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Speaker 1: What two three breaks and in the middle of the filing,

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Speaker 1: hello's football down in the one yard line? How about that?

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Speaker 2: That is the ultimate ka.

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Speaker 1: And we are underway.

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Speaker 3: Hello everyone, Welcome back to another episode of the Action

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Speaker 3: Network NFL podcast. I'm Matthew Friedman, the editor in chief

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Speaker 3: of Fantasy Labs, here with me to break down the

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Speaker 3: week eight action of the Alliance of American Football. Is

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Speaker 3: our resident AAF expert, Ian Harditz, the director of the

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Speaker 3: Fantasy Labs NFL platform and an Action Network analyst. You

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Speaker 3: can follow him in the Action Network app at Iheartitz.

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Speaker 3: Also use the app to get real time odds and

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Speaker 3: track your bets for free. Ian, how is he going?

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Speaker 2: Going? Good?

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Speaker 4: Mad? Exciting times? This was a good week for the AAF.

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Speaker 4: None other than Eminem went to Twitter to say that

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Speaker 4: he wants to see players actually be allowed to fight

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Speaker 4: in the AAF like hockey, And I just want to say, Marshall,

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Speaker 4: if you're listening, I agree, So let's work something out.

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Speaker 2: Let's figure it out.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, there's no such thing as bad publicity, and it

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Speaker 3: definitely doesn't hurt to have Marshall Mathers, you know, pimping

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Speaker 3: your brand on Twitter. The one thing I will say

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Speaker 3: we're recording this on Wednesday afternoon. A few hours before

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Speaker 3: we recorded, the new owner of the AAF basically threatened

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Speaker 3: to shut the league down if the NFL doesn't become

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Speaker 3: a little bit friendlier. But Ian, do you have any

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Speaker 3: thoughts on this?

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Speaker 4: So I saw that report, which obviously isn't good to

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Speaker 4: hear anyone talking about shutting the league down, But hold on,

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Speaker 4: I had to tweet from someone because the thing is

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Speaker 4: ever saw was also saying two days ago they were

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Speaker 4: talking about expansion, and then Benjamin Albright, pretty big NFL reporter,

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Speaker 4: reported that the AAF is not danger of folding. They're

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Speaker 4: just trying to leverage the NFL Players Association cooperation.

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Speaker 2: And getting the players.

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Speaker 4: So I'm not sure if it's the real thing or

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Speaker 4: if maybe they're trying to play a little hard ball,

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Speaker 4: like Albright saying. So it's something to keep an eye on.

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Speaker 4: I mean, I think we all knew that was a

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Speaker 4: possibility with this league in general, but we'll see what happens.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I would say the bigger threat is just the

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Speaker 3: lack of interest in the league, like the fact that

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Speaker 3: they can't put people in the seats. That's the bigger problem,

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Speaker 3: like in comparison to being able to have NFL backups

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Speaker 3: playing in your league. And I think even if you

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Speaker 3: do get NFL backups in your league, there's still not

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Speaker 3: going to be a lot of interest, Like they need

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Speaker 3: to generate interest in other ways.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, and another point, I don't think we touched on

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Speaker 4: this in any of the positive but they move their

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Speaker 4: AF Super Bowl from Las Vegas to I believe the

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Speaker 4: Cowboys practice facility, which you know, to start the league

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Speaker 4: year was all about how gambling and fans it could

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Speaker 4: really help at the AAF thrive and now it seems

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Speaker 4: like that's shifted, at least in a championship game, just

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Speaker 4: to try to get as many people to attend the

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Speaker 4: game as possible, because we have seen San Antonio consistently

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Speaker 4: have higher tendis than anyone else. So it seems like

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Speaker 4: there still kind of moving on as I go, formulating

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Speaker 4: their plan as they go. We've gotten the Week eight,

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Speaker 4: so you know, hats off to them for that. But yeah,

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Speaker 4: it would be nice to see a more formulated long

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Speaker 4: term plan as long as the week can survive in

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Speaker 4: the future.

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Speaker 3: And I mean one thing is that the championship game,

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Speaker 3: I believe is the same weekend as the NFL Draft,

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Speaker 3: So pardon me is like, oh, I should go to

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Speaker 3: the draft, And then another part of me is like,

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Speaker 3: you know, first go is not all that far from

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Speaker 3: where my parents live in Texas, Like.

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Speaker 1: I could, I could go to the championship game.

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Speaker 2: I'm actually bumm man.

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Speaker 4: The game is on my birthday, April twenty seventh, and

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Speaker 4: I was gonna try to leverage that to get Action

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Speaker 4: Network to pay for a little trip out to Vegas

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Speaker 4: to really soak in the fun.

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Speaker 2: But no longer a reality, unfortunately for me.

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Speaker 3: Well, maybe you can leverage a trip to Frisco, which

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Speaker 3: is almost as good as Vegas. Okay, let's get into it.

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Speaker 3: We are in the stretch run. There were just three

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Speaker 3: weeks left in the AAF season. In the Eastern Conference

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Speaker 3: we have the Orlando Apollos and the Birmingham Iron. The

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Speaker 3: Apollos are already locked in to a playoff spot. The

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Speaker 3: Birmingham Iron have a very good chance of making the playoffs.

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Speaker 3: And then in the Western Conference we have the San

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Speaker 3: Antonio Commanders. They are at the top and they look

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Speaker 3: highly likely to make the playoffs. And then after them

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Speaker 3: they have the Arizona hot Shots. In the San Diego Fleet,

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Speaker 3: who are fighting for that last playoff spot. Any thoughts

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Speaker 3: on what we might see in the next three weeks

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Speaker 3: or just kind of the playoff probabilities for all these teams.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I do think we're looking at our four playoff

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Speaker 4: teams at the top of the conferences right now in Orlando, Birmingham, Santonio,

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Speaker 4: and Arizona. I guess the big thing to remember with

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Speaker 4: these other teams is that Atlanta has really separated themselves

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Speaker 4: as the clear cut worst two and five team in

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Speaker 4: the league. Atlanta, Memphis, and Salt Lake are two and five,

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Speaker 4: but the Legends have a minus one hundred and seventeen

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Speaker 4: point differential this season, while Memphis is only at minus

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Speaker 4: thirty nine, Salt Lake's only at minus thirteen. So even

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Speaker 4: though Memphis and Salt Lake things having quite worked out

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Speaker 4: for them, we've seen when they're healthy at least getting

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Speaker 4: some competent play under center in particular, they've at least

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Speaker 4: been able to stay competitive. But Atlanta, I mean, they've

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Speaker 4: literally scored more than fourteen points in one game this season,

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Speaker 4: So I had a higher hopes for them when Aaron

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Speaker 4: Murray came in and was playing pretty well in his

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Speaker 4: first couple of games. But it's just they have a

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Speaker 4: blow average defense so little surrounding talent that I think

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Speaker 4: it's a team we want to continue to exploit these

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Speaker 4: last few weeks, especially now that their motivation will seemingly

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Speaker 4: be down since.

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Speaker 2: They're more or less eliminated from the playoffs.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, speaking of exploiting them, have you looked to see

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Speaker 3: how teams have done against this spread, specifically against Atlanta.

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Speaker 2: I have not.

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Speaker 4: I just know they've been it's pretty good because they've

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Speaker 4: lost a lot of games by thirty points.

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Speaker 3: So yeah, I mean they're they're horrible, But I haven't

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Speaker 3: actually gone through the process.

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Speaker 1: But like thinking about it, I think I've.

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Speaker 3: Bet against them almost, which you know, I mean, I'm

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Speaker 3: up on the season in AAF, so I don't know.

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Speaker 3: At least targeting them hasn't seemed like something that is

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Speaker 3: likely to be painful. All right, I let's jump into

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Speaker 3: some of this Week eight action once again. We have

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Speaker 3: an early afternoon game on Saturday at two pm Eastern.

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Speaker 3: We have the Orlando Apollos against the Memphis Express. Oh Man,

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Speaker 3: the Paulos, we just talked about it, the best team

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Speaker 3: in the league at six and one. The Memphis Express

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Speaker 3: are two and five. I grant that Atlanta is the

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Speaker 3: worst team in the league. I think there's a strong

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Speaker 3: case to be made that Memphis is the second worst team,

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Speaker 3: and so we have these two teams going against each other.

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Speaker 3: As of recording, lines have not been released, but our

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Speaker 3: own Sean Corner, the director of predictive analytics at the

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Speaker 3: Action Network aka the odds Maker, he has released projections

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Speaker 3: for what he thinks these lines should be. Orlando is

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Speaker 3: favored by ten in his projections and the over unders

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Speaker 3: forty three and a half. Ian any injury news and notes.

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Speaker 4: So Orlando seems pretty healthy and I'm surprised that the

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Speaker 4: best team in the league has had some good injury

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Speaker 4: low all year. But the one note that a Keem Hunt,

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Speaker 4: who he did see was banged up a little bit

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Speaker 4: earlier in the season. He's pretty much back to full

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Speaker 4: health and we've seen that reflected in their running back committee.

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Speaker 4: Each of a Keem Hunt, Debion Smith, and d Arns

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Speaker 4: Johnson played at least twenty five percent of the offensive.

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Speaker 2: Snaps last week.

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Speaker 4: So still a situation we'll want to target because it

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Speaker 4: is the league's clear cut best offense. But We'll get

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Speaker 4: to that a little bit more later. And then for Memphis,

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Speaker 4: they placed their starting wide receiver Devin Lucian on IR.

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Speaker 4: This week they re signed Fabian Guerrera, who, with our

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Speaker 4: limited information in the preseason, a lot of people thought

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Speaker 4: would be their number one receiver.

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Speaker 2: So he's back in the fold.

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Speaker 4: But obviously the big thing with Memphis and AF in

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Speaker 4: general is win is gonna be Johnny Football season, and

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Speaker 4: it's looking like it's going to be another.

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Speaker 2: Week of split action.

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Speaker 4: After last week's game, Mike Singletary, of their head coach, said,

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Speaker 4: right now, Brandon Silvers is our quarterback. I'm very excited

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Speaker 4: about what Johnny does and what he brings to the team,

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Speaker 4: but Brandon is our starting quarterback. On the one hand,

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Speaker 4: like it's a business, how can you not put Johnny

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Speaker 4: in there and get those ticket sales and get all

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Speaker 4: the interest stuff. On the other hand, Bran Silvers has

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Speaker 4: played really well the last two weeks, and I do

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Speaker 4: understand where Singletary is coming from. They've been playing winning

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Speaker 4: football and Silvers really hasn't done anything to lose a

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Speaker 4: job just yet. So I want Johnny Football to be

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Speaker 4: on a field more than anyone else. But it's out

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Speaker 4: a point where I think maybe Week nine is when

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Speaker 4: we see him finally start under center, even if he

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Speaker 4: is going to continue to play possessions this week.

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Speaker 3: I mean, if there's one thing I trust Mike Singletary

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Speaker 3: to do, it's to evaluate and nurture quarterback talent. So

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Speaker 3: he's he's definitely making the right decision here. Let's look

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Speaker 3: at some of the key matchups. Let's start with Orlando's

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Speaker 3: offense going against this Memphis defense. I mean, it's such

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Speaker 3: a great matchup here.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, it's a huge mismatches, no way around it. Memphis

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Speaker 4: league's third worse defense in both yards per carrie and

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Speaker 4: yards per attempt allowed. They really haven't able to stop

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Speaker 4: the runner of the past all season. Garrett Gilbert. I mean,

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Speaker 4: the guy's balling out on a week to week basis.

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Speaker 4: Even he'll have a blow average week for him, but

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Speaker 4: then the next week he comes right back, So no

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Speaker 4: concerns there. Charles Johnson is still unguardable, still a cash

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Speaker 4: game log for me and fantasy. And then we got

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Speaker 4: you know, Jayalen Marshall locked in as a wide receiver

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Speaker 4: two and plenty of competent guys behind him, like Chris Thompson,

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Speaker 4: Ronell Hall, and even Ishmael Hyman. So with this backfield

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Speaker 4: though we mentioned there in this three back committee system. Now,

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Speaker 4: the good news is we know Deanis Johnson is a

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Speaker 4: clear cut starter and he's been the number one pass

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Speaker 4: down back.

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Speaker 2: He's guy at least two catches last five weeks.

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Speaker 4: And he's shown off some more ability when he's split

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Speaker 4: out and also on the screen game, Debian Smith is

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Speaker 4: the goal line back, which last week got him three

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Speaker 4: short rushing touchdowns.

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Speaker 2: Really a beast.

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Speaker 4: Him and Trent Richard center inside the five yard liner

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Speaker 4: pretty much sure things at this point. So this week

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Speaker 4: on land towards Deanis Johnson because we saw him get

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Speaker 4: a pretty nice salary decrease and it really wasn't too

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Speaker 4: much of a change in the workload, even though a

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Speaker 4: Keem Hunt was getting going. But it's an offense we're

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Speaker 4: gonna want to keep attacking fantasy, and there's not a

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Speaker 4: better matchup they could ask for this week.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, to put some context onto this matchup, and you

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Speaker 3: touched on how bad Memphis defense has been, but they've

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Speaker 3: allowed the second most FA points to quarterbacks, the second

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Speaker 3: most fantasy points to running backs, and the most fantasy

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Speaker 3: points to tight ends.

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Speaker 1: Now, obviously a lot of the offense for Orlando runs

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Speaker 1: through the wide receivers, but just given how bad Memphis

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Speaker 1: defense has been at defending all of the other positions,

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Speaker 1: I think we should still assume that if the Apollos

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Speaker 1: really want to force the issue in getting the ball

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Speaker 1: to their wide receivers, they're going to be able to

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Speaker 1: do that. And they have a number of capable receivers.

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Speaker 3: So yeah, this is going to be I think a

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Speaker 3: pretty bad experience for the Memphis defense. Let's look at

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Speaker 3: the other side, the Memphis offense going against the Orlando defense.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, so I think we knew pretty early on in

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Speaker 4: the year that the Orlando offense was looking like the

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Speaker 4: league's best in it. But their defense also could be

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Speaker 4: the best in the league. I mean, they've allowed the

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Speaker 4: fewest yards for a past ten ball season, even better

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Speaker 4: than that Birmingham Iron Curtain d. I mean, they have

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Speaker 4: pfs number one, number two, and number six highest graded cornerbacks,

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Speaker 4: so really just being to struggle to pass on them

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Speaker 4: all year, and it gives me hesitation to think that.

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Speaker 2: Silver's little fairy Tales story can.

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Speaker 4: Keep going this week, because do you have a bunch

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Speaker 4: of playmakers at cornerback, I think, and make life tough

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Speaker 4: for him, especially considering their top two receivers right now

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Speaker 4: at Reese.

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Speaker 2: Horn and Daniel Williams.

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Speaker 4: Horn made some great plays last week, contested catches down

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Speaker 4: the field up. This isn't so much an attack on him,

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Speaker 4: but Daniel Williams is averaging a league high ten and

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Speaker 4: a half targets per game this year, but he's only

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Speaker 4: played two games, so it's a little fluky. I think

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Speaker 4: in general, this is an offense we're just gonna want

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Speaker 4: to stay away from a little bit until things get

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Speaker 4: a little more cleared out under center. Because in the

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Speaker 4: run game, yes, Zach Stacey plays seventy five percent of

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Speaker 4: the offensive snaps. Last week, Richardson was at eighty four percent.

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Speaker 4: No one else was even higher than sixty one, So

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Speaker 4: he's a true workhorse. But oh my gosh, man, he's

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Speaker 4: had at least eleven carries in every game this year,

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Speaker 4: but he hasn't cleared fifty yards since Week two. So

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Speaker 4: it's just it's an offense that really hasn't had much

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Speaker 4: direction all season. They keep just kind of plugging in

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Speaker 4: a new quarterback under center, hoping it's going to fix everything,

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Speaker 4: and it really just hasn't worked for most of the year,

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Speaker 4: so I don't think this is the week that their

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Speaker 4: luck'ly going to continue.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, Orlando has held opposing quarterbacks to the fewest Fantasy

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Speaker 3: points per game, and it has held opposing wide receivers

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Speaker 3: to the third fewest Fantasy points per game. It's just

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Speaker 3: a it's a bad situation all the way around, which

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Speaker 3: I think leads to the obvious kind of Vegas inclination.

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Speaker 1: Whatever this line is, it's not going to be high

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Speaker 1: enough for me.

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Speaker 3: I'm I'm really easily going to be betting on Orlando.

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Speaker 1: But what are you thinking?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm right there with you. You got a ride

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Speaker 2: with Orlando.

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Speaker 4: And I think we'll also continue to see this Johnny

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Speaker 4: Menzel effect on the spread, where maybe the line is

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Speaker 4: a point or two below what it really should be,

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Speaker 4: but like I said, cannot put the line high enough.

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Speaker 4: I'm backing the I'm back in the Apollos.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, and i've generally since the first week, or I

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Speaker 3: actually week two, when I prove to myself that I

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Speaker 3: can't handicap at all the game totals, I've just been

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Speaker 3: avoiding them.

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Speaker 1: But this I don't know.

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Speaker 3: I think if I had to take a side on

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Speaker 3: the total, I would go Apollos games have I mean,

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Speaker 3: they're the highest scoring team in the league, so I

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Speaker 3: don't know. I mean I think they could get close

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Speaker 3: to the game total just by themselves.

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Speaker 1: But yeah, I don't know. I probably still won't take

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Speaker 1: any nibble on that.

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Speaker 2: Yeah.

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Speaker 4: I had a tough time with the game totals earlier

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Speaker 4: in the year as well, so I generally stayed away.

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Speaker 4: But yeah, I mean, Silvers and Manziela have showed these

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Speaker 4: last two weeks they can move the football. It's just

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Speaker 4: a matter if they can keep doing that against the

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Speaker 4: better defense. So yeah, I think I'll be sticking to

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Speaker 4: just the Apollos spread.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, all right, let's get to the late game. On Saturday,

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Speaker 3: eight pm Eastern, the San Diego Fleets at the Salt

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Speaker 3: Lake Stallions. The Fleet are three and four of the

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Speaker 3: Stallions are two and five. Sean corner makes this as

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Speaker 3: a pretty even matchup and so gives Salt Lake the

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Speaker 3: homefield advantage, So projecting them to be favored by two

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Speaker 3: points with an over under of thirty nine points. Ian

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Speaker 3: give us the injury news and notes.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, salt Lake seems to be pretty healthy.

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Speaker 4: Well a better grasp once the Wednesday night injury reports release,

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Speaker 4: so make sure you check out My Ultimate AF Betting

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Speaker 4: Guide should be out Thursday or Friday on the Action

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Speaker 4: Network and I'll have all the updated injury notes there.

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Speaker 4: But the big thing to watch for fantasy implications, in

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Speaker 4: particular San Diego. Last week, their wide receiver dntes Ford

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Speaker 4: wasn't able to suit up during an ankle andrews and

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Speaker 4: a walking boot, so I'm not sure he's particularly close

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Speaker 4: to being back either. And if you number four and

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Speaker 4: I mean he had like one hundred and eighty yards

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Speaker 4: in Week six, I mean truly a field stretcher and

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Speaker 4: game breaker. But without him, we saw both Brian Brown

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Speaker 4: and Francis Alusu play over eighty percent of the offensive

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Speaker 4: snaps and both those guys are under four K on

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Speaker 4: fan ball this week, so we got Mike Brocovici under center.

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Speaker 4: He's really been a gun slinger all year, throwing for

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Speaker 4: for three hundred yards and three straight games. If he's

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Speaker 4: not the most accurate guy, So anytime we can get

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Speaker 4: access to these wide receivers in a high flying offense

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Speaker 4: that are playing high snaps for a low price.

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Speaker 2: I mean, that's what we love him fantasy.

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Speaker 3: So all right, let's look at this matchup the San

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Speaker 3: Diego offense against the Salt Lake defense.

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Speaker 1: How do you see this plane?

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Speaker 2: Now? Yeah?

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Speaker 4: So, keeping going with the San Diego passing game, I

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Speaker 4: think they're gonna have to pass this week because Salt

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Speaker 4: Lake allowing a league low two point nine yards per

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Speaker 4: carry to opposing running backs. I mean, for reference, San

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Speaker 4: Diego has a second best run defense, and they're all

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Speaker 4: the way up at three point six yards per carry

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Speaker 4: out loud. So truly, Salt Lake has made teams try

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Speaker 4: to throw the ball on him, and I think that's

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Speaker 4: what Mike Martch is gonna be more to fine with

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Speaker 4: that because he's been chucking the ball all over the

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Speaker 4: field all season. So I really like having Brookeavici in

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Speaker 4: this spot, especially in tournaments. Again, he hasn't been accurate,

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Speaker 4: but he's actually had a top four or five yards

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Speaker 4: per attempt rate just because he keeps taking chances downfield.

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Speaker 4: The tricky thing is is whether or no, just how

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Speaker 4: featured Nelson Spruce is gonna be moving forward. He caught

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Speaker 4: twelve or fourteen targets for one hundred and forty six

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Speaker 4: yards last week. He had a bunch of drops in

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Speaker 4: Week six, so I guess we kind of could have

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Speaker 4: seen this coming. But at the same time, he only

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Speaker 4: played forty six percent of the offensive snaps because he

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Speaker 4: is just only featured in the slots, so when it's

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Speaker 4: two wide receiver sets, it's a Wusu and Brian Brown

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Speaker 4: out there. Like Spruce is literally not on the field

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Speaker 4: for over half of the offensive snaps in a lot

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Speaker 4: of these weeks.

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Speaker 2: So I have a hard.

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Speaker 4: Time just paying up over that six k range to

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Speaker 4: get a guy that's not gonna be on the field

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Speaker 4: as much. How much I to spend down and try

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Speaker 4: to go get some running backs elsewhere. But the good

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Speaker 4: news is that I don't know if it's this week

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Speaker 4: to attack the San Diego backfield because again Salt Lake

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Speaker 4: has been so strong, but we have seen them come

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Speaker 4: back into a two running back committee. Bishop Sanke has

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Speaker 4: taken over for Dapon gardner sanky season fifty one percent

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Speaker 4: of snaps. Last week we saw Dawon Gardner only play

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Speaker 4: four total snaps, So safe to assume we can move

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Speaker 4: forward with Sankey and Tarrell Watson and two back committee

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Speaker 4: and props with Trell Watson.

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Speaker 2: I mean I thought he was more.

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Speaker 4: Of just an early I mean early down grinder, goal

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Speaker 4: line type guy when the season started. But he's had

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Speaker 4: back to back weeks where he's made a catch like

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Speaker 4: fifteen plus yards downfield. He had a diving like touchdown

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Speaker 4: catch in Week six. Last week he got loose on

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Speaker 4: a wheel and game like forty yards. So much more

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Speaker 4: of a three down back than I think, at least

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Speaker 4: I thought he was to start the year. So props

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Speaker 4: with Troll Watson.

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Speaker 1: Yeah. So a couple thoughts.

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Speaker 3: One, there is always plenty of room on the sank tank,

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Speaker 3: go ahead and get on it. And then secondly, Treil

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Speaker 3: Watson is a guy I've had a crush on for

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Speaker 3: a long time. He was just so productive in college

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Speaker 3: at Azusa Pacific. By the way, shout out to our

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Speaker 3: editor Katie rich Creek who went there. But yeah, but

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Speaker 3: he was so productive in college and had underrated a

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Speaker 3: receiving production in college as well. A big body guy

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Speaker 3: who has really good like high end athleticism, didn't get

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Speaker 3: much of a shot like hung around at the NFL

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Speaker 3: for a few years on practice squads and then is

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Speaker 3: like a third or four stringer, but he's still relatively young.

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Speaker 3: I think he's the type of guy like I would

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Speaker 3: love to see get another shot in the NFL because

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Speaker 3: I think he actually could be someone who could kind

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Speaker 3: of surprise if he actually did get the shot. Let's

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Speaker 3: talk about the Saint Louis, not Saint Louis, the Salt

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Speaker 3: Lake offense going against the San Diego defense.

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Speaker 4: How can I a Saint Louis. We got Mike Marts

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Speaker 4: coach in San Diego. Yeah, So I mentioned before San

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Speaker 4: Diego has had the league's second best rush defense this year,

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Speaker 4: and really their front seven in general is just their strength.

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Speaker 4: I mean, PFFS graded them as the league's best overall

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Speaker 4: pass rush. We've seen demententre More at a defensive end

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Speaker 4: really just be the league's best overall edge defender.

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Speaker 2: From Week one on.

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Speaker 4: So well, I want to see Salt Lake get the

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Speaker 4: ball out quick, get the ball on the outside, and

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Speaker 4: that's exactly what they've been doing all season. And Josh

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Speaker 4: Woodrum has had the a's quickest average release all year long,

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Speaker 4: and I don't think it's a coincidence. He threw for

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Speaker 4: a season high three hundred and eighty yards against the Fleet

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Speaker 4: back in Week five.

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Speaker 2: There's a low floor here.

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Speaker 4: He hasn't gone over even two hundred and fifty yards

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Speaker 4: in any of these other games, so it's still a

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Speaker 4: conservative offense that hasn't necessarily shown the most upside. But

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Speaker 4: I think Woodrom has the tools to thrive in this matchup.

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Speaker 4: And it's a similar situation throughout receiver as San Diego.

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Speaker 4: The moren A Pierson now is the number one guy,

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Speaker 4: but again he's stuck in the slot, so the snap

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Speaker 4: rates down, so we can actually get down to it.

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Speaker 4: Donnis Jennings and Brian Tims fan ball where they're going

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Speaker 4: to be out four k or less and they're actually

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Speaker 4: gonna be on the field more than the fact of

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Speaker 4: number one targets, So just guys to keep in mind

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Speaker 4: for trying to save some money.

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Speaker 2: And then in the backfield we got some moving pieces

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Speaker 2: as well.

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Speaker 4: Joel Blagnon Jay Boogie looked like he was locked into

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Speaker 4: a pretty massive workload after Brandon Oliver went down, but

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Speaker 4: we've seen him kind of shift back to early down

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Speaker 4: in our.

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Speaker 2: Short yards exclusively.

439
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Speaker 4: Tron Ward end up taking a lot of the pass

440
00:19:24,440 --> 00:19:26,199
Speaker 4: game work last week, and I think it was his

441
00:19:26,200 --> 00:19:28,560
Speaker 4: second week with the team. So makes sense to see

442
00:19:28,560 --> 00:19:30,960
Speaker 4: his role get a little bit bigger, and he was

443
00:19:31,080 --> 00:19:34,679
Speaker 4: also getting some backfield run. Interesting guy is Torell Newby,

444
00:19:34,760 --> 00:19:38,000
Speaker 4: who he fumbled once or twice in Week six, so

445
00:19:38,680 --> 00:19:40,879
Speaker 4: luckily we were able to kind of anticipate that he'd

446
00:19:40,880 --> 00:19:42,719
Speaker 4: be out of the backfield rotation.

447
00:19:42,880 --> 00:19:46,000
Speaker 2: But inexplicably, he gets thirteen.

448
00:19:45,560 --> 00:19:47,840
Speaker 4: Snaps last week as a split out as a true

449
00:19:47,840 --> 00:19:51,080
Speaker 4: wide receiver, even scored a late touchdown. So they seem

450
00:19:51,119 --> 00:19:53,199
Speaker 4: to still be fine with Newby's ability as a receiver,

451
00:19:53,320 --> 00:19:55,600
Speaker 4: even if it's not going to be from the running

452
00:19:55,600 --> 00:19:56,200
Speaker 4: back position.

453
00:19:56,320 --> 00:19:57,920
Speaker 2: So it's something to keep an eye on.

454
00:19:57,920 --> 00:20:00,679
Speaker 4: I don't think Newby's playing enough to still be fancy

455
00:20:00,720 --> 00:20:03,080
Speaker 4: option or anything, but there's a lot of moving pieces

456
00:20:03,119 --> 00:20:03,680
Speaker 4: in the backfield.

457
00:20:04,680 --> 00:20:07,879
Speaker 1: What are your thoughts in terms of any Vegas inclination.

458
00:20:09,520 --> 00:20:11,240
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm going with salt Lake here. Look.

459
00:20:11,280 --> 00:20:14,680
Speaker 4: San Diego won twenty seven to twenty five at home

460
00:20:14,760 --> 00:20:17,040
Speaker 4: back in Week five, and that was that game where

461
00:20:17,280 --> 00:20:20,359
Speaker 4: Woodrom let him back late, scored a touchdown with like

462
00:20:20,440 --> 00:20:23,520
Speaker 4: a minute left, and then Broucovicci had a deep ball

463
00:20:23,560 --> 00:20:25,800
Speaker 4: to Ford or someone and they were able to get

464
00:20:25,840 --> 00:20:26,320
Speaker 4: a field goal.

465
00:20:26,359 --> 00:20:28,200
Speaker 2: Like one of the best AAF Games of the Year.

466
00:20:28,400 --> 00:20:30,800
Speaker 3: That really was that. That was the one where you

467
00:20:30,840 --> 00:20:34,679
Speaker 3: took the money line and you lost. Sorry about that,

468
00:20:35,240 --> 00:20:39,680
Speaker 3: but I won on the cover, which was a wonderful game.

469
00:20:39,800 --> 00:20:42,960
Speaker 3: This was actually the only game that I've watched in

470
00:20:43,080 --> 00:20:45,920
Speaker 3: real time for Alliance Electric.

471
00:20:46,080 --> 00:20:48,240
Speaker 1: Yeah it was. It actually really was a great game.

472
00:20:49,040 --> 00:20:51,080
Speaker 4: But yeah, I mean, I'm gonna be taking a spread

473
00:20:51,119 --> 00:20:53,480
Speaker 4: this time. I got too cocky last time, as you

474
00:20:53,520 --> 00:20:56,000
Speaker 4: had to remind me. But yeah, but the big thing

475
00:20:56,080 --> 00:20:58,480
Speaker 4: so with Woodrum, they have not lost by more than

476
00:20:58,560 --> 00:21:01,720
Speaker 4: four in a full game with him under center. So again,

477
00:21:01,800 --> 00:21:04,080
Speaker 4: even if Salt Lake their season hasn't quite gone the

478
00:21:04,080 --> 00:21:07,480
Speaker 4: way they wanted to, unlike Atlanta and kind of unlike Memphis,

479
00:21:07,520 --> 00:21:10,200
Speaker 4: they've been the most competitive bad team in the league.

480
00:21:10,760 --> 00:21:14,560
Speaker 1: Yeah, I think this one's pretty close. I will I

481
00:21:14,560 --> 00:21:14,840
Speaker 1: don't know.

482
00:21:14,880 --> 00:21:18,000
Speaker 3: I think I'll probably be staying away from it. And

483
00:21:18,200 --> 00:21:20,320
Speaker 3: if I had to pick a team, yeah, it's hard.

484
00:21:20,400 --> 00:21:23,520
Speaker 3: I mean, I think I probably like San Diego a

485
00:21:23,600 --> 00:21:26,439
Speaker 3: little bit more, especially on a neutral field than It's

486
00:21:26,480 --> 00:21:28,600
Speaker 3: not that this is a neutral field, but I just

487
00:21:28,600 --> 00:21:31,640
Speaker 3: don't know how much home field even matters in the AAF,

488
00:21:31,720 --> 00:21:32,480
Speaker 3: you know what I mean.

489
00:21:33,359 --> 00:21:35,840
Speaker 4: Maybe for San Antonio because they got their home and

490
00:21:35,840 --> 00:21:36,720
Speaker 4: their big fan base.

491
00:21:36,760 --> 00:21:37,880
Speaker 2: But otherwise, yeah, I agree.

492
00:21:38,119 --> 00:21:43,000
Speaker 3: Yeah, but circling back to the stallions, let's talk about erections.

493
00:21:43,280 --> 00:21:45,560
Speaker 3: Oh yeah, everyone's favorite topic.

494
00:21:45,880 --> 00:21:46,080
Speaker 1: Ian.

495
00:21:46,240 --> 00:21:48,480
Speaker 3: Once when I was a kid, I think in seventh grade,

496
00:21:48,560 --> 00:21:50,800
Speaker 3: my class in school took a field trip to a

497
00:21:51,200 --> 00:21:53,879
Speaker 3: local farm. So we're all just standing around looking at

498
00:21:53,920 --> 00:21:56,159
Speaker 3: cows and pigs and thinking that this is totally boring,

499
00:21:56,400 --> 00:21:58,760
Speaker 3: and then out of nowhere, there's a horse that's standing

500
00:21:58,800 --> 00:22:02,120
Speaker 3: there and it gets this massive erection. Like that thing

501
00:22:02,440 --> 00:22:05,240
Speaker 3: was the size of I don't know, like an entire

502
00:22:05,400 --> 00:22:08,560
Speaker 3: human child. Maybe all the girls were looking at it

503
00:22:08,600 --> 00:22:12,119
Speaker 3: with this combination of laughter and horror, and all of

504
00:22:12,160 --> 00:22:15,120
Speaker 3: the guys were saying things like whatever, it's not that big.

505
00:22:15,200 --> 00:22:18,359
Speaker 3: I mean, it's totally normal. But anyway, my point is

506
00:22:18,400 --> 00:22:22,280
Speaker 3: that that horse had no penile problems whatsoever. But you know,

507
00:22:22,440 --> 00:22:26,200
Speaker 3: we mortal men. We can't all be horses. Sometimes erections

508
00:22:26,200 --> 00:22:28,320
Speaker 3: aren't quite so easy to come by. Bad choice of

509
00:22:28,359 --> 00:22:31,119
Speaker 3: words there. Anyway, if you've experienced erect out of this

510
00:22:31,200 --> 00:22:34,720
Speaker 3: function and are looking for something to help you unleash

511
00:22:34,960 --> 00:22:37,920
Speaker 3: your inner animal, you should check out Roman. An easy

512
00:22:37,920 --> 00:22:40,920
Speaker 3: way to get checked out by a doctor and treated online.

513
00:22:41,000 --> 00:22:44,040
Speaker 3: Roman is a one stop shop where licensed US physicians

514
00:22:44,200 --> 00:22:46,920
Speaker 3: can diagnose, ed and ship medication right to your door.

515
00:22:47,080 --> 00:22:49,200
Speaker 3: With Roman, there are no waiting rooms, awkward face to

516
00:22:49,200 --> 00:22:52,600
Speaker 3: face conversations, or uncomfortable trips to the pharmacy. You can

517
00:22:52,600 --> 00:22:55,159
Speaker 3: handle everything discreetly online. All you have to do is

518
00:22:55,240 --> 00:22:58,920
Speaker 3: visit get Roman dot com slash nfl pod, fill out

519
00:22:58,920 --> 00:23:01,800
Speaker 3: a brief medical onboard, chat with a doctor, and get

520
00:23:01,880 --> 00:23:06,600
Speaker 3: FDA approved eedy meds delivered to your door in unmarked packaging. Guys,

521
00:23:06,680 --> 00:23:09,600
Speaker 3: go online and get checked by the doctor. Get into

522
00:23:09,640 --> 00:23:13,240
Speaker 3: the end zone with Roman. For a free online visit,

523
00:23:13,320 --> 00:23:15,920
Speaker 3: go to get Roman dot com slash nfl pod. That is,

524
00:23:15,960 --> 00:23:18,639
Speaker 3: get Roman dot com slash nfl pod for a free

525
00:23:18,680 --> 00:23:22,800
Speaker 3: online visit. Get Roman dot com slash nfl pod. Ian

526
00:23:23,080 --> 00:23:25,399
Speaker 3: The ad read windstreak continues.

527
00:23:25,920 --> 00:23:29,679
Speaker 4: I was so concerned where that story was going at first,

528
00:23:29,720 --> 00:23:32,120
Speaker 4: about a bunch of board middle schoolers with all these

529
00:23:32,200 --> 00:23:34,040
Speaker 4: farm animals. But I think I ended up about as

530
00:23:34,080 --> 00:23:35,200
Speaker 4: well as it possibly could have.

531
00:23:35,520 --> 00:23:40,120
Speaker 3: Yes, Okay, let's talk about the games. On Sunday at

532
00:23:40,119 --> 00:23:44,600
Speaker 3: four pm Eastern, we have the horrific Atlanta Legends. By

533
00:23:44,640 --> 00:23:46,560
Speaker 3: the way, they need to visit some Roman because they

534
00:23:46,560 --> 00:23:50,560
Speaker 3: are definitely not performing. We have them at the Birmingham Iron.

535
00:23:50,920 --> 00:23:54,200
Speaker 3: The Iron we are expecting, just in terms of our projections,

536
00:23:54,200 --> 00:23:56,359
Speaker 3: to be favored by nine and a half with a

537
00:23:56,440 --> 00:23:59,879
Speaker 3: thirty eight point five over under Ian give us the

538
00:24:00,040 --> 00:24:00,960
Speaker 3: injury news and notes.

539
00:24:01,720 --> 00:24:04,080
Speaker 4: Yeah, Atlanta seems to be pretty healthy again, all of

540
00:24:04,080 --> 00:24:06,439
Speaker 4: a better grasp after the injury reports or release. But

541
00:24:06,760 --> 00:24:08,240
Speaker 4: the big thing is, I mean, we haven't seen Aaron

542
00:24:08,280 --> 00:24:11,119
Speaker 4: Murray finish either of these last two games. It's not

543
00:24:11,240 --> 00:24:12,160
Speaker 4: all been his fault.

544
00:24:12,240 --> 00:24:14,160
Speaker 2: I mean just watching him play.

545
00:24:14,200 --> 00:24:16,720
Speaker 4: Like last week for example, he had a touchdown where

546
00:24:16,720 --> 00:24:19,600
Speaker 4: it hit his receiver in the chest, dropping the end zone,

547
00:24:19,640 --> 00:24:21,680
Speaker 4: and then two plays later he throws a pick from

548
00:24:21,680 --> 00:24:24,199
Speaker 4: inside the ten yard line. So definitely not getting a

549
00:24:24,280 --> 00:24:27,399
Speaker 4: bunch of help. Running game hasn't really gotten started all season.

550
00:24:27,480 --> 00:24:29,960
Speaker 4: But at the same time, we've seen Matt Simms, we've

551
00:24:30,000 --> 00:24:32,359
Speaker 4: seen I think Peter Pujos is their other guys. So

552
00:24:32,840 --> 00:24:35,119
Speaker 4: situation where I think Murray's still going to start, but

553
00:24:35,840 --> 00:24:37,720
Speaker 4: I'm not going to be trusting him in any DFS

554
00:24:37,800 --> 00:24:41,560
Speaker 4: lineups due to his kind of lack of certainty moving forward.

555
00:24:41,840 --> 00:24:44,200
Speaker 4: And then yeah, on the Birmingham side of things. I'm

556
00:24:44,200 --> 00:24:46,960
Speaker 4: pretty happy we've been able to We nailed Richard Mulaney

557
00:24:46,960 --> 00:24:49,719
Speaker 4: in week six and then Amba at a Twilve in

558
00:24:49,800 --> 00:24:52,879
Speaker 4: week seven, where just these receivers that were starters, they

559
00:24:52,920 --> 00:24:54,800
Speaker 4: got hurt and then they came back and the pretty

560
00:24:54,880 --> 00:24:57,320
Speaker 4: much featured roles. So yeah, we did see Amba played

561
00:24:57,359 --> 00:24:59,760
Speaker 4: sixty three percent of snaps last week and that came

562
00:24:59,800 --> 00:25:02,240
Speaker 4: out the expense of la Damian Washington and only played

563
00:25:02,280 --> 00:25:05,520
Speaker 4: three percent snaps despite absolutely going off in week six.

564
00:25:05,600 --> 00:25:08,520
Speaker 4: So we'll see how that receiver rotation works out over

565
00:25:08,560 --> 00:25:11,720
Speaker 4: a longer sample than just one week. But yeah, always

566
00:25:11,760 --> 00:25:14,240
Speaker 4: good to keep in mind that when these starters do

567
00:25:14,320 --> 00:25:18,399
Speaker 4: come back, they get priced down and fanball sometimes unjustifiably.

568
00:25:19,119 --> 00:25:24,600
Speaker 3: Yes, a great call last week on Amba phone home et. Okay,

569
00:25:24,680 --> 00:25:29,600
Speaker 3: let's talk about this Atlanta offense against the Birmingham defense. Yes,

570
00:25:29,680 --> 00:25:32,040
Speaker 3: so I should say I'm using the Lanta offense and

571
00:25:32,160 --> 00:25:33,040
Speaker 3: air quotes there.

572
00:25:34,200 --> 00:25:36,719
Speaker 4: That's very fair, especially in this matchup. I mean I

573
00:25:36,720 --> 00:25:39,640
Speaker 4: said before, Orlando might be a number one defense either way,

574
00:25:40,000 --> 00:25:42,119
Speaker 4: anyone's list is going to have Orlando and Birmingham in

575
00:25:42,200 --> 00:25:45,000
Speaker 4: the top two. So they've really been great to see,

576
00:25:45,119 --> 00:25:47,840
Speaker 4: especially when you're waiting just pass defense and points allowed.

577
00:25:47,840 --> 00:25:49,960
Speaker 4: But yeah, I mean, I don't have hardly any good

578
00:25:49,960 --> 00:25:51,840
Speaker 4: things to say about this Atlanta offense.

579
00:25:51,840 --> 00:25:52,080
Speaker 2: There.

580
00:25:52,280 --> 00:25:55,280
Speaker 4: They have these really big wide receiver and running back committees,

581
00:25:55,320 --> 00:25:58,520
Speaker 4: so it's hard to find too much fantasy friendly nature

582
00:25:58,520 --> 00:26:00,399
Speaker 4: in either of them. I will say, I'm gonna have

583
00:26:00,480 --> 00:26:04,360
Speaker 4: some Brandon Radcliffe and Santavius Jones exposure just because each

584
00:26:04,400 --> 00:26:07,399
Speaker 4: of these guys have sub five thousand salaries and I

585
00:26:07,440 --> 00:26:08,960
Speaker 4: just think it's a little bit out of sank with

586
00:26:09,040 --> 00:26:11,640
Speaker 4: the uses we've seen from them. But other than that, yeah,

587
00:26:11,880 --> 00:26:13,720
Speaker 4: just stay as far away as he came from this

588
00:26:13,760 --> 00:26:14,560
Speaker 4: Atlanta team.

589
00:26:15,000 --> 00:26:18,960
Speaker 3: Let's talk about the Birmingham offense going against this Atlanta defense,

590
00:26:18,960 --> 00:26:22,400
Speaker 3: which Atlanta, they've scored the fewest points in the league

591
00:26:22,440 --> 00:26:24,679
Speaker 3: and allowed the most points in the league, So this

592
00:26:24,840 --> 00:26:27,520
Speaker 3: is just a it's a horrible matchup all the way around.

593
00:26:27,520 --> 00:26:30,240
Speaker 3: From them Birmingham's offense, I don't think it's really all

594
00:26:30,240 --> 00:26:34,160
Speaker 3: that exciting. But you imagine, even though they play at

595
00:26:34,200 --> 00:26:37,359
Speaker 3: a relatively slower pace and they play in antiquated style,

596
00:26:37,440 --> 00:26:39,080
Speaker 3: you imagine that they should be able to put up

597
00:26:39,119 --> 00:26:40,240
Speaker 3: some points against Atlanta.

598
00:26:41,000 --> 00:26:41,800
Speaker 2: Yeah, exactly.

599
00:26:42,000 --> 00:26:43,879
Speaker 4: I don't know if Atlanta is like by far the

600
00:26:43,960 --> 00:26:46,639
Speaker 4: worst defense in the league, but they're definitely below average,

601
00:26:46,680 --> 00:26:48,840
Speaker 4: their second worst and yards per carry allowed.

602
00:26:48,960 --> 00:26:50,520
Speaker 2: So maybe it's finally.

603
00:26:50,200 --> 00:26:52,960
Speaker 4: The week for Trent two point six yards per carry

604
00:26:53,040 --> 00:26:55,080
Speaker 4: Richardson to get something going on.

605
00:26:55,240 --> 00:26:58,160
Speaker 3: Maybe he will average three yards per carry. Oh man,

606
00:26:58,480 --> 00:27:01,879
Speaker 3: that's in the realm of poon one can dream and

607
00:27:02,240 --> 00:27:04,800
Speaker 3: Austin's ridiculous. So, I mean, he's averaging two point six

608
00:27:04,880 --> 00:27:05,600
Speaker 3: yards per carry.

609
00:27:06,200 --> 00:27:08,080
Speaker 2: That's so absurd and so bad.

610
00:27:08,160 --> 00:27:10,280
Speaker 4: But at the same time, like the guy gets the

611
00:27:10,280 --> 00:27:12,920
Speaker 4: ball inside the five yard line, he turns into supermany.

612
00:27:13,080 --> 00:27:14,760
Speaker 4: You know, he's making the right cut and just putting

613
00:27:14,760 --> 00:27:17,679
Speaker 4: his shoulder down just will not be denied getting to

614
00:27:17,680 --> 00:27:20,879
Speaker 4: the end zone. He's got ten rushing touchdowns, so also

615
00:27:20,920 --> 00:27:25,040
Speaker 4: ability as receiver. I mean, it's so absurd how I

616
00:27:25,040 --> 00:27:27,280
Speaker 4: can be saying nice things about any running back averaging

617
00:27:27,320 --> 00:27:29,639
Speaker 4: two point six yards per carry, but it truly is

618
00:27:29,680 --> 00:27:32,160
Speaker 4: just baffling to me how he can look so good

619
00:27:32,160 --> 00:27:35,280
Speaker 4: in certain situations but still be so below average.

620
00:27:35,280 --> 00:27:37,800
Speaker 3: Over I want to kind of take this outside of

621
00:27:37,840 --> 00:27:41,320
Speaker 3: the realm of AAF for a second. Trent Richardson right now,

622
00:27:41,359 --> 00:27:43,280
Speaker 3: and I would say, like, you probably have a better

623
00:27:43,320 --> 00:27:46,240
Speaker 3: read on Trent Richardson than almost anyone else because you

624
00:27:46,320 --> 00:27:49,680
Speaker 3: actually watch the games. You think about Trent Richardson, how

625
00:27:49,720 --> 00:27:53,159
Speaker 3: do you think as a receiver he compares to some

626
00:27:53,320 --> 00:27:56,600
Speaker 3: of the other running backs in the NFL, Like some

627
00:27:56,680 --> 00:27:59,640
Speaker 3: of the big bodied running backs in the NFL.

628
00:28:00,800 --> 00:28:01,399
Speaker 2: He's fine.

629
00:28:01,440 --> 00:28:03,520
Speaker 4: He's not doing He's like he's not splitting out on

630
00:28:03,520 --> 00:28:06,000
Speaker 4: the slot or out wide like a Le'Veon Beau or

631
00:28:06,119 --> 00:28:06,800
Speaker 4: Alvin Kamara.

632
00:28:06,840 --> 00:28:09,359
Speaker 2: He doesn't quite give you that type of dimension.

633
00:28:09,440 --> 00:28:12,600
Speaker 4: But he's really solid in pass protection, and he's good

634
00:28:12,600 --> 00:28:15,160
Speaker 4: at just slipping out of the backfield and kind of

635
00:28:15,200 --> 00:28:18,679
Speaker 4: getting these short dump offs and then making something happen

636
00:28:18,680 --> 00:28:19,439
Speaker 4: in open space.

637
00:28:19,480 --> 00:28:21,840
Speaker 2: I mean, he's still pretty good in the open field.

638
00:28:21,960 --> 00:28:24,679
Speaker 4: His problem is his vision, so as a ball carrier,

639
00:28:24,720 --> 00:28:26,280
Speaker 4: he usually can't find the open field.

640
00:28:26,400 --> 00:28:28,760
Speaker 2: So working as a receiver works out a little better

641
00:28:28,800 --> 00:28:32,080
Speaker 2: for him. But that said, though, if you were only.

642
00:28:31,840 --> 00:28:34,399
Speaker 4: Taking him as a I guess pass catcher in the NFL,

643
00:28:34,520 --> 00:28:38,080
Speaker 4: I do think he'd be at least closer to average

644
00:28:38,120 --> 00:28:39,520
Speaker 4: than people might give him credit for.

645
00:28:40,440 --> 00:28:45,000
Speaker 3: So there are on like on any given NFL team,

646
00:28:45,120 --> 00:28:47,840
Speaker 3: you have maybe your lead guy and then you have

647
00:28:47,960 --> 00:28:51,120
Speaker 3: two other types of backs behind him. One is more

648
00:28:51,160 --> 00:28:53,720
Speaker 3: of the pass catching back, and then one is more

649
00:28:53,760 --> 00:28:58,360
Speaker 3: of like a like a bigger bodied kind of backup

650
00:28:58,400 --> 00:29:01,880
Speaker 3: who would maybe be your prime ball carrier if the

651
00:29:01,920 --> 00:29:03,000
Speaker 3: starter gets injured.

652
00:29:03,160 --> 00:29:07,320
Speaker 1: Like Trent Richardson kind of embodies those two things right like,

653
00:29:08,360 --> 00:29:11,640
Speaker 1: He's going to be twenty nine next season. So it's

654
00:29:11,680 --> 00:29:15,120
Speaker 1: not as if I think he actually clearly deserves another

655
00:29:15,120 --> 00:29:17,320
Speaker 1: shot in the NFL, because I just don't see the

656
00:29:17,720 --> 00:29:20,680
Speaker 1: functionality of really investing much in a guy who's going

657
00:29:20,720 --> 00:29:23,800
Speaker 1: to be twenty nine. But I don't know, like I

658
00:29:23,800 --> 00:29:26,000
Speaker 1: mean he I think you could give him a really

659
00:29:26,120 --> 00:29:30,200
Speaker 1: cheap salary and he might provide some value.

660
00:29:30,560 --> 00:29:33,560
Speaker 4: I think he could be like what Matt Osata was

661
00:29:33,680 --> 00:29:36,480
Speaker 4: on the Vikings where he will He should never be

662
00:29:36,560 --> 00:29:39,240
Speaker 4: your feature back. He shouldn't even be here like Jack

663
00:29:39,320 --> 00:29:43,120
Speaker 4: McKinnon's scat back. But he's got short yard his capability,

664
00:29:43,200 --> 00:29:45,440
Speaker 4: he's good in pass protection, and he can at least

665
00:29:45,480 --> 00:29:48,080
Speaker 4: catch the ball sometimes, So I'm with you. The problem is,

666
00:29:48,440 --> 00:29:50,600
Speaker 4: I don't know if it's him or the league, but

667
00:29:50,640 --> 00:29:52,960
Speaker 4: I just think him being the number three overall pick

668
00:29:53,000 --> 00:29:56,080
Speaker 4: has kind of not enabled him to have that opportunity

669
00:29:56,120 --> 00:29:56,920
Speaker 4: for better or for worse.

670
00:29:57,240 --> 00:30:00,920
Speaker 3: Yeah, that's interesting. Asiata is a good, good comparison. Although

671
00:30:00,960 --> 00:30:03,800
Speaker 3: I think he's better, I mean than Asiata, like I

672
00:30:03,880 --> 00:30:06,120
Speaker 3: think he would he would still I think he would

673
00:30:06,160 --> 00:30:08,440
Speaker 3: have a higher yards per carry. I think he would

674
00:30:08,440 --> 00:30:10,960
Speaker 3: be just as efficient as scoring touchdowns, and he's a

675
00:30:11,040 --> 00:30:14,160
Speaker 3: much better receiver. Okay, let's get back to it talking

676
00:30:14,160 --> 00:30:16,600
Speaker 3: about this burning him offense against the Atlanta defense.

677
00:30:17,200 --> 00:30:19,320
Speaker 4: Yeah, so we've actually seen their pass offense has some

678
00:30:19,360 --> 00:30:23,880
Speaker 4: signs of life recently. After Keith Price unfortunately got hurt,

679
00:30:23,920 --> 00:30:26,479
Speaker 4: Luis Perez came back in and will not give up

680
00:30:26,480 --> 00:30:29,920
Speaker 4: his starting job again. Apparently he threw zero touchdowns in

681
00:30:29,960 --> 00:30:32,160
Speaker 4: his first one hundred and fifty three pass attempts in

682
00:30:32,200 --> 00:30:34,680
Speaker 4: weeks one through five. He's got five scores through the

683
00:30:34,680 --> 00:30:37,440
Speaker 4: air in week six to seven alone, so definitely been

684
00:30:37,480 --> 00:30:40,080
Speaker 4: stepping up. But at the same time, he still hasn't

685
00:30:40,080 --> 00:30:41,960
Speaker 4: really been all that accurate or ficient. I think it's

686
00:30:42,000 --> 00:30:43,720
Speaker 4: more just a little bit of regressing to the mean

687
00:30:44,000 --> 00:30:46,800
Speaker 4: in terms of his touchdown rate. And you know, Richardson

688
00:30:46,800 --> 00:30:49,960
Speaker 4: could only score so many one yard scores for that time.

689
00:30:50,040 --> 00:30:53,560
Speaker 4: So I'm more interested in looking at Quentin Patten, who

690
00:30:53,760 --> 00:30:56,240
Speaker 4: currently leads the league in targets. We haven't seen him

691
00:30:56,240 --> 00:30:58,360
Speaker 4: really convert him to a ton of production in these

692
00:30:58,400 --> 00:31:01,560
Speaker 4: last few weeks. But and Trent Richardson are two of

693
00:31:01,640 --> 00:31:03,680
Speaker 4: only nine players in the AA have to have at

694
00:31:03,760 --> 00:31:06,080
Speaker 4: least forty targets this season, So we don't really have

695
00:31:06,160 --> 00:31:08,840
Speaker 4: another offense that has that much a target share condensed

696
00:31:09,280 --> 00:31:11,360
Speaker 4: into two players. So I did see some good things

697
00:31:11,360 --> 00:31:13,400
Speaker 4: from Jamal Robinson last week. He's kind of there to

698
00:31:13,440 --> 00:31:15,840
Speaker 4: facto deep threat, but I'm not sure if the targets

699
00:31:15,840 --> 00:31:18,280
Speaker 4: are going to be there. And then as for amba Et,

700
00:31:18,920 --> 00:31:21,600
Speaker 4: one of these situations were like last week, I was shocked.

701
00:31:21,760 --> 00:31:24,520
Speaker 4: Richard mulaney is a price shot up around one thousand

702
00:31:24,520 --> 00:31:26,479
Speaker 4: and fifteen hundred or whatever, and he came out with

703
00:31:26,480 --> 00:31:29,480
Speaker 4: like forty percent ownership rate in this GPP. So look

704
00:31:29,520 --> 00:31:31,560
Speaker 4: and but Et was an awesome play last week, but

705
00:31:31,640 --> 00:31:34,720
Speaker 4: now he's costing in the four thousands. It's not the

706
00:31:34,760 --> 00:31:38,160
Speaker 4: same level of value, and it's someone that we're gonna

707
00:31:38,240 --> 00:31:41,080
Speaker 4: want to fade because he's apparently gonna have really high ownership.

708
00:31:41,840 --> 00:31:44,840
Speaker 1: All right, anyway, you are leaning in this game.

709
00:31:45,160 --> 00:31:47,800
Speaker 4: Yeah, same thoughts as like orlandovers Memphis can't put the

710
00:31:47,840 --> 00:31:48,520
Speaker 4: line high enough.

711
00:31:48,560 --> 00:31:50,160
Speaker 2: Give me Birmingham again.

712
00:31:50,200 --> 00:31:51,720
Speaker 4: I think I think we're on the verge of them

713
00:31:51,760 --> 00:31:54,800
Speaker 4: losing their motivation, which when the already worst team in

714
00:31:54,800 --> 00:31:57,640
Speaker 4: the league now doesn't have much to play for, lookout.

715
00:31:58,320 --> 00:31:59,880
Speaker 1: Yeah, it's it's interesting.

716
00:32:00,080 --> 00:32:02,240
Speaker 3: One thing that wouldn't make me I mean, yeah, I'm

717
00:32:02,280 --> 00:32:04,880
Speaker 3: going to be taking Birmingham, But the one thing that

718
00:32:04,920 --> 00:32:07,840
Speaker 3: would make me lean a little bit towards Atlanta, or

719
00:32:07,920 --> 00:32:10,080
Speaker 3: at least that would make me stay away from it,

720
00:32:10,120 --> 00:32:13,120
Speaker 3: is the fact that Birmingham doesn't play a lot of

721
00:32:14,240 --> 00:32:17,000
Speaker 3: Like it doesn't blow out opponents, you know what I mean. Like,

722
00:32:17,040 --> 00:32:19,360
Speaker 3: they play a close style where they're running the ball,

723
00:32:20,160 --> 00:32:23,280
Speaker 3: they play at a slower pace. Even though I don't

724
00:32:23,320 --> 00:32:26,719
Speaker 3: think I mean, obviously Atlanta is horrible, but if there

725
00:32:27,480 --> 00:32:30,680
Speaker 3: is a team against which they could keep a game close,

726
00:32:31,000 --> 00:32:33,600
Speaker 3: I think Birmingham is that type of team, you know

727
00:32:33,640 --> 00:32:34,080
Speaker 3: what I mean?

728
00:32:34,440 --> 00:32:35,440
Speaker 2: Yeah, that's fair. I mean.

729
00:32:35,800 --> 00:32:38,120
Speaker 4: And again, like, even though pres in the passing game

730
00:32:38,200 --> 00:32:41,880
Speaker 4: have been having some more touchdown success recently, I don't

731
00:32:41,920 --> 00:32:44,200
Speaker 4: think that it's still all that effect of a passing

732
00:32:44,240 --> 00:32:47,560
Speaker 4: game in general. So if the Land defense can just

733
00:32:47,640 --> 00:32:50,440
Speaker 4: kind of improve their performance against the run against what's

734
00:32:50,440 --> 00:32:53,680
Speaker 4: been the league's least efficient rushing offense. Yeah, there's definitely

735
00:32:53,720 --> 00:32:55,959
Speaker 4: a scenario where this game could be within a touchdown.

736
00:32:56,280 --> 00:32:57,160
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean that's it.

737
00:32:57,280 --> 00:33:00,760
Speaker 3: I'm probably still still going to be betting against Atlanta

738
00:33:00,800 --> 00:33:03,800
Speaker 3: Sam or Sama. Yeah, okay, let's talk about this final

739
00:33:03,840 --> 00:33:09,000
Speaker 3: game on Sunday night. The San Antonio Commanders, the conference

740
00:33:09,080 --> 00:33:12,080
Speaker 3: leading San Antonio Commanders of five and two going against

741
00:33:12,080 --> 00:33:15,120
Speaker 3: the Arizona hot Shots at four and three. This should

742
00:33:15,120 --> 00:33:18,000
Speaker 3: be a really good game and if the hot Shots

743
00:33:18,040 --> 00:33:21,680
Speaker 3: should win, I should say we have our season win total.

744
00:33:22,000 --> 00:33:24,920
Speaker 3: We had the under on Arizona under six and a

745
00:33:24,960 --> 00:33:28,360
Speaker 3: half wins. They need to lose this game for us,

746
00:33:28,440 --> 00:33:32,000
Speaker 3: I think because if they win this game, they have

747
00:33:32,080 --> 00:33:34,840
Speaker 3: to win only two more games, and both of those

748
00:33:34,880 --> 00:33:37,560
Speaker 3: games are winnable. At that point, they will really be

749
00:33:37,640 --> 00:33:40,040
Speaker 3: fighting for a playoff spot. So like, this is a

750
00:33:40,040 --> 00:33:43,840
Speaker 3: game where I'm really rooting against the Arizona hot Shots.

751
00:33:43,960 --> 00:33:44,640
Speaker 1: I have to say.

752
00:33:45,000 --> 00:33:47,720
Speaker 3: And right now we have San Antonio projected as a

753
00:33:47,720 --> 00:33:49,880
Speaker 3: two and a half point favorite with a forty one

754
00:33:49,920 --> 00:33:51,280
Speaker 3: point five over under.

755
00:33:51,760 --> 00:33:53,160
Speaker 1: Give us some injury news and notes.

756
00:33:53,840 --> 00:33:56,400
Speaker 4: Yeah, so real quick, these guys played earlier in the season.

757
00:33:56,440 --> 00:33:59,400
Speaker 4: It was kind of a deceiving game because San Antonio

758
00:33:59,400 --> 00:34:02,240
Speaker 4: shot off to a twenty six nothing halftime lead but

759
00:34:02,280 --> 00:34:04,680
Speaker 4: then only ended up winning twenty nine twenty six. So

760
00:34:05,000 --> 00:34:06,880
Speaker 4: I think it was a situation where we really saw

761
00:34:06,960 --> 00:34:09,440
Speaker 4: like the worst half of football Arizona played all season.

762
00:34:09,600 --> 00:34:13,160
Speaker 4: Early Picked six allowed some big plays combined with really

763
00:34:13,200 --> 00:34:16,479
Speaker 4: Logan Woodsides coming out parties. So I'm really looking forward

764
00:34:16,480 --> 00:34:18,400
Speaker 4: to probably seeing something a little more in the middle

765
00:34:18,440 --> 00:34:20,919
Speaker 4: of those one side halfs this time around. And I'm

766
00:34:20,920 --> 00:34:23,000
Speaker 4: with you, this is going to be probably the week's

767
00:34:23,000 --> 00:34:26,320
Speaker 4: best and most competitive game. But yeah, so san Antonio

768
00:34:26,640 --> 00:34:28,600
Speaker 4: Logan Woodside has been playing out of his mind the

769
00:34:28,680 --> 00:34:31,040
Speaker 4: last couple of weeks, but he had to leave early

770
00:34:31,160 --> 00:34:34,320
Speaker 4: last week through a non throwing shoulder injury. It doesn't

771
00:34:34,320 --> 00:34:36,399
Speaker 4: seem like it's too severe. He said after the game

772
00:34:36,480 --> 00:34:38,799
Speaker 4: that he thinks he probably could have re entered and

773
00:34:38,960 --> 00:34:41,879
Speaker 4: he fully planned on practicing come Wednesday, So we'll see

774
00:34:41,920 --> 00:34:44,600
Speaker 4: how it works out the injury reports look, but if

775
00:34:44,600 --> 00:34:47,920
Speaker 4: he can't, then we'll get up the Marquise Williams rushing

776
00:34:47,960 --> 00:34:50,480
Speaker 4: upside that we've been begging to see in DFS all season.

777
00:34:50,600 --> 00:34:53,640
Speaker 4: So any season long. People out there definitely pick up

778
00:34:53,680 --> 00:34:56,600
Speaker 4: Marquise in cases. Woodside injury is a little more severe

779
00:34:56,600 --> 00:34:59,600
Speaker 4: than we thought. But big thing is this wide receiver situation.

780
00:34:59,680 --> 00:35:03,400
Speaker 4: Mckayl McKay was questionable last last week with an ankle injury,

781
00:35:03,400 --> 00:35:06,959
Speaker 4: DeMarcus Airs was doubtful with the lower leg injury. Both

782
00:35:07,040 --> 00:35:09,400
Speaker 4: ended up playing, but they only played forty five and

783
00:35:09,480 --> 00:35:12,000
Speaker 4: thirty seven percent of the offensive snaps. So we actually

784
00:35:12,040 --> 00:35:14,839
Speaker 4: saw greg Ward Junior taking a team high fifty eight

785
00:35:14,840 --> 00:35:17,399
Speaker 4: percent of the offensive snaps and he's only coming at

786
00:35:17,440 --> 00:35:20,120
Speaker 4: thirty two thousand on a fan ball. So he's my

787
00:35:20,360 --> 00:35:24,120
Speaker 4: favorite salary saving option of the week. But yeah, quickly Arizona.

788
00:35:24,800 --> 00:35:27,160
Speaker 4: We mentioned this last week, call Rashaud ross his entire

789
00:35:27,840 --> 00:35:31,319
Speaker 4: college preseason AF career. The guy catches the ball, you know,

790
00:35:31,400 --> 00:35:34,800
Speaker 4: he falls down, He hobbles over the sideline. You're worried,

791
00:35:34,800 --> 00:35:36,600
Speaker 4: and then by the time you look up, he's back

792
00:35:36,600 --> 00:35:38,920
Speaker 4: out on the field. It does seem like this shorter

793
00:35:39,000 --> 00:35:41,040
Speaker 4: injury finally caught up to him a little bit last week.

794
00:35:41,120 --> 00:35:43,319
Speaker 4: He played a season low fifty eight percent of the

795
00:35:43,320 --> 00:35:46,920
Speaker 4: offensive snaps. Each of Freddy Martinez, Richard mulaney, and Marquis

796
00:35:46,960 --> 00:35:48,880
Speaker 4: Bundy were on the field more often than the Ross.

797
00:35:48,920 --> 00:35:50,759
Speaker 4: So if there's anyone out there that can make the

798
00:35:50,760 --> 00:35:53,440
Speaker 4: most little limited opportunity, I think it is Rashaud Ross,

799
00:35:53,480 --> 00:35:55,680
Speaker 4: But probably not the time to really be targeting him

800
00:35:56,320 --> 00:35:58,000
Speaker 4: when we don't know if he's even gonna be playing

801
00:35:58,040 --> 00:35:59,800
Speaker 4: sixty or more percent of the offensive snaps.

802
00:36:00,360 --> 00:36:03,920
Speaker 3: Yeah, it's an unfortunate situation because, like on a macro level,

803
00:36:04,000 --> 00:36:06,600
Speaker 3: this should be I think a really good game, but

804
00:36:07,160 --> 00:36:10,560
Speaker 3: from a fantasy perspective, it might be hard to capitalize

805
00:36:10,560 --> 00:36:14,800
Speaker 3: on it because these wide receivers. Both squads are pretty

806
00:36:14,840 --> 00:36:18,239
Speaker 3: injured at the position, so there could be a lot

807
00:36:18,280 --> 00:36:21,640
Speaker 3: of snaps given to a number of guys where no

808
00:36:21,840 --> 00:36:24,920
Speaker 3: receiver dominates the way that we would probably want him to.

809
00:36:25,280 --> 00:36:28,160
Speaker 3: So just kind of an unfortunate situation. Let's look at

810
00:36:28,200 --> 00:36:31,160
Speaker 3: the San Antonio offense against the Arizona defense.

811
00:36:31,760 --> 00:36:35,279
Speaker 4: Yeah, so mentioned before, we saw this Arizona defense really

812
00:36:35,320 --> 00:36:37,359
Speaker 4: not play well against San Antonio in that first half,

813
00:36:37,400 --> 00:36:39,600
Speaker 4: but they really did a great job in the second half,

814
00:36:39,640 --> 00:36:41,600
Speaker 4: and they had a pretty great job all season. They're

815
00:36:42,040 --> 00:36:44,279
Speaker 4: number three in both yards per carry in yards per

816
00:36:44,280 --> 00:36:47,920
Speaker 4: attempt allowed, just pretty solid overall, even though their offense

817
00:36:47,960 --> 00:36:50,319
Speaker 4: moves that wanted the faster paces in the league, So

818
00:36:50,640 --> 00:36:52,919
Speaker 4: it's been good to see them come together. And yeah,

819
00:36:52,960 --> 00:36:54,840
Speaker 4: like you said, with these wide receiver injuries, this is

820
00:36:54,880 --> 00:36:57,359
Speaker 4: really tough on either side of the ball to nail

821
00:36:57,440 --> 00:37:00,879
Speaker 4: down any one guy. Greg Ward again did play fifty

822
00:37:00,880 --> 00:37:03,120
Speaker 4: eight percent of the snaps last week. He doesn't have

823
00:37:03,120 --> 00:37:05,960
Speaker 4: a touchdown this season, but he still has the third

824
00:37:05,960 --> 00:37:07,879
Speaker 4: most red zone targets in the league, and we've seen

825
00:37:07,960 --> 00:37:10,600
Speaker 4: him even get targeted a ton on two point conversions.

826
00:37:10,640 --> 00:37:13,400
Speaker 4: He finally converted one last week as well. So I

827
00:37:13,440 --> 00:37:16,240
Speaker 4: found out last week that punt return touchdowns don't count

828
00:37:16,800 --> 00:37:20,120
Speaker 4: towards fantasy points for the individual player in fanball, which

829
00:37:20,200 --> 00:37:22,759
Speaker 4: is pretty messed up. But the thing with Greg Ward,

830
00:37:23,200 --> 00:37:25,319
Speaker 4: if the punty turns don't count, he's one of a

831
00:37:25,360 --> 00:37:28,320
Speaker 4: handful of guys that have a realistic chance that throwing

832
00:37:28,320 --> 00:37:30,319
Speaker 4: for a touchdown or running for a touchdown that play

833
00:37:30,320 --> 00:37:33,720
Speaker 4: wide receiver, along with maybe like Jalen Marshall and Justin Thomas,

834
00:37:33,719 --> 00:37:36,480
Speaker 4: these former quarterbacks back in the day. So I'm all

835
00:37:36,520 --> 00:37:38,399
Speaker 4: over Greg Ward this week just because of that thirty

836
00:37:38,440 --> 00:37:41,600
Speaker 4: two hundred dollars price tag. And yeah, the only thing

837
00:37:41,640 --> 00:37:43,719
Speaker 4: bigger I think that's a bigger mess than the San

838
00:37:43,719 --> 00:37:47,279
Speaker 4: Antonio wide receiver committee is their running back committee. I mean,

839
00:37:47,320 --> 00:37:50,239
Speaker 4: good Lord, Kenneth Farrow had thirty carries in Week four.

840
00:37:50,600 --> 00:37:53,319
Speaker 4: Since then, he's had twelve, nine and eight carries in

841
00:37:53,320 --> 00:37:56,200
Speaker 4: those three games. And last week we've at least been

842
00:37:56,200 --> 00:37:59,080
Speaker 4: able to usually narrow this down to three running backs.

843
00:37:59,160 --> 00:38:02,160
Speaker 4: They went ahead and made each of Kindeth, Pharaoh, Trey Williams,

844
00:38:02,280 --> 00:38:05,359
Speaker 4: David Kobb, and Aaron Grain active. None of those guys

845
00:38:05,400 --> 00:38:08,120
Speaker 4: managed to play even thirty five percent of the offensive snaps.

846
00:38:08,120 --> 00:38:09,480
Speaker 2: So I think each.

847
00:38:09,320 --> 00:38:12,600
Speaker 4: Of Pharaoh, Trey Williams, and Aaron Green are pretty dang

848
00:38:12,640 --> 00:38:15,200
Speaker 4: good running backs, but it's just impossible to trust any

849
00:38:15,200 --> 00:38:16,640
Speaker 4: of them if they're going to all be splitting reps

850
00:38:16,840 --> 00:38:17,360
Speaker 4: this Even.

851
00:38:18,160 --> 00:38:20,960
Speaker 3: Of the three running backs, I think Pharaoh is the

852
00:38:20,960 --> 00:38:22,920
Speaker 3: one I like the most because he's the likeliest to

853
00:38:22,960 --> 00:38:25,200
Speaker 3: score a touchdown, But it is hard to trust really

854
00:38:25,239 --> 00:38:28,360
Speaker 3: any of these guys. Let's talk about the Arizona offense

855
00:38:28,600 --> 00:38:33,960
Speaker 3: and the San Antonio defense. This offense, they started out strong.

856
00:38:34,320 --> 00:38:36,720
Speaker 3: They kind of faltered a little bit in the middle

857
00:38:36,960 --> 00:38:39,879
Speaker 3: of the year, but they've come on strong again. They

858
00:38:39,880 --> 00:38:42,680
Speaker 3: have the second most points in the league. It's hard

859
00:38:42,719 --> 00:38:46,280
Speaker 3: to say that anyone else is on the same playing

860
00:38:46,320 --> 00:38:50,000
Speaker 3: field as the Apollos offensively, but the hot Shots have

861
00:38:50,000 --> 00:38:53,800
Speaker 3: been pretty impressive, at least in the past couple of weeks,

862
00:38:53,880 --> 00:38:56,600
Speaker 3: and I think they're clearly the second best offense in

863
00:38:56,640 --> 00:38:57,080
Speaker 3: the league.

864
00:38:57,560 --> 00:38:59,080
Speaker 1: How do you think they're going to match up?

865
00:38:59,680 --> 00:39:02,000
Speaker 4: Yeah, hot Shots definitely haven't been as consistent as the

866
00:39:02,040 --> 00:39:04,120
Speaker 4: Apollos throughout the season, but yeah, I think they're the

867
00:39:04,160 --> 00:39:07,200
Speaker 4: only team that has an offensive ceiling that can at

868
00:39:07,280 --> 00:39:10,040
Speaker 4: least approach Orlandos. So I'm with you there, and it's

869
00:39:10,040 --> 00:39:13,160
Speaker 4: an interesting spot against the San Antonio defense. I kind

870
00:39:13,160 --> 00:39:15,799
Speaker 4: of rode off San Antonio probably a little earlier than

871
00:39:15,840 --> 00:39:18,719
Speaker 4: I should have as the league's worst defense, because they

872
00:39:18,719 --> 00:39:20,600
Speaker 4: do have the league's second worst defense in the yards

873
00:39:20,640 --> 00:39:22,640
Speaker 4: allowed per attempt and the worst defense.

874
00:39:22,280 --> 00:39:23,160
Speaker 2: In yards per carry.

875
00:39:23,160 --> 00:39:25,640
Speaker 4: But the thing is, in all levels of football, a

876
00:39:25,680 --> 00:39:27,520
Speaker 4: really good pass rush and I think helped make up

877
00:39:27,560 --> 00:39:29,640
Speaker 4: for that. I was a similar trap I fell into

878
00:39:29,719 --> 00:39:32,640
Speaker 4: this NFL season with the Rams, where maybe they don't

879
00:39:32,680 --> 00:39:35,640
Speaker 4: have the best play by play efficiency, but when you

880
00:39:35,640 --> 00:39:37,759
Speaker 4: have a good enough pass rush that can consistently force

881
00:39:37,800 --> 00:39:40,640
Speaker 4: turnovers and at least make the quarterback uncomfortable. It's going

882
00:39:40,680 --> 00:39:44,000
Speaker 4: to help your secondary, and it's going to help dissuade

883
00:39:44,000 --> 00:39:47,480
Speaker 4: teams from really trying to do too much. So interesting situation.

884
00:39:47,560 --> 00:39:50,920
Speaker 4: They are PFS number two overall pass rush this season.

885
00:39:50,960 --> 00:39:54,040
Speaker 4: But yeah, we've seen this Arizona offense go back towards

886
00:39:54,080 --> 00:39:56,879
Speaker 4: the early season forma. Wolford's posted two of his three

887
00:39:56,880 --> 00:39:59,040
Speaker 4: best games this season in terms of quarterback raid in

888
00:39:59,040 --> 00:40:01,879
Speaker 4: the last two weeks. Getting Richard Mulaney back I think

889
00:40:01,960 --> 00:40:04,160
Speaker 4: did help a lot at least added some stability to

890
00:40:04,200 --> 00:40:07,479
Speaker 4: the wide receiver group group, and then Bundy has also

891
00:40:07,520 --> 00:40:08,720
Speaker 4: made some big plays throughout.

892
00:40:09,320 --> 00:40:11,040
Speaker 2: Unfortunately, fan Ball.

893
00:40:10,880 --> 00:40:12,719
Speaker 4: Finally figured out that Drell Presley is one of the

894
00:40:12,800 --> 00:40:16,040
Speaker 4: leagues only like three bellcow backs, so his salary that

895
00:40:16,040 --> 00:40:18,680
Speaker 4: we've been taking advantage from cash lineups the last few

896
00:40:18,719 --> 00:40:21,239
Speaker 4: weeks now at six K, so I don't think he's

897
00:40:21,640 --> 00:40:24,160
Speaker 4: any longer a guy you need the jam into your lineups.

898
00:40:24,200 --> 00:40:26,440
Speaker 4: But he's still playing well ahead of Tim Cook and

899
00:40:26,560 --> 00:40:29,280
Speaker 4: Justin Stockton played sixty one percent of snaps last week.

900
00:40:29,480 --> 00:40:31,600
Speaker 2: He's shown off versatility all season long.

901
00:40:31,640 --> 00:40:34,120
Speaker 4: And yeah, I mean, when this offense is fined, they're

902
00:40:34,160 --> 00:40:37,960
Speaker 4: pretty much running harpos like half the game and getting

903
00:40:37,960 --> 00:40:40,120
Speaker 4: guys like a Sean Ross chances middle of the field,

904
00:40:40,120 --> 00:40:41,440
Speaker 4: getting Pressley plenty of touches.

905
00:40:41,480 --> 00:40:42,880
Speaker 2: When is when they're out their best.

906
00:40:42,920 --> 00:40:45,600
Speaker 4: So I'm really looking forward to this game again because

907
00:40:45,760 --> 00:40:48,680
Speaker 4: I do think these are two pretty evenly matched teams.

908
00:40:49,080 --> 00:40:51,520
Speaker 3: All right, well, let's talk about that. Are you leaning

909
00:40:51,640 --> 00:40:53,839
Speaker 3: anyway in terms of the spread.

910
00:40:54,000 --> 00:40:56,120
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm good. I'm taking the points right now.

911
00:40:56,160 --> 00:40:58,000
Speaker 4: It looks like they would be on Arizona side, So

912
00:40:58,120 --> 00:41:00,960
Speaker 4: Arizona plus two and a half again, and their first

913
00:41:01,000 --> 00:41:05,239
Speaker 4: meeting was not fluky, but we saw Santano dominate the

914
00:41:05,239 --> 00:41:08,640
Speaker 4: first half, Arizona dominate the second half. So again, evenly

915
00:41:08,719 --> 00:41:10,839
Speaker 4: match teams, So give me the points.

916
00:41:11,520 --> 00:41:13,320
Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree, I think.

917
00:41:13,640 --> 00:41:15,880
Speaker 3: I mean, it's hard to say that Arizona is better,

918
00:41:16,200 --> 00:41:18,239
Speaker 3: but I think they are just as good as the

919
00:41:18,280 --> 00:41:22,440
Speaker 3: Commanders are are, or very close to it. So yeah,

920
00:41:22,520 --> 00:41:24,640
Speaker 3: I think they are in better form right now with

921
00:41:24,719 --> 00:41:29,560
Speaker 3: their offense starting to come back. So yeah, I'm with you.

922
00:41:29,600 --> 00:41:32,120
Speaker 3: I will take the points there. Let's talk about some

923
00:41:32,360 --> 00:41:38,120
Speaker 3: fantasy strategy. As a quick reminder, Fanball's format quarterback, running back,

924
00:41:38,200 --> 00:41:41,840
Speaker 3: wide receiver, and then three flexes. I'm just gonna say

925
00:41:42,160 --> 00:41:46,600
Speaker 3: let's not even talk about tight ends. I assume you

926
00:41:46,640 --> 00:41:49,120
Speaker 3: weren't playing on talking about tight ends, but like, actually

927
00:41:49,160 --> 00:41:52,640
Speaker 3: it's I think it's interesting in that, like all of

928
00:41:52,680 --> 00:41:56,000
Speaker 3: the other positions are at least interesting to me. But

929
00:41:56,320 --> 00:41:59,000
Speaker 3: there's been really nothing on the tight end side of

930
00:41:59,000 --> 00:42:01,080
Speaker 3: things in this league generate in the interest.

931
00:42:01,560 --> 00:42:03,080
Speaker 2: There's been some good performances.

932
00:42:03,360 --> 00:42:06,080
Speaker 4: Wes Saxton with Birmingham has been on the field a lot.

933
00:42:06,120 --> 00:42:10,360
Speaker 4: He's made some good plays, Marcus Ball, Gavin Escobar, San Diego,

934
00:42:10,760 --> 00:42:13,680
Speaker 4: Evan Rodriguez, Santonio finally got out there. But the problem

935
00:42:13,800 --> 00:42:16,080
Speaker 4: is a lot of these guys that have made plays

936
00:42:16,120 --> 00:42:18,960
Speaker 4: at tight end their salaries now gotten to the lower

937
00:42:19,000 --> 00:42:22,359
Speaker 4: four K range, which we have wide receivers that are

938
00:42:22,400 --> 00:42:24,440
Speaker 4: just way more involved in that same range. So it's

939
00:42:24,520 --> 00:42:27,920
Speaker 4: no longer like these men three k guys we can

940
00:42:27,960 --> 00:42:31,160
Speaker 4: look for some upside with Anthony Denham at thirty two

941
00:42:31,239 --> 00:42:33,919
Speaker 4: hundred is literally the only tight end I think I'll

942
00:42:33,920 --> 00:42:36,759
Speaker 4: even consider having some exposure to this week, and even

943
00:42:36,800 --> 00:42:39,960
Speaker 4: then probably not so. Yeah, man said before, I don't

944
00:42:40,000 --> 00:42:42,560
Speaker 4: think Dreyl Presley is a cash game lock like we've

945
00:42:42,600 --> 00:42:44,839
Speaker 4: had him as the last two weeks. I still will

946
00:42:44,880 --> 00:42:47,279
Speaker 4: be jamming In, Trent Richardson and Charles Johnson. I just

947
00:42:47,320 --> 00:42:50,400
Speaker 4: think they've established themselves as the most matchup proof of

948
00:42:50,480 --> 00:42:52,320
Speaker 4: volume driven players at their position.

949
00:42:52,800 --> 00:42:54,759
Speaker 2: Again, I love Greg Ward at.

950
00:42:54,680 --> 00:42:57,600
Speaker 4: Thirty two hundred as a salary saving option, just leading

951
00:42:57,600 --> 00:42:59,640
Speaker 4: the team in snaps, high red zone share, and again

952
00:42:59,680 --> 00:43:03,480
Speaker 4: that versatility I mentioned, and doing this process allows us

953
00:43:03,480 --> 00:43:04,120
Speaker 4: for once.

954
00:43:03,880 --> 00:43:05,200
Speaker 2: To pay up for Garrett Gilbert.

955
00:43:05,640 --> 00:43:07,840
Speaker 4: I've been paying down the last couple of weeks, had

956
00:43:07,880 --> 00:43:09,759
Speaker 4: a hard time getting up there. But I think you

957
00:43:09,800 --> 00:43:13,160
Speaker 4: can get Gilbert and then you can't squeeze in Jalen Marshall.

958
00:43:13,160 --> 00:43:15,720
Speaker 4: We's been their wide receiver two all year. But again

959
00:43:15,760 --> 00:43:19,120
Speaker 4: that the owners Johnson price decreases pretty notable, and I

960
00:43:19,160 --> 00:43:23,320
Speaker 4: think considering his past game share, it makes sense to

961
00:43:23,360 --> 00:43:26,200
Speaker 4: stat Gilbert with Deaners Johnson and Charles Johnson.

962
00:43:26,280 --> 00:43:27,560
Speaker 2: So that's my.

963
00:43:27,600 --> 00:43:30,200
Speaker 4: Core, and then from there we have forty eight one

964
00:43:30,280 --> 00:43:32,600
Speaker 4: hundred left. I think the top three options you can

965
00:43:32,640 --> 00:43:35,280
Speaker 4: look at from here are these Atlanta guys I said before,

966
00:43:35,280 --> 00:43:39,440
Speaker 4: Santavius Jones and Brandon Radcliffe, and also Richard Mulaney is

967
00:43:39,440 --> 00:43:41,440
Speaker 4: another guy that we've seen be on the field almost

968
00:43:41,480 --> 00:43:43,760
Speaker 4: all the time for Arizona. Even if last week's perforence

969
00:43:43,880 --> 00:43:46,399
Speaker 4: was a little bit disappointing. Among those three, I'm looking

970
00:43:46,440 --> 00:43:48,200
Speaker 4: at Brandon Radcliffe, I believe.

971
00:43:48,840 --> 00:43:49,520
Speaker 2: So here's the thing.

972
00:43:49,560 --> 00:43:51,600
Speaker 4: He's only he only played thirty eight percent of snaps

973
00:43:51,680 --> 00:43:54,399
Speaker 4: last week, which isn't ideal. We don't want running backs

974
00:43:54,440 --> 00:43:56,760
Speaker 4: like that, but that was still tied for the eighth

975
00:43:56,800 --> 00:43:59,160
Speaker 4: most in the league. I mean, there's just so few

976
00:43:59,600 --> 00:44:03,160
Speaker 4: clear running back ones that you do have to start

977
00:44:03,160 --> 00:44:05,600
Speaker 4: to look at these committee guys that aren't even the

978
00:44:05,640 --> 00:44:07,359
Speaker 4: top guy in their own team of the price is right,

979
00:44:07,400 --> 00:44:09,520
Speaker 4: and I think this week that guy is Radcliffe.

980
00:44:09,840 --> 00:44:10,960
Speaker 1: Yeah, that's interesting.

981
00:44:11,120 --> 00:44:14,080
Speaker 3: I would probably lean a little bit more towards Mulaney,

982
00:44:14,200 --> 00:44:16,879
Speaker 3: but I think it's Yeah. I mean, with a running back,

983
00:44:16,920 --> 00:44:20,520
Speaker 3: you maybe have a more projectable type of usage. You

984
00:44:20,560 --> 00:44:23,040
Speaker 3: can sort of like lock in that he's going to

985
00:44:23,080 --> 00:44:26,400
Speaker 3: get a certain number of touches, whereas with Mulaney with

986
00:44:26,440 --> 00:44:29,520
Speaker 3: a wide receiver, his usage could be a little more variable.

987
00:44:29,560 --> 00:44:31,799
Speaker 3: So probably not quite as good of an option for

988
00:44:31,840 --> 00:44:32,400
Speaker 3: cash games.

989
00:44:32,640 --> 00:44:36,600
Speaker 4: Yeah, I would definitely say Radcliffe, Mullany, Jones one.

990
00:44:36,480 --> 00:44:36,919
Speaker 2: Two, three.

991
00:44:37,160 --> 00:44:40,880
Speaker 3: Yeah, let's talk about players you like for GPPs and

992
00:44:41,000 --> 00:44:44,480
Speaker 3: actually circling back to the tight ends. I think obviously

993
00:44:44,480 --> 00:44:47,799
Speaker 3: you stay away from tight ends in cash games for GPPs,

994
00:44:48,480 --> 00:44:52,120
Speaker 3: like maybe you have like the contrarian benefit of getting

995
00:44:52,160 --> 00:44:53,640
Speaker 3: a guy at low ownership.

996
00:44:54,120 --> 00:44:56,279
Speaker 1: Do you think that actually is the case with any

997
00:44:56,320 --> 00:44:57,080
Speaker 1: of these tight ends?

998
00:44:58,000 --> 00:45:00,480
Speaker 4: Not really, just because like the the top of the

999
00:45:00,520 --> 00:45:03,719
Speaker 4: top tight ends are averaging under four targets per game

1000
00:45:03,760 --> 00:45:05,960
Speaker 4: and we're not even seeing that, I'm sorry, we are

1001
00:45:06,000 --> 00:45:09,080
Speaker 4: seeing that from a ton of just committee wide receivers

1002
00:45:09,120 --> 00:45:13,240
Speaker 4: that are just offering usually more fantasy friendly like downfield shots. Anyway,

1003
00:45:13,360 --> 00:45:18,760
Speaker 4: So again I'm using this metric carries and targets divided

1004
00:45:18,760 --> 00:45:21,680
Speaker 4: by fanball salary, just to get an idea of which

1005
00:45:22,239 --> 00:45:25,239
Speaker 4: players at every position could be undervalued based on their

1006
00:45:25,440 --> 00:45:27,160
Speaker 4: opportunity today and their price tag.

1007
00:45:27,200 --> 00:45:30,919
Speaker 2: And I believe like Anthony Denham was the only guy's.

1008
00:45:30,600 --> 00:45:33,000
Speaker 4: A double digit rate, and there was something like twenty

1009
00:45:33,080 --> 00:45:36,040
Speaker 4: running backs, like fifteen wide receivers were considered more valuable

1010
00:45:36,120 --> 00:45:38,799
Speaker 4: by this metric. So it does seem now that the

1011
00:45:38,840 --> 00:45:43,080
Speaker 4: best tight ends are just grossly overpriced.

1012
00:45:42,080 --> 00:45:44,279
Speaker 1: All right, talking about the GPP players you.

1013
00:45:44,320 --> 00:45:47,239
Speaker 4: Like, Yeah, so the two quarterbacks I'm looking at GPPs

1014
00:45:47,280 --> 00:45:50,760
Speaker 4: are Mike Bercovicci and Luis Perez. We've seen their volume

1015
00:45:50,800 --> 00:45:53,759
Speaker 4: just in terms of past attempts, really be way higher

1016
00:45:53,800 --> 00:45:56,360
Speaker 4: than everyone else over these last few weeks, and I

1017
00:45:56,360 --> 00:45:59,279
Speaker 4: think there's a plenty of opportunity and they're receiving corps to.

1018
00:45:59,800 --> 00:46:01,160
Speaker 2: Get a little bit off the chalk.

1019
00:46:01,600 --> 00:46:03,440
Speaker 4: You can pivot off Nelson Spruce, So I think it's

1020
00:46:03,440 --> 00:46:06,080
Speaker 4: gonna be pretty high owned after getting all those targets

1021
00:46:06,160 --> 00:46:08,640
Speaker 4: last week. Again, if I just get nervous with these

1022
00:46:08,640 --> 00:46:11,440
Speaker 4: guys that are playing less than half of their offensive snaps,

1023
00:46:11,440 --> 00:46:14,800
Speaker 4: So going Burka Vici with Francis Alusu and Brian Brown.

1024
00:46:15,640 --> 00:46:18,279
Speaker 4: I love this combination as long as Dantees Ford is

1025
00:46:18,320 --> 00:46:20,719
Speaker 4: out because now we got a stack with two wide

1026
00:46:20,719 --> 00:46:22,839
Speaker 4: receivers that are under four K and you can put

1027
00:46:22,880 --> 00:46:24,839
Speaker 4: off the rest of your lineup with these RB one

1028
00:46:24,920 --> 00:46:28,719
Speaker 4: Belcows and Charles Johnson type at wide receivers. So I'm

1029
00:46:28,719 --> 00:46:31,280
Speaker 4: gonna have the most exposure on these BURKEA Vici stacks

1030
00:46:31,280 --> 00:46:34,960
Speaker 4: in tournaments. But I also like Luis Perez with Quinn

1031
00:46:34,960 --> 00:46:38,120
Speaker 4: Patten and Trent Richardson just because again two of nine

1032
00:46:38,160 --> 00:46:40,400
Speaker 4: players in the AAF to have at least forty targets

1033
00:46:40,400 --> 00:46:43,200
Speaker 4: this season. I don't think there's a stack that has

1034
00:46:43,200 --> 00:46:47,200
Speaker 4: the same level of guaranteed target share as this one.

1035
00:46:47,239 --> 00:46:49,440
Speaker 4: And then of course we got t Rich's you know,

1036
00:46:49,480 --> 00:46:52,120
Speaker 4: fifteen carries a game for around forty five yards if

1037
00:46:52,160 --> 00:46:54,880
Speaker 4: he has a good day as well, so there's less.

1038
00:46:54,719 --> 00:46:56,439
Speaker 2: Salary relief with that route.

1039
00:46:56,480 --> 00:46:58,440
Speaker 4: You got kind of dig more in the four K

1040
00:46:58,560 --> 00:47:01,000
Speaker 4: five K range, but it's it's still a stack that

1041
00:47:01,000 --> 00:47:02,200
Speaker 4: I think has a lot of webside.

1042
00:47:02,600 --> 00:47:05,200
Speaker 3: Yeah, And one thing is I think not many people

1043
00:47:05,200 --> 00:47:08,960
Speaker 3: in GPPs will probably stack Perez with Richardson, although I

1044
00:47:08,960 --> 00:47:11,560
Speaker 3: mean it obviously is a viable option. Just people tend

1045
00:47:11,640 --> 00:47:14,640
Speaker 3: not to gravitate towards the quarterback running back stack.

1046
00:47:15,080 --> 00:47:19,000
Speaker 2: Yeah, no, I'm with you. We saw that with different Todd.

1047
00:47:18,800 --> 00:47:22,640
Speaker 4: Gurley, Zico Elliott and Zico la At, Doc Prescott, Jared Off,

1048
00:47:22,640 --> 00:47:25,480
Speaker 4: Todd Gurley. Some of these running backs that are more

1049
00:47:25,520 --> 00:47:28,080
Speaker 4: guaranteed for you know, your three to five targets per

1050
00:47:28,120 --> 00:47:31,960
Speaker 4: gammer are definitely more more perfect stack partners with the quarterback.

1051
00:47:32,640 --> 00:47:36,439
Speaker 3: Okay, Our week eight AAF rankings are on the site

1052
00:47:36,520 --> 00:47:39,000
Speaker 3: and you and I contribute to those, as well as

1053
00:47:39,320 --> 00:47:42,480
Speaker 3: Sean Corner whose weekly power rankings and projecting lines.

1054
00:47:42,520 --> 00:47:43,840
Speaker 1: They are also up on the site.

1055
00:47:44,080 --> 00:47:47,120
Speaker 3: What other content can people find at the Action Network

1056
00:47:47,200 --> 00:47:48,480
Speaker 3: In Fantasy Labs.

1057
00:47:48,520 --> 00:47:53,360
Speaker 4: Should have our dfs AF Fanball breakdown posted at some

1058
00:47:53,480 --> 00:47:56,920
Speaker 4: point Wednesday night, and then we'll have the ultimate Betting

1059
00:47:56,920 --> 00:48:00,640
Speaker 4: Guide for Week eight done Thursday or Friday. So looking

1060
00:48:00,640 --> 00:48:02,920
Speaker 4: forward to this one and only three more weeks till

1061
00:48:02,920 --> 00:48:04,080
Speaker 4: we get the playoffs.

1062
00:48:04,120 --> 00:48:05,960
Speaker 2: So it's it's time to grind everyone.

1063
00:48:06,280 --> 00:48:09,640
Speaker 3: Yeah, are you starting to uh to wear down from

1064
00:48:09,680 --> 00:48:12,520
Speaker 3: the grind of the AAF season because you have this

1065
00:48:12,640 --> 00:48:14,440
Speaker 3: and then you have baseball coming up. You're gonna have

1066
00:48:14,480 --> 00:48:17,120
Speaker 3: to work some some baseball news shifts. You know, we

1067
00:48:17,120 --> 00:48:19,560
Speaker 3: we are in the heart of it. How are you feeling.

1068
00:48:20,400 --> 00:48:22,600
Speaker 4: I'm feeling fine with this, but you're right, it's the

1069
00:48:22,640 --> 00:48:25,439
Speaker 4: baseball that's kind of getting to me. I'm I'm tired

1070
00:48:25,480 --> 00:48:27,960
Speaker 4: of spending time on all these beta sports out that

1071
00:48:27,800 --> 00:48:31,480
Speaker 4: that don't involve a men hitting other men. Very difficult.

1072
00:48:31,680 --> 00:48:35,080
Speaker 4: I saw a I saw a good tweet from John

1073
00:48:35,160 --> 00:48:37,400
Speaker 4: Boyce today where he said I failed to see the

1074
00:48:37,440 --> 00:48:40,000
Speaker 4: point of a baseball season when we literally just had

1075
00:48:40,000 --> 00:48:41,319
Speaker 4: a baseball season last year.

1076
00:48:41,360 --> 00:48:42,520
Speaker 2: And I could not agree more with that.

1077
00:48:42,600 --> 00:48:46,680
Speaker 3: Si Uh, yes, you I just yeah, I just never

1078
00:48:46,680 --> 00:48:48,480
Speaker 3: seen this you really are into the sports where it's

1079
00:48:48,520 --> 00:48:52,480
Speaker 3: guys literally hitting other guys because you're you're into uh

1080
00:48:52,640 --> 00:48:53,640
Speaker 3: in m a too.

1081
00:48:53,840 --> 00:48:57,120
Speaker 4: Football, UFC. Massive drop off to everything else in my book.

1082
00:48:57,400 --> 00:49:00,600
Speaker 3: Yes, uh okay, well words of wisdom that is going

1083
00:49:00,640 --> 00:49:02,920
Speaker 3: to do it. For this episode of the Action Network

1084
00:49:03,080 --> 00:49:05,960
Speaker 3: NFL podcast, Please rate and interview the show and iTunes

1085
00:49:06,120 --> 00:49:08,520
Speaker 3: for ian I, Matthew Friedman, Mattathew Oracle.

1086
00:49:08,680 --> 00:49:09,840
Speaker 1: See you again next episode.