WEBVTT - Bloomberg Businessweek Weekend - December 2nd, 2022

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week inside from the reporters and

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<v Speaker 1>editors who bring you America's most trusted business magazine, plus

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<v Speaker 1>global business, finance and tech news as it happened. Its

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Business Week with Carol Messier and Bloomberg Quick Takes.

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<v Speaker 1>Tim Stinovic on Bloomberg Radio. Hi, everyone, Welcome to the

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<v Speaker 1>weekend edition of Bloomberg Business Week. We know that everyone

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<v Speaker 1>is still talking about FIT Chief J. Powell's comments this

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<v Speaker 1>past week signaling the Fed will slow the pace of

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<v Speaker 1>interest rate increases next month, yet stressing the need for

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<v Speaker 1>rates to keep rising for some time to beat inflation.

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<v Speaker 1>No doubt about it, Tim, it was top of mine.

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<v Speaker 1>Also top of mind Carol protests in China, Apple's exposure

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<v Speaker 1>to that, and a recent conversation that we had with

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<v Speaker 1>Cathy Wood. She of course is the founder's CEO and

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<v Speaker 1>ce IO of our convest who covered everything from the

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<v Speaker 1>collapse of f t X and Sam Bankman Freed to Ellen,

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<v Speaker 1>Tesla and Twitter. We even talked about General Motors stock

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<v Speaker 1>that she's been buying. The full in depth conversation in

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<v Speaker 1>our second hour. All of that to come, we beat

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<v Speaker 1>again with the chaos in the place known as iPhone City.

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<v Speaker 1>We're following the protests over the COVID zero lockdown policies

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<v Speaker 1>in China. That may be easing, but time will tell.

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<v Speaker 1>Related to all of that, a Bloomberg exclusive, it's in

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<v Speaker 1>the text section of the new issue up Bloomberg Business Week.

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<v Speaker 1>It's about Apple's reliance on China and how it's growing

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<v Speaker 1>perilous because of the chaos in the world's second largest

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<v Speaker 1>economy and a country that turns out tons of Apple products.

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<v Speaker 1>We bring in Joshua Breusteing. He's technology editor a Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 1>Business Week. He joined us along with the editor of

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<v Speaker 1>the magazine, Jill Webber. Where Apple gets its iPhones predominantly

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<v Speaker 1>has been from fox Con facilities in China. UM and

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<v Speaker 1>with the COVID zero situation in China and sort of

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<v Speaker 1>how the country and company have responded fox Con to

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<v Speaker 1>the circumstances, it's really led this to be a quite

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<v Speaker 1>hot situation. Josh What transpired that and what were you

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<v Speaker 1>guys watching as you started to pull this story together. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>The largest iPhone production facility, known as iPhone City UH

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<v Speaker 1>is in Shangho, China. About of the latest iPhone fourteen

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<v Speaker 1>models are produced there and since October they have been

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<v Speaker 1>UM experiencing a COVID outbreak within the plant. This is

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<v Speaker 1>an enormous place, About two hundred thousand people work there,

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<v Speaker 1>and UM fox Con which runs the facility, attempted to

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<v Speaker 1>UM lock the plant down. UM isolate UH workers who

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<v Speaker 1>may have COVID and UM and try to keep the

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<v Speaker 1>this this the outbreak from spreading. The problem was they

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<v Speaker 1>weren't really prepared to handle this and UM workers were

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<v Speaker 1>complaining of unsanitary conditions of being held in places where

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<v Speaker 1>they didn't have access to adequate food. Hundreds of workers

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<v Speaker 1>left the plant in October and UH there were some

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<v Speaker 1>some violent protests from workers who were protesting that they

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<v Speaker 1>were not going to get paid if they didn't stay

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<v Speaker 1>through a certain amount of time and just she described

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<v Speaker 1>the dorm tory sort of pretty awful conditions during this lockout.

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<v Speaker 1>But these are pretty coveted jobs in China, are they not. Yeah, absolutely,

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<v Speaker 1>there were workers who are leaving jobs UM that it

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<v Speaker 1>was surprising because people get these jobs and they're known

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<v Speaker 1>as good jobs. What's happened over the recent past has

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<v Speaker 1>been that the COVID situation has really changed the way

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<v Speaker 1>that this production facility operates, and people thought they had

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<v Speaker 1>something good and now feel like they're being really mistreated.

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<v Speaker 1>I feel like the eyes are on Apple right now

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<v Speaker 1>and watching what they are doing, and we have seen them,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, begin to branch out. How how does you

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<v Speaker 1>and your team kind of think about what's going on

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<v Speaker 1>with Apple specifically and what it means more broadly. Yeah. Absolutely.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, if you want to look at a situation

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<v Speaker 1>for a company that kind of represents something larger, you

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<v Speaker 1>have the world's most valuable company. It makes an enormous

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<v Speaker 1>amount of phones in China, and what you've seen Apple

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<v Speaker 1>do is look to diversify a fox con its main

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<v Speaker 1>manufacturing partners moving to other countries, to India, Vietnam. So

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<v Speaker 1>you see it looking for for alternatives if things aren't

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<v Speaker 1>going to be if they can't count on China, they

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<v Speaker 1>need to know where else they can get phones from.

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<v Speaker 1>So what's the status now, Josh, It's it sounds like

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<v Speaker 1>it's just chaos there They actually still or the assembly

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<v Speaker 1>line still working or is it sort of in a

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<v Speaker 1>frozen while all this plays out. Yeah, so the facility

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<v Speaker 1>is still working. There are are clearly disruptions. UM. We've

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<v Speaker 1>reported that UM someone familiar with the operations says there

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<v Speaker 1>could be a production shortfall of close to six million

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<v Speaker 1>iPhone Pro units this year. The thought is that they

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<v Speaker 1>maybe they could recover that next year, but these are

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<v Speaker 1>serious production interruptions. UM and Apple has already been dealing

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<v Speaker 1>UM with this even before the acute problem of the

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<v Speaker 1>last couple of weeks. Josh, some of the reporting was

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<v Speaker 1>incredible because of how specific and inside the operations and

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<v Speaker 1>the protests we were able to get. What stood out

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<v Speaker 1>to you as you worked on the story. I think

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<v Speaker 1>it was really interesting to hear from some of the

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<v Speaker 1>workers who were there that the story that that we're

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<v Speaker 1>publishing UM focuses on one worker who had been making

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<v Speaker 1>phones for a decade. UM finally got fed up in

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<v Speaker 1>October and left, went home, was lowered back by more money,

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<v Speaker 1>and UH immediately was was actually in a quarantine period

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<v Speaker 1>UM when these protests broke out last week, and then decided,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, I can't stay here like I came back, UM,

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<v Speaker 1>I'm going to go find a job at a different place.

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<v Speaker 1>As he said, other people are hiring. Will you talk

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<v Speaker 1>about you know these workers or or the team talks

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<v Speaker 1>about workers in isolation. There's no food, there's trash piling up.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, these are it sounds like pretty horrible conditions. Yeah. Absolutely,

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<v Speaker 1>And I think that what you're seeing is a breaking point.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, at one point we describe they built barriers

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<v Speaker 1>between the dormitories and the production facilities so that people

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<v Speaker 1>basically couldn't stray or or run away, basically in between

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<v Speaker 1>home and the job. And I don't know, that's pretty dystopia.

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<v Speaker 1>It's a little bit like a prison. Absolutely, Hey, Josh,

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<v Speaker 1>just long term here, Um, no doubt fox Con has

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<v Speaker 1>uh an, Apple will have this longstanding relationship with China,

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<v Speaker 1>But what other options does Apple and fox can potentially

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<v Speaker 1>having the long term? So fox Con is already making

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<v Speaker 1>more iPhone four team models in India, more than any

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<v Speaker 1>previous generation, and it's expanded into Vietnam and Thailand as well,

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<v Speaker 1>And I think that's a sign of how much Chinese

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<v Speaker 1>policies are potentially hurting China itself. At the same time, um,

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<v Speaker 1>Apples spent decades building up this production capability, and it's

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<v Speaker 1>not like it can just turn off this switch and

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<v Speaker 1>turn around somewhere else if it really wants to reduce

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<v Speaker 1>its reduction up reliance on China. It's going to be

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<v Speaker 1>a long term project. That was Joshua Breustein. He's technology

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<v Speaker 1>editor for the magazine Bloomberg Business. We editor Joel Webber

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<v Speaker 1>with us there as well. Mike Regan's sticking around for

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<v Speaker 1>our next segment coming up after the break, we examine

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<v Speaker 1>the broader implications of the Chinese COVID response that has

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<v Speaker 1>put tons of millions of people on the brink. You're

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<v Speaker 1>listening to Bloomberg Business Week. This is Bloomberg. This is

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Business Week with Carol Masser and Bloomberg Quick Takes.

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<v Speaker 1>Tim Stenovik from Bloomberg Radio. Hard to miss the videos

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<v Speaker 1>and pictures and stories about the protests that have erupted

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<v Speaker 1>over the past week or so across China as its

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<v Speaker 1>populous rails against the country's COVID zero strategy. We've got

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<v Speaker 1>the perfect voice to help explain what's happening in the

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<v Speaker 1>People's Republic and what it means for President Shi jang Ping,

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<v Speaker 1>who's just a few weeks removed from cementing his rule

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<v Speaker 1>at the twentie National Congress of the Chinese Communist Party.

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<v Speaker 1>Andy Brown is former editorial director at Bloomberg New Economy

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<v Speaker 1>he spent three decades and Asia's both China editor and

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<v Speaker 1>columnist for The Wall Street Journal. Andy now leads the

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<v Speaker 1>China Hub as a partner over at Brunswick Group. That's

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<v Speaker 1>a critical issues advisory firm. He joined me and Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 1>Market senior editor Mike Reagan last Monday. I think it

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<v Speaker 1>is the beginning of the end of COVID zero and

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<v Speaker 1>it is going to be I fear a messy, chaotic,

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<v Speaker 1>uh and deadly unwinding of an irrational, poorly conceived, and

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<v Speaker 1>and disastrously executed policy that has Ci Jimping's name all

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<v Speaker 1>over it. He owns it, and he owns the public

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<v Speaker 1>outrage that led to this, to these street protests and

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<v Speaker 1>campus protests all all over all over China over the weekend. Look,

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<v Speaker 1>it's an indictment of she himself, but it's also an

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<v Speaker 1>indictment of the system that he set up UM. And

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<v Speaker 1>it is a top down, heavy handed, personalized system, UM inflexible, ideological,

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<v Speaker 1>highly politicized, at times brutal. And the system failed, and

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<v Speaker 1>it's failed catastrophically. And you know, the irony is that

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<v Speaker 1>it has triggered precisely the thing that s Jimping most fears.

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<v Speaker 1>So you know for the first time protest, right, well, protest,

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<v Speaker 1>but the type of protests, so you know their protests

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<v Speaker 1>in China occur all the time, Okay, but they're you

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<v Speaker 1>they're almost always localized, single issue protests. Uh. You know,

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<v Speaker 1>workers aren't getting paid in a factory or in a

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<v Speaker 1>rural area. You know, some government connected business has grabbed

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<v Speaker 1>your land. A lot of protests, um, this is but

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<v Speaker 1>they're never they're never networked, right and and they're very

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<v Speaker 1>easily contained. This These are nationwide protests that bring together

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<v Speaker 1>disparate groups of people, poor people, rich people, students, workers

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<v Speaker 1>together for a common cause, and that is to defeat

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<v Speaker 1>COVID zero, which has led to enormous amounts of frustration

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<v Speaker 1>within the population. And the trigger for this was a

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<v Speaker 1>fire in the room chi in an apartment blog killed

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<v Speaker 1>at least ten people, including we see the picture of

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<v Speaker 1>this lovely weaker lady and and and her children. And

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<v Speaker 1>the suspicion was that they had got trapped in their

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<v Speaker 1>apartment by COVID restrictions. So fire exit's being blocked or

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<v Speaker 1>you know, in these concrete barriers to get placed around

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<v Speaker 1>box of the fire trucks couldn't get in and extinguished

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<v Speaker 1>the blaze. And this triggered something very deep, very emotional.

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<v Speaker 1>You know that that that lady was was everybody's mother,

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<v Speaker 1>everybody's sister, you know, everybody's wife. Those children could have

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<v Speaker 1>been my kids, because you've got four hundred million people

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<v Speaker 1>in China now living under some kind of a lockdown.

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<v Speaker 1>Many of those in precisely those conditions. You know, their

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<v Speaker 1>front doors have been welded closed because they can't get out,

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<v Speaker 1>and people live in fear and have been living in

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<v Speaker 1>fear now for a long time. And so you know,

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<v Speaker 1>this fire just just triggered this, this this swelling sort

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<v Speaker 1>of a surge of anger right across the country, and

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<v Speaker 1>it was so big, it wasn't you know how how

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<v Speaker 1>clever they are and how how you know efficient they are,

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<v Speaker 1>and that blow kicking discussion on social media, this out

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<v Speaker 1>this outbreak a bust was was was just so passionate

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<v Speaker 1>that they couldn't contain it. S Jimping has no good

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<v Speaker 1>options here, Okay, he only has tough decisions, difficult trade offs.

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<v Speaker 1>So I am I'm pretty sure that with every fiber

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<v Speaker 1>of his body he wants to crack down. Okay, I

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<v Speaker 1>mean he is haunted by the collapse of the Soviet Union,

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<v Speaker 1>which you know, he blames. They lost their ideology, abandoned

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<v Speaker 1>style and repudiated style, and but they lost controls of

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<v Speaker 1>the levers of power. They compromised, you know, Glass, Gnast

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<v Speaker 1>and PARASTROI. He's absolutely determined that that is not going

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<v Speaker 1>to happen. And he doesn't he doesn't want his policy,

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<v Speaker 1>his signature policy, to be derailed, to be challenged by

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<v Speaker 1>street protests. And I'm pretty sure that they are already now,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, going off to some of these leaders of

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<v Speaker 1>the protest. But here's the thing. The more you know,

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<v Speaker 1>if if he cracks down uh violently, you know, he

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<v Speaker 1>he could he could promoke an even bigger social explosion.

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<v Speaker 1>People have had enough. I mean, they've they're really up

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<v Speaker 1>to here with with zero COVID. Now, on the other hand,

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<v Speaker 1>if he opens up and opens up too quickly, uh,

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<v Speaker 1>he risks an explosion in cases and and and mass death. Uh.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, even under the most optimistic scenarios, if if

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<v Speaker 1>they opened up like Taiwan did, what Singapore did? You know,

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<v Speaker 1>because of the infectiousness of Omi crown, you know, and

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<v Speaker 1>the vulnerabilities that you have in and even a highly

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<v Speaker 1>vaccinated uh society, you're still going to get you know,

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<v Speaker 1>a million or more deaths. Now that that's dynamite, spry

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<v Speaker 1>and big. You know, the Americans lost a million, Uh,

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<v Speaker 1>the Europeans lost a million. This proves you know, the

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<v Speaker 1>the decadence and incompetence and the corruption of their system.

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<v Speaker 1>Their their careless system. But we in China have to

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<v Speaker 1>have a have a superior system. You know, nobody, very

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<v Speaker 1>few people died outside of the original outbreak, so he's

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<v Speaker 1>he's going to be very very careful. And but you know, look,

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<v Speaker 1>uh this, you know, the real problem here is that

0:13:06.960 --> 0:13:10.160
<v Speaker 1>there has been a staggering failure and it is the

0:13:10.280 --> 0:13:14.360
<v Speaker 1>failure to build defenses against omicron that you know, they've

0:13:14.360 --> 0:13:18.720
<v Speaker 1>been so fixated on, you know, on zero COVID that

0:13:18.760 --> 0:13:24.640
<v Speaker 1>they haven't invested in ICU beds, in train specialist medical staff.

0:13:25.160 --> 0:13:31.199
<v Speaker 1>Most importantly, they haven't uh adequately vaccinated the elderly population,

0:13:31.679 --> 0:13:33.679
<v Speaker 1>you know, so and and of course they have no

0:13:33.800 --> 0:13:36.560
<v Speaker 1>natural immunity. Now, Andy, do you think if China had

0:13:36.600 --> 0:13:41.000
<v Speaker 1>accepted the Western vaccines, the Maderida and visor vaccines, would

0:13:41.040 --> 0:13:43.920
<v Speaker 1>would it be a whole different scenario here? Would would

0:13:43.920 --> 0:13:46.520
<v Speaker 1>the they'd be able to open a lot, a lot

0:13:46.840 --> 0:13:50.280
<v Speaker 1>less risky than they are now. You know, I think

0:13:50.320 --> 0:13:55.520
<v Speaker 1>people exaggerate this point. Uh, look is baffling, right, why

0:13:55.559 --> 0:13:58.320
<v Speaker 1>they didn't take m RNA vaccine. It's the best in

0:13:58.440 --> 0:14:02.199
<v Speaker 1>class vaccine, but it's not. It's not the game change

0:14:02.280 --> 0:14:07.760
<v Speaker 1>that people say it. It might be Chinese vaccines, Okay,

0:14:07.840 --> 0:14:11.319
<v Speaker 1>they're fine, right, they do a fine job. Um, they

0:14:11.360 --> 0:14:15.320
<v Speaker 1>prevent serious illness, they prevent death. But that's if you

0:14:15.400 --> 0:14:18.520
<v Speaker 1>have your your three dose regimen, right, you get your

0:14:18.559 --> 0:14:21.200
<v Speaker 1>two vaccines and your boosted. The problem that they have

0:14:21.440 --> 0:14:25.600
<v Speaker 1>is that they haven't insisted that the elderly get vaccinated.

0:14:25.840 --> 0:14:28.320
<v Speaker 1>That was Andy Brown. He's a partner at Brunswick Group

0:14:28.360 --> 0:14:31.120
<v Speaker 1>and a former colleague of ours here at Bloomberg, where

0:14:31.160 --> 0:14:33.880
<v Speaker 1>he was editorial director at Bloomberg New Economy. Mike g

0:14:33.880 --> 0:14:36.560
<v Speaker 1>Regan will be back a bit later in the program. Meantime,

0:14:36.600 --> 0:14:39.160
<v Speaker 1>we've seen more protests flare up in various parts of China,

0:14:39.200 --> 0:14:41.600
<v Speaker 1>even amid optimism that China make ease off some of

0:14:41.600 --> 0:14:44.800
<v Speaker 1>its COVID zero policies, including about to speed up COVID

0:14:44.800 --> 0:14:47.680
<v Speaker 1>shots for the elderly, Still ahead on Bloomberg Business Week.

0:14:47.680 --> 0:14:50.720
<v Speaker 1>Our cover story sheds land on the potentially deadly game

0:14:50.800 --> 0:14:53.720
<v Speaker 1>being played by some young American users of the wildly

0:14:53.760 --> 0:14:58.200
<v Speaker 1>popular Chinese own social media platform TikTok. This is Bloomberg

0:15:01.680 --> 0:15:05.640
<v Speaker 1>broadcasting from the financial capital of the world, Bloomberg eleven

0:15:05.720 --> 0:15:10.320
<v Speaker 1>Frio in New York to Washington, d C. Bloomberg to Boston,

0:15:10.400 --> 0:15:13.840
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg one oh six one to San Francisco, Bloomberg nine

0:15:13.920 --> 0:15:17.040
<v Speaker 1>sixty to the country Sirius XM Chado one nine team,

0:15:17.120 --> 0:15:20.280
<v Speaker 1>and around the globe the Bloomberg Business app and Bloomberg

0:15:20.360 --> 0:15:25.720
<v Speaker 1>Radio dot Com. This is Bloomberg Business Week. Time now

0:15:25.760 --> 0:15:28.400
<v Speaker 1>for this week's cover story. Also Bloomberg Big Take from

0:15:28.400 --> 0:15:31.320
<v Speaker 1>the past week. This one is heart wrenching and disturbing.

0:15:31.440 --> 0:15:33.920
<v Speaker 1>It's in the latest issue of Bloomberg Business Week. It's

0:15:33.920 --> 0:15:38.080
<v Speaker 1>on how TikTok's viral challenges, specifically the so called blackout challenge,

0:15:38.360 --> 0:15:42.280
<v Speaker 1>are luring young users to their deaths. Bloomberg investigative reporter

0:15:42.320 --> 0:15:45.320
<v Speaker 1>Olivia Carville reveals how the company behind the most popular

0:15:45.320 --> 0:15:48.280
<v Speaker 1>app in the US is responding to these horrifying cases

0:15:48.560 --> 0:15:52.120
<v Speaker 1>and the consistent failure of the platform's age verification mechanisms.

0:15:52.120 --> 0:15:55.000
<v Speaker 1>Olivia and Bloomberg Business Week editor Joe Weber join us

0:15:55.040 --> 0:15:57.240
<v Speaker 1>with more. This is one of these things that everyone

0:15:57.280 --> 0:15:59.800
<v Speaker 1>just assumes, you know, kids are not going to find

0:15:59.800 --> 0:16:01.880
<v Speaker 1>them ols in places that they're not supposed to be in.

0:16:02.160 --> 0:16:06.120
<v Speaker 1>Just truly scary. Some of these corners can become Olivia

0:16:06.320 --> 0:16:08.800
<v Speaker 1>bring us into how you went about reporting the story,

0:16:08.960 --> 0:16:12.680
<v Speaker 1>because it really involves some tragic elements. Yeah, it does.

0:16:12.920 --> 0:16:16.440
<v Speaker 1>I started reporting this piece by trying to get a

0:16:16.480 --> 0:16:21.400
<v Speaker 1>sense of what happens inside TikTok. After a child dies

0:16:21.600 --> 0:16:24.920
<v Speaker 1>participating in an online challenge, and maybe there's been a

0:16:24.960 --> 0:16:29.680
<v Speaker 1>headline and some local news reports connecting TikTok to their death,

0:16:30.160 --> 0:16:34.120
<v Speaker 1>how does the company respond and what happens internally? And

0:16:34.440 --> 0:16:36.720
<v Speaker 1>the way to answer that question was to try and

0:16:36.720 --> 0:16:39.960
<v Speaker 1>build sources on their trust and safety team. This is

0:16:40.000 --> 0:16:44.360
<v Speaker 1>the team that is built within TikTok to handle the

0:16:44.400 --> 0:16:47.400
<v Speaker 1>worst case scenarios. These are the fixes of the Internet,

0:16:47.480 --> 0:16:49.280
<v Speaker 1>the people who come in and clean up the mess,

0:16:49.520 --> 0:16:53.880
<v Speaker 1>protect the company's reputation, but also try and protect users.

0:16:53.960 --> 0:16:56.760
<v Speaker 1>And I spoke to more than two dozen current and

0:16:56.840 --> 0:16:59.880
<v Speaker 1>former trust and safety insiders to get a sense of

0:17:00.040 --> 0:17:03.400
<v Speaker 1>what happens at TikTok, and that's how we were able

0:17:03.480 --> 0:17:06.000
<v Speaker 1>to tell the story is really through the lens of

0:17:06.000 --> 0:17:08.840
<v Speaker 1>that trust and safety team. Your piece starts out with

0:17:09.240 --> 0:17:12.800
<v Speaker 1>just the tragic story of Ariannia Royo. Can you share

0:17:12.800 --> 0:17:15.919
<v Speaker 1>her story and what her family has gone through. Arianne

0:17:16.119 --> 0:17:19.480
<v Speaker 1>was a nine year old girl. She lived down in Milwaukee, Wisconsin,

0:17:19.640 --> 0:17:22.760
<v Speaker 1>and she loved TikTok. You know, this is the most

0:17:22.800 --> 0:17:25.359
<v Speaker 1>popular app in the world, and it is hard to

0:17:25.400 --> 0:17:31.200
<v Speaker 1>deny the success of this company. Seventy percent of teenagers

0:17:31.200 --> 0:17:33.960
<v Speaker 1>in America are using TikTok, and they're using it more

0:17:34.480 --> 0:17:37.960
<v Speaker 1>than all of the other apps out there, Facebook, Snapchat, Twitter.

0:17:38.680 --> 0:17:41.880
<v Speaker 1>So Arianni, like most kids, fell in love with TikTok

0:17:42.359 --> 0:17:44.800
<v Speaker 1>and she was using the platform on a daily basis

0:17:44.960 --> 0:17:49.240
<v Speaker 1>and she really enjoyed participating in the trending challenges. In

0:17:49.320 --> 0:17:53.320
<v Speaker 1>February of last year, she attempted the Blackout challenge, which

0:17:53.359 --> 0:17:56.919
<v Speaker 1>is where children try and choke themselves with household objects

0:17:57.040 --> 0:18:00.080
<v Speaker 1>until they black out and then film the adrenaline and

0:18:00.240 --> 0:18:04.080
<v Speaker 1>rush or the high they get regaining consciousness. But at

0:18:04.119 --> 0:18:09.520
<v Speaker 1>the age of nine, Ariani unfortunately was unable to save herself.

0:18:09.600 --> 0:18:12.280
<v Speaker 1>She had choked herself with a metal dog leash and

0:18:12.880 --> 0:18:17.040
<v Speaker 1>she tragically died. So Olivia. Obviously TikTok is aware that

0:18:17.440 --> 0:18:20.440
<v Speaker 1>there's a challenge here and that they have happened. There's

0:18:20.480 --> 0:18:23.280
<v Speaker 1>been lawsuits. What does the company have to say about

0:18:23.320 --> 0:18:25.760
<v Speaker 1>it and with their official response, and then what are

0:18:25.800 --> 0:18:28.840
<v Speaker 1>others saying about that response? Yeah, I mean, these dangerous

0:18:28.880 --> 0:18:32.159
<v Speaker 1>challenges bounce across platforms. They exist on TikTok, but they

0:18:32.200 --> 0:18:35.200
<v Speaker 1>exist on all the others as well, and users actually

0:18:35.240 --> 0:18:41.240
<v Speaker 1>try and sidestep safety restrictions by doing things like misspelling keywords.

0:18:41.240 --> 0:18:44.359
<v Speaker 1>So rather than writing blackout challenge, which has been banned

0:18:44.400 --> 0:18:48.760
<v Speaker 1>on TikTok, they'll right black out with a zero and

0:18:48.800 --> 0:18:52.480
<v Speaker 1>try and get around the the artificial intelligence or the

0:18:52.560 --> 0:18:54.880
<v Speaker 1>systems that have been set up to try and protect kids.

0:18:55.480 --> 0:18:59.680
<v Speaker 1>So TikTok really doesn't want this content on its platform.

0:18:59.720 --> 0:19:02.240
<v Speaker 1>It's done what it can to train its moderators to

0:19:02.320 --> 0:19:05.880
<v Speaker 1>take down any content relating to the Blackout Challenge, and

0:19:06.119 --> 0:19:09.000
<v Speaker 1>it also prevents anyone from being able to search for

0:19:09.040 --> 0:19:12.160
<v Speaker 1>Blackout Challenge related content in the app, and it set

0:19:12.200 --> 0:19:15.639
<v Speaker 1>those um those safety restrictions in place at the start

0:19:15.680 --> 0:19:17.840
<v Speaker 1>of last year, after the first ten year old girl

0:19:17.920 --> 0:19:23.080
<v Speaker 1>died attempting this particular challenge, but unfortunately, kids are smart

0:19:23.160 --> 0:19:26.040
<v Speaker 1>and they know how to get around these safety restrictions

0:19:26.080 --> 0:19:28.920
<v Speaker 1>and they're doing that, and that means that the challenges

0:19:28.960 --> 0:19:33.080
<v Speaker 1>continuing to spread across social media platforms. And the most

0:19:33.119 --> 0:19:36.720
<v Speaker 1>recent cases that we could find of deaths associated to

0:19:36.800 --> 0:19:40.240
<v Speaker 1>the blackout challenge was August of this year. So despite

0:19:40.280 --> 0:19:44.040
<v Speaker 1>all of those safety features being implemented, the deaths have

0:19:44.160 --> 0:19:46.560
<v Speaker 1>kept happening. Where do you think we need to go

0:19:46.680 --> 0:19:48.960
<v Speaker 1>from here to get on top of this, Well, that

0:19:49.080 --> 0:19:51.920
<v Speaker 1>question of age verification is like the elephant in the room.

0:19:52.040 --> 0:19:54.159
<v Speaker 1>This is one of the hardest things for these social

0:19:54.200 --> 0:19:57.600
<v Speaker 1>media platforms to do. How can you tell the exact

0:19:57.680 --> 0:19:59.919
<v Speaker 1>age of the person who was on the app, you know,

0:20:00.200 --> 0:20:04.760
<v Speaker 1>using that device. And don't forget that children's content is

0:20:04.800 --> 0:20:09.320
<v Speaker 1>allowed on TikTok. You can film your children or your

0:20:09.400 --> 0:20:12.320
<v Speaker 1>siblings who are under the age of thirteen and post

0:20:12.359 --> 0:20:16.639
<v Speaker 1>about it. Every social media platform in the US at

0:20:16.720 --> 0:20:18.840
<v Speaker 1>least has a rule that says you have to be

0:20:18.880 --> 0:20:21.919
<v Speaker 1>over the age of thirteen to use the product. You know,

0:20:21.960 --> 0:20:24.760
<v Speaker 1>they call it within the industry the age gate, and

0:20:25.040 --> 0:20:28.040
<v Speaker 1>it's very hard to enforce that. So these companies are

0:20:28.080 --> 0:20:30.000
<v Speaker 1>trying to find ways around it. But this is one

0:20:30.040 --> 0:20:33.199
<v Speaker 1>of the biggest challenges that social media platforms face. That

0:20:33.240 --> 0:20:36.480
<v Speaker 1>was Bloomberg Investigative reporter Olivia Carville and Bloomberg Business We

0:20:36.520 --> 0:20:38.800
<v Speaker 1>Get It or Jil Weber on this week's cover story.

0:20:39.000 --> 0:20:40.680
<v Speaker 1>Just head to Bloomberg dot com or check it out

0:20:40.680 --> 0:20:43.080
<v Speaker 1>on the terminal for a full length video feature on

0:20:43.160 --> 0:20:45.520
<v Speaker 1>this piece. Hard to stomach, but I gotta say it

0:20:45.560 --> 0:20:47.600
<v Speaker 1>important for the parents of young kids to see and

0:20:47.600 --> 0:20:51.120
<v Speaker 1>know about. You're listening to Bloomberg Business Week. Coming up next,

0:20:51.160 --> 0:20:53.160
<v Speaker 1>we shift gears and take a look at a key

0:20:53.240 --> 0:20:56.760
<v Speaker 1>area of the consumer economy, the travel and hospitality sector.

0:20:56.920 --> 0:20:58.960
<v Speaker 1>Then we get a post Thanksgiving pulse check with Price

0:20:59.040 --> 0:21:08.639
<v Speaker 1>Line CEO bread Larth. This is Bloomberg. You're listening to

0:21:08.720 --> 0:21:12.600
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Business Week with Carol Messer and Bloomberg Quick Takes

0:21:12.720 --> 0:21:17.520
<v Speaker 1>Tim Stinovik from Bloomberg Radio. Just over two and a

0:21:17.560 --> 0:21:21.480
<v Speaker 1>half million passengers passed through US airport checkpoints last Sunday,

0:21:21.520 --> 0:21:24.760
<v Speaker 1>according to Transportation Security Administration data. We're talking about the

0:21:24.800 --> 0:21:26.720
<v Speaker 1>t s A. That's the most in a single day

0:21:26.720 --> 0:21:29.920
<v Speaker 1>since before the COVID nineteen pandemic, up about four and

0:21:29.960 --> 0:21:32.200
<v Speaker 1>a half percent from the same day last year. Again,

0:21:32.240 --> 0:21:34.399
<v Speaker 1>according to the t S, a still a little one

0:21:34.440 --> 0:21:37.000
<v Speaker 1>day tally fell about eleven percent shy the same figure

0:21:37.040 --> 0:21:40.720
<v Speaker 1>in that's when two point eight million travelers were screened.

0:21:40.800 --> 0:21:42.679
<v Speaker 1>With a look at the travel scene this past weekend

0:21:42.760 --> 0:21:45.520
<v Speaker 1>and what maybe to come a bloomberg market, Senior editor

0:21:45.560 --> 0:21:48.879
<v Speaker 1>Mike Reagan and Carol spoke with Priceline CEO Brett Keller

0:21:49.119 --> 0:21:51.320
<v Speaker 1>on the heels of a cross country flight to the

0:21:51.320 --> 0:21:53.960
<v Speaker 1>East Coast. The plane was completely packed, you know, a

0:21:53.960 --> 0:21:56.440
<v Speaker 1>little bit of a delay coming into New York, but overall,

0:21:57.000 --> 0:22:00.359
<v Speaker 1>you know, the Thanksgiving period of travel across the tree

0:22:00.400 --> 0:22:04.280
<v Speaker 1>was very smooth. Yeah, Brett. Obviously, inflation has been the

0:22:04.359 --> 0:22:07.000
<v Speaker 1>hot topic all year. I'm wondering what you're seeing as

0:22:07.000 --> 0:22:10.920
<v Speaker 1>far as prices in the travel, hotel, airfare, that sort

0:22:10.960 --> 0:22:14.119
<v Speaker 1>of thing. Are they rising as much as you know,

0:22:14.240 --> 0:22:18.200
<v Speaker 1>cp I would suggest something like seven Actually a little

0:22:18.200 --> 0:22:20.840
<v Speaker 1>hotter than that. Um depends on, you know, whether you're

0:22:20.880 --> 0:22:22.760
<v Speaker 1>booking a flight or book in a hotel, but they're

0:22:22.760 --> 0:22:26.200
<v Speaker 1>both up on the hotel side, you know, prices up

0:22:26.920 --> 0:22:29.480
<v Speaker 1>seven eight percent versus where they were a year ago today,

0:22:29.480 --> 0:22:31.000
<v Speaker 1>so a little less in the CPI. But when you

0:22:31.000 --> 0:22:34.520
<v Speaker 1>look at flies and they're closer to fift, especially if

0:22:34.520 --> 0:22:37.520
<v Speaker 1>you're flying overseas. So with the cost of jet fuel,

0:22:37.960 --> 0:22:40.160
<v Speaker 1>you know, really up fifty where it was a year ago.

0:22:40.280 --> 0:22:44.000
<v Speaker 1>That's pushing prices higher along with labor costs, and consumers

0:22:44.040 --> 0:22:47.360
<v Speaker 1>seem to be shaking off those higher prices. They continue

0:22:47.400 --> 0:22:50.560
<v Speaker 1>to prioritize travel over other purchases and are really hitting

0:22:50.560 --> 0:22:52.120
<v Speaker 1>the road. So here at price line, you know, we're

0:22:52.200 --> 0:22:57.520
<v Speaker 1>really seeing good, healthy travel demand. October actually accelerated from

0:22:57.560 --> 0:23:00.320
<v Speaker 1>where it was in August and September. As we look

0:23:00.320 --> 0:23:02.919
<v Speaker 1>into next year, patterns seem to be holding up at

0:23:02.960 --> 0:23:06.640
<v Speaker 1>least so far. So are we back at levels based

0:23:06.680 --> 0:23:09.960
<v Speaker 1>on what you're seeing off your platform? Brett, Yeah, we're

0:23:10.080 --> 0:23:12.240
<v Speaker 1>very close. On the hotel front. If you just look

0:23:12.240 --> 0:23:15.439
<v Speaker 1>at industry data broadly, for for the hotel category, you know,

0:23:15.480 --> 0:23:18.639
<v Speaker 1>their occupancy rates are just about where they were in

0:23:18.680 --> 0:23:22.440
<v Speaker 1>two thousand nineteen, maybe a percentage point below, but very healthy.

0:23:22.480 --> 0:23:25.199
<v Speaker 1>On the flight side, even higher in the nineties in

0:23:25.280 --> 0:23:28.880
<v Speaker 1>terms of you know, seat capacity utilization. So things look

0:23:29.119 --> 0:23:31.959
<v Speaker 1>pretty good in the industry right now. And you know,

0:23:32.480 --> 0:23:36.320
<v Speaker 1>consumers no longer have any COVID concerns, especially here in

0:23:36.400 --> 0:23:38.840
<v Speaker 1>domestic travel in the US, and we're seeing a really

0:23:38.840 --> 0:23:42.600
<v Speaker 1>strong demand into Europe and now starting into Asia as

0:23:42.640 --> 0:23:45.320
<v Speaker 1>they've lifted restrictions there. Let me just just to follow

0:23:45.359 --> 0:23:47.600
<v Speaker 1>on that. So I am always curious Brett on a

0:23:47.640 --> 0:23:50.320
<v Speaker 1>platform like yours, I mean, how much visibility do you

0:23:50.359 --> 0:23:52.840
<v Speaker 1>have looking out? Is it a couple of months, is

0:23:52.840 --> 0:23:55.159
<v Speaker 1>it's six months, is it twelve months? What kind of

0:23:55.240 --> 0:23:57.560
<v Speaker 1>visibility do you have in terms of what the environment

0:23:57.640 --> 0:24:03.320
<v Speaker 1>might be for travel heading? Sure, Well, the average booking

0:24:03.320 --> 0:24:07.000
<v Speaker 1>window for a consumer booking you know out into the

0:24:07.040 --> 0:24:10.679
<v Speaker 1>future is usually pretty close in two three to four weeks.

0:24:10.720 --> 0:24:13.320
<v Speaker 1>That's really where most of the bookings happen. But we

0:24:13.400 --> 0:24:16.120
<v Speaker 1>do see, you know, well into the future people will

0:24:16.119 --> 0:24:18.480
<v Speaker 1>book out to three and four months for certain types

0:24:18.480 --> 0:24:20.760
<v Speaker 1>of vacations, and so that's a good proxy for what

0:24:20.800 --> 0:24:24.120
<v Speaker 1>we're seeing, and so far that data looks pretty good.

0:24:24.119 --> 0:24:26.720
<v Speaker 1>Things are still relatively healthy as we look into the

0:24:26.760 --> 0:24:30.199
<v Speaker 1>future into first quarter of next year, so you know,

0:24:30.280 --> 0:24:34.400
<v Speaker 1>demand again appears to be holding up um and we'll

0:24:34.480 --> 0:24:36.240
<v Speaker 1>we'll see where it goes from there. But so far,

0:24:36.320 --> 0:24:38.480
<v Speaker 1>we're we're happy with how things are playing out in

0:24:38.480 --> 0:24:40.960
<v Speaker 1>the travel space. You know, Brett, I think probably a

0:24:40.960 --> 0:24:43.639
<v Speaker 1>lot of listeners hit your site looking for a deal,

0:24:44.320 --> 0:24:46.720
<v Speaker 1>of course, you know, or any tips on how to

0:24:46.800 --> 0:24:50.000
<v Speaker 1>save a few bucks in this holiday season considering prices

0:24:50.040 --> 0:24:53.560
<v Speaker 1>of everything are higher. There any sort of tricks of

0:24:53.600 --> 0:24:56.320
<v Speaker 1>the trade you could share with us, Yeah, absolutely, listen.

0:24:56.400 --> 0:24:58.879
<v Speaker 1>This is why price Line was founded, you know twenty

0:24:58.920 --> 0:25:01.960
<v Speaker 1>five years ago, was to help consumers navigate a very

0:25:02.000 --> 0:25:05.439
<v Speaker 1>complex space and and find savings. So when when you

0:25:05.480 --> 0:25:08.240
<v Speaker 1>think about ways to save money today and this really

0:25:08.320 --> 0:25:11.679
<v Speaker 1>high priced environment, one is you really need to avoid

0:25:12.280 --> 0:25:16.040
<v Speaker 1>these high peak travel dates if your schedule allows, and

0:25:16.080 --> 0:25:18.000
<v Speaker 1>more and more consumers are able to do that now.

0:25:18.119 --> 0:25:21.520
<v Speaker 1>So for example, with the upcoming holidays, try your best

0:25:21.560 --> 0:25:25.040
<v Speaker 1>not to fly on the twenty three and right right

0:25:25.040 --> 0:25:27.760
<v Speaker 1>before and right after a Christmas holiday or the day

0:25:27.800 --> 0:25:30.160
<v Speaker 1>after New Year's Day. Really try and push that out

0:25:30.160 --> 0:25:33.840
<v Speaker 1>a couple of days. You can save fifteen because they

0:25:33.880 --> 0:25:38.240
<v Speaker 1>really optimally price for those dates. From the airline side,

0:25:38.359 --> 0:25:40.960
<v Speaker 1>a second way is on a site like price Line,

0:25:41.040 --> 0:25:44.080
<v Speaker 1>you can book with mixed carriers. You can fly out

0:25:44.080 --> 0:25:47.360
<v Speaker 1>on one airline, fly back on another that can typically

0:25:47.359 --> 0:25:50.520
<v Speaker 1>deliver you anywhere from five percent off of what you

0:25:50.560 --> 0:25:52.240
<v Speaker 1>would pay if you flew out and back on the

0:25:52.280 --> 0:25:55.120
<v Speaker 1>same carrier. So by mixing and matching carriers, you can

0:25:55.160 --> 0:25:58.359
<v Speaker 1>save money. And a third is to package right and

0:25:58.520 --> 0:26:00.879
<v Speaker 1>bundle your your your books together. So if you're going

0:26:00.920 --> 0:26:03.280
<v Speaker 1>to book a hotel and a flight, bundle those together.

0:26:03.440 --> 0:26:05.840
<v Speaker 1>You will save money because we have access to especially

0:26:05.840 --> 0:26:09.959
<v Speaker 1>negotiated rays that can only be used in that bundled experience,

0:26:10.280 --> 0:26:12.520
<v Speaker 1>and that does deliver real value up to you know,

0:26:12.560 --> 0:26:15.960
<v Speaker 1>a couple of hundred dollars a trip when you really

0:26:16.000 --> 0:26:19.080
<v Speaker 1>are thoughtful about destinations and how you book those together.

0:26:19.520 --> 0:26:21.200
<v Speaker 1>You guys do have lots of data you can see

0:26:21.240 --> 0:26:24.400
<v Speaker 1>in real time, like what's interesting to people, what are

0:26:24.480 --> 0:26:29.320
<v Speaker 1>the most popular flights that people are booking right now? Well, uh,

0:26:29.359 --> 0:26:33.679
<v Speaker 1>you know, coming out of consumers really stayed close to

0:26:33.720 --> 0:26:35.960
<v Speaker 1>home and many of them were not really even leaving

0:26:35.960 --> 0:26:39.480
<v Speaker 1>the country. Uh. And so we've seen big markets really

0:26:39.520 --> 0:26:42.919
<v Speaker 1>start to open up this year, especially for Christmas and

0:26:43.119 --> 0:26:47.040
<v Speaker 1>New Year's. So New York, Atlanta, Las Vegas, l A

0:26:47.040 --> 0:26:51.159
<v Speaker 1>all very very top of the charts right now. Also Orlando. Uh,

0:26:51.280 --> 0:26:53.920
<v Speaker 1>that's always been a number one or number two market

0:26:54.359 --> 0:26:56.840
<v Speaker 1>for US in particular, but really for the country, and

0:26:56.880 --> 0:27:00.040
<v Speaker 1>it continues to be a top market for consumers. Of

0:27:00.200 --> 0:27:03.280
<v Speaker 1>what we're seeing a lot more. The second half is

0:27:03.280 --> 0:27:07.360
<v Speaker 1>people are leaving the US to travel overseas, and when

0:27:07.359 --> 0:27:10.199
<v Speaker 1>you look at where they're going in Europe, obviously London

0:27:10.280 --> 0:27:12.600
<v Speaker 1>is a big market, but they're also heading into many

0:27:12.640 --> 0:27:15.600
<v Speaker 1>other interesting destinations there and a few now moving into Asia.

0:27:15.800 --> 0:27:19.919
<v Speaker 1>But really for the holiday period, warm destinations are at

0:27:19.920 --> 0:27:23.920
<v Speaker 1>the top of the list. Locations like Cancoon, Jamaica, Dominican

0:27:24.000 --> 0:27:27.800
<v Speaker 1>Republic are very very appealing to consumers just looking to

0:27:27.880 --> 0:27:29.760
<v Speaker 1>get a break and get some sunshine. A colleague of

0:27:29.800 --> 0:27:32.959
<v Speaker 1>ours here uh said, yep, we just came back from

0:27:33.040 --> 0:27:36.159
<v Speaker 1>Jamaica and so yeah, people, Mike are out and about

0:27:36.240 --> 0:27:38.280
<v Speaker 1>and they're getting out of the US. I'll take any

0:27:38.320 --> 0:27:41.720
<v Speaker 1>of those destinations. Yes, yes, and yes, hot sand, a

0:27:41.760 --> 0:27:45.280
<v Speaker 1>golf course, swimming pool, one of those drinks with the umbrella.

0:27:45.560 --> 0:27:49.080
<v Speaker 1>But Brett, you know, it's such an unusual economic environment

0:27:49.160 --> 0:27:51.960
<v Speaker 1>that we're in right now. We have high inflation but

0:27:52.240 --> 0:27:57.080
<v Speaker 1>super low unemployment. Everyone's worried about a recession. I'm wondering

0:27:57.600 --> 0:28:00.920
<v Speaker 1>which of those variables matter the most to your business.

0:28:00.960 --> 0:28:03.280
<v Speaker 1>You know, is it unemployment, is it g d P

0:28:03.680 --> 0:28:06.800
<v Speaker 1>is an inflation is you know, my guess is unemployment

0:28:06.880 --> 0:28:09.399
<v Speaker 1>is is probably the main thing that would sort of

0:28:10.040 --> 0:28:13.800
<v Speaker 1>be a headwind to travel. Is that a fair assumption. Yeah,

0:28:13.800 --> 0:28:16.080
<v Speaker 1>I think that's a fair assumption. I've been in the

0:28:16.080 --> 0:28:18.280
<v Speaker 1>industry for over twenty five years. You know, we went

0:28:18.320 --> 0:28:21.959
<v Speaker 1>through this back in oh eight, and travel is a

0:28:22.080 --> 0:28:27.000
<v Speaker 1>very resilient category. People seem to prioritize that they always

0:28:27.000 --> 0:28:29.280
<v Speaker 1>want to have that opportunity to visit family, to take

0:28:29.320 --> 0:28:32.040
<v Speaker 1>a break, and so you know, if you're unemployed, obviously

0:28:32.040 --> 0:28:35.080
<v Speaker 1>that makes it very, very challenging to pull together the

0:28:35.080 --> 0:28:37.280
<v Speaker 1>dollars that's required to to take a trip like this.

0:28:37.400 --> 0:28:40.000
<v Speaker 1>But what people will typically do if they're constrained is

0:28:40.040 --> 0:28:43.600
<v Speaker 1>they'll start to modify how they travel. They may drive

0:28:43.640 --> 0:28:46.320
<v Speaker 1>instead of fly, they may you know, drop down a

0:28:46.360 --> 0:28:49.920
<v Speaker 1>star category. Um, they'll find ways to save money but

0:28:50.040 --> 0:28:53.000
<v Speaker 1>still take that trip. And we're not necessarily seeing that

0:28:53.080 --> 0:28:56.360
<v Speaker 1>trade down happen yet, but certainly that's what consumers may

0:28:56.960 --> 0:29:00.200
<v Speaker 1>end up doing if they're really pressed for cash. Right,

0:29:00.280 --> 0:29:02.720
<v Speaker 1>we spend I feel like every day in and out

0:29:02.800 --> 0:29:06.040
<v Speaker 1>here at Bloomberg, because of the upcoming FED meeting, because

0:29:06.040 --> 0:29:08.560
<v Speaker 1>of the FED conversations, because of j pal speaking this week,

0:29:08.560 --> 0:29:11.000
<v Speaker 1>we talk about, you know, the prospect of a recession,

0:29:11.400 --> 0:29:13.360
<v Speaker 1>whether it will be shallow, whether it will be deep,

0:29:13.400 --> 0:29:17.200
<v Speaker 1>whether the FED will overdo it. What's the conversations constructive

0:29:17.240 --> 0:29:21.360
<v Speaker 1>conversations you guys are having at priceline Um when it

0:29:21.440 --> 0:29:25.840
<v Speaker 1>comes to the economic outlook and the possibility of a recession. Sure, well,

0:29:25.840 --> 0:29:28.480
<v Speaker 1>that's obviously on everyone's mind here as well as we

0:29:28.520 --> 0:29:30.080
<v Speaker 1>read the news and everything that's going on in the

0:29:30.240 --> 0:29:35.160
<v Speaker 1>in the category. It's interesting though, is so far the

0:29:35.240 --> 0:29:40.080
<v Speaker 1>hotel chains, the major airlines, they are all signaling good, strong,

0:29:40.200 --> 0:29:42.480
<v Speaker 1>healthy demand for their product. And a lot of that

0:29:42.800 --> 0:29:46.520
<v Speaker 1>obviously is because of consumers not being able to travel

0:29:46.600 --> 0:29:48.520
<v Speaker 1>for really a good year and a half, and so

0:29:48.840 --> 0:29:52.400
<v Speaker 1>that's propelling travel forward. And you know, when you think

0:29:52.440 --> 0:29:56.280
<v Speaker 1>about what consumers are looking to do with whatever extra

0:29:56.320 --> 0:30:00.920
<v Speaker 1>cash they have, they are prioritizing this now over really commodities.

0:30:00.960 --> 0:30:04.400
<v Speaker 1>So you know, as we think about a recession, we're thinking, yeah,

0:30:04.440 --> 0:30:08.640
<v Speaker 1>this could be this could be obviously harmful to the

0:30:09.280 --> 0:30:13.080
<v Speaker 1>industry longer term, but we just don't see that. And

0:30:13.360 --> 0:30:16.880
<v Speaker 1>historically when you look back to Ohay, it weathered that

0:30:17.080 --> 0:30:21.600
<v Speaker 1>very very well as well, So we're very optimistic about

0:30:21.600 --> 0:30:23.840
<v Speaker 1>the next couple of years, even in the face of

0:30:24.160 --> 0:30:27.200
<v Speaker 1>what could be, you know, a recession. But you know,

0:30:27.920 --> 0:30:30.800
<v Speaker 1>you can't predict the future anymore. It's it's becoming a

0:30:30.840 --> 0:30:33.960
<v Speaker 1>bit a bit too challenging, you know, Brett. Quickly, I

0:30:34.000 --> 0:30:35.640
<v Speaker 1>was looking at some of the notes that you sent

0:30:35.760 --> 0:30:40.920
<v Speaker 1>us before the show Um and Cruises. The price you gave,

0:30:40.960 --> 0:30:43.920
<v Speaker 1>the low price for a cruise ship per night made

0:30:43.920 --> 0:30:45.880
<v Speaker 1>my eyes pop out. Is that a type of seventy

0:30:45.920 --> 0:30:47.200
<v Speaker 1>dollars a night you can you can go on a

0:30:47.240 --> 0:30:51.760
<v Speaker 1>cruise work. No, that's absolutely an accurate figure. In fact,

0:30:52.280 --> 0:30:54.280
<v Speaker 1>you know, that's one of and most people don't know this,

0:30:54.440 --> 0:30:57.280
<v Speaker 1>it is one of the most cost effective vacations there

0:30:57.320 --> 0:31:00.520
<v Speaker 1>are because it typically includes obviously food and beverage as well,

0:31:00.920 --> 0:31:02.960
<v Speaker 1>so you bring that together. It's a it's a really

0:31:03.040 --> 0:31:04.520
<v Speaker 1>nice vacation. Now you have to get yourself to a

0:31:04.560 --> 0:31:07.280
<v Speaker 1>cruise port, but there are ways to either drive there

0:31:07.400 --> 0:31:09.160
<v Speaker 1>or find a cheap flight to get you there to

0:31:09.240 --> 0:31:11.080
<v Speaker 1>then get you onto that cruise line. And now you know,

0:31:11.120 --> 0:31:14.280
<v Speaker 1>the cruise lines obviously had a tough time through COVID

0:31:14.360 --> 0:31:16.840
<v Speaker 1>and continue to have a lot of excess capacity, more

0:31:16.880 --> 0:31:20.000
<v Speaker 1>so than many of the other travel categories. So they're

0:31:20.080 --> 0:31:22.360
<v Speaker 1>really they're really rolling out the credits and other things

0:31:22.360 --> 0:31:24.600
<v Speaker 1>to get you onto those ships. That was Priceline CEO

0:31:24.600 --> 0:31:26.880
<v Speaker 1>Brett Keller with me and Mike Reagan. Priceline, by the way,

0:31:26.880 --> 0:31:30.320
<v Speaker 1>a subsidiary of the publicly held Booking Holdings. And that

0:31:30.360 --> 0:31:32.160
<v Speaker 1>wraps up our first hour of the weekend edition of

0:31:32.200 --> 0:31:34.920
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Business Week from Bloomberg Radio. I'm Carol Masser and

0:31:34.920 --> 0:31:37.200
<v Speaker 1>I'm Tim Stanovic. Ahead in our next hour, we go

0:31:37.240 --> 0:31:40.040
<v Speaker 1>in depth with Kathy Wood of our convest on everything

0:31:40.080 --> 0:31:43.000
<v Speaker 1>from Elon Musk to this year's FED policy and the

0:31:43.080 --> 0:31:46.280
<v Speaker 1>latest on crypto deep freeze brought on by the collapse

0:31:46.320 --> 0:31:48.719
<v Speaker 1>of ft X. Great voice for so much going on

0:31:48.840 --> 0:31:51.320
<v Speaker 1>right now. Yes, a lot of people have lost a

0:31:51.320 --> 0:31:56.360
<v Speaker 1>lot of money around the crypto acid ecosystem, uh, losing

0:31:56.640 --> 0:31:59.920
<v Speaker 1>value here. But if we're right on the underlying techno

0:32:00.000 --> 0:32:06.120
<v Speaker 1>apology and the underlying rules that bitcoin and ether ethereum

0:32:06.280 --> 0:32:10.120
<v Speaker 1>are going to play in this new world, Uh, then

0:32:11.040 --> 0:32:14.800
<v Speaker 1>I think we're going to recover pretty quickly. Stick around.

0:32:15.000 --> 0:32:26.680
<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg. This is Bloomberg Business Week inside from

0:32:26.680 --> 0:32:29.840
<v Speaker 1>the reporters and editors who bring you America's most trusted

0:32:29.880 --> 0:32:34.040
<v Speaker 1>business magazine, plus global business finance and tech news as

0:32:34.080 --> 0:32:37.960
<v Speaker 1>it happened, Sloomberg Business Week with Carol Messier and Bloomberg

0:32:38.040 --> 0:32:42.520
<v Speaker 1>Quick Takes Tim Stinovic on Bloomberg Radio. Plenty of head

0:32:42.520 --> 0:32:44.520
<v Speaker 1>in our second hour of the weekend edition of Bloomberg

0:32:44.600 --> 0:32:47.800
<v Speaker 1>Business Week, including our comprehensive interview with Kathy Wood of

0:32:47.800 --> 0:32:51.160
<v Speaker 1>our convest everything from Elon Musk and Twitter and Tesla

0:32:51.280 --> 0:32:53.800
<v Speaker 1>to the ft X implosion. First up this hour, the

0:32:53.840 --> 0:32:56.600
<v Speaker 1>crypto crash from a different angle. The Business Week team

0:32:56.600 --> 0:32:59.160
<v Speaker 1>has a story online at Bloomberg dot com, slash business

0:32:59.200 --> 0:33:01.080
<v Speaker 1>Week and on the term at All about how the

0:33:01.120 --> 0:33:05.000
<v Speaker 1>digital asset turmoil is actually helping couples rekindle their relationships

0:33:05.000 --> 0:33:07.880
<v Speaker 1>at an angle I didn't see Bloomberg Markets Senior editor

0:33:07.920 --> 0:33:10.120
<v Speaker 1>Mike Reagan, and I got more from Business Week contributor

0:33:10.200 --> 0:33:12.840
<v Speaker 1>Joel Stein, as well as the Markets and Finance editor

0:33:12.880 --> 0:33:15.200
<v Speaker 1>for the magazine, Pat right Near. I think all of

0:33:15.280 --> 0:33:18.320
<v Speaker 1>us who spent any time reporting on crypto got to

0:33:18.400 --> 0:33:21.640
<v Speaker 1>know people for whom crypto became kind of a defining

0:33:21.680 --> 0:33:23.840
<v Speaker 1>part of their lives. I mean, you know, a lot

0:33:23.880 --> 0:33:27.440
<v Speaker 1>of people listening to this are just ordinary finance workaholics

0:33:27.480 --> 0:33:30.600
<v Speaker 1>who have a hard enough time sort of paying attention

0:33:30.600 --> 0:33:32.800
<v Speaker 1>to this stuff. Um, you know, when the markets are

0:33:32.840 --> 0:33:36.360
<v Speaker 1>open to crypto has this quality of never being closed,

0:33:36.440 --> 0:33:38.720
<v Speaker 1>even on the weekends and bringing a lot of things

0:33:38.720 --> 0:33:42.560
<v Speaker 1>outside of people's peripheral vision. And UM, I think a

0:33:42.600 --> 0:33:44.080
<v Speaker 1>lot of people have had a hard time kind of

0:33:44.120 --> 0:33:47.640
<v Speaker 1>emotionally managing that. And um, the side effect of that

0:33:47.720 --> 0:33:51.960
<v Speaker 1>is that it's hard on people's relationships. But um, Joel,

0:33:52.000 --> 0:33:54.520
<v Speaker 1>tell me how you kind of came came onto this. Uh,

0:33:54.880 --> 0:33:58.080
<v Speaker 1>these were some people you knew. Yes, my friend Igor

0:33:58.200 --> 0:34:00.800
<v Speaker 1>Hiller who's in the piece, And he was the guy

0:34:00.840 --> 0:34:03.840
<v Speaker 1>I always called when I ever got assigned a crypto

0:34:03.880 --> 0:34:06.600
<v Speaker 1>story to ask him like the basics of like what

0:34:06.680 --> 0:34:09.200
<v Speaker 1>the hell this is all about? And he was over

0:34:09.200 --> 0:34:12.160
<v Speaker 1>for dinner with his longtime girlfriend. They've been together for

0:34:12.200 --> 0:34:15.360
<v Speaker 1>like four years, and they told us that kind of

0:34:15.400 --> 0:34:17.480
<v Speaker 1>like what started as a really funny story and turned

0:34:17.520 --> 0:34:20.479
<v Speaker 1>really kind of sad and serious where they almost broke

0:34:20.600 --> 0:34:23.960
<v Speaker 1>up because he wasn't paying any attention to the relationship

0:34:24.000 --> 0:34:28.000
<v Speaker 1>because he was so obsessed with his cryptop and hanging

0:34:28.000 --> 0:34:31.279
<v Speaker 1>out with them and just checking his phone constantly and

0:34:31.320 --> 0:34:34.319
<v Speaker 1>waiting for n f T drops and just like you know,

0:34:34.440 --> 0:34:37.680
<v Speaker 1>degenerate gambler, maybe you'd call it de Jenning when he

0:34:37.719 --> 0:34:39.960
<v Speaker 1>went into these kind of phases and uh, and she

0:34:40.000 --> 0:34:42.000
<v Speaker 1>kind of gave him an ultimatum that was either crypto

0:34:42.120 --> 0:34:44.640
<v Speaker 1>or her. But you know, Joe, you mentioned those n

0:34:44.640 --> 0:34:46.879
<v Speaker 1>f T drops and I get the impression reading this

0:34:47.200 --> 0:34:50.520
<v Speaker 1>that U n f T is almost really worsened this

0:34:50.600 --> 0:34:54.720
<v Speaker 1>situation because you're stuck there waiting for these things to drop,

0:34:54.800 --> 0:34:57.200
<v Speaker 1>and they can be delayed. Did you get that sense

0:34:57.239 --> 0:35:00.200
<v Speaker 1>to that? You know, the the addiction was almost first

0:35:00.200 --> 0:35:02.400
<v Speaker 1>when it came to n f T s, both because

0:35:02.520 --> 0:35:05.360
<v Speaker 1>of the time consumption and also sort of the potential

0:35:05.480 --> 0:35:07.880
<v Speaker 1>upside and those as an investments, at least for a

0:35:07.920 --> 0:35:10.520
<v Speaker 1>hot minute. There, for a hot minute, n f T

0:35:10.640 --> 0:35:13.800
<v Speaker 1>s were. But throughout the entire you know, crypto cycle,

0:35:13.840 --> 0:35:16.480
<v Speaker 1>there was always a different thing that could occupy you

0:35:16.640 --> 0:35:19.160
<v Speaker 1>twenty four hours a day because crypto markets don't close.

0:35:19.600 --> 0:35:23.280
<v Speaker 1>So during the D five farming phase, there was always

0:35:23.520 --> 0:35:25.520
<v Speaker 1>some new farm that was opening up that you had

0:35:25.520 --> 0:35:27.719
<v Speaker 1>to get involved and get their coin real quick, or

0:35:27.719 --> 0:35:29.760
<v Speaker 1>there'd be a coin drop, right like, people were creating

0:35:29.800 --> 0:35:32.480
<v Speaker 1>new coins all the time, and Elon Musk or someone

0:35:32.520 --> 0:35:34.480
<v Speaker 1>else would tell you that this was a hot coin

0:35:34.520 --> 0:35:35.799
<v Speaker 1>you had to get, and you had to get it,

0:35:35.960 --> 0:35:37.920
<v Speaker 1>you know, when it was minted. So I don't think

0:35:37.960 --> 0:35:39.480
<v Speaker 1>it was just n f t s. There were there

0:35:39.600 --> 0:35:42.279
<v Speaker 1>was always some new craze that you had to get

0:35:42.280 --> 0:35:44.520
<v Speaker 1>involved in, and you know, maybe you had to simp

0:35:44.680 --> 0:35:48.040
<v Speaker 1>some star in order to get involved in that, you know,

0:35:48.320 --> 0:35:51.920
<v Speaker 1>um in that discord channel and by I guess those

0:35:51.960 --> 0:35:53.279
<v Speaker 1>are off in n f t s. But yeah, there

0:35:53.320 --> 0:35:56.040
<v Speaker 1>was always a new craze and even if you kept

0:35:56.120 --> 0:35:57.399
<v Speaker 1>up with one of them, there'd be a new one

0:35:57.400 --> 0:36:02.239
<v Speaker 1>that popped up. Pat, come on back in on the conversation. Yeah.

0:36:02.280 --> 0:36:04.160
<v Speaker 1>You know. One of the things I'm thinking about a lot,

0:36:04.440 --> 0:36:07.759
<v Speaker 1>with all of the really serious stuff having happening now,

0:36:07.920 --> 0:36:12.080
<v Speaker 1>is that, um. You know, UM, we've learned that markets

0:36:12.120 --> 0:36:15.040
<v Speaker 1>can grow up faster than you can teach yourself how

0:36:15.040 --> 0:36:17.960
<v Speaker 1>to think about them, and I think also faster than

0:36:18.000 --> 0:36:21.360
<v Speaker 1>you can teach yourself how to emotionally handle them. Um.

0:36:21.400 --> 0:36:24.959
<v Speaker 1>You know, in the last two years in crypto, even

0:36:25.040 --> 0:36:28.520
<v Speaker 1>for people who aren't investing in it, um, it's been uh,

0:36:28.640 --> 0:36:31.720
<v Speaker 1>something that has moved so fast that it just keeps

0:36:31.719 --> 0:36:38.319
<v Speaker 1>you kind of like mentally and emotionally agitated. Um, but

0:36:38.760 --> 0:36:39.920
<v Speaker 1>you know, I mean I also kind of want to

0:36:39.920 --> 0:36:41.319
<v Speaker 1>talk a little bit about sort of you know, the

0:36:41.320 --> 0:36:43.640
<v Speaker 1>people who are the partners in these situations, and Joel's

0:36:43.640 --> 0:36:45.120
<v Speaker 1>sort of like what they felt like they had to

0:36:45.120 --> 0:36:49.799
<v Speaker 1>do to kind of get ahold of their relationships and

0:36:49.840 --> 0:36:54.400
<v Speaker 1>really like bring their partners back from the brink. Yeah,

0:36:54.520 --> 0:36:58.480
<v Speaker 1>and almost every case there was a guy, and it

0:36:58.560 --> 0:37:01.000
<v Speaker 1>was almost always a young with always the fact we

0:37:01.000 --> 0:37:03.000
<v Speaker 1>were looking all around all we could find with young men,

0:37:03.640 --> 0:37:07.000
<v Speaker 1>uh and and the and the numbers, IM polls and

0:37:07.200 --> 0:37:09.279
<v Speaker 1>and kind of play this out. But it's a bunch

0:37:09.320 --> 0:37:12.560
<v Speaker 1>of young men and they get so wrapped up in

0:37:12.560 --> 0:37:15.640
<v Speaker 1>this and they think it's going to be a life

0:37:15.719 --> 0:37:18.240
<v Speaker 1>changing moment that they can't miss out on. It's all fomo,

0:37:18.440 --> 0:37:21.200
<v Speaker 1>and that there's going to be generational wealth created for

0:37:21.239 --> 0:37:24.120
<v Speaker 1>their grandchildren if they just stick to this one thing.

0:37:24.200 --> 0:37:27.200
<v Speaker 1>And they all kind of we're able to get their

0:37:27.280 --> 0:37:32.160
<v Speaker 1>spouse or more like their girlfriend involved to an extent,

0:37:33.320 --> 0:37:36.040
<v Speaker 1>but um, not as much as they would have liked.

0:37:36.120 --> 0:37:39.279
<v Speaker 1>And then there their relationships started to wither because they

0:37:39.280 --> 0:37:42.200
<v Speaker 1>were so devoted to this one thing. Yeah, Joe, I

0:37:42.480 --> 0:37:45.920
<v Speaker 1>wonder if, you know, if these guys really are creating

0:37:46.000 --> 0:37:48.800
<v Speaker 1>wealth through this, if that sort of changes the equation

0:37:48.840 --> 0:37:51.000
<v Speaker 1>with the wives and girlfriends a little bit too. Were

0:37:51.000 --> 0:37:53.200
<v Speaker 1>any of these guys actually, you know, doing well with

0:37:53.280 --> 0:37:57.360
<v Speaker 1>their trading enough to you know, sort of get the

0:37:57.520 --> 0:38:00.520
<v Speaker 1>get the day pass from their wives and girlfriends? Sure?

0:38:00.560 --> 0:38:02.320
<v Speaker 1>I mean, some of these guys, you know, on a

0:38:02.719 --> 0:38:06.600
<v Speaker 1>exciting day could make ten dollars the guys I was

0:38:06.640 --> 0:38:08.960
<v Speaker 1>talking to at least, and that that goes a little,

0:38:09.080 --> 0:38:11.440
<v Speaker 1>you know, a long way and convincing your girlfriend that's okay,

0:38:11.480 --> 0:38:14.640
<v Speaker 1>you didn't go out with her this weekend. But you know,

0:38:15.040 --> 0:38:17.640
<v Speaker 1>those days were few and far between, especially as the

0:38:17.640 --> 0:38:20.239
<v Speaker 1>markets started to dry up at the beginning of this year.

0:38:20.400 --> 0:38:23.760
<v Speaker 1>But in a lot of these cases, eventually, either because

0:38:23.760 --> 0:38:30.000
<v Speaker 1>of the crash or because of ultimatums, the boyfriends somewhat

0:38:30.040 --> 0:38:33.160
<v Speaker 1>came around and people were able to resolve their relationships.

0:38:33.160 --> 0:38:34.480
<v Speaker 1>And in a lot of the cases where I talk

0:38:34.560 --> 0:38:37.080
<v Speaker 1>to people, So, Joe, what do you think happens if

0:38:37.560 --> 0:38:40.399
<v Speaker 1>the crypto market takes off again? Are these guys incurriagible

0:38:40.520 --> 0:38:43.399
<v Speaker 1>or they they learned their lesson? How do you see

0:38:43.400 --> 0:38:46.920
<v Speaker 1>a plane? I mean, do you know any gamblers to

0:38:47.080 --> 0:38:50.560
<v Speaker 1>be encourageable. Um, you know, I think there's there's hope

0:38:50.640 --> 0:38:52.799
<v Speaker 1>that the lessons were learned, but I think it's it's

0:38:52.800 --> 0:38:55.840
<v Speaker 1>a very powerful draw. That was Bloomberg Business Week contributor

0:38:55.920 --> 0:38:58.600
<v Speaker 1>Joel Stein, with Markets and Finance editor Pat Rigneer Mike

0:38:58.680 --> 0:39:01.359
<v Speaker 1>Reagan taking part there as well. That angle right caught

0:39:01.400 --> 0:39:03.600
<v Speaker 1>us by surprise. I didn't see that coming. Yeah, exactly,

0:39:03.719 --> 0:39:05.759
<v Speaker 1>all right, you're listening to Bloomberg Business Week. Coming up,

0:39:05.800 --> 0:39:07.960
<v Speaker 1>we go the Distance with our invest founder and CEO

0:39:08.080 --> 0:39:10.960
<v Speaker 1>Kathy Wood on f t X SPF and Elon Musk's

0:39:11.120 --> 0:39:15.040
<v Speaker 1>latest venture. I think opening up the algorithms which we

0:39:15.080 --> 0:39:17.840
<v Speaker 1>think he will do, and taking away the kind of

0:39:17.920 --> 0:39:22.160
<v Speaker 1>human driven censorship and allowing the transparency of the algorithms

0:39:22.200 --> 0:39:24.359
<v Speaker 1>that they do put out there. And I think it's

0:39:24.400 --> 0:39:34.520
<v Speaker 1>going to be very healthy. This is Bloomberg. This is

0:39:34.560 --> 0:39:38.480
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Business Week with Carol Masser and Bloomberg Quick Takes

0:39:38.520 --> 0:39:44.000
<v Speaker 1>Tim Stinovik from Bloomberg Radio. Whatever happened, why ever happened?

0:39:44.280 --> 0:39:46.520
<v Speaker 1>I had a duty, at a duty to all of

0:39:46.520 --> 0:39:49.360
<v Speaker 1>our stakeholders, to our customers, our creditors. I had to

0:39:49.400 --> 0:39:52.239
<v Speaker 1>do to our employees, to our investors and to the

0:39:52.280 --> 0:39:55.319
<v Speaker 1>regulators in the world to do right by them, to

0:39:55.360 --> 0:39:57.279
<v Speaker 1>make sure the rain things happened at the company, and

0:39:57.560 --> 0:39:59.480
<v Speaker 1>clearly I'd do a good job of that. I was

0:39:59.600 --> 0:40:02.040
<v Speaker 1>shocked by what happened this month. That was fd X

0:40:02.080 --> 0:40:04.080
<v Speaker 1>founder Sandby had been freed from the New York Times

0:40:04.080 --> 0:40:07.120
<v Speaker 1>Deal Book summit on Wednesday, trying to explain the collapse

0:40:07.160 --> 0:40:10.200
<v Speaker 1>of his crypto exchange and trading from Alameda. Certainly a

0:40:10.239 --> 0:40:12.960
<v Speaker 1>lot of questions though still to be answered. All Right,

0:40:13.000 --> 0:40:15.560
<v Speaker 1>for the rest of this hour, speaking of questions and

0:40:15.640 --> 0:40:20.400
<v Speaker 1>views when it comes to SPF and Alameda and f

0:40:20.560 --> 0:40:22.839
<v Speaker 1>t X. For the rest of this hour, we've got

0:40:22.880 --> 0:40:24.839
<v Speaker 1>a well known investor to address many of the big

0:40:24.880 --> 0:40:28.200
<v Speaker 1>stories of the day, including that latest crypto meltdown. We're

0:40:28.200 --> 0:40:31.040
<v Speaker 1>also going to talk about elon, Twitter, Ellen and Tesla

0:40:31.120 --> 0:40:33.880
<v Speaker 1>and so much more. Okay, we're talking about Kathy Wood.

0:40:33.920 --> 0:40:36.440
<v Speaker 1>She's the founder, CEO and c IO of Arc invest

0:40:36.560 --> 0:40:39.600
<v Speaker 1>who joined us prior to Thanksgiving. This was in the

0:40:39.600 --> 0:40:43.000
<v Speaker 1>wake of spfs crypto empire just going belly up, and

0:40:43.040 --> 0:40:46.040
<v Speaker 1>despite the deepest freeze yet in the crypto winter, Cathy

0:40:46.080 --> 0:40:49.879
<v Speaker 1>Wood is staying the course. It's been a very challenging few.

0:40:50.200 --> 0:40:53.680
<v Speaker 1>Uh while I should say twenty months, but uh, you know,

0:40:54.120 --> 0:40:57.799
<v Speaker 1>we're looking at our portfolios right now, and um, we

0:40:57.920 --> 0:41:01.680
<v Speaker 1>are back to where we were in terms of calling

0:41:01.719 --> 0:41:05.000
<v Speaker 1>them deep value portfolios. If you give us a five

0:41:05.080 --> 0:41:09.280
<v Speaker 1>year investment time horizon, I mean, we're seeing incredible values

0:41:09.320 --> 0:41:11.759
<v Speaker 1>for the kinds of growth, kind of growth that our

0:41:11.800 --> 0:41:14.080
<v Speaker 1>portfolios are going to deliver. You know where I want

0:41:14.080 --> 0:41:16.080
<v Speaker 1>to go. I gotta talk to you about the crypto space.

0:41:16.160 --> 0:41:18.480
<v Speaker 1>You um, you know it's it's a world you know

0:41:18.600 --> 0:41:21.080
<v Speaker 1>really well. We think about the ft X collapse, the

0:41:21.200 --> 0:41:24.759
<v Speaker 1>coming undone of Sam Makman freed. You know, you have

0:41:24.840 --> 0:41:26.640
<v Speaker 1>been buying into some of the different names in the

0:41:26.640 --> 0:41:31.640
<v Speaker 1>cryptos based coin base, gray scale, Bitcoin trust. Why should

0:41:31.640 --> 0:41:35.120
<v Speaker 1>investors trust crypto? Why do you trust crypto at this point?

0:41:35.400 --> 0:41:40.120
<v Speaker 1>If you look at the block chains, let's let's use

0:41:40.680 --> 0:41:45.279
<v Speaker 1>the Bitcoin blockchain and ethereum, what you'll find is they

0:41:45.320 --> 0:41:49.280
<v Speaker 1>have the infrastructure. The technology has not skipped a beat

0:41:50.120 --> 0:41:54.880
<v Speaker 1>throughout this entire crisis. In fact, the hash rate, Bitcoin's

0:41:54.920 --> 0:41:58.160
<v Speaker 1>hash rate is at an all time high, and that

0:41:58.400 --> 0:42:01.360
<v Speaker 1>is a real indication of this security of the network.

0:42:02.440 --> 0:42:08.719
<v Speaker 1>On ethereum, we're seeing the total value UH staked at

0:42:08.760 --> 0:42:13.319
<v Speaker 1>twenty four billion. That is an all time high. So

0:42:13.560 --> 0:42:18.319
<v Speaker 1>we think the infrastructure is working beautifully. UM. As far

0:42:18.480 --> 0:42:24.399
<v Speaker 1>as coin Base, UH, this is an onshore regulated UH

0:42:24.719 --> 0:42:30.240
<v Speaker 1>company and wanting to help shape regulations. Brian Armstrong, the CEO,

0:42:30.360 --> 0:42:34.760
<v Speaker 1>and Alicia uh CFO have been leaning in into what's

0:42:34.920 --> 0:42:39.799
<v Speaker 1>going on right now and saying, Okay, regulators, we need

0:42:39.960 --> 0:42:44.520
<v Speaker 1>more clarity in order to protect investors. Those who wanted

0:42:44.560 --> 0:42:49.160
<v Speaker 1>to get involved with a certain types of crypto were

0:42:49.200 --> 0:42:53.600
<v Speaker 1>forced off shore and look at what's happened. So UM,

0:42:53.840 --> 0:42:56.279
<v Speaker 1>I I think that coin base is going to come

0:42:56.320 --> 0:43:00.640
<v Speaker 1>out here looking very very strong. It just lost a

0:43:00.760 --> 0:43:03.920
<v Speaker 1>very big competitor in t X. Well what is the

0:43:03.920 --> 0:43:07.560
<v Speaker 1>market missing though, because you know that could be one narrative, Cathy.

0:43:07.640 --> 0:43:09.879
<v Speaker 1>But at the same time, we haven't exactly seen shares

0:43:09.920 --> 0:43:12.560
<v Speaker 1>of coin based rally since f t x is collapse.

0:43:12.800 --> 0:43:15.680
<v Speaker 1>Do you think to you that represents potentially broader concern

0:43:15.719 --> 0:43:19.520
<v Speaker 1>about just people's interest in crypto following ft x is collapse. No,

0:43:19.760 --> 0:43:23.359
<v Speaker 1>I think it's more fear. I think many people say

0:43:23.400 --> 0:43:26.480
<v Speaker 1>we don't know what we don't know UH, and UH,

0:43:26.840 --> 0:43:29.520
<v Speaker 1>so what we do is we step back, you know,

0:43:29.600 --> 0:43:32.359
<v Speaker 1>put a little perspective into the situation here, and what

0:43:32.400 --> 0:43:36.960
<v Speaker 1>do we have. So the entire crypto asset ecosystem is

0:43:37.000 --> 0:43:41.920
<v Speaker 1>an eight hundred billion dollar ecosystem. Apple is three times

0:43:42.040 --> 0:43:46.200
<v Speaker 1>larger in terms of market cap. So that's some perspective.

0:43:46.800 --> 0:43:49.880
<v Speaker 1>Many people are saying, well, okay, is this another Lehman?

0:43:50.000 --> 0:43:53.160
<v Speaker 1>Could this be uh, you know, could could we see

0:43:53.200 --> 0:43:56.640
<v Speaker 1>the domino effect here? I've just given you one reason why.

0:43:57.320 --> 0:44:02.040
<v Speaker 1>The banking system back in oh eight oh nine trillions

0:44:02.080 --> 0:44:05.200
<v Speaker 1>and trillions of dollars and it was the global banking system.

0:44:06.239 --> 0:44:09.520
<v Speaker 1>Right now we have it seems from f t X

0:44:10.080 --> 0:44:15.600
<v Speaker 1>h five to ten billion dollars in creditors. If ash

0:44:16.040 --> 0:44:19.319
<v Speaker 1>as f t X has filed bankruptcy, they will be

0:44:19.360 --> 0:44:22.919
<v Speaker 1>making claims. If you look at Lehman, that was one

0:44:22.920 --> 0:44:27.160
<v Speaker 1>point to trillion dollars in claims. So again just trying

0:44:27.200 --> 0:44:31.080
<v Speaker 1>to put perspective, this is fraud, this is made off.

0:44:31.400 --> 0:44:35.600
<v Speaker 1>Made off was sixty four billion dollars in claims. Again

0:44:35.760 --> 0:44:39.359
<v Speaker 1>f t X five to ten billion. Now I know

0:44:39.520 --> 0:44:43.960
<v Speaker 1>that crypto assets are you know, they attract a lot

0:44:43.960 --> 0:44:48.879
<v Speaker 1>of attention. This is um you know, the three revolutions

0:44:48.920 --> 0:44:51.200
<v Speaker 1>we talk about all the time you know, a new

0:44:51.239 --> 0:44:56.560
<v Speaker 1>monetary system in terms of the first global private meaning

0:44:56.600 --> 0:45:02.280
<v Speaker 1>not government controlled digital uh, well spased monetary system that's Bitcoin.

0:45:02.440 --> 0:45:05.800
<v Speaker 1>A very big idea. Defy is a very big idea.

0:45:06.400 --> 0:45:11.279
<v Speaker 1>And uh, while that has been thrown into question in

0:45:11.400 --> 0:45:15.400
<v Speaker 1>terms of you know, shifting from one exchange to another,

0:45:16.200 --> 0:45:19.400
<v Speaker 1>we've had a lot of shifting around. But I think, uh,

0:45:19.520 --> 0:45:24.160
<v Speaker 1>I think DEFY in terms of taking the middlemen out

0:45:24.200 --> 0:45:28.919
<v Speaker 1>of financial services and and making the ecosystem much more

0:45:29.000 --> 0:45:33.719
<v Speaker 1>transparent with much less counterparty risk, is going to take off.

0:45:33.760 --> 0:45:36.880
<v Speaker 1>It will continue to move forward, we believe. I think

0:45:36.920 --> 0:45:38.520
<v Speaker 1>one of the things we're trying to figure out is

0:45:38.600 --> 0:45:41.600
<v Speaker 1>how long that we think the industry will be feeling

0:45:41.600 --> 0:45:43.680
<v Speaker 1>the ramifications of f t X. I mean, one thing

0:45:43.719 --> 0:45:46.480
<v Speaker 1>we've learned right with SPF and f t X is

0:45:46.719 --> 0:45:49.120
<v Speaker 1>what we didn't know. So how long do you think

0:45:49.160 --> 0:45:51.319
<v Speaker 1>this goes on? Because you obviously have faith in it,

0:45:51.400 --> 0:45:53.360
<v Speaker 1>You've been buying into it, and you think this is

0:45:53.400 --> 0:45:56.800
<v Speaker 1>a good entry point at this point, whether it's gray Scale,

0:45:56.840 --> 0:45:59.520
<v Speaker 1>whether it's coin base, but um, how long do you

0:45:59.520 --> 0:46:01.319
<v Speaker 1>think we continue to feel the effect? And do you

0:46:01.320 --> 0:46:04.560
<v Speaker 1>think there's more contagion to be felt? Um, well, we

0:46:04.640 --> 0:46:08.320
<v Speaker 1>always look for the whale, uh in in a situation

0:46:08.360 --> 0:46:11.239
<v Speaker 1>like this, and if if there was a whale out there,

0:46:11.280 --> 0:46:14.560
<v Speaker 1>it was f t X and and Sam Bankman Freed,

0:46:15.040 --> 0:46:18.560
<v Speaker 1>you know, king of the hill. Uh. So I think

0:46:18.600 --> 0:46:22.319
<v Speaker 1>we found the whale. And uh, you know, I'm sure

0:46:22.360 --> 0:46:24.680
<v Speaker 1>they are going there's going to be more fallout, but

0:46:24.719 --> 0:46:28.040
<v Speaker 1>we see how big the whale is. And yes, a

0:46:28.080 --> 0:46:30.240
<v Speaker 1>lot of people have lost a lot of money around

0:46:30.480 --> 0:46:35.799
<v Speaker 1>uh the crypto acid ecosystem, uh, losing value here. But

0:46:35.880 --> 0:46:39.640
<v Speaker 1>if we're right on the underlying technology and the underlying

0:46:40.000 --> 0:46:45.440
<v Speaker 1>roles that bitcoin and ether ethereum are going to play

0:46:45.520 --> 0:46:50.359
<v Speaker 1>in this new world, Uh, then I think we're going

0:46:50.400 --> 0:46:53.560
<v Speaker 1>to recover pretty quickly. More ahead with our invest founder,

0:46:53.640 --> 0:46:56.160
<v Speaker 1>CEO and ce IO, Cathy would coming up. She's gonna

0:46:56.200 --> 0:46:58.200
<v Speaker 1>tell us more about her one on one meeting with

0:46:58.239 --> 0:47:01.279
<v Speaker 1>Sam Bankman Freed that is in a different time when

0:47:01.320 --> 0:47:04.000
<v Speaker 1>f t X was still flying high, plus why she

0:47:04.160 --> 0:47:07.040
<v Speaker 1>thinks SPF is a fraud on the level of Bernie

0:47:07.040 --> 0:47:09.440
<v Speaker 1>made off. And we do want to emphasize to listeners

0:47:09.480 --> 0:47:12.320
<v Speaker 1>that regulators are still probing exactly what happened with f

0:47:12.440 --> 0:47:14.799
<v Speaker 1>t X and Bloomberg News will continue to provide new

0:47:14.800 --> 0:47:17.759
<v Speaker 1>information as the case unfolds. I think the thing that

0:47:18.080 --> 0:47:23.360
<v Speaker 1>is shocking is how many people were very close to him,

0:47:23.440 --> 0:47:27.000
<v Speaker 1>and one would have presumed looked at all of the

0:47:27.080 --> 0:47:30.120
<v Speaker 1>documents and got a sense of the books. You're listening

0:47:30.160 --> 0:47:36.880
<v Speaker 1>to Bloomberg Business Week. This is Bloomberg broadcasting from the

0:47:36.920 --> 0:47:40.799
<v Speaker 1>financial capital of the world, Bloomberg eleven Rio in New

0:47:40.880 --> 0:47:45.359
<v Speaker 1>York to Washington, d C. Bloomberg to Boston, Bloomberg one

0:47:45.360 --> 0:47:48.520
<v Speaker 1>oh six one does San Francisco, Bloomberg nine sixty to

0:47:48.600 --> 0:47:51.799
<v Speaker 1>the country Sirius XM Chado one nineteen and around the

0:47:51.840 --> 0:47:55.840
<v Speaker 1>globe of Bloomberg Business app and Bloomberg Radio dot Com.

0:47:55.880 --> 0:48:00.880
<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week. More now, from recent conversation

0:48:00.920 --> 0:48:03.400
<v Speaker 1>with our invest founder, CEO and c I O Kathy

0:48:03.480 --> 0:48:05.879
<v Speaker 1>would When we spoke with her on November twenty two,

0:48:06.200 --> 0:48:08.840
<v Speaker 1>the scope of the ft X bankruptcy probe was and

0:48:09.120 --> 0:48:11.760
<v Speaker 1>still is coming into focus, and even since our conversation

0:48:11.800 --> 0:48:14.080
<v Speaker 1>with her, Carol, we've seen several other dominoes fall just

0:48:14.160 --> 0:48:16.320
<v Speaker 1>in the last few days. That does, of course include

0:48:16.360 --> 0:48:19.600
<v Speaker 1>block Fire recently filing for bankruptcy. Here we ask about

0:48:19.680 --> 0:48:22.319
<v Speaker 1>Sam Bankman freed though and Cathy would. She did not

0:48:22.520 --> 0:48:25.839
<v Speaker 1>mince words here. Again, we do remind you that investigators

0:48:25.840 --> 0:48:28.279
<v Speaker 1>are still looking into whether he committed a crime end

0:48:28.320 --> 0:48:33.319
<v Speaker 1>if so, on what scale, more like made off. We'll

0:48:33.360 --> 0:48:35.719
<v Speaker 1>give us some give us an understanding of what your

0:48:35.760 --> 0:48:39.640
<v Speaker 1>interactions were with Sam Bankman Freed before this followed. And

0:48:39.719 --> 0:48:41.200
<v Speaker 1>have you spoken to him, because I know you were

0:48:41.239 --> 0:48:43.960
<v Speaker 1>at Crypto Bahamas along with many other people earlier this year,

0:48:44.000 --> 0:48:46.920
<v Speaker 1>the ft X Salt conference. Yes, I had a zoom

0:48:47.160 --> 0:48:50.840
<v Speaker 1>my team and I had a zoom with Sam before

0:48:50.920 --> 0:48:56.960
<v Speaker 1>that conference. I think they wanted to have us represented

0:48:57.000 --> 0:49:00.120
<v Speaker 1>at the conference. But other than that one phone call

0:49:00.120 --> 0:49:03.560
<v Speaker 1>just to set up I have never talked to him um,

0:49:03.640 --> 0:49:05.719
<v Speaker 1>and by the end of the phone call seemed to

0:49:05.719 --> 0:49:09.960
<v Speaker 1>be distracted by whatever else he was doing. So that

0:49:10.040 --> 0:49:12.279
<v Speaker 1>was my one exposure to him. And you know, I

0:49:12.320 --> 0:49:16.160
<v Speaker 1>think the thing that is shocking is how many people

0:49:16.360 --> 0:49:20.880
<v Speaker 1>were very close to him, and one would have presumed

0:49:21.480 --> 0:49:24.240
<v Speaker 1>looked at all of the documents and got a sense

0:49:24.280 --> 0:49:27.560
<v Speaker 1>of the books. Uh. The fact that so many people

0:49:28.160 --> 0:49:33.880
<v Speaker 1>were completely fooled um is quite shocking. You know. I

0:49:33.920 --> 0:49:37.959
<v Speaker 1>think he had this aura around him or something that

0:49:38.960 --> 0:49:42.759
<v Speaker 1>caused people to to to ask fewer questions than might

0:49:42.800 --> 0:49:45.480
<v Speaker 1>otherwise have been the case. It's very hard to understand.

0:49:45.760 --> 0:49:47.480
<v Speaker 1>Do you worry it all about as you buy into

0:49:47.480 --> 0:49:50.239
<v Speaker 1>gray Scale, Kathy, you know the whole world of the

0:49:50.239 --> 0:49:53.040
<v Speaker 1>Digital Currency Group and Barry Silver's company, I mean, the

0:49:53.160 --> 0:49:55.719
<v Speaker 1>various connections that kind of go back to f t X.

0:49:55.800 --> 0:49:58.040
<v Speaker 1>Are you at all worried about a liquidation or anything.

0:49:58.560 --> 0:50:02.399
<v Speaker 1>We know that the Gray Scale investment trusts are the

0:50:02.440 --> 0:50:05.239
<v Speaker 1>most valuable part of that company right now, we think

0:50:05.280 --> 0:50:07.879
<v Speaker 1>they're going to try and hold on to that if

0:50:07.920 --> 0:50:11.279
<v Speaker 1>nothing else. Now, one of the things that we know

0:50:11.800 --> 0:50:15.160
<v Speaker 1>that Gray Scale and Michael Sun and Cheim a great

0:50:15.280 --> 0:50:19.759
<v Speaker 1>Scale wanted was to convert this trust into an e

0:50:19.880 --> 0:50:24.120
<v Speaker 1>t F. I think what's happened with the fallout here

0:50:24.719 --> 0:50:28.560
<v Speaker 1>might increase the probability that a Bitcoin e t F

0:50:29.080 --> 0:50:33.640
<v Speaker 1>will be approved. I'm not saying immediately, but we know that.

0:50:34.040 --> 0:50:38.759
<v Speaker 1>And even the newest SEC commissioner him Lizarraga I think

0:50:38.840 --> 0:50:41.800
<v Speaker 1>is his name, has come out and said we need

0:50:41.840 --> 0:50:47.360
<v Speaker 1>as regulators to focus on decentralization and transparency. What is

0:50:47.400 --> 0:50:53.080
<v Speaker 1>the most decentralized and transparent crypto asset in the world.

0:50:53.320 --> 0:50:57.680
<v Speaker 1>It is bitcoin, And yet retail investors do not have

0:50:57.960 --> 0:51:03.160
<v Speaker 1>easy access through liquid asset like uh an E t F,

0:51:03.640 --> 0:51:07.200
<v Speaker 1>which honestly I don't understand given that they approved a

0:51:07.239 --> 0:51:11.680
<v Speaker 1>bitcoin futures um, and so I think it might increase

0:51:11.719 --> 0:51:13.920
<v Speaker 1>the odds we shall see. Well, and some of them

0:51:14.160 --> 0:51:16.680
<v Speaker 1>been wondering whether or not you're playing the arbitrage um

0:51:16.680 --> 0:51:19.680
<v Speaker 1>with GBTC right now, you know, is it that because

0:51:19.680 --> 0:51:21.920
<v Speaker 1>of the trust deep discount at this point, is that

0:51:21.960 --> 0:51:24.759
<v Speaker 1>the thinking for you to kind of be moving more

0:51:24.800 --> 0:51:26.960
<v Speaker 1>money into this name, Well, it is one of the

0:51:27.040 --> 0:51:31.040
<v Speaker 1>few securities we have to own securities in uh E

0:51:31.200 --> 0:51:33.319
<v Speaker 1>t F s, so it is one of the few

0:51:33.400 --> 0:51:36.640
<v Speaker 1>securities we can buy. And yes, it's at a very

0:51:36.680 --> 0:51:40.799
<v Speaker 1>big discount, so it is more attractive bitcoin if they

0:51:40.840 --> 0:51:45.120
<v Speaker 1>were to even liquidate it. You know, we've got such

0:51:45.120 --> 0:51:48.279
<v Speaker 1>a big discount relative to to bitcoin. We don't think

0:51:48.320 --> 0:51:51.080
<v Speaker 1>they're going to This is the most valuable property. I

0:51:51.120 --> 0:51:53.239
<v Speaker 1>think they're going to hang onto it, and I think

0:51:53.280 --> 0:51:56.279
<v Speaker 1>over time the discount will close. Don't know if it's

0:51:56.360 --> 0:52:00.000
<v Speaker 1>because of a conversion to a bitcoin ETF. I'm sure

0:52:00.040 --> 0:52:02.960
<v Speaker 1>the regulators will take a very close look at d

0:52:03.040 --> 0:52:07.000
<v Speaker 1>CG and the gray scale Bitcoin Investment trust, but we

0:52:07.080 --> 0:52:11.000
<v Speaker 1>do know this is a grant ord trust, highly regulated. Kathy,

0:52:11.040 --> 0:52:14.640
<v Speaker 1>We've talked coin Base, We've talked g BTC. Are there

0:52:14.680 --> 0:52:17.320
<v Speaker 1>any other opportunities in crypto that you see right now

0:52:17.360 --> 0:52:20.040
<v Speaker 1>in the wake of f TXs collapse as prices have

0:52:20.120 --> 0:52:23.560
<v Speaker 1>been beaten up. Well again for our e t f s.

0:52:23.680 --> 0:52:26.360
<v Speaker 1>As you mentioned on coin base, we also owned Square

0:52:26.680 --> 0:52:31.480
<v Speaker 1>and it is interesting that Jack Dorsey has chosen the

0:52:31.600 --> 0:52:39.440
<v Speaker 1>most transparent, most decentralized crypto asset to center blocks crypto

0:52:39.600 --> 0:52:44.160
<v Speaker 1>exposure too, and I realized he's trying to from a

0:52:44.200 --> 0:52:48.320
<v Speaker 1>developer community point of view, leave them on their their own.

0:52:48.440 --> 0:52:51.919
<v Speaker 1>But we do think bitcoin, uh, and you can see

0:52:51.960 --> 0:52:56.000
<v Speaker 1>through the behavior of the infrastructure hasn't skipped a beat

0:52:56.200 --> 0:52:59.399
<v Speaker 1>at more secure than it was yesterday, the day before,

0:52:59.400 --> 0:53:01.960
<v Speaker 1>in the day before. So I have a feeling this

0:53:02.040 --> 0:53:05.719
<v Speaker 1>is going to elevate Bitcoin in the eyes of not

0:53:05.800 --> 0:53:09.640
<v Speaker 1>only the crypto world, but the investment world at large.

0:53:10.080 --> 0:53:12.120
<v Speaker 1>And I have a feeling it's going to have more

0:53:12.280 --> 0:53:14.879
<v Speaker 1>running room through the rest of the world. We think

0:53:14.880 --> 0:53:16.920
<v Speaker 1>they're going to be very successful. That, of course is

0:53:17.000 --> 0:53:19.799
<v Speaker 1>Kathy would of our convest will wrap up getting her

0:53:19.800 --> 0:53:23.080
<v Speaker 1>thoughts on one of her longtime investments. Yes, safe to say, Tim,

0:53:23.120 --> 0:53:26.439
<v Speaker 1>she is the original Tesla bowl. We asked Kathy Wood

0:53:26.440 --> 0:53:29.080
<v Speaker 1>on where Elon his e V giant and yes, Twitter

0:53:29.280 --> 0:53:40.719
<v Speaker 1>go from here? This is Bloomberg. You're listening to Bloomberg

0:53:40.760 --> 0:53:44.399
<v Speaker 1>Business Week with Carol Messer and Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim

0:53:44.440 --> 0:53:49.120
<v Speaker 1>Stinovich from Bloomberg Radio heading for home on this weekend

0:53:49.120 --> 0:53:51.919
<v Speaker 1>broadcast and bringing you are Deep Dive with Kathy would

0:53:51.920 --> 0:53:55.440
<v Speaker 1>of our Convest. We talked with her just before Thanksgiving.

0:53:55.800 --> 0:53:58.120
<v Speaker 1>At the time, she reaffirmed her forecast her Bitcoin to

0:53:58.160 --> 0:54:01.719
<v Speaker 1>reach a million dollars per coined by though she did

0:54:01.760 --> 0:54:05.680
<v Speaker 1>say the recent crypto crash could slow institutional adoption. Of course,

0:54:05.680 --> 0:54:08.760
<v Speaker 1>our Convest has interests that go well beyond digital assets.

0:54:08.960 --> 0:54:11.840
<v Speaker 1>One of those is Elon Musk. Cathy Wood has already

0:54:11.840 --> 0:54:14.719
<v Speaker 1>bet big and cashed in on Tesla. Now she's looking

0:54:14.719 --> 0:54:17.160
<v Speaker 1>to do the same with Twitter, purchasing a private stake

0:54:17.200 --> 0:54:20.160
<v Speaker 1>in Twitter via our adventure fund back in early November.

0:54:20.600 --> 0:54:23.080
<v Speaker 1>The question now is mother Musk is the right person

0:54:23.320 --> 0:54:26.200
<v Speaker 1>for this job too. We owned Twitter for quite a

0:54:26.200 --> 0:54:30.320
<v Speaker 1>while and we sold it into the rumors that Ellen

0:54:30.440 --> 0:54:32.959
<v Speaker 1>was going to buy it because we knew there would

0:54:32.960 --> 0:54:36.000
<v Speaker 1>be a lot of controversy around that, so it moved

0:54:36.040 --> 0:54:38.000
<v Speaker 1>into the sixties. I think it got to seventy and

0:54:39.160 --> 0:54:42.520
<v Speaker 1>we sold there and have been watching from the sidelines.

0:54:42.560 --> 0:54:45.279
<v Speaker 1>But if you look at that model longer run, it

0:54:45.360 --> 0:54:49.960
<v Speaker 1>has not delivered on the promise. And I think opening

0:54:50.200 --> 0:54:53.879
<v Speaker 1>up the algorithms which we think he will do, and

0:54:53.960 --> 0:54:58.360
<v Speaker 1>taking away the kind of human driven censorship and allowing

0:54:58.400 --> 0:55:01.239
<v Speaker 1>the transparency of the algorithm is that they do put

0:55:01.280 --> 0:55:04.319
<v Speaker 1>out there, you know, allowing people to question them, I

0:55:04.360 --> 0:55:06.920
<v Speaker 1>think it's going to be very healthy. If you look

0:55:07.160 --> 0:55:11.480
<v Speaker 1>at the daily average users, I think the various metrics

0:55:11.520 --> 0:55:15.280
<v Speaker 1>that you can count daily, they have been going up dramatically.

0:55:15.480 --> 0:55:17.880
<v Speaker 1>So I know a lot of people who you know,

0:55:17.960 --> 0:55:22.640
<v Speaker 1>basically decided to quit Twitter because they didn't like the

0:55:22.760 --> 0:55:25.960
<v Speaker 1>kind of censorship and so forth that was going on.

0:55:26.040 --> 0:55:28.960
<v Speaker 1>So I actually like what he's doing. It seems interestingly enough, though,

0:55:29.000 --> 0:55:31.160
<v Speaker 1>that a lot of brands don't like what he's doing, Kathy,

0:55:31.160 --> 0:55:33.600
<v Speaker 1>and we've seen some prominent companies pull back or at

0:55:33.680 --> 0:55:37.160
<v Speaker 1>least pause advertising on the plant pot. Of course, I

0:55:37.160 --> 0:55:39.040
<v Speaker 1>mean that makes sense if you know you don't necessarily

0:55:39.080 --> 0:55:40.879
<v Speaker 1>want to support the guy who owns Tesla if you're

0:55:40.920 --> 0:55:44.520
<v Speaker 1>making competitive vehicles to Tesla, but bigger brands that are

0:55:44.520 --> 0:55:47.680
<v Speaker 1>worried about brand safety, and I'm wondering, you know, it

0:55:47.719 --> 0:55:50.160
<v Speaker 1>doesn't seem like it's necessarily moving in the direction of

0:55:50.239 --> 0:55:53.640
<v Speaker 1>increasing revenue from an advertorial perspective right now, I do

0:55:53.800 --> 0:55:57.239
<v Speaker 1>think that this is not just an advertising vehicle. In fact,

0:55:57.440 --> 0:56:01.480
<v Speaker 1>this is that probably might diminish quite significantly in terms

0:56:01.560 --> 0:56:06.000
<v Speaker 1>of its importance longer run. You'll remember that Ellen started

0:56:07.040 --> 0:56:12.440
<v Speaker 1>his entrepreneurial pursuits with a precursor to PayPal. So he

0:56:12.920 --> 0:56:15.880
<v Speaker 1>very a very long time ago had this idea of

0:56:15.920 --> 0:56:21.040
<v Speaker 1>a digital wallet, a super app like what's app um

0:56:21.360 --> 0:56:24.840
<v Speaker 1>in mind, and of course took a big detour into

0:56:24.880 --> 0:56:27.839
<v Speaker 1>another passion of his um. We know he knows a

0:56:27.840 --> 0:56:32.680
<v Speaker 1>lot about this world, and I think if anyone in

0:56:32.719 --> 0:56:35.800
<v Speaker 1>the US can do this, I think he can. I

0:56:35.840 --> 0:56:39.120
<v Speaker 1>think he'll surround himself by the right business leaders. He's

0:56:39.160 --> 0:56:41.839
<v Speaker 1>not going to do this himself. Many people say, aren't

0:56:41.840 --> 0:56:45.719
<v Speaker 1>you worried about Tesla, No, we're not. Because of our

0:56:45.760 --> 0:56:50.280
<v Speaker 1>work on electric vehicles. They are are grabbing a disproportionate

0:56:50.280 --> 0:56:52.840
<v Speaker 1>share and will continue to do so of a market

0:56:52.880 --> 0:56:58.799
<v Speaker 1>that we think will account for eighty five to of

0:56:58.920 --> 0:57:03.480
<v Speaker 1>all cars sold in the world, So that's on automatic pilot.

0:57:03.800 --> 0:57:06.640
<v Speaker 1>He's now working on autonomous, which we think is going

0:57:06.680 --> 0:57:09.839
<v Speaker 1>to work. In fact, I just had the pleasure of

0:57:10.000 --> 0:57:14.440
<v Speaker 1>riding in a Cruise car in San Francisco, an autonomous

0:57:14.480 --> 0:57:20.000
<v Speaker 1>car GM just wanted to see, wanted to check it out,

0:57:20.160 --> 0:57:22.480
<v Speaker 1>and I have to tell you I love the ride.

0:57:22.720 --> 0:57:26.640
<v Speaker 1>And Uh, I know autonomous is possible because Cruise and

0:57:26.720 --> 0:57:28.880
<v Speaker 1>Weimo are doing it, and we think Tesla is going

0:57:28.960 --> 0:57:32.640
<v Speaker 1>to do it in a much bigger way. So that's Tesla.

0:57:32.760 --> 0:57:36.680
<v Speaker 1>But onto Twitter, it really needed to be shaken up.

0:57:38.440 --> 0:57:41.160
<v Speaker 1>I think think he can make it be a great

0:57:41.200 --> 0:57:44.200
<v Speaker 1>business and very profitable. And if so, how I do

0:57:44.720 --> 0:57:50.040
<v Speaker 1>think about the amount of data that Twitter has uh,

0:57:50.080 --> 0:57:53.680
<v Speaker 1>and it's proprietary data, and think about the combination of

0:57:53.720 --> 0:57:59.400
<v Speaker 1>that and artificial intelligence. Remember he has AI expertise and experts.

0:57:59.400 --> 0:58:02.280
<v Speaker 1>I know he brought in some of his engineers, UH,

0:58:02.320 --> 0:58:06.240
<v Speaker 1>and they are going to I think surprise and delight

0:58:06.720 --> 0:58:10.480
<v Speaker 1>heading for a super app kind of product. And you know,

0:58:10.560 --> 0:58:13.720
<v Speaker 1>by our estimates and you'll find this in our big ideas,

0:58:13.720 --> 0:58:18.920
<v Speaker 1>I think it was um the value of each customer

0:58:19.640 --> 0:58:24.160
<v Speaker 1>in a digital wallet, uh, should be in the twenty

0:58:24.200 --> 0:58:28.040
<v Speaker 1>thousand plus range, because not just for financial services, it

0:58:28.080 --> 0:58:32.080
<v Speaker 1>will ultimately be for commerce and AI is the glue

0:58:32.160 --> 0:58:34.600
<v Speaker 1>that's going to pull this all together and the data

0:58:34.640 --> 0:58:37.880
<v Speaker 1>that they have, the data is the new oil. You've

0:58:37.880 --> 0:58:42.320
<v Speaker 1>heard that this is absolutely true in the case of Twitter. Well, Kathy,

0:58:42.320 --> 0:58:44.840
<v Speaker 1>I mean the currency Twitter as a currency has worked

0:58:44.840 --> 0:58:47.160
<v Speaker 1>really well for you. You've got one point five million

0:58:47.200 --> 0:58:50.360
<v Speaker 1>followers on the platform. A lot of people see what

0:58:50.560 --> 0:58:53.920
<v Speaker 1>you tweet. We saw eulogies being written for Twitter. It

0:58:53.960 --> 0:58:56.360
<v Speaker 1>didn't end up dying as many people thought it would.

0:58:56.680 --> 0:58:59.400
<v Speaker 1>But what would happen if Twitter went away? And are

0:58:59.440 --> 0:59:05.080
<v Speaker 1>you concerned that this is an extremely productive social network

0:59:05.160 --> 0:59:08.480
<v Speaker 1>for us? It is our most productive and you know

0:59:08.720 --> 0:59:14.320
<v Speaker 1>it truly is the global public town square. You know

0:59:14.720 --> 0:59:19.120
<v Speaker 1>I can write an open letter to the FED and

0:59:19.200 --> 0:59:21.840
<v Speaker 1>put it out over Twitter. Now do I think the

0:59:21.840 --> 0:59:25.360
<v Speaker 1>Fed's going to listen to me? No, I don't, but

0:59:25.800 --> 0:59:29.280
<v Speaker 1>that they may listen, that the FED board members may

0:59:29.360 --> 0:59:34.160
<v Speaker 1>listen to someone who might think that I have something

0:59:34.240 --> 0:59:37.720
<v Speaker 1>to say, which is simply a question. Wait a minute,

0:59:37.920 --> 0:59:41.160
<v Speaker 1>how can you be unanimous seventy five basis points at

0:59:41.160 --> 0:59:44.480
<v Speaker 1>a time? How can you be unanimous when there is

0:59:44.600 --> 0:59:48.880
<v Speaker 1>so much conflicting data out there, including an inverted yield

0:59:48.880 --> 0:59:53.000
<v Speaker 1>curve now at seventy five basis points, that's crazy. I

0:59:53.000 --> 0:59:55.480
<v Speaker 1>think we're going to look back in history and say,

0:59:55.760 --> 1:00:00.320
<v Speaker 1>what were they thinking unanimous? Commodity prices are fall calling.

1:00:00.680 --> 1:00:03.439
<v Speaker 1>You've got excess inventories all over the place. We're seeing

1:00:03.480 --> 1:00:06.320
<v Speaker 1>massive discounting. I think we're going to see deflation and

1:00:06.400 --> 1:00:08.760
<v Speaker 1>then they'll make a move in the opposite direction. But

1:00:08.840 --> 1:00:11.840
<v Speaker 1>we need, we need a steadier hand than that. So

1:00:12.120 --> 1:00:14.160
<v Speaker 1>when Kathy went to you, because you've argued this and

1:00:14.200 --> 1:00:16.320
<v Speaker 1>you and you've put this out there in terms of

1:00:16.320 --> 1:00:19.040
<v Speaker 1>FED policy, in terms of deflation, when do you think

1:00:19.040 --> 1:00:21.840
<v Speaker 1>it will come? I think we're seeing it. I think

1:00:22.000 --> 1:00:24.240
<v Speaker 1>if you look at a lot of commodity prices, not

1:00:24.360 --> 1:00:27.480
<v Speaker 1>only are they down thirty two some of them from

1:00:27.480 --> 1:00:30.400
<v Speaker 1>their peaks, they're down on a year over year basis.

1:00:30.440 --> 1:00:34.080
<v Speaker 1>In fact, on oil itself is almost down on a

1:00:34.160 --> 1:00:37.720
<v Speaker 1>year over year basis. Now the big pushbacks on this

1:00:37.800 --> 1:00:42.400
<v Speaker 1>call we get our wages and rents. We're seeing rent

1:00:42.440 --> 1:00:48.240
<v Speaker 1>inflation reverse quite suddenly and dramatically. What I think we

1:00:48.320 --> 1:00:52.240
<v Speaker 1>will look back in history and say this inflation shock

1:00:53.160 --> 1:00:58.160
<v Speaker 1>was the function of a supply shock caused by COVID

1:00:58.840 --> 1:01:02.720
<v Speaker 1>supply chain probably ms afterwards, and even more problems after

1:01:03.640 --> 1:01:07.480
<v Speaker 1>Russia's invasion of Ukraine. If I can just take one second,

1:01:07.520 --> 1:01:11.560
<v Speaker 1>I would like to give an analogy to the late

1:01:11.680 --> 1:01:14.960
<v Speaker 1>nineteen teams. We were in the middle of the massive

1:01:15.160 --> 1:01:18.640
<v Speaker 1>innovation the history of the world had seen telephone, electricity,

1:01:18.640 --> 1:01:22.400
<v Speaker 1>and automobile all at the same time. But we had

1:01:22.400 --> 1:01:25.200
<v Speaker 1>World War One and we had the Spanish flu sound

1:01:25.240 --> 1:01:28.640
<v Speaker 1>familiar now. That was much worse than what we've gone through.

1:01:28.760 --> 1:01:31.200
<v Speaker 1>We've gone through nothing like that, But there were massive

1:01:31.200 --> 1:01:35.280
<v Speaker 1>supply chain problems back then. And inflation peaked at twenty

1:01:35.320 --> 1:01:40.240
<v Speaker 1>four percent right in June of nine, and by June

1:01:40.280 --> 1:01:45.600
<v Speaker 1>of it was minus fifteen percent. So I think that

1:01:45.800 --> 1:01:48.760
<v Speaker 1>our eight to ten percent inflation, which is where it

1:01:48.960 --> 1:01:51.920
<v Speaker 1>was at the peak, is going to turn around and

1:01:51.920 --> 1:01:54.400
<v Speaker 1>we're going to see some very big surprises on the

1:01:54.400 --> 1:01:57.160
<v Speaker 1>inflation front. And you know who agrees with us, the

1:01:57.160 --> 1:01:59.920
<v Speaker 1>bond market. Look at what the bond market is doing now,

1:02:00.600 --> 1:02:04.520
<v Speaker 1>sevent inverted. That's telling us that the bond market is

1:02:04.560 --> 1:02:09.160
<v Speaker 1>saying recession and or big surprises on the low side

1:02:09.160 --> 1:02:13.720
<v Speaker 1>of inflation. Expectations, so and it's probably both. Kathy unfortunately,

1:02:13.880 --> 1:02:15.240
<v Speaker 1>have a couple of minutes left here. One thing we

1:02:15.240 --> 1:02:17.360
<v Speaker 1>did want to squeeze in. Um. We've been talking about

1:02:17.400 --> 1:02:20.640
<v Speaker 1>in the newsroom that Alliance Bernstein is getting ready to

1:02:20.800 --> 1:02:23.560
<v Speaker 1>launch actively managed disruptor e t f s. And from

1:02:23.600 --> 1:02:27.440
<v Speaker 1>what I understand, you pitched them, you know, years ago. Um,

1:02:27.480 --> 1:02:29.840
<v Speaker 1>how does that make you feel? And you know, to

1:02:29.960 --> 1:02:32.280
<v Speaker 1>see from that you worked at kind of doing a

1:02:32.360 --> 1:02:35.720
<v Speaker 1>very similar thing or looking to do something similar. Yes, well, um,

1:02:35.760 --> 1:02:42.000
<v Speaker 1>Alliance Bernstein I believe got the first fully active, fully

1:02:42.040 --> 1:02:45.920
<v Speaker 1>transparent e t F in I think it was early.

1:02:46.160 --> 1:02:51.000
<v Speaker 1>It got the approved in early two thousand thirteen. So

1:02:51.040 --> 1:02:52.960
<v Speaker 1>that's when I put my hand up and said I'll

1:02:53.000 --> 1:02:57.560
<v Speaker 1>do that. And um uh, there were there was a

1:02:57.640 --> 1:03:03.080
<v Speaker 1>belief that e t f s were not safe or

1:03:03.560 --> 1:03:05.360
<v Speaker 1>you know, there were a lot of arguments against it.

1:03:05.760 --> 1:03:09.680
<v Speaker 1>Probably the biggest one was mutual funds, which are much

1:03:09.720 --> 1:03:13.520
<v Speaker 1>more profitable. I would say the economics there are higher

1:03:13.560 --> 1:03:16.200
<v Speaker 1>than e t f s. How does it make me feel?

1:03:16.560 --> 1:03:20.240
<v Speaker 1>You know, I'm the more the merrier. I I think

1:03:20.280 --> 1:03:24.840
<v Speaker 1>this is a fantastic wrapper for the end consumer. It's

1:03:25.200 --> 1:03:27.480
<v Speaker 1>fully liquid on like mutual funds, you have to wait

1:03:27.480 --> 1:03:31.240
<v Speaker 1>till the end of the day. Transparent, fully transparent, that's

1:03:31.280 --> 1:03:36.240
<v Speaker 1>what that's what investors want. UH. It is more tax effective,

1:03:36.480 --> 1:03:39.800
<v Speaker 1>much more tax effective. We're seeing mutual funds that are

1:03:39.840 --> 1:03:44.440
<v Speaker 1>down thirty percent this year, but they're slapping their investors

1:03:44.480 --> 1:03:50.800
<v Speaker 1>with UH in capital tax gains. UH. And then finally,

1:03:50.960 --> 1:03:54.280
<v Speaker 1>it's more cost effective when you because all of the

1:03:54.640 --> 1:03:56.640
<v Speaker 1>what you see is what you get with these fees.

1:03:56.920 --> 1:04:00.080
<v Speaker 1>There aren't a bunch of hidden fees. So it's a

1:04:00.120 --> 1:04:03.320
<v Speaker 1>great rapper for the end consumer. I highly recommend it,

1:04:03.800 --> 1:04:07.800
<v Speaker 1>and we're happy that that they that they are seeing

1:04:07.840 --> 1:04:10.200
<v Speaker 1>the light. Now. That's Kathy would our can best founder,

1:04:10.240 --> 1:04:12.120
<v Speaker 1>CEO and CEE. I. Oh, if you missed any of

1:04:12.120 --> 1:04:14.600
<v Speaker 1>the conversation, just head on over to our podcast feed.

1:04:14.760 --> 1:04:16.760
<v Speaker 1>And that wraps up the weekend edition of Bloomberg Business

1:04:16.760 --> 1:04:19.240
<v Speaker 1>Week from Bloomberg Radio. Thanks so much for joining us.

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<v Speaker 1>Big shout out to Bloomberg Market Senior editor Mike Reagan

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<v Speaker 1>for helping us out. I'm Carol Masser and I'm Tim Stanovk.

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<v Speaker 1>Be sure to tune into Bloomberg Business Week Monday through Friday,

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<v Speaker 1>starting at two pm Wall Street Time on Bloomberg Radio.

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<v Speaker 1>You can also watch our daily broadcast on YouTube just

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<v Speaker 1>search Bloomberg Global News and check out our Bloomberg Business

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<v Speaker 1>Week podcast. You can find that at Bloomberg dot com, Apple,

1:04:38.120 --> 1:04:40.520
<v Speaker 1>or wherever you get your podcast. Bloomberg Business Week is

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<v Speaker 1>available on newstands, now, at Bloomberg dot com and always

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<v Speaker 1>on the Bloomberg Terminal, and you can also see me

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<v Speaker 1>on Bloomberg Quick Take available on Bloomberg dot com, slash Qt,

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<v Speaker 1>and streaming platforms like Roku, Apple TV, Samsung TV, and more.

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<v Speaker 1>Have a great weekend, everyone, stay safe. This is Bloomberg