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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into a Saturday

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Speaker 1: morning edition of the Daily Juice Podcast. My name is

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Speaker 1: Matt Barolt. You can follow me on Twitter, app, Sports

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Speaker 1: Talk Matt. Every single morning we are here on Bettingpros

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Speaker 1: dot com, on YouTube for the video and as always,

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Speaker 1: everywhere where you get your audio podcasts, Spotify, Apple, Stitcher,

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Speaker 1: everywhere you know you can find the Daily Juice Podcast

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Speaker 1: Audible even as well for your audio portion of the

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Speaker 1: Daily Juice. This podcast being brought to by bet MGM.

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Speaker 1: The offer is always above me twenty bucks to one

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Speaker 1: hundred dollars on any event. Use that code juice one

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Speaker 1: hundred at BETMGM, on the bet mgm app, or wherever

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Speaker 1: you can register with BETMGM. Use that promo code juice

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Speaker 1: one hundred and twenty dollars bet to win one hundred

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Speaker 1: dollars in free wagers. If you did that last night

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Speaker 1: on the parlay, you won one hundred dollars. Unfortunately, we

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Speaker 1: did not get parlay right, and yeah, so it happens right.

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Speaker 1: We are now five and sixteen, still way up on

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Speaker 1: the parlay. We wound up going one and two overall

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Speaker 1: on the pod. I should have given you the Bucks

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Speaker 1: minus eight. I played that myself, so it saved my night.

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Speaker 1: But that was my bad and I was debating it.

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Speaker 1: I was debating doing a player proper too, but I

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Speaker 1: haven't been hitting on the player prop, so I just

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Speaker 1: thought I'd cool it for the night and just ride

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Speaker 1: with three and hopefully go two and one, and instead

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Speaker 1: I went one and two. The under comes in. As

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Speaker 1: I said last night, it felt like we were gonna

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Speaker 1: go with, you know, the Bucks and the under, or

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Speaker 1: you take the Hawks and the over and the public.

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Speaker 1: The second I saw seventy five percent of the money

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Speaker 1: come in on the Hawks, I went with the Bucks.

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Speaker 1: And it just that was the deciding factor for me,

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Speaker 1: because it just felt like it was a really hard

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Speaker 1: game to call until I saw everyone on Atlanta and

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Speaker 1: I went, you know what, I would have been on

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Speaker 1: Atlanta too, but yeah, it's the Bucks. It was either

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Speaker 1: a Hawk's outright win or a twenty five point victory

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Speaker 1: for the Milwaukee Bucks. I said that last night, and yeah,

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Speaker 1: it turned out to be twenty five plus point cover

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Speaker 1: for the Milwaukee Bucks. So minus eight I should have

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Speaker 1: given that out. That's my bat on that someone says

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Speaker 1: to one and two day and a losing night because

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Speaker 1: I choked on that. So the under comes in because

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Speaker 1: it was a complete blowout for Milwaukee. They rose up

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Speaker 1: and played really well, defensively, played well. And when you

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Speaker 1: get blowouts like that, more often than not, the under

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Speaker 1: is gonna come. In hockey, look, I'm gonna bet fives

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Speaker 1: and you know, playoff wagering. This is one of the

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Speaker 1: biggest lessons I have learned so far. As we start

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Speaker 1: year two, one of the biggest lessons I'm going to

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Speaker 1: learn and it's probably not going to be all that

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Speaker 1: popular with you guys, But as playoffs get later, the

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Speaker 1: books are getting sharper and sharper and sharper, and it's

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Speaker 1: more and more difficult to be on the right side

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Speaker 1: consistently during the postseason. I got my clock cleaned in

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Speaker 1: the NFL. I've been doing okay in the NBA, but

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Speaker 1: not outstanding better in the regular season on player props,

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Speaker 1: I am way down in the playoffs compared to where

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Speaker 1: I was during the regular season. That's just not even

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Speaker 1: close to the same. And in the NHL, I've been bad,

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Speaker 1: I mean bad in the playoffs and I was horrible.

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Speaker 1: I've told the story before, but I was up eleven

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Speaker 1: units during the regular season in the NFL, and I

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Speaker 1: gave nine and a half units back. So here I

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Speaker 1: am like giving units back consistently in the playoffs. And

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Speaker 1: well for year two, I'm going to learn a lesson

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Speaker 1: here and again, I've never bet every day for an

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Speaker 1: entire year, and now I'm betting every day for another

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Speaker 1: whole year. I've never done this before, so I have

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Speaker 1: to recognize and learn my own lessons. And frankly, playoff

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Speaker 1: betting in me don't go together. So I've got to

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Speaker 1: learn that, and I've got to be more because normally

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Speaker 1: I'm pretty selective. Normally in my in my personal betting days,

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Speaker 1: when I wasn't betting every day, you know, professionally for

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Speaker 1: a job, I was, you know, picking spots, and so

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Speaker 1: I kind of thought like I was good at the playoffs,

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Speaker 1: and in reality, I was just good at recognizing opportunities.

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Speaker 1: Now I'm okay, I need to bet this game because

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Speaker 1: it's the postseason and I need to be on this

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Speaker 1: game in that game. And you know, I don't know

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Speaker 1: if I'm gonna bet the Stanley Cup. I'm gonna be

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Speaker 1: really honest, I don't know. I might, but I might

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Speaker 1: not so just a heads up. I don't know. I

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Speaker 1: may be at one or two of the games. I

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Speaker 1: don't think i'm gonna bet. I'm gonna look for a spot.

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Speaker 1: I'm not just gonna get in there. And I've bet

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Speaker 1: every playoff game pretty much every night. I've bet at

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Speaker 1: least one or two playoff games. And I've got to

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Speaker 1: play on you know, the Eastern Conference finals, Western Conference

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Speaker 1: finals were semi finals. We don't want to call it.

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Speaker 1: And you know, for the better part two weeks, we've

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Speaker 1: bet every night and not through great results. So that's

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Speaker 1: probably how I'm gonna play it here. Coming up in

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Speaker 1: the Cup finals, I may just bet a couple one

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Speaker 1: or two times. I don't think I'm coming in on

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Speaker 1: every game. I'll probably watch Game one, probably won't bet

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Speaker 1: Game one. It's gonna learn my lesson here, all right.

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Speaker 1: So for today it's Saturday, I've got two boxing bets

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Speaker 1: for you guys. Uh huh, I've got two boxing bets.

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Speaker 1: We're gonna go a little bit off the beaten path.

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Speaker 1: I have a golf bet head to head third round

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Speaker 1: for you coming up today. Interesting. And I have got

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Speaker 1: one basketball bet for you guys coming up here today

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Speaker 1: all right, So let's start with boxing, all right, and

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Speaker 1: this is gonna be like what the here's where we're going.

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Speaker 1: It is on ESPN plus. My favorite fighter is in action.

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Speaker 1: Vasilly Lomuchenko is the magician. This dude's footwork is so incredible.

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Speaker 1: This guy's hand speed is unbelievable. But he's coming off

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Speaker 1: of a loss against TF Melpez on ESPN and it

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Speaker 1: wasn't a good showing. He not a good showing. He

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Speaker 1: is fighting a guy named Masayoshi Nika Nakadaki. I can't say,

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Speaker 1: let's name Nakatani. Excuse me, jesus na Katani can't spit

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Speaker 1: out words tonight. That's who he's fighting. Okay, So this

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Speaker 1: dude is he's okay, but he's got a big recent

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Speaker 1: reach advantage. Okay, big reach advantage, big height advantage. Nagataki

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Speaker 1: Nagatani is a guy who has thirteen knockouts. He's longer

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Speaker 1: by a ways, but he wants to fight on the inside,

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Speaker 1: which is a little bit weird. I don't know if

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Speaker 1: Lomo's got knockout power anymore at his age of thirty three.

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Speaker 1: I can't really see it. It's really hard to figure

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Speaker 1: out how to beat a guy like Lomachenko because his

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Speaker 1: defense is so good. So many fighters have quit on

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Speaker 1: the stool against this guy because they get so frustrated

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Speaker 1: against him and they just get beat up. But I

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Speaker 1: only have a couple different ways to bet this here

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Speaker 1: in Vegas. You guys are gonna have better opportunities to

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Speaker 1: bet this. Look Lomo to win on the cards, I love,

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Speaker 1: but I can't. I can't bet this. The main card

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Speaker 1: is gonna start at ten o'clock Eastern time on ESBN Plus. Okay,

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Speaker 1: it's from the Virgin Hotel here in Las Vegas. I

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Speaker 1: believe this fight goes over ten and a half rounds

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Speaker 1: minus one thirty over ten and a half rounds. I

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Speaker 1: think this goes the distance, and I think Lomo wins

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Speaker 1: on the cards. So if you can bet Lomachenko by decision,

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Speaker 1: it's a better bet than when I can bet. I

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Speaker 1: don't have that. I either bet him to win, which

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Speaker 1: is minus fourteen hundred, no thank you, or I can

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Speaker 1: bet the over, which is minus one thirty. So I'm

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Speaker 1: a little bit limited here in Vegas when it comes

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Speaker 1: to this fight, and this fight's here, so I'm a

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Speaker 1: little bit annoyed by this, you guys are gonna have

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Speaker 1: a better option to get in and have this fight

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Speaker 1: and to bet this fight. But I just think Nakatani

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Speaker 1: is a guy who is going to try to go

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Speaker 1: for a knockout early. I don't think he gets it.

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Speaker 1: I think this is a huge moment because the loss.

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Speaker 1: If you to team with Lopez for Loma, he's got

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Speaker 1: to look good, and I think he will look good.

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Speaker 1: I just don't know if he can stop this guy,

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Speaker 1: so I think him going to distance all twelve rounds.

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Speaker 1: Twelve round fight over ten and a half is the

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Speaker 1: official play. But Lomachenko by decision, if you can grab it,

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Speaker 1: take it, okay, you're gonna get it's probably gonna be

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Speaker 1: pretty juiced up. Pretty might be minus three hundred. I

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Speaker 1: don't know. I haven't seen the odds offshore. I haven't

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Speaker 1: seen the odds anywhere else. You know, in other books,

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Speaker 1: just the books in Vegas have this. The totals ten

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Speaker 1: and a half and the over is minus one thirty.

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Speaker 1: Official play Lomachenko over ten and a half rounds. ESPN

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Speaker 1: Plus has this for the fight here in Las Vegas.

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Speaker 1: I cannot wait to watch this fight. I'm really annoyed

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Speaker 1: that I'm not there. I should be there covering it.

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Speaker 1: I just it got filled up too fast, and I'm

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Speaker 1: not a boxing guy, a boxing writer, or a boxing

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Speaker 1: media member, so I got pushed out so I couldn't

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Speaker 1: get credential for this fight. I'm really bummed out about

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Speaker 1: it because I've never seen Lomachenko fight in person, and

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Speaker 1: there's only going to be a couple of opportunities left

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Speaker 1: to go. But I mean, you're going to see a

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Speaker 1: monster sized differential between these two guys. You know, six

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Speaker 1: inches of reach for Nagatani. When it comes to how

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Speaker 1: these two dudes will stand next to each other, it's

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Speaker 1: remarkable to me. But we're going with the over ten

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Speaker 1: and a half rounds for Lomachenko at MIAs one thirty

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Speaker 1: for a half a unit. For the first play, second play,

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Speaker 1: let's talk about Tank Davis against Mario ls Teca Barrios.

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Speaker 1: This fight's happening in Atlanta, Georgia. This is wild to

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Speaker 1: me because again, this is a guy in Tank Davis

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Speaker 1: who's giving up monster height. I mean he literally looks

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Speaker 1: up at Mario Barrios and Tank is another one of

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Speaker 1: these fighters who has fought at one thirty at one

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Speaker 1: thirty five. Now he's up to one forty here. For

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Speaker 1: this fight, it's on pay per view for showtime State

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Speaker 1: Farm Arena start times around nine pm Eastern time. Most

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Speaker 1: likely you're going to see like an eleven o'clock twelve

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Speaker 1: o'clock Eastern time start for this fight. Mario Barrios is

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Speaker 1: not on the same level as Tank Davis. Okay, that's

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Speaker 1: just how it is. My problem is, I don't think

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Speaker 1: Tank Davis can knock this dude out. I just again,

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Speaker 1: it's very similar to Loma. I think you're seeing a

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Speaker 1: better boxer, a better fighter. But the total for this

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Speaker 1: fight is eight and a half, okay, eight and a

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Speaker 1: half at minus one ten, I'm taking the over. I

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Speaker 1: think again, this fight goes deep, and I think it

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Speaker 1: goes to the cards again. If you can find Davis

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Speaker 1: by decision, I think that's the bet. I really do.

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Speaker 1: And I know Tank is gonna want to knock this

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Speaker 1: guy out, and I'm gonna want to send a message

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Speaker 1: because you know, he go from one thirty one to

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Speaker 1: thirty five and now one forty. He gets these victories,

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Speaker 1: you start talking about him as a multi divisional champ here,

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Speaker 1: But I mean how does a guy who has okay

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Speaker 1: knockout power at WON thirty and then decent knockout power

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Speaker 1: one thirty five? What's the knockout power at won forty?

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Speaker 1: We don't know. And Mario Parios is a bigger dude

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Speaker 1: in every fact, he's long, he's taller. I just think

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Speaker 1: he'll be able to take the punishment from Tank. I

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Speaker 1: think Tank wins the no debate. In my mind, he's

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Speaker 1: a minus four fifty favorite. I think he wins. But

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Speaker 1: over eight and a half rounds, I think this fight

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Speaker 1: goes all the way to the distance. But the official

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Speaker 1: play is just going to be Tank Davis over against

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Speaker 1: Mario Barrios over eight and a half rounds at minus

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Speaker 1: one ten. And I think there's going to be a

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Speaker 1: huge opportunity here for a lot of fighters to have

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Speaker 1: their number to uh, to have their name be called out.

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Speaker 1: And you know, this is an awesome weight class. I mean,

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Speaker 1: there's so many good fighters who are sitting there, you know.

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Speaker 1: At well, I'm sorry, gate's minus one thirty for both fights, Sorr,

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Speaker 1: I thought it was minus one ten. I don't want

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Speaker 1: to check that. This is also minus one thirty for

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Speaker 1: me for over eight and a half rounds, So both

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Speaker 1: fights are at minus one thirty here. Okay, so two

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Speaker 1: boxing fights to tell you about. Lomnchenko over ten and

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Speaker 1: a half rounds minus one thirty, Tank Davis over eight

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Speaker 1: and a half rounds at minus one thirty half a

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Speaker 1: unit on both these. That's here for boxing coming up

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Speaker 1: tonight again. If you can find Davis buy decision on

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Speaker 1: the cards, Lomnchenko on a decision on the cards. I

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Speaker 1: think both fighters go to distance, both fighters win on cards.

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Speaker 1: I don't think we're seeing knockouts on either guy. These

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Speaker 1: are smaller fighters fighting taller guys. I just don't think

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Speaker 1: the knockout power is going to be there. Maybe it's

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Speaker 1: a stoppage, Okay, that's my one concerns that like a

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Speaker 1: body shot will stop these guys. But I don't think so.

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Speaker 1: I mean, I just I don't think Loman Tickeos got

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Speaker 1: the power to stop Nagatani, and then I don't think

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Speaker 1: the power translates for Tank Davis, you know, to this

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Speaker 1: one forty eight class. I think Barrios will be able

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Speaker 1: to take the punishment and survive at least until the

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Speaker 1: tenth round or the ninth round over or in halfway through.

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Speaker 1: I guess then the ninth round for US here with that,

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Speaker 1: so those are our two boxing fights over in both

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Speaker 1: fights over ten and a half and over eight and

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Speaker 1: a half for a half a union. Okay, let's go

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Speaker 1: to golf and let's go to a head to head

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Speaker 1: for the third round. Okay, so I am, I'm very

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Speaker 1: interested in Russell Henley right now. Okay, Russell Henley played

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Speaker 1: really well at the US Open. He fell apart in

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Speaker 1: the final round because he had not been in that

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Speaker 1: position before. It was very predictable to watch him fall

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Speaker 1: apart in the fourth round. However, right now, this guy

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Speaker 1: is sitting at seven under par. He's tied for fourth.

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Speaker 1: Bubba Watson is currently tied for second. Bubba Watson has

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Speaker 1: only hit fifty seven percent of his fairways so far

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Speaker 1: here through two rounds. He's hit seventy two percent of

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Speaker 1: his greens in regulation so far through two rounds, one

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Speaker 1: point three putts strokes gained via putting. Why is he

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Speaker 1: picking up strokes with the flat stick because he's hitting

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Speaker 1: fifty foot birdie putts. Okay, that's what Bubba Watson did.

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Speaker 1: He had a fifty foot bird That's a ridiculous ridiculous streak,

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Speaker 1: so he's only had so far. In round two he

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Speaker 1: had one bogie and that's it. In round one he

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Speaker 1: played better, where he had seventy eight percent driving accuracy,

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Speaker 1: eighty eight percent greens in regulation, but round two not

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Speaker 1: as good. He did a five birdies. He had twelve

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Speaker 1: pars in one bogie on Friday for Russell Henley. Eighty

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Speaker 1: five percent driving accuracy in round two, eighty three percent

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Speaker 1: greens in regulation. And he didn't putt all that well,

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Speaker 1: but he didn't need to because he wasn't hitting bomb putts,

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Speaker 1: wasn't hitting really long putts. His longest make was seventeen

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Speaker 1: foot birdie putt that he hit in round two. In

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Speaker 1: round one he hit two hundred and eighty yards off

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Speaker 1: the team, seventy eight percent driving accuracy, sixty six percent

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Speaker 1: of greens in regulation, and he picked up a half

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Speaker 1: a stroke putting. I believe Russell Henley could win this tournament.

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Speaker 1: I don't mind a sprinkle on this dude right now

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Speaker 1: to see what he could do. But I got a

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Speaker 1: head to head Russell Henley against Bubba Watson minus won

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Speaker 1: ten both sides. I'm going Henley round three only over

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Speaker 1: Bubba Watson for a half a unit, and I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: take this Russell Henley dude and see what he can

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Speaker 1: do on moving day in a head to head, He's

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Speaker 1: gone sixty seven sixty six. Bubba Watson has gone sixty

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Speaker 1: six sixty six. I think he's due for a bit

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Speaker 1: of regression here, and you can't drive all over the place.

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Speaker 1: This course is a little forgiving, more forgiving than what

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Speaker 1: they had to a Torrey Pines. But you're not gonna

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Speaker 1: I don't think he's gonna hit these bomb putts that

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Speaker 1: he was doing, and I don't think he's gonna be

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Speaker 1: able to set up the same birdies. I mean, he

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Speaker 1: broke his driver yesterday. He can replace it obviously for

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Speaker 1: this round. But I think it's Henley over Watson for

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Speaker 1: minus one ten for a half a unit here for golf.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna get a little exotic on this one. Let's

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Speaker 1: have some fun with this for a half of units

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Speaker 1: with Russell Henley over Bubba Watson. After Bubba had a

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Speaker 1: tough time driving, tough time hitting the grains and regulation,

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Speaker 1: Henley's been very steady, getting better sixty six to eighty

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Speaker 1: three percent in a sixty seven sixty six. Let's see

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Speaker 1: another sixty six, and let's get Henley over Watson from

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Speaker 1: minus one to ten in the third round of this.

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Speaker 1: And again, if you want to sprinkle on a winner,

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Speaker 1: Henley's on a bad selection. He's twenty to one, twenty

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Speaker 1: to one to win this thing. Don't mind Russell Henley

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Speaker 1: to win this tournament at all. I'm gonna sprinkle personally

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Speaker 1: and Russell Henley to win this tournament at the Travelers

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Speaker 1: in Connecticut. And finally, for the other half, a unit

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Speaker 1: that's hanging out there, the Phoenix Suns against the LA Clippers.

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Speaker 1: Phoenix is it's a pick them between Clippers and the

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Speaker 1: Suns in game four. Here's where I think I am

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Speaker 1: on this. This is just picking who's gonna win this game.

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Speaker 1: The Sun's played really poorly in game three. I think

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Speaker 1: the Suns are gonna wake up. I think Chris Paul

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Speaker 1: was rusty. I think Chris Paul comes back. I think

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Speaker 1: DeAndre ayt and had to kind of figure out what

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Speaker 1: to do again. Zubak, I think he'll be better in

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Speaker 1: game four. I think the mask and I think the

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Speaker 1: nose will feel a lot better for Devin Booker, and

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Speaker 1: I think he's getting annoyed by being guarded by Patrick Beverly,

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Speaker 1: who is completely shut down. Great players, I mean, Donovan Mitchell,

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Speaker 1: now Devin Booker very difficult, but I think he's going

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Speaker 1: to figure out how to get to the rim and

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Speaker 1: get to the foul line. And I think he was

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Speaker 1: afraid of contact right after the broken nose. I think

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Speaker 1: he'll be more inclined to have contact. Coming up here

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Speaker 1: in game number four and having Chris Paul back for

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Speaker 1: a second game, I think this is the game that

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Speaker 1: we see the distance again. I may be dead wrong.

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Speaker 1: I was on the Suns in game three. I don't know.

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Speaker 1: Maybe I'm just going down with this and just you know,

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna get burned crazy on this. But if I'm wrong,

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Speaker 1: maybe the Clippers win this series. I have a bet

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Speaker 1: on the Clippers to win this series. So maybe this

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Speaker 1: is a hedge of myself here. Because the Suns go

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Speaker 1: up three games to one, I think the series is

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Speaker 1: pretty much over. If it's two to two. It's anyone's

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Speaker 1: ballgame when it comes to this series. So I'm going

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Speaker 1: with the feet Suns in game number four, Phoenix to

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Speaker 1: win outright here. Pick them Phoenix. Let's see what happens

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Speaker 1: in this game. Not get too crazy with the total,

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Speaker 1: and not get too crazy with the pace of play.

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Speaker 1: It's just Chris Paul comes back. The rust is off

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Speaker 1: and he goes to work, and the Suns win Game

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Speaker 1: number four to go up three to one. Okay, four

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Speaker 1: plays for you guys, half a unit each. On all

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Speaker 1: four plays. We're going over for low Minchenko ten and

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Speaker 1: a half rounds minus one thirty, over for Davis for

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Speaker 1: Tank Davis eight and a half rounds minus one thirty.

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Speaker 1: We're going Henley over Bubba Watson minus won ten in

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Speaker 1: a third round head to head at the Travelers and

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Speaker 1: Sons pick them against the Clippers here for game number four,

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Speaker 1: Phoenix just to win the game at minus one ten.

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Speaker 1: Those are the four plays for today. My name is

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Speaker 1: Matt Peroultz. Let's have some fun watching these games together,

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Speaker 1: these fights together in the Discord channel. I can't wait.

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Speaker 1: I don't like the UFC card, It's boring me. I'm

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Speaker 1: all about that umble boxing coming up here for Saturday night.

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Speaker 1: Follow me on Twitter at sports Talk Matt. Every morning,

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Speaker 1: it's the Daily Juice podcast right here on bettingpros dot Com,

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Speaker 1: brought to you by bet mgm