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Speaker 1: The Action Network podcast, named vest Vetting Podcast or radio

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Speaker 1: show by the Fantasy Sports and Gaming Association and the

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Speaker 1: number one show for the invested sports fan.

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Speaker 2: All Right, here we go. We're growing in job spect.

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Speaker 2: I'm sitting it to cash to stop.

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Speaker 3: We'll see most gamblers when they go to gamble, they

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Speaker 3: go to wind.

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Speaker 2: That's incredible.

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Speaker 4: Big bank, small banks.

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Speaker 2: I like to make money. All right, this is the

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Speaker 2: ultimate combine you want to pull, and we are underway. Hello, everyone,

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Speaker 2: Welcome back to another NFL Fantasy Flex episode of the

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Speaker 2: award winning Action Network podcast, presented by Bett MGM, the

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Speaker 2: official odds provider of the podcast. I'm Matthew Friedman, the

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Speaker 2: editor in chief of Fantasy Labs, and here with me

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Speaker 2: are Sean Corner and Chris Raymond. Shawn is the Action

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Speaker 2: Network Director of Predictive Analytics. Chris is a senior editor

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Speaker 2: and analyst at the Action Network and there too the

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Speaker 2: best fantasy football rankers in the world. Gentlemen, it is

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Speaker 2: Week one and in this episode we are highlighting the

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Speaker 2: players at the top of our rankings and projections, which

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Speaker 2: you can find in our Fantasy tool at the Action Network.

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Speaker 2: We are discussing the guys we are high and low

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Speaker 2: on the potential streamers and the daily Fantasy values, fades

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Speaker 2: and tournament plays. For more on DFS, of course, check

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Speaker 2: out our Fantasy Labs models, and as always, you're going

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Speaker 2: to speculate on a couple prop bets for each position

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Speaker 2: joining us, all of that fun is extra special. Guest

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Speaker 2: richare bar Aka Lord Reeves, a football analyst and writer

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Speaker 2: for Sharp Football Analysis. Rich, how's it going?

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Speaker 5: What's going on?

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Speaker 6: Guys?

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Speaker 4: We made it.

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Speaker 7: I just want to lock myself into this podcast week

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Speaker 7: one every year. Last week one we tore it up,

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Speaker 7: so we've got a lot to fill out. No. No

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Speaker 7: one wants to call scoreboard a year from now, but

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Speaker 7: we did last times on the show.

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Speaker 4: We were all incredible, so I want to bring it back.

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Speaker 2: As of now, I'm booking you week one in perpetuity,

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Speaker 2: so I have DIBs. So it's great to have you

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Speaker 2: on the show for week one. And of course I

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Speaker 2: want to remind everyone to participate in the best DFS

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Speaker 2: contest on the planet, the Action Network Podcast Tournament of

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Speaker 2: Champions presented by bet MGM. The contest is now live.

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Speaker 2: It is a custom tournament on Yahoo exclusively for our

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Speaker 2: listeners and it is free every week. You can join

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Speaker 2: by clicking on the link in the show description. The

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Speaker 2: top ten finishers each week will get over one thousand

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Speaker 2: dollars worth of Action Network prizes. In the top five

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Speaker 2: finishers each week punch their ticket to the wild Card

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Speaker 2: Weekend Grand Finale, where they will compete for the grand prize,

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Speaker 2: a Las Vegas trip for two, valued at five thousand

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Speaker 2: dollars courtesy of bet MGM. Again, listeners can join this

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Speaker 2: free tournament every week. Click on the link in the

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Speaker 2: episode description to join. All right, let's get into the show. Rich.

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Speaker 2: Let's start with that quarterback position. Who are your top

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Speaker 2: three fantasy quarterbacks this week?

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Speaker 7: I mean, I wish I had something exciting and something

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Speaker 7: hot to really come in in week one, but it's

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Speaker 7: pretty chalky. I mean, all these guys at the top

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Speaker 7: run into pretty cushy matchups and outlooks to start the season.

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Speaker 7: So I've got Mahomes, Lamar Jackson, Dak Prescott. I think

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Speaker 7: that that's probably I don't know if someone has something different,

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Speaker 7: but you know, Mahomes just gets that team. That Houston defense.

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Speaker 7: They were they were thirty first the NFL and pressure

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Speaker 7: rate last year. They loed the most passing yards per

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Speaker 7: possession in the NFL. Defensively at home Thursday night. You know,

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Speaker 7: they actually have some crowd in Kansas City as well.

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Speaker 7: It's just a mismatch on all levels. You know, this

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Speaker 7: defense versus that offense at healthy. You know that they

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Speaker 7: did win in Kansas City last year in the middle

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Speaker 7: of the season, but you know that was with Mahomes

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Speaker 7: with kind of a weird ankle thing going on, still

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Speaker 7: Tyreek's first game back. They didn't have Watkins of that game.

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Speaker 7: Their running back position was still kind of in limbo.

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Speaker 7: Mahomes is going to come right out of the gates

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Speaker 7: pretty hot, Lamar just the floor is too high. He's

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Speaker 7: been really good against the Browns anytime he's ever faced them,

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Speaker 7: and the Browns are so banged up already in Week

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Speaker 7: one defensively, and then you just got that shootout on

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Speaker 7: Sunday night with Dak and the Rams. You know, it's

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Speaker 7: already moved up a little bit and it's been been

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Speaker 7: bet up a little bit. And if the Brams could

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Speaker 7: just do their part like unlike they did last year

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Speaker 7: when it was twenty eight to seven at halftime and

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Speaker 7: Dak only through seven passes in the second half of

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Speaker 7: that game, there's there's some chance for fireworks there and

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Speaker 7: that to go back and forth as well.

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Speaker 4: So pretty choky. But those are the top guys I got.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, those are the guys at the top of our

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Speaker 2: Combined Action Network Fantasy rankings, the rankings that Sean produces,

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Speaker 2: Raybon produces, and I produce each week. Sean, I'm assuming

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Speaker 2: those are the three guys you have at the top

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Speaker 2: of the board. Yep, those are the.

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Speaker 8: Three I have. Mahomes and Jackson are They're in a

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Speaker 8: tier of their own. And then this week, as Reeves mentioned,

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Speaker 8: Prescott has probably the best matchup against the Rams, So

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Speaker 8: I have number three, and then it's you know, you

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Speaker 8: still have Watson and Wilson right behind. But I'm giving

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Speaker 8: Dak the edge to be the number three QB this week.

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Speaker 2: Raymond, anything you want to say about these three guys

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Speaker 2: or are you differing in the way that you are

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Speaker 2: ranking anyone in the top three?

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Speaker 3: No, But I think Dak is this is a good

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Speaker 3: time to kind of jump on Dak early in the

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Speaker 3: year because if you look at Mike McCarthy with the Packers,

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Speaker 3: they passed a lot in the red zone, a lot

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Speaker 3: more than Dallas has Dallas tends to have given the

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Speaker 3: ball to Zeke for his career Aaron Rodgers with McCarthy,

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Speaker 3: it was about a seventy four percent of the team's

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Speaker 3: offensive touchdowns came via the pass. For Dak, that's been

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Speaker 3: more like sixty two to sixty three percent over the

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Speaker 3: last Cup, even since getting Amari. So this is projected

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Speaker 3: to be a high scoring game and we might see

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Speaker 3: a little more Dak in the red zone a little

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Speaker 3: as Zeke, So it could be a big week for Dak.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, Ravon, I'm with you there. You know, normally you

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Speaker 2: see a tier break between those guys at the top

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Speaker 2: with Mahomes and Jackson, and then a break and then

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Speaker 2: whoever slots in as the third quarterback. But this week

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Speaker 2: I really have Dak projected right there with Mahomes in

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Speaker 2: with Lamar Jackson. So I do think it's really a

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Speaker 2: true tier of three and then a break after that.

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Speaker 2: Rich I'm curious as to a quarterback that you are

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Speaker 2: relatively high on in your rankings relative to the consensus

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Speaker 2: or the DFS market. Anyone you see that really stands

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Speaker 2: out for you. I mean, it's a great open.

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Speaker 7: I mean, we'd suddenly say this every year when everyone

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Speaker 7: still drafts quarterbacks in the single digit rounds.

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Speaker 4: But there's a lot of Week one options.

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Speaker 7: If you waited and they're just playing a guy to

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Speaker 7: start the season, I think you can go.

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Speaker 4: A number of directions.

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Speaker 7: I'm pretty high on Ben Roethlisberger just because when you

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Speaker 7: look at the situation he's walking into against the Giants,

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Speaker 7: who you know, they're just their defense still objectively on paper,

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Speaker 7: looks to be heinous once again. And you know last

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Speaker 7: year they were thirty first in point differential, a odd

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Speaker 7: to quarterbacks opposed to what that player was averaging coming

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Speaker 7: into that matchup. Seems to be you know, getting all

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Speaker 7: those guys healthy. It looks like Ebron and Claypool are

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Speaker 7: going to have roles too. And if those guys have

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Speaker 7: a role and they can wreck in the middle of

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Speaker 7: the field, I mean that makes me.

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Speaker 4: Like Ben Roethlisberg a little bit more.

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Speaker 7: The home road splits are pretty noisy with him, and

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Speaker 7: he's always been good on Monday Night anyways. Actually, the

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Speaker 7: Steelers in general, the sixteen and two on Monday Night

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Speaker 7: under Mike Tomlin. Some other guys that stand out, I mean,

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Speaker 7: Philip Rivers, I know a lot of people are gonna

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Speaker 7: be playing the running backs, and there's probably a volume

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Speaker 7: concern in that game. I mean, his high scoring game

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Speaker 7: last year came against the Jaguars. The Jaguars are horrible,

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Speaker 7: and the filet Rivers is splits in the AFC South

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Speaker 7: like they've just been credible his whole career. He's got

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Speaker 7: thirty nine touchdowns in just four interceptions in his career

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Speaker 7: against the AFC South non Indianapolis teams, no one really

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Speaker 7: is gonna be looking to play him. Mitchell Trubisky is

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Speaker 7: a punching bag in the fantasy community. He's been for

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Speaker 7: fantasy purposes. He's been completely fine as a streaming, like

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Speaker 7: glowing matchup guy. In seventeen career games against pass defense,

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Speaker 7: they're twenty to lower. He have just twenty three point

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Speaker 7: three fantasy points game eight and a half yards for

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Speaker 7: past attempt He's thrown three or more touchdowns his last

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Speaker 7: three games against the Lions. I do think the Lions

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Speaker 7: actually might be a little better than people think this year,

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Speaker 7: just because the you know, adding Trufont, getting Jeffer Racuda,

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Speaker 7: like the secondary is a little bit better. But you know,

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Speaker 7: Trubisky's an interesting spot too, because if Dave Montgomery doesn't play,

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Speaker 7: and they come in with like Coral Patterson, Ryan Nall

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Speaker 7: and Cohen. It kind of went itself to maybe like

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Speaker 7: letting Mitch kind of play like a little kind of

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Speaker 7: a weird game too, where's just they're trying to hide him.

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Speaker 7: And then Cam Newton, you know, just because I think

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Speaker 7: a lot of people just don't really know what to

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Speaker 7: expect from Cam Newton. But you know, a big home favorite,

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Speaker 7: I think they're going to have to let Cam Newton

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Speaker 7: run and use his legs. This yere a little bit

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Speaker 7: just because that team doesn't really have a lot. You know,

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Speaker 7: Miami was dead last in the league and passing points

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Speaker 7: a line for atteph last year. They're another team that

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Speaker 7: made some additions. He had Kyle van Noy, Emmanuel Agbo

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Speaker 7: to rush the passer, Jack Lawson, then you add Byron

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Speaker 7: Jones to the mix. Those are guys I'm all higher

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Speaker 7: on than the consensus rankings right now.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, every bar, I'm with you, especially on Roethlisberger. I

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Speaker 2: have him in the top ten and I think it's

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Speaker 2: a fantastic bounce back spot for him to start the

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Speaker 2: year off with all the weapons that he has so

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Speaker 2: very much with you there, Sean, who are you relatively

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Speaker 2: high on?

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Speaker 8: So for DFS purposes and streaming purposes, I'm pretty high

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Speaker 8: on Tyrod Taylor this week. He's five point six K

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Speaker 8: on DK and I mean this is a great matchup

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Speaker 8: for him. They're at Cincinnati. The Bengals allowed the most

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Speaker 8: rushing yards of quarterbacks last year, and you know, obviously

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Speaker 8: a big part that had to do with playing Lamar

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Speaker 8: Jackson two times. But you know, Anthony Lynn has said that,

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Speaker 8: you know, they might Taylor this offense, you know, more

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Speaker 8: towards the Greg Roman offense that the Ravens employ, and

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Speaker 8: there is some lineage there. Greg Roman was Tyrod Taylor's

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Speaker 8: offensive coordinator heading into twenty fifteen. He was fired after

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Speaker 8: they started off O two and then Anthony Lynn took

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Speaker 8: over and Tyrod was the QB seven that year. So

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Speaker 8: you know, they'll probably hit the ground running. Whether or

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Speaker 8: not Tarrod starts many games this year remains to be seen.

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Speaker 8: But you know, heading into Week one, we don't care

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Speaker 8: about that. He's facing the Bengals. I think you'd fire

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Speaker 8: him up. He'll be without Mike Williams, but still, you know,

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Speaker 8: he still has his top three weapons and Austin Eckler,

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Speaker 8: Keyan Allen, and Hunter Henry, so I think he'll be

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Speaker 8: ready to go. I also love the Trubisky call.

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Speaker 5: He's he's a good cheap option this week.

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Speaker 8: I'm a little bit worried about him in DFS because

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Speaker 8: there's still the possibility they can, you know, put folds

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Speaker 8: in at any given time, so I you know, he

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Speaker 8: cautions about him. He's a GPP flyer for sure. And

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Speaker 8: then Cam Newton sticks out at six point one K.

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Speaker 8: The Dolphins defense will be better this year, so it's

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Speaker 8: it's not some cupkick match up necessarily, but just at

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Speaker 8: six point one K, he's the man there. Again, I'm

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Speaker 8: not expecting Jorge said him to come in and play

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Speaker 8: a series here there. He's the man there. He should

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Speaker 8: play the full game. So I think he's a Dale

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Speaker 8: yet six point one K as well.

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Speaker 2: Ray Vaughan. Who are the quarterbacks you were high on?

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Speaker 5: First? Gardner Minshew.

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Speaker 3: He's at five point eight K going against Indianapolis. He

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Speaker 3: had a big game against them to close out the

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Speaker 3: year last year, over twenty five DraftKings points.

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Speaker 5: Granted it was probably.

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Speaker 3: A little bit unmotivated team Week seventeen, but he's capable

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Speaker 3: of putting up points because he has that rushing upside,

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Speaker 3: and he was kind of unlucky he didn't really score

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Speaker 3: in the ground last year, so I expect that to regress.

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Speaker 3: And then Teddy Bridgewater, he's in a new situation. I

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Speaker 3: think people will want to kind of avoid him and

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Speaker 3: feel it out. But I remember Joe Brady was with

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Speaker 3: him in New Orleans and that's their offensive coordinator, so

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Speaker 3: it's not like he's really learning a new offense or

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Speaker 3: anything like that. I expect him to be a little

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Speaker 3: more pass heavy in Carolina than we might think because

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Speaker 3: they are going to use a lot of four wide

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Speaker 3: receiver sets. They don't really have much at tight end,

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Speaker 3: especially with Ian Thomas banged up. So I think against

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Speaker 3: this Raiders defense that was number thirty one in DVOA

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Speaker 3: against the pass last year, this could be one of

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Speaker 3: Teddy's best matchups and best games of the year right

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Speaker 3: out of the gate. And actually I like that Truebisky

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Speaker 3: call as well. I don't think Foles will come in.

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Speaker 3: You know, just looking at the camp reports, you know

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Speaker 3: Trubisky was playing hurt last year with the shoulder injury,

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Speaker 3: and you know this camp he's been extremely decisive and

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Speaker 3: won that job from Foles, and Foles was the guy

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Speaker 3: who looked very indecisive, is making a ton of mistakes

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Speaker 3: and kind of even admitted that the pandemic really kind

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Speaker 3: of messed him up. So I think we'll see Trubisky

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Speaker 3: for this whole game, and I think we'll see maybe

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Speaker 3: a little bit closer to the Truebisky that we saw

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Speaker 3: in twenty eighteen.

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Speaker 2: All Right, Rich, who are you low on?

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Speaker 7: It's weird because there are two guys I'm lower on,

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Speaker 7: just based on projections and the market. But I'm not

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Speaker 7: necessarily down on these guys as players. If you had

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Speaker 7: them like I wouldn't be looking to bench them. I

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Speaker 7: have Josh Allen actually outside of my top.

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Speaker 4: Twelve this week.

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Speaker 7: I think he's more of just like a floor play

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Speaker 7: just because the Jets are so bad. I mean, they're

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Speaker 7: a little bit of a pass funnel and have the

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Speaker 7: potential to be a pass funnel. They're actually number one

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Speaker 7: against EPA against the run. But you know, you look

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Speaker 7: at Josh on his career against He's in the QB fifteen,

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Speaker 7: the QB eighteen. I don't think the Jets can do

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Speaker 7: enough offensively to make this like a high scoring game.

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Speaker 7: So I think that josh An just more of like

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Speaker 7: a floor player, really hoping he does something a little

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Speaker 7: bit extra with his legs, which is capable of. But

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Speaker 7: I'm just a little higher on other quarterbacks than him,

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Speaker 7: and the same thing kind of as Matthew Stafford. I'm

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Speaker 7: not really down on Stafford. He didn't play in either

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Speaker 7: matchup against the Bears last year, but you know, his

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Speaker 7: past three meetings against the Bears, he has been the QB

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Speaker 7: sixteen or lower. The Bears have stole only allowed one

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Speaker 7: QB one last year. It's just one of those things

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Speaker 7: where I think that those guys are fine floor plays,

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Speaker 7: but I'm just a little bit below the market on them.

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Speaker 7: And then obviously Aaron Rodgers, who he's already has the

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Speaker 7: industry QB fifteen, which I still think is pretty pretty

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Speaker 7: lofty for expectations. I mean, the Vikings defense still have

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Speaker 7: multiple studs on every level except for cornerback. They've got

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Speaker 7: two great ed drushers, they've got two good linebackers, they've

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Speaker 7: got two really good safeties. DeVante Adams has a clear

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Speaker 7: advantage in this game, but really no one else does offensively.

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Speaker 7: Look at the historically, you know, games in Minnesota, and

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Speaker 7: games involved in these teams have really skewed towards the under.

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Speaker 7: Six straight in Minnesota have gone under Rodgers has been

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Speaker 7: a top twelve weekly score into four. It was ten

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Speaker 7: full games against the Mike Zimmer defense, and he's in

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Speaker 7: the QB seventeen or lower in his pass five full

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Speaker 7: games to Minnesota. So I'm actually a little bit on

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Speaker 7: the fence that ear Rods bouncing back into Taddy this year,

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Speaker 7: just because they skewed so heavily in terms of rushing

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Speaker 7: touchdowns the passing touchdowns last year. I think he's gonna

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Speaker 7: throw more touchdowns this year, but I don't think this

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Speaker 7: is a week where he You're just going to see him

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Speaker 7: bounce back and be a QB one again.

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Speaker 2: All right, Sean, who are you looking to fade?

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Speaker 8: So I'm also looking to fade Aaron Rodgers. I actually

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Speaker 8: have him ranked twenty fifth right now, so I didn't

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Speaker 8: realize that much lower than the industry, but I think

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Speaker 8: it's warranted. He usually struggles against Mike Zimmer's defense, and

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Speaker 8: he really struggled last year against Cover two and Cover four,

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Speaker 8: which the Vikings run a ton of. He ranked thirty

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Speaker 8: three out of forty three against Cover two, so I

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Speaker 8: think he'll have some issues week one, although I will

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Speaker 8: say that DeVante Adams is way too cheap. Davante is

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Speaker 8: like seven K or something. We all know everything's going

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Speaker 8: to him. So just if you want to invest in Rogers,

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Speaker 8: just just take Devonte Adams and avoid Rogers at six

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Speaker 8: point three K. When you know a guy like Cam

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Speaker 8: Newton's even cheaper and the other guy is right in

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Speaker 8: that price range, it's Kyler Murray. He's six point four

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Speaker 8: K right now. I don't think that the Niners will

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Speaker 8: be as good as a defense as here. I think they'll

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Speaker 8: miss to force Buckner. But you know, heading into Week one,

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Speaker 8: I'm a little bit concerned with DeAndre Hopkins lack of

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Speaker 8: practice time. He's a guy I wanted to see really get,

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Speaker 8: you know, more offseason work with Kyler Murray, so I

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Speaker 8: think they might not be gelling week one. Kyler Murray

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Speaker 8: is a guy that I will definitely be investing on

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Speaker 8: after this week, but tough Week one matchup against Francisco

334
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Speaker 8: six point four K. He's right up their price with

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Speaker 8: guys like Matt Ryan and you know Carson Went, so

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Speaker 8: I'll be fading Kyler Murray this.

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Speaker 2: Week, raybon, I imagine that you're going to complete the

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Speaker 2: trifacta here by also saying that you are not on

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Speaker 2: Aaron Rodgers. What say you?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, almost put Kyler in that discussion too, But you know,

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Speaker 3: the rushing, the rushing kind of upside gives him some variant.

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Speaker 3: But Rogers is the guy that I really don't see

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Speaker 3: how he's going to put up a big game. He

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Speaker 3: struggles against, you know, defenses that you know, as Sean

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Speaker 3: kind of alluded to, can can drop back and coverage,

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Speaker 3: you know that that's really when he's going to struggle

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Speaker 3: the most. And you look at his last four games

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Speaker 3: versus Minnesota, you know, twenty eighteen, twenty nineteen, averaging just

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Speaker 3: one passing touchdown a game, averaging just two hundred and

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Speaker 3: twenty six yards passing and only one point three rushing

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Speaker 3: yards per game. So it's not like he's bailing out

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Speaker 3: and making something happen on the ground either. His defense

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Speaker 3: has really kept him, kept him bottled up, and I

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Speaker 3: expect that to continue this year, especially with the lack

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Speaker 3: of weapons that he has outside of Devonte Adams.

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Speaker 2: All Right, So with all of you guys there on

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Speaker 2: Aaron Rodgers, looking to fade now, Sean, it's such a

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Speaker 2: good time. It's good to be back in the regular

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Speaker 2: swing of the season. If this is everyone's favorite part

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Speaker 2: of the show, it is time for you to give

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Speaker 2: us your props, which I should say everyone be sure

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Speaker 2: to check out the Fantasy Labs player prop tool, where

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Speaker 2: the bets with a bet quality of ten have a

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Speaker 2: fifty nine percent win rate over the past two years,

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Speaker 2: and of course when player props are posted, you can

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Speaker 2: bet them at bet MGM. Sean, give us the first

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Speaker 2: quarterback prop.

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Speaker 8: So, I mean, there's so many fascinating storylines we could

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Speaker 8: attack here, but I think the number one in my opinion,

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Speaker 8: is Tom Brady starting for the Buccaneers week one. So

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Speaker 8: I'm gonna because there's so many implications based on his

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Speaker 8: passing yards. You know, you have Chris Godwin, Mike Evans, Gronkowski,

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Speaker 8: OJ Howard, so I think it's critical to get this

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Speaker 8: right week one. So his passing yards prop. I have

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Speaker 8: the lion set at two seventy seven and a half.

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Speaker 2: I'll go over.

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Speaker 5: I have it at two eighty two.

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Speaker 3: And this is a situation where you're playing a good

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Speaker 3: offense like the New Orleans sayings the offense that can

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Speaker 3: score some points. This is usually a situation when even

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Speaker 3: if the quarterback may struggle a little bit, the yardage

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Speaker 3: will be there because you'll have to move the ball

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Speaker 3: and continue to get in scoring range. So I usually

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Speaker 3: worry about kind of high end quarterbacks yardage props when

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Speaker 3: they're in like a cake matchup that you know they

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Speaker 3: could it could be over by the third quarter. I

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Speaker 3: think this would be a close game to spread at

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Speaker 3: three and a half, one of the higher under over

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Speaker 3: unders of the week.

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Speaker 5: So I'll go over.

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Speaker 7: I'll go under just to take the under, just because

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Speaker 7: you know, I just like I just like taking under

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Speaker 7: some kind of lofty passing yardists. Anyways, But I do

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Speaker 7: think that's an interesting spot just in general, because if

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Speaker 7: you look at the Saints, like they typically start slow,

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Speaker 7: it's been one of these like Sean Payton teams, like

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Speaker 7: they've historically done it every year. I mean, they're they're

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Speaker 7: just one eight, one in eight against the spread their

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Speaker 7: past nine season openers. They've a lot twenty or eight

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Speaker 7: or more points in the past six season openers. It's

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Speaker 7: kind of one we got a non narrative base here.

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Speaker 7: I don't know if the angry Tom will come out,

403
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Speaker 7: but you know, definitely think that there's gonna be a

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Speaker 7: lot to play for in this game. It's the oldest

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Speaker 7: QB matchup in NFL history. We've also got a team

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Speaker 7: in the Saints. They have a lot of one hundred

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Speaker 7: yard rushers since samaj p Ryan in twenty seventeen. So

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Speaker 7: I don't think any of the Bucks guys are really

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Speaker 7: going to get off running the ball either, So I

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Speaker 7: think it is going to be more of a passing script.

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Speaker 4: For the Bucks.

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Speaker 7: I think it's a really good number, but I mean,

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Speaker 7: I'll just take the under just because, like I said,

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Speaker 7: I like to take the under in the high passing lines.

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Speaker 2: All right, I'm taking the over here, and I'm pretty

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Speaker 2: adamantly taking the over here. I have him projected for

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Speaker 2: Raybon I think you said around to eighty two. I

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Speaker 2: think I'm closer to around two ninety, which is which

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Speaker 2: is aggressive. But it's a high scoring game for the

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Speaker 2: reasons that Rich mentioned. You know, I don't think we're

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Speaker 2: going to see many rushing carries. Brady focused attack from

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Speaker 2: the very beginning. I'm going to take the over, I

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Speaker 2: think they will. I think it's going to be a shootout,

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Speaker 2: just a back and forth game between both teams. So

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Speaker 2: over for me.

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Speaker 9: I hope you're enjoying this great action network podcast. I

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Speaker 9: want to make sure you know about the locked On

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Speaker 9: podcast network locked On as a daily podcast on your

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Speaker 9: favorite team.

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Speaker 4: Welcome to you, Lockdown forty nine ers.

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Speaker 2: You are Lockdown of the Dallas Matriage.

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Speaker 4: Wellome everybody for the Lockdown Lakers podcast.

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Speaker 2: Let's go.

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00:18:55,119 --> 00:18:58,040
Speaker 9: Locked On podcasts are hosted by the local experts who

435
00:18:58,080 --> 00:19:00,359
Speaker 9: know your team better than anyone and give you the

436
00:19:00,359 --> 00:19:03,119
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437
00:19:03,320 --> 00:19:07,639
Speaker 9: locked on your favorite team, subscribe to your locked On podcast.

438
00:19:10,480 --> 00:19:13,240
Speaker 2: So let's get to the running backs. And I don't

439
00:19:13,280 --> 00:19:16,040
Speaker 2: think there's much of a surprise here. The three guys

440
00:19:16,080 --> 00:19:20,040
Speaker 2: at the top of our rankings Christian McCaffrey, Saquon Barkley,

441
00:19:20,160 --> 00:19:23,000
Speaker 2: Alvin Kamara Rich. Is that how it shakes out for you?

442
00:19:23,680 --> 00:19:25,480
Speaker 7: I do not have Saquon Barklay at the top of their

443
00:19:25,520 --> 00:19:28,000
Speaker 7: running back this week. I mean, obviously you're not you're

444
00:19:28,000 --> 00:19:29,800
Speaker 7: not benching Saquon Barkle, you're not looking.

445
00:19:29,600 --> 00:19:30,320
Speaker 4: To avoid him.

446
00:19:30,400 --> 00:19:31,760
Speaker 7: But I just think when you look at the way

447
00:19:31,760 --> 00:19:33,080
Speaker 7: this sets up, I mean there's been a lot of

448
00:19:33,119 --> 00:19:35,280
Speaker 7: talk about you know, fading Daniel Jones to start the

449
00:19:35,320 --> 00:19:37,320
Speaker 7: season and about this, you know, about the schedule he's

450
00:19:37,359 --> 00:19:39,000
Speaker 7: gonna play, but you know, not a lot has carried

451
00:19:39,040 --> 00:19:41,439
Speaker 7: over to what that means for the entire offense. I

452
00:19:41,440 --> 00:19:43,800
Speaker 7: think this entire offense is really gonna struggle this opening

453
00:19:43,800 --> 00:19:46,040
Speaker 7: month of the season. And if you look at Saqui,

454
00:19:46,040 --> 00:19:48,360
Speaker 7: I mean, and you know it could be partially part

455
00:19:48,359 --> 00:19:50,280
Speaker 7: of the ankle injury at last year, but you know

456
00:19:50,359 --> 00:19:53,280
Speaker 7: his his alls receiving work got shaved a little bit. Uh,

457
00:19:53,320 --> 00:19:55,280
Speaker 7: They're gonna get Evan Ingram back this year. They're gonna

458
00:19:55,280 --> 00:19:57,720
Speaker 7: actually play all healthily for the first time ever because

459
00:19:57,720 --> 00:19:57,960
Speaker 7: they're not.

460
00:19:58,320 --> 00:20:00,280
Speaker 4: All these guys have played. They didn't play last any

461
00:20:00,320 --> 00:20:01,439
Speaker 4: of the Daniel Jones' starts.

462
00:20:01,840 --> 00:20:03,760
Speaker 7: The Steelers only allowed one running back to have one

463
00:20:03,800 --> 00:20:05,800
Speaker 7: hundred yards from scrimmage last year. I just think that

464
00:20:05,840 --> 00:20:09,760
Speaker 7: they're a complete mismatch for the Giants front. Saquon obviously

465
00:20:09,840 --> 00:20:11,760
Speaker 7: has a floor and is usual, but I have him

466
00:20:11,760 --> 00:20:15,080
Speaker 7: as the RB six this week, so he's not in

467
00:20:15,119 --> 00:20:17,280
Speaker 7: my top three. So I don't know if that counts

468
00:20:17,280 --> 00:20:18,800
Speaker 7: as like an RB fade or if that has a

469
00:20:18,840 --> 00:20:21,919
Speaker 7: hot take or not, but I haven't McCaffrey, Zeke and

470
00:20:21,960 --> 00:20:24,639
Speaker 7: Dalvin Cook as the top three. So those are my

471
00:20:24,720 --> 00:20:26,920
Speaker 7: top three. But I'm a little bit, just a little

472
00:20:26,920 --> 00:20:29,320
Speaker 7: bit scared of the Giants invitality.

473
00:20:29,000 --> 00:20:32,000
Speaker 2: This opening season. Yeah, talk about what you like about

474
00:20:32,119 --> 00:20:35,159
Speaker 2: Zeke because he's number four for US and it is

475
00:20:35,240 --> 00:20:38,720
Speaker 2: really close in our rankings between Barkley Kamara and Zeke.

476
00:20:38,880 --> 00:20:40,240
Speaker 7: Yeah, I just think it, Well, one, we know the

477
00:20:40,320 --> 00:20:43,440
Speaker 7: usage is always safe with Zeke. We know even this

478
00:20:43,480 --> 00:20:45,679
Speaker 7: transition now with Mike McCarthy, I think we still know

479
00:20:45,720 --> 00:20:47,800
Speaker 7: what Zeke is uh is gonna do from like a

480
00:20:47,840 --> 00:20:50,560
Speaker 7: touch count base. It's also the what's the highest scoring

481
00:20:50,600 --> 00:20:52,760
Speaker 7: game of the Sunday slate, so like you're getting a

482
00:20:52,800 --> 00:20:54,840
Speaker 7: running back attached to the high scoring offense. I just

483
00:20:54,840 --> 00:20:57,200
Speaker 7: think there's a lot of touchdown potential. He's roasted the

484
00:20:57,280 --> 00:21:00,480
Speaker 7: Rams three straight matchups as well. I guess one doesn't

485
00:21:00,560 --> 00:21:02,479
Speaker 7: kind as a roasting. See he had some touchdown inflation

486
00:21:02,560 --> 00:21:04,800
Speaker 7: in the middle game. But I mean last year they

487
00:21:04,840 --> 00:21:07,240
Speaker 7: had both those backs at almost three hundred ards for scrimmage

488
00:21:07,560 --> 00:21:08,480
Speaker 7: against the Rams.

489
00:21:08,840 --> 00:21:10,880
Speaker 4: I'm a little bit worried about Leo Collins not being there.

490
00:21:10,920 --> 00:21:13,160
Speaker 7: And then you know, not having Travis Frederick in this game,

491
00:21:13,240 --> 00:21:15,600
Speaker 7: but I just look at it from you know, the

492
00:21:15,600 --> 00:21:17,679
Speaker 7: the Dallas team total side that there's just been too

493
00:21:17,760 --> 00:21:19,120
Speaker 7: much scoring opportunities for him.

494
00:21:20,160 --> 00:21:22,879
Speaker 2: All right, Sean, talking about the guys you have in

495
00:21:22,920 --> 00:21:24,120
Speaker 2: the top three.

496
00:21:24,240 --> 00:21:27,720
Speaker 8: Yeah, I'm actually right there with Reeves. I got McCaffrey, Zeke,

497
00:21:28,040 --> 00:21:32,920
Speaker 8: and I have Cook number three. You know, he's he's

498
00:21:32,960 --> 00:21:36,600
Speaker 8: playing so and he's facing you know, the Packers defense,

499
00:21:36,640 --> 00:21:39,919
Speaker 8: which is a sieve against running backs, So you know

500
00:21:39,960 --> 00:21:41,879
Speaker 8: I have him there in I'm a little bit lower

501
00:21:41,920 --> 00:21:44,119
Speaker 8: on Barkley and Kamara just due to the matchup. I

502
00:21:44,160 --> 00:21:46,960
Speaker 8: don't like Barkley against the Steelers. I've said it time

503
00:21:47,000 --> 00:21:48,600
Speaker 8: and time again. I think the Steelers are probably the

504
00:21:48,640 --> 00:21:50,960
Speaker 8: best defense in the league heading through the season. And

505
00:21:51,000 --> 00:21:54,280
Speaker 8: then Kamara, you know, he's been dealing with that back issue,

506
00:21:54,280 --> 00:21:58,439
Speaker 8: contract issues and facing the Buccaneers, which is another very

507
00:21:58,480 --> 00:22:01,320
Speaker 8: good run defense. So I'm all bunched together, but I'm

508
00:22:01,359 --> 00:22:03,240
Speaker 8: getting the edge to Cook this week just based on

509
00:22:03,280 --> 00:22:05,600
Speaker 8: the matchup. And I don't really know what's going with

510
00:22:05,680 --> 00:22:08,119
Speaker 8: this contract situation, but it would be whove him to

511
00:22:08,119 --> 00:22:10,959
Speaker 8: have a really good Week one and then you know,

512
00:22:11,440 --> 00:22:13,960
Speaker 8: start playing some games of you know, threatening to sit out,

513
00:22:13,960 --> 00:22:16,399
Speaker 8: But I just love Cook heading into week one, and

514
00:22:16,480 --> 00:22:20,120
Speaker 8: I'm with Reeves on Zeke in my number two slid.

515
00:22:20,160 --> 00:22:21,800
Speaker 8: I think this is going to be a high scoring game.

516
00:22:21,840 --> 00:22:22,119
Speaker 4: Again.

517
00:22:22,520 --> 00:22:26,240
Speaker 5: You know that the Cowboys passing offense is the is.

518
00:22:26,200 --> 00:22:26,800
Speaker 4: In the spotlight.

519
00:22:26,840 --> 00:22:28,440
Speaker 8: They're going to run out of a lot of eleven,

520
00:22:28,840 --> 00:22:31,000
Speaker 8: which is where Zeke thrive last year. So I think

521
00:22:31,240 --> 00:22:32,760
Speaker 8: this is a great spot for Zeke as well.

522
00:22:33,520 --> 00:22:35,880
Speaker 2: Rayveon your top three, give it to me.

523
00:22:36,480 --> 00:22:42,000
Speaker 3: Ye McCaffrey, Zeke and Dalvin Cook. I think, like bark Wee,

524
00:22:42,040 --> 00:22:45,240
Speaker 3: it's just he's he's always going to get He's always

525
00:22:45,240 --> 00:22:47,920
Speaker 3: gonna get touches, and he could always break a big play.

526
00:22:48,000 --> 00:22:50,000
Speaker 3: That's the one thing even against a bad defense. But

527
00:22:50,440 --> 00:22:53,200
Speaker 3: is Steelers defense has been really strong against both the

528
00:22:53,280 --> 00:22:54,920
Speaker 3: run in the past. They were top three and DVO

529
00:22:55,200 --> 00:22:58,600
Speaker 3: last year, so I kind of think that the potential

530
00:22:58,600 --> 00:23:01,040
Speaker 3: for a touchdown is kind of connect to the potential

531
00:23:01,080 --> 00:23:03,199
Speaker 3: for him to break a big play a little more

532
00:23:03,240 --> 00:23:03,720
Speaker 3: than usual.

533
00:23:03,840 --> 00:23:06,680
Speaker 5: So just a little bit a little bit lower on

534
00:23:06,800 --> 00:23:09,120
Speaker 5: him this week, then I would be in like the season.

535
00:23:08,840 --> 00:23:12,840
Speaker 2: Long, Okay, So I guess it's the freedman projection that's

536
00:23:13,240 --> 00:23:16,919
Speaker 2: pushing Saquon into the top three here. So I mean,

537
00:23:16,920 --> 00:23:18,320
Speaker 2: I guess I'll be the guy who's sort of like

538
00:23:18,359 --> 00:23:21,919
Speaker 2: quote unquote defends Saquon while I see the toughness of

539
00:23:21,960 --> 00:23:25,520
Speaker 2: the matchup against the Steelers. And maybe my priors here

540
00:23:25,600 --> 00:23:27,800
Speaker 2: or wrong, but I believe that we are going to see,

541
00:23:27,880 --> 00:23:31,399
Speaker 2: under Jason Garrett as the offensive coordinator, a very running

542
00:23:31,440 --> 00:23:35,280
Speaker 2: back focused offense to where the Giants stick with the

543
00:23:35,359 --> 00:23:38,040
Speaker 2: run far longer than they should, and when they do

544
00:23:38,119 --> 00:23:41,960
Speaker 2: throw the ball, they throw it to Saquon instead of

545
00:23:42,040 --> 00:23:44,639
Speaker 2: one of the multitude of slot receivers that they have.

546
00:23:45,119 --> 00:23:47,639
Speaker 2: So I just think it's going to be a ton

547
00:23:47,760 --> 00:23:51,280
Speaker 2: of usage all season long for Saquon and that starts

548
00:23:51,320 --> 00:23:54,320
Speaker 2: in a week one. But I certainly see the risk

549
00:23:54,400 --> 00:23:56,679
Speaker 2: that he carries. It is a tough matchup that he

550
00:23:56,720 --> 00:24:00,720
Speaker 2: has against the Steelers. Rich who is a running backer.

551
00:24:00,720 --> 00:24:02,600
Speaker 2: A couple of running backs that you were high on

552
00:24:02,760 --> 00:24:04,320
Speaker 2: relative to the consensus.

553
00:24:04,760 --> 00:24:06,680
Speaker 4: Do we have to waste time on Josh Jacobs?

554
00:24:06,800 --> 00:24:09,560
Speaker 7: Yes, I mean I assume everyone everyone is just into

555
00:24:09,600 --> 00:24:11,560
Speaker 7: this with like neon lights. You know, Caroline has got

556
00:24:11,560 --> 00:24:14,080
Speaker 7: the average youngest defense in the NFL for in terms

557
00:24:14,080 --> 00:24:15,879
Speaker 7: of age of Stargus twenty three and a half.

558
00:24:15,920 --> 00:24:18,080
Speaker 4: They allowed a leagu high twenty seven rushing touchdowns.

559
00:24:18,119 --> 00:24:22,480
Speaker 7: Last year, they allowed opposing backfields to score seven plus

560
00:24:22,480 --> 00:24:24,600
Speaker 7: fantasy points per game over what they were averaging coming

561
00:24:24,600 --> 00:24:27,719
Speaker 7: into that matchup. They were last in EPA rushing. You know,

562
00:24:27,760 --> 00:24:29,520
Speaker 7: even if you don't even if we don't even see

563
00:24:29,600 --> 00:24:31,600
Speaker 7: Josh Jacobs, you know, being used in the passing game,

564
00:24:31,640 --> 00:24:34,320
Speaker 7: it probably doesn't matter here just because you know, Carolina

565
00:24:34,440 --> 00:24:37,320
Speaker 7: literally gave up all their production rushing last season. Thirty

566
00:24:37,320 --> 00:24:40,080
Speaker 7: three percent of the points they allowed from fantasy stance

567
00:24:40,119 --> 00:24:41,679
Speaker 7: we were on the ground was the highest rate in

568
00:24:41,680 --> 00:24:44,119
Speaker 7: the league. And it's the only game the Raiders are

569
00:24:44,119 --> 00:24:46,600
Speaker 7: favored in the opening nine weeks this season. So like

570
00:24:46,680 --> 00:24:48,720
Speaker 7: it kind of just really sets up for Josh Jacobs

571
00:24:48,720 --> 00:24:50,200
Speaker 7: to the even at worst be what he was last

572
00:24:50,280 --> 00:24:54,199
Speaker 7: year and gets just amazing matchup. I'm really not on

573
00:24:54,240 --> 00:24:55,800
Speaker 7: this guy from a season long stance, but he just

574
00:24:55,800 --> 00:24:59,240
Speaker 7: comes out this week. Uh it's David Johnson. Uh, just

575
00:24:59,359 --> 00:25:01,240
Speaker 7: he just comes out of than where he is in

576
00:25:01,280 --> 00:25:02,879
Speaker 7: the industry in ranks. I had him, I have him

577
00:25:02,920 --> 00:25:05,320
Speaker 7: above the field, and maybe that's just because he was.

578
00:25:05,440 --> 00:25:07,960
Speaker 7: It kind of followed season long rankings the first week

579
00:25:08,000 --> 00:25:10,160
Speaker 7: and it hasn't really caught up. I mean, the Chiefs

580
00:25:10,240 --> 00:25:12,800
Speaker 7: linebackers are a complete mismatch for David Johnson because the

581
00:25:12,840 --> 00:25:15,760
Speaker 7: one thing he still does has has really strong receiving acumen,

582
00:25:15,840 --> 00:25:18,679
Speaker 7: even if he never was a great running back period,

583
00:25:18,840 --> 00:25:21,080
Speaker 7: like as a runner, and that's kind of really caught

584
00:25:21,160 --> 00:25:22,560
Speaker 7: up to him the last couple of years. But he's

585
00:25:22,560 --> 00:25:25,800
Speaker 7: still you know, average ten yards per catch. Was caught

586
00:25:25,840 --> 00:25:28,240
Speaker 7: thirty passes with three hundred yards those opening six games

587
00:25:28,240 --> 00:25:31,120
Speaker 7: the last year. Last year, Anthony Hitchens allow of thirty

588
00:25:31,160 --> 00:25:34,360
Speaker 7: seven catches foreigner guards and coverage. Damian Wilson, who has

589
00:25:34,359 --> 00:25:36,639
Speaker 7: to play this year again thirty nine catches in coverage,

590
00:25:37,400 --> 00:25:39,600
Speaker 7: you know, and the Chiefs were thirty first and receiving

591
00:25:39,640 --> 00:25:41,280
Speaker 7: points a lot per game to running backs, they were

592
00:25:41,280 --> 00:25:44,280
Speaker 7: twenty seventh in that year before, even if they're chasing script.

593
00:25:44,280 --> 00:25:45,800
Speaker 7: I mean, it just kind of sets up a little

594
00:25:45,840 --> 00:25:47,840
Speaker 7: bit for David Johnson have one of his better games

595
00:25:47,880 --> 00:25:49,920
Speaker 7: the year, and he's fresh and he's healthy, which kind

596
00:25:49,920 --> 00:25:51,639
Speaker 7: of you know, these guys that we might not be

597
00:25:51,680 --> 00:25:54,280
Speaker 7: in on for the full season, like David Johnson or

598
00:25:54,280 --> 00:25:56,760
Speaker 7: Gurley or even in the levon like these guys earlier

599
00:25:56,760 --> 00:25:58,360
Speaker 7: in the season, like it could be when they're.

600
00:25:58,160 --> 00:25:58,840
Speaker 4: At their best.

601
00:25:58,960 --> 00:26:01,000
Speaker 7: So I think David Johnson's catch a bunch of balls

602
00:26:01,000 --> 00:26:05,600
Speaker 7: on Thursday night, and then both Colts running backs pretty

603
00:26:05,600 --> 00:26:08,720
Speaker 7: obvious smash spot against the Jaguars defense that is really

604
00:26:08,760 --> 00:26:10,280
Speaker 7: not going to show up to play, and the Colts

605
00:26:10,359 --> 00:26:12,760
Speaker 7: just ran all over them last year. And the Colts

606
00:26:12,840 --> 00:26:14,920
Speaker 7: ran for more yards and their opponents more than any

607
00:26:14,920 --> 00:26:16,960
Speaker 7: other team in the NFL, So you're outside of the Ravens.

608
00:26:17,040 --> 00:26:19,200
Speaker 7: Colts backs ran for fifty two times with three hundred

609
00:26:19,200 --> 00:26:21,160
Speaker 7: and forty seven yards four touchdowns to the two games

610
00:26:21,160 --> 00:26:22,600
Speaker 7: they played the Jags. One of those games they had

611
00:26:22,600 --> 00:26:25,560
Speaker 7: two hundred yard rushers with Mac and Jonathan Williams. I

612
00:26:25,600 --> 00:26:28,600
Speaker 7: actually think that both Colts guys are probably RB two

613
00:26:28,640 --> 00:26:31,480
Speaker 7: guys in lineups upside for more. I mean, obviously one

614
00:26:31,520 --> 00:26:32,879
Speaker 7: of these guys could get froze out of the end

615
00:26:32,960 --> 00:26:34,960
Speaker 7: zone and then you're stuck with hollow yardage. But I

616
00:26:35,000 --> 00:26:36,800
Speaker 7: definitely think that this is a team that runs it

617
00:26:36,960 --> 00:26:38,919
Speaker 7: upwards of, you know, thirty to forty times in this

618
00:26:39,040 --> 00:26:41,920
Speaker 7: game as huge favorites, although they are on the road.

619
00:26:42,119 --> 00:26:45,199
Speaker 7: And then Austin Eckler still I think is undervalued, but

620
00:26:45,280 --> 00:26:47,080
Speaker 7: I kind of ran the stuck shot clock out there.

621
00:26:47,280 --> 00:26:50,080
Speaker 2: Yes, Reeves, I agree with all of the guys you mentioned.

622
00:26:50,119 --> 00:26:53,520
Speaker 2: Eckler in particular, He's going to crush this season and

623
00:26:54,160 --> 00:26:56,280
Speaker 2: I really like this spot for him, and in a

624
00:26:56,280 --> 00:26:58,919
Speaker 2: big picture since even though he doesn't have Philip Rivers

625
00:26:58,960 --> 00:27:01,639
Speaker 2: throwing to him anymore, I still think he's going to

626
00:27:01,640 --> 00:27:04,800
Speaker 2: get a lot of usage as a receiver. And when

627
00:27:05,000 --> 00:27:07,720
Speaker 2: he's been used as a receiver, he's been incredibly efficient.

628
00:27:07,840 --> 00:27:10,639
Speaker 2: Was number one among all running backs last year in

629
00:27:10,880 --> 00:27:14,480
Speaker 2: yards per route run. I mean, I think the most

630
00:27:14,480 --> 00:27:18,280
Speaker 2: efficient running back last year on a per snap basis,

631
00:27:18,480 --> 00:27:21,800
Speaker 2: in terms of turning snaps into fantasy points. There's just

632
00:27:21,840 --> 00:27:24,800
Speaker 2: so much to like about Eckler, And yes, I have

633
00:27:24,960 --> 00:27:28,359
Speaker 2: him as my number four running back in the rankings

634
00:27:28,760 --> 00:27:31,560
Speaker 2: this week. So really like him. Sean, who are you

635
00:27:31,760 --> 00:27:33,120
Speaker 2: on for this week?

636
00:27:33,800 --> 00:27:36,400
Speaker 8: Just to touch on Josh Jacobs a little bit more,

637
00:27:36,600 --> 00:27:39,280
Speaker 8: I have him as my number four running back. I

638
00:27:39,280 --> 00:27:41,680
Speaker 8: think he's a free square play in DFS at six

639
00:27:41,720 --> 00:27:42,320
Speaker 8: point eight K.

640
00:27:42,680 --> 00:27:43,280
Speaker 4: The Raiders.

641
00:27:43,320 --> 00:27:45,760
Speaker 8: You know they have one of the best offensive line.

642
00:27:45,760 --> 00:27:48,520
Speaker 8: They return all five starters. I think that's huge for

643
00:27:48,600 --> 00:27:51,480
Speaker 8: a season like this, especially entering Week one. The Panthers,

644
00:27:51,520 --> 00:27:54,959
Speaker 8: they grade near the bottom in almost every rush defense

645
00:27:55,080 --> 00:27:57,240
Speaker 8: metric I look at and you know they're entering the

646
00:27:57,240 --> 00:28:01,080
Speaker 8: post Luke keiklera, so they have a lot of new faces. Again,

647
00:28:01,280 --> 00:28:04,120
Speaker 8: I agree with Reeves, it really doesn't matter. If Jacobs

648
00:28:04,119 --> 00:28:06,320
Speaker 8: only catches one pass in this game. He'll probably hit

649
00:28:06,400 --> 00:28:09,399
Speaker 8: value just based on his rushing stats alone. So anything

650
00:28:09,400 --> 00:28:11,080
Speaker 8: he does in the receiving game is icing on the

651
00:28:11,119 --> 00:28:13,760
Speaker 8: cake here. The two guys I'm looking at are the

652
00:28:13,800 --> 00:28:17,800
Speaker 8: four K pass catching running backs, although in Antonio Gibson's case,

653
00:28:17,840 --> 00:28:20,080
Speaker 8: he could be sort of the workhorse back week one,

654
00:28:20,119 --> 00:28:22,440
Speaker 8: so I think he's a free square. I'm a little

655
00:28:22,440 --> 00:28:24,760
Speaker 8: bit worried he could be over oh this week, so

656
00:28:24,800 --> 00:28:27,119
Speaker 8: I'll be I'll be seeing, like, you know, what his

657
00:28:27,160 --> 00:28:30,440
Speaker 8: expected ownership is. He he would be an interesting guy

658
00:28:30,520 --> 00:28:32,879
Speaker 8: to fade if he's too highly owned, because we haven't

659
00:28:32,880 --> 00:28:35,080
Speaker 8: really seen him play running back at the NFL level yet,

660
00:28:35,800 --> 00:28:37,639
Speaker 8: So I think an interesting pivot from him if you

661
00:28:37,640 --> 00:28:39,760
Speaker 8: want to be a little bit controlling, to be Chris Thompson.

662
00:28:40,440 --> 00:28:43,320
Speaker 8: He's also four K. Again, you know a lot of

663
00:28:43,320 --> 00:28:46,000
Speaker 8: people are focusing on James Robinson being deemed the starting

664
00:28:46,080 --> 00:28:49,320
Speaker 8: running back, but I'm not really investing in him quite yet.

665
00:28:49,320 --> 00:28:52,800
Speaker 8: I think Chris Thompson will be the main pass catching back,

666
00:28:52,800 --> 00:28:54,560
Speaker 8: and that's the guy you want to target this week

667
00:28:54,840 --> 00:28:57,120
Speaker 8: against Indy. So you know, Chris Thompson at four K

668
00:28:57,240 --> 00:28:59,560
Speaker 8: could be interesting pivot play if if it looks like

669
00:28:59,560 --> 00:29:01,360
Speaker 8: he's gonna be under owned. So I love both of

670
00:29:01,400 --> 00:29:05,200
Speaker 8: those pass catching backs at nearman price right there, but

671
00:29:05,480 --> 00:29:07,920
Speaker 8: you know, again, monitoring how much they'll be owned this week.

672
00:29:07,920 --> 00:29:08,920
Speaker 8: I think that's gonna be critical.

673
00:29:10,320 --> 00:29:14,080
Speaker 2: Sean. I love both of those pass catching backs you mentioned,

674
00:29:14,480 --> 00:29:17,280
Speaker 2: especially Thompson in that I do think he's going to

675
00:29:17,320 --> 00:29:20,600
Speaker 2: be relatively under owned this week. I just think people

676
00:29:20,640 --> 00:29:24,120
Speaker 2: will look at the price tags for Thompson, look at Gibson,

677
00:29:24,520 --> 00:29:27,480
Speaker 2: and everyone will just pivot to Gibson. So I think

678
00:29:27,520 --> 00:29:32,320
Speaker 2: that could create some extra ownership value on Thompson. Raybond,

679
00:29:32,520 --> 00:29:34,720
Speaker 2: who are you high on this week? Yeah?

680
00:29:34,720 --> 00:29:37,280
Speaker 3: I love the calls on Thompson and Gibson. Those are

681
00:29:37,280 --> 00:29:39,560
Speaker 3: obviously guys that just gonna get a lot more snaps

682
00:29:39,560 --> 00:29:40,520
Speaker 3: than their price indicates.

683
00:29:40,560 --> 00:29:43,240
Speaker 5: But I'm looking at Chris Carson. Chris Carson is the

684
00:29:43,280 --> 00:29:43,600
Speaker 5: guy that.

685
00:29:43,600 --> 00:29:46,360
Speaker 3: Kind of always goes a little bit under the radar,

686
00:29:46,480 --> 00:29:49,640
Speaker 3: but six point two K he's a nice you know,

687
00:29:49,720 --> 00:29:51,880
Speaker 3: for tournaments. I think pivot off Jacobs is going to

688
00:29:51,920 --> 00:29:54,800
Speaker 3: be a lot higher owned. And Carson is a guy

689
00:29:54,800 --> 00:29:59,040
Speaker 3: who averaging you know, nearly twenty touches per game over

690
00:29:59,080 --> 00:30:00,960
Speaker 3: the last two years, and he actually sees a lot

691
00:30:01,680 --> 00:30:04,920
Speaker 3: an increase in his receiving usage when they're on the road,

692
00:30:04,960 --> 00:30:07,560
Speaker 3: averages three targets per game over the last two years

693
00:30:07,560 --> 00:30:09,400
Speaker 3: on the road compared to one point nine at home.

694
00:30:09,520 --> 00:30:13,080
Speaker 3: So that's also helpful, especially on a site like Draftings.

695
00:30:13,080 --> 00:30:15,360
Speaker 3: So I think with Carlos Hide looks like he was

696
00:30:15,400 --> 00:30:17,840
Speaker 3: held out of practice this week, there's really just like

697
00:30:17,880 --> 00:30:21,240
Speaker 3: Travis Homer, who's a special teamer, and you know DJ

698
00:30:21,360 --> 00:30:23,800
Speaker 3: Dallas who's a rookie. I think this could be a huge,

699
00:30:24,360 --> 00:30:28,000
Speaker 3: huge volume game for Chris Carson shot penny to start

700
00:30:28,000 --> 00:30:30,480
Speaker 3: the year, all right.

701
00:30:30,720 --> 00:30:33,240
Speaker 2: I talked about Eckler before. Another guy who stands out

702
00:30:33,280 --> 00:30:37,800
Speaker 2: to me is cam Akers. I think a month from

703
00:30:37,800 --> 00:30:39,640
Speaker 2: now we might all look back and be like, man,

704
00:30:39,680 --> 00:30:42,160
Speaker 2: I can't believe I had cam Acres ranked outside of

705
00:30:42,200 --> 00:30:45,440
Speaker 2: the top twelve in a week one I'm probably wrong.

706
00:30:45,800 --> 00:30:48,400
Speaker 2: I'll just say that I know on like the Acres

707
00:30:48,440 --> 00:30:52,120
Speaker 2: stand here, but it's a high scoring game against the

708
00:30:52,200 --> 00:30:56,080
Speaker 2: Dallas Cowboys. We've seen that Rams offense be able to

709
00:30:56,560 --> 00:30:59,440
Speaker 2: even last year with a broken down Todd Gurley be

710
00:30:59,440 --> 00:31:03,800
Speaker 2: able his funnel high level production to a running back.

711
00:31:04,160 --> 00:31:06,840
Speaker 2: And because of everything that Acres has going for him,

712
00:31:07,240 --> 00:31:10,160
Speaker 2: the fact that he was very productive in college, a

713
00:31:10,280 --> 00:31:13,880
Speaker 2: great athletic profile, a lot of draft capital invested in him,

714
00:31:13,880 --> 00:31:18,000
Speaker 2: and now for week one, Darryl Henderson looks like he's

715
00:31:18,040 --> 00:31:21,160
Speaker 2: probably going to be out or at least limited, and

716
00:31:21,200 --> 00:31:24,240
Speaker 2: I'm not really buying Malcolm Brown, So I think Acres

717
00:31:24,880 --> 00:31:27,160
Speaker 2: is really just a perfect spot to be able to

718
00:31:27,200 --> 00:31:30,280
Speaker 2: get a lot of usage right away. So he is

719
00:31:30,560 --> 00:31:33,280
Speaker 2: very much the guy that I am on Reeves, who

720
00:31:33,760 --> 00:31:36,000
Speaker 2: is someone you're looking to fade.

721
00:31:37,240 --> 00:31:38,680
Speaker 4: Nick Chubb pretty much stands out.

722
00:31:38,720 --> 00:31:40,400
Speaker 7: I know it's not really a hot take, but I mean,

723
00:31:40,440 --> 00:31:43,440
Speaker 7: you got a huge road dog that might not catch passes.

724
00:31:44,120 --> 00:31:47,560
Speaker 7: It's pretty pretty terrible spot here to really chase groundwork.

725
00:31:48,440 --> 00:31:49,920
Speaker 7: We don't know what the Browns are going to do.

726
00:31:49,960 --> 00:31:51,280
Speaker 7: I mean, there's been a lot of speculation in this

727
00:31:51,320 --> 00:31:53,680
Speaker 7: offseason on how they're going to split up those carries

728
00:31:53,960 --> 00:31:55,600
Speaker 7: and how they're going to use you know, Cream Hunt

729
00:31:55,600 --> 00:31:58,440
Speaker 7: and Nick Chubb together and then having a third target

730
00:31:58,440 --> 00:32:00,840
Speaker 7: this year in Austin Hooper and pass games. They did

731
00:32:00,880 --> 00:32:02,960
Speaker 7: not have that over the back half of last season

732
00:32:02,960 --> 00:32:04,760
Speaker 7: when cream Hunt was third on the team in targets.

733
00:32:04,880 --> 00:32:06,160
Speaker 4: There's a lot in limbo here.

734
00:32:06,240 --> 00:32:08,160
Speaker 7: I mean a lot of people are trying to just

735
00:32:08,200 --> 00:32:10,040
Speaker 7: you know, square peg a guy that's called you know

736
00:32:10,200 --> 00:32:13,160
Speaker 7: NFL games for twenty games at twenty game sample side

737
00:32:13,160 --> 00:32:15,400
Speaker 7: and say the Brownsers can be the twenty nineteen Vikings.

738
00:32:15,400 --> 00:32:16,840
Speaker 4: I don't think that's gonna be the case either.

739
00:32:16,880 --> 00:32:19,000
Speaker 7: But just like I said, it's just a bad spot

740
00:32:19,000 --> 00:32:20,200
Speaker 7: and a guy we don't know if he's going to

741
00:32:20,480 --> 00:32:21,520
Speaker 7: be involved in the past game.

742
00:32:21,520 --> 00:32:21,920
Speaker 4: Maybe he is.

743
00:32:21,960 --> 00:32:23,920
Speaker 7: Maybe he gets some of those screen passes Dalvin Cook

744
00:32:23,960 --> 00:32:25,760
Speaker 7: you know had last year, and he's able to do

745
00:32:25,800 --> 00:32:27,880
Speaker 7: some work on those, but we still don't know. And

746
00:32:28,080 --> 00:32:29,960
Speaker 7: you talk about this huge road dogs against the defense

747
00:32:29,960 --> 00:32:33,040
Speaker 7: that added Klays Campbell is definitely formidable against the ron.

748
00:32:33,480 --> 00:32:35,440
Speaker 7: So just a little bit more down, wait and see

749
00:32:35,440 --> 00:32:37,160
Speaker 7: on Nick Chubb more of a an RB two guy.

750
00:32:37,160 --> 00:32:39,520
Speaker 7: You probably need a touchdown from him, and I think

751
00:32:39,640 --> 00:32:42,680
Speaker 7: there's at least a conversation to be had for Antonio

752
00:32:42,680 --> 00:32:46,200
Speaker 7: Gibson that, like the wide spectrum of outcomes that he has,

753
00:32:46,400 --> 00:32:48,240
Speaker 7: he's definitely hard to get away from at four K

754
00:32:48,400 --> 00:32:50,920
Speaker 7: on DK, And like Friedman knows, I've been talking talking

755
00:32:50,920 --> 00:32:53,600
Speaker 7: to the DMS about Gibson for a while, but there's

756
00:32:53,600 --> 00:32:56,080
Speaker 7: just a we don't know how many touches he's gonna get.

757
00:32:56,120 --> 00:32:58,480
Speaker 7: Like it could be awesome, he could get eighteen to

758
00:32:58,520 --> 00:33:00,520
Speaker 7: twenty touches, he could get twelve touches.

759
00:33:01,040 --> 00:33:02,520
Speaker 4: I'm looking at projected ownership.

760
00:33:02,560 --> 00:33:04,800
Speaker 7: I mean it's through the roof on DK already, and

761
00:33:04,800 --> 00:33:06,200
Speaker 7: then it's I think it's way too high in a

762
00:33:06,200 --> 00:33:07,920
Speaker 7: sight like Vandals. We don't know if he'll even get

763
00:33:07,960 --> 00:33:11,000
Speaker 7: goal line opportunities as well. Then the Eagles are a

764
00:33:11,040 --> 00:33:14,000
Speaker 7: team that we've you know, completely wanted to avoid rushing

765
00:33:14,040 --> 00:33:17,200
Speaker 7: production from anyways. You know, they're they've been six, fifth

766
00:33:17,280 --> 00:33:20,160
Speaker 7: and first and rushing points loud the backfields the past

767
00:33:20,200 --> 00:33:24,040
Speaker 7: three seasons. Washington and two games against them combined rushed

768
00:33:24,040 --> 00:33:25,760
Speaker 7: thirty two times for one hundred and three yards with

769
00:33:25,760 --> 00:33:28,800
Speaker 7: their running backs last year. Granted one, none of those

770
00:33:28,800 --> 00:33:31,560
Speaker 7: guys were as good as Antonio Gibson potentially could be.

771
00:33:32,120 --> 00:33:34,880
Speaker 7: There's just a wide spectrum of where he could land, though,

772
00:33:35,000 --> 00:33:36,840
Speaker 7: And I don't think if his ownership's going to be

773
00:33:37,120 --> 00:33:39,680
Speaker 7: like upwards of thirty percent like it's looking like on

774
00:33:39,800 --> 00:33:42,200
Speaker 7: DK Now, I think that's pretty easy to get away

775
00:33:42,240 --> 00:33:44,280
Speaker 7: from just and just to just a hedge and say,

776
00:33:44,280 --> 00:33:46,560
Speaker 7: if this guy doesn't score a touchdown, he could definitely

777
00:33:46,720 --> 00:33:49,200
Speaker 7: has a nice he's gonna hit value there at four K.

778
00:33:49,320 --> 00:33:51,400
Speaker 7: But I think definitely on Fanuel to it he's way

779
00:33:51,440 --> 00:33:54,240
Speaker 7: too high and he could smash as well, but that's

780
00:33:54,280 --> 00:33:56,720
Speaker 7: definitely in the range of outcomes. But I definitely think

781
00:33:56,760 --> 00:33:59,360
Speaker 7: that he's a guy I'm optimistic on. But I don't

782
00:33:59,400 --> 00:34:00,960
Speaker 7: have two feet in week one yet.

783
00:34:01,360 --> 00:34:03,600
Speaker 2: All Right, Sean, who are you looking to stay away from?

784
00:34:03,920 --> 00:34:06,000
Speaker 8: So Raheem Mostart's the guy that sticks up for me.

785
00:34:06,480 --> 00:34:08,480
Speaker 8: I don't think his price is too far off. I

786
00:34:08,480 --> 00:34:11,719
Speaker 8: think five point eight K is fair for him. But

787
00:34:11,920 --> 00:34:14,600
Speaker 8: you know, the forty narrows offense, you know, Kyle Shanahan

788
00:34:14,760 --> 00:34:17,120
Speaker 8: does like to go out the hot handed times. Mozart

789
00:34:17,120 --> 00:34:19,880
Speaker 8: doesn't really provide much in the past game. He's pretty

790
00:34:19,880 --> 00:34:23,480
Speaker 8: touchdown dependent, and you know they decided to keep Jeff Wilson,

791
00:34:23,520 --> 00:34:26,160
Speaker 8: who you know, I just hate projecting out because he

792
00:34:26,200 --> 00:34:28,960
Speaker 8: does vulture some touchdowns. So I think Mozart has a

793
00:34:29,000 --> 00:34:31,359
Speaker 8: lower floor than people realize. Again, I think he has

794
00:34:31,360 --> 00:34:33,759
Speaker 8: a high ceiling. And if you take him, you know,

795
00:34:33,960 --> 00:34:35,360
Speaker 8: I'm not going to fault you for it. But I

796
00:34:35,360 --> 00:34:36,960
Speaker 8: think he's one of the guys that I do like

797
00:34:37,000 --> 00:34:39,960
Speaker 8: to fade heading into week one. And you know, we

798
00:34:40,040 --> 00:34:42,560
Speaker 8: haven't really heard much about Jack McKinnon, which is good

799
00:34:42,600 --> 00:34:44,200
Speaker 8: news for him, so he's going to be in the mix.

800
00:34:45,160 --> 00:34:47,000
Speaker 8: You know, Tevin Coleman will be there. It's just one

801
00:34:47,040 --> 00:34:49,520
Speaker 8: of those situations where you might as well spend up

802
00:34:49,520 --> 00:34:51,640
Speaker 8: a few hundred dollars to get in a true block in,

803
00:34:51,680 --> 00:34:53,960
Speaker 8: a true workhorse, or spend down to get some of

804
00:34:53,960 --> 00:34:55,640
Speaker 8: these value options. So he sticks out like a sore

805
00:34:55,680 --> 00:34:58,480
Speaker 8: thune this week as someone will avoid. Maybe know, the

806
00:34:58,520 --> 00:35:01,839
Speaker 8: other guy I'm clearly voarding is James White at six K,

807
00:35:02,520 --> 00:35:06,319
Speaker 8: just because you know Gibson and Chris Thompson at four K.

808
00:35:06,440 --> 00:35:08,400
Speaker 8: You just have so many of these pass catching backs

809
00:35:08,760 --> 00:35:11,120
Speaker 8: that are too cheap this week that James White really

810
00:35:11,160 --> 00:35:14,360
Speaker 8: doesn't make sense, especially in a home matchup against the Dolphins.

811
00:35:14,360 --> 00:35:16,920
Speaker 8: Where he might not be needed as much. He's one

812
00:35:16,960 --> 00:35:18,480
Speaker 8: of the guys that I think I'll be fading just

813
00:35:18,520 --> 00:35:20,919
Speaker 8: based on his price point and better options that are

814
00:35:21,320 --> 00:35:22,279
Speaker 8: way cheaper this week.

815
00:35:23,160 --> 00:35:25,600
Speaker 2: All right, Raymond, what about you me?

816
00:35:25,680 --> 00:35:29,160
Speaker 3: It's that the Tampa Bay backfield going against New Orleans.

817
00:35:29,520 --> 00:35:31,440
Speaker 3: We already know, you know, there's kind of a lot

818
00:35:31,520 --> 00:35:35,040
Speaker 3: of uncertainty about the roles with Fournette six k, Ronald

819
00:35:35,120 --> 00:35:38,360
Speaker 3: Jones five point two k. Obviously, with Jones, you know,

820
00:35:38,400 --> 00:35:40,320
Speaker 3: if you're even thinking about it, you know you gotta

821
00:35:40,360 --> 00:35:42,160
Speaker 3: go down into like that four K range. And there's

822
00:35:42,200 --> 00:35:45,120
Speaker 3: so many better backs. But New Orleans also just a

823
00:35:45,239 --> 00:35:48,560
Speaker 3: very good run defense. They were they were top five

824
00:35:48,600 --> 00:35:51,200
Speaker 3: in DVOA against the run last year, they were top

825
00:35:51,200 --> 00:35:54,239
Speaker 3: five and lease fantasy points allowed to running back. So

826
00:35:54,960 --> 00:35:56,400
Speaker 3: I just don't think this is going to be a

827
00:35:56,440 --> 00:35:58,879
Speaker 3: good a good spot for New Orleans running the ball.

828
00:35:58,920 --> 00:36:00,840
Speaker 5: And that's another reason why I took the over on

829
00:36:00,840 --> 00:36:01,879
Speaker 5: on the greedy passing prop.

830
00:36:02,360 --> 00:36:05,280
Speaker 2: All right, Sean, give us the running back prop.

831
00:36:05,680 --> 00:36:08,680
Speaker 8: So we're gonna go with Antonio Gibson total rushing and

832
00:36:08,719 --> 00:36:11,560
Speaker 8: receiving yards this week. Curious to hear you guys are

833
00:36:11,560 --> 00:36:14,040
Speaker 8: at but right now I have him at sixty and

834
00:36:14,120 --> 00:36:16,960
Speaker 8: a half total scrimmage yards, so not that many.

835
00:36:17,320 --> 00:36:20,320
Speaker 2: I'll take the over here. I have it closer to seventy,

836
00:36:20,760 --> 00:36:24,840
Speaker 2: which is not a surprise that I'm so optimistic on

837
00:36:24,960 --> 00:36:27,080
Speaker 2: him in that time being the fish by taking it

838
00:36:27,200 --> 00:36:30,880
Speaker 2: over once again. But Antonio Gibson, I'm going to be

839
00:36:30,920 --> 00:36:31,800
Speaker 2: early to the party.

840
00:36:32,000 --> 00:36:33,640
Speaker 5: Yeah, I'm go over. I have him at sixty eight.

841
00:36:33,680 --> 00:36:35,719
Speaker 3: I think that, you know, it's a good point that

842
00:36:35,800 --> 00:36:37,719
Speaker 3: Rich made. He might not see goal on work or

843
00:36:37,719 --> 00:36:40,880
Speaker 3: anything like that, but just looking at his Washington offense,

844
00:36:41,000 --> 00:36:44,040
Speaker 3: it's hard not to project Gibson for good amount of touches.

845
00:36:44,120 --> 00:36:46,279
Speaker 3: And I think that the one of the reasons, you know,

846
00:36:46,440 --> 00:36:48,839
Speaker 3: they released Adrian petersons because they want their running backs

847
00:36:48,840 --> 00:36:51,000
Speaker 3: to be able to go in motion to catch passes.

848
00:36:51,040 --> 00:36:54,560
Speaker 3: So he'll get scheme touches if they get behind those

849
00:36:54,560 --> 00:36:56,960
Speaker 3: will be in the passing game. Even more so, I

850
00:36:57,000 --> 00:37:00,440
Speaker 3: really don't have Gibson projected for many for many carries,

851
00:37:00,520 --> 00:37:03,920
Speaker 3: only five point six, so being very conservative with his carries,

852
00:37:04,200 --> 00:37:07,279
Speaker 3: and I'm still well over that yardage prop so I

853
00:37:07,360 --> 00:37:10,960
Speaker 3: think it's kind of a situation where the touchdown is

854
00:37:11,280 --> 00:37:13,640
Speaker 3: probably gonna be what does it. I don't think he's

855
00:37:13,680 --> 00:37:16,160
Speaker 3: a great bet for a touchdown, but I do think

856
00:37:16,200 --> 00:37:19,000
Speaker 3: he's a pretty salary high floor play in terms of yardage.

857
00:37:19,760 --> 00:37:21,279
Speaker 4: Yeah, I gotta go over too as well.

858
00:37:21,320 --> 00:37:23,719
Speaker 7: There just the numbers too strong because we know he's

859
00:37:23,719 --> 00:37:25,480
Speaker 7: going to be involved in the past game and you know,

860
00:37:25,680 --> 00:37:27,560
Speaker 7: just you know, a couple of plays here. Even if

861
00:37:27,600 --> 00:37:29,080
Speaker 7: he gets four or five catches, he's gonna be in

862
00:37:29,080 --> 00:37:31,160
Speaker 7: the ballpark if he just tacks on. Even if he's

863
00:37:31,239 --> 00:37:34,239
Speaker 7: somewhat styming for like five to seven carries for like

864
00:37:34,280 --> 00:37:36,239
Speaker 7: twenty four yards, Like, if he can get four yards,

865
00:37:36,400 --> 00:37:37,200
Speaker 7: he's still gonna be there.

866
00:37:37,360 --> 00:37:39,840
Speaker 4: So we'll all just take the bait on that one.

867
00:37:40,440 --> 00:37:42,239
Speaker 8: Yeah, Yeah, I'm not too happy you guys all took

868
00:37:42,320 --> 00:37:44,480
Speaker 8: the over. But again, he has a wide range of outcomes.

869
00:37:44,480 --> 00:37:47,040
Speaker 8: It'll be either forty or eighty. I don't think it's

870
00:37:47,040 --> 00:37:49,040
Speaker 8: gonna come down to the wire here, But yeah, I

871
00:37:49,040 --> 00:37:50,680
Speaker 8: think you guys are right. I think just the fact

872
00:37:50,719 --> 00:37:53,920
Speaker 8: that he's going to dominate the passing down work helps

873
00:37:53,920 --> 00:37:56,239
Speaker 8: in a market like this. Again, you know Bryce Love

874
00:37:56,280 --> 00:37:59,440
Speaker 8: and Peyton Barber, well, you know they'll eat into his

875
00:37:59,800 --> 00:38:02,560
Speaker 8: care and especially goallying work. But I'm not too worried

876
00:38:02,600 --> 00:38:05,400
Speaker 8: about JD McKissick eating into his target chair. So I

877
00:38:05,400 --> 00:38:06,960
Speaker 8: think I think you guys are right. His path to

878
00:38:07,040 --> 00:38:09,480
Speaker 8: going over here is his receiving work, and I do

879
00:38:09,520 --> 00:38:11,200
Speaker 8: feel confident about that this week.

880
00:38:11,400 --> 00:38:13,160
Speaker 2: All right, let's take a quick break to talk with

881
00:38:13,160 --> 00:38:16,359
Speaker 2: our friend Peter Jenny AND's Akacs raam Adh, a two

882
00:38:16,480 --> 00:38:20,200
Speaker 2: time DFS World champion and co founder of Fantasy Lapse. Pete,

883
00:38:20,239 --> 00:38:20,839
Speaker 2: how's he going?

884
00:38:21,320 --> 00:38:24,319
Speaker 6: Mat'st to be with you. Very excited for Week one

885
00:38:24,520 --> 00:38:27,800
Speaker 6: and yeah, a lot of money on the line across

886
00:38:27,880 --> 00:38:29,719
Speaker 6: the board with NFL starting up.

887
00:38:30,160 --> 00:38:32,120
Speaker 2: How are you approaching cash games in Week one?

888
00:38:32,680 --> 00:38:36,239
Speaker 6: Historically, almost every year we've had some screaming value with

889
00:38:36,440 --> 00:38:39,000
Speaker 6: injuries or a spot opening up, and we have a

890
00:38:39,080 --> 00:38:41,840
Speaker 6: little bit of that this year. I think probably the

891
00:38:41,880 --> 00:38:44,319
Speaker 6: big guy who's been priced on draftings that a lot

892
00:38:44,320 --> 00:38:46,920
Speaker 6: of people play as Antonio Gibson, but still a lot

893
00:38:46,960 --> 00:38:48,920
Speaker 6: of uncertainty and there's some pretty nice value on some

894
00:38:49,000 --> 00:38:51,720
Speaker 6: of these other running backs. So definitely looking to jamming

895
00:38:51,960 --> 00:38:55,279
Speaker 6: the high value guys, and more so this year, I

896
00:38:55,360 --> 00:38:57,200
Speaker 6: think I will have a little bit more balanced lineup

897
00:38:57,280 --> 00:38:59,560
Speaker 6: versus the kind of stars and scrubs that I've had

898
00:38:59,560 --> 00:39:01,640
Speaker 6: in the past with some of the value that we've

899
00:39:01,680 --> 00:39:02,960
Speaker 6: had in Week one previously.

900
00:39:03,280 --> 00:39:05,680
Speaker 2: And what are the things you're looking at for GPPs.

901
00:39:06,080 --> 00:39:08,120
Speaker 6: Yeah, I'm looking at some game stacks for sure. I

902
00:39:08,200 --> 00:39:11,320
Speaker 6: think that's something we've seen. The trends at Fantasy Labs

903
00:39:11,400 --> 00:39:14,160
Speaker 6: show that, you know, having a quarterback with a pass

904
00:39:14,200 --> 00:39:17,080
Speaker 6: catcher and running it back with an opposing player makes

905
00:39:17,120 --> 00:39:19,480
Speaker 6: a lot of sense. So I'm targeting some games and

906
00:39:19,840 --> 00:39:21,320
Speaker 6: as the week goes on, I'll have a sense of

907
00:39:21,520 --> 00:39:23,600
Speaker 6: kind of where ownership is going to be, and I'll

908
00:39:23,719 --> 00:39:25,720
Speaker 6: try to stack some lower own games.

909
00:39:26,160 --> 00:39:28,160
Speaker 2: Okay, give us a couple of quarterbacks you like.

910
00:39:28,640 --> 00:39:30,400
Speaker 6: Yeah, I think Carson Wentz has a chance to be

911
00:39:30,440 --> 00:39:33,560
Speaker 6: pretty jockey, but I like him initially for cash game.

912
00:39:33,800 --> 00:39:36,600
Speaker 6: If you really want to save Tyrod Taylor's ranking pretty

913
00:39:36,640 --> 00:39:40,839
Speaker 6: well in our models from a pure projection standpoint, it's

914
00:39:40,880 --> 00:39:43,200
Speaker 6: hard to go away from Lamar Jackson. So if you're

915
00:39:43,239 --> 00:39:46,680
Speaker 6: going to save running back with a Gibson, obviously, Lamar

916
00:39:47,239 --> 00:39:50,120
Speaker 6: was unbelievable last year, so looking at him as well.

917
00:39:50,200 --> 00:39:51,960
Speaker 6: And then there's a ton of guys that I like

918
00:39:52,000 --> 00:39:52,640
Speaker 6: for tournaments.

919
00:39:52,960 --> 00:39:54,640
Speaker 2: Who are some of the running backs you want to

920
00:39:54,719 --> 00:39:56,000
Speaker 2: invest in Yeah.

921
00:39:55,840 --> 00:39:58,880
Speaker 6: So running back, I mentioned Gibson upfront, He's four k,

922
00:39:59,040 --> 00:40:01,439
Speaker 6: which is men in price raftings. They raised the floor

923
00:40:01,640 --> 00:40:04,200
Speaker 6: on going to one price to handle the situation of

924
00:40:04,239 --> 00:40:06,520
Speaker 6: people being out. I think the best values though are

925
00:40:06,640 --> 00:40:10,080
Speaker 6: Josh Jacobs for the Raiders at sixty eight hundred and

926
00:40:10,239 --> 00:40:12,800
Speaker 6: Alvin Kamara, who looks like he's about to sign a

927
00:40:12,880 --> 00:40:15,480
Speaker 6: deal with New Orleans. So I like both those quite

928
00:40:15,520 --> 00:40:18,440
Speaker 6: a bit. Both those guys quite a bit in all formats.

929
00:40:18,760 --> 00:40:20,480
Speaker 2: And who are some of the wide receivers you want?

930
00:40:20,760 --> 00:40:23,840
Speaker 6: Yeah, wide receiver is loaded, so many good options. I

931
00:40:23,920 --> 00:40:26,799
Speaker 6: think Dejean Jackson will be chockey and I view him

932
00:40:26,840 --> 00:40:29,640
Speaker 6: more as a tournament only type play at forty nine hundred,

933
00:40:29,719 --> 00:40:32,319
Speaker 6: so I might stay away even though he's rating really

934
00:40:32,360 --> 00:40:34,960
Speaker 6: well in our Fantasy Labs models. A couple guys I

935
00:40:35,120 --> 00:40:38,320
Speaker 6: absolutely love Terry McLaurin fifty six hundred. I think he

936
00:40:38,520 --> 00:40:41,960
Speaker 6: is an absolute lock at that price. TAG really really

937
00:40:42,000 --> 00:40:45,239
Speaker 6: want exposure to him against the Eagles. I like DK

938
00:40:45,440 --> 00:40:48,560
Speaker 6: Metcalf at only fifty eight hundred, and then if I'm spending,

939
00:40:48,760 --> 00:40:51,400
Speaker 6: I think my favorite spend is DeVante Adams at seventy

940
00:40:51,400 --> 00:40:52,279
Speaker 6: three hundred.

941
00:40:52,400 --> 00:40:53,840
Speaker 2: And then at tight end. Who are some of the

942
00:40:53,920 --> 00:40:54,879
Speaker 2: guys who catch your eye?

943
00:40:55,360 --> 00:40:58,400
Speaker 6: Yeah, historically I've spent at this position. Like I mentioned,

944
00:40:58,400 --> 00:41:01,000
Speaker 6: I think Carson Wentz might be pretty jockey because you

945
00:41:01,040 --> 00:41:03,800
Speaker 6: have really cheap options. Miles Sanders I just mentioned to

946
00:41:03,840 --> 00:41:06,640
Speaker 6: Sean Jackson, and zach Ertz stands out at fifty eight hundred,

947
00:41:06,960 --> 00:41:09,120
Speaker 6: as does his counterpart. Are you know the other title

948
00:41:09,239 --> 00:41:11,680
Speaker 6: of the team Dallas. God, those guys are interesting, but

949
00:41:11,719 --> 00:41:13,960
Speaker 6: they might be chockey. So I'm either going to spend

950
00:41:14,040 --> 00:41:17,080
Speaker 6: up at George Kittle at seventy two hundred going against Arizona,

951
00:41:17,600 --> 00:41:19,440
Speaker 6: or I'm kind of looking at some of these other

952
00:41:19,560 --> 00:41:22,200
Speaker 6: guys in some new roles, like Hayden Hurst at forty

953
00:41:22,239 --> 00:41:25,040
Speaker 6: three hundred I think is really interesting. And I think

954
00:41:25,120 --> 00:41:27,080
Speaker 6: Chris Herndon is gonna have a bounce back season and

955
00:41:27,160 --> 00:41:29,680
Speaker 6: he's only thirty three hundred going against the Bills.

956
00:41:30,360 --> 00:41:32,520
Speaker 2: Right. Finally, are there any game stacks that you think

957
00:41:32,600 --> 00:41:33,719
Speaker 2: might be undervalued?

958
00:41:34,200 --> 00:41:37,320
Speaker 6: The Seattle Atlanta game is really interesting to me. I

959
00:41:37,360 --> 00:41:39,160
Speaker 6: know it's one of the higher totals. We'll see how

960
00:41:39,239 --> 00:41:41,759
Speaker 6: it kind of shakes out in terms of ownership. I'm

961
00:41:41,840 --> 00:41:45,200
Speaker 6: hopeful that the Tampa Bay New Orleans game soaks up

962
00:41:45,239 --> 00:41:47,920
Speaker 6: more ownership. If that's the case, I'm really intrigued by

963
00:41:48,000 --> 00:41:50,160
Speaker 6: this game. I think there's a lot of options, some

964
00:41:50,280 --> 00:41:52,440
Speaker 6: of which I've already mentioned here, that make a ton

965
00:41:52,480 --> 00:41:55,399
Speaker 6: of sense to me that this Carolina game, I think

966
00:41:55,520 --> 00:41:57,840
Speaker 6: is really interesting. One of the kind of middling the

967
00:41:57,920 --> 00:42:00,799
Speaker 6: higher end totals. I think the Caroll defense is going

968
00:42:00,840 --> 00:42:02,759
Speaker 6: to be really bad if the Raiders can put up

969
00:42:02,800 --> 00:42:05,960
Speaker 6: some points. Love Josh Jacobs, I mentioned Love, Christian McCaffrey

970
00:42:06,000 --> 00:42:08,440
Speaker 6: and Bridge Waterer's got a lot of options there, so

971
00:42:08,719 --> 00:42:10,480
Speaker 6: a lot of different ways that you can stack up

972
00:42:10,520 --> 00:42:12,879
Speaker 6: that game, and it's an intriguing spot for sure.

973
00:42:12,920 --> 00:42:14,160
Speaker 4: With a forty seven and a half total.

974
00:42:14,640 --> 00:42:17,640
Speaker 2: All right, that was Peter Jennings Pete, thanks for dropping in.

975
00:42:18,280 --> 00:42:19,439
Speaker 4: Thanks so much for having for me, Matt.

976
00:42:19,600 --> 00:42:22,879
Speaker 2: All right, let's move along to our wide receivers. Rich

977
00:42:23,040 --> 00:42:25,440
Speaker 2: the guys that we have at the top of our rankings,

978
00:42:25,600 --> 00:42:29,160
Speaker 2: Michael Thomas, Julio, Jones, Davante, Adams, you know you can

979
00:42:29,200 --> 00:42:31,360
Speaker 2: make some arguments for other guys to put in the

980
00:42:31,440 --> 00:42:34,680
Speaker 2: top three. How do you have your rankings here?

981
00:42:35,320 --> 00:42:39,560
Speaker 7: It's basically the season long talk here, Adams, Thomas, Julio,

982
00:42:39,680 --> 00:42:41,799
Speaker 7: Jones is all run into great spots, and we talked

983
00:42:41,800 --> 00:42:44,600
Speaker 7: about DeVante Adams and he was using a Michael Thomas

984
00:42:44,640 --> 00:42:47,120
Speaker 7: fashion to close last year in the last final ten games.

985
00:42:47,160 --> 00:42:49,400
Speaker 7: You know, we've it's been well documented what the Packers

986
00:42:49,440 --> 00:42:51,480
Speaker 7: have not done in the passing game. And then he's

987
00:42:51,520 --> 00:42:53,240
Speaker 7: going to go be going against you know, two rookie

988
00:42:53,280 --> 00:42:56,719
Speaker 7: quarterbacks and Jeff Gladney and Camera Danceler and then third

989
00:42:56,800 --> 00:42:59,120
Speaker 7: year guy Holton Hill and Mike Hughes, who probably won't

990
00:42:59,120 --> 00:43:01,600
Speaker 7: see that much in the lot. Just a tremendous spot

991
00:43:01,680 --> 00:43:04,279
Speaker 7: for him. Michael Thomas is going against the you know,

992
00:43:04,360 --> 00:43:06,359
Speaker 7: Tampae was thirty first in points per game, a lode

993
00:43:06,360 --> 00:43:09,600
Speaker 7: to opposing wide receiver one options he's had in seven

994
00:43:09,640 --> 00:43:11,600
Speaker 7: games against the Buccaneers, He's had six and more catches

995
00:43:11,640 --> 00:43:13,040
Speaker 7: in all of him He's had ninety four more yards

996
00:43:13,080 --> 00:43:15,520
Speaker 7: in all but one. And then Julio is in another

997
00:43:15,560 --> 00:43:18,120
Speaker 7: great spot too. Seattle, where they struggled was actually against

998
00:43:18,160 --> 00:43:20,839
Speaker 7: dominant X receivers. He had ten for one fifty two.

999
00:43:20,840 --> 00:43:22,640
Speaker 7: With Matt shab playing in this game a year ago,

1000
00:43:22,800 --> 00:43:25,840
Speaker 7: there's a path for him to also potentially lead the

1001
00:43:25,880 --> 00:43:27,360
Speaker 7: league in targets as well. And like kind of like

1002
00:43:27,440 --> 00:43:28,920
Speaker 7: a maybe one. I don't want to say a Swan

1003
00:43:29,000 --> 00:43:30,880
Speaker 7: Song year for Julio, but it's like I think he's

1004
00:43:30,920 --> 00:43:33,120
Speaker 7: got one more like really giant year in him based

1005
00:43:33,160 --> 00:43:35,239
Speaker 7: on what the Atlanta offense is right now and how

1006
00:43:35,280 --> 00:43:37,480
Speaker 7: it's used to revolve around the pass and him and

1007
00:43:37,560 --> 00:43:39,600
Speaker 7: Calvin Ridley and then question marks afterwards.

1008
00:43:39,800 --> 00:43:42,560
Speaker 4: So those are the all three guys, pretty chalky, but

1009
00:43:42,640 --> 00:43:44,160
Speaker 4: they just run into great spots.

1010
00:43:43,880 --> 00:43:46,560
Speaker 2: To open the season. All right, Sean, who do you

1011
00:43:46,680 --> 00:43:47,680
Speaker 2: have in the top three?

1012
00:43:48,040 --> 00:43:50,320
Speaker 8: Yeah, so Michael Thomas is number one, of course in

1013
00:43:50,400 --> 00:43:52,480
Speaker 8: a tier by himself, although I will say this Tier

1014
00:43:52,520 --> 00:43:54,560
Speaker 8: two is a little bit closer this week. So I have,

1015
00:43:54,760 --> 00:43:57,600
Speaker 8: you know, Terry Kill, DeVante Adams, Hulo Jones, all sort

1016
00:43:57,640 --> 00:44:00,280
Speaker 8: of within a point. I think whenever you talk about

1017
00:44:00,280 --> 00:44:02,160
Speaker 8: this Tierry you always have to say TERRYK. Hill has

1018
00:44:02,200 --> 00:44:04,959
Speaker 8: the highest ceiling of the bunch, in probably the lowest floor.

1019
00:44:05,320 --> 00:44:07,560
Speaker 8: I think DeVante Adams has the highest flour. Like I said,

1020
00:44:07,600 --> 00:44:09,960
Speaker 8: Aaron Rodgers really only has him to go to, so

1021
00:44:10,040 --> 00:44:12,120
Speaker 8: I think he's a lot for ten plus targets every week.

1022
00:44:12,280 --> 00:44:14,000
Speaker 8: I agree with what you said with Julio Jones. I

1023
00:44:14,160 --> 00:44:16,680
Speaker 8: think all three of these guys are interchangeable. I wouldn't

1024
00:44:16,680 --> 00:44:18,919
Speaker 8: be surprised if he has one of the highest spring

1025
00:44:19,360 --> 00:44:22,000
Speaker 8: weeks in week one. So yeah, I think all three

1026
00:44:22,040 --> 00:44:23,920
Speaker 8: are very close, but I have the edge to Hill

1027
00:44:24,000 --> 00:44:24,880
Speaker 8: just based on the ceiling.

1028
00:44:25,320 --> 00:44:27,319
Speaker 2: All right, Raybond, who do you have in the top three?

1029
00:44:27,920 --> 00:44:30,960
Speaker 5: I'll go with Hill as well over DeVante.

1030
00:44:31,080 --> 00:44:32,920
Speaker 3: I just think that when you look at Aaron Rodgers's

1031
00:44:33,000 --> 00:44:36,759
Speaker 3: numbers against Minnesota, and you know him averaging you know, well,

1032
00:44:36,840 --> 00:44:39,000
Speaker 3: under one and a half touchdowns per game, not many

1033
00:44:39,200 --> 00:44:41,879
Speaker 3: much yardage like that does still end up or could

1034
00:44:41,920 --> 00:44:45,040
Speaker 3: at least potentially end up trickling down to Devonte Adams,

1035
00:44:45,040 --> 00:44:47,840
Speaker 3: whereas you're looking at Mahomes and he's in a smash

1036
00:44:47,840 --> 00:44:50,279
Speaker 3: spot against Houston. So I think that's what kind of

1037
00:44:50,480 --> 00:44:53,239
Speaker 3: gives the edge to Tyreek in at top three for

1038
00:44:53,400 --> 00:44:56,719
Speaker 3: me over over DeVante Adams. Julio of course is in

1039
00:44:56,800 --> 00:44:59,600
Speaker 3: a great spot, and then Michael Thomas is the number

1040
00:44:59,600 --> 00:44:59,960
Speaker 3: one in two.

1041
00:45:00,160 --> 00:45:00,320
Speaker 7: You know.

1042
00:45:00,400 --> 00:45:03,960
Speaker 2: Further notice, all right, Rich, who is a guy or

1043
00:45:04,000 --> 00:45:06,400
Speaker 2: a couple of guys that you are relatively high on.

1044
00:45:07,440 --> 00:45:09,279
Speaker 7: All Right, I'm gonna try to dig down here and

1045
00:45:09,320 --> 00:45:10,920
Speaker 7: not just give guys like I think this. I think this,

1046
00:45:11,040 --> 00:45:12,640
Speaker 7: like the Seattle guys are in play that I think

1047
00:45:12,640 --> 00:45:15,640
Speaker 7: they're undervalued. But so we're going down for people might

1048
00:45:15,960 --> 00:45:18,040
Speaker 7: be thinking about like starting these guys. They're looking just

1049
00:45:18,120 --> 00:45:20,440
Speaker 7: to plug in a wide receiver three in DFS. The

1050
00:45:20,520 --> 00:45:23,239
Speaker 7: first guy that stands out is Anthony Miller. Just when

1051
00:45:23,239 --> 00:45:24,879
Speaker 7: you look at his target chair or the final seven

1052
00:45:24,920 --> 00:45:28,000
Speaker 7: games last season nineteen percent team target chair. We talked

1053
00:45:28,000 --> 00:45:30,239
Speaker 7: about their running back situation kind of coming into this game.

1054
00:45:30,320 --> 00:45:33,000
Speaker 7: It might lean towards being a little more pass heavy

1055
00:45:33,080 --> 00:45:35,839
Speaker 7: or doing greatest things with Mitchell Trubisky. He's gonna face

1056
00:45:36,160 --> 00:45:38,320
Speaker 7: Justin Coleman because he runs seventy eight percent of his

1057
00:45:38,440 --> 00:45:40,440
Speaker 7: routes in the slot. Colman allowed the third most catches,

1058
00:45:40,480 --> 00:45:42,239
Speaker 7: the second most yards, and the most touchdowns from the

1059
00:45:42,239 --> 00:45:44,719
Speaker 7: slot a year ago. Last two times they last time

1060
00:45:44,760 --> 00:45:48,600
Speaker 7: they played, Miller just went bonkers on him. Deshaun Jackson's

1061
00:45:48,600 --> 00:45:50,600
Speaker 7: really hard to get away from. Just when you look

1062
00:45:50,640 --> 00:45:53,080
Speaker 7: at Washington and Fatality, they've got a really good front seven,

1063
00:45:53,320 --> 00:45:55,000
Speaker 7: a lot of high draftis. But then we just look

1064
00:45:55,040 --> 00:45:57,560
Speaker 7: at their cornerback depth chart, it's Kendall Fuller, Fabian Moreau,

1065
00:45:57,960 --> 00:46:00,799
Speaker 7: Ronald Darby, Aaron Colvin and Jimmy Moreland. Out of one

1066
00:46:00,880 --> 00:46:03,440
Speaker 7: hundred and thirty six qualifying cornerbacks slice year, Colan was

1067
00:46:03,480 --> 00:46:07,400
Speaker 7: one thirty six, Darby was one thirty fourth, Moreau's ninetieth,

1068
00:46:07,560 --> 00:46:11,600
Speaker 7: and Fuller was one thirty one thirty third of yards

1069
00:46:11,640 --> 00:46:13,640
Speaker 7: a lot per covered snap out of all those guys.

1070
00:46:14,239 --> 00:46:17,080
Speaker 7: Uh so they've got quite a hodgepodge of bad cornerback play.

1071
00:46:17,160 --> 00:46:19,080
Speaker 7: And you know with Jalen rag Are being injured to

1072
00:46:19,160 --> 00:46:21,359
Speaker 7: kind of start the year with d Jackson is another

1073
00:46:21,400 --> 00:46:23,480
Speaker 7: one of those guys, like he starts the year hot.

1074
00:46:23,600 --> 00:46:25,080
Speaker 7: Like if you especially you look at just his week

1075
00:46:25,160 --> 00:46:27,560
Speaker 7: ones eight for one fifty four and two last year

1076
00:46:27,680 --> 00:46:29,399
Speaker 7: five for one forty six and two the year before

1077
00:46:29,440 --> 00:46:31,160
Speaker 7: that six for one oh two, you know, the year

1078
00:46:31,200 --> 00:46:31,560
Speaker 7: before that.

1079
00:46:31,719 --> 00:46:33,600
Speaker 4: He he plays his best when he's fresh.

1080
00:46:33,840 --> 00:46:35,760
Speaker 7: And I actually think as a dart play or tournament

1081
00:46:35,840 --> 00:46:37,640
Speaker 7: pivot in that game of your stacking, I think jj

1082
00:46:37,800 --> 00:46:40,759
Speaker 7: R Thaka Whiteside is kind of an interesting guy in

1083
00:46:40,920 --> 00:46:42,520
Speaker 7: that game is like a super dart throw.

1084
00:46:42,520 --> 00:46:43,400
Speaker 4: I know you're not playing him.

1085
00:46:43,440 --> 00:46:45,960
Speaker 7: And then uh, Jamison Crowder just by default of what

1086
00:46:46,000 --> 00:46:48,160
Speaker 7: the Jets have and the way the Bills are set

1087
00:46:48,239 --> 00:46:51,279
Speaker 7: up defensively with Josh Norman and you know, I don't

1088
00:46:51,280 --> 00:46:52,759
Speaker 7: want to say Jos shorcks, he's really not even when

1089
00:46:52,760 --> 00:46:55,040
Speaker 7: we're scared of but in trevious white on the outside

1090
00:46:55,320 --> 00:46:57,480
Speaker 7: to go against Paraman and Mims, who are just gonna

1091
00:46:57,480 --> 00:47:00,680
Speaker 7: be slaughtered, lambs of the slaughter and not even get targets.

1092
00:47:00,880 --> 00:47:02,320
Speaker 7: They're just going to funnel the middle of the field

1093
00:47:02,360 --> 00:47:04,719
Speaker 7: of targets. And the two games that Jets played the

1094
00:47:04,760 --> 00:47:07,839
Speaker 7: Bills last year crowded at a thirty five team target chare.

1095
00:47:08,520 --> 00:47:10,960
Speaker 7: So I know he's not exciting, not sexy on any level,

1096
00:47:11,440 --> 00:47:12,840
Speaker 7: but you know a lot of targets are going to

1097
00:47:12,880 --> 00:47:13,520
Speaker 7: come Crowder's way.

1098
00:47:13,560 --> 00:47:13,920
Speaker 4: Week one.

1099
00:47:14,719 --> 00:47:18,320
Speaker 2: Rich totally love it, especially the Deshaun Jackson call. Whoever

1100
00:47:18,400 --> 00:47:20,439
Speaker 2: it is that he's matched up against, you know, whether

1101
00:47:20,480 --> 00:47:22,600
Speaker 2: it's on the outside, whether he's in the slot, he's

1102
00:47:22,719 --> 00:47:25,920
Speaker 2: just going to burn them. So Deshaun Jackson in Week one,

1103
00:47:26,239 --> 00:47:30,239
Speaker 2: he's like the like the NASCAR driving specialists who come

1104
00:47:30,320 --> 00:47:32,399
Speaker 2: in only for like a couple of races a year

1105
00:47:32,760 --> 00:47:35,560
Speaker 2: and like that's their thing. Like if Deshaun Jackson could

1106
00:47:35,600 --> 00:47:38,359
Speaker 2: just play in a Week one every week, he would

1107
00:47:38,360 --> 00:47:40,600
Speaker 2: be the greatest wide receiver of all time. Just doesn't

1108
00:47:40,600 --> 00:47:42,799
Speaker 2: doesn't work out that way, all right, Sean, who are

1109
00:47:42,880 --> 00:47:44,000
Speaker 2: you relatively high on?

1110
00:47:44,320 --> 00:47:46,759
Speaker 8: I'm really high on VK Metcalf. I think this is

1111
00:47:46,800 --> 00:47:49,040
Speaker 8: the last chance we get to get him under six k,

1112
00:47:49,719 --> 00:47:51,879
Speaker 8: especially week one. There's really no reason to get cute.

1113
00:47:52,560 --> 00:47:55,040
Speaker 8: This is when there's you know, the softest money out there.

1114
00:47:55,160 --> 00:47:57,839
Speaker 8: So I'm not really trying to figure out a way

1115
00:47:57,880 --> 00:48:00,279
Speaker 8: how to fade him, so I'm loading up on him

1116
00:48:00,360 --> 00:48:03,239
Speaker 8: this week. I think, you know, DeShawn Jackson seems like

1117
00:48:03,320 --> 00:48:06,080
Speaker 8: a free square at forty nine hundred. You know they're

1118
00:48:06,160 --> 00:48:08,600
Speaker 8: hurting it wide receiver, so you know he's probably in

1119
00:48:08,719 --> 00:48:11,279
Speaker 8: a smash spot. I think an interesting pivot play off

1120
00:48:11,320 --> 00:48:13,520
Speaker 8: of him is to spend up a couple hundred bucks

1121
00:48:13,560 --> 00:48:16,439
Speaker 8: to get Marquise Brown. I'm really high on Marquise Brown

1122
00:48:16,480 --> 00:48:18,360
Speaker 8: this year. I think we should see about a thirty

1123
00:48:18,400 --> 00:48:21,200
Speaker 8: three percent increase in snaps this year. He'd put on

1124
00:48:21,239 --> 00:48:24,239
Speaker 8: a little weight, so muscle, I should say. So. I

1125
00:48:24,320 --> 00:48:26,560
Speaker 8: think he's going to be an explosive player, still has

1126
00:48:26,600 --> 00:48:28,960
Speaker 8: the same speed. This could be you know, the last

1127
00:48:29,000 --> 00:48:31,560
Speaker 8: time we get him right around five K. So I'm

1128
00:48:31,600 --> 00:48:34,239
Speaker 8: just trying to buy guys low this week. Again, not

1129
00:48:34,360 --> 00:48:36,200
Speaker 8: trying to get too cute. You know, if you want

1130
00:48:36,239 --> 00:48:38,920
Speaker 8: to fade somebody, it would be DeShawn Jackson, who is streaky.

1131
00:48:39,360 --> 00:48:42,320
Speaker 8: He's going to be high owned, but I don't know

1132
00:48:42,440 --> 00:48:44,399
Speaker 8: if I have the maxity to do that this week.

1133
00:48:44,560 --> 00:48:47,000
Speaker 8: I'll be all over him at forty one hundred.

1134
00:48:46,760 --> 00:48:49,560
Speaker 2: This week Sean talking about Wait, hey, we've all put

1135
00:48:49,600 --> 00:48:52,839
Speaker 2: on weight during the coronavirus time. Okay, Sean lay off

1136
00:48:52,920 --> 00:48:57,279
Speaker 2: of Paul Yes, absolutely, Ravond Who are you interested in

1137
00:48:57,440 --> 00:48:58,719
Speaker 2: this week? A wide receiver.

1138
00:48:59,320 --> 00:49:01,759
Speaker 3: DeShawn Jackson, And first of all, I love d Jacks.

1139
00:49:01,800 --> 00:49:03,560
Speaker 3: I think for all the points you guys made, I

1140
00:49:03,600 --> 00:49:05,319
Speaker 3: think this is just a great matchup for him. At

1141
00:49:05,360 --> 00:49:07,719
Speaker 3: four point nine K, he should wead the team in

1142
00:49:07,800 --> 00:49:11,920
Speaker 3: air yards. I also like t Y Hilton for the

1143
00:49:12,239 --> 00:49:13,960
Speaker 3: coach Jags game. I think a lot of people are

1144
00:49:14,000 --> 00:49:16,359
Speaker 3: gonna be on the running backs. T Y is five

1145
00:49:16,400 --> 00:49:19,040
Speaker 3: point eight K, so you're kind of getting like a

1146
00:49:19,160 --> 00:49:21,920
Speaker 3: below true wide receiver one price tag for him, but

1147
00:49:22,600 --> 00:49:26,560
Speaker 3: the Jaguars are going to have an inexperienced secondary. Philip

1148
00:49:26,640 --> 00:49:29,160
Speaker 3: Rivers has always kind of peppered his his number one

1149
00:49:29,200 --> 00:49:30,920
Speaker 3: wide out with targets, and I think you know, this

1150
00:49:31,080 --> 00:49:32,800
Speaker 3: is a matchup where people aren't really going to be

1151
00:49:32,840 --> 00:49:34,959
Speaker 3: thinking about t Y quite as.

1152
00:49:34,920 --> 00:49:36,880
Speaker 5: Much as maybe you know, you would otherwise.

1153
00:49:36,920 --> 00:49:39,400
Speaker 3: He seems like it seems like he's healthy, so you know,

1154
00:49:39,480 --> 00:49:42,239
Speaker 3: good spot for him against the Jags, who you know,

1155
00:49:42,280 --> 00:49:44,040
Speaker 3: who are one of the worst teams against number one

1156
00:49:44,200 --> 00:49:47,120
Speaker 3: wide receivers last year. And then I think the for

1157
00:49:47,280 --> 00:49:51,680
Speaker 3: the Redskins, Steven Simms at four point seven K is interesting.

1158
00:49:52,080 --> 00:49:54,960
Speaker 3: He's a guy who he could mess up the the

1159
00:49:55,080 --> 00:49:58,960
Speaker 3: Gibson play just a little bit because you know, he's

1160
00:49:59,000 --> 00:49:59,760
Speaker 3: another guy that's.

1161
00:49:59,600 --> 00:50:01,440
Speaker 5: Gonna get like short targets underneath.

1162
00:50:01,840 --> 00:50:04,920
Speaker 3: And I think Terry McLaurin, you know, going against Sleigh

1163
00:50:05,400 --> 00:50:08,759
Speaker 3: will maybe not see quite as many targets, so you know,

1164
00:50:09,000 --> 00:50:11,920
Speaker 3: that's an interesting one. And then Miles Boykin at four

1165
00:50:11,920 --> 00:50:14,799
Speaker 3: point one K. I think, you know, the Ravens, they're

1166
00:50:14,920 --> 00:50:17,759
Speaker 3: they're gonna need a number two wide receiver to kind

1167
00:50:17,800 --> 00:50:19,719
Speaker 3: of step up this year. Willis needs more of a

1168
00:50:19,760 --> 00:50:22,400
Speaker 3: slot guy, as is juvenate. I think Boykin's the guy

1169
00:50:22,440 --> 00:50:24,480
Speaker 3: that's gonna be on the field pretty much every snap

1170
00:50:24,600 --> 00:50:26,759
Speaker 3: that they wind up, you know, with with you know,

1171
00:50:26,840 --> 00:50:29,719
Speaker 3: two wide, two wide receivers or three wide receivers more

1172
00:50:30,360 --> 00:50:33,080
Speaker 3: so he could take a major jump forward uh this

1173
00:50:33,280 --> 00:50:34,600
Speaker 3: year and he's only four point one game.

1174
00:50:34,640 --> 00:50:36,279
Speaker 5: Remember that Brown secondary has been.

1175
00:50:36,200 --> 00:50:39,279
Speaker 3: Banged up all off season and not a lot of

1176
00:50:39,320 --> 00:50:42,000
Speaker 3: practice time together, so they could be very vune rule.

1177
00:50:43,040 --> 00:50:45,360
Speaker 2: All right, reads a guy you are low on.

1178
00:50:46,640 --> 00:50:48,040
Speaker 7: I mean, there's really no way you give me to

1179
00:50:48,080 --> 00:50:50,120
Speaker 7: play a j Green at any level if it sees

1180
00:50:50,200 --> 00:50:52,560
Speaker 7: long or dfs this week. I mean, you're talking about

1181
00:50:52,840 --> 00:50:55,640
Speaker 7: coming off the injury now yet really no time to

1182
00:50:55,680 --> 00:50:57,800
Speaker 7: get any report With the rookie quarterback. There's already some

1183
00:50:57,880 --> 00:51:00,239
Speaker 7: talks like they might monitor his snaps and then the

1184
00:51:00,320 --> 00:51:03,239
Speaker 7: matchup is garbage for him. Casey Haward did allow five

1185
00:51:03,320 --> 00:51:06,320
Speaker 7: touchdowns last year and coverage, but also just twenty seven catches,

1186
00:51:06,360 --> 00:51:09,240
Speaker 7: which was the fourth fewest among eighty seven qualifying corners

1187
00:51:09,280 --> 00:51:11,200
Speaker 7: that played fifty percent of the team snaps last year.

1188
00:51:12,280 --> 00:51:13,759
Speaker 7: So I mean, other than that, I mean, it's it's

1189
00:51:13,760 --> 00:51:16,360
Speaker 7: wide receivers. You're always gonna have, you know, the variants

1190
00:51:16,400 --> 00:51:18,160
Speaker 7: to kind of like lean into. I mean, I don't

1191
00:51:18,160 --> 00:51:20,440
Speaker 7: think Mike Evans is in a great spot historically how

1192
00:51:20,480 --> 00:51:22,040
Speaker 7: he's performed, but you know, I said, we kind of

1193
00:51:22,120 --> 00:51:24,440
Speaker 7: like that game. So I mean, he's definitely a guy

1194
00:51:24,480 --> 00:51:27,200
Speaker 7: it's capable of winning any matchup as well, but probably

1195
00:51:27,280 --> 00:51:28,520
Speaker 7: just a couple of spots lower.

1196
00:51:28,400 --> 00:51:28,960
Speaker 4: Than him as well.

1197
00:51:29,000 --> 00:51:31,920
Speaker 7: And then I know that you're a big Cowboys guy, Friedman,

1198
00:51:31,960 --> 00:51:33,880
Speaker 7: And I'd like to get Sean and Chris's take on

1199
00:51:33,920 --> 00:51:35,680
Speaker 7: of too, just who they believe is the full time

1200
00:51:35,760 --> 00:51:38,040
Speaker 7: slot receiver for the Cowboys this year or it's just

1201
00:51:38,080 --> 00:51:40,879
Speaker 7: gonna be like a hodgepodge of rotating all these guys through,

1202
00:51:41,120 --> 00:51:43,319
Speaker 7: because that guy's got the best matchup of the group

1203
00:51:43,680 --> 00:51:46,600
Speaker 7: this week. But I don't know if it's gonna be Amri.

1204
00:51:46,600 --> 00:51:49,640
Speaker 7: If you'll got Mari's like slot splits versus inside, inside

1205
00:51:49,680 --> 00:51:52,120
Speaker 7: and out. He's been so tremendous out of the slot,

1206
00:51:52,920 --> 00:51:54,960
Speaker 7: and you know, the two games he's faced Jaleen Ramsey,

1207
00:51:54,960 --> 00:51:58,279
Speaker 7: he's total just four catches for thirty eight yards forty

1208
00:51:58,320 --> 00:52:00,759
Speaker 7: eight yards in the games he's been involved in. So,

1209
00:52:01,040 --> 00:52:03,160
Speaker 7: I mean, but David Long in the slot taking over

1210
00:52:03,280 --> 00:52:06,440
Speaker 7: Nickel Roby Coleman, that guy can be exposed a little bit.

1211
00:52:06,480 --> 00:52:08,640
Speaker 7: He only played one hundred snaps as a rookie. So

1212
00:52:08,680 --> 00:52:11,000
Speaker 7: I'm curious to hear your take on who the Cowboys

1213
00:52:11,040 --> 00:52:12,719
Speaker 7: are gonna have really line up in the slot more

1214
00:52:12,760 --> 00:52:13,560
Speaker 7: often than not this year.

1215
00:52:14,560 --> 00:52:18,840
Speaker 2: So yes, Reebs, I'm I'm fully on Cooper in this

1216
00:52:18,960 --> 00:52:21,560
Speaker 2: slot this year. I think he plays fifty percent of

1217
00:52:21,680 --> 00:52:24,960
Speaker 2: the snaps in the slot, so I'm very interested in

1218
00:52:25,080 --> 00:52:28,440
Speaker 2: him for the season. In for Week one, it will

1219
00:52:28,480 --> 00:52:31,400
Speaker 2: be interesting to see what the Rams do with Ramsey,

1220
00:52:31,600 --> 00:52:34,920
Speaker 2: whether they actually have him shadow into the slot or

1221
00:52:34,920 --> 00:52:38,480
Speaker 2: whether they use him purely as a perimeter receiver. Sean,

1222
00:52:38,760 --> 00:52:40,480
Speaker 2: who are guys you are low on?

1223
00:52:41,800 --> 00:52:44,279
Speaker 8: I think it goes without saying, but I'm low on

1224
00:52:44,400 --> 00:52:48,200
Speaker 8: DeVante Parker this week. He's been kind of missing some

1225
00:52:48,320 --> 00:52:51,360
Speaker 8: practice due to mystery ailment and it turns out it

1226
00:52:51,400 --> 00:52:54,319
Speaker 8: looks like it's his left hamstring, So I think he'll

1227
00:52:54,360 --> 00:52:56,680
Speaker 8: come off to a slow start this year, and he

1228
00:52:56,760 --> 00:52:59,960
Speaker 8: faces Defan Gilmore. So, like I said Week seventeen last,

1229
00:53:00,200 --> 00:53:02,400
Speaker 8: don't be surprising he goes for eight catches and one

1230
00:53:02,440 --> 00:53:05,200
Speaker 8: hundred and thirty yards again, but I think just there's

1231
00:53:05,239 --> 00:53:08,279
Speaker 8: too many options this week to even, you know, even

1232
00:53:08,320 --> 00:53:10,480
Speaker 8: take a flyer on him at that price. I think

1233
00:53:10,520 --> 00:53:12,319
Speaker 8: he'll be a lot on either way. And the other

1234
00:53:12,400 --> 00:53:14,560
Speaker 8: guy that I'm staying away from is Emmanuel Sanders. At

1235
00:53:14,600 --> 00:53:18,040
Speaker 8: fifty seven hundred. Again, he's way overpriced. I think he's

1236
00:53:18,080 --> 00:53:20,359
Speaker 8: gonna make the Saints offense and Drew Brees better having

1237
00:53:20,680 --> 00:53:23,760
Speaker 8: a legit wide receiver two option. But you know, Michael

1238
00:53:23,800 --> 00:53:26,680
Speaker 8: Thomas still commands such a huge target shair that he's

1239
00:53:26,760 --> 00:53:28,680
Speaker 8: never going to be worth this price. I think he'll

1240
00:53:28,719 --> 00:53:31,560
Speaker 8: settle in, you know, closer to five K, and I'll

1241
00:53:31,640 --> 00:53:34,120
Speaker 8: take some shots on him other weeks. But when he's

1242
00:53:34,200 --> 00:53:37,440
Speaker 8: more expensive than guys like Terry McLaurin or Marquise Brown,

1243
00:53:37,480 --> 00:53:39,400
Speaker 8: you know I'm gonna avoid him completely. So he's another

1244
00:53:39,440 --> 00:53:41,000
Speaker 8: guy I'm completely off this week.

1245
00:53:41,840 --> 00:53:44,920
Speaker 2: All right, Raybond, who are you fading DeAndre Hopkins.

1246
00:53:44,960 --> 00:53:45,800
Speaker 5: He's six point eight K.

1247
00:53:45,920 --> 00:53:48,360
Speaker 3: He's one of the most expensive wide receivers on the

1248
00:53:49,160 --> 00:53:51,759
Speaker 3: main slate, and look at him going against the San

1249
00:53:51,800 --> 00:53:54,920
Speaker 3: Francisco defense, which was number one in the league in

1250
00:53:55,040 --> 00:53:57,839
Speaker 3: terms of weast schedule adjusted receiving yards allowed to number

1251
00:53:57,840 --> 00:54:01,440
Speaker 3: ones that just fifty four point nine according to Football Outsiders.

1252
00:54:01,480 --> 00:54:05,480
Speaker 3: And then also you got the kind of the new quarterback,

1253
00:54:05,600 --> 00:54:08,280
Speaker 3: new receiver, you know, could be a slow start anyway

1254
00:54:08,360 --> 00:54:10,840
Speaker 3: type of thing going. So just a lot of factors

1255
00:54:10,920 --> 00:54:14,880
Speaker 3: kind of working against DeAndre really smashing to open the

1256
00:54:14,920 --> 00:54:16,359
Speaker 3: season with his new team.

1257
00:54:17,160 --> 00:54:21,120
Speaker 2: Sean since Reebs asked about the Dallas slot receiver give

1258
00:54:21,200 --> 00:54:21,840
Speaker 2: us a prop with.

1259
00:54:21,880 --> 00:54:24,719
Speaker 8: The yeah, well, yeah, you're in luck. That's actually the prop.

1260
00:54:24,840 --> 00:54:28,920
Speaker 8: I had picked a ceedee Lamb's receiving yards in his debut.

1261
00:54:29,400 --> 00:54:32,200
Speaker 8: So I have the line set at fifty five and

1262
00:54:32,239 --> 00:54:33,240
Speaker 8: a half receiving yards.

1263
00:54:34,160 --> 00:54:36,640
Speaker 2: I will take the under. I think that's a good line.

1264
00:54:36,680 --> 00:54:39,600
Speaker 2: I have it at fifty two and a half over.

1265
00:54:39,840 --> 00:54:40,799
Speaker 5: I have it at fifty eight.

1266
00:54:40,880 --> 00:54:43,719
Speaker 3: I think that you look at the Cowboys offense and

1267
00:54:43,960 --> 00:54:45,920
Speaker 3: you know, you have to kind of scheme for Cooper

1268
00:54:46,320 --> 00:54:49,440
Speaker 3: and Gallop a little more just by default. And we've

1269
00:54:49,480 --> 00:54:51,840
Speaker 3: seen some rookies have big games in their first you

1270
00:54:51,920 --> 00:54:53,880
Speaker 3: know games because you don't really know what to expect.

1271
00:54:53,880 --> 00:54:56,480
Speaker 3: I mean, I remember Marki's Brown last year, Terry McLaurin.

1272
00:54:57,000 --> 00:54:59,400
Speaker 3: Somebod these talented rookies, you can come out the gates strong.

1273
00:54:59,520 --> 00:55:01,719
Speaker 3: So I think it's gonna be a high scoring game.

1274
00:55:01,800 --> 00:55:03,839
Speaker 3: And whether he gets it kind of in the flow

1275
00:55:03,840 --> 00:55:05,960
Speaker 3: of the offense, or you know, maybe there's kind of

1276
00:55:06,000 --> 00:55:08,839
Speaker 3: some shootout light going on, but I think one way

1277
00:55:08,880 --> 00:55:10,759
Speaker 3: or another, he's gonna come out to get strong.

1278
00:55:11,560 --> 00:55:12,239
Speaker 5: I'll go under.

1279
00:55:12,320 --> 00:55:15,680
Speaker 7: I've bet fifty three point two, and I just think

1280
00:55:15,760 --> 00:55:18,720
Speaker 7: if if if Friedman ends up being right and Cooper

1281
00:55:18,760 --> 00:55:20,680
Speaker 7: does play fifty percent of the routes in the slot,

1282
00:55:21,040 --> 00:55:23,360
Speaker 7: then that's that's more of a problem for him in

1283
00:55:23,440 --> 00:55:25,080
Speaker 7: this game, because I mean, I think the slot receiver

1284
00:55:25,200 --> 00:55:27,520
Speaker 7: has the best matchup between this group. I don't like

1285
00:55:27,600 --> 00:55:30,760
Speaker 7: fading anyone with you know, attached to deck in this offense,

1286
00:55:30,840 --> 00:55:34,759
Speaker 7: but I think this is a slot receiver jarwin hotspot,

1287
00:55:34,880 --> 00:55:36,120
Speaker 7: you know, for those of the guys that are going

1288
00:55:36,160 --> 00:55:38,279
Speaker 7: to be doing the wrecking here in the passing game.

1289
00:55:38,400 --> 00:55:40,800
Speaker 7: So if Lamb is the guy that gets you know,

1290
00:55:41,000 --> 00:55:42,480
Speaker 7: thirty percent of the routes in slot, I'm gonna be

1291
00:55:42,480 --> 00:55:45,080
Speaker 7: way wrong. But Freedman already told me that Cooper's playing

1292
00:55:45,120 --> 00:55:47,680
Speaker 7: fifty percent, So I'm gonna I'm gonna take the under.

1293
00:55:48,960 --> 00:55:54,280
Speaker 2: Okay, don't I say really about anything as as Gospel

1294
00:55:54,760 --> 00:55:58,080
Speaker 2: Raymond can back up that statement. Okay, let's let's get

1295
00:55:58,160 --> 00:56:00,600
Speaker 2: to the tight ends. I don't know if we really

1296
00:56:00,800 --> 00:56:03,040
Speaker 2: need to spend any time on the big three. I'm

1297
00:56:03,080 --> 00:56:07,000
Speaker 2: assuming that all of us have Kittle, Kelsey and Andrews

1298
00:56:07,120 --> 00:56:09,960
Speaker 2: at the top. So reeves. I want to get directly

1299
00:56:10,080 --> 00:56:12,440
Speaker 2: into it. Who is a tight end that you are

1300
00:56:12,560 --> 00:56:13,640
Speaker 2: high on this week?

1301
00:56:14,760 --> 00:56:15,480
Speaker 4: Tyler Higbee?

1302
00:56:15,560 --> 00:56:17,600
Speaker 7: I think you can just play the narrative that a

1303
00:56:17,600 --> 00:56:19,600
Speaker 7: lot of people don't believe in, do him in what

1304
00:56:19,719 --> 00:56:22,200
Speaker 7: he how he closed last year and even the craziest

1305
00:56:22,200 --> 00:56:24,200
Speaker 7: part when he was the league's highest scoring tight end,

1306
00:56:24,360 --> 00:56:25,920
Speaker 7: he actually was a little bit unlucky. He got tackled

1307
00:56:25,960 --> 00:56:28,759
Speaker 7: at the one yard line three different times too, but

1308
00:56:28,920 --> 00:56:31,520
Speaker 7: led the team and end zone targets, led the team

1309
00:56:31,560 --> 00:56:34,399
Speaker 7: in red zone targets. Opposing teams targeted their tight ends

1310
00:56:34,440 --> 00:56:36,440
Speaker 7: league high twenty seven percent of the time against.

1311
00:56:36,160 --> 00:56:37,200
Speaker 4: The Cowboys last year.

1312
00:56:37,920 --> 00:56:39,560
Speaker 7: Like I said, you just really I think play a

1313
00:56:39,640 --> 00:56:42,800
Speaker 7: play against play against people wanting to avoid Higbee. But

1314
00:56:42,920 --> 00:56:45,600
Speaker 7: all the that's not a main slate, you know, DFS game.

1315
00:56:45,600 --> 00:56:47,799
Speaker 7: But I think Higby is is He's my tight end five.

1316
00:56:47,880 --> 00:56:49,359
Speaker 7: I think he's locked in there. He's been a little

1317
00:56:49,360 --> 00:56:52,120
Speaker 7: bit lower than the industry right then. But I'm high

1318
00:56:52,120 --> 00:56:54,239
Speaker 7: on Tyler Higby starting the year not quite where he

1319
00:56:54,320 --> 00:56:56,440
Speaker 7: left off, but still being a top tight end.

1320
00:56:57,360 --> 00:56:59,920
Speaker 2: All right, Sean, who are you looking at this week?

1321
00:57:00,680 --> 00:57:03,319
Speaker 8: Hayden Hurst Baby at four point three k. I mean

1322
00:57:03,400 --> 00:57:06,439
Speaker 8: this is Austin Hooper part two. I'm obsessed with dirt

1323
00:57:06,520 --> 00:57:09,719
Speaker 8: cutter tight end, so I will be backing him until

1324
00:57:09,760 --> 00:57:14,120
Speaker 8: he's over five K, and then Chris Herndon is the

1325
00:57:14,840 --> 00:57:16,600
Speaker 8: cheaper dart throw that I would even call him a

1326
00:57:16,640 --> 00:57:19,120
Speaker 8: dart throw, but a three point three K, he's a

1327
00:57:19,200 --> 00:57:22,280
Speaker 8: cheap option at tight end. Bershard Perriman's dealing with a

1328
00:57:22,360 --> 00:57:25,800
Speaker 8: knee injury, Denzel Mims has been in out of practice.

1329
00:57:25,840 --> 00:57:28,240
Speaker 8: I don't think he's ready to start week one, so

1330
00:57:28,640 --> 00:57:32,040
Speaker 8: Chris Hogan's likely to start, And more importantly, Ryan Griffin

1331
00:57:32,080 --> 00:57:33,760
Speaker 8: has been dealing with an ankle injury. I thought he

1332
00:57:33,880 --> 00:57:37,320
Speaker 8: might cut into some of Herdon's work, but he might

1333
00:57:37,400 --> 00:57:39,000
Speaker 8: be a little slill out of the gate. So I

1334
00:57:39,040 --> 00:57:42,480
Speaker 8: think Herdon could see you know, five to six targets

1335
00:57:42,520 --> 00:57:44,520
Speaker 8: week one and a price that cheap if you want

1336
00:57:44,520 --> 00:57:47,560
Speaker 8: to spend up elsewhere. He's a great pivot at tight end.

1337
00:57:47,640 --> 00:57:49,880
Speaker 8: But ultimately I think Hayden Hurst at four point three

1338
00:57:50,440 --> 00:57:51,920
Speaker 8: is the free square this week at tight end.

1339
00:57:52,920 --> 00:57:54,720
Speaker 2: Ray Bond, who do you like? Yeah?

1340
00:57:54,720 --> 00:57:57,560
Speaker 3: I love obviously hers, but I'm gonna go I love

1341
00:57:58,520 --> 00:58:01,000
Speaker 3: Mark Andrews at six k. You know, as kind of

1342
00:58:01,200 --> 00:58:04,360
Speaker 3: you know, there's a pretty big gap between him and

1343
00:58:04,600 --> 00:58:05,360
Speaker 3: Kiddo at the top.

1344
00:58:05,880 --> 00:58:08,400
Speaker 5: But I'm gonna go with Logan Thomas again. I think,

1345
00:58:08,760 --> 00:58:09,640
Speaker 5: you know, two point eight K.

1346
00:58:09,800 --> 00:58:12,440
Speaker 3: I expect him to run pretty much, you know, all

1347
00:58:12,520 --> 00:58:15,160
Speaker 3: the pass routes for Washington, and I just love these

1348
00:58:15,320 --> 00:58:16,479
Speaker 3: cheap redskin plays.

1349
00:58:16,560 --> 00:58:16,960
Speaker 5: Excuse me.

1350
00:58:17,120 --> 00:58:20,800
Speaker 3: Washington football team players that you know, in tournaments especially

1351
00:58:21,600 --> 00:58:25,720
Speaker 3: can kind of have negative correlation with Antonio Gibson. So,

1352
00:58:25,960 --> 00:58:27,760
Speaker 3: you know, Thomas at two point eight K, you can't

1353
00:58:27,760 --> 00:58:31,280
Speaker 3: really go wrong with him. Jeremy Sprinkle has apparently been

1354
00:58:31,360 --> 00:58:34,600
Speaker 3: running with the third team only, and and their second

1355
00:58:34,640 --> 00:58:37,240
Speaker 3: string tight end is Marcus Ball whoever that is. So

1356
00:58:37,800 --> 00:58:39,640
Speaker 3: I expect Thomas to be a guy that you know,

1357
00:58:39,720 --> 00:58:41,160
Speaker 3: he could get, you know, especially in a game where

1358
00:58:41,160 --> 00:58:42,640
Speaker 3: we expect Washington to be trailing.

1359
00:58:43,080 --> 00:58:45,160
Speaker 5: Uh, he could get you know, five six catches one

1360
00:58:45,200 --> 00:58:45,680
Speaker 5: way or another.

1361
00:58:46,400 --> 00:58:50,320
Speaker 2: Okay, I have a serious Dynasty question. I'm gonna take

1362
00:58:50,320 --> 00:58:52,480
Speaker 2: a quick straw pole of you three guys, and I

1363
00:58:52,560 --> 00:58:55,840
Speaker 2: want you just to answer with one word. In Dynasty,

1364
00:58:56,280 --> 00:58:59,400
Speaker 2: you get to keep only one tight end Logan Thomas,

1365
00:59:00,240 --> 00:59:03,880
Speaker 2: Ian Thomas Rich Are you taking Logan or Ian?

1366
00:59:04,440 --> 00:59:07,240
Speaker 4: I'm still going to take Ian Thomas, but there's a

1367
00:59:07,280 --> 00:59:08,440
Speaker 4: great Freedman question.

1368
00:59:08,400 --> 00:59:12,160
Speaker 2: Is still taking Ian? Okayner? Who are you Ian or Logan?

1369
00:59:12,520 --> 00:59:13,240
Speaker 4: Ian all the way?

1370
00:59:13,680 --> 00:59:18,760
Speaker 2: Okay, Raven Logan, Logan Okay, This doesn't give me any

1371
00:59:18,840 --> 00:59:21,600
Speaker 2: more satisfaction in terms of what I'm gonna do. Okay,

1372
00:59:22,240 --> 00:59:24,800
Speaker 2: Rich Who are you relatively low on at tight end

1373
00:59:24,840 --> 00:59:25,160
Speaker 2: this week?

1374
00:59:25,600 --> 00:59:27,120
Speaker 7: I mean it's tough when you look at tight end.

1375
00:59:27,160 --> 00:59:28,520
Speaker 7: I mean it's tough to really be down on a

1376
00:59:28,600 --> 00:59:31,600
Speaker 7: lot of guys spots. I mean, you know that because

1377
00:59:31,600 --> 00:59:33,120
Speaker 7: we've only got what like eight tight ends we really

1378
00:59:33,120 --> 00:59:35,520
Speaker 7: feel good about anyways on a regular basis, So like,

1379
00:59:35,680 --> 00:59:36,520
Speaker 7: who are we really.

1380
00:59:36,360 --> 00:59:37,120
Speaker 4: Fading out of that group?

1381
00:59:37,160 --> 00:59:39,120
Speaker 7: Because you know, Hunter Henry, Now if Mike Williams doesn't

1382
00:59:39,120 --> 00:59:40,800
Speaker 7: play like he's still in a kind of a faireral

1383
00:59:40,880 --> 00:59:43,360
Speaker 7: spot against the Bengals who really struggled, you know, in

1384
00:59:43,440 --> 00:59:46,560
Speaker 7: their immediate level last year, Waller is facing, you know,

1385
00:59:46,680 --> 00:59:48,880
Speaker 7: that Panthers defense that you know, we just want to

1386
00:59:48,880 --> 00:59:51,600
Speaker 7: pick on every week. I think maybe Evan Ingram is it,

1387
00:59:51,720 --> 00:59:53,920
Speaker 7: you know, isn't objectively the worst spot just from a

1388
00:59:53,960 --> 00:59:55,720
Speaker 7: team stance, So like he's a guy you would be

1389
00:59:55,800 --> 00:59:58,880
Speaker 7: down on probably relatively to the field, not really like

1390
00:59:58,920 --> 01:00:00,680
Speaker 7: I said on the on the main though, that you're

1391
01:00:00,680 --> 01:00:03,200
Speaker 7: really looking to get get away from. I think people

1392
01:00:03,240 --> 01:00:06,080
Speaker 7: probably will overrate Gronk, you know, especially where he's at,

1393
01:00:06,120 --> 01:00:08,080
Speaker 7: and we don't know, like one, how much twelve person

1394
01:00:08,120 --> 01:00:09,920
Speaker 7: now they're gonna run. We don't know if the Bucks

1395
01:00:09,960 --> 01:00:12,520
Speaker 7: are going to kind of preserve Gronk on any level,

1396
01:00:12,600 --> 01:00:14,720
Speaker 7: you know, because he hasn't played a full season since

1397
01:00:14,760 --> 01:00:16,520
Speaker 7: the start of his career. They might be looking at

1398
01:00:16,560 --> 01:00:18,320
Speaker 7: a longer game where Gronk is more of a package

1399
01:00:18,360 --> 01:00:19,840
Speaker 7: player and he might not be a guy that can

1400
01:00:19,920 --> 01:00:21,680
Speaker 7: run into six to eight targets, that might be three

1401
01:00:21,760 --> 01:00:24,080
Speaker 7: to five, and he might just be, you know, used

1402
01:00:24,120 --> 01:00:27,160
Speaker 7: near the goal line. We don't know that there's a

1403
01:00:27,160 --> 01:00:28,600
Speaker 7: little bit of unknown there, and I think he's more

1404
01:00:28,640 --> 01:00:31,280
Speaker 7: of a name brand recognition play right out.

1405
01:00:31,200 --> 01:00:32,080
Speaker 4: Of the box than he is.

1406
01:00:32,200 --> 01:00:34,080
Speaker 7: But I mean, if you've got tight ends, I mean,

1407
01:00:34,160 --> 01:00:35,400
Speaker 7: if you've got a good one, I mean you're just

1408
01:00:35,440 --> 01:00:37,200
Speaker 7: you're probably just playing him, know and season long?

1409
01:00:38,120 --> 01:00:41,440
Speaker 8: All right, Sean, who are you fading Austin Hooper at

1410
01:00:41,480 --> 01:00:44,000
Speaker 8: five point one k? I mean they have the prices

1411
01:00:44,080 --> 01:00:46,600
Speaker 8: flipped for Hayden Hurst and Austin Hooper. He's he's going

1412
01:00:46,640 --> 01:00:50,400
Speaker 8: from the tight end friendly Falcons game to the Browns.

1413
01:00:50,440 --> 01:00:52,440
Speaker 8: We're you know, they're going to run a lot of

1414
01:00:52,480 --> 01:00:55,040
Speaker 8: two tight end sets, be a more run heavy team,

1415
01:00:55,080 --> 01:00:57,680
Speaker 8: less passing hours to go around in general, and it's

1416
01:00:57,720 --> 01:01:00,120
Speaker 8: a tougher matchup at Baltimore. So I will have oh

1417
01:01:00,200 --> 01:01:01,840
Speaker 8: shares of Boston Hooper at five point one.

1418
01:01:01,800 --> 01:01:04,560
Speaker 2: K this week, Raymond, who you staying away from?

1419
01:01:04,960 --> 01:01:06,000
Speaker 5: Yeah, it's Austin Hooper.

1420
01:01:06,040 --> 01:01:08,920
Speaker 3: He's just two highly priced at five point one K.

1421
01:01:09,120 --> 01:01:10,880
Speaker 3: I think he may end up being a bigger part

1422
01:01:10,920 --> 01:01:13,920
Speaker 3: of this Browns offense. Then we then, you know, we

1423
01:01:14,000 --> 01:01:17,120
Speaker 3: think given that they have Landry and Beckham, but not

1424
01:01:17,400 --> 01:01:19,680
Speaker 3: like this week. You look at the matchup against Baltimore

1425
01:01:20,120 --> 01:01:23,760
Speaker 3: and Baltimore was number two, and we schedule adjusted yards

1426
01:01:23,800 --> 01:01:26,000
Speaker 3: per game allow to tight ends last year at just

1427
01:01:26,160 --> 01:01:29,480
Speaker 3: thirty six point five per game on you know, six

1428
01:01:29,560 --> 01:01:32,680
Speaker 3: point one schedule adjusted target. So you know, even if

1429
01:01:32,720 --> 01:01:36,000
Speaker 3: Hooper gets like, you know, eighty percent or all of

1430
01:01:36,040 --> 01:01:39,120
Speaker 3: the tight end targets, he's still looking at a very inefficient,

1431
01:01:39,280 --> 01:01:43,120
Speaker 3: kind of almost fantasy irrelevant game and you're just betting

1432
01:01:43,160 --> 01:01:46,000
Speaker 3: on like a dart throw touchdown or something, So I

1433
01:01:46,040 --> 01:01:48,200
Speaker 3: think I think he's way overpriced at at five point

1434
01:01:48,240 --> 01:01:48,600
Speaker 3: one game.

1435
01:01:49,200 --> 01:01:52,240
Speaker 2: Yeah, with you guys on Hooper all the way, Sean

1436
01:01:52,560 --> 01:01:54,120
Speaker 2: give us that tight end prop.

1437
01:01:55,000 --> 01:01:57,680
Speaker 8: So we're going with Tyler Higbee receiving yards. I think

1438
01:01:57,720 --> 01:02:01,640
Speaker 8: this is the most critical project to get right heading

1439
01:02:01,800 --> 01:02:04,120
Speaker 8: the season, and Reeves is kind of announcing his that

1440
01:02:04,320 --> 01:02:06,800
Speaker 8: before getting to the ticket windows. I'm adjusting my line

1441
01:02:06,800 --> 01:02:09,320
Speaker 8: a little bit here, but I have the over under

1442
01:02:09,360 --> 01:02:11,560
Speaker 8: it at fifty three and a half receiving yards.

1443
01:02:12,360 --> 01:02:21,360
Speaker 5: Under nine, I'm going under. I'm going under. I went reach,

1444
01:02:21,400 --> 01:02:23,360
Speaker 5: I went I'm at Reeche while he's going over.

1445
01:02:24,200 --> 01:02:26,960
Speaker 7: Yeah, I'm going over for sure. I have him for

1446
01:02:27,440 --> 01:02:29,880
Speaker 7: sixty seven and a half. But I actually think that

1447
01:02:30,040 --> 01:02:30,920
Speaker 7: at that's low as well.

1448
01:02:31,320 --> 01:02:33,640
Speaker 8: Where do you have Gerald Everett ranked this week? Because

1449
01:02:33,640 --> 01:02:37,080
Speaker 8: that's that's obviously a critical part of this Yeah, I.

1450
01:02:37,120 --> 01:02:40,000
Speaker 7: Have I have ever. I have them, so I actually

1451
01:02:40,040 --> 01:02:43,480
Speaker 7: have them running a ton of eleven this week. So anytime, uh,

1452
01:02:43,760 --> 01:02:46,400
Speaker 7: from weeks eleven to seventeen, last year the Rams trailed,

1453
01:02:46,800 --> 01:02:49,200
Speaker 7: they were an eleven personnel eighty seven percent of the time,

1454
01:02:50,000 --> 01:02:52,720
Speaker 7: so I actually have them in more eleven this game,

1455
01:02:52,840 --> 01:02:55,600
Speaker 7: being you know, a home dog against the Cowboys. They

1456
01:02:55,600 --> 01:02:57,560
Speaker 7: actually ran eleven ninety six percent of time in that

1457
01:02:57,640 --> 01:02:59,920
Speaker 7: Dallas game, but it was because they were losing twenty

1458
01:03:00,080 --> 01:03:01,840
Speaker 7: to seven at halftime. I think that it's not going

1459
01:03:01,920 --> 01:03:04,520
Speaker 7: to be the case this this week. It could be,

1460
01:03:04,640 --> 01:03:06,040
Speaker 7: but probably not. I think that they'll put more of

1461
01:03:06,080 --> 01:03:08,520
Speaker 7: a fight, you know, this week. But I have them

1462
01:03:08,600 --> 01:03:10,560
Speaker 7: running a lot more eleven this week, and then I

1463
01:03:10,640 --> 01:03:12,720
Speaker 7: have him, so I have him just completely out snapping,

1464
01:03:13,160 --> 01:03:15,080
Speaker 7: you know, Gerald Everett, gotcha, it makes sense.

1465
01:03:15,520 --> 01:03:17,720
Speaker 2: I will take the under. I think, Rayvon, you said

1466
01:03:17,760 --> 01:03:19,920
Speaker 2: you had forty nine and a half something around there.

1467
01:03:19,960 --> 01:03:22,600
Speaker 2: I have around forty six and a half, which to

1468
01:03:22,720 --> 01:03:25,920
Speaker 2: reems must feel especially egregious and maybe I'll need to

1469
01:03:25,960 --> 01:03:27,520
Speaker 2: go back and look at that line a little bit.

1470
01:03:27,600 --> 01:03:31,000
Speaker 2: But all I will take the under, especially knowing Sean

1471
01:03:31,080 --> 01:03:35,560
Speaker 2: that you probably inflated it a little bit. Reeves, awesome

1472
01:03:35,800 --> 01:03:38,160
Speaker 2: having you on the show. Reeves. Let us know what

1473
01:03:38,280 --> 01:03:40,880
Speaker 2: people should be checking out at Sharp Football Analysis.

1474
01:03:41,440 --> 01:03:43,280
Speaker 7: Yeah, so obviously know the main thing is I put

1475
01:03:43,320 --> 01:03:45,800
Speaker 7: out the weekly worksheet, you know, you know, matchup based

1476
01:03:45,840 --> 01:03:48,760
Speaker 7: column every week based on all the fantasy relevant players.

1477
01:03:48,800 --> 01:03:50,880
Speaker 7: There have some betting, you know, usefulness too. I put

1478
01:03:50,880 --> 01:03:52,680
Speaker 7: a lot of betting stuff in there too, some trends

1479
01:03:52,800 --> 01:03:55,880
Speaker 7: you know, and ongoing stuff there, so definitely check that out.

1480
01:03:56,120 --> 01:03:57,760
Speaker 4: We've got a few new tools on the site.

1481
01:03:58,120 --> 01:04:01,080
Speaker 7: We've got a heat map tool versus defensive matchups, so

1482
01:04:01,120 --> 01:04:03,320
Speaker 7: you can see where everyone's getting their targets and where

1483
01:04:03,440 --> 01:04:05,880
Speaker 7: the targets to opposing positions are to defense and the

1484
01:04:05,880 --> 01:04:07,120
Speaker 7: success rate of those targets.

1485
01:04:07,400 --> 01:04:09,560
Speaker 4: You can check that out. And then other than that,

1486
01:04:09,640 --> 01:04:11,720
Speaker 4: you know, just that Lord Reeves on Twitter and I'll

1487
01:04:11,760 --> 01:04:12,760
Speaker 4: be here week one next.

1488
01:04:12,680 --> 01:04:16,120
Speaker 2: Year, all right, everyone, be sure to tune in for

1489
01:04:16,440 --> 01:04:19,560
Speaker 2: the twenty twenty one week one version with Lord Reeves

1490
01:04:19,960 --> 01:04:22,439
Speaker 2: and of course follow him on Twitter. You can follow Sean,

1491
01:04:22,560 --> 01:04:24,800
Speaker 2: Chris and Me in the Action Network app at the

1492
01:04:24,880 --> 01:04:27,480
Speaker 2: Underscore odds maker Chris Ramon and Matt at the Oracle.

1493
01:04:27,640 --> 01:04:29,880
Speaker 2: Use the app to get real time odds and track

1494
01:04:29,960 --> 01:04:32,840
Speaker 2: your bests for free. Please subscribe to him, rate and

1495
01:04:32,960 --> 01:04:35,560
Speaker 2: review the show, and listen and download on Spotify. See

1496
01:04:35,600 --> 01:04:54,480
Speaker 2: you again next episode. We're finished talking