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Speaker 1: Hey guys, tb are you welcome into a Friday morning

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Speaker 1: edition of the Deally Juice Podcast with me Matt Paroltz

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Speaker 1: here on Bettingpros dot com with our offer from BETMGM

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Speaker 1: above me on the YouTube channel on the YouTube video

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Speaker 1: ten dollars bet from BETMGM or at BETMGM you in

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Speaker 1: one hundred and fifty dollars promo Codejuice one fifty at

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Speaker 1: sign up at BETMGM. You guys can follow me on

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Speaker 1: Twitter at sports Talk Matt. If you've not gone into

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Speaker 1: the discord channel, please do so. We erased half the users,

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Speaker 1: so please hop in Bettingcrows dot com, slash chat or

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Speaker 1: the link underneath me on YouTube to get in to

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Speaker 1: be a part of it. All right, So we get

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Speaker 1: the Cardinals right on the run line. That was a

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Speaker 1: plus one oh five hit for us. That's good, two

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Speaker 1: and two on the Yes, no runs in the first inning,

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Speaker 1: so no, not bad, right, a winning day, not outstanding,

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Speaker 1: but a winning day. Take that every single time we

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Speaker 1: started up in Major League baseball. Okay, So we've got

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Speaker 1: the parlay today and since we hit the run line,

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Speaker 1: I thought we'd go back with a couple of more

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Speaker 1: run line three of them. Actually, it's a plus nine

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Speaker 1: hundred parlay that I'm gonna roll with here on baseball.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna give you three half unit bets coming up

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Speaker 1: from Major League Baseball.

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna say this, though.

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Speaker 1: We're getting close, and I mean like really close, once

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Speaker 1: we get into the playoffs for the NBA, and once

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Speaker 1: it's to the playoffs of the NHL combined with Major

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Speaker 1: League Baseball, I'm probably gonna drop the half unit bet.

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Speaker 2: Okay.

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Speaker 1: I don't know when you guys look to reassess your

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Speaker 1: unit sizes, but this is when I do it. Okay,

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Speaker 1: I reassess. I look at my bank roll. I figure out, Okay,

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Speaker 1: my one unit was this, Now my one unit is

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Speaker 1: going to be this, depending upon how I'm doing, how

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Speaker 1: I'm feeling. It's all a personal play, Okay, it's a

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Speaker 1: personal thing. I always say three to five percent of

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Speaker 1: your bank roll should be your one unit bet, somewhere

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Speaker 1: in that range. So do the math, right, three dollars

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Speaker 1: five dollars every one hundred dollars, that's what your one

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Speaker 1: unit play should be. So I have been betting half

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Speaker 1: units forever. I've been betting half units for pretty much

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Speaker 1: all at COVID betting half units for a year and

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Speaker 1: a half because I did not trust the COVID protocols,

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Speaker 1: or the audience is not being there, the travel being

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Speaker 1: wonky in the bubble blah blah blah. It's time to

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Speaker 1: get rid of that. Okay, it's time to go back.

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Speaker 1: It's time to start betting back with a full unit

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Speaker 1: and stop this half unit place.

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Speaker 2: Okay.

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Speaker 1: So that is what's coming very soon, probably maybe in

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Speaker 1: the third week of Major League Baseball. We'll start into

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Speaker 1: that once we get through the regular season, so maybe

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Speaker 1: a week and a half or two, Like I'll tell

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Speaker 1: you guys obviously, but I'm getting very very close to

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Speaker 1: dropping the half unit and feeling very comfortable now to

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Speaker 1: commit full unit bets from here on out. It'll be

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Speaker 1: easier on the math, easier for everybody. And I'm about

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Speaker 1: to reassess where I am from I won unit size.

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Speaker 1: So keep ahead, look out an ear out for that

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Speaker 1: as we roll into it. Okay, So here is where

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Speaker 1: we're going for the parlay. They don't bet a parlay.

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Speaker 1: Parlay is a plus. I'm sorry, it's a plus seven

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Speaker 1: to fifty parlay. Sorry, it's not nine hundred plus seven

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Speaker 1: to fifty parlay. I'm gonna do what I did yesterday.

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Speaker 1: I bet the Cardinals against a bad team. I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: go against three bad teams here, and the pitching matchups

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Speaker 1: favor us in all of them. Max Scherzer is going

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Speaker 1: for the Mets. Okay, Mets minus one and a half

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Speaker 1: on the run line is minus one ten. Gray is

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Speaker 1: going for the Nationals. Icepeac Scherger to be crazy. I

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Speaker 1: mean he's talking about the atmosphere. He can't wait to

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Speaker 1: get out there. He's so excited to see what's gonna happen,

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Speaker 1: so big of a moment to get him out there.

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Speaker 1: To the hamstring, he says, it's good to go, taking

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Speaker 1: the Mets on the run line.

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Speaker 2: First leg.

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Speaker 1: Second leg, we got Barrios in the Blue Jays up

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Speaker 1: against Gray and the Rangers. The Rangers stink, we know

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Speaker 1: that they're going to be bad again. I'm gonna lay

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Speaker 1: the one and a half with Toronto at home plus

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Speaker 1: one oh eight on that, And for the third and

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Speaker 1: final leg, we're gonna come in with the team that

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Speaker 1: we will bet against an absolute ton on the run

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Speaker 1: line this year. I'm actually kind of surprised by this.

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Speaker 1: Tepa Bay at home laying one and a half is

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Speaker 1: plus one twelve. It's a three leg run line parlay

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Speaker 1: for a Friday for they don't bet a parlay parlay. Now,

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Speaker 1: if you're new, if one of these teams win by

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Speaker 1: one run, the whole parlay goes down. Okay, so we

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Speaker 1: need blowouts in all three of these. But these are

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Speaker 1: aces going for all three teams, Blue, Jays, Rays, and

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Speaker 1: the Mets. Aces are all going these teams except for

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Speaker 1: the Mets, who are on the road, but two home

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Speaker 1: teams home openers, bad teams, Rangers orioles in the National stink.

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Speaker 1: Let's jump on all of them. Okay, run line for Rays, Jays,

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Speaker 1: and Mets for a plus se fifty. Don't bet a

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Speaker 1: parlay parlay for a Friday. All right, we came close

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Speaker 1: to hitting the last one. We've been pretty good on these.

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Speaker 2: I like this.

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Speaker 1: I will be betting this myself. This is a play

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Speaker 1: I will make. I don't bet these always, like I

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Speaker 1: tell you guys, but this one I will bet. I

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Speaker 1: like this one. So we'll jump on this with you

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Speaker 1: guys for the don't bet a parlay parlay personal not

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Speaker 1: official obviously, but personal.

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Speaker 2: Okay, to the official place the.

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Speaker 1: Boston Red Sox opened up on the road at the

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Speaker 1: New York Yankees.

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Speaker 2: Garrett Cole on the mound against Nathan Avaldi.

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Speaker 1: The Red Sox are plus one fifty, plus one fifty. Really,

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Speaker 1: now they've got Nathan Avaldi on the mount.

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Speaker 2: Who is their quote? Ace?

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Speaker 1: All hands on deck on the bullpen. Bullpen could be problematic,

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Speaker 1: but it's the Yankees and the Red Sox. Garrett Cole

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Speaker 1: in his career against the Red Sox has pitched ten games.

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Speaker 1: He's given up ten home runs and ten doubles against

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Speaker 1: a Red Sox lineup that's going to hit. This is

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Speaker 1: one thing Boston is going to hit.

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Speaker 2: We know this.

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Speaker 1: Look at their lineup. It's going to score. I know

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Speaker 1: it's Garrett Cole, and I get it. The dude could

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Speaker 1: be a syung. He's one of the favorites to win

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Speaker 1: the say young, I understand that. In his era against

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Speaker 1: the Red Sox, it's still I mean, it's not bad.

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Speaker 2: He's five and three with a three point eighty one er.

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Speaker 1: Okay, in fifty nine innings pitched, given up fifty seven hits,

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Speaker 1: twenty six runs, twenty five earned ten home runs. He's

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Speaker 1: walked fourteen His whip is one point two AKA, he

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Speaker 1: gets hit by the Red Sox. I don't know you're

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Speaker 1: gonna give me plus one fifty in the opening game.

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Speaker 1: The Red Sox came out of the box on fire

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Speaker 1: last year against the Yankees and beat up on him

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Speaker 1: sixty two degrees at first pitch at Yankee Stadium. Good

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Speaker 1: hitting whether for the Red Sox. Maybe it's a homer play.

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Speaker 1: Probably is a homer play, don't really care. Red Sox

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Speaker 1: plus one fifty half a unit money to open up

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Speaker 1: and beat the Garrett beat Gerrit Cole and the Yankees

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Speaker 1: on opening day. Bet number two White Sox Tigers. We're

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Speaker 1: gonna bet against two teams we bet for win totals

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Speaker 1: on the over on opening day, which is kind of

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Speaker 1: a little bit of an irony. But White Sox and

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Speaker 1: the Detroit Tigers. The West gid had this last night

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Speaker 1: at minus one twenty five on the money line. E Rod,

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Speaker 1: former Red Sox going for the Tigers, big lefty. I

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Speaker 1: can't figure out why this is minus one fifty. Lucas

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Speaker 1: Gielido is going on the other side for the White Sox,

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Speaker 1: and the White Sox are gonna start an entire right

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Speaker 1: handed lineup the whole lineup is going to be right

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Speaker 1: handed for the White Sox.

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Speaker 2: They kill lefties. Like this is what we did all

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Speaker 2: last year. We just bet on the White Sox against

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Speaker 2: the lefty.

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Speaker 1: I mean their lineup A bray You is healthy, Makata

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Speaker 1: is out, I'll give you that. That's not great. But

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Speaker 1: they have Louise, Robert Jimenez is back. I mean, they're

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Speaker 1: gonna mask Grondal, They're gonna mash okay, and they're all

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Speaker 1: right handed, power hitting guys with Gilido on the mound.

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Speaker 1: And I have minus one twenty five on the money

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Speaker 1: line for the White Sox to win on Opening Day

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Speaker 1: against the Tigers and e Rod. Yeah, I like the

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Speaker 1: Tigers this year. Don't like the Tigers in this game,

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Speaker 1: in this situation with the White Sox. You know, coming in,

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Speaker 1: I know the Tigers are at home. Okay, you can say, well, Matt,

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Speaker 1: you know it's a road game, and you know, let's

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Speaker 1: see what happens with this series.

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Speaker 2: I don't really care. White Tucks are gonna hit. Okay.

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Speaker 1: This game's on ESPN Plus. It's a one ten Eastern

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Speaker 1: times start. Early start Red Sox two is early. By

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Speaker 1: the way, Red Sox starting is also one ten Eastern

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Speaker 1: time starts, so both these games are early right away

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Speaker 1: out of the gate. We're taking Red Sox plus one

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Speaker 1: fifty on the money line. White Sox minus won twenty

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Speaker 1: five on the money line, both for a half a unit.

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Speaker 1: And the third and final bet Giants at home against

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Speaker 1: the Miami Marlins. Sandy Alca Terra is going for this

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Speaker 1: Marlins team total seven and a half in this game.

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Speaker 1: Why logan Web. How many times did we bet on

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Speaker 1: logan Web last year?

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Speaker 2: I don't know.

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Speaker 1: I probably won ten bets last year with logan Web

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Speaker 1: on the mount.

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Speaker 2: I'm going right back to it. Okay, this is a.

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Speaker 1: Four to thirty five Eastern time pitch here with the

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Speaker 1: Giants at home. The Marlins stunk last year on the road.

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Speaker 1: I don't think that changes here. And look, the Giants

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Speaker 1: have got to win on these games because they know

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Speaker 1: what division they're in, they know what they're facing with

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Speaker 1: the Dodgers. They know they've got to take it on

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Speaker 1: the Marlins. You got to beat up on bad teams.

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Speaker 1: You're at home. It's gonna be chilly in the Bay

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Speaker 1: most likely. I mean it's April and San Francisco, so

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Speaker 1: it's not gonna be like bombing and warm for the

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Speaker 1: Miami kids to come on over here. Logan Web. Last year,

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Speaker 1: I mean, the guy was just out freaking standing eleven

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Speaker 1: and three with a three point h three eras twenty

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Speaker 1: five years old. This dude can win the Siung this year.

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Speaker 1: He was unbelievable in the postseason for the Giants. Gonna

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Speaker 1: go right back to this guy, Logan Web and the

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Speaker 1: Giants minus one forty half a unit to win on

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Speaker 1: the money line against the Miami Marlins. All right, three

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Speaker 1: plays for us going here. Half a unit plus the

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Speaker 1: half a unit you can throw down if you want

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Speaker 1: on the don't bet a parlay. Parlay by the way,

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Speaker 1: Tiger Woods, I'm gonna be wrong. We're gonna lose that.

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Speaker 1: Bet on him to miss the cut. Don't care. Give

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Speaker 1: me Tiger on the weekend.

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Speaker 2: Love it.

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Speaker 1: I want to see Tiger play as many holes as possible.

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Speaker 1: He was awesome one under par our camp Smith. Bet

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Speaker 1: for him to be the low Australian off to a

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Speaker 1: very good start, very cool. Not a great start for

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Speaker 1: Xander Schaffey to win the thing. Not a great start

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Speaker 1: for Xander Shaffley. Here for him to beat in his

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Speaker 1: head to head against Jordan's Speith, So we'll kind of

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Speaker 1: watch and see how that all plays out. Coming up

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Speaker 1: for today, I'll probably come back with a weekend bet.

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Speaker 1: After we get to the cut. I'll probably have some

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Speaker 1: head to heads and some other things. We're gonna bet

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Speaker 1: on Saturday and Sunday. Just not gonna bet the Masters

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Speaker 1: today here on a Friday. I really want to see

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Speaker 1: what happens, how it all kind of shakes out and

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Speaker 1: where we go here. But Xander Schoffley, I think he

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Speaker 1: finished two over par. I didn't actually look to see

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Speaker 1: where he finished. Yeah, two over, and Jordan Speed was

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Speaker 1: two over as well, So those guys are tied as

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Speaker 1: they head. We have a four round head to head

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Speaker 1: between Zanner Schoffley and Jordan's Speiths. As of right now,

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Speaker 1: it looks like the cut line is going to be

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Speaker 1: somewhere around three over par. And that's got Brooks Koepka

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Speaker 1: at three over par. It's got Adam Scott's at two over,

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Speaker 1: Zach Johnson's at two over. So there's a lot of

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Speaker 1: big names guys, and then people will at four over,

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Speaker 1: like Bryson Da Siambo is at four over, Justin Thomas

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Speaker 1: is at four over par. I mean the guys that

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Speaker 1: we thought that we're gonna maybe contend for this thing at.

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Speaker 2: Four over par.

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Speaker 1: So you know, we'll see how it all kind of

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Speaker 1: plays out today on the cut. But Tiger t's off late,

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Speaker 1: he's one under. So my guess is the cut line

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Speaker 1: probably raises up to Roy around like one over, maybe

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Speaker 1: somewhere in that range. So if Tiger plays just par golf,

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Speaker 1: Tiger should play the weekend. Okay, I'm one hundred percent

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Speaker 1: of losing that bet. Give me Tiger on the weekend.

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Speaker 1: We'll make it up with cam Smith. We'll make it

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Speaker 1: up with other better. You know, camp sits plus one ten,

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Speaker 1: So get the Cam Smith bet, lose the Tiger bet.

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Speaker 2: We're up.

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Speaker 1: We're profitable little, but we're profitable, right, so give me that.

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Speaker 1: Let's go all right. Red Sox, White Sox and the

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Speaker 1: Giants money line going today. If you want to do

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Speaker 1: with the Red Sox, I can't bet it. It's not

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Speaker 1: out yet. But first five under Red Sox, Yankees under

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Speaker 1: four and a half.

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Speaker 2: I like that.

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Speaker 1: And no for the Red Sox and the Yankees, no

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Speaker 1: run in the first inning, I like that as well.

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Speaker 1: If you want to jump in in on a yes,

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Speaker 1: no here, a nerfee or a EUR fee going in.

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Speaker 1: I did that an opening day. I probably won't come

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Speaker 1: back with that till the weekend or later on, but

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Speaker 1: two and two kind of expected as I went with that,

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Speaker 1: So we're not going to do that again. Here today

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Speaker 1: min As Matt Parolt to follow me on Twitter at

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Speaker 1: Sports Talk Matt. Each every morning it's del Juice Podcast.

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Speaker 1: I was being brought to you by betemgm do