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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you happy? Tuesday?

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Speaker 2: Welcome into a new episode of the Daily Just podcast

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Speaker 2: with the map Perults. You guys can follow me across

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Speaker 2: all of my socials at Sports Talk, Matt Monday snapped

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Speaker 2: our two game, two day winning streak, unfortunately seven to six.

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Speaker 1: At halftime. We were right there.

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Speaker 2: Everything was right there for the Pittsburgh Steelers, and they

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Speaker 2: couldn't capitalize on every gift that the Texans gave them.

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Speaker 2: I mean, when you fumble the ball five times and

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Speaker 2: you throw a pick in the red zone in the playoffs,

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Speaker 2: you lose. Like that game, You lose like ninety five

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Speaker 2: percent of the time. When you have that many mistakes

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Speaker 2: by the quarterback in by the offense, you lose. And

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Speaker 2: the Steelers just ran out of gas. I mean, credit

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Speaker 2: that defense. I mean the fourth quarter was all Texans

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Speaker 2: and that's going to be a really difficult opponent for

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Speaker 2: the Patriots to face. So we wind up one two

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Speaker 2: on the day. Pat Fryermouth comes in under thirty three

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Speaker 2: and a half receiving yards he at eighteen.

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Speaker 1: Steelers do not win.

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Speaker 2: Steelers do not cover and the teaser underhits, but the

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Speaker 2: team does not cover that nine because they got smoked

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Speaker 2: in the fourth quarter, and really I felt like the

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Speaker 2: word quit is not the.

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Speaker 1: Right word for the Pittsburgh Steelers.

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Speaker 2: But once they knew they couldn't win, it just all

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Speaker 2: kind of went to crap and everything. I mean, the

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Speaker 2: game almost went over amazingly enough, the game, you know,

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Speaker 2: almost fell thirty seven, which depending on the book it

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Speaker 2: was thirty seven and a half. Was the low number

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Speaker 2: I saw was thirty seven and a half. It still

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Speaker 2: would have gone under, but barely under because of what

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Speaker 2: happened in the fourth quarter with the pick sixes and

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Speaker 2: everything else. Will Aaron Rodgers retire, I don't know. I mean,

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Speaker 2: I've always I have a lot of respect for Aaron Rodgers,

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Speaker 2: and I know people don't like him, but he is

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Speaker 2: an authentic character and he is somebody who truly believes

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Speaker 2: in what he believes in, and whether I agree with

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Speaker 2: it or not, I respect him. And for the last

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Speaker 2: pass in his Hall of Fame career to be a

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Speaker 2: pick six, that just doesn't really sit right with me.

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Speaker 2: But he may not have a choice given what just happened.

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Speaker 2: Mike Tomlin may be gone. We'll see where he in

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Speaker 2: his future, what happens there. I think if they bring

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Speaker 2: Tomlin back, I think there's a decent shot that Rogers

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Speaker 2: comes back. But if Mike Tomlin's gone, which I think

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Speaker 2: there is ample evidence and support in the market. Twenty

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Speaker 2: sixteen was a long time ago. That was the last

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Speaker 2: time the Steelers won a playoff game, and they had

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Speaker 2: it at home with a million turnovers by the Texans,

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Speaker 2: and yet they still couldn't win. I think it's probably

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Speaker 2: it for Mike Tomlin. Kind of stinks, but I think

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Speaker 2: it's kind of it for Mike Tomlin. I think he

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Speaker 2: is gone from Pittsburgh. So we'll do some look ahead

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Speaker 2: stuff tomorrow. Patriots are home favorites against the Texans. Two

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Speaker 2: and a half is the line here in Vegas. I

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Speaker 2: don't think they're going to close as a favorite. I

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Speaker 2: mean the Texans I think are the worst matchup for

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Speaker 2: the Patriots because of what Drake may is going to

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Speaker 2: see from a pass rushing perspective and the Patriot offensive line.

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Speaker 2: This is a I don't know. I mean, it's a

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Speaker 2: dead under game forty one. It's a dead under game.

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Speaker 2: Patriots defense will be able to stop. In particular, if

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Speaker 2: Nico Collins is out, the Patriots defense will be able

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Speaker 2: to stop that Texans offense. It's just gonna be I mean,

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Speaker 2: if you like the under, bet it now because I

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Speaker 2: think forty one, it'll be thirty nine or thirty eight

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Speaker 2: by the time we get to kick off. It's going

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Speaker 2: to be just everyone betting the under unless we get

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Speaker 2: a ton of turnovers like.

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Speaker 1: We just did.

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Speaker 2: Game almost went over, but ill unless we have something

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Speaker 2: like that, I think that number of games are dead under.

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Speaker 2: But it is surprising to see the Patriots being home

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Speaker 2: favorites laying two and a half against the Texans. Additionally,

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Speaker 2: the Bills play on Saturday. They get a short week

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Speaker 2: on the road against Denver who didn't play. Had to

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Speaker 2: buy that is a huge bad break for the Buffalo

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Speaker 2: Bills to have to travel to Denver and have a

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Speaker 2: short week with a team that gets to sit and

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Speaker 2: wait and they've been sitting and waiting. Big break for

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Speaker 2: Sean Payton, Big break for the Denver Broncos to get

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Speaker 2: that game on Saturday up against the Buffalo Bills and

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Speaker 2: Josh Allen, who did not look good in their game

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Speaker 2: against the Jags. They won the game, but they didn't

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Speaker 2: look good in that game. So we'll see how that

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Speaker 2: game winds up playing out. So today three sports, three bets, NBA, NHL,

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Speaker 2: and college basketball.

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Speaker 1: So as we get back.

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Speaker 2: Into this rhythm here with betting multiple sports and having

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Speaker 2: some differ different games in different leagues that we're gonna bet.

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Speaker 1: If you want to tiptoe.

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Speaker 2: In, I don't mind you kind of If you want

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Speaker 2: to trail the better half a unit, kind of the

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Speaker 2: same thing. If you're gonna fade to better half a unit,

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Speaker 2: I'm betting full units. But just we're getting out of

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Speaker 2: football mode and we got to get back into the

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Speaker 2: rhythm of the NBA and the rhythm of the NHL.

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Speaker 2: I need to watch more, clearly, I need to read

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Speaker 2: more and watch more because we've spent so much time

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Speaker 2: watch Sharutching playoff. I haven't watching. I watched the Lakers

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Speaker 2: in the in the Kings last night. I watched one

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Speaker 2: NBA game last night. But I've been watching obviously NonStop

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Speaker 2: football from Thursday, Friday, Saturday, Sunday, Monday. And now we've

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Speaker 2: got two basketball bets and a hockey bet. So just

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Speaker 2: a heads up as we head into this week as

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Speaker 2: to how things are going to go. This podcast is

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Speaker 2: let's get to the games. Let's start with the Spurs

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Speaker 2: and ok C. This game will be seen on NBC Peacock.

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Speaker 2: What is interesting about this number being eight is what

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Speaker 2: the Spurs have done to the OKC Thunder the last

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Speaker 2: three times they have played. They played on December thirteenth,

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Speaker 2: They played on December twenty third, and December twenty fifth.

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Speaker 1: The Spurs were ten and a half point dogs.

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Speaker 2: They won the game outright five and a half point

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Speaker 2: Dogs won the game outright and eleven and a half

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Speaker 2: point dogs and won the game outright and now here,

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Speaker 2: they're eight point dogs to Okay. See, I don't understand

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Speaker 2: what am I missing? Now San Antonio, they're going to

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Speaker 2: have Victor Wembiyama. They are coming off of a loss.

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Speaker 2: In their last game against Minnesota. They beat Boston one

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Speaker 2: hundred and ninety five. They were laying one in that

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Speaker 2: game and they won. They were catching two and a

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Speaker 2: half against Minnesota and they lost the game, but they covered.

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Speaker 2: This team also beat the Lakers as nine point favorites

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Speaker 2: at home. They won and covered, so three straight games

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Speaker 2: for the Spurs to have covered. On the flip side,

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Speaker 2: OKASE hasn't covered a spread in five games, and it's

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Speaker 2: not been pretty for OKC. They're three and seven ats

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Speaker 2: over their last ten games. They're eleven and ten at

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Speaker 2: home ats. They're under five hundred against the number, and

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Speaker 2: they're five hundred against the West sixteen and sixteen. While

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Speaker 2: they're winning games up against Utah laying eighteen and a

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Speaker 2: half at home they won by four or fifteen and

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Speaker 2: a half. Against Miami they won by twelve. They did

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Speaker 2: lose to Phoenix. They lost to Charlotte by twenty seven points.

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Speaker 2: Now they've won three games since then, but on the

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Speaker 2: flip side.

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Speaker 1: This Spurs team, they.

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Speaker 2: Match up really well, and this is the defending champs

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Speaker 2: and the young, upstart Spurs. They just play really hard

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Speaker 2: when they play up against the Thunder. I mean, maybe

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Speaker 2: the Thunder bust out, maybe they go to work and

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Speaker 2: they blow out the Spurs, But we haven't seen that recently,

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Speaker 2: and I'm not going to bank on it tonight with

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Speaker 2: a national TV audience watching across the country. For Cent

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Speaker 2: and Tonio, I'll take the points. Give me this burse

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Speaker 2: plus eight for one point one units on the road

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Speaker 2: against the Thunder. Sure they may lose the game, but

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Speaker 2: I think they'll keep it close within a couple of possessions.

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Speaker 2: San Antonio plus eight for one point one units. We

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Speaker 2: go to college basketball where Iowa State goes on the

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Speaker 2: road to take on Kansas. Kansas is a home dog.

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Speaker 2: This never happens. Okay at fog Allen Fieldhouse. This never happens.

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Speaker 2: On top of the fact that KU being being a

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Speaker 2: dog in a Big twelve game at home never happens.

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Speaker 2: But they are dogs here to Iowa State, who is

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Speaker 2: laying three and a half points on the road.

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Speaker 1: TJ.

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Speaker 2: Alzenberger understands what this game means to Iowa State fans.

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Speaker 1: This is the game.

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Speaker 2: When you're a Cyclone fan and you see the schedule,

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Speaker 2: the first thing you do is you go and look

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Speaker 2: and see where KU is. The second game you go

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Speaker 2: and look and see where Iowa is. Those are the

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Speaker 2: games you care about. Those are the big rivalry games.

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Speaker 2: Those are the games that matter a ton to you

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Speaker 2: as a fan. Iowa State, excuse me, is undefeated. Iowa

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Speaker 2: State has been absolutely awesome this year. On the road,

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Speaker 2: they're five and one ats on the road, they're undefeated.

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Speaker 1: Straight up.

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Speaker 2: This Iowa State team is coming off of a game

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Speaker 2: at home against against Oki State where they're laying twenty

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Speaker 2: and they won by twelve. Maybe looking ahead to this

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Speaker 2: road trip to KU, but they beat Baylor on the road,

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Speaker 2: laying four. In their last game, they won by ten.

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Speaker 2: They beat West Virginia by twenty one, laying sixteen and

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Speaker 2: a half. The last three games for Kansas, and they

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Speaker 2: have had their star freshmen for the three games against

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Speaker 2: Central Florida, TCU and West Virginia. They lost too of

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Speaker 2: the games outright, and they didn't cover in.

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Speaker 1: Any of them. This is not a good year for KU.

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Speaker 2: And I'm gonna go ahead and bank on something that's

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Speaker 2: happened in college basketball. In college football recently, the blue bloods,

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Speaker 2: the teams that we are used to being dominant, are

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Speaker 2: no longer dominant in the NIL in transfer portal world.

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Speaker 1: Do you know who does.

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Speaker 2: Really well in the NIL and transfer portal worlds? Fred

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Speaker 2: Hoiberg at Nebraska and tj Otzenberger at Iowa State. They

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Speaker 2: did it at Iowa State before it was cool.

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Speaker 1: To be able to do this. They showed the world

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Speaker 1: what is.

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Speaker 2: Capable from a roster turnover standpoint every single year in

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Speaker 2: college basketball, Royce White, anyone, Okay, this is what these

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Speaker 2: guys do. Neither Fred Hoiberg or tj Otzenberger have lost

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Speaker 2: a single game in twenty twenty five twenty twenty six.

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Speaker 2: They are both undefeated. I know Darren Peterson is an

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Speaker 2: unbelievable talent, but when you're coming back off of a

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Speaker 2: quad and a hamstring injury, you're one misstep away from

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Speaker 2: being re injured, and you're playing in such an intense

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Speaker 2: game against Iowa State, this concerns me. Iowa State's defense

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Speaker 2: is so good. They're number two in the country in

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Speaker 2: adjusted defensive efficiency. They're number twelve in adjusted offensive efficiency.

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Speaker 2: Iowa State is number two in three point shooting. Now,

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Speaker 2: Kansas defense is really good. They're fourteenth in adjusted efficiency

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Speaker 2: and they're sixth and three point defense. They're thirty fourth

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Speaker 2: and two point defense. But Iowa State's defense is equally

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Speaker 2: as good. They are fifty second in effective field goal percentage. Defensively,

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Speaker 2: they are seventieth and three point defense, seventy eighth and

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Speaker 2: two point defense. And Kansas's offense at times can just

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Speaker 2: go away. They just without Peterson, they just don't have

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Speaker 2: a huge weapon. And yes, Peterson's back, He's potentially the

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Speaker 2: first pick in the draft, and he scores a ton.

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Speaker 2: But again, it doesn't really matter how many points he scores.

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Speaker 2: I just think the other players won't have big games.

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Speaker 2: And so this is I'm gonna trust t Jiotsberger to

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Speaker 2: have a defensive game plan to handle a really good

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Speaker 2: star player in Ku. And look, there's a veteran point

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Speaker 2: guard in Lipsey for Iowa State that is very easy

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Speaker 2: to like and very easy to back. The number is

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Speaker 2: three and a half. Some books have already gone to four.

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Speaker 2: It's Ku at home.

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Speaker 1: I get it.

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Speaker 2: You can take Kansas fog Allen magic, right, this is

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Speaker 2: what happens I don't know. I think we're in a weird,

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Speaker 2: wonky world that's different than most in college basketball in

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Speaker 2: college football. And I'm gonna go ahead and back the

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Speaker 2: Cyclones on the road, laying three and a half points

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Speaker 2: up against KU Cyclones to stay undefeated, Iowa State to

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Speaker 2: win the game and cover three and a half against KU.

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Speaker 2: Huge game in college basketball tonight. And then finally we

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Speaker 2: go to the NHL, where Pittsburgh is red hot for

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Speaker 2: a first period over so far, Pittsburgh over their last

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Speaker 2: ten games is nine to one to a first period over.

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Speaker 2: They play Tampa Bay coming up here tonight. The goaltender

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Speaker 2: is don't really matter to me. I don't care who's

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Speaker 2: in net. Because of the first period goals. Tampa Bay

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Speaker 2: leads the NHL in goals scored in the first period

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Speaker 2: with fifty three. Pittsburgh is number four with forty six.

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Speaker 2: In terms of first period goals now goals allowed, Pittsburgh

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Speaker 2: in the first period middle of the pack with thirty eight.

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Speaker 2: Tampa Bay a little bit further down just with thirty five.

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Speaker 2: But given these two offenses, and given the fact that

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Speaker 2: Tampa Bay is six and four to a first period

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Speaker 2: over over their last ten and Pittsburgh being as red

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Speaker 2: hot as they are to a first period over. I

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Speaker 2: think this is an opportunity to jump in here with Pittsburgh.

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Speaker 2: I also like a goal in the first ten minutes. Okay,

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Speaker 2: I also like that to jump in if you want

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Speaker 2: to bet the yes on that from a gift perspective,

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Speaker 2: goal in the first ten minutes if you want there.

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Speaker 2: But I think we're going to see offense here between

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Speaker 2: Tampa and Pittsburgh. We're going to play the first period

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Speaker 2: over between these two Pittsburgh Tampa Bay over in the

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Speaker 2: first period over one and a half goals nine in

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Speaker 2: one to a goal in the first time I think,

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Speaker 2: I'm sorry, I misspoke. It's seven and three to a

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Speaker 2: first period over for Pittsburgh. There nine and one to

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Speaker 2: a gift a goal in the first ten minutes. So

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Speaker 2: you can do both. You met the gift Pittsburgh Tampa

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Speaker 2: and the over one and a half goals for Pittsburgh

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Speaker 2: and Tampa. I think the over one and a half

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Speaker 2: is a safer play, but I don't mind betting the

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Speaker 2: first period for a goal in the first ten minutes

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Speaker 2: either on that, So bets for today. Spurs play US

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Speaker 2: eight on the road against OKC Iowa State, laying three

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Speaker 2: and a half on the road to KU Pittsburgh and

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Speaker 2: Tampa over one and a half goals at minus one

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Speaker 2: thirty five in the first period.

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Speaker 1: Min Is Matt Parolz. You guys can follow me mile

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Speaker 1: So on my.

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Speaker 2: Socials at sports Doc Matt every morning wherever you guys

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Speaker 2: get your podcasts.

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Speaker 1: It is the Daily Juice