Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to Fantasy Pros MLB. This is Leading
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Speaker 1: It's me Joey p Joe Pizzavia with a mustache that
Speaker 1: of course is the Welsh. Also with a mustache which
Speaker 1: is looking really good. I think your wife is one
Speaker 1: hundred percent wrong. This is a fantastic look for you.
Speaker 1: Mine still coming in a little bit. I think it's
Speaker 1: a little light. But we did not coordinate this. We
Speaker 1: both left the soul patch. We showed up today for
Speaker 1: the show Mustaches and soul Patches. We promised you if
Speaker 1: we came here on Monday, we had fourteen thousand subs
Speaker 1: on the YouTube channel that we would be doing the
Speaker 1: show with mustaches. Real mustache is authentic, not that stuff
Speaker 1: you buy at the store. And Welsh. We are men
Speaker 1: of our word, that's right.
Speaker 2: And I've also got my kind of like U is
Speaker 2: it Rick or Tom Sellick tom Selick shirt on.
Speaker 1: You know, like very magnum pi, magnum p.
Speaker 2: I that's exactly what I got going on. You got
Speaker 2: kind of a white mustache there, Joe. I don't think
Speaker 2: I noticed that. I don't think I know you got
Speaker 2: you got kind of the raid out mustache. But yeah,
Speaker 2: my wife was horrible a little bit when she saw this.
Speaker 2: I will tell you guys were like, uh, it's centimeter
Speaker 2: over hair wise of getting a full handlebar mustache, but
Speaker 2: it grew out all like Joe Dirt, all weird and white, trashy,
Speaker 2: and I was just like, Nope, we're not going to
Speaker 2: do that. But yes, this is the full one I
Speaker 2: looked like I have. There's a bunch of different stories.
Speaker 2: You guys can probably tell me what I'm looking like here,
Speaker 2: but thank you.
Speaker 1: I think with the hair, the shirt, let's go look
Speaker 1: like the guy you can count on to always be
Speaker 1: at the wheel fortune slot machine in a small town
Speaker 1: casino attached to a cracker barrel. I don't know if
Speaker 1: it gets better than that one monkey's on it. Yeah,
Speaker 1: I would say, like the villain in a Three Stooges short.
Speaker 2: You know, he said, Welsh looks like his own evil twin.
Speaker 1: Here's the funny things. So we decided also to do
Speaker 1: some prop humor. We'll get to baseball in a second,
Speaker 1: but obviously this is why we're all here today. When
Speaker 1: I put on sunglasses, I almost look like pit bullish.
Speaker 2: I feel like, yeah, I keep actually popping your head
Speaker 2: with the blue steels squadro.
Speaker 1: How many homeowners they show today who know those three squadro?
Speaker 1: And but if I put the hat on too, I
Speaker 1: look like a defensive coordinator from nineteen eighty seven.
Speaker 2: And now you get to chew your lip. You got
Speaker 2: chew your lip yep, to your lip a little bit
Speaker 2: if you had a toothpick ye out there, Come on.
Speaker 1: Tackle that guy? What are you doing? Yeah, it definitely
Speaker 1: that now Welsh when he puts on sunglasses or glasses at.
Speaker 2: All, I didn't have sunglasses.
Speaker 1: We just have regular glasses, which is amazing because when
Speaker 1: Welsh puts on glasses with the mustache, he just looks
Speaker 1: like a guy who does fantasy baseball for a limpic,
Speaker 1: like I'm pretty sure, like hipster ip a drinking you know.
Speaker 1: Let me tell you about the the X plug kind
Speaker 1: of guy.
Speaker 2: I mean, well, everybody else, let me tell you about
Speaker 2: the X plug. I've got jokes today for everybody.
Speaker 1: Bears. Hey Kowalski, what are you doing on that offensive line?
Speaker 1: Get out of the what are you doing? I want
Speaker 1: to play?
Speaker 2: I will say, Well, I'm a hit in the channel.
Speaker 1: Welsh looks like comet.
Speaker 2: I look like that's a mini one. Yeah, apparently I do. Yeah,
Speaker 2: I got like a sport looking here. This is horrific podcasting.
Speaker 2: But that's why you want to be on the video.
Speaker 2: Welsh looks like a Joseph said, well, looks like a
Speaker 2: villain and a murder mystery movie.
Speaker 1: Yes, you do, you absolutely do. Uh So we want
Speaker 1: to just, you know, take a moment.
Speaker 2: Oh it guy, it's a good one to thank you.
Speaker 1: Definitely it. I diet somewhere wrong on my computer. We
Speaker 1: want to thank everybody out there who has listened to
Speaker 1: the show, whichly fourth weekends, the holiday weekend. We want
Speaker 1: to thank you all for subscribing to the YouTube channel,
Speaker 1: supporting us and this show as much as you have,
Speaker 1: because this is really fan appreciation. We said, we do
Speaker 1: stupid things. When you support us, you continue to support us.
Speaker 1: We continue to do stupid things. Uh. We are up
Speaker 1: so much year over year in terms of listens and
Speaker 1: watches on the YouTube channel. On Fantacy Pros MLB, they
Speaker 1: said we couldn't do it. This is the show that's
Speaker 1: a little engine that could, and by golly, we're doing it.
Speaker 1: So I just want to take time to you know,
Speaker 1: be positive and thank everybody who listens, who watches, who comments,
Speaker 1: who hits us up on social media, asks us questions,
Speaker 1: who's out there in the YouTube streets and on the
Speaker 1: podcast streets making this show work and making the baseball
Speaker 1: work and Fantasy Pros because you know, there were people
Speaker 1: who were skeptical that it could be a thing, but Welsh,
Speaker 1: I think we've proved them wrong.
Speaker 2: That they were. There were people that didn't want it
Speaker 2: to happen, didn't think it would happen. And I'll tell
Speaker 2: you what if no guarantees, if it ever does happen
Speaker 2: one day that Fantasy Pros just cannot do without me,
Speaker 2: it'll be thanks to all of you and all.
Speaker 1: Again Welsh also a good one too.
Speaker 2: I love that I've become like a big character.
Speaker 1: Like with the shirt too. It's the shirt with the
Speaker 1: mustache and the hair at the whole thing. What do
Speaker 1: you put in the glasses that really it caps the
Speaker 1: look off? It really does? You know?
Speaker 2: I will tell you looking at the mirror when I
Speaker 2: shaved it, I was like blush. But looking on video.
Speaker 1: On video looks good. It's not bad that I could
Speaker 1: look for you, Paul.
Speaker 2: If I can be a single if I could be
Speaker 2: a single man because my wife would leave me, might
Speaker 2: do it. I might do it just to creep everybody out.
Speaker 1: Then you would be dating some woman who definitely hosts
Speaker 1: a show on NPR. I'm pretty sure. Like that's that's
Speaker 1: definitely the look there. All right, So again, thanks everybody.
Speaker 1: Fourteen thousand, amazing number. We were so thrilled in the
Speaker 1: off season where we had ten. We were like, look
Speaker 1: at ten, I can't believe we got to ten. Now
Speaker 1: we're at fourteen hundred. The only thing left is fifteen
Speaker 1: and then you get the week of wigs. I don't
Speaker 1: know what it's gonna happen this year or next, but
Speaker 1: I am a man of my word. All right, Let's
Speaker 1: get to some other words that are now put out there.
Speaker 1: Home Run Derby participants, Julio Vlad, Pete, Alonzo, Mookie Bets,
Speaker 1: Randy Roseraino, those are some good names, Welsh. Who else
Speaker 1: do you expect to be on this list as we
Speaker 1: approach the next few days.
Speaker 2: Yeah, we've got three. I still think that they've got
Speaker 2: to surprise us with Ellie. I think Ellie has got
Speaker 2: to be the guy that they're going to put out there.
Speaker 1: I don't know.
Speaker 2: Do we want to take some guesses? We want to
Speaker 2: like own, we want to have a draft real quick
Speaker 2: of like the remaining let's have.
Speaker 1: A quick draft would be my number one.
Speaker 2: You're getting the first pick.
Speaker 1: By the way, Brandon says, we look like villains from
Speaker 1: Home Alone. Definitely. It's definitely Harry and uh Harry and Marv.
Speaker 2: Harry like you're the ring leader too, Like we've put
Speaker 2: on your like your hat and your glasses. You're like, Marv,
Speaker 2: shut up where you're trying to stake the place out.
Speaker 1: Hey, kids are dumb, They're scared. Come on, I'm like,
Speaker 1: I can't see this kid. Where does this go? Okay, yeah,
Speaker 1: we have to have we have to have ulcinated. We
Speaker 1: have to have Otani in it.
Speaker 2: Like okay, so hold on, let so let's do a
Speaker 2: draft real quick. We're gonna do it very very quick.
Speaker 1: Spots left is that we got?
Speaker 2: We have three total spots for the isn't it? Isn't it?
Speaker 2: Or is it ten?
Speaker 1: I don't even remember anymore. It's got it. Well, there's
Speaker 1: usually two brackets that they fill out right from the
Speaker 1: National League in the American league.
Speaker 2: Isn't that usually? And I think it's isn't it eight?
Speaker 2: I'm pretty sure it's eight people total.
Speaker 1: It's hard to keep tracking. Every single year they change
Speaker 1: the rules of how this works and what's going on.
Speaker 1: So let's just for fun, let's just shout out the
Speaker 1: other things. Matt Olsen won for me. Go ahead, your
Speaker 1: number two? Who you got?
Speaker 2: Okay, so you said matt Olsen, Yeah, I'm gonna go. Well,
Speaker 2: I'm gonna go with Ellie and then I'm gonna go
Speaker 2: with Tatis.
Speaker 1: That's a good one. That's a good one. I need
Speaker 1: Otani in this. I mean he's got to go do it.
Speaker 1: He's leading the league in home runs. If Aaron Judge
Speaker 1: was leading the leagan the home runs, he would be there.
Speaker 1: So Otani's the other one for me, which means there's
Speaker 1: one more left vacant, you know, big home run hitters
Speaker 1: on the year. I'm trying to think of who would
Speaker 1: be fun. I mean, can you get the teammates? Can
Speaker 1: he get Soda in there too? I mean, soda has
Speaker 1: been on fire. You could do that.
Speaker 2: And I'll go with Robert. So here's the point. We've
Speaker 2: each got three for three spots left. Because everyone confirmed
Speaker 2: it is to eight, so there's three spots left. We
Speaker 2: each took three for those remaining spots, so I've got
Speaker 2: Robert Tatis and Ellie. I think I'm getting two of
Speaker 2: the three in the home Runner.
Speaker 1: Yeah, someone Lisa's where the home alone burglars order from wish.
Speaker 1: That's that's also accurate comments. Keep him going, It's amazing.
Speaker 1: Speaking of home runs, show, Hotani now has thirty one.
Speaker 1: I picked him for the weekend. Good choice. Oh God,
Speaker 1: tick up there, let's go. I'm not gonna make this
Speaker 1: a whole love letter to Atani because we've done that
Speaker 1: every day and Wonkee Penguin will get upset by the way.
Speaker 1: As as Kelly said, and Kelly will be joining the
Speaker 1: show on Friday, I'll be out of the office for
Speaker 1: the day, taking the kids to New York watching SmackDown
Speaker 1: live in Madison Square Garden. We're gonna go do a
Speaker 1: couple of things in New York, just kind of take
Speaker 1: a day off. But Kelly's right, this show did change
Speaker 1: your life. It was this podcast where Kelly was on
Speaker 1: here as a peanut and cracker jack, and two years
Speaker 1: later now she's a full time employee at Fantasy Pro
Speaker 1: so how about them apples? Not so bad? How about
Speaker 1: mister Tovar in Colorado fifteen game hit streak. We talked
Speaker 1: about him a couple of weeks ago when he was
Speaker 1: at nine. Now it's at fifteen. Things are going well.
Speaker 1: Still too many strikeouts on the year, but you'll love
Speaker 1: to see Ezekiel Tovar.
Speaker 2: You like him a lot from Yeah, and you like him.
Speaker 2: I like him more than I do. Yeah, But I mean,
Speaker 2: you know, hey, listen, he's getting it done. He's hit harder,
Speaker 2: hits a little bit more. The barrel percentage is way down.
Speaker 2: The counting stats are starting to get there. But he's
Speaker 2: not my guy, but he's definitely yours with. Like also,
Speaker 2: look at that Baseball Samon page barrel percentage, K percentage
Speaker 2: x onoe. But it's really really down.
Speaker 1: But well, I think he's a perfect trade candidate now,
Speaker 1: and I'm trying to trade him right now. You're going
Speaker 1: to have him because I think I think this is
Speaker 1: a great run. I think he had this run in him.
Speaker 1: By the way, JP says, Walsh looks like a motorcycle cop.
Speaker 1: I've got the motorcycle cop glasses though, that's the thing.
Speaker 1: I have them somewhere there, bald Eric Astrono, you know,
Speaker 1: oh there you go, talk about good podcasting and good TV. Anyway,
Speaker 1: while we almost.
Speaker 2: Got so lucky, we almost got lucky because I usually
Speaker 2: I have a bag that I usually keep my aviators in.
Speaker 2: What it would have been fire.
Speaker 1: I was gonna say, what do you have carrat top?
Speaker 1: Is that what I'm working with? Redebt Meers. Another great performance, Redebtmers.
Speaker 1: How about this the guy that everybody soured on so quickly, Readebtmers.
Speaker 1: Everybody was so upset about Redebt Meers. Oh he's a bus,
Speaker 1: He's a bus. Meanwhile we're looking up now now he
Speaker 1: raised at three seven, Okay, but the strikeouts nine and
Speaker 1: this last one in six innings, Redetmors has turned a
Speaker 1: big time corner. I would I mean, this is why
Speaker 1: you have to have patients with some of these things,
Speaker 1: when you believe in them. And I know even you
Speaker 1: to a certain degree, Welsh was a little I would say,
Speaker 1: you know, frustrated with the early Redebtmor's returns. But the
Speaker 1: month of June was a very good one for him
Speaker 1: and for the angels who are now in this thing.
Speaker 2: Yeah, and I mean he's turned so much around. Everybody knows.
Speaker 2: Like the slider VLO has been his biggest, biggest increase.
Speaker 2: He threw at eighty six miles an hour last year,
Speaker 2: it's up to almost ninety eighty nine point seven. The
Speaker 2: whiff rate is through the roof on this thing. He's
Speaker 2: also throwing it a lot more. Twenty four percent usage
Speaker 2: last year, thirty six percent usage this year with a
Speaker 2: thirty seven percent whiff rate, which is crazy. I mean,
Speaker 2: the slider has been the saving grace across the board,
Speaker 2: and batting average really kind of across most of these
Speaker 2: double digit pitches is low. So you know, Redebtmers slider
Speaker 2: has set everything up. K percentage is almost a percent
Speaker 2: and expected dray under four. I just like everything that
Speaker 2: read debt Mers is doing. He's just, you know, we
Speaker 2: have to be comfortable that sometimes these guys are going
Speaker 2: to have their like little ups and downs and how
Speaker 2: long can we battle through it.
Speaker 1: I would also say a couple of questions here in
Speaker 1: the chad. This is a good one too, about mister Abbot,
Speaker 1: who we're going to get to in a second. We're
Speaker 1: gonna get to Abbot. Just hang on there. We will
Speaker 1: talk about him. But let's talk about Justin Steel too.
Speaker 1: Era leader Justin Steele, who is in my preseason video
Speaker 1: of top ten breakout candidates. I think he was actually
Speaker 1: the first one I talked about. Look, he has been
Speaker 1: excellent on a Cubs team that we described him earlier
Speaker 1: in the preseason as the silk hat on the pig,
Speaker 1: like just because you go sign a bunch of mediocre
Speaker 1: guys as make you a good team. Yes, you'll be
Speaker 1: more competitive. At the end of the day, it's not
Speaker 1: going to really show up in the win total. But
Speaker 1: Steele has held up his part of the bargain. There
Speaker 1: was a little blip on the radar with the injury.
Speaker 1: We all held our breath, but he has come back
Speaker 1: and he has looked good and he has been one
Speaker 1: of the lone bright spots I think on the Cubs.
Speaker 2: A lot of weak contact too, averaging one of the
Speaker 2: better in the league, eighty five average exit velocity five
Speaker 2: miles per hour exit velocity, which is really solid. Also,
Speaker 2: the hard hit you want to talk about the week contact,
Speaker 2: it's not just the ev it's a actual hard hit.
Speaker 2: Numbers only thirty percent, which is top nine percent in
Speaker 2: the league. Justin Steele and also looking at his his
Speaker 2: zone chart, he does a pretty good job of covering
Speaker 2: every quadrant. Fastball, the upper left corner slider, it is
Speaker 2: carrying a little bit inside, but that's been effective, and
Speaker 2: in the change up on the bottom. I mean he
Speaker 2: has been pretty pretty solid across the board.
Speaker 1: Bill's got a question for us too, Is Freddy Bralta
Speaker 1: going to turn things around? I say no, I think
Speaker 1: you know, the Freddy perlta risk was worth it to me.
Speaker 1: In the draft. He's giving us some decent strikeout numbers.
Speaker 1: E alright, I want to say, is a four to seven?
Speaker 1: He goes, we're looking at this morning it was pretty high.
Speaker 1: But at this point, you know, the Milwaukee Brewers seemed
Speaker 1: like an enigma to me. And I mean, I'm sure
Speaker 1: there's a better run in there. But I think when
Speaker 1: you also look at the injury history, I think it's
Speaker 1: enough downside of injury history where it's not a player
Speaker 1: I'm looking to buy low on. Let's put it that way.
Speaker 2: What do you think I've never been a big guy. Yeah, never.
Speaker 2: I mean the fastball velo has returned, but I mean overall,
Speaker 2: the walks just keep got the walks and the strikeouts
Speaker 2: going in the opposite direction nine point four walks per
Speaker 2: nine with twenty six point one K percentage. That twenty
Speaker 2: six is the lowest of his career with one of
Speaker 2: the higher walk numbers also an expected era. Just you know,
Speaker 2: selling any guys on expected stats right now, just still
Speaker 2: over the force. I just don't think that team warrants enough.
Speaker 2: I don't think he has I don't think he has
Speaker 2: been good enough for any period of time that I'm
Speaker 2: a buye on Freddy Perlta. I'm I'm out, I'm out
Speaker 2: on Pralta.
Speaker 1: Lee says with the mustache, Joey Pizapia transforms into Joey Plugs.
Speaker 1: You do one, all right?
Speaker 2: You know what I'd like to see with your look
Speaker 2: right now is like a good old like just like
Speaker 2: a mohawk, like with this look, but like I think
Speaker 2: I want it to be the same color, maybe like
Speaker 2: a white gray. Do you do you ever?
Speaker 1: Let your hand is great, It's just you know, I
Speaker 1: had taken the beer down on Sunday because they had
Speaker 1: the TV stuff and then you know it could be darker,
Speaker 1: it could be more, but you know, I mean, who knows.
Speaker 1: Maybe one for you know, on Wednesday after the holiday,
Speaker 1: I just let it keep growing like a hogan.
Speaker 2: I want to see, like a hogan, a whole like
Speaker 2: I had the.
Speaker 1: Whole way and it just didn't Oh my gosh, I
Speaker 1: got it. You know that would be something. Let's talk
Speaker 1: about Andrew Abbot, because he's been something twelve strikeouts. Got
Speaker 1: to talk about this rookie lookie seven to two thirds
Speaker 1: in a very shallow league at Fantasy Pros actually picked
Speaker 1: him up as a streamer. Somehow he was still on
Speaker 1: the wire. I couldn't believe he was. I started him yesterday.
Speaker 1: It was beautiful. He is now four to no. A
Speaker 1: one point two one era since he's been called up
Speaker 1: Welsh and we keep looking for, you know, reasons why
Speaker 1: we think the Reds might be able to sustain. We love,
Speaker 1: you know, some of the positive things they've done with
Speaker 1: the youth culture here. And now Abbott has kind of
Speaker 1: stepped up and become that guy at the top of
Speaker 1: this rotation that I don't think anybody really saw coming,
Speaker 1: did you.
Speaker 2: Well, yeah, I mean I was a pretty big Andrew
Speaker 2: Arabbit guy at the beginning of the year. This is
Speaker 2: the guy that well, I mean, I'm not going to
Speaker 2: say any of that, but like, did I think Andravia
Speaker 2: could be successful. Yes, And I talked about him early on.
Speaker 2: He was one of the guys that had the tacked ball.
Speaker 2: In Double A. He had a twenty K per nine,
Speaker 2: twenty K per nine and I believe around a twenty
Speaker 2: IVB with these pre tack ball. What that just means
Speaker 2: is like it's pre gripped, you know, so they don't
Speaker 2: have to like do all the stupid crap that dimago
Speaker 2: Hermand does with his cheating and stuff. But then he
Speaker 2: goes to Triple A and those numbers came down, but
Speaker 2: he was still like fourteen K per nine. His IVB
Speaker 2: came down to around sixteen, So people were worried, Hey,
Speaker 2: what's gonna happen overall? Is he really going to be
Speaker 2: the real deal? And he has been a twenty nine
Speaker 2: point four K percentage. His pitches haven't induced over a
Speaker 2: two forty batting average I'm sorry, a two toho nine
Speaker 2: batting average across the board expected batting average. The highest
Speaker 2: is two thirty seven against the fastball. But we're talking
Speaker 2: change up forty two percent with rate. You've got his
Speaker 2: curveball with the thirty two percent whiff rate, He's not
Speaker 2: going to be as good. But he throws strikes. He
Speaker 2: induces these whiffs left and right, and he's been doing
Speaker 2: this for quite a while in the minor leagues. It's
Speaker 2: a really bad ballpark, and I would tell you, in
Speaker 2: a redraft standpoint, I would look at trading him just
Speaker 2: because that ballpark is not super super friendly and these numbers,
Speaker 2: it will be impossible to keep these numbers. But he
Speaker 2: could still be good, So I'm not just trading off,
Speaker 2: but I would consider, like these insane numbers with a
Speaker 2: rookie in great American ballpark, someone I would consider trading
Speaker 2: for like a really good return. Otherwise, I do think
Speaker 2: he can be like a top forty sp maybe like
Speaker 2: right around there. He maybe something that's valuable.
Speaker 1: If you're not getting something better than that in return,
Speaker 1: then obviously he's a hold. Scott Bagman has entered the
Speaker 1: Chad Are Good Pal. Dylan Ceese looks like he's on
Speaker 1: the show today. I guess that's you, not me. I
Speaker 1: don't think I look like Dylan.
Speaker 2: Se Yeah, Dylan Ceese has got the mustache. I mean
Speaker 2: the other obvious one would be sport. You know what
Speaker 2: we need is we need spor here with musta.
Speaker 1: Definitely needs a good screenshot. We'll get one of these,
Speaker 1: we'll send it to Paul Sport, and we'll dedicate the
Speaker 1: show to him. Today. Tanner Bibby, let's talk about him.
Speaker 1: Another really good performance from him. Nine strikeouts and five
Speaker 1: and two thirds innings, no runs. Bibby's been excellent. Kevin
Speaker 1: Williams is up. I keep talking about it like I've
Speaker 1: made investments in it. I'm gona talk about it. We
Speaker 1: get to the betting portion of the show today. Cleveland's
Speaker 1: for real. I think Cleveland's gonna go past the Twins.
Speaker 1: I don't believe. I think as bad as the Cleveland
Speaker 1: offense has been in the first half of the season,
Speaker 1: I see a pathway for them to be better with
Speaker 1: all of the Nailers hitting, with Jose Ramirez being that
Speaker 1: lynchpin guy, with Andre Simenez who had a good day
Speaker 1: yesterday starting to tick up a little bit. Whereas I
Speaker 1: keep looking at Joey Gallo, I keep looking at Byron Bucks,
Speaker 1: and I keep looking at Kirolof. I keep look at
Speaker 1: these guys are just deficits right now. And then we
Speaker 1: add in that Royce Lewis is out with an oblique.
Speaker 1: That's another big loss to this offense too, So I
Speaker 1: think this is one to really monitor quickly. But what
Speaker 1: do you think about Tanner Bibby's performance this weekend? It
Speaker 1: was pretty impressive.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean I like Tanner, but I'm actually a
Speaker 2: little bit surprised because my envision when I when I
Speaker 2: close my eyes and I think of Tanner Bibby, I
Speaker 2: think of a lesser walk, decent, strikeout controlled pitcher. But
Speaker 2: he does have like an eight and a half walk percentage,
Speaker 2: which I don't love. But he hasn't been inducing big barrels,
Speaker 2: which you like. His pitches have just been I mean,
Speaker 2: he's just been really solid across the board. I still
Speaker 2: say Gavin Williams is going to be the guy the
Speaker 2: rest of the year. I don't think there's a ton
Speaker 2: ton of regression in play for Tanner Bibby, and he's
Speaker 2: gonna be able to stick around for the season. So
Speaker 2: Tanner Bibby is another one of those guys that you
Speaker 2: look at you know you can't you can't sell a
Speaker 2: cross because I wouldn't sell Biby for Abbot. But it's like,
Speaker 2: I think those guys exhibit the same space. They live
Speaker 2: in the same space, but the trick would be like
Speaker 2: a guy like Andrew Abbott has got a little bit
Speaker 2: of that Elle in him where it's like, all right,
Speaker 2: he occupies the space of that fifty sp with like
Speaker 2: Biby and a couple of the other's rookies, But because
Speaker 2: he's got the buzz and the hype right now, his
Speaker 2: value is worth so much more. Same thing like you
Speaker 2: would have said with Ellie is Ellie is super exciting.
Speaker 2: He probably occupies this top forty space overall, but he's
Speaker 2: worth so much more. So when I can take advantage
Speaker 2: of these guys and push them up in trade values,
Speaker 2: I would. But Biby has got the team context for
Speaker 2: the rest of the year, which I like. And by
Speaker 2: the way, matchup today Gavin Williams Bryce Elder, who would
Speaker 2: have thought Joe Joe Bryce Elder All Star game? In
Speaker 2: the All Star Star we keep.
Speaker 1: Waiting for the shoot to drop. I've written him up
Speaker 1: in the cell high more than once on Fantasy Pros
Speaker 1: this year. It's unbelievable. I mean, the guys just he
Speaker 1: he can't be beat. And you know there's something to
Speaker 1: the art of pitching and finding where to get the
Speaker 1: outs in lineups. Rank these guys the rest of the season, Abbot,
Speaker 1: Biby cease.
Speaker 2: Ooh, someone in the chat said, trade Abbot for Cease,
Speaker 2: and I think that is the territory. There are some ceas.
Speaker 1: Trade all that's so Cease above Abbot rest of season.
Speaker 2: I would go cease. This might not be popular. I
Speaker 2: feel like I would go cease byby Abbot, and I
Speaker 2: hate selling. I don't like selling Abbot short because in
Speaker 2: fantasy those strikeouts are so much so sexier. But I'm
Speaker 2: just a little bit worried when the league catches up
Speaker 2: with Andrew Abbott, like I just don't think that I
Speaker 2: just don't think the era and stuff is sustainable. I
Speaker 2: actually kind of saw him as a little bit more
Speaker 2: inflated era guy, kind of like Dylan sees to be
Speaker 2: honest with the more inflated guy with higher strikeouts. But
Speaker 2: I would go with the track record of cease and
Speaker 2: then Abbot and Biby to me are kind of a
Speaker 2: toss up, But I guess I would go with Bibby.
Speaker 1: On team context makes sense. Uh Also, I know a
Speaker 1: lot of people are talking about uh Uri Perez in
Speaker 1: the last few weeks. This was the first really you know,
Speaker 1: bad Uri Perez outing here six runs over the weekend.
Speaker 1: Are any panic mode on? This? Is he starting to
Speaker 1: hit a wall? You think?
Speaker 2: I mean, what better way? This is like the the meme,
Speaker 2: like the think smarter? What better way to the control
Speaker 2: your innings than them only go one third of an
Speaker 2: inning because it gave up six earned runs. I don't know, man'
Speaker 2: he was going up against Atlanta Like that's a horrid
Speaker 2: I mean, the same thing could be said about Gavin Williams.
Speaker 2: I think somebody in the chat asked, is Gavin Williams
Speaker 2: to sit today? If you were going to sit him,
Speaker 2: this would be the one set him against Atlanta. I'm
Speaker 2: not worried about eury Prez. I'm worried about Uri Prez
Speaker 2: in the macro sense of what does he pitch the
Speaker 2: rest of the year. This is an excuse for them
Speaker 2: to limit those innings and kind of I think they
Speaker 2: just shut him down until after the half so we
Speaker 2: can get his innings on the back half of the year.
Speaker 2: But I'm not worried about the performance. I'm just worried
Speaker 2: about them freaking out and trying to maintain his innings. Yeah,
Speaker 2: because he's the best of all those guys. By the way,
Speaker 2: you put if you had ury Perez good the rest
Speaker 2: of the year over Dylan ceas I take eury Perez
Speaker 2: over Dylan Ce's rest of season if ury Perez was
Speaker 2: guaranteed to finish out the year.
Speaker 1: All right, let's continue on here. Let's talk about the
Speaker 1: other injuries. Uh Sean mcclanhangles on the fifteen day Iol
Speaker 1: with the back tight as we warned you about it
Speaker 1: last week. We're trying to prepare everybody for it. Just
Speaker 1: Chisholm left Sunday is game with an oblique issue, so
Speaker 1: he just came back. Now he's gonna go out again.
Speaker 1: It feels like Royce Lewis is out with an oblique
Speaker 1: as well, so that's gonna be weeks. Get the ten days,
Speaker 1: it's gonna be way more than that. Michael Kopek of
Speaker 1: the White Sox fifteen day Iel with the right shoulder inflammation,
Speaker 1: so he's going to be out a while. The good
Speaker 1: news is Brian Reynolds got activated for Amber Valdez was
Speaker 1: scratched Sunday with the ankle soreness. We'll keep an eye
Speaker 1: on this, but they feel like he's going to make
Speaker 1: his start coming up soon, which is good because he
Speaker 1: is that favorite still for the American League Cy Young.
Speaker 1: By the way, Kevin Gossman, who was once a long shot,
Speaker 1: is now number two on the board. Just want to
Speaker 1: say that on some books, just number two already. John
Speaker 1: Hayman of The Post report that Edwardo Rodriguez is expected
Speaker 1: to return on Wednesday to pitch against the A's. I
Speaker 1: still say he gets two starts before he gets dealt,
Speaker 1: maybe three, and Carlos Rodon finishes up his minor league
Speaker 1: rehab on Saturday. So I don't know if they're gonna
Speaker 1: keep him, They're going to let him make a start
Speaker 1: before the All Star break or not. My guess is
Speaker 1: not They'll just let continue to rehab and then when
Speaker 1: you come out of the All Star break you have
Speaker 1: Rodna ahead.
Speaker 2: Yeah. No, I was gonna say, I actually saw a
Speaker 2: couple other outlets. I want to say. It was like
Speaker 2: Pro Baseball Talk or whatever, one of those that picked
Speaker 2: up on the Edwardo thing that like he is one
Speaker 2: of the biggest prime trade cancier, you know, you know,
Speaker 2: I've been talking about it for like six weeks or whatever,
Speaker 2: and that the same feeling is they want to rush
Speaker 2: him back, get him back, get him a start or
Speaker 2: two and then they want to ship him out. So
Speaker 2: he's a prime trade candidate. So you know, it doesn't
Speaker 2: feel as sexy as it did because you know, prior
Speaker 2: to the injury, he was, you know, burning through innings
Speaker 2: and he was like a great bet on first fives,
Speaker 2: you know, because the Tigers would always be plus one
Speaker 2: and a half. You could take them with those strikeout numbers.
Speaker 2: So it's gonna be a little bit dicey to see
Speaker 2: what he looks like when he comes back. But man,
Speaker 2: he goes to the right team, he is going to
Speaker 2: be an exponentially better fantasy option than he is right
Speaker 2: now for the last couple of months of the year.
Speaker 1: I still say Houston is the spot for him. Also,
Speaker 1: I think the new name I'm going to throw in
Speaker 1: this mix for the pitching market is Jordan Montgomery of
Speaker 1: the Saint Louis Cardinals, who's also pitched very well recent
Speaker 1: I'm gonna throw his name in the mix because I
Speaker 1: don't see a whole lot of pieces where the car
Speaker 1: the Cardinals really want to just sell off, but Montgomery
Speaker 1: might be really interesting one they could get a very
Speaker 1: good return on. So I would keep a close eye
Speaker 1: on that one. That could be another name. Here's a
Speaker 1: fun stat. I love fun stats. Sturry Ruiz has forty
Speaker 1: two stolen bases at the break here in terms of
Speaker 1: you know, halfway point of the season forty two. Last year,
Speaker 1: the entire season long leader was John Birdie who had
Speaker 1: forty one. Hot Dog Welsh, how great has that been?
Speaker 1: Also a fun stat too, looking at the nine inning
Speaker 1: MLB games three or more hours long last year was
Speaker 1: fifty seven percent of nine inning games where three plus hours.
Speaker 1: This year, you want to get guess at what that
Speaker 1: number is. What's the percentage of games fifty games were
Speaker 1: of nine inning length or three or more hours last year?
Speaker 1: You want to take a guess of what the number
Speaker 1: is this year.
Speaker 2: With thirty seven in a row, lower Bob oh twenty seven,
Speaker 2: lower Bob seven nine percent, nine percent, nine nine percent.
Speaker 1: Of MLB games have been and this is from code
Speaker 1: to FI baseball have been less than three hours. That's
Speaker 1: pretty unbelievable.
Speaker 2: So that is crazy, you know. Also, I want to
Speaker 2: just point out this is a side thing to go back,
Speaker 2: what's unblievable.
Speaker 1: And you know what one hundred percent of those nine
Speaker 1: percent is. The Yankees and Red Sox continued Yeah.
Speaker 2: How did Brent Rooker get the All Star nod over
Speaker 2: his story? Ruiz? How did that happen? Ruiz's forty one
Speaker 2: stolen bases.
Speaker 1: Check sting the long ball? I mean, honestly, in the
Speaker 1: in that format. If I'm the manager, I want Ruiz.
Speaker 1: I want him as a pinch runner to hopefully go
Speaker 1: steal a base and make something happen in the lad
Speaker 1: I don't see how perfect guy.
Speaker 2: You have one stupid representative? How is it not story Ruiz?
Speaker 2: Brent Rooker, that's crazy? Talk to me.
Speaker 1: Hey, look, man, I agree with you. I'm with you.
Speaker 1: Let's do three up and three down. Jaron Duran had
Speaker 1: himself a day yesterday five for five, four doubles, three walks.
Speaker 1: Wooh wait, it's a good Sunday for him. Spencer Streider
Speaker 1: three runs.
Speaker 2: Again that again?
Speaker 1: Ooh with the mustache? Is that one he got? Yeah?
Speaker 2: Clip that.
Speaker 1: Nine strikeouts for Spencer Strider and many Machado, many Machado
Speaker 1: siding Welsh, two homers for him, three down, thirteen strikeouts
Speaker 1: in the last twenty five at bats for Josh Young.
Speaker 1: Just want to throw that out there. Ellie de la Cruz,
Speaker 1: also over his last twenty three at bats hit one
Speaker 1: forty three. No boy, no, I don't like that. And
Speaker 1: Zach Wheeler over his last ten in the third innings
Speaker 1: nine earned runs for him in sixteen hits. So guys
Speaker 1: going in the wrong direction right now. Hopefully Ellie will
Speaker 1: turn it around. But one thing that always goes in
Speaker 1: the right direction is Welsh's finger.
Speaker 2: Say what would you say? One of those three guys
Speaker 2: and your three down will be in my trade video
Speaker 2: this week, So it will be one of Wheeler, Ellie
Speaker 2: or Young will be in my trade video coming up
Speaker 2: on Wednesday.
Speaker 1: There you go. You know what time it is. It's
Speaker 1: time to prick some prizes. That's right. Go to prize
Speaker 1: picks dot com, download the app, use that promo code
Speaker 1: leading off one word. When you do, get one hundred
Speaker 1: percent deposit match up to one hundred dollars support our sponsors.
Speaker 1: Prize Picks is fun. If you haven't tried it, go
Speaker 1: try it. It's a great time. I can't make money
Speaker 1: on it because they live in New Jersey, but please,
Speaker 1: I want you to go out there make money for me. Welsh.
Speaker 1: Help the folks make some money here with the prize pick.
Speaker 1: Do it.
Speaker 2: The guy with the mustache says, go check it.
Speaker 1: If you can't trust the guy giving your picks with
Speaker 1: a mustache, who can you trust? I mean, Warren Sharp
Speaker 1: is like the betting authority, and he is rocking that
Speaker 1: mustache hard. So I'm just saying, you.
Speaker 2: Can't trust this guy. You can't trust this guy?
Speaker 1: Right here? Well, you put on you know what. I
Speaker 1: can't trust that guy. But when you put the glasses on,
Speaker 1: you feel like an authority.
Speaker 2: Oh okay, well here we'll do. Well, let's see the glasses.
Speaker 1: I mean that guy's put the work in.
Speaker 2: That guy has This guy has put the work in.
Speaker 2: You can see the reflection of everything.
Speaker 1: All right.
Speaker 2: Well, for my prize picks today, since I am a
Speaker 2: very trustworthy individual because I have glasses and a mustache,
Speaker 2: I'm gonna go with Logan Webb and Joe Ryan Combo
Speaker 2: twelve and a half over for today on price picks.
Speaker 2: Also he has been struggling, but I'll go with Ellie
Speaker 2: on the Fantasy score eight and a half as well
Speaker 2: as Adley Richman Fantasy score seven. Those are my three
Speaker 2: plays for prize picks, and you know they're good because
Speaker 2: I'm wearing glasses.
Speaker 1: That's right. I love the Combo one you're doing. By
Speaker 1: the way, I really like that web Bryan one. Speaking
Speaker 1: of Joe Ryan, six and a half as the number
Speaker 1: he's going against the Royals, though they strike out a ton,
Speaker 1: so give me the over on the six and a half.
Speaker 1: I've got Bryce Elder, Julio Tehran under point five runs
Speaker 1: in the first inning because Tehran has been very stingy,
Speaker 1: and Bryce Elder is, you know, the greatest era pitcher
Speaker 1: ever in the last generation. And then Juan Soto hit
Speaker 1: our fantasy score over eight for him. Think they're getting
Speaker 1: Barria tonight from the Angel So that's always a good situation. Now, look,
Speaker 1: we're in the halfway point, so I put together a
Speaker 1: little fun parlay for everybody to get involved and you're ready,
Speaker 1: oh to win the division. Cleveland Guardians, Tampa Bay Rays,
Speaker 1: Houston Astros, Milwaukee Brewers hang on despite the Reds being fun,
Speaker 1: Atlanta Braves and the Dodgers. If you put those six
Speaker 1: teams Cleveland, Tampa, Houston, Milwaukee, Atlanta and the Dodgers, that
Speaker 1: gets you to a spot where you could throw in
Speaker 1: And I got a free bet. So I just made
Speaker 1: this bet anyway along. I put some extra money in
Speaker 1: it too. If you put just like ten fifteen bucks
Speaker 1: on this, it pays out three hundred dollars. That'll pay
Speaker 1: for a nice bill. That's what you do. What's happened?
Speaker 1: This is the guy?
Speaker 2: This is coming from. The Dodgers are stinky guy. Diamondbacks
Speaker 2: are winning the division and you.
Speaker 1: Pull I never seension well. I never Padres, I thought
Speaker 1: were winning the division. I think it's too late for
Speaker 1: them to win division. I still say the Padres make
Speaker 1: the playoffs.
Speaker 2: Must has changed you? It has changed you have.
Speaker 1: I've got some more bets though, one and a half
Speaker 1: total bases over for TJ. Friedel against the Nats today
Speaker 1: over three and a half strikeouts three and a half.
Speaker 1: This is on Betting Pros. You gotta follow me on
Speaker 1: Betting Pros. Join our group Bettingpros dot Com. Slash leading
Speaker 1: off against the guard today three and a half though
Speaker 1: Welsh Come on.
Speaker 2: No, I know I stared at it for a long time.
Speaker 2: It's such a low, stupid number. It's just the Guardians
Speaker 2: that they don't strike out.
Speaker 1: I don't care. Three and a half come on, and
Speaker 1: Joe Ryan is even money right now in the over
Speaker 1: against Kansas City again, Kanzley does strike out Welsh. What
Speaker 1: do you have for the people today? On the betting side,
Speaker 1: I only get.
Speaker 2: A couple things right now. I'm working on a few others.
Speaker 2: Speaking of Joe Ryan his strikeouts six and a half over,
Speaker 2: I think you can find like you I think you
Speaker 2: just said even money to round minus one ten. I
Speaker 2: like it no matter what. Such a great matchup. And
Speaker 2: then I've got a little bit of a parlay. I'm
Speaker 2: taking Atlanta Atlanta, Atlanta Braves and Minnesota. I'm putting them
Speaker 2: on a money line and it's paying around one thirty
Speaker 2: nine one forty somewhere in there, so a little bit
Speaker 2: on the plus money. So Atlanta Minnesota money line, Joe
Speaker 2: Ryan strikeouts, those are my plays right now. Go sign
Speaker 2: up and join up on the Leading Off or no,
Speaker 2: the Betting pro Yeah, the Leading Off group over on
Speaker 2: Betting Pros. Download the app. You guys can track all
Speaker 2: the stuff you can get on the leaderboard. You can
Speaker 2: see all the bets that we add in if I
Speaker 2: add some.
Speaker 1: More, and you can also tweak your notifications on there
Speaker 1: on the app too. So if you just want MLB
Speaker 1: stuff this time of the year, you can just get
Speaker 1: MLB updates and when line moves or when a goodback
Speaker 1: comes through, you get the little notification, so you know,
Speaker 1: we're doing a lot of the work for you, but
Speaker 1: we want you to be part of it too. So
Speaker 1: your fantasy teams haven't worked out quite that well, this
Speaker 1: is a great way to make back some of that
Speaker 1: entry money that you put in there. And look, you
Speaker 1: might be sitting around, you know, the pool or hanging
Speaker 1: out at the beach. Give so Rare a try this week.
Speaker 1: It's a perfect time just sitting around, hanging out, having
Speaker 1: some bruskis, eating some barbecue, play some fantasy, a little
Speaker 1: bit of so Rare. Go to fantasypros dot com slash
Speaker 1: collect sign up for free today and join our league,
Speaker 1: Fantasypros dot Com slash Leading Off League. You get the
Speaker 1: digital cards, you create your team, you challenge others, and
Speaker 1: you win cool stuff like maybe even some MLB TV subscription.
Speaker 1: So go check that out. Welsh, Are you ready for
Speaker 1: the DFS talk today?
Speaker 2: Let's do it must as short slate, Short slate today.
Speaker 1: Blake Snell ten point. You gotta go at Blake Snell.
Speaker 1: I mean, the guy has double digit strikeouts and four
Speaker 1: of his last five outings. In June, he had an
Speaker 1: elright under one, like until it breaks, you gotta keep
Speaker 1: going here for Blake Snell, Bryce Elders at nine to seven,
Speaker 1: Tyler Wells at nine to five. It's a shorter slate
Speaker 1: today because everybody's playing tomorrow because of the July fourth holiday.
Speaker 1: It's baseball, it's Murca. So that's what you got. Baltimore
Speaker 1: and San Diego. That's where I'm looking for offense today.
Speaker 1: I like the Aaron Hicks revenge narrative against the Yankees
Speaker 1: two point four, Jose Miranda free Square two point zero,
Speaker 1: and Orlando Arcia two point eight in that game as well. Now,
Speaker 1: I'm gonna go Juan Soto for my home run call today.
Speaker 1: I got a few homers from a boy show he
Speaker 1: O Tani, but I'm taking a night off for him
Speaker 1: because he's facing Blake Snell, the greatest picture on the
Speaker 1: planet right now. So, well, who do you have for
Speaker 1: your home run call tonight?
Speaker 2: I'm just kind of trying to mix it up a
Speaker 2: little bit. I killed my sofa over the weekend. I
Speaker 2: was battling Mookie or Freeman, MOOKI or Freeman, and I
Speaker 2: picked wrong. Probably gonna pick wrong today as well, because
Speaker 2: he has been on a struggle bus. But going up
Speaker 2: against Jake IV, I'm gonna go with Ellie de la Cruz.
Speaker 2: Ellie to make a statement for the home run derby today.
Speaker 2: That's gonna be my hopeful bet, my hopeful bet. And
Speaker 2: now Joe, I have a question for you. Yeah, are
Speaker 2: we here tomorrow?
Speaker 1: No, we are not here tomorrow. We are off for
Speaker 1: the holiday. We will be back on Wednesday, so regular
Speaker 1: schedule programming, but we have a company holiday here Fantasy Pros.
Speaker 1: So everybody takes the day off refresh a little bit,
Speaker 1: which is good. So everybody go out there and enjoy
Speaker 1: the games, hang out. We'll be back Wednesday as normal.
Speaker 1: Before we go, we gotta answer Lee's question because Lee
Speaker 1: is having a panic attack about Bryce Harper. Eight times
Speaker 1: Bruce Harper. No, Bryce Harper. He said, that's how panicky
Speaker 1: is about Bryce Harper. Well, he came back to early.
Speaker 1: I said this when it happened. Am I panicked about
Speaker 1: him a little bit because I think he came back
Speaker 1: to early. Do I think there's room for him to
Speaker 1: be better in the second half? I do so I
Speaker 1: would be wanting to trade for Bryce Harper. But if
Speaker 1: you ask me, is he gonna look the player he
Speaker 1: was last year. I'm gonna say no, I don't think
Speaker 1: at any point he looks like the MVP caliber Bryce Harper,
Speaker 1: I think you're gonna have to wait till next season
Speaker 1: to get that. What are your thoughts on Harper?
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think the power. I think he's got three
Speaker 2: homers in fifty games. The power has been zapped. He's
Speaker 2: still trying to find his rhythm. He's still hitting a bit.
Speaker 2: I think it's like in too. I don't have it
Speaker 2: in front of me two eighties or something like that,
Speaker 2: but the power. I was looking at him last night.
Speaker 2: The power has definitely been zapped. But he's not like
Speaker 2: a sit unless you've got somebody really great. If you're
Speaker 2: playing in a ten man league, I think you can
Speaker 2: justify the sit. In deeper leagues, I'm probably not. I'm
Speaker 2: gonna just keep him out here. Also noted, and I
Speaker 2: completely botched this. I should have thought of this. Sabos
Speaker 2: Goggles just said that Adley Rutchman joined the Derby And
Speaker 2: now if that's true, I haven't confirmed it. That would
Speaker 2: make sense because that is where he's from. He is
Speaker 2: from that Upper West coast I believe in And Yeah, Northwest,
Speaker 2: So that would make a lot of sense if that
Speaker 2: is true, that is what they are saying. I am
Speaker 2: not seeing it as I don't have time to be
Speaker 2: I'm scrolling on.
Speaker 1: I don't have time for this. I've got mustache wax
Speaker 1: to put in my my mustache. I have too many
Speaker 1: things going on.
Speaker 2: Well, I'm trying. I'm trying. We were at the end
Speaker 2: of the show, so I can't but if it is,
Speaker 2: that would be Adly and the Pacific Northwest. We did
Speaker 2: a great job, Joe. We did a great job with mustaches.
Speaker 2: I think these are pretty good looks. There's gonna be
Speaker 2: some great screenshots out of this.
Speaker 1: I like.
Speaker 2: And I like that everybody created all the different characters
Speaker 2: we had. I mean, remember that trading cards that I
Speaker 2: was talking about. We had like thirteen new characters out
Speaker 2: of these mustaches here. And my favorite for me, I
Speaker 2: think was the I'm my own evil twin and yours
Speaker 2: was you are truly Joey x Plug.
Speaker 1: This is Joe Joey x Plug is definitely a yeah,
Speaker 1: you definitely can't trust me at all. I like when
Speaker 1: I wear the hat and the glasses though, and I
Speaker 1: look defensive. Coordinator nineteen eighty seven. Before I get on,
Speaker 1: I had a background. NFL Network was on. They were
Speaker 1: showing like the Washington you know, nineteen eighty seven Super
Speaker 1: Bowl run or whatever it was, and I'm looking at
Speaker 1: those guys. I'm like, man, I kind of look like
Speaker 1: one of those guys. I'm not quite one of the
Speaker 1: hogs of the offensive lineman, but I definitely look at
Speaker 1: one of the coaches.
Speaker 2: Let's see it.
Speaker 1: Let's see it. The show. One more on the way out. Look,
Speaker 1: have a happy July fourth. Everybody have fun, go out there,
Speaker 1: do some good things. Here we go, pull the head
Speaker 1: down a little bit and look out there. I want
Speaker 1: you guys have fun on July fourth. You get out there,
Speaker 1: you celebrate America, you enjoy the day off, and you
Speaker 1: come back for more baseball on Wednesday. All right, everybody,
Speaker 1: thanks again. Everybody's for supporting, leading off, supporting Fantasy Bros MLB.
Speaker 1: If you haven't already subscribed to the channel, you're the best,
Speaker 1: We love you. That'll do it for us. But the
Speaker 1: story of the game goes on for the Welsh. I'm
Speaker 1: a defensive coordinator. Joey x plug. We'll see you next time.
Speaker 1: Gets see you later. It's up bears ridicular,