1 00:00:08,880 --> 00:00:14,360 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites, the podcast from the Volume Network 2 00:00:14,520 --> 00:00:19,160 Speaker 1: Colin Cowherd's Volume Network. I am Chad. Moment, I'm going 3 00:00:19,200 --> 00:00:24,040 Speaker 1: to be joined by my bff, my companion, my brother 4 00:00:24,079 --> 00:00:28,440 Speaker 1: in arms, Mr Simon Hunter. Don't say hello, Yes, I'm 5 00:00:28,480 --> 00:00:31,800 Speaker 1: because today we are also going to be talking oscars. 6 00:00:32,520 --> 00:00:38,120 Speaker 1: And one of our many Action Network Oscar experts is 7 00:00:38,200 --> 00:00:41,000 Speaker 1: Chris Raybon, who goes so deep into the Oscars I 8 00:00:41,040 --> 00:00:44,560 Speaker 1: actually wonder when he has time to do any other 9 00:00:44,640 --> 00:00:49,920 Speaker 1: work at all that he does, specifically on our NBA 10 00:00:50,080 --> 00:00:55,400 Speaker 1: back casts on our nb A live pregame show Heat Check, 11 00:00:55,800 --> 00:00:59,680 Speaker 1: with all the fantasy stuff he's doing for the NFL, etcetera. 12 00:00:59,760 --> 00:01:01,160 Speaker 1: It's I don't know, but I will say one of 13 00:01:01,200 --> 00:01:04,560 Speaker 1: the best podcast we did last year was the In 14 00:01:04,640 --> 00:01:08,480 Speaker 1: Depth Oscar podcast on Action Network and Rayburn was a 15 00:01:08,480 --> 00:01:11,800 Speaker 1: part of that along with Colin Wilson and Caroline Smith 16 00:01:11,800 --> 00:01:15,399 Speaker 1: and Katie rich Creek. It's like they were deep into 17 00:01:16,080 --> 00:01:19,720 Speaker 1: different categories of music. That's how deep they go. So 18 00:01:19,720 --> 00:01:24,560 Speaker 1: we'll talk a little bit about oscars. But first, my man, Simon, 19 00:01:25,160 --> 00:01:29,080 Speaker 1: I have so much to discuss with you, Chad. I 20 00:01:29,160 --> 00:01:33,120 Speaker 1: have a first question, do you know what today is yes, 21 00:01:33,160 --> 00:01:35,520 Speaker 1: I know it today is okay, so we got there 22 00:01:35,520 --> 00:01:39,000 Speaker 1: other way? At what age did chat? Do you wanna? 23 00:01:39,319 --> 00:01:43,720 Speaker 1: Do you want to tell people like we're recording this 24 00:01:43,840 --> 00:01:47,360 Speaker 1: on Tuesday for twenty Is that what you're coming to 25 00:01:47,400 --> 00:01:50,480 Speaker 1: get at. Yeah. I would just love the know Chad 26 00:01:50,480 --> 00:01:52,800 Speaker 1: the first time chatted one cause you seem the kind 27 00:01:52,800 --> 00:01:54,440 Speaker 1: of guy that would call the cops on himself and 28 00:01:54,480 --> 00:01:56,400 Speaker 1: say that he's dying. So I would love to hear 29 00:01:56,440 --> 00:01:59,040 Speaker 1: the story the first time Chad took a puff of 30 00:01:59,080 --> 00:02:05,480 Speaker 1: the Devil's lettuce. Gosh, I mean, I'm old, remember, so yeah, 31 00:02:05,800 --> 00:02:09,280 Speaker 1: for me to tell me about the seventies, it was 32 00:02:09,360 --> 00:02:17,359 Speaker 1: definitely some point in the eighties, I would venture to say, seven, eight, 33 00:02:19,080 --> 00:02:22,000 Speaker 1: something like that, And then there was like a good 34 00:02:23,080 --> 00:02:28,799 Speaker 1: two decades where I didn't bother and then edibles became 35 00:02:29,639 --> 00:02:35,919 Speaker 1: much more prevalent and much more accessible. So, uh, that 36 00:02:36,000 --> 00:02:40,880 Speaker 1: became something that you know, I would partake in more often. 37 00:02:41,520 --> 00:02:44,519 Speaker 1: Oh wow, look at you modern man. Yeah. Keep it 38 00:02:44,560 --> 00:02:46,600 Speaker 1: away from your kids, though, guys, that's it's on the 39 00:02:46,639 --> 00:02:50,799 Speaker 1: package of edibles. Keep away from your kids. Listen, my 40 00:02:50,880 --> 00:02:54,079 Speaker 1: kids are teenagers. I don't want to know. I don't 41 00:02:54,080 --> 00:02:56,280 Speaker 1: need to know. We've all got our own lives to live. 42 00:02:56,320 --> 00:03:00,359 Speaker 1: You know what I'm saying, Um, are you going to 43 00:03:00,440 --> 00:03:03,720 Speaker 1: celebrate all day today? Is that what you're telling me? No, 44 00:03:03,919 --> 00:03:05,399 Speaker 1: I'm too old for that. You know what I'm gonna 45 00:03:05,400 --> 00:03:07,760 Speaker 1: celebrate to that, I'm gonna buy more Doge Point. That's 46 00:03:07,760 --> 00:03:09,959 Speaker 1: how I'm gonna do today. How much Doge point have 47 00:03:10,040 --> 00:03:13,720 Speaker 1: you bought since Doge Day? I could retire right now 48 00:03:13,760 --> 00:03:18,480 Speaker 1: and live happily. Shut up. No, I I put way 49 00:03:18,480 --> 00:03:20,480 Speaker 1: more than a normal person in because I love that. 50 00:03:20,520 --> 00:03:23,320 Speaker 1: It was a meme. And I told you my rule 51 00:03:23,360 --> 00:03:25,960 Speaker 1: of Thumber investing is if Elon Musk tweets about it, 52 00:03:26,080 --> 00:03:29,399 Speaker 1: you put a thousand dollars into it. So I've put 53 00:03:29,400 --> 00:03:32,400 Speaker 1: a decent amount of the douche. What's the trading out today? 54 00:03:34,200 --> 00:03:37,400 Speaker 1: Before he came on, it was just above thirty nine cents, 55 00:03:38,160 --> 00:03:40,800 Speaker 1: and yesterday it was at like forty. But it would 56 00:03:40,800 --> 00:03:44,600 Speaker 1: have been like at fractions of a penny before, right, Yeah, yeah, yeah, Yeah. 57 00:03:44,680 --> 00:03:48,320 Speaker 1: The future is very weird, Chad. The future is unbelievably weird. 58 00:03:48,480 --> 00:03:52,920 Speaker 1: I have now bought Bitcoin and ethereum. Those are my 59 00:03:53,000 --> 00:03:57,240 Speaker 1: two crypto holdings. Super excited about it. Pretty soon China 60 00:03:57,400 --> 00:04:00,560 Speaker 1: is going to be creating a national digital and see 61 00:04:01,680 --> 00:04:04,320 Speaker 1: I read that this morning. A lot of happened, a 62 00:04:04,320 --> 00:04:07,200 Speaker 1: lot happening in the speculative markets, and we'll get to 63 00:04:07,280 --> 00:04:11,440 Speaker 1: that and many many more things. As you noticed, I 64 00:04:11,480 --> 00:04:13,320 Speaker 1: was away last week, as we talked about before I 65 00:04:13,320 --> 00:04:15,960 Speaker 1: came on, I was touring colleges with my older son, 66 00:04:16,080 --> 00:04:19,599 Speaker 1: which was very exciting. I also ventured out into the world. 67 00:04:19,640 --> 00:04:21,960 Speaker 1: I went to the Celtics Warriors game on Saturday night. 68 00:04:22,040 --> 00:04:26,560 Speaker 1: It was amazing regular season game of the year. But 69 00:04:26,680 --> 00:04:31,720 Speaker 1: more importantly, Simon, while I was away, we had an 70 00:04:31,760 --> 00:04:35,440 Speaker 1: Action Network all hands Action Network town hall. At these 71 00:04:35,440 --> 00:04:39,599 Speaker 1: town halls, every new employee that have been higher since 72 00:04:39,640 --> 00:04:42,920 Speaker 1: the last town hall will introduce themselves with a game 73 00:04:42,960 --> 00:04:45,760 Speaker 1: that we call to Truths and a Lie. Pretty standard game. 74 00:04:46,000 --> 00:04:49,600 Speaker 1: A lot of companies use it. Introduce people, get them 75 00:04:49,680 --> 00:04:53,560 Speaker 1: loosening up, you know, create some more that kind of stuff. Uh. 76 00:04:53,800 --> 00:04:57,320 Speaker 1: What happens is the new employee has to put out 77 00:04:57,360 --> 00:05:01,599 Speaker 1: three comments and their new colleagues have to guess which 78 00:05:01,720 --> 00:05:04,839 Speaker 1: of the three comments is a lie. So this week, Simon, 79 00:05:05,000 --> 00:05:10,159 Speaker 1: while I was away, unfortunately, you were introduced, uh, and 80 00:05:10,360 --> 00:05:16,400 Speaker 1: you had three amazing notes. I want you to tell 81 00:05:16,600 --> 00:05:20,279 Speaker 1: the group. Uh, Matt Mitchell is on. Raybond is waiting 82 00:05:20,279 --> 00:05:23,680 Speaker 1: in the wings. We have two members of Team Volume, 83 00:05:24,240 --> 00:05:29,280 Speaker 1: uh in Connor, David's informer Action Network employee now onto 84 00:05:29,279 --> 00:05:35,239 Speaker 1: bigger and better things at Volume, and uh Rory from Volume. So, um, 85 00:05:35,279 --> 00:05:39,640 Speaker 1: I want you to give your three comments, and I 86 00:05:39,640 --> 00:05:41,840 Speaker 1: guess Raybond and Mitchell you can't guess because you were 87 00:05:41,920 --> 00:05:44,200 Speaker 1: in the meeting, So I'll try to guess, but please 88 00:05:44,200 --> 00:05:46,640 Speaker 1: give your comments. I thought the rule of all hands 89 00:05:46,680 --> 00:05:48,480 Speaker 1: meeting was you don't talk about what happens in all 90 00:05:48,560 --> 00:05:51,960 Speaker 1: hands meeting. You're a terrible employee. Guy, I can do 91 00:05:51,960 --> 00:05:55,160 Speaker 1: whatever I fucking Wand there was three you have to 92 00:05:55,200 --> 00:05:57,080 Speaker 1: give three things, my three things where I had a 93 00:05:57,120 --> 00:06:00,200 Speaker 1: point with that cheering. I've been bit by a shaw ark, 94 00:06:01,080 --> 00:06:05,240 Speaker 1: and I go skydiving every weekend. Well, obviously you don't 95 00:06:05,279 --> 00:06:09,719 Speaker 1: go skydiving every weekend, but I will. I will. That 96 00:06:09,880 --> 00:06:13,440 Speaker 1: is gonna be my guess. Uh. Do we want Rory 97 00:06:13,680 --> 00:06:16,720 Speaker 1: and Connor to weigh in as as people who don't 98 00:06:16,720 --> 00:06:20,320 Speaker 1: know anything yet go and skydiving too? For sure? Yeah? 99 00:06:20,360 --> 00:06:22,640 Speaker 1: I mean, for sake of being contrarian, I'm going to 100 00:06:22,720 --> 00:06:24,600 Speaker 1: fade the public. I'm gonna say, you've never been written 101 00:06:24,600 --> 00:06:26,760 Speaker 1: by a shark. That's yeah. So I did have a 102 00:06:26,839 --> 00:06:29,159 Speaker 1: drink with Ed Sheering. I wish it was an epic 103 00:06:29,200 --> 00:06:31,240 Speaker 1: cool story about me and the night out of Ed, 104 00:06:31,680 --> 00:06:33,880 Speaker 1: but it was a classic Me and my cousin met 105 00:06:33,960 --> 00:06:36,240 Speaker 1: up with his buddy who went to college with Ed 106 00:06:36,320 --> 00:06:39,279 Speaker 1: Shearing's best friend. We had maybe true drinks and before 107 00:06:39,320 --> 00:06:41,400 Speaker 1: we and him left to go get dinner together. So 108 00:06:41,920 --> 00:06:43,200 Speaker 1: I hung out of them from maybe an hour and 109 00:06:43,200 --> 00:06:46,599 Speaker 1: a half. Was before he was famous two, but I 110 00:06:46,720 --> 00:06:49,120 Speaker 1: literally talked to the guy for maybe two minutes. Um. 111 00:06:49,360 --> 00:06:51,320 Speaker 1: And then I don't even know, maybe it's two three 112 00:06:51,360 --> 00:06:53,720 Speaker 1: years later. I was like, the biggest star in the world. So, 113 00:06:54,480 --> 00:06:59,560 Speaker 1: but what have you guys? Had two drinks and you 114 00:06:59,640 --> 00:07:00,600 Speaker 1: were with him for an hour and a half. What 115 00:07:00,640 --> 00:07:05,160 Speaker 1: did you guys talk about? Um? I mean, dude, it's 116 00:07:05,200 --> 00:07:07,520 Speaker 1: life so like because I was American, I remember he 117 00:07:07,560 --> 00:07:10,600 Speaker 1: was asking me, um, he was asking about n B 118 00:07:10,760 --> 00:07:14,720 Speaker 1: A And at the time it was the Miami heat. Um. 119 00:07:14,760 --> 00:07:17,560 Speaker 1: Someone was like, Eddie sings and I was like, this 120 00:07:17,600 --> 00:07:20,120 Speaker 1: little ginger does not singing. He goes, I swear he sings, 121 00:07:20,720 --> 00:07:22,960 Speaker 1: and he started singing. They're like, oh, you know how 122 00:07:23,000 --> 00:07:25,280 Speaker 1: he sings, isn't the magical And I was like, oh 123 00:07:25,320 --> 00:07:29,160 Speaker 1: my god, this is incredible. Um. But again I didn't 124 00:07:29,200 --> 00:07:32,080 Speaker 1: know who he was, Like like they told me he 125 00:07:32,120 --> 00:07:34,560 Speaker 1: was big in England, like my cousin did. He was 126 00:07:34,640 --> 00:07:37,360 Speaker 1: like that guy is gonna be huge in England. Um, 127 00:07:37,400 --> 00:07:38,960 Speaker 1: but I didn't really know who he was. So I 128 00:07:39,560 --> 00:07:41,280 Speaker 1: if I would have known it was ed Shearon who 129 00:07:41,360 --> 00:07:42,720 Speaker 1: he is now, dude, I would have hung it. I 130 00:07:42,720 --> 00:07:44,120 Speaker 1: would have tried to hang out in for the whole week. 131 00:07:44,160 --> 00:07:45,880 Speaker 1: But like it was just one of those like the path. 132 00:07:46,680 --> 00:07:48,120 Speaker 1: We had a beer and then I was going to 133 00:07:48,160 --> 00:07:50,000 Speaker 1: dinner anyway, so it was like not one of those 134 00:07:50,160 --> 00:07:53,400 Speaker 1: memorable nights out. Uh. You would have had him signed 135 00:07:53,440 --> 00:07:55,720 Speaker 1: your Pikachu card and then you can double down on 136 00:07:55,800 --> 00:07:59,440 Speaker 1: your memorabilia. Uh. If it's one forty three in the 137 00:07:59,440 --> 00:08:01,520 Speaker 1: afternoon were it is right now, there's probably an Edge 138 00:08:01,520 --> 00:08:05,160 Speaker 1: Shearing song on and he is probably making more than 139 00:08:05,240 --> 00:08:09,600 Speaker 1: you have invested in dose coin this very hour. All right, 140 00:08:10,120 --> 00:08:13,000 Speaker 1: you had a plant with Ed Sharing. What about getting 141 00:08:13,000 --> 00:08:17,119 Speaker 1: bitten by a shard? Uh? So afterre I mean during 142 00:08:17,120 --> 00:08:18,840 Speaker 1: my glory to this high school, that was our thing 143 00:08:18,880 --> 00:08:21,280 Speaker 1: with surfing, So you booze and then you wake up 144 00:08:21,280 --> 00:08:24,000 Speaker 1: and go get and go surf. But in New Jersey 145 00:08:24,040 --> 00:08:25,520 Speaker 1: there's not a lot of waves, so half the time 146 00:08:25,560 --> 00:08:26,760 Speaker 1: you would just go out there and just hang on 147 00:08:26,840 --> 00:08:29,760 Speaker 1: your surfboard. So I was laying on my surfboard, I 148 00:08:29,840 --> 00:08:32,080 Speaker 1: had my arms hanging off like just being a bum, 149 00:08:32,120 --> 00:08:34,840 Speaker 1: like talking to my buddy, and then all of a sudden, 150 00:08:35,040 --> 00:08:37,760 Speaker 1: just shooting pain in my hand and I lifted out 151 00:08:37,800 --> 00:08:39,440 Speaker 1: of the water and it's just not even that big, 152 00:08:39,480 --> 00:08:41,400 Speaker 1: it's maybe a foot long, but it's a baby shark. 153 00:08:42,120 --> 00:08:45,240 Speaker 1: And he was like, oh, He's like dude, he's like, 154 00:08:45,480 --> 00:08:47,520 Speaker 1: he's like, don't don't, don't rip it out. It's gonna 155 00:08:47,559 --> 00:08:48,880 Speaker 1: rip your hand off. So I just had to stand 156 00:08:48,880 --> 00:08:51,400 Speaker 1: there holding it like that, and he came over and 157 00:08:51,440 --> 00:08:53,640 Speaker 1: just like pride its mouth open and like and finally 158 00:08:53,640 --> 00:08:56,600 Speaker 1: just let go, but no real scarring, like there's indense, 159 00:08:57,040 --> 00:09:00,920 Speaker 1: but it happened. I was seventeen, and I probably told 160 00:09:00,960 --> 00:09:02,360 Speaker 1: every check for the rest of the summer. I was 161 00:09:02,440 --> 00:09:04,800 Speaker 1: a shark attack survivor, even though it was a baby shark. 162 00:09:06,040 --> 00:09:08,559 Speaker 1: So you pulled your hand out of the water and 163 00:09:08,720 --> 00:09:12,080 Speaker 1: was holding the shark up in like in your hand. 164 00:09:12,120 --> 00:09:15,120 Speaker 1: It was holding onto your hand. I was just some 165 00:09:15,160 --> 00:09:17,000 Speaker 1: pure shock, Like it was one of those where like 166 00:09:17,360 --> 00:09:19,680 Speaker 1: you know, people either freak outs are flailing. I pulled 167 00:09:19,679 --> 00:09:21,880 Speaker 1: it out, and like it took me about a minute 168 00:09:21,880 --> 00:09:23,680 Speaker 1: to process it because I'm just like looking at this 169 00:09:23,720 --> 00:09:26,439 Speaker 1: thing on my hand, and it looks so alien because 170 00:09:26,480 --> 00:09:30,040 Speaker 1: like it's not like you think of a shark. It's like, uh, 171 00:09:30,200 --> 00:09:32,280 Speaker 1: it was like slimy and oozy. It was just like 172 00:09:32,520 --> 00:09:34,560 Speaker 1: really weird the body shape. And I was like, what 173 00:09:34,760 --> 00:09:36,880 Speaker 1: is happening right now because I was still like, you know, 174 00:09:37,000 --> 00:09:40,040 Speaker 1: out of it, hungover, and my buddy so calmly swung 175 00:09:40,240 --> 00:09:42,440 Speaker 1: like swam over and he was like he's like, oh yeah, man, 176 00:09:42,480 --> 00:09:44,200 Speaker 1: no problem, like as if it happens every day to then, 177 00:09:44,240 --> 00:09:46,520 Speaker 1: and he just took it off my hand. But at 178 00:09:46,559 --> 00:09:49,320 Speaker 1: the time I was freaking out because I you know, 179 00:09:50,120 --> 00:09:51,440 Speaker 1: not that I thought I was gonna lose my hand, 180 00:09:51,440 --> 00:09:52,719 Speaker 1: but at the time, I was like, this thing is 181 00:09:52,720 --> 00:09:54,760 Speaker 1: about to take my pinkye off. So it was definitely 182 00:09:54,800 --> 00:09:58,280 Speaker 1: scary in the moment. Listen, as someone who's broken his pinky, 183 00:09:58,520 --> 00:10:00,959 Speaker 1: you had to go through rehab, you lose it, it's 184 00:10:00,960 --> 00:10:03,960 Speaker 1: no big deal, all right, So clearly, uh, you don't 185 00:10:03,960 --> 00:10:07,000 Speaker 1: go sky daving every weekend. No, I hate heights. I 186 00:10:07,000 --> 00:10:10,079 Speaker 1: am terrified heights even like the basics of a going 187 00:10:10,120 --> 00:10:11,880 Speaker 1: up on the ladder to put the Christmas lights up. 188 00:10:11,920 --> 00:10:14,000 Speaker 1: I'm happy to pay someone wait too much wanting to 189 00:10:14,040 --> 00:10:16,120 Speaker 1: do that, because that's how scared of heights, saying all right, 190 00:10:16,360 --> 00:10:18,920 Speaker 1: we gotta get to Raybon. And I think it's interesting 191 00:10:18,960 --> 00:10:22,800 Speaker 1: that Raybon is on today. Chris Raybon one of our many, 192 00:10:22,840 --> 00:10:27,840 Speaker 1: many bright talents at Action Network, covering the NFL, covering 193 00:10:28,000 --> 00:10:31,679 Speaker 1: the NBA, covering the oscars. Look. This morning, I went 194 00:10:31,760 --> 00:10:33,760 Speaker 1: to get my younger kid at seven and welcome up 195 00:10:33,800 --> 00:10:35,960 Speaker 1: for school. As soon as I walked out of his room, 196 00:10:35,960 --> 00:10:39,160 Speaker 1: he yelled, Dad, wait. Then he read to me a 197 00:10:39,320 --> 00:10:41,959 Speaker 1: tweet that he saw, because the first thing he does 198 00:10:41,960 --> 00:10:44,520 Speaker 1: in the morning is check out the Twitter. And it 199 00:10:44,640 --> 00:10:50,160 Speaker 1: was a report that Jordan's Love is being traded to 200 00:10:50,280 --> 00:10:52,320 Speaker 1: the Patriots. It was like a I don't know if 201 00:10:52,320 --> 00:10:55,080 Speaker 1: it was true or not. It was a piece of 202 00:10:55,120 --> 00:11:01,760 Speaker 1: paper that said, this is a early early draft of 203 00:11:01,800 --> 00:11:04,840 Speaker 1: a draft day proposed draft day trade for Jordan's Love 204 00:11:04,880 --> 00:11:07,240 Speaker 1: to the Patriots. What do people think of that? It's 205 00:11:07,280 --> 00:11:09,880 Speaker 1: definitely out there, but it just looked so silly when 206 00:11:09,880 --> 00:11:11,480 Speaker 1: you look at the Packers and they went to the 207 00:11:11,559 --> 00:11:14,920 Speaker 1: NFC Championship game last year, and maybe if they had 208 00:11:15,160 --> 00:11:17,680 Speaker 1: one more receiver that they drafted in that with that 209 00:11:17,760 --> 00:11:20,600 Speaker 1: Jordan Love pick, he would have gotten open and Aaron 210 00:11:20,679 --> 00:11:23,720 Speaker 1: Rodgers wouldn't have decided to run the ball on that. 211 00:11:23,800 --> 00:11:25,319 Speaker 1: You know, it was the third or fourth and goal, 212 00:11:25,720 --> 00:11:27,840 Speaker 1: and he would have found that receiver and Tom Brady 213 00:11:27,840 --> 00:11:31,200 Speaker 1: wouldn't have another ring. So, I mean, it just didn't 214 00:11:31,240 --> 00:11:33,760 Speaker 1: reminder that the Packers screwed up last year. The Patriots, 215 00:11:33,800 --> 00:11:36,280 Speaker 1: I mean, they're just they're they're just desperate. I mean, 216 00:11:36,320 --> 00:11:40,320 Speaker 1: they don't have a quarterback, doesn't count. Simon, what would 217 00:11:40,360 --> 00:11:42,440 Speaker 1: you think of a trade like that. I guess for 218 00:11:42,480 --> 00:11:43,959 Speaker 1: the upside, i'd like it, But it's all about what 219 00:11:44,000 --> 00:11:45,839 Speaker 1: you're giving up. I mean, they spent our first round pick, 220 00:11:45,920 --> 00:11:47,840 Speaker 1: like he just said, I wasted first round pick on 221 00:11:47,880 --> 00:11:49,800 Speaker 1: that guy when they had so many players on the 222 00:11:49,800 --> 00:11:52,760 Speaker 1: board to help Rogers with. So I don't believe it. 223 00:11:52,800 --> 00:11:55,480 Speaker 1: I think that teams, when they screw up like that, 224 00:11:55,480 --> 00:11:57,920 Speaker 1: they just ride out to screw up. So to me, 225 00:11:58,000 --> 00:11:59,880 Speaker 1: they're going to ride out another year of Rogers and 226 00:12:00,000 --> 00:12:01,560 Speaker 1: see what he can do. And if they just get 227 00:12:01,559 --> 00:12:05,280 Speaker 1: a lilist the slightest indication that there's the decline, they're 228 00:12:05,280 --> 00:12:07,720 Speaker 1: gonna get rid of them. So I don't I can't 229 00:12:07,720 --> 00:12:09,560 Speaker 1: see them just moving them after one year sitting on 230 00:12:09,559 --> 00:12:13,000 Speaker 1: the bench. Great movement of Patriots though, because like you know, 231 00:12:13,080 --> 00:12:15,520 Speaker 1: if they try to draft like an offensive player with 232 00:12:15,600 --> 00:12:17,640 Speaker 1: an early draft kick, they're gonna screw it up anyway. 233 00:12:17,679 --> 00:12:20,080 Speaker 1: It's gonna be like Kio Harry or like like they 234 00:12:20,120 --> 00:12:22,079 Speaker 1: it's never worked out for them when they're draft, Like 235 00:12:22,120 --> 00:12:25,040 Speaker 1: they passed on what is it WAMR Jackson and drafted 236 00:12:25,080 --> 00:12:27,880 Speaker 1: Tony Michelle, who was like, okay, great, you know he's 237 00:12:28,000 --> 00:12:30,880 Speaker 1: running back. But they always screw up these skill position 238 00:12:30,920 --> 00:12:33,560 Speaker 1: picks in the draft, so it probably wouldn't be too 239 00:12:33,559 --> 00:12:36,560 Speaker 1: bad for New England. All right, are you guys ready? 240 00:12:36,840 --> 00:12:40,079 Speaker 1: Let's talk some oscars, because here's what I want to do, Raybon. 241 00:12:41,440 --> 00:12:45,240 Speaker 1: I want to talk about the big categories like Best Picture, 242 00:12:45,800 --> 00:12:51,560 Speaker 1: Best Director, Best Actor, Best Actress, Supporting Actors, supporting Actress. 243 00:12:51,920 --> 00:12:54,920 Speaker 1: Then I want you to give me like your one. 244 00:12:55,760 --> 00:12:58,840 Speaker 1: No one's paying attention to this. I've done all the research. 245 00:12:59,120 --> 00:13:02,480 Speaker 1: I don't care how popular of category it is lock. 246 00:13:02,800 --> 00:13:07,920 Speaker 1: You know what I'm saying? All right? Got that? Yeah, 247 00:13:08,760 --> 00:13:11,640 Speaker 1: no such things, but I would do my best. You're 248 00:13:11,640 --> 00:13:14,760 Speaker 1: gonna do your best with with you there are like 249 00:13:15,400 --> 00:13:19,120 Speaker 1: you know, it's a lock that you're a charming ray 250 00:13:19,160 --> 00:13:22,600 Speaker 1: of sunshine. I appreciate that. I feel like nobody's vibing 251 00:13:22,640 --> 00:13:25,199 Speaker 1: with me today. All right, well are you high? Because 252 00:13:25,240 --> 00:13:29,040 Speaker 1: we are not just kidding? Hasn't happened to me yet 253 00:13:29,040 --> 00:13:33,600 Speaker 1: today only it's only one fifty in the afternoon. Here 254 00:13:33,600 --> 00:13:36,719 Speaker 1: we go, best picture. Here's what's crazy about this year. 255 00:13:37,120 --> 00:13:40,200 Speaker 1: I've seemed like three of these movies. Nomad Land that's 256 00:13:40,240 --> 00:13:45,199 Speaker 1: the one with Francis McDormand about her nomad like existence 257 00:13:45,320 --> 00:13:49,120 Speaker 1: in the American West. The Trial of the Chicago Seven, 258 00:13:49,520 --> 00:13:53,920 Speaker 1: which is the Aaron Sorkin movie that stars uh Sasha 259 00:13:53,960 --> 00:14:01,680 Speaker 1: Baron Cone and it's about um, the people who were 260 00:14:01,760 --> 00:14:07,520 Speaker 1: charged with starting a riot in Chicago in Manari. I 261 00:14:07,559 --> 00:14:11,160 Speaker 1: don't know Manari later, but I don't know it Manory 262 00:14:11,200 --> 00:14:15,920 Speaker 1: it's about It's about this uh Asian couple family that 263 00:14:16,000 --> 00:14:17,960 Speaker 1: comes over and they're trying to build, you know, the 264 00:14:17,960 --> 00:14:20,560 Speaker 1: American dream, and they suffer through a lot of different 265 00:14:20,720 --> 00:14:24,480 Speaker 1: um hardship, along the Way. Um, but it's a really 266 00:14:24,480 --> 00:14:32,520 Speaker 1: good movie. All right, Promising Young Woman? What is that? Simon? 267 00:14:32,600 --> 00:14:37,240 Speaker 1: Have you seen it? I it's on the list, Like 268 00:14:37,280 --> 00:14:39,600 Speaker 1: I watched I try to get watch these movies to 269 00:14:39,640 --> 00:14:41,080 Speaker 1: catch up to this thing that was the one that 270 00:14:41,080 --> 00:14:43,320 Speaker 1: didn't make the cut because I literally watched No Mainland. 271 00:14:43,400 --> 00:14:45,400 Speaker 1: I'm like, all right, I don't know if I'm the 272 00:14:45,440 --> 00:14:48,520 Speaker 1: right head space to go back to back on these. Probably. 273 00:14:48,520 --> 00:14:53,840 Speaker 1: Young Woman is like the controversial movie of this Oscar season. 274 00:14:53,880 --> 00:14:57,040 Speaker 1: I guess you could say it's about Terry Mulligan stars 275 00:14:57,080 --> 00:15:03,040 Speaker 1: as a woman who essentially goes to clubs and and 276 00:15:03,520 --> 00:15:07,840 Speaker 1: party spots and pretends to be drunk so she can 277 00:15:07,880 --> 00:15:14,360 Speaker 1: trick guys into trying to sexually, um, you know, come 278 00:15:14,400 --> 00:15:16,960 Speaker 1: on to her different. She gets too, wets to get 279 00:15:16,960 --> 00:15:19,040 Speaker 1: two different levels before she kind of wakes up and 280 00:15:19,040 --> 00:15:22,320 Speaker 1: it's like, what the hell are you doing? And then um, 281 00:15:22,360 --> 00:15:24,080 Speaker 1: but but we kind of find out the reason why 282 00:15:24,120 --> 00:15:27,040 Speaker 1: she's doing this, um is due to something that happening 283 00:15:27,560 --> 00:15:29,960 Speaker 1: in the past. And then she goes on kind of 284 00:15:30,160 --> 00:15:33,080 Speaker 1: a whole without spoiling it, you know, a whole kind 285 00:15:33,120 --> 00:15:37,360 Speaker 1: of dirty to to avenge some to pass demons and 286 00:15:37,800 --> 00:15:39,760 Speaker 1: it gets it gets pretty crazy, but it's it's it's 287 00:15:39,760 --> 00:15:44,840 Speaker 1: a very very controversial content. I guess you could say. 288 00:15:44,880 --> 00:15:47,200 Speaker 1: So that's that's kind of the controversial movie of the year. 289 00:15:47,240 --> 00:15:50,280 Speaker 1: That's what people need to know. Um, that could affect voters. 290 00:15:50,720 --> 00:15:53,000 Speaker 1: And I'm gonna check that one out for it's good. 291 00:15:53,040 --> 00:15:57,080 Speaker 1: It's really good. Mink I saw that was about Herman Mankewitz, 292 00:15:57,400 --> 00:16:02,640 Speaker 1: who wrote the movie Citizen Kane uh uh celebrated, celebrated. 293 00:16:02,640 --> 00:16:07,960 Speaker 1: Movie felt a little bit inside Hollywood to me. Uh, 294 00:16:08,040 --> 00:16:10,680 Speaker 1: I thought it was really good, but it was surprised 295 00:16:10,760 --> 00:16:14,360 Speaker 1: that it got as many nominations as it did. Judas 296 00:16:14,360 --> 00:16:20,320 Speaker 1: and The Black Messiah. Um, that is also about uh 297 00:16:20,440 --> 00:16:22,120 Speaker 1: what is that about again? If the same thing is 298 00:16:22,440 --> 00:16:25,240 Speaker 1: it's like similar to The Travelers Chicira Seven's about Fred 299 00:16:25,280 --> 00:16:28,760 Speaker 1: Hampton and that's right, black Panthers in the Yeah, so same, 300 00:16:28,800 --> 00:16:31,120 Speaker 1: that's the same kind of subject matter, that's right. And 301 00:16:31,120 --> 00:16:33,720 Speaker 1: then The Sound of Metal that's my favorite movie of 302 00:16:33,720 --> 00:16:36,360 Speaker 1: the year. Like if you haven't seen that movie, it's 303 00:16:36,440 --> 00:16:39,000 Speaker 1: super dark. It's about a guy who's like a metal 304 00:16:39,040 --> 00:16:41,440 Speaker 1: band drummer and he goes death. It's not a feel 305 00:16:41,480 --> 00:16:43,200 Speaker 1: good movie at all, Like it's not one of those 306 00:16:43,200 --> 00:16:45,560 Speaker 1: where again you feel good. It's literally one of these 307 00:16:45,560 --> 00:16:47,240 Speaker 1: that kind of stay with you for a couple of days, 308 00:16:47,280 --> 00:16:49,560 Speaker 1: if you like. Think back on which I like for 309 00:16:49,680 --> 00:16:53,280 Speaker 1: movies because it's it's a deep movie, so it actually 310 00:16:53,360 --> 00:16:57,040 Speaker 1: brings me to like you just said, with these oscars, uh, 311 00:16:57,240 --> 00:16:59,560 Speaker 1: we've never had one like this where it's like, you know, 312 00:17:00,000 --> 00:17:01,920 Speaker 1: like we can say people went to the movies, Chad. 313 00:17:02,040 --> 00:17:03,840 Speaker 1: Chad's here saying he didn't see me, like a lot 314 00:17:03,880 --> 00:17:05,600 Speaker 1: of us are in this boat where we haven't seen 315 00:17:05,600 --> 00:17:08,480 Speaker 1: a lot of these movies. For me, the best film 316 00:17:08,600 --> 00:17:12,560 Speaker 1: editing of Oscar, these odds are foun on DraftKings. Sound 317 00:17:12,560 --> 00:17:15,520 Speaker 1: of Metal right now is the favorite at minus and 318 00:17:15,560 --> 00:17:18,160 Speaker 1: then Trial of the Chicago Seven is minus one ten. 319 00:17:18,600 --> 00:17:20,960 Speaker 1: I love Sound of Medal so much, and the editing 320 00:17:21,000 --> 00:17:22,800 Speaker 1: in this movie is insane, Like I don't want to 321 00:17:22,880 --> 00:17:24,920 Speaker 1: ruin it again for people, but it's very unique the 322 00:17:24,920 --> 00:17:27,280 Speaker 1: way they did that movie. I feel like it's a 323 00:17:27,359 --> 00:17:31,680 Speaker 1: lock to win Best Film Editing at minus. Sign that 324 00:17:31,800 --> 00:17:34,240 Speaker 1: is already coming in here, and you know, Shark Attack 325 00:17:34,280 --> 00:17:36,440 Speaker 1: in my order. There's one more movie on the list, 326 00:17:36,760 --> 00:17:42,480 Speaker 1: The Father. I don't need any help from anyone. All 327 00:17:42,520 --> 00:17:45,320 Speaker 1: that want is for them to fuck off. It looks 328 00:17:45,359 --> 00:17:48,560 Speaker 1: like it's at plus ten thousand with an implied probability 329 00:17:48,640 --> 00:17:51,840 Speaker 1: of one. Thank god you got that in chest. I 330 00:17:51,880 --> 00:17:53,840 Speaker 1: want to be thorough. I want people to know, like 331 00:17:53,920 --> 00:17:56,439 Speaker 1: I have seen it getting some love in different categories, 332 00:17:56,480 --> 00:17:58,560 Speaker 1: and I think that one actually has some like sleep 333 00:17:58,640 --> 00:18:01,600 Speaker 1: repeal just not maybe not terrly in best Picture, but um, 334 00:18:01,720 --> 00:18:03,119 Speaker 1: just because it was one of the last ones to 335 00:18:03,440 --> 00:18:06,280 Speaker 1: come out, I think, um, it's not always reflected in 336 00:18:06,320 --> 00:18:08,080 Speaker 1: the odds, is like some of the ones that have 337 00:18:08,080 --> 00:18:11,000 Speaker 1: been out for longer. Alright, So Raybond, go ahead and 338 00:18:11,040 --> 00:18:15,240 Speaker 1: answer what Simon's question was best Film editing. That was 339 00:18:15,280 --> 00:18:16,879 Speaker 1: one of the ones, like when you said, you know, 340 00:18:16,960 --> 00:18:19,160 Speaker 1: kind of mention of random category, Chad. I was looking 341 00:18:19,200 --> 00:18:21,840 Speaker 1: at that one too, because it's one of these ones 342 00:18:21,840 --> 00:18:23,679 Speaker 1: where I like to look at gold Derby, which is 343 00:18:23,760 --> 00:18:25,760 Speaker 1: you know, they you have experts that kind of do 344 00:18:25,840 --> 00:18:29,560 Speaker 1: this every year and they pretty Bethan predicting the winners. 345 00:18:29,560 --> 00:18:32,600 Speaker 1: It's kind of like looking where the sharp money is going. Uh, 346 00:18:32,600 --> 00:18:36,199 Speaker 1: and they have sound of Metal just over half of 347 00:18:36,240 --> 00:18:38,359 Speaker 1: the experts, so it's still it is a you know, 348 00:18:38,440 --> 00:18:41,480 Speaker 1: close call, but um, you know it's more than the 349 00:18:41,520 --> 00:18:44,399 Speaker 1: implied odds, which you know are essentially giving it like 350 00:18:44,440 --> 00:18:49,720 Speaker 1: a fifty fifty shot with with with what what is 351 00:18:49,760 --> 00:18:54,320 Speaker 1: what is the other one? Trial? Yeah? And I mean 352 00:18:54,359 --> 00:18:56,439 Speaker 1: I don't know. I felt like Trial to Chicago seven 353 00:18:56,760 --> 00:19:00,000 Speaker 1: has just been a widow overrated this Home Oscar season. 354 00:19:00,040 --> 00:19:01,919 Speaker 1: So I don't know how to treat it, Like some 355 00:19:01,960 --> 00:19:04,280 Speaker 1: people think it's gonna win Best Picture, and I just 356 00:19:04,320 --> 00:19:06,960 Speaker 1: see it kind of interspersed through all like as a 357 00:19:06,960 --> 00:19:09,959 Speaker 1: contender in almost every category, and it's hard to get 358 00:19:10,000 --> 00:19:14,600 Speaker 1: to read truly on if that what's really going to 359 00:19:14,680 --> 00:19:16,720 Speaker 1: be the case or's just because it was it kind 360 00:19:16,720 --> 00:19:18,800 Speaker 1: of it's the bill for the for the longest this season. 361 00:19:18,880 --> 00:19:21,879 Speaker 1: So um yeah, I think there's value definitely on on 362 00:19:21,960 --> 00:19:25,200 Speaker 1: Sounded Metal. That's usually that like the editing category is 363 00:19:25,280 --> 00:19:28,920 Speaker 1: usually one where you know, something that doesn't necessarily win 364 00:19:29,240 --> 00:19:32,320 Speaker 1: a Best Picture or when a bunch of awards could 365 00:19:32,320 --> 00:19:34,719 Speaker 1: still win in that category. So yeah, I like, uh, 366 00:19:35,280 --> 00:19:37,840 Speaker 1: I'm with you, Sound It's interesting that you say that 367 00:19:37,880 --> 00:19:40,359 Speaker 1: about the Trial of the Chicago seven. Um, I do 368 00:19:40,400 --> 00:19:45,280 Speaker 1: want to get the Best Picture because that's obviously the headliner. Uh. 369 00:19:45,320 --> 00:19:48,920 Speaker 1: I Admittedly I only saw three of the ten movies 370 00:19:49,080 --> 00:19:51,560 Speaker 1: or however many movies are on this list nine movies. 371 00:19:51,880 --> 00:19:57,119 Speaker 1: I saw Nomad Land Chicago seven. I saw mank Um 372 00:19:57,160 --> 00:20:01,320 Speaker 1: and Chicago seven. I'm an Aaron sork In a file. 373 00:20:01,840 --> 00:20:04,119 Speaker 1: I still watched The West Wing. I'm going through the 374 00:20:04,280 --> 00:20:07,560 Speaker 1: entire series with my older kid. Now. You know, I 375 00:20:07,560 --> 00:20:12,440 Speaker 1: would hate watch The news Room. Uh. And like I'll 376 00:20:12,440 --> 00:20:16,639 Speaker 1: still watch American President. I'll still watch like every movie 377 00:20:16,680 --> 00:20:19,520 Speaker 1: that he's made, you know, I want to see, um, 378 00:20:19,560 --> 00:20:21,960 Speaker 1: every show that he's done, I want to watch. I 379 00:20:22,000 --> 00:20:26,080 Speaker 1: watched this. I found it kind of long, kind of boring, 380 00:20:26,600 --> 00:20:30,840 Speaker 1: kind of predictable. Um. I didn't feel it was very dramatic. 381 00:20:31,119 --> 00:20:32,800 Speaker 1: I felt the way he shot it and like the 382 00:20:32,800 --> 00:20:35,359 Speaker 1: way it looked as a director. It looked almost like 383 00:20:35,400 --> 00:20:39,000 Speaker 1: an after school special. It didn't feel like gritty Chicago. 384 00:20:40,600 --> 00:20:44,399 Speaker 1: It felt like what you showed in an NBC sort 385 00:20:44,440 --> 00:20:48,120 Speaker 1: of uh, you know, primetime movie of the week. That's 386 00:20:48,119 --> 00:20:50,040 Speaker 1: how it looked to me. I don't know why it's 387 00:20:50,040 --> 00:20:55,440 Speaker 1: getting so much love. Am I wrong, Raybon Simon, anyone? 388 00:20:55,840 --> 00:20:57,480 Speaker 1: I just I just feel like it kind of fit 389 00:20:57,560 --> 00:20:59,720 Speaker 1: the bill. You know, it had you know, it had 390 00:20:59,720 --> 00:21:02,679 Speaker 1: staff for Baron Cohen, who's also nominated for another movie, 391 00:21:02,680 --> 00:21:05,440 Speaker 1: So you know, it kind of had not the actor 392 00:21:06,080 --> 00:21:09,879 Speaker 1: out you had Aaron Sorkin. It's about you know something, 393 00:21:10,600 --> 00:21:15,119 Speaker 1: uh that's somewhat politically relevant even now. I've had some 394 00:21:15,200 --> 00:21:18,679 Speaker 1: creative minds in it. Pretty large cast. Um, you know 395 00:21:18,760 --> 00:21:20,239 Speaker 1: it kind of it's like I said, it touched on 396 00:21:20,280 --> 00:21:23,720 Speaker 1: some of the subject matter of of Judas in the 397 00:21:23,720 --> 00:21:26,080 Speaker 1: Black Massiah. So I just felt like it it kind 398 00:21:26,119 --> 00:21:30,160 Speaker 1: of captured the whole season maybe, and I think that's 399 00:21:30,160 --> 00:21:32,359 Speaker 1: why it's kind of been been a front runner. But 400 00:21:32,440 --> 00:21:35,000 Speaker 1: I don't know if it's really like I'm I'm kind 401 00:21:35,000 --> 00:21:36,720 Speaker 1: of with you. I don't know if it's necessarily just 402 00:21:36,840 --> 00:21:40,240 Speaker 1: as deserving as some of the other movies. I just 403 00:21:40,240 --> 00:21:42,359 Speaker 1: think it kind of captures this season well, and for 404 00:21:42,400 --> 00:21:45,400 Speaker 1: somebody that hasn't seen all of the movies, and what's 405 00:21:45,600 --> 00:21:47,240 Speaker 1: even some of the critics and people that vote don't 406 00:21:47,280 --> 00:21:50,080 Speaker 1: necessarily see all the movies, um or and people that 407 00:21:50,119 --> 00:21:53,120 Speaker 1: make the odds definitely don't. So um, I think that's 408 00:21:53,240 --> 00:21:56,720 Speaker 1: kind of where we're at with with that movie. Yeah, 409 00:21:56,760 --> 00:21:59,040 Speaker 1: it's it's definitely like you just said, it's gonna be 410 00:21:59,119 --> 00:22:03,440 Speaker 1: so interesting. What's gonna app these betting everything like we'll 411 00:22:03,440 --> 00:22:06,080 Speaker 1: talk about Best Picture. I mean, just as a joke 412 00:22:06,280 --> 00:22:09,080 Speaker 1: to me, best picture should be contagious. It's incredible how 413 00:22:10,119 --> 00:22:13,520 Speaker 1: the movie contagions some time that you're perfectly but I 414 00:22:13,560 --> 00:22:15,000 Speaker 1: know you guys want to dive in the Best Picture. 415 00:22:15,000 --> 00:22:16,959 Speaker 1: I would love to hear your taking all this because 416 00:22:17,119 --> 00:22:20,600 Speaker 1: it's so interesting how Normanland is overwhelming favorite in a 417 00:22:20,720 --> 00:22:24,200 Speaker 1: year that how how are they such a huge favorite 418 00:22:24,240 --> 00:22:26,480 Speaker 1: compared to all these other movies. Bro, When when I 419 00:22:26,520 --> 00:22:29,600 Speaker 1: saw Nomad Land, my first stuff for Nomad Wanding Best 420 00:22:29,600 --> 00:22:32,639 Speaker 1: Picture was like the first two editors like no, like 421 00:22:32,800 --> 00:22:36,960 Speaker 1: I don't. I just didn't get it. Like when I 422 00:22:36,960 --> 00:22:39,520 Speaker 1: saw a Nomad Wan, I thought like Francis McDorman, I 423 00:22:39,600 --> 00:22:42,040 Speaker 1: was like, Okay, she could win Best Actress because she 424 00:22:42,200 --> 00:22:45,000 Speaker 1: was the whole movie like this was. And you know 425 00:22:45,000 --> 00:22:48,119 Speaker 1: they're saying, Choe Jao, the director is like, she's like 426 00:22:48,160 --> 00:22:51,199 Speaker 1: the biggest lock of you know, the Steven which he's 427 00:22:51,200 --> 00:22:53,160 Speaker 1: always gotta be careful, because I think that was Sam 428 00:22:53,200 --> 00:22:56,600 Speaker 1: Mendez last year for for nineteen seventeen and he ended 429 00:22:56,680 --> 00:23:01,199 Speaker 1: up losing to the director of Parasite, which also won 430 00:23:01,280 --> 00:23:03,320 Speaker 1: Best Picture. So I think you gotta that that could 431 00:23:03,359 --> 00:23:05,600 Speaker 1: be kind of a big upset category. But for me, 432 00:23:05,680 --> 00:23:07,480 Speaker 1: I just started didn't have enough of a plot, which 433 00:23:07,520 --> 00:23:09,560 Speaker 1: was purposeful because it's supposed to make you feel like 434 00:23:09,560 --> 00:23:11,639 Speaker 1: a nomad. But I just didn't think it was the 435 00:23:11,680 --> 00:23:14,240 Speaker 1: best picture. Um. I didn't think it was best picture 436 00:23:14,280 --> 00:23:17,520 Speaker 1: material too. For me personally, I've seen all the movies 437 00:23:17,640 --> 00:23:21,040 Speaker 1: except UM I did. I did not see The Father, 438 00:23:21,200 --> 00:23:24,359 Speaker 1: so again that could be that could and sounded metal, 439 00:23:24,440 --> 00:23:28,240 Speaker 1: so the two UM and I know it sounded metals 440 00:23:28,240 --> 00:23:29,560 Speaker 1: about like I saw a bunch of trailers, so I 441 00:23:29,600 --> 00:23:31,760 Speaker 1: do want to see it, but just fu disclosure, I 442 00:23:31,800 --> 00:23:35,080 Speaker 1: haven't seen Thoes, so I've seen the other six. Uh. 443 00:23:35,280 --> 00:23:38,000 Speaker 1: I would just kind of not looking in. In the odds, 444 00:23:38,040 --> 00:23:42,760 Speaker 1: I would have said Manory or Promising Young Women like 445 00:23:42,800 --> 00:23:45,000 Speaker 1: those would have been the two UM that I would 446 00:23:45,000 --> 00:23:48,639 Speaker 1: have picked. Now on gold Derby, there's been twenty seven 447 00:23:48,640 --> 00:23:50,679 Speaker 1: expert votes and they they changed their votes right up 448 00:23:50,720 --> 00:23:53,040 Speaker 1: to the time, so they may change a widow again. 449 00:23:53,080 --> 00:23:56,960 Speaker 1: But UM Manory and Promising Young Women both do have votes, 450 00:23:57,000 --> 00:23:59,680 Speaker 1: so they Manory has three of twenty seven and Promising 451 00:23:59,720 --> 00:24:03,119 Speaker 1: Young one and has one UM since the preferential ballot, 452 00:24:03,160 --> 00:24:05,280 Speaker 1: remember like the last ten years or so kind of 453 00:24:05,280 --> 00:24:07,760 Speaker 1: eleven years. I think it was twenty nine. Um, there's 454 00:24:07,760 --> 00:24:10,159 Speaker 1: been a preferential ballot, which means you rank each picture. 455 00:24:10,359 --> 00:24:13,399 Speaker 1: It's unlike the other categories the way they vote. So 456 00:24:13,800 --> 00:24:16,560 Speaker 1: no mad Land, it's gonna get a lot of number 457 00:24:16,560 --> 00:24:19,520 Speaker 1: one votes. But like like you said, Simon, it's like 458 00:24:20,040 --> 00:24:23,120 Speaker 1: it's kind of it's not it's not like a lock, 459 00:24:23,240 --> 00:24:25,640 Speaker 1: so it might not get a lot of number two 460 00:24:25,640 --> 00:24:28,479 Speaker 1: and threes. And what we've seen almost every year, if 461 00:24:28,520 --> 00:24:31,960 Speaker 1: you look back at like the favorite and then you 462 00:24:32,000 --> 00:24:34,320 Speaker 1: look at who actually one best picture, you see the 463 00:24:34,440 --> 00:24:36,760 Speaker 1: number two, the number three of the number like somewhere 464 00:24:36,800 --> 00:24:39,719 Speaker 1: in that that next year, but not the favorite winning 465 00:24:39,760 --> 00:24:43,320 Speaker 1: Like last year, Parasite was like the number two. Uh 466 00:24:43,520 --> 00:24:46,560 Speaker 1: it was Moonlight was like the number three a couple 467 00:24:46,600 --> 00:24:49,280 Speaker 1: of years ago. Uh, the Shape of Water was like 468 00:24:49,359 --> 00:24:52,240 Speaker 1: number two. Like, so I think you have to consider 469 00:24:52,359 --> 00:24:55,159 Speaker 1: Manory and promising young Woman and then try out of 470 00:24:55,280 --> 00:24:59,120 Speaker 1: Chicago seven as well, just because it's still in that conversation. 471 00:24:59,600 --> 00:25:02,680 Speaker 1: I don't know it's deserving, but I would say it's 472 00:25:02,720 --> 00:25:05,800 Speaker 1: the mustade. No mad Win is a mustad at this 473 00:25:05,840 --> 00:25:08,920 Speaker 1: point because we just haven't seen that favorite win. Uh. 474 00:25:08,960 --> 00:25:12,040 Speaker 1: And I think it's overrated. Just anyway. So you have 475 00:25:12,119 --> 00:25:15,960 Speaker 1: Manory at fourteen one, you have Promising Young Woman at 476 00:25:16,000 --> 00:25:18,080 Speaker 1: seventeen to one, and then you have Trial to Chicago 477 00:25:18,160 --> 00:25:20,880 Speaker 1: seven at six to one. I think you can kind 478 00:25:20,880 --> 00:25:24,240 Speaker 1: of you can kind of split your your bet among 479 00:25:24,359 --> 00:25:27,920 Speaker 1: those three. And as long as no Mad Wand doesn't 480 00:25:27,920 --> 00:25:30,439 Speaker 1: win and it's minus six seventy, um, you should be 481 00:25:30,480 --> 00:25:34,600 Speaker 1: profitable because it should be one of those four coming 482 00:25:34,600 --> 00:25:38,160 Speaker 1: out of the gate hot fading favorite in Best Picture, 483 00:25:39,200 --> 00:25:41,600 Speaker 1: Best Picture. You just have to like gets look back, 484 00:25:41,720 --> 00:25:44,160 Speaker 1: just go on golderb and just look back year by year, 485 00:25:44,320 --> 00:25:46,119 Speaker 1: because they'll show you the favorite, which is also the 486 00:25:46,160 --> 00:25:49,440 Speaker 1: betting favorite, which will be the expert favorite to almost 487 00:25:49,480 --> 00:25:52,720 Speaker 1: every year it just doesn't win. It just doesn't happen anymore. 488 00:25:52,760 --> 00:25:55,879 Speaker 1: It's and it's it's because of that preferential bout right, 489 00:25:55,960 --> 00:25:57,520 Speaker 1: And you just exactly what I'm trying to say, Like, 490 00:25:57,560 --> 00:25:59,680 Speaker 1: that's it's so funny how Hollywood hypes up these things. 491 00:25:59,680 --> 00:26:02,320 Speaker 1: Were like, well, and no, man, there's only three three 492 00:26:02,320 --> 00:26:04,640 Speaker 1: actors in the whole movie. Everyone else are just real 493 00:26:04,720 --> 00:26:07,200 Speaker 1: people in this movie. And it's like, yeah, that's great, 494 00:26:07,200 --> 00:26:08,959 Speaker 1: but you can tell when you watch that movie. It's not, 495 00:26:09,520 --> 00:26:12,239 Speaker 1: you know, the greatest movie. So I love what your 496 00:26:12,240 --> 00:26:15,320 Speaker 1: heads I I think there's really good value right now 497 00:26:15,359 --> 00:26:17,480 Speaker 1: and picking one of these upsets and let me and 498 00:26:17,760 --> 00:26:20,919 Speaker 1: then we add to that real quick A big reason 499 00:26:21,000 --> 00:26:24,760 Speaker 1: No bad Land is the favorite. And you know, precursors 500 00:26:24,880 --> 00:26:29,920 Speaker 1: right now, remember the nineteen seventeen last year, precursors made 501 00:26:29,920 --> 00:26:31,840 Speaker 1: it a favorite. Well was the thing that kind of 502 00:26:31,920 --> 00:26:35,800 Speaker 1: kicked that off. The Golden Globes. Golden Globes again this year. 503 00:26:35,840 --> 00:26:39,040 Speaker 1: You know, they had their ceremony before most other uh 504 00:26:39,080 --> 00:26:41,240 Speaker 1: you know, awards shows had their ceremony. Everyone kind of 505 00:26:41,240 --> 00:26:42,520 Speaker 1: looked at the Golden Globes like, all right, how are 506 00:26:42,520 --> 00:26:44,639 Speaker 1: they gonna do it during the pandemic and then everyone 507 00:26:44,640 --> 00:26:46,879 Speaker 1: went from there, So nomad when I want at the 508 00:26:46,920 --> 00:26:50,720 Speaker 1: Golden votes. But remember the Golden Globes are like nineties people, 509 00:26:51,280 --> 00:26:53,400 Speaker 1: the Actor, the Lake, you know, a couple of weeks 510 00:26:53,440 --> 00:26:56,639 Speaker 1: with thousands, you know, so it's you're going from a 511 00:26:56,640 --> 00:26:59,879 Speaker 1: small sample and a lot of variants to you know, 512 00:27:00,000 --> 00:27:03,040 Speaker 1: a much larger sample that's not gonna behave necessarily like 513 00:27:03,119 --> 00:27:06,800 Speaker 1: those voters. And it's a different balloting system. And so 514 00:27:07,160 --> 00:27:09,239 Speaker 1: just like you had nineteen seventeen. Well, you know they 515 00:27:09,280 --> 00:27:10,760 Speaker 1: wanted at the globes and then you know that had 516 00:27:10,800 --> 00:27:13,840 Speaker 1: some other precursors. Obviously no medal lands in that same boat. 517 00:27:13,880 --> 00:27:15,520 Speaker 1: And I think that's what a lot of times you see, 518 00:27:15,520 --> 00:27:18,240 Speaker 1: it's just those whatever kind of sets the bar for 519 00:27:18,320 --> 00:27:21,399 Speaker 1: the Oscar season, you just kind of the you know, 520 00:27:21,440 --> 00:27:23,639 Speaker 1: if you don't expert predicted, this isn't like there's not 521 00:27:23,680 --> 00:27:25,280 Speaker 1: like huge money on this the way there is on 522 00:27:25,320 --> 00:27:27,480 Speaker 1: like a football game, where the market is just gonna 523 00:27:27,520 --> 00:27:30,080 Speaker 1: even add out, you know, like it's if theyf they 524 00:27:30,200 --> 00:27:32,240 Speaker 1: if the books come out with a bad line for 525 00:27:32,280 --> 00:27:34,720 Speaker 1: the super Bowl in those two weeks, you best believe 526 00:27:34,760 --> 00:27:38,000 Speaker 1: the headline is gonna become efficient because it's gonna get hammered. 527 00:27:38,160 --> 00:27:40,480 Speaker 1: It's not like that in the in the Oscars market, 528 00:27:40,600 --> 00:27:43,080 Speaker 1: it's like whatever kind of sets that bar, it's just 529 00:27:43,080 --> 00:27:45,480 Speaker 1: gonna go. It's just gonna keep going, even if it's 530 00:27:45,560 --> 00:27:53,840 Speaker 1: kind of it's not necessarily correct. So um, the director 531 00:27:53,920 --> 00:28:02,760 Speaker 1: of Nomad Land, Chloe jaw is that minus three thirty 532 00:28:02,880 --> 00:28:09,119 Speaker 1: three thousand, the implied probability on her is nine seven 533 00:28:09,200 --> 00:28:12,760 Speaker 1: point one percent. Then you've got David Fincher, Lee, Isaac 534 00:28:12,840 --> 00:28:19,560 Speaker 1: Chung Emerald Finelli and uh Fennel and Thomas Vinterberg. So 535 00:28:21,280 --> 00:28:24,760 Speaker 1: this chat you gotta say that, you gotta say the 536 00:28:24,760 --> 00:28:31,040 Speaker 1: movies for these people, because David Fincher did make Uh Lee, 537 00:28:31,119 --> 00:28:36,240 Speaker 1: Isaac Chung did Manory, Emerald Finell did Promising Young Woman, 538 00:28:36,720 --> 00:28:43,200 Speaker 1: and Thomas Vinterberg did. Another round, Um, is this one 539 00:28:43,280 --> 00:28:47,600 Speaker 1: where you fade as well? Because uh, Chloe Jah is 540 00:28:47,680 --> 00:28:53,600 Speaker 1: such a heavy, heavy favorite in my opinion, absolutely, because 541 00:28:53,600 --> 00:28:55,760 Speaker 1: the most number one, you're not betting on Chloe Jao 542 00:28:56,720 --> 00:28:59,720 Speaker 1: if you think she's gonna win, You're not betting minus 543 00:29:00,200 --> 00:29:02,760 Speaker 1: three thousand, three hundred and thirty five, right, You're just 544 00:29:02,800 --> 00:29:05,800 Speaker 1: not going to touch the category. But as I mentioned, 545 00:29:05,800 --> 00:29:08,800 Speaker 1: this is these are the others are very similar to 546 00:29:09,040 --> 00:29:13,560 Speaker 1: Sam Mendez who last year nineteen seventeen was the favorite. 547 00:29:14,320 --> 00:29:17,680 Speaker 1: Mendez was the favorite nineteen seventeen one at the Globes. 548 00:29:18,200 --> 00:29:22,080 Speaker 1: Uh Mendez one at the Globes. This is the same situation. 549 00:29:22,280 --> 00:29:25,240 Speaker 1: So I would say, if you think it's jaw and 550 00:29:25,280 --> 00:29:27,120 Speaker 1: you think it's as much of a lock and and 551 00:29:27,280 --> 00:29:30,440 Speaker 1: or you're just a pro nomad Land Best Picture, which 552 00:29:30,760 --> 00:29:33,080 Speaker 1: I'm not. I don't I don't think we should be. 553 00:29:33,120 --> 00:29:36,160 Speaker 1: But if you are just leave it alone. I think 554 00:29:36,480 --> 00:29:39,680 Speaker 1: there's definitely value, just the way there's value in the 555 00:29:39,680 --> 00:29:43,320 Speaker 1: Best Picture odds on the two films that could win 556 00:29:43,400 --> 00:29:45,640 Speaker 1: Best Picture, because that's what happened with the upset last year. 557 00:29:45,680 --> 00:29:48,680 Speaker 1: It was Ho jung Um. Give me if I'm not 558 00:29:48,680 --> 00:29:52,040 Speaker 1: playing it right, but Bong Jong un Um of Parasite, 559 00:29:52,280 --> 00:29:54,120 Speaker 1: I bean, we've won this award. So I think you 560 00:29:54,200 --> 00:29:57,560 Speaker 1: look at Wee Isaac Chung for Minarea at seventeen to one, 561 00:29:58,120 --> 00:30:00,600 Speaker 1: and you and uh, and you look at Road Fennel 562 00:30:00,880 --> 00:30:03,840 Speaker 1: for Promising Young Woman at twenty one, because again, these 563 00:30:03,840 --> 00:30:06,560 Speaker 1: are two like if I had just you know, kind 564 00:30:06,560 --> 00:30:08,720 Speaker 1: of took the favorites out of this, I would have 565 00:30:08,760 --> 00:30:10,320 Speaker 1: said this would be a lot closer. Like I think 566 00:30:10,800 --> 00:30:14,800 Speaker 1: I was definitely deserving of the award. But it's very 567 00:30:14,880 --> 00:30:19,880 Speaker 1: possible that uh, you know, Minory or Promising Young Woman, 568 00:30:20,280 --> 00:30:23,240 Speaker 1: given that they're in the Best Picture conversation and they 569 00:30:23,280 --> 00:30:25,360 Speaker 1: were both very well directed films. Like I don't, I 570 00:30:25,400 --> 00:30:27,400 Speaker 1: just don't think there's just it's this much of a 571 00:30:27,440 --> 00:30:29,440 Speaker 1: walk and and you know, people thought of that about 572 00:30:29,480 --> 00:30:32,120 Speaker 1: Mendez and it wasn't true. And so I think you 573 00:30:32,160 --> 00:30:33,760 Speaker 1: go right back to the well and I think you 574 00:30:33,840 --> 00:30:37,080 Speaker 1: also think about parlaying. If your book Lexy parlay, uh 575 00:30:37,160 --> 00:30:40,200 Speaker 1: you parlay your Best Picture winner, Like if you want 576 00:30:40,200 --> 00:30:43,479 Speaker 1: to do Weasac Chung for Manari and then um with 577 00:30:43,560 --> 00:30:46,200 Speaker 1: Minari for Best Picture, or you or you do Emerald 578 00:30:46,200 --> 00:30:49,120 Speaker 1: Fennel and then you parlay that with a promising young 579 00:30:49,160 --> 00:30:52,120 Speaker 1: woman for Best Picture, that would be just a umongest 580 00:30:52,200 --> 00:30:55,560 Speaker 1: payout uh so for both. So um that's how I think. 581 00:30:55,720 --> 00:30:58,600 Speaker 1: That's how I'm approaching these. It's a doge coin payout 582 00:31:01,560 --> 00:31:05,320 Speaker 1: pay out. I do want to get the best actress, 583 00:31:05,400 --> 00:31:07,520 Speaker 1: but I actually I want that to be our last 584 00:31:07,560 --> 00:31:11,320 Speaker 1: one because that's the one where there is the most suspense. 585 00:31:11,800 --> 00:31:13,880 Speaker 1: Was like, you look Best Picture, you look, Best Director, 586 00:31:13,920 --> 00:31:17,280 Speaker 1: you look Best Actor. The implied probability for each one 587 00:31:17,280 --> 00:31:20,440 Speaker 1: of those categories for the leading contender is north of 588 00:31:21,760 --> 00:31:25,400 Speaker 1: and so let's do best Actor because best Actor Chadwick 589 00:31:25,440 --> 00:31:28,800 Speaker 1: Boseman for Mom Rainy's Black Bottom, He's at minus sixteen 590 00:31:28,840 --> 00:31:33,680 Speaker 1: sixty seven nine four point three imply probability. Uh. Anthony 591 00:31:33,720 --> 00:31:37,840 Speaker 1: Hopkins for The Father, Thank You for Everything, riz Ahmed 592 00:31:37,920 --> 00:31:40,440 Speaker 1: for the Sound of Medal, Stephen Yune for Manery, and 593 00:31:40,480 --> 00:31:44,680 Speaker 1: Gary Oldman for mank round out the rest of the candidates. 594 00:31:45,000 --> 00:31:50,000 Speaker 1: UH for Best Actor, but again Bozeman at minus sixteen 595 00:31:50,040 --> 00:31:56,680 Speaker 1: sixty seven nine point three probability. Also the the the 596 00:31:56,760 --> 00:32:02,720 Speaker 1: Academy tends to award Skurs posthumously. Yeah, I'm not betting 597 00:32:02,720 --> 00:32:04,720 Speaker 1: against Chadwick. I mean, I'm not saying better on him. 598 00:32:04,720 --> 00:32:07,480 Speaker 1: It's sixteen sixteen sixty seven. I think that's just the 599 00:32:07,560 --> 00:32:11,760 Speaker 1: stay away. But like, that's one where I think, Like, again, 600 00:32:11,800 --> 00:32:13,920 Speaker 1: I haven't seen The Father. I've heard good things. I 601 00:32:13,920 --> 00:32:17,000 Speaker 1: think Anthony Hopkins, you know, from whatever I've seen him in, 602 00:32:17,200 --> 00:32:22,600 Speaker 1: he's always been great. Cheers. Oh do you know? I 603 00:32:22,600 --> 00:32:25,240 Speaker 1: give everything I owned from the glass of you agree? 604 00:32:25,600 --> 00:32:29,760 Speaker 1: But I just don't think that's gonna overcome the support 605 00:32:29,840 --> 00:32:33,040 Speaker 1: for Bozeman to win posthumously. And like I saw Ma 606 00:32:33,200 --> 00:32:35,040 Speaker 1: Rainey's Black Bottom, and I didn't think it was a 607 00:32:35,080 --> 00:32:38,040 Speaker 1: great movie. But um, I think Chadwick was good. It 608 00:32:38,080 --> 00:32:39,480 Speaker 1: was great in it. It was just kind of an 609 00:32:39,480 --> 00:32:41,280 Speaker 1: awkward movie. I think it might have played better. It 610 00:32:41,360 --> 00:32:42,840 Speaker 1: was like a play or something. I don't know. It 611 00:32:42,920 --> 00:32:48,120 Speaker 1: was weird. But um, that's one where I don't see 612 00:32:48,160 --> 00:32:51,960 Speaker 1: the same kind of value on like fading a big 613 00:32:52,000 --> 00:32:55,000 Speaker 1: favorite as I see on best kritch your best director, 614 00:32:55,400 --> 00:32:57,520 Speaker 1: because those are kind of related, right, Like those are 615 00:32:57,600 --> 00:32:59,920 Speaker 1: kind of it's whatever you think the best film is 616 00:33:00,480 --> 00:33:04,480 Speaker 1: and and and where with the best actor? You know, 617 00:33:04,560 --> 00:33:06,120 Speaker 1: I just don't I think it's you know, I think 618 00:33:06,160 --> 00:33:08,640 Speaker 1: a lot of people may probably think it's either Chadwick 619 00:33:08,680 --> 00:33:12,120 Speaker 1: or Anthony. But because it's posthumous, I think that's why 620 00:33:12,160 --> 00:33:16,240 Speaker 1: you're seeing the you know, Catwick, Yeah, you got you 621 00:33:16,280 --> 00:33:19,320 Speaker 1: gotta go Chadwick there, Like there's That's why I I 622 00:33:19,840 --> 00:33:21,400 Speaker 1: skipped over a little bit because I just when I 623 00:33:21,400 --> 00:33:24,080 Speaker 1: saw that, I'm just thinking myself, how do they not 624 00:33:24,120 --> 00:33:26,760 Speaker 1: give it to him? Everything he's done, especially for actors 625 00:33:26,760 --> 00:33:30,000 Speaker 1: out there, it's it's gotta be Chadwick. Well, then let's 626 00:33:30,000 --> 00:33:33,120 Speaker 1: ask your best actress question. So who do you love? Man? 627 00:33:33,240 --> 00:33:35,560 Speaker 1: Like you talked about Frances, I love that value right 628 00:33:35,560 --> 00:33:38,480 Speaker 1: now plus four hundred for no Man. It's it feels 629 00:33:38,560 --> 00:33:42,560 Speaker 1: like she's such an established actor that her and like 630 00:33:42,640 --> 00:33:45,440 Speaker 1: Violet Davis I love during Black Bottoms. They're both these 631 00:33:45,440 --> 00:33:48,480 Speaker 1: actresses I just see having a great value right now 632 00:33:48,480 --> 00:33:51,640 Speaker 1: because Violet is plus two hundred and Frances plus four hundred, 633 00:33:51,680 --> 00:33:53,880 Speaker 1: and I am I crazy for just Ben both of them. 634 00:33:54,000 --> 00:33:56,000 Speaker 1: Let's round out. Let's round out the list though, just 635 00:33:56,040 --> 00:34:00,000 Speaker 1: so people know. Carrie Mulligan Promising Young Woman at plus 636 00:34:00,400 --> 00:34:04,080 Speaker 1: Viola Davis, Mo Rainy's Black Bottom plus two hundred, Francis 637 00:34:04,160 --> 00:34:08,320 Speaker 1: McDormand Nomad Land plus four hundred, Andrew Day the United 638 00:34:08,320 --> 00:34:12,760 Speaker 1: States versus Billy Howday plus six hundred, Vanessa Kirby Pieces 639 00:34:12,760 --> 00:34:17,440 Speaker 1: of a Woman plus two thousand. Andrew Day also prominently 640 00:34:17,480 --> 00:34:23,759 Speaker 1: featured in many peloton stretching sessions. Her music always a 641 00:34:23,760 --> 00:34:27,719 Speaker 1: pleasure by the way. Shouts to Andrew Day. I I 642 00:34:27,760 --> 00:34:30,920 Speaker 1: got her at fifty one to win the Globe. Uh 643 00:34:31,120 --> 00:34:35,520 Speaker 1: and she did. Yeah. Shouts to Andrew Day, Simon. I 644 00:34:35,520 --> 00:34:39,040 Speaker 1: would say, Francis and and I would say, on your day? 645 00:34:39,120 --> 00:34:42,320 Speaker 1: Is the value even over Viola Davis um Having seen 646 00:34:42,960 --> 00:34:47,279 Speaker 1: Billy Howiday and Mo Rainy's Black Bottom, like again, I 647 00:34:47,280 --> 00:34:50,440 Speaker 1: thought I was very underwhelming Morainy's Black Bottom, and I 648 00:34:50,480 --> 00:34:54,799 Speaker 1: think Viola Davis just didn't have as much of a part, 649 00:34:55,000 --> 00:34:56,719 Speaker 1: like like it was like very like it was like 650 00:34:57,960 --> 00:34:59,719 Speaker 1: I think Chadwick. Both of them kind of stole the 651 00:34:59,719 --> 00:35:02,400 Speaker 1: show that in that movie. In Viola Davis, she was good, 652 00:35:02,440 --> 00:35:06,839 Speaker 1: but I just it wasn't a better performance than Andre Day, 653 00:35:06,840 --> 00:35:09,920 Speaker 1: who was like the whole movie of Billy Holloway like 654 00:35:09,960 --> 00:35:12,280 Speaker 1: she and it's kind of like Francis McDorman, Like Francis 655 00:35:12,360 --> 00:35:16,440 Speaker 1: mcdormant was that whole movie. Uh nomad wins. So I 656 00:35:16,560 --> 00:35:19,720 Speaker 1: like Francis a lot at at at plus four hundred, 657 00:35:19,719 --> 00:35:23,560 Speaker 1: and I like Andre Day, who's at plus six hundred. Um, 658 00:35:23,560 --> 00:35:26,080 Speaker 1: I think both of those have a really big shot. Um. 659 00:35:26,160 --> 00:35:28,680 Speaker 1: Terry Motigan has kind of been the favorite, you know, 660 00:35:28,960 --> 00:35:31,640 Speaker 1: throughout the season, but even on gold Derby, but it's 661 00:35:31,640 --> 00:35:35,000 Speaker 1: it's split. They have four different actresses out of the five. 662 00:35:35,440 --> 00:35:38,480 Speaker 1: Carry has twelve of the twenty seven votes right now, 663 00:35:38,600 --> 00:35:42,400 Speaker 1: Viola has eight, Andreds five and McDorman has two. So 664 00:35:42,480 --> 00:35:46,640 Speaker 1: anytime you see uh any like something with more than zero, 665 00:35:47,120 --> 00:35:49,879 Speaker 1: they're usually in the running. Like it's somebody with zero 666 00:35:49,920 --> 00:35:54,359 Speaker 1: gold Derby votes almost never wins um opposing upset. But 667 00:35:54,640 --> 00:35:56,719 Speaker 1: if you have at least one, then you can start 668 00:35:56,840 --> 00:35:59,759 Speaker 1: kind of calculating the probabilities and and you know, giving 669 00:35:59,800 --> 00:36:02,239 Speaker 1: them some some true odds. And um, yeah, I think 670 00:36:02,680 --> 00:36:05,560 Speaker 1: I'm going Andre Day and McDorman. Um, And I think 671 00:36:05,560 --> 00:36:07,439 Speaker 1: this will come down to the wire too, So I'll 672 00:36:07,440 --> 00:36:09,480 Speaker 1: be checking kind if there's gonna be any updates to 673 00:36:09,719 --> 00:36:12,320 Speaker 1: let the expert think on this one. Probably lay in 674 00:36:12,360 --> 00:36:15,440 Speaker 1: my final bet, but um, I think, yeah, I I 675 00:36:15,480 --> 00:36:19,120 Speaker 1: love Francis and I love Andre. Yeah, And I was 676 00:36:19,160 --> 00:36:21,439 Speaker 1: just sit on Violet because I just seeing that movie. 677 00:36:21,680 --> 00:36:22,880 Speaker 1: I know you were, like you said, she wasn't a 678 00:36:22,880 --> 00:36:24,279 Speaker 1: ton of parts, but she was just one of those 679 00:36:24,280 --> 00:36:27,120 Speaker 1: where like her presence, I couldn't take my eyes off her. 680 00:36:27,239 --> 00:36:29,240 Speaker 1: I just like she was really powerful in that movie. 681 00:36:29,280 --> 00:36:31,239 Speaker 1: So that's the reason I like those odds. But like 682 00:36:31,320 --> 00:36:33,680 Speaker 1: you just said, I'd much rather take plus four hundred 683 00:36:33,719 --> 00:36:35,719 Speaker 1: plus six hundred, then said on plus two hundred. So 684 00:36:36,200 --> 00:36:39,040 Speaker 1: I'll ride there on that with you. Uh, it's this. 685 00:36:39,239 --> 00:36:43,120 Speaker 1: You know what's exciting to me right now? I'm understanding 686 00:36:43,719 --> 00:36:51,440 Speaker 1: why Carrie Mulligan and uh Daniel Khaluya, who both hosted 687 00:36:51,480 --> 00:36:54,799 Speaker 1: Saturday Night Live this year, and Daniel Cluya, who was 688 00:36:54,840 --> 00:37:00,359 Speaker 1: in UH Judas and The Black Messiah, because I had 689 00:37:00,400 --> 00:37:03,200 Speaker 1: no idea and now I know that these people were 690 00:37:03,239 --> 00:37:06,000 Speaker 1: stars in big movies this year, and I'm just like cool, 691 00:37:06,160 --> 00:37:07,920 Speaker 1: these are people who are in Saturay Night Live who 692 00:37:07,920 --> 00:37:10,600 Speaker 1: I've never seen before. So this is fantastic. It's finally 693 00:37:10,640 --> 00:37:12,880 Speaker 1: all coming together. Wait wait wait wait wait you haven't 694 00:37:12,880 --> 00:37:17,200 Speaker 1: seen get Out. You don't remember Daniel Cool You're from 695 00:37:17,239 --> 00:37:21,359 Speaker 1: get Out? Oh yeah, that's right, because that's the that's 696 00:37:22,000 --> 00:37:25,200 Speaker 1: was amazing in that. Yeah. And then and then his wife, 697 00:37:25,960 --> 00:37:29,880 Speaker 1: uh get Out wash was his chick from Girls, that 698 00:37:30,080 --> 00:37:36,160 Speaker 1: HBO show that played Marnie. So yeah yeah Alison Williams, Yes, yes, yes, 699 00:37:36,320 --> 00:37:41,279 Speaker 1: Brian Williams daughter that was in incredible movie. Can that 700 00:37:41,320 --> 00:37:43,640 Speaker 1: win an oscar this year? Because I've seen that and 701 00:37:43,719 --> 00:37:46,320 Speaker 1: I feel like it should get another shot. No, I 702 00:37:46,320 --> 00:37:48,440 Speaker 1: had won. Um, I think it won the Screenplay Awards, 703 00:37:49,680 --> 00:37:52,320 Speaker 1: but yeah it did. It did pull it upset for screenplay. 704 00:37:52,440 --> 00:37:56,279 Speaker 1: So um yeah, great movie. Uh well, I'm definitely gonna 705 00:37:56,280 --> 00:37:59,200 Speaker 1: have to see Promising Young Women now because it seems 706 00:38:00,000 --> 00:38:03,240 Speaker 1: like it's an amazing movie. Yeah, check that. Check minory 707 00:38:03,280 --> 00:38:06,239 Speaker 1: minories like Manitary could be this year's parasite like It's 708 00:38:06,560 --> 00:38:11,160 Speaker 1: It's It's that it's similarly good. Um, so I would say, yeah, 709 00:38:11,280 --> 00:38:13,759 Speaker 1: I for anyone out there that hasn't seen any you know, 710 00:38:14,040 --> 00:38:18,080 Speaker 1: check those two out all right, well listen in actor 711 00:38:18,160 --> 00:38:23,879 Speaker 1: and actress. Uh, those are both heavy, heavy favorites. Probability 712 00:38:24,400 --> 00:38:32,600 Speaker 1: for Union Joom in Manory and uh probability for Daniel 713 00:38:32,920 --> 00:38:37,360 Speaker 1: Kaloya in Judas in the Black Messiah. Any value in 714 00:38:37,360 --> 00:38:39,440 Speaker 1: doing upsets there because there is there are some other 715 00:38:39,440 --> 00:38:41,480 Speaker 1: categories I want to get to where I like have 716 00:38:41,480 --> 00:38:49,280 Speaker 1: have better sort of more even probabilities raybond worth picking 717 00:38:49,440 --> 00:38:54,200 Speaker 1: anything worth fading either of the leading candidates in either 718 00:38:54,200 --> 00:38:59,360 Speaker 1: of those categories. I think perhaps I think COOLi is 719 00:38:59,680 --> 00:39:04,640 Speaker 1: uh probably lock. I think maybe um in supporting actress, 720 00:39:04,640 --> 00:39:07,800 Speaker 1: although I think so it wasn't always this pilted toward 721 00:39:08,239 --> 00:39:11,080 Speaker 1: you junk own, and I thought she was the right choice, 722 00:39:11,080 --> 00:39:15,000 Speaker 1: So I think the markets actually come around. But uh, 723 00:39:15,160 --> 00:39:18,520 Speaker 1: Wilbia Coleman tends to, you know, pull these kind of obsests, 724 00:39:18,719 --> 00:39:22,160 Speaker 1: so um, I don't hate, I don't hate, you know, 725 00:39:22,239 --> 00:39:25,040 Speaker 1: taking a long shot in supporting actress. I have to 726 00:39:25,080 --> 00:39:28,839 Speaker 1: kind of reclibrate things here because I only I see 727 00:39:29,120 --> 00:39:31,799 Speaker 1: like on bolderby You, June is twenty four out of 728 00:39:31,800 --> 00:39:35,560 Speaker 1: the twenty seven. Gwen Close has three UM for Hillbilly Elogi, 729 00:39:35,719 --> 00:39:39,239 Speaker 1: so you know she could be an option, But I 730 00:39:39,239 --> 00:39:41,359 Speaker 1: still think you Jung is the right choice. So it's 731 00:39:41,480 --> 00:39:45,759 Speaker 1: it's very very swim chances for me sign me any 732 00:39:45,840 --> 00:39:49,160 Speaker 1: questions for Raybond on either of those two categories. No, 733 00:39:49,280 --> 00:39:51,440 Speaker 1: I'm really excited to hear what categories are locking in 734 00:39:51,520 --> 00:39:54,319 Speaker 1: on chat. Give me some value. We talked about Best 735 00:39:54,320 --> 00:39:57,799 Speaker 1: Film Editing and the Sound of Metal. That's the only 736 00:39:57,800 --> 00:40:03,520 Speaker 1: other category that has the slimmest odds with uh sound 737 00:40:03,640 --> 00:40:07,040 Speaker 1: Metal at minus one eighteen. The other one that has 738 00:40:07,160 --> 00:40:12,240 Speaker 1: slim slim odds and I'm talking about imply the probability 739 00:40:10,960 --> 00:40:19,200 Speaker 1: at minus one raybon this is best Original Song speak 740 00:40:19,320 --> 00:40:25,279 Speaker 1: Now one Night in Miami, um, which I did watch 741 00:40:25,280 --> 00:40:29,239 Speaker 1: as well. Yeah, I don't think pretty good movie. Um. 742 00:40:29,440 --> 00:40:32,400 Speaker 1: These ones are always a little tougher, um, you know 743 00:40:32,520 --> 00:40:36,239 Speaker 1: the musical ones right now on gold Derby. What we're 744 00:40:36,239 --> 00:40:41,279 Speaker 1: seeing is sixteen of the twenty seven experts currently have 745 00:40:41,320 --> 00:40:44,759 Speaker 1: speak now, so that's fifty nine percent. Markets like, the 746 00:40:44,760 --> 00:40:48,040 Speaker 1: odds of the market are are pretty in line, is uh. 747 00:40:48,239 --> 00:40:52,520 Speaker 1: It's it's Hushevik that the number two that's three at 748 00:40:52,520 --> 00:40:55,320 Speaker 1: plus three fifty. So that's there. There's your value because 749 00:40:55,400 --> 00:40:59,000 Speaker 1: gold Derby has a at number two with about let 750 00:40:59,040 --> 00:41:04,319 Speaker 1: me calculate this to the right number, about thirty of 751 00:41:04,400 --> 00:41:07,200 Speaker 1: the experts on go there we have who Vick and 752 00:41:07,239 --> 00:41:10,040 Speaker 1: that's their number two choice, So plus three fifty that's 753 00:41:10,120 --> 00:41:13,560 Speaker 1: like a that's only so you haven't you have about 754 00:41:13,600 --> 00:41:18,680 Speaker 1: a fifteen percent edge there with with Whoshevik from Eurovision 755 00:41:18,760 --> 00:41:22,600 Speaker 1: Song Contests. I honestly have no idea what that is. 756 00:41:22,960 --> 00:41:26,080 Speaker 1: Oh my god, I saw it? Yeah what is Oh? Yeah, 757 00:41:26,200 --> 00:41:29,319 Speaker 1: I did it? It was I think it was Will 758 00:41:29,440 --> 00:41:34,680 Speaker 1: Ferrell and Rachel uh is her name mc adams Rachel 759 00:41:34,920 --> 00:41:41,239 Speaker 1: who she was in uh wedding Crashers. I think yeah. 760 00:41:41,239 --> 00:41:43,480 Speaker 1: So it's like Eurovision was this old. It was like 761 00:41:43,480 --> 00:41:47,360 Speaker 1: an American idol before American Idol. So Will Farrell's wife, 762 00:41:47,400 --> 00:41:50,520 Speaker 1: I guess she's Swedish. Um, so she got him all 763 00:41:50,560 --> 00:41:53,160 Speaker 1: into it and he made a whole thing about it. 764 00:41:53,160 --> 00:41:55,600 Speaker 1: It was like him is like a popstick. So it's 765 00:41:55,880 --> 00:41:58,880 Speaker 1: definitely pretty uh, pretty funny. But the whole idea of 766 00:41:58,920 --> 00:42:02,240 Speaker 1: Eurovision like ab all these old bands for the seventies eighties. 767 00:42:03,400 --> 00:42:06,279 Speaker 1: I will say that I wanted it to be so good, 768 00:42:06,280 --> 00:42:08,640 Speaker 1: and there were moments where it's like one of those 769 00:42:08,640 --> 00:42:12,279 Speaker 1: movies where you're waiting to laugh, waiting to laugh, keep 770 00:42:12,320 --> 00:42:15,680 Speaker 1: hoping it's amazing. Nero will have a couple of moments 771 00:42:15,719 --> 00:42:17,040 Speaker 1: where you're like, this is gonna be it, this is 772 00:42:17,040 --> 00:42:21,200 Speaker 1: gonna be it, and it's sort of never it never 773 00:42:21,239 --> 00:42:25,080 Speaker 1: reaches the high notes had He's had a rough runt 774 00:42:25,080 --> 00:42:26,759 Speaker 1: here will. He hasn't made a funny movie, and it 775 00:42:26,800 --> 00:42:29,319 Speaker 1: feels like a long time. I mean, I didn't hate 776 00:42:29,360 --> 00:42:32,440 Speaker 1: Ancreman too. That's honestly his last like funny movies put 777 00:42:32,480 --> 00:42:34,600 Speaker 1: on probably sevent eight years. I was about to say, 778 00:42:34,600 --> 00:42:36,120 Speaker 1: I mean, I just think it's been and it may 779 00:42:36,120 --> 00:42:38,560 Speaker 1: be surprisingly given that, you know, I think there's a 780 00:42:38,600 --> 00:42:41,920 Speaker 1: lot of material, but I feel like comedy movies in 781 00:42:41,960 --> 00:42:45,439 Speaker 1: general haven't been as up to snuff as I would 782 00:42:45,480 --> 00:42:47,680 Speaker 1: like as a comedy fan, Like I really haven't found 783 00:42:47,680 --> 00:42:49,520 Speaker 1: a lot of movies that I'm like, this is so funny, 784 00:42:49,560 --> 00:42:51,000 Speaker 1: like you gotta see it, you know, it's just kind 785 00:42:51,000 --> 00:42:54,399 Speaker 1: of like, okay, you laugh. Well it was it wasn't 786 00:42:54,480 --> 00:42:58,600 Speaker 1: terrible year. We had Palm Springs and that was that 787 00:42:58,680 --> 00:43:01,799 Speaker 1: was pretty funny. And he's not everyone's cup of tea. 788 00:43:01,880 --> 00:43:05,640 Speaker 1: But on uh, eric Andre just put a movie out 789 00:43:05,680 --> 00:43:09,160 Speaker 1: called Bad Trip. I wasn't I think that was It 790 00:43:09,239 --> 00:43:10,960 Speaker 1: was like it was like okay, but I get what 791 00:43:10,960 --> 00:43:14,160 Speaker 1: you're exactly it's like it felt like like the guy 792 00:43:14,160 --> 00:43:16,560 Speaker 1: who did a Jeff Tremaine, he's the guy did Jackass. 793 00:43:16,960 --> 00:43:18,759 Speaker 1: So I had if you're a Jackass fan, it's a 794 00:43:18,800 --> 00:43:20,600 Speaker 1: good movie. But like I tried showing something a little 795 00:43:20,600 --> 00:43:22,040 Speaker 1: border of him and he was just like, this is 796 00:43:22,080 --> 00:43:24,680 Speaker 1: so stupid. I can't watch other five minutes. So I'm 797 00:43:24,680 --> 00:43:26,840 Speaker 1: with you, man, Comedy has just died. I don't know 798 00:43:26,880 --> 00:43:30,000 Speaker 1: if it's people blame the woke era. I think it's 799 00:43:30,040 --> 00:43:32,640 Speaker 1: just a different time of writing comedy, because you can 800 00:43:32,640 --> 00:43:35,720 Speaker 1: be funny without being a sexist or a racist, and 801 00:43:35,920 --> 00:43:37,759 Speaker 1: I just think that's just a lamb excuse, Like there 802 00:43:37,840 --> 00:43:40,080 Speaker 1: is still a humor out there, it's just different. Like 803 00:43:40,120 --> 00:43:42,120 Speaker 1: I enjoyed ted Lasts, so I wouldn't say that was 804 00:43:42,160 --> 00:43:44,399 Speaker 1: the funniest show I've seen all year, but like it's 805 00:43:44,400 --> 00:43:47,560 Speaker 1: just different the way humor is nowadays, for sure. I yeah, 806 00:43:47,719 --> 00:43:49,120 Speaker 1: you know what I think it is. It's you can 807 00:43:49,160 --> 00:43:51,560 Speaker 1: definitely be funny without being sexist or a racist. But 808 00:43:51,600 --> 00:43:54,000 Speaker 1: I think it's harder to be funny when you're scared 809 00:43:54,080 --> 00:43:57,720 Speaker 1: that you're gonna be you're perceived at a sexist or racist, 810 00:43:57,719 --> 00:43:59,800 Speaker 1: because like even shows like yeah, I'm a Big Family 811 00:43:59,800 --> 00:44:02,480 Speaker 1: Guy fan, um, you know, always have been, and like 812 00:44:02,920 --> 00:44:06,160 Speaker 1: just seeing the jokes this season, they're just so tamed 813 00:44:06,520 --> 00:44:09,960 Speaker 1: compared to you know, when the show is in its heyday, 814 00:44:10,000 --> 00:44:12,000 Speaker 1: and I just feel like it's because the writers are 815 00:44:12,640 --> 00:44:16,520 Speaker 1: kind of worried about you know, not you know, not 816 00:44:16,640 --> 00:44:19,200 Speaker 1: just doing things at a fan but even you know, 817 00:44:19,440 --> 00:44:21,560 Speaker 1: doing things that may be perceived a certain way. So 818 00:44:21,600 --> 00:44:24,720 Speaker 1: it's yeah, I think there's definitely the era is definitely 819 00:44:24,760 --> 00:44:27,680 Speaker 1: kind of contributing to it. Well. What's really interesting, though, 820 00:44:28,000 --> 00:44:32,560 Speaker 1: is the movies that are nominated for Best Picture, No 821 00:44:32,680 --> 00:44:36,600 Speaker 1: mad Land, Trial of Chicago, Seven Minery, Promising Young Woman, 822 00:44:36,760 --> 00:44:41,120 Speaker 1: Make Judas in the Black Massiahs, Sounded Metal to Father, Um. 823 00:44:41,160 --> 00:44:45,359 Speaker 1: A lot of those movies they were made probably, and 824 00:44:45,480 --> 00:44:54,319 Speaker 1: they were scripted but cast assigned an in production, a 825 00:44:54,320 --> 00:44:57,560 Speaker 1: lot of them before a lot of what we've all 826 00:44:57,640 --> 00:45:00,520 Speaker 1: experienced in the past twelve months, where whether it be 827 00:45:01,200 --> 00:45:04,239 Speaker 1: the social justice movement, whether it be being shut down 828 00:45:04,239 --> 00:45:09,800 Speaker 1: for COVID, whether it be about um, the Me Too movement, 829 00:45:10,160 --> 00:45:13,520 Speaker 1: all of that stuff. Um, and yet they are out now, 830 00:45:13,560 --> 00:45:17,719 Speaker 1: even No mad Land, you could you could prescribe and 831 00:45:17,760 --> 00:45:21,120 Speaker 1: ascribe some of these values sort of the idea of 832 00:45:21,200 --> 00:45:26,000 Speaker 1: being left behind, the idea of being forgotten, that that 833 00:45:26,280 --> 00:45:28,960 Speaker 1: section of society that is they have not that is 834 00:45:28,960 --> 00:45:31,160 Speaker 1: trying to figure it out and doesn't get to take 835 00:45:31,160 --> 00:45:34,439 Speaker 1: advantage of everything that is offered for people who have 836 00:45:35,200 --> 00:45:40,719 Speaker 1: all those things. Um, they all existed in the atmosphere 837 00:45:40,760 --> 00:45:43,200 Speaker 1: and we're being produced long before these things came to 838 00:45:43,239 --> 00:45:46,239 Speaker 1: the four Now. I do think sometimes that's why these 839 00:45:46,280 --> 00:45:49,879 Speaker 1: movies get elevated is because they are what people are 840 00:45:49,880 --> 00:45:53,400 Speaker 1: talking about, and they're reflective of what's happening society and 841 00:45:54,400 --> 00:45:57,480 Speaker 1: the fact there's no comedies that's just the bummer man, 842 00:45:57,520 --> 00:46:01,040 Speaker 1: because those movies are what we need to see and 843 00:46:01,160 --> 00:46:04,960 Speaker 1: what we need to have to be lifting us up 844 00:46:05,040 --> 00:46:08,320 Speaker 1: right now. Yeah, but I mean going back to the 845 00:46:08,360 --> 00:46:11,600 Speaker 1: so the Eurovision Song contest, the I just made a 846 00:46:11,640 --> 00:46:13,960 Speaker 1: great speech and you're going back to Will Ferrell. I 847 00:46:14,000 --> 00:46:16,000 Speaker 1: mean it's a comedy. It's it's what we're talking about. 848 00:46:16,040 --> 00:46:19,719 Speaker 1: You wanted value, right, So the not only is it 849 00:46:19,760 --> 00:46:23,480 Speaker 1: their value about value based on the experts, but if 850 00:46:23,480 --> 00:46:25,919 Speaker 1: you look at the editors and there's only eleven, such 851 00:46:25,920 --> 00:46:28,200 Speaker 1: a smaller sample size. So I don't always like include 852 00:46:28,239 --> 00:46:31,120 Speaker 1: them in the models as as heavily when I'm building them, 853 00:46:31,160 --> 00:46:34,400 Speaker 1: but it's just a note. Eight of the eleven editors 854 00:46:35,560 --> 00:46:40,040 Speaker 1: actually pick who should fix from Eurovision Song Contest, so 855 00:46:40,200 --> 00:46:43,279 Speaker 1: it's over. It's the overwhelming favorite amongst the editors, the 856 00:46:43,320 --> 00:46:46,760 Speaker 1: people that kind of you know, right on this site 857 00:46:46,760 --> 00:46:50,040 Speaker 1: that predicts movie works every year. And then it's also 858 00:46:50,120 --> 00:46:52,520 Speaker 1: showing value in terms of the experts. I mean, that's 859 00:46:52,760 --> 00:46:55,480 Speaker 1: there's your pick, you know, for for Best Song, there's 860 00:46:55,480 --> 00:46:59,600 Speaker 1: your pick. All right, there you go. Then let me 861 00:46:59,600 --> 00:47:03,440 Speaker 1: wrap it up, then, Simons, you've got any questions on that, No, 862 00:47:03,560 --> 00:47:05,640 Speaker 1: I'm taking it all in. I'm like blown away how 863 00:47:05,719 --> 00:47:09,719 Speaker 1: much he knows about the oscars. It's unbelievable, right all right? 864 00:47:09,800 --> 00:47:11,840 Speaker 1: So for Best Picture, what we're probably gonna do is 865 00:47:11,880 --> 00:47:15,120 Speaker 1: try to package your money across Trial of Chicago seven 866 00:47:15,480 --> 00:47:18,319 Speaker 1: minory Promising Young Woman, because we are going to go 867 00:47:18,400 --> 00:47:22,640 Speaker 1: a heavy, heavy fade on Nomad Land. For Best Director, 868 00:47:23,160 --> 00:47:26,160 Speaker 1: we probably are gonna pass on that one because we 869 00:47:26,239 --> 00:47:31,000 Speaker 1: do think uh Chloe Jah is probably the right choice, 870 00:47:31,000 --> 00:47:32,600 Speaker 1: but we might take a little bit of a taste 871 00:47:32,840 --> 00:47:36,320 Speaker 1: on Lee Isaac Chung for minery that I capture that accurately, 872 00:47:36,400 --> 00:47:38,400 Speaker 1: right man, and Emerald Feno, like I think the two 873 00:47:38,680 --> 00:47:42,520 Speaker 1: the two Best Picture contenders. Um, you want to take 874 00:47:42,840 --> 00:47:44,600 Speaker 1: a little bit of peace on if you if you 875 00:47:44,640 --> 00:47:46,920 Speaker 1: do want to bet this category and you if you 876 00:47:47,000 --> 00:47:50,839 Speaker 1: can parlay parlay the like Chung with Manory for Best 877 00:47:50,880 --> 00:47:54,120 Speaker 1: Picture and parlay Fenom with Promising Young Woman. Because again 878 00:47:54,200 --> 00:47:56,560 Speaker 1: last year we saw a Mendez the big favorite with 879 00:47:56,640 --> 00:47:59,520 Speaker 1: nineteen seventeen and ends up being parasite and on John 880 00:47:59,719 --> 00:48:02,320 Speaker 1: n Win this director. So, um, I think that's certainly 881 00:48:03,040 --> 00:48:08,240 Speaker 1: possible in this preferential ballot era. Best Actor we're skipping 882 00:48:08,360 --> 00:48:11,279 Speaker 1: because we all believe it's Chadwick Boseeman. There is no 883 00:48:11,320 --> 00:48:14,920 Speaker 1: fading Best Actress, Carry Mulligan. This is probably the most 884 00:48:14,920 --> 00:48:18,920 Speaker 1: interesting category on the entire board. Carry Mulligan plus but 885 00:48:20,800 --> 00:48:26,360 Speaker 1: Viola Davis, Uh, Francis McDorman and Raybon. You think, uh, 886 00:48:26,400 --> 00:48:30,120 Speaker 1: Andrew Day might be worth a little bit of a 887 00:48:30,200 --> 00:48:34,400 Speaker 1: play given her success with the Globes and uh, you 888 00:48:34,440 --> 00:48:36,960 Speaker 1: know past this prologue in these things. Yeah, like I 889 00:48:36,960 --> 00:48:39,960 Speaker 1: mean just watching all the movies and and Kerry Mulligan 890 00:48:40,200 --> 00:48:42,400 Speaker 1: was was great too, But I mean I would say 891 00:48:42,480 --> 00:48:45,960 Speaker 1: on your Day or Francis to me was like was 892 00:48:46,000 --> 00:48:48,359 Speaker 1: the best actress. So now it's just a matter of 893 00:48:48,760 --> 00:48:51,879 Speaker 1: you know, you know is you know, because I think 894 00:48:51,880 --> 00:48:53,960 Speaker 1: promising young women, I think they want to give it something, 895 00:48:53,960 --> 00:48:56,400 Speaker 1: and I sometimes they do kind of get into those politics. 896 00:48:56,680 --> 00:48:59,239 Speaker 1: You know, maybe that's it, but um, this one has 897 00:48:59,239 --> 00:49:01,360 Speaker 1: been wide open again on your day one, it like 898 00:49:01,440 --> 00:49:03,879 Speaker 1: it's like the fifth most likely won the last week 899 00:49:04,040 --> 00:49:06,719 Speaker 1: likely won. She wanted the globes. Um, you know, we've 900 00:49:06,760 --> 00:49:08,759 Speaker 1: seen the precursors kind of split around a little bit. 901 00:49:09,160 --> 00:49:11,680 Speaker 1: Bio Davis is still in contention, you know, like as 902 00:49:11,680 --> 00:49:15,000 Speaker 1: Simon mentioned, So, um, this is definitely one where I 903 00:49:15,000 --> 00:49:16,680 Speaker 1: think you want to look at an underdog and even 904 00:49:16,719 --> 00:49:18,879 Speaker 1: if you're if you like Kerry, I mean she's plus 905 00:49:18,920 --> 00:49:21,560 Speaker 1: money right now. Um, I mean I think there's better 906 00:49:21,640 --> 00:49:23,480 Speaker 1: values there. But yeah, this is this is definitely one 907 00:49:23,480 --> 00:49:26,799 Speaker 1: of the better categories, the better ones to bet all right. 908 00:49:26,840 --> 00:49:30,000 Speaker 1: And then finally our two wild cards Best Original Song 909 00:49:30,040 --> 00:49:33,160 Speaker 1: go with Who's Avic? Plus three fifty Who's a Vic? 910 00:49:33,280 --> 00:49:38,000 Speaker 1: From Eurovision Song Contest starring Will Ferrell, and then Best 911 00:49:38,120 --> 00:49:41,640 Speaker 1: editing our friend Simon Hunter likes the sound of metal 912 00:49:41,880 --> 00:49:45,399 Speaker 1: at minus one eighteen. Guys, I think we've given people 913 00:49:45,400 --> 00:49:47,279 Speaker 1: what they need. That's what I can say about that. 914 00:49:47,680 --> 00:49:52,560 Speaker 1: This has been the favorites from the Volume Network. The 915 00:49:52,640 --> 00:49:56,440 Speaker 1: Volume is now on YouTube will be uploading new episodes 916 00:49:56,520 --> 00:50:00,520 Speaker 1: and clips daily, including some past interviews and moment from 917 00:50:00,560 --> 00:50:04,280 Speaker 1: all of our shows. Go subscribe to our YouTube channel 918 00:50:04,400 --> 00:50:09,279 Speaker 1: at YouTube dot com. Backslash the Volume. I am Chad 919 00:50:09,320 --> 00:50:13,319 Speaker 1: Mellman for Simon Hunter for Chris Raybon. Download us from 920 00:50:13,320 --> 00:50:16,800 Speaker 1: Apple podcasts, from Spotify, wherever you get your podcast. Listen 921 00:50:16,840 --> 00:50:22,719 Speaker 1: to us on Thursday for the Thunderdome edition. Until then, 922 00:50:23,040 --> 00:50:23,640 Speaker 1: I love you