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Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to betting pros. It's time to place

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Speaker 1: your bets. It is me Joey p Joe Pie's a

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Speaker 1: PA and this is BP NFL. We're back again at

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Speaker 1: it for Thursday Night football. This time another pair of

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Speaker 1: division rivals will match up, Seattle Seahawks hosting the San

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Speaker 1: Francisco forty nine ers and somebody is red hot Scott

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Speaker 1: bogwin four and one last week on the props ooh

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Speaker 1: wee baby, you love to see it, Boggs. And now

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Speaker 1: we've got a game here where certainly I think both

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Speaker 1: teams limping into this one is probably the best way

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Speaker 1: to put it. And San Francisco forty nine Ers have

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Speaker 1: a lot of injuries on defense. Seattle Seahawks have a

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Speaker 1: few of their own. So this is gonna be a

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Speaker 1: game here that is going to be really tough to

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Speaker 1: gauge winner or loser. I'm running away from that. We're

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Speaker 1: gonna break it down, Boggs. Is all the props for you.

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Speaker 1: We got some touchdown calls and of course my same

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Speaker 1: game parlay. Just as a quick reminder to to make

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Speaker 1: your picks count again. You don't even have to make

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Speaker 1: wagers to be involved. In this amazing group here a

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Speaker 1: podcast group. In our contest bettingpros dot com slash NFL Contest,

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Speaker 1: all you have to do is sink your picks and

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Speaker 1: use the quick pick feature. That's it on betting pros

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Speaker 1: app And when you join the contest, you make your

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Speaker 1: picks work for you. We're doing free weekly and monthly prizes,

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Speaker 1: so elevate your betting strategy and join the conversation today

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Speaker 1: at bettingpros dot com slash NFL Contest. Again, you don't

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Speaker 1: even have to make a bet, you just have to

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Speaker 1: make a picks. Play with us, have some fun, win

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Speaker 1: some free stuff. That's the way it goes, all right, Bobs,

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Speaker 1: Let's take a look at the tail of the tape

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Speaker 1: for Thursday night football. We got Seattle at home three

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Speaker 1: and a half point underdogs minus one fourteen. Minus three

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Speaker 1: and a half is the best number you can get

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Speaker 1: on San Francisco. The number everywhere is pretty much forty

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Speaker 1: seven and a half. Right now, you're getting a plus

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Speaker 1: one fifty seven for Seattle on the money line. I'm

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Speaker 1: keeping this one symbole, Bogs. I'm not looking for winners

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Speaker 1: or losers. I'm looking for points. I know it's Thursday night.

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Speaker 1: I know things get weird, but I think with all

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Speaker 1: the defensive injuries and the way these Seeds both performed

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Speaker 1: last week, I think it's time to come out there

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Speaker 1: guns a blazing short week. Forget about the losses on

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Speaker 1: Sunday and this week, go ahead and get right. One

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Speaker 1: of these teams is going to I'm taking the over

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Speaker 1: on the forty seven and a half, even though it's

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Speaker 1: a pretty solid number. Bogs, what are your thoughts on

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Speaker 1: this one?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm going to follow you on that. And we

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Speaker 2: saw the division game last week go into overtime and

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Speaker 2: all of that, and I was on the under there too,

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Speaker 2: so I think it's about time maybe we go with

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Speaker 2: some overs here. I'll also take Seattle plus three and

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Speaker 2: a half. I don't but again, just like I said

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Speaker 2: last week, don't bet on the game. I on props

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Speaker 2: in this game. Don't be The game is always weird.

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Speaker 2: There's something that happens on Thursday night. As you stated, Joe,

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Speaker 2: so many injuries, specifically on defense. There are injuries on

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Speaker 2: offense too, of course, but a lot of banged up

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Speaker 2: players on defense. Fred Warner less than one hundred percent

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Speaker 2: Hufanga on the ir JayR. Brown out Byron Young out

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Speaker 2: for Seattle boy Mafe questionable, right, So there's just a

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Speaker 2: lot of guys that are if they're coming in, they're

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Speaker 2: less than one hundred percent. It doesn't always prelude points.

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Speaker 2: I mentioned the injury report a couple of weeks ago

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Speaker 2: for the Jets and Patriots. But the Patriots are just

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Speaker 2: so bad. But both these offenses are clicking right now.

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Speaker 2: I think I think the over is a safer bet

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Speaker 2: than a side, but I don't like either one. I'll

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Speaker 2: say that.

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Speaker 1: This is a really interesting spot here for the Seahawks.

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Speaker 1: I just want to talk about it for a second

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Speaker 1: because the forty nine ers have lost some conference games already,

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Speaker 1: you know, and that's that's a dangerous thing when you

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Speaker 1: start losing games in the conference, because.

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Speaker 2: The choking them away, like choking them away.

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Speaker 1: Well, I didn't want to say that, but Welsh isn't here,

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Speaker 1: so we can take choking them away. He's not here.

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Speaker 1: Let's just say it. Seattle with a win here, can

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Speaker 1: really assert themselves a little bit in this division. I mean,

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Speaker 1: the Rams are you know, so many injuries. You know,

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Speaker 1: the Arizona Cardinals are very inconsistent. The Seahawks have a

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Speaker 1: real shot here. You know, they came out really hot.

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Speaker 1: Unfortunately it was against lesser teams and then you know,

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Speaker 1: the better team started kicking them around the field a

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Speaker 1: little bit. But last week was a game they should

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Speaker 1: have won. I feel like Seattle really needs to kind

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Speaker 1: of bear down a little bit, focus a little bit,

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Speaker 1: and get this w because if you do, you really

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Speaker 1: put the forty nine ers on defense the next six weeks.

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Speaker 1: They've really got to play above board. It puts more

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Speaker 1: pressure on McCaffrey to come back all of these things.

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Speaker 1: So Seattle, if you're watching this, and I know you are,

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Speaker 1: this is this is an opportunity here for you to

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Speaker 1: get out ahead a little bit. I've got some shares

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Speaker 1: of some parlays where Seattle wins that division and I'd

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Speaker 1: love to see it. So I'll be rooting for Seattle.

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Speaker 1: But at the same time, San Francisco, man like, this

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Speaker 1: is a time to handle your business and if you don't, again,

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Speaker 1: more conversations are going to continue to be had. Let's

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Speaker 1: switch gears to the props again. Last week four and

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Speaker 1: one on the season above five hundred. Now let's go bogs.

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Speaker 1: Ken Walker's where I want to start, because this was

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Speaker 1: what fifty six and a half I think, or fifty

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Speaker 1: eight and a half.

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Speaker 2: It was early fifty six and a half.

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Speaker 1: It's fifty six and a half, which twelve minutes earlier

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Speaker 1: in the week. Yeah, I bet this earlier in the

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Speaker 1: week because it was my same game parlay with the

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Speaker 1: touchdowns already log getting betting pros, I believe, but I

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Speaker 1: had already gone over this. The number has moved. I'm

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Speaker 1: still over on this, Bogs, because now it's sixty three

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Speaker 1: and a half. I don't care. The fifty six was

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Speaker 1: a joke, but sixty three and a half. Are you

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Speaker 1: still over on it?

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Speaker 2: Yeah? I mean ken Walker is such a good back.

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Speaker 2: I mean the Niners verse number one backs too. Connor

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Speaker 2: last week nineteen for eighty six Kyron Williams a couple

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Speaker 2: weeks ago twenty four for eighty nine and two touchdowns.

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Speaker 2: Ty Chandler had ten rushes for eighty two yards. The

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Speaker 2: two guys that didn't get this total with Stevenson after

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Speaker 2: fumbling and then Brese week one sixteen for fifty four.

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Speaker 2: But ken Walker number one in run grade, ninth in

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Speaker 2: yards after the contact, seventh in miss tackles forced, and

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Speaker 2: he's missed two games. Fifth in design run yards of

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Speaker 2: fifteen or plus yards, second in breakaway yardage percentage behind

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Speaker 2: Tank Bigsby, and second in elusive rating behind tank Bigsby

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Speaker 2: as well. Also, Depok's model shows us that the first

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Speaker 2: two weeks back off this average, he's likely to have

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Speaker 2: a decreased carries as well in workload. So I think

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Speaker 2: that's going to move up this week. This yardage total

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Speaker 2: is too low. We also saw the Niners get gashed

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Speaker 2: a little bit in the run game after Javon Hargrave

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Speaker 2: went down. Speaking of injuries, so I think Kenneth Walker's

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Speaker 2: in for a big week.

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Speaker 1: All right, let's switch gears to some more Walker talk here.

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Speaker 1: So we're over on the sixty thre're and a half

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Speaker 1: rushing yards Again. For me, I always like the yardage totals.

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Speaker 1: I'm a little afraid of attempts or receptions. I just

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Speaker 1: think there's so much more variability in that. And you know,

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Speaker 1: you get one big play boom, you get that over

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Speaker 1: that's all you need. You need the catches, you need

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Speaker 1: the attempts. So the thirteen and a half rushing attempts,

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Speaker 1: how do you feel about that one? He's still over.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm still over on that one. And that's again

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Speaker 2: because of Depok's model. Right. He had twenty two touches

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Speaker 2: in game one, then in game two he got hurt.

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Speaker 2: He missed in the next two weeks, played the following

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Speaker 2: two and he's had sixteen and twelve touches those last

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Speaker 2: two weeks. So this week it seems like he's going

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Speaker 2: to have more touches again. Hargrave missing and they gave

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Speaker 2: up one hundred and sixty nine rushing yards to the

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Speaker 2: Cardinals last week. That was a lot of Kyler as

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Speaker 2: well on that big rush to start the game, but

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Speaker 2: Connor had nineteen last week. Walker is a better back

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Speaker 2: than Connor at this point in their careers, so I

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Speaker 2: think Connor gets a decent amount of touches.

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Speaker 1: Brandon Aiyuk has been a bit of an enigma this year.

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Speaker 1: The number fime is sixty four and a half receiving yards.

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Speaker 1: This is a tough one for me. I don't have

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Speaker 1: a beat on this one. But Boggs, you're the propmaster

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Speaker 1: around here. Why should people be in on Brendan and

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Speaker 1: Ayuk and why should they be in on the over

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Speaker 1: sixty four and a half?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, this one. This one moved up only one yard.

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Speaker 2: We'll take it, though, but this one for me, it's

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Speaker 2: you know, I mentioned Byron Murphy being down a mention

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Speaker 2: boy Mafe being down. Derek Hall also banged up. But

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Speaker 2: Tarique Woolan is also coming into this game at less

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Speaker 2: than one percent. Looks he's questionable and he got in

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Speaker 2: a limited practice. He's probably going to end end up playing,

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Speaker 2: but he is their best cover corner by a wide margin.

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Speaker 2: Devin Witherspoon is great, but he works almost on a

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Speaker 2: percent in the slot. So I think that a you

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Speaker 2: working against a lesser cornerback over there, maybe Trey Brown,

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Speaker 2: you know, Neami Appritchett, the rookie from Mississippi State, also

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Speaker 2: could see a decent amount of playing time. I think

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Speaker 2: this is where you take advantage of this weakness. And

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Speaker 2: this is why I'm also leaning towards the over in

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Speaker 2: this game. Like I said, bet the props, don't bet

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Speaker 2: the game, but I like Iyuk to go over in

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Speaker 2: this which could turn into a little bit of a

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Speaker 2: back and forth with how many times the Seahawks pass.

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Speaker 1: I think it could. Again, That's why I'm going the

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Speaker 1: over on this one. Forty seven and a half. Let's

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Speaker 1: get to some Geno props. You've got two more to

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Speaker 1: close us out in the prop department. Then we'll get

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Speaker 1: to the SGP. We'll get to the touchdown calls. Geno Smith,

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Speaker 1: this is a fun one thirty five and a half

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Speaker 1: over on the longest completion. So you're looking for the

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Speaker 1: big DK bomb or the big DK run after.

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Speaker 2: Catch, right, Yeah, And Gino has hit this in three

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Speaker 2: of five games. Remember they give up the ninety seven

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Speaker 2: yarder to Justin Jefferson in that game early in the season,

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Speaker 2: two fifty yarders to Stafford and Brissette in a thirty

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Speaker 2: four yarder last week against the Cardinals. Lots of banged

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Speaker 2: up players on the Niners defense as well, right Hufanga

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Speaker 2: on the IR Jyr Brown, the starting free safety, questionable

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Speaker 2: in this game, definitely playing less than one hundred percent

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Speaker 2: if he is out there. So you know, I think

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Speaker 2: this is an outside play, this is a DK play,

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Speaker 2: And you know I thought, and I still think the

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Speaker 2: Seahawks should be running the ball more, which is why

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Speaker 2: I didn't mess with pass attempts or completions for Gino

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Speaker 2: in this game. But they've been passing at an absurd rate. Now,

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Speaker 2: the last two games have been down and passing, so

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Speaker 2: it's been a little bit more. But this game, they're

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Speaker 2: not the favorite. The Niners are their favorite, so there's

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Speaker 2: a possibility for them to be down late and passing

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Speaker 2: them again. I just think when you're throwing the ball

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Speaker 2: forty times a game, there's you give yourself more opportunities

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Speaker 2: to hit this and it's you know, short rest. It's

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Speaker 2: questionable health for a lot of these guys. I think

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Speaker 2: somebody slips by and gets a big one here.

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Speaker 1: All right, before we get to that last GENO one.

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Speaker 1: This is why you use the tools a betting Pros

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Speaker 1: because they just got a line alert from this game.

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Speaker 1: And the line alert is that now it's moved to

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Speaker 1: forty eight and a half. Now I'm still on the over.

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Speaker 1: I think we break fifty on this one. But lock

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Speaker 1: in early as early as you can with us. We

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Speaker 1: do the early takes of all the games on Monday

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Speaker 1: Show Andrew and I. This one feels like an over

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Speaker 1: to me, even at this new movement here. But line

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Speaker 1: alert's one of the great features here. Also the prop

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Speaker 1: bet cheat sheet too. Again, go to Bettingpros dot com.

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Speaker 1: Just go to propet cheat Sheet or go to betting

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Speaker 1: pros dot com slash props if you have the app,

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Speaker 1: you just click on the game and you'll see all

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Speaker 1: the props are right there for you. You'll see the

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Speaker 1: best place to bet them. But the prop bet cheat

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Speaker 1: sheet is one of the great tools you have at

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Speaker 1: your dispoth to get the best number you possibly can.

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Speaker 1: It tells you with the projections on the fantasy side,

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Speaker 1: the over and the under here. So Line Alerts brought

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Speaker 1: bet cheat Sheet all these tools that we used to

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Speaker 1: put these shows together that we bet with. You should

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Speaker 1: be betting with them too. Gino over fifteen and a

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Speaker 1: half rushing yards. That's the last one you got. Why

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Speaker 1: do you see this one coming today?

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Speaker 2: This one was thirteen and a half yesterday too, by

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Speaker 2: the way, so we're trying to get it earlier. But

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Speaker 2: when he goes over this, he has gone way over

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Speaker 2: this four for thirty and a touchdown against Denver five

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Speaker 2: for thirty eight at Detroit four for seventy two last

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Speaker 2: week against the Giants, and running is built into the

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Speaker 2: game plan this season. He has twenty rush attempts in

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Speaker 2: five games so far this season. He had thirty seven

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Speaker 2: all year Last year so they're designing runs for him.

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Speaker 2: You also saw the JSN and DK Metcalf pulling off

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Speaker 2: a little bit of tricky trickiness in this season where

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Speaker 2: when they see Geno running, DK acts he baits the

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Speaker 2: corner into thinking he's catching up. Jsen did it last

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Speaker 2: week as well, and they pull that safety into the

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Speaker 2: end zone away from making a tackle on Gino who's

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Speaker 2: running behind him. So super smart that they've been doing that,

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Speaker 2: and I've seen it pointed out a bunch. So there's

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Speaker 2: been a bunch of design runs and scrambles for Gino

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Speaker 2: in this game or in this season. So I think

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Speaker 2: this is an easy number. The Niners put pressure on

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Speaker 2: the quarterback even without Javon Hargrave. We know that Bosa

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Speaker 2: is going to be active back there, so I think

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Speaker 2: he bails out and maybe a couple times. I think

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Speaker 2: this total is probably low.

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Speaker 1: I'm looking on VP right now to fun fact because

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Speaker 1: I was just looking at my Kenneth Walker stuff. There

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Speaker 1: is a spot still we can get it in the

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Speaker 1: fifty eight range. BETMGM actually has it at fifty eight

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Speaker 1: and a half. Okay, so everywhere else is at sixty

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Speaker 1: three and a half. BET three sixty five's at sixty

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Speaker 1: and a half, but bet MGM for ken Walker's at

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Speaker 1: fifty eight and a half, so you could still get

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Speaker 1: that in there before things go a little Craig cray

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Speaker 1: out because that number continues to move. I see now

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Speaker 1: Fandal's got a forty nine and a half. Hurry, get

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Speaker 1: in while the getting's good here. While we're looking ahead

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Speaker 1: here to this same game, parlay, I've got another duo

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Speaker 1: bet here. I've been doing these and we've been having

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Speaker 1: a lot of success with them. Next one here is

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Speaker 1: ken Walker. We just keep crushing these every single week.

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Speaker 1: So let's go ken Walker over the sixty three and

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Speaker 1: a half. Or if you're bet MGM, you still get

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Speaker 1: that fifty eight, great, go take it there and ken

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Speaker 1: Walker to score. You put those two things together, get

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Speaker 1: plus one seventy four. Now, if you want to get

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Speaker 1: really crazy and have some fun and go for three again,

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Speaker 1: I don't recommend it, just stick to ken Walker over

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Speaker 1: the rushing yards take the TD. But if you really

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Speaker 1: have some money to burn, you had a really fun

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Speaker 1: Week five and you want to start Week six off

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Speaker 1: with a bang. If you put the over for the

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Speaker 1: forty nine and a half, you can get this up

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Speaker 1: to three sixteen and Joey three sixteen says you might

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Speaker 1: just want to bet it, so there you go. So

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00:13:55,080 --> 00:13:57,719
Speaker 1: that gets up to plus three sixteen, three to one

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Speaker 1: on Walker over Walker touchdown and over on the game.

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Speaker 1: And again if you're looking to build your own once again,

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Speaker 1: back to the tools. Betting Pros Same Game Parlay Builder

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00:14:08,120 --> 00:14:10,679
Speaker 1: is available. You canbine multiple bets within a single NFL

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00:14:10,720 --> 00:14:14,120
Speaker 1: game levers the insights. Get the right bet here for

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00:14:14,120 --> 00:14:16,240
Speaker 1: the right game. Go check it out for yourself right

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00:14:16,240 --> 00:14:20,000
Speaker 1: now Betting Pros app download it sink your sportsbooks for free.

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00:14:20,160 --> 00:14:22,800
Speaker 1: Betting pros dot com Slash Parlay. That's how you check

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00:14:22,800 --> 00:14:26,080
Speaker 1: out that tool. All right, let's get to the touchdown

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Speaker 1: calls here, bogs, what do you have for the people tonight?

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Speaker 2: Give me George Kittle plus one forty five here leads

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00:14:31,160 --> 00:14:33,760
Speaker 2: the NFL on targets inside the five with three also

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00:14:33,840 --> 00:14:36,240
Speaker 2: has three catches in one touchdown. I know he's coming

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00:14:36,240 --> 00:14:38,640
Speaker 2: in at less than one hundred percent with the ribs

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Speaker 2: and everything, but he's less than one hundred percent last week.

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Speaker 2: I think he's going to be okay. So and even

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00:14:43,920 --> 00:14:46,040
Speaker 2: if he is limited, he ain't gonna be limited near

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Speaker 2: the goal line. They will definitely line him up. We

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Speaker 2: like the over in this game. So plus one forty

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Speaker 2: five good enough for me, For George Kittle, all right for.

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Speaker 1: Me, I already picked ken Walker, but that's it minus money.

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00:14:56,480 --> 00:14:58,600
Speaker 1: So I want plus money. I want plus money if

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00:14:58,600 --> 00:15:02,160
Speaker 1: I'm doing standalone here, k Metcalf, plus one forty five.

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Speaker 1: Let's go big on a big one, on a big one.

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Speaker 2: Let's go.

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Speaker 1: Let's go. Yeah, it was like a seventy yard touchdown

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Speaker 1: for DK. I wanted one of those big, giant DK

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Speaker 1: Metcalf highlight reel tds, especially with all the injuries in

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Speaker 1: the secondary there for San Francisco. So let's go, dk Metcalf.

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Speaker 1: Let's get the job done. Also, just throwing this out

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Speaker 1: there right now, NFC West winner San Francisco minus one

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Speaker 1: fifteen Seattle plus two to twenty if Seattle wins this game, Bogs,

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Speaker 1: what does that look like tomorrow morning?

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Speaker 2: Ah? Yeah, I don't. I still am not comfortable with

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Speaker 2: that winning the division.

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Speaker 1: I think it looks like the plus one oh five

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Speaker 1: San Francisco.

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Speaker 2: Oh yeah, yeah, that WINUS fifty c plus like that.

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Speaker 2: I think you're right there, But yeah, I still think

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00:15:51,000 --> 00:15:53,760
Speaker 2: I picked the Niners to win this division, so probably,

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00:15:53,960 --> 00:15:56,960
Speaker 2: but you know, the teams that should win, it doesn't

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00:15:56,960 --> 00:15:57,520
Speaker 2: always happen.

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Speaker 1: Job of winning. Yeah, in twenty twenty four, it seems

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00:16:01,480 --> 00:16:04,400
Speaker 1: like that it's every year nowadays, which makes wagering fun

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Speaker 1: come on to us.

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Speaker 2: So long ago, the NFL Films was the NFL stand

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Speaker 2: for not for long. That's right.

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Speaker 1: Bog's favorite thing to say, he loves he loved it.

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Speaker 2: Every show, old classic, Jerry Glanville.

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Speaker 1: I used to love those old NFL film shows too,

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00:16:18,880 --> 00:16:20,600
Speaker 1: like they used to like when you were a kid,

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00:16:20,920 --> 00:16:23,000
Speaker 1: when when we were young, they didn't have a lot

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00:16:23,040 --> 00:16:25,920
Speaker 1: of sports on TV. Sometimes you get those shows, you

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00:16:25,960 --> 00:16:28,480
Speaker 1: get those old specials with the John Facenda stuff, and

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00:16:28,840 --> 00:16:32,120
Speaker 1: you know you'd see all these like behind the sidelines

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00:16:32,160 --> 00:16:34,240
Speaker 1: in the NFL, Like this little special would be on

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00:16:34,280 --> 00:16:35,480
Speaker 1: for an hour. You get to watch it.

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Speaker 2: You got to watch hank Strom. What was it?

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Speaker 1: Meticulately saw power Trap matriculate the ball down power Trap. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: we're gonna matriculate away from this show in just a

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Speaker 1: minute here. Before we do, don't forget subscribe to the channel,

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00:16:49,920 --> 00:16:52,520
Speaker 1: drop your comments below, and of course ring the bell

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00:16:52,560 --> 00:16:55,280
Speaker 1: for notifications. Betting Pros is growing at a huge clip

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00:16:55,480 --> 00:16:57,600
Speaker 1: because of all of you watching the shows and of

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00:16:57,600 --> 00:17:00,520
Speaker 1: course listening to them over on the podcast as well.

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00:17:00,560 --> 00:17:03,120
Speaker 1: So wherever you get your pods, subscribe to Betting Pros.

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00:17:03,320 --> 00:17:04,879
Speaker 1: That'll do it for us, But the story of the

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00:17:04,920 --> 00:17:07,760
Speaker 1: game goes on for Bogman. I'm Joey p. We'll see

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00:17:07,800 --> 00:17:11,000
Speaker 1: you next time. Kids. Enjoy Thursday night football, good luck.

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00:17:11,359 --> 00:17:14,000
Speaker 2: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you

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00:17:14,040 --> 00:17:16,399
Speaker 2: love the show, the best freeway to support us is

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Speaker 2: by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify.

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00:17:20,119 --> 00:17:22,760
Speaker 2: Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and

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00:17:22,840 --> 00:17:26,480
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00:17:26,560 --> 00:17:29,040
Speaker 2: channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros