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Speaker 1: Hey guys, how are you welcome into a very fun

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Speaker 1: and festive edition on the Daily Juice podcast. As we

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Speaker 1: are back here on a Thursday. Welcome back YouTube. The

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Speaker 1: video is now back. We are here. Audio has always

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Speaker 1: been here. Audio will always be here. Heck, if I

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Speaker 1: have to do the podcast on my phone, I can

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Speaker 1: tape it on my phone, so the audio podcast will

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Speaker 1: always exist. So if you're now going, Matt, where you've

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Speaker 1: been on YouTube, the audio version of this podcast is

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Speaker 1: always available. So you go and search the Daily Juice

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Speaker 1: wherever you get your podcasts, and you will get me

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Speaker 1: Matt Perrault each and every morning here. As we are

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Speaker 1: now into our second full season, our second full year

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Speaker 1: on Apple. By the way, I screwed up at some

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Speaker 1: point during the three hundred and sixty five days of

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Speaker 1: the first ever Daily Juice podcast. I was like, I

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Speaker 1: don't know how what happened. I was misnumbering and it

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Speaker 1: got all messed up on Apple. So what I did

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Speaker 1: was I started season two, So forget season one. All

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Speaker 1: those are just like I wish we could delete them

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Speaker 1: because they don't need I mean, this is a daily podcast.

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Speaker 1: We don't need them anymore. They're done. That's the beautiful

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Speaker 1: thing about sports gambling. As we just turned the page

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Speaker 1: and we move on. Well, season two now is where

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Speaker 1: you're gonna find all of the Apple podcasts. Have you

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Speaker 1: ever had have any problems on Apple? Just go and

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Speaker 1: search season two and you will see the Daily Juice podcast.

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Speaker 1: So this is like day two, season two for the

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Speaker 1: Daily Juice podcast. So just FYI on that as we

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Speaker 1: roll here on YouTube and Apple and we're back. I'm

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Speaker 1: back home after my vacation, and I'm starting to feel

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Speaker 1: better about myself. Okay, And so last night was pretty

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Speaker 1: much a flat day. It was two and two, but

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Speaker 1: normally two and two was a loser, except the underhit

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Speaker 1: at plus one oh eight. So even though the puck

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Speaker 1: line did not come in for Tampa, we got that right.

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Speaker 1: In terms of picking who's gonna win. There was no

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Speaker 1: value in betting on Tampa for the money life, except

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Speaker 1: you if you're gonna get exotic like score first in

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Speaker 1: win or you know the three way bet inside of regulation.

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Speaker 1: I didn't have access to that. Yesterday was in California,

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Speaker 1: so I just took the puck line because I was

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Speaker 1: plus money and I was trying to hit one of

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Speaker 1: the two with plus money, So we got that. The

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Speaker 1: Red Sox came up a running the first inning too,

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Speaker 1: actually to the Angels. They were losing to nothing. They

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Speaker 1: tied it in the in the top of the fifth.

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Speaker 1: It was two to two and we were praying for

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Speaker 1: a push there and it would have been a two

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Speaker 1: to one in one day. Instead, show a Tani goes

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Speaker 1: deep for his thirty second home run, thirty two home runs,

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Speaker 1: Like why aren't we paying more attention to this dude,

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Speaker 1: Like why isn't this guy like the number one sports

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Speaker 1: celebrity in America right now? With what Otani is doing

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Speaker 1: both pitching and hitting. It's just stupid what he's doing.

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Speaker 1: So he takes erod deep back to back home runs,

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Speaker 1: actually off at what Rodriguez and the Red Sox don't

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Speaker 1: win in the first five, they don't win overall. The

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Speaker 1: Angels take two of three from the Red Sox in

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Speaker 1: that series. So it's a one in one day on baseball.

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Speaker 1: It's a one in one day for us in hockey

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Speaker 1: two and two overall, but that plus one O eight

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Speaker 1: helps to the sting of it a little bit. So

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Speaker 1: pretty much a complete flat day for us on the podcast.

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Speaker 1: So yeah, so we went one in three yesterday. But

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Speaker 1: I got a bunch of plays right on the Sun's

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Speaker 1: Game one with Milwaukee, and I got a bunch of

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Speaker 1: games right you know, tonight, a couple of games right tonight.

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Speaker 1: But I went all in on Game one. I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: come back here for Game two of the NBA Finals,

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Speaker 1: and I'm gonna kind of go all in here on

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Speaker 1: this because look, I don't want to bet baseball. I'm

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Speaker 1: looking forward to Saturday night when i can bet the UFC.

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Speaker 1: I'm going to the press conference today for Connor McGregor

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Speaker 1: and Dustin Poorier. I cannot wait to watch that that

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Speaker 1: scene here in Las Vegas. It's gonna be an absolute

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Speaker 1: crazy fest. It always is with Connor. Hopefully he shows

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Speaker 1: up on time. But Connor is notorious nickname included for

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Speaker 1: just going crazy in these press conferences. So I cannot

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Speaker 1: wait for it today to hype up Saturday night, and

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Speaker 1: it's going to be just a ton of fun on Saturday.

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Speaker 1: It cannot wait. But I'm still on vacation today technically

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Speaker 1: here on a Thursday. It's my last day of vacation,

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Speaker 1: and then I'll be back doing my radio show on Friday,

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Speaker 1: getting ready for UFC two sixty four. But I've got

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Speaker 1: four plays for you all on game two. Two of

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Speaker 1: them are half unit, two of them are quarter unit.

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Speaker 1: What I'm doing here today for the daily Juice picks.

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Speaker 1: So I hit three and one in game one. I'm

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Speaker 1: hopefully going to go three and one here in game

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Speaker 1: or at least three and one or maybe more maybe

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Speaker 1: four oh for game two here for the Bucks and

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Speaker 1: the Suns. So before I do that, let me just

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Speaker 1: remind you a couple of things. One, somehow I've gotten

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Speaker 1: my first or my last three soccer bets correct, So

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Speaker 1: you've got the bet MGM offer that's sitting there for

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Speaker 1: the twenty five dollars free role. Essentially, I'm, you know,

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Speaker 1: betting it's twenty five bucks if if they lose it refunds.

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Speaker 1: We had Spain MI as three thirty three deadmark my

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Speaker 1: as one to two twenty five, England minus three thirty three,

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Speaker 1: and we've got coming back here with the Euro Finals,

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Speaker 1: which will be really fun between Italy and England. I

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Speaker 1: will tell you right now if you want to make

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Speaker 1: a wager on that, if you want to get involved

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Speaker 1: with that, I'll just tell you straight up. I'm taking

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Speaker 1: Italy to win. This thing, and you know, I'm English

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Speaker 1: and I'm Irish, so I can't play like the card

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Speaker 1: of like well, I'm partly this and I'm partly that.

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Speaker 1: Now I can't even do that. It's just what it is.

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Speaker 1: What is the championship game will happen on Sunday, and

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Speaker 1: so Italy to win, I would just to advance, like

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Speaker 1: forget about you know, you know the draw and regular

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Speaker 1: time draw no bet is probably a good way of

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Speaker 1: approaching it. You can get that like a plus one

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Speaker 1: hundred even money. But I have Italy to win this thing. Okay,

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Speaker 1: maybe in regular time, but you never know, it's just

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Speaker 1: whoever wins this thing. So look around and see, like

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Speaker 1: what is the what do you want to lay here?

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Speaker 1: Minus one oh four is kind of where I'm seeing it,

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Speaker 1: minus one o five, one ten, somewhere in that range.

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Speaker 1: I wouldn't play in regulation. I wouldn't play, you know,

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Speaker 1: in ninety minutes plus stoppage time, like you know, just win, okay,

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Speaker 1: just find Italy to win. For whatever bet you want.

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Speaker 1: I'm taking Italy to beat to beat England. Let's see

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Speaker 1: if I can hit four bets in a row for

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Speaker 1: soccer for Yuro coming up, on Sunday, So getting that

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Speaker 1: out of the way now in case I forget to

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Speaker 1: give you guys as we get really busy for the weekend.

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Speaker 1: But there's soccer going on for today. Also with bet MGM,

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Speaker 1: that's your bet MGM twenty five dollars token that's available

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Speaker 1: when you said sign for a new account at Juice

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Speaker 1: one hundred, you still have the You still have the

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Speaker 1: above me here the bet twenty dollars to one hundred

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Speaker 1: dollars on any event using a promo code Juice one

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Speaker 1: hundred at bet mgm, or when he set up for

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Speaker 1: a new account at bet mgm on the app. But

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Speaker 1: you also have the Connor McGregor offer from bet MGM,

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Speaker 1: which is really pretty nice. If Connor McGregor lands a

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Speaker 1: single punch, that's all Connor has to do. Connor lands

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Speaker 1: a single punch and you will win one hundred dollars

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Speaker 1: in free way from bet MGM if you get involved

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Speaker 1: with Connor McGregor up against Dustin Poorier. So it's pretty

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Speaker 1: easy twenty buck bet to win one hundred bucks. If

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Speaker 1: McGregor lands a single punch, players can bet twenty dollars

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Speaker 1: and win one hundred bucks in free bets at McGregor

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Speaker 1: lands a single punch during the fight on Saturday nights.

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Speaker 1: The promo code is Juice one hundred for that. This

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Speaker 1: is available in New Jersey, Colorado, Indiana, West Virginia, Tennessee, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Virginia, Iowa,

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Speaker 1: and the District of Columbia. Okay, so let's get to

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Speaker 1: the picks here. Let's start off talking about the Bucks

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Speaker 1: and where they are heading into this game. So I

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Speaker 1: believe this is going to be a series. I don't

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Speaker 1: think the Suns are going to just wipe the floor here.

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Speaker 1: And I think the Bucks made a lot of really

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Speaker 1: critical mistakes with the pick and roll they went under,

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Speaker 1: they were switching screens, Chris Paul just ate them for lunch.

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Speaker 1: And I think in game two there's going to be

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Speaker 1: a big defensive switch from Mike Budenholtzer and the Milwaukee Bucks.

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Speaker 1: I mean, if everyone on Twitter is looking at this

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Speaker 1: and going, man, I don't know what you're doing, but

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Speaker 1: this is not working, you know, the drop coverage has

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Speaker 1: to start for Milwaukee, and I think it will. The

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Speaker 1: biggest changes that are made in a series are betweens

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Speaker 1: game one in Game two, on top of the fact

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Speaker 1: that before Game one, the team did not really know

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Speaker 1: what Giannis's status was going to be. Like, they weren't

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Speaker 1: positive that antio Goople was going to be able to

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Speaker 1: play and play effectively in game one. They knew he

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Speaker 1: was going to try to play, but they're like, you know,

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Speaker 1: how well will he play? Well? He looked fine. He

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Speaker 1: had so much bounce it was like, wait what he

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Speaker 1: looked like he'd never been hurt. Okay, he played thirty

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Speaker 1: five minutes in Game one and afterwards he reported no stiffness,

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Speaker 1: no injuries, that he's good to go here. And that

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Speaker 1: is a monster thing for me psychologically for this team

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Speaker 1: going into the game, that they know they've got the

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Speaker 1: two time MVP there and they know they're playing for

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Speaker 1: their lives. I mean, look, you could say that you know,

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Speaker 1: you know, a series does not begin until you lose

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Speaker 1: a home game, but the Suns have an incredible home atmosphere.

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Speaker 1: If Milwaukee can't win on the road against the Suns,

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Speaker 1: this series is over and they know it because the

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Speaker 1: Suns can win in Milwaukee. There's no debate in my

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Speaker 1: mind that feels that this team is you know, their

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Speaker 1: philosophy and just psychologically they're capable of beating anybody. Right now,

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Speaker 1: they're riding such an incredible hide. They're three wins away

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Speaker 1: from a championship. Milwaukee's got their backs against the wall.

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Speaker 1: I don't want to call this a must win, but

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Speaker 1: it kind of feels like a must win. It feels

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Speaker 1: like this is going to be Milwaukee's best shot here,

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Speaker 1: This is gonna be their best game. And Mike Buttenholzer

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Speaker 1: is whining about the free throw line discrepancy already gone

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Speaker 1: off here, the sixteen point differential with the foul lining

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Speaker 1: game one. The NBA is very sensitive to stuff like

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Speaker 1: that when the coaches are talking publicly. Now, Sarge being

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Speaker 1: out is like a sneaky big injury because DeAndre Ayton's

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Speaker 1: backup is not going to be there. So how many

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Speaker 1: minutes will Aighton play? What happens with the second units?

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Speaker 1: Does this give an opportunity for brook Lopez just to

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Speaker 1: have a little bit more run, have a little more

201
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Speaker 1: of an opportunity to get after it here? I mean,

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Speaker 1: Deandre's a massive player in a big mismatch, a big advantage,

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Speaker 1: but he can't be out there for the entire game.

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Speaker 1: So this to me, man, I'm looking at Milwaukee backed

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Speaker 1: against the wall here, I'm gonna take the five and

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Speaker 1: a half points with the Milwaukee Bucks here. I think

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Speaker 1: this feels in Game one. I was close to taking

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Speaker 1: Milwaukee in Game one. It was very public, I was

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Speaker 1: very I was afraid of it, Like, man, everyone's gonna

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Speaker 1: be on Phoenix, and everybody was on Phoenix. That's why

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Speaker 1: I bet Phoenix in the first quarter. I bet Phoenix

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Speaker 1: in the second. In the first half, both those hit

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Speaker 1: and the game hit as well. This feels like a

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Speaker 1: much different game. This feels like Milwaukee comes out really fast.

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Speaker 1: I'm personally gonna be on Milwaukee in the first quarter.

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Speaker 1: I'm probably I may not take him in the first half,

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Speaker 1: but I think in the first quarter, Milwaukee comes out defensively,

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Speaker 1: locks down. I think they're going to be really really sharp,

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Speaker 1: and I mean not to say that the Suns are

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Speaker 1: going to take their foot off the gas, but you

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Speaker 1: could see if Phoenix is just a little bit like, Okay,

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Speaker 1: we won Game one relatively easily, they're a little bit like, yeah,

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Speaker 1: we've got this type of thing. Bucks plus five and

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Speaker 1: a half half a unit is the first play. The

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Speaker 1: second play comes in the total. And if I like

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Speaker 1: Milwaukee to play lockdown defense. I have to bet the under.

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Speaker 1: I got two twenty, and you have to bet the under.

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Speaker 1: Both these teams come in heavily on the over. I

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Speaker 1: totally understand that. But look the overall the last three

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Speaker 1: games where both these teams have come in five and

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Speaker 1: five Phoenix to the over, five to four and one.

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Speaker 1: Milwaukee over the last ten to the over, but the

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Speaker 1: last number was two nineteen and went over by three

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Speaker 1: and a half in Game one. It just squeaked over.

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Speaker 1: I think again, Milwaukee locks down here tonight defensively, and

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Speaker 1: if I'm liking Milwaukee to lockdown defensively, if I like

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Speaker 1: Milwaukee to get to the free throw line more and

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Speaker 1: not have this matt massive mismatch on the free throw line,

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Speaker 1: I think the under is to play here. And I

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Speaker 1: think just these two teams are gonna be They're both

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Speaker 1: good defensively, and I think they're both gonna make some

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Speaker 1: real nice adjustments going into Game two. And I don't

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Speaker 1: think you know thirty six three pointers get put up

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Speaker 1: in Game one, Okay, I just I just don't think

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Speaker 1: you're gonna see that many threes. I think the Suns

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Speaker 1: get out in the three point shot, and I think

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Speaker 1: it's an under under two twenty for a half of unit.

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Speaker 1: We're going bucks plus five and a half and under

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Speaker 1: too twenty for a half a unit. Now, I want

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Speaker 1: to give you one prop right now, Okay, just right

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Speaker 1: here on this prop, and this is Giannis over twenty

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Speaker 1: six and a half points. This is low for his

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Speaker 1: prop because of the injury and the number of minutes.

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Speaker 1: They don't know how many minutes he's going to play.

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Speaker 1: If Yiannis is not the same bouncy guy in the

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Speaker 1: first quarter, this prop's dead and I'm in trouble. Okay,

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Speaker 1: he scored twenty points in game number one, but when

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Speaker 1: he's right, like against Brooklyn he was scoring thirty three,

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Speaker 1: thirty four, thirty forty points. Against Atlanta, he was scoring

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Speaker 1: thirty four, twenty five, thirty three. This is a guy

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Speaker 1: who should go for thirty points. Okay. If Milwaukee's gonna

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Speaker 1: win this game, Jannis has to be at the free

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Speaker 1: throw line. He has to hit his free throws, and

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Speaker 1: he has to be getting to the free throw line.

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Speaker 1: Don't settle for three point shots, don't jack threes. Do

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Speaker 1: the things that got him the two time MVP, which

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Speaker 1: is basically being unstoppable get to the rim, draw fouls,

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Speaker 1: and convert. And I think this is a Yannis game.

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Speaker 1: I mean, this is where your best player has to

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Speaker 1: be the best player on the court. I'm gonna ride

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Speaker 1: the best player. If I'm taking Milwaukee plus five and

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Speaker 1: a half and I'm taking the under, I have to

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Speaker 1: like Giannis here to go over twenty six and a

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Speaker 1: half points, to score twenty eight twenty nine thirty points

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Speaker 1: here for Milwaukee to win Game two. I know I'm

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Speaker 1: all in on the Bucks. It doesn't feel great because

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Speaker 1: it feels like everyone's gonna be on the Suns for

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Speaker 1: a reason because of the mismatches. But I just can't

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Speaker 1: see Milwaukee getting torched in this game. And I think

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Speaker 1: Giannis is gonna get it his all again backed against

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Speaker 1: the wall here, right and finally for the last quarter

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Speaker 1: units and I'm only gonna have a unit and a

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Speaker 1: half in play here. I'm slowly starting to creep up

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Speaker 1: because I'm starting to feel better. I'm taking money line, Bucks,

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Speaker 1: money line. It's plus one eighty five. This is a sprinkle, right,

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Speaker 1: this is I normally do this personally and not I

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Speaker 1: don't do this all that often. I'm taking I don't

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Speaker 1: give it away. I don't put it as part of

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Speaker 1: the podcast, but I think there's a real shot here

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Speaker 1: that Milwaukee wins this game and evens up this series.

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Speaker 1: It just feels like everyone is dismissing the Bucks. I

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Speaker 1: don't like the much either. I want the Suns. I'm

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Speaker 1: pulling for the Suns to win it all, but this

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Speaker 1: is one game with Gianna's back, and they need this

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Speaker 1: again backed against the wall. I'm not saying it's a

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Speaker 1: must win, but I am saying that the Milwaukee Bucks

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Speaker 1: have got to figure out a way to even up

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Speaker 1: this series to make it go. I think it goes six.

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Speaker 1: I was going six anyway, and I mean to go

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Speaker 1: down two. It's not the end of the world. You're

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Speaker 1: going home. But Man one one is a whole different

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Speaker 1: set of circumstances. I think this comes down to one

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Speaker 1: or two possessions at the end of the game, and

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Speaker 1: I'll take the plus one eighty five flyer on this

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Speaker 1: for a quarter unit to see if the Bucks can

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Speaker 1: win this game outrights. So I've got a lot of

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Speaker 1: plays going obviously here directly on one, game four plays

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Speaker 1: on game two here as we're starting to run out

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Speaker 1: of things to bet on, But you know it is

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Speaker 1: what it is. I told you i'd git full units

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Speaker 1: when we got back. Well, this is kind of a

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Speaker 1: full unit because it's a union and a half on

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Speaker 1: one game. I'm just breaking it up to a bunch

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Speaker 1: of different wagers, not flying it on one bet per se.

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Speaker 1: But we're going Bucks plus five and a half widely

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Speaker 1: available under two twenty. Shop around. I find that if

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Speaker 1: I'm that in Vegas at stations at two twenty under

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Speaker 1: two twenty, Giannis over twenty six and a half at

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Speaker 1: minus one thirteen, you can find minus one ten. You

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Speaker 1: can find that, well, that's a solid number pretty much everywhere.

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Speaker 1: And Bucks money line at plus one eighty five you

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Speaker 1: can show around me you find a better number that

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Speaker 1: I found plus one eighty five on the money line

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Speaker 1: for the Bucks in Game two of the NBA Finals.

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Speaker 1: All in on the NBA Finals for the Daily Juice.

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Speaker 1: As I try to stay away from baseball, because well

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Speaker 1: I'm just not good at betting baseball, as we all know,

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Speaker 1: get me to Sun to Saturday for the UFC and

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Speaker 1: keep this series going for as long as possible to

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Speaker 1: keep me away from baseball betting. And then we get

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Speaker 1: to football season, and thank goodness for that to we

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Speaker 1: get to the football season. By the way, thank you

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Speaker 1: for all the nice notes, the dms, the messages on

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Speaker 1: the Discord channel for the one year anniversary of the

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Speaker 1: Daily Juice. That was really cool, really special. I really

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Speaker 1: appreciate all you guys bearing with me, especially during the

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Speaker 1: month of June. We're in the desert doldrums and I've

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Speaker 1: been ice cold, so I do appreciate the kind words.

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Speaker 1: I appreciate the support. I appreciate you guys still listening

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Speaker 1: and still being a part of the Daily Juice podcast.

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Speaker 1: That's really special and really really cool. So thank you

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Speaker 1: for that. That's really cool and it really fires me

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Speaker 1: up and gets me fired to get going. All right,

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Speaker 1: we're back on YouTube. Remember you can watch this podcast

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Speaker 1: every morning as I am back from vacation officially starting

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Speaker 1: on Friday. Back from vacation. I still have one more

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Speaker 1: day to go before I'm officially back for the radio

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Speaker 1: show and the podcast. Back from California. But finally Bucks

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Speaker 1: plus five and a half under two twenty janas over

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Speaker 1: twenty six and a half points and sprinkle on the

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Speaker 1: Bucks money line for recording unit. Are the plays for

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Speaker 1: a Thursday's Daily Juice Podcast. My name is Matt Parolt.

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Speaker 1: You can follow me on Twitter at sports Talk Matt.

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Speaker 1: Each and every morning, it's the Daily Juice Podcast right

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Speaker 1: here on bettingpros dot com, brought to you by BETAMGM