> 00:20:54,960
Speaker 1: number one ranked Oregon Ducks are laying fourteen and a

450
00:20:55,000 --> 00:20:57,640
Speaker 1: half points on the Michigan Wolverines. It was a really

451
00:20:57,640 --> 00:21:00,000
Speaker 1: slow start for the Oregon Ducks, however, they have covered

452
00:21:00,200 --> 00:21:03,000
Speaker 1: in three straight games, including that nail bier win over

453
00:21:03,080 --> 00:21:07,280
Speaker 1: Ohio State. In blowouts against Purdue and Illinois, the Ducks

454
00:21:07,320 --> 00:21:10,040
Speaker 1: they now sit eleventh in total offense and twelfth in

455
00:21:10,080 --> 00:21:13,320
Speaker 1: total defense. Michigan got back on track with a twenty

456
00:21:13,359 --> 00:21:16,359
Speaker 1: four to seventeen win against Michigan State, but they still

457
00:21:16,359 --> 00:21:19,240
Speaker 1: remain zero to eight against the spread. You've made money

458
00:21:19,240 --> 00:21:22,280
Speaker 1: if you've faded Michigan so far this season. Davis Warren

459
00:21:22,400 --> 00:21:25,919
Speaker 1: was back as the starter last week. He looked somewhat serviceable,

460
00:21:25,960 --> 00:21:28,840
Speaker 1: but they're also now using Alex Orgy as a run

461
00:21:28,880 --> 00:21:31,320
Speaker 1: only option, probably how he was made to really be

462
00:21:31,440 --> 00:21:34,000
Speaker 1: used here. He rushed for sixty four yards and a score.

463
00:21:34,240 --> 00:21:37,119
Speaker 1: Can the Wolverines keep this one close against a rolling

464
00:21:37,600 --> 00:21:39,320
Speaker 1: Dan Lanning led Oregon team?

465
00:21:39,359 --> 00:21:41,120
Speaker 2: Bogs, No, I don't.

466
00:21:41,480 --> 00:21:44,119
Speaker 3: This is not enough points to me. Oregon can be

467
00:21:44,119 --> 00:21:47,520
Speaker 3: beat on defense. They let Boise State score on them. Obviously,

468
00:21:47,520 --> 00:21:49,960
Speaker 3: Ohio State came in and put up points on them,

469
00:21:50,440 --> 00:21:53,040
Speaker 3: but Michigan isn't gonna do that. They don't score points.

470
00:21:53,359 --> 00:21:55,960
Speaker 3: They are back to Davis Warren a quarterback. And even

471
00:21:56,000 --> 00:21:58,120
Speaker 3: though they just put up twenty four against Michigan State,

472
00:21:58,440 --> 00:22:00,280
Speaker 3: they only held the ball for twenty two mins in

473
00:22:00,320 --> 00:22:02,399
Speaker 3: fifty five seconds and they only had two hundred and

474
00:22:02,400 --> 00:22:05,760
Speaker 3: sixty five total yards. That lopside of time of possession

475
00:22:06,160 --> 00:22:10,200
Speaker 3: will have Oregon run up the score if that's the case.

476
00:22:10,359 --> 00:22:13,600
Speaker 3: I just Oregon has been scary on defense recently. As

477
00:22:13,640 --> 00:22:16,960
Speaker 3: you said, they shut out Purdue in Purdue. They held

478
00:22:16,960 --> 00:22:21,159
Speaker 3: Illinois only nine points last week. And I'm done chasing Michigan.

479
00:22:21,200 --> 00:22:24,439
Speaker 3: I said it last week. I'm done with Michigan. You know,

480
00:22:24,560 --> 00:22:27,600
Speaker 3: proven to me that they're not a bow up spot.

481
00:22:27,680 --> 00:22:30,560
Speaker 3: They're not a beat a roster that is less than

482
00:22:30,640 --> 00:22:34,359
Speaker 3: them spot. They have shown me nothing this year at all.

483
00:22:34,480 --> 00:22:36,600
Speaker 3: So I'm gonna take Oregon and lay the points here.

484
00:22:36,640 --> 00:22:38,400
Speaker 3: I have no love for Michigan at this point.

485
00:22:38,800 --> 00:22:40,040
Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't blame you, man.

486
00:22:40,080 --> 00:22:42,439
Speaker 1: It's been ring around the rosie and musical chairs at

487
00:22:42,480 --> 00:22:45,400
Speaker 1: the quarterback position all year. I mean they've literally gone

488
00:22:45,400 --> 00:22:47,720
Speaker 1: to every single starter they have in their arsenal and

489
00:22:47,720 --> 00:22:48,480
Speaker 1: it's still good.

490
00:22:48,520 --> 00:22:50,600
Speaker 3: Now. I just went back to Davis Warren, who didn't

491
00:22:50,640 --> 00:22:53,000
Speaker 3: work out for them before because he turned the ball over,

492
00:22:53,160 --> 00:22:55,160
Speaker 3: so hopefully he cuts down on the turnovers. He didn't

493
00:22:55,160 --> 00:22:58,119
Speaker 3: turn the ball over against Michigan State, so great, But

494
00:22:59,000 --> 00:23:02,199
Speaker 3: I just how can you go against Oregon right now?

495
00:23:02,240 --> 00:23:04,760
Speaker 3: I think Oregon is peaking. It's not the right time

496
00:23:04,800 --> 00:23:07,200
Speaker 3: to peak. Yeah, and they might be doing it right now,

497
00:23:07,400 --> 00:23:09,480
Speaker 3: but they just look too strong right now. I'm not

498
00:23:09,480 --> 00:23:10,040
Speaker 3: messing with them.

499
00:23:10,040 --> 00:23:12,000
Speaker 1: Where's Connor Stallion when you need them? You know what

500
00:23:12,080 --> 00:23:12,360
Speaker 1: I mean?

501
00:23:13,160 --> 00:23:13,879
Speaker 3: I need something.

502
00:23:14,240 --> 00:23:17,359
Speaker 1: Let's move to East Lansing, Michigan, where the Michigan State

503
00:23:17,840 --> 00:23:20,960
Speaker 1: Spartans are just six and a half point dogs against

504
00:23:20,960 --> 00:23:25,000
Speaker 1: the thirteenth ranked and undefeated Indiana Hoosiers. I'm gonna be honest,

505
00:23:25,119 --> 00:23:27,200
Speaker 1: this line makes absolutely no sense to me.

506
00:23:27,640 --> 00:23:28,200
Speaker 2: Indiana.

507
00:23:28,240 --> 00:23:30,960
Speaker 1: They're eight to zero against the spread, six in total defense,

508
00:23:31,000 --> 00:23:34,600
Speaker 1: fifth in total offense as well. There's also optimism that QB.

509
00:23:34,760 --> 00:23:37,480
Speaker 1: Curtis work could be back for this one. The Spartans

510
00:23:37,520 --> 00:23:40,439
Speaker 1: have looked better recently, covering in three straight, including an

511
00:23:40,480 --> 00:23:43,760
Speaker 1: impressive win against Iowa in Week eight, but Aiden Child

512
00:23:43,840 --> 00:23:47,280
Speaker 1: still has more interceptions than passing touchdowns. Bagman, am I

513
00:23:47,440 --> 00:23:50,000
Speaker 1: missing something or do we bet the house on Sig

514
00:23:50,040 --> 00:23:52,520
Speaker 1: Signetty and the boys once again here in week ten.

515
00:23:52,960 --> 00:23:55,080
Speaker 3: I mean what I say last week, Hoosiers still the

516
00:23:55,119 --> 00:23:58,640
Speaker 3: wheels fall off, right, Yeah, wheels have yet to fall off.

517
00:23:58,680 --> 00:24:02,639
Speaker 3: So we're on the Hoosiers again. And this line feels

518
00:24:02,920 --> 00:24:04,720
Speaker 3: like a trap. But you know what felt like a

519
00:24:04,760 --> 00:24:08,880
Speaker 3: trap byu UCF last week and it was not a trap.

520
00:24:09,000 --> 00:24:13,240
Speaker 3: I don't understand. Michigan State has been playing better recently.

521
00:24:13,560 --> 00:24:17,200
Speaker 3: They beat Iowa and then had the close loss to Michigan.

522
00:24:17,480 --> 00:24:20,679
Speaker 3: But Indiana just beat Washington and Nebraska and covered in

523
00:24:20,760 --> 00:24:22,439
Speaker 3: both those games, and one of them was with the

524
00:24:22,440 --> 00:24:25,080
Speaker 3: backup quarterback. And there's, like you said, there's a chance

525
00:24:25,160 --> 00:24:28,600
Speaker 3: Curtis Wark is going to be back. Indiana had a

526
00:24:28,680 --> 00:24:32,040
Speaker 3: pick six in only one penalty, and they held Washington

527
00:24:32,080 --> 00:24:34,960
Speaker 3: to three of eleven on third downs.

528
00:24:35,119 --> 00:24:35,719
Speaker 2: I mean this.

529
00:24:36,160 --> 00:24:39,919
Speaker 3: You talked about efficiency, Coach Sigg has these dudes playing

530
00:24:40,080 --> 00:24:44,560
Speaker 3: super efficient in Indiana. I don't get this line either. You know,

531
00:24:44,760 --> 00:24:47,879
Speaker 3: Michigan State held the ball for thirty seven minutes against

532
00:24:47,920 --> 00:24:50,639
Speaker 3: Michigan and they came away with seventeen points in three

533
00:24:50,760 --> 00:24:56,080
Speaker 3: hundred and fifty two yards thirty seven minutes and that's

534
00:24:56,119 --> 00:24:59,439
Speaker 3: the best you can muster. This is not enough points, Hoosier.

535
00:24:59,480 --> 00:25:00,440
Speaker 3: Still the wheels fall off.

536
00:25:00,680 --> 00:25:02,160
Speaker 1: And they're not going to hold the ball that long

537
00:25:02,200 --> 00:25:06,119
Speaker 1: in this game because no Justice Ellison in that backfield

538
00:25:06,160 --> 00:25:09,080
Speaker 1: for I you, regardless who's at quarterback. I mean, this

539
00:25:09,119 --> 00:25:10,879
Speaker 1: guy is a stud. And it feels like whenever the

540
00:25:10,920 --> 00:25:14,520
Speaker 1: game's somewhat in question mark like Justice gets just gets

541
00:25:14,520 --> 00:25:16,960
Speaker 1: the ball and he's running over everybody, especially near the

542
00:25:16,960 --> 00:25:18,000
Speaker 1: goal line, like.

543
00:25:18,040 --> 00:25:21,680
Speaker 3: Aiden Chiles has to be flawless in this game, and

544
00:25:21,720 --> 00:25:24,360
Speaker 3: that's just asking too much for a guy that has

545
00:25:24,359 --> 00:25:27,719
Speaker 3: been flawed this year against the most efficient defense I

546
00:25:27,760 --> 00:25:29,719
Speaker 3: feel like in the country and a team that doesn't

547
00:25:29,720 --> 00:25:32,480
Speaker 3: get penalties and a team that is so well coached.

548
00:25:32,480 --> 00:25:36,600
Speaker 3: So you know, Michigan State is at home. They're probably

549
00:25:36,720 --> 00:25:41,119
Speaker 3: underrated right now, which is why this line isn't as

550
00:25:41,200 --> 00:25:44,680
Speaker 3: big as we expect it to be. But it feels trappy.

551
00:25:44,720 --> 00:25:47,520
Speaker 3: But I think this is just it's just not enough points.

552
00:25:47,640 --> 00:25:51,160
Speaker 3: And I'm big on India and I know, let's keep

553
00:25:51,160 --> 00:25:53,960
Speaker 3: that quiet, but it is going to It's already moved

554
00:25:53,960 --> 00:25:56,800
Speaker 3: a half point. I'm seeing it like it jumped to

555
00:25:56,800 --> 00:25:59,560
Speaker 3: seven and a half, So get it early. If you're

556
00:25:59,600 --> 00:26:01,000
Speaker 3: gonna be on the Hoosiers.

557
00:26:00,760 --> 00:26:03,440
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm absolutely gotta get down on them now. It

558
00:26:03,480 --> 00:26:05,920
Speaker 1: might be my biggest bet of the season so far.

559
00:26:06,040 --> 00:26:10,160
Speaker 1: I am really I'm smoking. I'll smoking that pack of six, man, I'll.

560
00:26:09,960 --> 00:26:12,880
Speaker 2: Tell you that much. And Ames Iowa.

561
00:26:12,960 --> 00:26:16,520
Speaker 1: The undefeated and eleventh ranked Iowa State Cyclones are fourteen

562
00:26:16,520 --> 00:26:18,879
Speaker 1: and a half point favorites against the five and three

563
00:26:18,920 --> 00:26:21,960
Speaker 1: Texas Tech Raiders. Before the bye, Iowa State had a

564
00:26:22,080 --> 00:26:25,400
Speaker 1: major scare against UCF where it took some late game

565
00:26:25,440 --> 00:26:28,520
Speaker 1: heroics from quarterback rock O Beck to win thirty eight

566
00:26:28,600 --> 00:26:31,800
Speaker 1: thirty five. Iowa State now is five and two against

567
00:26:31,800 --> 00:26:34,440
Speaker 1: the spread, and they possess the thirty first ranked total

568
00:26:34,480 --> 00:26:38,560
Speaker 1: offense and nineteenth total defense. Texas Tech opened their season

569
00:26:38,600 --> 00:26:42,080
Speaker 1: with impressive wins against North Texas Arizona State since the

570
00:26:42,280 --> 00:26:45,439
Speaker 1: Arizona but they've now dropped two straight Big Twelve games

571
00:26:45,440 --> 00:26:48,800
Speaker 1: to Baylor and TCU, two teams I haven't been overly

572
00:26:48,840 --> 00:26:51,440
Speaker 1: impressed with this season. The Red Raiders are now four

573
00:26:51,440 --> 00:26:54,640
Speaker 1: and four ATS and have the eighteenth ranked total offense.

574
00:26:54,920 --> 00:26:58,520
Speaker 1: The question here is Zoe Bogman whether Texas Tech's total

575
00:26:58,600 --> 00:27:00,680
Speaker 1: defense one hundred and twenty seven one of the worst

576
00:27:00,760 --> 00:27:03,680
Speaker 1: defenses in the country. Will let Iowa State run away

577
00:27:03,680 --> 00:27:03,919
Speaker 1: with this?

578
00:27:04,200 --> 00:27:04,919
Speaker 2: What do you think?

579
00:27:05,440 --> 00:27:08,760
Speaker 3: Yeah, so this one's tough because Iowa State has been

580
00:27:08,800 --> 00:27:14,919
Speaker 3: playing great defense ninth in scoring defense, second against the pass.

581
00:27:15,400 --> 00:27:19,000
Speaker 3: But let's look at the opponents right that Iowa State

582
00:27:19,040 --> 00:27:22,200
Speaker 3: has played. They haven't played a good passing offense yet.

583
00:27:22,280 --> 00:27:25,520
Speaker 3: Iowa's one hundred and twenty eighth. Arkansas State is fiftieth,

584
00:27:25,920 --> 00:27:28,879
Speaker 3: Houston is one hundred and twenty six, Baylor is sixty first,

585
00:27:29,160 --> 00:27:32,399
Speaker 3: West Virginia is ninety first, UCF is one hundred and six.

586
00:27:32,800 --> 00:27:36,600
Speaker 3: They also have been really good in rushing the passer.

587
00:27:36,680 --> 00:27:39,960
Speaker 3: I think that the thing here in this game is

588
00:27:39,960 --> 00:27:43,639
Speaker 3: that I don't know if Iowa State can stop a

589
00:27:43,680 --> 00:27:46,880
Speaker 3: passing attack like Texas Tech because they haven't played anyone

590
00:27:47,200 --> 00:27:50,160
Speaker 3: like Texas Tech. What I do know is that Texas

591
00:27:50,200 --> 00:27:55,080
Speaker 3: Tech can't stop anybody right now. So I think the

592
00:27:55,119 --> 00:27:57,720
Speaker 3: over is the best play in this game. Fifty six

593
00:27:57,760 --> 00:27:59,960
Speaker 3: and a half, I think Iowa State's going to score,

594
00:28:00,600 --> 00:28:04,920
Speaker 3: and because Iowa State hasn't been challenged vertically on defense,

595
00:28:05,000 --> 00:28:07,000
Speaker 3: I think They're gonna miss a couple plays here and

596
00:28:07,080 --> 00:28:09,720
Speaker 3: let Texas Tech score some points in this game. I

597
00:28:09,720 --> 00:28:11,480
Speaker 3: think this is gonna be a high scoring affair, and

598
00:28:11,520 --> 00:28:15,240
Speaker 3: if it's not, and if Texas Tech looks pathetic on offense,

599
00:28:15,440 --> 00:28:18,159
Speaker 3: then Iowa State is gonna score a lot. So I

600
00:28:18,200 --> 00:28:21,040
Speaker 3: think Iowa State does the heavy lifting either way here.

601
00:28:21,320 --> 00:28:23,240
Speaker 3: But I like the over in this game. Yeah.

602
00:28:23,320 --> 00:28:26,480
Speaker 1: Tech thirteen and eight all time against Iowa State. They've

603
00:28:26,480 --> 00:28:29,080
Speaker 1: also won two straight dating back to twenty twenty one,

604
00:28:29,160 --> 00:28:31,480
Speaker 1: so something to keep in mind there. Sounds like you're

605
00:28:31,520 --> 00:28:33,600
Speaker 1: not taking a side here, You're just like the total

606
00:28:33,600 --> 00:28:36,160
Speaker 1: and maybe sitting on this line until we get something

607
00:28:36,200 --> 00:28:39,000
Speaker 1: potentially more favorable in the side of Iowa State, probably

608
00:28:39,040 --> 00:28:39,600
Speaker 1: later in the week.

609
00:28:39,640 --> 00:28:41,120
Speaker 2: Maybe Yeah, I mean.

610
00:28:40,960 --> 00:28:44,040
Speaker 3: We'll see how that comes down. But again, cash in

611
00:28:44,240 --> 00:28:48,040
Speaker 3: the tickets are almost exclusively on Texas Tech. You know,

612
00:28:48,080 --> 00:28:51,920
Speaker 3: the market is saying, let's see Iowa State play a

613
00:28:51,960 --> 00:28:54,840
Speaker 3: really good passing offense and see how they handle that.

614
00:28:54,840 --> 00:28:56,680
Speaker 3: That's why I'm on the over. I'm not gonna take

615
00:28:56,800 --> 00:28:59,400
Speaker 3: Iowa State here. I think it's too many points. Texas

616
00:28:59,400 --> 00:29:02,520
Speaker 3: Tech is a good squad, but defense has been fairly pathetic.

617
00:29:02,640 --> 00:29:05,120
Speaker 3: So let's just stick with the over in this one.

618
00:29:05,440 --> 00:29:07,959
Speaker 1: Let's go ahead and open the prime time Slate with

619
00:29:08,040 --> 00:29:10,480
Speaker 1: the tenth ranked Texas A and M Aggie is laying

620
00:29:10,520 --> 00:29:12,720
Speaker 1: three and a half points on the four and three

621
00:29:12,760 --> 00:29:16,200
Speaker 1: South Carolina Game Cocks. Mike Elko made the decision to

622
00:29:16,280 --> 00:29:19,520
Speaker 1: bench Connor Wegman last week midway through the game against LSU,

623
00:29:19,960 --> 00:29:23,520
Speaker 1: and Marcel Reid ran wild three touchdowns on the ground.

624
00:29:23,600 --> 00:29:25,880
Speaker 1: Part of that was getting put in really good field

625
00:29:25,880 --> 00:29:29,560
Speaker 1: position by LSU's offense turning the ball over. The interesting

626
00:29:29,640 --> 00:29:31,360
Speaker 1: thing about A and M, though, is like they're not

627
00:29:31,480 --> 00:29:34,440
Speaker 1: really great at anything, except they're pretty good at running

628
00:29:34,480 --> 00:29:37,600
Speaker 1: the ball. They're just super solid all the way around.

629
00:29:37,920 --> 00:29:40,480
Speaker 1: They're still just three and five against the spread, though

630
00:29:40,640 --> 00:29:44,360
Speaker 1: the numbers suggest that South Carolina actually has the better defense,

631
00:29:44,680 --> 00:29:46,520
Speaker 1: one that has led them to a five and two

632
00:29:46,640 --> 00:29:49,880
Speaker 1: record against the spread. However, the Aggies are nine to

633
00:29:49,920 --> 00:29:52,800
Speaker 1: one all time against the game Cocks. Bogman, can you

634
00:29:52,840 --> 00:29:55,479
Speaker 1: talk me out of just hammering the minus one sixty

635
00:29:55,600 --> 00:29:57,840
Speaker 1: A and M money line and saying, forget the points.

636
00:29:57,840 --> 00:30:00,000
Speaker 1: I'm just taking the better team to win out right here.

637
00:30:00,600 --> 00:30:02,920
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm not gonna talk you out of it. You know,

638
00:30:03,280 --> 00:30:05,760
Speaker 3: I think right now, you know, Texas A and M

639
00:30:05,840 --> 00:30:08,360
Speaker 3: is on some kind of run. But This is a

640
00:30:08,400 --> 00:30:10,600
Speaker 3: tough road game against a good set opponent. But the

641
00:30:10,600 --> 00:30:13,160
Speaker 3: problem I see with the game Cocks is how are

642
00:30:13,160 --> 00:30:14,800
Speaker 3: they gonna score against A and M. A and M

643
00:30:14,880 --> 00:30:19,200
Speaker 3: doesn't match well with South Carolina on offense statistically, but

644
00:30:19,280 --> 00:30:22,440
Speaker 3: being run heavy is probably helpful because the pass coverage

645
00:30:23,040 --> 00:30:26,760
Speaker 3: that's the real strength of defense and the past rush right,

646
00:30:26,880 --> 00:30:29,520
Speaker 3: So my issues, I don't trust sellers to beat the

647
00:30:29,520 --> 00:30:31,640
Speaker 3: A and M secondary. Nuss Meyer did, but he also

648
00:30:31,640 --> 00:30:34,400
Speaker 3: threw three picks. Texas A and M is tenth in

649
00:30:34,400 --> 00:30:37,160
Speaker 3: the country in completion percentage allowed. They have a top

650
00:30:37,200 --> 00:30:41,560
Speaker 3: twenty run defense as well Scbatou with only two hundred

651
00:30:41,560 --> 00:30:44,800
Speaker 3: and fifty four yards, and they win with defense. I

652
00:30:44,920 --> 00:30:47,040
Speaker 3: just think these teams are similar, but Texas A and

653
00:30:47,200 --> 00:30:50,200
Speaker 3: M is the better version of both these teams that

654
00:30:50,200 --> 00:30:53,680
Speaker 3: are still kind of trying to figure it out on offense.

655
00:30:53,760 --> 00:30:56,200
Speaker 3: You know, you don't have the musical chairs at South Carolina,

656
00:30:56,400 --> 00:31:00,240
Speaker 3: but you have the inconsistency of Leonora's sellers with Techxas

657
00:31:00,240 --> 00:31:03,160
Speaker 3: A and M. You have you know, it's Marcel Reid,

658
00:31:03,200 --> 00:31:05,360
Speaker 3: it's Connor Wegman, but you know what they really have

659
00:31:05,600 --> 00:31:08,320
Speaker 3: is two quarterbacks that can play to whatever you need.

660
00:31:08,720 --> 00:31:11,600
Speaker 3: If you need someone to be running the ball like

661
00:31:11,640 --> 00:31:13,960
Speaker 3: Marcel Reid, throw them in there, and if that's not

662
00:31:14,000 --> 00:31:16,040
Speaker 3: getting the job done, put Connor Wegman in to tear

663
00:31:16,080 --> 00:31:18,680
Speaker 3: them up through the air. So they have two decent

664
00:31:18,760 --> 00:31:21,200
Speaker 3: quarterbacks here, and I think they're going to make it work.

665
00:31:21,280 --> 00:31:23,600
Speaker 3: So I'm gonna lay the points and take Texas A

666
00:31:23,640 --> 00:31:24,920
Speaker 3: and M. If you don't want to mess around with

667
00:31:24,920 --> 00:31:26,560
Speaker 3: the points like Seth and you just want to take

668
00:31:26,600 --> 00:31:28,280
Speaker 3: A and M to win straight up, I'm on that

669
00:31:28,360 --> 00:31:31,040
Speaker 3: as well. So I think Texas A and M is

670
00:31:31,040 --> 00:31:32,920
Speaker 3: a better version of these two similar teams.

671
00:31:33,200 --> 00:31:35,920
Speaker 1: Would you get that money line and that spread early?

672
00:31:36,000 --> 00:31:37,960
Speaker 1: Do you think there's a chance we see the spread

673
00:31:38,000 --> 00:31:39,160
Speaker 1: open up later in the week.

674
00:31:40,000 --> 00:31:42,120
Speaker 3: You know what, last night, there wasn't enough bets on

675
00:31:42,160 --> 00:31:44,040
Speaker 3: this came out right now. I can tell you that

676
00:31:44,480 --> 00:31:49,240
Speaker 3: it's actually shaded towards South Carolina, but by one point

677
00:31:49,240 --> 00:31:51,760
Speaker 3: it's now minus two and a half. But tickets and

678
00:31:51,840 --> 00:31:54,520
Speaker 3: cash are on the Aggis, So I think the Aggies

679
00:31:54,520 --> 00:31:56,760
Speaker 3: are coming off an impressive win. Is not surprising to

680
00:31:56,800 --> 00:32:00,400
Speaker 3: see tickets shaded towards them. They're not perfect, but they

681
00:32:00,400 --> 00:32:02,840
Speaker 3: are on a roll, and I just don't really trust

682
00:32:02,840 --> 00:32:03,560
Speaker 3: South Carolina.

683
00:32:04,120 --> 00:32:05,880
Speaker 1: Let's go ahead and let's keep it moving with the

684
00:32:06,000 --> 00:32:10,080
Speaker 1: number eleven Clemson Tigers at home against the five and

685
00:32:10,200 --> 00:32:13,600
Speaker 1: three Lowville Cardinals. The Tigers are eleven point favorites in

686
00:32:13,640 --> 00:32:17,680
Speaker 1: this game against their ACC foe. Clemson is five and

687
00:32:17,760 --> 00:32:20,720
Speaker 1: two ATS and it has the fifth ranked total offense,

688
00:32:21,040 --> 00:32:24,120
Speaker 1: led by quarterback kde club Nick. They now come in

689
00:32:24,200 --> 00:32:27,280
Speaker 1: fresh off of by following six straight wins. But Jeff

690
00:32:27,280 --> 00:32:30,800
Speaker 1: Brohm's boys are no cakewalk either. They are down early

691
00:32:31,000 --> 00:32:34,160
Speaker 1: to Boston College, down by twenty twenty zero on Friday night,

692
00:32:34,320 --> 00:32:36,040
Speaker 1: so they did fail to cover, but they did get

693
00:32:36,080 --> 00:32:38,280
Speaker 1: themselves back in that game in position to win it.

694
00:32:38,520 --> 00:32:40,920
Speaker 1: They come away with a win. However, they do have

695
00:32:41,080 --> 00:32:44,720
Speaker 1: losses this season to SMU, Miami, Notre Dames, some of

696
00:32:44,720 --> 00:32:47,400
Speaker 1: the better teams in the ACC. And the Notre Dame

697
00:32:47,480 --> 00:32:49,480
Speaker 1: is an independent of course, But how do you see

698
00:32:49,480 --> 00:32:50,760
Speaker 1: this line going for this one?

699
00:32:50,840 --> 00:32:55,240
Speaker 3: Bogmin Yeah, so right now we have cash on Clemson

700
00:32:55,240 --> 00:32:59,480
Speaker 3: and tickets on Louisville, so we're kind of split in

701
00:32:59,560 --> 00:33:02,920
Speaker 3: public opinion on how this game is gonna go. Clemson

702
00:33:02,960 --> 00:33:04,400
Speaker 3: is playing great right now, but the reason I think

703
00:33:04,480 --> 00:33:07,120
Speaker 3: Louisville is getting tickets because they haven't lost the game

704
00:33:07,160 --> 00:33:09,960
Speaker 3: by more than seven points. Clemson has been blowing teams

705
00:33:09,960 --> 00:33:13,880
Speaker 3: out since being dismantled against Georgia in the opener. Clemson

706
00:33:14,000 --> 00:33:16,000
Speaker 3: has beat the brakes off everyone they have played, but

707
00:33:16,040 --> 00:33:18,360
Speaker 3: four of their next five games are so much tougher.

708
00:33:18,400 --> 00:33:22,080
Speaker 3: We're showing the edge towards Louisville. I think that is

709
00:33:22,200 --> 00:33:25,760
Speaker 3: the right thing here. Louisville is sticking with elite level competition.

710
00:33:25,880 --> 00:33:29,960
Speaker 3: Losses by seven to Notre Dame, SMU and Miami, couple

711
00:33:30,040 --> 00:33:35,080
Speaker 3: with Clemson letting up against North Carolina waiting for them

712
00:33:35,120 --> 00:33:39,960
Speaker 3: to turn it on last week against BC, right makes

713
00:33:39,960 --> 00:33:42,920
Speaker 3: me lean towards Louisville. Like we've seen them play down

714
00:33:43,000 --> 00:33:46,000
Speaker 3: and come back. We've seen them stick with teams. So

715
00:33:46,440 --> 00:33:49,280
Speaker 3: Louisville is just annoying, you know what I mean. I

716
00:33:49,280 --> 00:33:51,800
Speaker 3: don't know if they're good, but they are putting up

717
00:33:51,800 --> 00:33:54,440
Speaker 3: a fight against everybody. And like I said, they didn't

718
00:33:54,440 --> 00:33:57,440
Speaker 3: play for two and a half quarters against BC last

719
00:33:57,480 --> 00:33:59,840
Speaker 3: week and then came back and won that game. So

720
00:34:00,200 --> 00:34:03,280
Speaker 3: I think they have enough, especially if Clemson lets off

721
00:34:03,320 --> 00:34:05,520
Speaker 3: the breaks to get a back door cover here. So

722
00:34:06,080 --> 00:34:08,960
Speaker 3: I think there's multiple outs to Louisville covering this. So

723
00:34:09,000 --> 00:34:10,760
Speaker 3: I'm gonna take Louisville in this game. Okay.

724
00:34:10,800 --> 00:34:13,279
Speaker 1: Do you think this spread opens up anymore? Do you

725
00:34:13,280 --> 00:34:15,120
Speaker 1: think twelve and a half is probably the best number

726
00:34:15,280 --> 00:34:16,720
Speaker 1: you can get the Cardinals at.

727
00:34:17,400 --> 00:34:21,000
Speaker 3: M Now, I think it's gonna come down, Okay. So

728
00:34:21,080 --> 00:34:23,239
Speaker 3: I think if you want Louisville, go ahead and take

729
00:34:23,239 --> 00:34:23,600
Speaker 3: them down.

730
00:34:23,920 --> 00:34:25,680
Speaker 1: Okay, and then wait if you do happen to want

731
00:34:25,719 --> 00:34:28,440
Speaker 1: Clemson there, yes, I like it. Next up is an

732
00:34:28,520 --> 00:34:32,120
Speaker 1: SEC matchup, with the seventh ranked Tennessee Volunteers hosting the

733
00:34:32,200 --> 00:34:34,919
Speaker 1: three and five Kentucky Wildcats as fifteen and a half

734
00:34:34,920 --> 00:34:38,520
Speaker 1: point favorites. A covering machine. Early, Kentucky has lost straight

735
00:34:38,600 --> 00:34:40,839
Speaker 1: up as favorites in three straight weeks to the likes

736
00:34:40,840 --> 00:34:45,200
Speaker 1: of Vandy, Florida and Auburn, largely because their offense is

737
00:34:45,280 --> 00:34:48,920
Speaker 1: ranked one hundred and nineteenth in the country. Tennessee meanwhile,

738
00:34:49,040 --> 00:34:52,160
Speaker 1: they're coming off a big win against Bama. They've now

739
00:34:52,200 --> 00:34:55,200
Speaker 1: moved to five and two ats this season. They have

740
00:34:55,280 --> 00:34:58,560
Speaker 1: the third ranked total defense and the eighth ranked total offense.

741
00:34:58,760 --> 00:35:00,960
Speaker 2: Where do we see this line go going? If anywhere?

742
00:35:01,000 --> 00:35:06,440
Speaker 3: Bogman, Yeah, moving bigger towards Tennessee. That's where cash and

743
00:35:06,480 --> 00:35:12,120
Speaker 3: tickets are almost exclusively, especially cash on the valls right now.

744
00:35:12,239 --> 00:35:14,560
Speaker 3: And I'm on the balls here too. We've seen Kentucky

745
00:35:14,600 --> 00:35:18,359
Speaker 3: bow up and play well against Georgia and they beat Mississippi,

746
00:35:18,480 --> 00:35:21,400
Speaker 3: so this could be a get up game sure for

747
00:35:21,520 --> 00:35:23,680
Speaker 3: the Wildcats on the road. I just don't think that

748
00:35:23,960 --> 00:35:26,279
Speaker 3: they can score against Tennessee. I think that's a big thing.

749
00:35:26,440 --> 00:35:28,640
Speaker 3: They did put up twenty on All Miss, but that

750
00:35:28,800 --> 00:35:31,320
Speaker 3: was with forty minutes of possession. They're not going to

751
00:35:31,400 --> 00:35:34,120
Speaker 3: get that against Tennessee. Tennessee's coming off of buye, so

752
00:35:34,160 --> 00:35:37,400
Speaker 3: hopefully they can work through some of those offensive issues

753
00:35:37,440 --> 00:35:41,439
Speaker 3: that they've had. Kentucky's been bad at defending against the run,

754
00:35:41,440 --> 00:35:44,040
Speaker 3: and Tennessee is a top ten rushing offense. I just

755
00:35:44,080 --> 00:35:47,719
Speaker 3: don't think Kentucky matches up well in this game. They

756
00:35:47,800 --> 00:35:49,879
Speaker 3: matched up well against All Miss, I don't think they

757
00:35:49,920 --> 00:35:52,839
Speaker 3: do here against Tennessee. Tennessee is going to be able

758
00:35:52,880 --> 00:35:56,680
Speaker 3: to run the ball against Kentucky. Kentucky's offense has been

759
00:35:56,760 --> 00:36:00,440
Speaker 3: inept this season. They put up twenty four on Auburn.

760
00:36:00,719 --> 00:36:03,440
Speaker 3: I'm gonna lay the points and take the balls. The

761
00:36:03,480 --> 00:36:06,440
Speaker 3: balls have lost me money both ways this year. When

762
00:36:06,440 --> 00:36:09,120
Speaker 3: I bet against them, I bet on them. So give

763
00:36:09,120 --> 00:36:11,520
Speaker 3: me some of that money back, Tennessee. That's what I want.

764
00:36:12,000 --> 00:36:13,719
Speaker 3: So I'm gonna lay the points to take the balls here.

765
00:36:13,840 --> 00:36:16,600
Speaker 1: The Valls are eight and two against Kentucky in their

766
00:36:16,680 --> 00:36:19,279
Speaker 1: last ten. They've also covered in three straight in this

767
00:36:19,440 --> 00:36:22,520
Speaker 1: matchup in the Josh Hypel era, So the trends are

768
00:36:22,520 --> 00:36:25,080
Speaker 1: on your side as well with Tennessee and that one Bogman.

769
00:36:25,560 --> 00:36:29,680
Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, I just don't like Kentucky's offense right now.

770
00:36:29,719 --> 00:36:33,440
Speaker 3: I think Vander Griff has been a problem and I

771
00:36:33,520 --> 00:36:34,879
Speaker 3: don't see a solution there.

772
00:36:35,000 --> 00:36:36,800
Speaker 2: He's no Will Levis, I'll tell you that much.

773
00:36:37,160 --> 00:36:39,040
Speaker 3: He is no Will Levis. That is true.

774
00:36:39,480 --> 00:36:41,040
Speaker 2: That Mayo eaton Son of a Gun.

775
00:36:42,400 --> 00:36:46,400
Speaker 3: Yeah, one of Tennessee fans, you know, they hate Will Levis,

776
00:36:46,400 --> 00:36:48,800
Speaker 3: but he's on their Titans, so you know.

777
00:36:49,040 --> 00:36:49,360
Speaker 2: Yes.

778
00:36:49,760 --> 00:36:52,000
Speaker 1: Let's round out the program with a top twenty five

779
00:36:52,120 --> 00:36:55,799
Speaker 1: ACC matchup with the undefeated eighteenth ranked pit Panthers on

780
00:36:55,840 --> 00:36:59,560
Speaker 1: the road against the twentieth ranked SMU Mustangs. SMU is

781
00:36:59,600 --> 00:37:02,440
Speaker 1: surprisingly favored by seven and a half in this one.

782
00:37:02,600 --> 00:37:05,040
Speaker 1: It was a slow start to the season for SMU,

783
00:37:05,120 --> 00:37:07,840
Speaker 1: but they've settled in now with the twenty sixth total

784
00:37:07,880 --> 00:37:10,719
Speaker 1: offense and thirty third ranked total defense. But will that

785
00:37:10,800 --> 00:37:13,000
Speaker 1: be enough against a pit team that just eight Kyle

786
00:37:13,080 --> 00:37:16,880
Speaker 1: McCord's lunch beating Syracuse forty one to thirteen. Pitt is

787
00:37:16,920 --> 00:37:19,040
Speaker 1: now six and one against the spread, and they have

788
00:37:19,120 --> 00:37:22,239
Speaker 1: the twenty fifth ranked total offense. Bogman, were you as

789
00:37:22,239 --> 00:37:25,719
Speaker 1: surprised as I was to see Pitt as underdogs over

790
00:37:25,800 --> 00:37:26,600
Speaker 1: a touchdown here?

791
00:37:27,280 --> 00:37:30,880
Speaker 3: Absolutely? Yeah, I was kind of surprised in SMU. They

792
00:37:30,960 --> 00:37:32,800
Speaker 3: better quit turn the ball over if they hoped to

793
00:37:32,840 --> 00:37:35,360
Speaker 3: beat Pitt. I mean, I'm sure you saw the stat

794
00:37:35,400 --> 00:37:38,640
Speaker 3: This is one was everywhere. But since two thousand, SMU

795
00:37:38,760 --> 00:37:41,640
Speaker 3: was the second team in one one hundred and twenty

796
00:37:41,680 --> 00:37:45,600
Speaker 3: six chances to win with a minus six turnover differential.

797
00:37:46,080 --> 00:37:51,000
Speaker 3: Second team ever, and Pitt picked off McCord five times, Yeah,

798
00:37:51,040 --> 00:37:54,040
Speaker 3: and returned three of those for touchdowns. Pitt also passes

799
00:37:54,040 --> 00:37:57,839
Speaker 3: as well. SMU hasn't defended the pass well, but they

800
00:37:57,920 --> 00:38:01,400
Speaker 3: just haven't been challenged recently. FSU one hundred first Louisville

801
00:38:01,560 --> 00:38:03,520
Speaker 3: put up some points on them in their tenth but

802
00:38:03,560 --> 00:38:06,080
Speaker 3: then Stanford at one hundred and seventeenth, Duke at seventy

803
00:38:06,120 --> 00:38:09,360
Speaker 3: second passing offense in the country. They haven't seen a

804
00:38:09,360 --> 00:38:11,799
Speaker 3: team like Pitt here. I think I like Pitt and

805
00:38:11,840 --> 00:38:14,600
Speaker 3: I don't hate a money line play seth plus two

806
00:38:14,760 --> 00:38:18,000
Speaker 3: forty five. Yeah, it has one shootouts. They won twenty

807
00:38:18,000 --> 00:38:21,239
Speaker 3: eight twenty seven against Cincy. The score doesn't look like

808
00:38:21,280 --> 00:38:23,040
Speaker 3: a shootout, but they put up five hundred almost five

809
00:38:23,080 --> 00:38:25,400
Speaker 3: hundred yards in that one thirty eight thirty four against

810
00:38:25,400 --> 00:38:30,640
Speaker 3: Western Virginia. They've won low scoring scrap against Cal seventeen fifteen,

811
00:38:31,640 --> 00:38:35,000
Speaker 3: but they're one of only thirteen teams to average double

812
00:38:35,040 --> 00:38:37,680
Speaker 3: digit fourth quarter points, so they can cover on the

813
00:38:37,719 --> 00:38:40,520
Speaker 3: back door as well if you want to take the point.

814
00:38:40,680 --> 00:38:43,600
Speaker 3: So I'm on Pitt here anyway you slice it, really,

815
00:38:43,640 --> 00:38:46,720
Speaker 3: I mean SMU. SMU is a team with their roster

816
00:38:46,800 --> 00:38:49,759
Speaker 3: they should beat Pitt and that is why SMU. They're

817
00:38:49,800 --> 00:38:54,840
Speaker 3: at home, right this should be a SMU walk, but

818
00:38:55,040 --> 00:38:57,839
Speaker 3: not with the way they played. There's potential rain. Who

819
00:38:57,880 --> 00:39:01,439
Speaker 3: does rain favor in a game where SMU can't quit

820
00:39:01,480 --> 00:39:04,680
Speaker 3: turning the ball over and Pitt can't stop taking it away? Right,

821
00:39:05,000 --> 00:39:08,200
Speaker 3: So I think SMU being at home is their only

822
00:39:08,280 --> 00:39:11,520
Speaker 3: advantage in this game right now, which is a big advantage.

823
00:39:11,600 --> 00:39:14,279
Speaker 3: I do think the roster should be better, but it

824
00:39:14,320 --> 00:39:17,720
Speaker 3: hasn't played better at all. I think Pitt is another

825
00:39:17,760 --> 00:39:20,360
Speaker 3: team that might be peaking at the right time to

826
00:39:20,480 --> 00:39:23,440
Speaker 3: win this game for us. Maybe not for ball season

827
00:39:23,560 --> 00:39:26,360
Speaker 3: and all that, but for right now, I'm taking the Panthers.

828
00:39:26,360 --> 00:39:27,880
Speaker 3: And I don't hate a money line either.

829
00:39:28,120 --> 00:39:31,000
Speaker 1: I mean SMU was nearly a field goal away from

830
00:39:31,040 --> 00:39:33,480
Speaker 1: losing that game if that doesn't get blocked at the end.

831
00:39:33,600 --> 00:39:36,880
Speaker 3: And a two point conversion too. Yeah, they could have

832
00:39:36,960 --> 00:39:40,239
Speaker 3: lost on that as well. So SMU, you turn the

833
00:39:40,239 --> 00:39:42,719
Speaker 3: ball over six times, you should lose that game. That's

834
00:39:42,760 --> 00:39:45,680
Speaker 3: why I'm on Miami against Duke because Duke couldn't score

835
00:39:46,000 --> 00:39:51,600
Speaker 3: with six turnovers, right, So yeah, I mean it's SMU

836
00:39:51,800 --> 00:39:53,760
Speaker 3: better get it together if they hope to be Pitt.

837
00:39:53,880 --> 00:39:56,600
Speaker 1: Pitt also has the rest advantage. They played last Thursday,

838
00:39:56,640 --> 00:39:58,560
Speaker 1: so they have a bit more days coming into this

839
00:39:58,600 --> 00:40:01,520
Speaker 1: one to prepare to get back he So yeah, I'm

840
00:40:01,520 --> 00:40:02,880
Speaker 1: with you there. I think that's probably one of my

841
00:40:02,880 --> 00:40:05,279
Speaker 1: favorite plays of the week as well. So that will

842
00:40:05,320 --> 00:40:07,520
Speaker 1: do it for us today on the Betting Pros College

843
00:40:07,560 --> 00:40:10,160
Speaker 1: Football Show, Thank you for watching. We'll be back later

844
00:40:10,160 --> 00:40:12,400
Speaker 1: in the week. With Torell for our Picks and Prediction

845
00:40:12,520 --> 00:40:15,000
Speaker 1: show until then, like this video if you enjoyed it,

846
00:40:15,000 --> 00:40:18,000
Speaker 1: subscribe to the Betting Pros YouTube channel and podcast feed,

847
00:40:18,040 --> 00:40:21,560
Speaker 1: Plus download the Betting Pros app and sync your sportsbooks today.

848
00:40:21,680 --> 00:40:24,360
Speaker 2: For Scott Bogman, I'm Seth Wilcock. Thanks for watching.

849
00:40:24,440 --> 00:40:26,120
Speaker 1: Take care of y'all.

850
00:40:26,160 --> 00:40:28,799
Speaker 4: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you

851
00:40:28,840 --> 00:40:31,200
Speaker 4: love the show, the best freeway to support us is

852
00:40:31,239 --> 00:40:34,640
Speaker 4: by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify.

853
00:40:34,920 --> 00:40:37,560
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854
00:40:37,640 --> 00:40:41,280
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855
00:40:41,360 --> 00:40:44,440
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