1
00:00:00,800 --> 00:00:03,960
Speaker 1: The most valuable commodity I know of is information.

2
00:00:04,800 --> 00:00:06,280
Speaker 2: Can't you agree?

3
00:00:06,920 --> 00:00:11,400
Speaker 3: Five five dollars? This is a radar level they tape.

4
00:00:14,600 --> 00:00:18,400
Speaker 3: You're saying that humans need fantasy to make life bearable.

5
00:00:19,160 --> 00:00:21,639
Speaker 2: Humans need sensay to be.

6
00:00:24,079 --> 00:00:31,400
Speaker 3: My goodness' mista nice, prone, best, relentless, refusing to give up.

7
00:00:31,920 --> 00:00:33,360
Speaker 2: All right, hit that horn, very bless.

8
00:00:35,600 --> 00:00:38,360
Speaker 3: What is up everybody? Hope you had a good Thanksgiving.

9
00:00:38,440 --> 00:00:41,440
Speaker 3: Welcome to the Fantasy Flex podcast from the action networking

10
00:00:41,560 --> 00:00:45,400
Speaker 3: Fantasy Labs. I'm your host, Miss raybaon NFL Week fourteen.

11
00:00:45,560 --> 00:00:49,080
Speaker 3: Now we're here for player projections. I'm gonna be joined

12
00:00:49,440 --> 00:00:52,720
Speaker 3: shortly by one of the most accurate fantasy football rankers

13
00:00:52,960 --> 00:00:56,040
Speaker 3: and projectors in the game, the odds maker Sean Turner.

14
00:00:56,520 --> 00:00:59,400
Speaker 3: I'm gonna project our top five. We're gonna talk about

15
00:00:59,400 --> 00:01:01,680
Speaker 3: guys were high on. We'll throw some props out there

16
00:01:01,840 --> 00:01:05,280
Speaker 3: as well for each of the four skill positions. Quick reminder,

17
00:01:05,319 --> 00:01:08,399
Speaker 3: all of our fantasy content is available right now over

18
00:01:08,480 --> 00:01:12,360
Speaker 3: on Fantasy labs dot com. Fantasy Labs NFL includes in

19
00:01:12,480 --> 00:01:15,560
Speaker 3: season ranks, waiver wire tips, DFS tools and models, and

20
00:01:15,680 --> 00:01:19,040
Speaker 3: much more. Be sure to use code Flex twenty for

21
00:01:19,160 --> 00:01:25,600
Speaker 3: twenty hours off at Fantasy labs dot com slash flex Kerner.

22
00:01:25,680 --> 00:01:28,560
Speaker 3: What's going on, Hope you had a good Thanksgiving and

23
00:01:29,920 --> 00:01:33,120
Speaker 3: you enjoyed what was a pretty pretty good slate. Got

24
00:01:33,200 --> 00:01:35,400
Speaker 3: to give the schedule makers props, but that was your

25
00:01:35,440 --> 00:01:38,680
Speaker 3: Thanksgiving and who we got for our cardio kings. You

26
00:01:38,720 --> 00:01:41,360
Speaker 3: can jump right into that after. Yeah, that's good.

27
00:01:41,760 --> 00:01:44,040
Speaker 1: I went seven to one on props over the weekend,

28
00:01:44,160 --> 00:01:48,640
Speaker 1: and the only loss was Max Brosmers over, which I

29
00:01:48,680 --> 00:01:50,640
Speaker 1: don't think people realize. When you have the over on

30
00:01:50,720 --> 00:01:53,920
Speaker 1: passing yards, it's okay if they're kind of shitty, especially

31
00:01:53,960 --> 00:01:56,400
Speaker 1: in the first half because it forces in the throw.

32
00:01:57,440 --> 00:02:01,440
Speaker 1: But that didn't help him out. And that one pass

33
00:02:01,520 --> 00:02:04,800
Speaker 1: to Jordan Addison that Addison dropped, he probably would have

34
00:02:04,840 --> 00:02:05,880
Speaker 1: gone thirty forty yards.

35
00:02:06,280 --> 00:02:08,239
Speaker 2: That actually would have won the triple Crown.

36
00:02:08,320 --> 00:02:11,400
Speaker 1: Beat that I had a far one because Darnell Wong

37
00:02:11,520 --> 00:02:14,880
Speaker 1: threw for one hundred and twenty something yards and Addison

38
00:02:14,919 --> 00:02:16,519
Speaker 1: would have led the game and receive it if he

39
00:02:16,600 --> 00:02:18,960
Speaker 1: caught that, and Walker led the game in rushing yards,

40
00:02:19,200 --> 00:02:22,079
Speaker 1: so I was that close to actually cashing on Brosmer

41
00:02:22,200 --> 00:02:25,359
Speaker 1: doing something Brosmer. But yeah, other than that, had a

42
00:02:25,400 --> 00:02:29,880
Speaker 1: great week and Bladed. Congrats on week twelve on Fantasy

43
00:02:29,919 --> 00:02:33,360
Speaker 1: Prosy finished first. They always come out with those results

44
00:02:33,440 --> 00:02:35,239
Speaker 1: after we're done recording, so we don't know how we

45
00:02:35,320 --> 00:02:39,040
Speaker 1: did this, but congrats on another first place finished last week.

46
00:02:39,760 --> 00:02:43,160
Speaker 3: Appreciate you. Yeah, man, just high variants. I guess this

47
00:02:43,320 --> 00:02:45,480
Speaker 3: year for me, I always seem to feel like all

48
00:02:45,560 --> 00:02:47,040
Speaker 3: over the place in terms of consensus.

49
00:02:47,520 --> 00:02:49,480
Speaker 2: But appreciate it.

50
00:02:49,680 --> 00:02:53,400
Speaker 3: And yeah, I'll just say with with Rosmer, I mean

51
00:02:55,040 --> 00:02:57,640
Speaker 3: when I saw him, when I started with Vikings in Acts,

52
00:02:57,800 --> 00:03:00,880
Speaker 3: I did start to get worried because just really passing here.

53
00:03:00,919 --> 00:03:02,640
Speaker 3: It's not for the game, which I should have been

54
00:03:02,639 --> 00:03:06,880
Speaker 3: a lot more worried about, but because they had bend

55
00:03:06,960 --> 00:03:10,480
Speaker 3: sims and uh the other tight end your check your

56
00:03:10,600 --> 00:03:13,840
Speaker 3: sex active and CJ Ham so that I started looking

57
00:03:13,880 --> 00:03:16,000
Speaker 3: into like real, I just like did some like quick

58
00:03:16,080 --> 00:03:18,640
Speaker 3: back of the end wote mass and in my sheet

59
00:03:18,680 --> 00:03:21,960
Speaker 3: when I was essentially teams get like fifteen percent more

60
00:03:22,760 --> 00:03:27,919
Speaker 3: uh like heavy personnel per added tight end into like

61
00:03:28,320 --> 00:03:30,040
Speaker 3: that was just not like that was just kind of

62
00:03:30,040 --> 00:03:31,840
Speaker 3: signaling that they were either gonna go run heavy or

63
00:03:31,960 --> 00:03:35,720
Speaker 3: like lower his uh based on like my prior. So

64
00:03:35,800 --> 00:03:38,160
Speaker 3: I was like, oh fuck this this is like this.

65
00:03:38,520 --> 00:03:41,640
Speaker 3: It was like worth two like two or three attempts

66
00:03:41,720 --> 00:03:43,960
Speaker 3: right there like that that that four and he didn't

67
00:03:43,960 --> 00:03:44,600
Speaker 3: really do anything.

68
00:03:44,640 --> 00:03:48,080
Speaker 1: But it's just it's just, I mean, getting going down

69
00:03:48,120 --> 00:03:51,960
Speaker 1: by twenty plus points always helps and always like for

70
00:03:52,120 --> 00:03:55,840
Speaker 1: the show, it's like, whichever prop has moved the least

71
00:03:56,040 --> 00:03:57,720
Speaker 1: is the one I'm gonna go with, and that's probably

72
00:03:57,840 --> 00:04:00,960
Speaker 1: not there not the best one if I'm big honest,

73
00:04:01,120 --> 00:04:03,280
Speaker 1: Like I had Kittle under four and a half receptions

74
00:04:03,320 --> 00:04:06,840
Speaker 1: at minus one oh five and by Sunday morning it

75
00:04:06,920 --> 00:04:08,800
Speaker 1: was minus one sixty five, so can't go with that.

76
00:04:09,440 --> 00:04:09,560
Speaker 2: Uh.

77
00:04:09,680 --> 00:04:11,200
Speaker 1: And he was the one that just he had such

78
00:04:11,200 --> 00:04:13,400
Speaker 1: a wide range of outcomes. I think we could all

79
00:04:13,480 --> 00:04:17,120
Speaker 1: admit that, and that was probably the tail end on

80
00:04:17,279 --> 00:04:19,800
Speaker 1: the shitty side when it comes to him.

81
00:04:19,839 --> 00:04:23,760
Speaker 2: But moving on, this is now J J. McCarthy's team

82
00:04:25,160 --> 00:04:29,800
Speaker 2: this week and going forward too.

83
00:04:30,080 --> 00:04:34,360
Speaker 3: I mean, just all these quarters, I feel bad for Macarthy.

84
00:04:34,400 --> 00:04:38,880
Speaker 3: Yeah yeah, I mean, yeah, guy man got I was

85
00:04:39,080 --> 00:04:41,000
Speaker 3: I was ready for him to just like finally turn

86
00:04:41,040 --> 00:04:44,680
Speaker 3: it around, and it's just another another another just mean

87
00:04:44,760 --> 00:04:48,760
Speaker 3: just disaster, Like who was it was Tyreek Hu and

88
00:04:48,839 --> 00:04:52,440
Speaker 3: Wattle when U two was out for five or six games.

89
00:04:52,240 --> 00:04:56,600
Speaker 2: Skyler Thompson and likely.

90
00:04:55,279 --> 00:04:56,840
Speaker 3: I think had a game in there, but yeah, it

91
00:04:56,920 --> 00:04:57,240
Speaker 3: was bad.

92
00:04:57,400 --> 00:04:58,400
Speaker 2: Boil was Tim Boyle.

93
00:04:58,480 --> 00:05:01,040
Speaker 3: I feel like he was against Tim Boyle. I think

94
00:05:01,080 --> 00:05:03,960
Speaker 3: they blew out. You had them over his past itself,

95
00:05:04,000 --> 00:05:05,480
Speaker 3: because I think you thought they were gonna blow him out,

96
00:05:05,520 --> 00:05:07,320
Speaker 3: and they did bow him out, and still I think

97
00:05:07,360 --> 00:05:09,240
Speaker 3: they still got there. He got benched, but he got there.

98
00:05:10,320 --> 00:05:13,839
Speaker 3: All right, Wait, who do we got for ours? Before

99
00:05:13,880 --> 00:05:15,800
Speaker 3: we get off? Who's in the plot?

100
00:05:16,960 --> 00:05:17,159
Speaker 2: Yeah?

101
00:05:17,240 --> 00:05:23,240
Speaker 1: So tight end was Jatavian Sanders with fourteen routes no targets.

102
00:05:23,960 --> 00:05:26,120
Speaker 1: Not too surprising there. They have a three way committee

103
00:05:26,200 --> 00:05:28,520
Speaker 1: sometimes you know he's going to run enough routes and

104
00:05:28,560 --> 00:05:30,360
Speaker 1: that good target. So I'm not too shocked by that.

105
00:05:30,960 --> 00:05:35,200
Speaker 1: Wide receiver was Xavier Weaver twenty one routes, no targets.

106
00:05:35,560 --> 00:05:38,320
Speaker 1: Once again we have a cardinal featured. Maybe just the

107
00:05:38,400 --> 00:05:41,280
Speaker 1: fact that Jacoby's you know, throwing at fifty plus times

108
00:05:41,320 --> 00:05:44,159
Speaker 1: a game. You just have so many guys running routes

109
00:05:44,480 --> 00:05:46,119
Speaker 1: you know one of them might not see a target,

110
00:05:46,279 --> 00:05:48,920
Speaker 1: So not too surprising. I think Weaver came in when

111
00:05:49,560 --> 00:05:53,240
Speaker 1: Marvin Harrison Junior left the game, so didn't really have

112
00:05:53,320 --> 00:05:55,680
Speaker 1: a game plan for him. So yeah, Weaver was the

113
00:05:55,880 --> 00:05:57,599
Speaker 1: cardio king of Week thirteen.

114
00:05:58,240 --> 00:06:00,400
Speaker 3: Yeah, it's like they are. Another one was kind of

115
00:06:00,440 --> 00:06:04,080
Speaker 3: like a weird mix in terms of who's running routes

116
00:06:04,200 --> 00:06:08,040
Speaker 3: against who like usually have just a super high target

117
00:06:08,640 --> 00:06:11,600
Speaker 3: rate tight end and McBride, but then Higgins is more like,

118
00:06:12,360 --> 00:06:14,680
Speaker 3: you know, he's higher than I mean, he's supposed to

119
00:06:14,720 --> 00:06:16,720
Speaker 3: be higher than a normal tight end. He doesn't get

120
00:06:16,800 --> 00:06:19,560
Speaker 3: those actual targets, but that that just lowers the guy

121
00:06:19,640 --> 00:06:22,520
Speaker 3: behind him because he's usually ahead of whoever that receiver

122
00:06:22,600 --> 00:06:25,440
Speaker 3: would be, whether it was like Zay Jones or even

123
00:06:25,480 --> 00:06:28,640
Speaker 3: Wilson wasn't getting targets in that in that role essentially

124
00:06:29,279 --> 00:06:30,880
Speaker 3: earlier in the year. So yeah, it's more of a

125
00:06:31,080 --> 00:06:33,680
Speaker 3: definitely a team thing because we see it every week

126
00:06:33,720 --> 00:06:36,600
Speaker 3: where there's like somebody who like Christian Kirk, but he

127
00:06:36,640 --> 00:06:38,400
Speaker 3: had a really good game a couple of weeks ago, right,

128
00:06:38,520 --> 00:06:40,640
Speaker 3: or a pretty good game, and then last week it

129
00:06:40,720 --> 00:06:44,279
Speaker 3: was just nothing. Yeah, so you know, you know there's

130
00:06:44,320 --> 00:06:46,680
Speaker 3: like coaches and quarterback they're probably talking about themselves with

131
00:06:46,760 --> 00:06:48,600
Speaker 3: the receivers like all right, this week, you're gonna be

132
00:06:48,640 --> 00:06:51,840
Speaker 3: more of a deco. I mean, marii Cooper was like

133
00:06:51,920 --> 00:06:54,680
Speaker 3: that for the Bills for like the entire like the

134
00:06:54,760 --> 00:06:56,440
Speaker 3: last like seven or eight games that he was with

135
00:06:56,560 --> 00:07:00,280
Speaker 3: them last year. Just did absolutely just ran to into

136
00:07:00,320 --> 00:07:02,640
Speaker 3: wherever the play wasn't if it was a past and

137
00:07:03,160 --> 00:07:04,840
Speaker 3: and just random blox about it, but it was a run.

138
00:07:04,880 --> 00:07:10,280
Speaker 3: That was all he Now, he ain't fucking nobody's who's

139
00:07:10,280 --> 00:07:14,760
Speaker 3: just gonna get cut like Raymary McCleod. It comes down

140
00:07:14,800 --> 00:07:16,880
Speaker 3: to that was kind of a weird signing though he

141
00:07:16,920 --> 00:07:19,160
Speaker 3: doesn't strike me as the guy that's gonna just win

142
00:07:19,240 --> 00:07:21,240
Speaker 3: in that area. But I guess they also got uh

143
00:07:21,760 --> 00:07:24,120
Speaker 3: that's why I got gave Davis, who is kind of

144
00:07:24,160 --> 00:07:28,920
Speaker 3: the opposite. All right, Uh, that was a lot. That

145
00:07:29,040 --> 00:07:31,400
Speaker 3: was a lot Before we get to our top five

146
00:07:31,600 --> 00:07:35,880
Speaker 3: quarterbacks Week fourteen, Who are looking at in the top

147
00:07:35,960 --> 00:07:39,760
Speaker 3: five four teams on by so? Uh No, who got

148
00:07:39,800 --> 00:07:41,000
Speaker 3: no Jackson Dart this week?

149
00:07:41,040 --> 00:07:45,040
Speaker 1: I guess that's no Dart, No Bryce Young, no Drake May.

150
00:07:45,280 --> 00:07:46,800
Speaker 2: More importantly, Yeah, that's.

151
00:07:48,320 --> 00:07:50,920
Speaker 3: Yep. So May is the one guy that would probably

152
00:07:50,920 --> 00:07:52,840
Speaker 3: be there. But who are looking at for our top

153
00:07:52,920 --> 00:07:54,000
Speaker 3: five this week?

154
00:07:54,760 --> 00:07:58,720
Speaker 1: I got Josh Allen, Lamar Jackson, Dak Prescott, Patrick Mahomes

155
00:07:58,880 --> 00:07:59,840
Speaker 1: and Jalen Hurts.

156
00:08:02,600 --> 00:08:06,400
Speaker 3: Yeah, I got the same five, but different order. I

157
00:08:06,480 --> 00:08:14,400
Speaker 3: got Allen Prescott, Mahomes, Hurts Jackson, and I start it

158
00:08:14,480 --> 00:08:17,400
Speaker 3: gets it gets really shaky after. I mean, I mean,

159
00:08:17,800 --> 00:08:21,480
Speaker 3: you know, Mahomes tough matchup, but should probably be okay

160
00:08:21,600 --> 00:08:23,720
Speaker 3: at home, you know, big big game for the Chiefs.

161
00:08:23,920 --> 00:08:26,160
Speaker 3: But I mean Hurts, I mean we have any confidence

162
00:08:26,200 --> 00:08:29,360
Speaker 3: in him versus on zone heavy defense? No, and then

163
00:08:30,400 --> 00:08:33,360
Speaker 3: and then Lamar Jackson is like, oh my god, like yeah,

164
00:08:33,880 --> 00:08:36,280
Speaker 3: the bank of strength to schedule is probably like all

165
00:08:36,400 --> 00:08:40,320
Speaker 3: messed up. Now, the defensive like schedule strength and they

166
00:08:40,400 --> 00:08:43,200
Speaker 3: probably rebounded. They're probably gonna be like eighteenth in defensive

167
00:08:43,240 --> 00:08:45,920
Speaker 3: d o A. After after that, because it's like, what

168
00:08:46,120 --> 00:08:46,839
Speaker 3: the hell.

169
00:08:47,520 --> 00:08:50,040
Speaker 1: How close do you have Stafford your top five? Because

170
00:08:50,080 --> 00:08:52,439
Speaker 1: like one slight tweak and he's in my top five.

171
00:08:52,520 --> 00:08:53,640
Speaker 1: I might have to make that tweak.

172
00:08:54,640 --> 00:08:58,240
Speaker 3: Yeah six, he QB six because.

173
00:08:58,640 --> 00:09:03,240
Speaker 2: Like the Xavier Smith role, like the old like DeShawn

174
00:09:03,320 --> 00:09:03,959
Speaker 2: Jackson role.

175
00:09:04,640 --> 00:09:08,280
Speaker 3: Now you have like a well, yeah, don't just forget

176
00:09:08,320 --> 00:09:09,720
Speaker 3: about he's supposed to be bad.

177
00:09:10,880 --> 00:09:12,520
Speaker 2: He was yeah fifty one.

178
00:09:12,440 --> 00:09:16,079
Speaker 3: Percent route right this year very quietly. Yeah, yeah, so

179
00:09:16,200 --> 00:09:19,280
Speaker 3: he could no targets no target, no targets.

180
00:09:18,960 --> 00:09:19,440
Speaker 2: Right right.

181
00:09:19,480 --> 00:09:21,760
Speaker 1: I think DeShawn Jackson is a better comp because he

182
00:09:21,880 --> 00:09:24,679
Speaker 1: was actually seeing targets in that role. But yeah, just uh,

183
00:09:24,920 --> 00:09:28,679
Speaker 1: I mean Stafford clear my touchdown bet a couple weeks ago.

184
00:09:28,720 --> 00:09:31,640
Speaker 1: I think he might repass up twenty two and a

185
00:09:31,679 --> 00:09:34,280
Speaker 1: half passing touchdowns the rest of the season too. He's

186
00:09:34,360 --> 00:09:37,439
Speaker 1: just been unbelievable. Didn't really have that good of a

187
00:09:37,480 --> 00:09:39,800
Speaker 1: game last week. But does he always struggle in the rain?

188
00:09:40,160 --> 00:09:41,240
Speaker 1: Am I getting that correctly?

189
00:09:41,400 --> 00:09:44,160
Speaker 3: Or like just like, yeah, yeah, he always has one

190
00:09:44,200 --> 00:09:45,800
Speaker 3: of those kind of late in the year, he just

191
00:09:45,840 --> 00:09:49,839
Speaker 3: has these like out outdoor clunkers kind of I mean

192
00:09:50,000 --> 00:09:53,320
Speaker 3: it wasn't it wasn't really a clunker per se, but yeah,

193
00:09:53,640 --> 00:09:56,559
Speaker 3: definitely kind of. Because he's playing in LA most of

194
00:09:56,559 --> 00:09:59,360
Speaker 3: the year, it's warmer, even in the outdoor games. So

195
00:09:59,480 --> 00:10:01,319
Speaker 3: I remember there was a game against the Jets, I

196
00:10:01,400 --> 00:10:04,120
Speaker 3: think at the tail end of last year. Just yeah,

197
00:10:04,120 --> 00:10:06,880
Speaker 3: because Rogers was chucking it to Adams all game. So yeah,

198
00:10:07,160 --> 00:10:09,400
Speaker 3: that's probably where the Rams decided they wanted Adams now

199
00:10:09,440 --> 00:10:11,199
Speaker 3: that I think about it. But yeah, he has he's

200
00:10:11,240 --> 00:10:12,679
Speaker 3: good for He's gonna throw a couple of those down

201
00:10:12,679 --> 00:10:15,679
Speaker 3: the stretch each each year. I mean he is like,

202
00:10:15,880 --> 00:10:18,280
Speaker 3: what he seems older than he is. Is he forty?

203
00:10:18,320 --> 00:10:19,600
Speaker 3: Yet he's not forty right.

204
00:10:21,320 --> 00:10:24,400
Speaker 2: He's like, you know, pushing it. Probably thirty nine, right,

205
00:10:24,960 --> 00:10:26,240
Speaker 2: thirty seven? My bad?

206
00:10:26,360 --> 00:10:29,600
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, burning thirty eight in a couple of months.

207
00:10:30,040 --> 00:10:32,559
Speaker 2: So getting there, Yeah, it was a few.

208
00:10:33,000 --> 00:10:36,000
Speaker 3: I mean, Rogers is not throwing his many touchdowns to Adams,

209
00:10:36,040 --> 00:10:38,240
Speaker 3: but he was. He was kind of chucking it around

210
00:10:38,480 --> 00:10:39,080
Speaker 3: at forty.

211
00:10:39,720 --> 00:10:42,439
Speaker 1: So this is a picture of him just beat the

212
00:10:42,520 --> 00:10:46,640
Speaker 1: ship with the Rogers the tape. Yeah, it was like

213
00:10:47,000 --> 00:10:47,640
Speaker 1: I saw the meme.

214
00:10:49,480 --> 00:10:51,240
Speaker 2: Yeah, it was like, there's a meme.

215
00:10:51,320 --> 00:10:53,360
Speaker 1: It's like Aaron Rodgers looks like he's trying to rob

216
00:10:53,960 --> 00:10:55,240
Speaker 1: Kevin mccallister's house.

217
00:10:56,160 --> 00:10:59,760
Speaker 2: Oh man from home alone. Oh my god, hilarious.

218
00:11:00,559 --> 00:11:05,480
Speaker 3: That's a throwback. All right, now that we've aged ourselves,

219
00:11:05,720 --> 00:11:09,160
Speaker 3: let's uh, let's let me get Oh yeah, who are

220
00:11:09,160 --> 00:11:10,600
Speaker 3: we high? And I'm like, I'm all over the place

221
00:11:10,920 --> 00:11:13,720
Speaker 3: there are We're still it's just on the second thing

222
00:11:13,800 --> 00:11:14,520
Speaker 3: in the outline.

223
00:11:14,840 --> 00:11:15,200
Speaker 2: It's weak.

224
00:11:16,800 --> 00:11:19,560
Speaker 1: We know where we can install. We're gonna just plow

225
00:11:19,640 --> 00:11:22,679
Speaker 1: through this. I'm high on Dak Prescott. He was my

226
00:11:22,840 --> 00:11:28,560
Speaker 1: QB three facing the Lions here on Thursday night. But he's,

227
00:11:28,679 --> 00:11:30,560
Speaker 1: you know, just playing at a really high level right now,

228
00:11:30,880 --> 00:11:34,199
Speaker 1: with back to back three hundred plus yard passing games.

229
00:11:34,760 --> 00:11:37,240
Speaker 1: Has arguably, you know, the best wide receiver duo right

230
00:11:37,280 --> 00:11:40,679
Speaker 1: now with you know, Ceedee Lamb and George Pickens. And

231
00:11:41,320 --> 00:11:44,360
Speaker 1: you know, the Lions have allowed pretty big games to Jamis.

232
00:11:44,520 --> 00:11:47,680
Speaker 1: You know, they allowed three hundred and sixty six yards

233
00:11:47,720 --> 00:11:50,360
Speaker 1: two touchdowns of him. Didn't he like score a touchdown

234
00:11:50,400 --> 00:11:53,480
Speaker 1: as a receiver to Yeah cool yeah in that game?

235
00:11:53,640 --> 00:11:56,880
Speaker 3: So I believe it was yeah, yeah, yeah.

236
00:11:57,040 --> 00:12:00,360
Speaker 2: So I mean they're just uh racking up and Jordan

237
00:12:00,440 --> 00:12:01,959
Speaker 2: Levy or high on him last week. That was a

238
00:12:02,000 --> 00:12:02,360
Speaker 2: great call.

239
00:12:02,440 --> 00:12:05,720
Speaker 1: Two hundred and thirty four yards, four touchdowns. He cleared

240
00:12:05,760 --> 00:12:08,240
Speaker 1: my prop on that fourth down conversion by two yards,

241
00:12:08,480 --> 00:12:13,040
Speaker 1: So I love that play. But you know, Jax has

242
00:12:13,080 --> 00:12:15,040
Speaker 1: been playing at high level and he's been using his

243
00:12:15,240 --> 00:12:18,240
Speaker 1: legs a lot more recently. Our guy Jill hit his

244
00:12:18,720 --> 00:12:21,400
Speaker 1: touchdown bet the other the week. So if you look

245
00:12:21,440 --> 00:12:24,840
Speaker 1: at the last five games, he has at least thirty

246
00:12:24,880 --> 00:12:27,280
Speaker 1: plus rushing yards or a rushing touchdown three of those,

247
00:12:27,720 --> 00:12:30,160
Speaker 1: which is kind of rare for him. But he's bringing

248
00:12:30,240 --> 00:12:33,040
Speaker 1: back his rushing upside that he used to have back

249
00:12:33,080 --> 00:12:35,719
Speaker 1: in the day. So just having said all that, with

250
00:12:35,880 --> 00:12:38,679
Speaker 1: kind of the turmoil in the top five, you know,

251
00:12:38,720 --> 00:12:42,400
Speaker 1: outside of Josh Allen facing the Bengals, you know, DA's

252
00:12:42,440 --> 00:12:44,760
Speaker 1: in a really sneaky spot and he could end up

253
00:12:44,800 --> 00:12:47,959
Speaker 1: being my QB two by the end of the week.

254
00:12:48,120 --> 00:12:50,400
Speaker 2: Right now, I have Lamar barely ahead of him.

255
00:12:50,480 --> 00:12:52,880
Speaker 1: But yeah, as of now, you know, Dak's a clear

256
00:12:52,960 --> 00:12:55,240
Speaker 1: top three, maybe top two option for me this week.

257
00:12:57,120 --> 00:13:00,800
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean he's my QB two. Yeah, No, he's

258
00:13:00,840 --> 00:13:03,200
Speaker 3: my QB two. Actually, So him and Mahomes are tied.

259
00:13:03,240 --> 00:13:06,760
Speaker 3: So they just so they actually they actually it doesn't matter.

260
00:13:06,880 --> 00:13:09,120
Speaker 3: I guess it's just like clip fucked for some reason.

261
00:13:09,160 --> 00:13:13,840
Speaker 3: But they're literally tied. So, but they are significantly behind

262
00:13:14,080 --> 00:13:18,160
Speaker 3: Allen for me actually, so yeah, I think Dak yet

263
00:13:18,240 --> 00:13:23,080
Speaker 3: number two. Definitely. I do have more confidence in him,

264
00:13:23,200 --> 00:13:26,120
Speaker 3: just like you know, eye test wise right now over Mahomes,

265
00:13:26,200 --> 00:13:30,240
Speaker 3: just because using the defense still gonna be pretty good.

266
00:13:30,320 --> 00:13:34,199
Speaker 3: Still outdoor game for Mahomes where it's Prescott, it's not.

267
00:13:34,480 --> 00:13:36,760
Speaker 3: I mean, obviously that's already I'm factoring that and already

268
00:13:36,800 --> 00:13:40,040
Speaker 3: with the initial projections. But yeah, I have I have

269
00:13:40,280 --> 00:13:42,640
Speaker 3: Dak it's just a rushing you know for Mahomes, which

270
00:13:42,679 --> 00:13:44,559
Speaker 3: is a little more high variants that could kind of

271
00:13:45,520 --> 00:13:49,640
Speaker 3: be an equal wiser. But I'm high on Tyrod Taylor

272
00:13:49,840 --> 00:13:52,600
Speaker 3: at quarterbacks. He's a guy that's I believe you said

273
00:13:52,600 --> 00:13:54,520
Speaker 3: you have him QB fifteen. So yeah, he's right. He's

274
00:13:54,559 --> 00:13:57,599
Speaker 3: pushing that that startable range for me as well. And

275
00:13:58,280 --> 00:14:00,880
Speaker 3: you know, going up against Miami, it's a pretty good matchup.

276
00:14:00,920 --> 00:14:02,719
Speaker 3: It's been a pretty good matchup for most of the year.

277
00:14:02,800 --> 00:14:06,960
Speaker 3: They've also played just a schedule that is not great

278
00:14:07,080 --> 00:14:10,280
Speaker 3: at all. So uh like Taylor hair because he can move,

279
00:14:10,640 --> 00:14:13,480
Speaker 3: move around, and late in the year always like these

280
00:14:13,520 --> 00:14:17,120
Speaker 3: quarterbacks that there's just a lot more unpredictability. Uh, you know,

281
00:14:17,200 --> 00:14:19,680
Speaker 3: guys on defense are going down, some defenses are getting healthier.

282
00:14:19,760 --> 00:14:22,560
Speaker 3: It's outdoor games that could be weird, whether it's you know,

283
00:14:22,680 --> 00:14:26,360
Speaker 3: humidity or whatever it is so rain. So I like

284
00:14:26,400 --> 00:14:28,720
Speaker 3: a guy like Taylor that can move around as opposed

285
00:14:28,720 --> 00:14:30,640
Speaker 3: to somebody like on the other side of that match

286
00:14:30,720 --> 00:14:33,280
Speaker 3: with like Tua, who you know, I think he could

287
00:14:33,280 --> 00:14:36,720
Speaker 3: be in the discussion potentially, just because, uh, the Jets

288
00:14:36,760 --> 00:14:39,560
Speaker 3: aren't really a respected defense but they've been solid, especially

289
00:14:39,640 --> 00:14:42,920
Speaker 3: given if you adjust for you know, Sauce Gardner being out,

290
00:14:43,000 --> 00:14:46,080
Speaker 3: they've been pretty good regardless of that. They just don't

291
00:14:46,080 --> 00:14:49,240
Speaker 3: get turnovers. So UH don't really want to go with

292
00:14:49,400 --> 00:14:52,040
Speaker 3: somebody like TUA. Would love to go with somebody like

293
00:14:52,120 --> 00:14:54,360
Speaker 3: Tyrod if i'm if I don't have like one of

294
00:14:54,400 --> 00:14:56,080
Speaker 3: those top ten guys. The only I think we talked

295
00:14:56,080 --> 00:14:58,680
Speaker 3: about Trevor Lawrence is probably one of those only other

296
00:14:58,720 --> 00:15:00,560
Speaker 3: guys you don't have, like a Brusette that you picked

297
00:15:00,640 --> 00:15:03,720
Speaker 3: up or somebody like that. It's been kind of kind

298
00:15:03,760 --> 00:15:06,400
Speaker 3: of week on the streaming market over these past few weeks,

299
00:15:06,440 --> 00:15:09,440
Speaker 3: But I like, I like Tyrod to beat his e

300
00:15:09,560 --> 00:15:12,200
Speaker 3: c R. So if you are if you don't get

301
00:15:12,360 --> 00:15:15,200
Speaker 3: Trevor Lawrence and there's no Brissette, and uh, you know

302
00:15:15,320 --> 00:15:17,840
Speaker 3: Stroud is kind of I mean, he's he's on that

303
00:15:17,920 --> 00:15:20,400
Speaker 3: borderline too, So I would, I would, I would feel

304
00:15:20,400 --> 00:15:22,480
Speaker 3: good with uh with Tyron here, and we could be

305
00:15:22,560 --> 00:15:25,600
Speaker 3: without Herbert too, right pray wance where he be rank

306
00:15:26,360 --> 00:15:27,000
Speaker 3: we'll all start.

307
00:15:27,120 --> 00:15:28,160
Speaker 2: We might have to find out.

308
00:15:31,800 --> 00:15:34,320
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, so that's the guy I'm low on, justin

309
00:15:34,360 --> 00:15:37,880
Speaker 1: Herbert obviously, you know he's up in the air right

310
00:15:37,920 --> 00:15:40,160
Speaker 1: now and needing surgery on his non throwing hand. Had

311
00:15:40,200 --> 00:15:43,160
Speaker 1: surgery yesterday, but he's labeled day to day, and it

312
00:15:43,200 --> 00:15:46,560
Speaker 1: sounds like, you know, he should suit up and he

313
00:15:46,680 --> 00:15:48,880
Speaker 1: gets an extra day. You know, they play Monday night,

314
00:15:49,040 --> 00:15:51,720
Speaker 1: so this is a situation where we don't know if

315
00:15:51,760 --> 00:15:56,320
Speaker 1: he's playing. But assuming he does suit up, I still

316
00:15:56,320 --> 00:15:58,760
Speaker 1: probably wouldn't start him because this is a brutal matchup

317
00:15:59,240 --> 00:16:03,760
Speaker 1: at Philly, and we've seen in the past whenever he's hurting,

318
00:16:04,400 --> 00:16:08,360
Speaker 1: whether it's ribs, legs, knee, foot, he just tends to

319
00:16:08,560 --> 00:16:12,400
Speaker 1: dial back his rushing upside. So I would imagine with

320
00:16:12,520 --> 00:16:16,160
Speaker 1: a you know, broken hand, he might have a good

321
00:16:16,280 --> 00:16:19,040
Speaker 1: cast where he feel coveral running, but he might not

322
00:16:19,240 --> 00:16:23,680
Speaker 1: use his legs as much. Already a brutal matchup already,

323
00:16:24,360 --> 00:16:26,800
Speaker 1: so I'm projecting him closer to you know, QB nineteen

324
00:16:26,880 --> 00:16:29,200
Speaker 1: this week. So the fact that he plays Monday night,

325
00:16:29,240 --> 00:16:30,880
Speaker 1: there's a chance that you know, we don't even know

326
00:16:30,920 --> 00:16:33,760
Speaker 1: if he's playing yet, I would just start making plans

327
00:16:34,400 --> 00:16:37,320
Speaker 1: for somebody else right now. Again, you mentioned like Tyrod Taylor,

328
00:16:37,880 --> 00:16:41,920
Speaker 1: I have CJ. Stroud ranked higher, Trevor Lawrence. There's just

329
00:16:42,040 --> 00:16:44,760
Speaker 1: better options this week and then hopefully, you know, after

330
00:16:44,880 --> 00:16:48,560
Speaker 1: playing through he gets through the game. Fine, he's closer

331
00:16:48,560 --> 00:16:50,480
Speaker 1: to one hundred percent next week, but yeah, there's a

332
00:16:50,600 --> 00:16:53,000
Speaker 1: chance that we do see Trey Lance end up starting here.

333
00:16:53,080 --> 00:16:55,960
Speaker 3: Though. Yeah, I think what you meant to say was

334
00:16:56,440 --> 00:16:59,240
Speaker 3: he's hurt his hands, that he might not pass as

335
00:16:59,320 --> 00:17:01,600
Speaker 3: much as this. His defense is really good, agato the pass.

336
00:17:01,920 --> 00:17:04,280
Speaker 3: If he's using his legs too much, that's not good either,

337
00:17:05,160 --> 00:17:07,080
Speaker 3: because he could throw the ball down the field, So

338
00:17:07,160 --> 00:17:08,680
Speaker 3: you want him doing that. I mean, obviously it's his

339
00:17:09,280 --> 00:17:12,520
Speaker 3: you know, other one, but this Eagle's defense pass is

340
00:17:12,560 --> 00:17:16,240
Speaker 3: a run funnel number six in DVA against the pass,

341
00:17:16,680 --> 00:17:20,600
Speaker 3: number twenty two against the run. So yeah, I'm not

342
00:17:20,640 --> 00:17:22,960
Speaker 3: I don't have confidence in I wouldn't have confidence in

343
00:17:23,000 --> 00:17:24,720
Speaker 3: Herbert either way. I just thought it was hilarious that

344
00:17:25,800 --> 00:17:27,360
Speaker 3: what was it coming out of there by a couple

345
00:17:27,400 --> 00:17:29,600
Speaker 3: of weeks ago or going into there by they got

346
00:17:29,640 --> 00:17:32,760
Speaker 3: blown out by the Jaguars, that Herbert was out of

347
00:17:32,800 --> 00:17:35,320
Speaker 3: the game, but like the third quarter, Trey Lance was

348
00:17:35,359 --> 00:17:39,240
Speaker 3: in and then and somehow he's now he's still hurt

349
00:17:39,280 --> 00:17:41,600
Speaker 3: and in danger of missing games and they pulled them

350
00:17:42,359 --> 00:17:44,440
Speaker 3: in the last game too. Unless he was already hurt.

351
00:17:44,480 --> 00:17:46,520
Speaker 3: I didn't I didn't see anything about that, but it's

352
00:17:46,560 --> 00:17:49,320
Speaker 3: possible he was hurt then at that point. But yeah,

353
00:17:49,400 --> 00:17:51,879
Speaker 3: this is we see this from Herbert. I feel like

354
00:17:51,920 --> 00:17:55,600
Speaker 3: like clockwork. But every time the Chargers suffer O line injuries,

355
00:17:55,680 --> 00:17:57,760
Speaker 3: it's just for some reason. It's just like the end

356
00:17:57,800 --> 00:18:01,400
Speaker 3: of the world. They can't just for like any offensive

357
00:18:01,440 --> 00:18:04,000
Speaker 3: line injury. It has to be like justin Herbert is

358
00:18:04,080 --> 00:18:08,800
Speaker 3: just getting ya Tito up out there in you know

359
00:18:08,840 --> 00:18:13,159
Speaker 3: what I mean, It's just inexplicable. But I'm well, on

360
00:18:13,720 --> 00:18:17,399
Speaker 3: the other quarterback in that matchup, Jalen Hurts, and this

361
00:18:17,560 --> 00:18:20,600
Speaker 3: is just a kind of a matchup thing, and just

362
00:18:20,840 --> 00:18:24,680
Speaker 3: I mean a Jalen Hurts thing. But Jalen Hurts, you know,

363
00:18:24,920 --> 00:18:28,040
Speaker 3: tends to struggle more against zone coverages. You know, one

364
00:18:28,080 --> 00:18:30,960
Speaker 3: of those quarterbacks that it just doesn't come as easy

365
00:18:31,040 --> 00:18:32,879
Speaker 3: to him with the progressions in the reads, and he

366
00:18:33,000 --> 00:18:35,520
Speaker 3: tends to just you know, take you know, not take

367
00:18:35,560 --> 00:18:37,920
Speaker 3: as many risks and just you can pull the ball down.

368
00:18:38,000 --> 00:18:40,320
Speaker 3: And we've even heard, you know, some frustrations about that.

369
00:18:40,480 --> 00:18:43,320
Speaker 3: So I do think the Chargers will continue to lean

370
00:18:43,400 --> 00:18:45,280
Speaker 3: into that that coverage. They've been one of the most

371
00:18:45,320 --> 00:18:47,600
Speaker 3: zone heavy teams them in. The Raiders tend to be

372
00:18:48,000 --> 00:18:50,400
Speaker 3: some of the most zone heavy teams each and every week.

373
00:18:50,840 --> 00:18:54,840
Speaker 3: Most teams around sixty forty seventy thirty, but the charges

374
00:18:54,920 --> 00:18:57,280
Speaker 3: usually can push you know, into the eighty percent a

375
00:18:57,320 --> 00:18:59,000
Speaker 3: lot of the times in their zone coverage rates, so

376
00:18:59,440 --> 00:19:04,040
Speaker 3: not much man for Jalen Hurts to take advantage of.

377
00:19:04,720 --> 00:19:07,680
Speaker 3: Now that means, you know, he would have to run more.

378
00:19:07,760 --> 00:19:09,800
Speaker 3: But then the more he play zone, the more eyes

379
00:19:09,840 --> 00:19:12,720
Speaker 3: you have on him. So don't really love the matchup.

380
00:19:12,720 --> 00:19:14,359
Speaker 3: And that's just not even accounting for the fact that

381
00:19:16,080 --> 00:19:18,840
Speaker 3: he's been struggling. I mean, I think he was kind

382
00:19:18,840 --> 00:19:20,520
Speaker 3: of lucky to even put up the numbers he did

383
00:19:20,880 --> 00:19:23,520
Speaker 3: over the past few weeks, considering you know, they go

384
00:19:23,640 --> 00:19:28,239
Speaker 3: completely cold against Dallas, but he's already put up well

385
00:19:28,280 --> 00:19:31,359
Speaker 3: it's three passing touchdowns in against a bad defense and

386
00:19:31,359 --> 00:19:32,800
Speaker 3: then they do nothing for the rest of the game.

387
00:19:33,160 --> 00:19:35,840
Speaker 3: And against the Bearskins they just did nothing for most

388
00:19:35,880 --> 00:19:39,280
Speaker 3: of the game against another bad defense. So you know,

389
00:19:39,480 --> 00:19:43,160
Speaker 3: at any time, these scoring droughts are gonna really kind

390
00:19:43,160 --> 00:19:46,040
Speaker 3: of affect Hurts. They've been affecting Saquon bark week, which

391
00:19:46,040 --> 00:19:48,320
Speaker 3: I think we kind of touched down last week heading

392
00:19:48,320 --> 00:19:51,560
Speaker 3: into the week, but at any moment, they could affect

393
00:19:51,760 --> 00:19:54,159
Speaker 3: everyone in this offense. I mean, funny enough, A J.

394
00:19:54,280 --> 00:19:56,520
Speaker 3: Brown's been the one producing over these past few weeks,

395
00:19:56,520 --> 00:19:58,399
Speaker 3: and we know how upset he was for most of

396
00:19:58,440 --> 00:20:01,800
Speaker 3: the year. So I just I'm kind of I'm kind

397
00:20:01,800 --> 00:20:03,720
Speaker 3: of worried about Hurts in that top five as well.

398
00:20:04,640 --> 00:20:06,680
Speaker 3: I do feel a little bit better about probably having

399
00:20:06,680 --> 00:20:09,640
Speaker 3: a got like Stafford. Now, he's not gonna run at all,

400
00:20:09,760 --> 00:20:11,560
Speaker 3: so I would hope he gets like one of those

401
00:20:11,720 --> 00:20:14,120
Speaker 3: you know, didn't Joe Flacco get a touchdown this year rushing.

402
00:20:14,440 --> 00:20:18,520
Speaker 3: He'd want others from Stafford too, But yeah, so that

403
00:20:18,640 --> 00:20:22,000
Speaker 3: might be the equalizer. But yeah, it's I think Hurts

404
00:20:22,040 --> 00:20:24,000
Speaker 3: is trending down. This reminds me a lot of that

405
00:20:24,240 --> 00:20:27,720
Speaker 3: twenty twenty three season. When they started it was a

406
00:20:27,840 --> 00:20:29,719
Speaker 3: nine to one or something like that, and then they

407
00:20:30,040 --> 00:20:31,760
Speaker 3: just by the time they got to the playoffs, we

408
00:20:31,800 --> 00:20:35,359
Speaker 3: were all fading them against the Buccaneers, who were an

409
00:20:35,440 --> 00:20:38,520
Speaker 3: upstart team at that time. Baker wasn't even like full

410
00:20:38,560 --> 00:20:41,520
Speaker 3: Baker yet, and we were fading the Eagles there and

411
00:20:41,560 --> 00:20:44,399
Speaker 3: that's why, and they lost that game. Handily to the Bucks.

412
00:20:44,440 --> 00:20:46,800
Speaker 3: So it's kind of trending in that direction. Again, Saquon

413
00:20:46,880 --> 00:20:50,200
Speaker 3: can't run and Hurts isn't throwing the ball well or

414
00:20:50,240 --> 00:20:52,639
Speaker 3: making you know, he's trying to not turn it over,

415
00:20:52,760 --> 00:20:54,560
Speaker 3: which I think is not what you want out of

416
00:20:54,640 --> 00:21:00,720
Speaker 3: him going forward. So glowing Hurts what we got for

417
00:21:01,000 --> 00:21:04,080
Speaker 3: a prop at quarterback for week fourteen?

418
00:21:04,880 --> 00:21:08,320
Speaker 1: Yeah, So someone that listens to our show on Twitter,

419
00:21:08,840 --> 00:21:12,720
Speaker 1: goes by Juice was asking, like our thoughts on Lamar

420
00:21:12,840 --> 00:21:14,320
Speaker 1: Jackson this week and going forward?

421
00:21:14,359 --> 00:21:16,639
Speaker 2: So I just tried to make a prop with Lamar.

422
00:21:16,760 --> 00:21:20,280
Speaker 1: So I'm gonna do you pick who has more fancy

423
00:21:20,359 --> 00:21:24,000
Speaker 1: points this week, Dak Prescott or Lamar Jackson.

424
00:21:24,080 --> 00:21:25,200
Speaker 2: I actually have him tied.

425
00:21:25,320 --> 00:21:28,800
Speaker 1: But just your thoughts on just him right now, and like,

426
00:21:29,400 --> 00:21:31,520
Speaker 1: is he going to bounce back from last week? Are

427
00:21:31,560 --> 00:21:33,879
Speaker 1: we going to see his rushing upside get better now

428
00:21:34,040 --> 00:21:36,480
Speaker 1: that you know hopefully his handscring is getting better? But

429
00:21:36,840 --> 00:21:39,080
Speaker 1: thoughts on Lamar this week and kind of going forward.

430
00:21:41,440 --> 00:21:44,040
Speaker 3: He's a shell of himself over the past four weeks.

431
00:21:44,880 --> 00:21:47,919
Speaker 3: He is probably not gonna run that much more because Baltimore,

432
00:21:48,040 --> 00:21:51,840
Speaker 3: despite that loss to Cincinnati, is still trying to make

433
00:21:51,920 --> 00:21:56,359
Speaker 3: a playoff push, and so I think you know what

434
00:21:56,520 --> 00:21:58,520
Speaker 3: he does run, it's one of those things where you

435
00:21:58,600 --> 00:22:01,320
Speaker 3: kind of have to look at the expected touchdowns to

436
00:22:01,480 --> 00:22:03,480
Speaker 3: not just the yards, because you know, I think there

437
00:22:03,560 --> 00:22:05,240
Speaker 3: was a week a few weeks ago, I was hearing

438
00:22:05,240 --> 00:22:06,720
Speaker 3: that they were going to try to run more around

439
00:22:06,880 --> 00:22:09,640
Speaker 3: the goal on and hasn't really happened. Their red zone

440
00:22:09,680 --> 00:22:11,600
Speaker 3: offense has been broken. But he's the guy that's going

441
00:22:11,680 --> 00:22:15,679
Speaker 3: to pick up most of his yards, you know, on scrambles.

442
00:22:15,720 --> 00:22:17,680
Speaker 3: He's like, it's not necessarily going to correlate with his

443
00:22:17,800 --> 00:22:20,240
Speaker 3: touchdowns going up. So I mean, even if he picks

444
00:22:20,320 --> 00:22:26,560
Speaker 3: up you know, another what fifteen twenty yards a game rushing,

445
00:22:26,920 --> 00:22:30,359
Speaker 3: I don't even know if that's necessarily going to impact

446
00:22:30,680 --> 00:22:32,399
Speaker 3: the bottom line as much as we think it is,

447
00:22:32,400 --> 00:22:33,879
Speaker 3: because it's probably just going to come out of his

448
00:22:34,960 --> 00:22:37,080
Speaker 3: his passing yards, which have also been shaky as of

449
00:22:37,480 --> 00:22:41,119
Speaker 3: I mean pretty much the entire year, and this, you know,

450
00:22:41,440 --> 00:22:44,920
Speaker 3: his yards per attempt definitely is probably a little like

451
00:22:45,040 --> 00:22:47,240
Speaker 3: his expected yards p attempt, probably even a little lower

452
00:22:47,320 --> 00:22:49,440
Speaker 3: than even it has been in his career because they're

453
00:22:49,680 --> 00:22:54,480
Speaker 3: they're really leaning into that heavy personnel, especially since Racard returned,

454
00:22:54,480 --> 00:22:58,680
Speaker 3: which is coinciding with Lamar kind of you know, getting

455
00:22:58,880 --> 00:23:02,159
Speaker 3: getting into this funk. It's been card it's been likely Andrews.

456
00:23:02,640 --> 00:23:04,879
Speaker 3: You only have like one or two wide receivers out there,

457
00:23:04,960 --> 00:23:07,440
Speaker 3: so it's gonna be hard to get you know, eight

458
00:23:07,560 --> 00:23:10,760
Speaker 3: yards at attempt or whatever. Jackson has been averaging over

459
00:23:10,800 --> 00:23:12,720
Speaker 3: these past few years. Eight point six, No, what was it?

460
00:23:14,280 --> 00:23:15,639
Speaker 3: That was a touchdown rate. It was eight points of

461
00:23:15,680 --> 00:23:18,119
Speaker 3: those yards for ten eight point eight eight point of

462
00:23:18,200 --> 00:23:21,400
Speaker 3: yards per tentp last year, eight point oh the year

463
00:23:21,480 --> 00:23:24,680
Speaker 3: before that, but then you know before that six point

464
00:23:24,760 --> 00:23:27,760
Speaker 3: nine and twenty twenty two, seven point five and twenty

465
00:23:27,840 --> 00:23:31,320
Speaker 3: one and seven point three and twenty twenty and of

466
00:23:31,400 --> 00:23:33,760
Speaker 3: course I think he got better. That's partly why he

467
00:23:33,800 --> 00:23:36,480
Speaker 3: averaged more yards for a tent, but also they started

468
00:23:36,560 --> 00:23:38,480
Speaker 3: weaning into a little bit more you know, wide receiver

469
00:23:38,640 --> 00:23:43,399
Speaker 3: centric and pass heavy formations with Todd Monkin early in

470
00:23:43,520 --> 00:23:45,680
Speaker 3: his tenure, and now it's kind of been just you know,

471
00:23:45,800 --> 00:23:48,160
Speaker 3: heavy personnel and let's just try to try to get

472
00:23:48,160 --> 00:23:50,760
Speaker 3: out of here with a win. And I think that's

473
00:23:50,840 --> 00:23:53,880
Speaker 3: affecting Lamar and obviously athletically he's not where he wants

474
00:23:53,920 --> 00:23:56,040
Speaker 3: to be, so yeah, I don't have too much hope

475
00:23:56,960 --> 00:23:59,560
Speaker 3: we'll know. We'll probably know when it happens, but I'm

476
00:23:59,600 --> 00:24:02,000
Speaker 3: not gonna I wear my Wesson ranking him. I think

477
00:24:02,000 --> 00:24:04,359
Speaker 3: he ended up as like my QB one and or

478
00:24:04,400 --> 00:24:07,040
Speaker 3: two last week because of the matchup, and it just

479
00:24:07,600 --> 00:24:11,399
Speaker 3: you know, if we like the best matchup. Yeah, that

480
00:24:11,600 --> 00:24:12,800
Speaker 3: was modeled, so.

481
00:24:13,600 --> 00:24:17,399
Speaker 1: It's like, yeah, yeah, like if you can't have a

482
00:24:17,440 --> 00:24:19,200
Speaker 1: good game against the Bengals, who can you have a

483
00:24:19,240 --> 00:24:20,040
Speaker 1: good game against?

484
00:24:20,320 --> 00:24:22,000
Speaker 3: Well, kind of factors in right, So it's like, I

485
00:24:22,080 --> 00:24:23,480
Speaker 3: take the strength of schedule, and then the strength of

486
00:24:23,520 --> 00:24:25,920
Speaker 3: schedule versus the strength you know, it keeps always kind

487
00:24:25,920 --> 00:24:28,760
Speaker 3: of adjusting itself. So yeah, it's he got knocked out.

488
00:24:28,800 --> 00:24:32,119
Speaker 3: That's why he is my quarterback five this week, just

489
00:24:32,119 --> 00:24:34,640
Speaker 3: because he got knocked down for that that that dud

490
00:24:35,119 --> 00:24:37,760
Speaker 3: against the Bengals, which happened very recently too. But I

491
00:24:37,800 --> 00:24:40,320
Speaker 3: mean Hurts is also sucking. Yeah I thought you were.

492
00:24:40,480 --> 00:24:43,400
Speaker 3: I'm going with Dak obviously, but I think a better

493
00:24:43,480 --> 00:24:47,520
Speaker 3: question would have been, uh, Hurts versus Lamar, because that

494
00:24:47,800 --> 00:24:50,639
Speaker 3: I mean, if you feel great if you're drafted him,

495
00:24:50,640 --> 00:24:53,200
Speaker 3: and then it's like but actually you're like heading into

496
00:24:53,240 --> 00:24:55,480
Speaker 3: the playoffs, you're probably kind of ship in your pants

497
00:24:55,520 --> 00:24:57,720
Speaker 3: and would like, oh no, like, are we really here

498
00:24:57,800 --> 00:24:58,800
Speaker 3: now with these two guys?

499
00:24:59,080 --> 00:25:01,200
Speaker 1: Yeah, so I would feel a little bit better of

500
00:25:01,400 --> 00:25:05,960
Speaker 1: Lamar bouncing back, but it's it's definitely hard and you know,

501
00:25:06,200 --> 00:25:09,040
Speaker 1: likely drop the ball what like on the one each line,

502
00:25:09,080 --> 00:25:11,480
Speaker 1: so that should have been a touchdown. But that's three

503
00:25:11,600 --> 00:25:14,120
Speaker 1: games now without a touchdown. I think he'll break out

504
00:25:14,119 --> 00:25:17,280
Speaker 1: of it. Maybe having a longer week because they played

505
00:25:17,320 --> 00:25:20,200
Speaker 1: on Thursday, will help get him back to you know,

506
00:25:20,200 --> 00:25:24,160
Speaker 1: one hundred percent. But yeah, it's been it's been rough,

507
00:25:24,359 --> 00:25:27,119
Speaker 1: but you know, what can you do if you have

508
00:25:27,200 --> 00:25:27,600
Speaker 1: to play him?

509
00:25:27,600 --> 00:25:31,199
Speaker 3: Obviously, I think Jay Flowers should have had like one

510
00:25:31,280 --> 00:25:34,119
Speaker 3: hundred dard receiving last week, and at least in my

511
00:25:34,240 --> 00:25:37,160
Speaker 3: model he did, and he had like six, So it's

512
00:25:37,280 --> 00:25:40,280
Speaker 3: just it's, yeah, it's one of those things where I mean,

513
00:25:41,880 --> 00:25:45,040
Speaker 3: if he only has Jay Flowers and and Bateman running

514
00:25:45,119 --> 00:25:48,880
Speaker 3: routes at wide receiver you know, most prevalently, and Jay

515
00:25:48,960 --> 00:25:52,320
Speaker 3: Flowers doesn't win, I mean you're really you're not working

516
00:25:52,359 --> 00:25:54,119
Speaker 3: with as much as you see, you know what I mean, Like,

517
00:25:54,200 --> 00:25:59,200
Speaker 3: there's just not much there, so uh, yeah, it's just

518
00:25:59,280 --> 00:26:01,680
Speaker 3: a toss up, like Hurts probably has the best. Hurts

519
00:26:01,720 --> 00:26:03,919
Speaker 3: has the better, Like he he comes out of nowhere

520
00:26:04,000 --> 00:26:06,960
Speaker 3: with good games. Sometimes when we're all doubting him, we're like,

521
00:26:07,119 --> 00:26:09,760
Speaker 3: we still get a game for aj or DeVante. But

522
00:26:10,520 --> 00:26:12,800
Speaker 3: Jackson is just so unpredictable that it yeah, it effects

523
00:26:13,200 --> 00:26:16,320
Speaker 3: effects like flowers or effects Andrews. It's just super frustrating.

524
00:26:17,320 --> 00:26:20,160
Speaker 3: Running back top five for week fourteen, let me pull

525
00:26:20,240 --> 00:26:20,480
Speaker 3: it up.

526
00:26:20,640 --> 00:26:24,760
Speaker 1: I haven't even seen it yet. This is always fun. Oh,

527
00:26:24,880 --> 00:26:29,080
Speaker 1: Jamiir Gibbs number one. Then I got Jonathan Taylor, Devon,

528
00:26:29,200 --> 00:26:32,240
Speaker 1: a Chan, jon Robinson, and James Cook.

529
00:26:32,880 --> 00:26:39,800
Speaker 3: See we got Gibbs, a Chin, Cook, Taylor, Bijon.

530
00:26:40,240 --> 00:26:41,399
Speaker 2: Yeah, I've talked about that.

531
00:26:42,000 --> 00:26:45,240
Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah about that right. Yeah, it's just like I

532
00:26:45,359 --> 00:26:47,600
Speaker 3: was listening, I'm like, oh, I haven't seen mine either,

533
00:26:47,640 --> 00:26:49,959
Speaker 3: So it wasn't like that would just ring a bell necessarily.

534
00:26:51,160 --> 00:26:53,320
Speaker 3: I was like, Okay, that sounds like it sounds about

535
00:26:53,400 --> 00:26:58,000
Speaker 3: right Gibbs and then but yeah, uh yeah, Taylors hasn't

536
00:26:58,040 --> 00:26:59,919
Speaker 3: been as as like, you know, he hasn't been run

537
00:27:00,119 --> 00:27:03,520
Speaker 3: away with that number one as of late. Some tougher

538
00:27:03,560 --> 00:27:06,879
Speaker 3: matchups for Indie, I guess, but he is you know

539
00:27:06,960 --> 00:27:09,600
Speaker 3: that natch up against Jacksonville, probably not one that could

540
00:27:09,640 --> 00:27:11,080
Speaker 3: go could go either way.

541
00:27:11,200 --> 00:27:16,200
Speaker 1: But who are you high on Quinchawn Judkins facing the

542
00:27:16,280 --> 00:27:19,359
Speaker 1: Titans this week? This is just you know, smash spot

543
00:27:19,520 --> 00:27:23,760
Speaker 1: for Judkins. The Browns are a rare four point home

544
00:27:23,880 --> 00:27:27,359
Speaker 1: favorite against the Titans here. Backup Dylan Sampson's day to

545
00:27:27,480 --> 00:27:29,080
Speaker 1: day with a calf injury, so he might not be

546
00:27:29,119 --> 00:27:32,600
Speaker 1: one hundred percent. I could see Judkins getting twenty plus

547
00:27:32,680 --> 00:27:36,640
Speaker 1: carries here, maybe even thirty things go according to plan.

548
00:27:37,440 --> 00:27:39,919
Speaker 1: Plus they've been using him in that wildcat play near

549
00:27:40,000 --> 00:27:42,040
Speaker 1: the goal line where it's you know, one hundred percent

550
00:27:42,160 --> 00:27:44,560
Speaker 1: chance he's going to get a goal line carry in

551
00:27:44,680 --> 00:27:50,040
Speaker 1: that formation, So that's that's been a bonus. But you know,

552
00:27:50,359 --> 00:27:52,000
Speaker 1: the Titans are a great matchup, but they have been

553
00:27:52,080 --> 00:27:54,840
Speaker 1: better against the run of late. You know, they were

554
00:27:54,920 --> 00:27:57,919
Speaker 1: without Devandre Sweat for a handful of games. They had

555
00:27:57,960 --> 00:28:01,240
Speaker 1: to face Jonathan Taylor twice and like a three game span,

556
00:28:01,400 --> 00:28:03,920
Speaker 1: so that hurt their you know, d v A rankings

557
00:28:03,960 --> 00:28:08,160
Speaker 1: and things like that. So getting sweatback was huge. And linebacker,

558
00:28:08,280 --> 00:28:11,720
Speaker 1: you know, Cedric Gray has been a beast, so you

559
00:28:11,800 --> 00:28:14,480
Speaker 1: know they have some decent pieces. Jeffrey Simmons there, But

560
00:28:14,600 --> 00:28:17,600
Speaker 1: either way, this is still a good spot and you

561
00:28:17,640 --> 00:28:20,879
Speaker 1: should see you know, massive workload just given expected game script.

562
00:28:21,000 --> 00:28:24,000
Speaker 1: So he opens up as my RB eleven to open

563
00:28:24,080 --> 00:28:24,320
Speaker 1: the week.

564
00:28:25,920 --> 00:28:28,320
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean that's really their offense right now if

565
00:28:28,359 --> 00:28:31,640
Speaker 3: they can, if they can get to it quin Shawn Judkins,

566
00:28:31,680 --> 00:28:35,080
Speaker 3: so like that one, and I think he is. Yeah,

567
00:28:35,119 --> 00:28:37,800
Speaker 3: that wildcat really helps because you don't get anything stolen,

568
00:28:37,920 --> 00:28:40,640
Speaker 3: you don't get vultured, you're just essentially just vulturing everyone

569
00:28:41,920 --> 00:28:48,400
Speaker 3: receivers quarterbacks whoever am I on Kamani Thedal just because

570
00:28:48,440 --> 00:28:53,080
Speaker 3: again I don't like this matchup for the quarterbacks here,

571
00:28:53,160 --> 00:28:55,840
Speaker 3: but I don't like the matchup for both quarterbacks. So

572
00:28:55,920 --> 00:28:59,160
Speaker 3: I think that this game could be a pretty close game.

573
00:28:59,240 --> 00:29:02,360
Speaker 3: And that scenario, you know, Vidal has been that lead back.

574
00:29:02,480 --> 00:29:05,880
Speaker 3: They've they've been losing guys. So if Amrion Hampton comes back,

575
00:29:05,920 --> 00:29:09,480
Speaker 3: which he could obviously not, but even so, I mean,

576
00:29:09,520 --> 00:29:11,520
Speaker 3: the coaching staff is kind of alluded to the like, okay,

577
00:29:11,520 --> 00:29:14,000
Speaker 3: we're gonna do like a you know, a committee. But

578
00:29:14,080 --> 00:29:16,200
Speaker 3: I was going to be involved here, so I wouldn't

579
00:29:16,200 --> 00:29:19,280
Speaker 3: be surprised if Fadal kind of keeps up that like

580
00:29:19,320 --> 00:29:22,000
Speaker 3: a similar Workloak kind of like a Swift and Menanjai

581
00:29:22,200 --> 00:29:25,360
Speaker 3: thing as of late. But uh, if Ameron Hampton's like

582
00:29:25,400 --> 00:29:28,720
Speaker 3: limited anyway or you know, practices like once and it

583
00:29:28,920 --> 00:29:30,920
Speaker 3: doesn't look like he's gonna play a full role, love

584
00:29:31,000 --> 00:29:34,040
Speaker 3: Vidal here because I think the Eagles may struggle to

585
00:29:34,480 --> 00:29:37,720
Speaker 3: you know, get a lead, and they have been a

586
00:29:38,080 --> 00:29:41,080
Speaker 3: bottom bottom eleven I want to say, bottom to bottom

587
00:29:41,080 --> 00:29:44,720
Speaker 3: of eleven defensive DVOA against a run and you know Vidal.

588
00:29:44,960 --> 00:29:47,640
Speaker 3: I mean it hasn't been looked great. It hasn't been

589
00:29:47,720 --> 00:29:49,560
Speaker 3: great match up wise all the time because of the

590
00:29:49,640 --> 00:29:53,040
Speaker 3: old line struggles and whatnot. But he's more games than not.

591
00:29:53,160 --> 00:29:55,440
Speaker 3: He's just breaking off a big run or two and

592
00:29:55,600 --> 00:29:57,400
Speaker 3: just kind of looking like a monster out there. He

593
00:29:57,440 --> 00:29:59,760
Speaker 3: does pass the eye test for me. So uh like

594
00:30:00,080 --> 00:30:04,240
Speaker 3: him in this spot against Philly, especially if Hampton is

595
00:30:04,360 --> 00:30:06,880
Speaker 3: just completely out again, who are you LAWA?

596
00:30:07,440 --> 00:30:07,640
Speaker 2: Yeah?

597
00:30:07,680 --> 00:30:10,160
Speaker 1: So, I mean this doesn't make him like a clear

598
00:30:10,280 --> 00:30:12,440
Speaker 1: sit or anything. But I'm lower on Chase Brown this

599
00:30:12,520 --> 00:30:16,600
Speaker 1: week against the Bills because you know, Samajre Peerin's returned

600
00:30:16,680 --> 00:30:21,040
Speaker 1: really eight into his workload a ton. You know, they

601
00:30:21,200 --> 00:30:25,240
Speaker 1: nearly split carries fifteen to fourteen in favor of Brown,

602
00:30:25,840 --> 00:30:28,720
Speaker 1: and he was still able to rack up seven catches,

603
00:30:28,800 --> 00:30:31,560
Speaker 1: but Peterran was still you know, eating into his passing

604
00:30:31,640 --> 00:30:36,000
Speaker 1: down work as well, so his increase in efficiency really

605
00:30:36,080 --> 00:30:38,960
Speaker 1: helped counter that a bit. But he's been raking inside

606
00:30:39,000 --> 00:30:42,240
Speaker 1: my top ten, sometimes my top five with p Ryan

607
00:30:42,320 --> 00:30:45,560
Speaker 1: out because he was really just handling pretty much every snap.

608
00:30:46,640 --> 00:30:49,120
Speaker 1: So this, you know, really cuts into his usage in

609
00:30:49,200 --> 00:30:51,280
Speaker 1: my model, and this should be more of a run

610
00:30:51,320 --> 00:30:53,600
Speaker 1: funnel matchup against the Bills, but with Burrow back, I

611
00:30:53,640 --> 00:30:55,400
Speaker 1: don't think they're going to lean on the run or anything.

612
00:30:55,720 --> 00:30:57,280
Speaker 1: They're going to air it out. So you know, you

613
00:30:57,400 --> 00:31:00,400
Speaker 1: have to hope that he does get four plus catch again,

614
00:31:00,400 --> 00:31:02,960
Speaker 1: which is kind of tough to do for running back

615
00:31:03,000 --> 00:31:05,200
Speaker 1: because you know they could get Higgins back this week.

616
00:31:05,320 --> 00:31:08,840
Speaker 1: So you know, he's had Jamar Chase out to Higgins out,

617
00:31:09,120 --> 00:31:10,800
Speaker 1: so he's been one of the top targets. But I

618
00:31:10,840 --> 00:31:13,920
Speaker 1: think with you know, both Chase and Higgins back, it's

619
00:31:13,920 --> 00:31:15,840
Speaker 1: gonna be tougher for him to you know, get as

620
00:31:15,920 --> 00:31:19,000
Speaker 1: many receptions kind of make up for the lack of

621
00:31:19,480 --> 00:31:21,280
Speaker 1: you know, playing time he's getting with p Ryan there.

622
00:31:21,360 --> 00:31:25,160
Speaker 1: So having said all that, he's still by running back nineteen,

623
00:31:25,320 --> 00:31:27,920
Speaker 1: so you just have to kind of lower expectations. But

624
00:31:28,040 --> 00:31:29,800
Speaker 1: there was a stretch there it seemed like he was

625
00:31:29,840 --> 00:31:32,280
Speaker 1: in my top five, top ten every week when p

626
00:31:32,480 --> 00:31:33,080
Speaker 1: Ryan was out.

627
00:31:33,680 --> 00:31:36,240
Speaker 3: Yeah, it's fair. I mean, he's definitely like a scary

628
00:31:36,600 --> 00:31:38,760
Speaker 3: fake because the Bills have been terrible against the UH

629
00:31:39,560 --> 00:31:43,360
Speaker 3: the run too, and they're probably not going to try

630
00:31:43,440 --> 00:31:45,920
Speaker 3: to stop the run that much with Burrow back. You know,

631
00:31:46,040 --> 00:31:47,840
Speaker 3: he'll be Berro will probably just be out there in

632
00:31:47,880 --> 00:31:49,360
Speaker 3: the gun and they'll just be like, all right, we're

633
00:31:49,440 --> 00:31:53,080
Speaker 3: just gonna go with our you know, Nico Dying whatever personnel.

634
00:31:53,160 --> 00:31:56,560
Speaker 3: So I do think Brown will get opportunities to be efficient.

635
00:31:56,640 --> 00:31:58,960
Speaker 3: But you're right, if he I mean, he's if he

636
00:31:58,960 --> 00:32:01,880
Speaker 3: gets lest snapped, there's always a lot more risk there

637
00:32:02,120 --> 00:32:06,680
Speaker 3: because the Bengals have been a like, what eight per

638
00:32:06,800 --> 00:32:09,480
Speaker 3: eight to ten percent over expectation at least a pass

639
00:32:09,560 --> 00:32:12,680
Speaker 3: rate team like they usually push like seventy percent pass rates,

640
00:32:13,360 --> 00:32:15,960
Speaker 3: which is you know, the league average usually around sixty percent.

641
00:32:16,200 --> 00:32:20,640
Speaker 3: So don't don't mind the fade there. I'm going to

642
00:32:20,680 --> 00:32:24,600
Speaker 3: actually fade I mean probably even scarier. But Swift and

643
00:32:25,520 --> 00:32:30,080
Speaker 3: Mnanjai against UH the Green Bay Packers, and they've been

644
00:32:30,120 --> 00:32:33,160
Speaker 3: a little bit worse against the running DVOA than the pass.

645
00:32:33,280 --> 00:32:36,520
Speaker 3: But this is just a good defense that you know

646
00:32:37,840 --> 00:32:41,120
Speaker 3: the Eagles are too. But the Packers, I think they're

647
00:32:41,160 --> 00:32:43,000
Speaker 3: just a little bit different of a breed. I think

648
00:32:43,520 --> 00:32:48,160
Speaker 3: they could give Cable Williams more struggles more and just

649
00:32:48,280 --> 00:32:50,400
Speaker 3: make make them kind of drive the field more and

650
00:32:50,880 --> 00:32:52,560
Speaker 3: put them in more third downs. The Eagles, you know

651
00:32:52,600 --> 00:32:54,880
Speaker 3: they can, they'll they'll play more man coverage and you

652
00:32:54,920 --> 00:32:58,520
Speaker 3: can kind of get back into favorable situations if you

653
00:32:58,560 --> 00:33:01,480
Speaker 3: can get one on them. But I think the Packers

654
00:33:01,520 --> 00:33:04,240
Speaker 3: are gonna just load up here a little more and

655
00:33:04,640 --> 00:33:07,680
Speaker 3: kind of against the UH against the pass. But I

656
00:33:07,720 --> 00:33:10,920
Speaker 3: don't like that for the two running backs because it's

657
00:33:11,040 --> 00:33:13,440
Speaker 3: you know, you're gonna there's gonna be no kind of

658
00:33:14,120 --> 00:33:17,800
Speaker 3: UH predictability as far as like, Okay, who's gonna get

659
00:33:17,840 --> 00:33:20,240
Speaker 3: more work here? Because last week it was pretty much split.

660
00:33:20,360 --> 00:33:25,400
Speaker 3: But Swift had the edge in in uh, you know,

661
00:33:25,520 --> 00:33:28,120
Speaker 3: passing in passing downs, and then Menanja had the edge

662
00:33:28,160 --> 00:33:31,200
Speaker 3: and carries. So if they're there are seven points with

663
00:33:31,360 --> 00:33:32,760
Speaker 3: six and a half six six and a half, seven

664
00:33:32,800 --> 00:33:36,360
Speaker 3: point dog again here, I think that's more legit against

665
00:33:36,400 --> 00:33:38,960
Speaker 3: Green Bay. Like I'm I'm not as worried about green Bay.

666
00:33:38,960 --> 00:33:40,680
Speaker 3: I know they have been they have had some les,

667
00:33:40,720 --> 00:33:42,320
Speaker 3: but Philly has just it's been the writing's been on

668
00:33:42,360 --> 00:33:45,480
Speaker 3: the wall with them that they've been inflated in everybody's

669
00:33:45,560 --> 00:33:47,840
Speaker 3: mind all year. For me, I even took I had

670
00:33:47,880 --> 00:33:50,120
Speaker 3: them to miss the playoffs. That's not looking too good

671
00:33:50,200 --> 00:33:52,400
Speaker 3: right now. But Devin Detroit were the two teams I

672
00:33:52,440 --> 00:33:55,560
Speaker 3: took to miss the playoffs before the season started. Uh so,

673
00:33:56,160 --> 00:33:58,680
Speaker 3: you know, the Packers, I have a super Bowl ticket on.

674
00:33:58,720 --> 00:34:00,440
Speaker 3: So I think I just think it's a complete different

675
00:34:00,480 --> 00:34:03,600
Speaker 3: kind of spot division game. You could see limited more

676
00:34:03,720 --> 00:34:06,240
Speaker 3: limited play volume here, So just a lot of things

677
00:34:06,280 --> 00:34:08,319
Speaker 3: where when you have two running backs that are kind

678
00:34:08,320 --> 00:34:11,400
Speaker 3: of near a fifty to fifty split, it just it

679
00:34:11,520 --> 00:34:13,640
Speaker 3: just creates a lot of uncertainty unless you're in like

680
00:34:13,760 --> 00:34:16,240
Speaker 3: the best of matchups. You know, if you're going against

681
00:34:16,360 --> 00:34:19,360
Speaker 3: like a Chicago Bears running defense or something like that,

682
00:34:19,480 --> 00:34:21,879
Speaker 3: I think you have more confidence. But I don't think

683
00:34:21,880 --> 00:34:23,320
Speaker 3: they're going to be able to do that to Eagles

684
00:34:23,400 --> 00:34:26,359
Speaker 3: caliber defenses every week. And the Packers, because they play

685
00:34:26,400 --> 00:34:29,200
Speaker 3: a little differently, the pass game could actually come into

686
00:34:29,200 --> 00:34:32,279
Speaker 3: play a little bit more here for you know, at

687
00:34:32,320 --> 00:34:34,880
Speaker 3: the expense of the running game, so not not as

688
00:34:34,960 --> 00:34:36,680
Speaker 3: high on the as the market on them, who have

689
00:34:36,840 --> 00:34:40,279
Speaker 3: them both kind of pushing the top twenty backs they are,

690
00:34:40,440 --> 00:34:42,800
Speaker 3: they're still kind of you know, because there it's fifty

691
00:34:42,800 --> 00:34:45,680
Speaker 3: to fifty. There's only so much carry variants on a

692
00:34:45,719 --> 00:34:50,640
Speaker 3: weekly basis, so they're still more like flexes for me. Yeah,

693
00:34:50,760 --> 00:34:53,600
Speaker 3: RB three flex type guys. Even with the even with

694
00:34:53,719 --> 00:34:59,440
Speaker 3: the explosion last week running back prop, let's go with yeah,

695
00:34:59,480 --> 00:35:02,040
Speaker 3: let's go time backfield. Trying to think if I want

696
00:35:02,080 --> 00:35:06,960
Speaker 3: to do it like combined or against each other. Well,

697
00:35:07,000 --> 00:35:11,200
Speaker 3: since yeah, since they are both top yeah right now

698
00:35:11,239 --> 00:35:16,600
Speaker 3: Eaci Swift twenty and Nunji twenty one, so let's go

699
00:35:16,760 --> 00:35:19,880
Speaker 3: with them combined. I think that is kind of a

700
00:35:19,960 --> 00:35:23,160
Speaker 3: bigger issue here where it's like there's a lot of

701
00:35:23,239 --> 00:35:27,279
Speaker 3: inverse correlation, I think in some ways. So it's kind

702
00:35:27,280 --> 00:35:30,560
Speaker 3: of like the Seahawks backfield at times with Sharbonne and Walker.

703
00:35:30,680 --> 00:35:41,399
Speaker 3: So I'm gonna set their total scrimmage yardage at one

704
00:35:41,480 --> 00:35:42,040
Speaker 3: ten and a half.

705
00:35:43,680 --> 00:35:45,719
Speaker 1: Yeah, I have it right around there. Yeah, it's a

706
00:35:45,760 --> 00:35:50,799
Speaker 1: tough matchup. All I'm gonna lean under and Hopefully Luther

707
00:35:50,920 --> 00:35:54,560
Speaker 1: Burden's expanded role can be the reason why, because they

708
00:35:54,719 --> 00:35:56,359
Speaker 1: you know, back to back games where they've given him

709
00:35:56,400 --> 00:36:01,600
Speaker 1: a design run at pop pass. Probably gonna be forced

710
00:36:01,640 --> 00:36:04,000
Speaker 1: to throw a little bit more in this game. So yeah,

711
00:36:04,200 --> 00:36:06,080
Speaker 1: I'll go thro under. But that's basically what I have

712
00:36:06,200 --> 00:36:06,400
Speaker 1: it at.

713
00:36:06,800 --> 00:36:08,320
Speaker 3: Yeah, And I mean, I think that's just kind of

714
00:36:08,560 --> 00:36:10,600
Speaker 3: wanted to be able to kind of put that in

715
00:36:10,760 --> 00:36:13,640
Speaker 3: perspective of just how much how much of an outlier

716
00:36:14,160 --> 00:36:17,840
Speaker 3: two running backs having a game, especially against a good defense,

717
00:36:18,040 --> 00:36:21,359
Speaker 3: is as a seven point underdog because now there's seven

718
00:36:21,360 --> 00:36:24,200
Speaker 3: foot underd essentially a seven foot underdog again, and yeah,

719
00:36:24,239 --> 00:36:27,600
Speaker 3: we have a projective for about one hundred and ten

720
00:36:27,960 --> 00:36:33,000
Speaker 3: yards combined. So this you gotta temper expectations a little bit.

721
00:36:33,040 --> 00:36:35,279
Speaker 3: And the other the other thing is that you know,

722
00:36:35,400 --> 00:36:38,840
Speaker 3: if one kind of goes off, that that's going to

723
00:36:38,880 --> 00:36:40,799
Speaker 3: have a negative impact on the other one. So there's

724
00:36:41,040 --> 00:36:45,520
Speaker 3: there's like a like a direct inverse correlation in certain

725
00:36:45,560 --> 00:36:47,799
Speaker 3: areas like probably you know, probably touchdowns. Like there's certain

726
00:36:47,840 --> 00:36:49,480
Speaker 3: things that can help, like if you know, if Swift

727
00:36:49,640 --> 00:36:52,359
Speaker 3: is ripping off, like Chunk plays on his he gets

728
00:36:52,400 --> 00:36:54,359
Speaker 3: west carriage, but he's ripping off like eight yard games

729
00:36:54,400 --> 00:36:56,400
Speaker 3: to get a new set of downs that helps you

730
00:36:56,440 --> 00:36:58,520
Speaker 3: know the early down back too. But you know, at

731
00:36:58,560 --> 00:37:00,640
Speaker 3: the end of the day, there's only so many seven

732
00:37:00,680 --> 00:37:02,600
Speaker 3: E p A or whatever it is, minus you know,

733
00:37:02,920 --> 00:37:06,520
Speaker 3: per drive, minus the drive start. So I think overall,

734
00:37:07,120 --> 00:37:08,880
Speaker 3: not not a great spot for them. Don't want to

735
00:37:08,920 --> 00:37:13,160
Speaker 3: be too too high on them. U wide receiver who

736
00:37:13,239 --> 00:37:13,880
Speaker 3: got in the top.

737
00:37:13,760 --> 00:37:17,359
Speaker 1: Five before I even look? I know jas number one

738
00:37:18,000 --> 00:37:21,759
Speaker 1: then not last week I didn't have them number one.

739
00:37:22,239 --> 00:37:22,920
Speaker 2: Oh yeah, no.

740
00:37:25,440 --> 00:37:26,360
Speaker 3: Twenty yards. I don't know.

741
00:37:26,520 --> 00:37:32,359
Speaker 1: Something I noticed that has to be that has to be, Yeah,

742
00:37:32,480 --> 00:37:35,680
Speaker 1: Jaya said the bounce back this week number one, Jamar

743
00:37:35,840 --> 00:37:39,280
Speaker 1: Chase Pukakua, Rashi Rice and George Pickens.

744
00:37:39,560 --> 00:37:44,200
Speaker 3: Yeah right, that's like that sounds free standard these days.

745
00:37:45,000 --> 00:37:50,960
Speaker 3: I got js N Pooka, Jamar Chase cum and Rashi

746
00:37:51,120 --> 00:37:52,600
Speaker 3: Rice so and then pick his number six and the

747
00:37:53,440 --> 00:37:57,719
Speaker 3: number seven. So yeah, it's uh kind of must have

748
00:37:57,920 --> 00:38:00,920
Speaker 3: guys in at the top seven. Poor one out for

749
00:38:01,120 --> 00:38:04,759
Speaker 3: Justin Jefferson, who's not not not probably not going to

750
00:38:04,800 --> 00:38:08,080
Speaker 3: be returned into that Yeah, at that tier anytime. So,

751
00:38:08,400 --> 00:38:13,360
Speaker 3: I mean McCarthy brought Rosemer. Where's Carson wentz When you

752
00:38:13,400 --> 00:38:16,839
Speaker 3: need him, man, I know that right.

753
00:38:17,640 --> 00:38:20,560
Speaker 1: Actually, I haven't even factored in like Cleief Raymond being out,

754
00:38:20,680 --> 00:38:23,320
Speaker 1: Jamo might be push a top five.

755
00:38:23,280 --> 00:38:26,000
Speaker 3: Eight, number eight, number eight for ye who are high.

756
00:38:25,840 --> 00:38:28,200
Speaker 2: On I am high on eighty Mitchell.

757
00:38:30,000 --> 00:38:33,560
Speaker 1: You know, he is just clearly loaded with talent but

758
00:38:33,880 --> 00:38:36,160
Speaker 1: hasn't really had the opportunity yet or seen it all

759
00:38:36,200 --> 00:38:39,200
Speaker 1: come together. But really these past couple of weeks, we

760
00:38:39,600 --> 00:38:42,480
Speaker 1: sort of have been seeing the breakout happen because he's

761
00:38:43,000 --> 00:38:46,120
Speaker 1: pretty much the top I would say, top two target

762
00:38:46,280 --> 00:38:49,080
Speaker 1: for the Jets right now, and we've seen his routes

763
00:38:49,120 --> 00:38:51,759
Speaker 1: on rate go up each of the last three games,

764
00:38:51,760 --> 00:38:54,840
Speaker 1: with them topping out last week at ninety eight percent.

765
00:38:56,040 --> 00:38:57,799
Speaker 1: So it looks like they're gonna just want him out

766
00:38:57,840 --> 00:39:01,480
Speaker 1: there pretty much every drop back if possible. And you know,

767
00:39:01,560 --> 00:39:04,040
Speaker 1: the Jets were a little bit more pass heavy last week.

768
00:39:04,080 --> 00:39:06,120
Speaker 1: I was on Tyrod's under I just thought it was

769
00:39:06,320 --> 00:39:07,879
Speaker 1: gonna be a closer game. They can run the ball,

770
00:39:07,960 --> 00:39:11,880
Speaker 1: but they were dropping back at above average rate. So

771
00:39:11,960 --> 00:39:14,000
Speaker 1: I think there's just more confident in Tyrod in this

772
00:39:14,080 --> 00:39:17,920
Speaker 1: passing attack in general right now. So that's helping. And

773
00:39:18,480 --> 00:39:21,200
Speaker 1: you know, Adie Mitchell, you know, for all the works

774
00:39:21,280 --> 00:39:23,719
Speaker 1: he has, he's been able to command targets at a

775
00:39:23,880 --> 00:39:26,600
Speaker 1: very high rate when he was with the Colts and

776
00:39:26,719 --> 00:39:28,799
Speaker 1: now with the Jets, even in a full time role.

777
00:39:28,920 --> 00:39:31,440
Speaker 2: You know, he's commanding a twenty seven percent target rate.

778
00:39:32,320 --> 00:39:34,480
Speaker 1: So we just saw it all come together last week

779
00:39:34,520 --> 00:39:37,480
Speaker 1: with his eight catches, one hundred plus yards and touchdowns.

780
00:39:37,560 --> 00:39:40,759
Speaker 1: So I think, you know, he sees the usage we

781
00:39:40,880 --> 00:39:43,600
Speaker 1: want from like a wide receiver three, but he has

782
00:39:44,080 --> 00:39:47,280
Speaker 1: you know, the added upside because he is seeing downfield targets.

783
00:39:48,680 --> 00:39:51,239
Speaker 1: You know, anytime he catches the ball, he's liable to

784
00:39:52,160 --> 00:39:54,719
Speaker 1: score a touchdown if he doesn't drop it before he

785
00:39:54,960 --> 00:39:57,360
Speaker 1: reaches in in zone. So I think he's going to

786
00:39:57,400 --> 00:40:00,600
Speaker 1: be a wide receiver three plus unless Bill, you know,

787
00:40:00,719 --> 00:40:05,040
Speaker 1: Garrett Wilson returns. So he opens this week specifically as

788
00:40:05,080 --> 00:40:08,360
Speaker 1: my you know, wide receiver twenty four against the Dolphins.

789
00:40:08,360 --> 00:40:11,000
Speaker 1: So I've always been high on him, but finally seeing

790
00:40:11,040 --> 00:40:13,560
Speaker 1: it come together for him, where I can you know,

791
00:40:13,680 --> 00:40:16,319
Speaker 1: constantly project him inside my top thirty this week.

792
00:40:16,600 --> 00:40:19,440
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, his his targets per route rate throughout

793
00:40:19,440 --> 00:40:22,279
Speaker 3: his career has always been in the what mid twenties, right,

794
00:40:22,480 --> 00:40:26,319
Speaker 3: So uh, that is that's essentially wide receiver one right there.

795
00:40:26,320 --> 00:40:28,279
Speaker 3: I think wide receiver ones in terms of like the

796
00:40:28,400 --> 00:40:31,359
Speaker 3: number one guy in in routes run every week would

797
00:40:31,360 --> 00:40:33,600
Speaker 3: average about twenty one percent or twenty two percent, and

798
00:40:33,600 --> 00:40:35,960
Speaker 3: then the number one guy in targets would be up

799
00:40:36,000 --> 00:40:39,400
Speaker 3: around twenty five percent. So yeah, he's essentially been like

800
00:40:39,480 --> 00:40:43,799
Speaker 3: the first first read when he's out there throughout his career.

801
00:40:43,920 --> 00:40:46,600
Speaker 3: So I'm not surprised at all that he is finally

802
00:40:46,600 --> 00:40:48,000
Speaker 3: starting to put it together. I mean, maybe a little

803
00:40:48,000 --> 00:40:50,400
Speaker 3: bit because it's the Jets, but uh, it's the Jets

804
00:40:50,719 --> 00:40:52,640
Speaker 3: late in the year, so they're, you know, they're just

805
00:40:52,760 --> 00:40:58,640
Speaker 3: kind of doing whatever. I'm high on Troy Franklin. I

806
00:40:59,360 --> 00:41:05,319
Speaker 3: did not really too much in like, did he he didn't?

807
00:41:05,320 --> 00:41:06,239
Speaker 3: What did you do last game?

808
00:41:06,880 --> 00:41:10,160
Speaker 1: I'm forgetting it was a court in Sutton game, right right.

809
00:41:10,160 --> 00:41:13,600
Speaker 3: Yeah, that's what I thought. But I always sometimes I confuse,

810
00:41:13,719 --> 00:41:15,479
Speaker 3: like the the Sunday night game feels like the Monday

811
00:41:15,520 --> 00:41:19,640
Speaker 3: night game, and I always feel like I was just yeah, okay, okay, yeah,

812
00:41:20,560 --> 00:41:22,880
Speaker 3: I don't know, there's kind of bumping together because I

813
00:41:22,880 --> 00:41:24,879
Speaker 3: always kind of tell myself, okay, I'm not I gotta

814
00:41:24,920 --> 00:41:27,640
Speaker 3: still dive deeper into the Monday game because we usually

815
00:41:27,680 --> 00:41:30,239
Speaker 3: record this on Tuesdays, but then sometimes the Sunday game

816
00:41:30,400 --> 00:41:32,920
Speaker 3: is lumped in with that as well, because like I'm

817
00:41:32,920 --> 00:41:36,040
Speaker 3: starting to project like the other games with the with

818
00:41:36,120 --> 00:41:38,080
Speaker 3: the data we have from the daytime already by the

819
00:41:38,120 --> 00:41:41,160
Speaker 3: time that game is underway. But yeah, so last week,

820
00:41:41,200 --> 00:41:44,480
Speaker 3: I think a lot of people probably were disappointed with Franklin,

821
00:41:44,520 --> 00:41:49,839
Speaker 3: who I believe was pretty much the same spot as

822
00:41:49,960 --> 00:41:54,880
Speaker 3: Sutton in ECR rank. They were very close last Washington.

823
00:41:55,400 --> 00:41:59,280
Speaker 1: I think Franklin had one higher yard in the proper market.

824
00:42:00,360 --> 00:42:03,600
Speaker 3: Yeah, so the market generally speaking was high on Franklin.

825
00:42:03,680 --> 00:42:06,319
Speaker 3: Last week he let everybody down. So I'm sure there's

826
00:42:06,320 --> 00:42:08,880
Speaker 3: gonna be an over correction. I'm sure that's gonna kind

827
00:42:08,920 --> 00:42:11,800
Speaker 3: of affect people, you know, sett in their fantasy lineups

828
00:42:11,840 --> 00:42:15,960
Speaker 3: as well. But this is the Franklin spot. Last week,

829
00:42:16,080 --> 00:42:19,120
Speaker 3: you know, I thought the Commanders were probably gonna shift

830
00:42:19,160 --> 00:42:22,279
Speaker 3: to you know, different different scheme. Still didn't really work

831
00:42:22,320 --> 00:42:26,040
Speaker 3: out for Franklin. But this Raider team, I mean, if

832
00:42:26,080 --> 00:42:29,600
Speaker 3: you talk about zone heavy, this Raider team has been

833
00:42:30,239 --> 00:42:33,800
Speaker 3: the most zone heavy team in the league. And Troy

834
00:42:33,880 --> 00:42:38,960
Speaker 3: Franklin is the Roncos by far top receiver against zone coverage.

835
00:42:38,960 --> 00:42:42,920
Speaker 3: So against man coverage, Courtland Sutton has been a absolute

836
00:42:42,960 --> 00:42:46,880
Speaker 3: beast two point seven yards per route run according to PFF,

837
00:42:47,239 --> 00:42:50,359
Speaker 3: and Troy Franklin's at point seven yards per route against man.

838
00:42:50,560 --> 00:42:53,280
Speaker 3: But then when you flip it to zone, Troy Franklin

839
00:42:54,120 --> 00:42:58,920
Speaker 3: has one point nine and Sutton drops to uh one

840
00:42:59,000 --> 00:43:03,239
Speaker 3: point one. So it's like it's essentially they're doubling each

841
00:43:03,280 --> 00:43:06,239
Speaker 3: other up on the you know, like Sutton is like

842
00:43:06,760 --> 00:43:09,040
Speaker 3: twice as good as he normally is against a man

843
00:43:09,160 --> 00:43:12,360
Speaker 3: and then Franklin is the opposite against zone, with Sutton

844
00:43:12,520 --> 00:43:15,320
Speaker 3: like actually taking a back seat against those coverages and

845
00:43:15,440 --> 00:43:20,279
Speaker 3: bo Nicks tends to struggle against zone coverage more. So

846
00:43:20,400 --> 00:43:22,239
Speaker 3: that makes it would make sense why I got like

847
00:43:22,280 --> 00:43:25,720
Speaker 3: Sutton the number one receiver, guys seeing the most coverage,

848
00:43:25,760 --> 00:43:28,359
Speaker 3: and you have extra defenders back there in zone, which

849
00:43:28,560 --> 00:43:30,839
Speaker 3: would kind of struggle in those matchups. So I think

850
00:43:30,960 --> 00:43:35,040
Speaker 3: Franklin is gonna do this week what the market was

851
00:43:35,160 --> 00:43:37,239
Speaker 3: projecting him to do last week. So he's a guy

852
00:43:37,320 --> 00:43:39,040
Speaker 3: that I don't want to lower too much is based

853
00:43:39,080 --> 00:43:40,960
Speaker 3: on last week's game, because I think you're going to

854
00:43:41,000 --> 00:43:43,280
Speaker 3: see that just kind of EBB and flowing. Sean Payton

855
00:43:43,480 --> 00:43:44,880
Speaker 3: very aware of these kind of things. I think I

856
00:43:44,920 --> 00:43:48,680
Speaker 3: had Franklin for a touchdown in the last Rangers matchup,

857
00:43:48,680 --> 00:43:50,200
Speaker 3: but it was the only touchdown the end of scoring,

858
00:43:50,560 --> 00:43:53,879
Speaker 3: So like Sean Payton kind of knows this stuff. So, yeah,

859
00:43:54,000 --> 00:43:57,720
Speaker 3: Franklin is a guy that I am high on at receiver.

860
00:43:58,760 --> 00:43:59,759
Speaker 3: Who are you low on?

861
00:44:00,160 --> 00:44:04,520
Speaker 1: Yeah? I'm low on DJ Moore against the Packers. Came

862
00:44:04,640 --> 00:44:07,719
Speaker 1: back down to earth last week with you know, thirty

863
00:44:07,800 --> 00:44:11,200
Speaker 1: seven to yards after that eruption where he had you know,

864
00:44:11,320 --> 00:44:14,360
Speaker 1: five catches sixty four yards and two touchdowns against the Steelers,

865
00:44:14,719 --> 00:44:16,759
Speaker 1: that was the perfect time to sell high on him

866
00:44:17,200 --> 00:44:19,560
Speaker 1: if you had him. But I think, you know, with

867
00:44:19,800 --> 00:44:23,359
Speaker 1: Luther Burdens starting to see an increased role, I think

868
00:44:23,400 --> 00:44:25,440
Speaker 1: that's going to really start to eat in a DJ's

869
00:44:25,520 --> 00:44:30,080
Speaker 1: value because they still have Roma Dunza, Colson Lovelin and

870
00:44:30,320 --> 00:44:32,839
Speaker 1: you know, the running game is starting to really pop

871
00:44:32,960 --> 00:44:36,280
Speaker 1: right now. But this this is a tougher matchup against

872
00:44:36,280 --> 00:44:38,640
Speaker 1: the Packers. I'm not really expecting a ton of passing

873
00:44:38,719 --> 00:44:41,560
Speaker 1: yards either way. So he's all the way down to

874
00:44:41,640 --> 00:44:43,640
Speaker 1: wide receiver forty six for me this week, and just

875
00:44:44,239 --> 00:44:46,560
Speaker 1: with so many mouths to feed in this offense. I

876
00:44:46,640 --> 00:44:49,080
Speaker 1: think he's really gonna need somebody ahead of him, like

877
00:44:49,120 --> 00:44:53,279
Speaker 1: a Douneesay or Burden or Loveland possibly to miss time

878
00:44:53,360 --> 00:44:55,759
Speaker 1: to even like be ranked inside my top thirty six

879
00:44:56,719 --> 00:44:59,120
Speaker 1: going forward, unless it's like a perfect matchup. But I

880
00:44:59,200 --> 00:45:02,080
Speaker 1: think they have a really tough schedule down those stretch.

881
00:45:02,239 --> 00:45:05,239
Speaker 1: So DJ Moore is trending down. He's been trending down

882
00:45:05,280 --> 00:45:08,719
Speaker 1: a ton for me all season, but especially heading into

883
00:45:08,719 --> 00:45:11,480
Speaker 1: the Fantasy playoffs. He's outside of my top forty five

884
00:45:11,880 --> 00:45:14,400
Speaker 1: heading in the week fourteen. Here we have a Dnesday

885
00:45:14,480 --> 00:45:14,960
Speaker 1: just curious.

886
00:45:16,400 --> 00:45:17,640
Speaker 2: Yeah, he's definitely.

887
00:45:17,440 --> 00:45:19,799
Speaker 1: Hurt from you know, just all the things I talked

888
00:45:19,840 --> 00:45:23,120
Speaker 1: about too, but all the way down to wide receiver

889
00:45:23,239 --> 00:45:23,719
Speaker 1: thirty five.

890
00:45:24,600 --> 00:45:26,440
Speaker 3: Yeah, okay, yeah, because that's found to say I have

891
00:45:26,560 --> 00:45:30,120
Speaker 3: him too, because more ended up running more routes than

892
00:45:30,280 --> 00:45:32,719
Speaker 3: a Dooonsday last week. So I'm just yeah, this it's

893
00:45:32,800 --> 00:45:36,320
Speaker 3: kind of trust tough to trust either of those guys,

894
00:45:37,600 --> 00:45:40,640
Speaker 3: you know, and anything, but like a great matchup. So yeah,

895
00:45:40,760 --> 00:45:43,279
Speaker 3: that is I feel you are the more thing I

896
00:45:43,360 --> 00:45:45,200
Speaker 3: think a Donsday might be might be right there with

897
00:45:45,320 --> 00:45:49,359
Speaker 3: him as far as being a little bit shaky as

898
00:45:49,440 --> 00:45:54,640
Speaker 3: a fantasy starter this weekend potentially going forward. I'm loll

899
00:45:54,719 --> 00:46:00,279
Speaker 3: on Ladd maconkey this week, So just a matchup based thing,

900
00:46:00,360 --> 00:46:03,960
Speaker 3: but you know, he's usually a top you know, like

901
00:46:04,000 --> 00:46:06,759
Speaker 3: a wide receiver one, wide receiver two. You know, maybe

902
00:46:06,800 --> 00:46:09,239
Speaker 3: a mid range wide receiver two if if things get

903
00:46:09,320 --> 00:46:12,360
Speaker 3: really crazy or you know, Quentin Johnson's really popping. But

904
00:46:13,080 --> 00:46:16,040
Speaker 3: this week Labri Conky is outside of my top twenty

905
00:46:16,040 --> 00:46:19,640
Speaker 3: four at wide receiver. Just misses the cut. So against

906
00:46:19,680 --> 00:46:23,719
Speaker 3: this Eagles defense, don't have a ton of confidence in

907
00:46:24,320 --> 00:46:26,759
Speaker 3: this charger passing game period. I mean we I mean,

908
00:46:26,880 --> 00:46:29,000
Speaker 3: there's still a chance we could get Tray Lance, but

909
00:46:30,320 --> 00:46:33,279
Speaker 3: even if we get Herbert, I mean, I still think

910
00:46:33,320 --> 00:46:34,800
Speaker 3: this is a tough I mean, you allude to a

911
00:46:34,960 --> 00:46:37,920
Speaker 3: really tough match up here for the you know, and

912
00:46:37,960 --> 00:46:40,600
Speaker 3: then you have, you know, the potential for I got

913
00:46:40,640 --> 00:46:42,960
Speaker 3: like Cooper to gen to just you know, stay in

914
00:46:43,000 --> 00:46:46,200
Speaker 3: the slot or wherever McConkey goes and kind of play

915
00:46:46,280 --> 00:46:49,640
Speaker 3: it that way. So you know, I think it would

916
00:46:49,680 --> 00:46:53,839
Speaker 3: probably be either Keenan Allen or Johnson would be more

917
00:46:54,040 --> 00:46:55,680
Speaker 3: likely to be the guy that they end up going

918
00:46:55,719 --> 00:46:58,160
Speaker 3: to a lot. But if it's a wide receiver, but

919
00:46:58,239 --> 00:47:00,560
Speaker 3: they because they do, they do have a tough matchup

920
00:47:00,560 --> 00:47:02,440
Speaker 3: a tight end as well, So I think it I

921
00:47:02,560 --> 00:47:05,920
Speaker 3: think Johnston and Allen or maybe they go with more

922
00:47:06,239 --> 00:47:10,359
Speaker 3: like Cray Harrison, those one those one uh one three

923
00:47:10,600 --> 00:47:13,399
Speaker 3: looks that they can roll out sometimes. But either way,

924
00:47:13,440 --> 00:47:17,520
Speaker 3: I just think, but Konky is not nearly the guy

925
00:47:17,600 --> 00:47:19,839
Speaker 3: we could trust that he is most weeks, even even

926
00:47:19,880 --> 00:47:22,920
Speaker 3: when he's competing with you know, like a fully healthy

927
00:47:22,960 --> 00:47:27,280
Speaker 3: everybody else, which is the case now, he's usually inside

928
00:47:27,320 --> 00:47:29,400
Speaker 3: again that top twenty, and he's he's just not that

929
00:47:29,680 --> 00:47:31,440
Speaker 3: this week, and he could. I mean, if Trey Wan

930
00:47:31,560 --> 00:47:35,520
Speaker 3: starts for Herbert, that's a downgrade of what like one

931
00:47:35,560 --> 00:47:39,400
Speaker 3: hundred passing yard fifty fifty passing I was.

932
00:47:39,400 --> 00:47:42,040
Speaker 2: Gonna say probably yeah, triple digits are close to it.

933
00:47:43,160 --> 00:47:45,120
Speaker 3: So that's twenty yards, I mean it's more than twenty

934
00:47:45,200 --> 00:47:48,600
Speaker 3: yards or essentially yeah, that that and that that would

935
00:47:48,640 --> 00:47:53,120
Speaker 3: be what another point two touchdown something whatever it is.

936
00:47:53,239 --> 00:47:57,560
Speaker 3: So yeah, there's potential for just a huge but projected

937
00:47:57,680 --> 00:48:02,719
Speaker 3: floor for Conki that's already kind of taken shape just

938
00:48:02,760 --> 00:48:05,640
Speaker 3: because the matchup as is gives the charges one of them.

939
00:48:05,800 --> 00:48:09,680
Speaker 3: I'm pretty sure that Yeah, their lowest projection in terms

940
00:48:09,719 --> 00:48:12,480
Speaker 3: of like offense for the season, so this could be

941
00:48:13,000 --> 00:48:14,840
Speaker 3: a tough spot for him. And then there's also the

942
00:48:14,960 --> 00:48:19,400
Speaker 3: chance that they play better than expected, don't have to

943
00:48:19,520 --> 00:48:22,879
Speaker 3: throw as much, and he gets kind of shut out

944
00:48:22,920 --> 00:48:24,799
Speaker 3: that way too, if like it ends up just being

945
00:48:25,360 --> 00:48:27,680
Speaker 3: of a Doll game or you know, a Doll and

946
00:48:27,760 --> 00:48:29,759
Speaker 3: Hampton or something like that. So just a lot of

947
00:48:29,800 --> 00:48:32,400
Speaker 3: ways I could see Maconkie having a floor game in

948
00:48:32,480 --> 00:48:38,080
Speaker 3: the spot. Don't love it this week, all right, wide

949
00:48:39,120 --> 00:48:41,279
Speaker 3: receiver prop.

950
00:48:42,719 --> 00:48:44,000
Speaker 2: You know where I'm going with this.

951
00:48:44,400 --> 00:48:48,359
Speaker 1: It's eighty Mitchell week on Fantasy Flex. So let's try

952
00:48:48,440 --> 00:48:51,759
Speaker 1: to cap his receiving yard prop, which admittedly is a

953
00:48:51,800 --> 00:48:53,719
Speaker 1: wide range of outcomes, but we'll try it.

954
00:48:54,719 --> 00:48:55,760
Speaker 2: Fifty one and a half.

955
00:48:56,680 --> 00:49:03,520
Speaker 3: Sound high for a Jets receiver. Let's see if I

956
00:49:03,640 --> 00:49:06,920
Speaker 3: give him the full like ninety eight percent route rate

957
00:49:07,560 --> 00:49:09,920
Speaker 3: that he had last week and don't factor in any

958
00:49:09,960 --> 00:49:12,520
Speaker 3: of the other games at all, he would come out

959
00:49:12,520 --> 00:49:17,160
Speaker 3: to exactly fifty one in average, which his median would

960
00:49:17,200 --> 00:49:19,960
Speaker 3: still be a little bit lower than that. But you know, they,

961
00:49:20,160 --> 00:49:21,920
Speaker 3: like you said, they passed a little more than expected,

962
00:49:22,840 --> 00:49:25,839
Speaker 3: So obviously the number one receiver is gonna benefit from

963
00:49:25,880 --> 00:49:27,880
Speaker 3: that too, So I think he could, you know, the

964
00:49:28,000 --> 00:49:31,200
Speaker 3: number one receiver for the Jets since Wilson went down

965
00:49:31,280 --> 00:49:34,160
Speaker 3: has never has hasn't really been necessarily always up at

966
00:49:34,239 --> 00:49:37,279
Speaker 3: like ninety eight percent. So I think there's still a chance,

967
00:49:37,320 --> 00:49:38,680
Speaker 3: you know, you could be the number one receiver and

968
00:49:38,760 --> 00:49:40,799
Speaker 3: get like, you know, ninety five ninety depending what they

969
00:49:40,840 --> 00:49:42,680
Speaker 3: do with the you know, how many goal line plays

970
00:49:42,760 --> 00:49:45,759
Speaker 3: or whatever. So I think, I think I gotta go

971
00:49:45,880 --> 00:49:49,480
Speaker 3: under here. Uh just too too volatile. But it's not

972
00:49:50,000 --> 00:49:51,600
Speaker 3: actually I don't I don't even mind it because it's

973
00:49:51,600 --> 00:49:53,879
Speaker 3: a Mitchell at Mitchell Us the Jets. I mean, I think,

974
00:49:54,280 --> 00:49:57,120
Speaker 3: you know, if there's never guy not gonna stack stack

975
00:49:57,200 --> 00:50:00,000
Speaker 3: big games one another probably eighty mige.

976
00:50:00,840 --> 00:50:01,600
Speaker 2: Yeah, I agree.

977
00:50:02,000 --> 00:50:04,600
Speaker 1: He has a wide range of outcomes, So you know,

978
00:50:04,880 --> 00:50:08,080
Speaker 1: I think adding a couple of yards to kind of

979
00:50:08,200 --> 00:50:10,359
Speaker 1: lead you to the under is worth it because he's

980
00:50:10,360 --> 00:50:13,080
Speaker 1: probably gotten to what twenty two or one hundred and two,

981
00:50:13,400 --> 00:50:15,560
Speaker 1: He's probably not going to finish with like fifty three,

982
00:50:16,120 --> 00:50:19,279
Speaker 1: you know right there. I think it's a what I

983
00:50:19,360 --> 00:50:22,120
Speaker 1: think it'd be tougher to like have a range of outcomes,

984
00:50:22,160 --> 00:50:24,680
Speaker 1: like is he going to finish between thirty five and

985
00:50:24,760 --> 00:50:27,920
Speaker 1: sixty five and I'll give you like minus one ten

986
00:50:27,960 --> 00:50:28,560
Speaker 1: each way on that.

987
00:50:28,880 --> 00:50:29,520
Speaker 2: That'd be tougher.

988
00:50:30,320 --> 00:50:33,080
Speaker 1: But yeah, just like he had that fifty two yard

989
00:50:33,160 --> 00:50:36,480
Speaker 1: touchdown where that that's kind of the play you expect

990
00:50:36,560 --> 00:50:40,080
Speaker 1: the defender fell down, but there was a play he

991
00:50:40,280 --> 00:50:42,640
Speaker 1: it was like a ten yard play by the sideline

992
00:50:42,640 --> 00:50:45,680
Speaker 1: where he dragged his feet and that's when I was like,

993
00:50:45,719 --> 00:50:47,800
Speaker 1: oh my god, I think he's finally arrived because he

994
00:50:48,760 --> 00:50:50,360
Speaker 1: I think he's like the only play that's had like

995
00:50:50,440 --> 00:50:55,279
Speaker 1: a perfect Ris score, the athletics score, like he's an

996
00:50:55,320 --> 00:50:58,960
Speaker 1: athletic freak. He just hasn't had those those little nuanced things.

997
00:50:59,000 --> 00:51:02,719
Speaker 1: But you finally saw those come together last week, which

998
00:51:02,800 --> 00:51:05,319
Speaker 1: is exciting to see. So I don't know, I'm got

999
00:51:05,360 --> 00:51:07,960
Speaker 1: to ride the train a little bit. You know, it's

1000
00:51:08,040 --> 00:51:10,160
Speaker 1: it's Ady Mitchell. We never know what we're gonna get.

1001
00:51:10,200 --> 00:51:12,560
Speaker 1: So yeah, it has a very low floor. I think

1002
00:51:12,640 --> 00:51:15,560
Speaker 1: his prop will be in that fifty yard range. What

1003
00:51:15,600 --> 00:51:17,880
Speaker 1: would you say the best way to invest in him

1004
00:51:18,200 --> 00:51:22,320
Speaker 1: is probably just touchdown, like upside touchdown.

1005
00:51:22,160 --> 00:51:27,000
Speaker 3: Longest catch, yeah, something like that, just because you figure

1006
00:51:27,040 --> 00:51:30,880
Speaker 3: that they're gonna try to get him shot plays and

1007
00:51:31,040 --> 00:51:33,600
Speaker 3: big plays. You know, maybe maybe you know this is

1008
00:51:33,640 --> 00:51:35,279
Speaker 3: the week, or they try to spring him on like

1009
00:51:35,320 --> 00:51:37,879
Speaker 3: one of those rush attempts or something like that. There's

1010
00:51:37,920 --> 00:51:39,879
Speaker 3: a lot of creative ways to do that. But yeah,

1011
00:51:39,960 --> 00:51:43,040
Speaker 3: medium wise, it's a lot. It's just right because you

1012
00:51:43,160 --> 00:51:45,960
Speaker 3: had match he actually ran one hundred percent route rate,

1013
00:51:46,080 --> 00:51:48,439
Speaker 3: so it's like, you know, he's also still a threat

1014
00:51:48,480 --> 00:51:51,520
Speaker 3: for targets, and it's just you know, if if Mitchell

1015
00:51:51,560 --> 00:51:54,640
Speaker 3: doesn't catch a long one and they do it, that

1016
00:51:54,719 --> 00:51:58,200
Speaker 3: could kind of benefit other receivers, especially Mechi. So it

1017
00:51:58,360 --> 00:52:00,680
Speaker 3: just there's like a wir range of but the fact

1018
00:52:00,680 --> 00:52:02,799
Speaker 3: that he's like right there at top two, I mean

1019
00:52:03,200 --> 00:52:06,440
Speaker 3: far and away he should be you know, like expected

1020
00:52:06,480 --> 00:52:10,360
Speaker 3: to lead him in in air yards because yeah, metchually

1021
00:52:10,760 --> 00:52:11,920
Speaker 3: you know, kind of a different receiver.

1022
00:52:12,560 --> 00:52:15,840
Speaker 2: Yeah, but they were giving eighty like a ton of

1023
00:52:15,960 --> 00:52:18,839
Speaker 2: like five to ten yard looks. But yeah, I think

1024
00:52:18,880 --> 00:52:19,120
Speaker 2: ought that.

1025
00:52:19,360 --> 00:52:21,319
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, you don't want you don't want to take

1026
00:52:21,360 --> 00:52:23,719
Speaker 1: his median prop if anything, just like his alt over

1027
00:52:24,040 --> 00:52:26,720
Speaker 1: seventy plus or saving yards at like plus three hundred,

1028
00:52:27,080 --> 00:52:29,560
Speaker 1: you know, those are still the ways I would probably

1029
00:52:29,600 --> 00:52:32,680
Speaker 1: invest in him. Then, you know, coin flip at fifty

1030
00:52:32,719 --> 00:52:34,239
Speaker 1: and a half, I agree I don't think he's a

1031
00:52:34,320 --> 00:52:37,600
Speaker 1: median player quite yet, but he's seeing just a ton

1032
00:52:37,680 --> 00:52:40,800
Speaker 1: of usage where he's much more likely to have a

1033
00:52:40,920 --> 00:52:42,600
Speaker 1: hundred our game. Now he is coming off one hundred

1034
00:52:42,600 --> 00:52:44,360
Speaker 1: oard games, so the market is well aware of it.

1035
00:52:44,840 --> 00:52:46,560
Speaker 1: But still I think the best way to invest in

1036
00:52:46,640 --> 00:52:48,719
Speaker 1: him is like alt Over's probably.

1037
00:52:49,600 --> 00:52:52,439
Speaker 3: Yeah, that's why I'll go under on the uh yeah,

1038
00:52:52,719 --> 00:52:55,759
Speaker 3: on the another fifty one in and a half r Yeah,

1039
00:52:55,760 --> 00:52:58,239
Speaker 3: I wonder that that and a half that's my Yeah,

1040
00:52:58,320 --> 00:53:00,239
Speaker 3: my average is fifty one, So I think that is

1041
00:53:01,320 --> 00:53:03,440
Speaker 3: a good number. But there's a little inflation kind of

1042
00:53:03,480 --> 00:53:05,880
Speaker 3: baked into that, which, yeah, he's going to when he

1043
00:53:05,920 --> 00:53:07,600
Speaker 3: has a big game. He's going to have a big game.

1044
00:53:07,680 --> 00:53:10,480
Speaker 3: But I actually feel, yeah, I feel better about you

1045
00:53:10,600 --> 00:53:12,880
Speaker 3: under for a guy like that, because it's you know,

1046
00:53:13,040 --> 00:53:15,560
Speaker 3: unders for most players are usually just gonna hit at

1047
00:53:15,600 --> 00:53:17,400
Speaker 3: a high rate over the long term. So we'll go

1048
00:53:17,600 --> 00:53:20,160
Speaker 3: go out that under. Could couldn't make me look stupid,

1049
00:53:20,239 --> 00:53:24,000
Speaker 3: but it's going to tight ends. Who are you having

1050
00:53:24,080 --> 00:53:26,840
Speaker 3: your top five four week fourteen?

1051
00:53:27,960 --> 00:53:32,800
Speaker 1: I got Trey McBride, Brock Bauers, Travis Kelcey, Tyler Warren,

1052
00:53:33,960 --> 00:53:34,920
Speaker 1: and Mark Andrews.

1053
00:53:36,239 --> 00:53:38,719
Speaker 3: A bunch of guys pushing that are quite interesting. But

1054
00:53:38,840 --> 00:53:44,320
Speaker 3: ye know, I got McBride, Bowers, Warren, Kelsey and Gattison,

1055
00:53:44,920 --> 00:53:49,280
Speaker 3: but Breton Strange. It looks like my tight end six

1056
00:53:49,520 --> 00:53:53,200
Speaker 3: right now. And then Jake Ferguson's up there too, So

1057
00:53:53,320 --> 00:53:56,799
Speaker 3: there's there could be a pretty interesting like top ten

1058
00:53:56,920 --> 00:53:59,239
Speaker 3: is going to be really interesting, I think this week. Yeah,

1059
00:53:59,400 --> 00:54:00,600
Speaker 3: I mean, who do you like?

1060
00:54:00,640 --> 00:54:03,840
Speaker 1: Who else is in your top ten? Well, it's the

1061
00:54:03,880 --> 00:54:05,719
Speaker 1: guy I'm high on, if we just want to skip

1062
00:54:05,800 --> 00:54:09,000
Speaker 1: to that point. But zach Ertz is pushing top five,

1063
00:54:09,880 --> 00:54:14,239
Speaker 1: your guy, he's my tight end seven. But yeah, I

1064
00:54:14,280 --> 00:54:16,160
Speaker 1: think Mark Andrews is a little too high, So I mean,

1065
00:54:16,440 --> 00:54:19,440
Speaker 1: Ertz might pass up Andrews and being you know, my

1066
00:54:19,520 --> 00:54:21,560
Speaker 1: top five by the end of the week. But Ertz

1067
00:54:21,840 --> 00:54:25,319
Speaker 1: is coming off you know, that massive ten catch one

1068
00:54:25,400 --> 00:54:27,600
Speaker 1: hundred and six yard game last week. I think zach

1069
00:54:27,680 --> 00:54:29,799
Speaker 1: Ertz and Amy mentioned had pretty good weeks last week,

1070
00:54:29,960 --> 00:54:33,800
Speaker 1: and Ertz has just been you know, steadily, you know,

1071
00:54:33,920 --> 00:54:36,520
Speaker 1: seeing an eighty percent routes are and rate, steadily seeing

1072
00:54:37,040 --> 00:54:41,200
Speaker 1: a twenty four percent target rate over these last seven games.

1073
00:54:41,280 --> 00:54:43,160
Speaker 2: And you know, this is a matchup against the Vikings.

1074
00:54:43,200 --> 00:54:45,480
Speaker 1: They you know, they blitz at the highest rate, and

1075
00:54:45,520 --> 00:54:49,400
Speaker 1: his Ertz's yards perro run rate goes up about a

1076
00:54:49,520 --> 00:54:51,759
Speaker 1: quarter of a yard against the blitz. So there's a

1077
00:54:51,800 --> 00:54:53,840
Speaker 1: lot of things I like about Ertz this week. He

1078
00:54:54,320 --> 00:54:57,680
Speaker 1: obviously has a high floor right now, even with you know,

1079
00:54:57,880 --> 00:55:00,680
Speaker 1: Terry Back. If anything, Terry just opened and things up

1080
00:55:00,880 --> 00:55:03,560
Speaker 1: for er it's over the middle. So yeah, he's my

1081
00:55:03,800 --> 00:55:07,600
Speaker 1: tight end seven to open the weekend. My Dynasty team,

1082
00:55:07,640 --> 00:55:09,960
Speaker 1: I think I just officially missed the playoffs, but I

1083
00:55:10,040 --> 00:55:13,000
Speaker 1: have at tight end. I have Trey McBride, Tyler Warren,

1084
00:55:13,080 --> 00:55:16,200
Speaker 1: Mark Andrews, and Zach Ertz. So if you if you're

1085
00:55:16,239 --> 00:55:19,160
Speaker 1: listening out there, I have some tight ends on the market.

1086
00:55:19,480 --> 00:55:23,160
Speaker 1: I desperately need running backs and a quarterback. So a

1087
00:55:23,239 --> 00:55:24,880
Speaker 1: lot of a lot of experts in our league. So

1088
00:55:24,880 --> 00:55:27,399
Speaker 1: I'm going to be wheeling and dealing, but I might

1089
00:55:27,440 --> 00:55:29,960
Speaker 1: have to trade Ertz to a team that's, you know,

1090
00:55:30,040 --> 00:55:32,400
Speaker 1: making the playoffs this year. But yeah, Ertz is just

1091
00:55:32,440 --> 00:55:35,000
Speaker 1: playing way too well to have outside of my top

1092
00:55:35,080 --> 00:55:36,759
Speaker 1: ten heading into this week.

1093
00:55:37,480 --> 00:55:40,000
Speaker 3: It's funny you say that he's actually my tight end eleven.

1094
00:55:40,560 --> 00:55:41,680
Speaker 3: Oh really, I'm not.

1095
00:55:43,360 --> 00:55:48,040
Speaker 2: In front of him, bro, Like there's a lot of

1096
00:55:48,160 --> 00:55:49,320
Speaker 2: guys fergus.

1097
00:55:50,560 --> 00:55:56,080
Speaker 3: I mean, yeah, I hope so it's see.

1098
00:55:56,680 --> 00:55:59,319
Speaker 2: Yeah, because I have like Fannin and Burner right there.

1099
00:56:00,280 --> 00:56:04,480
Speaker 3: No, not Fanning, he's too uh, he's too shory. Uh

1100
00:56:04,920 --> 00:56:08,480
Speaker 3: now he's he's number twelve right after twelve twelve. And

1101
00:56:08,560 --> 00:56:10,399
Speaker 3: then you know, we don't know if Kincaid is gonna

1102
00:56:10,400 --> 00:56:14,919
Speaker 3: play yet. Uh. You know, Goddard Is could could turned

1103
00:56:15,000 --> 00:56:16,560
Speaker 3: up a little bit just because it's more of his zone,

1104
00:56:16,800 --> 00:56:19,520
Speaker 3: kind of zone matchup, but they charges tend to still

1105
00:56:19,719 --> 00:56:24,399
Speaker 3: due out against tight ends not named Bowers. So yeah,

1106
00:56:24,440 --> 00:56:26,080
Speaker 3: we'll see it. We'll see how that goes. But we

1107
00:56:26,120 --> 00:56:29,880
Speaker 3: already have Waller is Waller up there fifteen fifteen.

1108
00:56:30,040 --> 00:56:31,319
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, he's been.

1109
00:56:31,360 --> 00:56:32,839
Speaker 1: I mean, he could be in our top ten next

1110
00:56:32,880 --> 00:56:35,440
Speaker 1: week if he keeps us up. So's a lot of

1111
00:56:35,560 --> 00:56:36,960
Speaker 1: a lot of good options at tight end.

1112
00:56:38,080 --> 00:56:41,279
Speaker 3: Yeah, it's it's I mean, finally, I mean it's been

1113
00:56:41,400 --> 00:56:45,319
Speaker 3: kind of it's been. It's been like you know, draft wise,

1114
00:56:45,360 --> 00:56:48,000
Speaker 3: I guess it's kind of a crap shoot. But uh,

1115
00:56:48,360 --> 00:56:50,840
Speaker 3: I feel like we've been talking about Fanning Dio Johnson

1116
00:56:52,000 --> 00:56:54,319
Speaker 3: pretty consistently all year, and then you know, got love

1117
00:56:54,360 --> 00:56:56,319
Speaker 3: Wind started to come on at points and so yeah,

1118
00:56:56,320 --> 00:56:59,680
Speaker 3: it's been I think like down the stretch, tight end

1119
00:56:59,719 --> 00:57:02,600
Speaker 3: probably better than quarterback. I mean, quarterbacks has been a

1120
00:57:02,600 --> 00:57:06,000
Speaker 3: struggle over the past few weeks. Just it's like Trelor Lawrence,

1121
00:57:06,080 --> 00:57:08,799
Speaker 3: like if you didn't have for set, it was for set,

1122
00:57:08,960 --> 00:57:10,680
Speaker 3: was great, but it's like he I would hope he

1123
00:57:10,960 --> 00:57:13,080
Speaker 3: had gotten picked up. But like you said that second start, but.

1124
00:57:13,840 --> 00:57:17,920
Speaker 1: You're high on Brenton Strange, right, Oh yeah, he's inside

1125
00:57:17,920 --> 00:57:19,720
Speaker 1: your top ten for Christ's sake.

1126
00:57:19,640 --> 00:57:23,960
Speaker 3: So yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah, he I mean he's Yeah,

1127
00:57:24,120 --> 00:57:25,600
Speaker 3: I've been talking about him for a while just because

1128
00:57:25,600 --> 00:57:29,080
Speaker 3: he's kind of like a fanning guy, but on a

1129
00:57:29,760 --> 00:57:32,920
Speaker 3: team that I trust to throw the ball a little

1130
00:57:32,960 --> 00:57:36,520
Speaker 3: bit more than that, that's still still very untrustworthy, is

1131
00:57:36,560 --> 00:57:38,880
Speaker 3: Trelor Lawrence to be. But Strange, you know, we talked

1132
00:57:38,920 --> 00:57:40,200
Speaker 3: about it last week. He just kind of got some

1133
00:57:40,240 --> 00:57:43,040
Speaker 3: of those markers of a consistent player in terms of

1134
00:57:43,080 --> 00:57:46,520
Speaker 3: the amount of reception has been hitting you know, oh

1135
00:57:47,480 --> 00:57:49,440
Speaker 3: more than two thirds of the time, you know, four

1136
00:57:49,520 --> 00:57:52,280
Speaker 3: plus catches and then you know, had the touchdown. And

1137
00:57:52,720 --> 00:57:54,040
Speaker 3: that was the one thing I was saying, you know,

1138
00:57:54,120 --> 00:57:56,760
Speaker 3: heading into last week, was that, Okay, you know he's

1139
00:57:56,760 --> 00:57:59,240
Speaker 3: been getting the catches he missed the game, which you know,

1140
00:57:59,360 --> 00:58:01,520
Speaker 3: kind of makes it look even like worse than it.

1141
00:58:02,000 --> 00:58:04,400
Speaker 3: It's better than it even looks on the box scores.

1142
00:58:04,640 --> 00:58:06,280
Speaker 3: But he hadn't been getting much red zone work. And

1143
00:58:06,320 --> 00:58:09,080
Speaker 3: I had always been like a Hunter Long or Johnny

1144
00:58:09,200 --> 00:58:11,800
Speaker 3: munt quintin morri so you never know who's gonna pop

1145
00:58:11,920 --> 00:58:14,120
Speaker 3: up there. And and like Strange wouldn't even be on

1146
00:58:14,200 --> 00:58:15,520
Speaker 3: the field for some of those routes, like they would

1147
00:58:15,520 --> 00:58:17,760
Speaker 3: take him off the field. So, uh, you know, now

1148
00:58:17,840 --> 00:58:19,439
Speaker 3: he's starting to see more work in the red zone,

1149
00:58:19,520 --> 00:58:22,680
Speaker 3: consistently operating like a true number one tight end.

1150
00:58:23,000 --> 00:58:23,120
Speaker 1: Uh.

1151
00:58:23,600 --> 00:58:25,400
Speaker 3: I think all the tight ends are actually healthy last

1152
00:58:25,400 --> 00:58:27,320
Speaker 3: week and Long was just technically a healthy scratch. But

1153
00:58:27,960 --> 00:58:31,000
Speaker 3: either way, I don't think anyone's cutting into his usage.

1154
00:58:31,240 --> 00:58:35,600
Speaker 3: He's playing normal tight end one snaps. And in this

1155
00:58:35,760 --> 00:58:38,920
Speaker 3: offense with Thomas back, you know, you have to kind

1156
00:58:38,920 --> 00:58:41,680
Speaker 3: of look, you have to guard the receivers first and foremost,

1157
00:58:41,760 --> 00:58:43,840
Speaker 3: and then the running backs are so involved, you know,

1158
00:58:43,960 --> 00:58:47,080
Speaker 3: tooting an etn that Strange is usually gonna be an

1159
00:58:47,080 --> 00:58:49,040
Speaker 3: Affords thought. I think in terms of coverage, he's gonna

1160
00:58:49,040 --> 00:58:54,720
Speaker 3: get favorable matchups against linebackers probably every almost every pass play.

1161
00:58:54,880 --> 00:58:58,240
Speaker 3: So uh yeah, unless you're talking about a team that's

1162
00:58:58,280 --> 00:59:00,400
Speaker 3: gonna play a ton of diamond. Even then, I think

1163
00:59:00,400 --> 00:59:03,240
Speaker 3: he's still gonna get like the most advantageous coverage matchup,

1164
00:59:03,280 --> 00:59:07,320
Speaker 3: the least coverage rotated over to him on a consistent

1165
00:59:07,360 --> 00:59:09,800
Speaker 3: basis going forward for the Jags here, so like him

1166
00:59:10,400 --> 00:59:15,440
Speaker 3: yet yet again against the Colts, who are you low on?

1167
00:59:16,080 --> 00:59:16,280
Speaker 2: Yeah?

1168
00:59:16,320 --> 00:59:18,480
Speaker 1: I hate to do this, but gotta go with my

1169
00:59:18,560 --> 00:59:21,840
Speaker 1: guy Rondy Gatson here. Hopefully I jinx him and he

1170
00:59:21,920 --> 00:59:25,200
Speaker 1: has a good week because of this, but facing the

1171
00:59:25,240 --> 00:59:27,160
Speaker 1: Eagles this week again, we don't even know if it's

1172
00:59:27,160 --> 00:59:30,080
Speaker 1: gonna be Justin Herbert or Trey Lance center center. Obviously,

1173
00:59:30,120 --> 00:59:32,560
Speaker 1: if it's Trey Lance, that makes us easier to sit him.

1174
00:59:32,560 --> 00:59:35,880
Speaker 1: But yeah, Gatson's usage has definitely taken a bit of

1175
00:59:35,920 --> 00:59:39,080
Speaker 1: a hit the last couple of games, just a fourteen

1176
00:59:39,120 --> 00:59:41,240
Speaker 1: percent target rate, And just have to wonder if that

1177
00:59:41,360 --> 00:59:44,520
Speaker 1: knee quad injury he had a couple weeks ago he's

1178
00:59:44,680 --> 00:59:47,080
Speaker 1: playing through it. Maybe that's been kind of what's slowing

1179
00:59:47,160 --> 00:59:51,160
Speaker 1: him down. But you know, his targets have also been

1180
00:59:51,240 --> 00:59:53,280
Speaker 1: more downfield, which is going to make him more of

1181
00:59:53,320 --> 00:59:55,560
Speaker 1: a boom bus. We saw that last week. He had

1182
00:59:55,560 --> 00:59:58,800
Speaker 1: the one catch it went for twenty seven yards. But

1183
00:59:58,920 --> 01:00:01,720
Speaker 1: again he's gonna have higher variants if you're seeing more

1184
01:00:01,800 --> 01:00:02,720
Speaker 1: downfield looks like that.

1185
01:00:03,480 --> 01:00:03,600
Speaker 3: Uh.

1186
01:00:03,880 --> 01:00:06,040
Speaker 1: And you know it was a game where the Chargers

1187
01:00:06,040 --> 01:00:09,120
Speaker 1: won easily. Herbert miss some time. They have a lot

1188
01:00:09,160 --> 01:00:11,080
Speaker 1: of mouths to feed, So it was it was bound

1189
01:00:11,200 --> 01:00:13,040
Speaker 1: we were bound to see gats and have a floor

1190
01:00:13,120 --> 01:00:15,880
Speaker 1: game or two. I mentioned that, like, you know, every

1191
01:00:15,920 --> 01:00:18,880
Speaker 1: tight end outside of Trey McBride or Brock Bauers maybe

1192
01:00:19,560 --> 01:00:21,120
Speaker 1: is going to have some down in games. So we

1193
01:00:21,240 --> 01:00:23,000
Speaker 1: saw that the past couple of games. But it has

1194
01:00:23,080 --> 01:00:26,120
Speaker 1: been concerning and this is, you know, a tough spot

1195
01:00:26,160 --> 01:00:29,320
Speaker 1: here against the Eagles. So he opens as my tight

1196
01:00:29,400 --> 01:00:32,720
Speaker 1: end fourteen. But you know, after just being inside my

1197
01:00:32,800 --> 01:00:35,840
Speaker 1: top five, top ten for a handful of weeks, just

1198
01:00:35,920 --> 01:00:38,040
Speaker 1: I'm a little bit lower on him this week.

1199
01:00:38,200 --> 01:00:40,560
Speaker 3: Yeah, I still have I still like manually forcing I'm

1200
01:00:40,560 --> 01:00:43,720
Speaker 3: still manuly forcing into the top five. It would be

1201
01:00:43,800 --> 01:00:46,640
Speaker 3: Breton Strange, Like I don't know, I guess I try

1202
01:00:46,680 --> 01:00:49,479
Speaker 3: we should I probably should just go Brenton Strange. Maybe,

1203
01:00:49,520 --> 01:00:52,760
Speaker 3: I mean we're wre is Ferguson. I don't love the

1204
01:00:52,800 --> 01:00:57,400
Speaker 3: matchup for Ferguson either. He's always good, but yeah, i'd

1205
01:00:57,480 --> 01:00:59,600
Speaker 3: rather I think the Wires series could, you know, potentially

1206
01:01:00,000 --> 01:01:01,480
Speaker 3: create a lot of variance there. So yeah, it's a

1207
01:01:01,560 --> 01:01:05,480
Speaker 3: tough week. You obviously stay tuned to the rankings on

1208
01:01:05,880 --> 01:01:09,960
Speaker 3: Fantasy labs dot com for the most up to date ranks,

1209
01:01:10,000 --> 01:01:12,720
Speaker 3: but yeah, it's it's it's tough at tight end because

1210
01:01:13,280 --> 01:01:14,800
Speaker 3: I mean there's just a lot of guys that you

1211
01:01:14,920 --> 01:01:18,000
Speaker 3: don't usually kind of have ranked there there, and then

1212
01:01:18,120 --> 01:01:19,720
Speaker 3: Gadson is like, yeah, tough matchup.

1213
01:01:19,800 --> 01:01:22,600
Speaker 1: So see about that five, five to fifteen are all

1214
01:01:22,720 --> 01:01:26,560
Speaker 1: like within like one point. Yeah, yeah, like less than

1215
01:01:26,600 --> 01:01:29,640
Speaker 1: a half a point between tight end six to tight

1216
01:01:29,760 --> 01:01:30,800
Speaker 1: end fifteen for me.

1217
01:01:31,240 --> 01:01:33,720
Speaker 2: So just a tight, tight week. And that's at start range.

1218
01:01:34,040 --> 01:01:37,680
Speaker 3: So the guys, the guy that I can't get to

1219
01:01:37,840 --> 01:01:41,560
Speaker 3: that's in ECR right now is kind of like what

1220
01:01:41,680 --> 01:01:43,000
Speaker 3: you said, like where it's like, oh man, I hate

1221
01:01:43,000 --> 01:01:45,560
Speaker 3: to do this guy. But Coson Lovelin is I mean,

1222
01:01:46,320 --> 01:01:49,440
Speaker 3: he's all these bear pass catchers for me just are

1223
01:01:49,520 --> 01:01:52,200
Speaker 3: canceling each other out at this point. It's like because

1224
01:01:52,240 --> 01:01:56,000
Speaker 3: Burden is essentially just now like drawing even with everybody

1225
01:01:56,040 --> 01:01:58,880
Speaker 3: else because he's more efficient, but he still runs through

1226
01:01:58,920 --> 01:02:00,760
Speaker 3: a route. And then love one's kind of in that

1227
01:02:00,880 --> 01:02:04,480
Speaker 3: same category where he's not like running He's not going

1228
01:02:04,560 --> 01:02:06,400
Speaker 3: to run like a dounesday more routes. I think on

1229
01:02:06,440 --> 01:02:09,600
Speaker 3: a consistent basis with Kamet uh you know there now,

1230
01:02:09,640 --> 01:02:11,320
Speaker 3: he'll have some games where he does run a lot

1231
01:02:11,400 --> 01:02:13,240
Speaker 3: more routes than Comet, just depending on how the game

1232
01:02:13,280 --> 01:02:16,560
Speaker 3: script goes and the scheme that week. But overall, I

1233
01:02:16,720 --> 01:02:19,439
Speaker 3: just think, you know, with we're talking about all these guys,

1234
01:02:19,440 --> 01:02:21,800
Speaker 3: and that's kind of pushing top ten, top five even

1235
01:02:22,640 --> 01:02:24,880
Speaker 3: for me, love Wind is still more of a you know,

1236
01:02:25,080 --> 01:02:28,840
Speaker 3: a a clear, clear tight end too, and he's tight

1237
01:02:28,920 --> 01:02:33,760
Speaker 3: end number twelve in in uh DCR. Yeah. So and

1238
01:02:33,840 --> 01:02:38,360
Speaker 3: this again, this is a tough Packers defense. So you know,

1239
01:02:38,680 --> 01:02:40,240
Speaker 3: the one good thing is they play a lot of

1240
01:02:40,280 --> 01:02:42,840
Speaker 3: his own coverage that that should help Titans. But love

1241
01:02:42,880 --> 01:02:44,360
Speaker 3: Wing is one of those tight ends that can beat

1242
01:02:44,400 --> 01:02:47,520
Speaker 3: man covered. So he's not necessarily going to improve, uh

1243
01:02:47,880 --> 01:02:49,600
Speaker 3: or he's not in line to kind of improve that

1244
01:02:49,720 --> 01:02:52,680
Speaker 3: much as like, uh, you know, a more traditional tight

1245
01:02:52,760 --> 01:02:55,400
Speaker 3: end would be in this matchup. So yeah, loved One

1246
01:02:55,480 --> 01:02:59,360
Speaker 3: for me, uh is the guy iron long. But yeah,

1247
01:02:59,440 --> 01:03:01,160
Speaker 3: it's it's going to be interesting. I mean, do you

1248
01:03:01,240 --> 01:03:03,640
Speaker 3: have Kid back this week? Is he where you.

1249
01:03:05,160 --> 01:03:06,480
Speaker 2: Back to open the week?

1250
01:03:06,640 --> 01:03:10,280
Speaker 1: It's always tricking those spots, but you have Kinkaid like

1251
01:03:10,400 --> 01:03:11,320
Speaker 1: tight end eighteen?

1252
01:03:12,040 --> 01:03:16,520
Speaker 3: Ye have him at uh at thirteen actually, and that's

1253
01:03:16,560 --> 01:03:20,120
Speaker 3: what's a decreased snap rate, just because I think is

1254
01:03:20,240 --> 01:03:23,520
Speaker 3: a good good matter for him. I mean, the Cincinnati

1255
01:03:23,560 --> 01:03:26,520
Speaker 3: Bengals against tight ends, you can't. I don't think I can.

1256
01:03:26,640 --> 01:03:28,280
Speaker 3: He might be the tight end five if he suits

1257
01:03:28,360 --> 01:03:30,480
Speaker 3: up like that. That's how this week it seems like

1258
01:03:30,520 --> 01:03:33,400
Speaker 3: it's going there's just so much. Everyone's so close. But

1259
01:03:34,360 --> 01:03:39,880
Speaker 3: let's go with a prop ready for this, Trey McBride

1260
01:03:40,880 --> 01:03:50,720
Speaker 3: plus Colston Lovelinds yardage versus Tile Pitts and Darren Waller.

1261
01:03:54,760 --> 01:03:57,600
Speaker 2: Okay, I got it. Are you setting a spread or.

1262
01:03:59,200 --> 01:04:04,440
Speaker 3: Give a make the McBride's side the half yard favorite.

1263
01:04:06,840 --> 01:04:08,280
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'll take the McBride.

1264
01:04:08,640 --> 01:04:13,760
Speaker 1: I saw I get McBride and Loveland right, yep, Okay, yeah,

1265
01:04:13,880 --> 01:04:15,640
Speaker 1: I'll take them McBride side.

1266
01:04:16,600 --> 01:04:19,400
Speaker 3: Yeah, because I just wanted to put like a very

1267
01:04:19,440 --> 01:04:21,760
Speaker 3: consistent guy with guys that we don't really know who

1268
01:04:21,800 --> 01:04:24,680
Speaker 3: are like on that so yeah, like I think I

1269
01:04:25,280 --> 01:04:28,280
Speaker 3: loved Wind and what wall they're all kind of vying for,

1270
01:04:28,400 --> 01:04:30,479
Speaker 3: like you know, tight end fifteen, so I know people

1271
01:04:30,480 --> 01:04:33,160
Speaker 3: and then in consensus they're higher, So I think people

1272
01:04:33,160 --> 01:04:36,200
Speaker 3: are going to be considering starting those two guys. Uh,

1273
01:04:36,800 --> 01:04:40,040
Speaker 3: but yeah, it's I mean, Pitt's finally had a yardage

1274
01:04:40,080 --> 01:04:41,160
Speaker 3: game last week, right, so.

1275
01:04:41,720 --> 01:04:45,760
Speaker 1: Yeah, but London he's questionable if he's playing. If he's

1276
01:04:46,320 --> 01:04:47,320
Speaker 1: it sounds like he's back.

1277
01:04:47,520 --> 01:04:49,640
Speaker 3: So that's why. That's why I'm like, Okay, what's gonna

1278
01:04:49,760 --> 01:04:51,320
Speaker 3: But is it like a Cousins thing or just a

1279
01:04:51,400 --> 01:04:53,040
Speaker 3: purely London thing? Mm?

1280
01:04:53,400 --> 01:04:56,200
Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't know, but I London being back would help,

1281
01:04:56,600 --> 01:05:00,600
Speaker 1: you know, lower pits for me. But yeah, Waller, Waller.

1282
01:05:00,360 --> 01:05:02,720
Speaker 2: Has a ton of upside. He could easily you know,

1283
01:05:02,880 --> 01:05:03,920
Speaker 2: destroy this so.

1284
01:05:04,680 --> 01:05:09,200
Speaker 1: Yeah, or decide to retire. Yeah yeah, maybe they're playing

1285
01:05:09,240 --> 01:05:11,520
Speaker 1: well right now, he's probably having some fun. Yeah, I

1286
01:05:12,080 --> 01:05:15,360
Speaker 1: could pull like an A B but yeah, yeah that's

1287
01:05:15,400 --> 01:05:17,880
Speaker 1: a fun one. But yeah, definitely give me the McBride side.

1288
01:05:18,400 --> 01:05:19,600
Speaker 3: Yeah. I was like, I mean I could have done

1289
01:05:19,600 --> 01:05:21,160
Speaker 3: I guess I could have gone with like Bowers too,

1290
01:05:21,240 --> 01:05:23,200
Speaker 3: but yeah, just just wanted to get like somebody like

1291
01:05:23,400 --> 01:05:26,360
Speaker 3: very predictable with a bunch of guys who aren't predictable

1292
01:05:26,400 --> 01:05:28,040
Speaker 3: at all. But I'm not gonna I'm not gonna make

1293
01:05:28,040 --> 01:05:30,440
Speaker 3: you guess if Kincai is gonna actually return. Just watch it.

1294
01:05:30,560 --> 01:05:33,320
Speaker 3: If he doesn't get a full practice in like if

1295
01:05:33,360 --> 01:05:36,160
Speaker 3: he doesn't get or even multiple full practices, it might

1296
01:05:36,200 --> 01:05:36,560
Speaker 3: not be lit.

1297
01:05:37,520 --> 01:05:37,720
Speaker 2: Yeah.

1298
01:05:37,800 --> 01:05:39,160
Speaker 3: Yeah, because the Bills are just one of those teams

1299
01:05:39,160 --> 01:05:42,440
Speaker 3: that are very conservative. So that's why even like I

1300
01:05:42,480 --> 01:05:45,120
Speaker 3: think earlier than most, I was just projecting aim at zero.

1301
01:05:45,200 --> 01:05:47,440
Speaker 3: Once I saw hegged like a limited on Friday, I think.

1302
01:05:47,520 --> 01:05:49,680
Speaker 3: So it's just like, yeah, he's the guy that if

1303
01:05:49,680 --> 01:05:51,360
Speaker 3: you're playing on start because it's a good match up,

1304
01:05:51,480 --> 01:05:53,960
Speaker 3: he would rank like tight end six for me. Literally

1305
01:05:54,040 --> 01:05:56,280
Speaker 3: if if he was running like maybe like five percent

1306
01:05:56,400 --> 01:06:01,080
Speaker 3: lower than his normal route expectation against Incinnati. But there's

1307
01:06:01,320 --> 01:06:02,880
Speaker 3: there is like a there would be like a fifty

1308
01:06:02,920 --> 01:06:06,080
Speaker 3: percent chance he does not play, So you'd want to

1309
01:06:06,120 --> 01:06:09,320
Speaker 3: have another option. That game is at what come is that?

1310
01:06:09,480 --> 01:06:12,400
Speaker 3: So it is a one pm window game, so at

1311
01:06:12,520 --> 01:06:16,200
Speaker 3: least you'll know it to have somebody ready, you know,

1312
01:06:16,360 --> 01:06:19,520
Speaker 3: like I mean strange, you have well so many guys,

1313
01:06:19,800 --> 01:06:21,600
Speaker 3: so definitely want to pick up one of them if

1314
01:06:21,640 --> 01:06:23,440
Speaker 3: you have, if you have Concad, but I would I

1315
01:06:23,440 --> 01:06:25,840
Speaker 3: would plan on starting Kincaid even if you've been rolling

1316
01:06:25,920 --> 01:06:28,240
Speaker 3: with some somebody else because this is just a great matchup.

1317
01:06:28,320 --> 01:06:32,680
Speaker 3: So complicated tight end situation here, But that is going

1318
01:06:32,760 --> 01:06:35,720
Speaker 3: to wrap it up for our NFL Player Projections episode

1319
01:06:35,720 --> 01:06:38,520
Speaker 3: for a week fourteen here on the Fantasy Flex podcast.

1320
01:06:38,680 --> 01:06:41,440
Speaker 3: Be sure to check out Fantasy Labs for all of

1321
01:06:41,520 --> 01:06:47,000
Speaker 3: our Fantasy football and DFS content models tools, and we'll

1322
01:06:47,040 --> 01:06:51,760
Speaker 3: be back with the DFS show next and we have

1323
01:06:51,960 --> 01:06:54,600
Speaker 3: the Touchdown Show of course on the Action Network podcast

1324
01:06:55,040 --> 01:06:58,080
Speaker 3: later in the week with Joe Gallant. Our Waivers episode

1325
01:06:58,200 --> 01:07:02,760
Speaker 3: already out at Ian Scribemaker on mat Chris Raybond follow

1326
01:07:02,800 --> 01:07:04,880
Speaker 3: playbook as well. We're at those same handles and these

1327
01:07:04,920 --> 01:07:07,280
Speaker 3: three award winning Action Networks at it's the next time,

1328
01:07:07,360 --> 01:07:08,080
Speaker 3: Let's get this money.

1329
01:07:15,720 --> 01:07:19,120
Speaker 1: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly.

1330
01:07:19,560 --> 01:07:22,360
Speaker 3: If you or someone you care about has a gambling problem,

1331
01:07:22,680 --> 01:07:25,280
Speaker 3: help is available twenty four to seven at one eight

1332
01:07:25,400 --> 01:07:26,120
Speaker 3: hundred Gambler