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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Betting Pros PGA Podcast. I'm Pat Fitzmorris

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Speaker 1: here with Beau mcbrair. Bo hasn't retired yet despite his

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Speaker 1: torrid stretch of PGA tour wagering. Just great news for

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Speaker 1: the rest of us. It's Master's Week, Paul, how are

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Speaker 1: you feeling.

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Speaker 2: I feel like I'm on a hot streak and it's

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Speaker 2: a perfect week to enter with a win. I think

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Speaker 2: I got my runoffs and my fast greens out of

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Speaker 2: my system. I'm ready. I'm ready to go. This is

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Speaker 2: a winner's the only winners get invited to the Masters. Here,

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Speaker 2: I am. I got my green jacket on. Oh wait, sorry,

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Speaker 2: it's in the wash. I'm ecstatic. It's my favorite week

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Speaker 2: of the year. It's it's Master's Week.

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Speaker 1: Come on, Pat, it is a great week and you

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Speaker 1: fat in your bank roll going into Masters Week and

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Speaker 1: you know in just a minute we're gonna plunge into

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Speaker 1: our Master's betting preview bow and I love the Masters

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Speaker 1: as much as you all do, so it feels like

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Speaker 1: Christmas around here. We'll have a great many thoughts on

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Speaker 1: huter bet, who not to bet, and why. But first,

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Speaker 1: a quick recap of the Valero Texas Open. JJ Spawn

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Speaker 1: wins the Valero Texas Open on a saggy Sunday in

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Speaker 1: San Antonio, edging out Robert McIntyre, Matt Wallace, and Michael Kim.

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Speaker 1: If you had a sense of deja vou on Sunday,

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Speaker 1: maybe it's because JJ Spahn also edged out Robert McIntyre

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Speaker 1: on a saggy Sunday at last year's US Open, winning

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Speaker 1: by two shots at Oakmont's. At the Valero, McIntyre took

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Speaker 1: a four shot lead into the weekend after the first

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Speaker 1: two rounds. Then came the rain on Saturday. Play was suspended,

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Speaker 1: forcing everyone to play about a round and a half.

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Speaker 1: On Sunday, Matt Wallace got into the clubhouse with a

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Speaker 1: lead at minus sixteen. A bogie on the fifteenth hole

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Speaker 1: drop Spawn two shots behind the leader, but he birdied

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Speaker 1: the par three sixteenth, then eagled the short part four seventeenth,

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Speaker 1: drove the green, made the pot, took the lead. Spawned,

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Speaker 1: then parted the long par five eighteenth back and tear

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Speaker 1: was one shot back going into the eighteenth hole. He

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Speaker 1: hit a big drive down the middle, but then badly

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Speaker 1: hooked a fairway wood got to take a free drop

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Speaker 1: away from the grand stands hit a wedge to thirty feet,

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Speaker 1: but his birdie putt messed shorts and left, and JJ

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Speaker 1: Spawn got his first victory since that memorable US Open

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Speaker 1: at Oakmonts. Spawn hadn't finished top twenty in any other

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Speaker 1: twenty twenty six tournaments, but he brought his a game

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Speaker 1: to the Valero Bow. You had a ticket on JJ Spawn.

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Speaker 1: You were drinking champagne Sunday night. I had a ticket

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Speaker 1: on Robert McIntyre. I was drinking my own salty tears.

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Speaker 1: How was the celebration and what were your takeaways from

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Speaker 1: the Valero Texas Open.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, Champagne's from the Champagne region of France, and I'm

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Speaker 2: in northern California, so we just have really, really really

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Speaker 2: good sparkling wine. That's how I celebrated. It's just good

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Speaker 2: to get a win. JJ Spawn I pretty much had

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Speaker 2: written off because he was kind of hovering around the lead,

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Speaker 2: hadn't really made a charge that bogie that dropped him

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Speaker 2: to two back. I thought that was it, And then

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Speaker 2: sixteen seventeen eighteen, he just decided to turn on the

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Speaker 2: after burners and clutch city. That's JJ Spawn at the

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Speaker 2: Valero Texas Open for the second time now he's won

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Speaker 2: that tournament. Horses for Courses, Baby, that's what I was

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Speaker 2: banking on thirty eight to one. Spawn had a really

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Speaker 2: good twenty twenty five season, had kind of start off

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Speaker 2: sluggish as far as results go, but he was looking

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Speaker 2: good this year. He just hadn't had the good finishes

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Speaker 2: to account for that, and I just I thought that

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Speaker 2: this is the kind of tournament where he could find

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Speaker 2: his groove, and he did so. I also as intrigued

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Speaker 2: with Robert McIntyre. Bobby Mack is one of the good

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Speaker 2: ones out there. He's gonna get talked about in this

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Speaker 2: show as well for the Masters. But I just couldn't

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Speaker 2: get there on Bobby Mack because of his overall game.

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Speaker 2: His first two get he was otherworldly with the irons.

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Speaker 2: He was sticking ironshots close and that's really not his game.

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Speaker 2: So I was hoping that that would kind of dry up,

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Speaker 2: and it did, thankfully. The wet weather brought in Robert

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Speaker 2: McIntyre into a different state of mind, apparently because he

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Speaker 2: could not make birdies over the weekend despite soft conditions.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, figure the quality of play for the scotsmen going

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Speaker 1: down in the rain that's unusual.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, good for me, bad for you.

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Speaker 1: Sorry, Pat, Well, it's time to get into our master's

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Speaker 1: betting preview. Let's start with a look at the host course,

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Speaker 1: Augusta National in northeast Georgia, near the Georgia South Carolina border.

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Speaker 1: Arguably the greatest course in the world, quite possibly the

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Speaker 1: world's most beautiful golf course. It's a par seventy two

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Speaker 1: measuring seven five hundred and sixty five yards, playing ten

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Speaker 1: yards longer than last year. There's some extreme elevation changes

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Speaker 1: at Augusta. Some of the holes play shorter than the

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Speaker 1: list of distance because there's so extremely downhill, such as

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Speaker 1: the par four tenth, and some play longer than the

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Speaker 1: list of distance because they go sharply uphill, such as

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Speaker 1: the eighteenth. Players are going to get a lot of

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Speaker 1: uneven lies because of the rolling terrain at Augusta. Players

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Speaker 1: who find the fairway on the par five thirteenth will

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Speaker 1: often try to hit a fade when the ball at

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Speaker 1: his well above their feet. Not an easy task to

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Speaker 1: try to hit a fade off a hook lie a

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Speaker 1: number nine. Players are often hitting approach shots from a

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Speaker 1: downhill lie to an elevated green, So yeah, some interesting

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Speaker 1: challenges that Augusta shot shaping is critical. Players who can

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Speaker 1: work the ball both left to right and right to

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Speaker 1: left have an advantage. Augusta Nashal has wide fairways and

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Speaker 1: the rough is fairly light for the most part. Big

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Speaker 1: hitters do have an advantage here. Distance off the tee

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Speaker 1: helps create birdie and eagle opportunities on the par fives,

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Speaker 1: and it sets up easier approaches on the long par fource.

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Speaker 1: But distance off the tea probably matters less when Augusta

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Speaker 1: is playing firm and fast, and it looks like Augusta

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Speaker 1: is going to be firm and fast this week. More

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Speaker 1: on that in a minute. The greens at Augusta National

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Speaker 1: incredibly demanding. They're big, undulating bent grass greens and they

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Speaker 1: are slick.

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Speaker 3: It's not just about putting well at Augusta.

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Speaker 1: It's about setting yourself up for makeable pots, landing your

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Speaker 1: approach shot on the right tier of each green, keeping

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Speaker 1: the ball below the hole as much as you can.

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Speaker 1: Because there are some putts you do not want to

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Speaker 1: see at Augusta National. There are going to be a

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Speaker 1: lot of three putts this week. We'll see some four pots.

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Speaker 1: Ernie El's famously six, putted from three feet on the

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Speaker 1: first hole ten years ago. Augusta National is well bunkered.

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Speaker 1: These big, beautiful white sand bunkers aren't always the worst

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Speaker 1: place to land an approach shot, but the fairway bunkers

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Speaker 1: can be pretty treacherous at Augusta. Some of them have

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Speaker 1: very steep faces and forced you'd hit less club than

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Speaker 1: you'd like Jess so you can clear the face, and

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Speaker 1: the soft sand can make it hard to flush an

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Speaker 1: iron or a wedge from out of a fairway bunker.

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Speaker 1: And chipping ability always critical of Augusta because of the

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Speaker 1: runoff areas that force you to hit tricky chips from

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Speaker 1: tight lies. Also critical this week. Par five scoring par

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Speaker 1: fives are gettable in two, especially the ones of the

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Speaker 1: back nine, thirteenth and fifteenth holes, but poor approach shots

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Speaker 1: might find the water on those holes. And as for

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Speaker 1: the par fives on the front nine, number two gives

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Speaker 1: you a downhill approach shots to a triangle shaped green.

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Speaker 1: Number eight asked you to hit a blind uphill approach

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Speaker 1: to a green guarded by mounds on either side. Par

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Speaker 1: Threes here made for some great drama over the years,

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Speaker 1: especially the two on the back nine. Number twelve, widely

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Speaker 1: regarded as one of the best part threes in the world.

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Speaker 1: Only one hundred and fifty five yards long, but you're

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Speaker 1: hitting over raised creek into a very shallow green and

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Speaker 1: the wind can be hard to judge. Number sixteen roughly

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Speaker 1: one hundred and seventy yards long depending on the pin placement.

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Speaker 1: There's a pond on the left and the back left.

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Speaker 1: Sunday pin position makes this a fantastic risk reward hole

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Speaker 1: down the stretch. Experience tends to matter at Augusta National

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Speaker 1: helps with reading potts. A lot of the Masters veterans

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Speaker 1: know how to use the slopes of the green to

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Speaker 1: their advantage, landing their shots and spots where the contours

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Speaker 1: will funnel the ball down toward the hole. We've seen

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Speaker 1: some players such as Fred Couples Bernard Longer make cuts

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Speaker 1: well into their fifties. A couple of years ago, Couples

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Speaker 1: made the cut at age sixty three.

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Speaker 3: Now.

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Speaker 1: The weather forecast for Augusta, Georgia this week pretty ideal

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Speaker 1: temperatures ranging from the low seventies to the mid eighties,

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Speaker 1: no rain in the forecast, wins of five to ten

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Speaker 1: miles an hour, maybe slightly breezier than that on Thursday.

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Speaker 1: Not enough win to punish the players, but enough to

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Speaker 1: challenge them. And yeah, so bo, Rory McElroy, you're defending

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Speaker 1: Masters champion. Finally broke through for a win at Augustine

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Speaker 1: National last year, finishing eleven under par and beating Justin

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Speaker 1: Rose in a playoff with a birdie on the first playoff.

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Speaker 1: Haul Scotti Scheffler won by four shots. In twenty twenty four.

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Speaker 1: He was also eleven under par. John Rahm won by

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Speaker 1: four shots in twenty twenty three with the score of

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Speaker 1: minus twelve, and Scotti Scheffler won the first of his

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Speaker 1: two Green jackets in twenty twenty two. He was three

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Speaker 1: shots ahead of Rory that year at ten under par.

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Speaker 1: Hideki Matsiyama became the first Japanese player to win the Masters.

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Speaker 1: In twenty twenty one, he was also ten under par.

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Speaker 1: Bol I'll let you take the discussion about an Augustin National.

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Speaker 1: Any direction you want, the floor is yours.

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Speaker 2: This golf course is immaculate, not a blade of grass

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Speaker 2: or straw, blade of pine straw left out of place.

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Speaker 2: That the fairways are wide, but the short rough makes

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Speaker 2: four long runoffs. And I think that's going to come

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Speaker 2: into play with firm and fast conditions this week is

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Speaker 2: you're still gonna want guys who can hit the ball

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Speaker 2: long and straight off the tee. And straight is kind

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Speaker 2: of a misnomer because you have to shape the ball

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Speaker 2: off the tee here. Right to left is primarily the

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Speaker 2: shape of most of these driving holes. That's why we've

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Speaker 2: seen a lot of left handed fade players like Bubba

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Speaker 2: Watson when here Phil Nicholson. Right handed draw players, which

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Speaker 2: are fewer and farther between these days, tend to have

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Speaker 2: an advantage at Augusta National if they can shape the

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Speaker 2: ball right to left. That's a big advantage on these

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Speaker 2: driving holes. That's to say, if you can hit these

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Speaker 2: fairways in the right spot to have an angle at

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Speaker 2: these incredibly fast basically, I think I can't remember who

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Speaker 2: said it, but somebody said it's like putting on the

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Speaker 2: hood of a Volkswagen Beetle. So that's what you can expect.

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Speaker 2: It's fast, it's very very sloped, and if you are

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Speaker 2: above the hole here, you're dead. You cannot avoid three

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Speaker 2: putts if you're above the hole on this golf course,

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Speaker 2: and every hole has lots of bad places to put

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Speaker 2: your approach shot and any of runoff areas. There are

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Speaker 2: only forty four bunkers on this golf course, which is

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Speaker 2: the sixth fewest on the tour. They're very well placed,

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Speaker 2: you said, well bunkered. That's not by quantity, that's by

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Speaker 2: very precise measurements where they always seem to be in

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Speaker 2: the driving landing area. And then the ones that are

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Speaker 2: around the greens not always the worst place, like you said,

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Speaker 2: but they are going to punish bad shots and you're

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Speaker 2: going to see guys really struggle at the short game.

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Speaker 4: Here.

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Speaker 2: This is the golf course where, yeah, the Houston Open

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Speaker 2: gives you a little preview for fairway length grass around

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Speaker 2: the greens, where you get the runoff collection areas. Nowhere

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Speaker 2: near the undulation and elevation changes of Augusta National. This

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Speaker 2: course is for people who have seen the course, lived

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Speaker 2: the course, breathed the course. With all the patrons, not fans,

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Speaker 2: patrons roaming the grounds without cell phones. It is a

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Speaker 2: whole different universe. At the Masters, these guys have just

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Speaker 2: as much of a mental challenge as it is going

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Speaker 2: to be planning their way around one of the most

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Speaker 2: immaculate properties in the world. Just so happens to have

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Speaker 2: one of the best golf courses, what most well designed

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Speaker 2: golf courses in the world, and there's only ninety one

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Speaker 2: guys in the field. It's just going to be really

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Speaker 2: tough on all of them. I'm expecting with these conditions,

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Speaker 2: the winning score to be in single digits under par.

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Speaker 2: And I have a feeling that somebody is going to

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Speaker 2: be slipping on a second or third green jacket rather

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Speaker 2: than a first time winner. I think that the experience

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Speaker 2: this year is going to matter more than anything.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I was just going to ask you to predict

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Speaker 1: final score. We haven't seen. Apparently they have not had

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Speaker 1: any significant rain in Augusta for two weeks and are

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Speaker 1: not going to get any this week. I saw the

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Speaker 1: Michael Kim who does a nice little Twitter diary of

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Speaker 1: his experiences on the PGA tour. He chipped around today.

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Speaker 1: His hip was feeling a little so so he just

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Speaker 1: went out to the front nine and chipped and potted

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Speaker 1: on all those greens. Said the greens were firm, but

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Speaker 1: like he knows, they're not tournament firm yet. And he

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Speaker 1: said it's amazing what they can do just in a

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Speaker 1: few short hours to make that course play a lot

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Speaker 1: faster than it does.

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Speaker 3: Maybe during those practice rounds.

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Speaker 2: That end, they have exact measurements of how close they

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Speaker 2: mow the grass. For every blade of grass on that property,

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Speaker 2: there's an exact measurement down to the sixteenth of an

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Speaker 2: inch for every level of grass. So they've got it

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Speaker 2: dialed in. They're not going to reveal their cards before Thursday.

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Speaker 2: You might get some practice rounds Tuesday Wednesday that are

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Speaker 2: gonna show off the par three contest. They're gonna have

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Speaker 2: those greens running at the thirteen stimp that they usually

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Speaker 2: run the tournament at. It's gonna be fast. It's gonna

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Speaker 2: be extremely fast, receptive, still plenty receptive if you're if

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Speaker 2: you're landing on the spot on the greens, but putting

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Speaker 2: and chipping on these greens with all the undulations, with

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Speaker 2: all the speed, it's going to be so difficult. And

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Speaker 2: I cannot wait to see all of our favorite players

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Speaker 2: go out there and win some and lose them. There's

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Speaker 2: gonna be some great shots. Augusta National is great because

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Speaker 2: the best players will make birdies, they will make eagles.

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Speaker 2: They will also make bogies and double bogies. When this

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Speaker 2: golf course rewards great shots, and it punishes mercilessly the

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Speaker 2: shots when you're out of position or you're taking too

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Speaker 2: much risk. We've seen it year after a year. Last

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Speaker 2: year with Ludwig Oberg and Colin Morikawa, it was just

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Speaker 2: or that was that the year before last. Yeah, they

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Speaker 2: were in the hunt. Now that was last year in

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Speaker 2: the hunt. Get to aim In Corner. There's no patrons

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Speaker 2: on aim In Corner. It's quiet. All you can hear

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Speaker 2: are the birds and the bees buzzing around beautiful flowers.

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Speaker 2: You can probably hear somebody cough one hundred yards away,

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Speaker 2: and you get to Amen Corner and it just breaks

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Speaker 2: people down. We saw two water balls on eleven from

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Speaker 2: Klamore Kawa and Ludvig Goeberg. Right as it starts to

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Speaker 2: get serious on Sunday. The guys who haven't seen this

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Speaker 2: property before are going to shrink, They're going to wither.

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Speaker 2: It's just it's it happens every single year. You might

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Speaker 2: get a guy that comes out hot and then the

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Speaker 2: pressure hits. It just kicks in and all of a sudden,

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Speaker 2: the cream rises to the top every.

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Speaker 3: Time, winning score nine under par. I'm gonna go with eight.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I think we're on the same We're on the

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Speaker 2: same page here for sure.

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Speaker 1: Masters odds coming up in a moment, But first I

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Speaker 1: want to mention that after I hit an outright this

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Speaker 1: week at the Masters, I'm going to celebrate on Sunday

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Speaker 1: night with a filet mignon from Omaha Steaks. I have

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00:15:51,680 --> 00:15:54,960
Speaker 1: found Omaha Steaks superior to the steaks I get from

289
00:15:54,960 --> 00:15:59,240
Speaker 1: my local grocery store. The fialaise mignon from Omaha Steaks

290
00:15:59,240 --> 00:16:04,160
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291
00:16:04,480 --> 00:16:07,720
Speaker 1: Very Tender. With Omaha Steaks and your freezer, you're always

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00:16:07,800 --> 00:16:10,920
Speaker 1: mere minutes away from a quality dinner. Every purchase is

293
00:16:10,960 --> 00:16:14,160
Speaker 1: a risk free win. With Omaha Steaks one hundred percent

294
00:16:14,240 --> 00:16:18,320
Speaker 1: satisfaction guarantee, you can order with complete confidence. And Omaha

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00:16:18,320 --> 00:16:21,720
Speaker 1: Steaks is a wide variety of options, from handcrafted steaks

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00:16:21,760 --> 00:16:25,120
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297
00:16:25,560 --> 00:16:29,480
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298
00:16:29,560 --> 00:16:34,560
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299
00:16:34,600 --> 00:16:37,920
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00:16:37,920 --> 00:16:41,120
Speaker 1: company that gets it with over one hundred years of expertise,

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00:16:41,200 --> 00:16:45,360
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00:16:45,400 --> 00:16:48,960
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00:17:06,240 --> 00:17:10,520
Speaker 1: Pros terms apply seasite for details. Let's get to the

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Speaker 1: odds for the Masters. Please note that these odds are

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Speaker 1: just a snapshot as of early Monday afternoon. The betting

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Speaker 1: handle for the Masters is always big, so these odds

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Speaker 1: are going to move around throughout the week. In the

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Speaker 1: run up to Thursday Tea Times, Scotti Scheffler is plus

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Speaker 1: fort eighty five, John ramis plus nine ten, Bryson D.

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Speaker 1: Chambeau is plus ten seventy five, Rory McElroy plus eleven fifty,

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Speaker 1: Ludwig Oberg plus sixteen fifty, Xander Schoffley is plus eighteen hundred,

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Speaker 1: Cameron Young and Tommy Fleetwood are plus twenty three hundred,

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Speaker 1: and Matt fitzpatrick is plus twenty three fifty, Haneki Matsuyama

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Speaker 1: plus twenty seven hundred and Colin Marikawa plus thirty one hundred.

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Speaker 1: Those are your master's favorites for twenty twenty six bow

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Speaker 1: Which of them appeal to you?

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Speaker 2: And honestly, obviously we get Scotti Scheffler plus forty five.

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Speaker 2: I can't touch him. He's number one on my model

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Speaker 2: by a pretty good margin. Here. He just had a baby.

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Speaker 2: I know it's not a distraction for the best player

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Speaker 2: in the world, right it is. It really is brand

326
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Speaker 2: new baby. If he was expecting a baby still, I'd

327
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Speaker 2: probably still bet on him. If the baby's born, He's

328
00:18:21,720 --> 00:18:24,160
Speaker 2: still got a lot of stuff going on in his mind,

329
00:18:24,640 --> 00:18:29,119
Speaker 2: organizing time for as a prior champion, two green jackets

330
00:18:29,119 --> 00:18:32,560
Speaker 2: in his closet, He's got a lot of responsibilities this week,

331
00:18:32,720 --> 00:18:36,399
Speaker 2: namely young Remy who was just born a few days ago.

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Speaker 2: I cannot bet on Scotty Shuffler this week. I just won't.

333
00:18:40,359 --> 00:18:42,520
Speaker 2: I think I might get burned by that with If

334
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Speaker 2: he slips on his third green jacket, then I'll tip

335
00:18:45,119 --> 00:18:47,439
Speaker 2: my cap to him and just say that the number

336
00:18:47,520 --> 00:18:50,120
Speaker 2: just wasn't right for what we've seen back to back

337
00:18:50,200 --> 00:18:54,159
Speaker 2: performances outside the top twenty, coming in out of form

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Speaker 2: and as good as he is at Augusta National, I

339
00:18:57,920 --> 00:19:00,600
Speaker 2: just can't do it. John Rahm was my really favor

340
00:19:00,760 --> 00:19:02,840
Speaker 2: until I saw that his line had gone from fifteen

341
00:19:02,880 --> 00:19:05,040
Speaker 2: to one to plus nine ten. If you can find

342
00:19:05,119 --> 00:19:08,359
Speaker 2: John Rahm at fifteen to one, absolutely bet on him.

343
00:19:08,480 --> 00:19:13,000
Speaker 2: But he's right now single digits, and the defending champion

344
00:19:13,080 --> 00:19:18,560
Speaker 2: of the Masters is really good at number two in

345
00:19:18,600 --> 00:19:21,480
Speaker 2: my model, really good across the board every category. Rarer

346
00:19:21,520 --> 00:19:24,359
Speaker 2: McElroy is plus eleven fifty. That's where my BET's going

347
00:19:24,680 --> 00:19:29,000
Speaker 2: first and foremost. And then Xanderschoffley, who's looking to get

348
00:19:29,040 --> 00:19:31,320
Speaker 2: three quarters of the way through the career Grand Slam,

349
00:19:31,400 --> 00:19:33,840
Speaker 2: is coming in at plus eighteen hundred. He has a

350
00:19:33,840 --> 00:19:37,080
Speaker 2: great game for this golf course. It's that those two

351
00:19:37,080 --> 00:19:40,160
Speaker 2: guys have the best value for the buck. They're all

352
00:19:40,200 --> 00:19:42,760
Speaker 2: in the top five or top ten of my model.

353
00:19:43,720 --> 00:19:47,280
Speaker 2: I just cannot get to rom or Scheffler at with

354
00:19:47,440 --> 00:19:49,880
Speaker 2: the way that this tournament's set up, I can't get

355
00:19:49,880 --> 00:19:53,760
Speaker 2: to Bryson ten seventy five. For him, I think he's

356
00:19:53,800 --> 00:19:56,200
Speaker 2: gonna be He's won twice on the live Tour.

357
00:19:56,280 --> 00:19:56,840
Speaker 3: I don't care.

358
00:19:57,600 --> 00:20:01,080
Speaker 2: He's done well the last couple Masters. For that he couldn't.

359
00:20:01,240 --> 00:20:03,199
Speaker 2: You couldn't even get him inside the top twenty at

360
00:20:03,240 --> 00:20:05,960
Speaker 2: the Masters. I just can't do Bryce in this week.

361
00:20:06,320 --> 00:20:10,040
Speaker 2: Ludvig Oberg, what is he won? Every time he gets

362
00:20:10,040 --> 00:20:12,800
Speaker 2: in the lead on a Sunday. It's not just shrivel

363
00:20:12,840 --> 00:20:17,680
Speaker 2: and wilt, it's go swimming in the water. Ludvig Olberg

364
00:20:17,800 --> 00:20:19,880
Speaker 2: is not going to win the Masters. He might get

365
00:20:19,920 --> 00:20:22,000
Speaker 2: top five, he might get top ten, He's not going

366
00:20:22,040 --> 00:20:24,920
Speaker 2: to win the Masters. I just have to be right

367
00:20:25,000 --> 00:20:29,600
Speaker 2: locked in with Rory and Xander best values, the best bets,

368
00:20:29,840 --> 00:20:32,280
Speaker 2: and I think one of them is going to get it.

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00:20:33,920 --> 00:20:37,840
Speaker 1: I think we're on a similar wavelength here Scotty. You

370
00:20:37,840 --> 00:20:39,919
Speaker 1: know plus for eighty five. You can't get him at

371
00:20:39,920 --> 00:20:42,960
Speaker 1: a price like that very often. I loved when he

372
00:20:43,040 --> 00:20:46,320
Speaker 1: was at plus four fifty last year in the Open Championship,

373
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Speaker 1: and I thought that was great value, considering that those

374
00:20:49,840 --> 00:20:52,240
Speaker 1: were some of the longest odds we had seen Scotty

375
00:20:52,280 --> 00:20:55,320
Speaker 1: at all year. But like you said, the baby thing,

376
00:20:55,920 --> 00:20:58,800
Speaker 1: and maybe more concerning than that for me Bo, just

377
00:20:58,840 --> 00:21:02,800
Speaker 1: the tinkering with his grip that he's been doing lately, so,

378
00:21:03,320 --> 00:21:06,080
Speaker 1: like you said, last two tournaments out of the top twenty,

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00:21:06,160 --> 00:21:11,119
Speaker 1: last three to tournaments, no top tens. So I know

380
00:21:11,200 --> 00:21:14,360
Speaker 1: his scoring average at Augusta Lifetime is seventy point three

381
00:21:14,359 --> 00:21:17,040
Speaker 1: to three and he's been under par in eighteen of

382
00:21:17,080 --> 00:21:21,239
Speaker 1: his twenty four career rounds at Augusta. I'm with you,

383
00:21:21,320 --> 00:21:26,080
Speaker 1: I can't bet him. Rom has been hot, but like you,

384
00:21:26,160 --> 00:21:29,720
Speaker 1: I want I want eleven to one or longer.

385
00:21:30,040 --> 00:21:32,840
Speaker 2: I want bets. I love John ram this week. I

386
00:21:32,880 --> 00:21:35,440
Speaker 2: loved him going in until I looked at the books.

387
00:21:36,200 --> 00:21:38,760
Speaker 2: Looking at the books, I was like, I'm gonna wait

388
00:21:38,800 --> 00:21:42,199
Speaker 2: and see where this goes. Because if he does slip,

389
00:21:42,200 --> 00:21:45,320
Speaker 2: which is liable to happen with the way that line move,

390
00:21:45,440 --> 00:21:48,680
Speaker 2: the line moves. This week, I will hit a little

391
00:21:48,680 --> 00:21:52,680
Speaker 2: bit of John Rohm, but I'm getting for the defending champion,

392
00:21:53,080 --> 00:21:57,879
Speaker 2: all the pressure, all the pelican, the albatross off his back,

393
00:21:59,400 --> 00:22:02,960
Speaker 2: and he's coming in fresh gleat green jacket. He's got

394
00:22:03,040 --> 00:22:07,439
Speaker 2: media privileges out the wazoo to say, oh yeah, let's

395
00:22:07,560 --> 00:22:10,520
Speaker 2: let's come back and run it again. Let's do it again.

396
00:22:10,600 --> 00:22:12,760
Speaker 2: Now that I know how, Now that I know how

397
00:22:12,800 --> 00:22:16,200
Speaker 2: to finish on Sunday at AUGUSTA, let's do it again.

398
00:22:16,720 --> 00:22:19,800
Speaker 2: I really don't think that plus eleven fifty is gonna

399
00:22:19,840 --> 00:22:22,879
Speaker 2: get any shorter or any longer for sure for Rory.

400
00:22:23,800 --> 00:22:27,640
Speaker 2: If it slips to single digits like it might, then

401
00:22:27,920 --> 00:22:30,359
Speaker 2: I've got it locked in at a much better value.

402
00:22:30,560 --> 00:22:32,880
Speaker 2: I think Rory is the guy to beat this week. Honestly,

403
00:22:34,080 --> 00:22:34,760
Speaker 2: it's interesting.

404
00:22:34,800 --> 00:22:38,879
Speaker 1: I mean, he withdrew from the Arnold Palmer Championship Arnold

405
00:22:38,920 --> 00:22:41,600
Speaker 1: excuse me, Arnold Palmer Invitational. I think he was it

406
00:22:41,680 --> 00:22:44,679
Speaker 1: a back tweak or something like that, showed up at

407
00:22:44,720 --> 00:22:47,400
Speaker 1: the Players Championship the next week but didn't fare, especially

408
00:22:47,440 --> 00:22:48,800
Speaker 1: while finished forty sixth.

409
00:22:49,400 --> 00:22:50,800
Speaker 3: Those were his last two tournaments.

410
00:22:50,840 --> 00:22:53,600
Speaker 1: But look, Rory, we know he can flip the switch,

411
00:22:54,119 --> 00:22:57,320
Speaker 1: and I just I do like that. Now that he's

412
00:22:57,359 --> 00:23:01,560
Speaker 1: finally won a green jacket and isn't carrying the weight

413
00:23:01,920 --> 00:23:05,080
Speaker 1: of the world on his shoulders as he drives down

414
00:23:05,119 --> 00:23:08,080
Speaker 1: Magnolia Lane, maybe he'll be nice and loose when he

415
00:23:08,160 --> 00:23:09,960
Speaker 1: tease it up on Thursday.

416
00:23:10,160 --> 00:23:11,399
Speaker 3: Oh, I think he will.

417
00:23:12,080 --> 00:23:14,320
Speaker 2: And a lot of people are saying, oh, don't bet him,

418
00:23:14,359 --> 00:23:18,240
Speaker 2: because returning champions don't have the best history here. This

419
00:23:18,280 --> 00:23:21,399
Speaker 2: isn't your Run of the Mills returning champion. This isn't

420
00:23:21,440 --> 00:23:24,119
Speaker 2: like when Danny Willett won. This is this is a

421
00:23:24,359 --> 00:23:26,679
Speaker 2: this is a number number two golfer in the world

422
00:23:26,760 --> 00:23:29,560
Speaker 2: coming back after getting all the pressure taken off him

423
00:23:29,640 --> 00:23:33,600
Speaker 2: last year career Grand Slam, and this is his this

424
00:23:33,640 --> 00:23:37,040
Speaker 2: is his tour of Look how look I mean I can.

425
00:23:37,480 --> 00:23:40,000
Speaker 2: I think he's more likely to win going away this

426
00:23:40,119 --> 00:23:43,200
Speaker 2: year than he is doing poorly. That's how that's how

427
00:23:43,200 --> 00:23:46,680
Speaker 2: a free I think he's going to feel interesting.

428
00:23:46,680 --> 00:23:49,479
Speaker 1: I'm with you on d Chambeau, like maybe he's finally

429
00:23:49,520 --> 00:23:54,280
Speaker 1: starting to crack the code at Augusta Nashtal but There've

430
00:23:54,359 --> 00:23:57,520
Speaker 1: just been too many struggles and you know, I'm finishing

431
00:23:57,600 --> 00:23:59,520
Speaker 1: sixth and fifth the last two years. I know he

432
00:23:59,560 --> 00:24:02,480
Speaker 1: got into the final twosome with Rory last year, but

433
00:24:02,680 --> 00:24:04,760
Speaker 1: you know then he shot us seventy five on Sunday,

434
00:24:05,359 --> 00:24:11,439
Speaker 1: So and Rom and D Chambeau great form lately. How

435
00:24:11,520 --> 00:24:14,600
Speaker 1: much stake do we put in a live to our form, offense,

436
00:24:14,760 --> 00:24:18,440
Speaker 1: live to our enthusiasts, But like, great you beat Pat Perez?

437
00:24:18,680 --> 00:24:21,080
Speaker 3: Is Pat Perez still on the Lift tour? Well, I

438
00:24:21,119 --> 00:24:21,679
Speaker 3: don't know.

439
00:24:21,600 --> 00:24:24,920
Speaker 1: You're you're not You're not beating Xander and uh Ludwig

440
00:24:25,080 --> 00:24:25,960
Speaker 1: out there, you know.

441
00:24:26,640 --> 00:24:28,879
Speaker 2: And that's the thing is the Live Tour, the farther

442
00:24:28,960 --> 00:24:32,399
Speaker 2: we get away from those guys playing competitive golf on

443
00:24:32,480 --> 00:24:35,359
Speaker 2: the PGA Tour, the worst they do when it comes

444
00:24:35,400 --> 00:24:38,200
Speaker 2: down to majors. So we've seen that diminishing return year

445
00:24:38,240 --> 00:24:40,760
Speaker 2: over year is when it was still fresh and they

446
00:24:40,800 --> 00:24:43,760
Speaker 2: still had that competitive fire to them of year two

447
00:24:43,880 --> 00:24:47,200
Speaker 2: or even three. In now we're we're we're deep in

448
00:24:47,320 --> 00:24:51,160
Speaker 2: this this remerger, whatever is going to happen, and we're

449
00:24:51,160 --> 00:24:53,920
Speaker 2: seeing some of the guys try to come back and

450
00:24:54,000 --> 00:24:56,720
Speaker 2: it's this is just they're trying to get back into

451
00:24:56,800 --> 00:24:59,640
Speaker 2: real competitive fire because the Live Tour, if you look

452
00:24:59,640 --> 00:25:03,480
Speaker 2: at their standings, it's Rom and it's Deshambo, and everybody

453
00:25:03,480 --> 00:25:06,320
Speaker 2: else is so far behind those two that it just

454
00:25:06,400 --> 00:25:10,640
Speaker 2: shows you how little competition those two have the entire season.

455
00:25:10,720 --> 00:25:13,280
Speaker 2: It's just it's kind of a joke. And that's why

456
00:25:13,280 --> 00:25:15,640
Speaker 2: we've seen Patrick Reid go to the DP World Tour

457
00:25:15,640 --> 00:25:17,720
Speaker 2: as an avenue to come back to the PGA Tour

458
00:25:18,000 --> 00:25:20,680
Speaker 2: where he can actually log some real rounds against real

459
00:25:20,720 --> 00:25:22,600
Speaker 2: guys who are going to be on the PGA Tour

460
00:25:23,119 --> 00:25:25,800
Speaker 2: very soon through their performance. You're not going to see

461
00:25:26,119 --> 00:25:28,280
Speaker 2: very many guys come from the Live Tour back to

462
00:25:28,280 --> 00:25:31,720
Speaker 2: the PGA Tour unless their prior history says that they're

463
00:25:31,760 --> 00:25:32,640
Speaker 2: good enough to do that.

464
00:25:33,760 --> 00:25:34,280
Speaker 3: Yeah.

465
00:25:34,359 --> 00:25:37,639
Speaker 1: Now, I'm very much with you on Xander Schaffley. His

466
00:25:37,760 --> 00:25:41,000
Speaker 1: strong all around game is well suited for tough venues.

467
00:25:41,640 --> 00:25:44,680
Speaker 1: Won the PGA Championship in the Open Championship in twenty

468
00:25:44,720 --> 00:25:47,560
Speaker 1: twenty four, so we know he's capable of closing the

469
00:25:47,560 --> 00:25:51,320
Speaker 1: deal in majors and the short game struggles that plague

470
00:25:51,400 --> 00:25:54,880
Speaker 1: Shaffley in twenty twenty five appear to be gone and

471
00:25:55,240 --> 00:25:58,679
Speaker 1: arrives at Augusta National in good form. Last two tournaments,

472
00:25:59,000 --> 00:26:02,000
Speaker 1: Shaffley finish at the Players Championship and fourth of the

473
00:26:02,080 --> 00:26:06,960
Speaker 1: valspar so things are lining up nicely. What about Cameron Young?

474
00:26:07,160 --> 00:26:10,960
Speaker 1: Ball superb golf over the last ten months. For Cam

475
00:26:11,040 --> 00:26:14,280
Speaker 1: Young finished inside the top ten at the Masters in

476
00:26:14,280 --> 00:26:16,400
Speaker 1: two of the last three years, although he did miss

477
00:26:16,400 --> 00:26:19,399
Speaker 1: the cut in twenty twenty five. I know a lot

478
00:26:19,440 --> 00:26:21,600
Speaker 1: of people like him this week, do you like him?

479
00:26:22,520 --> 00:26:26,720
Speaker 2: Out of seventy five players who made my filter list,

480
00:26:26,880 --> 00:26:31,200
Speaker 2: he's number sixty one, so he's only green in three

481
00:26:31,280 --> 00:26:35,240
Speaker 2: categories out of eleven. On approach he's fifty sixth in

482
00:26:35,359 --> 00:26:38,520
Speaker 2: these conditions that I've filtered through. Around the green he's

483
00:26:38,520 --> 00:26:41,960
Speaker 2: sixty six out of seventy four, and short game he's

484
00:26:42,000 --> 00:26:45,200
Speaker 2: seventy second out of seventy four. Those two stats I've

485
00:26:45,200 --> 00:26:51,000
Speaker 2: waited to include bunker play and for fast greens, and

486
00:26:51,040 --> 00:26:53,680
Speaker 2: I think it's the fast greens that throw Cameron Young

487
00:26:53,760 --> 00:26:55,439
Speaker 2: all the way down to the bottom of this pile.

488
00:26:56,119 --> 00:27:00,520
Speaker 2: And a longer courses. Ironically, Cam Young struggles on longer

489
00:27:00,560 --> 00:27:04,080
Speaker 2: golf courses because his strokes gained par five goes from

490
00:27:04,119 --> 00:27:07,320
Speaker 2: top ten in this field to sixty second on par

491
00:27:07,480 --> 00:27:10,920
Speaker 2: five scoring when it's a longer golf course. Cam Young

492
00:27:12,040 --> 00:27:15,720
Speaker 2: is hot, He's playing the best golf of his life.

493
00:27:16,000 --> 00:27:18,640
Speaker 2: His short game has made some kind of turnaround this year,

494
00:27:19,119 --> 00:27:21,240
Speaker 2: but I don't think it's up to where it needs

495
00:27:21,280 --> 00:27:24,800
Speaker 2: to be to do well at Augusta National. And might

496
00:27:25,200 --> 00:27:27,880
Speaker 2: I might eat my words, But every way I look

497
00:27:27,920 --> 00:27:30,280
Speaker 2: at this, Cameron Young is going to be a huge

498
00:27:30,320 --> 00:27:35,200
Speaker 2: disappointment at cost. He's getting really really short odds because

499
00:27:35,240 --> 00:27:37,600
Speaker 2: of all the people laying money on him this week.

500
00:27:37,960 --> 00:27:42,480
Speaker 1: I would just beware, let's just cover all the guys

501
00:27:42,480 --> 00:27:48,359
Speaker 1: in this group. I've seen people into Fitzpatrick and Fleetwood.

502
00:27:47,640 --> 00:27:49,240
Speaker 3: I don't get.

503
00:27:49,040 --> 00:27:55,160
Speaker 1: It, just maybe for Patrick especially. Yeah, like Fitzpatrick just

504
00:27:55,640 --> 00:28:00,679
Speaker 1: not a lot of like he's been okay, net not

505
00:28:01,359 --> 00:28:05,760
Speaker 1: really made any significant noise at the Masters ever, And

506
00:28:06,400 --> 00:28:09,640
Speaker 1: you know, we know Fleetwood kind of has trouble closing

507
00:28:09,680 --> 00:28:11,600
Speaker 1: the deal if you want to bet him for a

508
00:28:11,640 --> 00:28:13,520
Speaker 1: top five or top ten, but even there you're not

509
00:28:13,560 --> 00:28:16,760
Speaker 1: getting a great price on him. I think so I'm

510
00:28:16,840 --> 00:28:19,240
Speaker 1: kind of off those guys. I mean, any any reason

511
00:28:19,320 --> 00:28:21,200
Speaker 1: you see to invest.

512
00:28:21,160 --> 00:28:24,320
Speaker 2: Nope, And in fact, I would say Hideki Matsiyama is

513
00:28:24,600 --> 00:28:27,840
Speaker 2: a prior winner, is a much better better bet at

514
00:28:27,840 --> 00:28:30,119
Speaker 2: his at his number. I'm kind of on the fence

515
00:28:30,200 --> 00:28:33,800
Speaker 2: right now with betting him. He's he's just not in

516
00:28:33,880 --> 00:28:36,280
Speaker 2: great form right now, which is kind of why I'm apprehensive.

517
00:28:36,280 --> 00:28:39,600
Speaker 2: But amazing short game. If he can, if he can

518
00:28:39,600 --> 00:28:42,640
Speaker 2: get his approach game back in line, this is this

519
00:28:42,720 --> 00:28:46,200
Speaker 2: is really a good spot for him to regain that form,

520
00:28:46,240 --> 00:28:48,760
Speaker 2: because this is a guy who not only won here,

521
00:28:49,200 --> 00:28:53,880
Speaker 2: he won in impressive fashion, and this is a place

522
00:28:53,920 --> 00:28:57,640
Speaker 2: where he can find some good vibes. He's kind of

523
00:28:57,640 --> 00:29:02,840
Speaker 2: gotten out of his way off the but overall he's

524
00:29:02,840 --> 00:29:05,320
Speaker 2: not that bad off the tee. He's run into some

525
00:29:05,360 --> 00:29:07,840
Speaker 2: tight golf courses where he wasn't in good form and

526
00:29:07,880 --> 00:29:10,920
Speaker 2: it exposed it. Augusta National is not going to expose

527
00:29:10,960 --> 00:29:12,760
Speaker 2: his off the tea game as much as it is

528
00:29:12,840 --> 00:29:15,520
Speaker 2: his approach game and then his world class short game.

529
00:29:17,320 --> 00:29:21,360
Speaker 1: Yeah, ranks first and scrambling, but right now one hundred

530
00:29:21,360 --> 00:29:23,840
Speaker 1: and fifth in strokes gained off the tea, outside the

531
00:29:23,840 --> 00:29:26,600
Speaker 1: top seventy five in both distance and accuracy.

532
00:29:27,200 --> 00:29:30,040
Speaker 2: Yeah, and fifty first and three putt avoidance is a

533
00:29:30,040 --> 00:29:34,200
Speaker 2: little scary. He's really good at chipping, but three putts

534
00:29:34,240 --> 00:29:37,320
Speaker 2: on this golf course are a killer. They're really easy

535
00:29:37,360 --> 00:29:40,400
Speaker 2: to do too, because of how fast and undulating the

536
00:29:40,440 --> 00:29:43,680
Speaker 2: greens are. I'm on the fence with Hideki. He's on

537
00:29:43,760 --> 00:29:46,000
Speaker 2: the outside looking in. But he's a better bet than

538
00:29:46,040 --> 00:29:49,400
Speaker 2: the two Englishmen that you mentioned, where I'm just like, okay, Yeah,

539
00:29:49,440 --> 00:29:52,360
Speaker 2: they're okay for a placement bet, but you're getting no

540
00:29:52,560 --> 00:29:55,479
Speaker 2: value because both of them have played well in recent

541
00:29:55,560 --> 00:29:57,840
Speaker 2: months that are getting a lot of support from the

542
00:29:57,920 --> 00:29:58,840
Speaker 2: betting market.

543
00:30:00,240 --> 00:30:00,480
Speaker 3: Yeah.

544
00:30:00,680 --> 00:30:03,520
Speaker 1: The one guy we haven't mentioned, Colin Morricawa. He's still

545
00:30:03,560 --> 00:30:04,680
Speaker 1: not guaranteed to play.

546
00:30:04,920 --> 00:30:07,560
Speaker 2: He's probably gonna withdraw.

547
00:30:08,280 --> 00:30:08,520
Speaker 3: Yeah.

548
00:30:08,560 --> 00:30:11,000
Speaker 1: He said he was day to day and it was

549
00:30:11,080 --> 00:30:13,400
Speaker 1: not sounding very encouraging, So I.

550
00:30:13,400 --> 00:30:15,200
Speaker 2: Wasn't gonna bet him anyway.

551
00:30:15,240 --> 00:30:19,400
Speaker 3: Yeah, exactly. Yeah. Let's look at more of the odds

552
00:30:19,440 --> 00:30:20,440
Speaker 3: for the Masters.

553
00:30:20,520 --> 00:30:23,560
Speaker 1: As of early Monday afternoon, We've got Robert McIntyre at

554
00:30:23,560 --> 00:30:26,760
Speaker 1: plus thirty four hundred, minwoo Lee and Justin Rose plus

555
00:30:26,800 --> 00:30:30,720
Speaker 1: thirty five hundred, brooks Koepka's plus thirty seven hundred, Jordan

556
00:30:30,760 --> 00:30:34,080
Speaker 1: Speith and Master's debutante Chris godder Up are plus forty

557
00:30:34,080 --> 00:30:37,560
Speaker 1: two hundred, Patrick Reid plus forty three hundred, Victor Hoblin

558
00:30:37,600 --> 00:30:41,240
Speaker 1: plus forty five hundred, Russell Henley plus forty seven hundred,

559
00:30:41,520 --> 00:30:45,600
Speaker 1: Seaw Kim plus forty nine hundred, Justin Thomas Is plus

560
00:30:45,600 --> 00:30:49,479
Speaker 1: fifty three hundred, okshe Batia plus fifty seven hundred, Patrick

561
00:30:49,520 --> 00:30:53,120
Speaker 1: Cantley plus fifty eight hundred, and Adam Scott plus six thousand.

562
00:30:53,680 --> 00:30:55,720
Speaker 1: What about this group, bo who jumps out?

563
00:30:56,600 --> 00:30:58,960
Speaker 2: So I have one guy who's won here before and

564
00:30:59,000 --> 00:31:01,280
Speaker 2: a guy who should have won here before but has

565
00:31:01,320 --> 00:31:03,880
Speaker 2: it yet. The first guy is Patrick creed A plus

566
00:31:03,920 --> 00:31:06,560
Speaker 2: forty three hundred. He's playing really good golf on the

567
00:31:06,600 --> 00:31:10,360
Speaker 2: DP World Tour. That's his avenue to get back on

568
00:31:10,360 --> 00:31:15,120
Speaker 2: the PGA Tour. Prior winner here, He's finished high here

569
00:31:15,320 --> 00:31:17,480
Speaker 2: just about every year he's been here. He went to

570
00:31:17,520 --> 00:31:22,479
Speaker 2: Augusta State. This is a guy who is just a

571
00:31:22,520 --> 00:31:27,280
Speaker 2: Master's specialist. Amazing short game, really accurate off the t

572
00:31:27,480 --> 00:31:30,520
Speaker 2: and on approach. His only thing is between his ears.

573
00:31:30,560 --> 00:31:32,719
Speaker 2: He gets inside of his head sometimes, but as a

574
00:31:32,760 --> 00:31:37,960
Speaker 2: more mature, older golfer, we've seen him stay pretty unflappable

575
00:31:38,000 --> 00:31:41,479
Speaker 2: when it comes to playing the Masters, understanding Augusta National

576
00:31:41,680 --> 00:31:44,240
Speaker 2: inside and out. I think he's going to make some

577
00:31:44,320 --> 00:31:46,640
Speaker 2: noise this week plus forty three hundreds, right where I

578
00:31:46,680 --> 00:31:48,920
Speaker 2: would expect him to be, and that's where I'm going

579
00:31:48,960 --> 00:31:51,680
Speaker 2: to bet him. The other guy is Victor Hovland. He

580
00:31:51,760 --> 00:31:54,560
Speaker 2: should have won this tournament a couple times now, but

581
00:31:54,680 --> 00:31:57,440
Speaker 2: he's had one bad day that has sunk his ship.

582
00:31:57,560 --> 00:32:01,920
Speaker 2: This guy is a ball striking extraordinary and surprisingly has

583
00:32:01,960 --> 00:32:04,960
Speaker 2: figured out some short game things that have plagued him

584
00:32:05,040 --> 00:32:07,120
Speaker 2: over the years. I think that we're going to get

585
00:32:07,120 --> 00:32:10,080
Speaker 2: a surprise performance out of Victor Hovelin's short game this

586
00:32:10,160 --> 00:32:15,160
Speaker 2: week to support his already great ball striking, especially if

587
00:32:15,200 --> 00:32:17,600
Speaker 2: things are firm and fast. This guy with a long

588
00:32:17,640 --> 00:32:21,120
Speaker 2: iron in his hand is lethal, and I think that

589
00:32:21,160 --> 00:32:25,040
Speaker 2: the proximity of approach over two hundred yards that's where

590
00:32:25,040 --> 00:32:27,600
Speaker 2: he's going to shine. He's going to be attacking these

591
00:32:27,640 --> 00:32:30,880
Speaker 2: par fives, the par four's and par three's, those are

592
00:32:30,920 --> 00:32:34,280
Speaker 2: ball striking type of holes where good iron players like him,

593
00:32:34,680 --> 00:32:37,400
Speaker 2: like Scottie Scheffler, that's where they make their hay is.

594
00:32:37,440 --> 00:32:39,920
Speaker 2: Their scoring average on those holes that require good iron

595
00:32:39,960 --> 00:32:43,560
Speaker 2: shots is just simply better. I think Victor Holin at

596
00:32:43,560 --> 00:32:46,200
Speaker 2: plus forty five hundred is the best value on this board.

597
00:32:46,600 --> 00:32:47,920
Speaker 2: So I'm going to be attacking it.

598
00:32:49,360 --> 00:32:54,360
Speaker 3: Interesting. Not worried that his form has not been superb

599
00:32:54,680 --> 00:32:55,400
Speaker 3: this year.

600
00:32:55,480 --> 00:33:00,480
Speaker 2: Not superb far, but the ancillary stats around his perform romans.

601
00:33:00,640 --> 00:33:04,080
Speaker 2: I think his stats are better than his results so

602
00:33:04,200 --> 00:33:07,520
Speaker 2: far this year. I think he's just one one week

603
00:33:07,560 --> 00:33:09,760
Speaker 2: away from really showing what he's got.

604
00:33:11,360 --> 00:33:13,000
Speaker 1: Now, you know, you don't have to talk me to

605
00:33:13,040 --> 00:33:17,960
Speaker 1: Patrick Reid. I laddered him last year, didn't get me

606
00:33:18,000 --> 00:33:21,600
Speaker 1: the win, but did finish third. Yeah, top five, top ten,

607
00:33:21,680 --> 00:33:24,800
Speaker 1: top twenty, so that was pretty nice for Reid.

608
00:33:25,000 --> 00:33:27,440
Speaker 3: Yeah, best short game in the world. And he just.

609
00:33:28,120 --> 00:33:31,120
Speaker 2: Second best, second best behind one of my guys later.

610
00:33:32,000 --> 00:33:33,840
Speaker 3: Yeah, but yeah.

611
00:33:33,960 --> 00:33:37,640
Speaker 1: Reid one here in twenty eighteen finished fifteen under to

612
00:33:37,760 --> 00:33:40,560
Speaker 1: edge Ricky Foller by a stroke. He since finished top

613
00:33:40,600 --> 00:33:43,240
Speaker 1: ten and four of his for the last seven years,

614
00:33:43,680 --> 00:33:46,360
Speaker 1: and was third last year, just two shots behind Rory

615
00:33:46,400 --> 00:33:49,720
Speaker 1: mcloryan Justin rose Ba and I still remember I can't

616
00:33:49,720 --> 00:33:52,040
Speaker 1: remember if it was a birdie putt or an eagle foot,

617
00:33:52,040 --> 00:33:55,000
Speaker 1: but it was about a three footer on number thirteen

618
00:33:55,040 --> 00:33:57,520
Speaker 1: and he three putted from there. Yeah, had he just

619
00:33:57,600 --> 00:33:59,680
Speaker 1: knocked in that pot, he might have gone to.

620
00:33:59,640 --> 00:34:01,520
Speaker 3: The play off with those those other two.

621
00:34:02,280 --> 00:34:07,560
Speaker 1: So bo I am interested in Robert McIntyre again, with

622
00:34:07,800 --> 00:34:10,759
Speaker 1: Augusta likely to be playing firm and fast. I mean,

623
00:34:10,800 --> 00:34:14,280
Speaker 1: Bobby Mack played well at the Valero Texas Open until

624
00:34:15,280 --> 00:34:17,600
Speaker 1: the course stopped playing firm and fast. Then he lost

625
00:34:17,600 --> 00:34:20,080
Speaker 1: his lead when the rain arrived and the course softened up.

626
00:34:20,400 --> 00:34:22,839
Speaker 1: I mean, he's third and scrambling on tour right now,

627
00:34:23,000 --> 00:34:26,480
Speaker 1: sixth in strokes gain putting, and he's been good off

628
00:34:26,520 --> 00:34:30,120
Speaker 1: the tee. Plus we have seen left handers have success

629
00:34:30,160 --> 00:34:34,759
Speaker 1: at Augusta National. Phil Nicholson, Bubba Watson, Mike weir, I

630
00:34:34,760 --> 00:34:36,960
Speaker 1: mean you were you were talking about the importance of

631
00:34:37,000 --> 00:34:40,080
Speaker 1: working the ball right to left for the lefties. It's

632
00:34:40,200 --> 00:34:42,400
Speaker 1: left to right. If the lefties can hit a fade,

633
00:34:43,239 --> 00:34:46,520
Speaker 1: nice edge for them. But yeah, McIntyre's one hundred and

634
00:34:46,520 --> 00:34:49,719
Speaker 1: thirty ninth and strokes gain an approach, I worry less

635
00:34:49,760 --> 00:34:52,560
Speaker 1: about that. If it's hard for everyone to hit these greens,

636
00:34:52,640 --> 00:34:54,080
Speaker 1: which I think it might be this week.

637
00:34:55,080 --> 00:34:58,160
Speaker 2: Yeah, what worries me about him is par five scoring.

638
00:34:58,360 --> 00:35:01,440
Speaker 2: He's not a good scorer, and I think that where

639
00:35:01,480 --> 00:35:04,120
Speaker 2: you're going to have to score this week, with everything

640
00:35:04,120 --> 00:35:06,520
Speaker 2: else being so firm and fast, is on the par fives.

641
00:35:07,000 --> 00:35:09,960
Speaker 2: And even it's more important when it's firm and fast

642
00:35:09,960 --> 00:35:11,880
Speaker 2: to score on the par fives because they're gonna be

643
00:35:11,920 --> 00:35:15,040
Speaker 2: your only real chance at Bertie or eagle and par

644
00:35:15,160 --> 00:35:17,800
Speaker 2: five scoring, he's sixtieth in this field. That's what scares

645
00:35:17,840 --> 00:35:20,440
Speaker 2: me on him is that if you need to make berdiees,

646
00:35:20,760 --> 00:35:25,040
Speaker 2: you need to get to eight, thirteen and fifteen. Those

647
00:35:25,080 --> 00:35:27,759
Speaker 2: have to be circles on your card. I don't know

648
00:35:27,800 --> 00:35:30,520
Speaker 2: that Robert McIntyre can get any circles on his card,

649
00:35:30,640 --> 00:35:34,440
Speaker 2: and in this field he's fifty fourth on approach in

650
00:35:34,480 --> 00:35:37,839
Speaker 2: firm and fast conditions on longer golf courses, it's just

651
00:35:37,880 --> 00:35:41,920
Speaker 2: not good enough. And his short game's good, his putting's okay,

652
00:35:42,360 --> 00:35:45,560
Speaker 2: his driving distances is fine. He's not a long hitter.

653
00:35:45,600 --> 00:35:48,080
Speaker 2: He's not a short hitter. He's fine with distance. I

654
00:35:48,239 --> 00:35:51,239
Speaker 2: just really worry about him scoring on the longer par

655
00:35:51,400 --> 00:35:54,960
Speaker 2: fours and the par fives, because when the courses get long,

656
00:35:55,360 --> 00:35:58,960
Speaker 2: he doesn't. He just doesn't score as well. And three

657
00:35:59,000 --> 00:36:01,600
Speaker 2: putt avoidance, he's fifty ninth out of seventy four in

658
00:36:01,640 --> 00:36:06,239
Speaker 2: my model. That's not good either. I cannot go and

659
00:36:06,280 --> 00:36:08,279
Speaker 2: say this guy in the middle of the pack of

660
00:36:08,280 --> 00:36:12,160
Speaker 2: my model thirty eighth is plus thirty four hundred. I

661
00:36:12,239 --> 00:36:14,920
Speaker 2: just can't get there. I love Bobby Mack. I loved

662
00:36:14,920 --> 00:36:17,279
Speaker 2: watching him play well last week. I just think this

663
00:36:17,320 --> 00:36:20,160
Speaker 2: is a whole different animal, and he better have that

664
00:36:20,239 --> 00:36:22,680
Speaker 2: approach game locked in like he did on Thursday and

665
00:36:22,760 --> 00:36:26,919
Speaker 2: Friday last week, or he's not gonna even make the cut.

666
00:36:27,560 --> 00:36:29,719
Speaker 3: What about Min Wu Lee?

667
00:36:29,760 --> 00:36:35,279
Speaker 1: His price is he's his odds are shorter than I expected.

668
00:36:37,080 --> 00:36:40,799
Speaker 1: Ranks thirteenth in driving distance, sixth and strokes gained off

669
00:36:40,800 --> 00:36:44,720
Speaker 1: the tee thirty seventh. Excuse me twenty seventh and strokes

670
00:36:44,719 --> 00:36:47,680
Speaker 1: gained putting, and Lee does have a very deaf toucher

671
00:36:47,760 --> 00:36:49,640
Speaker 1: on the green does the profile that can win it

672
00:36:49,719 --> 00:36:54,319
Speaker 1: Agasta if his balky irons that cooperate.

673
00:36:54,600 --> 00:36:56,200
Speaker 2: And that's the thing is he's kind of in that

674
00:36:56,280 --> 00:36:59,719
Speaker 2: same boat as Robert McIntyre, except he's got a little

675
00:36:59,719 --> 00:37:03,319
Speaker 2: bit of that. He's got more distance than McIntyre, but

676
00:37:03,440 --> 00:37:06,319
Speaker 2: he struggles scoring on par fives, which is strange for

677
00:37:06,360 --> 00:37:09,200
Speaker 2: a guy of his ability off the tee and with

678
00:37:09,280 --> 00:37:11,520
Speaker 2: his short game being as good as it is, he's

679
00:37:11,600 --> 00:37:14,720
Speaker 2: better at than McIntyre at three put avoidance, he's green

680
00:37:14,719 --> 00:37:17,319
Speaker 2: in that category and he's number seven on the long

681
00:37:17,360 --> 00:37:20,520
Speaker 2: par fours. That's a very good green flag for him.

682
00:37:20,719 --> 00:37:24,320
Speaker 2: Struggles on par fives and on approach. He's near the

683
00:37:24,360 --> 00:37:27,160
Speaker 2: bottom of this field on approach, which is a little

684
00:37:27,200 --> 00:37:30,319
Speaker 2: scary because his irons have been pretty poor this year,

685
00:37:30,560 --> 00:37:32,360
Speaker 2: which is probably why he gets to show off his

686
00:37:32,480 --> 00:37:35,480
Speaker 2: chip in game so often and let the chef cook.

687
00:37:36,600 --> 00:37:38,120
Speaker 2: I can't do it at the odds. But if he

688
00:37:38,200 --> 00:37:41,919
Speaker 2: starts slipping into that forty range forty five where Reid

689
00:37:42,080 --> 00:37:47,600
Speaker 2: and the other guys are read and Hoveland, that's the

690
00:37:47,640 --> 00:37:51,000
Speaker 2: sweet spot for Minually, and even then Reed and Hoveland

691
00:37:51,000 --> 00:37:54,239
Speaker 2: are so much more appealing at there, even with the

692
00:37:54,320 --> 00:37:57,799
Speaker 2: same odds as Minually is. I'm getting great value on

693
00:37:57,840 --> 00:38:01,520
Speaker 2: two guys that have been there before many times and

694
00:38:01,640 --> 00:38:06,040
Speaker 2: read even getting it done once than Min Wulie, who's

695
00:38:06,360 --> 00:38:09,240
Speaker 2: kind of making it a charge into better form this season.

696
00:38:09,600 --> 00:38:12,000
Speaker 2: I just can't get there at the odds. It's way

697
00:38:12,040 --> 00:38:12,600
Speaker 2: too short.

698
00:38:14,400 --> 00:38:18,719
Speaker 1: I wish spief were a little longer than forty three

699
00:38:18,719 --> 00:38:22,720
Speaker 1: to one or whatever. It is a guy who early

700
00:38:22,760 --> 00:38:24,399
Speaker 1: in his career seemed like he was born to play

701
00:38:24,400 --> 00:38:30,000
Speaker 1: the Masters second in his debut, won it in twenty fifteen,

702
00:38:31,800 --> 00:38:35,719
Speaker 1: had that horrible meltdown and let Danny Willett that one year.

703
00:38:35,760 --> 00:38:38,759
Speaker 3: But like this guy, I want to say, he's got

704
00:38:38,760 --> 00:38:42,520
Speaker 3: what eight top tens in twelve starts.

705
00:38:43,080 --> 00:38:46,520
Speaker 2: So he's a magician around the greens. So and his

706
00:38:47,040 --> 00:38:49,640
Speaker 2: approach game is good and is off is off the

707
00:38:49,680 --> 00:38:52,560
Speaker 2: tea troubles really don't hurt him here. That's kind of

708
00:38:52,560 --> 00:38:55,040
Speaker 2: the reason. Is that he spray the ball all over

709
00:38:55,040 --> 00:38:56,719
Speaker 2: the yard as long as not in the pine straw

710
00:38:56,800 --> 00:38:59,640
Speaker 2: under the pine trees, he's fine, and the rest of

711
00:38:59,680 --> 00:39:02,719
Speaker 2: his game a sharp So I think that he's going

712
00:39:02,800 --> 00:39:04,720
Speaker 2: to be there. Can we get there at the odds

713
00:39:04,760 --> 00:39:07,560
Speaker 2: that are beyond the books right now? It gives me

714
00:39:07,560 --> 00:39:09,000
Speaker 2: a diggestion just thinking about it.

715
00:39:09,960 --> 00:39:15,840
Speaker 1: What about ok Shay who was red hot not long ago,

716
00:39:16,680 --> 00:39:19,879
Speaker 1: hasn't played since, you know, went to play the Hero

717
00:39:20,040 --> 00:39:21,799
Speaker 1: Indian Open on the World Tour and I think he

718
00:39:21,840 --> 00:39:25,480
Speaker 1: missed the cots but obviously was red hot for a

719
00:39:25,480 --> 00:39:31,160
Speaker 1: while there in what late February, late February, early March.

720
00:39:32,480 --> 00:39:33,239
Speaker 3: What about him?

721
00:39:33,320 --> 00:39:37,200
Speaker 1: And what about Masters first time or Chris got her up?

722
00:39:38,680 --> 00:39:41,160
Speaker 2: Those are two guys that I really want to like

723
00:39:41,760 --> 00:39:45,480
Speaker 2: because I do like them. They've both shown great aptitude

724
00:39:45,480 --> 00:39:48,400
Speaker 2: this season, taking both of their games to the next level.

725
00:39:48,840 --> 00:39:52,200
Speaker 2: Akshay's short game worries me. He's good around the green,

726
00:39:52,239 --> 00:39:54,560
Speaker 2: but when you include the whole short game with putting

727
00:39:54,960 --> 00:39:58,760
Speaker 2: and bunker play, he's fifty third. That's that's a little scary.

728
00:39:59,200 --> 00:40:03,160
Speaker 2: And on longer golf courses that present those longer par fours,

729
00:40:04,000 --> 00:40:06,600
Speaker 2: he's near the bottom of this pack. So there's lots

730
00:40:06,600 --> 00:40:08,799
Speaker 2: of long par fours on this course. Every single one

731
00:40:08,880 --> 00:40:12,120
Speaker 2: except for number four, are over four hundred and forty

732
00:40:12,200 --> 00:40:16,120
Speaker 2: yards leaves all but one nine out of ten par

733
00:40:16,239 --> 00:40:20,480
Speaker 2: fours considered long par fours, and he's sixty fourth on

734
00:40:20,600 --> 00:40:24,640
Speaker 2: the long par fours and that's just not good. I

735
00:40:24,680 --> 00:40:26,880
Speaker 2: think he's going to struggle on the par fours, probably

736
00:40:26,880 --> 00:40:29,120
Speaker 2: on the par threes as well. He's middle of the

737
00:40:29,160 --> 00:40:32,720
Speaker 2: pack par five scoring and his short game is not great.

738
00:40:33,320 --> 00:40:34,680
Speaker 2: I just I don't know if I could do it

739
00:40:34,719 --> 00:40:36,880
Speaker 2: with ok. Shay got her up as a first timer,

740
00:40:37,560 --> 00:40:40,120
Speaker 2: and as much as I like him, I want him

741
00:40:40,160 --> 00:40:42,520
Speaker 2: to do well, I don't know that he can really

742
00:40:42,560 --> 00:40:44,719
Speaker 2: get around this course as well as he needs to,

743
00:40:45,120 --> 00:40:46,759
Speaker 2: being it his first time here.

744
00:40:47,600 --> 00:40:49,680
Speaker 1: We haven't seen a master's first time or win since

745
00:40:49,719 --> 00:40:54,799
Speaker 1: Fuzzy Zeller in nineteen seventy nine, and before Fuzzy won

746
00:40:54,840 --> 00:40:57,960
Speaker 1: in nineteen seventy nine, it was nineteen thirty five the

747
00:40:58,080 --> 00:41:00,960
Speaker 1: last first time er to win. So yeah, experience helps.

748
00:41:00,960 --> 00:41:04,080
Speaker 2: Oberg a couple of years ago was just about there.

749
00:41:04,160 --> 00:41:08,080
Speaker 2: But again, this is why you get to Sunday. It's

750
00:41:08,280 --> 00:41:10,000
Speaker 2: you can lead. You can have a fifty four hole

751
00:41:10,080 --> 00:41:14,400
Speaker 2: lead as a newcomer, as a debut taunt, and the

752
00:41:14,440 --> 00:41:16,760
Speaker 2: pressure just changes as soon as you hit hole eleven

753
00:41:16,800 --> 00:41:20,759
Speaker 2: on Sunday, everything the flip, the switch gets flipped and

754
00:41:21,080 --> 00:41:24,279
Speaker 2: something is just in the water there at eleven, twelve

755
00:41:24,320 --> 00:41:28,480
Speaker 2: and thirteen. It's in the water Rays Creek. Once you

756
00:41:28,560 --> 00:41:31,360
Speaker 2: classed across the Hogan Bridge on number twelve, it's just

757
00:41:31,640 --> 00:41:35,520
Speaker 2: a different animal. Augustin National just eats these newcomers alive

758
00:41:35,600 --> 00:41:38,759
Speaker 2: on Sunday. So I love Chris Gottrup. I think his

759
00:41:38,880 --> 00:41:42,440
Speaker 2: game fits Augusta National really well. But let's revisit that

760
00:41:42,680 --> 00:41:43,239
Speaker 2: next year.

761
00:41:44,280 --> 00:41:44,720
Speaker 3: Agreed.

762
00:41:45,400 --> 00:41:48,800
Speaker 1: Now we'll talk Masters long shots in just a moment,

763
00:41:49,120 --> 00:41:50,120
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764
00:41:50,680 --> 00:41:53,879
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784
00:43:03,360 --> 00:43:07,040
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790
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795
00:43:42,080 --> 00:43:44,920
Speaker 1: What about players with odds longer than sixty to one

796
00:43:44,960 --> 00:43:46,799
Speaker 1: bow Who do you want to make a case for.

797
00:43:47,560 --> 00:43:51,799
Speaker 2: There's two guys here, one another returning champion and a

798
00:43:51,880 --> 00:43:53,800
Speaker 2: guy who I think is going to fit this course

799
00:43:53,960 --> 00:43:58,920
Speaker 2: really well. Former champion, the best short game in the world.

800
00:43:59,080 --> 00:44:03,759
Speaker 2: Cameron Smith, Aussie. M Yeah, ball strikings come around this

801
00:44:03,880 --> 00:44:06,160
Speaker 2: year a little bit. He's still got the best short

802
00:44:06,200 --> 00:44:08,880
Speaker 2: game in the world. He got a green jacket for

803
00:44:09,120 --> 00:44:11,319
Speaker 2: having the best short game in the world. He's just

804
00:44:11,440 --> 00:44:15,120
Speaker 2: a master specialist and his off the tee woes are

805
00:44:15,120 --> 00:44:17,400
Speaker 2: not not going to kill him. His approach game has

806
00:44:17,400 --> 00:44:19,839
Speaker 2: gotten a lot better over the years. And this guy

807
00:44:19,920 --> 00:44:22,880
Speaker 2: is so silky smooth, putting, chipping, you name it. If

808
00:44:22,920 --> 00:44:24,560
Speaker 2: he's got a wedge or a putter in his hand,

809
00:44:24,719 --> 00:44:27,200
Speaker 2: it's lights out. One hundred and ten to one on

810
00:44:27,280 --> 00:44:31,239
Speaker 2: Cam Smith. That's easy money, easy money, Top twenty, top

811
00:44:31,280 --> 00:44:33,279
Speaker 2: ten kickers if you want to throw that in there.

812
00:44:33,800 --> 00:44:36,840
Speaker 2: And from an Aussie to a Kiwi Ryan Fox, great

813
00:44:36,920 --> 00:44:40,600
Speaker 2: fit for this golf course. Power to burn, great approach game.

814
00:44:40,680 --> 00:44:42,560
Speaker 2: His short game leaves a lot to be desired, but

815
00:44:42,600 --> 00:44:44,799
Speaker 2: that's why he's baked in at two hundred and ten

816
00:44:44,880 --> 00:44:45,279
Speaker 2: to one.

817
00:44:48,239 --> 00:44:53,000
Speaker 1: Interesting, So I'll give you a couple. Nikolai Hoyguard seventy

818
00:44:53,040 --> 00:44:56,560
Speaker 1: eight to one. So Hoyguard shot a sixty seven in

819
00:44:56,640 --> 00:45:02,680
Speaker 1: his first Masters round two years ago, briefly held a lead, faded,

820
00:45:02,760 --> 00:45:06,959
Speaker 1: finished sixteenth. But this guy's recorded top tens, I think

821
00:45:07,400 --> 00:45:11,000
Speaker 1: four of them this year on a variety of course types,

822
00:45:11,520 --> 00:45:16,239
Speaker 1: and his game seems like a good fit for Augusta Nashall. Statistically,

823
00:45:16,320 --> 00:45:20,680
Speaker 1: he's been really solid all around this year. Corey Conners

824
00:45:20,719 --> 00:45:23,839
Speaker 1: seventy eight to one. I like him more for a

825
00:45:24,120 --> 00:45:27,400
Speaker 1: top ten or top twenty. He's finished top ten in

826
00:45:27,520 --> 00:45:30,400
Speaker 1: four of his seven Masters appearance.

827
00:45:30,440 --> 00:45:31,200
Speaker 3: Is that top ten?

828
00:45:31,320 --> 00:45:34,640
Speaker 1: Yeah, but he's never finished top five. So Connors has

829
00:45:34,640 --> 00:45:37,800
Speaker 1: broken par in fifteen of his twenty eight Masters rounds.

830
00:45:37,840 --> 00:45:39,800
Speaker 1: Just such a good ball striker, and it's going to

831
00:45:39,840 --> 00:45:43,960
Speaker 1: take precision ball striking this week. So I also kind

832
00:45:43,960 --> 00:45:46,440
Speaker 1: of like him for a first round leader bet for

833
00:45:46,480 --> 00:45:49,239
Speaker 1: that reason, like a guy who's going to be able

834
00:45:49,280 --> 00:45:52,200
Speaker 1: to hit it close perhaps and score like for that

835
00:45:52,280 --> 00:45:57,400
Speaker 1: one round window. It's like the guys who can scramble

836
00:45:57,440 --> 00:46:00,160
Speaker 1: for pars. They're going to be positioning themselves away all

837
00:46:00,239 --> 00:46:03,440
Speaker 1: for the weekend, but for our first round lead. I

838
00:46:03,520 --> 00:46:06,880
Speaker 1: like Connors Jacob Bridgeman eighty six to one. Interesting that

839
00:46:06,960 --> 00:46:10,080
Speaker 1: you can get a guy who's finished eighteenth or better

840
00:46:10,120 --> 00:46:14,279
Speaker 1: in every event he's played this year at longer odds. Yeah,

841
00:46:14,320 --> 00:46:18,200
Speaker 1: I know, tough for a first time or to contended Augusta.

842
00:46:18,840 --> 00:46:21,880
Speaker 1: But man Bridgeman can put the lights out bow. We

843
00:46:21,960 --> 00:46:25,319
Speaker 1: know that leads the tour in strokes gain putting, so

844
00:46:25,440 --> 00:46:28,520
Speaker 1: he is interesting. And one more Sung JM is one

845
00:46:28,600 --> 00:46:31,640
Speaker 1: hundred and fifteen to one. He finished second to Dustin

846
00:46:31,719 --> 00:46:35,479
Speaker 1: Johnson and his Master's debut in twenty twenty one. IM

847
00:46:35,520 --> 00:46:39,160
Speaker 1: has finished or excuse me, that was late twenty twenty.

848
00:46:39,200 --> 00:46:42,719
Speaker 2: I believe on the Fall Masters, the Fall.

849
00:46:42,600 --> 00:46:46,439
Speaker 1: The COVID Masters, but IM has finished inside the top

850
00:46:46,480 --> 00:46:49,400
Speaker 1: ten and three of his six Masters starts. He's missed

851
00:46:49,800 --> 00:46:51,680
Speaker 1: the first couple of months of the year with a

852
00:46:51,719 --> 00:46:54,840
Speaker 1: wrist injury. Kind of looked rusty upon his return, although

853
00:46:54,840 --> 00:46:57,680
Speaker 1: he did finish fourth at the Valspark Championship, which was

854
00:46:58,120 --> 00:47:01,040
Speaker 1: kind of encouraging just for guy who seems to like

855
00:47:01,080 --> 00:47:03,160
Speaker 1: this course ball one hundred and fifteen to one odds

856
00:47:03,200 --> 00:47:07,120
Speaker 1: seem pretty inviting. Yes, now it's time for the hard

857
00:47:07,200 --> 00:47:09,879
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859
00:47:13,640 --> 00:47:16,360
Speaker 1: My hard rock bet of the week is it's Xander

860
00:47:16,400 --> 00:47:17,600
Speaker 1: Schaffley at eighteen to one.

861
00:47:18,320 --> 00:47:19,959
Speaker 3: Who is your hard rock bet of the week?

862
00:47:20,200 --> 00:47:23,000
Speaker 2: I see you're eighteen to one. Great value on xanderschoft

863
00:47:23,080 --> 00:47:25,279
Speaker 2: League best bet. My hard rock bet of the week

864
00:47:25,480 --> 00:47:29,200
Speaker 2: is Victor Hovlin forty five to one. Another great value

865
00:47:29,239 --> 00:47:31,960
Speaker 2: on a guy who hasn't won the Masters, just like Xander,

866
00:47:32,040 --> 00:47:34,880
Speaker 2: but should have won the Masters by now. So I

867
00:47:34,880 --> 00:47:37,200
Speaker 2: think we're gonna have some dueling value picks for the

868
00:47:37,200 --> 00:47:40,840
Speaker 2: hard rock Bets of the Week. And today's show is

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00:47:40,920 --> 00:47:43,400
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880
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884
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885
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886
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890
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899
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900
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901
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902
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903
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904
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905
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906
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907
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Speaker 1: What does the rest of your early betting card look like?

908
00:49:28,160 --> 00:49:30,960
Speaker 1: Boe In addition to the Hoveland bets.

909
00:49:30,719 --> 00:49:33,440
Speaker 2: So I got Rory McElroy plus eleven fifty to go

910
00:49:33,600 --> 00:49:36,360
Speaker 2: back to back, put the green jacket on himself. I

911
00:49:36,440 --> 00:49:39,959
Speaker 2: ha Xander Schoftley also at eighteen to one, Patrick Reid

912
00:49:40,040 --> 00:49:42,480
Speaker 2: forty three to one, Cam Smith at one hundred and

913
00:49:42,520 --> 00:49:45,080
Speaker 2: ten to one, and Ryan Vox at two hundred and

914
00:49:45,160 --> 00:49:45,680
Speaker 2: ten to one.

915
00:49:47,040 --> 00:49:49,680
Speaker 1: All right, I'm getting into the weeds here in In

916
00:49:49,719 --> 00:49:52,560
Speaker 1: addition to betting Shoffley for an outright at eighteen to one,

917
00:49:52,719 --> 00:49:54,560
Speaker 1: I'm betting him for a top ten at plus three

918
00:49:54,680 --> 00:50:00,399
Speaker 1: twenty five. I've not bet Robert McIntyre to win this week.

919
00:50:00,400 --> 00:50:03,000
Speaker 1: Bo I want the odds to drift past thirty four

920
00:50:03,040 --> 00:50:06,399
Speaker 1: to one. I think eventually they'll get there. Nothing yet

921
00:50:06,520 --> 00:50:09,040
Speaker 1: Jordan Speed for a top five at plus six fifty,

922
00:50:09,600 --> 00:50:12,719
Speaker 1: Nikolai Hoyguard to win at seventy eight to one, and

923
00:50:13,000 --> 00:50:16,080
Speaker 1: plus one eighty for a top twenty. Harris English for

924
00:50:16,120 --> 00:50:18,600
Speaker 1: a top thirty a plus one oh eight conditions are

925
00:50:18,600 --> 00:50:22,000
Speaker 1: going to be tough. English is a grinder, bo great

926
00:50:22,040 --> 00:50:24,960
Speaker 1: chipper and potter two, so I like him top thirty

927
00:50:25,160 --> 00:50:27,920
Speaker 1: basically a little better than even money. Corey Connors for

928
00:50:27,960 --> 00:50:30,480
Speaker 1: a top twenty plus one seventy two. I might throw

929
00:50:30,480 --> 00:50:32,640
Speaker 1: a dart on Jake Nap at sixty seven to one

930
00:50:33,200 --> 00:50:36,040
Speaker 1: and possibly bet him for a top ten at plus

931
00:50:36,040 --> 00:50:40,000
Speaker 1: four fifteen. And I'm betting Sung JM for a top

932
00:50:40,080 --> 00:50:45,520
Speaker 1: ten at plus five seventy. And how about this for

933
00:50:45,560 --> 00:50:46,719
Speaker 1: a master's parlay bow.

934
00:50:46,880 --> 00:50:48,880
Speaker 3: Let me run this by you. I might throw a

935
00:50:48,920 --> 00:50:49,680
Speaker 3: couple bucks on this.

936
00:50:50,480 --> 00:50:54,160
Speaker 1: Scott Scotty Scheffler for a top five, Xander Schoffli for

937
00:50:54,200 --> 00:50:56,840
Speaker 1: a top ten, Jordan Speed for a top twenty, and

938
00:50:56,880 --> 00:50:59,520
Speaker 1: Corey Connor's for a top twenty for that four leg

939
00:50:59,560 --> 00:51:01,640
Speaker 1: parlay thirty two to one odds.

940
00:51:01,840 --> 00:51:05,040
Speaker 2: Oh, that would be fun, just the trail, that would

941
00:51:05,080 --> 00:51:05,520
Speaker 2: be fun.

942
00:51:06,840 --> 00:51:08,200
Speaker 3: Now for our one and done picks.

943
00:51:08,239 --> 00:51:10,600
Speaker 1: Bo crushed it on the betting front last week, but

944
00:51:10,680 --> 00:51:13,000
Speaker 1: didn't fare as well in the one and done. You'd

945
00:51:13,080 --> 00:51:16,120
Speaker 1: Russell Henley at the Valero. Henley missed the cut by

946
00:51:16,120 --> 00:51:18,400
Speaker 1: a stroke. I didn't do very well either. I had

947
00:51:18,480 --> 00:51:21,239
Speaker 1: Jordan Speith. He finished tied for sixty third, good for

948
00:51:21,239 --> 00:51:24,280
Speaker 1: a whopping twenty one three hundred and sixty four dollars.

949
00:51:24,440 --> 00:51:26,040
Speaker 1: Not a banner week for us in the one in

950
00:51:26,160 --> 00:51:29,160
Speaker 1: Dune Bow, but a new day downs you of the

951
00:51:29,160 --> 00:51:30,000
Speaker 1: honors at Augusta.

952
00:51:30,040 --> 00:51:30,840
Speaker 3: Who are you taking?

953
00:51:31,600 --> 00:51:33,520
Speaker 2: I'm going to take John Rum the Spaniard.

954
00:51:35,120 --> 00:51:38,400
Speaker 1: I think that's that's the way to play it. According

955
00:51:38,440 --> 00:51:43,160
Speaker 1: to Hoyle, use the live tour guys who are Masters specialists,

956
00:51:43,160 --> 00:51:44,120
Speaker 1: and I'm going to do the same.

957
00:51:44,160 --> 00:51:45,319
Speaker 3: I'm going to use Patrick Reid.

958
00:51:45,560 --> 00:51:46,080
Speaker 2: Good call.

959
00:51:47,120 --> 00:51:50,440
Speaker 1: That's all for this week's Betting pros PGA podcast, The

960
00:51:50,480 --> 00:51:55,319
Speaker 1: Economy Sized Masters Special Thank you for being here with us.

961
00:51:55,360 --> 00:51:59,120
Speaker 1: We hope you enjoy the Masters and are fruitful on

962
00:51:59,200 --> 00:52:01,799
Speaker 1: your bets. Please join us again next week for our

963
00:52:01,840 --> 00:52:04,440
Speaker 1: betting preview of the RBC Heritage.

964
00:52:04,880 --> 00:52:06,480
Speaker 3: Until then, so long everyone.

965
00:52:06,680 --> 00:52:08,800
Speaker 2: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast.

966
00:52:09,040 --> 00:52:11,400
Speaker 4: If you love the show, the best freeway to support

967
00:52:11,480 --> 00:52:14,360
Speaker 4: us is by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts

968
00:52:14,480 --> 00:52:17,480
Speaker 4: or Spotify. Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting

969
00:52:17,480 --> 00:52:21,319
Speaker 4: Pros and Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to

970
00:52:21,320 --> 00:52:24,360
Speaker 4: our YouTube channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros