WEBVTT - Day Three, Part One from the Milken Global Conference

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Wait inside from the reporters and

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<v Speaker 1>editors who bring you America's most trusted business magazine, plus

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<v Speaker 1>global business, finance and tech news. The Bloomberg Business Week

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<v Speaker 1>Podcast with Carol Messer and Tim Stenebeck from Bloomberg Radio.

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<v Speaker 2>Yes, indeed, everybody, we are finishing up one more day

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<v Speaker 2>and some more wonderful interviews Carol Masser here at the

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<v Speaker 2>Milkin Institute Global Conference, and of course, as you know

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<v Speaker 2>on YouTube and on our Bloomberg original streaming service. I

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<v Speaker 2>have to say in a special edition of the BW Daily,

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<v Speaker 2>some reporting by our team Cat Doherty and Alison McNeely,

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<v Speaker 2>they noted the glum mood among the financial elite at

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<v Speaker 2>the Milkin Institute conference here hasn't been limited to bankers.

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<v Speaker 2>They talked about the lousy environment for private equity fundraising,

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<v Speaker 2>but as our next guest will tell you, they were

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<v Speaker 2>actually putting the finishing touches on a capital raise while

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<v Speaker 2>at Milkin. So we're going to get into it with

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<v Speaker 2>us on site here at Milkin is one of the

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<v Speaker 2>co founders of the Private from Red Arts Capital, Nick

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<v Speaker 2>and Twan, and he joins us. Welcome, Welcome, great to

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<v Speaker 2>be here.

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<v Speaker 3>Thanks for having me.

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<v Speaker 2>It's great to have you here. I want to get

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<v Speaker 2>to the capital raise in just a moment. But the

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<v Speaker 2>stresses that we are seeing in the banking community, the

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<v Speaker 2>regional banks, what impact are you feeling at all when

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<v Speaker 2>it comes to I don't know your world in general,

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<v Speaker 2>or people maybe coming to you where they can't get

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<v Speaker 2>funding elsewhere.

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<v Speaker 3>Sure.

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<v Speaker 4>Well, I think it's stratified between size of business. So

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<v Speaker 4>our firm focuses on middle market companies, so some of

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<v Speaker 4>those businesses might be more impacted than others. Fortunately, our

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<v Speaker 4>portfolio has not been impacted in today.

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<v Speaker 2>You haven't seen any impact, Okay, So tell me about

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<v Speaker 2>this fundraise. You guys just wrapped up what fundraising from

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<v Speaker 2>about two hundred and seventy million for the debut of

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<v Speaker 2>your private equity fund. Tell me about it.

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<v Speaker 3>Yes, and it was oversubscribed right, Yes, our target was

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<v Speaker 3>two twenty five So yeah.

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<v Speaker 4>We're sector focused on investing in the supply chain and logistics,

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<v Speaker 4>and we believe deeply in sector expertise.

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<v Speaker 3>So I think that was part of.

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<v Speaker 4>The hitch was this is the right time to be

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<v Speaker 4>investing in supply chain given all the challenges we saw

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<v Speaker 4>during COVID.

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<v Speaker 2>Because of the unshoring that's going on somewhat of the

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<v Speaker 2>as I have some of the conversations I've hit here

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<v Speaker 2>at milk and it's not that globalization is it's just

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<v Speaker 2>moving around. Maybe it's gonna be different markets, but there

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<v Speaker 2>is more onshoing going on.

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<v Speaker 3>This is absolutely true.

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<v Speaker 4>I think you're seeing it across the board, big Fortune,

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<v Speaker 4>five hundreds and smaller businesses. I think people have learned

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<v Speaker 4>even though supply chain challenges have diminished somewhat here in

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<v Speaker 4>this country, people have learned that there needs to be

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<v Speaker 4>additions to the supply chain strategy so there isn't one

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<v Speaker 4>point of failure.

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<v Speaker 3>In the future.

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<v Speaker 2>What kind of companies in particular, I know trucking is

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<v Speaker 2>among some of the companies that you guys have been

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<v Speaker 2>involved in. What particularly is coming before you?

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, so we're spending a lot of time looking at warehousing.

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<v Speaker 4>I think that's a trend regardless what's going on in

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<v Speaker 4>terms of onshoing or near shoring.

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<v Speaker 2>Is the actual actual buildings.

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<v Speaker 3>Or that's correct.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, the businesses that operate within warehousing facilit We are

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<v Speaker 4>particularly focused on investing right now in transloading.

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<v Speaker 3>Or rail related services around warehousing.

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<v Speaker 4>So moving big heavy bulky loads, and we're also focused

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<v Speaker 4>on contract packaging. We have a business called Courgistics that

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<v Speaker 4>is invested in They're a large contract packager focused on

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<v Speaker 4>consumer brands as well as industrial brands.

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<v Speaker 3>When we're spending a lot of time in aerospace and defense.

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<v Speaker 2>As well, what specifically there I was curious about that.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, so we like manufacturers of parts and components that

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<v Speaker 4>go into engines, maintenance repair of those engines.

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<v Speaker 3>Obviously, commercial airlines were heavily.

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<v Speaker 4>Impacted by COVID, but there's a major ramp up and

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<v Speaker 4>an unfortunately because a lot of the uncertainty globally, there's

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<v Speaker 4>also a high demand for defense related aerospace services.

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<v Speaker 2>So it's actually the supply chains of the things that

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<v Speaker 2>are moving things around, That's correct. Like you can break

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<v Speaker 2>it down so many different ways. What are the valuations

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<v Speaker 2>on things? I mean, have they come down a bit

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<v Speaker 2>in terms of when you're you know.

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<v Speaker 4>Well, I think that goes back to the size of

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<v Speaker 4>businesses as we discussed before. Or I also think that

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<v Speaker 4>there is a bit of a gap or a delta

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<v Speaker 4>between what the sellers are expecting and what buyers are

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<v Speaker 4>willing to pay for businesses, and some of that has

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<v Speaker 4>to do with you know, leverage capacity and what lenders

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<v Speaker 4>are willing.

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<v Speaker 2>To do in favor of the buyers. Are the sellers.

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<v Speaker 3>I think it's been well.

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<v Speaker 4>I think it's sellers expectations might be a little bit

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<v Speaker 4>higher than what what buyers are willing to pay, and

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<v Speaker 4>you see that probably more likely.

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<v Speaker 3>In the higher ends.

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<v Speaker 4>Of the market than the lower ends of the market. Right,

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<v Speaker 4>But in our space, I think there's plenty of opportunities still,

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<v Speaker 4>particularly because we're so focused.

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<v Speaker 2>Nick, I'm wondering. I mean, I love that you play

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<v Speaker 2>in the middle market space. I mean, I feel like

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<v Speaker 2>we often talk about the big, you know, publicly traded companies,

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<v Speaker 2>but there's so many companies in the middle market space,

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<v Speaker 2>and it's one of the areas I think that we're

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<v Speaker 2>concerned about not being able to get the financing they

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<v Speaker 2>need or the funding that they need. Based on the

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<v Speaker 2>activity that you're seeing in the companies that you're seeing,

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<v Speaker 2>what does it tell you about the economic outlook?

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, I think it's mixed.

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<v Speaker 5>Right.

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<v Speaker 4>In some parts of the economy, things are very strong.

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<v Speaker 4>If we touched on in aerospace and defense industries are

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<v Speaker 4>booming and others for instance and trucking, where we do

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<v Speaker 4>not have any investments currently. Freight rates have been significantly impacted,

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<v Speaker 4>and now that's again off of a kind of an

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<v Speaker 4>all time hide during COVID. But I think there are

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<v Speaker 4>some woves and that does create opportunities for investment, particularly

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<v Speaker 4>if companies or families are looking to exit or have

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<v Speaker 4>liquidity challenges.

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<v Speaker 2>Because a lot of times there are family owned businesses

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<v Speaker 2>right in that space. Having said that, what are the

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<v Speaker 2>exits for you guys? What's your time frame of holding?

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<v Speaker 2>Is it typical private equity or is it maybe a

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<v Speaker 2>sell to a company or something much more quickly.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, so we are a typical private equity firm. I

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<v Speaker 4>think what perhaps might be a little bit different. I

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<v Speaker 4>think this is the trend that we're seeing in private

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<v Speaker 4>dect BEE in general, is it's so hard to find the.

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<v Speaker 3>Right business, the right culture, the right people.

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<v Speaker 4>So when you find that the idea of having to

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<v Speaker 4>flip things right away, it can be challenging. So I

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<v Speaker 4>think what part of our thematic related investment work is

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<v Speaker 4>to find businesses where we understand what the strategy is.

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<v Speaker 3>To grow a bit business before we get involved.

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<v Speaker 4>And so what we tell sellers and families is that

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<v Speaker 4>if the strategy is to grow over a longer period

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<v Speaker 4>of time.

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<v Speaker 3>We can help provide the solutions to do that.

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<v Speaker 4>If it's really just they're looking for the liquidity and

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<v Speaker 4>they're looking for stewardship for the business for the future,

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<v Speaker 4>that's a different strategy as well.

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<v Speaker 2>Listen, we only have unfortunately thirty forty seconds you're black

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<v Speaker 2>owned private equity firm. It's a rarity. Yes, I know,

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<v Speaker 2>it is unfortunate, and these are some things I'm going

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<v Speaker 2>to talk about with John O'Bryant in a little bit.

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<v Speaker 2>But I am curious, does it also maybe help you

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<v Speaker 2>in the middle market space to some extent are not

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<v Speaker 2>necessarily is it? Does it help you or is it sometimes?

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<v Speaker 4>Why I think diversity is good for business, not just

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<v Speaker 4>the right thing to do, it's good for business. The

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<v Speaker 4>diversity of thought is incredibly powerful competitive advantage. We don't

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<v Speaker 4>market to our firms that we're black owned. We market

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<v Speaker 4>that we're experts in our space. But it's something that

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<v Speaker 4>we consider and then for instance, today our firm is

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<v Speaker 4>about fifty percent women.

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<v Speaker 2>I love that. I saw that.

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<v Speaker 3>It is also a rarety improvidence.

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<v Speaker 2>So diversity with internally as well.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, you got to you got to walk the walk.

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<v Speaker 2>Right, and it brings you also diverse thinking, diverse right

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<v Speaker 2>in terms of investments.

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<v Speaker 3>That's great.

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<v Speaker 2>Thank you so much. I hope we can stay in touch,

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<v Speaker 2>love to hear more as you guys are making investments

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<v Speaker 2>and where you're going. Logistics is always a fun space

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<v Speaker 2>in terms of what it tells us. Nick Antwine of

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<v Speaker 2>Red Arts Capital. Right here at Milkin, Folks, you are

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<v Speaker 2>listening and watching Bloomberg BusinessWeek. This is Bloomberg.

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<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Business Week podcast. Catch us

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<v Speaker 1>live weekday afternoons from three to six Eastern Listen on

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg dot com, the iHeartRadio app, and the Bloomberg Business app,

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<v Speaker 1>or watch us live on YouTube.

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<v Speaker 2>Carol Master live at the Milken Institute Global Conference. And

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<v Speaker 2>I want to get to our guests because every time

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<v Speaker 2>I speak with him, spend some time with him, he

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<v Speaker 2>always inspires. He reminds us that will take work and

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<v Speaker 2>conscious decisions to bring about a more equality and equitable world.

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<v Speaker 2>So with us as the chairman and CEO of the

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<v Speaker 2>nonprofit in Financial Literacy and Economic Conclusion, Operation Hope, He's

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<v Speaker 2>involved in so much to close the gap. He's also

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<v Speaker 2>a vice chair of former President Bush's Council on Financial Literacy.

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<v Speaker 2>I mean, you've worked with President Obama Council on financial capability.

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<v Speaker 2>You've done so much of You're hands in so much

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<v Speaker 2>financial literacy. You're thinking about, you know, housing access, what's

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<v Speaker 2>top of mind as you had I'm sure a million

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<v Speaker 2>conversations here at milkon and have we gotten better in

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<v Speaker 2>terms of equity?

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<v Speaker 5>We've gotten better. The world's gotten worse.

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<v Speaker 2>Well that doesn't feel good.

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<v Speaker 5>Yeah, Well, the world's in turmoil now, so it's hard

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<v Speaker 5>to find stable ground to sit. Good ideas. We've got

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<v Speaker 5>more good ideas, we've got more proven ideas. Me yesterday,

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<v Speaker 5>Fast Company announced that we were the World Changing We

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<v Speaker 5>won this World Changing Ideas Award. In a more stable time,

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<v Speaker 5>that would have been the shot the news that sort

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<v Speaker 5>of rang around the world and have been rallying around that.

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<v Speaker 5>You know, in this environment, you're an active shooter in Atlanta.

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<v Speaker 5>You've got a bank going bus, you gotta you got

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<v Speaker 5>a stalemate in Washington, d C. On the debt crisis.

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<v Speaker 5>You've got so there's so many things distracting people. The

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<v Speaker 5>urgent is crowding out the important.

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<v Speaker 2>And yet you are getting stuff done.

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<v Speaker 5>John, Yet we're still getting stuff done. I'll just punched

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<v Speaker 5>right through it, you know, over and around it, through it.

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<v Speaker 5>I go to it, and rainbow's only follows.

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<v Speaker 3>Storms.

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<v Speaker 5>Cannot have a rainbow without a storm first. I don't

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<v Speaker 5>mind a good fight. I don't mind having to punch

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<v Speaker 5>through the rhetoric with substance. I've been doing that my

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<v Speaker 5>whole life, and we have a lot of substance now.

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<v Speaker 5>And look we're here. I'm here talking to you. I'm

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<v Speaker 5>not being pushed to the I'm not sorry. I'm not

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<v Speaker 5>at the edges of the conversation. I'm often at the

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<v Speaker 5>center of a conversation, right That's where I've wanted to be.

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<v Speaker 5>That's where the issue needs to be. We're just there

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<v Speaker 5>in a very chaotic, crazy times. I think that we're

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<v Speaker 5>sitting in a moment in history right now, Carol. The

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<v Speaker 5>history does not feel historic when you're sitting in it.

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<v Speaker 5>It just feels like another day. But I think that

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<v Speaker 5>what happens between now and twenty thirty, between the pandemic

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<v Speaker 5>and George Floyd's murder and the attack on our capital

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<v Speaker 5>which reset everything, and the end of twenty thirty, is

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<v Speaker 5>what I call the third reconstruction and this next ten

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<v Speaker 5>this ten year period will decide the quality of life

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<v Speaker 5>for the next one hundred years. So I don't mind

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<v Speaker 5>being exhausted, worn out from work from cancy in the

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<v Speaker 5>morning and can't see at night. I think it's relevant.

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<v Speaker 5>I think it matters what I'm saying, what you're doing matters.

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<v Speaker 5>You cannot have a movement without the media. Doctor King

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<v Speaker 5>never would have had a movement if it wasn't for

0:10:08.679 --> 0:10:14.160
<v Speaker 5>the media being amplifying his good message. So I think

0:10:14.200 --> 0:10:14.960
<v Speaker 5>that all this.

0:10:14.920 --> 0:10:17.160
<v Speaker 2>Is Oh, I appreciate that. I mean, it's not perfect.

0:10:17.240 --> 0:10:17.960
<v Speaker 3>If we know that.

0:10:18.800 --> 0:10:21.640
<v Speaker 2>I want to ask about your partnership that you've had

0:10:21.640 --> 0:10:23.200
<v Speaker 2>with Fulton Bank. Talk to me a little bit about

0:10:23.520 --> 0:10:25.640
<v Speaker 2>I feel like you know you and I've talked about

0:10:25.640 --> 0:10:29.080
<v Speaker 2>this a lot of folks. There's lots of conversations. You

0:10:29.120 --> 0:10:31.240
<v Speaker 2>actually take those conversations and put it into action. So

0:10:31.280 --> 0:10:32.000
<v Speaker 2>tell us about this.

0:10:32.080 --> 0:10:37.680
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, PhDs are good, pH d's are better. So the

0:10:37.800 --> 0:10:40.880
<v Speaker 5>one thing I love about this, And Fulton won't appreciate

0:10:40.920 --> 0:10:42.800
<v Speaker 5>the way I'm going to characterize this, but I think

0:10:42.840 --> 0:10:48.680
<v Speaker 5>it's an important characterization. A relatively small sized bank in

0:10:49.000 --> 0:10:54.400
<v Speaker 5>Pennsylvania small by banking standards, not small by bank their standards.

0:10:54.559 --> 0:10:56.520
<v Speaker 5>It's actually a big bank by their standars. Fulton Bank

0:10:56.559 --> 0:10:59.640
<v Speaker 5>is this great institution in Pennsylvania doing great work, but

0:10:59.640 --> 0:11:03.720
<v Speaker 5>they're not household name. This relatively small market cap bank

0:11:03.800 --> 0:11:06.880
<v Speaker 5>based on the banks we hear on TV or in

0:11:07.040 --> 0:11:11.920
<v Speaker 5>Bloomberg all the time. Did a billion dollars in mortgage

0:11:11.920 --> 0:11:16.680
<v Speaker 5>creation for African American not just minority, not women, not

0:11:16.840 --> 0:11:22.200
<v Speaker 5>some super group of underserved, just African Americans. A billion

0:11:22.280 --> 0:11:25.800
<v Speaker 5>dollars through Operation Hope in our Hope and sides, proving

0:11:25.840 --> 0:11:27.560
<v Speaker 5>that you can do well and do good, proving that

0:11:27.600 --> 0:11:29.920
<v Speaker 5>you can move the needle on forty one percent of

0:11:29.960 --> 0:11:32.760
<v Speaker 5>af Americans who own a home, and when seventy five

0:11:32.760 --> 0:11:34.920
<v Speaker 5>percent of Whites own a home, that delta thirty percent

0:11:35.040 --> 0:11:38.160
<v Speaker 5>is the loss of wealth creation, the loss of tax base,

0:11:38.240 --> 0:11:41.520
<v Speaker 5>the loss of our opportunity lasts. So the fact that one

0:11:41.559 --> 0:11:44.840
<v Speaker 5>bank that is not yet a household name, they mean

0:11:44.840 --> 0:11:47.040
<v Speaker 5>they will be after this interview, right, did a billion

0:11:47.120 --> 0:11:51.720
<v Speaker 5>dollars of credible, well underwritten structured home ownership. Tying it

0:11:51.760 --> 0:11:54.160
<v Speaker 5>to our coaching work at Hope Inside, where we got

0:11:54.160 --> 0:11:58.199
<v Speaker 5>credit scores up, debt down, savings up. Some people could qualify.

0:11:58.280 --> 0:12:00.560
<v Speaker 5>So did it in a safest down basis. We just

0:12:00.600 --> 0:12:03.680
<v Speaker 5>did the hard work together. A billion dollars. That's a

0:12:03.720 --> 0:12:04.240
<v Speaker 5>real number.

0:12:04.400 --> 0:12:06.840
<v Speaker 2>What's interesting is right, it was for people who qualified,

0:12:06.840 --> 0:12:08.920
<v Speaker 2>and you talked about getting the credit scores up. I

0:12:08.960 --> 0:12:12.319
<v Speaker 2>mean these are people that you guys have worked with, right,

0:12:12.800 --> 0:12:13.960
<v Speaker 2>who wanted to be homeowners?

0:12:14.000 --> 0:12:14.120
<v Speaker 5>Yes?

0:12:14.320 --> 0:12:15.400
<v Speaker 2>And what did they have to do?

0:12:15.559 --> 0:12:15.800
<v Speaker 5>Yes?

0:12:15.800 --> 0:12:18.120
<v Speaker 2>And you educated them yes, and then they did the work.

0:12:18.240 --> 0:12:21.760
<v Speaker 5>So we're getting the bank out of the no business

0:12:22.559 --> 0:12:25.880
<v Speaker 5>and back into the yes business by working with and

0:12:25.960 --> 0:12:28.760
<v Speaker 5>I want to again a command Fulton Bank in their leadership,

0:12:28.800 --> 0:12:32.080
<v Speaker 5>their chairman, see, I command wells Fargo, I command well

0:12:32.080 --> 0:12:33.800
<v Speaker 5>as far as ordered a hundred of our hope in

0:12:33.840 --> 0:12:36.960
<v Speaker 5>side locations plus. That's not charity, that's business. Bank of

0:12:36.960 --> 0:12:38.640
<v Speaker 5>America's ordered one hundred plus.

0:12:38.400 --> 0:12:40.680
<v Speaker 2>Locations true outside the bank.

0:12:40.559 --> 0:12:43.720
<v Speaker 5>Inside the bank. We're the only nonprofit in US history

0:12:43.720 --> 0:12:46.480
<v Speaker 5>allowed to operate inside of a bank branch. Truist once

0:12:46.559 --> 0:12:48.400
<v Speaker 5>has been half of their bank branches. They have two

0:12:48.400 --> 0:12:52.040
<v Speaker 5>thousand branches. You're talking about changing banking itself. But back

0:12:52.040 --> 0:12:54.839
<v Speaker 5>to this example of Fulton. So we go into the

0:12:54.880 --> 0:12:57.480
<v Speaker 5>bank branch and we can do what the banker can't

0:12:57.480 --> 0:13:01.319
<v Speaker 5>do we can actually ask the personal direct question, missus Jones. Yes,

0:13:02.360 --> 0:13:04.840
<v Speaker 5>let's look at your credit report. This is like a

0:13:04.840 --> 0:13:07.800
<v Speaker 5>bus accident. And we both have a nice laugh because

0:13:07.800 --> 0:13:11.360
<v Speaker 5>miss Jones knows that she knows her history. Yeah, I

0:13:11.400 --> 0:13:13.319
<v Speaker 5>haven't looked at my credit at score in a while. Okay,

0:13:13.320 --> 0:13:16.160
<v Speaker 5>what's that? I don't know, John, what that's called an error? Okay?

0:13:16.360 --> 0:13:19.840
<v Speaker 5>The law states that if the credit bureaus, three of

0:13:19.840 --> 0:13:22.800
<v Speaker 5>them can't confirm that that's yours, they must remove it.

0:13:23.120 --> 0:13:24.760
<v Speaker 5>How about we write a letter to the credit bureaus

0:13:24.800 --> 0:13:27.600
<v Speaker 5>together and challenge them. Yes, we write that letter together.

0:13:27.720 --> 0:13:31.040
<v Speaker 5>What's banking a trust business? It's about belief, It's about confidence.

0:13:31.200 --> 0:13:33.120
<v Speaker 5>Credit comes to the work the Latin word credit od

0:13:33.120 --> 0:13:36.720
<v Speaker 5>which is credibility capital from the Latin word capitas knowledge

0:13:36.720 --> 0:13:38.080
<v Speaker 5>in the head. Now that this is about money, it's

0:13:38.080 --> 0:13:40.920
<v Speaker 5>about how you feel. So we get the letter to

0:13:40.960 --> 0:13:43.400
<v Speaker 5>the credit bureaus. They can't confirm that it's hers. They

0:13:43.440 --> 0:13:45.960
<v Speaker 5>are removing it. In thirty days, her credit score pops

0:13:46.000 --> 0:13:48.920
<v Speaker 5>thirty points. So now you go, yes, so now you

0:13:48.960 --> 0:13:52.840
<v Speaker 5>go from five ninety to six twenty. Well, what happens

0:13:52.840 --> 0:13:55.680
<v Speaker 5>to listen to her? To missus Jones self, esteem. It

0:13:55.760 --> 0:13:58.880
<v Speaker 5>goes up her belief in the financial system, her trust,

0:13:59.160 --> 0:14:02.000
<v Speaker 5>her confidence, her sense of independence. So she now she's

0:14:02.000 --> 0:14:05.480
<v Speaker 5>sitting going okay, what else can we do? So then

0:14:05.520 --> 0:14:08.880
<v Speaker 5>we tackle the charge off on her credit bureau. Well,

0:14:09.000 --> 0:14:11.840
<v Speaker 5>that is hers. She was divorced ten years ago. It

0:14:11.880 --> 0:14:14.840
<v Speaker 5>was a thousand dollars phone bill or balloons, one thousand dollars.

0:14:15.000 --> 0:14:17.680
<v Speaker 5>They chased her, couldn't find her. That was sold to

0:14:17.760 --> 0:14:22.040
<v Speaker 5>a credit repair agency, a debt collection agency for five

0:14:22.080 --> 0:14:24.640
<v Speaker 5>cents on the dollar. We know that it's fifty bucks.

0:14:24.680 --> 0:14:26.560
<v Speaker 5>What do they want? They want one hundred percent profit.

0:14:26.680 --> 0:14:30.160
<v Speaker 5>They want one hundred bucks, Miss Jones. Let's call them together.

0:14:30.720 --> 0:14:33.000
<v Speaker 5>We have missus Jones here. We're looking for her. She's

0:14:33.040 --> 0:14:35.520
<v Speaker 5>looking for you. We want to pay our debt. We

0:14:35.560 --> 0:14:37.520
<v Speaker 5>want a hundred bucks. No, we're gonna pay you two

0:14:37.600 --> 0:14:41.480
<v Speaker 5>hundred bucks. Why because we want your absolute attention to

0:14:41.520 --> 0:14:43.880
<v Speaker 5>take this off her credit report after she's satisized to

0:14:43.880 --> 0:14:45.320
<v Speaker 5>fix it. And then when it shows back up on

0:14:45.400 --> 0:14:47.560
<v Speaker 5>her credit report because it's been there ten years, we're

0:14:47.560 --> 0:14:49.160
<v Speaker 5>got to write another letter to the credit burias and

0:14:49.200 --> 0:14:50.720
<v Speaker 5>get it off again. They get it, They get a

0:14:50.720 --> 0:14:53.800
<v Speaker 5>two hundred percent profit. She got an eighty percent discount.

0:14:53.880 --> 0:14:56.160
<v Speaker 5>Fair exchange is no robbery. Her credit score goes up

0:14:56.200 --> 0:14:59.160
<v Speaker 5>another twenty thirty forty points. So now she's an example.

0:14:59.240 --> 0:15:01.240
<v Speaker 5>And she said, let's just say six fifty six sixty,

0:15:01.560 --> 0:15:03.840
<v Speaker 5>she's now in striking distance of a six to eighty

0:15:03.920 --> 0:15:06.720
<v Speaker 5>prime rate mortgage. We work on our budget, we work

0:15:06.720 --> 0:15:08.720
<v Speaker 5>on a few other things, and all of a sudden,

0:15:08.840 --> 0:15:10.359
<v Speaker 5>she's a shiny pinny.

0:15:10.280 --> 0:15:12.480
<v Speaker 2>John, I am like, it is amazing what you do.

0:15:12.520 --> 0:15:14.760
<v Speaker 2>And the thing is, you are all about financial literacy.

0:15:14.800 --> 0:15:15.880
<v Speaker 2>And I think you and I've talked about it. I

0:15:15.920 --> 0:15:18.880
<v Speaker 2>wish kids were starting from kindergarten that they learned about it.

0:15:18.920 --> 0:15:21.080
<v Speaker 2>You work on it from middle school through college.

0:15:21.160 --> 0:15:23.720
<v Speaker 5>Right now, now kindergarten, by the way you are doing

0:15:23.920 --> 0:15:26.800
<v Speaker 5>we're doing kids accounts in kindergarten and Atlanta public schools.

0:15:26.800 --> 0:15:28.960
<v Speaker 2>I mean, and you're working with employee. I mean, you're

0:15:29.000 --> 0:15:33.680
<v Speaker 2>making a difference. Right, people are really learning about the

0:15:33.720 --> 0:15:36.280
<v Speaker 2>financial system and understanding how they can make it work

0:15:36.320 --> 0:15:36.640
<v Speaker 2>for them.

0:15:36.720 --> 0:15:36.960
<v Speaker 3>Yeah.

0:15:37.000 --> 0:15:39.960
<v Speaker 5>So now we've told major employers, so Doug McMillan and

0:15:40.000 --> 0:15:42.600
<v Speaker 5>the CEO of Walmart not co sharing financial literacy for all.

0:15:42.800 --> 0:15:45.120
<v Speaker 5>Our mission is again eighty percent of the fortune five

0:15:45.160 --> 0:15:47.800
<v Speaker 5>hundred to embed financial literacy into their business plan. So

0:15:47.840 --> 0:15:50.080
<v Speaker 5>this is not public affairs or community affairs. This is

0:15:50.080 --> 0:15:52.720
<v Speaker 5>a serious business. We say, this is what healthcare was

0:15:52.760 --> 0:15:55.880
<v Speaker 5>forty or fifty years ago, financial well being inside the workplace.

0:15:56.080 --> 0:15:58.800
<v Speaker 5>So then Delta CEO comes to us and says, this

0:15:58.840 --> 0:16:00.800
<v Speaker 5>is something relevant to our people. There are folks who

0:16:00.800 --> 0:16:03.280
<v Speaker 5>said this is important. We'll give a thousand dollars, sorry,

0:16:03.400 --> 0:16:06.520
<v Speaker 5>invest one thousand dollars to every one of our workers

0:16:06.520 --> 0:16:09.440
<v Speaker 5>who go through financial coaching for an emergency savings account.

0:16:09.520 --> 0:16:12.200
<v Speaker 5>Because sixty four percent of Americans, Carol, don't have four

0:16:12.240 --> 0:16:14.840
<v Speaker 5>hundred dollars for an unplanned event that affects their ability

0:16:14.880 --> 0:16:17.640
<v Speaker 5>to focus on the job, their ability. They're stressed out

0:16:17.640 --> 0:16:20.160
<v Speaker 5>on the job, they're not paying attention. So he's like,

0:16:20.200 --> 0:16:23.040
<v Speaker 5>I want there, I want all share of mind. I

0:16:23.080 --> 0:16:26.520
<v Speaker 5>don't want them stressed out. He achieved a year's worth

0:16:26.560 --> 0:16:29.000
<v Speaker 5>of financial well being coaching targets in two months with

0:16:29.080 --> 0:16:32.400
<v Speaker 5>this program. So he had ninety thousand employees at Delta,

0:16:32.760 --> 0:16:34.920
<v Speaker 5>and I can't go through an airport now without two

0:16:34.960 --> 0:16:37.480
<v Speaker 5>things happening. A Delta employee is saying, I got my

0:16:37.560 --> 0:16:40.160
<v Speaker 5>thousand dollars or I'm in my coaching sessions right now.

0:16:40.200 --> 0:16:42.960
<v Speaker 5>Thank you or the TSA agents screaming out the credit

0:16:43.000 --> 0:16:43.520
<v Speaker 5>score to me.

0:16:44.640 --> 0:16:47.880
<v Speaker 2>But how great is that? Listen? Fifteen seconds left. Final

0:16:47.920 --> 0:16:49.560
<v Speaker 2>thought to anybody who's listening.

0:16:49.680 --> 0:16:51.040
<v Speaker 5>You can be the change we want to see in

0:16:51.040 --> 0:16:54.320
<v Speaker 5>the world. Figure out how you can help call Operation Hope. Volunteer,

0:16:54.440 --> 0:16:56.800
<v Speaker 5>become a member, become a donor become a partner. This

0:16:56.960 --> 0:16:59.360
<v Speaker 5>is this is about making free enterprise work for all

0:16:59.400 --> 0:17:01.680
<v Speaker 5>of God's show. This is silver rights. This is not

0:17:01.720 --> 0:17:04.720
<v Speaker 5>about red or blue race. I mean politics are black

0:17:04.800 --> 0:17:08.560
<v Speaker 5>or white. It's about green economics, more of it for all, GDP,

0:17:08.720 --> 0:17:11.800
<v Speaker 5>for America, and truly by getting more people in the game.

0:17:12.080 --> 0:17:14.560
<v Speaker 2>I love it, make so much sense.

0:17:14.640 --> 0:17:16.560
<v Speaker 5>Love all you guys, Appreciate you. We want you at

0:17:16.560 --> 0:17:17.399
<v Speaker 5>our whole global form.

0:17:17.400 --> 0:17:19.320
<v Speaker 3>By the way, all right, John O'Brien, you're special.

0:17:19.760 --> 0:17:24.359
<v Speaker 1>You're a special You're listening to the Bloomberg Business Week Podcast.

0:17:24.600 --> 0:17:27.680
<v Speaker 1>Catch us live weekday afternoons from three to six Easter

0:17:27.960 --> 0:17:31.720
<v Speaker 1>on Bloomberg Radio, the Bloomberg Business App, and YouTube. You

0:17:31.760 --> 0:17:35.040
<v Speaker 1>can also listen live on Amazon Alexa from our flagship

0:17:35.080 --> 0:17:39.000
<v Speaker 1>New York station Just Say Alexa, playing Bloomberg eleven thirty,

0:17:40.840 --> 0:17:41.680
<v Speaker 1>and I want to get right.

0:17:41.560 --> 0:17:43.359
<v Speaker 2>To our next guest. He's the co founder of the

0:17:43.359 --> 0:17:47.479
<v Speaker 2>French asset manager TKO Capital. They've got over fifteen billion

0:17:48.000 --> 0:17:51.879
<v Speaker 2>US in assets under management. We welcome Matthew Chabron. He

0:17:51.960 --> 0:17:53.600
<v Speaker 2>is here with us on site, so nice to have

0:17:53.640 --> 0:17:54.199
<v Speaker 2>you here with us.

0:17:54.240 --> 0:17:55.240
<v Speaker 6>Thanks for cool.

0:17:56.119 --> 0:17:59.160
<v Speaker 2>Let's start with the FED policy. You know, we're talking

0:17:59.200 --> 0:18:01.040
<v Speaker 2>to interest rates. I feel like, you know, we really

0:18:01.040 --> 0:18:03.600
<v Speaker 2>need to do global interest rates because banks globally are

0:18:03.680 --> 0:18:07.159
<v Speaker 2>on fighting inflation. How does that impact you in your thinking?

0:18:07.840 --> 0:18:10.399
<v Speaker 6>Well, I think the first message is, you know, the

0:18:10.520 --> 0:18:14.760
<v Speaker 6>confirming that liquidity will have a cost for longer. And

0:18:14.800 --> 0:18:16.919
<v Speaker 6>that was not the case obviously for the past ten years.

0:18:17.359 --> 0:18:20.720
<v Speaker 6>And had we had this discussion a year ago, I

0:18:20.720 --> 0:18:22.159
<v Speaker 6>think I was saying that we were coming out of

0:18:22.200 --> 0:18:25.080
<v Speaker 6>the model of all a p howur you know, And

0:18:25.200 --> 0:18:28.160
<v Speaker 6>right now they're telling us effectively, the ball might remain closed,

0:18:28.200 --> 0:18:29.760
<v Speaker 6>you know, for a little bit longer. So get used

0:18:29.760 --> 0:18:31.840
<v Speaker 6>to it. Get used to it, you know, in the

0:18:31.880 --> 0:18:37.080
<v Speaker 6>cost of liquidity, in the cost of credit. Maybe we'll

0:18:37.080 --> 0:18:39.399
<v Speaker 6>touch base on that, but you know, now, you know,

0:18:39.440 --> 0:18:41.720
<v Speaker 6>what was maybe a three percent cost of funding right

0:18:41.760 --> 0:18:44.560
<v Speaker 6>maybe close to eight or nine and guess what, you

0:18:44.600 --> 0:18:47.240
<v Speaker 6>know what we learned at school when you know, interest

0:18:47.480 --> 0:18:50.359
<v Speaker 6>rate goes up as the prices go down. So it's

0:18:50.359 --> 0:18:52.919
<v Speaker 6>may be a bit simplistic, but that's an environment we're in.

0:18:53.000 --> 0:18:55.280
<v Speaker 2>But Matthew, it doesn't mean that deals don't get done

0:18:55.320 --> 0:18:57.600
<v Speaker 2>and things don't get done and investments don't get done,

0:18:57.640 --> 0:18:59.359
<v Speaker 2>right because it's not as high as it could be

0:18:59.440 --> 0:19:01.080
<v Speaker 2>and we've had in certain environments.

0:19:01.160 --> 0:19:04.840
<v Speaker 6>Yeah, so it's about you know, your underwriting assumptions, your

0:19:05.000 --> 0:19:08.240
<v Speaker 6>anti entry price. And I think there's still a little

0:19:08.240 --> 0:19:11.359
<v Speaker 6>bit of adjustments to be to be made. I think

0:19:11.400 --> 0:19:15.760
<v Speaker 6>we went Carol from let me phrase, I think that

0:19:15.840 --> 0:19:19.440
<v Speaker 6>there is a fine line between between comfort and complacency,

0:19:19.880 --> 0:19:21.680
<v Speaker 6>and I think that's that's where we are. It was

0:19:21.800 --> 0:19:25.600
<v Speaker 6>very comfortable to have this whole liquidity and now we're like, okay,

0:19:25.640 --> 0:19:29.640
<v Speaker 6>there's less liquidity, but let's pretend still a little bit.

0:19:30.240 --> 0:19:32.240
<v Speaker 6>And I think we should not pretend. We should readjust

0:19:32.320 --> 0:19:35.080
<v Speaker 6>you know, just do it already, right, I think so? Yeah,

0:19:35.080 --> 0:19:37.080
<v Speaker 6>I think so, And I think the private market law

0:19:37.200 --> 0:19:38.360
<v Speaker 6>that effectively.

0:19:38.520 --> 0:19:40.240
<v Speaker 2>Well so the value of credit. I know that was

0:19:40.240 --> 0:19:41.880
<v Speaker 2>something before we got go and you were talking about

0:19:41.880 --> 0:19:43.879
<v Speaker 2>talk to us a little bit about that. What that means, well,

0:19:43.960 --> 0:19:45.119
<v Speaker 2>it's what we need to think.

0:19:44.960 --> 0:19:50.920
<v Speaker 6>About who's providing credit, banks, capital markets, uh, private markets.

0:19:50.960 --> 0:19:53.159
<v Speaker 6>Now Here in the US we with the BDCs. In

0:19:53.160 --> 0:19:55.520
<v Speaker 6>many places of the world we don't have that. And

0:19:55.640 --> 0:19:58.840
<v Speaker 6>what about bank telling us that they're tightening credit. I

0:19:58.920 --> 0:20:01.760
<v Speaker 6>want you to elaborate on year of regional banks in a

0:20:01.800 --> 0:20:03.760
<v Speaker 6>situation here, but I can tell you in Europe, the

0:20:03.920 --> 0:20:06.760
<v Speaker 6>CB just came out with the report saying that crede

0:20:06.800 --> 0:20:11.080
<v Speaker 6>conditions are as worse as twenty eleven, which is right

0:20:11.119 --> 0:20:15.679
<v Speaker 6>after the GFC and the euro crisis. The capital market

0:20:15.800 --> 0:20:19.160
<v Speaker 6>are extremely selective. Not everyone can tap the captain market

0:20:19.240 --> 0:20:21.880
<v Speaker 6>if you're an SMP company or CAC forty or foot see,

0:20:22.240 --> 0:20:24.800
<v Speaker 6>it's okay. But an economy is not just made up

0:20:24.800 --> 0:20:26.520
<v Speaker 6>of all these companies, right so, and.

0:20:26.480 --> 0:20:29.600
<v Speaker 2>The backbone is often not absolutely.

0:20:29.000 --> 0:20:33.040
<v Speaker 6>In particular when it comes to employment and jobs, which

0:20:33.080 --> 0:20:37.200
<v Speaker 6>is you know what you know public policies are all

0:20:37.240 --> 0:20:40.760
<v Speaker 6>focusing on. So I think there is effectively this opportunity

0:20:40.920 --> 0:20:45.119
<v Speaker 6>for an alternative source of capital to step into this

0:20:46.359 --> 0:20:49.280
<v Speaker 6>what was the cyclical opportunity the pastenos I think it's

0:20:49.320 --> 0:20:51.159
<v Speaker 6>becoming a bit more structural.

0:20:51.040 --> 0:20:53.600
<v Speaker 2>So but when you see where capital flows are going

0:20:53.760 --> 0:20:57.080
<v Speaker 2>or who is demanding some of that private capital, where

0:20:57.119 --> 0:20:59.880
<v Speaker 2>is it so certain industries or is it just every

0:21:00.040 --> 0:21:01.560
<v Speaker 2>body in that kind of smaller space.

0:21:01.640 --> 0:21:04.320
<v Speaker 6>Now, I think it's it's a bit of everybody. So

0:21:04.359 --> 0:21:09.040
<v Speaker 6>if we who are the asset owners today's insurance company globally,

0:21:09.080 --> 0:21:11.400
<v Speaker 6>they've been operating in a very low interest rate environment.

0:21:11.480 --> 0:21:14.720
<v Speaker 6>They can relyfform that, so they're deperying capital there. Hear

0:21:14.800 --> 0:21:20.679
<v Speaker 6>in North America, public pension funds, endowments long term, you know,

0:21:20.880 --> 0:21:24.200
<v Speaker 6>asset owners, family offices. You know, a lot of family

0:21:24.200 --> 0:21:27.359
<v Speaker 6>offices are shifting you know, into this into this asset

0:21:27.359 --> 0:21:32.200
<v Speaker 6>class because effectively the public market cannot provide the recurring

0:21:32.320 --> 0:21:35.919
<v Speaker 6>income they may need, like an endowment of foundation. By

0:21:35.960 --> 0:21:38.880
<v Speaker 6>the way, so we're seeing all of the above. Obviously

0:21:38.920 --> 0:21:40.840
<v Speaker 6>here in North America. In the US were much more

0:21:40.880 --> 0:21:43.679
<v Speaker 6>advanced than you know, the part of the world. Asia was,

0:21:43.880 --> 0:21:46.800
<v Speaker 6>you know, Korea, Japan very well positioned on the market.

0:21:46.840 --> 0:21:49.480
<v Speaker 6>Europe was lacking, you know, by by far. So you know,

0:21:49.680 --> 0:21:51.480
<v Speaker 6>even if they move by five ten percent, it's a

0:21:51.480 --> 0:21:53.840
<v Speaker 6>lot of capital coming in. And I think it's a

0:21:53.880 --> 0:21:58.680
<v Speaker 6>good news to address the liquidity is shortage is enough.

0:21:58.520 --> 0:22:01.639
<v Speaker 2>To kind of keep the globe economy, the US economy,

0:22:01.880 --> 0:22:06.280
<v Speaker 2>European economy, from slowing down too much or hitting a recession,

0:22:06.600 --> 0:22:08.440
<v Speaker 2>which I feel like we debate constantly.

0:22:08.800 --> 0:22:12.920
<v Speaker 6>It's very interesting because very often we oppose recession and inflation.

0:22:13.280 --> 0:22:14.080
<v Speaker 3>In this debate.

0:22:14.720 --> 0:22:17.040
<v Speaker 6>We like to add the third dimension, which is liquidity.

0:22:17.800 --> 0:22:20.440
<v Speaker 6>And where does this liquidity contry is really valuable?

0:22:20.800 --> 0:22:21.399
<v Speaker 2>I think it is.

0:22:21.440 --> 0:22:25.000
<v Speaker 6>I mean, what again, going back to the banks, yeah, saga,

0:22:25.080 --> 0:22:27.280
<v Speaker 6>you know, the past few a few weeks, it's pure.

0:22:27.280 --> 0:22:28.639
<v Speaker 6>You know, how much are you giving me for the

0:22:28.640 --> 0:22:30.840
<v Speaker 6>money I gave you? And if I can find better elsewhere,

0:22:30.840 --> 0:22:32.639
<v Speaker 6>you know, I will go elsewhere. Right, you know, what

0:22:32.760 --> 0:22:34.160
<v Speaker 6>do I get in front of my deposit?

0:22:34.200 --> 0:22:34.320
<v Speaker 3>You know?

0:22:35.119 --> 0:22:37.879
<v Speaker 6>And so coming back to interest rate, you know, once again,

0:22:38.200 --> 0:22:43.280
<v Speaker 6>that's the environment where we're in. Part of the inventory

0:22:43.320 --> 0:22:46.680
<v Speaker 6>may be a little bit age or dated, defined as

0:22:46.720 --> 0:22:49.040
<v Speaker 6>it does not pay what it should pay in this market.

0:22:49.400 --> 0:22:51.560
<v Speaker 6>So let me allocate to this market. I think it's

0:22:51.560 --> 0:22:54.760
<v Speaker 6>relatively healthy. I'm not seeing some kind of systemic risk

0:22:54.920 --> 0:22:58.040
<v Speaker 6>you know, around that, But it's healthy because capital capital

0:22:58.080 --> 0:23:00.800
<v Speaker 6>flows and liquidity, you know, we'll have a much more

0:23:01.760 --> 0:23:03.440
<v Speaker 6>a much higher price than you had for the past

0:23:03.480 --> 0:23:04.159
<v Speaker 6>ten years, you know.

0:23:04.200 --> 0:23:06.840
<v Speaker 2>And I'm looking at a headline crossing the Bloomberg about

0:23:06.880 --> 0:23:09.840
<v Speaker 2>PacWest set to waigh strategic options, including a sale. So

0:23:09.880 --> 0:23:14.360
<v Speaker 2>we continue to see the stress in the US regional banks.

0:23:14.560 --> 0:23:17.440
<v Speaker 2>What you're saying is here's an option, right, and that

0:23:17.560 --> 0:23:20.520
<v Speaker 2>will keep potentially liquidity going and flowing.

0:23:20.520 --> 0:23:23.040
<v Speaker 6>At least four available, at least for the clients of

0:23:23.080 --> 0:23:25.119
<v Speaker 6>those banks who might not be there. You know, it's

0:23:25.160 --> 0:23:27.320
<v Speaker 6>great that JP Morgan is taking over you know, one

0:23:27.359 --> 0:23:29.840
<v Speaker 6>of those banks. Maybe you know more banks, but we

0:23:29.880 --> 0:23:32.640
<v Speaker 6>know that if you are ten twenty, maybe even your

0:23:32.680 --> 0:23:36.119
<v Speaker 6>fifty million a BDA business across the US or across Europe,

0:23:36.440 --> 0:23:39.560
<v Speaker 6>you don't bank with many of these large institutions, so

0:23:39.600 --> 0:23:43.440
<v Speaker 6>you need alternative. So once again, I think it's it's

0:23:43.480 --> 0:23:44.679
<v Speaker 6>it's relatively healthy.

0:23:46.080 --> 0:23:47.640
<v Speaker 2>I would love to ask you, because we have about

0:23:47.640 --> 0:23:49.760
<v Speaker 2>a minute left here. One of the things that I

0:23:49.800 --> 0:23:52.840
<v Speaker 2>know that you've been thinking about are working within is

0:23:52.880 --> 0:23:56.680
<v Speaker 2>opportunities and sustainability and decarbonization. And I do feel, like Matthew,

0:23:56.800 --> 0:24:00.560
<v Speaker 2>that there has been a bigger focus on that finally

0:24:00.680 --> 0:24:03.200
<v Speaker 2>clean technology. It's really happening.

0:24:03.400 --> 0:24:05.480
<v Speaker 6>Yeah, because you know, when we started five years ago

0:24:05.600 --> 0:24:08.119
<v Speaker 6>it was nice to have and today's I must have.

0:24:08.800 --> 0:24:10.680
<v Speaker 6>So you know there's no debate.

0:24:10.520 --> 0:24:11.600
<v Speaker 3>Anymore around that.

0:24:12.040 --> 0:24:14.640
<v Speaker 6>And yes, you need the return on capitol you deployed

0:24:14.640 --> 0:24:17.679
<v Speaker 6>to that, but there's also the impact embedded, you know,

0:24:17.720 --> 0:24:20.480
<v Speaker 6>with what to do. And uh, we've been relative early

0:24:20.520 --> 0:24:23.040
<v Speaker 6>a ticko. You know, five years ago, we've been deploying

0:24:23.040 --> 0:24:28.359
<v Speaker 6>across private equity, credit, asset finance here and here at.

0:24:28.280 --> 0:24:30.000
<v Speaker 2>More so than you were doing maybe a year ago.

0:24:30.359 --> 0:24:32.560
<v Speaker 6>Oh yeah, yeah, yeah, because you know it has become

0:24:32.600 --> 0:24:34.960
<v Speaker 6>it's a it's no longer an option. It's not long

0:24:35.000 --> 0:24:37.320
<v Speaker 6>an option. You know, your clients, that's what they're asking

0:24:37.359 --> 0:24:39.280
<v Speaker 6>I mean, our client, that's what they're asking us to do.

0:24:39.320 --> 0:24:40.320
<v Speaker 6>There's no other alternaty.

0:24:40.600 --> 0:24:42.520
<v Speaker 2>If I had to ask you in twenty seconds, and

0:24:42.600 --> 0:24:44.320
<v Speaker 2>I am going to because I have twenty seconds, are

0:24:44.359 --> 0:24:47.359
<v Speaker 2>you more optimistic about the next twelve to twenty four

0:24:47.359 --> 0:24:48.560
<v Speaker 2>months or more cautious?

0:24:50.160 --> 0:24:53.240
<v Speaker 6>All right, here's the answer. I'm optimistic because I'm an entrepreneur.

0:24:53.640 --> 0:24:57.440
<v Speaker 6>I'm relatively pessimistic because I'm a leveraged finance banker by background,

0:24:57.440 --> 0:24:58.919
<v Speaker 6>and so you know, we have to put all that

0:24:58.960 --> 0:25:01.600
<v Speaker 6>together and hopefully be right in the swimming line.

0:25:01.680 --> 0:25:03.639
<v Speaker 2>Kind of the French version of J. Powell right like,

0:25:03.720 --> 0:25:07.399
<v Speaker 2>kind of covering it all. Enjoyed this look forward to

0:25:07.400 --> 0:25:10.640
<v Speaker 2>hopefully catching up with you again in the future. Met

0:25:10.640 --> 0:25:13.200
<v Speaker 2>you Show Brown. He is, of course, the co founder

0:25:13.200 --> 0:25:16.480
<v Speaker 2>of the French asset manager TKO Capital. Joining us here

0:25:16.520 --> 0:25:18.879
<v Speaker 2>on Bloomberg pac Quest shares in the aftermarket down thirty

0:25:18.880 --> 0:25:19.480
<v Speaker 2>one percent.

0:25:21.800 --> 0:25:26.119
<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Wait inside from the reporters and

0:25:26.320 --> 0:25:29.879
<v Speaker 1>editors who bring you America's most trusted business magazine plus

0:25:29.960 --> 0:25:34.119
<v Speaker 1>global business, finance and tech news. The Bloomberg Business Week

0:25:34.160 --> 0:25:39.080
<v Speaker 1>Podcast with Carol Messer and Tim Stenebeck from Bloomberg Radio

0:25:42.560 --> 0:25:46.640
<v Speaker 1>Bromarco Journal.

0:25:47.640 --> 0:25:49.840
<v Speaker 2>Now about you, Let me drive? Oh no, no, no no,

0:25:49.880 --> 0:25:52.840
<v Speaker 2>who's going to honey Please?

0:25:52.960 --> 0:25:54.440
<v Speaker 1>I'll do gravels.

0:25:54.800 --> 0:25:57.320
<v Speaker 2>Let's I want to drive.

0:25:58.440 --> 0:26:04.480
<v Speaker 1>It's a good question time. This is the Drive to

0:26:04.520 --> 0:26:05.760
<v Speaker 1>the Globes.

0:26:05.280 --> 0:26:10.480
<v Speaker 7>Dot Commutek Well Brier up Ladn on Bloomberg Radio three

0:26:10.560 --> 0:26:12.880
<v Speaker 7>forty nine on Wall Street. This is a special edition

0:26:12.920 --> 0:26:16.000
<v Speaker 7>of Bloomberg Business Sweek on this FED Decision Day. I'm

0:26:16.040 --> 0:26:19.040
<v Speaker 7>Doug Prisner at the Bloomberg Interactive Broker Studio in New York.

0:26:19.320 --> 0:26:22.160
<v Speaker 7>Carol Master is live from the Milk and Institute Global

0:26:22.200 --> 0:26:25.440
<v Speaker 7>Conference in Beverly Hills. We'll be checking in with Carol

0:26:25.480 --> 0:26:28.040
<v Speaker 7>at the top of the hour. In the meantime, let's

0:26:28.040 --> 0:26:30.720
<v Speaker 7>get to John Cadunas. He is president and CEO of

0:26:30.840 --> 0:26:33.840
<v Speaker 7>Kalamos Investments. He joins us live from the Milk and

0:26:33.960 --> 0:26:37.840
<v Speaker 7>Institute Global Conference in Beverly Hills. John, thanks for being

0:26:37.880 --> 0:26:40.280
<v Speaker 7>with us. Glad you could make time to chat with us.

0:26:40.960 --> 0:26:43.959
<v Speaker 7>Yeh absolutely, So I want to get your reaction to this.

0:26:44.520 --> 0:26:47.600
<v Speaker 7>The Fed movement today as expected, twenty five bases point

0:26:47.640 --> 0:26:51.320
<v Speaker 7>rate hike and the suggestion now the implication that the

0:26:51.400 --> 0:26:54.520
<v Speaker 7>Fed is ready to pause in its tightening. Have we

0:26:54.680 --> 0:26:58.920
<v Speaker 7>seen enough contraction in credit to keep the economy from

0:26:58.960 --> 0:26:59.960
<v Speaker 7>going into recession.

0:27:02.359 --> 0:27:07.399
<v Speaker 8>Well, we need more data points to say whether we

0:27:07.480 --> 0:27:10.080
<v Speaker 8>go into recession or not. In my opinion, we've been

0:27:10.160 --> 0:27:13.280
<v Speaker 8>having a rolling recession. And I call it rolling because

0:27:13.760 --> 0:27:15.919
<v Speaker 8>last year we saw that we had a couple of

0:27:15.920 --> 0:27:21.439
<v Speaker 8>consecutive quarters of negative GDPs. So we're at the cusp

0:27:21.840 --> 0:27:23.879
<v Speaker 8>and we're gonna have to wait to see if we

0:27:23.920 --> 0:27:27.560
<v Speaker 8>fall back into that. But every month, every quarter, we

0:27:27.640 --> 0:27:30.920
<v Speaker 8>get more data, and that's what Powell and the rest

0:27:30.960 --> 0:27:32.520
<v Speaker 8>of the governors are looking at.

0:27:32.880 --> 0:27:35.199
<v Speaker 7>Is this an opportunity for private credit? One of the

0:27:35.240 --> 0:27:37.679
<v Speaker 7>things that FED Scher has said today is that the

0:27:37.720 --> 0:27:40.760
<v Speaker 7>FED is going to be monitoring credit conditions very tightly.

0:27:41.080 --> 0:27:42.720
<v Speaker 7>We know the story when it comes to some of

0:27:42.760 --> 0:27:48.280
<v Speaker 7>the regional banks. Even before the SVB situation, credit was contracting.

0:27:48.640 --> 0:27:51.439
<v Speaker 7>Is this an opportunity for the private market to step in.

0:27:53.200 --> 0:27:56.280
<v Speaker 8>I think it's a huge opportunity for private credit. If

0:27:56.320 --> 0:27:59.200
<v Speaker 8>you see the evolution I mean here at the Milking conference,

0:27:59.560 --> 0:28:04.080
<v Speaker 8>we look at the origins of Michael who started his

0:28:04.119 --> 0:28:07.560
<v Speaker 8>own asset class basically high yield or junk bonds back

0:28:07.560 --> 0:28:11.280
<v Speaker 8>in the eighties that gave liquidity and money to mid

0:28:11.320 --> 0:28:15.280
<v Speaker 8>sized companies. To you see the transformation of Las Vegas.

0:28:15.359 --> 0:28:18.439
<v Speaker 8>It went into corporate because of the financing of a

0:28:18.520 --> 0:28:22.520
<v Speaker 8>high yield and then the big banks were giving money

0:28:22.640 --> 0:28:25.800
<v Speaker 8>after that the next couple of decades till they got

0:28:25.840 --> 0:28:29.679
<v Speaker 8>overregulated with dot frank and whatnot. That pulled the liquidity

0:28:29.760 --> 0:28:32.240
<v Speaker 8>out of the system instead of into the system, and

0:28:32.320 --> 0:28:36.000
<v Speaker 8>it went to the smaller banks. And so now we've

0:28:36.040 --> 0:28:39.160
<v Speaker 8>seen what's happened with the smaller banks. So who's going

0:28:39.200 --> 0:28:43.800
<v Speaker 8>to replace that? Private credit is ripe to become a

0:28:43.920 --> 0:28:47.800
<v Speaker 8>huge lender of last resort, if you will. So, I

0:28:47.840 --> 0:28:50.360
<v Speaker 8>think private credit is going to be a very, very

0:28:50.440 --> 0:28:53.200
<v Speaker 8>very strong asset class here going forward in the next

0:28:53.200 --> 0:28:53.720
<v Speaker 8>couple of years.

0:28:53.760 --> 0:28:57.200
<v Speaker 7>When you look at opportunities, John, are there industries right

0:28:57.240 --> 0:29:00.920
<v Speaker 7>now that you really feel represent opportunity to kind of

0:29:00.960 --> 0:29:04.360
<v Speaker 7>build relationships, provide credit and to benefit in the long run.

0:29:06.560 --> 0:29:10.080
<v Speaker 8>Well, I mean, if you look at just what's been

0:29:10.160 --> 0:29:15.200
<v Speaker 8>performing this year, it's a little bit of the similar

0:29:15.240 --> 0:29:17.920
<v Speaker 8>story of a couple of years ago, where the Fang

0:29:18.000 --> 0:29:22.040
<v Speaker 8>stocks we're doing really well. We look at there's approximately

0:29:22.160 --> 0:29:28.240
<v Speaker 8>eight stocks that's providing almost ninety percent of all the

0:29:28.320 --> 0:29:30.520
<v Speaker 8>upside this year in the S and P five hundred

0:29:30.880 --> 0:29:33.480
<v Speaker 8>and some of those underlying stocks, of course aren't in

0:29:34.200 --> 0:29:37.720
<v Speaker 8>tuck and whatnot. And you know, a lot of the

0:29:37.760 --> 0:29:41.440
<v Speaker 8>buzz here in the conference too has been AI and

0:29:41.480 --> 0:29:45.520
<v Speaker 8>there are a couple of these companies that are heavily

0:29:45.560 --> 0:29:50.600
<v Speaker 8>invested in AI. So I think that's also another big

0:29:50.640 --> 0:29:52.200
<v Speaker 8>opportunity in growth.

0:29:52.840 --> 0:29:55.480
<v Speaker 7>What is the conversation at milk and when it comes

0:29:55.480 --> 0:29:57.800
<v Speaker 7>to commercial real estate, I mean, when we talk about

0:29:57.840 --> 0:29:59.960
<v Speaker 7>the stress that some of these regional banks have been faced,

0:30:00.040 --> 0:30:04.000
<v Speaker 7>saying the finger goes right to the property market, particularly

0:30:04.080 --> 0:30:06.440
<v Speaker 7>office buildings. Is that part of the conversation.

0:30:08.360 --> 0:30:12.400
<v Speaker 8>That is part of the conversation. Everybody's looking at all

0:30:12.400 --> 0:30:17.880
<v Speaker 8>the resets right with these loans coming due and at

0:30:17.960 --> 0:30:21.600
<v Speaker 8>higher rates here, so we'll see how how some of

0:30:21.640 --> 0:30:26.280
<v Speaker 8>these uh cnbs commercial workers backed securities do that are

0:30:26.280 --> 0:30:29.120
<v Speaker 8>going to be stressed now because some people will be

0:30:29.160 --> 0:30:32.760
<v Speaker 8>able to take the payments of higher rates and others

0:30:32.760 --> 0:30:35.040
<v Speaker 8>won't and no flesh out some of this stuff, so

0:30:35.440 --> 0:30:40.000
<v Speaker 8>they are anticipating bracing for some some fallout here in

0:30:40.040 --> 0:30:40.600
<v Speaker 8>that market.

0:30:40.920 --> 0:30:45.120
<v Speaker 7>So will there be opportunities then in terms of distressed

0:30:45.160 --> 0:30:48.200
<v Speaker 7>debt for some of these real estate companies.

0:30:49.400 --> 0:30:52.719
<v Speaker 8>There's always is, But once again, the landscape has changed

0:30:52.760 --> 0:30:56.840
<v Speaker 8>too since COVID, So the the amount of office space

0:30:56.960 --> 0:31:02.240
<v Speaker 8>that may have been needed in the past, now it's

0:31:02.280 --> 0:31:06.440
<v Speaker 8>being transformed into something different and so there may not

0:31:06.520 --> 0:31:10.000
<v Speaker 8>be the same amount and it's used differently than it

0:31:10.040 --> 0:31:12.560
<v Speaker 8>has in the past because of the a lot of

0:31:12.800 --> 0:31:16.760
<v Speaker 8>work from home kind of mentality, which at this point

0:31:16.800 --> 0:31:20.360
<v Speaker 8>we don't know how long that will last. We are

0:31:20.400 --> 0:31:23.520
<v Speaker 8>starting to see a lot more companies going back full time,

0:31:23.920 --> 0:31:27.560
<v Speaker 8>but it's not nearly as robust as it was. Obviously

0:31:27.680 --> 0:31:28.240
<v Speaker 8>pre covid.

0:31:28.800 --> 0:31:32.920
<v Speaker 7>You mentioned earlier the conversation at Milkin around artificial intelligence.

0:31:33.000 --> 0:31:35.360
<v Speaker 7>I'm curious. I mean, there's been so much debate when

0:31:35.360 --> 0:31:37.840
<v Speaker 7>it comes to this technology. We know that companies like

0:31:37.880 --> 0:31:42.840
<v Speaker 7>Alphabet and Microsoft are already playing. There has been many

0:31:42.960 --> 0:31:45.680
<v Speaker 7>many folks who have raised a lot of concern and

0:31:45.760 --> 0:31:50.160
<v Speaker 7>I would place Jeffrey Hinton, who left Google recently. I

0:31:50.160 --> 0:31:51.760
<v Speaker 7>don't know if you saw the article in the New

0:31:51.840 --> 0:31:54.520
<v Speaker 7>York Times the other day. He was very very cautious

0:31:54.880 --> 0:31:58.840
<v Speaker 7>and advising companies on kind of slowing down the pace

0:31:58.880 --> 0:32:02.000
<v Speaker 7>of their adoption of this technology. Is that something that

0:32:02.080 --> 0:32:05.280
<v Speaker 7>concerns you. If you had to put money to work

0:32:05.560 --> 0:32:10.320
<v Speaker 7>as a credit investor and you're talking about artificial intelligence,

0:32:10.440 --> 0:32:13.520
<v Speaker 7>how would you extend credit? What would your criteria be?

0:32:15.520 --> 0:32:18.600
<v Speaker 8>Well, the first part of your question, it is concerning.

0:32:19.200 --> 0:32:24.760
<v Speaker 8>It is concerning where this technology is going, and you know,

0:32:24.840 --> 0:32:27.880
<v Speaker 8>all the good that it does, there's definitely fallout in

0:32:28.000 --> 0:32:30.160
<v Speaker 8>terms of some of the bad that it may do.

0:32:31.440 --> 0:32:38.160
<v Speaker 8>There's concerns that there's no question that technology over the

0:32:38.240 --> 0:32:44.640
<v Speaker 8>years has brought efficiency, but also efficiency has brought you know,

0:32:45.000 --> 0:32:47.520
<v Speaker 8>loss of jobs, right, and so you can do so

0:32:47.640 --> 0:32:52.360
<v Speaker 8>much more with so much less because of the technology,

0:32:52.440 --> 0:32:57.680
<v Speaker 8>and AI is a form of technology that allows for that. Now,

0:32:57.720 --> 0:33:02.320
<v Speaker 8>having said that, things have transfer, people has transformed, jobs

0:33:02.360 --> 0:33:06.000
<v Speaker 8>have transformed and filled in there's more jobs in other

0:33:06.520 --> 0:33:10.080
<v Speaker 8>areas that have taken place, and so as long as

0:33:10.120 --> 0:33:14.280
<v Speaker 8>there continues to be a transformation with new types of

0:33:14.360 --> 0:33:17.360
<v Speaker 8>jobs for people to fill, it's not going to be

0:33:17.440 --> 0:33:19.720
<v Speaker 8>as concerning as it could possibly be.

0:33:20.360 --> 0:33:22.360
<v Speaker 7>Well, you mentioned technology. One of the things that I

0:33:22.400 --> 0:33:25.200
<v Speaker 7>think of relations between the US and China. We know

0:33:25.240 --> 0:33:29.640
<v Speaker 7>the semiconductor story. How do you view that relationship right now?

0:33:30.160 --> 0:33:33.120
<v Speaker 7>The geopolitics is that of concern to you when you're

0:33:33.320 --> 0:33:35.040
<v Speaker 7>making decisions these days?

0:33:37.120 --> 0:33:40.600
<v Speaker 8>I think geopolitics is a huge concern. I think fiscal

0:33:40.720 --> 0:33:45.080
<v Speaker 8>policy is a huge concern, almost more of than monetary policy.

0:33:45.680 --> 0:33:50.440
<v Speaker 8>I think that some of the moves in fiscal policy

0:33:50.520 --> 0:33:57.480
<v Speaker 8>has definitely helped and hurt unfortunately as of late, hurt

0:33:57.960 --> 0:34:02.200
<v Speaker 8>a lot of what's going on with the economy and

0:34:02.360 --> 0:34:09.120
<v Speaker 8>so bringing these jobs back home, bringing manufacturing back to

0:34:09.120 --> 0:34:15.160
<v Speaker 8>the United States, not being dependent on other countries for

0:34:15.680 --> 0:34:21.840
<v Speaker 8>some of the really important things, whether it be the microchips,

0:34:21.880 --> 0:34:26.359
<v Speaker 8>whether it be pharmaceuticals. I think it's really important that

0:34:27.560 --> 0:34:32.760
<v Speaker 8>we incentivize companies to do and manufacture in the United

0:34:32.760 --> 0:34:37.600
<v Speaker 8>States so we don't have to be dependent like we

0:34:37.640 --> 0:34:41.760
<v Speaker 8>are right now. And I think this administration has definitely

0:34:41.840 --> 0:34:42.960
<v Speaker 8>dropped the ball on that.

0:34:43.640 --> 0:34:44.279
<v Speaker 3>We'll leave it there.

0:34:44.320 --> 0:34:47.920
<v Speaker 7>Thanks so much. Great conversation, John Codunas. He is president's

0:34:47.960 --> 0:34:51.720
<v Speaker 7>CEO of Kalamos Investments, Live from the Milk and Institute

0:34:51.760 --> 0:34:52.719
<v Speaker 7>Global Conference.

0:34:53.800 --> 0:34:59.240
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