1 00:00:01,480 --> 00:00:02,120 Speaker 1: The volume. 2 00:00:03,600 --> 00:00:06,680 Speaker 2: The Emirates NBA Cup is here. You can win big 3 00:00:07,000 --> 00:00:09,560 Speaker 2: getting in on the action at DraftKings sports Book. It's cool, 4 00:00:09,640 --> 00:00:12,480 Speaker 2: official sports betting partner of the NBA. All thirty teams 5 00:00:13,000 --> 00:00:16,560 Speaker 2: split into six groups every Tuesday and Friday, playing for 6 00:00:16,600 --> 00:00:20,400 Speaker 2: the right to advance in a single elimination in season turney. 7 00:00:20,400 --> 00:00:23,319 Speaker 2: It was great last year, culminating in the NBA Cup 8 00:00:23,440 --> 00:00:27,360 Speaker 2: Championship in Vegas. First time. Here's something special new Draft 9 00:00:27,480 --> 00:00:30,240 Speaker 2: Kings customers bet five bucks to get one hundred and 10 00:00:30,280 --> 00:00:33,680 Speaker 2: fifty bucks in bonus bets. 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Please play responsibly on behalf of boothill CA 21 00:01:01,120 --> 00:01:03,760 Speaker 3: has Seena when resorting Kansas twenty one and over. Agent 22 00:01:03,840 --> 00:01:07,800 Speaker 3: eligibility varies by jurisdiction VOYD in Ontario Bonus Betskspire one 23 00:01:07,880 --> 00:01:10,280 Speaker 3: hundred and sixty eight hours after issue INCE four. Additional 24 00:01:10,360 --> 00:01:14,160 Speaker 3: terms and responsible gaming resources see dknng Don Coe slash 25 00:01:14,200 --> 00:01:14,679 Speaker 3: b ball. 26 00:01:19,920 --> 00:01:22,240 Speaker 2: All right, Chad Milman is going to stop on By 27 00:01:22,440 --> 00:01:26,520 Speaker 2: in about ten minutes. That was a tough watch. Thursday 28 00:01:26,600 --> 00:01:30,600 Speaker 2: Night Football twenty six eighteen. Philadelphia played like crap in 29 00:01:30,640 --> 00:01:33,880 Speaker 2: the first half and came back to win. Let's be 30 00:01:33,920 --> 00:01:37,959 Speaker 2: honest behind Saquon Barkley this. You know, Philadelphia is such 31 00:01:37,959 --> 00:01:41,000 Speaker 2: a talented team, but I think what tonight honestly look 32 00:01:41,160 --> 00:01:44,120 Speaker 2: like You're getting into week ten, week eleven, it's a 33 00:01:44,240 --> 00:01:48,440 Speaker 2: short week. Philadelphia looked tired. Philadelphia look beat up. They 34 00:01:48,480 --> 00:01:54,320 Speaker 2: look tired. You know, division rivalry games are usually pretty physical. 35 00:01:55,120 --> 00:01:58,320 Speaker 2: I think it's disturbing how Philadelphia, much better roster than 36 00:01:58,440 --> 00:02:03,200 Speaker 2: Washington couldn't get anything going in the first half. You know, 37 00:02:03,240 --> 00:02:05,880 Speaker 2: it wasn't until the last final drives when you know 38 00:02:05,880 --> 00:02:10,280 Speaker 2: they kind of cut loose. It's just you have to 39 00:02:10,320 --> 00:02:12,880 Speaker 2: be a better football team than that. Eagles through six 40 00:02:12,919 --> 00:02:15,600 Speaker 2: and zero when Saquon Barkley rushes for one hundred plus yards, 41 00:02:15,600 --> 00:02:19,360 Speaker 2: so he's completely changed the offense Jalen Hurts, and there 42 00:02:19,360 --> 00:02:21,600 Speaker 2: were times tonight in the first half when Jalen Hurts 43 00:02:21,600 --> 00:02:25,760 Speaker 2: missed AJ Brown badly. I'm like a twelve fifteen yard out, 44 00:02:27,000 --> 00:02:29,520 Speaker 2: and you know, he's just the savior of the offense. 45 00:02:29,680 --> 00:02:32,120 Speaker 2: I find it remarkable. You know, nobody in the NFL 46 00:02:32,200 --> 00:02:35,280 Speaker 2: loves the trade to their rivals. It's sort of a 47 00:02:35,360 --> 00:02:38,040 Speaker 2: no no, you know, to me, as long as you're 48 00:02:38,040 --> 00:02:41,720 Speaker 2: not trading like your best player. It is unbelievable. The 49 00:02:41,760 --> 00:02:44,120 Speaker 2: New York Giants allowed and it was the most predictable 50 00:02:44,120 --> 00:02:47,320 Speaker 2: thing in the world. Saquon Barkley, their best player by 51 00:02:47,400 --> 00:02:51,560 Speaker 2: a lot, to go to the Philadelphia Eagles. Jesus. I mean, 52 00:02:51,560 --> 00:02:55,040 Speaker 2: that's just not good GMing. And I don't know if 53 00:02:55,080 --> 00:02:56,920 Speaker 2: the Giants are going to clean house. But that's the 54 00:02:56,960 --> 00:02:59,519 Speaker 2: kind of thing that gets you fired. And Barkley's a 55 00:02:59,560 --> 00:03:03,960 Speaker 2: remarkable player, you know. You know, it's really cracks me up. 56 00:03:04,919 --> 00:03:07,040 Speaker 2: The media overreacts to everything, and a lot of it 57 00:03:07,080 --> 00:03:08,920 Speaker 2: is the media is much younger than it used to be. 58 00:03:09,720 --> 00:03:13,120 Speaker 2: Is that the media, you know, companies now don't have 59 00:03:13,160 --> 00:03:17,440 Speaker 2: the money, especially traditional media. You know, they're going to 60 00:03:17,560 --> 00:03:19,400 Speaker 2: get young and cheap in the media. So a lot 61 00:03:19,440 --> 00:03:22,520 Speaker 2: of times the media is thirty one years old, twenty 62 00:03:22,520 --> 00:03:25,639 Speaker 2: eight years old. Their reaction to stuff is like it's 63 00:03:25,680 --> 00:03:28,799 Speaker 2: never happened before. But that's their life. You know, I've 64 00:03:28,800 --> 00:03:32,600 Speaker 2: been doing this so long now, and I'm believing that's 65 00:03:32,600 --> 00:03:36,760 Speaker 2: not a humble brag, you know, it's it's sometimes I 66 00:03:36,760 --> 00:03:39,440 Speaker 2: look at the media and I think, guys, this is 67 00:03:40,400 --> 00:03:44,720 Speaker 2: it's everything cyclical. I mean virtually politics is cyclical. Everything 68 00:03:44,760 --> 00:03:47,880 Speaker 2: is cyclical. Tech, the industry is not very old, but 69 00:03:47,920 --> 00:03:51,320 Speaker 2: it feels cyclical. You get ups and downs. Everybody overreacts 70 00:03:51,360 --> 00:03:55,880 Speaker 2: to everything. And earlier this year, you know, or was 71 00:03:56,400 --> 00:03:58,440 Speaker 2: it last year the off season, there was this big 72 00:03:58,480 --> 00:04:01,840 Speaker 2: complaint that running backs are not getting paid, and it's like, 73 00:04:02,240 --> 00:04:05,800 Speaker 2: take a deep breath. Safeties have never been paid. You 74 00:04:06,000 --> 00:04:09,480 Speaker 2: tight ends have always been underpaid. Interior offensive linemen don't 75 00:04:09,520 --> 00:04:12,560 Speaker 2: get paid unless you're the la rams. They pay theirs. 76 00:04:14,320 --> 00:04:17,760 Speaker 2: Running Backs are always going to be valuable because a 77 00:04:17,839 --> 00:04:21,480 Speaker 2: running back is essential for a young quarterback. For instance, 78 00:04:21,880 --> 00:04:24,080 Speaker 2: all quarterbacks are better. I mean, Jalen Hurts is not 79 00:04:24,160 --> 00:04:27,200 Speaker 2: a kid anymore, but all quarterbacks are better the good 80 00:04:27,240 --> 00:04:32,039 Speaker 2: running back. Well, quarterbacks the most essential piece in the league. Secondly, 81 00:04:33,360 --> 00:04:38,960 Speaker 2: running backs, whether gets harsh, whether it gets colder, it 82 00:04:39,000 --> 00:04:44,040 Speaker 2: gets windier. November December, January, running games become more essential. 83 00:04:44,960 --> 00:04:48,280 Speaker 2: Not to mention, you know, our running back is such 84 00:04:48,279 --> 00:04:52,640 Speaker 2: a great piece, not just not just to set the 85 00:04:52,640 --> 00:04:55,320 Speaker 2: tempo of a team, but when you lead, and good 86 00:04:55,360 --> 00:04:58,400 Speaker 2: teams lead, and so a lot of times are running 87 00:04:58,400 --> 00:05:02,480 Speaker 2: back eats up the clock. So good teams are always 88 00:05:02,480 --> 00:05:05,400 Speaker 2: going to want a good running back. I mean, Philadelphia 89 00:05:05,480 --> 00:05:07,919 Speaker 2: is a good team. Excellent running back Isaah pa Checo 90 00:05:07,960 --> 00:05:09,800 Speaker 2: when he comes back, will be so valuable to the 91 00:05:09,880 --> 00:05:12,840 Speaker 2: Kansas City Chiefs. James Cook for the Buffalo Bills has 92 00:05:12,880 --> 00:05:15,840 Speaker 2: changed everything. Dereck Henry for the Ravens. I mean, look 93 00:05:15,839 --> 00:05:18,160 Speaker 2: at Cincinnati, one of the best quarterbacks in the league. 94 00:05:18,200 --> 00:05:22,400 Speaker 2: Let Joe Mixon go. Bengals would die for a twelve 95 00:05:22,440 --> 00:05:25,480 Speaker 2: play drive, nine runs with Joe Mixon to keep their 96 00:05:25,560 --> 00:05:28,600 Speaker 2: awful defense off the field. The Detroit Lions have two 97 00:05:28,680 --> 00:05:31,680 Speaker 2: excellent running backs, so that this idea that running backs 98 00:05:31,680 --> 00:05:36,359 Speaker 2: were going to you know, disappear into the ether. The reports. 99 00:05:36,360 --> 00:05:38,400 Speaker 2: I said this on FS one. I set up multiple 100 00:05:38,440 --> 00:05:41,960 Speaker 2: times take a deep breath. There was always going to 101 00:05:42,000 --> 00:05:45,800 Speaker 2: be a market for Austin Eckler. You know, Washington's like, hey, 102 00:05:45,839 --> 00:05:47,839 Speaker 2: we need you. You don't have to get thirty carries, 103 00:05:47,880 --> 00:05:51,200 Speaker 2: but we need you. So there's excellent young running backs 104 00:05:51,240 --> 00:05:55,280 Speaker 2: in the league. And Saquon Barkley is so valuable. This 105 00:05:55,320 --> 00:05:57,479 Speaker 2: is a team that's good. They often play with the league, 106 00:05:57,520 --> 00:06:00,520 Speaker 2: and he was like a closer tonight. He was just 107 00:06:00,680 --> 00:06:03,880 Speaker 2: so dependable late in the football game. I will say, 108 00:06:03,880 --> 00:06:06,000 Speaker 2: if these are two of the best teams in the NFC, 109 00:06:07,000 --> 00:06:12,039 Speaker 2: then the AFC is still superior to the NFC. But 110 00:06:12,320 --> 00:06:16,320 Speaker 2: I also think Jalen Hurts allows Saquon Barkley, excuse me, 111 00:06:16,440 --> 00:06:20,200 Speaker 2: allows Jalen Hurts to throw less in a six game 112 00:06:20,240 --> 00:06:23,400 Speaker 2: winning streak. He's only had two turnovers. So Jalen Hurts 113 00:06:23,600 --> 00:06:25,720 Speaker 2: can throw twenty two times. He didn't have to throw 114 00:06:25,880 --> 00:06:31,000 Speaker 2: thirty four times. So it frustrates me sometimes. And I 115 00:06:31,040 --> 00:06:33,159 Speaker 2: see this in the political media. You know, to the 116 00:06:33,160 --> 00:06:36,640 Speaker 2: Trump election. It's listen, the election was decided by a 117 00:06:36,680 --> 00:06:38,640 Speaker 2: million six votes or something like that in the country 118 00:06:38,640 --> 00:06:41,480 Speaker 2: of three hundred and fifty million people. And you can 119 00:06:41,480 --> 00:06:46,200 Speaker 2: see from the appointees, you know, Trump. Trump is almost 120 00:06:46,240 --> 00:06:48,920 Speaker 2: going to be a polarizing personality and a polarizing president. 121 00:06:50,240 --> 00:06:52,839 Speaker 2: You know, he'll create great passion from the blue team. 122 00:06:53,320 --> 00:06:56,920 Speaker 2: You go to the midterm elections, the Senate, the House, 123 00:06:57,000 --> 00:07:02,480 Speaker 2: things change. It's just, you know, nothing, nothing lasts forever. 124 00:07:03,000 --> 00:07:06,520 Speaker 2: So running backs are very, very valuable. I also think, 125 00:07:06,960 --> 00:07:08,800 Speaker 2: you know, it's like in the NBA. Remember it was 126 00:07:08,839 --> 00:07:11,400 Speaker 2: the small ball League and everybody got small, and then 127 00:07:11,440 --> 00:07:14,640 Speaker 2: here comes Jokis and here comes Giannis, and you know, 128 00:07:14,680 --> 00:07:16,680 Speaker 2: the Boston Celtics are like, let's get a big, let's 129 00:07:16,680 --> 00:07:21,440 Speaker 2: get poor Zingis. And now you know, with the emergence 130 00:07:21,480 --> 00:07:23,240 Speaker 2: of some of these young stars like a Wemby, you 131 00:07:23,320 --> 00:07:26,560 Speaker 2: just have to have size. You're just in the NBA, 132 00:07:26,920 --> 00:07:28,800 Speaker 2: you're just not gonna win a championship. I mean, the 133 00:07:29,560 --> 00:07:32,480 Speaker 2: Julius Randalls Sea, We'll take Karl Anthony Towns. We need 134 00:07:32,480 --> 00:07:34,760 Speaker 2: more size if we want to match up with Jiannis, 135 00:07:34,760 --> 00:07:38,960 Speaker 2: Embiid and Poor Zingis in the East. I mean, it's 136 00:07:39,000 --> 00:07:41,840 Speaker 2: amazing how many true big men. Anthony Davis is the 137 00:07:41,840 --> 00:07:47,440 Speaker 2: best player in the Lakers, Jannis on Milwaukee, Jokic, Wemby, 138 00:07:47,800 --> 00:07:50,280 Speaker 2: There's all sorts of good players. Check Holmgren such a 139 00:07:50,280 --> 00:07:52,400 Speaker 2: good player for Okay, see he's not as good as SGA, 140 00:07:52,520 --> 00:07:55,200 Speaker 2: but a great player. So I mean one team Minnesota, 141 00:07:55,520 --> 00:07:57,800 Speaker 2: I mean it has been kind of reboot as a 142 00:07:57,800 --> 00:08:01,480 Speaker 2: franchise before Karl Anthony town got traded because they went 143 00:08:01,520 --> 00:08:04,040 Speaker 2: and got Rudy Gobert and Karl Anthony Towns. They went 144 00:08:04,080 --> 00:08:12,320 Speaker 2: and got two centers. Everything, everything over time either re emerges, emerges, regresses. 145 00:08:12,360 --> 00:08:14,840 Speaker 2: To the mean, take a deep breath, It's all going 146 00:08:14,880 --> 00:08:18,720 Speaker 2: to be okay, you know. I also think what's happening 147 00:08:18,800 --> 00:08:22,560 Speaker 2: last weekend was a great weekend for underdogs. And I 148 00:08:22,600 --> 00:08:25,280 Speaker 2: thought tonight when Washington, I couldn't you couldn't figure the 149 00:08:25,280 --> 00:08:27,040 Speaker 2: first half out. I mean you look at the stats. 150 00:08:27,400 --> 00:08:29,679 Speaker 2: Washington never had the football. They had the football eleven 151 00:08:29,720 --> 00:08:31,680 Speaker 2: minutes and they led, and it was one of these 152 00:08:31,720 --> 00:08:36,760 Speaker 2: football games You're like, what's happening here? Philadelphia so much better, Jacksonville, 153 00:08:36,800 --> 00:08:40,199 Speaker 2: Minnesota last weekend. Minnesota was so much better San Francisco 154 00:08:40,280 --> 00:08:42,400 Speaker 2: and Tampa last week and go to the box score 155 00:08:42,440 --> 00:08:44,839 Speaker 2: in that game. So what you're finding is a lot 156 00:08:44,840 --> 00:08:47,880 Speaker 2: of these superior football teams. They're injured, they're beat up, 157 00:08:48,160 --> 00:08:51,880 Speaker 2: they're playing some backups, they're tired. You know, a lot 158 00:08:51,880 --> 00:08:54,440 Speaker 2: of the better football teams in the NFL, they have 159 00:08:54,559 --> 00:08:58,840 Speaker 2: older players, players just out of their prime. Week ten, 160 00:08:59,120 --> 00:09:04,440 Speaker 2: week eleven, week twelve. Listen. I like Jayden Daniels and 161 00:09:04,520 --> 00:09:07,000 Speaker 2: let's talk about this, but he's hit a bit of 162 00:09:07,000 --> 00:09:10,679 Speaker 2: a rookie wall And last year C. J. Stroud had 163 00:09:10,720 --> 00:09:12,760 Speaker 2: a three game stretch and we all like him where 164 00:09:12,760 --> 00:09:15,559 Speaker 2: he completed fifty seven percent of his throws. So Jaden 165 00:09:15,600 --> 00:09:18,520 Speaker 2: Daniels comes in, has a little Lamar Jackson field. Nobody 166 00:09:18,559 --> 00:09:20,360 Speaker 2: has any film, nobody has in the NFL film. I 167 00:09:20,360 --> 00:09:22,440 Speaker 2: mean you're just kind of okay. You go back and 168 00:09:22,440 --> 00:09:24,400 Speaker 2: look at the LSU film. I mean you don't you 169 00:09:24,400 --> 00:09:26,640 Speaker 2: don't know really what you get. And then Cliff Kingsbury 170 00:09:26,679 --> 00:09:30,000 Speaker 2: with Jayden Daniels brand new. So you get four five 171 00:09:30,080 --> 00:09:32,199 Speaker 2: weeks and you're like, oh, then you know, then they 172 00:09:32,240 --> 00:09:34,840 Speaker 2: lose to a Baltimore and I played Pittsburgh a couple 173 00:09:34,840 --> 00:09:36,880 Speaker 2: of weeks ago and they lose to a Pittsburgh. And 174 00:09:36,920 --> 00:09:41,440 Speaker 2: now they lose to a Philadelphia. So some teams Washington 175 00:09:41,480 --> 00:09:43,520 Speaker 2: I had as a wildcard team coming into the season. 176 00:09:43,720 --> 00:09:46,800 Speaker 2: Some teams it takes a while to figure them out 177 00:09:46,880 --> 00:09:48,800 Speaker 2: and I think more than any team in the NFL, 178 00:09:49,200 --> 00:09:52,160 Speaker 2: that's Washington. They come in with a fastball, nobody's seen it. 179 00:09:52,280 --> 00:09:56,160 Speaker 2: Kingsbury's got a new offense and a new quarterback, and 180 00:09:56,760 --> 00:09:59,559 Speaker 2: everybody's kind of just you just you need more film 181 00:10:00,000 --> 00:10:01,160 Speaker 2: and then all of a sudden you kind of figure 182 00:10:01,200 --> 00:10:02,840 Speaker 2: out what they are, what they're not. You see their 183 00:10:02,840 --> 00:10:06,440 Speaker 2: offensive line, you know, into the season, Going into the season, 184 00:10:06,480 --> 00:10:08,120 Speaker 2: we all said about the Commanders. Don't know if I 185 00:10:08,160 --> 00:10:10,600 Speaker 2: like the offensive line. You know, they kind of fool 186 00:10:10,600 --> 00:10:13,400 Speaker 2: people early, some smoking mirrors. I mean, they're just picking 187 00:10:13,480 --> 00:10:16,720 Speaker 2: up seven yards a chunk, but they can't sustain it 188 00:10:16,760 --> 00:10:18,160 Speaker 2: because they really don't have good enough. 189 00:10:18,360 --> 00:10:18,560 Speaker 1: You know. 190 00:10:18,720 --> 00:10:21,360 Speaker 2: I like their running backs, but I mean Terry McLaurin 191 00:10:21,480 --> 00:10:24,080 Speaker 2: in the first half didn't even see it target. You know, 192 00:10:24,160 --> 00:10:26,480 Speaker 2: so people take Terry McLaurin out and it's a pretty 193 00:10:26,520 --> 00:10:30,040 Speaker 2: weak wide receiving crew and it's a pretty average offensive line. 194 00:10:30,360 --> 00:10:33,640 Speaker 2: And now everybody's got all the tape, and so I 195 00:10:33,720 --> 00:10:35,640 Speaker 2: think he's going to be I think I think Jayden 196 00:10:35,720 --> 00:10:38,079 Speaker 2: Daniels has been a home run or you know, Rookie 197 00:10:38,120 --> 00:10:41,560 Speaker 2: of the Year all that stuff. But this is the reality. 198 00:10:41,920 --> 00:10:45,600 Speaker 2: C J. Stroud, you know, hit a wall and had 199 00:10:45,679 --> 00:10:48,560 Speaker 2: some games where you know, the game speeds up. The 200 00:10:48,600 --> 00:10:52,439 Speaker 2: other thing is what happens is like a young quarterback 201 00:10:53,160 --> 00:10:57,960 Speaker 2: maybe has a favorite receiver, you know, maybe relies you know, 202 00:10:58,240 --> 00:11:01,600 Speaker 2: more on a running back, and then people start getting 203 00:11:01,640 --> 00:11:04,640 Speaker 2: dinged up in week nine and ten and eleven, and 204 00:11:04,679 --> 00:11:07,440 Speaker 2: now you know Jaden Daniels doesn't have all the components 205 00:11:07,480 --> 00:11:12,000 Speaker 2: he needs, and so you know, then Cliff Kingsbury has 206 00:11:12,040 --> 00:11:14,640 Speaker 2: certain things. He's not gonna run, certain plays, certain sets, 207 00:11:16,280 --> 00:11:18,960 Speaker 2: so you know on insert day, you know, and this 208 00:11:19,040 --> 00:11:21,440 Speaker 2: is a short week anyway, you know, you're just you're 209 00:11:21,480 --> 00:11:24,960 Speaker 2: limited on what you have. And I think that's what 210 00:11:24,960 --> 00:11:28,240 Speaker 2: you're seeing. I think you're seeing a young quarterback and 211 00:11:28,280 --> 00:11:31,360 Speaker 2: it just steps. Everything for these young quarterbacks is steps. 212 00:11:32,040 --> 00:11:34,640 Speaker 2: You No, Bowe Nicks started slowly, but he has an 213 00:11:34,679 --> 00:11:36,480 Speaker 2: offensive head coach and one of the great ones in 214 00:11:36,520 --> 00:11:39,160 Speaker 2: Sean Payton. He keeps getting better and better. Whereas the 215 00:11:39,200 --> 00:11:43,640 Speaker 2: element of surprise, what the heck is Jaden Daniels And 216 00:11:44,240 --> 00:11:47,400 Speaker 2: you're guessing and he's so electric and so athletic. He 217 00:11:47,559 --> 00:11:50,120 Speaker 2: was just he was picking up yards with his feet. 218 00:11:50,559 --> 00:11:52,959 Speaker 2: Nothing quite like him. Looks a little like Lamar in 219 00:11:53,000 --> 00:11:57,600 Speaker 2: the NFC, and now we're seeing people have a track. 220 00:11:58,240 --> 00:12:00,920 Speaker 2: Doesn't mean it's like a little bit like Lamar Jackson. 221 00:12:01,240 --> 00:12:04,400 Speaker 2: I mean Lamar's first full year starting MVP, but he 222 00:12:04,440 --> 00:12:07,600 Speaker 2: would have trouble in some division games as teams in 223 00:12:07,679 --> 00:12:11,320 Speaker 2: his division, like Pittsburgh or Cincinnati had seen Lamar Jackson 224 00:12:11,360 --> 00:12:14,080 Speaker 2: multiple times. Remember Lamar's first year. He comes in late 225 00:12:14,280 --> 00:12:16,800 Speaker 2: week eleven, he beats the Chargers, then he has to 226 00:12:16,840 --> 00:12:19,000 Speaker 2: face him again in the playoffs and he loses the Chargers. 227 00:12:19,000 --> 00:12:21,719 Speaker 2: I remember talking to Tom Telesco, the GM of the 228 00:12:21,800 --> 00:12:23,319 Speaker 2: Chargers at the time, and he said, you know you 229 00:12:23,440 --> 00:12:26,199 Speaker 2: first time you face him, I mean, you just don't. 230 00:12:26,280 --> 00:12:27,840 Speaker 2: Because you can watch all the film you want, you 231 00:12:27,840 --> 00:12:31,800 Speaker 2: have no idea how fast he is, how twitchy he is, 232 00:12:32,280 --> 00:12:36,360 Speaker 2: how quick he sees and thinks and reacts. And then 233 00:12:36,400 --> 00:12:38,280 Speaker 2: the second time you face him, Okay, we're going to 234 00:12:38,320 --> 00:12:41,240 Speaker 2: take away this, that's his fastball. We're taking away that 235 00:12:42,200 --> 00:12:44,120 Speaker 2: force him to go to his second and his third receiver. 236 00:12:44,320 --> 00:12:47,520 Speaker 2: And then you he's still tough to beat. But you 237 00:12:47,520 --> 00:12:50,080 Speaker 2: can ask Lamar Jackson. Lamar Jackson has struggled in his career. 238 00:12:50,120 --> 00:12:52,000 Speaker 2: I don't think he's had a great record with against 239 00:12:52,000 --> 00:12:55,640 Speaker 2: the Pittsburgh Steelers Mike Tomlin. They always have a good defense. 240 00:12:55,800 --> 00:12:58,120 Speaker 2: They see him multiple times a year, they know all 241 00:12:58,160 --> 00:13:02,360 Speaker 2: the tricks, and so I think Jayden Daniels will be 242 00:13:02,400 --> 00:13:05,480 Speaker 2: a very effective quarterback for teams that don't face him 243 00:13:05,520 --> 00:13:08,560 Speaker 2: a lot. But for a Philadelphia that's well run, good 244 00:13:08,600 --> 00:13:11,280 Speaker 2: pieces that sees him twice a year, you know he 245 00:13:11,360 --> 00:13:13,440 Speaker 2: may have through the years, he may have trouble with 246 00:13:13,480 --> 00:13:16,000 Speaker 2: the Eagles, but still love him. It's a pretty good 247 00:13:16,040 --> 00:13:17,960 Speaker 2: quarterback class. A few years ago we had the class 248 00:13:17,960 --> 00:13:21,319 Speaker 2: with Jalen Hurts and Tua and Joe Burrow and Justin Herbert. 249 00:13:22,760 --> 00:13:27,000 Speaker 2: This quarterback class, JJ McCarthy looked really, really good in 250 00:13:27,040 --> 00:13:30,440 Speaker 2: the preseason. Preseason, but he looks really good, and Bo 251 00:13:30,559 --> 00:13:32,760 Speaker 2: Nicks looks good, and Jayden Daniels looks good. And I 252 00:13:32,840 --> 00:13:36,840 Speaker 2: do believe Kayleb Williams will eventually get it right or 253 00:13:37,600 --> 00:13:39,760 Speaker 2: closer to what he's going to be. He had a 254 00:13:39,760 --> 00:13:42,160 Speaker 2: good three game stretcher earlier this season. Kayleb Williams was 255 00:13:42,160 --> 00:13:45,600 Speaker 2: seventy four percent completion percentage three games. But again, now 256 00:13:45,600 --> 00:13:47,880 Speaker 2: people are getting taped. Now they see what Caleb can't do. 257 00:13:48,520 --> 00:13:50,000 Speaker 2: Then all of a sudden, you have a wide receiver 258 00:13:50,080 --> 00:13:54,520 Speaker 2: that stinged up, just steps, just a process. Jaden's going 259 00:13:54,559 --> 00:13:57,760 Speaker 2: to be great. I thought Philadelphia and I they just 260 00:13:57,840 --> 00:14:01,840 Speaker 2: looked they were a little tired, little beat up, but 261 00:14:01,880 --> 00:14:05,520 Speaker 2: they came back to be the inferior roster twenty six 262 00:14:05,559 --> 00:14:10,560 Speaker 2: to eighteen. Nick Ceriani, I still cannot get over. I 263 00:14:10,559 --> 00:14:13,800 Speaker 2: don't believe they've scored on the opening drive this year. 264 00:14:14,080 --> 00:14:17,760 Speaker 2: Offensive coach sa Kwon Barkley, Jalen Hurts, AJ Brown, Davonte Smith, 265 00:14:18,160 --> 00:14:24,120 Speaker 2: good old line. That's just odd to me. Just Philadelphia 266 00:14:24,440 --> 00:14:28,400 Speaker 2: is such a unique franchise. And maybe I'm loopy because 267 00:14:28,400 --> 00:14:30,440 Speaker 2: this game put me to sleep, But they're the only 268 00:14:30,560 --> 00:14:34,720 Speaker 2: franchise that makes constant coaching changes. You're never quite in 269 00:14:34,760 --> 00:14:36,560 Speaker 2: love with the coach. And yet I think it's a 270 00:14:36,600 --> 00:14:40,280 Speaker 2: top five organization in the NFL. Everybody else, like Kansas 271 00:14:40,280 --> 00:14:47,920 Speaker 2: City feels so stable, Baltimore feels so stable. Philadelphia is 272 00:14:47,960 --> 00:14:51,360 Speaker 2: a little rocky and turbulent. I mean, how many coordinators 273 00:14:51,360 --> 00:14:54,000 Speaker 2: have they had. I mean they're on their third offensive 274 00:14:54,040 --> 00:14:59,320 Speaker 2: coordinator in three years. They're constantly rotating through coordinators, coaches, 275 00:15:00,320 --> 00:15:03,880 Speaker 2: a few years back, quarterbacks. But yet I don't see 276 00:15:03,920 --> 00:15:06,600 Speaker 2: them like the New York Jets the New York Giants. 277 00:15:06,640 --> 00:15:11,080 Speaker 2: As a reactionary, I tend to think they're proactive, smart owner, 278 00:15:11,160 --> 00:15:14,200 Speaker 2: smart GM. I didn't love them firing Chip Kelly, but 279 00:15:14,240 --> 00:15:17,440 Speaker 2: at the time I felt like Chip Kelly's got a 280 00:15:17,440 --> 00:15:19,800 Speaker 2: winning record. But you know what we found out in 281 00:15:19,800 --> 00:15:21,920 Speaker 2: San Francisco. Chip's more of a college guy than a 282 00:15:21,960 --> 00:15:23,880 Speaker 2: pro guy. So they knew something in the building that 283 00:15:23,920 --> 00:15:25,880 Speaker 2: we didn't. Even though they went ten and six ten 284 00:15:25,920 --> 00:15:28,480 Speaker 2: and six first two years with pretty average quarterback play, 285 00:15:28,840 --> 00:15:31,520 Speaker 2: they knew something. They saw something Carson Wentz. They signed 286 00:15:31,560 --> 00:15:33,680 Speaker 2: him to a big deal, and then they know they 287 00:15:33,760 --> 00:15:35,520 Speaker 2: kind of moved off him, and you're thinking, what are 288 00:15:35,560 --> 00:15:36,680 Speaker 2: you doing here? You just sign them to do a 289 00:15:36,680 --> 00:15:39,920 Speaker 2: big deal. They kind of knew something. You know, they 290 00:15:40,120 --> 00:15:42,680 Speaker 2: know things in the building, they keep it to themselves, 291 00:15:43,920 --> 00:15:50,080 Speaker 2: and they react proactively, very strongly. And so Philadelphia once again, 292 00:15:50,160 --> 00:15:52,040 Speaker 2: I mean, this offense with Jalen Hurts has been one 293 00:15:52,080 --> 00:15:56,120 Speaker 2: of two things, turnover prone and awful or when Nick 294 00:15:56,160 --> 00:16:00,680 Speaker 2: Sirianni moves back and lets his oc run things excellent. 295 00:16:01,120 --> 00:16:03,960 Speaker 2: There's nothing in between. It's either been you know, like 296 00:16:04,040 --> 00:16:07,440 Speaker 2: right now, it's powerful. It's a powerful offense with a 297 00:16:07,480 --> 00:16:10,440 Speaker 2: great old line at Saquon Barkley six and oh are 298 00:16:10,480 --> 00:16:12,920 Speaker 2: the Eagles when Saquon rushes for one hundred or more 299 00:16:13,000 --> 00:16:16,680 Speaker 2: completely change the offense of Philadelphia. Okay, this weekend, there's 300 00:16:16,680 --> 00:16:22,800 Speaker 2: some interesting things tonight Jake Paul, Mike Tyson, Saturday, John 301 00:16:22,920 --> 00:16:27,920 Speaker 2: Jones UFC fight. Good weekend. Good. Anytime you can get 302 00:16:27,920 --> 00:16:30,880 Speaker 2: a fight on a Friday and a Saturday into a 303 00:16:30,880 --> 00:16:42,280 Speaker 2: big football weekend. Excellent. Chad Melman's next. So I went 304 00:16:42,360 --> 00:16:44,960 Speaker 2: today and I said, and I watched Russell. So the 305 00:16:44,960 --> 00:16:47,640 Speaker 2: Steeters are three and oh with Russell Wilson averaging about 306 00:16:47,680 --> 00:16:50,360 Speaker 2: thirty a game. It's the first time in several years 307 00:16:50,400 --> 00:16:53,600 Speaker 2: they have the offense moving. And I went back and 308 00:16:53,640 --> 00:16:59,160 Speaker 2: I took Russell Wilson with Pete Carolyn Seattle, Russell Wilson, 309 00:16:59,720 --> 00:17:03,000 Speaker 2: the one year with Sean Payton, and Russell Wilson with 310 00:17:03,040 --> 00:17:07,000 Speaker 2: Mike Tomlin, the three times he's had competent coaches. And 311 00:17:07,119 --> 00:17:10,480 Speaker 2: you know what he gives you. He moves sixty four 312 00:17:10,520 --> 00:17:13,879 Speaker 2: percent completion percentage, a passer rating over one hundred. He 313 00:17:13,920 --> 00:17:16,800 Speaker 2: doesn't miss any starts. He's not great from the pocket, 314 00:17:17,000 --> 00:17:19,760 Speaker 2: but he throws a really nice deep ball. And when 315 00:17:19,840 --> 00:17:23,040 Speaker 2: I watch what he's done to Pittsburgh he has brought 316 00:17:23,560 --> 00:17:25,679 Speaker 2: it's a little big Ben. He's a totally different player. 317 00:17:25,800 --> 00:17:29,479 Speaker 2: He's brought the deep ball back to the Steelers. So 318 00:17:29,960 --> 00:17:33,280 Speaker 2: now you have veteran just say it out loud, veteran coach, 319 00:17:34,200 --> 00:17:40,600 Speaker 2: great defense, tough at home, solid run game, good deep 320 00:17:40,680 --> 00:17:44,960 Speaker 2: ball offense. That's pretty good football team. That's pretty good team. 321 00:17:45,400 --> 00:17:47,520 Speaker 1: Yeah to me, that that staff that they show that 322 00:17:47,560 --> 00:17:50,159 Speaker 1: they were averaging twenty points with fields and they're averaging 323 00:17:50,200 --> 00:17:52,040 Speaker 1: over thirty points with him. I mean, that's a pretty 324 00:17:52,040 --> 00:17:54,800 Speaker 1: big difference. That's that's a pretty much And what do 325 00:17:54,840 --> 00:17:57,200 Speaker 1: they get a game winning touchdown on the deep ball 326 00:17:57,240 --> 00:18:00,160 Speaker 1: throw to Mike Williams? Yeah, what do what are the 327 00:18:00,160 --> 00:18:02,879 Speaker 1: best wide receivers now adding Mike Williams with pickens and 328 00:18:03,359 --> 00:18:05,959 Speaker 1: their tight end, big guys, throw them up, give them 329 00:18:05,960 --> 00:18:08,040 Speaker 1: fifty to fifty balls, because they're not fifty to fifty 330 00:18:08,040 --> 00:18:10,640 Speaker 1: balls with those guys right there, Seventy five twenty five 331 00:18:10,640 --> 00:18:13,159 Speaker 1: balls with those guys. So I thought, at times a 332 00:18:13,200 --> 00:18:15,240 Speaker 1: day like this where you got to be careful about 333 00:18:15,240 --> 00:18:17,440 Speaker 1: writing your takes down at halftime, like the gap, Jayden 334 00:18:17,480 --> 00:18:21,400 Speaker 1: looked way better their offense was rolling. But Russell, there 335 00:18:21,480 --> 00:18:23,399 Speaker 1: is something to be said. I think he can be 336 00:18:23,520 --> 00:18:26,440 Speaker 1: kind of corny and kind of just stupid, the way 337 00:18:26,480 --> 00:18:28,960 Speaker 1: that he comes off like a politician at times. Yeah, yeah, 338 00:18:28,960 --> 00:18:31,800 Speaker 1: but he is very steady Eddy. You know, he doesn't 339 00:18:31,840 --> 00:18:34,879 Speaker 1: go into the tank when it looks it just pipped 340 00:18:34,920 --> 00:18:38,080 Speaker 1: off early. And the Fields he also can make the 341 00:18:38,119 --> 00:18:41,879 Speaker 1: throw that that lob touch throw that won them the 342 00:18:41,920 --> 00:18:45,160 Speaker 1: game that a handful of bet the average to blow 343 00:18:45,200 --> 00:18:48,240 Speaker 1: average quarterbacks can't make. It was a problem with Trubisky forever. 344 00:18:48,640 --> 00:18:51,400 Speaker 1: You know, Fields is a more talented Trubisky, but cannot 345 00:18:51,480 --> 00:18:55,040 Speaker 1: make that layered kind of lollipop throw. And at this 346 00:18:55,119 --> 00:18:57,639 Speaker 1: point in time, that is Russell's go to throw. And 347 00:18:57,800 --> 00:19:00,520 Speaker 1: even back when he was better, when did his game 348 00:19:00,600 --> 00:19:03,000 Speaker 1: like when he got DK metcalf. So you give him 349 00:19:03,040 --> 00:19:07,160 Speaker 1: these big targets, Sutton like they had some plays at Denver, right, 350 00:19:07,280 --> 00:19:09,600 Speaker 1: throw it up, let them go make a play. That 351 00:19:09,720 --> 00:19:13,000 Speaker 1: was a big win for Pittsburgh Collin because I thought 352 00:19:13,280 --> 00:19:15,720 Speaker 1: I was thoroughly impressed with Washington. I'm like, this is 353 00:19:15,760 --> 00:19:19,800 Speaker 1: gonna be a great win. And then Russell drives him 354 00:19:19,840 --> 00:19:22,439 Speaker 1: right down the field, even as calmness that there is 355 00:19:22,480 --> 00:19:25,000 Speaker 1: something to be said on that game winning drive that 356 00:19:25,280 --> 00:19:27,439 Speaker 1: he led them on. When those guys look at him 357 00:19:27,480 --> 00:19:29,560 Speaker 1: in the huddle like this ain't his first rodeo. Don't 358 00:19:29,560 --> 00:19:31,199 Speaker 1: say what you want about him. He's not near the 359 00:19:31,200 --> 00:19:33,080 Speaker 1: same guy. But like you look at him in the huddle, 360 00:19:33,160 --> 00:19:36,399 Speaker 1: you go, this guy has been in this moment, you know, 361 00:19:36,640 --> 00:19:38,320 Speaker 1: fifty plus times in his career. 362 00:19:38,960 --> 00:19:42,119 Speaker 2: Let's talk a game that wasn't nearly as captivating, but 363 00:19:42,160 --> 00:19:46,359 Speaker 2: it made a statement. New England nineteen Chicago three twenty 364 00:19:46,400 --> 00:19:49,680 Speaker 2: one straight drives for the Bears, without a touchdown, third 365 00:19:49,720 --> 00:19:53,679 Speaker 2: straight game, no offensive identity, Caleb under fifty four percent 366 00:19:53,760 --> 00:19:57,480 Speaker 2: completion rate, third straight game. He's lost one for fourteen 367 00:19:57,560 --> 00:20:03,000 Speaker 2: on third down. Pitiful at Drake May again, seven different targets. 368 00:20:03,040 --> 00:20:05,760 Speaker 2: They didn't ask him to do much. You know, they 369 00:20:05,760 --> 00:20:08,399 Speaker 2: averaged five and a half yards of play with without 370 00:20:08,680 --> 00:20:10,280 Speaker 2: you know, much to work with. But I think the 371 00:20:10,320 --> 00:20:15,879 Speaker 2: story here is, and I've said this, poorly coached teams. 372 00:20:15,920 --> 00:20:18,920 Speaker 2: Brandon Staley last year start the year, Remember that, Brandon, 373 00:20:19,040 --> 00:20:20,679 Speaker 2: I think it was last year. They start, they almost 374 00:20:20,680 --> 00:20:23,800 Speaker 2: beat Miami to start a wild, crazy game, and then 375 00:20:23,880 --> 00:20:26,240 Speaker 2: about week six, you're like, man, they're not well coached 376 00:20:26,240 --> 00:20:28,520 Speaker 2: and then by like week twelve, the players have quit. 377 00:20:29,680 --> 00:20:33,880 Speaker 2: A poorly run business can fool people three or four 378 00:20:33,920 --> 00:20:37,040 Speaker 2: or five weeks. I mean that Tennessee win. I mean 379 00:20:37,040 --> 00:20:39,240 Speaker 2: they were outplayed by the Titans at home in Week one. 380 00:20:39,320 --> 00:20:41,200 Speaker 2: It was a Will Levis mistake or that's an l 381 00:20:41,720 --> 00:20:43,479 Speaker 2: I think what you look at this team now is 382 00:20:43,920 --> 00:20:46,960 Speaker 2: you look at a poorly coached team. There's a lack 383 00:20:47,000 --> 00:20:51,640 Speaker 2: of belief. There's absolutely no identity. Offensively, they averaged two 384 00:20:51,640 --> 00:20:55,160 Speaker 2: point four yards of play. Ryan Poles said last week, 385 00:20:55,400 --> 00:20:59,160 Speaker 2: we're not making coaching changes. This is not Jacksonville. Chicago 386 00:20:59,280 --> 00:21:04,680 Speaker 2: is a loud media. Do you fire Matt Eberflus during 387 00:21:04,720 --> 00:21:05,639 Speaker 2: the season. 388 00:21:05,840 --> 00:21:07,520 Speaker 1: I mean, I think there's a decent chance by the 389 00:21:07,560 --> 00:21:10,879 Speaker 1: time you know, we wake up or before lunch on Monday, 390 00:21:10,920 --> 00:21:14,520 Speaker 1: he's relieved of his duties. You can't go back to 391 00:21:14,520 --> 00:21:16,800 Speaker 1: back games like they have just had when they were 392 00:21:17,040 --> 00:21:19,359 Speaker 1: a play away from looking like is this team about 393 00:21:19,400 --> 00:21:22,320 Speaker 1: to win ten or eleven games? And it now feels 394 00:21:22,359 --> 00:21:24,480 Speaker 1: like if I told you they win one more game 395 00:21:24,520 --> 00:21:26,520 Speaker 1: the rest of the season. We've talked about their schedule. 396 00:21:26,840 --> 00:21:31,120 Speaker 1: They're in shambles. They're coaching staff's in embarrassment right now, 397 00:21:31,240 --> 00:21:34,720 Speaker 1: and it's gonna get absolutely destroyed by every Bears fan, 398 00:21:34,760 --> 00:21:37,520 Speaker 1: and rightfully so. Yeah, but I also think that, like 399 00:21:37,680 --> 00:21:41,800 Speaker 1: Ryan Poles, Bear's responsibility. He drafted Roma Doonza, who we 400 00:21:41,840 --> 00:21:45,399 Speaker 1: all like. Their offensive line is pitiful, and there were 401 00:21:45,480 --> 00:21:48,800 Speaker 1: countless offensive linemen on the board at pick nine that 402 00:21:49,080 --> 00:21:52,320 Speaker 1: would have who's Jim Harbaugh take? He takes an offensive 403 00:21:52,320 --> 00:21:54,439 Speaker 1: lineman where it's like, take a receiver, He's like, no, 404 00:21:54,720 --> 00:21:57,280 Speaker 1: who would Andy Reid have taken in that spot? He 405 00:21:57,280 --> 00:22:00,439 Speaker 1: would have taken a guard or a tackle because you 406 00:22:00,520 --> 00:22:02,240 Speaker 1: have to protect that guy. And they took a wide 407 00:22:02,280 --> 00:22:04,520 Speaker 1: receiver when they already got multiple wide receivers. And let's 408 00:22:04,520 --> 00:22:06,840 Speaker 1: face it, they got a problem on their hands because 409 00:22:06,920 --> 00:22:09,800 Speaker 1: Dj Moore, who for like a five straight year stretch. 410 00:22:09,880 --> 00:22:12,199 Speaker 1: Everyone in the NFL is like, listen, I don't know 411 00:22:12,240 --> 00:22:14,240 Speaker 1: this guy. Doesn't matter what quarterback he's playing with. This 412 00:22:14,240 --> 00:22:17,639 Speaker 1: guy's a stud. People liked him, who's high character. He 413 00:22:17,680 --> 00:22:20,760 Speaker 1: does not like Caleb like they have an issue. They 414 00:22:20,840 --> 00:22:23,800 Speaker 1: have an issue, and they just extended him. Now obviously 415 00:22:23,880 --> 00:22:25,600 Speaker 1: it's not like if you have to pick one or 416 00:22:25,600 --> 00:22:27,399 Speaker 1: the other. They have no choice. They're all in on 417 00:22:27,480 --> 00:22:30,159 Speaker 1: Caleb Williams. But that is a problem for them. And 418 00:22:30,200 --> 00:22:31,840 Speaker 1: I saw this with the forty nine ers, And I'm 419 00:22:31,840 --> 00:22:34,640 Speaker 1: not comparing Caleb to Trey Lance. He's obviously a much 420 00:22:34,680 --> 00:22:37,840 Speaker 1: better player, but they never believed in Trey Lance, not 421 00:22:37,920 --> 00:22:41,320 Speaker 1: the coaching staff, not the front office, the players why 422 00:22:41,359 --> 00:22:43,480 Speaker 1: they wanted Jimmy, why they had no problem going to 423 00:22:43,520 --> 00:22:46,359 Speaker 1: Purty because they see every day in practice. I think 424 00:22:47,080 --> 00:22:50,480 Speaker 1: we were talking before you jumped on about like I 425 00:22:50,480 --> 00:22:52,440 Speaker 1: think Nick Wright had a take about like just go 426 00:22:52,520 --> 00:22:55,639 Speaker 1: with Trey Lance right now because maybe you get something 427 00:22:55,720 --> 00:22:57,720 Speaker 1: and best case, he just sucks and you lose. You 428 00:22:57,760 --> 00:22:59,919 Speaker 1: know why you can't do that because Micah Parsons and 429 00:23:00,040 --> 00:23:02,600 Speaker 1: Ceedee Lamb would be like, what the fuck are we doing? 430 00:23:02,920 --> 00:23:03,080 Speaker 2: Right? 431 00:23:03,080 --> 00:23:05,879 Speaker 1: Because they see practice, and I think you have this 432 00:23:05,960 --> 00:23:08,760 Speaker 1: Caleb Williams situation. Everyone's going to point to Shane Waldron, 433 00:23:09,080 --> 00:23:11,679 Speaker 1: who actually I always kind of liked, but clearly this 434 00:23:11,720 --> 00:23:13,640 Speaker 1: is not going well for him, and eber flus Over 435 00:23:13,680 --> 00:23:16,280 Speaker 1: said is gonna get fired. But there are plays to 436 00:23:16,320 --> 00:23:19,040 Speaker 1: be made for Caleb and he doesn't look remotely close. 437 00:23:19,320 --> 00:23:22,080 Speaker 1: Like even if you are a Caleb supporter, which I 438 00:23:22,280 --> 00:23:24,119 Speaker 1: with you, like most people, I would have drafted them 439 00:23:24,160 --> 00:23:27,240 Speaker 1: number one overall, but like the draft happened. Now we're 440 00:23:27,359 --> 00:23:30,359 Speaker 1: ten games in, there are plays. It's not all his fault. 441 00:23:30,920 --> 00:23:32,600 Speaker 1: But I think we also have to acknowledge like Drake 442 00:23:32,640 --> 00:23:35,679 Speaker 1: may plays in an organization that's in turmoil. His the 443 00:23:35,760 --> 00:23:37,840 Speaker 1: former head coach, who's one of the most legendary sports 444 00:23:37,880 --> 00:23:40,920 Speaker 1: figures of all times, ripping drowd mail. Like three weeks ago, 445 00:23:41,280 --> 00:23:44,480 Speaker 1: everyone's ripping the owner. The coaching staff's more than questionable. 446 00:23:44,560 --> 00:23:46,320 Speaker 1: There's not that much talent. You watch Drake may Or, 447 00:23:46,440 --> 00:23:49,480 Speaker 1: like God, he was the best quarterback by a wide 448 00:23:49,600 --> 00:23:54,240 Speaker 1: margin on the field, no question. And the other thing 449 00:23:54,280 --> 00:23:57,479 Speaker 1: Colin is like, let's use Jared Goff as an example. 450 00:23:57,520 --> 00:23:59,680 Speaker 1: Remember that rookie season. It felt like is this guy, 451 00:24:00,200 --> 00:24:02,680 Speaker 1: this guy even an NFL player? But the one thing 452 00:24:02,720 --> 00:24:05,000 Speaker 1: you knew Jared Goff could do in college was like 453 00:24:05,040 --> 00:24:07,399 Speaker 1: he was a pocket quarterback. So he's never gonna have 454 00:24:07,440 --> 00:24:09,000 Speaker 1: to run. He's a pocket. If you could protect him, 455 00:24:09,000 --> 00:24:10,719 Speaker 1: he could play in the pocket. There is just a 456 00:24:10,800 --> 00:24:14,200 Speaker 1: question with Caleb, like can he play within the pocket? 457 00:24:14,760 --> 00:24:16,840 Speaker 1: That was a question coming out, like it's not something 458 00:24:16,840 --> 00:24:19,399 Speaker 1: he's comfortable doing. You don't just get to freelance all 459 00:24:19,400 --> 00:24:21,440 Speaker 1: the time in the NFL. So it's like one, two, three, 460 00:24:21,440 --> 00:24:23,600 Speaker 1: get rid of the ball now our his receivers not 461 00:24:23,640 --> 00:24:26,680 Speaker 1: getting open all the time. Obviously some plays, But I 462 00:24:26,720 --> 00:24:29,560 Speaker 1: do think there's a legit question of like what offense 463 00:24:29,600 --> 00:24:31,680 Speaker 1: to make this guy successful? Like I watched Drake Man, 464 00:24:31,680 --> 00:24:33,040 Speaker 1: It's like, I think that guy could fit in a 465 00:24:33,080 --> 00:24:35,200 Speaker 1: lot of offenses. Yeah, you know, I thought Jayden was, 466 00:24:35,240 --> 00:24:36,720 Speaker 1: like I think he's gonna have to play in like 467 00:24:36,760 --> 00:24:39,199 Speaker 1: mor of al Lamar style. I'm watching, like, well what 468 00:24:39,280 --> 00:24:41,520 Speaker 1: Lamar is now? What Lamar was when he was really young, 469 00:24:41,560 --> 00:24:43,439 Speaker 1: not the version now. And you watch Jayden right now, 470 00:24:43,440 --> 00:24:46,159 Speaker 1: it's like this guy's awesome in the pocket. So I 471 00:24:46,200 --> 00:24:49,880 Speaker 1: just think there's question marks on Caleb that you you 472 00:24:49,920 --> 00:24:52,480 Speaker 1: look at this job like this is why I like 473 00:24:52,560 --> 00:24:55,280 Speaker 1: Mike Vrabel, Like I'm not looking for Caleb to throw 474 00:24:55,320 --> 00:24:57,760 Speaker 1: forty touchdowns anymore. Maybe that's not his game. Let's just 475 00:24:57,880 --> 00:25:01,120 Speaker 1: kind of go what Pete Carroll did in thirteen and fourteen, like, Hey, 476 00:25:01,280 --> 00:25:03,280 Speaker 1: we're gonna run the ball, We're gonna have a tough defense, 477 00:25:03,320 --> 00:25:05,680 Speaker 1: you're gonna play within my system. That's what We're taking 478 00:25:05,680 --> 00:25:08,119 Speaker 1: the cooking utensils away from your hands. 479 00:25:08,320 --> 00:25:10,920 Speaker 2: That's what Philadelphia has done with Jalen Hurts. Jalen Hurts 480 00:25:10,960 --> 00:25:13,960 Speaker 2: today is throwing twenty four times and it's very effective. 481 00:25:14,240 --> 00:25:16,960 Speaker 2: He throws a good deep ball. They're not letting Jalen Hurts. 482 00:25:17,560 --> 00:25:19,680 Speaker 2: And by the way, outside of a Mahomes or a 483 00:25:19,760 --> 00:25:22,120 Speaker 2: Josh Allen, I don't want my guys throwing forty two times. 484 00:25:22,119 --> 00:25:24,840 Speaker 2: I don't want my offensive lineman backing up forty two 485 00:25:24,840 --> 00:25:29,600 Speaker 2: I want him going forward forty two times. It's interesting because. 486 00:25:29,640 --> 00:25:32,600 Speaker 1: Jalen's a little less hirky jerky though Caleb. I think 487 00:25:32,640 --> 00:25:35,760 Speaker 1: he's a little shorter area. I think Jalen's a better runner, 488 00:25:35,800 --> 00:25:38,439 Speaker 1: but a little more quick twitch. And to me, his 489 00:25:38,520 --> 00:25:41,680 Speaker 1: hirky jerkiness throws everything off. And part of it's young. 490 00:25:41,760 --> 00:25:45,040 Speaker 1: He's kind of seeing ghosts. But it's just I don't 491 00:25:45,040 --> 00:25:47,120 Speaker 1: know if we've seen something this like this go back 492 00:25:47,119 --> 00:25:50,120 Speaker 1: to like Sam Darnold Jets like this is a train wreck. 493 00:25:50,200 --> 00:25:55,200 Speaker 2: Colin offensively, I want to talk about another game. Let's 494 00:25:55,200 --> 00:25:57,560 Speaker 2: go back to an interesting game. Kansas City beats Denver 495 00:25:57,680 --> 00:26:01,199 Speaker 2: sixteen to fourteen, and I just I wrote what Kansas 496 00:26:01,200 --> 00:26:05,360 Speaker 2: City's become is a great moments team two for two 497 00:26:05,400 --> 00:26:08,359 Speaker 2: on fourth down, block to kick, great on third down, 498 00:26:08,440 --> 00:26:11,600 Speaker 2: only three penalties. They're still trying to figure out what 499 00:26:11,640 --> 00:26:14,000 Speaker 2: the hell they are a little bit offensively like they 500 00:26:14,000 --> 00:26:16,040 Speaker 2: don't you know they well. 501 00:26:16,280 --> 00:26:19,000 Speaker 1: They're this Colin is just ugly. Just keep us in 502 00:26:19,040 --> 00:26:20,280 Speaker 1: the game and we'll just try to win it with 503 00:26:20,320 --> 00:26:21,159 Speaker 1: five minutes left. 504 00:26:21,440 --> 00:26:23,400 Speaker 2: But when you have the best coach, the best quarterback, 505 00:26:23,520 --> 00:26:27,280 Speaker 2: arguably the best defense, the best third down offense, that's enough. 506 00:26:27,320 --> 00:26:30,280 Speaker 2: I was thinking about this about two weeks ago. About 507 00:26:30,320 --> 00:26:33,240 Speaker 2: every six years. I went back and looked at it was, 508 00:26:33,280 --> 00:26:36,760 Speaker 2: but every six to seven years a great team wins 509 00:26:36,840 --> 00:26:40,359 Speaker 2: the Super Bowl. But mostly it's a really good team 510 00:26:40,800 --> 00:26:43,960 Speaker 2: with no huge hole that coaches can pick on you. 511 00:26:44,040 --> 00:26:46,480 Speaker 2: In a two week layoff for the Super Bowl. When 512 00:26:46,480 --> 00:26:49,880 Speaker 2: Mahomes didn't have both tackles, he gets routed. If he'd 513 00:26:49,920 --> 00:26:53,280 Speaker 2: had one, it would have been a game. Kansas City 514 00:26:53,359 --> 00:26:56,560 Speaker 2: is not terrible at anything. They're beat up. They're trying 515 00:26:56,560 --> 00:26:59,399 Speaker 2: to figure out their receiving corps. But because Mahomes is 516 00:26:59,440 --> 00:27:02,560 Speaker 2: so good and Andy Reid is so clever, it's functional. 517 00:27:02,760 --> 00:27:05,880 Speaker 2: It makes plays when you have to. I thought this 518 00:27:06,080 --> 00:27:07,760 Speaker 2: was the game. This was the game I did not 519 00:27:07,840 --> 00:27:09,680 Speaker 2: pick in Blazing five it was my last pick. I 520 00:27:09,720 --> 00:27:13,720 Speaker 2: thought Denver had a chance to win today. Same but 521 00:27:14,440 --> 00:27:18,320 Speaker 2: the takeaway I had beyond Kansas City doing that Bonix. 522 00:27:18,480 --> 00:27:22,240 Speaker 2: That final drive thirteen plays a little bit like Rock Purty. 523 00:27:22,320 --> 00:27:25,159 Speaker 2: You're like, I mean, he had eight different receivers today, 524 00:27:25,320 --> 00:27:27,639 Speaker 2: twenty two to thirty, two hundred and forty five yards, 525 00:27:27,640 --> 00:27:31,520 Speaker 2: a couple of touchdowns, great final drive. I think all 526 00:27:31,560 --> 00:27:34,480 Speaker 2: those college starts, like, I think he may have a 527 00:27:34,520 --> 00:27:38,880 Speaker 2: lower ceiling, but I think Denver is eight five drafted 528 00:27:38,880 --> 00:27:42,000 Speaker 2: players away and maybe a free agent signing from being 529 00:27:42,040 --> 00:27:43,879 Speaker 2: a pain in the ass to people. I think I 530 00:27:43,920 --> 00:27:45,320 Speaker 2: think Denver's pretty interesting. 531 00:27:45,800 --> 00:27:47,960 Speaker 1: Yeah, I thought this game was way more about Denver 532 00:27:48,000 --> 00:27:50,040 Speaker 1: than Kansas City. I mean, Kansas City just does this 533 00:27:50,080 --> 00:27:52,120 Speaker 1: every week. They're going to go fift, you know, fifteen 534 00:27:52,160 --> 00:27:54,240 Speaker 1: and two or sixteen and one, and everyone's going to go, 535 00:27:54,240 --> 00:27:56,040 Speaker 1: how the hell they do it? Well, they do it because, 536 00:27:56,080 --> 00:28:00,360 Speaker 1: like you said, it's the organizational competitive character that they're 537 00:28:00,480 --> 00:28:03,880 Speaker 1: know how their experience. I mean, they're missing the best 538 00:28:03,920 --> 00:28:08,200 Speaker 1: receiver who towards ACL they're starting running back like Kareem 539 00:28:08,280 --> 00:28:10,400 Speaker 1: Hunt's been an awesome story. There's a big drop off 540 00:28:10,440 --> 00:28:13,440 Speaker 1: between Jaco and him, huge so and you get him 541 00:28:13,480 --> 00:28:16,199 Speaker 1: back hopefully in December. It's a broken leg, so you 542 00:28:16,240 --> 00:28:18,120 Speaker 1: know that that'll be a big boost for them because 543 00:28:18,119 --> 00:28:21,600 Speaker 1: they're gonna win like this right twenty one to seventeen twenty. 544 00:28:21,800 --> 00:28:24,000 Speaker 1: But to me, Denver went in there as they should 545 00:28:24,000 --> 00:28:27,120 Speaker 1: have short week, Kansas City, a little gas, little and 546 00:28:27,160 --> 00:28:29,399 Speaker 1: they came in ready to win and Bo Nick hit 547 00:28:29,480 --> 00:28:32,119 Speaker 1: sudden on the on the beautiful touchdown pass. You're like, 548 00:28:32,400 --> 00:28:34,480 Speaker 1: there's gonna be the game. I thought, like, you know, 549 00:28:34,560 --> 00:28:36,840 Speaker 1: as finally the Chiefs just lose twenty eight to fifteen 550 00:28:36,960 --> 00:28:39,840 Speaker 1: or something, and they just find a way because defensively 551 00:28:39,840 --> 00:28:43,640 Speaker 1: they're good. Obviously the home crowd is pretty special. But 552 00:28:43,880 --> 00:28:47,000 Speaker 1: I think Denver this was probably one of their more 553 00:28:47,000 --> 00:28:50,920 Speaker 1: impressive weeks of the year, even counting their wins, just 554 00:28:50,960 --> 00:28:53,400 Speaker 1: because like, well, have to see how it breaks out 555 00:28:53,400 --> 00:28:55,560 Speaker 1: like that. That's seven seed when you look like obviously 556 00:28:55,600 --> 00:28:58,480 Speaker 1: the Jets are done. Culture in major trouble. You know, 557 00:28:58,480 --> 00:29:01,120 Speaker 1: when you look at the AFC Playoff, the Bengals are screwed. 558 00:29:01,440 --> 00:29:03,520 Speaker 1: You basically have the Steelers and Ravens. You know, one 559 00:29:03,560 --> 00:29:05,280 Speaker 1: team's gonna win Division. One team's gonna be. 560 00:29:05,240 --> 00:29:08,880 Speaker 2: In Steelers, Chiefs Chargers, Yeah, Steelers. 561 00:29:08,920 --> 00:29:10,400 Speaker 1: I think Denver could get the seven seed. 562 00:29:10,440 --> 00:29:13,320 Speaker 2: Colin so do I. I think the top is very 563 00:29:13,320 --> 00:29:17,440 Speaker 2: good Buffalo, Baltimore, Kansas City, and then I think the 564 00:29:17,480 --> 00:29:18,880 Speaker 2: wild card feels like. 565 00:29:19,160 --> 00:29:21,080 Speaker 1: Do you throw Pittsburgh in there too? Though I do. 566 00:29:21,200 --> 00:29:23,960 Speaker 2: I think let's say Pittsburgh becomes. 567 00:29:23,760 --> 00:29:25,440 Speaker 1: Find out when they play each other this week. 568 00:29:25,520 --> 00:29:28,200 Speaker 2: Yeah, and Baltimore at their best is better than Pittsburgh 569 00:29:28,240 --> 00:29:28,680 Speaker 2: at their best. 570 00:29:28,760 --> 00:29:29,040 Speaker 1: Agreed. 571 00:29:29,400 --> 00:29:31,920 Speaker 2: So I think this the wild card teams and they 572 00:29:31,920 --> 00:29:35,120 Speaker 2: don't feel quite as good. Chargers not a ton of 573 00:29:35,240 --> 00:29:41,480 Speaker 2: juice offensively, but a good team. Denver rookie quarterback and Pittsburgh. 574 00:29:41,760 --> 00:29:45,440 Speaker 2: You have some limitations I think on you know, I 575 00:29:45,480 --> 00:29:47,560 Speaker 2: think Russell from the pocket, there's limitations if he was 576 00:29:47,560 --> 00:29:49,320 Speaker 2: trailing in a game and he put big heat on him. 577 00:29:49,600 --> 00:29:53,920 Speaker 2: But I will say with Denver, I mean Mahomes last 578 00:29:53,960 --> 00:29:56,720 Speaker 2: two games, no picks, first seven games, nine picks. So 579 00:29:56,760 --> 00:29:59,680 Speaker 2: what Kansas City has basically done. They've gotten those ugly 580 00:29:59,720 --> 00:30:02,200 Speaker 2: remember the start of the year where like Jesus Malmes 581 00:30:02,280 --> 00:30:05,720 Speaker 2: has like one or two just horrible pick. They've gotten 582 00:30:05,720 --> 00:30:09,160 Speaker 2: out of that space. The win for Kansas City is 583 00:30:09,400 --> 00:30:13,360 Speaker 2: harder than you think because of the short week. But 584 00:30:13,440 --> 00:30:15,600 Speaker 2: I think to your point, I think you looked at 585 00:30:15,640 --> 00:30:17,800 Speaker 2: Sean Payton and bow Knicks, and I think we could 586 00:30:17,800 --> 00:30:21,000 Speaker 2: both say he found his Drew Brees. He found his guy. 587 00:30:21,080 --> 00:30:22,480 Speaker 2: I don't know if he's as good as him, but 588 00:30:22,520 --> 00:30:23,280 Speaker 2: he found his guy. 589 00:30:24,240 --> 00:30:27,120 Speaker 1: Yeah. Well, I mean he's he's definitely made strides. Because 590 00:30:27,120 --> 00:30:29,360 Speaker 1: it was early. I think I didn't put as much 591 00:30:29,360 --> 00:30:31,600 Speaker 1: stock into some of the early games in the fourth 592 00:30:31,680 --> 00:30:33,520 Speaker 1: quarter when he played well, because it's like, I don't 593 00:30:33,600 --> 00:30:36,120 Speaker 1: the context of that the defense gave up. But I 594 00:30:36,200 --> 00:30:38,440 Speaker 1: do think the last couple of weeks you feel a 595 00:30:38,440 --> 00:30:42,280 Speaker 1: lot better about it. And let's face it, like there 596 00:30:42,280 --> 00:30:46,080 Speaker 1: are some rookie quarterbacks playing and obviously Jade and Daniels, 597 00:30:46,080 --> 00:30:48,160 Speaker 1: it couldn't have gotten much better. It's one of the 598 00:30:48,240 --> 00:30:50,040 Speaker 1: great Like I mean, we saw one of the greatest 599 00:30:50,120 --> 00:30:52,120 Speaker 1: rookie seasons of all time last year with CJ. Stroud. 600 00:30:52,160 --> 00:30:54,000 Speaker 1: I would put Jaden and Daniels right there, toe to 601 00:30:54,000 --> 00:30:56,480 Speaker 1: toe of like, jeez, it can't be this good, can it. 602 00:30:56,960 --> 00:30:59,160 Speaker 1: And then you have like Drake May who's on a 603 00:30:59,200 --> 00:31:01,560 Speaker 1: team that's so but you're watching me. 604 00:31:01,560 --> 00:31:02,800 Speaker 2: Go, well there's something there. 605 00:31:02,960 --> 00:31:04,720 Speaker 1: Oh yeah, I would take that guy and then you 606 00:31:04,760 --> 00:31:08,440 Speaker 1: watch bo who doesn't have Drake's physical characteristics, who's not 607 00:31:08,520 --> 00:31:10,520 Speaker 1: as talented. Why one guy goes three to the other 608 00:31:10,560 --> 00:31:12,880 Speaker 1: guy most people thought was overdrafted. But you go with 609 00:31:12,960 --> 00:31:16,600 Speaker 1: this coach with this infrastructure, their defense. I mean that's 610 00:31:16,640 --> 00:31:18,800 Speaker 1: the one thing. Like if Sean Payton's has a defense 611 00:31:18,960 --> 00:31:20,920 Speaker 1: as he did in New Orleans with Drew Brees, they 612 00:31:20,920 --> 00:31:23,600 Speaker 1: were elite, right, So if you just give a defense, 613 00:31:23,680 --> 00:31:25,440 Speaker 1: like he'll figure out the offense. Most teams are not 614 00:31:25,520 --> 00:31:28,000 Speaker 1: Kansas City to me, I think they get to nine 615 00:31:28,040 --> 00:31:29,760 Speaker 1: wins and they would be the seventh seed. Now the 616 00:31:29,800 --> 00:31:32,840 Speaker 1: difference though, is you know, depending on who they play. Right, 617 00:31:32,880 --> 00:31:34,320 Speaker 1: if you're the seventh seed, you're playing the two seeds, 618 00:31:34,320 --> 00:31:37,480 Speaker 1: so you're playing Baltimore or Buffalo. Like, no one's betting 619 00:31:37,560 --> 00:31:40,160 Speaker 1: on Denver. I would say, no one's gonna want to 620 00:31:40,200 --> 00:31:42,840 Speaker 1: see the Chargers as the six seeds. Like if you're 621 00:31:42,880 --> 00:31:45,760 Speaker 1: Baltimore Pittsburgh, that will be a team that like, wait, 622 00:31:45,880 --> 00:31:49,080 Speaker 1: they're a five point underdog, like who I think Hardball 623 00:31:49,120 --> 00:31:51,560 Speaker 1: would be a team that people would believe in. Or Denver, 624 00:31:52,000 --> 00:31:54,240 Speaker 1: there's nothing wrong with it. One and done team in 625 00:31:54,280 --> 00:31:56,880 Speaker 1: the playoffs, probably like the Commanders and you tip your 626 00:31:56,880 --> 00:31:57,680 Speaker 1: hat to you feel good. 627 00:31:57,760 --> 00:32:00,960 Speaker 2: Yeah, if you look at their schedule, John Denver now 628 00:32:01,120 --> 00:32:07,120 Speaker 2: hosts the Falcons Dome team cold Weather, then they get 629 00:32:07,480 --> 00:32:10,800 Speaker 2: they face the Raiders, then they face the Browns at home, 630 00:32:11,320 --> 00:32:14,600 Speaker 2: then they get the Colts at home, and then they 631 00:32:14,600 --> 00:32:16,800 Speaker 2: go to the Chargers. I think they match up. It's 632 00:32:16,840 --> 00:32:19,640 Speaker 2: very close. So to your point, here is the you know, 633 00:32:19,880 --> 00:32:22,440 Speaker 2: preseason we're like, oh, you know, you look at some 634 00:32:22,480 --> 00:32:26,080 Speaker 2: of these teams. Then the Broncos end with the Bengals, 635 00:32:26,640 --> 00:32:28,400 Speaker 2: and by the way, they host the Chiefs in the 636 00:32:28,640 --> 00:32:31,800 Speaker 2: last week eighteen, Kansas City could be resting guys. At 637 00:32:31,800 --> 00:32:32,680 Speaker 2: that point, they could be. 638 00:32:32,640 --> 00:32:35,320 Speaker 1: Just and I'm looking at it right now. Technically at 639 00:32:35,360 --> 00:32:38,000 Speaker 1: five and five they are in the seventh spot, trailed 640 00:32:38,000 --> 00:32:41,400 Speaker 1: by Indianapolis, who, let's face it, I don't blame them. 641 00:32:41,440 --> 00:32:43,040 Speaker 1: I think they did the right thing. But the Flacco 642 00:32:43,120 --> 00:32:45,520 Speaker 1: Anthony Richards things all out of whack. Now. Flacco looks 643 00:32:45,600 --> 00:32:49,080 Speaker 1: terrible and terrible, and the Bengals, who have this quarterback 644 00:32:49,120 --> 00:32:51,760 Speaker 1: who's can't play any better, and Jamar Chase, who looks 645 00:32:51,800 --> 00:32:54,400 Speaker 1: like Jerry Rice in his prime, cannot win games. So 646 00:32:55,000 --> 00:32:56,880 Speaker 1: you know, you don't feel very and just because of 647 00:32:56,920 --> 00:32:59,040 Speaker 1: the division they're in. It's just a lot harder when 648 00:32:59,040 --> 00:33:02,320 Speaker 1: you got to play Pittsburgh Baltimore right then they don't 649 00:33:02,320 --> 00:33:06,160 Speaker 1: get the Raiders. Even Cleveland now throwing in Jamis is 650 00:33:06,160 --> 00:33:08,760 Speaker 1: a real team with real players. I would much rather 651 00:33:08,760 --> 00:33:11,840 Speaker 1: play the Raiders in the Browns. So I like that. 652 00:33:11,840 --> 00:33:14,000 Speaker 1: That was a pretty devastating loss for the Bengals the 653 00:33:14,040 --> 00:33:16,440 Speaker 1: other night, and that could be the difference why Denver 654 00:33:16,480 --> 00:33:18,880 Speaker 1: gets the seventh seed in the Bengals end up eight 655 00:33:18,880 --> 00:33:20,200 Speaker 1: to nine. I mean, it could just be the different 656 00:33:20,240 --> 00:33:21,840 Speaker 1: one teams nine and eight, the other team's eight nine. 657 00:33:21,880 --> 00:33:23,280 Speaker 1: That's it's that big of a difference. 658 00:33:31,520 --> 00:33:34,360 Speaker 2: Time for another edition of Sharp or Square. He's a 659 00:33:34,400 --> 00:33:36,680 Speaker 2: host of the Action Network. All of our odds are 660 00:33:36,680 --> 00:33:42,400 Speaker 2: always provided by DraftKings Sportsbook. All right, Chad Melman, there 661 00:33:42,400 --> 00:33:45,440 Speaker 2: are certain games I just want to watch and not bet. 662 00:33:45,600 --> 00:33:49,200 Speaker 2: But I would take the Steelers plus points hosting the Ravens. 663 00:33:49,200 --> 00:33:50,720 Speaker 2: The number is three and a half. It's one of 664 00:33:50,720 --> 00:33:53,080 Speaker 2: the bets of the weekend. At three, I still think 665 00:33:53,120 --> 00:33:56,680 Speaker 2: I would take it. I think George Pickens and Mike 666 00:33:56,720 --> 00:34:02,400 Speaker 2: Williams attack the Ravens. Baltimore is one of those teams, 667 00:34:02,680 --> 00:34:04,640 Speaker 2: and this is rare with a great team, they can 668 00:34:04,680 --> 00:34:09,080 Speaker 2: outplay you and then get beat by The Raiders can 669 00:34:09,120 --> 00:34:11,600 Speaker 2: get beat by inferior teams. They're so bad on the 670 00:34:11,640 --> 00:34:15,279 Speaker 2: back end. And I think Pittsburgh's a real story here. 671 00:34:15,320 --> 00:34:18,560 Speaker 2: I think it's the Seahawks light Russell's not what's what 672 00:34:18,600 --> 00:34:21,839 Speaker 2: he was was. But in this rivalry, even a field goal, 673 00:34:22,600 --> 00:34:24,640 Speaker 2: I'm taking the point Sharper square. 674 00:34:25,560 --> 00:34:27,759 Speaker 4: Well, it's totally sharp, and you've nailed it from a 675 00:34:27,800 --> 00:34:31,200 Speaker 4: couple different directions. Won the matchup the wise Guy seed 676 00:34:31,239 --> 00:34:33,879 Speaker 4: exactly the way you do. We've been watching it all 677 00:34:34,000 --> 00:34:37,799 Speaker 4: year with the Ravens where they're letting teams in the 678 00:34:37,840 --> 00:34:40,200 Speaker 4: back door, right. We saw it with the Commanders, they 679 00:34:40,200 --> 00:34:44,359 Speaker 4: were down a significant amount, they came back, they came 680 00:34:44,400 --> 00:34:46,640 Speaker 4: back and they were able to cover that game. We 681 00:34:46,719 --> 00:34:48,800 Speaker 4: saw it with the Bengals who were up so much 682 00:34:49,080 --> 00:34:51,719 Speaker 4: because they were able to attack the back end of 683 00:34:51,760 --> 00:34:55,120 Speaker 4: the Ravens defense. And don't forget no Kyle Humphrey in 684 00:34:55,200 --> 00:34:57,799 Speaker 4: this game, Kyle Humphrey is one of their if not 685 00:34:57,960 --> 00:35:01,640 Speaker 4: their best defender. And now that secondary is going to 686 00:35:01,640 --> 00:35:05,719 Speaker 4: be even worse. The overarching theme here and this is 687 00:35:05,719 --> 00:35:08,600 Speaker 4: the reason why professionals are on it. Don't forget this 688 00:35:08,680 --> 00:35:11,080 Speaker 4: game opened at three and a half. It is settled 689 00:35:11,120 --> 00:35:13,200 Speaker 4: at three. The wise guys are still on it. But 690 00:35:13,760 --> 00:35:18,080 Speaker 4: look in the regular season, in this game, in this 691 00:35:18,239 --> 00:35:20,160 Speaker 4: matchup the past twenty years, when the line is three 692 00:35:20,280 --> 00:35:25,000 Speaker 4: or more, the underdog twenty two, four and three, underdog 693 00:35:25,440 --> 00:35:29,160 Speaker 4: fifteen to two and one since two thousand and fifteen, 694 00:35:29,360 --> 00:35:33,880 Speaker 4: in the regular season, when Mike Tomlin fases John Harbaugh, 695 00:35:34,200 --> 00:35:38,160 Speaker 4: the underdog in this matchup twenty three, six and three, 696 00:35:38,239 --> 00:35:41,080 Speaker 4: and then you go into Mike Tomlin, the most profitable 697 00:35:41,120 --> 00:35:45,319 Speaker 4: coach as an underdog in the past twenty years in 698 00:35:45,360 --> 00:35:47,759 Speaker 4: the NFL. And by the way, John Harbaugh when he's 699 00:35:47,800 --> 00:35:50,920 Speaker 4: a favorite is not nearly as good as when he's 700 00:35:50,960 --> 00:35:54,000 Speaker 4: a dog in this matchup. So there is a matchup reason, 701 00:35:54,239 --> 00:35:58,360 Speaker 4: and there is also historical reasons to consider the Steelers 702 00:35:58,360 --> 00:35:58,960 Speaker 4: at plus three. 703 00:35:59,320 --> 00:36:04,000 Speaker 2: You're sharp, you know, I like the number four and five. 704 00:36:04,560 --> 00:36:07,200 Speaker 2: So Greg Cosell said something on my show today that 705 00:36:07,280 --> 00:36:08,960 Speaker 2: had influence over me. This was going to be a 706 00:36:08,960 --> 00:36:11,640 Speaker 2: stay away game. But the Packers offensive coach off of 707 00:36:11,680 --> 00:36:14,799 Speaker 2: buy at Chicago, and what Greg Cosell said, it's not 708 00:36:14,840 --> 00:36:19,120 Speaker 2: a Shane Waldron issue. Much like Justin Fields or Zach Wilson, 709 00:36:19,400 --> 00:36:22,960 Speaker 2: Caleb Williams is not seeing coverage. He's not seeing it. 710 00:36:23,520 --> 00:36:28,439 Speaker 2: He is not able to see something. Spot it, get 711 00:36:28,440 --> 00:36:32,439 Speaker 2: the ball out quickly. Green Bay I think has its 712 00:36:32,480 --> 00:36:35,799 Speaker 2: most aggressive defense in years. I love the Boston College coach. 713 00:36:35,800 --> 00:36:38,040 Speaker 2: I think he's been a really nice fit for them. 714 00:36:38,120 --> 00:36:41,160 Speaker 2: Under the radar, low Key really knows his side of 715 00:36:41,200 --> 00:36:44,160 Speaker 2: the ball. It's five. I would take Green Bay. I 716 00:36:44,200 --> 00:36:47,960 Speaker 2: know it's a division rivalry game, but good organization. Coach 717 00:36:48,080 --> 00:36:50,120 Speaker 2: Jordan loves healthier sharper square. 718 00:36:51,360 --> 00:36:54,719 Speaker 4: So the wise guys have been on the bearers in 719 00:36:54,800 --> 00:36:56,880 Speaker 4: this game. It's moved from six to five and a 720 00:36:56,920 --> 00:37:01,520 Speaker 4: half to now five in some places. I agree with 721 00:37:01,560 --> 00:37:04,680 Speaker 4: you for what it's worth for me, this is a 722 00:37:04,800 --> 00:37:07,879 Speaker 4: pass or it's the Packers. I think there's so much 723 00:37:08,000 --> 00:37:10,640 Speaker 4: dysfunction with the Bears, and the reason why the wise 724 00:37:10,640 --> 00:37:13,280 Speaker 4: guys are taking them right now is because they believe 725 00:37:13,640 --> 00:37:16,120 Speaker 4: this is bottomed out right. It's gotten as bad as 726 00:37:16,160 --> 00:37:18,719 Speaker 4: it can get in the locker room, it can't get 727 00:37:18,760 --> 00:37:23,439 Speaker 4: any worse. Whether you believe the players were responsible for 728 00:37:23,480 --> 00:37:26,960 Speaker 4: getting Shane Waldron fired, DJ Moore said that didn't happen 729 00:37:27,280 --> 00:37:29,279 Speaker 4: whether you believe that the system can now get a 730 00:37:29,280 --> 00:37:33,200 Speaker 4: little bit less complex and easier for Kayleb Williams, whether 731 00:37:33,239 --> 00:37:36,080 Speaker 4: you believe that they're getting two offensive linemen back, which 732 00:37:36,120 --> 00:37:38,640 Speaker 4: they are and will make him feel more comfortable in 733 00:37:38,640 --> 00:37:42,200 Speaker 4: the pocket. This team has been full of chaos, and 734 00:37:42,280 --> 00:37:46,120 Speaker 4: so the wise guys are betting literally that it cannot 735 00:37:46,160 --> 00:37:49,160 Speaker 4: get any worse in a division game against their rival 736 00:37:49,280 --> 00:37:54,680 Speaker 4: at home. The flip side is entirely about what the 737 00:37:54,719 --> 00:37:58,319 Speaker 4: Packers can do. They have been very opportunistic as a 738 00:37:58,360 --> 00:38:01,479 Speaker 4: defense this year. A lot of an they cannot rush 739 00:38:01,480 --> 00:38:03,560 Speaker 4: the passer, but what they can do offensively, and this 740 00:38:03,600 --> 00:38:06,319 Speaker 4: is where Matt Lafleur has been a genius figure out 741 00:38:06,360 --> 00:38:08,719 Speaker 4: how to best take advantage of what the Bears are 742 00:38:08,719 --> 00:38:11,239 Speaker 4: bad at on defense. The Bears are not a very 743 00:38:11,239 --> 00:38:15,640 Speaker 4: good rushing defense. We've seen what Matt Lafleor does with 744 00:38:15,719 --> 00:38:17,920 Speaker 4: someone like Josh Jacobs when he knows he doesn't have 745 00:38:18,000 --> 00:38:20,560 Speaker 4: Jordan Love, he just figures out creative ways to get 746 00:38:20,600 --> 00:38:23,360 Speaker 4: the running game in motion. He will likely do that 747 00:38:23,440 --> 00:38:24,200 Speaker 4: against the Bears. 748 00:38:24,400 --> 00:38:24,680 Speaker 1: Also. 749 00:38:24,840 --> 00:38:28,480 Speaker 4: Matt Lafleur seven and three when favored by four points 750 00:38:28,520 --> 00:38:32,359 Speaker 4: or more over the past two decades, Road favorites off 751 00:38:32,400 --> 00:38:35,960 Speaker 4: of a buy covered a sixty percent clip, road favorites 752 00:38:35,960 --> 00:38:38,400 Speaker 4: of five and a half or more cover at a 753 00:38:38,520 --> 00:38:42,000 Speaker 4: seventy percent clip. So there's lots of reasons to like 754 00:38:42,080 --> 00:38:45,279 Speaker 4: the Packers here. The wise guys, I think the right 755 00:38:45,320 --> 00:38:46,240 Speaker 4: side is the Bears. 756 00:38:46,400 --> 00:38:48,400 Speaker 2: So Journey had a song years ago and one of 757 00:38:48,400 --> 00:38:51,880 Speaker 2: the lyrics is I can't stop loving you, and I feel, 758 00:38:52,400 --> 00:38:55,640 Speaker 2: I feel that's like odds makers on the Jets. This 759 00:38:55,719 --> 00:38:58,759 Speaker 2: is a bad test. How in God's name were they? 760 00:38:58,840 --> 00:39:02,640 Speaker 2: They favored it the Arizona It was never competitive, Colts 761 00:39:02,680 --> 00:39:06,480 Speaker 2: getting over a field goal. So Anthony Richardson, I'm tired, 762 00:39:06,520 --> 00:39:09,560 Speaker 2: I'm going to go to the sidelines. Not a smart move. 763 00:39:10,120 --> 00:39:13,120 Speaker 2: It's not punishable by a month on the bench. He 764 00:39:13,239 --> 00:39:16,200 Speaker 2: learned his lesson when he's healthy. He's kind of a 765 00:39:16,280 --> 00:39:19,200 Speaker 2: fascinating player that's hard to defend because you have nobody 766 00:39:19,239 --> 00:39:22,000 Speaker 2: in practice that can duplicate. He's a defensive end that 767 00:39:22,040 --> 00:39:27,040 Speaker 2: plays quarterback. He's a huge, tackle breaking tornado of activity. 768 00:39:27,160 --> 00:39:30,880 Speaker 2: That's not a great quarterback. But I'm taking the points 769 00:39:30,920 --> 00:39:32,640 Speaker 2: here all day. Sharper Square. 770 00:39:34,719 --> 00:39:37,920 Speaker 4: It's a fifty to fifty game right now, and I 771 00:39:37,960 --> 00:39:41,400 Speaker 4: agree with you. You think about Journey. I think that 772 00:39:41,560 --> 00:39:45,879 Speaker 4: same way when I think about offensive lines who are 773 00:39:46,000 --> 00:39:50,279 Speaker 4: really really physical, and the Colts offensive line when it 774 00:39:50,320 --> 00:39:54,360 Speaker 4: comes to run blocking is super physical, best in the NFL, 775 00:39:54,560 --> 00:39:56,439 Speaker 4: and we saw this last week. I loved the Colts 776 00:39:56,520 --> 00:39:59,160 Speaker 4: last week against the Bills at home. And if not 777 00:39:59,160 --> 00:40:03,560 Speaker 4: from Joe Flacco and three turnovers and if not for 778 00:40:03,760 --> 00:40:06,040 Speaker 4: getting sacked when it's fourth and inches, I know, if 779 00:40:06,040 --> 00:40:07,960 Speaker 4: not for, if not for, if not for, then all 780 00:40:07,960 --> 00:40:10,080 Speaker 4: of a sudden, I'm playing in the NFL. But the 781 00:40:10,120 --> 00:40:13,399 Speaker 4: point is they ran the ball on the Bills. They 782 00:40:13,400 --> 00:40:15,719 Speaker 4: had more than one hundred and twenty yards rushing and 783 00:40:15,880 --> 00:40:18,280 Speaker 4: Jonathan Taylor went from more than one hundred and average 784 00:40:18,280 --> 00:40:20,719 Speaker 4: five and a half yards per carry, so they were 785 00:40:20,760 --> 00:40:24,000 Speaker 4: able to do exactly what they wanted to do against 786 00:40:24,040 --> 00:40:28,120 Speaker 4: the Bills. The Jets defense from a rushing perspective is 787 00:40:28,200 --> 00:40:31,520 Speaker 4: worse than the Bills rush defense, and the team overall 788 00:40:32,120 --> 00:40:34,359 Speaker 4: is much worse than the Bills are. And now you're 789 00:40:34,360 --> 00:40:37,640 Speaker 4: getting Anthony Richardson back to your point, this is a 790 00:40:37,680 --> 00:40:41,960 Speaker 4: better opportunity for Shane Steiken to let everybody run with 791 00:40:42,040 --> 00:40:44,880 Speaker 4: the ball and dominate the Jets, who if you watched 792 00:40:44,960 --> 00:40:48,719 Speaker 4: last week, against the Cardinals. They were afraid to tackle anybody. 793 00:40:48,760 --> 00:40:50,920 Speaker 4: This is not a physical defense, and they have gotten 794 00:40:50,960 --> 00:40:54,399 Speaker 4: so much worse since Robert Silo was fired. So the 795 00:40:54,400 --> 00:40:57,879 Speaker 4: line moved down from four to three and a half, 796 00:40:57,880 --> 00:40:59,319 Speaker 4: from actually from four and a half to four to 797 00:40:59,360 --> 00:41:01,960 Speaker 4: three and a half, indicating that the wise guys were 798 00:41:02,040 --> 00:41:05,800 Speaker 4: on the Colts. It's come back a little bit on 799 00:41:05,960 --> 00:41:07,960 Speaker 4: the on the Jets, and so now it's settled at 800 00:41:07,960 --> 00:41:10,920 Speaker 4: for the majority of wise guys are with you and 801 00:41:10,960 --> 00:41:11,880 Speaker 4: they will be on the Colts. 802 00:41:12,239 --> 00:41:14,319 Speaker 2: Well. A Rams minus four and a half that key 803 00:41:14,400 --> 00:41:17,279 Speaker 2: number of game at New England, so very rarely is 804 00:41:17,520 --> 00:41:20,240 Speaker 2: have I ever seen a Sean McVay team out coached. 805 00:41:21,760 --> 00:41:24,400 Speaker 2: It felt like they were out schemed early. It was 806 00:41:24,440 --> 00:41:26,239 Speaker 2: like an I thought it was an embarrassing game for 807 00:41:26,280 --> 00:41:31,920 Speaker 2: Sean McVay and it was hard to digest because the Dolphins, 808 00:41:31,960 --> 00:41:35,640 Speaker 2: a poor pass rushing team without blitzing, just rushing four 809 00:41:35,680 --> 00:41:40,440 Speaker 2: were getting relentless pressure. And my take is good coaches 810 00:41:40,440 --> 00:41:43,720 Speaker 2: and good quarterbacks have stinkers. The Rams are getting healthy. 811 00:41:44,120 --> 00:41:46,240 Speaker 2: That was not the Rams. They were playing very good. 812 00:41:46,840 --> 00:41:49,359 Speaker 2: It's a short week. I think New England now are 813 00:41:49,400 --> 00:41:53,000 Speaker 2: all buyding to Drake May. This Rams defense is really good. Now, 814 00:41:53,280 --> 00:41:56,319 Speaker 2: Drake May is not toua, He's not. They don't have 815 00:41:56,400 --> 00:41:59,759 Speaker 2: those weapons. They're not going to listen to. Rams brought 816 00:41:59,760 --> 00:42:02,839 Speaker 2: some and they got burned on third down because two 817 00:42:03,000 --> 00:42:05,960 Speaker 2: is a really good NFL quarterback. I'd swallowed the four 818 00:42:06,000 --> 00:42:08,000 Speaker 2: and a half here take the Ram Sharper square. 819 00:42:09,200 --> 00:42:10,400 Speaker 3: So it's been square. 820 00:42:10,800 --> 00:42:13,600 Speaker 4: And I got to tell you, we've talked about executive 821 00:42:13,640 --> 00:42:17,960 Speaker 4: decisions before. I don't know why the wise guys are 822 00:42:18,000 --> 00:42:21,839 Speaker 4: on the Patriots here. It doesn't make any sense to 823 00:42:21,880 --> 00:42:25,280 Speaker 4: me at all. This is a bilo on the better team, 824 00:42:25,840 --> 00:42:29,560 Speaker 4: sell high on the worst team situation. Why would you 825 00:42:29,560 --> 00:42:32,640 Speaker 4: be betting the Patriots who are so high on life 826 00:42:32,680 --> 00:42:35,960 Speaker 4: after beating up on the Bears on the road a 827 00:42:36,120 --> 00:42:40,440 Speaker 4: franchise tying record nine sacks against Caleb Williams. And look, 828 00:42:40,560 --> 00:42:43,239 Speaker 4: I watched that game, obviously, the Rams and the Dolphins too. 829 00:42:43,800 --> 00:42:46,480 Speaker 4: I looked at it a little differently. The Rams have 830 00:42:46,760 --> 00:42:50,120 Speaker 4: five field goals. The Rams red zone this season has 831 00:42:50,160 --> 00:42:54,120 Speaker 4: been atrocious, and to me, that was sort of the 832 00:42:54,160 --> 00:42:57,840 Speaker 4: bottoming out right. Every time they got close, it was 833 00:42:57,880 --> 00:43:01,240 Speaker 4: a sack, it was a botch snap, it was a fumble, 834 00:43:01,400 --> 00:43:03,680 Speaker 4: it was a mistake. And then there were a couple 835 00:43:03,760 --> 00:43:06,000 Speaker 4: times defensively. You know, they had that third and twenty 836 00:43:06,040 --> 00:43:07,840 Speaker 4: five that they gave up, and they gave up a 837 00:43:07,840 --> 00:43:10,479 Speaker 4: penalty on that one too. They had another field goal, 838 00:43:10,680 --> 00:43:14,440 Speaker 4: they made the field goal five yard illegal motion penalty, 839 00:43:14,600 --> 00:43:16,319 Speaker 4: they moved back, and then all of a sudden they 840 00:43:16,360 --> 00:43:18,520 Speaker 4: missed the field goal. So to me, it was just 841 00:43:18,600 --> 00:43:21,640 Speaker 4: it was a game full of bad breaks, bad mistakes. 842 00:43:21,920 --> 00:43:24,800 Speaker 4: It's a better team. You're getting the much better team 843 00:43:25,120 --> 00:43:28,520 Speaker 4: in a bounce back spot with a relatively low number. 844 00:43:28,840 --> 00:43:32,320 Speaker 4: So I like that. By the way, teams who have 845 00:43:32,440 --> 00:43:35,960 Speaker 4: been favorites at home and lost and then our favorites 846 00:43:36,000 --> 00:43:39,640 Speaker 4: the following week on the road about sixty percent the 847 00:43:39,680 --> 00:43:42,479 Speaker 4: past twenty years against the spread. And by the way, 848 00:43:42,719 --> 00:43:47,200 Speaker 4: Sean McVeigh short rest fourteen and six against the spread, 849 00:43:47,600 --> 00:43:51,280 Speaker 4: ten and one in his last eleven games with Matthew 850 00:43:51,280 --> 00:43:55,239 Speaker 4: Stafford six and one on short rest, Like, I don't 851 00:43:55,320 --> 00:43:57,160 Speaker 4: understand the move here. It doesn't make any sense to me. 852 00:43:57,239 --> 00:43:58,800 Speaker 4: So yeah, let's go with the Rams. 853 00:43:59,560 --> 00:44:02,600 Speaker 2: Kansas plus two and a half at Buffalo. I think 854 00:44:02,719 --> 00:44:05,480 Speaker 2: Buffalo is the most equipped they've ever been to beat 855 00:44:05,520 --> 00:44:08,960 Speaker 2: Kansas City. But now Coleman's not playing, and Amari Cooper's 856 00:44:08,960 --> 00:44:12,000 Speaker 2: banned up and Kincaid might not play. You're not beating 857 00:44:12,040 --> 00:44:14,880 Speaker 2: him at half strength because they're going to put you 858 00:44:14,920 --> 00:44:19,799 Speaker 2: an uncomfortable third and longs and it's a and they're 859 00:44:19,800 --> 00:44:22,400 Speaker 2: getting by the way, they're getting Pachecko back, so that 860 00:44:22,880 --> 00:44:24,799 Speaker 2: that can be a difference maker for their run game, 861 00:44:24,840 --> 00:44:27,640 Speaker 2: which has been pretty pedestrian. Kareem Hunt's not a bad 862 00:44:27,680 --> 00:44:29,839 Speaker 2: receiver out of the backfield, but he doesn't have any 863 00:44:29,920 --> 00:44:33,160 Speaker 2: jet fuel anymore. This feels like an obvious one Chiefs 864 00:44:33,160 --> 00:44:35,760 Speaker 2: plus the points, even though it's not three sharper square. 865 00:44:37,080 --> 00:44:37,279 Speaker 1: Yeah. 866 00:44:37,320 --> 00:44:40,440 Speaker 4: So what's interesting about this is on Sunday night, this 867 00:44:40,520 --> 00:44:46,440 Speaker 4: line opened at Chiefs plus one and it started skyrocketing higher. 868 00:44:46,880 --> 00:44:50,560 Speaker 4: And Sunday nights Monday mornings, that's when the wise guys 869 00:44:50,560 --> 00:44:53,080 Speaker 4: are betting. They're taking advantage of some early lines. So 870 00:44:53,120 --> 00:44:55,920 Speaker 4: if there are line moves in that first twenty four 871 00:44:55,960 --> 00:45:00,239 Speaker 4: hour window, that's professional money. And this line moved from 872 00:45:00,440 --> 00:45:03,560 Speaker 4: Kansas City plus one, Kansas City plus one and a half, 873 00:45:03,800 --> 00:45:06,680 Speaker 4: Kansas City plus two, Kansas City plus two and a half, 874 00:45:07,360 --> 00:45:10,879 Speaker 4: and it made no sense. This is a little bit 875 00:45:10,960 --> 00:45:15,520 Speaker 4: like the Steelers where you know what the precedent is. 876 00:45:16,000 --> 00:45:19,439 Speaker 4: You know Mike Tomlin does this x percent amount of time. 877 00:45:19,480 --> 00:45:21,880 Speaker 4: That is what we call in the betting business a 878 00:45:22,000 --> 00:45:27,560 Speaker 4: plus EV plus expected value return on your investment. 879 00:45:27,760 --> 00:45:29,200 Speaker 2: Right, so you just bet it. 880 00:45:29,280 --> 00:45:31,400 Speaker 4: Like he might not love it, You might get burned 881 00:45:31,440 --> 00:45:33,600 Speaker 4: on it four times out of ten, but six times 882 00:45:33,640 --> 00:45:34,320 Speaker 4: out of ten you're. 883 00:45:34,160 --> 00:45:34,600 Speaker 2: Going to win. 884 00:45:35,000 --> 00:45:38,799 Speaker 4: The percentages with Patrick Mahomes as an underdog or a 885 00:45:38,840 --> 00:45:42,600 Speaker 4: favorite of less than three are so much higher than 886 00:45:42,719 --> 00:45:46,440 Speaker 4: anything else you could possibly imagine. And sure, maybe he's 887 00:45:46,440 --> 00:45:48,880 Speaker 4: getting by with a little bit voodoo this year. Maybe 888 00:45:48,920 --> 00:45:52,279 Speaker 4: he's been incredibly lucky. Maybe there are games they should 889 00:45:52,320 --> 00:45:54,320 Speaker 4: have lost to the forty nine ers, maybe they should 890 00:45:54,320 --> 00:45:57,080 Speaker 4: have lost to the Broncos, like there have been spots. 891 00:45:57,120 --> 00:46:00,560 Speaker 4: But look twelve one and one against the spread his 892 00:46:00,680 --> 00:46:06,440 Speaker 4: Mahomes as an underdog. Okay, his only against the spread 893 00:46:06,440 --> 00:46:11,000 Speaker 4: loss was against the Bills two years ago, two and 894 00:46:11,000 --> 00:46:13,959 Speaker 4: a half point underdogs. They lost by four, twenty five 895 00:46:14,000 --> 00:46:16,680 Speaker 4: and ten straight up twenty six, eight and one in 896 00:46:16,719 --> 00:46:20,600 Speaker 4: his career against the spread as a favorite of three 897 00:46:21,200 --> 00:46:25,759 Speaker 4: or fewer points or as an underdog, like, I'm with you, 898 00:46:25,760 --> 00:46:28,600 Speaker 4: you just don't bet against Patrick Mahomes in the spot 899 00:46:28,640 --> 00:46:31,600 Speaker 4: if people didn't learn their lesson in the Super Bowl 900 00:46:32,040 --> 00:46:33,960 Speaker 4: where he was a two and a half point underdog. 901 00:46:34,640 --> 00:46:39,080 Speaker 4: If Patrick Mahomes is close, ask yourself this, do you 902 00:46:39,080 --> 00:46:40,600 Speaker 4: want to be betting against him at the end of 903 00:46:40,600 --> 00:46:43,960 Speaker 4: the game? Are you going to feel comfortable with that? No, 904 00:46:43,960 --> 00:46:47,680 Speaker 4: nobody is. And to your point, Kean Coleman out, Amari 905 00:46:47,760 --> 00:46:50,200 Speaker 4: Cooper out, Kinkaid if he does play is playing with 906 00:46:50,200 --> 00:46:52,319 Speaker 4: the cast. They're a little banged up on the right 907 00:46:52,320 --> 00:46:55,200 Speaker 4: side of their offensive line, like there are reasons to 908 00:46:55,280 --> 00:46:58,719 Speaker 4: be afraid to bet on the Bills beyond Patrick Mahomes. 909 00:46:58,760 --> 00:47:01,520 Speaker 4: So yes, this line has come down, by the way 910 00:47:02,080 --> 00:47:05,240 Speaker 4: to answer the original question, So it's starting to become 911 00:47:05,360 --> 00:47:06,840 Speaker 4: sharp to bet on the Chiefs. 912 00:47:09,400 --> 00:47:12,879 Speaker 2: Are you struggling to find the right candidates? Well, good news, 913 00:47:12,880 --> 00:47:14,839 Speaker 2: there's a place to go to get help. It's called 914 00:47:15,000 --> 00:47:18,200 Speaker 2: zip recruiter. 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ZipRecruiter dot com slash colin right now. Free, 925 00:47:46,280 --> 00:47:49,400 Speaker 2: I mean free. That's the same price as a perfect sunset. 926 00:47:49,440 --> 00:47:54,240 Speaker 2: Try it free exclusive web address. ZipRecruiter dot com slash 927 00:47:54,320 --> 00:47:59,240 Speaker 2: Colin c l I n zip recruiter. The smartest way 928 00:47:59,320 --> 00:48:09,319 Speaker 2: to hire really is all right? The final one of 929 00:48:09,360 --> 00:48:11,640 Speaker 2: my picks. So the Chargers are only minus one and 930 00:48:11,680 --> 00:48:13,320 Speaker 2: a half and I looked at that number and thought, 931 00:48:13,440 --> 00:48:17,400 Speaker 2: why that's a funky number. No, it's not the offense. 932 00:48:17,640 --> 00:48:19,359 Speaker 2: I'm going to take the Bengals plus the points. Here 933 00:48:19,400 --> 00:48:23,040 Speaker 2: here's why. So they played on Thursday. Now they get it. 934 00:48:23,160 --> 00:48:25,080 Speaker 2: Not only do they get extra rest, they don't play 935 00:48:25,160 --> 00:48:30,080 Speaker 2: till Monday. So it's a strange. It's really a lot 936 00:48:30,080 --> 00:48:31,840 Speaker 2: of extra rest. As I've told you, if you have 937 00:48:31,840 --> 00:48:34,239 Speaker 2: a great quarterback and an offensive coach, I think that 938 00:48:34,400 --> 00:48:37,520 Speaker 2: time matters. The Jets have an old quarterback and an 939 00:48:37,560 --> 00:48:41,440 Speaker 2: interim coach that extra rest against Arizona didn't matter. But 940 00:48:41,480 --> 00:48:43,600 Speaker 2: I think Zach Taylor and Joe Burrow and they're already 941 00:48:43,640 --> 00:48:49,680 Speaker 2: humming and the Chargers. Everybody loves the Chargers. They don't 942 00:48:49,680 --> 00:48:51,960 Speaker 2: have a ton of downfield weapons. They have very few 943 00:48:52,040 --> 00:48:55,440 Speaker 2: plus twenty yard plays, so there's a way they have 944 00:48:55,480 --> 00:48:59,719 Speaker 2: to play to win long drives. Long drives are hard, 945 00:49:00,080 --> 00:49:03,560 Speaker 2: naltyes fumbles, it's hard to create nine to ten and 946 00:49:03,560 --> 00:49:08,719 Speaker 2: eleven play drives. Bengals score quickly, they get freebies. I'm 947 00:49:08,719 --> 00:49:11,960 Speaker 2: gonna take the points to the Bengals the rest sharper square. 948 00:49:13,280 --> 00:49:15,480 Speaker 4: Yeah, it's sharp this numbers move. It opened at two 949 00:49:15,520 --> 00:49:19,040 Speaker 4: and a half last Sunday to move down to about 950 00:49:19,400 --> 00:49:22,080 Speaker 4: got down to one actually, and then bounced up a 951 00:49:22,080 --> 00:49:24,359 Speaker 4: little bit with some Charger money at one and a half. 952 00:49:24,400 --> 00:49:29,200 Speaker 4: But it's definitely the sharp side. I I I agree 953 00:49:29,239 --> 00:49:30,880 Speaker 4: with you, like you want to be on the Bengal 954 00:49:30,960 --> 00:49:33,440 Speaker 4: side here for the same reason you don't want to 955 00:49:33,440 --> 00:49:35,680 Speaker 4: bet against Patrick Mahomes. Do you want to be betting 956 00:49:35,680 --> 00:49:38,880 Speaker 4: against Joe Burrow who lights out this year, who has 957 00:49:38,920 --> 00:49:42,120 Speaker 4: an underdog is second only to Patrick Mahomes, and how 958 00:49:42,120 --> 00:49:46,720 Speaker 4: well he performs amongst this current class of quarterbacks. You don't. 959 00:49:46,920 --> 00:49:49,720 Speaker 4: The reason why there would be any sentiment in favor 960 00:49:49,760 --> 00:49:53,120 Speaker 4: of the Chargers right now is because this has been 961 00:49:53,160 --> 00:49:58,160 Speaker 4: a very strange gambling year. You know, to look Macro 962 00:49:58,320 --> 00:50:01,719 Speaker 4: here you as a business man, as someone who has 963 00:50:01,760 --> 00:50:06,560 Speaker 4: succeeded far beyond just being a media personality. The past 964 00:50:06,600 --> 00:50:09,440 Speaker 4: two weeks has been earning season for public traded companies, right, 965 00:50:09,760 --> 00:50:13,000 Speaker 4: That includes sports betting operators. The two major sports betting 966 00:50:13,000 --> 00:50:16,960 Speaker 4: operators both had to reduce their revenue expectations for the 967 00:50:17,040 --> 00:50:21,640 Speaker 4: year because of what they have defined as customer friendly outcomes, 968 00:50:22,000 --> 00:50:25,279 Speaker 4: meaning there has been hundreds of millions of dollars in 969 00:50:25,360 --> 00:50:29,680 Speaker 4: reduce revenue because so many favorites are winning this year, 970 00:50:29,760 --> 00:50:32,840 Speaker 4: so many more than expected, right, And what that means 971 00:50:32,920 --> 00:50:36,960 Speaker 4: is that teams like the Chargers have been over exceeding 972 00:50:36,960 --> 00:50:40,919 Speaker 4: the expectations favorites because they do exactly what you want 973 00:50:40,960 --> 00:50:46,160 Speaker 4: them to do. They don't make high variant coaching decisions 974 00:50:46,440 --> 00:50:49,040 Speaker 4: because Harbaught is very consistent. You know what he's going 975 00:50:49,120 --> 00:50:52,440 Speaker 4: to do. They don't turn the ball over. They're really disciplined, 976 00:50:52,520 --> 00:50:54,640 Speaker 4: so they don't have the stupid penalties that a lot 977 00:50:54,719 --> 00:50:57,399 Speaker 4: of other teams have having and those things have been 978 00:50:57,520 --> 00:51:01,239 Speaker 4: impacting the games in a much wider way than they 979 00:51:01,239 --> 00:51:04,759 Speaker 4: have in previous years. So that's why people like the 980 00:51:04,840 --> 00:51:08,160 Speaker 4: Chargers right now is the Chargers are making people money. 981 00:51:08,800 --> 00:51:11,400 Speaker 4: But the sharp side in this game are the Bengals. 982 00:51:11,640 --> 00:51:13,600 Speaker 2: Always a game I want you to pick for me. 983 00:51:13,800 --> 00:51:16,040 Speaker 2: I like Denver at home minus two and a half 984 00:51:16,080 --> 00:51:19,560 Speaker 2: against Atlanta. Kirk Cousins not one hundred percent Pennix could play, 985 00:51:19,600 --> 00:51:22,319 Speaker 2: and though he played it Indiana and Washington, cold wet 986 00:51:22,320 --> 00:51:25,440 Speaker 2: weather areas, it's a tough opening assignment. Denver's getting a 987 00:51:25,480 --> 00:51:29,320 Speaker 2: tremendous pass rush. I do worry that out playing Kansas 988 00:51:29,320 --> 00:51:32,000 Speaker 2: City and losing the way they did is an emotional 989 00:51:32,120 --> 00:51:35,320 Speaker 2: gut punch for the Broncos. I do think there's something there. 990 00:51:35,520 --> 00:51:39,040 Speaker 2: But bo Nicks and this Denver team, they know they're 991 00:51:39,040 --> 00:51:41,600 Speaker 2: not a hoisted trophy team, like they know they're going 992 00:51:41,640 --> 00:51:43,600 Speaker 2: to lose games like this. They have a rookie quarterback, 993 00:51:43,640 --> 00:51:46,800 Speaker 2: a thin roster, and I think there's value in playing 994 00:51:47,040 --> 00:51:49,680 Speaker 2: close and out playing the Super Bowl champs. I think 995 00:51:49,680 --> 00:51:53,000 Speaker 2: they actually come out of that game thinking shit, bo 996 00:51:53,120 --> 00:51:55,360 Speaker 2: Nicks out played Mahomes. I don't think this is a 997 00:51:55,440 --> 00:51:58,640 Speaker 2: veteran team that really SAgs and thinks. You know, Buffalo 998 00:51:58,719 --> 00:52:00,840 Speaker 2: losing to the Chiefs again the following week, you like, 999 00:52:00,880 --> 00:52:04,759 Speaker 2: you really have a low energy locker room. I'm going 1000 00:52:04,840 --> 00:52:08,280 Speaker 2: to take Denver here. Tell me why I'm right or wrong. 1001 00:52:10,000 --> 00:52:13,840 Speaker 4: Well, I actually cannot decide on this game. It's so 1002 00:52:14,080 --> 00:52:17,120 Speaker 4: interesting you bring it up because early in the week 1003 00:52:17,520 --> 00:52:22,400 Speaker 4: I loved Atlanta. Here I thought to myself, Atlanta really 1004 00:52:22,440 --> 00:52:24,680 Speaker 4: shouldn't have lost that game, and against New Orleans, and 1005 00:52:24,719 --> 00:52:27,040 Speaker 4: you know I love New Orleans. Last week I tried 1006 00:52:27,040 --> 00:52:29,640 Speaker 4: to get you to come along with me on New Orleans. 1007 00:52:29,719 --> 00:52:31,680 Speaker 4: You are not having it. You will not that game 1008 00:52:31,719 --> 00:52:34,080 Speaker 4: I want. You don't want to watch. You totally get it. 1009 00:52:34,600 --> 00:52:37,759 Speaker 4: Respect the theory, but I felt like at the end 1010 00:52:37,760 --> 00:52:40,560 Speaker 4: of the game, New Orleans scored three points in the 1011 00:52:40,560 --> 00:52:44,600 Speaker 4: second half, the Falcons missed multiple field goals, including a 1012 00:52:44,600 --> 00:52:46,560 Speaker 4: field goal that could have tied the game with six 1013 00:52:46,640 --> 00:52:50,960 Speaker 4: minutes left. They had a very unlucky game. And now 1014 00:52:50,960 --> 00:52:54,840 Speaker 4: you got Kirk Cousins, who just historically is great against 1015 00:52:54,880 --> 00:52:59,160 Speaker 4: the spread, great straight up coming off a loss. I 1016 00:52:59,239 --> 00:53:02,120 Speaker 4: really like the the Falcons have been running the ball. 1017 00:53:02,520 --> 00:53:06,759 Speaker 4: Bijon has been a different level of player than he 1018 00:53:06,920 --> 00:53:09,120 Speaker 4: was in his rookie season. He's showing all the things 1019 00:53:09,280 --> 00:53:12,000 Speaker 4: that everyone was excited about, receding out of the backfield, 1020 00:53:12,000 --> 00:53:14,200 Speaker 4: his ability to run away from tacklers, the ability to 1021 00:53:14,280 --> 00:53:19,040 Speaker 4: run people over. I then thought about, Okay, two and 1022 00:53:19,080 --> 00:53:21,080 Speaker 4: a half feels high. You know, it feels like you're 1023 00:53:21,120 --> 00:53:25,839 Speaker 4: overvaluing the Broncos and their ability to and what they 1024 00:53:25,840 --> 00:53:28,719 Speaker 4: did against the Chiefs, And I, like you, I felt 1025 00:53:28,760 --> 00:53:31,080 Speaker 4: like the chief the Broncos walk away that of that 1026 00:53:31,120 --> 00:53:35,480 Speaker 4: game against the Chiefs and be like, we're emboldened. I 1027 00:53:35,520 --> 00:53:38,120 Speaker 4: would not be crushifyed with them at all. I'd be 1028 00:53:38,160 --> 00:53:40,680 Speaker 4: going into a thinking, Wow, we can hang like we 1029 00:53:40,760 --> 00:53:42,680 Speaker 4: are a really good team. And you and I have 1030 00:53:42,719 --> 00:53:45,760 Speaker 4: talked about this where Sean Payton has done with bo Nicks, 1031 00:53:46,040 --> 00:53:49,480 Speaker 4: talk about the opposite of Caleb Williams right like he 1032 00:53:49,560 --> 00:53:52,839 Speaker 4: has basically throwing the book at him and gotten him 1033 00:53:52,880 --> 00:53:56,360 Speaker 4: better and better and better every single week. And that 1034 00:53:56,480 --> 00:54:00,640 Speaker 4: Falcons defense, they don't pressure Anybody going to look at 1035 00:54:00,640 --> 00:54:03,000 Speaker 4: this and be like are they even playing defense? Is 1036 00:54:03,040 --> 00:54:06,280 Speaker 4: anybody trying to come after me? Because of the difference 1037 00:54:06,320 --> 00:54:09,239 Speaker 4: between how aggressive the Chiefs are. So I'm having a 1038 00:54:09,280 --> 00:54:12,319 Speaker 4: hard time finding the winner in this one. I don't 1039 00:54:12,440 --> 00:54:13,920 Speaker 4: I'm probably not going to bet it. I don't have 1040 00:54:13,960 --> 00:54:17,040 Speaker 4: a strong opinion. The wise guys don't really have a 1041 00:54:17,080 --> 00:54:20,719 Speaker 4: strong opinion on this either. They lean Denver. But you're 1042 00:54:20,760 --> 00:54:22,879 Speaker 4: not seeing people running to the window saying, I got 1043 00:54:22,880 --> 00:54:24,000 Speaker 4: to get a ticket on the Broncos. 1044 00:54:24,360 --> 00:54:28,120 Speaker 2: Finally, what's the game I should be betting that I 1045 00:54:28,200 --> 00:54:29,000 Speaker 2: have overlooked? 1046 00:54:31,400 --> 00:54:34,480 Speaker 4: I mean, I can't believe I have to say it, 1047 00:54:35,160 --> 00:54:40,640 Speaker 4: but hello Cleveland, Like, are you kidding me? We've got 1048 00:54:41,120 --> 00:54:46,799 Speaker 4: the Browns off a by with a healthier defense. You 1049 00:54:46,840 --> 00:54:49,799 Speaker 4: look at their you look at their injury report, there's 1050 00:54:49,840 --> 00:54:54,600 Speaker 4: nobody on it. So Kevin Stefanski builds a game plan 1051 00:54:54,680 --> 00:54:58,480 Speaker 4: where he's basically just handing the ball to Nick Chubb 1052 00:54:58,920 --> 00:55:01,400 Speaker 4: behind what if it had been healthy from the beginning 1053 00:55:01,440 --> 00:55:05,200 Speaker 4: of the year, would have been a top five offensive line, 1054 00:55:05,320 --> 00:55:09,080 Speaker 4: and you've got a top five defensive line going against 1055 00:55:09,400 --> 00:55:12,440 Speaker 4: Derek Carr, who, when he's not pressured, as we saw 1056 00:55:12,480 --> 00:55:16,759 Speaker 4: against the Falcons, can be a really good quarterback, and 1057 00:55:16,800 --> 00:55:20,560 Speaker 4: when he is pressured basically becomes one of the most 1058 00:55:20,920 --> 00:55:25,799 Speaker 4: losing quarterbacks in NFL history. So how am I not 1059 00:55:25,960 --> 00:55:30,359 Speaker 4: vetting the Browns after the Saints basically just won their 1060 00:55:30,440 --> 00:55:32,959 Speaker 4: Super Bowl. This was the game they had to win. 1061 00:55:33,520 --> 00:55:35,879 Speaker 4: I will not bet on the Saints again this year. 1062 00:55:36,040 --> 00:55:39,040 Speaker 4: That was a one time thing. Now I'll bet the Browns. 1063 00:55:39,040 --> 00:55:41,200 Speaker 4: And by the way, the wise guys have been betting 1064 00:55:41,200 --> 00:55:43,400 Speaker 4: the Browns. The line open to two and a half, 1065 00:55:43,480 --> 00:55:45,560 Speaker 4: down to two, one and a half one, now it's 1066 00:55:45,560 --> 00:55:47,200 Speaker 4: a half. There are a lot of places where the 1067 00:55:47,280 --> 00:55:49,840 Speaker 4: Browns it's going to flip and they're going to be favorite. 1068 00:55:49,880 --> 00:55:52,480 Speaker 4: So if you want to get it, get it now. 1069 00:55:52,680 --> 00:55:59,840 Speaker 2: Cleveland minus one at New Orleans. How disgusting, So disgusting that. 1070 00:56:01,440 --> 00:56:07,880 Speaker 4: You are betting on Jamis in his homecoming revenge game 1071 00:56:08,480 --> 00:56:11,160 Speaker 4: in New Orleans, the team that ran him out of 1072 00:56:11,160 --> 00:56:14,680 Speaker 4: town after he got Jamal Williams a touchdown last year, 1073 00:56:15,040 --> 00:56:18,880 Speaker 4: Like he is going to, Kevin Stefanski is going to 1074 00:56:18,920 --> 00:56:21,719 Speaker 4: have to do everything he can possibly do to keep 1075 00:56:21,840 --> 00:56:25,080 Speaker 4: Jamis from making terrible, terrible throws and putting him in 1076 00:56:25,120 --> 00:56:27,919 Speaker 4: bad positions and then the fifteen times that he asks 1077 00:56:28,000 --> 00:56:30,279 Speaker 4: him to throw in the game. He's just got to 1078 00:56:30,280 --> 00:56:31,439 Speaker 4: cross his fingers. 1079 00:56:31,080 --> 00:56:35,960 Speaker 2: And pray any feeling on the Seahawks getting six and 1080 00:56:36,040 --> 00:56:40,239 Speaker 2: a half at San Francisco zero same I get same. 1081 00:56:41,280 --> 00:56:44,880 Speaker 4: I can't get the Niners. You look at the box score, 1082 00:56:45,400 --> 00:56:51,080 Speaker 4: they should have beaten the Buccaneers by nine hundred points. 1083 00:56:51,160 --> 00:56:52,759 Speaker 2: I believe me. It was my lock of that year 1084 00:56:52,840 --> 00:56:53,600 Speaker 2: San Francisco. 1085 00:56:53,960 --> 00:56:57,520 Speaker 4: Yeah, it made no sense. And even like the Jake 1086 00:56:57,600 --> 00:57:00,840 Speaker 4: Moody misses, if he had made one of those field goals, 1087 00:57:01,480 --> 00:57:04,719 Speaker 4: the last field goal, they still win by six and 1088 00:57:04,760 --> 00:57:08,279 Speaker 4: they cover the five and a half. So it makes 1089 00:57:08,320 --> 00:57:12,320 Speaker 4: no sense to me. Their red zone struggles continue. You 1090 00:57:12,400 --> 00:57:15,040 Speaker 4: got to wonder how much does Brandon I you not 1091 00:57:15,120 --> 00:57:18,160 Speaker 4: being there really make a difference. Clearly it's something. It's 1092 00:57:18,200 --> 00:57:22,560 Speaker 4: more than just Debo and any injuries or Christian mccaffree 1093 00:57:22,560 --> 00:57:26,200 Speaker 4: and any injuries. I also wonder, Look Trent Williams, who 1094 00:57:26,280 --> 00:57:29,320 Speaker 4: we love and is a dominant offensive lineman and one 1095 00:57:29,400 --> 00:57:31,480 Speaker 4: of the best in the NFL. He missed all a 1096 00:57:31,520 --> 00:57:34,240 Speaker 4: training camp and he's old, So you got to ask yourself, 1097 00:57:34,240 --> 00:57:36,680 Speaker 4: all right, did that actually have more of an impact. 1098 00:57:36,720 --> 00:57:40,080 Speaker 4: They aren't as dominant an offensive line. They already weren't 1099 00:57:40,080 --> 00:57:42,480 Speaker 4: a great offensive line going into the season, and what 1100 00:57:42,600 --> 00:57:48,400 Speaker 4: Kyle Shanahan's schemes usually masks that deficiency less so this year. 1101 00:57:48,560 --> 00:57:51,320 Speaker 4: So I don't have any opinion on this. Meanwhile, the 1102 00:57:51,400 --> 00:57:55,000 Speaker 4: Seahawks like they just waive their leading tackler. I think 1103 00:57:55,160 --> 00:57:58,120 Speaker 4: they're still trying to figure out who they are defensively, 1104 00:57:58,240 --> 00:58:01,240 Speaker 4: so I'm going to pass on this game. 1105 00:58:02,600 --> 00:58:06,600 Speaker 2: As always. Chad Milman, Thanks man, good to see your brother. 1106 00:58:08,800 --> 00:58:09,480 Speaker 1: The volume. 1107 00:58:11,040 --> 00:58:13,800 Speaker 2: Thanks so much for listening. If you've enjoyed the podcast, 1108 00:58:13,960 --> 00:58:15,880 Speaker 2: take a moment rate and review